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Rural Punjabi social organization and marriage timing strategies in Pakistan Thomas E. Fricke Sabiha H. Syed Peter C. Smith REPRINTS OFTWE EAST-WEST POPULATION INSTITUTE NUMBER 205 EAST-WEST CENTER HONOLULU, HWAII LHAI_
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INSTITUTE timing strategies in Pakistan

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Page 1: INSTITUTE timing strategies in Pakistan

Rural Punjabi social organization and marriage timing strategies in Pakistan

Thomas E Fricke Sabiha H Syed Peter C Smith

REPRINTS

OFTWE EAST-WEST

POPULATION INSTITUTE

NUMBER

205

EAST-WEST CENTERHONOLULU

HWAII

LHAI_

THE EAST-WEST CENTER is a public nonprofit educational institution with an international board of governors Some 2000 research fellows graduatestudents and professionals in business and government each year work with the Centers international staff in cooperative study training andresearch They examine major issues related to population rescurces and development the environment cultuie and communcation in Asia the Pacific and the United States The Center was established in 1960 by theUnited Slates Congress which provides principal funding Support also comes from more than 20 Asian and Pacific governments as well as prishyvate agencies and corporations

Situated on 21 acres adjacent to the University of Hawaiis Manoa Camshypus the Centers facilities include a 300-room office building housingresearch and administrative officeE for an international staff of 250 three residence halls for participants and a conference center with meeting rooms equipped to provide simultaneous translation an]I a complete range of audiovisual services

THE EAST-VEST POPULATION INSTITUTE established as a unit of the East-West Center in 1969 carries out multidisciplinary research training and related activities in the field of population placing emphasis on economicsocial psychological and environmental aspects of popul-ation problemsin Asia the Pacific and the United States

THE REPRINT SERIES brings selected articles originating from Institute research but published elsewhere to the attention of population spec-alistswho might not otherwise see them Single copies are available upon request

East-West Population InstituteEast-West Center This article is reprinted with permission from1777 East-West Road DemographyHonolulu Hawaii 96848 vol 23 no 4 November 1986

DEMOGRAPHYD Volume 113Number 4 November 19B6

RURAL PUNJABI SOCIAL ORGANIZATION AND MARRIAGE TIMING STRATEGIES IN PAKISTAN

Thomas EFricke Institute for Social Research and Department of Anthropology University of Michiti in Ann Arbor Michigan 48104

Sabiha H Syed Womens Divison Cabinet Secretariat Government c Pakistan

Peter C Smith East-West Population Institute East-West Center 1777 East-West Road Honolulu Hawaii 96848

The most important social function of marriage is to form aconnection between two families or to renew and strengthen an already existing connection (1Eglar 196093)

Few institutions are as pivotal as marriage in their implications for abroad range of social processes Its links to the character of family life and societal fertility levels are firmly established (Fox 1967 Smith 1983) and more recent versions of demographic transition theory show marriage at-d its timing to be related to more pervasive social change (Caldwell Reddy and Caldwell 1982 1983 Caldwell 1982 Ryder 1983) Moreover ethnographic studies shov that marriage is also a critical event in the individual and household developmental cycles with implications (or the economic stability of families the establishment of cooperative ties between households and extended kin networks and the ed ation and econornic participashytion of women (cf Fortes 1958 Foster 1978 Parry 1979)

Given the multiple roles that marriage fullills it comes as no surprise that marriage patterns are changing in conjunction with other transformations throughout Asia (Smith 1980) In soite of regional variation in rates and degree the overwhelming pattern is toward a later marriage age Macro-level analyss have indicated that education changing occupational structures and urbaaization increase female marriage ages Yet the vital institutional components of tmi-schange in marriage behavior have been largely ignored in quantitative research (Smith 198091 )as has the need to consider the relationship between women and men (cf Papanek 1984) Part of the reason has been the absence of cultural variables in the typical aggregate data sets In addition there has been a tendency to oversimplify by assuming close adhe nce to cultural ideals Thus a whole society might be characterized as practicing patrilateral cross-cousin marriage but little attention is given to the range of behavior around this preferential pattern As the research reported herein demonstrates it is possible for nonprefereritial patterns to be modal in a population

Our purposes in this paper are twofold First we show how integrated use of ethnographic materials can enrich cxplanatory schemes based on survey data Se ond we present a transactional model of marriage behavior with particular application to South Asia We view marriage timing and spouse choice as strategic outcomes of family and household decision processes on the part of both spouses families We agree that explanations of changing age at marriage strcssing educationshyal and occurational determinants capture a large part of the causation involved but we stress here that a lack of attention to more specifically cultural and stiuctural constraints on behavior needlessly impoverishes our understanding of marriage behavior

489

490 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 number 4 November 1986 We will examine survey data for rural to aPakistan illustrate family-centeredmodel of marriage behavior We stress the pretransition agrarian nature of thesetting Social and economic change has been minimal in recent years and we do notdirectly examine these processes Our exposition follows our analytic procedureWe first present a general model of tuarriage timing and then explore the ethnographshyic literature for the Punjab to isolate the important cultural factors underlyingmarriage behavior next we turn to the data for statistical confirmation of ourhypotheses and finally WC discuss implications of our results for the study ofmarriage in the South Asian setting as well as for styles of data collection and

anlysis

THE FAMILY CONTEXT OF MARRIAGE The literature is replete with empirical studies that establish the positive associashytion among marriage age educational attainment urban -esidence and-withsomewhat less consistenc-voik for wages prior to marrying Rarer are studiesthat give attention to the social and cultural contexts within which these variablesoperate Wherever they are round thse associationis end to be explained in similarterms feniale education is related to greater autonomy and a broader opportunityfield for daughters with a corresponding reductiot of both parental control over themarriage process and the single-minded channeling of daughters into domestic rolesSimilarly female wage earning prior o marriage is related to greater domesticautonomy or conversely to enhanced productive value for the natal household andboth of these are associated with later marriage ageEven when these associations obtain their bald statement in these terms ignoresthe multiple roles of marriage in diferen social settings and at times leads toanomalous interpretations

and For example part of the association bet cen educationlater marriage is explained with reference to greater female autonomy in themarriage process (Cochranc 1979 Carleton 1975) Yet research in South Indiasuggests that education does riot alter the parents rol in their daughters marriageThroughout South Asia education may serve in part to raise the value of daughtersin transactions between ioijseholds (Caldwell Rcdd and Caldwell 1982 Caplan1984221 Parry 1979273) and thus hold constant parents incentives to controlmarriage choices Moreover it is dtifficult to credit schoolings role as a vehicle forwestern ideas about niarriqe as the motivation in all cases In our rural aid urbanlower-class samples for example we find that women who attndced but failed tocomplete a single year of school marry later than those who never attended Evenamong the urban middle class where daughters obtain substantial amounts ofeducation 79 percent of the women reported no participation in tlehcchoice of theirspouses ((herlin el al 19 85a) Masons (1984) suggestion that research considercross-cutting hierarchies of class and gcnider provides a key to explanation in these

cases Recent institutional explanations of fertility behavior cf McNicoll 1980 Cain1982 CaIdwell 1982 Dson arid Moore 1931 are equally relcvant to the discussionof marriage tirning especially when marriage and fertility behavior share links withother social processes Thus Lcstbacghes (1980) suggestion for fertility analysisshythat we examine iht appropriation of resources social control risk devolution anddemographic clhecks along with the interplay between individual strategies andinherited world iew-could as easily he applied to marriage processes SimilarlyCaldwells wealth-flows model and its modifications (eg Cain 1981 1982 Thadani1978) suggest an approach to marriage behavior tooInstitutional examinations tend to center on links with modes of production and

491 Social Organization and Marriage Timing Strategies in Pakistan

control over resources Behaviors are taken to be strategically directed toward goalsdetermined by specific social and cultural settings Thus the effects of a particular behavior are disentangled from the actual ends to which the behavior is directed For example though one f the goals of marriage timing may be the regulation of fertility Smith (1983479) points out that this would assume an exceptionally distant planning horizon A more logical and culturally informed approach would be to focus on the more proximate ends (Lesthaeghe 1980530) The intimate connection of marriage timing and other social processes suggests that the fullest explanations must include economic ideological and affective components

Anthropological research into marriage has tended to examine societies organized along the lines of pretransition settings defined in Caldwells model The mode of production is familial and subsistencc oriented in an agrarian setting In this context the extent to which individuals have control over their marital decisions is an empirical issue Keesing (197542-43) suggested that a marriage be viewed as a contract in which rights over work and reproduction are transferred between corporate groups rather than as a straightforward union of tM o individuals It becomes important to ask then how wide these corporate groups are and what rights and obligations are tran-ferred Other questions also arise How does marriage lit into other systems of property exchange Who are the effective decision makers What are the implications for womensstatLUs and roles at different times in their life courses The answers to these questions are not separable fromt issues of social organizashy

tion and mode of production Sahlins for example devotes a great deal of attention to a discussion of exchange ithin the domestic mode of production (1972185-230)A primary component of this exchange is that it is never entirely balanced a continuous series of prestations binds one household or group to another At the same time the exchanges between two groups can either be symmetricl or asymmetrical the latter type is associated with settings in which status is largely nonnegotiahle and ascrihed (Parry 197993) We need to consider whether women irean element of this continuing exchange cycle and the implications for marriage behavior In addition we need to consider the extent o which hierarchy is a component of itgiven social structure and the constraints it imposes on marriage itrategies

Til (ONTI-[I ()I- MARRIA(ik IN ill PAKISTANI PUNJAI

Certain themes p2rade marriage institutions throughout South Asia and the Pakistani case must bc seen in this context Among these themes are underlying patriarchal control of resources (fCain Khanun and Nahar 1979) hierarchy and the important role of wornen as signifiers of alliance betwcr familics- We are here concerned primarily ith the tlliance function of marriage anJ the nature of lansfers between families itmarriage Womlns- value as signifilS of this alliancc is a function in part of the status of their natal homne biological age and characteristics that they acquire througholt their life course All of these values are culturally or idcologically determined

Although ethnographic material for ltunjabi Muslims in Pakistan is relatively scarce and generally concerned iilh rural settines (Slocun Akhtar ard Sahi 1959 lIglar 1960 S Ahmad 1974 1977) that which Cxists uggests that the details ofsocial organization parallel those in NorthwCst Inldia ccl Vreede-de Siuers 1968) Iollowshying Blochs 11973) discussion of the relation between kin distance and cooperative reliability we first discuss the degrees of rclatcdness within which it is permissible to marry in the Muslim Punjab from hiradai to no relation at all before marriage

492 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 number 4 Novomber 1986

Eglar has determined that the most important social group outside the immediate -household is the patriline or biradari (1960) Kin links within the patrilile are

strongest and individuals within it most subject to the constraints of the moraleconomy Fraternal ties between contemporaries are considered more importantthan intergencrational ties (S Ahmad 1974 157) Eglar strc that marriage is aescritical biradari function that all members have an intcrest in the contract sincehonor (izzat) is ascribed to the whole group on the basis of how its individualmembers behave Failure to observe the tenets of legitimate behavior -flects on thecharacter of the entire biradari and can detrimentally affect thi marricge prospects ofother families within the group (Eglar 196078 cf Tandon 196882-87)

The biradari is in addition the group that exerts control over property transmisshysions Elder male hiradari members must approve the sale of land to people outsidethe patriline but any member has first choice of land to be sold (Eglar CN6045-46)Although a great deal of social control is exerted at this level the biradari alsofunctions ts an essential mutual aid group in the rural Punjab Biradari members even contribute to the marriage expenses of their own members helping to dampenthe enormous burden atrespectable wedding can place on it single poor family (Eglar196078)

The next order of relationship includes those within the biradari as well as affinesfrom outside Called rishtadari (Eglar 196081-82) this group is more amorphouslyconstittted tha the biradari although its members are considered to be cooperativeshyly linked In this papcr we use the term to refer only to rainbiradari relatives Thesignificance for marriage th n is that transactions involve the alienation of propertyfrom the biradari At the same time marriage with rishtadari implies the duplicationof interpatriline relationships across generations in much the same manner asDumonts (198371-73) alliance narriage would predict

Outside of groups of relatives marriages can be contracted with families connectshyed by friendship In the Punjab these relationships imply more than simpleacquaintance Friendship is organized in the northlrn part of the subcontinent toparallel actual kinship relationships and serious friends are likely to be united invartan bhanji networks of reciprocal gift exchange in rural Pakistan (Eglar 1960106Vartan exchange is carried on with both relatives and nonrelatives but it is withones nonaflines that the exchanges equal out over time Otherwise the direction ofwealth flows s to the household of ones son-in-law

Figures I and 2 diagram these relationships in standard anthropological fashionFigure I portrays the distinction between biradari and rishtadari from the point ofview of a male ego (represented by the klackened triangle at the bottom center of thediagram) Biraddari relations arc those individuals to the right of the broken line One can see from the diagram that they are all descended from a common male ancestorRishtadari relatives on the other hand are those individuals to the left of the brokenline These are members of ateparate patriline idescendants of a common maleancestor) and are related to our male ego through his mother as aflines

Figure 2 is a more complex portrayail of three types of marriage alliance that maybe contracted in the Pakistani Punjab Once again the broken line divides twopatrilines In row A marital links are diagrammed as occurring within each patrilineThese are biradari marriages Ifthe serarate patrilines in row A are neighbors thereis a strong possibility that they are ritually connected as friends in a vartanrelationship A robust form of this relationship would encourage them to foimalizethe connection through marriage Row B depicts such a vartan marriage in the unionof a daughter from patriline I with a son from patriline 2 This link converts therelationship between the two patrilines into one of rishtadari and row C shows how

493 Social Organization and Marriage Timing Strategies in Pakistan

RISHTADARI

BIRADARI F~ 0i male

o~afemale

a marriage r- sibship

- descent

Figure l-Iegrees of kinship distance in the rural Pimp)

the successful links formalized by marriage are continued in further marriages In row C marriage occurs between a man and a woman from different patrilines but related through a woman We denote this type of marriage its rishtadari It is obvious from the diagram that marriages in rows B and C vartan and rishtadari are identical to the extent that property is alien~ated from a patriline at marriage

PATRILINE I PATRILINE 2

Figre2-Rplcaio ofalacsara-hniI ishadr marriage

494 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 number 4 November 1986

The degree of relationship between households has implications for the marriage process that are in part related to the structure of wealth flows Preferred marriages are within the kin group (Eglar 196094) more specifically within the biradari andmarriages outside this group are considered hypergamous4 (S Ahmad 1974157shy159) Nevertheless a high percentage of marriages are contracted outside this group(cf S Ahmad 1974156) Das f 19713) summarized the order of marriage prefershyences for the muslim villages-of Pakistan and India as follows

I marriage to cousins is preferred to marriage with nonrelatives2 marriage of a set of brothers to a set of sisters is adesirable pattern although

exchange marriages in which daughters are exchanged between households are low status5

3 village exogamy is preferential to village endogamy

She pointed out that these preferences have implications tor the frequency ofmarriages to specific relatives Thus since brothers usually reside in the same villagecross-cousin marriage is more frequent than that with parallel cousins This isfollowed in popularity by marriage with matrilateral parallel cousins Because Muslim marriage permits union of nearly any type outside of the householdhowever l)as suggested that it is not possible to summarize Pakistani marriages in terms of a preferential pattern rather thev are the result of cumulative relations between siblings and spouses within a family

For both men and women marriage arrangements are conducted by members ofthe senior generation Although fornal right to the decision goes to fathers older brothers or [he nearest male agnateC mther have informilal decision-making powers most often realized in the form of veto iDas 197337) Man iage negotiationshowever nearly always involve intermediaries since rejection can involve loss oflice and countercharges of arrogance A formal proposal is seldom made until acceptance is already assurred negotlaitions involve preliminary investigations intothe behavior of household and biradari members as well as the establishment of dowry paylmcnts LEglar 196t078 cf Parr 1979241 and Tandon 1968124-128 for parallel exalirles)

If marriage confers advantagcs in the form of new cooperative relationshipsISocun Akhtar and Sahi 195932 -glar 196193) it also carries with it a certain

armount of risk In the process of negotiaion there is the risk of reJection later the risk of marriage failure and the sttndering of alliance relationships based on marriagearises We would expect then thait [ie group ithin which marriage is arrangedreflects a consideration of henelils and isks b mlale ill both households A further consideration must involve the alienation of propert the biradaritromn marriagesoutside of which would involve continiuing ealth Iflows outside the patriline Parry11979295) suggested For the Rajputs that repetition of imarnitge to the same group of affines across generations is in part a risk-reduction strategy These aflines are aknown quantity and assuming atlimited ability to afford risks the safest marriageprospects In a similar way the doryv system and its attendant series of preslationsafter marriage means that bhiradari endogam rep|asetlts the most reasonable way of protecting patriline property albeit at the expense ofrnot generating new kin links Caplan 11984223) stressed ho tile rcstriction ofnmrriages withint a group can create a circulating pool of resources in another Soth Asian setting

This has implications for the order of marriage preferences in tile Ptunjab It suggests that although the goal of every household is to maximize its advantageousconnections through marriage there will be inherent limitations on them related to

495 Social Organization and Marriage Timing Strategies inPakistan

their control of resources and the degree to which they can muster valuable commodities for exchange It also suggests that the ideology of marriage preferenceswill vary with social class To take the rural case a number of relationships arise We accept first that the majority of households in the rural Punjab are of Ajlaf status primarily descendents of Rajput and related converts to Islam We suggestthat rural marriage patterns tend to parallel those of antecedent groups and that documentation from the few rural studies supports this To summarize for the rural Punjab

0 Wealthier households will tend to marry daughters to nonrelatives more often than poor households since their interests are in expanding kin linkages and they can more readily assume the risks In addition there are lingering ideological jutificat ions tor doing so

Homogamo is nmarriagcs will outwunber hypergamous In those cases of hypershygany the value of marital trawactions and wealth 1oWS to the husbands family will be higher han in homogamous cases

Cases of hypogamy will occur but the value of transactions will he toward the wifes family and bride wealth may replace dowry

Both 1lpogarnlo1uS and hypCrgamnous marriages will beCmore associated with formal engagement than honiogamIIous marriages since they involve more risk and negotiation

The valuc of a daughtr is affected b inenarche and tihe anxiety about chastityT-vo possibilities arise n rcspor e to early rilenarche either a daughter will be rapidly married oil to nrotect her familys honor or she will be married at roughlythe same age as other daughtlers but to relatives who can feel most assured that she hits been protected

0 The sa lst marriaces are those contracted within tile biradari followed by those either within the rishltadari or ith a vartan connection The most risky marriages are t1ose contracted with a family wsith which no prior fornal connection exists these are most cleCMrl cnltCrCd into for the aVantagCs they confer

In a siting khere structural and ideological factors so explicitly stress the sAmbolic and exchangC value of womCnand where at womans age is a partial component of her idtnC we expect marriagc strategies to have implications for daughters ages at marriage A woman has virtuilly no say in the marriage process in the rural setting (asidC from a pro forma alification of arrangenments already made in the ikah cerenrony) and evn in urbtan settings it is clcar Ithat the pressures on parents cause them to discoirlnt thteir daughters wishes We expect then that marriage age will vary wilh the relative sttis ofilrmiliesCcdU tional altitinlent of women dowry payments and the dCgree of rClaltikAship between spotIses families prior to marriage Ourt hypotheses for nmrriagc timing ill tile rurall Punjal follow from atconsideration of daughtcrs as wealth

Rlationship he iuth n inlmiihA A dalughter age At marriagc Will vary with her tnatil hoimes relationship to her spouses natal ionC is t function ol cultural expectations of first choice and the pleNcribcd dirccti0l of1 Calth Ii lows between households Marriage within the biradari implies no alienation of property and this group is most assured of the chastity of the bride There is no reason for tier to marry early except that biradari members have first claim Mnd this claim mlust be removed if marriages outside the patriline are to be made In terms of property alienation there is no dilerence among the other (tgrees of relationship Both rishtadari and vartan

496 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 number 4 November 1986

groups however already possess cooperative links with each other marriagefunctions to reaffirm these Furthermore both groups have access to informa orabout the woman and are more secure than strangers about her chastity Completely new relationships established by marriage however will fully exploit a daughtersexchange value in the rural setting they will be the most likely to rely on formal culturally stated values Knowledge of a daughters chastity will be less secure insuch marriages and the culturally augmented inferiority of wife-givers in relation towife-receivers will mandate a flow of women possessing positive cultural attributes

HI These issues of property transfer and knowledge of a woman and her familylead us to predict that the youngest ages at marriage will be between previouslyunrelated families followed by biradari marriages Marriages between rishtadari and vartan groups will be the latest and at similar ages on average because of the structural similariy of prperty transfer and faith in a familys standing between these groups

Edctalion The desire for educated women is still ambiguous in the rural setting a little (less than the husbands) confers status on a womans natal home but too much can negatively affect marriage prospects Education enhances a womans value and offsets the decline in desirability that must occur with age

1-12 We expect the often-noted positive association between iuuation ind marriage age but we also expect it even when there is very brief attendance and no grade attainment

Dow v Dowry involves a transfer of property from the wifes natal home to thatof her husbands It serves in part to enhance the symbolic value of a daughter and can also offset her devaluation from biological aging

H3 Dowry will be positively associated with a womans age at marriage

Relatirestatus oJfiwmilies Marrying into a higher status family-hypergamy-isrisky and expensive across all measures f value Dowry payments will be higher for reasons that go beyond their offsetting of a daughters age Hypogamy-marriageinto a family of lower status-on the other hand reverscs the advantage and riskHypogamous marriag s do occur in spite of strong ideological sanctioni againstthem In such cases the husbands flamily is at a strong disadvantage in negotiationssince they are the initiators of the alliance and have much to g in We have two predictions about age at marriage and tle relative status of fanilies then

H4 We expect hypergamous marriages to be associated with the youngest average ages at marriage Hypoganous marriages will be associated with tile latest average ages at marriage

Age (it menaice We have noted that tile risk associated with accepting adaughtcr-in-la increases with duration since menarche in these transactions (cfPaige ind Paige 198 185) This event should be an important initiator of the marriage process

H5 We expect age at menarche to be positively related to marriage age For daughters

497 Social Organization and Marriage Timing Strategies in Pakistan

Wealth flows Transactions move in both directions at marriage and we expectthese to be related to the alliance-producing nature of the institution too Wealth flows toward the wifes natal home indicate this familys advantage in the contract in much the same way that hypogamous marriages give an advantage

1-16We expect flemale ages at marriage to be younger with wealth flows toward the husbands tamily

Entgoiumtzni Finally we expect that engagement before marriage is associated with the need to fornmalize the marriage process itself Among the functions served here are the ratification oftagreemcnts miade between families These should be most necessary with those marria cs contracted between unrelated families since families in some relationship to each other before marriage can afford to he more casLual

1-17 We expect marriage age to have a negative relationship to formal engageshyniCt11

DATA AND MEII()DS

The AsiaXifMarriaic r Itv

This analysis is based on data from the Pakistan round of the A ian MarriageSurvey (AMS) l)ata include a wide rnge of marriage and fertility information with special attention to cull ral variables and individual life history events for married women between the ages of 15 and 45and for asample of their husbands Systematicsamples of households were drawn to represent three socioeconomic settings in the Puljab-a rural sample from a few contiguous villages in Kasur and Sheikhupuradistricts an urban lowCr-class samnplC draIwu from squatter-dominated districts within lahore and an urban middle-class sample drawn from another district of Lahore Each sample is relativclv honogencous with respect to economic backshyground 1ndcurrent Standard of living as well as overall cultural milieu

Important innovations in the ANIS instruments include the breadth of topicscovered Each interview covered itwide range of basic social and economic characteristics in addition to dLtai from each ofthe spouses on parental characterisshytics the process of entry into marriage work and income attitudes toward marriage and divorce andIattitudes and aspirations for children life histories were ohtaincd for timing of events under the headings of eCLucation work marriage childbearingand fanily limitation For Pakistan especially impotant details of dowry paymentsand relationship of spouses were included in addition to information oi attitudes toward purdah and other aspects of Islam in PIakistan [he coMplcted sample for Pakistan contains interviews with 1011women and 588 men

Because this paper is concrncd wit Ii the transactioial strategies of marriage we include only cases for which both wifes and husbands information is available In addition the data contain the event truncation bias that is built into all cross-section samples of ever-married persons (Ryder 1975) Because young ever-married women conic fron cohorts with incomplete marriage experience women in those cohorts who were mici at the younger ages are disproportionately selected The age bywhich 90 percent of recent cohorts will have been married was estimated at 21 and we have excluded women below this age (Smith and Karim 1980) [hus the initial rural sample of 351 respondents becomes 173

Indicators of Marriage Siratgy

Table I pi -sents the distribution of cases for a range of variables Of these indicators fmost direct interest are those that have to do with family influence and

498 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 numbe 4 November 1986

Table I-Selected characteristics of female respondents rural households in Pakistan Asian Marriage Survey

Percent in Percent inVariable category Variable category

Fathers occupaticnb Zamindar Agricultural laborer Unskilled laborer Skilled laborer White collar worker

Womans education Literate

Never attended school Attended 0 attainment 1-8 grades 9-12 grades 13 or more grades

Womans occupational status before marriage

No work Family work Wage w rk

Current household has electricity

Age at menarche lt13 13

gt13

Engagement status Not engaged Engaged

Participation in choice of spouse by woman

No participation Some participation

(172) 517 250 105 58 70

(173) 100

434 451 93 23 00

(173) 58

509 434

559

(173) 393 329 277

(171) 433 567

(173) 1000 00

Frequency cf meeting with spouse before marriage (169)

Never or once 544 Infrequently or often 456

Relationship between families before marriage (170)

No relationship 294 Vartan 176 Rishtadari 341 Biradari 188

Type of dowry (173) Nonehousehold goods 353 Cashluxuries 647

Value of payments to husbands family (172)

0-499 rupees 163 500-9T9 rupees 151 1000-1999 rupees 221 2000-3999 rupees 209 4000-5999 rupees 99 6000-10000 rupees 105 10000 or more rupees 52

Wealth flows at marriage (172) To wifes fanily 174 Balanced 291 To husbands family 535

Marriage type by relative land status of families (173) Hypogamous union 116 Landless homogamy 220 Landed homogamy 509 Iypergamous union 156

Note Figures in parentheses are number of case-- available for given variable

a The original sample includes 351 women Interviews with husband were available for 198 of these women among the 198 25 were under age 21 and have therefore been excluded

b At time of womans birth

strategic behavior in marriage Additional variables that we include are education and fathers occupation itsindicators of class backgiound and achievement We will not comment extensively on these except to note first the striking agrariancharacter of the rural stratum Second we wish 1o point out an unusual feature of education for women A substantial number of women enter school but never complete a single grade (full year) of instruction Further earlier analysis (Cherlin etal 1985b) revealed that these women marry significantly later than those who have

499 Social Organization and Marriage Timing Strategies in Pakistan

never attended school alall The extent to which this is a phenomenon restricted to women is revealed by comparison of distributions for husbands and wives In nostratum is there a comparable percentage of men who have atiended school wiihotrtattainir-g a grade Our inclination is to interpret this in terms of the exchange value of women which we will discuss in a later section

Iinally we note the distribution of type of work before manage for womenWomen reporting 1io work at all appear to be from wealthier households with theability to afford ortholoXy We expect those women most restricted by purdah to bein this group Family work is defined as work within the household enterprisewhether farm trade or stnall-commodity production and wage work impliespayment from an enterprise other than the fatnilys It is important to realize thatthese wages are invariably turned over to the household head The distributions for frequenCV of meetings between spouses before marriage andchoice of spouse are given in table I only to show tileextent to which women lackcontrol in their marital decisions No wonman in the rural amtple reported any degreeof choice in her sousC other than the ratification of parental choice in tilenikah ceremony The extent of meetings between spouses beiore marriage on the otherhand most likely reflects meetings between couples before puberty and the need forpurdah A strong correlation between kinship and more frequent meetings suggests

this

Var6h1es

Taking each variable separately we discuss their construction and the rationalefor inclusion here

AK (itneM11rht This variable is coded from a straightforward question askingage at first menses It is possible that the importance of menarche in this settingencouiraged misitatement of actual ages (Paige and Paige 198179-82) Neverthelesswe retain the variable in the analysis because of its centrality in outr discussionRelationrship hetween aimilies heone marriag ()ur earlier discussion of thedegrees of relatedness within which marriaie may occur in Pakistan leads us todistinguish four categories For the rural stratin Three questions on the schedule

(124A-l124) are the isis for the coding Was your spouse related to you beforemarriage Were you r and his families friends or neighbors before marriage [lowwere you related We define as marrying within ile biradarioi tnlythose respondentswho explicitly identified their relationship with their spouse itsbeing throughpatrilineal kin Other degrees of relationship are defined as rishtdari usingassumpons based on the di sinclination to reverse wealth flows from generation togeneration and other Punjabi cultural values tcf Parrv 1979 Eglar 1960 Das 1973)

ltigVdit(fltI We incindC a vatriable for engagemeit before marriaue as anindicator of marriage fOrmality Th is is taken directly from a quest ion concerningwhether tlhc respondent was formally engaged

ivpe ofdorvrv This indicator measure the extent to which dowvrv was intendedto provide for the new household rather than attract a husband Traditional dowriestended to be conlined to household goods f0r the sc of the nc couple Recent years have seen the inflation of dowry to include money and cash goods throughoutSouth Asia othe abscnce of these is soirmething of ati indictlor of sociocconionlicstatus in modern marriages We include it here with the expectation that tile type ofdowry will also be related to tile arebargaining process (ash and luxury dowriesexpected to bea feature of hypergamous marriages

I ahle oflaynent to htushandr flmintv [his indlicator is codCd froni I directquestion to male respondents Though we might dotbt the accuracy of such

500 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 number 4 November 1986

responses in some contexts these payments are reported by ethnographers to be a source of some pride in Muslim marriages indeed a part of the wedding ceremony involves the declaration of gifts to the husbands family and the nature and value of items are recorded in a book as they are called out Thus we expect these responses to be very close to their true values and important indicators of marital transactions between families

tIaniogany We have constructed in indicator designed to roughly measure the relative homegamy of marriages by using land as an indicator of status We expectthis to be a good measure for rural households in which the agrarian economy makes land a critical productive resource Nevertheless we must stress that it is an imperfect measure of homogamy in spite of lands importance since we have no measure of relative amounts owned Hypergamous marriages are defined as those in which a landless womans family has made a marital link with a landed family whereas hypogamous marriages represent the opposite case In our initial analysis tand in table I) we broke marriages dok n into subgroups of landed and landless but these are combined in the analysis presented here since there was no difference between them

Wealth flows tt marriage This indicator is directly constructed from questionsabout the value of marital transactions in both directions In the analysis below we combine thoe categories in which wealth flows were either toward the wonins nata home or balanced since the Punjabi culural ideal is that flows should be tcward the husbands home IBut note evidence from elsewhere in South Asia of change in the direction of wealth flows (IIdcnbaum 1981 Caldwell Reddy and Caldwell 1982 1983 Crplan 1984))

Method o AnalYsis

We employ least squares regression to estimate the coelficients associated with variables taken as predictors of wives ages lt marriage The set of variables just discussed-the marriage-process variables-are distinguisoed from a set of backshyground or control variables All variables are ncasured as catcgories and are entered into the equations as dummy variables although a multiple classification analysisforinat has been used to present the result in tables 2 and 37 We present one unadjusted and two adjusied mean ages at marriage for each category in these tables The unadjusted column represents the effect of each indicator when its et of dummy varitbles is entered into the cquation by itself The first column of adjusted means reflects the effects when age at marriage is rcgrescd on the set of variables specified in the given table by themselves Adjusted means in the second colunn indicate the effec of each set of dunmmy variables entered along with all control and other

R2marriage-process variables The for each set of measures is the variance explained by that group of dummy variables above For the adjusted neans the incremental R-2s presented represent the additional variance explained by each set of dummy variables after all others have been entered into the equation for that column We ha- indicatcd significance levels up to the 010 level because the small sample tends to reduce significance levels even when the coefficients are quite large in absolute terms In fact nearly all variables shown to be significant at the 0 10 level are very close to the 0)0(6 level of significance

RESITl I S

Table 2 presents the results of our regression for those background variables not directly tested here In general we find that those that are significant by themselves retain their significance even after other variables are entered We can see from this

501 Soial Organization and Marriage Timing Strategies in Pakistan

Table 2-Mean age at marriage hy background variables unadjusted and adjusted

Mean age atmarriage Number 0Variable Unadjusteda Adjusted Adjustdc of cases

Cohortd lt30 173 171 171 84 30-34 176 177 173 20 35-39 166 167 165 31 40-45

(Increment in R2 ) 173 (010)

176 (010)

179 (020)

30

Class backgrounde Farmer 172 172 172 88 Agricultural laboLer 164 167 167 3e Blue collarprofessional 180 177 177 39 (Increment in R2) (034) (012) (012)

Womans education No schooling 161 163 164 72 Attended 0 attairment 177 173 175 74 1-12 years completed (Increment in R2)

193 (124)

191 (090-)

185 (045 )

19

Womans occupational status before marriage

Family work or no work 177 176 176 92 Wage work 165 167 165 73

(Increment in R2) (041) (021) (038)

r(ran1 mean 172 Total cases 165

R2 for all background variables 171

R2 controlling for marriage process variables 124

a Zero-order mean b Controlling for other background variables c Controlling for other background variables and all family process

variables d Age at survey date e Fathers occupation at time of womans birth

significant at the 01 level significant at the 05 level significant at the 10 level

tabulation that there are no cohort trends in marriage age in our sample of women and that class background appears to make little difference in marriage timing once controls are included in the equation The moc-t interesting pattern in educational effects on marriage age is with that group of women who have attended school hut never finished a grade These women marry a full year later t ian those who have never attended even after controls are entered We also note iatwomen who work for wages before marriage marry a year younger on ihe averae than those who work for their families The latter two results are not predicted by the standard theories of marriage Nevertheless the overall results presented in table 2 support the imporshy

502 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 number 4 N3vember 1986 tance of education and occupation as components of the complete explanation ofmarriage timing The background vaiables by themselves account for 17 percent ofthe variation in marriage age and continue to account for over 12 percent of thatvariation even after adjustment for marriage-process variables

Turning to table 3 we can more precisely see the contribution of our marriageshyprocess variables to the egt plaration Looking at the zero-order relationships firstwe see that three of these-the relationship between families before marriage valueof dowry and marital homogamy-make large and statistically significant contribushytions to marital timing At this level we find good support for our hypothesesconcerning the effects of each of these variables on marriage age Thus the earlymarriers categorized by relationships are those whose marriages are contractedwith strangers followed by those married within the patriline The latest marriers arethose who marry nonpatrilincally related kin or into vart ri groups We also find thatvalue of payments to hubarids family is positively associated with marriage ageOur hypothesis concerning marital homogamy and marriage agc receives moremixed support Wonen in hypogamous union are the latest marricrs as predictedbut not as expected hypergamously married women not the eariiest marriagesare

Other hypotheses receive no support at this level Age at menarche appears tohave a weak positive relationship wivh age at marriage but the result is notsignificant and the Rshyincrement is quite small Nor does engagement status dowrytype or direction of wealth flows make any significant difference to marriage ageWhen we enter controls for other marriage-process variables (cf first adjustedmean) wealth qows ichieve significance in reiation to marriage age and in thepredicted direction but no other variable shifts toward significance in this way

The absence of a positive relationship between age at nenarche and marriagetiming is notable since a significant relationshIip has been reported ini a wide varietyof social settings (Udry and Cliquet 1982) One possible explanation is attenuationdue to misstatement of actual ages at first menses We have already cited Paige andPaige 11981) in this connection and the age pattern of menses ages in our data suggests some convergence of responses on normative ages Yet other relationishipsin our data arc consistent with accurately reported ages at menarche For examplecross-tabulalions of age at first menses and whether a woman was formally engagedbefore narriage show that lower ages at menarche are associated with the absence ofengagement This is n expected relationship our hypotheses predict a speeding up(f the marriage process lic menarche is relatively early one way to achieve this isthrough the deletion of certain elements in the process Further indication ofaccurately reportedi ages at menarhe appears when we consider the relationshipbetween age at first menses and age at marriage separately for landed and landlesshouseholds Within the landless group there is no relationship Among landedhouseholds on the other hand there is a consistent rise in the age at marriage with age at menarche-from 169 for those who experience mcenarche before age 13 to182 for those who experience menarche after age 13 This is as predicied sincelanded households are the most likely to contract marriages with unrelated familiesin which the element of risk and concern about chastity weigh the heaviest

In general the marriage-process variables retain iheir effects when controls areentered although there is a slight weakening in the levels of significance Given arelatively small sample size our results provide heartening support for a theory ofmarriage that includes social-structural and transactional elements The full regresshysion results (not shown here) show thai all of these variables together account for over 27 percent of the variance in marriage timing in the rural sample Our analysisshows that both the standard background or control variables a-d the more

503 Social Organization and Marriage Timing Strategies in Pakistan

Table 3-Mean age at marriage by marriage process variables unadjusted and adjusted

Mean age at marriage NumberdegVariable Unadjusteda Adjusted Adjusted of cases

Relationship between families before marriageNo relationship 163 162 165 49Biradari 169 171 169 32 HishtadariVartan

2178 178 177 84

(Increment in R ) (046) (049) (026)

Age at menarche lt13 169 171 170 65 13 173 172 174 57

gt13 174 172 172 43 (Increment in R2 ) (004) (000) (003)

Engagement status Not engaged 172 174 172 70Engaged

2172 171 171 95

(Increment in R ) (000) (002) (000)

Type of dowryNoneHousehold goods 170 173 173 56 CashLuxuries 173 171

2 171 109 (Increment in R ) (001) (001) (002)

Value of payments to husbands family

0-499 rupees 161 155 159 26 500-999 rupees 167 165 166 25 1000 or more rupees 175 177 176 1142(Increment in R ) (036) (052) (026)

Marriage typeHypergamoua union 173 171 174 27 Isogamous uniond 169 169 168 121Hypogamous union 189 194 192 172(Increment in R ) (042) (060) (046)

Wealth flows at marriage BalancedTowards wifes

family 171 178 178 76 Toward husbands family 173 167 -67 892(IncremenL in R ) (001) (021) (022)

Grand mean 172 Total cases 165

R2 for all marriage process variables 147

R2 controlling for background variables 101

a Zero-order mean b Controlling for other marriage process variables c Controlling for other marriage process variables and all background

variables d Between two landed or between two landless families

oignificant at 01 significant at the 05 level

s the level

significant at the 10 level

504 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 number 4 November 1986

structural and cultural variables account for their own parts of this variance Thus background variables explain a unique 12 percent of the variance and the marriageshyprocess variables explain an additional 10 percent The remaining 52 percent is explained jointly by the two sets of variables

Our analysis supports most of our hypotheses and on balance reinforces the perspective from which they are derived Regarding I-1-that marriage between unrelated groups will result in the youngest and marriage between rishtadari and vartan groups the latest ages at marriage-we have complete support More than a year separates the oldest and youngest groups even after all controls are entered

Our second hypothesis-that education will be positively associated with marshyriage-is also supported We have included this variable with the other backgroundfactors because superficially this relationship is hardly surprising Nevertheless the significant increase of a year in marriage age that occurs even when a grade of school isnot completed suggests an unconventional interpretation of the importanceof education in this setting Thus education must have its effects because of the symbolic value it has fbr the wife-receivers in the arriage transaction rather than because of it impact on the wonman herself

H3 concerning the positive relationship between dowry vaIC and age at marriage is supported here with more than a year and ihalf separating earliest and latest marrying groups This is true even with controls for class background and the inflation of dowry values that we might expect to be associated with class background

Our fourth hypothesis concerning the relationship between lionioganiv and marriage age receives only mixed support Hypogamously marrying women are the latest marriers by nearly two years That hypergrrmous marricrs are not the yonngest may be because using lnded status results in an imperfect measure

Finally H6-that marriage age will be negatively associated with wealth flows to the husbands family-is supported only after controls for other marriage-processvariables are included The meaning of this pattern is uncleCar and may be a function of an association between dowry value and wealth flow not yet investigated

Our hypothesis concerning engagement and menarche has not Found support in this analysis We have already mentioned possible problems with the menarchevariable Our phrasing of the engagement hypothesis issuch that a zero-order effect should have been evident and disappearet when the control for relationship between families is entered That no zero-order effect was evident suggests that our association of engagement with socially riskier marriages is wrong Rather engageshyment may be considered a component of all marriages its association with later menarche alluded to earlier suggests that elements of the marriage process may be altered in response to unpredictable events

DISCUSSION

Our perspective couched in ethnographic knowledge of Punjabi social organizashytion and the culturally determined roles of women receives strong support from this analysis This is not to argue that the more standard development indicators are unimportant in explanations of marriage timing Rather we have demonstrated that a more complete understanding will be gained by considering the ranges of behavior permitted and forbidden in particular cultural settings

The results further encourage such comparative analyses by cautioning againsttaking pretransition settings to be without individual-level variation in behavior To say that a society is organized patrilineally or that inheritance is partible is not enough Even in Pakistani Punjab where the constraints of ideology on behavior

505 Social Organization and Marriage Timing Strategies in Pakistan

may be thought of as especially powerful we have shown that there is room for flexible responses that have their impact on marriage timing

We have used the rural Punjab case to present a model in which the alliance function of marriage is very important We suggest that the underlying componentsof such a society include its agrarian orientation and its unilineal kinship organizashytion It is possible that the model we have begun to develop here will find useful application in other partrilineal rural settings in the rest of South Asia and elseshywhere

Finally a note on social change We consciously directed our attention to a pretransition setting to highlight the need to consider the cultural and social milieu from which populations move as they undergo transition Interpretations of the transition in marriage behavior and its consequences for fertility begin to go astraywhen they focus unduly on individuals while ignoring issues of social structure and social control Education is not always related to the autonomy of women Caldwells finding that women in South India may be educated by their parents toenhance their marriageability (Caldwell Reddy and Caldwell 1982) finds parallels in our Punjabi analysis Similarly there is strong support here for a perspective that looks at marriage within the whole context of productive relationships

This has implications for the way we conceive of the interaction between valuesand institutions in social change Education of women for example although an innovative institutional feature within the rural setting seems to have unexpectedeffects on marriage timing that can be adequately explained only with reference to an extant value system or cultural milieu The extent to which this system retains its hold on the rural Punjab is evident from the strength of the marriage-processvariables in our analysis All of the hypotheses concerning their effects assume traditional values for the area Similarly the association of wage work with younger ages at marriage makes sense when we consider the risks to a daughtersmarriageability that come from exposure to extra-domestic influences Rather than suggesting some sort of cultural stasis however we argue that change will occur Our point is that the effects of these institutional components of transition will not be uniform across cultural settings Innovations will have their initial effects on behavior in ways that are corsistent with existing cultural values and these effects may be surprising

There is a clear call here for the inclusion of indicators for these effects in social surveys We have been able to explore these issues only because the AMS was designed to evoke culture-specific features of the marriage process Such data are rare however and in any case the social survey alone should not be expected to provide detailed models that allow us to make cultural sense of these processes (cfCaldwell Reddy and Caldwell 1984) We have also been fortunate in being able to use ethnographic sources in developing our interpretation although our sources for ethnographic and survey data are often separated by approximately two decades and none of the ethnographies describes the same villages in which the survey was conducted As a closing comment that cannot be fully elaborated here we suggestthe need to develop methodologies that combine survey and ethnographic data collection in formal and complementary ways

NOTES Sahlins calls this type of economy the domestic mode of production (1972) Among its characterisshy

tics are that it is an economy of production for use---ne penetrated with such noneconomic claims as ritual ceremonial and social diversion and one organized around donestic groups usually the family

2 Important examinations of the alliance theme appear in Dumont (1993) Parry (1979) and Yalman (1971) and its central importance in Muslim areas is documented in Eglar (1960) and Naveed-i-Rahat

506 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 number 4 November 1986 (1981) The nature of status and hierarchy as a cross-cutting feature of social organization and marriagemay be examined in Fruzzetti and Oster (1982) I Ahmad (1978) Korson (1971) and S Ahmad (1977)See Ortner (1981) for another treatment of wonlens stalus in hierarchic il settings Finally iherelationship between wealth flows marriage and hierarchy is treated in Tantbiah ( 1973ab) Caplan(194) and Gough (1956) in addition it) the above sources

Important differences in the definition of biradari sugges that -glar may have overslated the degree towhich patriline and biradari identify the same group For the Raiputs in Kangra biradari refers to group of clans within which marriages may be contracted in equalitI lParr the

19794) and AhIttad ( 19741571suggested that the biradari is a wider group than the ittediate patriline in Pakistan as well In any casethe breadth of the group to tich hiradari can appl seetis to be soitewhat dependent on context I Eglar196076) and we will restrict its meaning in this paper to palriline Also see lrtlzetti 1192115-116) for a parallel Bengali level of social i)rganization I Hypergamy refers to marriages it hich wives marr into higher statu families (otmpare wihhomogamy for marriages bet een faiimilies of equal statiu and lvpogaltv ill thich kotneninar intolower status families

Korson (1979150-151) in contrast reports a pattern for urban Pakistat il Mich these saneexchange marriages are desirable unions SirnilLrlv tlershinim (1981193) ieports that the Sikhs andHindus in the part of Indian lunjab where lie orkeitegarded such niarriage as quintesential] MusliitThe apparent explanation is the etent to lich nton-Ashraf groups those descended trout Hinduconverts relain the ideology of their aincesors ]vidence here suggests that in rural areas the extent is great

These data constitute a rich bodv ofrve rtatet il gatlicied in ile lutntab in 1979 by Sabiha If SvedIWomens Division Cabinet Secretariat (itivernment of Pakistan) (tordination of ilte project usasprovided by Peter C Smith (Iast-Wesl Populatiot Instittlel Similar tres erc conducted atl iboutthe same time in Indonesia thte Philippines and lhailand lhe tespective investigalors were Peter FMcDonald (Ausi-alian National ltiversitv Mercedes II CoitcepcionI tniversit ofthe Philippines) andAphichat Chamratrilhirong (Mahidol I niyersjtvi

See Suit 119571 and Andre s Morgan and Sonuist 119167 t- lie iustiication and method ofconversion from regression to intuliple clissilicatil uanalvsis otellicietlts The standard deviation is 1014ears cottnpaied tth 153 to as gtat as 2ol it the other three AMS

Countries For example the patlentci iiitrgeiterait l shilts i fitnik relatlonhips in llivrln slitius s tantalizing

contextual sintilarities to South Asiln societies Icf lIhor t1i11( hlng nd Still 1984)

A(K NI()VI)(F NTS The Asian Marriage Survey for Pakistat was carried out under US Agency forInternational Developmenl Grant DI)PSE-6-()048 The present research was conductshyed with supporl from the National Science Foundation (SES-8319904) Earlierversions of this paper were presented at tile East-West Population Institute

Wednesday Seminar and to a seminar at the Institute of Pakistan Studies Quaid-i-Azam University Islamahad We wish to thank the facitlt and students of Quaid-i-Azam University for their helpful Colllntls during the setninar In particularProfessor Dar Director of the Institule of Pakistan SIudics oflered especially usefulcriticisms We also acknowledge the comments of Furqan Ahmlad John BauerAndrew Cherlin Deborah Freedman Doris Nayyar and Arland Thornton onvarious earlier drafts while absolving all of them of any errors in our interpretationand analysis

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RECENT AVAILABLE REPRINTS OF THE EAST-WEST POPULATION INSTITUTE No 172 Conclusion by Lee-Jay Cho reprinted from The IndustrialFutureof the fIzcific Basin RogerBenjamin and Robert T Kudrle eds Westview Press Colorado 1984 173 Asian Labor Migration to the Middle East by Fred Arnold and Nasra M Shah reprinted

front InternationalMigration Review Sum mer 1984 174 Repeatability of infant deaths in Korea by Chai Bin Park and Alfred C Hexter reprinted

from nhternationaljournal of Epideniolhgy September 1984 175 Comparative analysis of fertility orientations World Fertility Survey findings by Lee-Jay Cho ind Louise Kantrow reprinted from Predicting Fertility DenographicStudies ofBirth Expectations Gerry E I lendershot and Paul J Placek eds Lexington Books DC

I leath and Company Massachusetts 1981 176 Census-derived estimates of fertility by duration since first marriage in the Republicof Korea by Robert 1) Retherlord ee-JaY Cho ard Narn-Il Kim reprinted from Deinogshy

raphy November 481 The value of daughters and sons A comparative study of the gender preferences of parshyents bv Fred Arnold and Eddie CY Kujo reprint_d from fournal of Comparative Fanih Studes Summer 1984

178 Analysing open birth interval distributions by Griffith FeeneY and John A Ross reprintedfrom Population Studies Novembet 1981

17 Population dynamics arid policy in the eoples Republic of China by Lee-jay Choreprinted from The Annals if TheAneirican Acadenii ufoPliticaland Sociai Science Chinain Transitim vol 476 Marvin F Wolfgang ed Sage lublications Beverly Hills Califorshynia 1984

180 Personal networks and the adoption of family planning in rural Korea by Joung ImKim arid Janmes A lihlmore reprinted from Journalov Population and I halth Studies Dshycember 1984

181 Determinants of birth-interval length in the Philippines Malaysia and Indonesia Ahazard-model analysis by James Trussell Linda G Martin Robert Feldman James APalmore Mercedes Concepcion and Datin Noor Laily lBt Dato Abu Bakar reprinted Denograply May 1985

182 Shadow households and competing auspices Migration behavior in the Philippinesby Fe Caces Fred Arnold Jame T Fawcett and Robert W Gardner reprinted fior lourshynal of Development Econonics lanuarv-February 1985 183 Perceptions of the value of children Satisfaction and costs by James 1 Rawcett reprinted

from Detrniinantsof lertiliti in Devehpin Counitries vol 1 Rodolfo A Bulatao and RonaldD Lee eds Acaderic Press Inc 1983 184 Diffusion processes affecting fertility regulation bv Robert I) Retherford and JamesA Palmore reprinted from Determiintsof lirtlityqin Dcvelopiing Countries vol 2 RodolfoA Bulatao and Ronald D Lee eds Academic Press Inc 1983 185 The impact of age at marriage and proportions marrying on fertility by Peter C Smithreprinted from Determinantsof lirtiilit in Develolmkg Countries vol 2 Rodolfo A gulatao

and Ronald D Lee eds Academic Press Inc 1983 186 Migration of women to cities The Asian situation in comparative perspective by Siew-Ean Khoo Peter C Smith and James T Fawcett reprinted from lnternationalMigration

Rtview Special Issue Noten in AlM ratin Winter 1984

187 Measuring the effect of sex preference on fertility The case of Korea by Fred Arnold ieprinted from Dernography May 1985

18 Exploring the normative basis for age at marriage in Thailand An example from focus group research by Anthony Pramualratana Napaporn Havanon and John Knodel reprinted from Journalof Marriageand the Family February 1985

189 The non-economic consequences of Asian labor migration to the Middle East by Nasra M Shah and Fred Arnold reprinted from International Union for the Scientific Study of Population lnternaitonalPopulation Conference Florence 1985 vol 3 1985

190 Parity progression projection by Griffith Feeney reprinted from International Union for the Scientific Study of Population InternationalPopiulation Conference Florence 1985 vol 4 1985

191 A theory of marita fertility transition by Robert D Retherford reprinted from Popula tion Studies July 1985

192 Cultural variations in the transition to marriage in four Asian societies by Paul Cheung Josefina Cabigon Aphichat Chamratrithirong Peter F McDonald Sabila Syed Andrew Cherlin and Peter C Smith reprinted from International Union for the Scientific Study of Population InternationalPopulation Conference Florence 1985 vol 3 1985

193 Decision making and sex selection with biased technologies by Neil GBennett and Andrew Mason reprinted from Sex Selection of Children Neil G Bennett ed Academic Press Inc 1983

194 US farm migration An application of the Harris-Todaro model by Daniel B Suits reprinted from Economic Development and Cultural Chang vol 33 no 4 1985

195 Health of Hlmong in Thailand Risk factors morbidity and mortality in comparison with other ethnic groups by Peter Kunstadter reprinted from Culture Medicine and Psyshychiairy vol 9 no 4 1985

196 Evaluation of contraceptive history data in the Republic of Korea by Anne R Pebley Noreen Goldman and Minja Kim Choe reprinted from Stldies ii Family PlanningJanushyaryFebruary 1986

197 Circulation between home and other places Some propositions by Murray Chapman and R Mansell Prothem and Me go walkabout you too by Murray Chapman reprinted from Circulationin Population Mozement Substance and Concepts fion tie Melnesian Case Murray Chapman and R Maniell Prothero eds Routledge amp Kegan Paul 1985

198 Fijians and Indo-Fijians in Suva Rural-urban movements and linkages by Shashikant Nair reprinted from Circulationin PopulationMovement Substance and Concepts fron the Melanesian Case Murray Chapman and R Mansell Prothero eds Routledge amp Kegan Paul 1985

199 Linkages between internal and international migration The Ilocos Norte experience by Fred Arnold and Ricardo G Abad reprinted from PhilippinePopulationJournalJune 1985

200 An economic analysis of recent fertility in Japan by Naohiro Ogawa and Andrew Mason reprinted from linko Gaku Kenkyu vol 9 May 1986

201 Averting crisis in Asia by Lee-jay Cho reprinted from Bulletin of the Atonic Scientists vol 42 no 4 1986

202 Sex preference fertility and family planning in China by Fred Arnold and Liu Zhao xiang reprinted from lPpulation am Development Review vol 12 no 2 1986

203 The place of child-spacing as a factor in infant mortality A recursive model by Chai Bin Park reprinted from American Journalof Public Health vol 76 no 8 1986

204 Determinants of Korean birth intervals The confrontation of theory and data by Larry L Bumpass Ronald R Rindfuss and James A Palmore reprinted from Po)pulationStudies vol 40 no 3 1986

Page 2: INSTITUTE timing strategies in Pakistan

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East-West Population InstituteEast-West Center This article is reprinted with permission from1777 East-West Road DemographyHonolulu Hawaii 96848 vol 23 no 4 November 1986

DEMOGRAPHYD Volume 113Number 4 November 19B6

RURAL PUNJABI SOCIAL ORGANIZATION AND MARRIAGE TIMING STRATEGIES IN PAKISTAN

Thomas EFricke Institute for Social Research and Department of Anthropology University of Michiti in Ann Arbor Michigan 48104

Sabiha H Syed Womens Divison Cabinet Secretariat Government c Pakistan

Peter C Smith East-West Population Institute East-West Center 1777 East-West Road Honolulu Hawaii 96848

The most important social function of marriage is to form aconnection between two families or to renew and strengthen an already existing connection (1Eglar 196093)

Few institutions are as pivotal as marriage in their implications for abroad range of social processes Its links to the character of family life and societal fertility levels are firmly established (Fox 1967 Smith 1983) and more recent versions of demographic transition theory show marriage at-d its timing to be related to more pervasive social change (Caldwell Reddy and Caldwell 1982 1983 Caldwell 1982 Ryder 1983) Moreover ethnographic studies shov that marriage is also a critical event in the individual and household developmental cycles with implications (or the economic stability of families the establishment of cooperative ties between households and extended kin networks and the ed ation and econornic participashytion of women (cf Fortes 1958 Foster 1978 Parry 1979)

Given the multiple roles that marriage fullills it comes as no surprise that marriage patterns are changing in conjunction with other transformations throughout Asia (Smith 1980) In soite of regional variation in rates and degree the overwhelming pattern is toward a later marriage age Macro-level analyss have indicated that education changing occupational structures and urbaaization increase female marriage ages Yet the vital institutional components of tmi-schange in marriage behavior have been largely ignored in quantitative research (Smith 198091 )as has the need to consider the relationship between women and men (cf Papanek 1984) Part of the reason has been the absence of cultural variables in the typical aggregate data sets In addition there has been a tendency to oversimplify by assuming close adhe nce to cultural ideals Thus a whole society might be characterized as practicing patrilateral cross-cousin marriage but little attention is given to the range of behavior around this preferential pattern As the research reported herein demonstrates it is possible for nonprefereritial patterns to be modal in a population

Our purposes in this paper are twofold First we show how integrated use of ethnographic materials can enrich cxplanatory schemes based on survey data Se ond we present a transactional model of marriage behavior with particular application to South Asia We view marriage timing and spouse choice as strategic outcomes of family and household decision processes on the part of both spouses families We agree that explanations of changing age at marriage strcssing educationshyal and occurational determinants capture a large part of the causation involved but we stress here that a lack of attention to more specifically cultural and stiuctural constraints on behavior needlessly impoverishes our understanding of marriage behavior

489

490 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 number 4 November 1986 We will examine survey data for rural to aPakistan illustrate family-centeredmodel of marriage behavior We stress the pretransition agrarian nature of thesetting Social and economic change has been minimal in recent years and we do notdirectly examine these processes Our exposition follows our analytic procedureWe first present a general model of tuarriage timing and then explore the ethnographshyic literature for the Punjab to isolate the important cultural factors underlyingmarriage behavior next we turn to the data for statistical confirmation of ourhypotheses and finally WC discuss implications of our results for the study ofmarriage in the South Asian setting as well as for styles of data collection and

anlysis

THE FAMILY CONTEXT OF MARRIAGE The literature is replete with empirical studies that establish the positive associashytion among marriage age educational attainment urban -esidence and-withsomewhat less consistenc-voik for wages prior to marrying Rarer are studiesthat give attention to the social and cultural contexts within which these variablesoperate Wherever they are round thse associationis end to be explained in similarterms feniale education is related to greater autonomy and a broader opportunityfield for daughters with a corresponding reductiot of both parental control over themarriage process and the single-minded channeling of daughters into domestic rolesSimilarly female wage earning prior o marriage is related to greater domesticautonomy or conversely to enhanced productive value for the natal household andboth of these are associated with later marriage ageEven when these associations obtain their bald statement in these terms ignoresthe multiple roles of marriage in diferen social settings and at times leads toanomalous interpretations

and For example part of the association bet cen educationlater marriage is explained with reference to greater female autonomy in themarriage process (Cochranc 1979 Carleton 1975) Yet research in South Indiasuggests that education does riot alter the parents rol in their daughters marriageThroughout South Asia education may serve in part to raise the value of daughtersin transactions between ioijseholds (Caldwell Rcdd and Caldwell 1982 Caplan1984221 Parry 1979273) and thus hold constant parents incentives to controlmarriage choices Moreover it is dtifficult to credit schoolings role as a vehicle forwestern ideas about niarriqe as the motivation in all cases In our rural aid urbanlower-class samples for example we find that women who attndced but failed tocomplete a single year of school marry later than those who never attended Evenamong the urban middle class where daughters obtain substantial amounts ofeducation 79 percent of the women reported no participation in tlehcchoice of theirspouses ((herlin el al 19 85a) Masons (1984) suggestion that research considercross-cutting hierarchies of class and gcnider provides a key to explanation in these

cases Recent institutional explanations of fertility behavior cf McNicoll 1980 Cain1982 CaIdwell 1982 Dson arid Moore 1931 are equally relcvant to the discussionof marriage tirning especially when marriage and fertility behavior share links withother social processes Thus Lcstbacghes (1980) suggestion for fertility analysisshythat we examine iht appropriation of resources social control risk devolution anddemographic clhecks along with the interplay between individual strategies andinherited world iew-could as easily he applied to marriage processes SimilarlyCaldwells wealth-flows model and its modifications (eg Cain 1981 1982 Thadani1978) suggest an approach to marriage behavior tooInstitutional examinations tend to center on links with modes of production and

491 Social Organization and Marriage Timing Strategies in Pakistan

control over resources Behaviors are taken to be strategically directed toward goalsdetermined by specific social and cultural settings Thus the effects of a particular behavior are disentangled from the actual ends to which the behavior is directed For example though one f the goals of marriage timing may be the regulation of fertility Smith (1983479) points out that this would assume an exceptionally distant planning horizon A more logical and culturally informed approach would be to focus on the more proximate ends (Lesthaeghe 1980530) The intimate connection of marriage timing and other social processes suggests that the fullest explanations must include economic ideological and affective components

Anthropological research into marriage has tended to examine societies organized along the lines of pretransition settings defined in Caldwells model The mode of production is familial and subsistencc oriented in an agrarian setting In this context the extent to which individuals have control over their marital decisions is an empirical issue Keesing (197542-43) suggested that a marriage be viewed as a contract in which rights over work and reproduction are transferred between corporate groups rather than as a straightforward union of tM o individuals It becomes important to ask then how wide these corporate groups are and what rights and obligations are tran-ferred Other questions also arise How does marriage lit into other systems of property exchange Who are the effective decision makers What are the implications for womensstatLUs and roles at different times in their life courses The answers to these questions are not separable fromt issues of social organizashy

tion and mode of production Sahlins for example devotes a great deal of attention to a discussion of exchange ithin the domestic mode of production (1972185-230)A primary component of this exchange is that it is never entirely balanced a continuous series of prestations binds one household or group to another At the same time the exchanges between two groups can either be symmetricl or asymmetrical the latter type is associated with settings in which status is largely nonnegotiahle and ascrihed (Parry 197993) We need to consider whether women irean element of this continuing exchange cycle and the implications for marriage behavior In addition we need to consider the extent o which hierarchy is a component of itgiven social structure and the constraints it imposes on marriage itrategies

Til (ONTI-[I ()I- MARRIA(ik IN ill PAKISTANI PUNJAI

Certain themes p2rade marriage institutions throughout South Asia and the Pakistani case must bc seen in this context Among these themes are underlying patriarchal control of resources (fCain Khanun and Nahar 1979) hierarchy and the important role of wornen as signifiers of alliance betwcr familics- We are here concerned primarily ith the tlliance function of marriage anJ the nature of lansfers between families itmarriage Womlns- value as signifilS of this alliancc is a function in part of the status of their natal homne biological age and characteristics that they acquire througholt their life course All of these values are culturally or idcologically determined

Although ethnographic material for ltunjabi Muslims in Pakistan is relatively scarce and generally concerned iilh rural settines (Slocun Akhtar ard Sahi 1959 lIglar 1960 S Ahmad 1974 1977) that which Cxists uggests that the details ofsocial organization parallel those in NorthwCst Inldia ccl Vreede-de Siuers 1968) Iollowshying Blochs 11973) discussion of the relation between kin distance and cooperative reliability we first discuss the degrees of rclatcdness within which it is permissible to marry in the Muslim Punjab from hiradai to no relation at all before marriage

492 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 number 4 Novomber 1986

Eglar has determined that the most important social group outside the immediate -household is the patriline or biradari (1960) Kin links within the patrilile are

strongest and individuals within it most subject to the constraints of the moraleconomy Fraternal ties between contemporaries are considered more importantthan intergencrational ties (S Ahmad 1974 157) Eglar strc that marriage is aescritical biradari function that all members have an intcrest in the contract sincehonor (izzat) is ascribed to the whole group on the basis of how its individualmembers behave Failure to observe the tenets of legitimate behavior -flects on thecharacter of the entire biradari and can detrimentally affect thi marricge prospects ofother families within the group (Eglar 196078 cf Tandon 196882-87)

The biradari is in addition the group that exerts control over property transmisshysions Elder male hiradari members must approve the sale of land to people outsidethe patriline but any member has first choice of land to be sold (Eglar CN6045-46)Although a great deal of social control is exerted at this level the biradari alsofunctions ts an essential mutual aid group in the rural Punjab Biradari members even contribute to the marriage expenses of their own members helping to dampenthe enormous burden atrespectable wedding can place on it single poor family (Eglar196078)

The next order of relationship includes those within the biradari as well as affinesfrom outside Called rishtadari (Eglar 196081-82) this group is more amorphouslyconstittted tha the biradari although its members are considered to be cooperativeshyly linked In this papcr we use the term to refer only to rainbiradari relatives Thesignificance for marriage th n is that transactions involve the alienation of propertyfrom the biradari At the same time marriage with rishtadari implies the duplicationof interpatriline relationships across generations in much the same manner asDumonts (198371-73) alliance narriage would predict

Outside of groups of relatives marriages can be contracted with families connectshyed by friendship In the Punjab these relationships imply more than simpleacquaintance Friendship is organized in the northlrn part of the subcontinent toparallel actual kinship relationships and serious friends are likely to be united invartan bhanji networks of reciprocal gift exchange in rural Pakistan (Eglar 1960106Vartan exchange is carried on with both relatives and nonrelatives but it is withones nonaflines that the exchanges equal out over time Otherwise the direction ofwealth flows s to the household of ones son-in-law

Figures I and 2 diagram these relationships in standard anthropological fashionFigure I portrays the distinction between biradari and rishtadari from the point ofview of a male ego (represented by the klackened triangle at the bottom center of thediagram) Biraddari relations arc those individuals to the right of the broken line One can see from the diagram that they are all descended from a common male ancestorRishtadari relatives on the other hand are those individuals to the left of the brokenline These are members of ateparate patriline idescendants of a common maleancestor) and are related to our male ego through his mother as aflines

Figure 2 is a more complex portrayail of three types of marriage alliance that maybe contracted in the Pakistani Punjab Once again the broken line divides twopatrilines In row A marital links are diagrammed as occurring within each patrilineThese are biradari marriages Ifthe serarate patrilines in row A are neighbors thereis a strong possibility that they are ritually connected as friends in a vartanrelationship A robust form of this relationship would encourage them to foimalizethe connection through marriage Row B depicts such a vartan marriage in the unionof a daughter from patriline I with a son from patriline 2 This link converts therelationship between the two patrilines into one of rishtadari and row C shows how

493 Social Organization and Marriage Timing Strategies in Pakistan

RISHTADARI

BIRADARI F~ 0i male

o~afemale

a marriage r- sibship

- descent

Figure l-Iegrees of kinship distance in the rural Pimp)

the successful links formalized by marriage are continued in further marriages In row C marriage occurs between a man and a woman from different patrilines but related through a woman We denote this type of marriage its rishtadari It is obvious from the diagram that marriages in rows B and C vartan and rishtadari are identical to the extent that property is alien~ated from a patriline at marriage

PATRILINE I PATRILINE 2

Figre2-Rplcaio ofalacsara-hniI ishadr marriage

494 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 number 4 November 1986

The degree of relationship between households has implications for the marriage process that are in part related to the structure of wealth flows Preferred marriages are within the kin group (Eglar 196094) more specifically within the biradari andmarriages outside this group are considered hypergamous4 (S Ahmad 1974157shy159) Nevertheless a high percentage of marriages are contracted outside this group(cf S Ahmad 1974156) Das f 19713) summarized the order of marriage prefershyences for the muslim villages-of Pakistan and India as follows

I marriage to cousins is preferred to marriage with nonrelatives2 marriage of a set of brothers to a set of sisters is adesirable pattern although

exchange marriages in which daughters are exchanged between households are low status5

3 village exogamy is preferential to village endogamy

She pointed out that these preferences have implications tor the frequency ofmarriages to specific relatives Thus since brothers usually reside in the same villagecross-cousin marriage is more frequent than that with parallel cousins This isfollowed in popularity by marriage with matrilateral parallel cousins Because Muslim marriage permits union of nearly any type outside of the householdhowever l)as suggested that it is not possible to summarize Pakistani marriages in terms of a preferential pattern rather thev are the result of cumulative relations between siblings and spouses within a family

For both men and women marriage arrangements are conducted by members ofthe senior generation Although fornal right to the decision goes to fathers older brothers or [he nearest male agnateC mther have informilal decision-making powers most often realized in the form of veto iDas 197337) Man iage negotiationshowever nearly always involve intermediaries since rejection can involve loss oflice and countercharges of arrogance A formal proposal is seldom made until acceptance is already assurred negotlaitions involve preliminary investigations intothe behavior of household and biradari members as well as the establishment of dowry paylmcnts LEglar 196t078 cf Parr 1979241 and Tandon 1968124-128 for parallel exalirles)

If marriage confers advantagcs in the form of new cooperative relationshipsISocun Akhtar and Sahi 195932 -glar 196193) it also carries with it a certain

armount of risk In the process of negotiaion there is the risk of reJection later the risk of marriage failure and the sttndering of alliance relationships based on marriagearises We would expect then thait [ie group ithin which marriage is arrangedreflects a consideration of henelils and isks b mlale ill both households A further consideration must involve the alienation of propert the biradaritromn marriagesoutside of which would involve continiuing ealth Iflows outside the patriline Parry11979295) suggested For the Rajputs that repetition of imarnitge to the same group of affines across generations is in part a risk-reduction strategy These aflines are aknown quantity and assuming atlimited ability to afford risks the safest marriageprospects In a similar way the doryv system and its attendant series of preslationsafter marriage means that bhiradari endogam rep|asetlts the most reasonable way of protecting patriline property albeit at the expense ofrnot generating new kin links Caplan 11984223) stressed ho tile rcstriction ofnmrriages withint a group can create a circulating pool of resources in another Soth Asian setting

This has implications for the order of marriage preferences in tile Ptunjab It suggests that although the goal of every household is to maximize its advantageousconnections through marriage there will be inherent limitations on them related to

495 Social Organization and Marriage Timing Strategies inPakistan

their control of resources and the degree to which they can muster valuable commodities for exchange It also suggests that the ideology of marriage preferenceswill vary with social class To take the rural case a number of relationships arise We accept first that the majority of households in the rural Punjab are of Ajlaf status primarily descendents of Rajput and related converts to Islam We suggestthat rural marriage patterns tend to parallel those of antecedent groups and that documentation from the few rural studies supports this To summarize for the rural Punjab

