Anil Patel Senior Director Boeing Capital Corporation Anil Patel Senior Director Boeing Capital Corporation International Conference on Contemporary Issues & Workshop on Introduction to Air Transport, Air Law & Regulation March 21 – 25, 2008 New Delhi International Conference on Contemporary Issues & Workshop on Introduction to Air Transport, Air Law & Regulation March 21 – 25, 2008 New Delhi
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Anil PatelSenior DirectorBoeing Capital Corporation
Anil PatelSenior DirectorBoeing Capital Corporation
International Conference on Contemporary Issues&
Workshop on Introduction toAir Transport, Air Law & Regulation
March 21 – 25, 2008 New Delhi
International Conference on Contemporary Issues&
Workshop on Introduction toAir Transport, Air Law & Regulation
March 21 – 25, 2008 New Delhi
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AgendaAgenda
• Market Review & Forecast
• Boeing Products in the market
• Aviation Financing
• Summary
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1986 1996 2006 2016 2026
20-Year Forecast: Strong Long-Term Growth
Historical
Long-Term Growth2007 - 2026
GDP = 3.1% Passenger = 5.0%
Cargo = 6.1%
Long-Term Growth2007 - 2026
GDP = 3.1% Passenger = 5.0%
Cargo = 6.1%
RPKs (trillions)
Future
Historic Growth1986 - 2006
GDP = 2.9% Passenger = 4.8%Cargo = 6.3%
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Airlines Will Need Over 28,600 New Airplanes
28,600 airplanes
13%22%
62%
747 and largerTwin-aisleSingle-aisleRegional jets
3%
Includes CIS
$2.8T 2006 delivery dollars
42%
9%
45%
4%
5
19%
1%
6%
74%
41% 53%
2%
4%
911airplanes
$86.0 billiondelivery dollars*
Regional jetsSingle-aisleTwin-aisle747 and larger
*In year 2006 dollars Catalogue Prices
Source: Boeing Current Market Outlook 2007
Over the Next 20 Years India Will Require a Large Number of Airplanes
Very Few in 747 and Larger Size
Over the Next 20 Years India Will Require a Large Number of Airplanes
Very Few in 747 and Larger Size
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-5%
0%
5%
10%
Asian Currency
Crisis
Iranian crisis
Historically Cyclical Nature of Aviation
Oil Embargo
Aviation downturns World Real GDP GrowthOperating Margin