0 Wealthier households will tend to marry daughters to nonrelatives more often than poor households since their interests are in expanding kin linkages and they can more readily assume the risks In addition there are lingering ideological jutificat ions tor doing so

Homogamo is nmarriagcs will outwunber hypergamous In those cases of hypershygany the value of marital trawactions and wealth 1oWS to the husbands family will be higher han in homogamous cases

Cases of hypogamy will occur but the value of transactions will he toward the wifes family and bride wealth may replace dowry

Both 1lpogarnlo1uS and hypCrgamnous marriages will beCmore associated with formal engagement than honiogamIIous marriages since they involve more risk and negotiation

The valuc of a daughtr is affected b inenarche and tihe anxiety about chastityT-vo possibilities arise n rcspor e to early rilenarche either a daughter will be rapidly married oil to nrotect her familys honor or she will be married at roughlythe same age as other daughtlers but to relatives who can feel most assured that she hits been protected

0 The sa lst marriaces are those contracted within tile biradari followed by those either within the rishltadari or ith a vartan connection The most risky marriages are t1ose contracted with a family wsith which no prior fornal connection exists these are most cleCMrl cnltCrCd into for the aVantagCs they confer

In a siting khere structural and ideological factors so explicitly stress the sAmbolic and exchangC value of womCnand where at womans age is a partial component of her idtnC we expect marriagc strategies to have implications for daughters ages at marriage A woman has virtuilly no say in the marriage process in the rural setting (asidC from a pro forma alification of arrangenments already made in the ikah cerenrony) and evn in urbtan settings it is clcar Ithat the pressures on parents cause them to discoirlnt thteir daughters wishes We expect then that marriage age will vary wilh the relative sttis ofilrmiliesCcdU tional altitinlent of women dowry payments and the dCgree of rClaltikAship between spotIses families prior to marriage Ourt hypotheses for nmrriagc timing ill tile rurall Punjal follow from atconsideration of daughtcrs as wealth

Rlationship he iuth n inlmiihA A dalughter age At marriagc Will vary with her tnatil hoimes relationship to her spouses natal ionC is t function ol cultural expectations of first choice and the pleNcribcd dirccti0l of1 Calth Ii lows between households Marriage within the biradari implies no alienation of property and this group is most assured of the chastity of the bride There is no reason for tier to marry early except that biradari members have first claim Mnd this claim mlust be removed if marriages outside the patriline are to be made In terms of property alienation there is no dilerence among the other (tgrees of relationship Both rishtadari and vartan

496 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 number 4 November 1986

groups however already possess cooperative links with each other marriagefunctions to reaffirm these Furthermore both groups have access to informa orabout the woman and are more secure than strangers about her chastity Completely new relationships established by marriage however will fully exploit a daughtersexchange value in the rural setting they will be the most likely to rely on formal culturally stated values Knowledge of a daughters chastity will be less secure insuch marriages and the culturally augmented inferiority of wife-givers in relation towife-receivers will mandate a flow of women possessing positive cultural attributes

HI These issues of property transfer and knowledge of a woman and her familylead us to predict that the youngest ages at marriage will be between previouslyunrelated families followed by biradari marriages Marriages between rishtadari and vartan groups will be the latest and at similar ages on average because of the structural similariy of prperty transfer and faith in a familys standing between these groups

Edctalion The desire for educated women is still ambiguous in the rural setting a little (less than the husbands) confers status on a womans natal home but too much can negatively affect marriage prospects Education enhances a womans value and offsets the decline in desirability that must occur with age

1-12 We expect the often-noted positive association between iuuation ind marriage age but we also expect it even when there is very brief attendance and no grade attainment

Dow v Dowry involves a transfer of property from the wifes natal home to thatof her husbands It serves in part to enhance the symbolic value of a daughter and can also offset her devaluation from biological aging

H3 Dowry will be positively associated with a womans age at marriage

Relatirestatus oJfiwmilies Marrying into a higher status family-hypergamy-isrisky and expensive across all measures f value Dowry payments will be higher for reasons that go beyond their offsetting of a daughters age Hypogamy-marriageinto a family of lower status-on the other hand reverscs the advantage and riskHypogamous marriag s do occur in spite of strong ideological sanctioni againstthem In such cases the husbands flamily is at a strong disadvantage in negotiationssince they are the initiators of the alliance and have much to g in We have two predictions about age at marriage and tle relative status of fanilies then

H4 We expect hypergamous marriages to be associated with the youngest average ages at marriage Hypoganous marriages will be associated with tile latest average ages at marriage

Age (it menaice We have noted that tile risk associated with accepting adaughtcr-in-la increases with duration since menarche in these transactions (cfPaige ind Paige 198 185) This event should be an important initiator of the marriage process

H5 We expect age at menarche to be positively related to marriage age For daughters

497 Social Organization and Marriage Timing Strategies in Pakistan

Wealth flows Transactions move in both directions at marriage and we expectthese to be related to the alliance-producing nature of the institution too Wealth flows toward the wifes natal home indicate this familys advantage in the contract in much the same way that hypogamous marriages give an advantage

1-16We expect flemale ages at marriage to be younger with wealth flows toward the husbands tamily

Entgoiumtzni Finally we expect that engagement before marriage is associated with the need to fornmalize the marriage process itself Among the functions served here are the ratification oftagreemcnts miade between families These should be most necessary with those marria cs contracted between unrelated families since families in some relationship to each other before marriage can afford to he more casLual

1-17 We expect marriage age to have a negative relationship to formal engageshyniCt11

DATA AND MEII()DS

The AsiaXifMarriaic r Itv

This analysis is based on data from the Pakistan round of the A ian MarriageSurvey (AMS) l)ata include a wide rnge of marriage and fertility information with special attention to cull ral variables and individual life history events for married women between the ages of 15 and 45and for asample of their husbands Systematicsamples of households were drawn to represent three socioeconomic settings in the Puljab-a rural sample from a few contiguous villages in Kasur and Sheikhupuradistricts an urban lowCr-class samnplC draIwu from squatter-dominated districts within lahore and an urban middle-class sample drawn from another district of Lahore Each sample is relativclv honogencous with respect to economic backshyground 1ndcurrent Standard of living as well as overall cultural milieu

Important innovations in the ANIS instruments include the breadth of topicscovered Each interview covered itwide range of basic social and economic characteristics in addition to dLtai from each ofthe spouses on parental characterisshytics the process of entry into marriage work and income attitudes toward marriage and divorce andIattitudes and aspirations for children life histories were ohtaincd for timing of events under the headings of eCLucation work marriage childbearingand fanily limitation For Pakistan especially impotant details of dowry paymentsand relationship of spouses were included in addition to information oi attitudes toward purdah and other aspects of Islam in PIakistan [he coMplcted sample for Pakistan contains interviews with 1011women and 588 men

Because this paper is concrncd wit Ii the transactioial strategies of marriage we include only cases for which both wifes and husbands information is available In addition the data contain the event truncation bias that is built into all cross-section samples of ever-married persons (Ryder 1975) Because young ever-married women conic fron cohorts with incomplete marriage experience women in those cohorts who were mici at the younger ages are disproportionately selected The age bywhich 90 percent of recent cohorts will have been married was estimated at 21 and we have excluded women below this age (Smith and Karim 1980) [hus the initial rural sample of 351 respondents becomes 173

Indicators of Marriage Siratgy

Table I pi -sents the distribution of cases for a range of variables Of these indicators fmost direct interest are those that have to do with family influence and

498 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 numbe 4 November 1986

Table I-Selected characteristics of female respondents rural households in Pakistan Asian Marriage Survey

Percent in Percent inVariable category Variable category

Fathers occupaticnb Zamindar Agricultural laborer Unskilled laborer Skilled laborer White collar worker

Womans education Literate

Never attended school Attended 0 attainment 1-8 grades 9-12 grades 13 or more grades

Womans occupational status before marriage

No work Family work Wage w rk

Current household has electricity

Age at menarche lt13 13

gt13

Engagement status Not engaged Engaged

Participation in choice of spouse by woman

No participation Some participation

(172) 517 250 105 58 70

(173) 100

434 451 93 23 00

(173) 58

509 434

559

(173) 393 329 277

(171) 433 567

(173) 1000 00

Frequency cf meeting with spouse before marriage (169)

Never or once 544 Infrequently or often 456

Relationship between families before marriage (170)

No relationship 294 Vartan 176 Rishtadari 341 Biradari 188

Type of dowry (173) Nonehousehold goods 353 Cashluxuries 647

Value of payments to husbands family (172)

0-499 rupees 163 500-9T9 rupees 151 1000-1999 rupees 221 2000-3999 rupees 209 4000-5999 rupees 99 6000-10000 rupees 105 10000 or more rupees 52

Wealth flows at marriage (172) To wifes fanily 174 Balanced 291 To husbands family 535

Marriage type by relative land status of families (173) Hypogamous union 116 Landless homogamy 220 Landed homogamy 509 Iypergamous union 156

Note Figures in parentheses are number of case-- available for given variable

a The original sample includes 351 women Interviews with husband were available for 198 of these women among the 198 25 were under age 21 and have therefore been excluded

b At time of womans birth

strategic behavior in marriage Additional variables that we include are education and fathers occupation itsindicators of class backgiound and achievement We will not comment extensively on these except to note first the striking agrariancharacter of the rural stratum Second we wish 1o point out an unusual feature of education for women A substantial number of women enter school but never complete a single grade (full year) of instruction Further earlier analysis (Cherlin etal 1985b) revealed that these women marry significantly later than those who have

499 Social Organization and Marriage Timing Strategies in Pakistan

never attended school alall The extent to which this is a phenomenon restricted to women is revealed by comparison of distributions for husbands and wives In nostratum is there a comparable percentage of men who have atiended school wiihotrtattainir-g a grade Our inclination is to interpret this in terms of the exchange value of women which we will discuss in a later section

Iinally we note the distribution of type of work before manage for womenWomen reporting 1io work at all appear to be from wealthier households with theability to afford ortholoXy We expect those women most restricted by purdah to bein this group Family work is defined as work within the household enterprisewhether farm trade or stnall-commodity production and wage work impliespayment from an enterprise other than the fatnilys It is important to realize thatthese wages are invariably turned over to the household head The distributions for frequenCV of meetings between spouses before marriage andchoice of spouse are given in table I only to show tileextent to which women lackcontrol in their marital decisions No wonman in the rural amtple reported any degreeof choice in her sousC other than the ratification of parental choice in tilenikah ceremony The extent of meetings between spouses beiore marriage on the otherhand most likely reflects meetings between couples before puberty and the need forpurdah A strong correlation between kinship and more frequent meetings suggests

this

Var6h1es

Taking each variable separately we discuss their construction and the rationalefor inclusion here

AK (itneM11rht This variable is coded from a straightforward question askingage at first menses It is possible that the importance of menarche in this settingencouiraged misitatement of actual ages (Paige and Paige 198179-82) Neverthelesswe retain the variable in the analysis because of its centrality in outr discussionRelationrship hetween aimilies heone marriag ()ur earlier discussion of thedegrees of relatedness within which marriaie may occur in Pakistan leads us todistinguish four categories For the rural stratin Three questions on the schedule

(124A-l124) are the isis for the coding Was your spouse related to you beforemarriage Were you r and his families friends or neighbors before marriage [lowwere you related We define as marrying within ile biradarioi tnlythose respondentswho explicitly identified their relationship with their spouse itsbeing throughpatrilineal kin Other degrees of relationship are defined as rishtdari usingassumpons based on the di sinclination to reverse wealth flows from generation togeneration and other Punjabi cultural values tcf Parrv 1979 Eglar 1960 Das 1973)

ltigVdit(fltI We incindC a vatriable for engagemeit before marriaue as anindicator of marriage fOrmality Th is is taken directly from a quest ion concerningwhether tlhc respondent was formally engaged

ivpe ofdorvrv This indicator measure the extent to which dowvrv was intendedto provide for the new household rather than attract a husband Traditional dowriestended to be conlined to household goods f0r the sc of the nc couple Recent years have seen the inflation of dowry to include money and cash goods throughoutSouth Asia othe abscnce of these is soirmething of ati indictlor of sociocconionlicstatus in modern marriages We include it here with the expectation that tile type ofdowry will also be related to tile arebargaining process (ash and luxury dowriesexpected to bea feature of hypergamous marriages

I ahle oflaynent to htushandr flmintv [his indlicator is codCd froni I directquestion to male respondents Though we might dotbt the accuracy of such

500 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 number 4 November 1986

responses in some contexts these payments are reported by ethnographers to be a source of some pride in Muslim marriages indeed a part of the wedding ceremony involves the declaration of gifts to the husbands family and the nature and value of items are recorded in a book as they are called out Thus we expect these responses to be very close to their true values and important indicators of marital transactions between families

tIaniogany We have constructed in indicator designed to roughly measure the relative homegamy of marriages by using land as an indicator of status We expectthis to be a good measure for rural households in which the agrarian economy makes land a critical productive resource Nevertheless we must stress that it is an imperfect measure of homogamy in spite of lands importance since we have no measure of relative amounts owned Hypergamous marriages are defined as those in which a landless womans family has made a marital link with a landed family whereas hypogamous marriages represent the opposite case In our initial analysis tand in table I) we broke marriages dok n into subgroups of landed and landless but these are combined in the analysis presented here since there was no difference between them

Wealth flows tt marriage This indicator is directly constructed from questionsabout the value of marital transactions in both directions In the analysis below we combine thoe categories in which wealth flows were either toward the wonins nata home or balanced since the Punjabi culural ideal is that flows should be tcward the husbands home IBut note evidence from elsewhere in South Asia of change in the direction of wealth flows (IIdcnbaum 1981 Caldwell Reddy and Caldwell 1982 1983 Crplan 1984))

Method o AnalYsis

We employ least squares regression to estimate the coelficients associated with variables taken as predictors of wives ages lt marriage The set of variables just discussed-the marriage-process variables-are distinguisoed from a set of backshyground or control variables All variables are ncasured as catcgories and are entered into the equations as dummy variables although a multiple classification analysisforinat has been used to present the result in tables 2 and 37 We present one unadjusted and two adjusied mean ages at marriage for each category in these tables The unadjusted column represents the effect of each indicator when its et of dummy varitbles is entered into the cquation by itself The first column of adjusted means reflects the effects when age at marriage is rcgrescd on the set of variables specified in the given table by themselves Adjusted means in the second colunn indicate the effec of each set of dunmmy variables entered along with all control and other

R2marriage-process variables The for each set of measures is the variance explained by that group of dummy variables above For the adjusted neans the incremental R-2s presented represent the additional variance explained by each set of dummy variables after all others have been entered into the equation for that column We ha- indicatcd significance levels up to the 010 level because the small sample tends to reduce significance levels even when the coefficients are quite large in absolute terms In fact nearly all variables shown to be significant at the 0 10 level are very close to the 0)0(6 level of significance

RESITl I S

Table 2 presents the results of our regression for those background variables not directly tested here In general we find that those that are significant by themselves retain their significance even after other variables are entered We can see from this

501 Soial Organization and Marriage Timing Strategies in Pakistan

Table 2-Mean age at marriage hy background variables unadjusted and adjusted

Mean age atmarriage Number 0Variable Unadjusteda Adjusted Adjustdc of cases

Cohortd lt30 173 171 171 84 30-34 176 177 173 20 35-39 166 167 165 31 40-45

(Increment in R2 ) 173 (010)

176 (010)

179 (020)

30

Class backgrounde Farmer 172 172 172 88 Agricultural laboLer 164 167 167 3e Blue collarprofessional 180 177 177 39 (Increment in R2) (034) (012) (012)

Womans education No schooling 161 163 164 72 Attended 0 attairment 177 173 175 74 1-12 years completed (Increment in R2)

193 (124)

191 (090-)

185 (045 )

19

Womans occupational status before marriage

Family work or no work 177 176 176 92 Wage work 165 167 165 73

(Increment in R2) (041) (021) (038)

r(ran1 mean 172 Total cases 165

R2 for all background variables 171

R2 controlling for marriage process variables 124

a Zero-order mean b Controlling for other background variables c Controlling for other background variables and all family process

variables d Age at survey date e Fathers occupation at time of womans birth

significant at the 01 level significant at the 05 level significant at the 10 level

tabulation that there are no cohort trends in marriage age in our sample of women and that class background appears to make little difference in marriage timing once controls are included in the equation The moc-t interesting pattern in educational effects on marriage age is with that group of women who have attended school hut never finished a grade These women marry a full year later t ian those who have never attended even after controls are entered We also note iatwomen who work for wages before marriage marry a year younger on ihe averae than those who work for their families The latter two results are not predicted by the standard theories of marriage Nevertheless the overall results presented in table 2 support the imporshy

502 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 number 4 N3vember 1986 tance of education and occupation as components of the complete explanation ofmarriage timing The background vaiables by themselves account for 17 percent ofthe variation in marriage age and continue to account for over 12 percent of thatvariation even after adjustment for marriage-process variables

Turning to table 3 we can more precisely see the contribution of our marriageshyprocess variables to the egt plaration Looking at the zero-order relationships firstwe see that three of these-the relationship between families before marriage valueof dowry and marital homogamy-make large and statistically significant contribushytions to marital timing At this level we find good support for our hypothesesconcerning the effects of each of these variables on marriage age Thus the earlymarriers categorized by relationships are those whose marriages are contractedwith strangers followed by those married within the patriline The latest marriers arethose who marry nonpatrilincally related kin or into vart ri groups We also find thatvalue of payments to hubarids family is positively associated with marriage ageOur hypothesis concerning marital homogamy and marriage agc receives moremixed support Wonen in hypogamous union are the latest marricrs as predictedbut not as expected hypergamously married women not the eariiest marriagesare

Other hypotheses receive no support at this level Age at menarche appears tohave a weak positive relationship wivh age at marriage but the result is notsignificant and the Rshyincrement is quite small Nor does engagement status dowrytype or direction of wealth flows make any significant difference to marriage ageWhen we enter controls for other marriage-process variables (cf first adjustedmean) wealth qows ichieve significance in reiation to marriage age and in thepredicted direction but no other variable shifts toward significance in this way

The absence of a positive relationship between age at nenarche and marriagetiming is notable since a significant relationshIip has been reported ini a wide varietyof social settings (Udry and Cliquet 1982) One possible explanation is attenuationdue to misstatement of actual ages at first menses We have already cited Paige andPaige 11981) in this connection and the age pattern of menses ages in our data suggests some convergence of responses on normative ages Yet other relationishipsin our data arc consistent with accurately reported ages at menarche For examplecross-tabulalions of age at first menses and whether a woman was formally engagedbefore narriage show that lower ages at menarche are associated with the absence ofengagement This is n expected relationship our hypotheses predict a speeding up(f the marriage process lic menarche is relatively early one way to achieve this isthrough the deletion of certain elements in the process Further indication ofaccurately reportedi ages at menarhe appears when we consider the relationshipbetween age at first menses and age at marriage separately for landed and landlesshouseholds Within the landless group there is no relationship Among landedhouseholds on the other hand there is a consistent rise in the age at marriage with age at menarche-from 169 for those who experience mcenarche before age 13 to182 for those who experience menarche after age 13 This is as predicied sincelanded households are the most likely to contract marriages with unrelated familiesin which the element of risk and concern about chastity weigh the heaviest

In general the marriage-process variables retain iheir effects when controls areentered although there is a slight weakening in the levels of significance Given arelatively small sample size our results provide heartening support for a theory ofmarriage that includes social-structural and transactional elements The full regresshysion results (not shown here) show thai all of these variables together account for over 27 percent of the variance in marriage timing in the rural sample Our analysisshows that both the standard background or control variables a-d the more

503 Social Organization and Marriage Timing Strategies in Pakistan

Table 3-Mean age at marriage by marriage process variables unadjusted and adjusted

Mean age at marriage NumberdegVariable Unadjusteda Adjusted Adjusted of cases

Relationship between families before marriageNo relationship 163 162 165 49Biradari 169 171 169 32 HishtadariVartan

2178 178 177 84

(Increment in R ) (046) (049) (026)

Age at menarche lt13 169 171 170 65 13 173 172 174 57

gt13 174 172 172 43 (Increment in R2 ) (004) (000) (003)

Engagement status Not engaged 172 174 172 70Engaged

2172 171 171 95

(Increment in R ) (000) (002) (000)

Type of dowryNoneHousehold goods 170 173 173 56 CashLuxuries 173 171

2 171 109 (Increment in R ) (001) (001) (002)

Value of payments to husbands family

0-499 rupees 161 155 159 26 500-999 rupees 167 165 166 25 1000 or more rupees 175 177 176 1142(Increment in R ) (036) (052) (026)

Marriage typeHypergamoua union 173 171 174 27 Isogamous uniond 169 169 168 121Hypogamous union 189 194 192 172(Increment in R ) (042) (060) (046)

Wealth flows at marriage BalancedTowards wifes

family 171 178 178 76 Toward husbands family 173 167 -67 892(IncremenL in R ) (001) (021) (022)

Grand mean 172 Total cases 165

R2 for all marriage process variables 147

R2 controlling for background variables 101

a Zero-order mean b Controlling for other marriage process variables c Controlling for other marriage process variables and all background

variables d Between two landed or between two landless families

oignificant at 01 significant at the 05 level

s the level

significant at the 10 level

504 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 number 4 November 1986

structural and cultural variables account for their own parts of this variance Thus background variables explain a unique 12 percent of the variance and the marriageshyprocess variables explain an additional 10 percent The remaining 52 percent is explained jointly by the two sets of variables

Our analysis supports most of our hypotheses and on balance reinforces the perspective from which they are derived Regarding I-1-that marriage between unrelated groups will result in the youngest and marriage between rishtadari and vartan groups the latest ages at marriage-we have complete support More than a year separates the oldest and youngest groups even after all controls are entered

Our second hypothesis-that education will be positively associated with marshyriage-is also supported We have included this variable with the other backgroundfactors because superficially this relationship is hardly surprising Nevertheless the significant increase of a year in marriage age that occurs even when a grade of school isnot completed suggests an unconventional interpretation of the importanceof education in this setting Thus education must have its effects because of the symbolic value it has fbr the wife-receivers in the arriage transaction rather than because of it impact on the wonman herself

H3 concerning the positive relationship between dowry vaIC and age at marriage is supported here with more than a year and ihalf separating earliest and latest marrying groups This is true even with controls for class background and the inflation of dowry values that we might expect to be associated with class background

Our fourth hypothesis concerning the relationship between lionioganiv and marriage age receives only mixed support Hypogamously marrying women are the latest marriers by nearly two years That hypergrrmous marricrs are not the yonngest may be because using lnded status results in an imperfect measure

Finally H6-that marriage age will be negatively associated with wealth flows to the husbands family-is supported only after controls for other marriage-processvariables are included The meaning of this pattern is uncleCar and may be a function of an association between dowry value and wealth flow not yet investigated

Our hypothesis concerning engagement and menarche has not Found support in this analysis We have already mentioned possible problems with the menarchevariable Our phrasing of the engagement hypothesis issuch that a zero-order effect should have been evident and disappearet when the control for relationship between families is entered That no zero-order effect was evident suggests that our association of engagement with socially riskier marriages is wrong Rather engageshyment may be considered a component of all marriages its association with later menarche alluded to earlier suggests that elements of the marriage process may be altered in response to unpredictable events

DISCUSSION

Our perspective couched in ethnographic knowledge of Punjabi social organizashytion and the culturally determined roles of women receives strong support from this analysis This is not to argue that the more standard development indicators are unimportant in explanations of marriage timing Rather we have demonstrated that a more complete understanding will be gained by considering the ranges of behavior permitted and forbidden in particular cultural settings

The results further encourage such comparative analyses by cautioning againsttaking pretransition settings to be without individual-level variation in behavior To say that a society is organized patrilineally or that inheritance is partible is not enough Even in Pakistani Punjab where the constraints of ideology on behavior

505 Social Organization and Marriage Timing Strategies in Pakistan

may be thought of as especially powerful we have shown that there is room for flexible responses that have their impact on marriage timing

We have used the rural Punjab case to present a model in which the alliance function of marriage is very important We suggest that the underlying componentsof such a society include its agrarian orientation and its unilineal kinship organizashytion It is possible that the model we have begun to develop here will find useful application in other partrilineal rural settings in the rest of South Asia and elseshywhere

Finally a note on social change We consciously directed our attention to a pretransition setting to highlight the need to consider the cultural and social milieu from which populations move as they undergo transition Interpretations of the transition in marriage behavior and its consequences for fertility begin to go astraywhen they focus unduly on individuals while ignoring issues of social structure and social control Education is not always related to the autonomy of women Caldwells finding that women in South India may be educated by their parents toenhance their marriageability (Caldwell Reddy and Caldwell 1982) finds parallels in our Punjabi analysis Similarly there is strong support here for a perspective that looks at marriage within the whole context of productive relationships

This has implications for the way we conceive of the interaction between valuesand institutions in social change Education of women for example although an innovative institutional feature within the rural setting seems to have unexpectedeffects on marriage timing that can be adequately explained only with reference to an extant value system or cultural milieu The extent to which this system retains its hold on the rural Punjab is evident from the strength of the marriage-processvariables in our analysis All of the hypotheses concerning their effects assume traditional values for the area Similarly the association of wage work with younger ages at marriage makes sense when we consider the risks to a daughtersmarriageability that come from exposure to extra-domestic influences Rather than suggesting some sort of cultural stasis however we argue that change will occur Our point is that the effects of these institutional components of transition will not be uniform across cultural settings Innovations will have their initial effects on behavior in ways that are corsistent with existing cultural values and these effects may be surprising

There is a clear call here for the inclusion of indicators for these effects in social surveys We have been able to explore these issues only because the AMS was designed to evoke culture-specific features of the marriage process Such data are rare however and in any case the social survey alone should not be expected to provide detailed models that allow us to make cultural sense of these processes (cfCaldwell Reddy and Caldwell 1984) We have also been fortunate in being able to use ethnographic sources in developing our interpretation although our sources for ethnographic and survey data are often separated by approximately two decades and none of the ethnographies describes the same villages in which the survey was conducted As a closing comment that cannot be fully elaborated here we suggestthe need to develop methodologies that combine survey and ethnographic data collection in formal and complementary ways

NOTES Sahlins calls this type of economy the domestic mode of production (1972) Among its characterisshy

tics are that it is an economy of production for use---ne penetrated with such noneconomic claims as ritual ceremonial and social diversion and one organized around donestic groups usually the family

2 Important examinations of the alliance theme appear in Dumont (1993) Parry (1979) and Yalman (1971) and its central importance in Muslim areas is documented in Eglar (1960) and Naveed-i-Rahat

506 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 number 4 November 1986 (1981) The nature of status and hierarchy as a cross-cutting feature of social organization and marriagemay be examined in Fruzzetti and Oster (1982) I Ahmad (1978) Korson (1971) and S Ahmad (1977)See Ortner (1981) for another treatment of wonlens stalus in hierarchic il settings Finally iherelationship between wealth flows marriage and hierarchy is treated in Tantbiah ( 1973ab) Caplan(194) and Gough (1956) in addition it) the above sources

Important differences in the definition of biradari sugges that -glar may have overslated the degree towhich patriline and biradari identify the same group For the Raiputs in Kangra biradari refers to group of clans within which marriages may be contracted in equalitI lParr the

19794) and AhIttad ( 19741571suggested that the biradari is a wider group than the ittediate patriline in Pakistan as well In any casethe breadth of the group to tich hiradari can appl seetis to be soitewhat dependent on context I Eglar196076) and we will restrict its meaning in this paper to palriline Also see lrtlzetti 1192115-116) for a parallel Bengali level of social i)rganization I Hypergamy refers to marriages it hich wives marr into higher statu families (otmpare wihhomogamy for marriages bet een faiimilies of equal statiu and lvpogaltv ill thich kotneninar intolower status families

Korson (1979150-151) in contrast reports a pattern for urban Pakistat il Mich these saneexchange marriages are desirable unions SirnilLrlv tlershinim (1981193) ieports that the Sikhs andHindus in the part of Indian lunjab where lie orkeitegarded such niarriage as quintesential] MusliitThe apparent explanation is the etent to lich nton-Ashraf groups those descended trout Hinduconverts relain the ideology of their aincesors ]vidence here suggests that in rural areas the extent is great

These data constitute a rich bodv ofrve rtatet il gatlicied in ile lutntab in 1979 by Sabiha If SvedIWomens Division Cabinet Secretariat (itivernment of Pakistan) (tordination of ilte project usasprovided by Peter C Smith (Iast-Wesl Populatiot Instittlel Similar tres erc conducted atl iboutthe same time in Indonesia thte Philippines and lhailand lhe tespective investigalors were Peter FMcDonald (Ausi-alian National ltiversitv Mercedes II CoitcepcionI tniversit ofthe Philippines) andAphichat Chamratrilhirong (Mahidol I niyersjtvi

See Suit 119571 and Andre s Morgan and Sonuist 119167 t- lie iustiication and method ofconversion from regression to intuliple clissilicatil uanalvsis otellicietlts The standard deviation is 1014ears cottnpaied tth 153 to as gtat as 2ol it the other three AMS

Countries For example the patlentci iiitrgeiterait l shilts i fitnik relatlonhips in llivrln slitius s tantalizing

contextual sintilarities to South Asiln societies Icf lIhor t1i11( hlng nd Still 1984)

A(K NI()VI)(F NTS The Asian Marriage Survey for Pakistat was carried out under US Agency forInternational Developmenl Grant DI)PSE-6-()048 The present research was conductshyed with supporl from the National Science Foundation (SES-8319904) Earlierversions of this paper were presented at tile East-West Population Institute

Wednesday Seminar and to a seminar at the Institute of Pakistan Studies Quaid-i-Azam University Islamahad We wish to thank the facitlt and students of Quaid-i-Azam University for their helpful Colllntls during the setninar In particularProfessor Dar Director of the Institule of Pakistan SIudics oflered especially usefulcriticisms We also acknowledge the comments of Furqan Ahmlad John BauerAndrew Cherlin Deborah Freedman Doris Nayyar and Arland Thornton onvarious earlier drafts while absolving all of them of any errors in our interpretationand analysis

R F - RFN( ES Ahiad 1 1978 Fndoganiy ird siaUs mohilit antong Siuldiqui lteikhs tl Allahlhad Itar radeslh Pp171-211 in I Ahinad (ct (t t t ui t fl otltili loi ot fiesthti iii In ha 2nd edt New

Delhi Manohar Ahnuad S 1974 A village in Palkistani Ilani ah jalpal 11p131-1 72in C Malones led) South siaSerei (ommunttv Prefii Nes Yuik tloll Rinehart and Winston

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- -1985h Etlicition ind age titmarriage |-itdence (ront Itcir Asinll ocleIe Papel presented lt torkslht Chanlging Mlartiage and tihe Fanil in Asia Silta Il tild Feb 21-24Cochrane S 1 19710 Iitttft and I~dtaitiol Mihat A) tii Rctilx A m Ittnloic Ill John IHopkins I rniverit Prcss

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Suits DB 1957 Use of dttiunlut variables in regression equations Journal tit the Anerican Statitical Asociation 52548-551

Tambiah S J 1973a Dowry aud bridewealth and the property rights of women in South Asia Pp 51)-1(9in JGoody and SJTarnhiah (eds) Bridei cilthand I)m rvCambridge UK Cambridge University Press

1973b From arna to caste through mixed unions lp 191-229 in JGoody edlI 1he Character ofKinhip Cat ibridge UK Cambridge University Press

Tandon P 1968 Punjahi (Centurv1857-1947 Berkeley niversuty of California Press Thadani V 1978 The logic of sentiment The fansily and social change opulation and )evelopment

Review 4457-499 Thornton A M C Chang and T-H Stin 1984 Social and ecootrtuic change intrgeneratlonal

relationships and family formation in laisman 1)cinoyraphv 21475-499 Udry JR and R L Cliquet 1982 A criiss-cultural esamination of the relationship between ages at

menarche marriage and first birth Dmnnographv 1953-63 Vreede-de Stuers C 1968 Parda A Stidv of luslji )loonenlife illNoritiern India New York

Humanities Press Yalman N 1971 Under the Bo Tree Studies inCaie Kinship and Marriage in the Interior ofCeyhi

Berkeley University of California Press

177

RECENT AVAILABLE REPRINTS OF THE EAST-WEST POPULATION INSTITUTE No 172 Conclusion by Lee-Jay Cho reprinted from The IndustrialFutureof the fIzcific Basin RogerBenjamin and Robert T Kudrle eds Westview Press Colorado 1984 173 Asian Labor Migration to the Middle East by Fred Arnold and Nasra M Shah reprinted

front InternationalMigration Review Sum mer 1984 174 Repeatability of infant deaths in Korea by Chai Bin Park and Alfred C Hexter reprinted

from nhternationaljournal of Epideniolhgy September 1984 175 Comparative analysis of fertility orientations World Fertility Survey findings by Lee-Jay Cho ind Louise Kantrow reprinted from Predicting Fertility DenographicStudies ofBirth Expectations Gerry E I lendershot and Paul J Placek eds Lexington Books DC

I leath and Company Massachusetts 1981 176 Census-derived estimates of fertility by duration since first marriage in the Republicof Korea by Robert 1) Retherlord ee-JaY Cho ard Narn-Il Kim reprinted from Deinogshy

raphy November 481 The value of daughters and sons A comparative study of the gender preferences of parshyents bv Fred Arnold and Eddie CY Kujo reprint_d from fournal of Comparative Fanih Studes Summer 1984

178 Analysing open birth interval distributions by Griffith FeeneY and John A Ross reprintedfrom Population Studies Novembet 1981

17 Population dynamics arid policy in the eoples Republic of China by Lee-jay Choreprinted from The Annals if TheAneirican Acadenii ufoPliticaland Sociai Science Chinain Transitim vol 476 Marvin F Wolfgang ed Sage lublications Beverly Hills Califorshynia 1984

180 Personal networks and the adoption of family planning in rural Korea by Joung ImKim arid Janmes A lihlmore reprinted from Journalov Population and I halth Studies Dshycember 1984

181 Determinants of birth-interval length in the Philippines Malaysia and Indonesia Ahazard-model analysis by James Trussell Linda G Martin Robert Feldman James APalmore Mercedes Concepcion and Datin Noor Laily lBt Dato Abu Bakar reprinted Denograply May 1985

182 Shadow households and competing auspices Migration behavior in the Philippinesby Fe Caces Fred Arnold Jame T Fawcett and Robert W Gardner reprinted fior lourshynal of Development Econonics lanuarv-February 1985 183 Perceptions of the value of children Satisfaction and costs by James 1 Rawcett reprinted

from Detrniinantsof lertiliti in Devehpin Counitries vol 1 Rodolfo A Bulatao and RonaldD Lee eds Acaderic Press Inc 1983 184 Diffusion processes affecting fertility regulation bv Robert I) Retherford and JamesA Palmore reprinted from Determiintsof lirtlityqin Dcvelopiing Countries vol 2 RodolfoA Bulatao and Ronald D Lee eds Academic Press Inc 1983 185 The impact of age at marriage and proportions marrying on fertility by Peter C Smithreprinted from Determinantsof lirtiilit in Develolmkg Countries vol 2 Rodolfo A gulatao

and Ronald D Lee eds Academic Press Inc 1983 186 Migration of women to cities The Asian situation in comparative perspective by Siew-Ean Khoo Peter C Smith and James T Fawcett reprinted from lnternationalMigration

Rtview Special Issue Noten in AlM ratin Winter 1984

187 Measuring the effect of sex preference on fertility The case of Korea by Fred Arnold ieprinted from Dernography May 1985

18 Exploring the normative basis for age at marriage in Thailand An example from focus group research by Anthony Pramualratana Napaporn Havanon and John Knodel reprinted from Journalof Marriageand the Family February 1985

189 The non-economic consequences of Asian labor migration to the Middle East by Nasra M Shah and Fred Arnold reprinted from International Union for the Scientific Study of Population lnternaitonalPopulation Conference Florence 1985 vol 3 1985

190 Parity progression projection by Griffith Feeney reprinted from International Union for the Scientific Study of Population InternationalPopiulation Conference Florence 1985 vol 4 1985

191 A theory of marita fertility transition by Robert D Retherford reprinted from Popula tion Studies July 1985

192 Cultural variations in the transition to marriage in four Asian societies by Paul Cheung Josefina Cabigon Aphichat Chamratrithirong Peter F McDonald Sabila Syed Andrew Cherlin and Peter C Smith reprinted from International Union for the Scientific Study of Population InternationalPopulation Conference Florence 1985 vol 3 1985

193 Decision making and sex selection with biased technologies by Neil GBennett and Andrew Mason reprinted from Sex Selection of Children Neil G Bennett ed Academic Press Inc 1983

194 US farm migration An application of the Harris-Todaro model by Daniel B Suits reprinted from Economic Development and Cultural Chang vol 33 no 4 1985

195 Health of Hlmong in Thailand Risk factors morbidity and mortality in comparison with other ethnic groups by Peter Kunstadter reprinted from Culture Medicine and Psyshychiairy vol 9 no 4 1985

196 Evaluation of contraceptive history data in the Republic of Korea by Anne R Pebley Noreen Goldman and Minja Kim Choe reprinted from Stldies ii Family PlanningJanushyaryFebruary 1986

197 Circulation between home and other places Some propositions by Murray Chapman and R Mansell Prothem and Me go walkabout you too by Murray Chapman reprinted from Circulationin Population Mozement Substance and Concepts fion tie Melnesian Case Murray Chapman and R Maniell Prothero eds Routledge amp Kegan Paul 1985

198 Fijians and Indo-Fijians in Suva Rural-urban movements and linkages by Shashikant Nair reprinted from Circulationin PopulationMovement Substance and Concepts fron the Melanesian Case Murray Chapman and R Mansell Prothero eds Routledge amp Kegan Paul 1985

199 Linkages between internal and international migration The Ilocos Norte experience by Fred Arnold and Ricardo G Abad reprinted from PhilippinePopulationJournalJune 1985

200 An economic analysis of recent fertility in Japan by Naohiro Ogawa and Andrew Mason reprinted from linko Gaku Kenkyu vol 9 May 1986

201 Averting crisis in Asia by Lee-jay Cho reprinted from Bulletin of the Atonic Scientists vol 42 no 4 1986

202 Sex preference fertility and family planning in China by Fred Arnold and Liu Zhao xiang reprinted from lPpulation am Development Review vol 12 no 2 1986

203 The place of child-spacing as a factor in infant mortality A recursive model by Chai Bin Park reprinted from American Journalof Public Health vol 76 no 8 1986

204 Determinants of Korean birth intervals The confrontation of theory and data by Larry L Bumpass Ronald R Rindfuss and James A Palmore reprinted from Po)pulationStudies vol 40 no 3 1986

Page 3: INSTITUTE timing strategies in Pakistan

DEMOGRAPHYD Volume 113Number 4 November 19B6

RURAL PUNJABI SOCIAL ORGANIZATION AND MARRIAGE TIMING STRATEGIES IN PAKISTAN

Thomas EFricke Institute for Social Research and Department of Anthropology University of Michiti in Ann Arbor Michigan 48104

Sabiha H Syed Womens Divison Cabinet Secretariat Government c Pakistan

Peter C Smith East-West Population Institute East-West Center 1777 East-West Road Honolulu Hawaii 96848

The most important social function of marriage is to form aconnection between two families or to renew and strengthen an already existing connection (1Eglar 196093)

Few institutions are as pivotal as marriage in their implications for abroad range of social processes Its links to the character of family life and societal fertility levels are firmly established (Fox 1967 Smith 1983) and more recent versions of demographic transition theory show marriage at-d its timing to be related to more pervasive social change (Caldwell Reddy and Caldwell 1982 1983 Caldwell 1982 Ryder 1983) Moreover ethnographic studies shov that marriage is also a critical event in the individual and household developmental cycles with implications (or the economic stability of families the establishment of cooperative ties between households and extended kin networks and the ed ation and econornic participashytion of women (cf Fortes 1958 Foster 1978 Parry 1979)

Given the multiple roles that marriage fullills it comes as no surprise that marriage patterns are changing in conjunction with other transformations throughout Asia (Smith 1980) In soite of regional variation in rates and degree the overwhelming pattern is toward a later marriage age Macro-level analyss have indicated that education changing occupational structures and urbaaization increase female marriage ages Yet the vital institutional components of tmi-schange in marriage behavior have been largely ignored in quantitative research (Smith 198091 )as has the need to consider the relationship between women and men (cf Papanek 1984) Part of the reason has been the absence of cultural variables in the typical aggregate data sets In addition there has been a tendency to oversimplify by assuming close adhe nce to cultural ideals Thus a whole society might be characterized as practicing patrilateral cross-cousin marriage but little attention is given to the range of behavior around this preferential pattern As the research reported herein demonstrates it is possible for nonprefereritial patterns to be modal in a population

Our purposes in this paper are twofold First we show how integrated use of ethnographic materials can enrich cxplanatory schemes based on survey data Se ond we present a transactional model of marriage behavior with particular application to South Asia We view marriage timing and spouse choice as strategic outcomes of family and household decision processes on the part of both spouses families We agree that explanations of changing age at marriage strcssing educationshyal and occurational determinants capture a large part of the causation involved but we stress here that a lack of attention to more specifically cultural and stiuctural constraints on behavior needlessly impoverishes our understanding of marriage behavior

489

490 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 number 4 November 1986 We will examine survey data for rural to aPakistan illustrate family-centeredmodel of marriage behavior We stress the pretransition agrarian nature of thesetting Social and economic change has been minimal in recent years and we do notdirectly examine these processes Our exposition follows our analytic procedureWe first present a general model of tuarriage timing and then explore the ethnographshyic literature for the Punjab to isolate the important cultural factors underlyingmarriage behavior next we turn to the data for statistical confirmation of ourhypotheses and finally WC discuss implications of our results for the study ofmarriage in the South Asian setting as well as for styles of data collection and

anlysis

THE FAMILY CONTEXT OF MARRIAGE The literature is replete with empirical studies that establish the positive associashytion among marriage age educational attainment urban -esidence and-withsomewhat less consistenc-voik for wages prior to marrying Rarer are studiesthat give attention to the social and cultural contexts within which these variablesoperate Wherever they are round thse associationis end to be explained in similarterms feniale education is related to greater autonomy and a broader opportunityfield for daughters with a corresponding reductiot of both parental control over themarriage process and the single-minded channeling of daughters into domestic rolesSimilarly female wage earning prior o marriage is related to greater domesticautonomy or conversely to enhanced productive value for the natal household andboth of these are associated with later marriage ageEven when these associations obtain their bald statement in these terms ignoresthe multiple roles of marriage in diferen social settings and at times leads toanomalous interpretations

and For example part of the association bet cen educationlater marriage is explained with reference to greater female autonomy in themarriage process (Cochranc 1979 Carleton 1975) Yet research in South Indiasuggests that education does riot alter the parents rol in their daughters marriageThroughout South Asia education may serve in part to raise the value of daughtersin transactions between ioijseholds (Caldwell Rcdd and Caldwell 1982 Caplan1984221 Parry 1979273) and thus hold constant parents incentives to controlmarriage choices Moreover it is dtifficult to credit schoolings role as a vehicle forwestern ideas about niarriqe as the motivation in all cases In our rural aid urbanlower-class samples for example we find that women who attndced but failed tocomplete a single year of school marry later than those who never attended Evenamong the urban middle class where daughters obtain substantial amounts ofeducation 79 percent of the women reported no participation in tlehcchoice of theirspouses ((herlin el al 19 85a) Masons (1984) suggestion that research considercross-cutting hierarchies of class and gcnider provides a key to explanation in these

cases Recent institutional explanations of fertility behavior cf McNicoll 1980 Cain1982 CaIdwell 1982 Dson arid Moore 1931 are equally relcvant to the discussionof marriage tirning especially when marriage and fertility behavior share links withother social processes Thus Lcstbacghes (1980) suggestion for fertility analysisshythat we examine iht appropriation of resources social control risk devolution anddemographic clhecks along with the interplay between individual strategies andinherited world iew-could as easily he applied to marriage processes SimilarlyCaldwells wealth-flows model and its modifications (eg Cain 1981 1982 Thadani1978) suggest an approach to marriage behavior tooInstitutional examinations tend to center on links with modes of production and

491 Social Organization and Marriage Timing Strategies in Pakistan

control over resources Behaviors are taken to be strategically directed toward goalsdetermined by specific social and cultural settings Thus the effects of a particular behavior are disentangled from the actual ends to which the behavior is directed For example though one f the goals of marriage timing may be the regulation of fertility Smith (1983479) points out that this would assume an exceptionally distant planning horizon A more logical and culturally informed approach would be to focus on the more proximate ends (Lesthaeghe 1980530) The intimate connection of marriage timing and other social processes suggests that the fullest explanations must include economic ideological and affective components

Anthropological research into marriage has tended to examine societies organized along the lines of pretransition settings defined in Caldwells model The mode of production is familial and subsistencc oriented in an agrarian setting In this context the extent to which individuals have control over their marital decisions is an empirical issue Keesing (197542-43) suggested that a marriage be viewed as a contract in which rights over work and reproduction are transferred between corporate groups rather than as a straightforward union of tM o individuals It becomes important to ask then how wide these corporate groups are and what rights and obligations are tran-ferred Other questions also arise How does marriage lit into other systems of property exchange Who are the effective decision makers What are the implications for womensstatLUs and roles at different times in their life courses The answers to these questions are not separable fromt issues of social organizashy

tion and mode of production Sahlins for example devotes a great deal of attention to a discussion of exchange ithin the domestic mode of production (1972185-230)A primary component of this exchange is that it is never entirely balanced a continuous series of prestations binds one household or group to another At the same time the exchanges between two groups can either be symmetricl or asymmetrical the latter type is associated with settings in which status is largely nonnegotiahle and ascrihed (Parry 197993) We need to consider whether women irean element of this continuing exchange cycle and the implications for marriage behavior In addition we need to consider the extent o which hierarchy is a component of itgiven social structure and the constraints it imposes on marriage itrategies

Til (ONTI-[I ()I- MARRIA(ik IN ill PAKISTANI PUNJAI

Certain themes p2rade marriage institutions throughout South Asia and the Pakistani case must bc seen in this context Among these themes are underlying patriarchal control of resources (fCain Khanun and Nahar 1979) hierarchy and the important role of wornen as signifiers of alliance betwcr familics- We are here concerned primarily ith the tlliance function of marriage anJ the nature of lansfers between families itmarriage Womlns- value as signifilS of this alliancc is a function in part of the status of their natal homne biological age and characteristics that they acquire througholt their life course All of these values are culturally or idcologically determined

Although ethnographic material for ltunjabi Muslims in Pakistan is relatively scarce and generally concerned iilh rural settines (Slocun Akhtar ard Sahi 1959 lIglar 1960 S Ahmad 1974 1977) that which Cxists uggests that the details ofsocial organization parallel those in NorthwCst Inldia ccl Vreede-de Siuers 1968) Iollowshying Blochs 11973) discussion of the relation between kin distance and cooperative reliability we first discuss the degrees of rclatcdness within which it is permissible to marry in the Muslim Punjab from hiradai to no relation at all before marriage

492 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 number 4 Novomber 1986

Eglar has determined that the most important social group outside the immediate -household is the patriline or biradari (1960) Kin links within the patrilile are

strongest and individuals within it most subject to the constraints of the moraleconomy Fraternal ties between contemporaries are considered more importantthan intergencrational ties (S Ahmad 1974 157) Eglar strc that marriage is aescritical biradari function that all members have an intcrest in the contract sincehonor (izzat) is ascribed to the whole group on the basis of how its individualmembers behave Failure to observe the tenets of legitimate behavior -flects on thecharacter of the entire biradari and can detrimentally affect thi marricge prospects ofother families within the group (Eglar 196078 cf Tandon 196882-87)

The biradari is in addition the group that exerts control over property transmisshysions Elder male hiradari members must approve the sale of land to people outsidethe patriline but any member has first choice of land to be sold (Eglar CN6045-46)Although a great deal of social control is exerted at this level the biradari alsofunctions ts an essential mutual aid group in the rural Punjab Biradari members even contribute to the marriage expenses of their own members helping to dampenthe enormous burden atrespectable wedding can place on it single poor family (Eglar196078)

The next order of relationship includes those within the biradari as well as affinesfrom outside Called rishtadari (Eglar 196081-82) this group is more amorphouslyconstittted tha the biradari although its members are considered to be cooperativeshyly linked In this papcr we use the term to refer only to rainbiradari relatives Thesignificance for marriage th n is that transactions involve the alienation of propertyfrom the biradari At the same time marriage with rishtadari implies the duplicationof interpatriline relationships across generations in much the same manner asDumonts (198371-73) alliance narriage would predict

Outside of groups of relatives marriages can be contracted with families connectshyed by friendship In the Punjab these relationships imply more than simpleacquaintance Friendship is organized in the northlrn part of the subcontinent toparallel actual kinship relationships and serious friends are likely to be united invartan bhanji networks of reciprocal gift exchange in rural Pakistan (Eglar 1960106Vartan exchange is carried on with both relatives and nonrelatives but it is withones nonaflines that the exchanges equal out over time Otherwise the direction ofwealth flows s to the household of ones son-in-law

Figures I and 2 diagram these relationships in standard anthropological fashionFigure I portrays the distinction between biradari and rishtadari from the point ofview of a male ego (represented by the klackened triangle at the bottom center of thediagram) Biraddari relations arc those individuals to the right of the broken line One can see from the diagram that they are all descended from a common male ancestorRishtadari relatives on the other hand are those individuals to the left of the brokenline These are members of ateparate patriline idescendants of a common maleancestor) and are related to our male ego through his mother as aflines

Figure 2 is a more complex portrayail of three types of marriage alliance that maybe contracted in the Pakistani Punjab Once again the broken line divides twopatrilines In row A marital links are diagrammed as occurring within each patrilineThese are biradari marriages Ifthe serarate patrilines in row A are neighbors thereis a strong possibility that they are ritually connected as friends in a vartanrelationship A robust form of this relationship would encourage them to foimalizethe connection through marriage Row B depicts such a vartan marriage in the unionof a daughter from patriline I with a son from patriline 2 This link converts therelationship between the two patrilines into one of rishtadari and row C shows how

493 Social Organization and Marriage Timing Strategies in Pakistan

RISHTADARI

BIRADARI F~ 0i male

o~afemale

a marriage r- sibship

- descent

Figure l-Iegrees of kinship distance in the rural Pimp)

the successful links formalized by marriage are continued in further marriages In row C marriage occurs between a man and a woman from different patrilines but related through a woman We denote this type of marriage its rishtadari It is obvious from the diagram that marriages in rows B and C vartan and rishtadari are identical to the extent that property is alien~ated from a patriline at marriage

PATRILINE I PATRILINE 2

Figre2-Rplcaio ofalacsara-hniI ishadr marriage

494 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 number 4 November 1986

The degree of relationship between households has implications for the marriage process that are in part related to the structure of wealth flows Preferred marriages are within the kin group (Eglar 196094) more specifically within the biradari andmarriages outside this group are considered hypergamous4 (S Ahmad 1974157shy159) Nevertheless a high percentage of marriages are contracted outside this group(cf S Ahmad 1974156) Das f 19713) summarized the order of marriage prefershyences for the muslim villages-of Pakistan and India as follows

I marriage to cousins is preferred to marriage with nonrelatives2 marriage of a set of brothers to a set of sisters is adesirable pattern although

exchange marriages in which daughters are exchanged between households are low status5

3 village exogamy is preferential to village endogamy

She pointed out that these preferences have implications tor the frequency ofmarriages to specific relatives Thus since brothers usually reside in the same villagecross-cousin marriage is more frequent than that with parallel cousins This isfollowed in popularity by marriage with matrilateral parallel cousins Because Muslim marriage permits union of nearly any type outside of the householdhowever l)as suggested that it is not possible to summarize Pakistani marriages in terms of a preferential pattern rather thev are the result of cumulative relations between siblings and spouses within a family

For both men and women marriage arrangements are conducted by members ofthe senior generation Although fornal right to the decision goes to fathers older brothers or [he nearest male agnateC mther have informilal decision-making powers most often realized in the form of veto iDas 197337) Man iage negotiationshowever nearly always involve intermediaries since rejection can involve loss oflice and countercharges of arrogance A formal proposal is seldom made until acceptance is already assurred negotlaitions involve preliminary investigations intothe behavior of household and biradari members as well as the establishment of dowry paylmcnts LEglar 196t078 cf Parr 1979241 and Tandon 1968124-128 for parallel exalirles)

If marriage confers advantagcs in the form of new cooperative relationshipsISocun Akhtar and Sahi 195932 -glar 196193) it also carries with it a certain

armount of risk In the process of negotiaion there is the risk of reJection later the risk of marriage failure and the sttndering of alliance relationships based on marriagearises We would expect then thait [ie group ithin which marriage is arrangedreflects a consideration of henelils and isks b mlale ill both households A further consideration must involve the alienation of propert the biradaritromn marriagesoutside of which would involve continiuing ealth Iflows outside the patriline Parry11979295) suggested For the Rajputs that repetition of imarnitge to the same group of affines across generations is in part a risk-reduction strategy These aflines are aknown quantity and assuming atlimited ability to afford risks the safest marriageprospects In a similar way the doryv system and its attendant series of preslationsafter marriage means that bhiradari endogam rep|asetlts the most reasonable way of protecting patriline property albeit at the expense ofrnot generating new kin links Caplan 11984223) stressed ho tile rcstriction ofnmrriages withint a group can create a circulating pool of resources in another Soth Asian setting

This has implications for the order of marriage preferences in tile Ptunjab It suggests that although the goal of every household is to maximize its advantageousconnections through marriage there will be inherent limitations on them related to

495 Social Organization and Marriage Timing Strategies inPakistan

their control of resources and the degree to which they can muster valuable commodities for exchange It also suggests that the ideology of marriage preferenceswill vary with social class To take the rural case a number of relationships arise We accept first that the majority of households in the rural Punjab are of Ajlaf status primarily descendents of Rajput and related converts to Islam We suggestthat rural marriage patterns tend to parallel those of antecedent groups and that documentation from the few rural studies supports this To summarize for the rural Punjab

0 Wealthier households will tend to marry daughters to nonrelatives more often than poor households since their interests are in expanding kin linkages and they can more readily assume the risks In addition there are lingering ideological jutificat ions tor doing so

Homogamo is nmarriagcs will outwunber hypergamous In those cases of hypershygany the value of marital trawactions and wealth 1oWS to the husbands family will be higher han in homogamous cases

Cases of hypogamy will occur but the value of transactions will he toward the wifes family and bride wealth may replace dowry

Both 1lpogarnlo1uS and hypCrgamnous marriages will beCmore associated with formal engagement than honiogamIIous marriages since they involve more risk and negotiation

The valuc of a daughtr is affected b inenarche and tihe anxiety about chastityT-vo possibilities arise n rcspor e to early rilenarche either a daughter will be rapidly married oil to nrotect her familys honor or she will be married at roughlythe same age as other daughtlers but to relatives who can feel most assured that she hits been protected

0 The sa lst marriaces are those contracted within tile biradari followed by those either within the rishltadari or ith a vartan connection The most risky marriages are t1ose contracted with a family wsith which no prior fornal connection exists these are most cleCMrl cnltCrCd into for the aVantagCs they confer

In a siting khere structural and ideological factors so explicitly stress the sAmbolic and exchangC value of womCnand where at womans age is a partial component of her idtnC we expect marriagc strategies to have implications for daughters ages at marriage A woman has virtuilly no say in the marriage process in the rural setting (asidC from a pro forma alification of arrangenments already made in the ikah cerenrony) and evn in urbtan settings it is clcar Ithat the pressures on parents cause them to discoirlnt thteir daughters wishes We expect then that marriage age will vary wilh the relative sttis ofilrmiliesCcdU tional altitinlent of women dowry payments and the dCgree of rClaltikAship between spotIses families prior to marriage Ourt hypotheses for nmrriagc timing ill tile rurall Punjal follow from atconsideration of daughtcrs as wealth

Rlationship he iuth n inlmiihA A dalughter age At marriagc Will vary with her tnatil hoimes relationship to her spouses natal ionC is t function ol cultural expectations of first choice and the pleNcribcd dirccti0l of1 Calth Ii lows between households Marriage within the biradari implies no alienation of property and this group is most assured of the chastity of the bride There is no reason for tier to marry early except that biradari members have first claim Mnd this claim mlust be removed if marriages outside the patriline are to be made In terms of property alienation there is no dilerence among the other (tgrees of relationship Both rishtadari and vartan

496 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 number 4 November 1986

groups however already possess cooperative links with each other marriagefunctions to reaffirm these Furthermore both groups have access to informa orabout the woman and are more secure than strangers about her chastity Completely new relationships established by marriage however will fully exploit a daughtersexchange value in the rural setting they will be the most likely to rely on formal culturally stated values Knowledge of a daughters chastity will be less secure insuch marriages and the culturally augmented inferiority of wife-givers in relation towife-receivers will mandate a flow of women possessing positive cultural attributes

HI These issues of property transfer and knowledge of a woman and her familylead us to predict that the youngest ages at marriage will be between previouslyunrelated families followed by biradari marriages Marriages between rishtadari and vartan groups will be the latest and at similar ages on average because of the structural similariy of prperty transfer and faith in a familys standing between these groups

Edctalion The desire for educated women is still ambiguous in the rural setting a little (less than the husbands) confers status on a womans natal home but too much can negatively affect marriage prospects Education enhances a womans value and offsets the decline in desirability that must occur with age

1-12 We expect the often-noted positive association between iuuation ind marriage age but we also expect it even when there is very brief attendance and no grade attainment

Dow v Dowry involves a transfer of property from the wifes natal home to thatof her husbands It serves in part to enhance the symbolic value of a daughter and can also offset her devaluation from biological aging

H3 Dowry will be positively associated with a womans age at marriage

Relatirestatus oJfiwmilies Marrying into a higher status family-hypergamy-isrisky and expensive across all measures f value Dowry payments will be higher for reasons that go beyond their offsetting of a daughters age Hypogamy-marriageinto a family of lower status-on the other hand reverscs the advantage and riskHypogamous marriag s do occur in spite of strong ideological sanctioni againstthem In such cases the husbands flamily is at a strong disadvantage in negotiationssince they are the initiators of the alliance and have much to g in We have two predictions about age at marriage and tle relative status of fanilies then

H4 We expect hypergamous marriages to be associated with the youngest average ages at marriage Hypoganous marriages will be associated with tile latest average ages at marriage

Age (it menaice We have noted that tile risk associated with accepting adaughtcr-in-la increases with duration since menarche in these transactions (cfPaige ind Paige 198 185) This event should be an important initiator of the marriage process

H5 We expect age at menarche to be positively related to marriage age For daughters

497 Social Organization and Marriage Timing Strategies in Pakistan

Wealth flows Transactions move in both directions at marriage and we expectthese to be related to the alliance-producing nature of the institution too Wealth flows toward the wifes natal home indicate this familys advantage in the contract in much the same way that hypogamous marriages give an advantage

1-16We expect flemale ages at marriage to be younger with wealth flows toward the husbands tamily

Entgoiumtzni Finally we expect that engagement before marriage is associated with the need to fornmalize the marriage process itself Among the functions served here are the ratification oftagreemcnts miade between families These should be most necessary with those marria cs contracted between unrelated families since families in some relationship to each other before marriage can afford to he more casLual

1-17 We expect marriage age to have a negative relationship to formal engageshyniCt11

DATA AND MEII()DS

The AsiaXifMarriaic r Itv

This analysis is based on data from the Pakistan round of the A ian MarriageSurvey (AMS) l)ata include a wide rnge of marriage and fertility information with special attention to cull ral variables and individual life history events for married women between the ages of 15 and 45and for asample of their husbands Systematicsamples of households were drawn to represent three socioeconomic settings in the Puljab-a rural sample from a few contiguous villages in Kasur and Sheikhupuradistricts an urban lowCr-class samnplC draIwu from squatter-dominated districts within lahore and an urban middle-class sample drawn from another district of Lahore Each sample is relativclv honogencous with respect to economic backshyground 1ndcurrent Standard of living as well as overall cultural milieu

Important innovations in the ANIS instruments include the breadth of topicscovered Each interview covered itwide range of basic social and economic characteristics in addition to dLtai from each ofthe spouses on parental characterisshytics the process of entry into marriage work and income attitudes toward marriage and divorce andIattitudes and aspirations for children life histories were ohtaincd for timing of events under the headings of eCLucation work marriage childbearingand fanily limitation For Pakistan especially impotant details of dowry paymentsand relationship of spouses were included in addition to information oi attitudes toward purdah and other aspects of Islam in PIakistan [he coMplcted sample for Pakistan contains interviews with 1011women and 588 men

Because this paper is concrncd wit Ii the transactioial strategies of marriage we include only cases for which both wifes and husbands information is available In addition the data contain the event truncation bias that is built into all cross-section samples of ever-married persons (Ryder 1975) Because young ever-married women conic fron cohorts with incomplete marriage experience women in those cohorts who were mici at the younger ages are disproportionately selected The age bywhich 90 percent of recent cohorts will have been married was estimated at 21 and we have excluded women below this age (Smith and Karim 1980) [hus the initial rural sample of 351 respondents becomes 173

Indicators of Marriage Siratgy

Table I pi -sents the distribution of cases for a range of variables Of these indicators fmost direct interest are those that have to do with family influence and

498 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 numbe 4 November 1986

Table I-Selected characteristics of female respondents rural households in Pakistan Asian Marriage Survey

Percent in Percent inVariable category Variable category

Fathers occupaticnb Zamindar Agricultural laborer Unskilled laborer Skilled laborer White collar worker

Womans education Literate

Never attended school Attended 0 attainment 1-8 grades 9-12 grades 13 or more grades

Womans occupational status before marriage

No work Family work Wage w rk

Current household has electricity

Age at menarche lt13 13

gt13

Engagement status Not engaged Engaged

Participation in choice of spouse by woman

No participation Some participation

(172) 517 250 105 58 70

(173) 100

434 451 93 23 00

(173) 58

509 434

559

(173) 393 329 277

(171) 433 567

(173) 1000 00

Frequency cf meeting with spouse before marriage (169)

Never or once 544 Infrequently or often 456

Relationship between families before marriage (170)

No relationship 294 Vartan 176 Rishtadari 341 Biradari 188

Type of dowry (173) Nonehousehold goods 353 Cashluxuries 647

Value of payments to husbands family (172)

0-499 rupees 163 500-9T9 rupees 151 1000-1999 rupees 221 2000-3999 rupees 209 4000-5999 rupees 99 6000-10000 rupees 105 10000 or more rupees 52

Wealth flows at marriage (172) To wifes fanily 174 Balanced 291 To husbands family 535

Marriage type by relative land status of families (173) Hypogamous union 116 Landless homogamy 220 Landed homogamy 509 Iypergamous union 156

Note Figures in parentheses are number of case-- available for given variable

a The original sample includes 351 women Interviews with husband were available for 198 of these women among the 198 25 were under age 21 and have therefore been excluded

b At time of womans birth

strategic behavior in marriage Additional variables that we include are education and fathers occupation itsindicators of class backgiound and achievement We will not comment extensively on these except to note first the striking agrariancharacter of the rural stratum Second we wish 1o point out an unusual feature of education for women A substantial number of women enter school but never complete a single grade (full year) of instruction Further earlier analysis (Cherlin etal 1985b) revealed that these women marry significantly later than those who have

499 Social Organization and Marriage Timing Strategies in Pakistan

never attended school alall The extent to which this is a phenomenon restricted to women is revealed by comparison of distributions for husbands and wives In nostratum is there a comparable percentage of men who have atiended school wiihotrtattainir-g a grade Our inclination is to interpret this in terms of the exchange value of women which we will discuss in a later section

Iinally we note the distribution of type of work before manage for womenWomen reporting 1io work at all appear to be from wealthier households with theability to afford ortholoXy We expect those women most restricted by purdah to bein this group Family work is defined as work within the household enterprisewhether farm trade or stnall-commodity production and wage work impliespayment from an enterprise other than the fatnilys It is important to realize thatthese wages are invariably turned over to the household head The distributions for frequenCV of meetings between spouses before marriage andchoice of spouse are given in table I only to show tileextent to which women lackcontrol in their marital decisions No wonman in the rural amtple reported any degreeof choice in her sousC other than the ratification of parental choice in tilenikah ceremony The extent of meetings between spouses beiore marriage on the otherhand most likely reflects meetings between couples before puberty and the need forpurdah A strong correlation between kinship and more frequent meetings suggests

this

Var6h1es

Taking each variable separately we discuss their construction and the rationalefor inclusion here

AK (itneM11rht This variable is coded from a straightforward question askingage at first menses It is possible that the importance of menarche in this settingencouiraged misitatement of actual ages (Paige and Paige 198179-82) Neverthelesswe retain the variable in the analysis because of its centrality in outr discussionRelationrship hetween aimilies heone marriag ()ur earlier discussion of thedegrees of relatedness within which marriaie may occur in Pakistan leads us todistinguish four categories For the rural stratin Three questions on the schedule

(124A-l124) are the isis for the coding Was your spouse related to you beforemarriage Were you r and his families friends or neighbors before marriage [lowwere you related We define as marrying within ile biradarioi tnlythose respondentswho explicitly identified their relationship with their spouse itsbeing throughpatrilineal kin Other degrees of relationship are defined as rishtdari usingassumpons based on the di sinclination to reverse wealth flows from generation togeneration and other Punjabi cultural values tcf Parrv 1979 Eglar 1960 Das 1973)

ltigVdit(fltI We incindC a vatriable for engagemeit before marriaue as anindicator of marriage fOrmality Th is is taken directly from a quest ion concerningwhether tlhc respondent was formally engaged

ivpe ofdorvrv This indicator measure the extent to which dowvrv was intendedto provide for the new household rather than attract a husband Traditional dowriestended to be conlined to household goods f0r the sc of the nc couple Recent years have seen the inflation of dowry to include money and cash goods throughoutSouth Asia othe abscnce of these is soirmething of ati indictlor of sociocconionlicstatus in modern marriages We include it here with the expectation that tile type ofdowry will also be related to tile arebargaining process (ash and luxury dowriesexpected to bea feature of hypergamous marriages

I ahle oflaynent to htushandr flmintv [his indlicator is codCd froni I directquestion to male respondents Though we might dotbt the accuracy of such

500 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 number 4 November 1986

responses in some contexts these payments are reported by ethnographers to be a source of some pride in Muslim marriages indeed a part of the wedding ceremony involves the declaration of gifts to the husbands family and the nature and value of items are recorded in a book as they are called out Thus we expect these responses to be very close to their true values and important indicators of marital transactions between families

tIaniogany We have constructed in indicator designed to roughly measure the relative homegamy of marriages by using land as an indicator of status We expectthis to be a good measure for rural households in which the agrarian economy makes land a critical productive resource Nevertheless we must stress that it is an imperfect measure of homogamy in spite of lands importance since we have no measure of relative amounts owned Hypergamous marriages are defined as those in which a landless womans family has made a marital link with a landed family whereas hypogamous marriages represent the opposite case In our initial analysis tand in table I) we broke marriages dok n into subgroups of landed and landless but these are combined in the analysis presented here since there was no difference between them

Wealth flows tt marriage This indicator is directly constructed from questionsabout the value of marital transactions in both directions In the analysis below we combine thoe categories in which wealth flows were either toward the wonins nata home or balanced since the Punjabi culural ideal is that flows should be tcward the husbands home IBut note evidence from elsewhere in South Asia of change in the direction of wealth flows (IIdcnbaum 1981 Caldwell Reddy and Caldwell 1982 1983 Crplan 1984))

Method o AnalYsis

We employ least squares regression to estimate the coelficients associated with variables taken as predictors of wives ages lt marriage The set of variables just discussed-the marriage-process variables-are distinguisoed from a set of backshyground or control variables All variables are ncasured as catcgories and are entered into the equations as dummy variables although a multiple classification analysisforinat has been used to present the result in tables 2 and 37 We present one unadjusted and two adjusied mean ages at marriage for each category in these tables The unadjusted column represents the effect of each indicator when its et of dummy varitbles is entered into the cquation by itself The first column of adjusted means reflects the effects when age at marriage is rcgrescd on the set of variables specified in the given table by themselves Adjusted means in the second colunn indicate the effec of each set of dunmmy variables entered along with all control and other

R2marriage-process variables The for each set of measures is the variance explained by that group of dummy variables above For the adjusted neans the incremental R-2s presented represent the additional variance explained by each set of dummy variables after all others have been entered into the equation for that column We ha- indicatcd significance levels up to the 010 level because the small sample tends to reduce significance levels even when the coefficients are quite large in absolute terms In fact nearly all variables shown to be significant at the 0 10 level are very close to the 0)0(6 level of significance

RESITl I S

Table 2 presents the results of our regression for those background variables not directly tested here In general we find that those that are significant by themselves retain their significance even after other variables are entered We can see from this

501 Soial Organization and Marriage Timing Strategies in Pakistan

Table 2-Mean age at marriage hy background variables unadjusted and adjusted

Mean age atmarriage Number 0Variable Unadjusteda Adjusted Adjustdc of cases

Cohortd lt30 173 171 171 84 30-34 176 177 173 20 35-39 166 167 165 31 40-45

(Increment in R2 ) 173 (010)

176 (010)

179 (020)

30

Class backgrounde Farmer 172 172 172 88 Agricultural laboLer 164 167 167 3e Blue collarprofessional 180 177 177 39 (Increment in R2) (034) (012) (012)

Womans education No schooling 161 163 164 72 Attended 0 attairment 177 173 175 74 1-12 years completed (Increment in R2)

193 (124)

191 (090-)

185 (045 )

19

Womans occupational status before marriage

Family work or no work 177 176 176 92 Wage work 165 167 165 73

(Increment in R2) (041) (021) (038)

r(ran1 mean 172 Total cases 165

R2 for all background variables 171

R2 controlling for marriage process variables 124

a Zero-order mean b Controlling for other background variables c Controlling for other background variables and all family process

variables d Age at survey date e Fathers occupation at time of womans birth

significant at the 01 level significant at the 05 level significant at the 10 level

tabulation that there are no cohort trends in marriage age in our sample of women and that class background appears to make little difference in marriage timing once controls are included in the equation The moc-t interesting pattern in educational effects on marriage age is with that group of women who have attended school hut never finished a grade These women marry a full year later t ian those who have never attended even after controls are entered We also note iatwomen who work for wages before marriage marry a year younger on ihe averae than those who work for their families The latter two results are not predicted by the standard theories of marriage Nevertheless the overall results presented in table 2 support the imporshy

502 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 number 4 N3vember 1986 tance of education and occupation as components of the complete explanation ofmarriage timing The background vaiables by themselves account for 17 percent ofthe variation in marriage age and continue to account for over 12 percent of thatvariation even after adjustment for marriage-process variables

Turning to table 3 we can more precisely see the contribution of our marriageshyprocess variables to the egt plaration Looking at the zero-order relationships firstwe see that three of these-the relationship between families before marriage valueof dowry and marital homogamy-make large and statistically significant contribushytions to marital timing At this level we find good support for our hypothesesconcerning the effects of each of these variables on marriage age Thus the earlymarriers categorized by relationships are those whose marriages are contractedwith strangers followed by those married within the patriline The latest marriers arethose who marry nonpatrilincally related kin or into vart ri groups We also find thatvalue of payments to hubarids family is positively associated with marriage ageOur hypothesis concerning marital homogamy and marriage agc receives moremixed support Wonen in hypogamous union are the latest marricrs as predictedbut not as expected hypergamously married women not the eariiest marriagesare

Other hypotheses receive no support at this level Age at menarche appears tohave a weak positive relationship wivh age at marriage but the result is notsignificant and the Rshyincrement is quite small Nor does engagement status dowrytype or direction of wealth flows make any significant difference to marriage ageWhen we enter controls for other marriage-process variables (cf first adjustedmean) wealth qows ichieve significance in reiation to marriage age and in thepredicted direction but no other variable shifts toward significance in this way

The absence of a positive relationship between age at nenarche and marriagetiming is notable since a significant relationshIip has been reported ini a wide varietyof social settings (Udry and Cliquet 1982) One possible explanation is attenuationdue to misstatement of actual ages at first menses We have already cited Paige andPaige 11981) in this connection and the age pattern of menses ages in our data suggests some convergence of responses on normative ages Yet other relationishipsin our data arc consistent with accurately reported ages at menarche For examplecross-tabulalions of age at first menses and whether a woman was formally engagedbefore narriage show that lower ages at menarche are associated with the absence ofengagement This is n expected relationship our hypotheses predict a speeding up(f the marriage process lic menarche is relatively early one way to achieve this isthrough the deletion of certain elements in the process Further indication ofaccurately reportedi ages at menarhe appears when we consider the relationshipbetween age at first menses and age at marriage separately for landed and landlesshouseholds Within the landless group there is no relationship Among landedhouseholds on the other hand there is a consistent rise in the age at marriage with age at menarche-from 169 for those who experience mcenarche before age 13 to182 for those who experience menarche after age 13 This is as predicied sincelanded households are the most likely to contract marriages with unrelated familiesin which the element of risk and concern about chastity weigh the heaviest

In general the marriage-process variables retain iheir effects when controls areentered although there is a slight weakening in the levels of significance Given arelatively small sample size our results provide heartening support for a theory ofmarriage that includes social-structural and transactional elements The full regresshysion results (not shown here) show thai all of these variables together account for over 27 percent of the variance in marriage timing in the rural sample Our analysisshows that both the standard background or control variables a-d the more

503 Social Organization and Marriage Timing Strategies in Pakistan

Table 3-Mean age at marriage by marriage process variables unadjusted and adjusted

Mean age at marriage NumberdegVariable Unadjusteda Adjusted Adjusted of cases

Relationship between families before marriageNo relationship 163 162 165 49Biradari 169 171 169 32 HishtadariVartan

2178 178 177 84

(Increment in R ) (046) (049) (026)

Age at menarche lt13 169 171 170 65 13 173 172 174 57

gt13 174 172 172 43 (Increment in R2 ) (004) (000) (003)

Engagement status Not engaged 172 174 172 70Engaged

2172 171 171 95

(Increment in R ) (000) (002) (000)

Type of dowryNoneHousehold goods 170 173 173 56 CashLuxuries 173 171

2 171 109 (Increment in R ) (001) (001) (002)

Value of payments to husbands family

0-499 rupees 161 155 159 26 500-999 rupees 167 165 166 25 1000 or more rupees 175 177 176 1142(Increment in R ) (036) (052) (026)

Marriage typeHypergamoua union 173 171 174 27 Isogamous uniond 169 169 168 121Hypogamous union 189 194 192 172(Increment in R ) (042) (060) (046)

Wealth flows at marriage BalancedTowards wifes

family 171 178 178 76 Toward husbands family 173 167 -67 892(IncremenL in R ) (001) (021) (022)

Grand mean 172 Total cases 165

R2 for all marriage process variables 147

R2 controlling for background variables 101

a Zero-order mean b Controlling for other marriage process variables c Controlling for other marriage process variables and all background

variables d Between two landed or between two landless families

oignificant at 01 significant at the 05 level

s the level

significant at the 10 level

504 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 number 4 November 1986

structural and cultural variables account for their own parts of this variance Thus background variables explain a unique 12 percent of the variance and the marriageshyprocess variables explain an additional 10 percent The remaining 52 percent is explained jointly by the two sets of variables

Our analysis supports most of our hypotheses and on balance reinforces the perspective from which they are derived Regarding I-1-that marriage between unrelated groups will result in the youngest and marriage between rishtadari and vartan groups the latest ages at marriage-we have complete support More than a year separates the oldest and youngest groups even after all controls are entered

Our second hypothesis-that education will be positively associated with marshyriage-is also supported We have included this variable with the other backgroundfactors because superficially this relationship is hardly surprising Nevertheless the significant increase of a year in marriage age that occurs even when a grade of school isnot completed suggests an unconventional interpretation of the importanceof education in this setting Thus education must have its effects because of the symbolic value it has fbr the wife-receivers in the arriage transaction rather than because of it impact on the wonman herself

H3 concerning the positive relationship between dowry vaIC and age at marriage is supported here with more than a year and ihalf separating earliest and latest marrying groups This is true even with controls for class background and the inflation of dowry values that we might expect to be associated with class background

Our fourth hypothesis concerning the relationship between lionioganiv and marriage age receives only mixed support Hypogamously marrying women are the latest marriers by nearly two years That hypergrrmous marricrs are not the yonngest may be because using lnded status results in an imperfect measure

Finally H6-that marriage age will be negatively associated with wealth flows to the husbands family-is supported only after controls for other marriage-processvariables are included The meaning of this pattern is uncleCar and may be a function of an association between dowry value and wealth flow not yet investigated

Our hypothesis concerning engagement and menarche has not Found support in this analysis We have already mentioned possible problems with the menarchevariable Our phrasing of the engagement hypothesis issuch that a zero-order effect should have been evident and disappearet when the control for relationship between families is entered That no zero-order effect was evident suggests that our association of engagement with socially riskier marriages is wrong Rather engageshyment may be considered a component of all marriages its association with later menarche alluded to earlier suggests that elements of the marriage process may be altered in response to unpredictable events

DISCUSSION

Our perspective couched in ethnographic knowledge of Punjabi social organizashytion and the culturally determined roles of women receives strong support from this analysis This is not to argue that the more standard development indicators are unimportant in explanations of marriage timing Rather we have demonstrated that a more complete understanding will be gained by considering the ranges of behavior permitted and forbidden in particular cultural settings

The results further encourage such comparative analyses by cautioning againsttaking pretransition settings to be without individual-level variation in behavior To say that a society is organized patrilineally or that inheritance is partible is not enough Even in Pakistani Punjab where the constraints of ideology on behavior

505 Social Organization and Marriage Timing Strategies in Pakistan

may be thought of as especially powerful we have shown that there is room for flexible responses that have their impact on marriage timing

We have used the rural Punjab case to present a model in which the alliance function of marriage is very important We suggest that the underlying componentsof such a society include its agrarian orientation and its unilineal kinship organizashytion It is possible that the model we have begun to develop here will find useful application in other partrilineal rural settings in the rest of South Asia and elseshywhere

Finally a note on social change We consciously directed our attention to a pretransition setting to highlight the need to consider the cultural and social milieu from which populations move as they undergo transition Interpretations of the transition in marriage behavior and its consequences for fertility begin to go astraywhen they focus unduly on individuals while ignoring issues of social structure and social control Education is not always related to the autonomy of women Caldwells finding that women in South India may be educated by their parents toenhance their marriageability (Caldwell Reddy and Caldwell 1982) finds parallels in our Punjabi analysis Similarly there is strong support here for a perspective that looks at marriage within the whole context of productive relationships

This has implications for the way we conceive of the interaction between valuesand institutions in social change Education of women for example although an innovative institutional feature within the rural setting seems to have unexpectedeffects on marriage timing that can be adequately explained only with reference to an extant value system or cultural milieu The extent to which this system retains its hold on the rural Punjab is evident from the strength of the marriage-processvariables in our analysis All of the hypotheses concerning their effects assume traditional values for the area Similarly the association of wage work with younger ages at marriage makes sense when we consider the risks to a daughtersmarriageability that come from exposure to extra-domestic influences Rather than suggesting some sort of cultural stasis however we argue that change will occur Our point is that the effects of these institutional components of transition will not be uniform across cultural settings Innovations will have their initial effects on behavior in ways that are corsistent with existing cultural values and these effects may be surprising

There is a clear call here for the inclusion of indicators for these effects in social surveys We have been able to explore these issues only because the AMS was designed to evoke culture-specific features of the marriage process Such data are rare however and in any case the social survey alone should not be expected to provide detailed models that allow us to make cultural sense of these processes (cfCaldwell Reddy and Caldwell 1984) We have also been fortunate in being able to use ethnographic sources in developing our interpretation although our sources for ethnographic and survey data are often separated by approximately two decades and none of the ethnographies describes the same villages in which the survey was conducted As a closing comment that cannot be fully elaborated here we suggestthe need to develop methodologies that combine survey and ethnographic data collection in formal and complementary ways

NOTES Sahlins calls this type of economy the domestic mode of production (1972) Among its characterisshy

tics are that it is an economy of production for use---ne penetrated with such noneconomic claims as ritual ceremonial and social diversion and one organized around donestic groups usually the family

2 Important examinations of the alliance theme appear in Dumont (1993) Parry (1979) and Yalman (1971) and its central importance in Muslim areas is documented in Eglar (1960) and Naveed-i-Rahat

506 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 number 4 November 1986 (1981) The nature of status and hierarchy as a cross-cutting feature of social organization and marriagemay be examined in Fruzzetti and Oster (1982) I Ahmad (1978) Korson (1971) and S Ahmad (1977)See Ortner (1981) for another treatment of wonlens stalus in hierarchic il settings Finally iherelationship between wealth flows marriage and hierarchy is treated in Tantbiah ( 1973ab) Caplan(194) and Gough (1956) in addition it) the above sources

Important differences in the definition of biradari sugges that -glar may have overslated the degree towhich patriline and biradari identify the same group For the Raiputs in Kangra biradari refers to group of clans within which marriages may be contracted in equalitI lParr the

19794) and AhIttad ( 19741571suggested that the biradari is a wider group than the ittediate patriline in Pakistan as well In any casethe breadth of the group to tich hiradari can appl seetis to be soitewhat dependent on context I Eglar196076) and we will restrict its meaning in this paper to palriline Also see lrtlzetti 1192115-116) for a parallel Bengali level of social i)rganization I Hypergamy refers to marriages it hich wives marr into higher statu families (otmpare wihhomogamy for marriages bet een faiimilies of equal statiu and lvpogaltv ill thich kotneninar intolower status families

Korson (1979150-151) in contrast reports a pattern for urban Pakistat il Mich these saneexchange marriages are desirable unions SirnilLrlv tlershinim (1981193) ieports that the Sikhs andHindus in the part of Indian lunjab where lie orkeitegarded such niarriage as quintesential] MusliitThe apparent explanation is the etent to lich nton-Ashraf groups those descended trout Hinduconverts relain the ideology of their aincesors ]vidence here suggests that in rural areas the extent is great

These data constitute a rich bodv ofrve rtatet il gatlicied in ile lutntab in 1979 by Sabiha If SvedIWomens Division Cabinet Secretariat (itivernment of Pakistan) (tordination of ilte project usasprovided by Peter C Smith (Iast-Wesl Populatiot Instittlel Similar tres erc conducted atl iboutthe same time in Indonesia thte Philippines and lhailand lhe tespective investigalors were Peter FMcDonald (Ausi-alian National ltiversitv Mercedes II CoitcepcionI tniversit ofthe Philippines) andAphichat Chamratrilhirong (Mahidol I niyersjtvi

See Suit 119571 and Andre s Morgan and Sonuist 119167 t- lie iustiication and method ofconversion from regression to intuliple clissilicatil uanalvsis otellicietlts The standard deviation is 1014ears cottnpaied tth 153 to as gtat as 2ol it the other three AMS

Countries For example the patlentci iiitrgeiterait l shilts i fitnik relatlonhips in llivrln slitius s tantalizing

contextual sintilarities to South Asiln societies Icf lIhor t1i11( hlng nd Still 1984)

A(K NI()VI)(F NTS The Asian Marriage Survey for Pakistat was carried out under US Agency forInternational Developmenl Grant DI)PSE-6-()048 The present research was conductshyed with supporl from the National Science Foundation (SES-8319904) Earlierversions of this paper were presented at tile East-West Population Institute

Wednesday Seminar and to a seminar at the Institute of Pakistan Studies Quaid-i-Azam University Islamahad We wish to thank the facitlt and students of Quaid-i-Azam University for their helpful Colllntls during the setninar In particularProfessor Dar Director of the Institule of Pakistan SIudics oflered especially usefulcriticisms We also acknowledge the comments of Furqan Ahmlad John BauerAndrew Cherlin Deborah Freedman Doris Nayyar and Arland Thornton onvarious earlier drafts while absolving all of them of any errors in our interpretationand analysis

R F - RFN( ES Ahiad 1 1978 Fndoganiy ird siaUs mohilit antong Siuldiqui lteikhs tl Allahlhad Itar radeslh Pp171-211 in I Ahinad (ct (t t t ui t fl otltili loi ot fiesthti iii In ha 2nd edt New

Delhi Manohar Ahnuad S 1974 A village in Palkistani Ilani ah jalpal 11p131-1 72in C Malones led) South siaSerei (ommunttv Prefii Nes Yuik tloll Rinehart and Winston

1977 (Clo anl en rt in I i uniai Villae Nesy York Monthil Revie s PressAndrews F M J N Morgan and J A Stiquist 197 Mulliph (latilit aion Attalvsi Ann ArborMich Institute for Soicial Researci

Social Organization and Marriage Timing Strategies in Pakistan 507 BIloch NI 1973 The long term and the Nhor tern The economic and politicil signiticance of the morality

of kinship P1p75-87 in J (oody led) Ihe (hvlero Kinihip (anthridge Cambridge Univerit Press

Cain 1198 1 Risk and insurance Perspectives on tertilith and agrarian change in India and Ilangladesh 11opidation ad A 7435-474I)e eloliintReiuit

1982 Perspectives on family aind ferfilil indeveloping countnres )opuhtlion Stuldie 36159-175Cain M S R Khanutin and S N ahar 1979 (lass paiiriarchv and wtomens ork in Iangladesh

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at IUSSP Micro-l)emographN Working Group Conference Australian Naiotil UniversityCaplitn I 1984 Itldegloiin price it turhan India (lass CaSte and do rv evil amiong Christians ir

Miatdra Man 19210-233 Carleton R () 1975 Educattion and fertiltis (p 115-166 sit IV V Mtihmi ledIi ldination anid

Iuoptutn Ahloitl IlilI t ielgillill IUSSI (herlin A J P C S1ttln I ricke I I)omiingo Adioetonio A (hliiiittrlhirong atnd S II Sed

I985a tfttll inltience iln the (tilting ti imirriage IFiletcc ll)tt Itlil Atin Nocleties (1Ipcr preeiltedilt lrkshop (htigiig MNIiriiage 1t1 lie Itil iii Asia Sila I hiallild Feb 21-24

- -1985h Etlicition ind age titmarriage |-itdence (ront Itcir Asinll ocleIe Papel presented lt torkslht Chanlging Mlartiage and tihe Fanil in Asia Silta Il tild Feb 21-24Cochrane S 1 19710 Iitttft and I~dtaitiol Mihat A) tii Rctilx A m Ittnloic Ill John IHopkins I rniverit Prcss

l)as 1973 Ifie strictiure oll timtanae preferences kii ilttouli (lit kistit fictilcti l1(1n8311-45 Du ont I 198 Ilierrch and marriage allitnce in Soulh lndimii kinslip tt iginllll published 1957)

Pp 18- ((4 in L I)tinot fetl) Alitv it a Value lrrtAtct- lilh cIllnSoti India With Coiptlirtllt i s1111 oit lrtit (Chicagio inilersit of Chica eol ess)Non I_ and Ntllre 1983 (In kinship Ntrlictlre fcnilile t lmld denographic behavior inthonliihIthaI 1qttaw anid Ikitl lopit~tnt Rtivt 9)1-00l

Lglr Z 19610A Piniali Iill in tAiti Ne )ioik (oltinibit niersit PressF-ores 11958 Introdtuction Ip 1-14 it J (iootl led I IH+ithI lop etal( irhi Plottiesih Groupsl Cambridge UK (Caubridge Liiciy r IcS

louster B 1978 I)(Inlestlc deveopIientiIl ccles is a link letsen ptoplaitilon plioces es and olher social processes Joturnall I ltleult It 14411-44 I0lnlthrol Rckea1tl

|os R 1967 Kiittitip lt(I l littwtt -h alrl UK PenguinAittthrohe11 1 IIttnlondirth

PressFrutietm IL 11982 Iif (|It oit ti t tireint lioic IhlttlQ1 and itu~al tit it Bit+eah S wit Ne

l iti-ick NJ R tgers lI r isti PicrNe lHtietti I_ d A (ster t1982 11dblood Ill CIngA (teglor and illcct Il the tdlI of kinship

caste and unliitig- I1p I-s5 ii A (slet L Friwulett intl S 1litt1te10 ds) (npt11 0 lrtinKtill tlp ( -ivt wild Altnrl~ e ill bidhw (itnlih idge l~t ut i~d tUniiecsil Ilrt

Giotugh K 19 HItlhntin kinship ill a itnlil village At l lilt lthqohwit SS 26-851 Ilerhnmn P 1981 IotitiiotKi(htl andl fIitnitc)elhi Iindilslatn ItibhhingKeeing R 1975 KiN (roup io1 itl ttt+tt- Net York ll1 Riniehrl ind Wilton Korson I If Fid in il1971 ldgilltotis ntirrige ti idtitit Mutslimn olct est (kisaltri ll141r114101Ciparative tivhStudieN 213 I145-15i - --- 179 ModeltliualtI iiJ sicial chang-T ihe latitil n Ilktiliti Pp Iitl)0-20 7 it NI Singh I)a and

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ii+lenhitn (1) l r (ichalgiI alilA Ilanlnmt 12(l 109II4-401

9 itpicitiins illlen g Illltge nlItiSt nn111InIIIangJduesthlt dii itt

Mits n K () 1484 Thc sdltlus k+o111cent1 ilorit ofilf fertlmhl atnd A it~ik inlte ktjn hips Universit of Michigaipulation Studies (Centel Resetich Report 84-58

NIeNicoll i 1980 Instltiuional determinants II lertilits chang olation hld iloptlnliit Reviit 6441-462

Naveed-i-Ribal 1981 (he role of wonen in reciprocal relation hlip titi Iinlhab village Ip 47-81 in T SEpstein and R A Walli leds )7 Inhi Iay ot Calt Matlraltit Rtiral Wottnnlmli New York Perganon Prcss

Ortner S B 1981 (lender and semiality in hierarchical societie The cae of Polynesia and some

508 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 number 4 November 1986

comparative implications Pp 359-409 in S 13Ortner and H Whitehead (eds) Sexual Meanings The Cultural Construction of Gender and Sesuality Cambridge UK Cambridge University Press

Paige K E and J M Paige 1981 The Politics of Reproductive Ritual Berkeley University of California Press

Papanek H 1984 False specialization and the purdah of scholarship-A review article Journal ofAsian Studies 44127-148

Parry J P 1979 Caste and Kinship in Kangra London Routledge and Kegan Paul Ryder N 131975 Fertility measurement through cross-sectional surveys Social Forcei 547-35

1983 Fertility and family structure Population Bulletin olfthe United Nations 1515-34 Sahlins M 1972 Stone Age Econoinici New York Aldine Slocum W L J Akhtar and A FSahi 1959 Villaie Libf+ in lahome District Lahore University of the

Punjab Social Science Research Centre Smith P C 1980 Asian marriage patterns in tt insition Journal ufl aind 1Iistory 556-96

1983 The impact of age at marriage and proportions marrying on fertility Pp 473-531 in R Bulatao and R Iee (eds) termniinantv Academicof Ferility in 1) veloping Countries New York Press

Smith P C and M 1 Karim 1980 Urbanization education and marriage patterns Four cases from Asia No 71 in Paprs of Ih a t- PopIda Ihnoulti Hi East-West PopulationPpultion Institute Institute

Suits DB 1957 Use of dttiunlut variables in regression equations Journal tit the Anerican Statitical Asociation 52548-551

Tambiah S J 1973a Dowry aud bridewealth and the property rights of women in South Asia Pp 51)-1(9in JGoody and SJTarnhiah (eds) Bridei cilthand I)m rvCambridge UK Cambridge University Press

1973b From arna to caste through mixed unions lp 191-229 in JGoody edlI 1he Character ofKinhip Cat ibridge UK Cambridge University Press

Tandon P 1968 Punjahi (Centurv1857-1947 Berkeley niversuty of California Press Thadani V 1978 The logic of sentiment The fansily and social change opulation and )evelopment

Review 4457-499 Thornton A M C Chang and T-H Stin 1984 Social and ecootrtuic change intrgeneratlonal

relationships and family formation in laisman 1)cinoyraphv 21475-499 Udry JR and R L Cliquet 1982 A criiss-cultural esamination of the relationship between ages at

menarche marriage and first birth Dmnnographv 1953-63 Vreede-de Stuers C 1968 Parda A Stidv of luslji )loonenlife illNoritiern India New York

Humanities Press Yalman N 1971 Under the Bo Tree Studies inCaie Kinship and Marriage in the Interior ofCeyhi

Berkeley University of California Press

177

RECENT AVAILABLE REPRINTS OF THE EAST-WEST POPULATION INSTITUTE No 172 Conclusion by Lee-Jay Cho reprinted from The IndustrialFutureof the fIzcific Basin RogerBenjamin and Robert T Kudrle eds Westview Press Colorado 1984 173 Asian Labor Migration to the Middle East by Fred Arnold and Nasra M Shah reprinted

front InternationalMigration Review Sum mer 1984 174 Repeatability of infant deaths in Korea by Chai Bin Park and Alfred C Hexter reprinted

from nhternationaljournal of Epideniolhgy September 1984 175 Comparative analysis of fertility orientations World Fertility Survey findings by Lee-Jay Cho ind Louise Kantrow reprinted from Predicting Fertility DenographicStudies ofBirth Expectations Gerry E I lendershot and Paul J Placek eds Lexington Books DC

I leath and Company Massachusetts 1981 176 Census-derived estimates of fertility by duration since first marriage in the Republicof Korea by Robert 1) Retherlord ee-JaY Cho ard Narn-Il Kim reprinted from Deinogshy

raphy November 481 The value of daughters and sons A comparative study of the gender preferences of parshyents bv Fred Arnold and Eddie CY Kujo reprint_d from fournal of Comparative Fanih Studes Summer 1984

178 Analysing open birth interval distributions by Griffith FeeneY and John A Ross reprintedfrom Population Studies Novembet 1981

17 Population dynamics arid policy in the eoples Republic of China by Lee-jay Choreprinted from The Annals if TheAneirican Acadenii ufoPliticaland Sociai Science Chinain Transitim vol 476 Marvin F Wolfgang ed Sage lublications Beverly Hills Califorshynia 1984

180 Personal networks and the adoption of family planning in rural Korea by Joung ImKim arid Janmes A lihlmore reprinted from Journalov Population and I halth Studies Dshycember 1984

181 Determinants of birth-interval length in the Philippines Malaysia and Indonesia Ahazard-model analysis by James Trussell Linda G Martin Robert Feldman James APalmore Mercedes Concepcion and Datin Noor Laily lBt Dato Abu Bakar reprinted Denograply May 1985

182 Shadow households and competing auspices Migration behavior in the Philippinesby Fe Caces Fred Arnold Jame T Fawcett and Robert W Gardner reprinted fior lourshynal of Development Econonics lanuarv-February 1985 183 Perceptions of the value of children Satisfaction and costs by James 1 Rawcett reprinted

from Detrniinantsof lertiliti in Devehpin Counitries vol 1 Rodolfo A Bulatao and RonaldD Lee eds Acaderic Press Inc 1983 184 Diffusion processes affecting fertility regulation bv Robert I) Retherford and JamesA Palmore reprinted from Determiintsof lirtlityqin Dcvelopiing Countries vol 2 RodolfoA Bulatao and Ronald D Lee eds Academic Press Inc 1983 185 The impact of age at marriage and proportions marrying on fertility by Peter C Smithreprinted from Determinantsof lirtiilit in Develolmkg Countries vol 2 Rodolfo A gulatao

and Ronald D Lee eds Academic Press Inc 1983 186 Migration of women to cities The Asian situation in comparative perspective by Siew-Ean Khoo Peter C Smith and James T Fawcett reprinted from lnternationalMigration

Rtview Special Issue Noten in AlM ratin Winter 1984

187 Measuring the effect of sex preference on fertility The case of Korea by Fred Arnold ieprinted from Dernography May 1985

18 Exploring the normative basis for age at marriage in Thailand An example from focus group research by Anthony Pramualratana Napaporn Havanon and John Knodel reprinted from Journalof Marriageand the Family February 1985

189 The non-economic consequences of Asian labor migration to the Middle East by Nasra M Shah and Fred Arnold reprinted from International Union for the Scientific Study of Population lnternaitonalPopulation Conference Florence 1985 vol 3 1985

190 Parity progression projection by Griffith Feeney reprinted from International Union for the Scientific Study of Population InternationalPopiulation Conference Florence 1985 vol 4 1985

191 A theory of marita fertility transition by Robert D Retherford reprinted from Popula tion Studies July 1985

192 Cultural variations in the transition to marriage in four Asian societies by Paul Cheung Josefina Cabigon Aphichat Chamratrithirong Peter F McDonald Sabila Syed Andrew Cherlin and Peter C Smith reprinted from International Union for the Scientific Study of Population InternationalPopulation Conference Florence 1985 vol 3 1985

193 Decision making and sex selection with biased technologies by Neil GBennett and Andrew Mason reprinted from Sex Selection of Children Neil G Bennett ed Academic Press Inc 1983

194 US farm migration An application of the Harris-Todaro model by Daniel B Suits reprinted from Economic Development and Cultural Chang vol 33 no 4 1985

195 Health of Hlmong in Thailand Risk factors morbidity and mortality in comparison with other ethnic groups by Peter Kunstadter reprinted from Culture Medicine and Psyshychiairy vol 9 no 4 1985

196 Evaluation of contraceptive history data in the Republic of Korea by Anne R Pebley Noreen Goldman and Minja Kim Choe reprinted from Stldies ii Family PlanningJanushyaryFebruary 1986

197 Circulation between home and other places Some propositions by Murray Chapman and R Mansell Prothem and Me go walkabout you too by Murray Chapman reprinted from Circulationin Population Mozement Substance and Concepts fion tie Melnesian Case Murray Chapman and R Maniell Prothero eds Routledge amp Kegan Paul 1985

198 Fijians and Indo-Fijians in Suva Rural-urban movements and linkages by Shashikant Nair reprinted from Circulationin PopulationMovement Substance and Concepts fron the Melanesian Case Murray Chapman and R Mansell Prothero eds Routledge amp Kegan Paul 1985

199 Linkages between internal and international migration The Ilocos Norte experience by Fred Arnold and Ricardo G Abad reprinted from PhilippinePopulationJournalJune 1985

200 An economic analysis of recent fertility in Japan by Naohiro Ogawa and Andrew Mason reprinted from linko Gaku Kenkyu vol 9 May 1986

201 Averting crisis in Asia by Lee-jay Cho reprinted from Bulletin of the Atonic Scientists vol 42 no 4 1986

202 Sex preference fertility and family planning in China by Fred Arnold and Liu Zhao xiang reprinted from lPpulation am Development Review vol 12 no 2 1986

203 The place of child-spacing as a factor in infant mortality A recursive model by Chai Bin Park reprinted from American Journalof Public Health vol 76 no 8 1986

204 Determinants of Korean birth intervals The confrontation of theory and data by Larry L Bumpass Ronald R Rindfuss and James A Palmore reprinted from Po)pulationStudies vol 40 no 3 1986

Page 4: INSTITUTE timing strategies in Pakistan

490 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 number 4 November 1986 We will examine survey data for rural to aPakistan illustrate family-centeredmodel of marriage behavior We stress the pretransition agrarian nature of thesetting Social and economic change has been minimal in recent years and we do notdirectly examine these processes Our exposition follows our analytic procedureWe first present a general model of tuarriage timing and then explore the ethnographshyic literature for the Punjab to isolate the important cultural factors underlyingmarriage behavior next we turn to the data for statistical confirmation of ourhypotheses and finally WC discuss implications of our results for the study ofmarriage in the South Asian setting as well as for styles of data collection and

anlysis

THE FAMILY CONTEXT OF MARRIAGE The literature is replete with empirical studies that establish the positive associashytion among marriage age educational attainment urban -esidence and-withsomewhat less consistenc-voik for wages prior to marrying Rarer are studiesthat give attention to the social and cultural contexts within which these variablesoperate Wherever they are round thse associationis end to be explained in similarterms feniale education is related to greater autonomy and a broader opportunityfield for daughters with a corresponding reductiot of both parental control over themarriage process and the single-minded channeling of daughters into domestic rolesSimilarly female wage earning prior o marriage is related to greater domesticautonomy or conversely to enhanced productive value for the natal household andboth of these are associated with later marriage ageEven when these associations obtain their bald statement in these terms ignoresthe multiple roles of marriage in diferen social settings and at times leads toanomalous interpretations

and For example part of the association bet cen educationlater marriage is explained with reference to greater female autonomy in themarriage process (Cochranc 1979 Carleton 1975) Yet research in South Indiasuggests that education does riot alter the parents rol in their daughters marriageThroughout South Asia education may serve in part to raise the value of daughtersin transactions between ioijseholds (Caldwell Rcdd and Caldwell 1982 Caplan1984221 Parry 1979273) and thus hold constant parents incentives to controlmarriage choices Moreover it is dtifficult to credit schoolings role as a vehicle forwestern ideas about niarriqe as the motivation in all cases In our rural aid urbanlower-class samples for example we find that women who attndced but failed tocomplete a single year of school marry later than those who never attended Evenamong the urban middle class where daughters obtain substantial amounts ofeducation 79 percent of the women reported no participation in tlehcchoice of theirspouses ((herlin el al 19 85a) Masons (1984) suggestion that research considercross-cutting hierarchies of class and gcnider provides a key to explanation in these

cases Recent institutional explanations of fertility behavior cf McNicoll 1980 Cain1982 CaIdwell 1982 Dson arid Moore 1931 are equally relcvant to the discussionof marriage tirning especially when marriage and fertility behavior share links withother social processes Thus Lcstbacghes (1980) suggestion for fertility analysisshythat we examine iht appropriation of resources social control risk devolution anddemographic clhecks along with the interplay between individual strategies andinherited world iew-could as easily he applied to marriage processes SimilarlyCaldwells wealth-flows model and its modifications (eg Cain 1981 1982 Thadani1978) suggest an approach to marriage behavior tooInstitutional examinations tend to center on links with modes of production and

491 Social Organization and Marriage Timing Strategies in Pakistan

control over resources Behaviors are taken to be strategically directed toward goalsdetermined by specific social and cultural settings Thus the effects of a particular behavior are disentangled from the actual ends to which the behavior is directed For example though one f the goals of marriage timing may be the regulation of fertility Smith (1983479) points out that this would assume an exceptionally distant planning horizon A more logical and culturally informed approach would be to focus on the more proximate ends (Lesthaeghe 1980530) The intimate connection of marriage timing and other social processes suggests that the fullest explanations must include economic ideological and affective components

Anthropological research into marriage has tended to examine societies organized along the lines of pretransition settings defined in Caldwells model The mode of production is familial and subsistencc oriented in an agrarian setting In this context the extent to which individuals have control over their marital decisions is an empirical issue Keesing (197542-43) suggested that a marriage be viewed as a contract in which rights over work and reproduction are transferred between corporate groups rather than as a straightforward union of tM o individuals It becomes important to ask then how wide these corporate groups are and what rights and obligations are tran-ferred Other questions also arise How does marriage lit into other systems of property exchange Who are the effective decision makers What are the implications for womensstatLUs and roles at different times in their life courses The answers to these questions are not separable fromt issues of social organizashy

tion and mode of production Sahlins for example devotes a great deal of attention to a discussion of exchange ithin the domestic mode of production (1972185-230)A primary component of this exchange is that it is never entirely balanced a continuous series of prestations binds one household or group to another At the same time the exchanges between two groups can either be symmetricl or asymmetrical the latter type is associated with settings in which status is largely nonnegotiahle and ascrihed (Parry 197993) We need to consider whether women irean element of this continuing exchange cycle and the implications for marriage behavior In addition we need to consider the extent o which hierarchy is a component of itgiven social structure and the constraints it imposes on marriage itrategies

Til (ONTI-[I ()I- MARRIA(ik IN ill PAKISTANI PUNJAI

Certain themes p2rade marriage institutions throughout South Asia and the Pakistani case must bc seen in this context Among these themes are underlying patriarchal control of resources (fCain Khanun and Nahar 1979) hierarchy and the important role of wornen as signifiers of alliance betwcr familics- We are here concerned primarily ith the tlliance function of marriage anJ the nature of lansfers between families itmarriage Womlns- value as signifilS of this alliancc is a function in part of the status of their natal homne biological age and characteristics that they acquire througholt their life course All of these values are culturally or idcologically determined

Although ethnographic material for ltunjabi Muslims in Pakistan is relatively scarce and generally concerned iilh rural settines (Slocun Akhtar ard Sahi 1959 lIglar 1960 S Ahmad 1974 1977) that which Cxists uggests that the details ofsocial organization parallel those in NorthwCst Inldia ccl Vreede-de Siuers 1968) Iollowshying Blochs 11973) discussion of the relation between kin distance and cooperative reliability we first discuss the degrees of rclatcdness within which it is permissible to marry in the Muslim Punjab from hiradai to no relation at all before marriage

492 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 number 4 Novomber 1986

Eglar has determined that the most important social group outside the immediate -household is the patriline or biradari (1960) Kin links within the patrilile are

strongest and individuals within it most subject to the constraints of the moraleconomy Fraternal ties between contemporaries are considered more importantthan intergencrational ties (S Ahmad 1974 157) Eglar strc that marriage is aescritical biradari function that all members have an intcrest in the contract sincehonor (izzat) is ascribed to the whole group on the basis of how its individualmembers behave Failure to observe the tenets of legitimate behavior -flects on thecharacter of the entire biradari and can detrimentally affect thi marricge prospects ofother families within the group (Eglar 196078 cf Tandon 196882-87)

The biradari is in addition the group that exerts control over property transmisshysions Elder male hiradari members must approve the sale of land to people outsidethe patriline but any member has first choice of land to be sold (Eglar CN6045-46)Although a great deal of social control is exerted at this level the biradari alsofunctions ts an essential mutual aid group in the rural Punjab Biradari members even contribute to the marriage expenses of their own members helping to dampenthe enormous burden atrespectable wedding can place on it single poor family (Eglar196078)

The next order of relationship includes those within the biradari as well as affinesfrom outside Called rishtadari (Eglar 196081-82) this group is more amorphouslyconstittted tha the biradari although its members are considered to be cooperativeshyly linked In this papcr we use the term to refer only to rainbiradari relatives Thesignificance for marriage th n is that transactions involve the alienation of propertyfrom the biradari At the same time marriage with rishtadari implies the duplicationof interpatriline relationships across generations in much the same manner asDumonts (198371-73) alliance narriage would predict

Outside of groups of relatives marriages can be contracted with families connectshyed by friendship In the Punjab these relationships imply more than simpleacquaintance Friendship is organized in the northlrn part of the subcontinent toparallel actual kinship relationships and serious friends are likely to be united invartan bhanji networks of reciprocal gift exchange in rural Pakistan (Eglar 1960106Vartan exchange is carried on with both relatives and nonrelatives but it is withones nonaflines that the exchanges equal out over time Otherwise the direction ofwealth flows s to the household of ones son-in-law

Figures I and 2 diagram these relationships in standard anthropological fashionFigure I portrays the distinction between biradari and rishtadari from the point ofview of a male ego (represented by the klackened triangle at the bottom center of thediagram) Biraddari relations arc those individuals to the right of the broken line One can see from the diagram that they are all descended from a common male ancestorRishtadari relatives on the other hand are those individuals to the left of the brokenline These are members of ateparate patriline idescendants of a common maleancestor) and are related to our male ego through his mother as aflines

Figure 2 is a more complex portrayail of three types of marriage alliance that maybe contracted in the Pakistani Punjab Once again the broken line divides twopatrilines In row A marital links are diagrammed as occurring within each patrilineThese are biradari marriages Ifthe serarate patrilines in row A are neighbors thereis a strong possibility that they are ritually connected as friends in a vartanrelationship A robust form of this relationship would encourage them to foimalizethe connection through marriage Row B depicts such a vartan marriage in the unionof a daughter from patriline I with a son from patriline 2 This link converts therelationship between the two patrilines into one of rishtadari and row C shows how

493 Social Organization and Marriage Timing Strategies in Pakistan

RISHTADARI

BIRADARI F~ 0i male

o~afemale

a marriage r- sibship

- descent

Figure l-Iegrees of kinship distance in the rural Pimp)

the successful links formalized by marriage are continued in further marriages In row C marriage occurs between a man and a woman from different patrilines but related through a woman We denote this type of marriage its rishtadari It is obvious from the diagram that marriages in rows B and C vartan and rishtadari are identical to the extent that property is alien~ated from a patriline at marriage

PATRILINE I PATRILINE 2

Figre2-Rplcaio ofalacsara-hniI ishadr marriage

494 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 number 4 November 1986

The degree of relationship between households has implications for the marriage process that are in part related to the structure of wealth flows Preferred marriages are within the kin group (Eglar 196094) more specifically within the biradari andmarriages outside this group are considered hypergamous4 (S Ahmad 1974157shy159) Nevertheless a high percentage of marriages are contracted outside this group(cf S Ahmad 1974156) Das f 19713) summarized the order of marriage prefershyences for the muslim villages-of Pakistan and India as follows

I marriage to cousins is preferred to marriage with nonrelatives2 marriage of a set of brothers to a set of sisters is adesirable pattern although

exchange marriages in which daughters are exchanged between households are low status5

3 village exogamy is preferential to village endogamy

She pointed out that these preferences have implications tor the frequency ofmarriages to specific relatives Thus since brothers usually reside in the same villagecross-cousin marriage is more frequent than that with parallel cousins This isfollowed in popularity by marriage with matrilateral parallel cousins Because Muslim marriage permits union of nearly any type outside of the householdhowever l)as suggested that it is not possible to summarize Pakistani marriages in terms of a preferential pattern rather thev are the result of cumulative relations between siblings and spouses within a family

For both men and women marriage arrangements are conducted by members ofthe senior generation Although fornal right to the decision goes to fathers older brothers or [he nearest male agnateC mther have informilal decision-making powers most often realized in the form of veto iDas 197337) Man iage negotiationshowever nearly always involve intermediaries since rejection can involve loss oflice and countercharges of arrogance A formal proposal is seldom made until acceptance is already assurred negotlaitions involve preliminary investigations intothe behavior of household and biradari members as well as the establishment of dowry paylmcnts LEglar 196t078 cf Parr 1979241 and Tandon 1968124-128 for parallel exalirles)

If marriage confers advantagcs in the form of new cooperative relationshipsISocun Akhtar and Sahi 195932 -glar 196193) it also carries with it a certain

armount of risk In the process of negotiaion there is the risk of reJection later the risk of marriage failure and the sttndering of alliance relationships based on marriagearises We would expect then thait [ie group ithin which marriage is arrangedreflects a consideration of henelils and isks b mlale ill both households A further consideration must involve the alienation of propert the biradaritromn marriagesoutside of which would involve continiuing ealth Iflows outside the patriline Parry11979295) suggested For the Rajputs that repetition of imarnitge to the same group of affines across generations is in part a risk-reduction strategy These aflines are aknown quantity and assuming atlimited ability to afford risks the safest marriageprospects In a similar way the doryv system and its attendant series of preslationsafter marriage means that bhiradari endogam rep|asetlts the most reasonable way of protecting patriline property albeit at the expense ofrnot generating new kin links Caplan 11984223) stressed ho tile rcstriction ofnmrriages withint a group can create a circulating pool of resources in another Soth Asian setting

This has implications for the order of marriage preferences in tile Ptunjab It suggests that although the goal of every household is to maximize its advantageousconnections through marriage there will be inherent limitations on them related to

495 Social Organization and Marriage Timing Strategies inPakistan

their control of resources and the degree to which they can muster valuable commodities for exchange It also suggests that the ideology of marriage preferenceswill vary with social class To take the rural case a number of relationships arise We accept first that the majority of households in the rural Punjab are of Ajlaf status primarily descendents of Rajput and related converts to Islam We suggestthat rural marriage patterns tend to parallel those of antecedent groups and that documentation from the few rural studies supports this To summarize for the rural Punjab

0 Wealthier households will tend to marry daughters to nonrelatives more often than poor households since their interests are in expanding kin linkages and they can more readily assume the risks In addition there are lingering ideological jutificat ions tor doing so

Homogamo is nmarriagcs will outwunber hypergamous In those cases of hypershygany the value of marital trawactions and wealth 1oWS to the husbands family will be higher han in homogamous cases

Cases of hypogamy will occur but the value of transactions will he toward the wifes family and bride wealth may replace dowry

Both 1lpogarnlo1uS and hypCrgamnous marriages will beCmore associated with formal engagement than honiogamIIous marriages since they involve more risk and negotiation

The valuc of a daughtr is affected b inenarche and tihe anxiety about chastityT-vo possibilities arise n rcspor e to early rilenarche either a daughter will be rapidly married oil to nrotect her familys honor or she will be married at roughlythe same age as other daughtlers but to relatives who can feel most assured that she hits been protected

0 The sa lst marriaces are those contracted within tile biradari followed by those either within the rishltadari or ith a vartan connection The most risky marriages are t1ose contracted with a family wsith which no prior fornal connection exists these are most cleCMrl cnltCrCd into for the aVantagCs they confer

In a siting khere structural and ideological factors so explicitly stress the sAmbolic and exchangC value of womCnand where at womans age is a partial component of her idtnC we expect marriagc strategies to have implications for daughters ages at marriage A woman has virtuilly no say in the marriage process in the rural setting (asidC from a pro forma alification of arrangenments already made in the ikah cerenrony) and evn in urbtan settings it is clcar Ithat the pressures on parents cause them to discoirlnt thteir daughters wishes We expect then that marriage age will vary wilh the relative sttis ofilrmiliesCcdU tional altitinlent of women dowry payments and the dCgree of rClaltikAship between spotIses families prior to marriage Ourt hypotheses for nmrriagc timing ill tile rurall Punjal follow from atconsideration of daughtcrs as wealth

Rlationship he iuth n inlmiihA A dalughter age At marriagc Will vary with her tnatil hoimes relationship to her spouses natal ionC is t function ol cultural expectations of first choice and the pleNcribcd dirccti0l of1 Calth Ii lows between households Marriage within the biradari implies no alienation of property and this group is most assured of the chastity of the bride There is no reason for tier to marry early except that biradari members have first claim Mnd this claim mlust be removed if marriages outside the patriline are to be made In terms of property alienation there is no dilerence among the other (tgrees of relationship Both rishtadari and vartan

496 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 number 4 November 1986

groups however already possess cooperative links with each other marriagefunctions to reaffirm these Furthermore both groups have access to informa orabout the woman and are more secure than strangers about her chastity Completely new relationships established by marriage however will fully exploit a daughtersexchange value in the rural setting they will be the most likely to rely on formal culturally stated values Knowledge of a daughters chastity will be less secure insuch marriages and the culturally augmented inferiority of wife-givers in relation towife-receivers will mandate a flow of women possessing positive cultural attributes

HI These issues of property transfer and knowledge of a woman and her familylead us to predict that the youngest ages at marriage will be between previouslyunrelated families followed by biradari marriages Marriages between rishtadari and vartan groups will be the latest and at similar ages on average because of the structural similariy of prperty transfer and faith in a familys standing between these groups

Edctalion The desire for educated women is still ambiguous in the rural setting a little (less than the husbands) confers status on a womans natal home but too much can negatively affect marriage prospects Education enhances a womans value and offsets the decline in desirability that must occur with age

1-12 We expect the often-noted positive association between iuuation ind marriage age but we also expect it even when there is very brief attendance and no grade attainment

Dow v Dowry involves a transfer of property from the wifes natal home to thatof her husbands It serves in part to enhance the symbolic value of a daughter and can also offset her devaluation from biological aging

H3 Dowry will be positively associated with a womans age at marriage

Relatirestatus oJfiwmilies Marrying into a higher status family-hypergamy-isrisky and expensive across all measures f value Dowry payments will be higher for reasons that go beyond their offsetting of a daughters age Hypogamy-marriageinto a family of lower status-on the other hand reverscs the advantage and riskHypogamous marriag s do occur in spite of strong ideological sanctioni againstthem In such cases the husbands flamily is at a strong disadvantage in negotiationssince they are the initiators of the alliance and have much to g in We have two predictions about age at marriage and tle relative status of fanilies then

H4 We expect hypergamous marriages to be associated with the youngest average ages at marriage Hypoganous marriages will be associated with tile latest average ages at marriage

Age (it menaice We have noted that tile risk associated with accepting adaughtcr-in-la increases with duration since menarche in these transactions (cfPaige ind Paige 198 185) This event should be an important initiator of the marriage process

H5 We expect age at menarche to be positively related to marriage age For daughters

497 Social Organization and Marriage Timing Strategies in Pakistan

Wealth flows Transactions move in both directions at marriage and we expectthese to be related to the alliance-producing nature of the institution too Wealth flows toward the wifes natal home indicate this familys advantage in the contract in much the same way that hypogamous marriages give an advantage

1-16We expect flemale ages at marriage to be younger with wealth flows toward the husbands tamily

Entgoiumtzni Finally we expect that engagement before marriage is associated with the need to fornmalize the marriage process itself Among the functions served here are the ratification oftagreemcnts miade between families These should be most necessary with those marria cs contracted between unrelated families since families in some relationship to each other before marriage can afford to he more casLual

1-17 We expect marriage age to have a negative relationship to formal engageshyniCt11

DATA AND MEII()DS

The AsiaXifMarriaic r Itv

This analysis is based on data from the Pakistan round of the A ian MarriageSurvey (AMS) l)ata include a wide rnge of marriage and fertility information with special attention to cull ral variables and individual life history events for married women between the ages of 15 and 45and for asample of their husbands Systematicsamples of households were drawn to represent three socioeconomic settings in the Puljab-a rural sample from a few contiguous villages in Kasur and Sheikhupuradistricts an urban lowCr-class samnplC draIwu from squatter-dominated districts within lahore and an urban middle-class sample drawn from another district of Lahore Each sample is relativclv honogencous with respect to economic backshyground 1ndcurrent Standard of living as well as overall cultural milieu

Important innovations in the ANIS instruments include the breadth of topicscovered Each interview covered itwide range of basic social and economic characteristics in addition to dLtai from each ofthe spouses on parental characterisshytics the process of entry into marriage work and income attitudes toward marriage and divorce andIattitudes and aspirations for children life histories were ohtaincd for timing of events under the headings of eCLucation work marriage childbearingand fanily limitation For Pakistan especially impotant details of dowry paymentsand relationship of spouses were included in addition to information oi attitudes toward purdah and other aspects of Islam in PIakistan [he coMplcted sample for Pakistan contains interviews with 1011women and 588 men

Because this paper is concrncd wit Ii the transactioial strategies of marriage we include only cases for which both wifes and husbands information is available In addition the data contain the event truncation bias that is built into all cross-section samples of ever-married persons (Ryder 1975) Because young ever-married women conic fron cohorts with incomplete marriage experience women in those cohorts who were mici at the younger ages are disproportionately selected The age bywhich 90 percent of recent cohorts will have been married was estimated at 21 and we have excluded women below this age (Smith and Karim 1980) [hus the initial rural sample of 351 respondents becomes 173

Indicators of Marriage Siratgy

Table I pi -sents the distribution of cases for a range of variables Of these indicators fmost direct interest are those that have to do with family influence and

498 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 numbe 4 November 1986

Table I-Selected characteristics of female respondents rural households in Pakistan Asian Marriage Survey

Percent in Percent inVariable category Variable category

Fathers occupaticnb Zamindar Agricultural laborer Unskilled laborer Skilled laborer White collar worker

Womans education Literate

Never attended school Attended 0 attainment 1-8 grades 9-12 grades 13 or more grades

Womans occupational status before marriage

No work Family work Wage w rk

Current household has electricity

Age at menarche lt13 13

gt13

Engagement status Not engaged Engaged

Participation in choice of spouse by woman

No participation Some participation

(172) 517 250 105 58 70

(173) 100

434 451 93 23 00

(173) 58

509 434

559

(173) 393 329 277

(171) 433 567

(173) 1000 00

Frequency cf meeting with spouse before marriage (169)

Never or once 544 Infrequently or often 456

Relationship between families before marriage (170)

No relationship 294 Vartan 176 Rishtadari 341 Biradari 188

Type of dowry (173) Nonehousehold goods 353 Cashluxuries 647

Value of payments to husbands family (172)

0-499 rupees 163 500-9T9 rupees 151 1000-1999 rupees 221 2000-3999 rupees 209 4000-5999 rupees 99 6000-10000 rupees 105 10000 or more rupees 52

Wealth flows at marriage (172) To wifes fanily 174 Balanced 291 To husbands family 535

Marriage type by relative land status of families (173) Hypogamous union 116 Landless homogamy 220 Landed homogamy 509 Iypergamous union 156

Note Figures in parentheses are number of case-- available for given variable

a The original sample includes 351 women Interviews with husband were available for 198 of these women among the 198 25 were under age 21 and have therefore been excluded

b At time of womans birth

strategic behavior in marriage Additional variables that we include are education and fathers occupation itsindicators of class backgiound and achievement We will not comment extensively on these except to note first the striking agrariancharacter of the rural stratum Second we wish 1o point out an unusual feature of education for women A substantial number of women enter school but never complete a single grade (full year) of instruction Further earlier analysis (Cherlin etal 1985b) revealed that these women marry significantly later than those who have

499 Social Organization and Marriage Timing Strategies in Pakistan

never attended school alall The extent to which this is a phenomenon restricted to women is revealed by comparison of distributions for husbands and wives In nostratum is there a comparable percentage of men who have atiended school wiihotrtattainir-g a grade Our inclination is to interpret this in terms of the exchange value of women which we will discuss in a later section

Iinally we note the distribution of type of work before manage for womenWomen reporting 1io work at all appear to be from wealthier households with theability to afford ortholoXy We expect those women most restricted by purdah to bein this group Family work is defined as work within the household enterprisewhether farm trade or stnall-commodity production and wage work impliespayment from an enterprise other than the fatnilys It is important to realize thatthese wages are invariably turned over to the household head The distributions for frequenCV of meetings between spouses before marriage andchoice of spouse are given in table I only to show tileextent to which women lackcontrol in their marital decisions No wonman in the rural amtple reported any degreeof choice in her sousC other than the ratification of parental choice in tilenikah ceremony The extent of meetings between spouses beiore marriage on the otherhand most likely reflects meetings between couples before puberty and the need forpurdah A strong correlation between kinship and more frequent meetings suggests

this

Var6h1es

Taking each variable separately we discuss their construction and the rationalefor inclusion here

AK (itneM11rht This variable is coded from a straightforward question askingage at first menses It is possible that the importance of menarche in this settingencouiraged misitatement of actual ages (Paige and Paige 198179-82) Neverthelesswe retain the variable in the analysis because of its centrality in outr discussionRelationrship hetween aimilies heone marriag ()ur earlier discussion of thedegrees of relatedness within which marriaie may occur in Pakistan leads us todistinguish four categories For the rural stratin Three questions on the schedule

(124A-l124) are the isis for the coding Was your spouse related to you beforemarriage Were you r and his families friends or neighbors before marriage [lowwere you related We define as marrying within ile biradarioi tnlythose respondentswho explicitly identified their relationship with their spouse itsbeing throughpatrilineal kin Other degrees of relationship are defined as rishtdari usingassumpons based on the di sinclination to reverse wealth flows from generation togeneration and other Punjabi cultural values tcf Parrv 1979 Eglar 1960 Das 1973)

ltigVdit(fltI We incindC a vatriable for engagemeit before marriaue as anindicator of marriage fOrmality Th is is taken directly from a quest ion concerningwhether tlhc respondent was formally engaged

ivpe ofdorvrv This indicator measure the extent to which dowvrv was intendedto provide for the new household rather than attract a husband Traditional dowriestended to be conlined to household goods f0r the sc of the nc couple Recent years have seen the inflation of dowry to include money and cash goods throughoutSouth Asia othe abscnce of these is soirmething of ati indictlor of sociocconionlicstatus in modern marriages We include it here with the expectation that tile type ofdowry will also be related to tile arebargaining process (ash and luxury dowriesexpected to bea feature of hypergamous marriages

I ahle oflaynent to htushandr flmintv [his indlicator is codCd froni I directquestion to male respondents Though we might dotbt the accuracy of such

500 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 number 4 November 1986

responses in some contexts these payments are reported by ethnographers to be a source of some pride in Muslim marriages indeed a part of the wedding ceremony involves the declaration of gifts to the husbands family and the nature and value of items are recorded in a book as they are called out Thus we expect these responses to be very close to their true values and important indicators of marital transactions between families

tIaniogany We have constructed in indicator designed to roughly measure the relative homegamy of marriages by using land as an indicator of status We expectthis to be a good measure for rural households in which the agrarian economy makes land a critical productive resource Nevertheless we must stress that it is an imperfect measure of homogamy in spite of lands importance since we have no measure of relative amounts owned Hypergamous marriages are defined as those in which a landless womans family has made a marital link with a landed family whereas hypogamous marriages represent the opposite case In our initial analysis tand in table I) we broke marriages dok n into subgroups of landed and landless but these are combined in the analysis presented here since there was no difference between them

Wealth flows tt marriage This indicator is directly constructed from questionsabout the value of marital transactions in both directions In the analysis below we combine thoe categories in which wealth flows were either toward the wonins nata home or balanced since the Punjabi culural ideal is that flows should be tcward the husbands home IBut note evidence from elsewhere in South Asia of change in the direction of wealth flows (IIdcnbaum 1981 Caldwell Reddy and Caldwell 1982 1983 Crplan 1984))

Method o AnalYsis

We employ least squares regression to estimate the coelficients associated with variables taken as predictors of wives ages lt marriage The set of variables just discussed-the marriage-process variables-are distinguisoed from a set of backshyground or control variables All variables are ncasured as catcgories and are entered into the equations as dummy variables although a multiple classification analysisforinat has been used to present the result in tables 2 and 37 We present one unadjusted and two adjusied mean ages at marriage for each category in these tables The unadjusted column represents the effect of each indicator when its et of dummy varitbles is entered into the cquation by itself The first column of adjusted means reflects the effects when age at marriage is rcgrescd on the set of variables specified in the given table by themselves Adjusted means in the second colunn indicate the effec of each set of dunmmy variables entered along with all control and other

R2marriage-process variables The for each set of measures is the variance explained by that group of dummy variables above For the adjusted neans the incremental R-2s presented represent the additional variance explained by each set of dummy variables after all others have been entered into the equation for that column We ha- indicatcd significance levels up to the 010 level because the small sample tends to reduce significance levels even when the coefficients are quite large in absolute terms In fact nearly all variables shown to be significant at the 0 10 level are very close to the 0)0(6 level of significance

RESITl I S

Table 2 presents the results of our regression for those background variables not directly tested here In general we find that those that are significant by themselves retain their significance even after other variables are entered We can see from this

501 Soial Organization and Marriage Timing Strategies in Pakistan

Table 2-Mean age at marriage hy background variables unadjusted and adjusted

Mean age atmarriage Number 0Variable Unadjusteda Adjusted Adjustdc of cases

Cohortd lt30 173 171 171 84 30-34 176 177 173 20 35-39 166 167 165 31 40-45

(Increment in R2 ) 173 (010)

176 (010)

179 (020)

30

Class backgrounde Farmer 172 172 172 88 Agricultural laboLer 164 167 167 3e Blue collarprofessional 180 177 177 39 (Increment in R2) (034) (012) (012)

Womans education No schooling 161 163 164 72 Attended 0 attairment 177 173 175 74 1-12 years completed (Increment in R2)

193 (124)

191 (090-)

185 (045 )

19

Womans occupational status before marriage

Family work or no work 177 176 176 92 Wage work 165 167 165 73

(Increment in R2) (041) (021) (038)

r(ran1 mean 172 Total cases 165

R2 for all background variables 171

R2 controlling for marriage process variables 124

a Zero-order mean b Controlling for other background variables c Controlling for other background variables and all family process

variables d Age at survey date e Fathers occupation at time of womans birth

significant at the 01 level significant at the 05 level significant at the 10 level

tabulation that there are no cohort trends in marriage age in our sample of women and that class background appears to make little difference in marriage timing once controls are included in the equation The moc-t interesting pattern in educational effects on marriage age is with that group of women who have attended school hut never finished a grade These women marry a full year later t ian those who have never attended even after controls are entered We also note iatwomen who work for wages before marriage marry a year younger on ihe averae than those who work for their families The latter two results are not predicted by the standard theories of marriage Nevertheless the overall results presented in table 2 support the imporshy

502 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 number 4 N3vember 1986 tance of education and occupation as components of the complete explanation ofmarriage timing The background vaiables by themselves account for 17 percent ofthe variation in marriage age and continue to account for over 12 percent of thatvariation even after adjustment for marriage-process variables

Turning to table 3 we can more precisely see the contribution of our marriageshyprocess variables to the egt plaration Looking at the zero-order relationships firstwe see that three of these-the relationship between families before marriage valueof dowry and marital homogamy-make large and statistically significant contribushytions to marital timing At this level we find good support for our hypothesesconcerning the effects of each of these variables on marriage age Thus the earlymarriers categorized by relationships are those whose marriages are contractedwith strangers followed by those married within the patriline The latest marriers arethose who marry nonpatrilincally related kin or into vart ri groups We also find thatvalue of payments to hubarids family is positively associated with marriage ageOur hypothesis concerning marital homogamy and marriage agc receives moremixed support Wonen in hypogamous union are the latest marricrs as predictedbut not as expected hypergamously married women not the eariiest marriagesare

Other hypotheses receive no support at this level Age at menarche appears tohave a weak positive relationship wivh age at marriage but the result is notsignificant and the Rshyincrement is quite small Nor does engagement status dowrytype or direction of wealth flows make any significant difference to marriage ageWhen we enter controls for other marriage-process variables (cf first adjustedmean) wealth qows ichieve significance in reiation to marriage age and in thepredicted direction but no other variable shifts toward significance in this way

The absence of a positive relationship between age at nenarche and marriagetiming is notable since a significant relationshIip has been reported ini a wide varietyof social settings (Udry and Cliquet 1982) One possible explanation is attenuationdue to misstatement of actual ages at first menses We have already cited Paige andPaige 11981) in this connection and the age pattern of menses ages in our data suggests some convergence of responses on normative ages Yet other relationishipsin our data arc consistent with accurately reported ages at menarche For examplecross-tabulalions of age at first menses and whether a woman was formally engagedbefore narriage show that lower ages at menarche are associated with the absence ofengagement This is n expected relationship our hypotheses predict a speeding up(f the marriage process lic menarche is relatively early one way to achieve this isthrough the deletion of certain elements in the process Further indication ofaccurately reportedi ages at menarhe appears when we consider the relationshipbetween age at first menses and age at marriage separately for landed and landlesshouseholds Within the landless group there is no relationship Among landedhouseholds on the other hand there is a consistent rise in the age at marriage with age at menarche-from 169 for those who experience mcenarche before age 13 to182 for those who experience menarche after age 13 This is as predicied sincelanded households are the most likely to contract marriages with unrelated familiesin which the element of risk and concern about chastity weigh the heaviest

In general the marriage-process variables retain iheir effects when controls areentered although there is a slight weakening in the levels of significance Given arelatively small sample size our results provide heartening support for a theory ofmarriage that includes social-structural and transactional elements The full regresshysion results (not shown here) show thai all of these variables together account for over 27 percent of the variance in marriage timing in the rural sample Our analysisshows that both the standard background or control variables a-d the more

503 Social Organization and Marriage Timing Strategies in Pakistan

Table 3-Mean age at marriage by marriage process variables unadjusted and adjusted

Mean age at marriage NumberdegVariable Unadjusteda Adjusted Adjusted of cases

Relationship between families before marriageNo relationship 163 162 165 49Biradari 169 171 169 32 HishtadariVartan

2178 178 177 84

(Increment in R ) (046) (049) (026)

Age at menarche lt13 169 171 170 65 13 173 172 174 57

gt13 174 172 172 43 (Increment in R2 ) (004) (000) (003)

Engagement status Not engaged 172 174 172 70Engaged

2172 171 171 95

(Increment in R ) (000) (002) (000)

Type of dowryNoneHousehold goods 170 173 173 56 CashLuxuries 173 171

2 171 109 (Increment in R ) (001) (001) (002)

Value of payments to husbands family

0-499 rupees 161 155 159 26 500-999 rupees 167 165 166 25 1000 or more rupees 175 177 176 1142(Increment in R ) (036) (052) (026)

Marriage typeHypergamoua union 173 171 174 27 Isogamous uniond 169 169 168 121Hypogamous union 189 194 192 172(Increment in R ) (042) (060) (046)

Wealth flows at marriage BalancedTowards wifes

family 171 178 178 76 Toward husbands family 173 167 -67 892(IncremenL in R ) (001) (021) (022)

Grand mean 172 Total cases 165

R2 for all marriage process variables 147

R2 controlling for background variables 101

a Zero-order mean b Controlling for other marriage process variables c Controlling for other marriage process variables and all background

variables d Between two landed or between two landless families

oignificant at 01 significant at the 05 level

s the level

significant at the 10 level

504 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 number 4 November 1986

structural and cultural variables account for their own parts of this variance Thus background variables explain a unique 12 percent of the variance and the marriageshyprocess variables explain an additional 10 percent The remaining 52 percent is explained jointly by the two sets of variables

Our analysis supports most of our hypotheses and on balance reinforces the perspective from which they are derived Regarding I-1-that marriage between unrelated groups will result in the youngest and marriage between rishtadari and vartan groups the latest ages at marriage-we have complete support More than a year separates the oldest and youngest groups even after all controls are entered

Our second hypothesis-that education will be positively associated with marshyriage-is also supported We have included this variable with the other backgroundfactors because superficially this relationship is hardly surprising Nevertheless the significant increase of a year in marriage age that occurs even when a grade of school isnot completed suggests an unconventional interpretation of the importanceof education in this setting Thus education must have its effects because of the symbolic value it has fbr the wife-receivers in the arriage transaction rather than because of it impact on the wonman herself

H3 concerning the positive relationship between dowry vaIC and age at marriage is supported here with more than a year and ihalf separating earliest and latest marrying groups This is true even with controls for class background and the inflation of dowry values that we might expect to be associated with class background

Our fourth hypothesis concerning the relationship between lionioganiv and marriage age receives only mixed support Hypogamously marrying women are the latest marriers by nearly two years That hypergrrmous marricrs are not the yonngest may be because using lnded status results in an imperfect measure

Finally H6-that marriage age will be negatively associated with wealth flows to the husbands family-is supported only after controls for other marriage-processvariables are included The meaning of this pattern is uncleCar and may be a function of an association between dowry value and wealth flow not yet investigated

Our hypothesis concerning engagement and menarche has not Found support in this analysis We have already mentioned possible problems with the menarchevariable Our phrasing of the engagement hypothesis issuch that a zero-order effect should have been evident and disappearet when the control for relationship between families is entered That no zero-order effect was evident suggests that our association of engagement with socially riskier marriages is wrong Rather engageshyment may be considered a component of all marriages its association with later menarche alluded to earlier suggests that elements of the marriage process may be altered in response to unpredictable events

DISCUSSION

Our perspective couched in ethnographic knowledge of Punjabi social organizashytion and the culturally determined roles of women receives strong support from this analysis This is not to argue that the more standard development indicators are unimportant in explanations of marriage timing Rather we have demonstrated that a more complete understanding will be gained by considering the ranges of behavior permitted and forbidden in particular cultural settings

The results further encourage such comparative analyses by cautioning againsttaking pretransition settings to be without individual-level variation in behavior To say that a society is organized patrilineally or that inheritance is partible is not enough Even in Pakistani Punjab where the constraints of ideology on behavior

505 Social Organization and Marriage Timing Strategies in Pakistan

may be thought of as especially powerful we have shown that there is room for flexible responses that have their impact on marriage timing

We have used the rural Punjab case to present a model in which the alliance function of marriage is very important We suggest that the underlying componentsof such a society include its agrarian orientation and its unilineal kinship organizashytion It is possible that the model we have begun to develop here will find useful application in other partrilineal rural settings in the rest of South Asia and elseshywhere

Finally a note on social change We consciously directed our attention to a pretransition setting to highlight the need to consider the cultural and social milieu from which populations move as they undergo transition Interpretations of the transition in marriage behavior and its consequences for fertility begin to go astraywhen they focus unduly on individuals while ignoring issues of social structure and social control Education is not always related to the autonomy of women Caldwells finding that women in South India may be educated by their parents toenhance their marriageability (Caldwell Reddy and Caldwell 1982) finds parallels in our Punjabi analysis Similarly there is strong support here for a perspective that looks at marriage within the whole context of productive relationships

This has implications for the way we conceive of the interaction between valuesand institutions in social change Education of women for example although an innovative institutional feature within the rural setting seems to have unexpectedeffects on marriage timing that can be adequately explained only with reference to an extant value system or cultural milieu The extent to which this system retains its hold on the rural Punjab is evident from the strength of the marriage-processvariables in our analysis All of the hypotheses concerning their effects assume traditional values for the area Similarly the association of wage work with younger ages at marriage makes sense when we consider the risks to a daughtersmarriageability that come from exposure to extra-domestic influences Rather than suggesting some sort of cultural stasis however we argue that change will occur Our point is that the effects of these institutional components of transition will not be uniform across cultural settings Innovations will have their initial effects on behavior in ways that are corsistent with existing cultural values and these effects may be surprising

There is a clear call here for the inclusion of indicators for these effects in social surveys We have been able to explore these issues only because the AMS was designed to evoke culture-specific features of the marriage process Such data are rare however and in any case the social survey alone should not be expected to provide detailed models that allow us to make cultural sense of these processes (cfCaldwell Reddy and Caldwell 1984) We have also been fortunate in being able to use ethnographic sources in developing our interpretation although our sources for ethnographic and survey data are often separated by approximately two decades and none of the ethnographies describes the same villages in which the survey was conducted As a closing comment that cannot be fully elaborated here we suggestthe need to develop methodologies that combine survey and ethnographic data collection in formal and complementary ways

NOTES Sahlins calls this type of economy the domestic mode of production (1972) Among its characterisshy

tics are that it is an economy of production for use---ne penetrated with such noneconomic claims as ritual ceremonial and social diversion and one organized around donestic groups usually the family

2 Important examinations of the alliance theme appear in Dumont (1993) Parry (1979) and Yalman (1971) and its central importance in Muslim areas is documented in Eglar (1960) and Naveed-i-Rahat

506 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 number 4 November 1986 (1981) The nature of status and hierarchy as a cross-cutting feature of social organization and marriagemay be examined in Fruzzetti and Oster (1982) I Ahmad (1978) Korson (1971) and S Ahmad (1977)See Ortner (1981) for another treatment of wonlens stalus in hierarchic il settings Finally iherelationship between wealth flows marriage and hierarchy is treated in Tantbiah ( 1973ab) Caplan(194) and Gough (1956) in addition it) the above sources

Important differences in the definition of biradari sugges that -glar may have overslated the degree towhich patriline and biradari identify the same group For the Raiputs in Kangra biradari refers to group of clans within which marriages may be contracted in equalitI lParr the

19794) and AhIttad ( 19741571suggested that the biradari is a wider group than the ittediate patriline in Pakistan as well In any casethe breadth of the group to tich hiradari can appl seetis to be soitewhat dependent on context I Eglar196076) and we will restrict its meaning in this paper to palriline Also see lrtlzetti 1192115-116) for a parallel Bengali level of social i)rganization I Hypergamy refers to marriages it hich wives marr into higher statu families (otmpare wihhomogamy for marriages bet een faiimilies of equal statiu and lvpogaltv ill thich kotneninar intolower status families

Korson (1979150-151) in contrast reports a pattern for urban Pakistat il Mich these saneexchange marriages are desirable unions SirnilLrlv tlershinim (1981193) ieports that the Sikhs andHindus in the part of Indian lunjab where lie orkeitegarded such niarriage as quintesential] MusliitThe apparent explanation is the etent to lich nton-Ashraf groups those descended trout Hinduconverts relain the ideology of their aincesors ]vidence here suggests that in rural areas the extent is great

These data constitute a rich bodv ofrve rtatet il gatlicied in ile lutntab in 1979 by Sabiha If SvedIWomens Division Cabinet Secretariat (itivernment of Pakistan) (tordination of ilte project usasprovided by Peter C Smith (Iast-Wesl Populatiot Instittlel Similar tres erc conducted atl iboutthe same time in Indonesia thte Philippines and lhailand lhe tespective investigalors were Peter FMcDonald (Ausi-alian National ltiversitv Mercedes II CoitcepcionI tniversit ofthe Philippines) andAphichat Chamratrilhirong (Mahidol I niyersjtvi

See Suit 119571 and Andre s Morgan and Sonuist 119167 t- lie iustiication and method ofconversion from regression to intuliple clissilicatil uanalvsis otellicietlts The standard deviation is 1014ears cottnpaied tth 153 to as gtat as 2ol it the other three AMS

Countries For example the patlentci iiitrgeiterait l shilts i fitnik relatlonhips in llivrln slitius s tantalizing

contextual sintilarities to South Asiln societies Icf lIhor t1i11( hlng nd Still 1984)

A(K NI()VI)(F NTS The Asian Marriage Survey for Pakistat was carried out under US Agency forInternational Developmenl Grant DI)PSE-6-()048 The present research was conductshyed with supporl from the National Science Foundation (SES-8319904) Earlierversions of this paper were presented at tile East-West Population Institute

Wednesday Seminar and to a seminar at the Institute of Pakistan Studies Quaid-i-Azam University Islamahad We wish to thank the facitlt and students of Quaid-i-Azam University for their helpful Colllntls during the setninar In particularProfessor Dar Director of the Institule of Pakistan SIudics oflered especially usefulcriticisms We also acknowledge the comments of Furqan Ahmlad John BauerAndrew Cherlin Deborah Freedman Doris Nayyar and Arland Thornton onvarious earlier drafts while absolving all of them of any errors in our interpretationand analysis

R F - RFN( ES Ahiad 1 1978 Fndoganiy ird siaUs mohilit antong Siuldiqui lteikhs tl Allahlhad Itar radeslh Pp171-211 in I Ahinad (ct (t t t ui t fl otltili loi ot fiesthti iii In ha 2nd edt New

Delhi Manohar Ahnuad S 1974 A village in Palkistani Ilani ah jalpal 11p131-1 72in C Malones led) South siaSerei (ommunttv Prefii Nes Yuik tloll Rinehart and Winston

1977 (Clo anl en rt in I i uniai Villae Nesy York Monthil Revie s PressAndrews F M J N Morgan and J A Stiquist 197 Mulliph (latilit aion Attalvsi Ann ArborMich Institute for Soicial Researci

Social Organization and Marriage Timing Strategies in Pakistan 507 BIloch NI 1973 The long term and the Nhor tern The economic and politicil signiticance of the morality

of kinship P1p75-87 in J (oody led) Ihe (hvlero Kinihip (anthridge Cambridge Univerit Press

Cain 1198 1 Risk and insurance Perspectives on tertilith and agrarian change in India and Ilangladesh 11opidation ad A 7435-474I)e eloliintReiuit

1982 Perspectives on family aind ferfilil indeveloping countnres )opuhtlion Stuldie 36159-175Cain M S R Khanutin and S N ahar 1979 (lass paiiriarchv and wtomens ork in Iangladesh

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India A tilcro-approach Iopuhltitonitn I)o velopment Rviit- 8689-727 - 1983 The ctuse of larliage change in South India Iopiliation Stidiv37343-3(1 - 1984 The micro-approach in delographic investligation lovird a methodology Paper presented

at IUSSP Micro-l)emographN Working Group Conference Australian Naiotil UniversityCaplitn I 1984 Itldegloiin price it turhan India (lass CaSte and do rv evil amiong Christians ir

Miatdra Man 19210-233 Carleton R () 1975 Educattion and fertiltis (p 115-166 sit IV V Mtihmi ledIi ldination anid

Iuoptutn Ahloitl IlilI t ielgillill IUSSI (herlin A J P C S1ttln I ricke I I)omiingo Adioetonio A (hliiiittrlhirong atnd S II Sed

I985a tfttll inltience iln the (tilting ti imirriage IFiletcc ll)tt Itlil Atin Nocleties (1Ipcr preeiltedilt lrkshop (htigiig MNIiriiage 1t1 lie Itil iii Asia Sila I hiallild Feb 21-24

- -1985h Etlicition ind age titmarriage |-itdence (ront Itcir Asinll ocleIe Papel presented lt torkslht Chanlging Mlartiage and tihe Fanil in Asia Silta Il tild Feb 21-24Cochrane S 1 19710 Iitttft and I~dtaitiol Mihat A) tii Rctilx A m Ittnloic Ill John IHopkins I rniverit Prcss

l)as 1973 Ifie strictiure oll timtanae preferences kii ilttouli (lit kistit fictilcti l1(1n8311-45 Du ont I 198 Ilierrch and marriage allitnce in Soulh lndimii kinslip tt iginllll published 1957)

Pp 18- ((4 in L I)tinot fetl) Alitv it a Value lrrtAtct- lilh cIllnSoti India With Coiptlirtllt i s1111 oit lrtit (Chicagio inilersit of Chica eol ess)Non I_ and Ntllre 1983 (In kinship Ntrlictlre fcnilile t lmld denographic behavior inthonliihIthaI 1qttaw anid Ikitl lopit~tnt Rtivt 9)1-00l

Lglr Z 19610A Piniali Iill in tAiti Ne )ioik (oltinibit niersit PressF-ores 11958 Introdtuction Ip 1-14 it J (iootl led I IH+ithI lop etal( irhi Plottiesih Groupsl Cambridge UK (Caubridge Liiciy r IcS

louster B 1978 I)(Inlestlc deveopIientiIl ccles is a link letsen ptoplaitilon plioces es and olher social processes Joturnall I ltleult It 14411-44 I0lnlthrol Rckea1tl

|os R 1967 Kiittitip lt(I l littwtt -h alrl UK PenguinAittthrohe11 1 IIttnlondirth

PressFrutietm IL 11982 Iif (|It oit ti t tireint lioic IhlttlQ1 and itu~al tit it Bit+eah S wit Ne

l iti-ick NJ R tgers lI r isti PicrNe lHtietti I_ d A (ster t1982 11dblood Ill CIngA (teglor and illcct Il the tdlI of kinship

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ii+lenhitn (1) l r (ichalgiI alilA Ilanlnmt 12(l 109II4-401

9 itpicitiins illlen g Illltge nlItiSt nn111InIIIangJduesthlt dii itt

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508 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 number 4 November 1986

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Paige K E and J M Paige 1981 The Politics of Reproductive Ritual Berkeley University of California Press

Papanek H 1984 False specialization and the purdah of scholarship-A review article Journal ofAsian Studies 44127-148

Parry J P 1979 Caste and Kinship in Kangra London Routledge and Kegan Paul Ryder N 131975 Fertility measurement through cross-sectional surveys Social Forcei 547-35

1983 Fertility and family structure Population Bulletin olfthe United Nations 1515-34 Sahlins M 1972 Stone Age Econoinici New York Aldine Slocum W L J Akhtar and A FSahi 1959 Villaie Libf+ in lahome District Lahore University of the

Punjab Social Science Research Centre Smith P C 1980 Asian marriage patterns in tt insition Journal ufl aind 1Iistory 556-96

1983 The impact of age at marriage and proportions marrying on fertility Pp 473-531 in R Bulatao and R Iee (eds) termniinantv Academicof Ferility in 1) veloping Countries New York Press

Smith P C and M 1 Karim 1980 Urbanization education and marriage patterns Four cases from Asia No 71 in Paprs of Ih a t- PopIda Ihnoulti Hi East-West PopulationPpultion Institute Institute

Suits DB 1957 Use of dttiunlut variables in regression equations Journal tit the Anerican Statitical Asociation 52548-551

Tambiah S J 1973a Dowry aud bridewealth and the property rights of women in South Asia Pp 51)-1(9in JGoody and SJTarnhiah (eds) Bridei cilthand I)m rvCambridge UK Cambridge University Press

1973b From arna to caste through mixed unions lp 191-229 in JGoody edlI 1he Character ofKinhip Cat ibridge UK Cambridge University Press

Tandon P 1968 Punjahi (Centurv1857-1947 Berkeley niversuty of California Press Thadani V 1978 The logic of sentiment The fansily and social change opulation and )evelopment

Review 4457-499 Thornton A M C Chang and T-H Stin 1984 Social and ecootrtuic change intrgeneratlonal

relationships and family formation in laisman 1)cinoyraphv 21475-499 Udry JR and R L Cliquet 1982 A criiss-cultural esamination of the relationship between ages at

menarche marriage and first birth Dmnnographv 1953-63 Vreede-de Stuers C 1968 Parda A Stidv of luslji )loonenlife illNoritiern India New York

Humanities Press Yalman N 1971 Under the Bo Tree Studies inCaie Kinship and Marriage in the Interior ofCeyhi

Berkeley University of California Press

177

RECENT AVAILABLE REPRINTS OF THE EAST-WEST POPULATION INSTITUTE No 172 Conclusion by Lee-Jay Cho reprinted from The IndustrialFutureof the fIzcific Basin RogerBenjamin and Robert T Kudrle eds Westview Press Colorado 1984 173 Asian Labor Migration to the Middle East by Fred Arnold and Nasra M Shah reprinted

front InternationalMigration Review Sum mer 1984 174 Repeatability of infant deaths in Korea by Chai Bin Park and Alfred C Hexter reprinted

from nhternationaljournal of Epideniolhgy September 1984 175 Comparative analysis of fertility orientations World Fertility Survey findings by Lee-Jay Cho ind Louise Kantrow reprinted from Predicting Fertility DenographicStudies ofBirth Expectations Gerry E I lendershot and Paul J Placek eds Lexington Books DC

I leath and Company Massachusetts 1981 176 Census-derived estimates of fertility by duration since first marriage in the Republicof Korea by Robert 1) Retherlord ee-JaY Cho ard Narn-Il Kim reprinted from Deinogshy

raphy November 481 The value of daughters and sons A comparative study of the gender preferences of parshyents bv Fred Arnold and Eddie CY Kujo reprint_d from fournal of Comparative Fanih Studes Summer 1984

178 Analysing open birth interval distributions by Griffith FeeneY and John A Ross reprintedfrom Population Studies Novembet 1981

17 Population dynamics arid policy in the eoples Republic of China by Lee-jay Choreprinted from The Annals if TheAneirican Acadenii ufoPliticaland Sociai Science Chinain Transitim vol 476 Marvin F Wolfgang ed Sage lublications Beverly Hills Califorshynia 1984

180 Personal networks and the adoption of family planning in rural Korea by Joung ImKim arid Janmes A lihlmore reprinted from Journalov Population and I halth Studies Dshycember 1984

181 Determinants of birth-interval length in the Philippines Malaysia and Indonesia Ahazard-model analysis by James Trussell Linda G Martin Robert Feldman James APalmore Mercedes Concepcion and Datin Noor Laily lBt Dato Abu Bakar reprinted Denograply May 1985

182 Shadow households and competing auspices Migration behavior in the Philippinesby Fe Caces Fred Arnold Jame T Fawcett and Robert W Gardner reprinted fior lourshynal of Development Econonics lanuarv-February 1985 183 Perceptions of the value of children Satisfaction and costs by James 1 Rawcett reprinted

from Detrniinantsof lertiliti in Devehpin Counitries vol 1 Rodolfo A Bulatao and RonaldD Lee eds Acaderic Press Inc 1983 184 Diffusion processes affecting fertility regulation bv Robert I) Retherford and JamesA Palmore reprinted from Determiintsof lirtlityqin Dcvelopiing Countries vol 2 RodolfoA Bulatao and Ronald D Lee eds Academic Press Inc 1983 185 The impact of age at marriage and proportions marrying on fertility by Peter C Smithreprinted from Determinantsof lirtiilit in Develolmkg Countries vol 2 Rodolfo A gulatao

and Ronald D Lee eds Academic Press Inc 1983 186 Migration of women to cities The Asian situation in comparative perspective by Siew-Ean Khoo Peter C Smith and James T Fawcett reprinted from lnternationalMigration

Rtview Special Issue Noten in AlM ratin Winter 1984

187 Measuring the effect of sex preference on fertility The case of Korea by Fred Arnold ieprinted from Dernography May 1985

18 Exploring the normative basis for age at marriage in Thailand An example from focus group research by Anthony Pramualratana Napaporn Havanon and John Knodel reprinted from Journalof Marriageand the Family February 1985

189 The non-economic consequences of Asian labor migration to the Middle East by Nasra M Shah and Fred Arnold reprinted from International Union for the Scientific Study of Population lnternaitonalPopulation Conference Florence 1985 vol 3 1985

190 Parity progression projection by Griffith Feeney reprinted from International Union for the Scientific Study of Population InternationalPopiulation Conference Florence 1985 vol 4 1985

191 A theory of marita fertility transition by Robert D Retherford reprinted from Popula tion Studies July 1985

192 Cultural variations in the transition to marriage in four Asian societies by Paul Cheung Josefina Cabigon Aphichat Chamratrithirong Peter F McDonald Sabila Syed Andrew Cherlin and Peter C Smith reprinted from International Union for the Scientific Study of Population InternationalPopulation Conference Florence 1985 vol 3 1985

193 Decision making and sex selection with biased technologies by Neil GBennett and Andrew Mason reprinted from Sex Selection of Children Neil G Bennett ed Academic Press Inc 1983

194 US farm migration An application of the Harris-Todaro model by Daniel B Suits reprinted from Economic Development and Cultural Chang vol 33 no 4 1985

195 Health of Hlmong in Thailand Risk factors morbidity and mortality in comparison with other ethnic groups by Peter Kunstadter reprinted from Culture Medicine and Psyshychiairy vol 9 no 4 1985

196 Evaluation of contraceptive history data in the Republic of Korea by Anne R Pebley Noreen Goldman and Minja Kim Choe reprinted from Stldies ii Family PlanningJanushyaryFebruary 1986

197 Circulation between home and other places Some propositions by Murray Chapman and R Mansell Prothem and Me go walkabout you too by Murray Chapman reprinted from Circulationin Population Mozement Substance and Concepts fion tie Melnesian Case Murray Chapman and R Maniell Prothero eds Routledge amp Kegan Paul 1985

198 Fijians and Indo-Fijians in Suva Rural-urban movements and linkages by Shashikant Nair reprinted from Circulationin PopulationMovement Substance and Concepts fron the Melanesian Case Murray Chapman and R Mansell Prothero eds Routledge amp Kegan Paul 1985

199 Linkages between internal and international migration The Ilocos Norte experience by Fred Arnold and Ricardo G Abad reprinted from PhilippinePopulationJournalJune 1985

200 An economic analysis of recent fertility in Japan by Naohiro Ogawa and Andrew Mason reprinted from linko Gaku Kenkyu vol 9 May 1986

201 Averting crisis in Asia by Lee-jay Cho reprinted from Bulletin of the Atonic Scientists vol 42 no 4 1986

202 Sex preference fertility and family planning in China by Fred Arnold and Liu Zhao xiang reprinted from lPpulation am Development Review vol 12 no 2 1986

203 The place of child-spacing as a factor in infant mortality A recursive model by Chai Bin Park reprinted from American Journalof Public Health vol 76 no 8 1986

204 Determinants of Korean birth intervals The confrontation of theory and data by Larry L Bumpass Ronald R Rindfuss and James A Palmore reprinted from Po)pulationStudies vol 40 no 3 1986

Page 5: INSTITUTE timing strategies in Pakistan

491 Social Organization and Marriage Timing Strategies in Pakistan

control over resources Behaviors are taken to be strategically directed toward goalsdetermined by specific social and cultural settings Thus the effects of a particular behavior are disentangled from the actual ends to which the behavior is directed For example though one f the goals of marriage timing may be the regulation of fertility Smith (1983479) points out that this would assume an exceptionally distant planning horizon A more logical and culturally informed approach would be to focus on the more proximate ends (Lesthaeghe 1980530) The intimate connection of marriage timing and other social processes suggests that the fullest explanations must include economic ideological and affective components

Anthropological research into marriage has tended to examine societies organized along the lines of pretransition settings defined in Caldwells model The mode of production is familial and subsistencc oriented in an agrarian setting In this context the extent to which individuals have control over their marital decisions is an empirical issue Keesing (197542-43) suggested that a marriage be viewed as a contract in which rights over work and reproduction are transferred between corporate groups rather than as a straightforward union of tM o individuals It becomes important to ask then how wide these corporate groups are and what rights and obligations are tran-ferred Other questions also arise How does marriage lit into other systems of property exchange Who are the effective decision makers What are the implications for womensstatLUs and roles at different times in their life courses The answers to these questions are not separable fromt issues of social organizashy

tion and mode of production Sahlins for example devotes a great deal of attention to a discussion of exchange ithin the domestic mode of production (1972185-230)A primary component of this exchange is that it is never entirely balanced a continuous series of prestations binds one household or group to another At the same time the exchanges between two groups can either be symmetricl or asymmetrical the latter type is associated with settings in which status is largely nonnegotiahle and ascrihed (Parry 197993) We need to consider whether women irean element of this continuing exchange cycle and the implications for marriage behavior In addition we need to consider the extent o which hierarchy is a component of itgiven social structure and the constraints it imposes on marriage itrategies

Til (ONTI-[I ()I- MARRIA(ik IN ill PAKISTANI PUNJAI

Certain themes p2rade marriage institutions throughout South Asia and the Pakistani case must bc seen in this context Among these themes are underlying patriarchal control of resources (fCain Khanun and Nahar 1979) hierarchy and the important role of wornen as signifiers of alliance betwcr familics- We are here concerned primarily ith the tlliance function of marriage anJ the nature of lansfers between families itmarriage Womlns- value as signifilS of this alliancc is a function in part of the status of their natal homne biological age and characteristics that they acquire througholt their life course All of these values are culturally or idcologically determined

Although ethnographic material for ltunjabi Muslims in Pakistan is relatively scarce and generally concerned iilh rural settines (Slocun Akhtar ard Sahi 1959 lIglar 1960 S Ahmad 1974 1977) that which Cxists uggests that the details ofsocial organization parallel those in NorthwCst Inldia ccl Vreede-de Siuers 1968) Iollowshying Blochs 11973) discussion of the relation between kin distance and cooperative reliability we first discuss the degrees of rclatcdness within which it is permissible to marry in the Muslim Punjab from hiradai to no relation at all before marriage

492 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 number 4 Novomber 1986

Eglar has determined that the most important social group outside the immediate -household is the patriline or biradari (1960) Kin links within the patrilile are

strongest and individuals within it most subject to the constraints of the moraleconomy Fraternal ties between contemporaries are considered more importantthan intergencrational ties (S Ahmad 1974 157) Eglar strc that marriage is aescritical biradari function that all members have an intcrest in the contract sincehonor (izzat) is ascribed to the whole group on the basis of how its individualmembers behave Failure to observe the tenets of legitimate behavior -flects on thecharacter of the entire biradari and can detrimentally affect thi marricge prospects ofother families within the group (Eglar 196078 cf Tandon 196882-87)

The biradari is in addition the group that exerts control over property transmisshysions Elder male hiradari members must approve the sale of land to people outsidethe patriline but any member has first choice of land to be sold (Eglar CN6045-46)Although a great deal of social control is exerted at this level the biradari alsofunctions ts an essential mutual aid group in the rural Punjab Biradari members even contribute to the marriage expenses of their own members helping to dampenthe enormous burden atrespectable wedding can place on it single poor family (Eglar196078)

The next order of relationship includes those within the biradari as well as affinesfrom outside Called rishtadari (Eglar 196081-82) this group is more amorphouslyconstittted tha the biradari although its members are considered to be cooperativeshyly linked In this papcr we use the term to refer only to rainbiradari relatives Thesignificance for marriage th n is that transactions involve the alienation of propertyfrom the biradari At the same time marriage with rishtadari implies the duplicationof interpatriline relationships across generations in much the same manner asDumonts (198371-73) alliance narriage would predict

Outside of groups of relatives marriages can be contracted with families connectshyed by friendship In the Punjab these relationships imply more than simpleacquaintance Friendship is organized in the northlrn part of the subcontinent toparallel actual kinship relationships and serious friends are likely to be united invartan bhanji networks of reciprocal gift exchange in rural Pakistan (Eglar 1960106Vartan exchange is carried on with both relatives and nonrelatives but it is withones nonaflines that the exchanges equal out over time Otherwise the direction ofwealth flows s to the household of ones son-in-law

Figures I and 2 diagram these relationships in standard anthropological fashionFigure I portrays the distinction between biradari and rishtadari from the point ofview of a male ego (represented by the klackened triangle at the bottom center of thediagram) Biraddari relations arc those individuals to the right of the broken line One can see from the diagram that they are all descended from a common male ancestorRishtadari relatives on the other hand are those individuals to the left of the brokenline These are members of ateparate patriline idescendants of a common maleancestor) and are related to our male ego through his mother as aflines

Figure 2 is a more complex portrayail of three types of marriage alliance that maybe contracted in the Pakistani Punjab Once again the broken line divides twopatrilines In row A marital links are diagrammed as occurring within each patrilineThese are biradari marriages Ifthe serarate patrilines in row A are neighbors thereis a strong possibility that they are ritually connected as friends in a vartanrelationship A robust form of this relationship would encourage them to foimalizethe connection through marriage Row B depicts such a vartan marriage in the unionof a daughter from patriline I with a son from patriline 2 This link converts therelationship between the two patrilines into one of rishtadari and row C shows how

493 Social Organization and Marriage Timing Strategies in Pakistan

RISHTADARI

BIRADARI F~ 0i male

o~afemale

a marriage r- sibship

- descent

Figure l-Iegrees of kinship distance in the rural Pimp)

the successful links formalized by marriage are continued in further marriages In row C marriage occurs between a man and a woman from different patrilines but related through a woman We denote this type of marriage its rishtadari It is obvious from the diagram that marriages in rows B and C vartan and rishtadari are identical to the extent that property is alien~ated from a patriline at marriage

PATRILINE I PATRILINE 2

Figre2-Rplcaio ofalacsara-hniI ishadr marriage

494 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 number 4 November 1986

The degree of relationship between households has implications for the marriage process that are in part related to the structure of wealth flows Preferred marriages are within the kin group (Eglar 196094) more specifically within the biradari andmarriages outside this group are considered hypergamous4 (S Ahmad 1974157shy159) Nevertheless a high percentage of marriages are contracted outside this group(cf S Ahmad 1974156) Das f 19713) summarized the order of marriage prefershyences for the muslim villages-of Pakistan and India as follows

I marriage to cousins is preferred to marriage with nonrelatives2 marriage of a set of brothers to a set of sisters is adesirable pattern although

exchange marriages in which daughters are exchanged between households are low status5

3 village exogamy is preferential to village endogamy

She pointed out that these preferences have implications tor the frequency ofmarriages to specific relatives Thus since brothers usually reside in the same villagecross-cousin marriage is more frequent than that with parallel cousins This isfollowed in popularity by marriage with matrilateral parallel cousins Because Muslim marriage permits union of nearly any type outside of the householdhowever l)as suggested that it is not possible to summarize Pakistani marriages in terms of a preferential pattern rather thev are the result of cumulative relations between siblings and spouses within a family

For both men and women marriage arrangements are conducted by members ofthe senior generation Although fornal right to the decision goes to fathers older brothers or [he nearest male agnateC mther have informilal decision-making powers most often realized in the form of veto iDas 197337) Man iage negotiationshowever nearly always involve intermediaries since rejection can involve loss oflice and countercharges of arrogance A formal proposal is seldom made until acceptance is already assurred negotlaitions involve preliminary investigations intothe behavior of household and biradari members as well as the establishment of dowry paylmcnts LEglar 196t078 cf Parr 1979241 and Tandon 1968124-128 for parallel exalirles)

If marriage confers advantagcs in the form of new cooperative relationshipsISocun Akhtar and Sahi 195932 -glar 196193) it also carries with it a certain

armount of risk In the process of negotiaion there is the risk of reJection later the risk of marriage failure and the sttndering of alliance relationships based on marriagearises We would expect then thait [ie group ithin which marriage is arrangedreflects a consideration of henelils and isks b mlale ill both households A further consideration must involve the alienation of propert the biradaritromn marriagesoutside of which would involve continiuing ealth Iflows outside the patriline Parry11979295) suggested For the Rajputs that repetition of imarnitge to the same group of affines across generations is in part a risk-reduction strategy These aflines are aknown quantity and assuming atlimited ability to afford risks the safest marriageprospects In a similar way the doryv system and its attendant series of preslationsafter marriage means that bhiradari endogam rep|asetlts the most reasonable way of protecting patriline property albeit at the expense ofrnot generating new kin links Caplan 11984223) stressed ho tile rcstriction ofnmrriages withint a group can create a circulating pool of resources in another Soth Asian setting

This has implications for the order of marriage preferences in tile Ptunjab It suggests that although the goal of every household is to maximize its advantageousconnections through marriage there will be inherent limitations on them related to

495 Social Organization and Marriage Timing Strategies inPakistan

their control of resources and the degree to which they can muster valuable commodities for exchange It also suggests that the ideology of marriage preferenceswill vary with social class To take the rural case a number of relationships arise We accept first that the majority of households in the rural Punjab are of Ajlaf status primarily descendents of Rajput and related converts to Islam We suggestthat rural marriage patterns tend to parallel those of antecedent groups and that documentation from the few rural studies supports this To summarize for the rural Punjab

0 Wealthier households will tend to marry daughters to nonrelatives more often than poor households since their interests are in expanding kin linkages and they can more readily assume the risks In addition there are lingering ideological jutificat ions tor doing so

Homogamo is nmarriagcs will outwunber hypergamous In those cases of hypershygany the value of marital trawactions and wealth 1oWS to the husbands family will be higher han in homogamous cases

Cases of hypogamy will occur but the value of transactions will he toward the wifes family and bride wealth may replace dowry

Both 1lpogarnlo1uS and hypCrgamnous marriages will beCmore associated with formal engagement than honiogamIIous marriages since they involve more risk and negotiation

The valuc of a daughtr is affected b inenarche and tihe anxiety about chastityT-vo possibilities arise n rcspor e to early rilenarche either a daughter will be rapidly married oil to nrotect her familys honor or she will be married at roughlythe same age as other daughtlers but to relatives who can feel most assured that she hits been protected

0 The sa lst marriaces are those contracted within tile biradari followed by those either within the rishltadari or ith a vartan connection The most risky marriages are t1ose contracted with a family wsith which no prior fornal connection exists these are most cleCMrl cnltCrCd into for the aVantagCs they confer

In a siting khere structural and ideological factors so explicitly stress the sAmbolic and exchangC value of womCnand where at womans age is a partial component of her idtnC we expect marriagc strategies to have implications for daughters ages at marriage A woman has virtuilly no say in the marriage process in the rural setting (asidC from a pro forma alification of arrangenments already made in the ikah cerenrony) and evn in urbtan settings it is clcar Ithat the pressures on parents cause them to discoirlnt thteir daughters wishes We expect then that marriage age will vary wilh the relative sttis ofilrmiliesCcdU tional altitinlent of women dowry payments and the dCgree of rClaltikAship between spotIses families prior to marriage Ourt hypotheses for nmrriagc timing ill tile rurall Punjal follow from atconsideration of daughtcrs as wealth

Rlationship he iuth n inlmiihA A dalughter age At marriagc Will vary with her tnatil hoimes relationship to her spouses natal ionC is t function ol cultural expectations of first choice and the pleNcribcd dirccti0l of1 Calth Ii lows between households Marriage within the biradari implies no alienation of property and this group is most assured of the chastity of the bride There is no reason for tier to marry early except that biradari members have first claim Mnd this claim mlust be removed if marriages outside the patriline are to be made In terms of property alienation there is no dilerence among the other (tgrees of relationship Both rishtadari and vartan

496 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 number 4 November 1986

groups however already possess cooperative links with each other marriagefunctions to reaffirm these Furthermore both groups have access to informa orabout the woman and are more secure than strangers about her chastity Completely new relationships established by marriage however will fully exploit a daughtersexchange value in the rural setting they will be the most likely to rely on formal culturally stated values Knowledge of a daughters chastity will be less secure insuch marriages and the culturally augmented inferiority of wife-givers in relation towife-receivers will mandate a flow of women possessing positive cultural attributes

HI These issues of property transfer and knowledge of a woman and her familylead us to predict that the youngest ages at marriage will be between previouslyunrelated families followed by biradari marriages Marriages between rishtadari and vartan groups will be the latest and at similar ages on average because of the structural similariy of prperty transfer and faith in a familys standing between these groups

Edctalion The desire for educated women is still ambiguous in the rural setting a little (less than the husbands) confers status on a womans natal home but too much can negatively affect marriage prospects Education enhances a womans value and offsets the decline in desirability that must occur with age

1-12 We expect the often-noted positive association between iuuation ind marriage age but we also expect it even when there is very brief attendance and no grade attainment

Dow v Dowry involves a transfer of property from the wifes natal home to thatof her husbands It serves in part to enhance the symbolic value of a daughter and can also offset her devaluation from biological aging

H3 Dowry will be positively associated with a womans age at marriage

Relatirestatus oJfiwmilies Marrying into a higher status family-hypergamy-isrisky and expensive across all measures f value Dowry payments will be higher for reasons that go beyond their offsetting of a daughters age Hypogamy-marriageinto a family of lower status-on the other hand reverscs the advantage and riskHypogamous marriag s do occur in spite of strong ideological sanctioni againstthem In such cases the husbands flamily is at a strong disadvantage in negotiationssince they are the initiators of the alliance and have much to g in We have two predictions about age at marriage and tle relative status of fanilies then

H4 We expect hypergamous marriages to be associated with the youngest average ages at marriage Hypoganous marriages will be associated with tile latest average ages at marriage

Age (it menaice We have noted that tile risk associated with accepting adaughtcr-in-la increases with duration since menarche in these transactions (cfPaige ind Paige 198 185) This event should be an important initiator of the marriage process

H5 We expect age at menarche to be positively related to marriage age For daughters

497 Social Organization and Marriage Timing Strategies in Pakistan

Wealth flows Transactions move in both directions at marriage and we expectthese to be related to the alliance-producing nature of the institution too Wealth flows toward the wifes natal home indicate this familys advantage in the contract in much the same way that hypogamous marriages give an advantage

1-16We expect flemale ages at marriage to be younger with wealth flows toward the husbands tamily

Entgoiumtzni Finally we expect that engagement before marriage is associated with the need to fornmalize the marriage process itself Among the functions served here are the ratification oftagreemcnts miade between families These should be most necessary with those marria cs contracted between unrelated families since families in some relationship to each other before marriage can afford to he more casLual

1-17 We expect marriage age to have a negative relationship to formal engageshyniCt11

DATA AND MEII()DS

The AsiaXifMarriaic r Itv

This analysis is based on data from the Pakistan round of the A ian MarriageSurvey (AMS) l)ata include a wide rnge of marriage and fertility information with special attention to cull ral variables and individual life history events for married women between the ages of 15 and 45and for asample of their husbands Systematicsamples of households were drawn to represent three socioeconomic settings in the Puljab-a rural sample from a few contiguous villages in Kasur and Sheikhupuradistricts an urban lowCr-class samnplC draIwu from squatter-dominated districts within lahore and an urban middle-class sample drawn from another district of Lahore Each sample is relativclv honogencous with respect to economic backshyground 1ndcurrent Standard of living as well as overall cultural milieu

Important innovations in the ANIS instruments include the breadth of topicscovered Each interview covered itwide range of basic social and economic characteristics in addition to dLtai from each ofthe spouses on parental characterisshytics the process of entry into marriage work and income attitudes toward marriage and divorce andIattitudes and aspirations for children life histories were ohtaincd for timing of events under the headings of eCLucation work marriage childbearingand fanily limitation For Pakistan especially impotant details of dowry paymentsand relationship of spouses were included in addition to information oi attitudes toward purdah and other aspects of Islam in PIakistan [he coMplcted sample for Pakistan contains interviews with 1011women and 588 men

Because this paper is concrncd wit Ii the transactioial strategies of marriage we include only cases for which both wifes and husbands information is available In addition the data contain the event truncation bias that is built into all cross-section samples of ever-married persons (Ryder 1975) Because young ever-married women conic fron cohorts with incomplete marriage experience women in those cohorts who were mici at the younger ages are disproportionately selected The age bywhich 90 percent of recent cohorts will have been married was estimated at 21 and we have excluded women below this age (Smith and Karim 1980) [hus the initial rural sample of 351 respondents becomes 173

Indicators of Marriage Siratgy

Table I pi -sents the distribution of cases for a range of variables Of these indicators fmost direct interest are those that have to do with family influence and

498 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 numbe 4 November 1986

Table I-Selected characteristics of female respondents rural households in Pakistan Asian Marriage Survey

Percent in Percent inVariable category Variable category

Fathers occupaticnb Zamindar Agricultural laborer Unskilled laborer Skilled laborer White collar worker

Womans education Literate

Never attended school Attended 0 attainment 1-8 grades 9-12 grades 13 or more grades

Womans occupational status before marriage

No work Family work Wage w rk

Current household has electricity

Age at menarche lt13 13

gt13

Engagement status Not engaged Engaged

Participation in choice of spouse by woman

No participation Some participation

(172) 517 250 105 58 70

(173) 100

434 451 93 23 00

(173) 58

509 434

559

(173) 393 329 277

(171) 433 567

(173) 1000 00

Frequency cf meeting with spouse before marriage (169)

Never or once 544 Infrequently or often 456

Relationship between families before marriage (170)

No relationship 294 Vartan 176 Rishtadari 341 Biradari 188

Type of dowry (173) Nonehousehold goods 353 Cashluxuries 647

Value of payments to husbands family (172)

0-499 rupees 163 500-9T9 rupees 151 1000-1999 rupees 221 2000-3999 rupees 209 4000-5999 rupees 99 6000-10000 rupees 105 10000 or more rupees 52

Wealth flows at marriage (172) To wifes fanily 174 Balanced 291 To husbands family 535

Marriage type by relative land status of families (173) Hypogamous union 116 Landless homogamy 220 Landed homogamy 509 Iypergamous union 156

Note Figures in parentheses are number of case-- available for given variable

a The original sample includes 351 women Interviews with husband were available for 198 of these women among the 198 25 were under age 21 and have therefore been excluded

b At time of womans birth

strategic behavior in marriage Additional variables that we include are education and fathers occupation itsindicators of class backgiound and achievement We will not comment extensively on these except to note first the striking agrariancharacter of the rural stratum Second we wish 1o point out an unusual feature of education for women A substantial number of women enter school but never complete a single grade (full year) of instruction Further earlier analysis (Cherlin etal 1985b) revealed that these women marry significantly later than those who have

499 Social Organization and Marriage Timing Strategies in Pakistan

never attended school alall The extent to which this is a phenomenon restricted to women is revealed by comparison of distributions for husbands and wives In nostratum is there a comparable percentage of men who have atiended school wiihotrtattainir-g a grade Our inclination is to interpret this in terms of the exchange value of women which we will discuss in a later section

Iinally we note the distribution of type of work before manage for womenWomen reporting 1io work at all appear to be from wealthier households with theability to afford ortholoXy We expect those women most restricted by purdah to bein this group Family work is defined as work within the household enterprisewhether farm trade or stnall-commodity production and wage work impliespayment from an enterprise other than the fatnilys It is important to realize thatthese wages are invariably turned over to the household head The distributions for frequenCV of meetings between spouses before marriage andchoice of spouse are given in table I only to show tileextent to which women lackcontrol in their marital decisions No wonman in the rural amtple reported any degreeof choice in her sousC other than the ratification of parental choice in tilenikah ceremony The extent of meetings between spouses beiore marriage on the otherhand most likely reflects meetings between couples before puberty and the need forpurdah A strong correlation between kinship and more frequent meetings suggests

this

Var6h1es

Taking each variable separately we discuss their construction and the rationalefor inclusion here

AK (itneM11rht This variable is coded from a straightforward question askingage at first menses It is possible that the importance of menarche in this settingencouiraged misitatement of actual ages (Paige and Paige 198179-82) Neverthelesswe retain the variable in the analysis because of its centrality in outr discussionRelationrship hetween aimilies heone marriag ()ur earlier discussion of thedegrees of relatedness within which marriaie may occur in Pakistan leads us todistinguish four categories For the rural stratin Three questions on the schedule

(124A-l124) are the isis for the coding Was your spouse related to you beforemarriage Were you r and his families friends or neighbors before marriage [lowwere you related We define as marrying within ile biradarioi tnlythose respondentswho explicitly identified their relationship with their spouse itsbeing throughpatrilineal kin Other degrees of relationship are defined as rishtdari usingassumpons based on the di sinclination to reverse wealth flows from generation togeneration and other Punjabi cultural values tcf Parrv 1979 Eglar 1960 Das 1973)

ltigVdit(fltI We incindC a vatriable for engagemeit before marriaue as anindicator of marriage fOrmality Th is is taken directly from a quest ion concerningwhether tlhc respondent was formally engaged

ivpe ofdorvrv This indicator measure the extent to which dowvrv was intendedto provide for the new household rather than attract a husband Traditional dowriestended to be conlined to household goods f0r the sc of the nc couple Recent years have seen the inflation of dowry to include money and cash goods throughoutSouth Asia othe abscnce of these is soirmething of ati indictlor of sociocconionlicstatus in modern marriages We include it here with the expectation that tile type ofdowry will also be related to tile arebargaining process (ash and luxury dowriesexpected to bea feature of hypergamous marriages

I ahle oflaynent to htushandr flmintv [his indlicator is codCd froni I directquestion to male respondents Though we might dotbt the accuracy of such

500 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 number 4 November 1986

responses in some contexts these payments are reported by ethnographers to be a source of some pride in Muslim marriages indeed a part of the wedding ceremony involves the declaration of gifts to the husbands family and the nature and value of items are recorded in a book as they are called out Thus we expect these responses to be very close to their true values and important indicators of marital transactions between families

tIaniogany We have constructed in indicator designed to roughly measure the relative homegamy of marriages by using land as an indicator of status We expectthis to be a good measure for rural households in which the agrarian economy makes land a critical productive resource Nevertheless we must stress that it is an imperfect measure of homogamy in spite of lands importance since we have no measure of relative amounts owned Hypergamous marriages are defined as those in which a landless womans family has made a marital link with a landed family whereas hypogamous marriages represent the opposite case In our initial analysis tand in table I) we broke marriages dok n into subgroups of landed and landless but these are combined in the analysis presented here since there was no difference between them

Wealth flows tt marriage This indicator is directly constructed from questionsabout the value of marital transactions in both directions In the analysis below we combine thoe categories in which wealth flows were either toward the wonins nata home or balanced since the Punjabi culural ideal is that flows should be tcward the husbands home IBut note evidence from elsewhere in South Asia of change in the direction of wealth flows (IIdcnbaum 1981 Caldwell Reddy and Caldwell 1982 1983 Crplan 1984))

Method o AnalYsis

We employ least squares regression to estimate the coelficients associated with variables taken as predictors of wives ages lt marriage The set of variables just discussed-the marriage-process variables-are distinguisoed from a set of backshyground or control variables All variables are ncasured as catcgories and are entered into the equations as dummy variables although a multiple classification analysisforinat has been used to present the result in tables 2 and 37 We present one unadjusted and two adjusied mean ages at marriage for each category in these tables The unadjusted column represents the effect of each indicator when its et of dummy varitbles is entered into the cquation by itself The first column of adjusted means reflects the effects when age at marriage is rcgrescd on the set of variables specified in the given table by themselves Adjusted means in the second colunn indicate the effec of each set of dunmmy variables entered along with all control and other

R2marriage-process variables The for each set of measures is the variance explained by that group of dummy variables above For the adjusted neans the incremental R-2s presented represent the additional variance explained by each set of dummy variables after all others have been entered into the equation for that column We ha- indicatcd significance levels up to the 010 level because the small sample tends to reduce significance levels even when the coefficients are quite large in absolute terms In fact nearly all variables shown to be significant at the 0 10 level are very close to the 0)0(6 level of significance

RESITl I S

Table 2 presents the results of our regression for those background variables not directly tested here In general we find that those that are significant by themselves retain their significance even after other variables are entered We can see from this

501 Soial Organization and Marriage Timing Strategies in Pakistan

Table 2-Mean age at marriage hy background variables unadjusted and adjusted

Mean age atmarriage Number 0Variable Unadjusteda Adjusted Adjustdc of cases

Cohortd lt30 173 171 171 84 30-34 176 177 173 20 35-39 166 167 165 31 40-45

(Increment in R2 ) 173 (010)

176 (010)

179 (020)

30

Class backgrounde Farmer 172 172 172 88 Agricultural laboLer 164 167 167 3e Blue collarprofessional 180 177 177 39 (Increment in R2) (034) (012) (012)

Womans education No schooling 161 163 164 72 Attended 0 attairment 177 173 175 74 1-12 years completed (Increment in R2)

193 (124)

191 (090-)

185 (045 )

19

Womans occupational status before marriage

Family work or no work 177 176 176 92 Wage work 165 167 165 73

(Increment in R2) (041) (021) (038)

r(ran1 mean 172 Total cases 165

R2 for all background variables 171

R2 controlling for marriage process variables 124

a Zero-order mean b Controlling for other background variables c Controlling for other background variables and all family process

variables d Age at survey date e Fathers occupation at time of womans birth

significant at the 01 level significant at the 05 level significant at the 10 level

tabulation that there are no cohort trends in marriage age in our sample of women and that class background appears to make little difference in marriage timing once controls are included in the equation The moc-t interesting pattern in educational effects on marriage age is with that group of women who have attended school hut never finished a grade These women marry a full year later t ian those who have never attended even after controls are entered We also note iatwomen who work for wages before marriage marry a year younger on ihe averae than those who work for their families The latter two results are not predicted by the standard theories of marriage Nevertheless the overall results presented in table 2 support the imporshy

502 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 number 4 N3vember 1986 tance of education and occupation as components of the complete explanation ofmarriage timing The background vaiables by themselves account for 17 percent ofthe variation in marriage age and continue to account for over 12 percent of thatvariation even after adjustment for marriage-process variables

Turning to table 3 we can more precisely see the contribution of our marriageshyprocess variables to the egt plaration Looking at the zero-order relationships firstwe see that three of these-the relationship between families before marriage valueof dowry and marital homogamy-make large and statistically significant contribushytions to marital timing At this level we find good support for our hypothesesconcerning the effects of each of these variables on marriage age Thus the earlymarriers categorized by relationships are those whose marriages are contractedwith strangers followed by those married within the patriline The latest marriers arethose who marry nonpatrilincally related kin or into vart ri groups We also find thatvalue of payments to hubarids family is positively associated with marriage ageOur hypothesis concerning marital homogamy and marriage agc receives moremixed support Wonen in hypogamous union are the latest marricrs as predictedbut not as expected hypergamously married women not the eariiest marriagesare

Other hypotheses receive no support at this level Age at menarche appears tohave a weak positive relationship wivh age at marriage but the result is notsignificant and the Rshyincrement is quite small Nor does engagement status dowrytype or direction of wealth flows make any significant difference to marriage ageWhen we enter controls for other marriage-process variables (cf first adjustedmean) wealth qows ichieve significance in reiation to marriage age and in thepredicted direction but no other variable shifts toward significance in this way

The absence of a positive relationship between age at nenarche and marriagetiming is notable since a significant relationshIip has been reported ini a wide varietyof social settings (Udry and Cliquet 1982) One possible explanation is attenuationdue to misstatement of actual ages at first menses We have already cited Paige andPaige 11981) in this connection and the age pattern of menses ages in our data suggests some convergence of responses on normative ages Yet other relationishipsin our data arc consistent with accurately reported ages at menarche For examplecross-tabulalions of age at first menses and whether a woman was formally engagedbefore narriage show that lower ages at menarche are associated with the absence ofengagement This is n expected relationship our hypotheses predict a speeding up(f the marriage process lic menarche is relatively early one way to achieve this isthrough the deletion of certain elements in the process Further indication ofaccurately reportedi ages at menarhe appears when we consider the relationshipbetween age at first menses and age at marriage separately for landed and landlesshouseholds Within the landless group there is no relationship Among landedhouseholds on the other hand there is a consistent rise in the age at marriage with age at menarche-from 169 for those who experience mcenarche before age 13 to182 for those who experience menarche after age 13 This is as predicied sincelanded households are the most likely to contract marriages with unrelated familiesin which the element of risk and concern about chastity weigh the heaviest

In general the marriage-process variables retain iheir effects when controls areentered although there is a slight weakening in the levels of significance Given arelatively small sample size our results provide heartening support for a theory ofmarriage that includes social-structural and transactional elements The full regresshysion results (not shown here) show thai all of these variables together account for over 27 percent of the variance in marriage timing in the rural sample Our analysisshows that both the standard background or control variables a-d the more

503 Social Organization and Marriage Timing Strategies in Pakistan

Table 3-Mean age at marriage by marriage process variables unadjusted and adjusted

Mean age at marriage NumberdegVariable Unadjusteda Adjusted Adjusted of cases

Relationship between families before marriageNo relationship 163 162 165 49Biradari 169 171 169 32 HishtadariVartan

2178 178 177 84

(Increment in R ) (046) (049) (026)

Age at menarche lt13 169 171 170 65 13 173 172 174 57

gt13 174 172 172 43 (Increment in R2 ) (004) (000) (003)

Engagement status Not engaged 172 174 172 70Engaged

2172 171 171 95

(Increment in R ) (000) (002) (000)

Type of dowryNoneHousehold goods 170 173 173 56 CashLuxuries 173 171

2 171 109 (Increment in R ) (001) (001) (002)

Value of payments to husbands family

0-499 rupees 161 155 159 26 500-999 rupees 167 165 166 25 1000 or more rupees 175 177 176 1142(Increment in R ) (036) (052) (026)

Marriage typeHypergamoua union 173 171 174 27 Isogamous uniond 169 169 168 121Hypogamous union 189 194 192 172(Increment in R ) (042) (060) (046)

Wealth flows at marriage BalancedTowards wifes

family 171 178 178 76 Toward husbands family 173 167 -67 892(IncremenL in R ) (001) (021) (022)

Grand mean 172 Total cases 165

R2 for all marriage process variables 147

R2 controlling for background variables 101

a Zero-order mean b Controlling for other marriage process variables c Controlling for other marriage process variables and all background

variables d Between two landed or between two landless families

oignificant at 01 significant at the 05 level

s the level

significant at the 10 level

504 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 number 4 November 1986

structural and cultural variables account for their own parts of this variance Thus background variables explain a unique 12 percent of the variance and the marriageshyprocess variables explain an additional 10 percent The remaining 52 percent is explained jointly by the two sets of variables

Our analysis supports most of our hypotheses and on balance reinforces the perspective from which they are derived Regarding I-1-that marriage between unrelated groups will result in the youngest and marriage between rishtadari and vartan groups the latest ages at marriage-we have complete support More than a year separates the oldest and youngest groups even after all controls are entered

Our second hypothesis-that education will be positively associated with marshyriage-is also supported We have included this variable with the other backgroundfactors because superficially this relationship is hardly surprising Nevertheless the significant increase of a year in marriage age that occurs even when a grade of school isnot completed suggests an unconventional interpretation of the importanceof education in this setting Thus education must have its effects because of the symbolic value it has fbr the wife-receivers in the arriage transaction rather than because of it impact on the wonman herself

H3 concerning the positive relationship between dowry vaIC and age at marriage is supported here with more than a year and ihalf separating earliest and latest marrying groups This is true even with controls for class background and the inflation of dowry values that we might expect to be associated with class background

Our fourth hypothesis concerning the relationship between lionioganiv and marriage age receives only mixed support Hypogamously marrying women are the latest marriers by nearly two years That hypergrrmous marricrs are not the yonngest may be because using lnded status results in an imperfect measure

Finally H6-that marriage age will be negatively associated with wealth flows to the husbands family-is supported only after controls for other marriage-processvariables are included The meaning of this pattern is uncleCar and may be a function of an association between dowry value and wealth flow not yet investigated

Our hypothesis concerning engagement and menarche has not Found support in this analysis We have already mentioned possible problems with the menarchevariable Our phrasing of the engagement hypothesis issuch that a zero-order effect should have been evident and disappearet when the control for relationship between families is entered That no zero-order effect was evident suggests that our association of engagement with socially riskier marriages is wrong Rather engageshyment may be considered a component of all marriages its association with later menarche alluded to earlier suggests that elements of the marriage process may be altered in response to unpredictable events

DISCUSSION

Our perspective couched in ethnographic knowledge of Punjabi social organizashytion and the culturally determined roles of women receives strong support from this analysis This is not to argue that the more standard development indicators are unimportant in explanations of marriage timing Rather we have demonstrated that a more complete understanding will be gained by considering the ranges of behavior permitted and forbidden in particular cultural settings

The results further encourage such comparative analyses by cautioning againsttaking pretransition settings to be without individual-level variation in behavior To say that a society is organized patrilineally or that inheritance is partible is not enough Even in Pakistani Punjab where the constraints of ideology on behavior

505 Social Organization and Marriage Timing Strategies in Pakistan

may be thought of as especially powerful we have shown that there is room for flexible responses that have their impact on marriage timing

We have used the rural Punjab case to present a model in which the alliance function of marriage is very important We suggest that the underlying componentsof such a society include its agrarian orientation and its unilineal kinship organizashytion It is possible that the model we have begun to develop here will find useful application in other partrilineal rural settings in the rest of South Asia and elseshywhere

Finally a note on social change We consciously directed our attention to a pretransition setting to highlight the need to consider the cultural and social milieu from which populations move as they undergo transition Interpretations of the transition in marriage behavior and its consequences for fertility begin to go astraywhen they focus unduly on individuals while ignoring issues of social structure and social control Education is not always related to the autonomy of women Caldwells finding that women in South India may be educated by their parents toenhance their marriageability (Caldwell Reddy and Caldwell 1982) finds parallels in our Punjabi analysis Similarly there is strong support here for a perspective that looks at marriage within the whole context of productive relationships

This has implications for the way we conceive of the interaction between valuesand institutions in social change Education of women for example although an innovative institutional feature within the rural setting seems to have unexpectedeffects on marriage timing that can be adequately explained only with reference to an extant value system or cultural milieu The extent to which this system retains its hold on the rural Punjab is evident from the strength of the marriage-processvariables in our analysis All of the hypotheses concerning their effects assume traditional values for the area Similarly the association of wage work with younger ages at marriage makes sense when we consider the risks to a daughtersmarriageability that come from exposure to extra-domestic influences Rather than suggesting some sort of cultural stasis however we argue that change will occur Our point is that the effects of these institutional components of transition will not be uniform across cultural settings Innovations will have their initial effects on behavior in ways that are corsistent with existing cultural values and these effects may be surprising

There is a clear call here for the inclusion of indicators for these effects in social surveys We have been able to explore these issues only because the AMS was designed to evoke culture-specific features of the marriage process Such data are rare however and in any case the social survey alone should not be expected to provide detailed models that allow us to make cultural sense of these processes (cfCaldwell Reddy and Caldwell 1984) We have also been fortunate in being able to use ethnographic sources in developing our interpretation although our sources for ethnographic and survey data are often separated by approximately two decades and none of the ethnographies describes the same villages in which the survey was conducted As a closing comment that cannot be fully elaborated here we suggestthe need to develop methodologies that combine survey and ethnographic data collection in formal and complementary ways

NOTES Sahlins calls this type of economy the domestic mode of production (1972) Among its characterisshy

tics are that it is an economy of production for use---ne penetrated with such noneconomic claims as ritual ceremonial and social diversion and one organized around donestic groups usually the family

2 Important examinations of the alliance theme appear in Dumont (1993) Parry (1979) and Yalman (1971) and its central importance in Muslim areas is documented in Eglar (1960) and Naveed-i-Rahat

506 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 number 4 November 1986 (1981) The nature of status and hierarchy as a cross-cutting feature of social organization and marriagemay be examined in Fruzzetti and Oster (1982) I Ahmad (1978) Korson (1971) and S Ahmad (1977)See Ortner (1981) for another treatment of wonlens stalus in hierarchic il settings Finally iherelationship between wealth flows marriage and hierarchy is treated in Tantbiah ( 1973ab) Caplan(194) and Gough (1956) in addition it) the above sources

Important differences in the definition of biradari sugges that -glar may have overslated the degree towhich patriline and biradari identify the same group For the Raiputs in Kangra biradari refers to group of clans within which marriages may be contracted in equalitI lParr the

19794) and AhIttad ( 19741571suggested that the biradari is a wider group than the ittediate patriline in Pakistan as well In any casethe breadth of the group to tich hiradari can appl seetis to be soitewhat dependent on context I Eglar196076) and we will restrict its meaning in this paper to palriline Also see lrtlzetti 1192115-116) for a parallel Bengali level of social i)rganization I Hypergamy refers to marriages it hich wives marr into higher statu families (otmpare wihhomogamy for marriages bet een faiimilies of equal statiu and lvpogaltv ill thich kotneninar intolower status families

Korson (1979150-151) in contrast reports a pattern for urban Pakistat il Mich these saneexchange marriages are desirable unions SirnilLrlv tlershinim (1981193) ieports that the Sikhs andHindus in the part of Indian lunjab where lie orkeitegarded such niarriage as quintesential] MusliitThe apparent explanation is the etent to lich nton-Ashraf groups those descended trout Hinduconverts relain the ideology of their aincesors ]vidence here suggests that in rural areas the extent is great

These data constitute a rich bodv ofrve rtatet il gatlicied in ile lutntab in 1979 by Sabiha If SvedIWomens Division Cabinet Secretariat (itivernment of Pakistan) (tordination of ilte project usasprovided by Peter C Smith (Iast-Wesl Populatiot Instittlel Similar tres erc conducted atl iboutthe same time in Indonesia thte Philippines and lhailand lhe tespective investigalors were Peter FMcDonald (Ausi-alian National ltiversitv Mercedes II CoitcepcionI tniversit ofthe Philippines) andAphichat Chamratrilhirong (Mahidol I niyersjtvi

See Suit 119571 and Andre s Morgan and Sonuist 119167 t- lie iustiication and method ofconversion from regression to intuliple clissilicatil uanalvsis otellicietlts The standard deviation is 1014ears cottnpaied tth 153 to as gtat as 2ol it the other three AMS

Countries For example the patlentci iiitrgeiterait l shilts i fitnik relatlonhips in llivrln slitius s tantalizing

contextual sintilarities to South Asiln societies Icf lIhor t1i11( hlng nd Still 1984)

A(K NI()VI)(F NTS The Asian Marriage Survey for Pakistat was carried out under US Agency forInternational Developmenl Grant DI)PSE-6-()048 The present research was conductshyed with supporl from the National Science Foundation (SES-8319904) Earlierversions of this paper were presented at tile East-West Population Institute

Wednesday Seminar and to a seminar at the Institute of Pakistan Studies Quaid-i-Azam University Islamahad We wish to thank the facitlt and students of Quaid-i-Azam University for their helpful Colllntls during the setninar In particularProfessor Dar Director of the Institule of Pakistan SIudics oflered especially usefulcriticisms We also acknowledge the comments of Furqan Ahmlad John BauerAndrew Cherlin Deborah Freedman Doris Nayyar and Arland Thornton onvarious earlier drafts while absolving all of them of any errors in our interpretationand analysis

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RECENT AVAILABLE REPRINTS OF THE EAST-WEST POPULATION INSTITUTE No 172 Conclusion by Lee-Jay Cho reprinted from The IndustrialFutureof the fIzcific Basin RogerBenjamin and Robert T Kudrle eds Westview Press Colorado 1984 173 Asian Labor Migration to the Middle East by Fred Arnold and Nasra M Shah reprinted

front InternationalMigration Review Sum mer 1984 174 Repeatability of infant deaths in Korea by Chai Bin Park and Alfred C Hexter reprinted

from nhternationaljournal of Epideniolhgy September 1984 175 Comparative analysis of fertility orientations World Fertility Survey findings by Lee-Jay Cho ind Louise Kantrow reprinted from Predicting Fertility DenographicStudies ofBirth Expectations Gerry E I lendershot and Paul J Placek eds Lexington Books DC

I leath and Company Massachusetts 1981 176 Census-derived estimates of fertility by duration since first marriage in the Republicof Korea by Robert 1) Retherlord ee-JaY Cho ard Narn-Il Kim reprinted from Deinogshy

raphy November 481 The value of daughters and sons A comparative study of the gender preferences of parshyents bv Fred Arnold and Eddie CY Kujo reprint_d from fournal of Comparative Fanih Studes Summer 1984

178 Analysing open birth interval distributions by Griffith FeeneY and John A Ross reprintedfrom Population Studies Novembet 1981

17 Population dynamics arid policy in the eoples Republic of China by Lee-jay Choreprinted from The Annals if TheAneirican Acadenii ufoPliticaland Sociai Science Chinain Transitim vol 476 Marvin F Wolfgang ed Sage lublications Beverly Hills Califorshynia 1984

180 Personal networks and the adoption of family planning in rural Korea by Joung ImKim arid Janmes A lihlmore reprinted from Journalov Population and I halth Studies Dshycember 1984

181 Determinants of birth-interval length in the Philippines Malaysia and Indonesia Ahazard-model analysis by James Trussell Linda G Martin Robert Feldman James APalmore Mercedes Concepcion and Datin Noor Laily lBt Dato Abu Bakar reprinted Denograply May 1985

182 Shadow households and competing auspices Migration behavior in the Philippinesby Fe Caces Fred Arnold Jame T Fawcett and Robert W Gardner reprinted fior lourshynal of Development Econonics lanuarv-February 1985 183 Perceptions of the value of children Satisfaction and costs by James 1 Rawcett reprinted

from Detrniinantsof lertiliti in Devehpin Counitries vol 1 Rodolfo A Bulatao and RonaldD Lee eds Acaderic Press Inc 1983 184 Diffusion processes affecting fertility regulation bv Robert I) Retherford and JamesA Palmore reprinted from Determiintsof lirtlityqin Dcvelopiing Countries vol 2 RodolfoA Bulatao and Ronald D Lee eds Academic Press Inc 1983 185 The impact of age at marriage and proportions marrying on fertility by Peter C Smithreprinted from Determinantsof lirtiilit in Develolmkg Countries vol 2 Rodolfo A gulatao

and Ronald D Lee eds Academic Press Inc 1983 186 Migration of women to cities The Asian situation in comparative perspective by Siew-Ean Khoo Peter C Smith and James T Fawcett reprinted from lnternationalMigration

Rtview Special Issue Noten in AlM ratin Winter 1984

187 Measuring the effect of sex preference on fertility The case of Korea by Fred Arnold ieprinted from Dernography May 1985

18 Exploring the normative basis for age at marriage in Thailand An example from focus group research by Anthony Pramualratana Napaporn Havanon and John Knodel reprinted from Journalof Marriageand the Family February 1985

189 The non-economic consequences of Asian labor migration to the Middle East by Nasra M Shah and Fred Arnold reprinted from International Union for the Scientific Study of Population lnternaitonalPopulation Conference Florence 1985 vol 3 1985

190 Parity progression projection by Griffith Feeney reprinted from International Union for the Scientific Study of Population InternationalPopiulation Conference Florence 1985 vol 4 1985

191 A theory of marita fertility transition by Robert D Retherford reprinted from Popula tion Studies July 1985

192 Cultural variations in the transition to marriage in four Asian societies by Paul Cheung Josefina Cabigon Aphichat Chamratrithirong Peter F McDonald Sabila Syed Andrew Cherlin and Peter C Smith reprinted from International Union for the Scientific Study of Population InternationalPopulation Conference Florence 1985 vol 3 1985

193 Decision making and sex selection with biased technologies by Neil GBennett and Andrew Mason reprinted from Sex Selection of Children Neil G Bennett ed Academic Press Inc 1983

194 US farm migration An application of the Harris-Todaro model by Daniel B Suits reprinted from Economic Development and Cultural Chang vol 33 no 4 1985

195 Health of Hlmong in Thailand Risk factors morbidity and mortality in comparison with other ethnic groups by Peter Kunstadter reprinted from Culture Medicine and Psyshychiairy vol 9 no 4 1985

196 Evaluation of contraceptive history data in the Republic of Korea by Anne R Pebley Noreen Goldman and Minja Kim Choe reprinted from Stldies ii Family PlanningJanushyaryFebruary 1986

197 Circulation between home and other places Some propositions by Murray Chapman and R Mansell Prothem and Me go walkabout you too by Murray Chapman reprinted from Circulationin Population Mozement Substance and Concepts fion tie Melnesian Case Murray Chapman and R Maniell Prothero eds Routledge amp Kegan Paul 1985

198 Fijians and Indo-Fijians in Suva Rural-urban movements and linkages by Shashikant Nair reprinted from Circulationin PopulationMovement Substance and Concepts fron the Melanesian Case Murray Chapman and R Mansell Prothero eds Routledge amp Kegan Paul 1985

199 Linkages between internal and international migration The Ilocos Norte experience by Fred Arnold and Ricardo G Abad reprinted from PhilippinePopulationJournalJune 1985

200 An economic analysis of recent fertility in Japan by Naohiro Ogawa and Andrew Mason reprinted from linko Gaku Kenkyu vol 9 May 1986

201 Averting crisis in Asia by Lee-jay Cho reprinted from Bulletin of the Atonic Scientists vol 42 no 4 1986

202 Sex preference fertility and family planning in China by Fred Arnold and Liu Zhao xiang reprinted from lPpulation am Development Review vol 12 no 2 1986

203 The place of child-spacing as a factor in infant mortality A recursive model by Chai Bin Park reprinted from American Journalof Public Health vol 76 no 8 1986

204 Determinants of Korean birth intervals The confrontation of theory and data by Larry L Bumpass Ronald R Rindfuss and James A Palmore reprinted from Po)pulationStudies vol 40 no 3 1986

Page 6: INSTITUTE timing strategies in Pakistan

492 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 number 4 Novomber 1986

Eglar has determined that the most important social group outside the immediate -household is the patriline or biradari (1960) Kin links within the patrilile are

strongest and individuals within it most subject to the constraints of the moraleconomy Fraternal ties between contemporaries are considered more importantthan intergencrational ties (S Ahmad 1974 157) Eglar strc that marriage is aescritical biradari function that all members have an intcrest in the contract sincehonor (izzat) is ascribed to the whole group on the basis of how its individualmembers behave Failure to observe the tenets of legitimate behavior -flects on thecharacter of the entire biradari and can detrimentally affect thi marricge prospects ofother families within the group (Eglar 196078 cf Tandon 196882-87)

The biradari is in addition the group that exerts control over property transmisshysions Elder male hiradari members must approve the sale of land to people outsidethe patriline but any member has first choice of land to be sold (Eglar CN6045-46)Although a great deal of social control is exerted at this level the biradari alsofunctions ts an essential mutual aid group in the rural Punjab Biradari members even contribute to the marriage expenses of their own members helping to dampenthe enormous burden atrespectable wedding can place on it single poor family (Eglar196078)

The next order of relationship includes those within the biradari as well as affinesfrom outside Called rishtadari (Eglar 196081-82) this group is more amorphouslyconstittted tha the biradari although its members are considered to be cooperativeshyly linked In this papcr we use the term to refer only to rainbiradari relatives Thesignificance for marriage th n is that transactions involve the alienation of propertyfrom the biradari At the same time marriage with rishtadari implies the duplicationof interpatriline relationships across generations in much the same manner asDumonts (198371-73) alliance narriage would predict

Outside of groups of relatives marriages can be contracted with families connectshyed by friendship In the Punjab these relationships imply more than simpleacquaintance Friendship is organized in the northlrn part of the subcontinent toparallel actual kinship relationships and serious friends are likely to be united invartan bhanji networks of reciprocal gift exchange in rural Pakistan (Eglar 1960106Vartan exchange is carried on with both relatives and nonrelatives but it is withones nonaflines that the exchanges equal out over time Otherwise the direction ofwealth flows s to the household of ones son-in-law

Figures I and 2 diagram these relationships in standard anthropological fashionFigure I portrays the distinction between biradari and rishtadari from the point ofview of a male ego (represented by the klackened triangle at the bottom center of thediagram) Biraddari relations arc those individuals to the right of the broken line One can see from the diagram that they are all descended from a common male ancestorRishtadari relatives on the other hand are those individuals to the left of the brokenline These are members of ateparate patriline idescendants of a common maleancestor) and are related to our male ego through his mother as aflines

Figure 2 is a more complex portrayail of three types of marriage alliance that maybe contracted in the Pakistani Punjab Once again the broken line divides twopatrilines In row A marital links are diagrammed as occurring within each patrilineThese are biradari marriages Ifthe serarate patrilines in row A are neighbors thereis a strong possibility that they are ritually connected as friends in a vartanrelationship A robust form of this relationship would encourage them to foimalizethe connection through marriage Row B depicts such a vartan marriage in the unionof a daughter from patriline I with a son from patriline 2 This link converts therelationship between the two patrilines into one of rishtadari and row C shows how

493 Social Organization and Marriage Timing Strategies in Pakistan

RISHTADARI

BIRADARI F~ 0i male

o~afemale

a marriage r- sibship

- descent

Figure l-Iegrees of kinship distance in the rural Pimp)

the successful links formalized by marriage are continued in further marriages In row C marriage occurs between a man and a woman from different patrilines but related through a woman We denote this type of marriage its rishtadari It is obvious from the diagram that marriages in rows B and C vartan and rishtadari are identical to the extent that property is alien~ated from a patriline at marriage

PATRILINE I PATRILINE 2

Figre2-Rplcaio ofalacsara-hniI ishadr marriage

494 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 number 4 November 1986

The degree of relationship between households has implications for the marriage process that are in part related to the structure of wealth flows Preferred marriages are within the kin group (Eglar 196094) more specifically within the biradari andmarriages outside this group are considered hypergamous4 (S Ahmad 1974157shy159) Nevertheless a high percentage of marriages are contracted outside this group(cf S Ahmad 1974156) Das f 19713) summarized the order of marriage prefershyences for the muslim villages-of Pakistan and India as follows

I marriage to cousins is preferred to marriage with nonrelatives2 marriage of a set of brothers to a set of sisters is adesirable pattern although

exchange marriages in which daughters are exchanged between households are low status5

3 village exogamy is preferential to village endogamy

She pointed out that these preferences have implications tor the frequency ofmarriages to specific relatives Thus since brothers usually reside in the same villagecross-cousin marriage is more frequent than that with parallel cousins This isfollowed in popularity by marriage with matrilateral parallel cousins Because Muslim marriage permits union of nearly any type outside of the householdhowever l)as suggested that it is not possible to summarize Pakistani marriages in terms of a preferential pattern rather thev are the result of cumulative relations between siblings and spouses within a family

For both men and women marriage arrangements are conducted by members ofthe senior generation Although fornal right to the decision goes to fathers older brothers or [he nearest male agnateC mther have informilal decision-making powers most often realized in the form of veto iDas 197337) Man iage negotiationshowever nearly always involve intermediaries since rejection can involve loss oflice and countercharges of arrogance A formal proposal is seldom made until acceptance is already assurred negotlaitions involve preliminary investigations intothe behavior of household and biradari members as well as the establishment of dowry paylmcnts LEglar 196t078 cf Parr 1979241 and Tandon 1968124-128 for parallel exalirles)

If marriage confers advantagcs in the form of new cooperative relationshipsISocun Akhtar and Sahi 195932 -glar 196193) it also carries with it a certain

armount of risk In the process of negotiaion there is the risk of reJection later the risk of marriage failure and the sttndering of alliance relationships based on marriagearises We would expect then thait [ie group ithin which marriage is arrangedreflects a consideration of henelils and isks b mlale ill both households A further consideration must involve the alienation of propert the biradaritromn marriagesoutside of which would involve continiuing ealth Iflows outside the patriline Parry11979295) suggested For the Rajputs that repetition of imarnitge to the same group of affines across generations is in part a risk-reduction strategy These aflines are aknown quantity and assuming atlimited ability to afford risks the safest marriageprospects In a similar way the doryv system and its attendant series of preslationsafter marriage means that bhiradari endogam rep|asetlts the most reasonable way of protecting patriline property albeit at the expense ofrnot generating new kin links Caplan 11984223) stressed ho tile rcstriction ofnmrriages withint a group can create a circulating pool of resources in another Soth Asian setting

This has implications for the order of marriage preferences in tile Ptunjab It suggests that although the goal of every household is to maximize its advantageousconnections through marriage there will be inherent limitations on them related to

495 Social Organization and Marriage Timing Strategies inPakistan

their control of resources and the degree to which they can muster valuable commodities for exchange It also suggests that the ideology of marriage preferenceswill vary with social class To take the rural case a number of relationships arise We accept first that the majority of households in the rural Punjab are of Ajlaf status primarily descendents of Rajput and related converts to Islam We suggestthat rural marriage patterns tend to parallel those of antecedent groups and that documentation from the few rural studies supports this To summarize for the rural Punjab

0 Wealthier households will tend to marry daughters to nonrelatives more often than poor households since their interests are in expanding kin linkages and they can more readily assume the risks In addition there are lingering ideological jutificat ions tor doing so

Homogamo is nmarriagcs will outwunber hypergamous In those cases of hypershygany the value of marital trawactions and wealth 1oWS to the husbands family will be higher han in homogamous cases

Cases of hypogamy will occur but the value of transactions will he toward the wifes family and bride wealth may replace dowry

Both 1lpogarnlo1uS and hypCrgamnous marriages will beCmore associated with formal engagement than honiogamIIous marriages since they involve more risk and negotiation

The valuc of a daughtr is affected b inenarche and tihe anxiety about chastityT-vo possibilities arise n rcspor e to early rilenarche either a daughter will be rapidly married oil to nrotect her familys honor or she will be married at roughlythe same age as other daughtlers but to relatives who can feel most assured that she hits been protected

0 The sa lst marriaces are those contracted within tile biradari followed by those either within the rishltadari or ith a vartan connection The most risky marriages are t1ose contracted with a family wsith which no prior fornal connection exists these are most cleCMrl cnltCrCd into for the aVantagCs they confer

In a siting khere structural and ideological factors so explicitly stress the sAmbolic and exchangC value of womCnand where at womans age is a partial component of her idtnC we expect marriagc strategies to have implications for daughters ages at marriage A woman has virtuilly no say in the marriage process in the rural setting (asidC from a pro forma alification of arrangenments already made in the ikah cerenrony) and evn in urbtan settings it is clcar Ithat the pressures on parents cause them to discoirlnt thteir daughters wishes We expect then that marriage age will vary wilh the relative sttis ofilrmiliesCcdU tional altitinlent of women dowry payments and the dCgree of rClaltikAship between spotIses families prior to marriage Ourt hypotheses for nmrriagc timing ill tile rurall Punjal follow from atconsideration of daughtcrs as wealth

Rlationship he iuth n inlmiihA A dalughter age At marriagc Will vary with her tnatil hoimes relationship to her spouses natal ionC is t function ol cultural expectations of first choice and the pleNcribcd dirccti0l of1 Calth Ii lows between households Marriage within the biradari implies no alienation of property and this group is most assured of the chastity of the bride There is no reason for tier to marry early except that biradari members have first claim Mnd this claim mlust be removed if marriages outside the patriline are to be made In terms of property alienation there is no dilerence among the other (tgrees of relationship Both rishtadari and vartan

496 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 number 4 November 1986

groups however already possess cooperative links with each other marriagefunctions to reaffirm these Furthermore both groups have access to informa orabout the woman and are more secure than strangers about her chastity Completely new relationships established by marriage however will fully exploit a daughtersexchange value in the rural setting they will be the most likely to rely on formal culturally stated values Knowledge of a daughters chastity will be less secure insuch marriages and the culturally augmented inferiority of wife-givers in relation towife-receivers will mandate a flow of women possessing positive cultural attributes

HI These issues of property transfer and knowledge of a woman and her familylead us to predict that the youngest ages at marriage will be between previouslyunrelated families followed by biradari marriages Marriages between rishtadari and vartan groups will be the latest and at similar ages on average because of the structural similariy of prperty transfer and faith in a familys standing between these groups

Edctalion The desire for educated women is still ambiguous in the rural setting a little (less than the husbands) confers status on a womans natal home but too much can negatively affect marriage prospects Education enhances a womans value and offsets the decline in desirability that must occur with age

1-12 We expect the often-noted positive association between iuuation ind marriage age but we also expect it even when there is very brief attendance and no grade attainment

Dow v Dowry involves a transfer of property from the wifes natal home to thatof her husbands It serves in part to enhance the symbolic value of a daughter and can also offset her devaluation from biological aging

H3 Dowry will be positively associated with a womans age at marriage

Relatirestatus oJfiwmilies Marrying into a higher status family-hypergamy-isrisky and expensive across all measures f value Dowry payments will be higher for reasons that go beyond their offsetting of a daughters age Hypogamy-marriageinto a family of lower status-on the other hand reverscs the advantage and riskHypogamous marriag s do occur in spite of strong ideological sanctioni againstthem In such cases the husbands flamily is at a strong disadvantage in negotiationssince they are the initiators of the alliance and have much to g in We have two predictions about age at marriage and tle relative status of fanilies then

H4 We expect hypergamous marriages to be associated with the youngest average ages at marriage Hypoganous marriages will be associated with tile latest average ages at marriage

Age (it menaice We have noted that tile risk associated with accepting adaughtcr-in-la increases with duration since menarche in these transactions (cfPaige ind Paige 198 185) This event should be an important initiator of the marriage process

H5 We expect age at menarche to be positively related to marriage age For daughters

497 Social Organization and Marriage Timing Strategies in Pakistan

Wealth flows Transactions move in both directions at marriage and we expectthese to be related to the alliance-producing nature of the institution too Wealth flows toward the wifes natal home indicate this familys advantage in the contract in much the same way that hypogamous marriages give an advantage

1-16We expect flemale ages at marriage to be younger with wealth flows toward the husbands tamily

Entgoiumtzni Finally we expect that engagement before marriage is associated with the need to fornmalize the marriage process itself Among the functions served here are the ratification oftagreemcnts miade between families These should be most necessary with those marria cs contracted between unrelated families since families in some relationship to each other before marriage can afford to he more casLual

1-17 We expect marriage age to have a negative relationship to formal engageshyniCt11

DATA AND MEII()DS

The AsiaXifMarriaic r Itv

This analysis is based on data from the Pakistan round of the A ian MarriageSurvey (AMS) l)ata include a wide rnge of marriage and fertility information with special attention to cull ral variables and individual life history events for married women between the ages of 15 and 45and for asample of their husbands Systematicsamples of households were drawn to represent three socioeconomic settings in the Puljab-a rural sample from a few contiguous villages in Kasur and Sheikhupuradistricts an urban lowCr-class samnplC draIwu from squatter-dominated districts within lahore and an urban middle-class sample drawn from another district of Lahore Each sample is relativclv honogencous with respect to economic backshyground 1ndcurrent Standard of living as well as overall cultural milieu

Important innovations in the ANIS instruments include the breadth of topicscovered Each interview covered itwide range of basic social and economic characteristics in addition to dLtai from each ofthe spouses on parental characterisshytics the process of entry into marriage work and income attitudes toward marriage and divorce andIattitudes and aspirations for children life histories were ohtaincd for timing of events under the headings of eCLucation work marriage childbearingand fanily limitation For Pakistan especially impotant details of dowry paymentsand relationship of spouses were included in addition to information oi attitudes toward purdah and other aspects of Islam in PIakistan [he coMplcted sample for Pakistan contains interviews with 1011women and 588 men

Because this paper is concrncd wit Ii the transactioial strategies of marriage we include only cases for which both wifes and husbands information is available In addition the data contain the event truncation bias that is built into all cross-section samples of ever-married persons (Ryder 1975) Because young ever-married women conic fron cohorts with incomplete marriage experience women in those cohorts who were mici at the younger ages are disproportionately selected The age bywhich 90 percent of recent cohorts will have been married was estimated at 21 and we have excluded women below this age (Smith and Karim 1980) [hus the initial rural sample of 351 respondents becomes 173

Indicators of Marriage Siratgy

Table I pi -sents the distribution of cases for a range of variables Of these indicators fmost direct interest are those that have to do with family influence and

498 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 numbe 4 November 1986

Table I-Selected characteristics of female respondents rural households in Pakistan Asian Marriage Survey

Percent in Percent inVariable category Variable category

Fathers occupaticnb Zamindar Agricultural laborer Unskilled laborer Skilled laborer White collar worker

Womans education Literate

Never attended school Attended 0 attainment 1-8 grades 9-12 grades 13 or more grades

Womans occupational status before marriage

No work Family work Wage w rk

Current household has electricity

Age at menarche lt13 13

gt13

Engagement status Not engaged Engaged

Participation in choice of spouse by woman

No participation Some participation

(172) 517 250 105 58 70

(173) 100

434 451 93 23 00

(173) 58

509 434

559

(173) 393 329 277

(171) 433 567

(173) 1000 00

Frequency cf meeting with spouse before marriage (169)

Never or once 544 Infrequently or often 456

Relationship between families before marriage (170)

No relationship 294 Vartan 176 Rishtadari 341 Biradari 188

Type of dowry (173) Nonehousehold goods 353 Cashluxuries 647

Value of payments to husbands family (172)

0-499 rupees 163 500-9T9 rupees 151 1000-1999 rupees 221 2000-3999 rupees 209 4000-5999 rupees 99 6000-10000 rupees 105 10000 or more rupees 52

Wealth flows at marriage (172) To wifes fanily 174 Balanced 291 To husbands family 535

Marriage type by relative land status of families (173) Hypogamous union 116 Landless homogamy 220 Landed homogamy 509 Iypergamous union 156

Note Figures in parentheses are number of case-- available for given variable

a The original sample includes 351 women Interviews with husband were available for 198 of these women among the 198 25 were under age 21 and have therefore been excluded

b At time of womans birth

strategic behavior in marriage Additional variables that we include are education and fathers occupation itsindicators of class backgiound and achievement We will not comment extensively on these except to note first the striking agrariancharacter of the rural stratum Second we wish 1o point out an unusual feature of education for women A substantial number of women enter school but never complete a single grade (full year) of instruction Further earlier analysis (Cherlin etal 1985b) revealed that these women marry significantly later than those who have

499 Social Organization and Marriage Timing Strategies in Pakistan

never attended school alall The extent to which this is a phenomenon restricted to women is revealed by comparison of distributions for husbands and wives In nostratum is there a comparable percentage of men who have atiended school wiihotrtattainir-g a grade Our inclination is to interpret this in terms of the exchange value of women which we will discuss in a later section

Iinally we note the distribution of type of work before manage for womenWomen reporting 1io work at all appear to be from wealthier households with theability to afford ortholoXy We expect those women most restricted by purdah to bein this group Family work is defined as work within the household enterprisewhether farm trade or stnall-commodity production and wage work impliespayment from an enterprise other than the fatnilys It is important to realize thatthese wages are invariably turned over to the household head The distributions for frequenCV of meetings between spouses before marriage andchoice of spouse are given in table I only to show tileextent to which women lackcontrol in their marital decisions No wonman in the rural amtple reported any degreeof choice in her sousC other than the ratification of parental choice in tilenikah ceremony The extent of meetings between spouses beiore marriage on the otherhand most likely reflects meetings between couples before puberty and the need forpurdah A strong correlation between kinship and more frequent meetings suggests

this

Var6h1es

Taking each variable separately we discuss their construction and the rationalefor inclusion here

AK (itneM11rht This variable is coded from a straightforward question askingage at first menses It is possible that the importance of menarche in this settingencouiraged misitatement of actual ages (Paige and Paige 198179-82) Neverthelesswe retain the variable in the analysis because of its centrality in outr discussionRelationrship hetween aimilies heone marriag ()ur earlier discussion of thedegrees of relatedness within which marriaie may occur in Pakistan leads us todistinguish four categories For the rural stratin Three questions on the schedule

(124A-l124) are the isis for the coding Was your spouse related to you beforemarriage Were you r and his families friends or neighbors before marriage [lowwere you related We define as marrying within ile biradarioi tnlythose respondentswho explicitly identified their relationship with their spouse itsbeing throughpatrilineal kin Other degrees of relationship are defined as rishtdari usingassumpons based on the di sinclination to reverse wealth flows from generation togeneration and other Punjabi cultural values tcf Parrv 1979 Eglar 1960 Das 1973)

ltigVdit(fltI We incindC a vatriable for engagemeit before marriaue as anindicator of marriage fOrmality Th is is taken directly from a quest ion concerningwhether tlhc respondent was formally engaged

ivpe ofdorvrv This indicator measure the extent to which dowvrv was intendedto provide for the new household rather than attract a husband Traditional dowriestended to be conlined to household goods f0r the sc of the nc couple Recent years have seen the inflation of dowry to include money and cash goods throughoutSouth Asia othe abscnce of these is soirmething of ati indictlor of sociocconionlicstatus in modern marriages We include it here with the expectation that tile type ofdowry will also be related to tile arebargaining process (ash and luxury dowriesexpected to bea feature of hypergamous marriages

I ahle oflaynent to htushandr flmintv [his indlicator is codCd froni I directquestion to male respondents Though we might dotbt the accuracy of such

500 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 number 4 November 1986

responses in some contexts these payments are reported by ethnographers to be a source of some pride in Muslim marriages indeed a part of the wedding ceremony involves the declaration of gifts to the husbands family and the nature and value of items are recorded in a book as they are called out Thus we expect these responses to be very close to their true values and important indicators of marital transactions between families

tIaniogany We have constructed in indicator designed to roughly measure the relative homegamy of marriages by using land as an indicator of status We expectthis to be a good measure for rural households in which the agrarian economy makes land a critical productive resource Nevertheless we must stress that it is an imperfect measure of homogamy in spite of lands importance since we have no measure of relative amounts owned Hypergamous marriages are defined as those in which a landless womans family has made a marital link with a landed family whereas hypogamous marriages represent the opposite case In our initial analysis tand in table I) we broke marriages dok n into subgroups of landed and landless but these are combined in the analysis presented here since there was no difference between them

Wealth flows tt marriage This indicator is directly constructed from questionsabout the value of marital transactions in both directions In the analysis below we combine thoe categories in which wealth flows were either toward the wonins nata home or balanced since the Punjabi culural ideal is that flows should be tcward the husbands home IBut note evidence from elsewhere in South Asia of change in the direction of wealth flows (IIdcnbaum 1981 Caldwell Reddy and Caldwell 1982 1983 Crplan 1984))

Method o AnalYsis

We employ least squares regression to estimate the coelficients associated with variables taken as predictors of wives ages lt marriage The set of variables just discussed-the marriage-process variables-are distinguisoed from a set of backshyground or control variables All variables are ncasured as catcgories and are entered into the equations as dummy variables although a multiple classification analysisforinat has been used to present the result in tables 2 and 37 We present one unadjusted and two adjusied mean ages at marriage for each category in these tables The unadjusted column represents the effect of each indicator when its et of dummy varitbles is entered into the cquation by itself The first column of adjusted means reflects the effects when age at marriage is rcgrescd on the set of variables specified in the given table by themselves Adjusted means in the second colunn indicate the effec of each set of dunmmy variables entered along with all control and other

R2marriage-process variables The for each set of measures is the variance explained by that group of dummy variables above For the adjusted neans the incremental R-2s presented represent the additional variance explained by each set of dummy variables after all others have been entered into the equation for that column We ha- indicatcd significance levels up to the 010 level because the small sample tends to reduce significance levels even when the coefficients are quite large in absolute terms In fact nearly all variables shown to be significant at the 0 10 level are very close to the 0)0(6 level of significance

RESITl I S

Table 2 presents the results of our regression for those background variables not directly tested here In general we find that those that are significant by themselves retain their significance even after other variables are entered We can see from this

501 Soial Organization and Marriage Timing Strategies in Pakistan

Table 2-Mean age at marriage hy background variables unadjusted and adjusted

Mean age atmarriage Number 0Variable Unadjusteda Adjusted Adjustdc of cases

Cohortd lt30 173 171 171 84 30-34 176 177 173 20 35-39 166 167 165 31 40-45

(Increment in R2 ) 173 (010)

176 (010)

179 (020)

30

Class backgrounde Farmer 172 172 172 88 Agricultural laboLer 164 167 167 3e Blue collarprofessional 180 177 177 39 (Increment in R2) (034) (012) (012)

Womans education No schooling 161 163 164 72 Attended 0 attairment 177 173 175 74 1-12 years completed (Increment in R2)

193 (124)

191 (090-)

185 (045 )

19

Womans occupational status before marriage

Family work or no work 177 176 176 92 Wage work 165 167 165 73

(Increment in R2) (041) (021) (038)

r(ran1 mean 172 Total cases 165

R2 for all background variables 171

R2 controlling for marriage process variables 124

a Zero-order mean b Controlling for other background variables c Controlling for other background variables and all family process

variables d Age at survey date e Fathers occupation at time of womans birth

significant at the 01 level significant at the 05 level significant at the 10 level

tabulation that there are no cohort trends in marriage age in our sample of women and that class background appears to make little difference in marriage timing once controls are included in the equation The moc-t interesting pattern in educational effects on marriage age is with that group of women who have attended school hut never finished a grade These women marry a full year later t ian those who have never attended even after controls are entered We also note iatwomen who work for wages before marriage marry a year younger on ihe averae than those who work for their families The latter two results are not predicted by the standard theories of marriage Nevertheless the overall results presented in table 2 support the imporshy

502 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 number 4 N3vember 1986 tance of education and occupation as components of the complete explanation ofmarriage timing The background vaiables by themselves account for 17 percent ofthe variation in marriage age and continue to account for over 12 percent of thatvariation even after adjustment for marriage-process variables

Turning to table 3 we can more precisely see the contribution of our marriageshyprocess variables to the egt plaration Looking at the zero-order relationships firstwe see that three of these-the relationship between families before marriage valueof dowry and marital homogamy-make large and statistically significant contribushytions to marital timing At this level we find good support for our hypothesesconcerning the effects of each of these variables on marriage age Thus the earlymarriers categorized by relationships are those whose marriages are contractedwith strangers followed by those married within the patriline The latest marriers arethose who marry nonpatrilincally related kin or into vart ri groups We also find thatvalue of payments to hubarids family is positively associated with marriage ageOur hypothesis concerning marital homogamy and marriage agc receives moremixed support Wonen in hypogamous union are the latest marricrs as predictedbut not as expected hypergamously married women not the eariiest marriagesare

Other hypotheses receive no support at this level Age at menarche appears tohave a weak positive relationship wivh age at marriage but the result is notsignificant and the Rshyincrement is quite small Nor does engagement status dowrytype or direction of wealth flows make any significant difference to marriage ageWhen we enter controls for other marriage-process variables (cf first adjustedmean) wealth qows ichieve significance in reiation to marriage age and in thepredicted direction but no other variable shifts toward significance in this way

The absence of a positive relationship between age at nenarche and marriagetiming is notable since a significant relationshIip has been reported ini a wide varietyof social settings (Udry and Cliquet 1982) One possible explanation is attenuationdue to misstatement of actual ages at first menses We have already cited Paige andPaige 11981) in this connection and the age pattern of menses ages in our data suggests some convergence of responses on normative ages Yet other relationishipsin our data arc consistent with accurately reported ages at menarche For examplecross-tabulalions of age at first menses and whether a woman was formally engagedbefore narriage show that lower ages at menarche are associated with the absence ofengagement This is n expected relationship our hypotheses predict a speeding up(f the marriage process lic menarche is relatively early one way to achieve this isthrough the deletion of certain elements in the process Further indication ofaccurately reportedi ages at menarhe appears when we consider the relationshipbetween age at first menses and age at marriage separately for landed and landlesshouseholds Within the landless group there is no relationship Among landedhouseholds on the other hand there is a consistent rise in the age at marriage with age at menarche-from 169 for those who experience mcenarche before age 13 to182 for those who experience menarche after age 13 This is as predicied sincelanded households are the most likely to contract marriages with unrelated familiesin which the element of risk and concern about chastity weigh the heaviest

In general the marriage-process variables retain iheir effects when controls areentered although there is a slight weakening in the levels of significance Given arelatively small sample size our results provide heartening support for a theory ofmarriage that includes social-structural and transactional elements The full regresshysion results (not shown here) show thai all of these variables together account for over 27 percent of the variance in marriage timing in the rural sample Our analysisshows that both the standard background or control variables a-d the more

503 Social Organization and Marriage Timing Strategies in Pakistan

Table 3-Mean age at marriage by marriage process variables unadjusted and adjusted

Mean age at marriage NumberdegVariable Unadjusteda Adjusted Adjusted of cases

Relationship between families before marriageNo relationship 163 162 165 49Biradari 169 171 169 32 HishtadariVartan

2178 178 177 84

(Increment in R ) (046) (049) (026)

Age at menarche lt13 169 171 170 65 13 173 172 174 57

gt13 174 172 172 43 (Increment in R2 ) (004) (000) (003)

Engagement status Not engaged 172 174 172 70Engaged

2172 171 171 95

(Increment in R ) (000) (002) (000)

Type of dowryNoneHousehold goods 170 173 173 56 CashLuxuries 173 171

2 171 109 (Increment in R ) (001) (001) (002)

Value of payments to husbands family

0-499 rupees 161 155 159 26 500-999 rupees 167 165 166 25 1000 or more rupees 175 177 176 1142(Increment in R ) (036) (052) (026)

Marriage typeHypergamoua union 173 171 174 27 Isogamous uniond 169 169 168 121Hypogamous union 189 194 192 172(Increment in R ) (042) (060) (046)

Wealth flows at marriage BalancedTowards wifes

family 171 178 178 76 Toward husbands family 173 167 -67 892(IncremenL in R ) (001) (021) (022)

Grand mean 172 Total cases 165

R2 for all marriage process variables 147

R2 controlling for background variables 101

a Zero-order mean b Controlling for other marriage process variables c Controlling for other marriage process variables and all background

variables d Between two landed or between two landless families

oignificant at 01 significant at the 05 level

s the level

significant at the 10 level

504 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 number 4 November 1986

structural and cultural variables account for their own parts of this variance Thus background variables explain a unique 12 percent of the variance and the marriageshyprocess variables explain an additional 10 percent The remaining 52 percent is explained jointly by the two sets of variables

Our analysis supports most of our hypotheses and on balance reinforces the perspective from which they are derived Regarding I-1-that marriage between unrelated groups will result in the youngest and marriage between rishtadari and vartan groups the latest ages at marriage-we have complete support More than a year separates the oldest and youngest groups even after all controls are entered

Our second hypothesis-that education will be positively associated with marshyriage-is also supported We have included this variable with the other backgroundfactors because superficially this relationship is hardly surprising Nevertheless the significant increase of a year in marriage age that occurs even when a grade of school isnot completed suggests an unconventional interpretation of the importanceof education in this setting Thus education must have its effects because of the symbolic value it has fbr the wife-receivers in the arriage transaction rather than because of it impact on the wonman herself

H3 concerning the positive relationship between dowry vaIC and age at marriage is supported here with more than a year and ihalf separating earliest and latest marrying groups This is true even with controls for class background and the inflation of dowry values that we might expect to be associated with class background

Our fourth hypothesis concerning the relationship between lionioganiv and marriage age receives only mixed support Hypogamously marrying women are the latest marriers by nearly two years That hypergrrmous marricrs are not the yonngest may be because using lnded status results in an imperfect measure

Finally H6-that marriage age will be negatively associated with wealth flows to the husbands family-is supported only after controls for other marriage-processvariables are included The meaning of this pattern is uncleCar and may be a function of an association between dowry value and wealth flow not yet investigated

Our hypothesis concerning engagement and menarche has not Found support in this analysis We have already mentioned possible problems with the menarchevariable Our phrasing of the engagement hypothesis issuch that a zero-order effect should have been evident and disappearet when the control for relationship between families is entered That no zero-order effect was evident suggests that our association of engagement with socially riskier marriages is wrong Rather engageshyment may be considered a component of all marriages its association with later menarche alluded to earlier suggests that elements of the marriage process may be altered in response to unpredictable events

DISCUSSION

Our perspective couched in ethnographic knowledge of Punjabi social organizashytion and the culturally determined roles of women receives strong support from this analysis This is not to argue that the more standard development indicators are unimportant in explanations of marriage timing Rather we have demonstrated that a more complete understanding will be gained by considering the ranges of behavior permitted and forbidden in particular cultural settings

The results further encourage such comparative analyses by cautioning againsttaking pretransition settings to be without individual-level variation in behavior To say that a society is organized patrilineally or that inheritance is partible is not enough Even in Pakistani Punjab where the constraints of ideology on behavior

505 Social Organization and Marriage Timing Strategies in Pakistan

may be thought of as especially powerful we have shown that there is room for flexible responses that have their impact on marriage timing

We have used the rural Punjab case to present a model in which the alliance function of marriage is very important We suggest that the underlying componentsof such a society include its agrarian orientation and its unilineal kinship organizashytion It is possible that the model we have begun to develop here will find useful application in other partrilineal rural settings in the rest of South Asia and elseshywhere

Finally a note on social change We consciously directed our attention to a pretransition setting to highlight the need to consider the cultural and social milieu from which populations move as they undergo transition Interpretations of the transition in marriage behavior and its consequences for fertility begin to go astraywhen they focus unduly on individuals while ignoring issues of social structure and social control Education is not always related to the autonomy of women Caldwells finding that women in South India may be educated by their parents toenhance their marriageability (Caldwell Reddy and Caldwell 1982) finds parallels in our Punjabi analysis Similarly there is strong support here for a perspective that looks at marriage within the whole context of productive relationships

This has implications for the way we conceive of the interaction between valuesand institutions in social change Education of women for example although an innovative institutional feature within the rural setting seems to have unexpectedeffects on marriage timing that can be adequately explained only with reference to an extant value system or cultural milieu The extent to which this system retains its hold on the rural Punjab is evident from the strength of the marriage-processvariables in our analysis All of the hypotheses concerning their effects assume traditional values for the area Similarly the association of wage work with younger ages at marriage makes sense when we consider the risks to a daughtersmarriageability that come from exposure to extra-domestic influences Rather than suggesting some sort of cultural stasis however we argue that change will occur Our point is that the effects of these institutional components of transition will not be uniform across cultural settings Innovations will have their initial effects on behavior in ways that are corsistent with existing cultural values and these effects may be surprising

There is a clear call here for the inclusion of indicators for these effects in social surveys We have been able to explore these issues only because the AMS was designed to evoke culture-specific features of the marriage process Such data are rare however and in any case the social survey alone should not be expected to provide detailed models that allow us to make cultural sense of these processes (cfCaldwell Reddy and Caldwell 1984) We have also been fortunate in being able to use ethnographic sources in developing our interpretation although our sources for ethnographic and survey data are often separated by approximately two decades and none of the ethnographies describes the same villages in which the survey was conducted As a closing comment that cannot be fully elaborated here we suggestthe need to develop methodologies that combine survey and ethnographic data collection in formal and complementary ways

NOTES Sahlins calls this type of economy the domestic mode of production (1972) Among its characterisshy

tics are that it is an economy of production for use---ne penetrated with such noneconomic claims as ritual ceremonial and social diversion and one organized around donestic groups usually the family

2 Important examinations of the alliance theme appear in Dumont (1993) Parry (1979) and Yalman (1971) and its central importance in Muslim areas is documented in Eglar (1960) and Naveed-i-Rahat

506 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 number 4 November 1986 (1981) The nature of status and hierarchy as a cross-cutting feature of social organization and marriagemay be examined in Fruzzetti and Oster (1982) I Ahmad (1978) Korson (1971) and S Ahmad (1977)See Ortner (1981) for another treatment of wonlens stalus in hierarchic il settings Finally iherelationship between wealth flows marriage and hierarchy is treated in Tantbiah ( 1973ab) Caplan(194) and Gough (1956) in addition it) the above sources

Important differences in the definition of biradari sugges that -glar may have overslated the degree towhich patriline and biradari identify the same group For the Raiputs in Kangra biradari refers to group of clans within which marriages may be contracted in equalitI lParr the

19794) and AhIttad ( 19741571suggested that the biradari is a wider group than the ittediate patriline in Pakistan as well In any casethe breadth of the group to tich hiradari can appl seetis to be soitewhat dependent on context I Eglar196076) and we will restrict its meaning in this paper to palriline Also see lrtlzetti 1192115-116) for a parallel Bengali level of social i)rganization I Hypergamy refers to marriages it hich wives marr into higher statu families (otmpare wihhomogamy for marriages bet een faiimilies of equal statiu and lvpogaltv ill thich kotneninar intolower status families

Korson (1979150-151) in contrast reports a pattern for urban Pakistat il Mich these saneexchange marriages are desirable unions SirnilLrlv tlershinim (1981193) ieports that the Sikhs andHindus in the part of Indian lunjab where lie orkeitegarded such niarriage as quintesential] MusliitThe apparent explanation is the etent to lich nton-Ashraf groups those descended trout Hinduconverts relain the ideology of their aincesors ]vidence here suggests that in rural areas the extent is great

These data constitute a rich bodv ofrve rtatet il gatlicied in ile lutntab in 1979 by Sabiha If SvedIWomens Division Cabinet Secretariat (itivernment of Pakistan) (tordination of ilte project usasprovided by Peter C Smith (Iast-Wesl Populatiot Instittlel Similar tres erc conducted atl iboutthe same time in Indonesia thte Philippines and lhailand lhe tespective investigalors were Peter FMcDonald (Ausi-alian National ltiversitv Mercedes II CoitcepcionI tniversit ofthe Philippines) andAphichat Chamratrilhirong (Mahidol I niyersjtvi

See Suit 119571 and Andre s Morgan and Sonuist 119167 t- lie iustiication and method ofconversion from regression to intuliple clissilicatil uanalvsis otellicietlts The standard deviation is 1014ears cottnpaied tth 153 to as gtat as 2ol it the other three AMS

Countries For example the patlentci iiitrgeiterait l shilts i fitnik relatlonhips in llivrln slitius s tantalizing

contextual sintilarities to South Asiln societies Icf lIhor t1i11( hlng nd Still 1984)

A(K NI()VI)(F NTS The Asian Marriage Survey for Pakistat was carried out under US Agency forInternational Developmenl Grant DI)PSE-6-()048 The present research was conductshyed with supporl from the National Science Foundation (SES-8319904) Earlierversions of this paper were presented at tile East-West Population Institute

Wednesday Seminar and to a seminar at the Institute of Pakistan Studies Quaid-i-Azam University Islamahad We wish to thank the facitlt and students of Quaid-i-Azam University for their helpful Colllntls during the setninar In particularProfessor Dar Director of the Institule of Pakistan SIudics oflered especially usefulcriticisms We also acknowledge the comments of Furqan Ahmlad John BauerAndrew Cherlin Deborah Freedman Doris Nayyar and Arland Thornton onvarious earlier drafts while absolving all of them of any errors in our interpretationand analysis

R F - RFN( ES Ahiad 1 1978 Fndoganiy ird siaUs mohilit antong Siuldiqui lteikhs tl Allahlhad Itar radeslh Pp171-211 in I Ahinad (ct (t t t ui t fl otltili loi ot fiesthti iii In ha 2nd edt New

Delhi Manohar Ahnuad S 1974 A village in Palkistani Ilani ah jalpal 11p131-1 72in C Malones led) South siaSerei (ommunttv Prefii Nes Yuik tloll Rinehart and Winston

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India A tilcro-approach Iopuhltitonitn I)o velopment Rviit- 8689-727 - 1983 The ctuse of larliage change in South India Iopiliation Stidiv37343-3(1 - 1984 The micro-approach in delographic investligation lovird a methodology Paper presented

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- -1985h Etlicition ind age titmarriage |-itdence (ront Itcir Asinll ocleIe Papel presented lt torkslht Chanlging Mlartiage and tihe Fanil in Asia Silta Il tild Feb 21-24Cochrane S 1 19710 Iitttft and I~dtaitiol Mihat A) tii Rctilx A m Ittnloic Ill John IHopkins I rniverit Prcss

l)as 1973 Ifie strictiure oll timtanae preferences kii ilttouli (lit kistit fictilcti l1(1n8311-45 Du ont I 198 Ilierrch and marriage allitnce in Soulh lndimii kinslip tt iginllll published 1957)

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Lglr Z 19610A Piniali Iill in tAiti Ne )ioik (oltinibit niersit PressF-ores 11958 Introdtuction Ip 1-14 it J (iootl led I IH+ithI lop etal( irhi Plottiesih Groupsl Cambridge UK (Caubridge Liiciy r IcS

louster B 1978 I)(Inlestlc deveopIientiIl ccles is a link letsen ptoplaitilon plioces es and olher social processes Joturnall I ltleult It 14411-44 I0lnlthrol Rckea1tl

|os R 1967 Kiittitip lt(I l littwtt -h alrl UK PenguinAittthrohe11 1 IIttnlondirth

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508 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 number 4 November 1986

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RECENT AVAILABLE REPRINTS OF THE EAST-WEST POPULATION INSTITUTE No 172 Conclusion by Lee-Jay Cho reprinted from The IndustrialFutureof the fIzcific Basin RogerBenjamin and Robert T Kudrle eds Westview Press Colorado 1984 173 Asian Labor Migration to the Middle East by Fred Arnold and Nasra M Shah reprinted

front InternationalMigration Review Sum mer 1984 174 Repeatability of infant deaths in Korea by Chai Bin Park and Alfred C Hexter reprinted

from nhternationaljournal of Epideniolhgy September 1984 175 Comparative analysis of fertility orientations World Fertility Survey findings by Lee-Jay Cho ind Louise Kantrow reprinted from Predicting Fertility DenographicStudies ofBirth Expectations Gerry E I lendershot and Paul J Placek eds Lexington Books DC

I leath and Company Massachusetts 1981 176 Census-derived estimates of fertility by duration since first marriage in the Republicof Korea by Robert 1) Retherlord ee-JaY Cho ard Narn-Il Kim reprinted from Deinogshy

raphy November 481 The value of daughters and sons A comparative study of the gender preferences of parshyents bv Fred Arnold and Eddie CY Kujo reprint_d from fournal of Comparative Fanih Studes Summer 1984

178 Analysing open birth interval distributions by Griffith FeeneY and John A Ross reprintedfrom Population Studies Novembet 1981

17 Population dynamics arid policy in the eoples Republic of China by Lee-jay Choreprinted from The Annals if TheAneirican Acadenii ufoPliticaland Sociai Science Chinain Transitim vol 476 Marvin F Wolfgang ed Sage lublications Beverly Hills Califorshynia 1984

180 Personal networks and the adoption of family planning in rural Korea by Joung ImKim arid Janmes A lihlmore reprinted from Journalov Population and I halth Studies Dshycember 1984

181 Determinants of birth-interval length in the Philippines Malaysia and Indonesia Ahazard-model analysis by James Trussell Linda G Martin Robert Feldman James APalmore Mercedes Concepcion and Datin Noor Laily lBt Dato Abu Bakar reprinted Denograply May 1985

182 Shadow households and competing auspices Migration behavior in the Philippinesby Fe Caces Fred Arnold Jame T Fawcett and Robert W Gardner reprinted fior lourshynal of Development Econonics lanuarv-February 1985 183 Perceptions of the value of children Satisfaction and costs by James 1 Rawcett reprinted

from Detrniinantsof lertiliti in Devehpin Counitries vol 1 Rodolfo A Bulatao and RonaldD Lee eds Acaderic Press Inc 1983 184 Diffusion processes affecting fertility regulation bv Robert I) Retherford and JamesA Palmore reprinted from Determiintsof lirtlityqin Dcvelopiing Countries vol 2 RodolfoA Bulatao and Ronald D Lee eds Academic Press Inc 1983 185 The impact of age at marriage and proportions marrying on fertility by Peter C Smithreprinted from Determinantsof lirtiilit in Develolmkg Countries vol 2 Rodolfo A gulatao

and Ronald D Lee eds Academic Press Inc 1983 186 Migration of women to cities The Asian situation in comparative perspective by Siew-Ean Khoo Peter C Smith and James T Fawcett reprinted from lnternationalMigration

Rtview Special Issue Noten in AlM ratin Winter 1984

187 Measuring the effect of sex preference on fertility The case of Korea by Fred Arnold ieprinted from Dernography May 1985

18 Exploring the normative basis for age at marriage in Thailand An example from focus group research by Anthony Pramualratana Napaporn Havanon and John Knodel reprinted from Journalof Marriageand the Family February 1985

189 The non-economic consequences of Asian labor migration to the Middle East by Nasra M Shah and Fred Arnold reprinted from International Union for the Scientific Study of Population lnternaitonalPopulation Conference Florence 1985 vol 3 1985

190 Parity progression projection by Griffith Feeney reprinted from International Union for the Scientific Study of Population InternationalPopiulation Conference Florence 1985 vol 4 1985

191 A theory of marita fertility transition by Robert D Retherford reprinted from Popula tion Studies July 1985

192 Cultural variations in the transition to marriage in four Asian societies by Paul Cheung Josefina Cabigon Aphichat Chamratrithirong Peter F McDonald Sabila Syed Andrew Cherlin and Peter C Smith reprinted from International Union for the Scientific Study of Population InternationalPopulation Conference Florence 1985 vol 3 1985

193 Decision making and sex selection with biased technologies by Neil GBennett and Andrew Mason reprinted from Sex Selection of Children Neil G Bennett ed Academic Press Inc 1983

194 US farm migration An application of the Harris-Todaro model by Daniel B Suits reprinted from Economic Development and Cultural Chang vol 33 no 4 1985

195 Health of Hlmong in Thailand Risk factors morbidity and mortality in comparison with other ethnic groups by Peter Kunstadter reprinted from Culture Medicine and Psyshychiairy vol 9 no 4 1985

196 Evaluation of contraceptive history data in the Republic of Korea by Anne R Pebley Noreen Goldman and Minja Kim Choe reprinted from Stldies ii Family PlanningJanushyaryFebruary 1986

197 Circulation between home and other places Some propositions by Murray Chapman and R Mansell Prothem and Me go walkabout you too by Murray Chapman reprinted from Circulationin Population Mozement Substance and Concepts fion tie Melnesian Case Murray Chapman and R Maniell Prothero eds Routledge amp Kegan Paul 1985

198 Fijians and Indo-Fijians in Suva Rural-urban movements and linkages by Shashikant Nair reprinted from Circulationin PopulationMovement Substance and Concepts fron the Melanesian Case Murray Chapman and R Mansell Prothero eds Routledge amp Kegan Paul 1985

199 Linkages between internal and international migration The Ilocos Norte experience by Fred Arnold and Ricardo G Abad reprinted from PhilippinePopulationJournalJune 1985

200 An economic analysis of recent fertility in Japan by Naohiro Ogawa and Andrew Mason reprinted from linko Gaku Kenkyu vol 9 May 1986

201 Averting crisis in Asia by Lee-jay Cho reprinted from Bulletin of the Atonic Scientists vol 42 no 4 1986

202 Sex preference fertility and family planning in China by Fred Arnold and Liu Zhao xiang reprinted from lPpulation am Development Review vol 12 no 2 1986

203 The place of child-spacing as a factor in infant mortality A recursive model by Chai Bin Park reprinted from American Journalof Public Health vol 76 no 8 1986

204 Determinants of Korean birth intervals The confrontation of theory and data by Larry L Bumpass Ronald R Rindfuss and James A Palmore reprinted from Po)pulationStudies vol 40 no 3 1986

Page 7: INSTITUTE timing strategies in Pakistan

493 Social Organization and Marriage Timing Strategies in Pakistan

RISHTADARI

BIRADARI F~ 0i male

o~afemale

a marriage r- sibship

- descent

Figure l-Iegrees of kinship distance in the rural Pimp)

the successful links formalized by marriage are continued in further marriages In row C marriage occurs between a man and a woman from different patrilines but related through a woman We denote this type of marriage its rishtadari It is obvious from the diagram that marriages in rows B and C vartan and rishtadari are identical to the extent that property is alien~ated from a patriline at marriage

PATRILINE I PATRILINE 2

Figre2-Rplcaio ofalacsara-hniI ishadr marriage

494 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 number 4 November 1986

The degree of relationship between households has implications for the marriage process that are in part related to the structure of wealth flows Preferred marriages are within the kin group (Eglar 196094) more specifically within the biradari andmarriages outside this group are considered hypergamous4 (S Ahmad 1974157shy159) Nevertheless a high percentage of marriages are contracted outside this group(cf S Ahmad 1974156) Das f 19713) summarized the order of marriage prefershyences for the muslim villages-of Pakistan and India as follows

I marriage to cousins is preferred to marriage with nonrelatives2 marriage of a set of brothers to a set of sisters is adesirable pattern although

exchange marriages in which daughters are exchanged between households are low status5

3 village exogamy is preferential to village endogamy

She pointed out that these preferences have implications tor the frequency ofmarriages to specific relatives Thus since brothers usually reside in the same villagecross-cousin marriage is more frequent than that with parallel cousins This isfollowed in popularity by marriage with matrilateral parallel cousins Because Muslim marriage permits union of nearly any type outside of the householdhowever l)as suggested that it is not possible to summarize Pakistani marriages in terms of a preferential pattern rather thev are the result of cumulative relations between siblings and spouses within a family

For both men and women marriage arrangements are conducted by members ofthe senior generation Although fornal right to the decision goes to fathers older brothers or [he nearest male agnateC mther have informilal decision-making powers most often realized in the form of veto iDas 197337) Man iage negotiationshowever nearly always involve intermediaries since rejection can involve loss oflice and countercharges of arrogance A formal proposal is seldom made until acceptance is already assurred negotlaitions involve preliminary investigations intothe behavior of household and biradari members as well as the establishment of dowry paylmcnts LEglar 196t078 cf Parr 1979241 and Tandon 1968124-128 for parallel exalirles)

If marriage confers advantagcs in the form of new cooperative relationshipsISocun Akhtar and Sahi 195932 -glar 196193) it also carries with it a certain

armount of risk In the process of negotiaion there is the risk of reJection later the risk of marriage failure and the sttndering of alliance relationships based on marriagearises We would expect then thait [ie group ithin which marriage is arrangedreflects a consideration of henelils and isks b mlale ill both households A further consideration must involve the alienation of propert the biradaritromn marriagesoutside of which would involve continiuing ealth Iflows outside the patriline Parry11979295) suggested For the Rajputs that repetition of imarnitge to the same group of affines across generations is in part a risk-reduction strategy These aflines are aknown quantity and assuming atlimited ability to afford risks the safest marriageprospects In a similar way the doryv system and its attendant series of preslationsafter marriage means that bhiradari endogam rep|asetlts the most reasonable way of protecting patriline property albeit at the expense ofrnot generating new kin links Caplan 11984223) stressed ho tile rcstriction ofnmrriages withint a group can create a circulating pool of resources in another Soth Asian setting

This has implications for the order of marriage preferences in tile Ptunjab It suggests that although the goal of every household is to maximize its advantageousconnections through marriage there will be inherent limitations on them related to

495 Social Organization and Marriage Timing Strategies inPakistan

their control of resources and the degree to which they can muster valuable commodities for exchange It also suggests that the ideology of marriage preferenceswill vary with social class To take the rural case a number of relationships arise We accept first that the majority of households in the rural Punjab are of Ajlaf status primarily descendents of Rajput and related converts to Islam We suggestthat rural marriage patterns tend to parallel those of antecedent groups and that documentation from the few rural studies supports this To summarize for the rural Punjab

0 Wealthier households will tend to marry daughters to nonrelatives more often than poor households since their interests are in expanding kin linkages and they can more readily assume the risks In addition there are lingering ideological jutificat ions tor doing so

Homogamo is nmarriagcs will outwunber hypergamous In those cases of hypershygany the value of marital trawactions and wealth 1oWS to the husbands family will be higher han in homogamous cases

Cases of hypogamy will occur but the value of transactions will he toward the wifes family and bride wealth may replace dowry

Both 1lpogarnlo1uS and hypCrgamnous marriages will beCmore associated with formal engagement than honiogamIIous marriages since they involve more risk and negotiation

The valuc of a daughtr is affected b inenarche and tihe anxiety about chastityT-vo possibilities arise n rcspor e to early rilenarche either a daughter will be rapidly married oil to nrotect her familys honor or she will be married at roughlythe same age as other daughtlers but to relatives who can feel most assured that she hits been protected

0 The sa lst marriaces are those contracted within tile biradari followed by those either within the rishltadari or ith a vartan connection The most risky marriages are t1ose contracted with a family wsith which no prior fornal connection exists these are most cleCMrl cnltCrCd into for the aVantagCs they confer

In a siting khere structural and ideological factors so explicitly stress the sAmbolic and exchangC value of womCnand where at womans age is a partial component of her idtnC we expect marriagc strategies to have implications for daughters ages at marriage A woman has virtuilly no say in the marriage process in the rural setting (asidC from a pro forma alification of arrangenments already made in the ikah cerenrony) and evn in urbtan settings it is clcar Ithat the pressures on parents cause them to discoirlnt thteir daughters wishes We expect then that marriage age will vary wilh the relative sttis ofilrmiliesCcdU tional altitinlent of women dowry payments and the dCgree of rClaltikAship between spotIses families prior to marriage Ourt hypotheses for nmrriagc timing ill tile rurall Punjal follow from atconsideration of daughtcrs as wealth

Rlationship he iuth n inlmiihA A dalughter age At marriagc Will vary with her tnatil hoimes relationship to her spouses natal ionC is t function ol cultural expectations of first choice and the pleNcribcd dirccti0l of1 Calth Ii lows between households Marriage within the biradari implies no alienation of property and this group is most assured of the chastity of the bride There is no reason for tier to marry early except that biradari members have first claim Mnd this claim mlust be removed if marriages outside the patriline are to be made In terms of property alienation there is no dilerence among the other (tgrees of relationship Both rishtadari and vartan

496 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 number 4 November 1986

groups however already possess cooperative links with each other marriagefunctions to reaffirm these Furthermore both groups have access to informa orabout the woman and are more secure than strangers about her chastity Completely new relationships established by marriage however will fully exploit a daughtersexchange value in the rural setting they will be the most likely to rely on formal culturally stated values Knowledge of a daughters chastity will be less secure insuch marriages and the culturally augmented inferiority of wife-givers in relation towife-receivers will mandate a flow of women possessing positive cultural attributes

HI These issues of property transfer and knowledge of a woman and her familylead us to predict that the youngest ages at marriage will be between previouslyunrelated families followed by biradari marriages Marriages between rishtadari and vartan groups will be the latest and at similar ages on average because of the structural similariy of prperty transfer and faith in a familys standing between these groups

Edctalion The desire for educated women is still ambiguous in the rural setting a little (less than the husbands) confers status on a womans natal home but too much can negatively affect marriage prospects Education enhances a womans value and offsets the decline in desirability that must occur with age

1-12 We expect the often-noted positive association between iuuation ind marriage age but we also expect it even when there is very brief attendance and no grade attainment

Dow v Dowry involves a transfer of property from the wifes natal home to thatof her husbands It serves in part to enhance the symbolic value of a daughter and can also offset her devaluation from biological aging

H3 Dowry will be positively associated with a womans age at marriage

Relatirestatus oJfiwmilies Marrying into a higher status family-hypergamy-isrisky and expensive across all measures f value Dowry payments will be higher for reasons that go beyond their offsetting of a daughters age Hypogamy-marriageinto a family of lower status-on the other hand reverscs the advantage and riskHypogamous marriag s do occur in spite of strong ideological sanctioni againstthem In such cases the husbands flamily is at a strong disadvantage in negotiationssince they are the initiators of the alliance and have much to g in We have two predictions about age at marriage and tle relative status of fanilies then

H4 We expect hypergamous marriages to be associated with the youngest average ages at marriage Hypoganous marriages will be associated with tile latest average ages at marriage

Age (it menaice We have noted that tile risk associated with accepting adaughtcr-in-la increases with duration since menarche in these transactions (cfPaige ind Paige 198 185) This event should be an important initiator of the marriage process

H5 We expect age at menarche to be positively related to marriage age For daughters

497 Social Organization and Marriage Timing Strategies in Pakistan

Wealth flows Transactions move in both directions at marriage and we expectthese to be related to the alliance-producing nature of the institution too Wealth flows toward the wifes natal home indicate this familys advantage in the contract in much the same way that hypogamous marriages give an advantage

1-16We expect flemale ages at marriage to be younger with wealth flows toward the husbands tamily

Entgoiumtzni Finally we expect that engagement before marriage is associated with the need to fornmalize the marriage process itself Among the functions served here are the ratification oftagreemcnts miade between families These should be most necessary with those marria cs contracted between unrelated families since families in some relationship to each other before marriage can afford to he more casLual

1-17 We expect marriage age to have a negative relationship to formal engageshyniCt11

DATA AND MEII()DS

The AsiaXifMarriaic r Itv

This analysis is based on data from the Pakistan round of the A ian MarriageSurvey (AMS) l)ata include a wide rnge of marriage and fertility information with special attention to cull ral variables and individual life history events for married women between the ages of 15 and 45and for asample of their husbands Systematicsamples of households were drawn to represent three socioeconomic settings in the Puljab-a rural sample from a few contiguous villages in Kasur and Sheikhupuradistricts an urban lowCr-class samnplC draIwu from squatter-dominated districts within lahore and an urban middle-class sample drawn from another district of Lahore Each sample is relativclv honogencous with respect to economic backshyground 1ndcurrent Standard of living as well as overall cultural milieu

Important innovations in the ANIS instruments include the breadth of topicscovered Each interview covered itwide range of basic social and economic characteristics in addition to dLtai from each ofthe spouses on parental characterisshytics the process of entry into marriage work and income attitudes toward marriage and divorce andIattitudes and aspirations for children life histories were ohtaincd for timing of events under the headings of eCLucation work marriage childbearingand fanily limitation For Pakistan especially impotant details of dowry paymentsand relationship of spouses were included in addition to information oi attitudes toward purdah and other aspects of Islam in PIakistan [he coMplcted sample for Pakistan contains interviews with 1011women and 588 men

Because this paper is concrncd wit Ii the transactioial strategies of marriage we include only cases for which both wifes and husbands information is available In addition the data contain the event truncation bias that is built into all cross-section samples of ever-married persons (Ryder 1975) Because young ever-married women conic fron cohorts with incomplete marriage experience women in those cohorts who were mici at the younger ages are disproportionately selected The age bywhich 90 percent of recent cohorts will have been married was estimated at 21 and we have excluded women below this age (Smith and Karim 1980) [hus the initial rural sample of 351 respondents becomes 173

Indicators of Marriage Siratgy

Table I pi -sents the distribution of cases for a range of variables Of these indicators fmost direct interest are those that have to do with family influence and

498 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 numbe 4 November 1986

Table I-Selected characteristics of female respondents rural households in Pakistan Asian Marriage Survey

Percent in Percent inVariable category Variable category

Fathers occupaticnb Zamindar Agricultural laborer Unskilled laborer Skilled laborer White collar worker

Womans education Literate

Never attended school Attended 0 attainment 1-8 grades 9-12 grades 13 or more grades

Womans occupational status before marriage

No work Family work Wage w rk

Current household has electricity

Age at menarche lt13 13

gt13

Engagement status Not engaged Engaged

Participation in choice of spouse by woman

No participation Some participation

(172) 517 250 105 58 70

(173) 100

434 451 93 23 00

(173) 58

509 434

559

(173) 393 329 277

(171) 433 567

(173) 1000 00

Frequency cf meeting with spouse before marriage (169)

Never or once 544 Infrequently or often 456

Relationship between families before marriage (170)

No relationship 294 Vartan 176 Rishtadari 341 Biradari 188

Type of dowry (173) Nonehousehold goods 353 Cashluxuries 647

Value of payments to husbands family (172)

0-499 rupees 163 500-9T9 rupees 151 1000-1999 rupees 221 2000-3999 rupees 209 4000-5999 rupees 99 6000-10000 rupees 105 10000 or more rupees 52

Wealth flows at marriage (172) To wifes fanily 174 Balanced 291 To husbands family 535

Marriage type by relative land status of families (173) Hypogamous union 116 Landless homogamy 220 Landed homogamy 509 Iypergamous union 156

Note Figures in parentheses are number of case-- available for given variable

a The original sample includes 351 women Interviews with husband were available for 198 of these women among the 198 25 were under age 21 and have therefore been excluded

b At time of womans birth

strategic behavior in marriage Additional variables that we include are education and fathers occupation itsindicators of class backgiound and achievement We will not comment extensively on these except to note first the striking agrariancharacter of the rural stratum Second we wish 1o point out an unusual feature of education for women A substantial number of women enter school but never complete a single grade (full year) of instruction Further earlier analysis (Cherlin etal 1985b) revealed that these women marry significantly later than those who have

499 Social Organization and Marriage Timing Strategies in Pakistan

never attended school alall The extent to which this is a phenomenon restricted to women is revealed by comparison of distributions for husbands and wives In nostratum is there a comparable percentage of men who have atiended school wiihotrtattainir-g a grade Our inclination is to interpret this in terms of the exchange value of women which we will discuss in a later section

Iinally we note the distribution of type of work before manage for womenWomen reporting 1io work at all appear to be from wealthier households with theability to afford ortholoXy We expect those women most restricted by purdah to bein this group Family work is defined as work within the household enterprisewhether farm trade or stnall-commodity production and wage work impliespayment from an enterprise other than the fatnilys It is important to realize thatthese wages are invariably turned over to the household head The distributions for frequenCV of meetings between spouses before marriage andchoice of spouse are given in table I only to show tileextent to which women lackcontrol in their marital decisions No wonman in the rural amtple reported any degreeof choice in her sousC other than the ratification of parental choice in tilenikah ceremony The extent of meetings between spouses beiore marriage on the otherhand most likely reflects meetings between couples before puberty and the need forpurdah A strong correlation between kinship and more frequent meetings suggests

this

Var6h1es

Taking each variable separately we discuss their construction and the rationalefor inclusion here

AK (itneM11rht This variable is coded from a straightforward question askingage at first menses It is possible that the importance of menarche in this settingencouiraged misitatement of actual ages (Paige and Paige 198179-82) Neverthelesswe retain the variable in the analysis because of its centrality in outr discussionRelationrship hetween aimilies heone marriag ()ur earlier discussion of thedegrees of relatedness within which marriaie may occur in Pakistan leads us todistinguish four categories For the rural stratin Three questions on the schedule

(124A-l124) are the isis for the coding Was your spouse related to you beforemarriage Were you r and his families friends or neighbors before marriage [lowwere you related We define as marrying within ile biradarioi tnlythose respondentswho explicitly identified their relationship with their spouse itsbeing throughpatrilineal kin Other degrees of relationship are defined as rishtdari usingassumpons based on the di sinclination to reverse wealth flows from generation togeneration and other Punjabi cultural values tcf Parrv 1979 Eglar 1960 Das 1973)

ltigVdit(fltI We incindC a vatriable for engagemeit before marriaue as anindicator of marriage fOrmality Th is is taken directly from a quest ion concerningwhether tlhc respondent was formally engaged

ivpe ofdorvrv This indicator measure the extent to which dowvrv was intendedto provide for the new household rather than attract a husband Traditional dowriestended to be conlined to household goods f0r the sc of the nc couple Recent years have seen the inflation of dowry to include money and cash goods throughoutSouth Asia othe abscnce of these is soirmething of ati indictlor of sociocconionlicstatus in modern marriages We include it here with the expectation that tile type ofdowry will also be related to tile arebargaining process (ash and luxury dowriesexpected to bea feature of hypergamous marriages

I ahle oflaynent to htushandr flmintv [his indlicator is codCd froni I directquestion to male respondents Though we might dotbt the accuracy of such

500 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 number 4 November 1986

responses in some contexts these payments are reported by ethnographers to be a source of some pride in Muslim marriages indeed a part of the wedding ceremony involves the declaration of gifts to the husbands family and the nature and value of items are recorded in a book as they are called out Thus we expect these responses to be very close to their true values and important indicators of marital transactions between families

tIaniogany We have constructed in indicator designed to roughly measure the relative homegamy of marriages by using land as an indicator of status We expectthis to be a good measure for rural households in which the agrarian economy makes land a critical productive resource Nevertheless we must stress that it is an imperfect measure of homogamy in spite of lands importance since we have no measure of relative amounts owned Hypergamous marriages are defined as those in which a landless womans family has made a marital link with a landed family whereas hypogamous marriages represent the opposite case In our initial analysis tand in table I) we broke marriages dok n into subgroups of landed and landless but these are combined in the analysis presented here since there was no difference between them

Wealth flows tt marriage This indicator is directly constructed from questionsabout the value of marital transactions in both directions In the analysis below we combine thoe categories in which wealth flows were either toward the wonins nata home or balanced since the Punjabi culural ideal is that flows should be tcward the husbands home IBut note evidence from elsewhere in South Asia of change in the direction of wealth flows (IIdcnbaum 1981 Caldwell Reddy and Caldwell 1982 1983 Crplan 1984))

Method o AnalYsis

We employ least squares regression to estimate the coelficients associated with variables taken as predictors of wives ages lt marriage The set of variables just discussed-the marriage-process variables-are distinguisoed from a set of backshyground or control variables All variables are ncasured as catcgories and are entered into the equations as dummy variables although a multiple classification analysisforinat has been used to present the result in tables 2 and 37 We present one unadjusted and two adjusied mean ages at marriage for each category in these tables The unadjusted column represents the effect of each indicator when its et of dummy varitbles is entered into the cquation by itself The first column of adjusted means reflects the effects when age at marriage is rcgrescd on the set of variables specified in the given table by themselves Adjusted means in the second colunn indicate the effec of each set of dunmmy variables entered along with all control and other

R2marriage-process variables The for each set of measures is the variance explained by that group of dummy variables above For the adjusted neans the incremental R-2s presented represent the additional variance explained by each set of dummy variables after all others have been entered into the equation for that column We ha- indicatcd significance levels up to the 010 level because the small sample tends to reduce significance levels even when the coefficients are quite large in absolute terms In fact nearly all variables shown to be significant at the 0 10 level are very close to the 0)0(6 level of significance

RESITl I S

Table 2 presents the results of our regression for those background variables not directly tested here In general we find that those that are significant by themselves retain their significance even after other variables are entered We can see from this

501 Soial Organization and Marriage Timing Strategies in Pakistan

Table 2-Mean age at marriage hy background variables unadjusted and adjusted

Mean age atmarriage Number 0Variable Unadjusteda Adjusted Adjustdc of cases

Cohortd lt30 173 171 171 84 30-34 176 177 173 20 35-39 166 167 165 31 40-45

(Increment in R2 ) 173 (010)

176 (010)

179 (020)

30

Class backgrounde Farmer 172 172 172 88 Agricultural laboLer 164 167 167 3e Blue collarprofessional 180 177 177 39 (Increment in R2) (034) (012) (012)

Womans education No schooling 161 163 164 72 Attended 0 attairment 177 173 175 74 1-12 years completed (Increment in R2)

193 (124)

191 (090-)

185 (045 )

19

Womans occupational status before marriage

Family work or no work 177 176 176 92 Wage work 165 167 165 73

(Increment in R2) (041) (021) (038)

r(ran1 mean 172 Total cases 165

R2 for all background variables 171

R2 controlling for marriage process variables 124

a Zero-order mean b Controlling for other background variables c Controlling for other background variables and all family process

variables d Age at survey date e Fathers occupation at time of womans birth

significant at the 01 level significant at the 05 level significant at the 10 level

tabulation that there are no cohort trends in marriage age in our sample of women and that class background appears to make little difference in marriage timing once controls are included in the equation The moc-t interesting pattern in educational effects on marriage age is with that group of women who have attended school hut never finished a grade These women marry a full year later t ian those who have never attended even after controls are entered We also note iatwomen who work for wages before marriage marry a year younger on ihe averae than those who work for their families The latter two results are not predicted by the standard theories of marriage Nevertheless the overall results presented in table 2 support the imporshy

502 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 number 4 N3vember 1986 tance of education and occupation as components of the complete explanation ofmarriage timing The background vaiables by themselves account for 17 percent ofthe variation in marriage age and continue to account for over 12 percent of thatvariation even after adjustment for marriage-process variables

Turning to table 3 we can more precisely see the contribution of our marriageshyprocess variables to the egt plaration Looking at the zero-order relationships firstwe see that three of these-the relationship between families before marriage valueof dowry and marital homogamy-make large and statistically significant contribushytions to marital timing At this level we find good support for our hypothesesconcerning the effects of each of these variables on marriage age Thus the earlymarriers categorized by relationships are those whose marriages are contractedwith strangers followed by those married within the patriline The latest marriers arethose who marry nonpatrilincally related kin or into vart ri groups We also find thatvalue of payments to hubarids family is positively associated with marriage ageOur hypothesis concerning marital homogamy and marriage agc receives moremixed support Wonen in hypogamous union are the latest marricrs as predictedbut not as expected hypergamously married women not the eariiest marriagesare

Other hypotheses receive no support at this level Age at menarche appears tohave a weak positive relationship wivh age at marriage but the result is notsignificant and the Rshyincrement is quite small Nor does engagement status dowrytype or direction of wealth flows make any significant difference to marriage ageWhen we enter controls for other marriage-process variables (cf first adjustedmean) wealth qows ichieve significance in reiation to marriage age and in thepredicted direction but no other variable shifts toward significance in this way

The absence of a positive relationship between age at nenarche and marriagetiming is notable since a significant relationshIip has been reported ini a wide varietyof social settings (Udry and Cliquet 1982) One possible explanation is attenuationdue to misstatement of actual ages at first menses We have already cited Paige andPaige 11981) in this connection and the age pattern of menses ages in our data suggests some convergence of responses on normative ages Yet other relationishipsin our data arc consistent with accurately reported ages at menarche For examplecross-tabulalions of age at first menses and whether a woman was formally engagedbefore narriage show that lower ages at menarche are associated with the absence ofengagement This is n expected relationship our hypotheses predict a speeding up(f the marriage process lic menarche is relatively early one way to achieve this isthrough the deletion of certain elements in the process Further indication ofaccurately reportedi ages at menarhe appears when we consider the relationshipbetween age at first menses and age at marriage separately for landed and landlesshouseholds Within the landless group there is no relationship Among landedhouseholds on the other hand there is a consistent rise in the age at marriage with age at menarche-from 169 for those who experience mcenarche before age 13 to182 for those who experience menarche after age 13 This is as predicied sincelanded households are the most likely to contract marriages with unrelated familiesin which the element of risk and concern about chastity weigh the heaviest

In general the marriage-process variables retain iheir effects when controls areentered although there is a slight weakening in the levels of significance Given arelatively small sample size our results provide heartening support for a theory ofmarriage that includes social-structural and transactional elements The full regresshysion results (not shown here) show thai all of these variables together account for over 27 percent of the variance in marriage timing in the rural sample Our analysisshows that both the standard background or control variables a-d the more

503 Social Organization and Marriage Timing Strategies in Pakistan

Table 3-Mean age at marriage by marriage process variables unadjusted and adjusted

Mean age at marriage NumberdegVariable Unadjusteda Adjusted Adjusted of cases

Relationship between families before marriageNo relationship 163 162 165 49Biradari 169 171 169 32 HishtadariVartan

2178 178 177 84

(Increment in R ) (046) (049) (026)

Age at menarche lt13 169 171 170 65 13 173 172 174 57

gt13 174 172 172 43 (Increment in R2 ) (004) (000) (003)

Engagement status Not engaged 172 174 172 70Engaged

2172 171 171 95

(Increment in R ) (000) (002) (000)

Type of dowryNoneHousehold goods 170 173 173 56 CashLuxuries 173 171

2 171 109 (Increment in R ) (001) (001) (002)

Value of payments to husbands family

0-499 rupees 161 155 159 26 500-999 rupees 167 165 166 25 1000 or more rupees 175 177 176 1142(Increment in R ) (036) (052) (026)

Marriage typeHypergamoua union 173 171 174 27 Isogamous uniond 169 169 168 121Hypogamous union 189 194 192 172(Increment in R ) (042) (060) (046)

Wealth flows at marriage BalancedTowards wifes

family 171 178 178 76 Toward husbands family 173 167 -67 892(IncremenL in R ) (001) (021) (022)

Grand mean 172 Total cases 165

R2 for all marriage process variables 147

R2 controlling for background variables 101

a Zero-order mean b Controlling for other marriage process variables c Controlling for other marriage process variables and all background

variables d Between two landed or between two landless families

oignificant at 01 significant at the 05 level

s the level

significant at the 10 level

504 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 number 4 November 1986

structural and cultural variables account for their own parts of this variance Thus background variables explain a unique 12 percent of the variance and the marriageshyprocess variables explain an additional 10 percent The remaining 52 percent is explained jointly by the two sets of variables

Our analysis supports most of our hypotheses and on balance reinforces the perspective from which they are derived Regarding I-1-that marriage between unrelated groups will result in the youngest and marriage between rishtadari and vartan groups the latest ages at marriage-we have complete support More than a year separates the oldest and youngest groups even after all controls are entered

Our second hypothesis-that education will be positively associated with marshyriage-is also supported We have included this variable with the other backgroundfactors because superficially this relationship is hardly surprising Nevertheless the significant increase of a year in marriage age that occurs even when a grade of school isnot completed suggests an unconventional interpretation of the importanceof education in this setting Thus education must have its effects because of the symbolic value it has fbr the wife-receivers in the arriage transaction rather than because of it impact on the wonman herself

H3 concerning the positive relationship between dowry vaIC and age at marriage is supported here with more than a year and ihalf separating earliest and latest marrying groups This is true even with controls for class background and the inflation of dowry values that we might expect to be associated with class background

Our fourth hypothesis concerning the relationship between lionioganiv and marriage age receives only mixed support Hypogamously marrying women are the latest marriers by nearly two years That hypergrrmous marricrs are not the yonngest may be because using lnded status results in an imperfect measure

Finally H6-that marriage age will be negatively associated with wealth flows to the husbands family-is supported only after controls for other marriage-processvariables are included The meaning of this pattern is uncleCar and may be a function of an association between dowry value and wealth flow not yet investigated

Our hypothesis concerning engagement and menarche has not Found support in this analysis We have already mentioned possible problems with the menarchevariable Our phrasing of the engagement hypothesis issuch that a zero-order effect should have been evident and disappearet when the control for relationship between families is entered That no zero-order effect was evident suggests that our association of engagement with socially riskier marriages is wrong Rather engageshyment may be considered a component of all marriages its association with later menarche alluded to earlier suggests that elements of the marriage process may be altered in response to unpredictable events

DISCUSSION

Our perspective couched in ethnographic knowledge of Punjabi social organizashytion and the culturally determined roles of women receives strong support from this analysis This is not to argue that the more standard development indicators are unimportant in explanations of marriage timing Rather we have demonstrated that a more complete understanding will be gained by considering the ranges of behavior permitted and forbidden in particular cultural settings

The results further encourage such comparative analyses by cautioning againsttaking pretransition settings to be without individual-level variation in behavior To say that a society is organized patrilineally or that inheritance is partible is not enough Even in Pakistani Punjab where the constraints of ideology on behavior

505 Social Organization and Marriage Timing Strategies in Pakistan

may be thought of as especially powerful we have shown that there is room for flexible responses that have their impact on marriage timing

We have used the rural Punjab case to present a model in which the alliance function of marriage is very important We suggest that the underlying componentsof such a society include its agrarian orientation and its unilineal kinship organizashytion It is possible that the model we have begun to develop here will find useful application in other partrilineal rural settings in the rest of South Asia and elseshywhere

Finally a note on social change We consciously directed our attention to a pretransition setting to highlight the need to consider the cultural and social milieu from which populations move as they undergo transition Interpretations of the transition in marriage behavior and its consequences for fertility begin to go astraywhen they focus unduly on individuals while ignoring issues of social structure and social control Education is not always related to the autonomy of women Caldwells finding that women in South India may be educated by their parents toenhance their marriageability (Caldwell Reddy and Caldwell 1982) finds parallels in our Punjabi analysis Similarly there is strong support here for a perspective that looks at marriage within the whole context of productive relationships

This has implications for the way we conceive of the interaction between valuesand institutions in social change Education of women for example although an innovative institutional feature within the rural setting seems to have unexpectedeffects on marriage timing that can be adequately explained only with reference to an extant value system or cultural milieu The extent to which this system retains its hold on the rural Punjab is evident from the strength of the marriage-processvariables in our analysis All of the hypotheses concerning their effects assume traditional values for the area Similarly the association of wage work with younger ages at marriage makes sense when we consider the risks to a daughtersmarriageability that come from exposure to extra-domestic influences Rather than suggesting some sort of cultural stasis however we argue that change will occur Our point is that the effects of these institutional components of transition will not be uniform across cultural settings Innovations will have their initial effects on behavior in ways that are corsistent with existing cultural values and these effects may be surprising

There is a clear call here for the inclusion of indicators for these effects in social surveys We have been able to explore these issues only because the AMS was designed to evoke culture-specific features of the marriage process Such data are rare however and in any case the social survey alone should not be expected to provide detailed models that allow us to make cultural sense of these processes (cfCaldwell Reddy and Caldwell 1984) We have also been fortunate in being able to use ethnographic sources in developing our interpretation although our sources for ethnographic and survey data are often separated by approximately two decades and none of the ethnographies describes the same villages in which the survey was conducted As a closing comment that cannot be fully elaborated here we suggestthe need to develop methodologies that combine survey and ethnographic data collection in formal and complementary ways

NOTES Sahlins calls this type of economy the domestic mode of production (1972) Among its characterisshy

tics are that it is an economy of production for use---ne penetrated with such noneconomic claims as ritual ceremonial and social diversion and one organized around donestic groups usually the family

2 Important examinations of the alliance theme appear in Dumont (1993) Parry (1979) and Yalman (1971) and its central importance in Muslim areas is documented in Eglar (1960) and Naveed-i-Rahat

506 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 number 4 November 1986 (1981) The nature of status and hierarchy as a cross-cutting feature of social organization and marriagemay be examined in Fruzzetti and Oster (1982) I Ahmad (1978) Korson (1971) and S Ahmad (1977)See Ortner (1981) for another treatment of wonlens stalus in hierarchic il settings Finally iherelationship between wealth flows marriage and hierarchy is treated in Tantbiah ( 1973ab) Caplan(194) and Gough (1956) in addition it) the above sources

Important differences in the definition of biradari sugges that -glar may have overslated the degree towhich patriline and biradari identify the same group For the Raiputs in Kangra biradari refers to group of clans within which marriages may be contracted in equalitI lParr the

19794) and AhIttad ( 19741571suggested that the biradari is a wider group than the ittediate patriline in Pakistan as well In any casethe breadth of the group to tich hiradari can appl seetis to be soitewhat dependent on context I Eglar196076) and we will restrict its meaning in this paper to palriline Also see lrtlzetti 1192115-116) for a parallel Bengali level of social i)rganization I Hypergamy refers to marriages it hich wives marr into higher statu families (otmpare wihhomogamy for marriages bet een faiimilies of equal statiu and lvpogaltv ill thich kotneninar intolower status families

Korson (1979150-151) in contrast reports a pattern for urban Pakistat il Mich these saneexchange marriages are desirable unions SirnilLrlv tlershinim (1981193) ieports that the Sikhs andHindus in the part of Indian lunjab where lie orkeitegarded such niarriage as quintesential] MusliitThe apparent explanation is the etent to lich nton-Ashraf groups those descended trout Hinduconverts relain the ideology of their aincesors ]vidence here suggests that in rural areas the extent is great

These data constitute a rich bodv ofrve rtatet il gatlicied in ile lutntab in 1979 by Sabiha If SvedIWomens Division Cabinet Secretariat (itivernment of Pakistan) (tordination of ilte project usasprovided by Peter C Smith (Iast-Wesl Populatiot Instittlel Similar tres erc conducted atl iboutthe same time in Indonesia thte Philippines and lhailand lhe tespective investigalors were Peter FMcDonald (Ausi-alian National ltiversitv Mercedes II CoitcepcionI tniversit ofthe Philippines) andAphichat Chamratrilhirong (Mahidol I niyersjtvi

See Suit 119571 and Andre s Morgan and Sonuist 119167 t- lie iustiication and method ofconversion from regression to intuliple clissilicatil uanalvsis otellicietlts The standard deviation is 1014ears cottnpaied tth 153 to as gtat as 2ol it the other three AMS

Countries For example the patlentci iiitrgeiterait l shilts i fitnik relatlonhips in llivrln slitius s tantalizing

contextual sintilarities to South Asiln societies Icf lIhor t1i11( hlng nd Still 1984)

A(K NI()VI)(F NTS The Asian Marriage Survey for Pakistat was carried out under US Agency forInternational Developmenl Grant DI)PSE-6-()048 The present research was conductshyed with supporl from the National Science Foundation (SES-8319904) Earlierversions of this paper were presented at tile East-West Population Institute

Wednesday Seminar and to a seminar at the Institute of Pakistan Studies Quaid-i-Azam University Islamahad We wish to thank the facitlt and students of Quaid-i-Azam University for their helpful Colllntls during the setninar In particularProfessor Dar Director of the Institule of Pakistan SIudics oflered especially usefulcriticisms We also acknowledge the comments of Furqan Ahmlad John BauerAndrew Cherlin Deborah Freedman Doris Nayyar and Arland Thornton onvarious earlier drafts while absolving all of them of any errors in our interpretationand analysis

R F - RFN( ES Ahiad 1 1978 Fndoganiy ird siaUs mohilit antong Siuldiqui lteikhs tl Allahlhad Itar radeslh Pp171-211 in I Ahinad (ct (t t t ui t fl otltili loi ot fiesthti iii In ha 2nd edt New

Delhi Manohar Ahnuad S 1974 A village in Palkistani Ilani ah jalpal 11p131-1 72in C Malones led) South siaSerei (ommunttv Prefii Nes Yuik tloll Rinehart and Winston

1977 (Clo anl en rt in I i uniai Villae Nesy York Monthil Revie s PressAndrews F M J N Morgan and J A Stiquist 197 Mulliph (latilit aion Attalvsi Ann ArborMich Institute for Soicial Researci

Social Organization and Marriage Timing Strategies in Pakistan 507 BIloch NI 1973 The long term and the Nhor tern The economic and politicil signiticance of the morality

of kinship P1p75-87 in J (oody led) Ihe (hvlero Kinihip (anthridge Cambridge Univerit Press

Cain 1198 1 Risk and insurance Perspectives on tertilith and agrarian change in India and Ilangladesh 11opidation ad A 7435-474I)e eloliintReiuit

1982 Perspectives on family aind ferfilil indeveloping countnres )opuhtlion Stuldie 36159-175Cain M S R Khanutin and S N ahar 1979 (lass paiiriarchv and wtomens ork in Iangladesh

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India A tilcro-approach Iopuhltitonitn I)o velopment Rviit- 8689-727 - 1983 The ctuse of larliage change in South India Iopiliation Stidiv37343-3(1 - 1984 The micro-approach in delographic investligation lovird a methodology Paper presented

at IUSSP Micro-l)emographN Working Group Conference Australian Naiotil UniversityCaplitn I 1984 Itldegloiin price it turhan India (lass CaSte and do rv evil amiong Christians ir

Miatdra Man 19210-233 Carleton R () 1975 Educattion and fertiltis (p 115-166 sit IV V Mtihmi ledIi ldination anid

Iuoptutn Ahloitl IlilI t ielgillill IUSSI (herlin A J P C S1ttln I ricke I I)omiingo Adioetonio A (hliiiittrlhirong atnd S II Sed

I985a tfttll inltience iln the (tilting ti imirriage IFiletcc ll)tt Itlil Atin Nocleties (1Ipcr preeiltedilt lrkshop (htigiig MNIiriiage 1t1 lie Itil iii Asia Sila I hiallild Feb 21-24

- -1985h Etlicition ind age titmarriage |-itdence (ront Itcir Asinll ocleIe Papel presented lt torkslht Chanlging Mlartiage and tihe Fanil in Asia Silta Il tild Feb 21-24Cochrane S 1 19710 Iitttft and I~dtaitiol Mihat A) tii Rctilx A m Ittnloic Ill John IHopkins I rniverit Prcss

l)as 1973 Ifie strictiure oll timtanae preferences kii ilttouli (lit kistit fictilcti l1(1n8311-45 Du ont I 198 Ilierrch and marriage allitnce in Soulh lndimii kinslip tt iginllll published 1957)

Pp 18- ((4 in L I)tinot fetl) Alitv it a Value lrrtAtct- lilh cIllnSoti India With Coiptlirtllt i s1111 oit lrtit (Chicagio inilersit of Chica eol ess)Non I_ and Ntllre 1983 (In kinship Ntrlictlre fcnilile t lmld denographic behavior inthonliihIthaI 1qttaw anid Ikitl lopit~tnt Rtivt 9)1-00l

Lglr Z 19610A Piniali Iill in tAiti Ne )ioik (oltinibit niersit PressF-ores 11958 Introdtuction Ip 1-14 it J (iootl led I IH+ithI lop etal( irhi Plottiesih Groupsl Cambridge UK (Caubridge Liiciy r IcS

louster B 1978 I)(Inlestlc deveopIientiIl ccles is a link letsen ptoplaitilon plioces es and olher social processes Joturnall I ltleult It 14411-44 I0lnlthrol Rckea1tl

|os R 1967 Kiittitip lt(I l littwtt -h alrl UK PenguinAittthrohe11 1 IIttnlondirth

PressFrutietm IL 11982 Iif (|It oit ti t tireint lioic IhlttlQ1 and itu~al tit it Bit+eah S wit Ne

l iti-ick NJ R tgers lI r isti PicrNe lHtietti I_ d A (ster t1982 11dblood Ill CIngA (teglor and illcct Il the tdlI of kinship

caste and unliitig- I1p I-s5 ii A (slet L Friwulett intl S 1litt1te10 ds) (npt11 0 lrtinKtill tlp ( -ivt wild Altnrl~ e ill bidhw (itnlih idge l~t ut i~d tUniiecsil Ilrt

Giotugh K 19 HItlhntin kinship ill a itnlil village At l lilt lthqohwit SS 26-851 Ilerhnmn P 1981 IotitiiotKi(htl andl fIitnitc)elhi Iindilslatn ItibhhingKeeing R 1975 KiN (roup io1 itl ttt+tt- Net York ll1 Riniehrl ind Wilton Korson I If Fid in il1971 ldgilltotis ntirrige ti idtitit Mutslimn olct est (kisaltri ll141r114101Ciparative tivhStudieN 213 I145-15i - --- 179 ModeltliualtI iiJ sicial chang-T ihe latitil n Ilktiliti Pp Iitl)0-20 7 it NI Singh I)a and

1) 1) tardi+ teds) Dii I-aitiAv ill l ti I|ondon Allen miid ittLesthiteghe R 1980 ()rl the social control of hunlmin ieproduclto Poidau~tio-iand A-lophiticniRevielt 6527- 548

ii+lenhitn (1) l r (ichalgiI alilA Ilanlnmt 12(l 109II4-401

9 itpicitiins illlen g Illltge nlItiSt nn111InIIIangJduesthlt dii itt

Mits n K () 1484 Thc sdltlus k+o111cent1 ilorit ofilf fertlmhl atnd A it~ik inlte ktjn hips Universit of Michigaipulation Studies (Centel Resetich Report 84-58

NIeNicoll i 1980 Instltiuional determinants II lertilits chang olation hld iloptlnliit Reviit 6441-462

Naveed-i-Ribal 1981 (he role of wonen in reciprocal relation hlip titi Iinlhab village Ip 47-81 in T SEpstein and R A Walli leds )7 Inhi Iay ot Calt Matlraltit Rtiral Wottnnlmli New York Perganon Prcss

Ortner S B 1981 (lender and semiality in hierarchical societie The cae of Polynesia and some

508 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 number 4 November 1986

comparative implications Pp 359-409 in S 13Ortner and H Whitehead (eds) Sexual Meanings The Cultural Construction of Gender and Sesuality Cambridge UK Cambridge University Press

Paige K E and J M Paige 1981 The Politics of Reproductive Ritual Berkeley University of California Press

Papanek H 1984 False specialization and the purdah of scholarship-A review article Journal ofAsian Studies 44127-148

Parry J P 1979 Caste and Kinship in Kangra London Routledge and Kegan Paul Ryder N 131975 Fertility measurement through cross-sectional surveys Social Forcei 547-35

1983 Fertility and family structure Population Bulletin olfthe United Nations 1515-34 Sahlins M 1972 Stone Age Econoinici New York Aldine Slocum W L J Akhtar and A FSahi 1959 Villaie Libf+ in lahome District Lahore University of the

Punjab Social Science Research Centre Smith P C 1980 Asian marriage patterns in tt insition Journal ufl aind 1Iistory 556-96

1983 The impact of age at marriage and proportions marrying on fertility Pp 473-531 in R Bulatao and R Iee (eds) termniinantv Academicof Ferility in 1) veloping Countries New York Press

Smith P C and M 1 Karim 1980 Urbanization education and marriage patterns Four cases from Asia No 71 in Paprs of Ih a t- PopIda Ihnoulti Hi East-West PopulationPpultion Institute Institute

Suits DB 1957 Use of dttiunlut variables in regression equations Journal tit the Anerican Statitical Asociation 52548-551

Tambiah S J 1973a Dowry aud bridewealth and the property rights of women in South Asia Pp 51)-1(9in JGoody and SJTarnhiah (eds) Bridei cilthand I)m rvCambridge UK Cambridge University Press

1973b From arna to caste through mixed unions lp 191-229 in JGoody edlI 1he Character ofKinhip Cat ibridge UK Cambridge University Press

Tandon P 1968 Punjahi (Centurv1857-1947 Berkeley niversuty of California Press Thadani V 1978 The logic of sentiment The fansily and social change opulation and )evelopment

Review 4457-499 Thornton A M C Chang and T-H Stin 1984 Social and ecootrtuic change intrgeneratlonal

relationships and family formation in laisman 1)cinoyraphv 21475-499 Udry JR and R L Cliquet 1982 A criiss-cultural esamination of the relationship between ages at

menarche marriage and first birth Dmnnographv 1953-63 Vreede-de Stuers C 1968 Parda A Stidv of luslji )loonenlife illNoritiern India New York

Humanities Press Yalman N 1971 Under the Bo Tree Studies inCaie Kinship and Marriage in the Interior ofCeyhi

Berkeley University of California Press

177

RECENT AVAILABLE REPRINTS OF THE EAST-WEST POPULATION INSTITUTE No 172 Conclusion by Lee-Jay Cho reprinted from The IndustrialFutureof the fIzcific Basin RogerBenjamin and Robert T Kudrle eds Westview Press Colorado 1984 173 Asian Labor Migration to the Middle East by Fred Arnold and Nasra M Shah reprinted

front InternationalMigration Review Sum mer 1984 174 Repeatability of infant deaths in Korea by Chai Bin Park and Alfred C Hexter reprinted

from nhternationaljournal of Epideniolhgy September 1984 175 Comparative analysis of fertility orientations World Fertility Survey findings by Lee-Jay Cho ind Louise Kantrow reprinted from Predicting Fertility DenographicStudies ofBirth Expectations Gerry E I lendershot and Paul J Placek eds Lexington Books DC

I leath and Company Massachusetts 1981 176 Census-derived estimates of fertility by duration since first marriage in the Republicof Korea by Robert 1) Retherlord ee-JaY Cho ard Narn-Il Kim reprinted from Deinogshy

raphy November 481 The value of daughters and sons A comparative study of the gender preferences of parshyents bv Fred Arnold and Eddie CY Kujo reprint_d from fournal of Comparative Fanih Studes Summer 1984

178 Analysing open birth interval distributions by Griffith FeeneY and John A Ross reprintedfrom Population Studies Novembet 1981

17 Population dynamics arid policy in the eoples Republic of China by Lee-jay Choreprinted from The Annals if TheAneirican Acadenii ufoPliticaland Sociai Science Chinain Transitim vol 476 Marvin F Wolfgang ed Sage lublications Beverly Hills Califorshynia 1984

180 Personal networks and the adoption of family planning in rural Korea by Joung ImKim arid Janmes A lihlmore reprinted from Journalov Population and I halth Studies Dshycember 1984

181 Determinants of birth-interval length in the Philippines Malaysia and Indonesia Ahazard-model analysis by James Trussell Linda G Martin Robert Feldman James APalmore Mercedes Concepcion and Datin Noor Laily lBt Dato Abu Bakar reprinted Denograply May 1985

182 Shadow households and competing auspices Migration behavior in the Philippinesby Fe Caces Fred Arnold Jame T Fawcett and Robert W Gardner reprinted fior lourshynal of Development Econonics lanuarv-February 1985 183 Perceptions of the value of children Satisfaction and costs by James 1 Rawcett reprinted

from Detrniinantsof lertiliti in Devehpin Counitries vol 1 Rodolfo A Bulatao and RonaldD Lee eds Acaderic Press Inc 1983 184 Diffusion processes affecting fertility regulation bv Robert I) Retherford and JamesA Palmore reprinted from Determiintsof lirtlityqin Dcvelopiing Countries vol 2 RodolfoA Bulatao and Ronald D Lee eds Academic Press Inc 1983 185 The impact of age at marriage and proportions marrying on fertility by Peter C Smithreprinted from Determinantsof lirtiilit in Develolmkg Countries vol 2 Rodolfo A gulatao

and Ronald D Lee eds Academic Press Inc 1983 186 Migration of women to cities The Asian situation in comparative perspective by Siew-Ean Khoo Peter C Smith and James T Fawcett reprinted from lnternationalMigration

Rtview Special Issue Noten in AlM ratin Winter 1984

187 Measuring the effect of sex preference on fertility The case of Korea by Fred Arnold ieprinted from Dernography May 1985

18 Exploring the normative basis for age at marriage in Thailand An example from focus group research by Anthony Pramualratana Napaporn Havanon and John Knodel reprinted from Journalof Marriageand the Family February 1985

189 The non-economic consequences of Asian labor migration to the Middle East by Nasra M Shah and Fred Arnold reprinted from International Union for the Scientific Study of Population lnternaitonalPopulation Conference Florence 1985 vol 3 1985

190 Parity progression projection by Griffith Feeney reprinted from International Union for the Scientific Study of Population InternationalPopiulation Conference Florence 1985 vol 4 1985

191 A theory of marita fertility transition by Robert D Retherford reprinted from Popula tion Studies July 1985

192 Cultural variations in the transition to marriage in four Asian societies by Paul Cheung Josefina Cabigon Aphichat Chamratrithirong Peter F McDonald Sabila Syed Andrew Cherlin and Peter C Smith reprinted from International Union for the Scientific Study of Population InternationalPopulation Conference Florence 1985 vol 3 1985

193 Decision making and sex selection with biased technologies by Neil GBennett and Andrew Mason reprinted from Sex Selection of Children Neil G Bennett ed Academic Press Inc 1983

194 US farm migration An application of the Harris-Todaro model by Daniel B Suits reprinted from Economic Development and Cultural Chang vol 33 no 4 1985

195 Health of Hlmong in Thailand Risk factors morbidity and mortality in comparison with other ethnic groups by Peter Kunstadter reprinted from Culture Medicine and Psyshychiairy vol 9 no 4 1985

196 Evaluation of contraceptive history data in the Republic of Korea by Anne R Pebley Noreen Goldman and Minja Kim Choe reprinted from Stldies ii Family PlanningJanushyaryFebruary 1986

197 Circulation between home and other places Some propositions by Murray Chapman and R Mansell Prothem and Me go walkabout you too by Murray Chapman reprinted from Circulationin Population Mozement Substance and Concepts fion tie Melnesian Case Murray Chapman and R Maniell Prothero eds Routledge amp Kegan Paul 1985

198 Fijians and Indo-Fijians in Suva Rural-urban movements and linkages by Shashikant Nair reprinted from Circulationin PopulationMovement Substance and Concepts fron the Melanesian Case Murray Chapman and R Mansell Prothero eds Routledge amp Kegan Paul 1985

199 Linkages between internal and international migration The Ilocos Norte experience by Fred Arnold and Ricardo G Abad reprinted from PhilippinePopulationJournalJune 1985

200 An economic analysis of recent fertility in Japan by Naohiro Ogawa and Andrew Mason reprinted from linko Gaku Kenkyu vol 9 May 1986

201 Averting crisis in Asia by Lee-jay Cho reprinted from Bulletin of the Atonic Scientists vol 42 no 4 1986

202 Sex preference fertility and family planning in China by Fred Arnold and Liu Zhao xiang reprinted from lPpulation am Development Review vol 12 no 2 1986

203 The place of child-spacing as a factor in infant mortality A recursive model by Chai Bin Park reprinted from American Journalof Public Health vol 76 no 8 1986

204 Determinants of Korean birth intervals The confrontation of theory and data by Larry L Bumpass Ronald R Rindfuss and James A Palmore reprinted from Po)pulationStudies vol 40 no 3 1986

Page 8: INSTITUTE timing strategies in Pakistan

494 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 number 4 November 1986

The degree of relationship between households has implications for the marriage process that are in part related to the structure of wealth flows Preferred marriages are within the kin group (Eglar 196094) more specifically within the biradari andmarriages outside this group are considered hypergamous4 (S Ahmad 1974157shy159) Nevertheless a high percentage of marriages are contracted outside this group(cf S Ahmad 1974156) Das f 19713) summarized the order of marriage prefershyences for the muslim villages-of Pakistan and India as follows

I marriage to cousins is preferred to marriage with nonrelatives2 marriage of a set of brothers to a set of sisters is adesirable pattern although

exchange marriages in which daughters are exchanged between households are low status5

3 village exogamy is preferential to village endogamy

She pointed out that these preferences have implications tor the frequency ofmarriages to specific relatives Thus since brothers usually reside in the same villagecross-cousin marriage is more frequent than that with parallel cousins This isfollowed in popularity by marriage with matrilateral parallel cousins Because Muslim marriage permits union of nearly any type outside of the householdhowever l)as suggested that it is not possible to summarize Pakistani marriages in terms of a preferential pattern rather thev are the result of cumulative relations between siblings and spouses within a family

For both men and women marriage arrangements are conducted by members ofthe senior generation Although fornal right to the decision goes to fathers older brothers or [he nearest male agnateC mther have informilal decision-making powers most often realized in the form of veto iDas 197337) Man iage negotiationshowever nearly always involve intermediaries since rejection can involve loss oflice and countercharges of arrogance A formal proposal is seldom made until acceptance is already assurred negotlaitions involve preliminary investigations intothe behavior of household and biradari members as well as the establishment of dowry paylmcnts LEglar 196t078 cf Parr 1979241 and Tandon 1968124-128 for parallel exalirles)

If marriage confers advantagcs in the form of new cooperative relationshipsISocun Akhtar and Sahi 195932 -glar 196193) it also carries with it a certain

armount of risk In the process of negotiaion there is the risk of reJection later the risk of marriage failure and the sttndering of alliance relationships based on marriagearises We would expect then thait [ie group ithin which marriage is arrangedreflects a consideration of henelils and isks b mlale ill both households A further consideration must involve the alienation of propert the biradaritromn marriagesoutside of which would involve continiuing ealth Iflows outside the patriline Parry11979295) suggested For the Rajputs that repetition of imarnitge to the same group of affines across generations is in part a risk-reduction strategy These aflines are aknown quantity and assuming atlimited ability to afford risks the safest marriageprospects In a similar way the doryv system and its attendant series of preslationsafter marriage means that bhiradari endogam rep|asetlts the most reasonable way of protecting patriline property albeit at the expense ofrnot generating new kin links Caplan 11984223) stressed ho tile rcstriction ofnmrriages withint a group can create a circulating pool of resources in another Soth Asian setting

This has implications for the order of marriage preferences in tile Ptunjab It suggests that although the goal of every household is to maximize its advantageousconnections through marriage there will be inherent limitations on them related to

495 Social Organization and Marriage Timing Strategies inPakistan

their control of resources and the degree to which they can muster valuable commodities for exchange It also suggests that the ideology of marriage preferenceswill vary with social class To take the rural case a number of relationships arise We accept first that the majority of households in the rural Punjab are of Ajlaf status primarily descendents of Rajput and related converts to Islam We suggestthat rural marriage patterns tend to parallel those of antecedent groups and that documentation from the few rural studies supports this To summarize for the rural Punjab

0 Wealthier households will tend to marry daughters to nonrelatives more often than poor households since their interests are in expanding kin linkages and they can more readily assume the risks In addition there are lingering ideological jutificat ions tor doing so

Homogamo is nmarriagcs will outwunber hypergamous In those cases of hypershygany the value of marital trawactions and wealth 1oWS to the husbands family will be higher han in homogamous cases

Cases of hypogamy will occur but the value of transactions will he toward the wifes family and bride wealth may replace dowry

Both 1lpogarnlo1uS and hypCrgamnous marriages will beCmore associated with formal engagement than honiogamIIous marriages since they involve more risk and negotiation

The valuc of a daughtr is affected b inenarche and tihe anxiety about chastityT-vo possibilities arise n rcspor e to early rilenarche either a daughter will be rapidly married oil to nrotect her familys honor or she will be married at roughlythe same age as other daughtlers but to relatives who can feel most assured that she hits been protected

0 The sa lst marriaces are those contracted within tile biradari followed by those either within the rishltadari or ith a vartan connection The most risky marriages are t1ose contracted with a family wsith which no prior fornal connection exists these are most cleCMrl cnltCrCd into for the aVantagCs they confer

In a siting khere structural and ideological factors so explicitly stress the sAmbolic and exchangC value of womCnand where at womans age is a partial component of her idtnC we expect marriagc strategies to have implications for daughters ages at marriage A woman has virtuilly no say in the marriage process in the rural setting (asidC from a pro forma alification of arrangenments already made in the ikah cerenrony) and evn in urbtan settings it is clcar Ithat the pressures on parents cause them to discoirlnt thteir daughters wishes We expect then that marriage age will vary wilh the relative sttis ofilrmiliesCcdU tional altitinlent of women dowry payments and the dCgree of rClaltikAship between spotIses families prior to marriage Ourt hypotheses for nmrriagc timing ill tile rurall Punjal follow from atconsideration of daughtcrs as wealth

Rlationship he iuth n inlmiihA A dalughter age At marriagc Will vary with her tnatil hoimes relationship to her spouses natal ionC is t function ol cultural expectations of first choice and the pleNcribcd dirccti0l of1 Calth Ii lows between households Marriage within the biradari implies no alienation of property and this group is most assured of the chastity of the bride There is no reason for tier to marry early except that biradari members have first claim Mnd this claim mlust be removed if marriages outside the patriline are to be made In terms of property alienation there is no dilerence among the other (tgrees of relationship Both rishtadari and vartan

496 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 number 4 November 1986

groups however already possess cooperative links with each other marriagefunctions to reaffirm these Furthermore both groups have access to informa orabout the woman and are more secure than strangers about her chastity Completely new relationships established by marriage however will fully exploit a daughtersexchange value in the rural setting they will be the most likely to rely on formal culturally stated values Knowledge of a daughters chastity will be less secure insuch marriages and the culturally augmented inferiority of wife-givers in relation towife-receivers will mandate a flow of women possessing positive cultural attributes

HI These issues of property transfer and knowledge of a woman and her familylead us to predict that the youngest ages at marriage will be between previouslyunrelated families followed by biradari marriages Marriages between rishtadari and vartan groups will be the latest and at similar ages on average because of the structural similariy of prperty transfer and faith in a familys standing between these groups

Edctalion The desire for educated women is still ambiguous in the rural setting a little (less than the husbands) confers status on a womans natal home but too much can negatively affect marriage prospects Education enhances a womans value and offsets the decline in desirability that must occur with age

1-12 We expect the often-noted positive association between iuuation ind marriage age but we also expect it even when there is very brief attendance and no grade attainment

Dow v Dowry involves a transfer of property from the wifes natal home to thatof her husbands It serves in part to enhance the symbolic value of a daughter and can also offset her devaluation from biological aging

H3 Dowry will be positively associated with a womans age at marriage

Relatirestatus oJfiwmilies Marrying into a higher status family-hypergamy-isrisky and expensive across all measures f value Dowry payments will be higher for reasons that go beyond their offsetting of a daughters age Hypogamy-marriageinto a family of lower status-on the other hand reverscs the advantage and riskHypogamous marriag s do occur in spite of strong ideological sanctioni againstthem In such cases the husbands flamily is at a strong disadvantage in negotiationssince they are the initiators of the alliance and have much to g in We have two predictions about age at marriage and tle relative status of fanilies then

H4 We expect hypergamous marriages to be associated with the youngest average ages at marriage Hypoganous marriages will be associated with tile latest average ages at marriage

Age (it menaice We have noted that tile risk associated with accepting adaughtcr-in-la increases with duration since menarche in these transactions (cfPaige ind Paige 198 185) This event should be an important initiator of the marriage process

H5 We expect age at menarche to be positively related to marriage age For daughters

497 Social Organization and Marriage Timing Strategies in Pakistan

Wealth flows Transactions move in both directions at marriage and we expectthese to be related to the alliance-producing nature of the institution too Wealth flows toward the wifes natal home indicate this familys advantage in the contract in much the same way that hypogamous marriages give an advantage

1-16We expect flemale ages at marriage to be younger with wealth flows toward the husbands tamily

Entgoiumtzni Finally we expect that engagement before marriage is associated with the need to fornmalize the marriage process itself Among the functions served here are the ratification oftagreemcnts miade between families These should be most necessary with those marria cs contracted between unrelated families since families in some relationship to each other before marriage can afford to he more casLual

1-17 We expect marriage age to have a negative relationship to formal engageshyniCt11

DATA AND MEII()DS

The AsiaXifMarriaic r Itv

This analysis is based on data from the Pakistan round of the A ian MarriageSurvey (AMS) l)ata include a wide rnge of marriage and fertility information with special attention to cull ral variables and individual life history events for married women between the ages of 15 and 45and for asample of their husbands Systematicsamples of households were drawn to represent three socioeconomic settings in the Puljab-a rural sample from a few contiguous villages in Kasur and Sheikhupuradistricts an urban lowCr-class samnplC draIwu from squatter-dominated districts within lahore and an urban middle-class sample drawn from another district of Lahore Each sample is relativclv honogencous with respect to economic backshyground 1ndcurrent Standard of living as well as overall cultural milieu

Important innovations in the ANIS instruments include the breadth of topicscovered Each interview covered itwide range of basic social and economic characteristics in addition to dLtai from each ofthe spouses on parental characterisshytics the process of entry into marriage work and income attitudes toward marriage and divorce andIattitudes and aspirations for children life histories were ohtaincd for timing of events under the headings of eCLucation work marriage childbearingand fanily limitation For Pakistan especially impotant details of dowry paymentsand relationship of spouses were included in addition to information oi attitudes toward purdah and other aspects of Islam in PIakistan [he coMplcted sample for Pakistan contains interviews with 1011women and 588 men

Because this paper is concrncd wit Ii the transactioial strategies of marriage we include only cases for which both wifes and husbands information is available In addition the data contain the event truncation bias that is built into all cross-section samples of ever-married persons (Ryder 1975) Because young ever-married women conic fron cohorts with incomplete marriage experience women in those cohorts who were mici at the younger ages are disproportionately selected The age bywhich 90 percent of recent cohorts will have been married was estimated at 21 and we have excluded women below this age (Smith and Karim 1980) [hus the initial rural sample of 351 respondents becomes 173

Indicators of Marriage Siratgy

Table I pi -sents the distribution of cases for a range of variables Of these indicators fmost direct interest are those that have to do with family influence and

498 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 numbe 4 November 1986

Table I-Selected characteristics of female respondents rural households in Pakistan Asian Marriage Survey

Percent in Percent inVariable category Variable category

Fathers occupaticnb Zamindar Agricultural laborer Unskilled laborer Skilled laborer White collar worker

Womans education Literate

Never attended school Attended 0 attainment 1-8 grades 9-12 grades 13 or more grades

Womans occupational status before marriage

No work Family work Wage w rk

Current household has electricity

Age at menarche lt13 13

gt13

Engagement status Not engaged Engaged

Participation in choice of spouse by woman

No participation Some participation

(172) 517 250 105 58 70

(173) 100

434 451 93 23 00

(173) 58

509 434

559

(173) 393 329 277

(171) 433 567

(173) 1000 00

Frequency cf meeting with spouse before marriage (169)

Never or once 544 Infrequently or often 456

Relationship between families before marriage (170)

No relationship 294 Vartan 176 Rishtadari 341 Biradari 188

Type of dowry (173) Nonehousehold goods 353 Cashluxuries 647

Value of payments to husbands family (172)

0-499 rupees 163 500-9T9 rupees 151 1000-1999 rupees 221 2000-3999 rupees 209 4000-5999 rupees 99 6000-10000 rupees 105 10000 or more rupees 52

Wealth flows at marriage (172) To wifes fanily 174 Balanced 291 To husbands family 535

Marriage type by relative land status of families (173) Hypogamous union 116 Landless homogamy 220 Landed homogamy 509 Iypergamous union 156

Note Figures in parentheses are number of case-- available for given variable

a The original sample includes 351 women Interviews with husband were available for 198 of these women among the 198 25 were under age 21 and have therefore been excluded

b At time of womans birth

strategic behavior in marriage Additional variables that we include are education and fathers occupation itsindicators of class backgiound and achievement We will not comment extensively on these except to note first the striking agrariancharacter of the rural stratum Second we wish 1o point out an unusual feature of education for women A substantial number of women enter school but never complete a single grade (full year) of instruction Further earlier analysis (Cherlin etal 1985b) revealed that these women marry significantly later than those who have

499 Social Organization and Marriage Timing Strategies in Pakistan

never attended school alall The extent to which this is a phenomenon restricted to women is revealed by comparison of distributions for husbands and wives In nostratum is there a comparable percentage of men who have atiended school wiihotrtattainir-g a grade Our inclination is to interpret this in terms of the exchange value of women which we will discuss in a later section

Iinally we note the distribution of type of work before manage for womenWomen reporting 1io work at all appear to be from wealthier households with theability to afford ortholoXy We expect those women most restricted by purdah to bein this group Family work is defined as work within the household enterprisewhether farm trade or stnall-commodity production and wage work impliespayment from an enterprise other than the fatnilys It is important to realize thatthese wages are invariably turned over to the household head The distributions for frequenCV of meetings between spouses before marriage andchoice of spouse are given in table I only to show tileextent to which women lackcontrol in their marital decisions No wonman in the rural amtple reported any degreeof choice in her sousC other than the ratification of parental choice in tilenikah ceremony The extent of meetings between spouses beiore marriage on the otherhand most likely reflects meetings between couples before puberty and the need forpurdah A strong correlation between kinship and more frequent meetings suggests

this

Var6h1es

Taking each variable separately we discuss their construction and the rationalefor inclusion here

AK (itneM11rht This variable is coded from a straightforward question askingage at first menses It is possible that the importance of menarche in this settingencouiraged misitatement of actual ages (Paige and Paige 198179-82) Neverthelesswe retain the variable in the analysis because of its centrality in outr discussionRelationrship hetween aimilies heone marriag ()ur earlier discussion of thedegrees of relatedness within which marriaie may occur in Pakistan leads us todistinguish four categories For the rural stratin Three questions on the schedule

(124A-l124) are the isis for the coding Was your spouse related to you beforemarriage Were you r and his families friends or neighbors before marriage [lowwere you related We define as marrying within ile biradarioi tnlythose respondentswho explicitly identified their relationship with their spouse itsbeing throughpatrilineal kin Other degrees of relationship are defined as rishtdari usingassumpons based on the di sinclination to reverse wealth flows from generation togeneration and other Punjabi cultural values tcf Parrv 1979 Eglar 1960 Das 1973)

ltigVdit(fltI We incindC a vatriable for engagemeit before marriaue as anindicator of marriage fOrmality Th is is taken directly from a quest ion concerningwhether tlhc respondent was formally engaged

ivpe ofdorvrv This indicator measure the extent to which dowvrv was intendedto provide for the new household rather than attract a husband Traditional dowriestended to be conlined to household goods f0r the sc of the nc couple Recent years have seen the inflation of dowry to include money and cash goods throughoutSouth Asia othe abscnce of these is soirmething of ati indictlor of sociocconionlicstatus in modern marriages We include it here with the expectation that tile type ofdowry will also be related to tile arebargaining process (ash and luxury dowriesexpected to bea feature of hypergamous marriages

I ahle oflaynent to htushandr flmintv [his indlicator is codCd froni I directquestion to male respondents Though we might dotbt the accuracy of such

500 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 number 4 November 1986

responses in some contexts these payments are reported by ethnographers to be a source of some pride in Muslim marriages indeed a part of the wedding ceremony involves the declaration of gifts to the husbands family and the nature and value of items are recorded in a book as they are called out Thus we expect these responses to be very close to their true values and important indicators of marital transactions between families

tIaniogany We have constructed in indicator designed to roughly measure the relative homegamy of marriages by using land as an indicator of status We expectthis to be a good measure for rural households in which the agrarian economy makes land a critical productive resource Nevertheless we must stress that it is an imperfect measure of homogamy in spite of lands importance since we have no measure of relative amounts owned Hypergamous marriages are defined as those in which a landless womans family has made a marital link with a landed family whereas hypogamous marriages represent the opposite case In our initial analysis tand in table I) we broke marriages dok n into subgroups of landed and landless but these are combined in the analysis presented here since there was no difference between them

Wealth flows tt marriage This indicator is directly constructed from questionsabout the value of marital transactions in both directions In the analysis below we combine thoe categories in which wealth flows were either toward the wonins nata home or balanced since the Punjabi culural ideal is that flows should be tcward the husbands home IBut note evidence from elsewhere in South Asia of change in the direction of wealth flows (IIdcnbaum 1981 Caldwell Reddy and Caldwell 1982 1983 Crplan 1984))

Method o AnalYsis

We employ least squares regression to estimate the coelficients associated with variables taken as predictors of wives ages lt marriage The set of variables just discussed-the marriage-process variables-are distinguisoed from a set of backshyground or control variables All variables are ncasured as catcgories and are entered into the equations as dummy variables although a multiple classification analysisforinat has been used to present the result in tables 2 and 37 We present one unadjusted and two adjusied mean ages at marriage for each category in these tables The unadjusted column represents the effect of each indicator when its et of dummy varitbles is entered into the cquation by itself The first column of adjusted means reflects the effects when age at marriage is rcgrescd on the set of variables specified in the given table by themselves Adjusted means in the second colunn indicate the effec of each set of dunmmy variables entered along with all control and other

R2marriage-process variables The for each set of measures is the variance explained by that group of dummy variables above For the adjusted neans the incremental R-2s presented represent the additional variance explained by each set of dummy variables after all others have been entered into the equation for that column We ha- indicatcd significance levels up to the 010 level because the small sample tends to reduce significance levels even when the coefficients are quite large in absolute terms In fact nearly all variables shown to be significant at the 0 10 level are very close to the 0)0(6 level of significance

RESITl I S

Table 2 presents the results of our regression for those background variables not directly tested here In general we find that those that are significant by themselves retain their significance even after other variables are entered We can see from this

501 Soial Organization and Marriage Timing Strategies in Pakistan

Table 2-Mean age at marriage hy background variables unadjusted and adjusted

Mean age atmarriage Number 0Variable Unadjusteda Adjusted Adjustdc of cases

Cohortd lt30 173 171 171 84 30-34 176 177 173 20 35-39 166 167 165 31 40-45

(Increment in R2 ) 173 (010)

176 (010)

179 (020)

30

Class backgrounde Farmer 172 172 172 88 Agricultural laboLer 164 167 167 3e Blue collarprofessional 180 177 177 39 (Increment in R2) (034) (012) (012)

Womans education No schooling 161 163 164 72 Attended 0 attairment 177 173 175 74 1-12 years completed (Increment in R2)

193 (124)

191 (090-)

185 (045 )

19

Womans occupational status before marriage

Family work or no work 177 176 176 92 Wage work 165 167 165 73

(Increment in R2) (041) (021) (038)

r(ran1 mean 172 Total cases 165

R2 for all background variables 171

R2 controlling for marriage process variables 124

a Zero-order mean b Controlling for other background variables c Controlling for other background variables and all family process

variables d Age at survey date e Fathers occupation at time of womans birth

significant at the 01 level significant at the 05 level significant at the 10 level

tabulation that there are no cohort trends in marriage age in our sample of women and that class background appears to make little difference in marriage timing once controls are included in the equation The moc-t interesting pattern in educational effects on marriage age is with that group of women who have attended school hut never finished a grade These women marry a full year later t ian those who have never attended even after controls are entered We also note iatwomen who work for wages before marriage marry a year younger on ihe averae than those who work for their families The latter two results are not predicted by the standard theories of marriage Nevertheless the overall results presented in table 2 support the imporshy

502 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 number 4 N3vember 1986 tance of education and occupation as components of the complete explanation ofmarriage timing The background vaiables by themselves account for 17 percent ofthe variation in marriage age and continue to account for over 12 percent of thatvariation even after adjustment for marriage-process variables

Turning to table 3 we can more precisely see the contribution of our marriageshyprocess variables to the egt plaration Looking at the zero-order relationships firstwe see that three of these-the relationship between families before marriage valueof dowry and marital homogamy-make large and statistically significant contribushytions to marital timing At this level we find good support for our hypothesesconcerning the effects of each of these variables on marriage age Thus the earlymarriers categorized by relationships are those whose marriages are contractedwith strangers followed by those married within the patriline The latest marriers arethose who marry nonpatrilincally related kin or into vart ri groups We also find thatvalue of payments to hubarids family is positively associated with marriage ageOur hypothesis concerning marital homogamy and marriage agc receives moremixed support Wonen in hypogamous union are the latest marricrs as predictedbut not as expected hypergamously married women not the eariiest marriagesare

Other hypotheses receive no support at this level Age at menarche appears tohave a weak positive relationship wivh age at marriage but the result is notsignificant and the Rshyincrement is quite small Nor does engagement status dowrytype or direction of wealth flows make any significant difference to marriage ageWhen we enter controls for other marriage-process variables (cf first adjustedmean) wealth qows ichieve significance in reiation to marriage age and in thepredicted direction but no other variable shifts toward significance in this way

The absence of a positive relationship between age at nenarche and marriagetiming is notable since a significant relationshIip has been reported ini a wide varietyof social settings (Udry and Cliquet 1982) One possible explanation is attenuationdue to misstatement of actual ages at first menses We have already cited Paige andPaige 11981) in this connection and the age pattern of menses ages in our data suggests some convergence of responses on normative ages Yet other relationishipsin our data arc consistent with accurately reported ages at menarche For examplecross-tabulalions of age at first menses and whether a woman was formally engagedbefore narriage show that lower ages at menarche are associated with the absence ofengagement This is n expected relationship our hypotheses predict a speeding up(f the marriage process lic menarche is relatively early one way to achieve this isthrough the deletion of certain elements in the process Further indication ofaccurately reportedi ages at menarhe appears when we consider the relationshipbetween age at first menses and age at marriage separately for landed and landlesshouseholds Within the landless group there is no relationship Among landedhouseholds on the other hand there is a consistent rise in the age at marriage with age at menarche-from 169 for those who experience mcenarche before age 13 to182 for those who experience menarche after age 13 This is as predicied sincelanded households are the most likely to contract marriages with unrelated familiesin which the element of risk and concern about chastity weigh the heaviest

In general the marriage-process variables retain iheir effects when controls areentered although there is a slight weakening in the levels of significance Given arelatively small sample size our results provide heartening support for a theory ofmarriage that includes social-structural and transactional elements The full regresshysion results (not shown here) show thai all of these variables together account for over 27 percent of the variance in marriage timing in the rural sample Our analysisshows that both the standard background or control variables a-d the more

503 Social Organization and Marriage Timing Strategies in Pakistan

Table 3-Mean age at marriage by marriage process variables unadjusted and adjusted

Mean age at marriage NumberdegVariable Unadjusteda Adjusted Adjusted of cases

Relationship between families before marriageNo relationship 163 162 165 49Biradari 169 171 169 32 HishtadariVartan

2178 178 177 84

(Increment in R ) (046) (049) (026)

Age at menarche lt13 169 171 170 65 13 173 172 174 57

gt13 174 172 172 43 (Increment in R2 ) (004) (000) (003)

Engagement status Not engaged 172 174 172 70Engaged

2172 171 171 95

(Increment in R ) (000) (002) (000)

Type of dowryNoneHousehold goods 170 173 173 56 CashLuxuries 173 171

2 171 109 (Increment in R ) (001) (001) (002)

Value of payments to husbands family

0-499 rupees 161 155 159 26 500-999 rupees 167 165 166 25 1000 or more rupees 175 177 176 1142(Increment in R ) (036) (052) (026)

Marriage typeHypergamoua union 173 171 174 27 Isogamous uniond 169 169 168 121Hypogamous union 189 194 192 172(Increment in R ) (042) (060) (046)

Wealth flows at marriage BalancedTowards wifes

family 171 178 178 76 Toward husbands family 173 167 -67 892(IncremenL in R ) (001) (021) (022)

Grand mean 172 Total cases 165

R2 for all marriage process variables 147

R2 controlling for background variables 101

a Zero-order mean b Controlling for other marriage process variables c Controlling for other marriage process variables and all background

variables d Between two landed or between two landless families

oignificant at 01 significant at the 05 level

s the level

significant at the 10 level

504 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 number 4 November 1986

structural and cultural variables account for their own parts of this variance Thus background variables explain a unique 12 percent of the variance and the marriageshyprocess variables explain an additional 10 percent The remaining 52 percent is explained jointly by the two sets of variables

Our analysis supports most of our hypotheses and on balance reinforces the perspective from which they are derived Regarding I-1-that marriage between unrelated groups will result in the youngest and marriage between rishtadari and vartan groups the latest ages at marriage-we have complete support More than a year separates the oldest and youngest groups even after all controls are entered

Our second hypothesis-that education will be positively associated with marshyriage-is also supported We have included this variable with the other backgroundfactors because superficially this relationship is hardly surprising Nevertheless the significant increase of a year in marriage age that occurs even when a grade of school isnot completed suggests an unconventional interpretation of the importanceof education in this setting Thus education must have its effects because of the symbolic value it has fbr the wife-receivers in the arriage transaction rather than because of it impact on the wonman herself

H3 concerning the positive relationship between dowry vaIC and age at marriage is supported here with more than a year and ihalf separating earliest and latest marrying groups This is true even with controls for class background and the inflation of dowry values that we might expect to be associated with class background

Our fourth hypothesis concerning the relationship between lionioganiv and marriage age receives only mixed support Hypogamously marrying women are the latest marriers by nearly two years That hypergrrmous marricrs are not the yonngest may be because using lnded status results in an imperfect measure

Finally H6-that marriage age will be negatively associated with wealth flows to the husbands family-is supported only after controls for other marriage-processvariables are included The meaning of this pattern is uncleCar and may be a function of an association between dowry value and wealth flow not yet investigated

Our hypothesis concerning engagement and menarche has not Found support in this analysis We have already mentioned possible problems with the menarchevariable Our phrasing of the engagement hypothesis issuch that a zero-order effect should have been evident and disappearet when the control for relationship between families is entered That no zero-order effect was evident suggests that our association of engagement with socially riskier marriages is wrong Rather engageshyment may be considered a component of all marriages its association with later menarche alluded to earlier suggests that elements of the marriage process may be altered in response to unpredictable events

DISCUSSION

Our perspective couched in ethnographic knowledge of Punjabi social organizashytion and the culturally determined roles of women receives strong support from this analysis This is not to argue that the more standard development indicators are unimportant in explanations of marriage timing Rather we have demonstrated that a more complete understanding will be gained by considering the ranges of behavior permitted and forbidden in particular cultural settings

The results further encourage such comparative analyses by cautioning againsttaking pretransition settings to be without individual-level variation in behavior To say that a society is organized patrilineally or that inheritance is partible is not enough Even in Pakistani Punjab where the constraints of ideology on behavior

505 Social Organization and Marriage Timing Strategies in Pakistan

may be thought of as especially powerful we have shown that there is room for flexible responses that have their impact on marriage timing

We have used the rural Punjab case to present a model in which the alliance function of marriage is very important We suggest that the underlying componentsof such a society include its agrarian orientation and its unilineal kinship organizashytion It is possible that the model we have begun to develop here will find useful application in other partrilineal rural settings in the rest of South Asia and elseshywhere

Finally a note on social change We consciously directed our attention to a pretransition setting to highlight the need to consider the cultural and social milieu from which populations move as they undergo transition Interpretations of the transition in marriage behavior and its consequences for fertility begin to go astraywhen they focus unduly on individuals while ignoring issues of social structure and social control Education is not always related to the autonomy of women Caldwells finding that women in South India may be educated by their parents toenhance their marriageability (Caldwell Reddy and Caldwell 1982) finds parallels in our Punjabi analysis Similarly there is strong support here for a perspective that looks at marriage within the whole context of productive relationships

This has implications for the way we conceive of the interaction between valuesand institutions in social change Education of women for example although an innovative institutional feature within the rural setting seems to have unexpectedeffects on marriage timing that can be adequately explained only with reference to an extant value system or cultural milieu The extent to which this system retains its hold on the rural Punjab is evident from the strength of the marriage-processvariables in our analysis All of the hypotheses concerning their effects assume traditional values for the area Similarly the association of wage work with younger ages at marriage makes sense when we consider the risks to a daughtersmarriageability that come from exposure to extra-domestic influences Rather than suggesting some sort of cultural stasis however we argue that change will occur Our point is that the effects of these institutional components of transition will not be uniform across cultural settings Innovations will have their initial effects on behavior in ways that are corsistent with existing cultural values and these effects may be surprising

There is a clear call here for the inclusion of indicators for these effects in social surveys We have been able to explore these issues only because the AMS was designed to evoke culture-specific features of the marriage process Such data are rare however and in any case the social survey alone should not be expected to provide detailed models that allow us to make cultural sense of these processes (cfCaldwell Reddy and Caldwell 1984) We have also been fortunate in being able to use ethnographic sources in developing our interpretation although our sources for ethnographic and survey data are often separated by approximately two decades and none of the ethnographies describes the same villages in which the survey was conducted As a closing comment that cannot be fully elaborated here we suggestthe need to develop methodologies that combine survey and ethnographic data collection in formal and complementary ways

NOTES Sahlins calls this type of economy the domestic mode of production (1972) Among its characterisshy

tics are that it is an economy of production for use---ne penetrated with such noneconomic claims as ritual ceremonial and social diversion and one organized around donestic groups usually the family

2 Important examinations of the alliance theme appear in Dumont (1993) Parry (1979) and Yalman (1971) and its central importance in Muslim areas is documented in Eglar (1960) and Naveed-i-Rahat

506 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 number 4 November 1986 (1981) The nature of status and hierarchy as a cross-cutting feature of social organization and marriagemay be examined in Fruzzetti and Oster (1982) I Ahmad (1978) Korson (1971) and S Ahmad (1977)See Ortner (1981) for another treatment of wonlens stalus in hierarchic il settings Finally iherelationship between wealth flows marriage and hierarchy is treated in Tantbiah ( 1973ab) Caplan(194) and Gough (1956) in addition it) the above sources

Important differences in the definition of biradari sugges that -glar may have overslated the degree towhich patriline and biradari identify the same group For the Raiputs in Kangra biradari refers to group of clans within which marriages may be contracted in equalitI lParr the

19794) and AhIttad ( 19741571suggested that the biradari is a wider group than the ittediate patriline in Pakistan as well In any casethe breadth of the group to tich hiradari can appl seetis to be soitewhat dependent on context I Eglar196076) and we will restrict its meaning in this paper to palriline Also see lrtlzetti 1192115-116) for a parallel Bengali level of social i)rganization I Hypergamy refers to marriages it hich wives marr into higher statu families (otmpare wihhomogamy for marriages bet een faiimilies of equal statiu and lvpogaltv ill thich kotneninar intolower status families

Korson (1979150-151) in contrast reports a pattern for urban Pakistat il Mich these saneexchange marriages are desirable unions SirnilLrlv tlershinim (1981193) ieports that the Sikhs andHindus in the part of Indian lunjab where lie orkeitegarded such niarriage as quintesential] MusliitThe apparent explanation is the etent to lich nton-Ashraf groups those descended trout Hinduconverts relain the ideology of their aincesors ]vidence here suggests that in rural areas the extent is great

These data constitute a rich bodv ofrve rtatet il gatlicied in ile lutntab in 1979 by Sabiha If SvedIWomens Division Cabinet Secretariat (itivernment of Pakistan) (tordination of ilte project usasprovided by Peter C Smith (Iast-Wesl Populatiot Instittlel Similar tres erc conducted atl iboutthe same time in Indonesia thte Philippines and lhailand lhe tespective investigalors were Peter FMcDonald (Ausi-alian National ltiversitv Mercedes II CoitcepcionI tniversit ofthe Philippines) andAphichat Chamratrilhirong (Mahidol I niyersjtvi

See Suit 119571 and Andre s Morgan and Sonuist 119167 t- lie iustiication and method ofconversion from regression to intuliple clissilicatil uanalvsis otellicietlts The standard deviation is 1014ears cottnpaied tth 153 to as gtat as 2ol it the other three AMS

Countries For example the patlentci iiitrgeiterait l shilts i fitnik relatlonhips in llivrln slitius s tantalizing

contextual sintilarities to South Asiln societies Icf lIhor t1i11( hlng nd Still 1984)

A(K NI()VI)(F NTS The Asian Marriage Survey for Pakistat was carried out under US Agency forInternational Developmenl Grant DI)PSE-6-()048 The present research was conductshyed with supporl from the National Science Foundation (SES-8319904) Earlierversions of this paper were presented at tile East-West Population Institute

Wednesday Seminar and to a seminar at the Institute of Pakistan Studies Quaid-i-Azam University Islamahad We wish to thank the facitlt and students of Quaid-i-Azam University for their helpful Colllntls during the setninar In particularProfessor Dar Director of the Institule of Pakistan SIudics oflered especially usefulcriticisms We also acknowledge the comments of Furqan Ahmlad John BauerAndrew Cherlin Deborah Freedman Doris Nayyar and Arland Thornton onvarious earlier drafts while absolving all of them of any errors in our interpretationand analysis

R F - RFN( ES Ahiad 1 1978 Fndoganiy ird siaUs mohilit antong Siuldiqui lteikhs tl Allahlhad Itar radeslh Pp171-211 in I Ahinad (ct (t t t ui t fl otltili loi ot fiesthti iii In ha 2nd edt New

Delhi Manohar Ahnuad S 1974 A village in Palkistani Ilani ah jalpal 11p131-1 72in C Malones led) South siaSerei (ommunttv Prefii Nes Yuik tloll Rinehart and Winston

1977 (Clo anl en rt in I i uniai Villae Nesy York Monthil Revie s PressAndrews F M J N Morgan and J A Stiquist 197 Mulliph (latilit aion Attalvsi Ann ArborMich Institute for Soicial Researci

Social Organization and Marriage Timing Strategies in Pakistan 507 BIloch NI 1973 The long term and the Nhor tern The economic and politicil signiticance of the morality

of kinship P1p75-87 in J (oody led) Ihe (hvlero Kinihip (anthridge Cambridge Univerit Press

Cain 1198 1 Risk and insurance Perspectives on tertilith and agrarian change in India and Ilangladesh 11opidation ad A 7435-474I)e eloliintReiuit

1982 Perspectives on family aind ferfilil indeveloping countnres )opuhtlion Stuldie 36159-175Cain M S R Khanutin and S N ahar 1979 (lass paiiriarchv and wtomens ork in Iangladesh

PopulhtionOtand Itl-riivt Reti- 5415-438 Caidwell J C 1982 1ttry ot Iertiitv lI line Nesk York Acaderni (iesCaldell 1 C P1II Redd and 1(aldell 1982 The cause of dernographic change in rural South

India A tilcro-approach Iopuhltitonitn I)o velopment Rviit- 8689-727 - 1983 The ctuse of larliage change in South India Iopiliation Stidiv37343-3(1 - 1984 The micro-approach in delographic investligation lovird a methodology Paper presented

at IUSSP Micro-l)emographN Working Group Conference Australian Naiotil UniversityCaplitn I 1984 Itldegloiin price it turhan India (lass CaSte and do rv evil amiong Christians ir

Miatdra Man 19210-233 Carleton R () 1975 Educattion and fertiltis (p 115-166 sit IV V Mtihmi ledIi ldination anid

Iuoptutn Ahloitl IlilI t ielgillill IUSSI (herlin A J P C S1ttln I ricke I I)omiingo Adioetonio A (hliiiittrlhirong atnd S II Sed

I985a tfttll inltience iln the (tilting ti imirriage IFiletcc ll)tt Itlil Atin Nocleties (1Ipcr preeiltedilt lrkshop (htigiig MNIiriiage 1t1 lie Itil iii Asia Sila I hiallild Feb 21-24

- -1985h Etlicition ind age titmarriage |-itdence (ront Itcir Asinll ocleIe Papel presented lt torkslht Chanlging Mlartiage and tihe Fanil in Asia Silta Il tild Feb 21-24Cochrane S 1 19710 Iitttft and I~dtaitiol Mihat A) tii Rctilx A m Ittnloic Ill John IHopkins I rniverit Prcss

l)as 1973 Ifie strictiure oll timtanae preferences kii ilttouli (lit kistit fictilcti l1(1n8311-45 Du ont I 198 Ilierrch and marriage allitnce in Soulh lndimii kinslip tt iginllll published 1957)

Pp 18- ((4 in L I)tinot fetl) Alitv it a Value lrrtAtct- lilh cIllnSoti India With Coiptlirtllt i s1111 oit lrtit (Chicagio inilersit of Chica eol ess)Non I_ and Ntllre 1983 (In kinship Ntrlictlre fcnilile t lmld denographic behavior inthonliihIthaI 1qttaw anid Ikitl lopit~tnt Rtivt 9)1-00l

Lglr Z 19610A Piniali Iill in tAiti Ne )ioik (oltinibit niersit PressF-ores 11958 Introdtuction Ip 1-14 it J (iootl led I IH+ithI lop etal( irhi Plottiesih Groupsl Cambridge UK (Caubridge Liiciy r IcS

louster B 1978 I)(Inlestlc deveopIientiIl ccles is a link letsen ptoplaitilon plioces es and olher social processes Joturnall I ltleult It 14411-44 I0lnlthrol Rckea1tl

|os R 1967 Kiittitip lt(I l littwtt -h alrl UK PenguinAittthrohe11 1 IIttnlondirth

PressFrutietm IL 11982 Iif (|It oit ti t tireint lioic IhlttlQ1 and itu~al tit it Bit+eah S wit Ne

l iti-ick NJ R tgers lI r isti PicrNe lHtietti I_ d A (ster t1982 11dblood Ill CIngA (teglor and illcct Il the tdlI of kinship

caste and unliitig- I1p I-s5 ii A (slet L Friwulett intl S 1litt1te10 ds) (npt11 0 lrtinKtill tlp ( -ivt wild Altnrl~ e ill bidhw (itnlih idge l~t ut i~d tUniiecsil Ilrt

Giotugh K 19 HItlhntin kinship ill a itnlil village At l lilt lthqohwit SS 26-851 Ilerhnmn P 1981 IotitiiotKi(htl andl fIitnitc)elhi Iindilslatn ItibhhingKeeing R 1975 KiN (roup io1 itl ttt+tt- Net York ll1 Riniehrl ind Wilton Korson I If Fid in il1971 ldgilltotis ntirrige ti idtitit Mutslimn olct est (kisaltri ll141r114101Ciparative tivhStudieN 213 I145-15i - --- 179 ModeltliualtI iiJ sicial chang-T ihe latitil n Ilktiliti Pp Iitl)0-20 7 it NI Singh I)a and

1) 1) tardi+ teds) Dii I-aitiAv ill l ti I|ondon Allen miid ittLesthiteghe R 1980 ()rl the social control of hunlmin ieproduclto Poidau~tio-iand A-lophiticniRevielt 6527- 548

ii+lenhitn (1) l r (ichalgiI alilA Ilanlnmt 12(l 109II4-401

9 itpicitiins illlen g Illltge nlItiSt nn111InIIIangJduesthlt dii itt

Mits n K () 1484 Thc sdltlus k+o111cent1 ilorit ofilf fertlmhl atnd A it~ik inlte ktjn hips Universit of Michigaipulation Studies (Centel Resetich Report 84-58

NIeNicoll i 1980 Instltiuional determinants II lertilits chang olation hld iloptlnliit Reviit 6441-462

Naveed-i-Ribal 1981 (he role of wonen in reciprocal relation hlip titi Iinlhab village Ip 47-81 in T SEpstein and R A Walli leds )7 Inhi Iay ot Calt Matlraltit Rtiral Wottnnlmli New York Perganon Prcss

Ortner S B 1981 (lender and semiality in hierarchical societie The cae of Polynesia and some

508 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 number 4 November 1986

comparative implications Pp 359-409 in S 13Ortner and H Whitehead (eds) Sexual Meanings The Cultural Construction of Gender and Sesuality Cambridge UK Cambridge University Press

Paige K E and J M Paige 1981 The Politics of Reproductive Ritual Berkeley University of California Press

Papanek H 1984 False specialization and the purdah of scholarship-A review article Journal ofAsian Studies 44127-148

Parry J P 1979 Caste and Kinship in Kangra London Routledge and Kegan Paul Ryder N 131975 Fertility measurement through cross-sectional surveys Social Forcei 547-35

1983 Fertility and family structure Population Bulletin olfthe United Nations 1515-34 Sahlins M 1972 Stone Age Econoinici New York Aldine Slocum W L J Akhtar and A FSahi 1959 Villaie Libf+ in lahome District Lahore University of the

Punjab Social Science Research Centre Smith P C 1980 Asian marriage patterns in tt insition Journal ufl aind 1Iistory 556-96

1983 The impact of age at marriage and proportions marrying on fertility Pp 473-531 in R Bulatao and R Iee (eds) termniinantv Academicof Ferility in 1) veloping Countries New York Press

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Suits DB 1957 Use of dttiunlut variables in regression equations Journal tit the Anerican Statitical Asociation 52548-551

Tambiah S J 1973a Dowry aud bridewealth and the property rights of women in South Asia Pp 51)-1(9in JGoody and SJTarnhiah (eds) Bridei cilthand I)m rvCambridge UK Cambridge University Press

1973b From arna to caste through mixed unions lp 191-229 in JGoody edlI 1he Character ofKinhip Cat ibridge UK Cambridge University Press

Tandon P 1968 Punjahi (Centurv1857-1947 Berkeley niversuty of California Press Thadani V 1978 The logic of sentiment The fansily and social change opulation and )evelopment

Review 4457-499 Thornton A M C Chang and T-H Stin 1984 Social and ecootrtuic change intrgeneratlonal

relationships and family formation in laisman 1)cinoyraphv 21475-499 Udry JR and R L Cliquet 1982 A criiss-cultural esamination of the relationship between ages at

menarche marriage and first birth Dmnnographv 1953-63 Vreede-de Stuers C 1968 Parda A Stidv of luslji )loonenlife illNoritiern India New York

Humanities Press Yalman N 1971 Under the Bo Tree Studies inCaie Kinship and Marriage in the Interior ofCeyhi

Berkeley University of California Press

177

RECENT AVAILABLE REPRINTS OF THE EAST-WEST POPULATION INSTITUTE No 172 Conclusion by Lee-Jay Cho reprinted from The IndustrialFutureof the fIzcific Basin RogerBenjamin and Robert T Kudrle eds Westview Press Colorado 1984 173 Asian Labor Migration to the Middle East by Fred Arnold and Nasra M Shah reprinted

front InternationalMigration Review Sum mer 1984 174 Repeatability of infant deaths in Korea by Chai Bin Park and Alfred C Hexter reprinted

from nhternationaljournal of Epideniolhgy September 1984 175 Comparative analysis of fertility orientations World Fertility Survey findings by Lee-Jay Cho ind Louise Kantrow reprinted from Predicting Fertility DenographicStudies ofBirth Expectations Gerry E I lendershot and Paul J Placek eds Lexington Books DC

I leath and Company Massachusetts 1981 176 Census-derived estimates of fertility by duration since first marriage in the Republicof Korea by Robert 1) Retherlord ee-JaY Cho ard Narn-Il Kim reprinted from Deinogshy

raphy November 481 The value of daughters and sons A comparative study of the gender preferences of parshyents bv Fred Arnold and Eddie CY Kujo reprint_d from fournal of Comparative Fanih Studes Summer 1984

178 Analysing open birth interval distributions by Griffith FeeneY and John A Ross reprintedfrom Population Studies Novembet 1981

17 Population dynamics arid policy in the eoples Republic of China by Lee-jay Choreprinted from The Annals if TheAneirican Acadenii ufoPliticaland Sociai Science Chinain Transitim vol 476 Marvin F Wolfgang ed Sage lublications Beverly Hills Califorshynia 1984

180 Personal networks and the adoption of family planning in rural Korea by Joung ImKim arid Janmes A lihlmore reprinted from Journalov Population and I halth Studies Dshycember 1984

181 Determinants of birth-interval length in the Philippines Malaysia and Indonesia Ahazard-model analysis by James Trussell Linda G Martin Robert Feldman James APalmore Mercedes Concepcion and Datin Noor Laily lBt Dato Abu Bakar reprinted Denograply May 1985

182 Shadow households and competing auspices Migration behavior in the Philippinesby Fe Caces Fred Arnold Jame T Fawcett and Robert W Gardner reprinted fior lourshynal of Development Econonics lanuarv-February 1985 183 Perceptions of the value of children Satisfaction and costs by James 1 Rawcett reprinted

from Detrniinantsof lertiliti in Devehpin Counitries vol 1 Rodolfo A Bulatao and RonaldD Lee eds Acaderic Press Inc 1983 184 Diffusion processes affecting fertility regulation bv Robert I) Retherford and JamesA Palmore reprinted from Determiintsof lirtlityqin Dcvelopiing Countries vol 2 RodolfoA Bulatao and Ronald D Lee eds Academic Press Inc 1983 185 The impact of age at marriage and proportions marrying on fertility by Peter C Smithreprinted from Determinantsof lirtiilit in Develolmkg Countries vol 2 Rodolfo A gulatao

and Ronald D Lee eds Academic Press Inc 1983 186 Migration of women to cities The Asian situation in comparative perspective by Siew-Ean Khoo Peter C Smith and James T Fawcett reprinted from lnternationalMigration

Rtview Special Issue Noten in AlM ratin Winter 1984

187 Measuring the effect of sex preference on fertility The case of Korea by Fred Arnold ieprinted from Dernography May 1985

18 Exploring the normative basis for age at marriage in Thailand An example from focus group research by Anthony Pramualratana Napaporn Havanon and John Knodel reprinted from Journalof Marriageand the Family February 1985

189 The non-economic consequences of Asian labor migration to the Middle East by Nasra M Shah and Fred Arnold reprinted from International Union for the Scientific Study of Population lnternaitonalPopulation Conference Florence 1985 vol 3 1985

190 Parity progression projection by Griffith Feeney reprinted from International Union for the Scientific Study of Population InternationalPopiulation Conference Florence 1985 vol 4 1985

191 A theory of marita fertility transition by Robert D Retherford reprinted from Popula tion Studies July 1985

192 Cultural variations in the transition to marriage in four Asian societies by Paul Cheung Josefina Cabigon Aphichat Chamratrithirong Peter F McDonald Sabila Syed Andrew Cherlin and Peter C Smith reprinted from International Union for the Scientific Study of Population InternationalPopulation Conference Florence 1985 vol 3 1985

193 Decision making and sex selection with biased technologies by Neil GBennett and Andrew Mason reprinted from Sex Selection of Children Neil G Bennett ed Academic Press Inc 1983

194 US farm migration An application of the Harris-Todaro model by Daniel B Suits reprinted from Economic Development and Cultural Chang vol 33 no 4 1985

195 Health of Hlmong in Thailand Risk factors morbidity and mortality in comparison with other ethnic groups by Peter Kunstadter reprinted from Culture Medicine and Psyshychiairy vol 9 no 4 1985

196 Evaluation of contraceptive history data in the Republic of Korea by Anne R Pebley Noreen Goldman and Minja Kim Choe reprinted from Stldies ii Family PlanningJanushyaryFebruary 1986

197 Circulation between home and other places Some propositions by Murray Chapman and R Mansell Prothem and Me go walkabout you too by Murray Chapman reprinted from Circulationin Population Mozement Substance and Concepts fion tie Melnesian Case Murray Chapman and R Maniell Prothero eds Routledge amp Kegan Paul 1985

198 Fijians and Indo-Fijians in Suva Rural-urban movements and linkages by Shashikant Nair reprinted from Circulationin PopulationMovement Substance and Concepts fron the Melanesian Case Murray Chapman and R Mansell Prothero eds Routledge amp Kegan Paul 1985

199 Linkages between internal and international migration The Ilocos Norte experience by Fred Arnold and Ricardo G Abad reprinted from PhilippinePopulationJournalJune 1985

200 An economic analysis of recent fertility in Japan by Naohiro Ogawa and Andrew Mason reprinted from linko Gaku Kenkyu vol 9 May 1986

201 Averting crisis in Asia by Lee-jay Cho reprinted from Bulletin of the Atonic Scientists vol 42 no 4 1986

202 Sex preference fertility and family planning in China by Fred Arnold and Liu Zhao xiang reprinted from lPpulation am Development Review vol 12 no 2 1986

203 The place of child-spacing as a factor in infant mortality A recursive model by Chai Bin Park reprinted from American Journalof Public Health vol 76 no 8 1986

204 Determinants of Korean birth intervals The confrontation of theory and data by Larry L Bumpass Ronald R Rindfuss and James A Palmore reprinted from Po)pulationStudies vol 40 no 3 1986

Page 9: INSTITUTE timing strategies in Pakistan

495 Social Organization and Marriage Timing Strategies inPakistan

their control of resources and the degree to which they can muster valuable commodities for exchange It also suggests that the ideology of marriage preferenceswill vary with social class To take the rural case a number of relationships arise We accept first that the majority of households in the rural Punjab are of Ajlaf status primarily descendents of Rajput and related converts to Islam We suggestthat rural marriage patterns tend to parallel those of antecedent groups and that documentation from the few rural studies supports this To summarize for the rural Punjab

0 Wealthier households will tend to marry daughters to nonrelatives more often than poor households since their interests are in expanding kin linkages and they can more readily assume the risks In addition there are lingering ideological jutificat ions tor doing so

Homogamo is nmarriagcs will outwunber hypergamous In those cases of hypershygany the value of marital trawactions and wealth 1oWS to the husbands family will be higher han in homogamous cases

Cases of hypogamy will occur but the value of transactions will he toward the wifes family and bride wealth may replace dowry

Both 1lpogarnlo1uS and hypCrgamnous marriages will beCmore associated with formal engagement than honiogamIIous marriages since they involve more risk and negotiation

The valuc of a daughtr is affected b inenarche and tihe anxiety about chastityT-vo possibilities arise n rcspor e to early rilenarche either a daughter will be rapidly married oil to nrotect her familys honor or she will be married at roughlythe same age as other daughtlers but to relatives who can feel most assured that she hits been protected

0 The sa lst marriaces are those contracted within tile biradari followed by those either within the rishltadari or ith a vartan connection The most risky marriages are t1ose contracted with a family wsith which no prior fornal connection exists these are most cleCMrl cnltCrCd into for the aVantagCs they confer

In a siting khere structural and ideological factors so explicitly stress the sAmbolic and exchangC value of womCnand where at womans age is a partial component of her idtnC we expect marriagc strategies to have implications for daughters ages at marriage A woman has virtuilly no say in the marriage process in the rural setting (asidC from a pro forma alification of arrangenments already made in the ikah cerenrony) and evn in urbtan settings it is clcar Ithat the pressures on parents cause them to discoirlnt thteir daughters wishes We expect then that marriage age will vary wilh the relative sttis ofilrmiliesCcdU tional altitinlent of women dowry payments and the dCgree of rClaltikAship between spotIses families prior to marriage Ourt hypotheses for nmrriagc timing ill tile rurall Punjal follow from atconsideration of daughtcrs as wealth

Rlationship he iuth n inlmiihA A dalughter age At marriagc Will vary with her tnatil hoimes relationship to her spouses natal ionC is t function ol cultural expectations of first choice and the pleNcribcd dirccti0l of1 Calth Ii lows between households Marriage within the biradari implies no alienation of property and this group is most assured of the chastity of the bride There is no reason for tier to marry early except that biradari members have first claim Mnd this claim mlust be removed if marriages outside the patriline are to be made In terms of property alienation there is no dilerence among the other (tgrees of relationship Both rishtadari and vartan

496 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 number 4 November 1986

groups however already possess cooperative links with each other marriagefunctions to reaffirm these Furthermore both groups have access to informa orabout the woman and are more secure than strangers about her chastity Completely new relationships established by marriage however will fully exploit a daughtersexchange value in the rural setting they will be the most likely to rely on formal culturally stated values Knowledge of a daughters chastity will be less secure insuch marriages and the culturally augmented inferiority of wife-givers in relation towife-receivers will mandate a flow of women possessing positive cultural attributes

HI These issues of property transfer and knowledge of a woman and her familylead us to predict that the youngest ages at marriage will be between previouslyunrelated families followed by biradari marriages Marriages between rishtadari and vartan groups will be the latest and at similar ages on average because of the structural similariy of prperty transfer and faith in a familys standing between these groups

Edctalion The desire for educated women is still ambiguous in the rural setting a little (less than the husbands) confers status on a womans natal home but too much can negatively affect marriage prospects Education enhances a womans value and offsets the decline in desirability that must occur with age

1-12 We expect the often-noted positive association between iuuation ind marriage age but we also expect it even when there is very brief attendance and no grade attainment

Dow v Dowry involves a transfer of property from the wifes natal home to thatof her husbands It serves in part to enhance the symbolic value of a daughter and can also offset her devaluation from biological aging

H3 Dowry will be positively associated with a womans age at marriage

Relatirestatus oJfiwmilies Marrying into a higher status family-hypergamy-isrisky and expensive across all measures f value Dowry payments will be higher for reasons that go beyond their offsetting of a daughters age Hypogamy-marriageinto a family of lower status-on the other hand reverscs the advantage and riskHypogamous marriag s do occur in spite of strong ideological sanctioni againstthem In such cases the husbands flamily is at a strong disadvantage in negotiationssince they are the initiators of the alliance and have much to g in We have two predictions about age at marriage and tle relative status of fanilies then

H4 We expect hypergamous marriages to be associated with the youngest average ages at marriage Hypoganous marriages will be associated with tile latest average ages at marriage

Age (it menaice We have noted that tile risk associated with accepting adaughtcr-in-la increases with duration since menarche in these transactions (cfPaige ind Paige 198 185) This event should be an important initiator of the marriage process

H5 We expect age at menarche to be positively related to marriage age For daughters

497 Social Organization and Marriage Timing Strategies in Pakistan

Wealth flows Transactions move in both directions at marriage and we expectthese to be related to the alliance-producing nature of the institution too Wealth flows toward the wifes natal home indicate this familys advantage in the contract in much the same way that hypogamous marriages give an advantage

1-16We expect flemale ages at marriage to be younger with wealth flows toward the husbands tamily

Entgoiumtzni Finally we expect that engagement before marriage is associated with the need to fornmalize the marriage process itself Among the functions served here are the ratification oftagreemcnts miade between families These should be most necessary with those marria cs contracted between unrelated families since families in some relationship to each other before marriage can afford to he more casLual

1-17 We expect marriage age to have a negative relationship to formal engageshyniCt11

DATA AND MEII()DS

The AsiaXifMarriaic r Itv

This analysis is based on data from the Pakistan round of the A ian MarriageSurvey (AMS) l)ata include a wide rnge of marriage and fertility information with special attention to cull ral variables and individual life history events for married women between the ages of 15 and 45and for asample of their husbands Systematicsamples of households were drawn to represent three socioeconomic settings in the Puljab-a rural sample from a few contiguous villages in Kasur and Sheikhupuradistricts an urban lowCr-class samnplC draIwu from squatter-dominated districts within lahore and an urban middle-class sample drawn from another district of Lahore Each sample is relativclv honogencous with respect to economic backshyground 1ndcurrent Standard of living as well as overall cultural milieu

Important innovations in the ANIS instruments include the breadth of topicscovered Each interview covered itwide range of basic social and economic characteristics in addition to dLtai from each ofthe spouses on parental characterisshytics the process of entry into marriage work and income attitudes toward marriage and divorce andIattitudes and aspirations for children life histories were ohtaincd for timing of events under the headings of eCLucation work marriage childbearingand fanily limitation For Pakistan especially impotant details of dowry paymentsand relationship of spouses were included in addition to information oi attitudes toward purdah and other aspects of Islam in PIakistan [he coMplcted sample for Pakistan contains interviews with 1011women and 588 men

Because this paper is concrncd wit Ii the transactioial strategies of marriage we include only cases for which both wifes and husbands information is available In addition the data contain the event truncation bias that is built into all cross-section samples of ever-married persons (Ryder 1975) Because young ever-married women conic fron cohorts with incomplete marriage experience women in those cohorts who were mici at the younger ages are disproportionately selected The age bywhich 90 percent of recent cohorts will have been married was estimated at 21 and we have excluded women below this age (Smith and Karim 1980) [hus the initial rural sample of 351 respondents becomes 173

Indicators of Marriage Siratgy

Table I pi -sents the distribution of cases for a range of variables Of these indicators fmost direct interest are those that have to do with family influence and

498 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 numbe 4 November 1986

Table I-Selected characteristics of female respondents rural households in Pakistan Asian Marriage Survey

Percent in Percent inVariable category Variable category

Fathers occupaticnb Zamindar Agricultural laborer Unskilled laborer Skilled laborer White collar worker

Womans education Literate

Never attended school Attended 0 attainment 1-8 grades 9-12 grades 13 or more grades

Womans occupational status before marriage

No work Family work Wage w rk

Current household has electricity

Age at menarche lt13 13

gt13

Engagement status Not engaged Engaged

Participation in choice of spouse by woman

No participation Some participation

(172) 517 250 105 58 70

(173) 100

434 451 93 23 00

(173) 58

509 434

559

(173) 393 329 277

(171) 433 567

(173) 1000 00

Frequency cf meeting with spouse before marriage (169)

Never or once 544 Infrequently or often 456

Relationship between families before marriage (170)

No relationship 294 Vartan 176 Rishtadari 341 Biradari 188

Type of dowry (173) Nonehousehold goods 353 Cashluxuries 647

Value of payments to husbands family (172)

0-499 rupees 163 500-9T9 rupees 151 1000-1999 rupees 221 2000-3999 rupees 209 4000-5999 rupees 99 6000-10000 rupees 105 10000 or more rupees 52

Wealth flows at marriage (172) To wifes fanily 174 Balanced 291 To husbands family 535

Marriage type by relative land status of families (173) Hypogamous union 116 Landless homogamy 220 Landed homogamy 509 Iypergamous union 156

Note Figures in parentheses are number of case-- available for given variable

a The original sample includes 351 women Interviews with husband were available for 198 of these women among the 198 25 were under age 21 and have therefore been excluded

b At time of womans birth

strategic behavior in marriage Additional variables that we include are education and fathers occupation itsindicators of class backgiound and achievement We will not comment extensively on these except to note first the striking agrariancharacter of the rural stratum Second we wish 1o point out an unusual feature of education for women A substantial number of women enter school but never complete a single grade (full year) of instruction Further earlier analysis (Cherlin etal 1985b) revealed that these women marry significantly later than those who have

499 Social Organization and Marriage Timing Strategies in Pakistan

never attended school alall The extent to which this is a phenomenon restricted to women is revealed by comparison of distributions for husbands and wives In nostratum is there a comparable percentage of men who have atiended school wiihotrtattainir-g a grade Our inclination is to interpret this in terms of the exchange value of women which we will discuss in a later section

Iinally we note the distribution of type of work before manage for womenWomen reporting 1io work at all appear to be from wealthier households with theability to afford ortholoXy We expect those women most restricted by purdah to bein this group Family work is defined as work within the household enterprisewhether farm trade or stnall-commodity production and wage work impliespayment from an enterprise other than the fatnilys It is important to realize thatthese wages are invariably turned over to the household head The distributions for frequenCV of meetings between spouses before marriage andchoice of spouse are given in table I only to show tileextent to which women lackcontrol in their marital decisions No wonman in the rural amtple reported any degreeof choice in her sousC other than the ratification of parental choice in tilenikah ceremony The extent of meetings between spouses beiore marriage on the otherhand most likely reflects meetings between couples before puberty and the need forpurdah A strong correlation between kinship and more frequent meetings suggests

this

Var6h1es

Taking each variable separately we discuss their construction and the rationalefor inclusion here

AK (itneM11rht This variable is coded from a straightforward question askingage at first menses It is possible that the importance of menarche in this settingencouiraged misitatement of actual ages (Paige and Paige 198179-82) Neverthelesswe retain the variable in the analysis because of its centrality in outr discussionRelationrship hetween aimilies heone marriag ()ur earlier discussion of thedegrees of relatedness within which marriaie may occur in Pakistan leads us todistinguish four categories For the rural stratin Three questions on the schedule

(124A-l124) are the isis for the coding Was your spouse related to you beforemarriage Were you r and his families friends or neighbors before marriage [lowwere you related We define as marrying within ile biradarioi tnlythose respondentswho explicitly identified their relationship with their spouse itsbeing throughpatrilineal kin Other degrees of relationship are defined as rishtdari usingassumpons based on the di sinclination to reverse wealth flows from generation togeneration and other Punjabi cultural values tcf Parrv 1979 Eglar 1960 Das 1973)

ltigVdit(fltI We incindC a vatriable for engagemeit before marriaue as anindicator of marriage fOrmality Th is is taken directly from a quest ion concerningwhether tlhc respondent was formally engaged

ivpe ofdorvrv This indicator measure the extent to which dowvrv was intendedto provide for the new household rather than attract a husband Traditional dowriestended to be conlined to household goods f0r the sc of the nc couple Recent years have seen the inflation of dowry to include money and cash goods throughoutSouth Asia othe abscnce of these is soirmething of ati indictlor of sociocconionlicstatus in modern marriages We include it here with the expectation that tile type ofdowry will also be related to tile arebargaining process (ash and luxury dowriesexpected to bea feature of hypergamous marriages

I ahle oflaynent to htushandr flmintv [his indlicator is codCd froni I directquestion to male respondents Though we might dotbt the accuracy of such

500 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 number 4 November 1986

responses in some contexts these payments are reported by ethnographers to be a source of some pride in Muslim marriages indeed a part of the wedding ceremony involves the declaration of gifts to the husbands family and the nature and value of items are recorded in a book as they are called out Thus we expect these responses to be very close to their true values and important indicators of marital transactions between families

tIaniogany We have constructed in indicator designed to roughly measure the relative homegamy of marriages by using land as an indicator of status We expectthis to be a good measure for rural households in which the agrarian economy makes land a critical productive resource Nevertheless we must stress that it is an imperfect measure of homogamy in spite of lands importance since we have no measure of relative amounts owned Hypergamous marriages are defined as those in which a landless womans family has made a marital link with a landed family whereas hypogamous marriages represent the opposite case In our initial analysis tand in table I) we broke marriages dok n into subgroups of landed and landless but these are combined in the analysis presented here since there was no difference between them

Wealth flows tt marriage This indicator is directly constructed from questionsabout the value of marital transactions in both directions In the analysis below we combine thoe categories in which wealth flows were either toward the wonins nata home or balanced since the Punjabi culural ideal is that flows should be tcward the husbands home IBut note evidence from elsewhere in South Asia of change in the direction of wealth flows (IIdcnbaum 1981 Caldwell Reddy and Caldwell 1982 1983 Crplan 1984))

Method o AnalYsis

We employ least squares regression to estimate the coelficients associated with variables taken as predictors of wives ages lt marriage The set of variables just discussed-the marriage-process variables-are distinguisoed from a set of backshyground or control variables All variables are ncasured as catcgories and are entered into the equations as dummy variables although a multiple classification analysisforinat has been used to present the result in tables 2 and 37 We present one unadjusted and two adjusied mean ages at marriage for each category in these tables The unadjusted column represents the effect of each indicator when its et of dummy varitbles is entered into the cquation by itself The first column of adjusted means reflects the effects when age at marriage is rcgrescd on the set of variables specified in the given table by themselves Adjusted means in the second colunn indicate the effec of each set of dunmmy variables entered along with all control and other

R2marriage-process variables The for each set of measures is the variance explained by that group of dummy variables above For the adjusted neans the incremental R-2s presented represent the additional variance explained by each set of dummy variables after all others have been entered into the equation for that column We ha- indicatcd significance levels up to the 010 level because the small sample tends to reduce significance levels even when the coefficients are quite large in absolute terms In fact nearly all variables shown to be significant at the 0 10 level are very close to the 0)0(6 level of significance

RESITl I S

Table 2 presents the results of our regression for those background variables not directly tested here In general we find that those that are significant by themselves retain their significance even after other variables are entered We can see from this

501 Soial Organization and Marriage Timing Strategies in Pakistan

Table 2-Mean age at marriage hy background variables unadjusted and adjusted

Mean age atmarriage Number 0Variable Unadjusteda Adjusted Adjustdc of cases

Cohortd lt30 173 171 171 84 30-34 176 177 173 20 35-39 166 167 165 31 40-45

(Increment in R2 ) 173 (010)

176 (010)

179 (020)

30

Class backgrounde Farmer 172 172 172 88 Agricultural laboLer 164 167 167 3e Blue collarprofessional 180 177 177 39 (Increment in R2) (034) (012) (012)

Womans education No schooling 161 163 164 72 Attended 0 attairment 177 173 175 74 1-12 years completed (Increment in R2)

193 (124)

191 (090-)

185 (045 )

19

Womans occupational status before marriage

Family work or no work 177 176 176 92 Wage work 165 167 165 73

(Increment in R2) (041) (021) (038)

r(ran1 mean 172 Total cases 165

R2 for all background variables 171

R2 controlling for marriage process variables 124

a Zero-order mean b Controlling for other background variables c Controlling for other background variables and all family process

variables d Age at survey date e Fathers occupation at time of womans birth

significant at the 01 level significant at the 05 level significant at the 10 level

tabulation that there are no cohort trends in marriage age in our sample of women and that class background appears to make little difference in marriage timing once controls are included in the equation The moc-t interesting pattern in educational effects on marriage age is with that group of women who have attended school hut never finished a grade These women marry a full year later t ian those who have never attended even after controls are entered We also note iatwomen who work for wages before marriage marry a year younger on ihe averae than those who work for their families The latter two results are not predicted by the standard theories of marriage Nevertheless the overall results presented in table 2 support the imporshy

502 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 number 4 N3vember 1986 tance of education and occupation as components of the complete explanation ofmarriage timing The background vaiables by themselves account for 17 percent ofthe variation in marriage age and continue to account for over 12 percent of thatvariation even after adjustment for marriage-process variables

Turning to table 3 we can more precisely see the contribution of our marriageshyprocess variables to the egt plaration Looking at the zero-order relationships firstwe see that three of these-the relationship between families before marriage valueof dowry and marital homogamy-make large and statistically significant contribushytions to marital timing At this level we find good support for our hypothesesconcerning the effects of each of these variables on marriage age Thus the earlymarriers categorized by relationships are those whose marriages are contractedwith strangers followed by those married within the patriline The latest marriers arethose who marry nonpatrilincally related kin or into vart ri groups We also find thatvalue of payments to hubarids family is positively associated with marriage ageOur hypothesis concerning marital homogamy and marriage agc receives moremixed support Wonen in hypogamous union are the latest marricrs as predictedbut not as expected hypergamously married women not the eariiest marriagesare

Other hypotheses receive no support at this level Age at menarche appears tohave a weak positive relationship wivh age at marriage but the result is notsignificant and the Rshyincrement is quite small Nor does engagement status dowrytype or direction of wealth flows make any significant difference to marriage ageWhen we enter controls for other marriage-process variables (cf first adjustedmean) wealth qows ichieve significance in reiation to marriage age and in thepredicted direction but no other variable shifts toward significance in this way

The absence of a positive relationship between age at nenarche and marriagetiming is notable since a significant relationshIip has been reported ini a wide varietyof social settings (Udry and Cliquet 1982) One possible explanation is attenuationdue to misstatement of actual ages at first menses We have already cited Paige andPaige 11981) in this connection and the age pattern of menses ages in our data suggests some convergence of responses on normative ages Yet other relationishipsin our data arc consistent with accurately reported ages at menarche For examplecross-tabulalions of age at first menses and whether a woman was formally engagedbefore narriage show that lower ages at menarche are associated with the absence ofengagement This is n expected relationship our hypotheses predict a speeding up(f the marriage process lic menarche is relatively early one way to achieve this isthrough the deletion of certain elements in the process Further indication ofaccurately reportedi ages at menarhe appears when we consider the relationshipbetween age at first menses and age at marriage separately for landed and landlesshouseholds Within the landless group there is no relationship Among landedhouseholds on the other hand there is a consistent rise in the age at marriage with age at menarche-from 169 for those who experience mcenarche before age 13 to182 for those who experience menarche after age 13 This is as predicied sincelanded households are the most likely to contract marriages with unrelated familiesin which the element of risk and concern about chastity weigh the heaviest

In general the marriage-process variables retain iheir effects when controls areentered although there is a slight weakening in the levels of significance Given arelatively small sample size our results provide heartening support for a theory ofmarriage that includes social-structural and transactional elements The full regresshysion results (not shown here) show thai all of these variables together account for over 27 percent of the variance in marriage timing in the rural sample Our analysisshows that both the standard background or control variables a-d the more

503 Social Organization and Marriage Timing Strategies in Pakistan

Table 3-Mean age at marriage by marriage process variables unadjusted and adjusted

Mean age at marriage NumberdegVariable Unadjusteda Adjusted Adjusted of cases

Relationship between families before marriageNo relationship 163 162 165 49Biradari 169 171 169 32 HishtadariVartan

2178 178 177 84

(Increment in R ) (046) (049) (026)

Age at menarche lt13 169 171 170 65 13 173 172 174 57

gt13 174 172 172 43 (Increment in R2 ) (004) (000) (003)

Engagement status Not engaged 172 174 172 70Engaged

2172 171 171 95

(Increment in R ) (000) (002) (000)

Type of dowryNoneHousehold goods 170 173 173 56 CashLuxuries 173 171

2 171 109 (Increment in R ) (001) (001) (002)

Value of payments to husbands family

0-499 rupees 161 155 159 26 500-999 rupees 167 165 166 25 1000 or more rupees 175 177 176 1142(Increment in R ) (036) (052) (026)

Marriage typeHypergamoua union 173 171 174 27 Isogamous uniond 169 169 168 121Hypogamous union 189 194 192 172(Increment in R ) (042) (060) (046)

Wealth flows at marriage BalancedTowards wifes

family 171 178 178 76 Toward husbands family 173 167 -67 892(IncremenL in R ) (001) (021) (022)

Grand mean 172 Total cases 165

R2 for all marriage process variables 147

R2 controlling for background variables 101

a Zero-order mean b Controlling for other marriage process variables c Controlling for other marriage process variables and all background

variables d Between two landed or between two landless families

oignificant at 01 significant at the 05 level

s the level

significant at the 10 level

504 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 number 4 November 1986

structural and cultural variables account for their own parts of this variance Thus background variables explain a unique 12 percent of the variance and the marriageshyprocess variables explain an additional 10 percent The remaining 52 percent is explained jointly by the two sets of variables

Our analysis supports most of our hypotheses and on balance reinforces the perspective from which they are derived Regarding I-1-that marriage between unrelated groups will result in the youngest and marriage between rishtadari and vartan groups the latest ages at marriage-we have complete support More than a year separates the oldest and youngest groups even after all controls are entered

Our second hypothesis-that education will be positively associated with marshyriage-is also supported We have included this variable with the other backgroundfactors because superficially this relationship is hardly surprising Nevertheless the significant increase of a year in marriage age that occurs even when a grade of school isnot completed suggests an unconventional interpretation of the importanceof education in this setting Thus education must have its effects because of the symbolic value it has fbr the wife-receivers in the arriage transaction rather than because of it impact on the wonman herself

H3 concerning the positive relationship between dowry vaIC and age at marriage is supported here with more than a year and ihalf separating earliest and latest marrying groups This is true even with controls for class background and the inflation of dowry values that we might expect to be associated with class background

Our fourth hypothesis concerning the relationship between lionioganiv and marriage age receives only mixed support Hypogamously marrying women are the latest marriers by nearly two years That hypergrrmous marricrs are not the yonngest may be because using lnded status results in an imperfect measure

Finally H6-that marriage age will be negatively associated with wealth flows to the husbands family-is supported only after controls for other marriage-processvariables are included The meaning of this pattern is uncleCar and may be a function of an association between dowry value and wealth flow not yet investigated

Our hypothesis concerning engagement and menarche has not Found support in this analysis We have already mentioned possible problems with the menarchevariable Our phrasing of the engagement hypothesis issuch that a zero-order effect should have been evident and disappearet when the control for relationship between families is entered That no zero-order effect was evident suggests that our association of engagement with socially riskier marriages is wrong Rather engageshyment may be considered a component of all marriages its association with later menarche alluded to earlier suggests that elements of the marriage process may be altered in response to unpredictable events

DISCUSSION

Our perspective couched in ethnographic knowledge of Punjabi social organizashytion and the culturally determined roles of women receives strong support from this analysis This is not to argue that the more standard development indicators are unimportant in explanations of marriage timing Rather we have demonstrated that a more complete understanding will be gained by considering the ranges of behavior permitted and forbidden in particular cultural settings

The results further encourage such comparative analyses by cautioning againsttaking pretransition settings to be without individual-level variation in behavior To say that a society is organized patrilineally or that inheritance is partible is not enough Even in Pakistani Punjab where the constraints of ideology on behavior

505 Social Organization and Marriage Timing Strategies in Pakistan

may be thought of as especially powerful we have shown that there is room for flexible responses that have their impact on marriage timing

We have used the rural Punjab case to present a model in which the alliance function of marriage is very important We suggest that the underlying componentsof such a society include its agrarian orientation and its unilineal kinship organizashytion It is possible that the model we have begun to develop here will find useful application in other partrilineal rural settings in the rest of South Asia and elseshywhere

Finally a note on social change We consciously directed our attention to a pretransition setting to highlight the need to consider the cultural and social milieu from which populations move as they undergo transition Interpretations of the transition in marriage behavior and its consequences for fertility begin to go astraywhen they focus unduly on individuals while ignoring issues of social structure and social control Education is not always related to the autonomy of women Caldwells finding that women in South India may be educated by their parents toenhance their marriageability (Caldwell Reddy and Caldwell 1982) finds parallels in our Punjabi analysis Similarly there is strong support here for a perspective that looks at marriage within the whole context of productive relationships

This has implications for the way we conceive of the interaction between valuesand institutions in social change Education of women for example although an innovative institutional feature within the rural setting seems to have unexpectedeffects on marriage timing that can be adequately explained only with reference to an extant value system or cultural milieu The extent to which this system retains its hold on the rural Punjab is evident from the strength of the marriage-processvariables in our analysis All of the hypotheses concerning their effects assume traditional values for the area Similarly the association of wage work with younger ages at marriage makes sense when we consider the risks to a daughtersmarriageability that come from exposure to extra-domestic influences Rather than suggesting some sort of cultural stasis however we argue that change will occur Our point is that the effects of these institutional components of transition will not be uniform across cultural settings Innovations will have their initial effects on behavior in ways that are corsistent with existing cultural values and these effects may be surprising

There is a clear call here for the inclusion of indicators for these effects in social surveys We have been able to explore these issues only because the AMS was designed to evoke culture-specific features of the marriage process Such data are rare however and in any case the social survey alone should not be expected to provide detailed models that allow us to make cultural sense of these processes (cfCaldwell Reddy and Caldwell 1984) We have also been fortunate in being able to use ethnographic sources in developing our interpretation although our sources for ethnographic and survey data are often separated by approximately two decades and none of the ethnographies describes the same villages in which the survey was conducted As a closing comment that cannot be fully elaborated here we suggestthe need to develop methodologies that combine survey and ethnographic data collection in formal and complementary ways

NOTES Sahlins calls this type of economy the domestic mode of production (1972) Among its characterisshy

tics are that it is an economy of production for use---ne penetrated with such noneconomic claims as ritual ceremonial and social diversion and one organized around donestic groups usually the family

2 Important examinations of the alliance theme appear in Dumont (1993) Parry (1979) and Yalman (1971) and its central importance in Muslim areas is documented in Eglar (1960) and Naveed-i-Rahat

506 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 number 4 November 1986 (1981) The nature of status and hierarchy as a cross-cutting feature of social organization and marriagemay be examined in Fruzzetti and Oster (1982) I Ahmad (1978) Korson (1971) and S Ahmad (1977)See Ortner (1981) for another treatment of wonlens stalus in hierarchic il settings Finally iherelationship between wealth flows marriage and hierarchy is treated in Tantbiah ( 1973ab) Caplan(194) and Gough (1956) in addition it) the above sources

Important differences in the definition of biradari sugges that -glar may have overslated the degree towhich patriline and biradari identify the same group For the Raiputs in Kangra biradari refers to group of clans within which marriages may be contracted in equalitI lParr the

19794) and AhIttad ( 19741571suggested that the biradari is a wider group than the ittediate patriline in Pakistan as well In any casethe breadth of the group to tich hiradari can appl seetis to be soitewhat dependent on context I Eglar196076) and we will restrict its meaning in this paper to palriline Also see lrtlzetti 1192115-116) for a parallel Bengali level of social i)rganization I Hypergamy refers to marriages it hich wives marr into higher statu families (otmpare wihhomogamy for marriages bet een faiimilies of equal statiu and lvpogaltv ill thich kotneninar intolower status families

Korson (1979150-151) in contrast reports a pattern for urban Pakistat il Mich these saneexchange marriages are desirable unions SirnilLrlv tlershinim (1981193) ieports that the Sikhs andHindus in the part of Indian lunjab where lie orkeitegarded such niarriage as quintesential] MusliitThe apparent explanation is the etent to lich nton-Ashraf groups those descended trout Hinduconverts relain the ideology of their aincesors ]vidence here suggests that in rural areas the extent is great

These data constitute a rich bodv ofrve rtatet il gatlicied in ile lutntab in 1979 by Sabiha If SvedIWomens Division Cabinet Secretariat (itivernment of Pakistan) (tordination of ilte project usasprovided by Peter C Smith (Iast-Wesl Populatiot Instittlel Similar tres erc conducted atl iboutthe same time in Indonesia thte Philippines and lhailand lhe tespective investigalors were Peter FMcDonald (Ausi-alian National ltiversitv Mercedes II CoitcepcionI tniversit ofthe Philippines) andAphichat Chamratrilhirong (Mahidol I niyersjtvi

See Suit 119571 and Andre s Morgan and Sonuist 119167 t- lie iustiication and method ofconversion from regression to intuliple clissilicatil uanalvsis otellicietlts The standard deviation is 1014ears cottnpaied tth 153 to as gtat as 2ol it the other three AMS

Countries For example the patlentci iiitrgeiterait l shilts i fitnik relatlonhips in llivrln slitius s tantalizing

contextual sintilarities to South Asiln societies Icf lIhor t1i11( hlng nd Still 1984)

A(K NI()VI)(F NTS The Asian Marriage Survey for Pakistat was carried out under US Agency forInternational Developmenl Grant DI)PSE-6-()048 The present research was conductshyed with supporl from the National Science Foundation (SES-8319904) Earlierversions of this paper were presented at tile East-West Population Institute

Wednesday Seminar and to a seminar at the Institute of Pakistan Studies Quaid-i-Azam University Islamahad We wish to thank the facitlt and students of Quaid-i-Azam University for their helpful Colllntls during the setninar In particularProfessor Dar Director of the Institule of Pakistan SIudics oflered especially usefulcriticisms We also acknowledge the comments of Furqan Ahmlad John BauerAndrew Cherlin Deborah Freedman Doris Nayyar and Arland Thornton onvarious earlier drafts while absolving all of them of any errors in our interpretationand analysis

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Delhi Manohar Ahnuad S 1974 A village in Palkistani Ilani ah jalpal 11p131-1 72in C Malones led) South siaSerei (ommunttv Prefii Nes Yuik tloll Rinehart and Winston

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at IUSSP Micro-l)emographN Working Group Conference Australian Naiotil UniversityCaplitn I 1984 Itldegloiin price it turhan India (lass CaSte and do rv evil amiong Christians ir

Miatdra Man 19210-233 Carleton R () 1975 Educattion and fertiltis (p 115-166 sit IV V Mtihmi ledIi ldination anid

Iuoptutn Ahloitl IlilI t ielgillill IUSSI (herlin A J P C S1ttln I ricke I I)omiingo Adioetonio A (hliiiittrlhirong atnd S II Sed

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- -1985h Etlicition ind age titmarriage |-itdence (ront Itcir Asinll ocleIe Papel presented lt torkslht Chanlging Mlartiage and tihe Fanil in Asia Silta Il tild Feb 21-24Cochrane S 1 19710 Iitttft and I~dtaitiol Mihat A) tii Rctilx A m Ittnloic Ill John IHopkins I rniverit Prcss

l)as 1973 Ifie strictiure oll timtanae preferences kii ilttouli (lit kistit fictilcti l1(1n8311-45 Du ont I 198 Ilierrch and marriage allitnce in Soulh lndimii kinslip tt iginllll published 1957)

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Lglr Z 19610A Piniali Iill in tAiti Ne )ioik (oltinibit niersit PressF-ores 11958 Introdtuction Ip 1-14 it J (iootl led I IH+ithI lop etal( irhi Plottiesih Groupsl Cambridge UK (Caubridge Liiciy r IcS

louster B 1978 I)(Inlestlc deveopIientiIl ccles is a link letsen ptoplaitilon plioces es and olher social processes Joturnall I ltleult It 14411-44 I0lnlthrol Rckea1tl

|os R 1967 Kiittitip lt(I l littwtt -h alrl UK PenguinAittthrohe11 1 IIttnlondirth

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508 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 number 4 November 1986

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RECENT AVAILABLE REPRINTS OF THE EAST-WEST POPULATION INSTITUTE No 172 Conclusion by Lee-Jay Cho reprinted from The IndustrialFutureof the fIzcific Basin RogerBenjamin and Robert T Kudrle eds Westview Press Colorado 1984 173 Asian Labor Migration to the Middle East by Fred Arnold and Nasra M Shah reprinted

front InternationalMigration Review Sum mer 1984 174 Repeatability of infant deaths in Korea by Chai Bin Park and Alfred C Hexter reprinted

from nhternationaljournal of Epideniolhgy September 1984 175 Comparative analysis of fertility orientations World Fertility Survey findings by Lee-Jay Cho ind Louise Kantrow reprinted from Predicting Fertility DenographicStudies ofBirth Expectations Gerry E I lendershot and Paul J Placek eds Lexington Books DC

I leath and Company Massachusetts 1981 176 Census-derived estimates of fertility by duration since first marriage in the Republicof Korea by Robert 1) Retherlord ee-JaY Cho ard Narn-Il Kim reprinted from Deinogshy

raphy November 481 The value of daughters and sons A comparative study of the gender preferences of parshyents bv Fred Arnold and Eddie CY Kujo reprint_d from fournal of Comparative Fanih Studes Summer 1984

178 Analysing open birth interval distributions by Griffith FeeneY and John A Ross reprintedfrom Population Studies Novembet 1981

17 Population dynamics arid policy in the eoples Republic of China by Lee-jay Choreprinted from The Annals if TheAneirican Acadenii ufoPliticaland Sociai Science Chinain Transitim vol 476 Marvin F Wolfgang ed Sage lublications Beverly Hills Califorshynia 1984

180 Personal networks and the adoption of family planning in rural Korea by Joung ImKim arid Janmes A lihlmore reprinted from Journalov Population and I halth Studies Dshycember 1984

181 Determinants of birth-interval length in the Philippines Malaysia and Indonesia Ahazard-model analysis by James Trussell Linda G Martin Robert Feldman James APalmore Mercedes Concepcion and Datin Noor Laily lBt Dato Abu Bakar reprinted Denograply May 1985

182 Shadow households and competing auspices Migration behavior in the Philippinesby Fe Caces Fred Arnold Jame T Fawcett and Robert W Gardner reprinted fior lourshynal of Development Econonics lanuarv-February 1985 183 Perceptions of the value of children Satisfaction and costs by James 1 Rawcett reprinted

from Detrniinantsof lertiliti in Devehpin Counitries vol 1 Rodolfo A Bulatao and RonaldD Lee eds Acaderic Press Inc 1983 184 Diffusion processes affecting fertility regulation bv Robert I) Retherford and JamesA Palmore reprinted from Determiintsof lirtlityqin Dcvelopiing Countries vol 2 RodolfoA Bulatao and Ronald D Lee eds Academic Press Inc 1983 185 The impact of age at marriage and proportions marrying on fertility by Peter C Smithreprinted from Determinantsof lirtiilit in Develolmkg Countries vol 2 Rodolfo A gulatao

and Ronald D Lee eds Academic Press Inc 1983 186 Migration of women to cities The Asian situation in comparative perspective by Siew-Ean Khoo Peter C Smith and James T Fawcett reprinted from lnternationalMigration

Rtview Special Issue Noten in AlM ratin Winter 1984

187 Measuring the effect of sex preference on fertility The case of Korea by Fred Arnold ieprinted from Dernography May 1985

18 Exploring the normative basis for age at marriage in Thailand An example from focus group research by Anthony Pramualratana Napaporn Havanon and John Knodel reprinted from Journalof Marriageand the Family February 1985

189 The non-economic consequences of Asian labor migration to the Middle East by Nasra M Shah and Fred Arnold reprinted from International Union for the Scientific Study of Population lnternaitonalPopulation Conference Florence 1985 vol 3 1985

190 Parity progression projection by Griffith Feeney reprinted from International Union for the Scientific Study of Population InternationalPopiulation Conference Florence 1985 vol 4 1985

191 A theory of marita fertility transition by Robert D Retherford reprinted from Popula tion Studies July 1985

192 Cultural variations in the transition to marriage in four Asian societies by Paul Cheung Josefina Cabigon Aphichat Chamratrithirong Peter F McDonald Sabila Syed Andrew Cherlin and Peter C Smith reprinted from International Union for the Scientific Study of Population InternationalPopulation Conference Florence 1985 vol 3 1985

193 Decision making and sex selection with biased technologies by Neil GBennett and Andrew Mason reprinted from Sex Selection of Children Neil G Bennett ed Academic Press Inc 1983

194 US farm migration An application of the Harris-Todaro model by Daniel B Suits reprinted from Economic Development and Cultural Chang vol 33 no 4 1985

195 Health of Hlmong in Thailand Risk factors morbidity and mortality in comparison with other ethnic groups by Peter Kunstadter reprinted from Culture Medicine and Psyshychiairy vol 9 no 4 1985

196 Evaluation of contraceptive history data in the Republic of Korea by Anne R Pebley Noreen Goldman and Minja Kim Choe reprinted from Stldies ii Family PlanningJanushyaryFebruary 1986

197 Circulation between home and other places Some propositions by Murray Chapman and R Mansell Prothem and Me go walkabout you too by Murray Chapman reprinted from Circulationin Population Mozement Substance and Concepts fion tie Melnesian Case Murray Chapman and R Maniell Prothero eds Routledge amp Kegan Paul 1985

198 Fijians and Indo-Fijians in Suva Rural-urban movements and linkages by Shashikant Nair reprinted from Circulationin PopulationMovement Substance and Concepts fron the Melanesian Case Murray Chapman and R Mansell Prothero eds Routledge amp Kegan Paul 1985

199 Linkages between internal and international migration The Ilocos Norte experience by Fred Arnold and Ricardo G Abad reprinted from PhilippinePopulationJournalJune 1985

200 An economic analysis of recent fertility in Japan by Naohiro Ogawa and Andrew Mason reprinted from linko Gaku Kenkyu vol 9 May 1986

201 Averting crisis in Asia by Lee-jay Cho reprinted from Bulletin of the Atonic Scientists vol 42 no 4 1986

202 Sex preference fertility and family planning in China by Fred Arnold and Liu Zhao xiang reprinted from lPpulation am Development Review vol 12 no 2 1986

203 The place of child-spacing as a factor in infant mortality A recursive model by Chai Bin Park reprinted from American Journalof Public Health vol 76 no 8 1986

204 Determinants of Korean birth intervals The confrontation of theory and data by Larry L Bumpass Ronald R Rindfuss and James A Palmore reprinted from Po)pulationStudies vol 40 no 3 1986

Page 10: INSTITUTE timing strategies in Pakistan

496 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 number 4 November 1986

groups however already possess cooperative links with each other marriagefunctions to reaffirm these Furthermore both groups have access to informa orabout the woman and are more secure than strangers about her chastity Completely new relationships established by marriage however will fully exploit a daughtersexchange value in the rural setting they will be the most likely to rely on formal culturally stated values Knowledge of a daughters chastity will be less secure insuch marriages and the culturally augmented inferiority of wife-givers in relation towife-receivers will mandate a flow of women possessing positive cultural attributes

HI These issues of property transfer and knowledge of a woman and her familylead us to predict that the youngest ages at marriage will be between previouslyunrelated families followed by biradari marriages Marriages between rishtadari and vartan groups will be the latest and at similar ages on average because of the structural similariy of prperty transfer and faith in a familys standing between these groups

Edctalion The desire for educated women is still ambiguous in the rural setting a little (less than the husbands) confers status on a womans natal home but too much can negatively affect marriage prospects Education enhances a womans value and offsets the decline in desirability that must occur with age

1-12 We expect the often-noted positive association between iuuation ind marriage age but we also expect it even when there is very brief attendance and no grade attainment

Dow v Dowry involves a transfer of property from the wifes natal home to thatof her husbands It serves in part to enhance the symbolic value of a daughter and can also offset her devaluation from biological aging

H3 Dowry will be positively associated with a womans age at marriage

Relatirestatus oJfiwmilies Marrying into a higher status family-hypergamy-isrisky and expensive across all measures f value Dowry payments will be higher for reasons that go beyond their offsetting of a daughters age Hypogamy-marriageinto a family of lower status-on the other hand reverscs the advantage and riskHypogamous marriag s do occur in spite of strong ideological sanctioni againstthem In such cases the husbands flamily is at a strong disadvantage in negotiationssince they are the initiators of the alliance and have much to g in We have two predictions about age at marriage and tle relative status of fanilies then

H4 We expect hypergamous marriages to be associated with the youngest average ages at marriage Hypoganous marriages will be associated with tile latest average ages at marriage

Age (it menaice We have noted that tile risk associated with accepting adaughtcr-in-la increases with duration since menarche in these transactions (cfPaige ind Paige 198 185) This event should be an important initiator of the marriage process

H5 We expect age at menarche to be positively related to marriage age For daughters

497 Social Organization and Marriage Timing Strategies in Pakistan

Wealth flows Transactions move in both directions at marriage and we expectthese to be related to the alliance-producing nature of the institution too Wealth flows toward the wifes natal home indicate this familys advantage in the contract in much the same way that hypogamous marriages give an advantage

1-16We expect flemale ages at marriage to be younger with wealth flows toward the husbands tamily

Entgoiumtzni Finally we expect that engagement before marriage is associated with the need to fornmalize the marriage process itself Among the functions served here are the ratification oftagreemcnts miade between families These should be most necessary with those marria cs contracted between unrelated families since families in some relationship to each other before marriage can afford to he more casLual

1-17 We expect marriage age to have a negative relationship to formal engageshyniCt11

DATA AND MEII()DS

The AsiaXifMarriaic r Itv

This analysis is based on data from the Pakistan round of the A ian MarriageSurvey (AMS) l)ata include a wide rnge of marriage and fertility information with special attention to cull ral variables and individual life history events for married women between the ages of 15 and 45and for asample of their husbands Systematicsamples of households were drawn to represent three socioeconomic settings in the Puljab-a rural sample from a few contiguous villages in Kasur and Sheikhupuradistricts an urban lowCr-class samnplC draIwu from squatter-dominated districts within lahore and an urban middle-class sample drawn from another district of Lahore Each sample is relativclv honogencous with respect to economic backshyground 1ndcurrent Standard of living as well as overall cultural milieu

Important innovations in the ANIS instruments include the breadth of topicscovered Each interview covered itwide range of basic social and economic characteristics in addition to dLtai from each ofthe spouses on parental characterisshytics the process of entry into marriage work and income attitudes toward marriage and divorce andIattitudes and aspirations for children life histories were ohtaincd for timing of events under the headings of eCLucation work marriage childbearingand fanily limitation For Pakistan especially impotant details of dowry paymentsand relationship of spouses were included in addition to information oi attitudes toward purdah and other aspects of Islam in PIakistan [he coMplcted sample for Pakistan contains interviews with 1011women and 588 men

Because this paper is concrncd wit Ii the transactioial strategies of marriage we include only cases for which both wifes and husbands information is available In addition the data contain the event truncation bias that is built into all cross-section samples of ever-married persons (Ryder 1975) Because young ever-married women conic fron cohorts with incomplete marriage experience women in those cohorts who were mici at the younger ages are disproportionately selected The age bywhich 90 percent of recent cohorts will have been married was estimated at 21 and we have excluded women below this age (Smith and Karim 1980) [hus the initial rural sample of 351 respondents becomes 173

Indicators of Marriage Siratgy

Table I pi -sents the distribution of cases for a range of variables Of these indicators fmost direct interest are those that have to do with family influence and

498 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 numbe 4 November 1986

Table I-Selected characteristics of female respondents rural households in Pakistan Asian Marriage Survey

Percent in Percent inVariable category Variable category

Fathers occupaticnb Zamindar Agricultural laborer Unskilled laborer Skilled laborer White collar worker

Womans education Literate

Never attended school Attended 0 attainment 1-8 grades 9-12 grades 13 or more grades

Womans occupational status before marriage

No work Family work Wage w rk

Current household has electricity

Age at menarche lt13 13

gt13

Engagement status Not engaged Engaged

Participation in choice of spouse by woman

No participation Some participation

(172) 517 250 105 58 70

(173) 100

434 451 93 23 00

(173) 58

509 434

559

(173) 393 329 277

(171) 433 567

(173) 1000 00

Frequency cf meeting with spouse before marriage (169)

Never or once 544 Infrequently or often 456

Relationship between families before marriage (170)

No relationship 294 Vartan 176 Rishtadari 341 Biradari 188

Type of dowry (173) Nonehousehold goods 353 Cashluxuries 647

Value of payments to husbands family (172)

0-499 rupees 163 500-9T9 rupees 151 1000-1999 rupees 221 2000-3999 rupees 209 4000-5999 rupees 99 6000-10000 rupees 105 10000 or more rupees 52

Wealth flows at marriage (172) To wifes fanily 174 Balanced 291 To husbands family 535

Marriage type by relative land status of families (173) Hypogamous union 116 Landless homogamy 220 Landed homogamy 509 Iypergamous union 156

Note Figures in parentheses are number of case-- available for given variable

a The original sample includes 351 women Interviews with husband were available for 198 of these women among the 198 25 were under age 21 and have therefore been excluded

b At time of womans birth

strategic behavior in marriage Additional variables that we include are education and fathers occupation itsindicators of class backgiound and achievement We will not comment extensively on these except to note first the striking agrariancharacter of the rural stratum Second we wish 1o point out an unusual feature of education for women A substantial number of women enter school but never complete a single grade (full year) of instruction Further earlier analysis (Cherlin etal 1985b) revealed that these women marry significantly later than those who have

499 Social Organization and Marriage Timing Strategies in Pakistan

never attended school alall The extent to which this is a phenomenon restricted to women is revealed by comparison of distributions for husbands and wives In nostratum is there a comparable percentage of men who have atiended school wiihotrtattainir-g a grade Our inclination is to interpret this in terms of the exchange value of women which we will discuss in a later section

Iinally we note the distribution of type of work before manage for womenWomen reporting 1io work at all appear to be from wealthier households with theability to afford ortholoXy We expect those women most restricted by purdah to bein this group Family work is defined as work within the household enterprisewhether farm trade or stnall-commodity production and wage work impliespayment from an enterprise other than the fatnilys It is important to realize thatthese wages are invariably turned over to the household head The distributions for frequenCV of meetings between spouses before marriage andchoice of spouse are given in table I only to show tileextent to which women lackcontrol in their marital decisions No wonman in the rural amtple reported any degreeof choice in her sousC other than the ratification of parental choice in tilenikah ceremony The extent of meetings between spouses beiore marriage on the otherhand most likely reflects meetings between couples before puberty and the need forpurdah A strong correlation between kinship and more frequent meetings suggests

this

Var6h1es

Taking each variable separately we discuss their construction and the rationalefor inclusion here

AK (itneM11rht This variable is coded from a straightforward question askingage at first menses It is possible that the importance of menarche in this settingencouiraged misitatement of actual ages (Paige and Paige 198179-82) Neverthelesswe retain the variable in the analysis because of its centrality in outr discussionRelationrship hetween aimilies heone marriag ()ur earlier discussion of thedegrees of relatedness within which marriaie may occur in Pakistan leads us todistinguish four categories For the rural stratin Three questions on the schedule

(124A-l124) are the isis for the coding Was your spouse related to you beforemarriage Were you r and his families friends or neighbors before marriage [lowwere you related We define as marrying within ile biradarioi tnlythose respondentswho explicitly identified their relationship with their spouse itsbeing throughpatrilineal kin Other degrees of relationship are defined as rishtdari usingassumpons based on the di sinclination to reverse wealth flows from generation togeneration and other Punjabi cultural values tcf Parrv 1979 Eglar 1960 Das 1973)

ltigVdit(fltI We incindC a vatriable for engagemeit before marriaue as anindicator of marriage fOrmality Th is is taken directly from a quest ion concerningwhether tlhc respondent was formally engaged

ivpe ofdorvrv This indicator measure the extent to which dowvrv was intendedto provide for the new household rather than attract a husband Traditional dowriestended to be conlined to household goods f0r the sc of the nc couple Recent years have seen the inflation of dowry to include money and cash goods throughoutSouth Asia othe abscnce of these is soirmething of ati indictlor of sociocconionlicstatus in modern marriages We include it here with the expectation that tile type ofdowry will also be related to tile arebargaining process (ash and luxury dowriesexpected to bea feature of hypergamous marriages

I ahle oflaynent to htushandr flmintv [his indlicator is codCd froni I directquestion to male respondents Though we might dotbt the accuracy of such

500 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 number 4 November 1986

responses in some contexts these payments are reported by ethnographers to be a source of some pride in Muslim marriages indeed a part of the wedding ceremony involves the declaration of gifts to the husbands family and the nature and value of items are recorded in a book as they are called out Thus we expect these responses to be very close to their true values and important indicators of marital transactions between families

tIaniogany We have constructed in indicator designed to roughly measure the relative homegamy of marriages by using land as an indicator of status We expectthis to be a good measure for rural households in which the agrarian economy makes land a critical productive resource Nevertheless we must stress that it is an imperfect measure of homogamy in spite of lands importance since we have no measure of relative amounts owned Hypergamous marriages are defined as those in which a landless womans family has made a marital link with a landed family whereas hypogamous marriages represent the opposite case In our initial analysis tand in table I) we broke marriages dok n into subgroups of landed and landless but these are combined in the analysis presented here since there was no difference between them

Wealth flows tt marriage This indicator is directly constructed from questionsabout the value of marital transactions in both directions In the analysis below we combine thoe categories in which wealth flows were either toward the wonins nata home or balanced since the Punjabi culural ideal is that flows should be tcward the husbands home IBut note evidence from elsewhere in South Asia of change in the direction of wealth flows (IIdcnbaum 1981 Caldwell Reddy and Caldwell 1982 1983 Crplan 1984))

Method o AnalYsis

We employ least squares regression to estimate the coelficients associated with variables taken as predictors of wives ages lt marriage The set of variables just discussed-the marriage-process variables-are distinguisoed from a set of backshyground or control variables All variables are ncasured as catcgories and are entered into the equations as dummy variables although a multiple classification analysisforinat has been used to present the result in tables 2 and 37 We present one unadjusted and two adjusied mean ages at marriage for each category in these tables The unadjusted column represents the effect of each indicator when its et of dummy varitbles is entered into the cquation by itself The first column of adjusted means reflects the effects when age at marriage is rcgrescd on the set of variables specified in the given table by themselves Adjusted means in the second colunn indicate the effec of each set of dunmmy variables entered along with all control and other

R2marriage-process variables The for each set of measures is the variance explained by that group of dummy variables above For the adjusted neans the incremental R-2s presented represent the additional variance explained by each set of dummy variables after all others have been entered into the equation for that column We ha- indicatcd significance levels up to the 010 level because the small sample tends to reduce significance levels even when the coefficients are quite large in absolute terms In fact nearly all variables shown to be significant at the 0 10 level are very close to the 0)0(6 level of significance

RESITl I S

Table 2 presents the results of our regression for those background variables not directly tested here In general we find that those that are significant by themselves retain their significance even after other variables are entered We can see from this

501 Soial Organization and Marriage Timing Strategies in Pakistan

Table 2-Mean age at marriage hy background variables unadjusted and adjusted

Mean age atmarriage Number 0Variable Unadjusteda Adjusted Adjustdc of cases

Cohortd lt30 173 171 171 84 30-34 176 177 173 20 35-39 166 167 165 31 40-45

(Increment in R2 ) 173 (010)

176 (010)

179 (020)

30

Class backgrounde Farmer 172 172 172 88 Agricultural laboLer 164 167 167 3e Blue collarprofessional 180 177 177 39 (Increment in R2) (034) (012) (012)

Womans education No schooling 161 163 164 72 Attended 0 attairment 177 173 175 74 1-12 years completed (Increment in R2)

193 (124)

191 (090-)

185 (045 )

19

Womans occupational status before marriage

Family work or no work 177 176 176 92 Wage work 165 167 165 73

(Increment in R2) (041) (021) (038)

r(ran1 mean 172 Total cases 165

R2 for all background variables 171

R2 controlling for marriage process variables 124

a Zero-order mean b Controlling for other background variables c Controlling for other background variables and all family process

variables d Age at survey date e Fathers occupation at time of womans birth

significant at the 01 level significant at the 05 level significant at the 10 level

tabulation that there are no cohort trends in marriage age in our sample of women and that class background appears to make little difference in marriage timing once controls are included in the equation The moc-t interesting pattern in educational effects on marriage age is with that group of women who have attended school hut never finished a grade These women marry a full year later t ian those who have never attended even after controls are entered We also note iatwomen who work for wages before marriage marry a year younger on ihe averae than those who work for their families The latter two results are not predicted by the standard theories of marriage Nevertheless the overall results presented in table 2 support the imporshy

502 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 number 4 N3vember 1986 tance of education and occupation as components of the complete explanation ofmarriage timing The background vaiables by themselves account for 17 percent ofthe variation in marriage age and continue to account for over 12 percent of thatvariation even after adjustment for marriage-process variables

Turning to table 3 we can more precisely see the contribution of our marriageshyprocess variables to the egt plaration Looking at the zero-order relationships firstwe see that three of these-the relationship between families before marriage valueof dowry and marital homogamy-make large and statistically significant contribushytions to marital timing At this level we find good support for our hypothesesconcerning the effects of each of these variables on marriage age Thus the earlymarriers categorized by relationships are those whose marriages are contractedwith strangers followed by those married within the patriline The latest marriers arethose who marry nonpatrilincally related kin or into vart ri groups We also find thatvalue of payments to hubarids family is positively associated with marriage ageOur hypothesis concerning marital homogamy and marriage agc receives moremixed support Wonen in hypogamous union are the latest marricrs as predictedbut not as expected hypergamously married women not the eariiest marriagesare

Other hypotheses receive no support at this level Age at menarche appears tohave a weak positive relationship wivh age at marriage but the result is notsignificant and the Rshyincrement is quite small Nor does engagement status dowrytype or direction of wealth flows make any significant difference to marriage ageWhen we enter controls for other marriage-process variables (cf first adjustedmean) wealth qows ichieve significance in reiation to marriage age and in thepredicted direction but no other variable shifts toward significance in this way

The absence of a positive relationship between age at nenarche and marriagetiming is notable since a significant relationshIip has been reported ini a wide varietyof social settings (Udry and Cliquet 1982) One possible explanation is attenuationdue to misstatement of actual ages at first menses We have already cited Paige andPaige 11981) in this connection and the age pattern of menses ages in our data suggests some convergence of responses on normative ages Yet other relationishipsin our data arc consistent with accurately reported ages at menarche For examplecross-tabulalions of age at first menses and whether a woman was formally engagedbefore narriage show that lower ages at menarche are associated with the absence ofengagement This is n expected relationship our hypotheses predict a speeding up(f the marriage process lic menarche is relatively early one way to achieve this isthrough the deletion of certain elements in the process Further indication ofaccurately reportedi ages at menarhe appears when we consider the relationshipbetween age at first menses and age at marriage separately for landed and landlesshouseholds Within the landless group there is no relationship Among landedhouseholds on the other hand there is a consistent rise in the age at marriage with age at menarche-from 169 for those who experience mcenarche before age 13 to182 for those who experience menarche after age 13 This is as predicied sincelanded households are the most likely to contract marriages with unrelated familiesin which the element of risk and concern about chastity weigh the heaviest

In general the marriage-process variables retain iheir effects when controls areentered although there is a slight weakening in the levels of significance Given arelatively small sample size our results provide heartening support for a theory ofmarriage that includes social-structural and transactional elements The full regresshysion results (not shown here) show thai all of these variables together account for over 27 percent of the variance in marriage timing in the rural sample Our analysisshows that both the standard background or control variables a-d the more

503 Social Organization and Marriage Timing Strategies in Pakistan

Table 3-Mean age at marriage by marriage process variables unadjusted and adjusted

Mean age at marriage NumberdegVariable Unadjusteda Adjusted Adjusted of cases

Relationship between families before marriageNo relationship 163 162 165 49Biradari 169 171 169 32 HishtadariVartan

2178 178 177 84

(Increment in R ) (046) (049) (026)

Age at menarche lt13 169 171 170 65 13 173 172 174 57

gt13 174 172 172 43 (Increment in R2 ) (004) (000) (003)

Engagement status Not engaged 172 174 172 70Engaged

2172 171 171 95

(Increment in R ) (000) (002) (000)

Type of dowryNoneHousehold goods 170 173 173 56 CashLuxuries 173 171

2 171 109 (Increment in R ) (001) (001) (002)

Value of payments to husbands family

0-499 rupees 161 155 159 26 500-999 rupees 167 165 166 25 1000 or more rupees 175 177 176 1142(Increment in R ) (036) (052) (026)

Marriage typeHypergamoua union 173 171 174 27 Isogamous uniond 169 169 168 121Hypogamous union 189 194 192 172(Increment in R ) (042) (060) (046)

Wealth flows at marriage BalancedTowards wifes

family 171 178 178 76 Toward husbands family 173 167 -67 892(IncremenL in R ) (001) (021) (022)

Grand mean 172 Total cases 165

R2 for all marriage process variables 147

R2 controlling for background variables 101

a Zero-order mean b Controlling for other marriage process variables c Controlling for other marriage process variables and all background

variables d Between two landed or between two landless families

oignificant at 01 significant at the 05 level

s the level

significant at the 10 level

504 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 number 4 November 1986

structural and cultural variables account for their own parts of this variance Thus background variables explain a unique 12 percent of the variance and the marriageshyprocess variables explain an additional 10 percent The remaining 52 percent is explained jointly by the two sets of variables

Our analysis supports most of our hypotheses and on balance reinforces the perspective from which they are derived Regarding I-1-that marriage between unrelated groups will result in the youngest and marriage between rishtadari and vartan groups the latest ages at marriage-we have complete support More than a year separates the oldest and youngest groups even after all controls are entered

Our second hypothesis-that education will be positively associated with marshyriage-is also supported We have included this variable with the other backgroundfactors because superficially this relationship is hardly surprising Nevertheless the significant increase of a year in marriage age that occurs even when a grade of school isnot completed suggests an unconventional interpretation of the importanceof education in this setting Thus education must have its effects because of the symbolic value it has fbr the wife-receivers in the arriage transaction rather than because of it impact on the wonman herself

H3 concerning the positive relationship between dowry vaIC and age at marriage is supported here with more than a year and ihalf separating earliest and latest marrying groups This is true even with controls for class background and the inflation of dowry values that we might expect to be associated with class background

Our fourth hypothesis concerning the relationship between lionioganiv and marriage age receives only mixed support Hypogamously marrying women are the latest marriers by nearly two years That hypergrrmous marricrs are not the yonngest may be because using lnded status results in an imperfect measure

Finally H6-that marriage age will be negatively associated with wealth flows to the husbands family-is supported only after controls for other marriage-processvariables are included The meaning of this pattern is uncleCar and may be a function of an association between dowry value and wealth flow not yet investigated

Our hypothesis concerning engagement and menarche has not Found support in this analysis We have already mentioned possible problems with the menarchevariable Our phrasing of the engagement hypothesis issuch that a zero-order effect should have been evident and disappearet when the control for relationship between families is entered That no zero-order effect was evident suggests that our association of engagement with socially riskier marriages is wrong Rather engageshyment may be considered a component of all marriages its association with later menarche alluded to earlier suggests that elements of the marriage process may be altered in response to unpredictable events

DISCUSSION

Our perspective couched in ethnographic knowledge of Punjabi social organizashytion and the culturally determined roles of women receives strong support from this analysis This is not to argue that the more standard development indicators are unimportant in explanations of marriage timing Rather we have demonstrated that a more complete understanding will be gained by considering the ranges of behavior permitted and forbidden in particular cultural settings

The results further encourage such comparative analyses by cautioning againsttaking pretransition settings to be without individual-level variation in behavior To say that a society is organized patrilineally or that inheritance is partible is not enough Even in Pakistani Punjab where the constraints of ideology on behavior

505 Social Organization and Marriage Timing Strategies in Pakistan

may be thought of as especially powerful we have shown that there is room for flexible responses that have their impact on marriage timing

We have used the rural Punjab case to present a model in which the alliance function of marriage is very important We suggest that the underlying componentsof such a society include its agrarian orientation and its unilineal kinship organizashytion It is possible that the model we have begun to develop here will find useful application in other partrilineal rural settings in the rest of South Asia and elseshywhere

Finally a note on social change We consciously directed our attention to a pretransition setting to highlight the need to consider the cultural and social milieu from which populations move as they undergo transition Interpretations of the transition in marriage behavior and its consequences for fertility begin to go astraywhen they focus unduly on individuals while ignoring issues of social structure and social control Education is not always related to the autonomy of women Caldwells finding that women in South India may be educated by their parents toenhance their marriageability (Caldwell Reddy and Caldwell 1982) finds parallels in our Punjabi analysis Similarly there is strong support here for a perspective that looks at marriage within the whole context of productive relationships

This has implications for the way we conceive of the interaction between valuesand institutions in social change Education of women for example although an innovative institutional feature within the rural setting seems to have unexpectedeffects on marriage timing that can be adequately explained only with reference to an extant value system or cultural milieu The extent to which this system retains its hold on the rural Punjab is evident from the strength of the marriage-processvariables in our analysis All of the hypotheses concerning their effects assume traditional values for the area Similarly the association of wage work with younger ages at marriage makes sense when we consider the risks to a daughtersmarriageability that come from exposure to extra-domestic influences Rather than suggesting some sort of cultural stasis however we argue that change will occur Our point is that the effects of these institutional components of transition will not be uniform across cultural settings Innovations will have their initial effects on behavior in ways that are corsistent with existing cultural values and these effects may be surprising

There is a clear call here for the inclusion of indicators for these effects in social surveys We have been able to explore these issues only because the AMS was designed to evoke culture-specific features of the marriage process Such data are rare however and in any case the social survey alone should not be expected to provide detailed models that allow us to make cultural sense of these processes (cfCaldwell Reddy and Caldwell 1984) We have also been fortunate in being able to use ethnographic sources in developing our interpretation although our sources for ethnographic and survey data are often separated by approximately two decades and none of the ethnographies describes the same villages in which the survey was conducted As a closing comment that cannot be fully elaborated here we suggestthe need to develop methodologies that combine survey and ethnographic data collection in formal and complementary ways

NOTES Sahlins calls this type of economy the domestic mode of production (1972) Among its characterisshy

tics are that it is an economy of production for use---ne penetrated with such noneconomic claims as ritual ceremonial and social diversion and one organized around donestic groups usually the family

2 Important examinations of the alliance theme appear in Dumont (1993) Parry (1979) and Yalman (1971) and its central importance in Muslim areas is documented in Eglar (1960) and Naveed-i-Rahat

506 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 number 4 November 1986 (1981) The nature of status and hierarchy as a cross-cutting feature of social organization and marriagemay be examined in Fruzzetti and Oster (1982) I Ahmad (1978) Korson (1971) and S Ahmad (1977)See Ortner (1981) for another treatment of wonlens stalus in hierarchic il settings Finally iherelationship between wealth flows marriage and hierarchy is treated in Tantbiah ( 1973ab) Caplan(194) and Gough (1956) in addition it) the above sources

Important differences in the definition of biradari sugges that -glar may have overslated the degree towhich patriline and biradari identify the same group For the Raiputs in Kangra biradari refers to group of clans within which marriages may be contracted in equalitI lParr the

19794) and AhIttad ( 19741571suggested that the biradari is a wider group than the ittediate patriline in Pakistan as well In any casethe breadth of the group to tich hiradari can appl seetis to be soitewhat dependent on context I Eglar196076) and we will restrict its meaning in this paper to palriline Also see lrtlzetti 1192115-116) for a parallel Bengali level of social i)rganization I Hypergamy refers to marriages it hich wives marr into higher statu families (otmpare wihhomogamy for marriages bet een faiimilies of equal statiu and lvpogaltv ill thich kotneninar intolower status families

Korson (1979150-151) in contrast reports a pattern for urban Pakistat il Mich these saneexchange marriages are desirable unions SirnilLrlv tlershinim (1981193) ieports that the Sikhs andHindus in the part of Indian lunjab where lie orkeitegarded such niarriage as quintesential] MusliitThe apparent explanation is the etent to lich nton-Ashraf groups those descended trout Hinduconverts relain the ideology of their aincesors ]vidence here suggests that in rural areas the extent is great

These data constitute a rich bodv ofrve rtatet il gatlicied in ile lutntab in 1979 by Sabiha If SvedIWomens Division Cabinet Secretariat (itivernment of Pakistan) (tordination of ilte project usasprovided by Peter C Smith (Iast-Wesl Populatiot Instittlel Similar tres erc conducted atl iboutthe same time in Indonesia thte Philippines and lhailand lhe tespective investigalors were Peter FMcDonald (Ausi-alian National ltiversitv Mercedes II CoitcepcionI tniversit ofthe Philippines) andAphichat Chamratrilhirong (Mahidol I niyersjtvi

See Suit 119571 and Andre s Morgan and Sonuist 119167 t- lie iustiication and method ofconversion from regression to intuliple clissilicatil uanalvsis otellicietlts The standard deviation is 1014ears cottnpaied tth 153 to as gtat as 2ol it the other three AMS

Countries For example the patlentci iiitrgeiterait l shilts i fitnik relatlonhips in llivrln slitius s tantalizing

contextual sintilarities to South Asiln societies Icf lIhor t1i11( hlng nd Still 1984)

A(K NI()VI)(F NTS The Asian Marriage Survey for Pakistat was carried out under US Agency forInternational Developmenl Grant DI)PSE-6-()048 The present research was conductshyed with supporl from the National Science Foundation (SES-8319904) Earlierversions of this paper were presented at tile East-West Population Institute

Wednesday Seminar and to a seminar at the Institute of Pakistan Studies Quaid-i-Azam University Islamahad We wish to thank the facitlt and students of Quaid-i-Azam University for their helpful Colllntls during the setninar In particularProfessor Dar Director of the Institule of Pakistan SIudics oflered especially usefulcriticisms We also acknowledge the comments of Furqan Ahmlad John BauerAndrew Cherlin Deborah Freedman Doris Nayyar and Arland Thornton onvarious earlier drafts while absolving all of them of any errors in our interpretationand analysis

R F - RFN( ES Ahiad 1 1978 Fndoganiy ird siaUs mohilit antong Siuldiqui lteikhs tl Allahlhad Itar radeslh Pp171-211 in I Ahinad (ct (t t t ui t fl otltili loi ot fiesthti iii In ha 2nd edt New

Delhi Manohar Ahnuad S 1974 A village in Palkistani Ilani ah jalpal 11p131-1 72in C Malones led) South siaSerei (ommunttv Prefii Nes Yuik tloll Rinehart and Winston

1977 (Clo anl en rt in I i uniai Villae Nesy York Monthil Revie s PressAndrews F M J N Morgan and J A Stiquist 197 Mulliph (latilit aion Attalvsi Ann ArborMich Institute for Soicial Researci

Social Organization and Marriage Timing Strategies in Pakistan 507 BIloch NI 1973 The long term and the Nhor tern The economic and politicil signiticance of the morality

of kinship P1p75-87 in J (oody led) Ihe (hvlero Kinihip (anthridge Cambridge Univerit Press

Cain 1198 1 Risk and insurance Perspectives on tertilith and agrarian change in India and Ilangladesh 11opidation ad A 7435-474I)e eloliintReiuit

1982 Perspectives on family aind ferfilil indeveloping countnres )opuhtlion Stuldie 36159-175Cain M S R Khanutin and S N ahar 1979 (lass paiiriarchv and wtomens ork in Iangladesh

PopulhtionOtand Itl-riivt Reti- 5415-438 Caidwell J C 1982 1ttry ot Iertiitv lI line Nesk York Acaderni (iesCaldell 1 C P1II Redd and 1(aldell 1982 The cause of dernographic change in rural South

India A tilcro-approach Iopuhltitonitn I)o velopment Rviit- 8689-727 - 1983 The ctuse of larliage change in South India Iopiliation Stidiv37343-3(1 - 1984 The micro-approach in delographic investligation lovird a methodology Paper presented

at IUSSP Micro-l)emographN Working Group Conference Australian Naiotil UniversityCaplitn I 1984 Itldegloiin price it turhan India (lass CaSte and do rv evil amiong Christians ir

Miatdra Man 19210-233 Carleton R () 1975 Educattion and fertiltis (p 115-166 sit IV V Mtihmi ledIi ldination anid

Iuoptutn Ahloitl IlilI t ielgillill IUSSI (herlin A J P C S1ttln I ricke I I)omiingo Adioetonio A (hliiiittrlhirong atnd S II Sed

I985a tfttll inltience iln the (tilting ti imirriage IFiletcc ll)tt Itlil Atin Nocleties (1Ipcr preeiltedilt lrkshop (htigiig MNIiriiage 1t1 lie Itil iii Asia Sila I hiallild Feb 21-24

- -1985h Etlicition ind age titmarriage |-itdence (ront Itcir Asinll ocleIe Papel presented lt torkslht Chanlging Mlartiage and tihe Fanil in Asia Silta Il tild Feb 21-24Cochrane S 1 19710 Iitttft and I~dtaitiol Mihat A) tii Rctilx A m Ittnloic Ill John IHopkins I rniverit Prcss

l)as 1973 Ifie strictiure oll timtanae preferences kii ilttouli (lit kistit fictilcti l1(1n8311-45 Du ont I 198 Ilierrch and marriage allitnce in Soulh lndimii kinslip tt iginllll published 1957)

Pp 18- ((4 in L I)tinot fetl) Alitv it a Value lrrtAtct- lilh cIllnSoti India With Coiptlirtllt i s1111 oit lrtit (Chicagio inilersit of Chica eol ess)Non I_ and Ntllre 1983 (In kinship Ntrlictlre fcnilile t lmld denographic behavior inthonliihIthaI 1qttaw anid Ikitl lopit~tnt Rtivt 9)1-00l

Lglr Z 19610A Piniali Iill in tAiti Ne )ioik (oltinibit niersit PressF-ores 11958 Introdtuction Ip 1-14 it J (iootl led I IH+ithI lop etal( irhi Plottiesih Groupsl Cambridge UK (Caubridge Liiciy r IcS

louster B 1978 I)(Inlestlc deveopIientiIl ccles is a link letsen ptoplaitilon plioces es and olher social processes Joturnall I ltleult It 14411-44 I0lnlthrol Rckea1tl

|os R 1967 Kiittitip lt(I l littwtt -h alrl UK PenguinAittthrohe11 1 IIttnlondirth

PressFrutietm IL 11982 Iif (|It oit ti t tireint lioic IhlttlQ1 and itu~al tit it Bit+eah S wit Ne

l iti-ick NJ R tgers lI r isti PicrNe lHtietti I_ d A (ster t1982 11dblood Ill CIngA (teglor and illcct Il the tdlI of kinship

caste and unliitig- I1p I-s5 ii A (slet L Friwulett intl S 1litt1te10 ds) (npt11 0 lrtinKtill tlp ( -ivt wild Altnrl~ e ill bidhw (itnlih idge l~t ut i~d tUniiecsil Ilrt

Giotugh K 19 HItlhntin kinship ill a itnlil village At l lilt lthqohwit SS 26-851 Ilerhnmn P 1981 IotitiiotKi(htl andl fIitnitc)elhi Iindilslatn ItibhhingKeeing R 1975 KiN (roup io1 itl ttt+tt- Net York ll1 Riniehrl ind Wilton Korson I If Fid in il1971 ldgilltotis ntirrige ti idtitit Mutslimn olct est (kisaltri ll141r114101Ciparative tivhStudieN 213 I145-15i - --- 179 ModeltliualtI iiJ sicial chang-T ihe latitil n Ilktiliti Pp Iitl)0-20 7 it NI Singh I)a and

1) 1) tardi+ teds) Dii I-aitiAv ill l ti I|ondon Allen miid ittLesthiteghe R 1980 ()rl the social control of hunlmin ieproduclto Poidau~tio-iand A-lophiticniRevielt 6527- 548

ii+lenhitn (1) l r (ichalgiI alilA Ilanlnmt 12(l 109II4-401

9 itpicitiins illlen g Illltge nlItiSt nn111InIIIangJduesthlt dii itt

Mits n K () 1484 Thc sdltlus k+o111cent1 ilorit ofilf fertlmhl atnd A it~ik inlte ktjn hips Universit of Michigaipulation Studies (Centel Resetich Report 84-58

NIeNicoll i 1980 Instltiuional determinants II lertilits chang olation hld iloptlnliit Reviit 6441-462

Naveed-i-Ribal 1981 (he role of wonen in reciprocal relation hlip titi Iinlhab village Ip 47-81 in T SEpstein and R A Walli leds )7 Inhi Iay ot Calt Matlraltit Rtiral Wottnnlmli New York Perganon Prcss

Ortner S B 1981 (lender and semiality in hierarchical societie The cae of Polynesia and some

508 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 number 4 November 1986

comparative implications Pp 359-409 in S 13Ortner and H Whitehead (eds) Sexual Meanings The Cultural Construction of Gender and Sesuality Cambridge UK Cambridge University Press

Paige K E and J M Paige 1981 The Politics of Reproductive Ritual Berkeley University of California Press

Papanek H 1984 False specialization and the purdah of scholarship-A review article Journal ofAsian Studies 44127-148

Parry J P 1979 Caste and Kinship in Kangra London Routledge and Kegan Paul Ryder N 131975 Fertility measurement through cross-sectional surveys Social Forcei 547-35

1983 Fertility and family structure Population Bulletin olfthe United Nations 1515-34 Sahlins M 1972 Stone Age Econoinici New York Aldine Slocum W L J Akhtar and A FSahi 1959 Villaie Libf+ in lahome District Lahore University of the

Punjab Social Science Research Centre Smith P C 1980 Asian marriage patterns in tt insition Journal ufl aind 1Iistory 556-96

1983 The impact of age at marriage and proportions marrying on fertility Pp 473-531 in R Bulatao and R Iee (eds) termniinantv Academicof Ferility in 1) veloping Countries New York Press

Smith P C and M 1 Karim 1980 Urbanization education and marriage patterns Four cases from Asia No 71 in Paprs of Ih a t- PopIda Ihnoulti Hi East-West PopulationPpultion Institute Institute

Suits DB 1957 Use of dttiunlut variables in regression equations Journal tit the Anerican Statitical Asociation 52548-551

Tambiah S J 1973a Dowry aud bridewealth and the property rights of women in South Asia Pp 51)-1(9in JGoody and SJTarnhiah (eds) Bridei cilthand I)m rvCambridge UK Cambridge University Press

1973b From arna to caste through mixed unions lp 191-229 in JGoody edlI 1he Character ofKinhip Cat ibridge UK Cambridge University Press

Tandon P 1968 Punjahi (Centurv1857-1947 Berkeley niversuty of California Press Thadani V 1978 The logic of sentiment The fansily and social change opulation and )evelopment

Review 4457-499 Thornton A M C Chang and T-H Stin 1984 Social and ecootrtuic change intrgeneratlonal

relationships and family formation in laisman 1)cinoyraphv 21475-499 Udry JR and R L Cliquet 1982 A criiss-cultural esamination of the relationship between ages at

menarche marriage and first birth Dmnnographv 1953-63 Vreede-de Stuers C 1968 Parda A Stidv of luslji )loonenlife illNoritiern India New York

Humanities Press Yalman N 1971 Under the Bo Tree Studies inCaie Kinship and Marriage in the Interior ofCeyhi

Berkeley University of California Press

177

RECENT AVAILABLE REPRINTS OF THE EAST-WEST POPULATION INSTITUTE No 172 Conclusion by Lee-Jay Cho reprinted from The IndustrialFutureof the fIzcific Basin RogerBenjamin and Robert T Kudrle eds Westview Press Colorado 1984 173 Asian Labor Migration to the Middle East by Fred Arnold and Nasra M Shah reprinted

front InternationalMigration Review Sum mer 1984 174 Repeatability of infant deaths in Korea by Chai Bin Park and Alfred C Hexter reprinted

from nhternationaljournal of Epideniolhgy September 1984 175 Comparative analysis of fertility orientations World Fertility Survey findings by Lee-Jay Cho ind Louise Kantrow reprinted from Predicting Fertility DenographicStudies ofBirth Expectations Gerry E I lendershot and Paul J Placek eds Lexington Books DC

I leath and Company Massachusetts 1981 176 Census-derived estimates of fertility by duration since first marriage in the Republicof Korea by Robert 1) Retherlord ee-JaY Cho ard Narn-Il Kim reprinted from Deinogshy

raphy November 481 The value of daughters and sons A comparative study of the gender preferences of parshyents bv Fred Arnold and Eddie CY Kujo reprint_d from fournal of Comparative Fanih Studes Summer 1984

178 Analysing open birth interval distributions by Griffith FeeneY and John A Ross reprintedfrom Population Studies Novembet 1981

17 Population dynamics arid policy in the eoples Republic of China by Lee-jay Choreprinted from The Annals if TheAneirican Acadenii ufoPliticaland Sociai Science Chinain Transitim vol 476 Marvin F Wolfgang ed Sage lublications Beverly Hills Califorshynia 1984

180 Personal networks and the adoption of family planning in rural Korea by Joung ImKim arid Janmes A lihlmore reprinted from Journalov Population and I halth Studies Dshycember 1984

181 Determinants of birth-interval length in the Philippines Malaysia and Indonesia Ahazard-model analysis by James Trussell Linda G Martin Robert Feldman James APalmore Mercedes Concepcion and Datin Noor Laily lBt Dato Abu Bakar reprinted Denograply May 1985

182 Shadow households and competing auspices Migration behavior in the Philippinesby Fe Caces Fred Arnold Jame T Fawcett and Robert W Gardner reprinted fior lourshynal of Development Econonics lanuarv-February 1985 183 Perceptions of the value of children Satisfaction and costs by James 1 Rawcett reprinted

from Detrniinantsof lertiliti in Devehpin Counitries vol 1 Rodolfo A Bulatao and RonaldD Lee eds Acaderic Press Inc 1983 184 Diffusion processes affecting fertility regulation bv Robert I) Retherford and JamesA Palmore reprinted from Determiintsof lirtlityqin Dcvelopiing Countries vol 2 RodolfoA Bulatao and Ronald D Lee eds Academic Press Inc 1983 185 The impact of age at marriage and proportions marrying on fertility by Peter C Smithreprinted from Determinantsof lirtiilit in Develolmkg Countries vol 2 Rodolfo A gulatao

and Ronald D Lee eds Academic Press Inc 1983 186 Migration of women to cities The Asian situation in comparative perspective by Siew-Ean Khoo Peter C Smith and James T Fawcett reprinted from lnternationalMigration

Rtview Special Issue Noten in AlM ratin Winter 1984

187 Measuring the effect of sex preference on fertility The case of Korea by Fred Arnold ieprinted from Dernography May 1985

18 Exploring the normative basis for age at marriage in Thailand An example from focus group research by Anthony Pramualratana Napaporn Havanon and John Knodel reprinted from Journalof Marriageand the Family February 1985

189 The non-economic consequences of Asian labor migration to the Middle East by Nasra M Shah and Fred Arnold reprinted from International Union for the Scientific Study of Population lnternaitonalPopulation Conference Florence 1985 vol 3 1985

190 Parity progression projection by Griffith Feeney reprinted from International Union for the Scientific Study of Population InternationalPopiulation Conference Florence 1985 vol 4 1985

191 A theory of marita fertility transition by Robert D Retherford reprinted from Popula tion Studies July 1985

192 Cultural variations in the transition to marriage in four Asian societies by Paul Cheung Josefina Cabigon Aphichat Chamratrithirong Peter F McDonald Sabila Syed Andrew Cherlin and Peter C Smith reprinted from International Union for the Scientific Study of Population InternationalPopulation Conference Florence 1985 vol 3 1985

193 Decision making and sex selection with biased technologies by Neil GBennett and Andrew Mason reprinted from Sex Selection of Children Neil G Bennett ed Academic Press Inc 1983

194 US farm migration An application of the Harris-Todaro model by Daniel B Suits reprinted from Economic Development and Cultural Chang vol 33 no 4 1985

195 Health of Hlmong in Thailand Risk factors morbidity and mortality in comparison with other ethnic groups by Peter Kunstadter reprinted from Culture Medicine and Psyshychiairy vol 9 no 4 1985

196 Evaluation of contraceptive history data in the Republic of Korea by Anne R Pebley Noreen Goldman and Minja Kim Choe reprinted from Stldies ii Family PlanningJanushyaryFebruary 1986

197 Circulation between home and other places Some propositions by Murray Chapman and R Mansell Prothem and Me go walkabout you too by Murray Chapman reprinted from Circulationin Population Mozement Substance and Concepts fion tie Melnesian Case Murray Chapman and R Maniell Prothero eds Routledge amp Kegan Paul 1985

198 Fijians and Indo-Fijians in Suva Rural-urban movements and linkages by Shashikant Nair reprinted from Circulationin PopulationMovement Substance and Concepts fron the Melanesian Case Murray Chapman and R Mansell Prothero eds Routledge amp Kegan Paul 1985

199 Linkages between internal and international migration The Ilocos Norte experience by Fred Arnold and Ricardo G Abad reprinted from PhilippinePopulationJournalJune 1985

200 An economic analysis of recent fertility in Japan by Naohiro Ogawa and Andrew Mason reprinted from linko Gaku Kenkyu vol 9 May 1986

201 Averting crisis in Asia by Lee-jay Cho reprinted from Bulletin of the Atonic Scientists vol 42 no 4 1986

202 Sex preference fertility and family planning in China by Fred Arnold and Liu Zhao xiang reprinted from lPpulation am Development Review vol 12 no 2 1986

203 The place of child-spacing as a factor in infant mortality A recursive model by Chai Bin Park reprinted from American Journalof Public Health vol 76 no 8 1986

204 Determinants of Korean birth intervals The confrontation of theory and data by Larry L Bumpass Ronald R Rindfuss and James A Palmore reprinted from Po)pulationStudies vol 40 no 3 1986

Page 11: INSTITUTE timing strategies in Pakistan

497 Social Organization and Marriage Timing Strategies in Pakistan

Wealth flows Transactions move in both directions at marriage and we expectthese to be related to the alliance-producing nature of the institution too Wealth flows toward the wifes natal home indicate this familys advantage in the contract in much the same way that hypogamous marriages give an advantage

1-16We expect flemale ages at marriage to be younger with wealth flows toward the husbands tamily

Entgoiumtzni Finally we expect that engagement before marriage is associated with the need to fornmalize the marriage process itself Among the functions served here are the ratification oftagreemcnts miade between families These should be most necessary with those marria cs contracted between unrelated families since families in some relationship to each other before marriage can afford to he more casLual

1-17 We expect marriage age to have a negative relationship to formal engageshyniCt11

DATA AND MEII()DS

The AsiaXifMarriaic r Itv

This analysis is based on data from the Pakistan round of the A ian MarriageSurvey (AMS) l)ata include a wide rnge of marriage and fertility information with special attention to cull ral variables and individual life history events for married women between the ages of 15 and 45and for asample of their husbands Systematicsamples of households were drawn to represent three socioeconomic settings in the Puljab-a rural sample from a few contiguous villages in Kasur and Sheikhupuradistricts an urban lowCr-class samnplC draIwu from squatter-dominated districts within lahore and an urban middle-class sample drawn from another district of Lahore Each sample is relativclv honogencous with respect to economic backshyground 1ndcurrent Standard of living as well as overall cultural milieu

Important innovations in the ANIS instruments include the breadth of topicscovered Each interview covered itwide range of basic social and economic characteristics in addition to dLtai from each ofthe spouses on parental characterisshytics the process of entry into marriage work and income attitudes toward marriage and divorce andIattitudes and aspirations for children life histories were ohtaincd for timing of events under the headings of eCLucation work marriage childbearingand fanily limitation For Pakistan especially impotant details of dowry paymentsand relationship of spouses were included in addition to information oi attitudes toward purdah and other aspects of Islam in PIakistan [he coMplcted sample for Pakistan contains interviews with 1011women and 588 men

Because this paper is concrncd wit Ii the transactioial strategies of marriage we include only cases for which both wifes and husbands information is available In addition the data contain the event truncation bias that is built into all cross-section samples of ever-married persons (Ryder 1975) Because young ever-married women conic fron cohorts with incomplete marriage experience women in those cohorts who were mici at the younger ages are disproportionately selected The age bywhich 90 percent of recent cohorts will have been married was estimated at 21 and we have excluded women below this age (Smith and Karim 1980) [hus the initial rural sample of 351 respondents becomes 173

Indicators of Marriage Siratgy

Table I pi -sents the distribution of cases for a range of variables Of these indicators fmost direct interest are those that have to do with family influence and

498 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 numbe 4 November 1986

Table I-Selected characteristics of female respondents rural households in Pakistan Asian Marriage Survey

Percent in Percent inVariable category Variable category

Fathers occupaticnb Zamindar Agricultural laborer Unskilled laborer Skilled laborer White collar worker

Womans education Literate

Never attended school Attended 0 attainment 1-8 grades 9-12 grades 13 or more grades

Womans occupational status before marriage

No work Family work Wage w rk

Current household has electricity

Age at menarche lt13 13

gt13

Engagement status Not engaged Engaged

Participation in choice of spouse by woman

No participation Some participation

(172) 517 250 105 58 70

(173) 100

434 451 93 23 00

(173) 58

509 434

559

(173) 393 329 277

(171) 433 567

(173) 1000 00

Frequency cf meeting with spouse before marriage (169)

Never or once 544 Infrequently or often 456

Relationship between families before marriage (170)

No relationship 294 Vartan 176 Rishtadari 341 Biradari 188

Type of dowry (173) Nonehousehold goods 353 Cashluxuries 647

Value of payments to husbands family (172)

0-499 rupees 163 500-9T9 rupees 151 1000-1999 rupees 221 2000-3999 rupees 209 4000-5999 rupees 99 6000-10000 rupees 105 10000 or more rupees 52

Wealth flows at marriage (172) To wifes fanily 174 Balanced 291 To husbands family 535

Marriage type by relative land status of families (173) Hypogamous union 116 Landless homogamy 220 Landed homogamy 509 Iypergamous union 156

Note Figures in parentheses are number of case-- available for given variable

a The original sample includes 351 women Interviews with husband were available for 198 of these women among the 198 25 were under age 21 and have therefore been excluded

b At time of womans birth

strategic behavior in marriage Additional variables that we include are education and fathers occupation itsindicators of class backgiound and achievement We will not comment extensively on these except to note first the striking agrariancharacter of the rural stratum Second we wish 1o point out an unusual feature of education for women A substantial number of women enter school but never complete a single grade (full year) of instruction Further earlier analysis (Cherlin etal 1985b) revealed that these women marry significantly later than those who have

499 Social Organization and Marriage Timing Strategies in Pakistan

never attended school alall The extent to which this is a phenomenon restricted to women is revealed by comparison of distributions for husbands and wives In nostratum is there a comparable percentage of men who have atiended school wiihotrtattainir-g a grade Our inclination is to interpret this in terms of the exchange value of women which we will discuss in a later section

Iinally we note the distribution of type of work before manage for womenWomen reporting 1io work at all appear to be from wealthier households with theability to afford ortholoXy We expect those women most restricted by purdah to bein this group Family work is defined as work within the household enterprisewhether farm trade or stnall-commodity production and wage work impliespayment from an enterprise other than the fatnilys It is important to realize thatthese wages are invariably turned over to the household head The distributions for frequenCV of meetings between spouses before marriage andchoice of spouse are given in table I only to show tileextent to which women lackcontrol in their marital decisions No wonman in the rural amtple reported any degreeof choice in her sousC other than the ratification of parental choice in tilenikah ceremony The extent of meetings between spouses beiore marriage on the otherhand most likely reflects meetings between couples before puberty and the need forpurdah A strong correlation between kinship and more frequent meetings suggests

this

Var6h1es

Taking each variable separately we discuss their construction and the rationalefor inclusion here

AK (itneM11rht This variable is coded from a straightforward question askingage at first menses It is possible that the importance of menarche in this settingencouiraged misitatement of actual ages (Paige and Paige 198179-82) Neverthelesswe retain the variable in the analysis because of its centrality in outr discussionRelationrship hetween aimilies heone marriag ()ur earlier discussion of thedegrees of relatedness within which marriaie may occur in Pakistan leads us todistinguish four categories For the rural stratin Three questions on the schedule

(124A-l124) are the isis for the coding Was your spouse related to you beforemarriage Were you r and his families friends or neighbors before marriage [lowwere you related We define as marrying within ile biradarioi tnlythose respondentswho explicitly identified their relationship with their spouse itsbeing throughpatrilineal kin Other degrees of relationship are defined as rishtdari usingassumpons based on the di sinclination to reverse wealth flows from generation togeneration and other Punjabi cultural values tcf Parrv 1979 Eglar 1960 Das 1973)

ltigVdit(fltI We incindC a vatriable for engagemeit before marriaue as anindicator of marriage fOrmality Th is is taken directly from a quest ion concerningwhether tlhc respondent was formally engaged

ivpe ofdorvrv This indicator measure the extent to which dowvrv was intendedto provide for the new household rather than attract a husband Traditional dowriestended to be conlined to household goods f0r the sc of the nc couple Recent years have seen the inflation of dowry to include money and cash goods throughoutSouth Asia othe abscnce of these is soirmething of ati indictlor of sociocconionlicstatus in modern marriages We include it here with the expectation that tile type ofdowry will also be related to tile arebargaining process (ash and luxury dowriesexpected to bea feature of hypergamous marriages

I ahle oflaynent to htushandr flmintv [his indlicator is codCd froni I directquestion to male respondents Though we might dotbt the accuracy of such

500 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 number 4 November 1986

responses in some contexts these payments are reported by ethnographers to be a source of some pride in Muslim marriages indeed a part of the wedding ceremony involves the declaration of gifts to the husbands family and the nature and value of items are recorded in a book as they are called out Thus we expect these responses to be very close to their true values and important indicators of marital transactions between families

tIaniogany We have constructed in indicator designed to roughly measure the relative homegamy of marriages by using land as an indicator of status We expectthis to be a good measure for rural households in which the agrarian economy makes land a critical productive resource Nevertheless we must stress that it is an imperfect measure of homogamy in spite of lands importance since we have no measure of relative amounts owned Hypergamous marriages are defined as those in which a landless womans family has made a marital link with a landed family whereas hypogamous marriages represent the opposite case In our initial analysis tand in table I) we broke marriages dok n into subgroups of landed and landless but these are combined in the analysis presented here since there was no difference between them

Wealth flows tt marriage This indicator is directly constructed from questionsabout the value of marital transactions in both directions In the analysis below we combine thoe categories in which wealth flows were either toward the wonins nata home or balanced since the Punjabi culural ideal is that flows should be tcward the husbands home IBut note evidence from elsewhere in South Asia of change in the direction of wealth flows (IIdcnbaum 1981 Caldwell Reddy and Caldwell 1982 1983 Crplan 1984))

Method o AnalYsis

We employ least squares regression to estimate the coelficients associated with variables taken as predictors of wives ages lt marriage The set of variables just discussed-the marriage-process variables-are distinguisoed from a set of backshyground or control variables All variables are ncasured as catcgories and are entered into the equations as dummy variables although a multiple classification analysisforinat has been used to present the result in tables 2 and 37 We present one unadjusted and two adjusied mean ages at marriage for each category in these tables The unadjusted column represents the effect of each indicator when its et of dummy varitbles is entered into the cquation by itself The first column of adjusted means reflects the effects when age at marriage is rcgrescd on the set of variables specified in the given table by themselves Adjusted means in the second colunn indicate the effec of each set of dunmmy variables entered along with all control and other

R2marriage-process variables The for each set of measures is the variance explained by that group of dummy variables above For the adjusted neans the incremental R-2s presented represent the additional variance explained by each set of dummy variables after all others have been entered into the equation for that column We ha- indicatcd significance levels up to the 010 level because the small sample tends to reduce significance levels even when the coefficients are quite large in absolute terms In fact nearly all variables shown to be significant at the 0 10 level are very close to the 0)0(6 level of significance

RESITl I S

Table 2 presents the results of our regression for those background variables not directly tested here In general we find that those that are significant by themselves retain their significance even after other variables are entered We can see from this

501 Soial Organization and Marriage Timing Strategies in Pakistan

Table 2-Mean age at marriage hy background variables unadjusted and adjusted

Mean age atmarriage Number 0Variable Unadjusteda Adjusted Adjustdc of cases

Cohortd lt30 173 171 171 84 30-34 176 177 173 20 35-39 166 167 165 31 40-45

(Increment in R2 ) 173 (010)

176 (010)

179 (020)

30

Class backgrounde Farmer 172 172 172 88 Agricultural laboLer 164 167 167 3e Blue collarprofessional 180 177 177 39 (Increment in R2) (034) (012) (012)

Womans education No schooling 161 163 164 72 Attended 0 attairment 177 173 175 74 1-12 years completed (Increment in R2)

193 (124)

191 (090-)

185 (045 )

19

Womans occupational status before marriage

Family work or no work 177 176 176 92 Wage work 165 167 165 73

(Increment in R2) (041) (021) (038)

r(ran1 mean 172 Total cases 165

R2 for all background variables 171

R2 controlling for marriage process variables 124

a Zero-order mean b Controlling for other background variables c Controlling for other background variables and all family process

variables d Age at survey date e Fathers occupation at time of womans birth

significant at the 01 level significant at the 05 level significant at the 10 level

tabulation that there are no cohort trends in marriage age in our sample of women and that class background appears to make little difference in marriage timing once controls are included in the equation The moc-t interesting pattern in educational effects on marriage age is with that group of women who have attended school hut never finished a grade These women marry a full year later t ian those who have never attended even after controls are entered We also note iatwomen who work for wages before marriage marry a year younger on ihe averae than those who work for their families The latter two results are not predicted by the standard theories of marriage Nevertheless the overall results presented in table 2 support the imporshy

502 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 number 4 N3vember 1986 tance of education and occupation as components of the complete explanation ofmarriage timing The background vaiables by themselves account for 17 percent ofthe variation in marriage age and continue to account for over 12 percent of thatvariation even after adjustment for marriage-process variables

Turning to table 3 we can more precisely see the contribution of our marriageshyprocess variables to the egt plaration Looking at the zero-order relationships firstwe see that three of these-the relationship between families before marriage valueof dowry and marital homogamy-make large and statistically significant contribushytions to marital timing At this level we find good support for our hypothesesconcerning the effects of each of these variables on marriage age Thus the earlymarriers categorized by relationships are those whose marriages are contractedwith strangers followed by those married within the patriline The latest marriers arethose who marry nonpatrilincally related kin or into vart ri groups We also find thatvalue of payments to hubarids family is positively associated with marriage ageOur hypothesis concerning marital homogamy and marriage agc receives moremixed support Wonen in hypogamous union are the latest marricrs as predictedbut not as expected hypergamously married women not the eariiest marriagesare

Other hypotheses receive no support at this level Age at menarche appears tohave a weak positive relationship wivh age at marriage but the result is notsignificant and the Rshyincrement is quite small Nor does engagement status dowrytype or direction of wealth flows make any significant difference to marriage ageWhen we enter controls for other marriage-process variables (cf first adjustedmean) wealth qows ichieve significance in reiation to marriage age and in thepredicted direction but no other variable shifts toward significance in this way

The absence of a positive relationship between age at nenarche and marriagetiming is notable since a significant relationshIip has been reported ini a wide varietyof social settings (Udry and Cliquet 1982) One possible explanation is attenuationdue to misstatement of actual ages at first menses We have already cited Paige andPaige 11981) in this connection and the age pattern of menses ages in our data suggests some convergence of responses on normative ages Yet other relationishipsin our data arc consistent with accurately reported ages at menarche For examplecross-tabulalions of age at first menses and whether a woman was formally engagedbefore narriage show that lower ages at menarche are associated with the absence ofengagement This is n expected relationship our hypotheses predict a speeding up(f the marriage process lic menarche is relatively early one way to achieve this isthrough the deletion of certain elements in the process Further indication ofaccurately reportedi ages at menarhe appears when we consider the relationshipbetween age at first menses and age at marriage separately for landed and landlesshouseholds Within the landless group there is no relationship Among landedhouseholds on the other hand there is a consistent rise in the age at marriage with age at menarche-from 169 for those who experience mcenarche before age 13 to182 for those who experience menarche after age 13 This is as predicied sincelanded households are the most likely to contract marriages with unrelated familiesin which the element of risk and concern about chastity weigh the heaviest

In general the marriage-process variables retain iheir effects when controls areentered although there is a slight weakening in the levels of significance Given arelatively small sample size our results provide heartening support for a theory ofmarriage that includes social-structural and transactional elements The full regresshysion results (not shown here) show thai all of these variables together account for over 27 percent of the variance in marriage timing in the rural sample Our analysisshows that both the standard background or control variables a-d the more

503 Social Organization and Marriage Timing Strategies in Pakistan

Table 3-Mean age at marriage by marriage process variables unadjusted and adjusted

Mean age at marriage NumberdegVariable Unadjusteda Adjusted Adjusted of cases

Relationship between families before marriageNo relationship 163 162 165 49Biradari 169 171 169 32 HishtadariVartan

2178 178 177 84

(Increment in R ) (046) (049) (026)

Age at menarche lt13 169 171 170 65 13 173 172 174 57

gt13 174 172 172 43 (Increment in R2 ) (004) (000) (003)

Engagement status Not engaged 172 174 172 70Engaged

2172 171 171 95

(Increment in R ) (000) (002) (000)

Type of dowryNoneHousehold goods 170 173 173 56 CashLuxuries 173 171

2 171 109 (Increment in R ) (001) (001) (002)

Value of payments to husbands family

0-499 rupees 161 155 159 26 500-999 rupees 167 165 166 25 1000 or more rupees 175 177 176 1142(Increment in R ) (036) (052) (026)

Marriage typeHypergamoua union 173 171 174 27 Isogamous uniond 169 169 168 121Hypogamous union 189 194 192 172(Increment in R ) (042) (060) (046)

Wealth flows at marriage BalancedTowards wifes

family 171 178 178 76 Toward husbands family 173 167 -67 892(IncremenL in R ) (001) (021) (022)

Grand mean 172 Total cases 165

R2 for all marriage process variables 147

R2 controlling for background variables 101

a Zero-order mean b Controlling for other marriage process variables c Controlling for other marriage process variables and all background

variables d Between two landed or between two landless families

oignificant at 01 significant at the 05 level

s the level

significant at the 10 level

504 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 number 4 November 1986

structural and cultural variables account for their own parts of this variance Thus background variables explain a unique 12 percent of the variance and the marriageshyprocess variables explain an additional 10 percent The remaining 52 percent is explained jointly by the two sets of variables

Our analysis supports most of our hypotheses and on balance reinforces the perspective from which they are derived Regarding I-1-that marriage between unrelated groups will result in the youngest and marriage between rishtadari and vartan groups the latest ages at marriage-we have complete support More than a year separates the oldest and youngest groups even after all controls are entered

Our second hypothesis-that education will be positively associated with marshyriage-is also supported We have included this variable with the other backgroundfactors because superficially this relationship is hardly surprising Nevertheless the significant increase of a year in marriage age that occurs even when a grade of school isnot completed suggests an unconventional interpretation of the importanceof education in this setting Thus education must have its effects because of the symbolic value it has fbr the wife-receivers in the arriage transaction rather than because of it impact on the wonman herself

H3 concerning the positive relationship between dowry vaIC and age at marriage is supported here with more than a year and ihalf separating earliest and latest marrying groups This is true even with controls for class background and the inflation of dowry values that we might expect to be associated with class background

Our fourth hypothesis concerning the relationship between lionioganiv and marriage age receives only mixed support Hypogamously marrying women are the latest marriers by nearly two years That hypergrrmous marricrs are not the yonngest may be because using lnded status results in an imperfect measure

Finally H6-that marriage age will be negatively associated with wealth flows to the husbands family-is supported only after controls for other marriage-processvariables are included The meaning of this pattern is uncleCar and may be a function of an association between dowry value and wealth flow not yet investigated

Our hypothesis concerning engagement and menarche has not Found support in this analysis We have already mentioned possible problems with the menarchevariable Our phrasing of the engagement hypothesis issuch that a zero-order effect should have been evident and disappearet when the control for relationship between families is entered That no zero-order effect was evident suggests that our association of engagement with socially riskier marriages is wrong Rather engageshyment may be considered a component of all marriages its association with later menarche alluded to earlier suggests that elements of the marriage process may be altered in response to unpredictable events

DISCUSSION

Our perspective couched in ethnographic knowledge of Punjabi social organizashytion and the culturally determined roles of women receives strong support from this analysis This is not to argue that the more standard development indicators are unimportant in explanations of marriage timing Rather we have demonstrated that a more complete understanding will be gained by considering the ranges of behavior permitted and forbidden in particular cultural settings

The results further encourage such comparative analyses by cautioning againsttaking pretransition settings to be without individual-level variation in behavior To say that a society is organized patrilineally or that inheritance is partible is not enough Even in Pakistani Punjab where the constraints of ideology on behavior

505 Social Organization and Marriage Timing Strategies in Pakistan

may be thought of as especially powerful we have shown that there is room for flexible responses that have their impact on marriage timing

We have used the rural Punjab case to present a model in which the alliance function of marriage is very important We suggest that the underlying componentsof such a society include its agrarian orientation and its unilineal kinship organizashytion It is possible that the model we have begun to develop here will find useful application in other partrilineal rural settings in the rest of South Asia and elseshywhere

Finally a note on social change We consciously directed our attention to a pretransition setting to highlight the need to consider the cultural and social milieu from which populations move as they undergo transition Interpretations of the transition in marriage behavior and its consequences for fertility begin to go astraywhen they focus unduly on individuals while ignoring issues of social structure and social control Education is not always related to the autonomy of women Caldwells finding that women in South India may be educated by their parents toenhance their marriageability (Caldwell Reddy and Caldwell 1982) finds parallels in our Punjabi analysis Similarly there is strong support here for a perspective that looks at marriage within the whole context of productive relationships

This has implications for the way we conceive of the interaction between valuesand institutions in social change Education of women for example although an innovative institutional feature within the rural setting seems to have unexpectedeffects on marriage timing that can be adequately explained only with reference to an extant value system or cultural milieu The extent to which this system retains its hold on the rural Punjab is evident from the strength of the marriage-processvariables in our analysis All of the hypotheses concerning their effects assume traditional values for the area Similarly the association of wage work with younger ages at marriage makes sense when we consider the risks to a daughtersmarriageability that come from exposure to extra-domestic influences Rather than suggesting some sort of cultural stasis however we argue that change will occur Our point is that the effects of these institutional components of transition will not be uniform across cultural settings Innovations will have their initial effects on behavior in ways that are corsistent with existing cultural values and these effects may be surprising

There is a clear call here for the inclusion of indicators for these effects in social surveys We have been able to explore these issues only because the AMS was designed to evoke culture-specific features of the marriage process Such data are rare however and in any case the social survey alone should not be expected to provide detailed models that allow us to make cultural sense of these processes (cfCaldwell Reddy and Caldwell 1984) We have also been fortunate in being able to use ethnographic sources in developing our interpretation although our sources for ethnographic and survey data are often separated by approximately two decades and none of the ethnographies describes the same villages in which the survey was conducted As a closing comment that cannot be fully elaborated here we suggestthe need to develop methodologies that combine survey and ethnographic data collection in formal and complementary ways

NOTES Sahlins calls this type of economy the domestic mode of production (1972) Among its characterisshy

tics are that it is an economy of production for use---ne penetrated with such noneconomic claims as ritual ceremonial and social diversion and one organized around donestic groups usually the family

2 Important examinations of the alliance theme appear in Dumont (1993) Parry (1979) and Yalman (1971) and its central importance in Muslim areas is documented in Eglar (1960) and Naveed-i-Rahat

506 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 number 4 November 1986 (1981) The nature of status and hierarchy as a cross-cutting feature of social organization and marriagemay be examined in Fruzzetti and Oster (1982) I Ahmad (1978) Korson (1971) and S Ahmad (1977)See Ortner (1981) for another treatment of wonlens stalus in hierarchic il settings Finally iherelationship between wealth flows marriage and hierarchy is treated in Tantbiah ( 1973ab) Caplan(194) and Gough (1956) in addition it) the above sources

Important differences in the definition of biradari sugges that -glar may have overslated the degree towhich patriline and biradari identify the same group For the Raiputs in Kangra biradari refers to group of clans within which marriages may be contracted in equalitI lParr the

19794) and AhIttad ( 19741571suggested that the biradari is a wider group than the ittediate patriline in Pakistan as well In any casethe breadth of the group to tich hiradari can appl seetis to be soitewhat dependent on context I Eglar196076) and we will restrict its meaning in this paper to palriline Also see lrtlzetti 1192115-116) for a parallel Bengali level of social i)rganization I Hypergamy refers to marriages it hich wives marr into higher statu families (otmpare wihhomogamy for marriages bet een faiimilies of equal statiu and lvpogaltv ill thich kotneninar intolower status families

Korson (1979150-151) in contrast reports a pattern for urban Pakistat il Mich these saneexchange marriages are desirable unions SirnilLrlv tlershinim (1981193) ieports that the Sikhs andHindus in the part of Indian lunjab where lie orkeitegarded such niarriage as quintesential] MusliitThe apparent explanation is the etent to lich nton-Ashraf groups those descended trout Hinduconverts relain the ideology of their aincesors ]vidence here suggests that in rural areas the extent is great

These data constitute a rich bodv ofrve rtatet il gatlicied in ile lutntab in 1979 by Sabiha If SvedIWomens Division Cabinet Secretariat (itivernment of Pakistan) (tordination of ilte project usasprovided by Peter C Smith (Iast-Wesl Populatiot Instittlel Similar tres erc conducted atl iboutthe same time in Indonesia thte Philippines and lhailand lhe tespective investigalors were Peter FMcDonald (Ausi-alian National ltiversitv Mercedes II CoitcepcionI tniversit ofthe Philippines) andAphichat Chamratrilhirong (Mahidol I niyersjtvi

See Suit 119571 and Andre s Morgan and Sonuist 119167 t- lie iustiication and method ofconversion from regression to intuliple clissilicatil uanalvsis otellicietlts The standard deviation is 1014ears cottnpaied tth 153 to as gtat as 2ol it the other three AMS

Countries For example the patlentci iiitrgeiterait l shilts i fitnik relatlonhips in llivrln slitius s tantalizing

contextual sintilarities to South Asiln societies Icf lIhor t1i11( hlng nd Still 1984)

A(K NI()VI)(F NTS The Asian Marriage Survey for Pakistat was carried out under US Agency forInternational Developmenl Grant DI)PSE-6-()048 The present research was conductshyed with supporl from the National Science Foundation (SES-8319904) Earlierversions of this paper were presented at tile East-West Population Institute

Wednesday Seminar and to a seminar at the Institute of Pakistan Studies Quaid-i-Azam University Islamahad We wish to thank the facitlt and students of Quaid-i-Azam University for their helpful Colllntls during the setninar In particularProfessor Dar Director of the Institule of Pakistan SIudics oflered especially usefulcriticisms We also acknowledge the comments of Furqan Ahmlad John BauerAndrew Cherlin Deborah Freedman Doris Nayyar and Arland Thornton onvarious earlier drafts while absolving all of them of any errors in our interpretationand analysis

R F - RFN( ES Ahiad 1 1978 Fndoganiy ird siaUs mohilit antong Siuldiqui lteikhs tl Allahlhad Itar radeslh Pp171-211 in I Ahinad (ct (t t t ui t fl otltili loi ot fiesthti iii In ha 2nd edt New

Delhi Manohar Ahnuad S 1974 A village in Palkistani Ilani ah jalpal 11p131-1 72in C Malones led) South siaSerei (ommunttv Prefii Nes Yuik tloll Rinehart and Winston

1977 (Clo anl en rt in I i uniai Villae Nesy York Monthil Revie s PressAndrews F M J N Morgan and J A Stiquist 197 Mulliph (latilit aion Attalvsi Ann ArborMich Institute for Soicial Researci

Social Organization and Marriage Timing Strategies in Pakistan 507 BIloch NI 1973 The long term and the Nhor tern The economic and politicil signiticance of the morality

of kinship P1p75-87 in J (oody led) Ihe (hvlero Kinihip (anthridge Cambridge Univerit Press

Cain 1198 1 Risk and insurance Perspectives on tertilith and agrarian change in India and Ilangladesh 11opidation ad A 7435-474I)e eloliintReiuit

1982 Perspectives on family aind ferfilil indeveloping countnres )opuhtlion Stuldie 36159-175Cain M S R Khanutin and S N ahar 1979 (lass paiiriarchv and wtomens ork in Iangladesh

PopulhtionOtand Itl-riivt Reti- 5415-438 Caidwell J C 1982 1ttry ot Iertiitv lI line Nesk York Acaderni (iesCaldell 1 C P1II Redd and 1(aldell 1982 The cause of dernographic change in rural South

India A tilcro-approach Iopuhltitonitn I)o velopment Rviit- 8689-727 - 1983 The ctuse of larliage change in South India Iopiliation Stidiv37343-3(1 - 1984 The micro-approach in delographic investligation lovird a methodology Paper presented

at IUSSP Micro-l)emographN Working Group Conference Australian Naiotil UniversityCaplitn I 1984 Itldegloiin price it turhan India (lass CaSte and do rv evil amiong Christians ir

Miatdra Man 19210-233 Carleton R () 1975 Educattion and fertiltis (p 115-166 sit IV V Mtihmi ledIi ldination anid

Iuoptutn Ahloitl IlilI t ielgillill IUSSI (herlin A J P C S1ttln I ricke I I)omiingo Adioetonio A (hliiiittrlhirong atnd S II Sed

I985a tfttll inltience iln the (tilting ti imirriage IFiletcc ll)tt Itlil Atin Nocleties (1Ipcr preeiltedilt lrkshop (htigiig MNIiriiage 1t1 lie Itil iii Asia Sila I hiallild Feb 21-24

- -1985h Etlicition ind age titmarriage |-itdence (ront Itcir Asinll ocleIe Papel presented lt torkslht Chanlging Mlartiage and tihe Fanil in Asia Silta Il tild Feb 21-24Cochrane S 1 19710 Iitttft and I~dtaitiol Mihat A) tii Rctilx A m Ittnloic Ill John IHopkins I rniverit Prcss

l)as 1973 Ifie strictiure oll timtanae preferences kii ilttouli (lit kistit fictilcti l1(1n8311-45 Du ont I 198 Ilierrch and marriage allitnce in Soulh lndimii kinslip tt iginllll published 1957)

Pp 18- ((4 in L I)tinot fetl) Alitv it a Value lrrtAtct- lilh cIllnSoti India With Coiptlirtllt i s1111 oit lrtit (Chicagio inilersit of Chica eol ess)Non I_ and Ntllre 1983 (In kinship Ntrlictlre fcnilile t lmld denographic behavior inthonliihIthaI 1qttaw anid Ikitl lopit~tnt Rtivt 9)1-00l

Lglr Z 19610A Piniali Iill in tAiti Ne )ioik (oltinibit niersit PressF-ores 11958 Introdtuction Ip 1-14 it J (iootl led I IH+ithI lop etal( irhi Plottiesih Groupsl Cambridge UK (Caubridge Liiciy r IcS

louster B 1978 I)(Inlestlc deveopIientiIl ccles is a link letsen ptoplaitilon plioces es and olher social processes Joturnall I ltleult It 14411-44 I0lnlthrol Rckea1tl

|os R 1967 Kiittitip lt(I l littwtt -h alrl UK PenguinAittthrohe11 1 IIttnlondirth

PressFrutietm IL 11982 Iif (|It oit ti t tireint lioic IhlttlQ1 and itu~al tit it Bit+eah S wit Ne

l iti-ick NJ R tgers lI r isti PicrNe lHtietti I_ d A (ster t1982 11dblood Ill CIngA (teglor and illcct Il the tdlI of kinship

caste and unliitig- I1p I-s5 ii A (slet L Friwulett intl S 1litt1te10 ds) (npt11 0 lrtinKtill tlp ( -ivt wild Altnrl~ e ill bidhw (itnlih idge l~t ut i~d tUniiecsil Ilrt

Giotugh K 19 HItlhntin kinship ill a itnlil village At l lilt lthqohwit SS 26-851 Ilerhnmn P 1981 IotitiiotKi(htl andl fIitnitc)elhi Iindilslatn ItibhhingKeeing R 1975 KiN (roup io1 itl ttt+tt- Net York ll1 Riniehrl ind Wilton Korson I If Fid in il1971 ldgilltotis ntirrige ti idtitit Mutslimn olct est (kisaltri ll141r114101Ciparative tivhStudieN 213 I145-15i - --- 179 ModeltliualtI iiJ sicial chang-T ihe latitil n Ilktiliti Pp Iitl)0-20 7 it NI Singh I)a and

1) 1) tardi+ teds) Dii I-aitiAv ill l ti I|ondon Allen miid ittLesthiteghe R 1980 ()rl the social control of hunlmin ieproduclto Poidau~tio-iand A-lophiticniRevielt 6527- 548

ii+lenhitn (1) l r (ichalgiI alilA Ilanlnmt 12(l 109II4-401

9 itpicitiins illlen g Illltge nlItiSt nn111InIIIangJduesthlt dii itt

Mits n K () 1484 Thc sdltlus k+o111cent1 ilorit ofilf fertlmhl atnd A it~ik inlte ktjn hips Universit of Michigaipulation Studies (Centel Resetich Report 84-58

NIeNicoll i 1980 Instltiuional determinants II lertilits chang olation hld iloptlnliit Reviit 6441-462

Naveed-i-Ribal 1981 (he role of wonen in reciprocal relation hlip titi Iinlhab village Ip 47-81 in T SEpstein and R A Walli leds )7 Inhi Iay ot Calt Matlraltit Rtiral Wottnnlmli New York Perganon Prcss

Ortner S B 1981 (lender and semiality in hierarchical societie The cae of Polynesia and some

508 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 number 4 November 1986

comparative implications Pp 359-409 in S 13Ortner and H Whitehead (eds) Sexual Meanings The Cultural Construction of Gender and Sesuality Cambridge UK Cambridge University Press

Paige K E and J M Paige 1981 The Politics of Reproductive Ritual Berkeley University of California Press

Papanek H 1984 False specialization and the purdah of scholarship-A review article Journal ofAsian Studies 44127-148

Parry J P 1979 Caste and Kinship in Kangra London Routledge and Kegan Paul Ryder N 131975 Fertility measurement through cross-sectional surveys Social Forcei 547-35

1983 Fertility and family structure Population Bulletin olfthe United Nations 1515-34 Sahlins M 1972 Stone Age Econoinici New York Aldine Slocum W L J Akhtar and A FSahi 1959 Villaie Libf+ in lahome District Lahore University of the

Punjab Social Science Research Centre Smith P C 1980 Asian marriage patterns in tt insition Journal ufl aind 1Iistory 556-96

1983 The impact of age at marriage and proportions marrying on fertility Pp 473-531 in R Bulatao and R Iee (eds) termniinantv Academicof Ferility in 1) veloping Countries New York Press

Smith P C and M 1 Karim 1980 Urbanization education and marriage patterns Four cases from Asia No 71 in Paprs of Ih a t- PopIda Ihnoulti Hi East-West PopulationPpultion Institute Institute

Suits DB 1957 Use of dttiunlut variables in regression equations Journal tit the Anerican Statitical Asociation 52548-551

Tambiah S J 1973a Dowry aud bridewealth and the property rights of women in South Asia Pp 51)-1(9in JGoody and SJTarnhiah (eds) Bridei cilthand I)m rvCambridge UK Cambridge University Press

1973b From arna to caste through mixed unions lp 191-229 in JGoody edlI 1he Character ofKinhip Cat ibridge UK Cambridge University Press

Tandon P 1968 Punjahi (Centurv1857-1947 Berkeley niversuty of California Press Thadani V 1978 The logic of sentiment The fansily and social change opulation and )evelopment

Review 4457-499 Thornton A M C Chang and T-H Stin 1984 Social and ecootrtuic change intrgeneratlonal

relationships and family formation in laisman 1)cinoyraphv 21475-499 Udry JR and R L Cliquet 1982 A criiss-cultural esamination of the relationship between ages at

menarche marriage and first birth Dmnnographv 1953-63 Vreede-de Stuers C 1968 Parda A Stidv of luslji )loonenlife illNoritiern India New York

Humanities Press Yalman N 1971 Under the Bo Tree Studies inCaie Kinship and Marriage in the Interior ofCeyhi

Berkeley University of California Press

177

RECENT AVAILABLE REPRINTS OF THE EAST-WEST POPULATION INSTITUTE No 172 Conclusion by Lee-Jay Cho reprinted from The IndustrialFutureof the fIzcific Basin RogerBenjamin and Robert T Kudrle eds Westview Press Colorado 1984 173 Asian Labor Migration to the Middle East by Fred Arnold and Nasra M Shah reprinted

front InternationalMigration Review Sum mer 1984 174 Repeatability of infant deaths in Korea by Chai Bin Park and Alfred C Hexter reprinted

from nhternationaljournal of Epideniolhgy September 1984 175 Comparative analysis of fertility orientations World Fertility Survey findings by Lee-Jay Cho ind Louise Kantrow reprinted from Predicting Fertility DenographicStudies ofBirth Expectations Gerry E I lendershot and Paul J Placek eds Lexington Books DC

I leath and Company Massachusetts 1981 176 Census-derived estimates of fertility by duration since first marriage in the Republicof Korea by Robert 1) Retherlord ee-JaY Cho ard Narn-Il Kim reprinted from Deinogshy

raphy November 481 The value of daughters and sons A comparative study of the gender preferences of parshyents bv Fred Arnold and Eddie CY Kujo reprint_d from fournal of Comparative Fanih Studes Summer 1984

178 Analysing open birth interval distributions by Griffith FeeneY and John A Ross reprintedfrom Population Studies Novembet 1981

17 Population dynamics arid policy in the eoples Republic of China by Lee-jay Choreprinted from The Annals if TheAneirican Acadenii ufoPliticaland Sociai Science Chinain Transitim vol 476 Marvin F Wolfgang ed Sage lublications Beverly Hills Califorshynia 1984

180 Personal networks and the adoption of family planning in rural Korea by Joung ImKim arid Janmes A lihlmore reprinted from Journalov Population and I halth Studies Dshycember 1984

181 Determinants of birth-interval length in the Philippines Malaysia and Indonesia Ahazard-model analysis by James Trussell Linda G Martin Robert Feldman James APalmore Mercedes Concepcion and Datin Noor Laily lBt Dato Abu Bakar reprinted Denograply May 1985

182 Shadow households and competing auspices Migration behavior in the Philippinesby Fe Caces Fred Arnold Jame T Fawcett and Robert W Gardner reprinted fior lourshynal of Development Econonics lanuarv-February 1985 183 Perceptions of the value of children Satisfaction and costs by James 1 Rawcett reprinted

from Detrniinantsof lertiliti in Devehpin Counitries vol 1 Rodolfo A Bulatao and RonaldD Lee eds Acaderic Press Inc 1983 184 Diffusion processes affecting fertility regulation bv Robert I) Retherford and JamesA Palmore reprinted from Determiintsof lirtlityqin Dcvelopiing Countries vol 2 RodolfoA Bulatao and Ronald D Lee eds Academic Press Inc 1983 185 The impact of age at marriage and proportions marrying on fertility by Peter C Smithreprinted from Determinantsof lirtiilit in Develolmkg Countries vol 2 Rodolfo A gulatao

and Ronald D Lee eds Academic Press Inc 1983 186 Migration of women to cities The Asian situation in comparative perspective by Siew-Ean Khoo Peter C Smith and James T Fawcett reprinted from lnternationalMigration

Rtview Special Issue Noten in AlM ratin Winter 1984

187 Measuring the effect of sex preference on fertility The case of Korea by Fred Arnold ieprinted from Dernography May 1985

18 Exploring the normative basis for age at marriage in Thailand An example from focus group research by Anthony Pramualratana Napaporn Havanon and John Knodel reprinted from Journalof Marriageand the Family February 1985

189 The non-economic consequences of Asian labor migration to the Middle East by Nasra M Shah and Fred Arnold reprinted from International Union for the Scientific Study of Population lnternaitonalPopulation Conference Florence 1985 vol 3 1985

190 Parity progression projection by Griffith Feeney reprinted from International Union for the Scientific Study of Population InternationalPopiulation Conference Florence 1985 vol 4 1985

191 A theory of marita fertility transition by Robert D Retherford reprinted from Popula tion Studies July 1985

192 Cultural variations in the transition to marriage in four Asian societies by Paul Cheung Josefina Cabigon Aphichat Chamratrithirong Peter F McDonald Sabila Syed Andrew Cherlin and Peter C Smith reprinted from International Union for the Scientific Study of Population InternationalPopulation Conference Florence 1985 vol 3 1985

193 Decision making and sex selection with biased technologies by Neil GBennett and Andrew Mason reprinted from Sex Selection of Children Neil G Bennett ed Academic Press Inc 1983

194 US farm migration An application of the Harris-Todaro model by Daniel B Suits reprinted from Economic Development and Cultural Chang vol 33 no 4 1985

195 Health of Hlmong in Thailand Risk factors morbidity and mortality in comparison with other ethnic groups by Peter Kunstadter reprinted from Culture Medicine and Psyshychiairy vol 9 no 4 1985

196 Evaluation of contraceptive history data in the Republic of Korea by Anne R Pebley Noreen Goldman and Minja Kim Choe reprinted from Stldies ii Family PlanningJanushyaryFebruary 1986

197 Circulation between home and other places Some propositions by Murray Chapman and R Mansell Prothem and Me go walkabout you too by Murray Chapman reprinted from Circulationin Population Mozement Substance and Concepts fion tie Melnesian Case Murray Chapman and R Maniell Prothero eds Routledge amp Kegan Paul 1985

198 Fijians and Indo-Fijians in Suva Rural-urban movements and linkages by Shashikant Nair reprinted from Circulationin PopulationMovement Substance and Concepts fron the Melanesian Case Murray Chapman and R Mansell Prothero eds Routledge amp Kegan Paul 1985

199 Linkages between internal and international migration The Ilocos Norte experience by Fred Arnold and Ricardo G Abad reprinted from PhilippinePopulationJournalJune 1985

200 An economic analysis of recent fertility in Japan by Naohiro Ogawa and Andrew Mason reprinted from linko Gaku Kenkyu vol 9 May 1986

201 Averting crisis in Asia by Lee-jay Cho reprinted from Bulletin of the Atonic Scientists vol 42 no 4 1986

202 Sex preference fertility and family planning in China by Fred Arnold and Liu Zhao xiang reprinted from lPpulation am Development Review vol 12 no 2 1986

203 The place of child-spacing as a factor in infant mortality A recursive model by Chai Bin Park reprinted from American Journalof Public Health vol 76 no 8 1986

204 Determinants of Korean birth intervals The confrontation of theory and data by Larry L Bumpass Ronald R Rindfuss and James A Palmore reprinted from Po)pulationStudies vol 40 no 3 1986

Page 12: INSTITUTE timing strategies in Pakistan

498 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 numbe 4 November 1986

Table I-Selected characteristics of female respondents rural households in Pakistan Asian Marriage Survey

Percent in Percent inVariable category Variable category

Fathers occupaticnb Zamindar Agricultural laborer Unskilled laborer Skilled laborer White collar worker

Womans education Literate

Never attended school Attended 0 attainment 1-8 grades 9-12 grades 13 or more grades

Womans occupational status before marriage

No work Family work Wage w rk

Current household has electricity

Age at menarche lt13 13

gt13

Engagement status Not engaged Engaged

Participation in choice of spouse by woman

No participation Some participation

(172) 517 250 105 58 70

(173) 100

434 451 93 23 00

(173) 58

509 434

559

(173) 393 329 277

(171) 433 567

(173) 1000 00

Frequency cf meeting with spouse before marriage (169)

Never or once 544 Infrequently or often 456

Relationship between families before marriage (170)

No relationship 294 Vartan 176 Rishtadari 341 Biradari 188

Type of dowry (173) Nonehousehold goods 353 Cashluxuries 647

Value of payments to husbands family (172)

0-499 rupees 163 500-9T9 rupees 151 1000-1999 rupees 221 2000-3999 rupees 209 4000-5999 rupees 99 6000-10000 rupees 105 10000 or more rupees 52

Wealth flows at marriage (172) To wifes fanily 174 Balanced 291 To husbands family 535

Marriage type by relative land status of families (173) Hypogamous union 116 Landless homogamy 220 Landed homogamy 509 Iypergamous union 156

Note Figures in parentheses are number of case-- available for given variable

a The original sample includes 351 women Interviews with husband were available for 198 of these women among the 198 25 were under age 21 and have therefore been excluded

b At time of womans birth

strategic behavior in marriage Additional variables that we include are education and fathers occupation itsindicators of class backgiound and achievement We will not comment extensively on these except to note first the striking agrariancharacter of the rural stratum Second we wish 1o point out an unusual feature of education for women A substantial number of women enter school but never complete a single grade (full year) of instruction Further earlier analysis (Cherlin etal 1985b) revealed that these women marry significantly later than those who have

499 Social Organization and Marriage Timing Strategies in Pakistan

never attended school alall The extent to which this is a phenomenon restricted to women is revealed by comparison of distributions for husbands and wives In nostratum is there a comparable percentage of men who have atiended school wiihotrtattainir-g a grade Our inclination is to interpret this in terms of the exchange value of women which we will discuss in a later section

Iinally we note the distribution of type of work before manage for womenWomen reporting 1io work at all appear to be from wealthier households with theability to afford ortholoXy We expect those women most restricted by purdah to bein this group Family work is defined as work within the household enterprisewhether farm trade or stnall-commodity production and wage work impliespayment from an enterprise other than the fatnilys It is important to realize thatthese wages are invariably turned over to the household head The distributions for frequenCV of meetings between spouses before marriage andchoice of spouse are given in table I only to show tileextent to which women lackcontrol in their marital decisions No wonman in the rural amtple reported any degreeof choice in her sousC other than the ratification of parental choice in tilenikah ceremony The extent of meetings between spouses beiore marriage on the otherhand most likely reflects meetings between couples before puberty and the need forpurdah A strong correlation between kinship and more frequent meetings suggests

this

Var6h1es

Taking each variable separately we discuss their construction and the rationalefor inclusion here

AK (itneM11rht This variable is coded from a straightforward question askingage at first menses It is possible that the importance of menarche in this settingencouiraged misitatement of actual ages (Paige and Paige 198179-82) Neverthelesswe retain the variable in the analysis because of its centrality in outr discussionRelationrship hetween aimilies heone marriag ()ur earlier discussion of thedegrees of relatedness within which marriaie may occur in Pakistan leads us todistinguish four categories For the rural stratin Three questions on the schedule

(124A-l124) are the isis for the coding Was your spouse related to you beforemarriage Were you r and his families friends or neighbors before marriage [lowwere you related We define as marrying within ile biradarioi tnlythose respondentswho explicitly identified their relationship with their spouse itsbeing throughpatrilineal kin Other degrees of relationship are defined as rishtdari usingassumpons based on the di sinclination to reverse wealth flows from generation togeneration and other Punjabi cultural values tcf Parrv 1979 Eglar 1960 Das 1973)

ltigVdit(fltI We incindC a vatriable for engagemeit before marriaue as anindicator of marriage fOrmality Th is is taken directly from a quest ion concerningwhether tlhc respondent was formally engaged

ivpe ofdorvrv This indicator measure the extent to which dowvrv was intendedto provide for the new household rather than attract a husband Traditional dowriestended to be conlined to household goods f0r the sc of the nc couple Recent years have seen the inflation of dowry to include money and cash goods throughoutSouth Asia othe abscnce of these is soirmething of ati indictlor of sociocconionlicstatus in modern marriages We include it here with the expectation that tile type ofdowry will also be related to tile arebargaining process (ash and luxury dowriesexpected to bea feature of hypergamous marriages

I ahle oflaynent to htushandr flmintv [his indlicator is codCd froni I directquestion to male respondents Though we might dotbt the accuracy of such

500 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 number 4 November 1986

responses in some contexts these payments are reported by ethnographers to be a source of some pride in Muslim marriages indeed a part of the wedding ceremony involves the declaration of gifts to the husbands family and the nature and value of items are recorded in a book as they are called out Thus we expect these responses to be very close to their true values and important indicators of marital transactions between families

tIaniogany We have constructed in indicator designed to roughly measure the relative homegamy of marriages by using land as an indicator of status We expectthis to be a good measure for rural households in which the agrarian economy makes land a critical productive resource Nevertheless we must stress that it is an imperfect measure of homogamy in spite of lands importance since we have no measure of relative amounts owned Hypergamous marriages are defined as those in which a landless womans family has made a marital link with a landed family whereas hypogamous marriages represent the opposite case In our initial analysis tand in table I) we broke marriages dok n into subgroups of landed and landless but these are combined in the analysis presented here since there was no difference between them

Wealth flows tt marriage This indicator is directly constructed from questionsabout the value of marital transactions in both directions In the analysis below we combine thoe categories in which wealth flows were either toward the wonins nata home or balanced since the Punjabi culural ideal is that flows should be tcward the husbands home IBut note evidence from elsewhere in South Asia of change in the direction of wealth flows (IIdcnbaum 1981 Caldwell Reddy and Caldwell 1982 1983 Crplan 1984))

Method o AnalYsis

We employ least squares regression to estimate the coelficients associated with variables taken as predictors of wives ages lt marriage The set of variables just discussed-the marriage-process variables-are distinguisoed from a set of backshyground or control variables All variables are ncasured as catcgories and are entered into the equations as dummy variables although a multiple classification analysisforinat has been used to present the result in tables 2 and 37 We present one unadjusted and two adjusied mean ages at marriage for each category in these tables The unadjusted column represents the effect of each indicator when its et of dummy varitbles is entered into the cquation by itself The first column of adjusted means reflects the effects when age at marriage is rcgrescd on the set of variables specified in the given table by themselves Adjusted means in the second colunn indicate the effec of each set of dunmmy variables entered along with all control and other

R2marriage-process variables The for each set of measures is the variance explained by that group of dummy variables above For the adjusted neans the incremental R-2s presented represent the additional variance explained by each set of dummy variables after all others have been entered into the equation for that column We ha- indicatcd significance levels up to the 010 level because the small sample tends to reduce significance levels even when the coefficients are quite large in absolute terms In fact nearly all variables shown to be significant at the 0 10 level are very close to the 0)0(6 level of significance

RESITl I S

Table 2 presents the results of our regression for those background variables not directly tested here In general we find that those that are significant by themselves retain their significance even after other variables are entered We can see from this

501 Soial Organization and Marriage Timing Strategies in Pakistan

Table 2-Mean age at marriage hy background variables unadjusted and adjusted

Mean age atmarriage Number 0Variable Unadjusteda Adjusted Adjustdc of cases

Cohortd lt30 173 171 171 84 30-34 176 177 173 20 35-39 166 167 165 31 40-45

(Increment in R2 ) 173 (010)

176 (010)

179 (020)

30

Class backgrounde Farmer 172 172 172 88 Agricultural laboLer 164 167 167 3e Blue collarprofessional 180 177 177 39 (Increment in R2) (034) (012) (012)

Womans education No schooling 161 163 164 72 Attended 0 attairment 177 173 175 74 1-12 years completed (Increment in R2)

193 (124)

191 (090-)

185 (045 )

19

Womans occupational status before marriage

Family work or no work 177 176 176 92 Wage work 165 167 165 73

(Increment in R2) (041) (021) (038)

r(ran1 mean 172 Total cases 165

R2 for all background variables 171

R2 controlling for marriage process variables 124

a Zero-order mean b Controlling for other background variables c Controlling for other background variables and all family process

variables d Age at survey date e Fathers occupation at time of womans birth

significant at the 01 level significant at the 05 level significant at the 10 level

tabulation that there are no cohort trends in marriage age in our sample of women and that class background appears to make little difference in marriage timing once controls are included in the equation The moc-t interesting pattern in educational effects on marriage age is with that group of women who have attended school hut never finished a grade These women marry a full year later t ian those who have never attended even after controls are entered We also note iatwomen who work for wages before marriage marry a year younger on ihe averae than those who work for their families The latter two results are not predicted by the standard theories of marriage Nevertheless the overall results presented in table 2 support the imporshy

502 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 number 4 N3vember 1986 tance of education and occupation as components of the complete explanation ofmarriage timing The background vaiables by themselves account for 17 percent ofthe variation in marriage age and continue to account for over 12 percent of thatvariation even after adjustment for marriage-process variables

Turning to table 3 we can more precisely see the contribution of our marriageshyprocess variables to the egt plaration Looking at the zero-order relationships firstwe see that three of these-the relationship between families before marriage valueof dowry and marital homogamy-make large and statistically significant contribushytions to marital timing At this level we find good support for our hypothesesconcerning the effects of each of these variables on marriage age Thus the earlymarriers categorized by relationships are those whose marriages are contractedwith strangers followed by those married within the patriline The latest marriers arethose who marry nonpatrilincally related kin or into vart ri groups We also find thatvalue of payments to hubarids family is positively associated with marriage ageOur hypothesis concerning marital homogamy and marriage agc receives moremixed support Wonen in hypogamous union are the latest marricrs as predictedbut not as expected hypergamously married women not the eariiest marriagesare

Other hypotheses receive no support at this level Age at menarche appears tohave a weak positive relationship wivh age at marriage but the result is notsignificant and the Rshyincrement is quite small Nor does engagement status dowrytype or direction of wealth flows make any significant difference to marriage ageWhen we enter controls for other marriage-process variables (cf first adjustedmean) wealth qows ichieve significance in reiation to marriage age and in thepredicted direction but no other variable shifts toward significance in this way

The absence of a positive relationship between age at nenarche and marriagetiming is notable since a significant relationshIip has been reported ini a wide varietyof social settings (Udry and Cliquet 1982) One possible explanation is attenuationdue to misstatement of actual ages at first menses We have already cited Paige andPaige 11981) in this connection and the age pattern of menses ages in our data suggests some convergence of responses on normative ages Yet other relationishipsin our data arc consistent with accurately reported ages at menarche For examplecross-tabulalions of age at first menses and whether a woman was formally engagedbefore narriage show that lower ages at menarche are associated with the absence ofengagement This is n expected relationship our hypotheses predict a speeding up(f the marriage process lic menarche is relatively early one way to achieve this isthrough the deletion of certain elements in the process Further indication ofaccurately reportedi ages at menarhe appears when we consider the relationshipbetween age at first menses and age at marriage separately for landed and landlesshouseholds Within the landless group there is no relationship Among landedhouseholds on the other hand there is a consistent rise in the age at marriage with age at menarche-from 169 for those who experience mcenarche before age 13 to182 for those who experience menarche after age 13 This is as predicied sincelanded households are the most likely to contract marriages with unrelated familiesin which the element of risk and concern about chastity weigh the heaviest

In general the marriage-process variables retain iheir effects when controls areentered although there is a slight weakening in the levels of significance Given arelatively small sample size our results provide heartening support for a theory ofmarriage that includes social-structural and transactional elements The full regresshysion results (not shown here) show thai all of these variables together account for over 27 percent of the variance in marriage timing in the rural sample Our analysisshows that both the standard background or control variables a-d the more

503 Social Organization and Marriage Timing Strategies in Pakistan

Table 3-Mean age at marriage by marriage process variables unadjusted and adjusted

Mean age at marriage NumberdegVariable Unadjusteda Adjusted Adjusted of cases

Relationship between families before marriageNo relationship 163 162 165 49Biradari 169 171 169 32 HishtadariVartan

2178 178 177 84

(Increment in R ) (046) (049) (026)

Age at menarche lt13 169 171 170 65 13 173 172 174 57

gt13 174 172 172 43 (Increment in R2 ) (004) (000) (003)

Engagement status Not engaged 172 174 172 70Engaged

2172 171 171 95

(Increment in R ) (000) (002) (000)

Type of dowryNoneHousehold goods 170 173 173 56 CashLuxuries 173 171

2 171 109 (Increment in R ) (001) (001) (002)

Value of payments to husbands family

0-499 rupees 161 155 159 26 500-999 rupees 167 165 166 25 1000 or more rupees 175 177 176 1142(Increment in R ) (036) (052) (026)

Marriage typeHypergamoua union 173 171 174 27 Isogamous uniond 169 169 168 121Hypogamous union 189 194 192 172(Increment in R ) (042) (060) (046)

Wealth flows at marriage BalancedTowards wifes

family 171 178 178 76 Toward husbands family 173 167 -67 892(IncremenL in R ) (001) (021) (022)

Grand mean 172 Total cases 165

R2 for all marriage process variables 147

R2 controlling for background variables 101

a Zero-order mean b Controlling for other marriage process variables c Controlling for other marriage process variables and all background

variables d Between two landed or between two landless families

oignificant at 01 significant at the 05 level

s the level

significant at the 10 level

504 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 number 4 November 1986

structural and cultural variables account for their own parts of this variance Thus background variables explain a unique 12 percent of the variance and the marriageshyprocess variables explain an additional 10 percent The remaining 52 percent is explained jointly by the two sets of variables

Our analysis supports most of our hypotheses and on balance reinforces the perspective from which they are derived Regarding I-1-that marriage between unrelated groups will result in the youngest and marriage between rishtadari and vartan groups the latest ages at marriage-we have complete support More than a year separates the oldest and youngest groups even after all controls are entered

Our second hypothesis-that education will be positively associated with marshyriage-is also supported We have included this variable with the other backgroundfactors because superficially this relationship is hardly surprising Nevertheless the significant increase of a year in marriage age that occurs even when a grade of school isnot completed suggests an unconventional interpretation of the importanceof education in this setting Thus education must have its effects because of the symbolic value it has fbr the wife-receivers in the arriage transaction rather than because of it impact on the wonman herself

H3 concerning the positive relationship between dowry vaIC and age at marriage is supported here with more than a year and ihalf separating earliest and latest marrying groups This is true even with controls for class background and the inflation of dowry values that we might expect to be associated with class background

Our fourth hypothesis concerning the relationship between lionioganiv and marriage age receives only mixed support Hypogamously marrying women are the latest marriers by nearly two years That hypergrrmous marricrs are not the yonngest may be because using lnded status results in an imperfect measure

Finally H6-that marriage age will be negatively associated with wealth flows to the husbands family-is supported only after controls for other marriage-processvariables are included The meaning of this pattern is uncleCar and may be a function of an association between dowry value and wealth flow not yet investigated

Our hypothesis concerning engagement and menarche has not Found support in this analysis We have already mentioned possible problems with the menarchevariable Our phrasing of the engagement hypothesis issuch that a zero-order effect should have been evident and disappearet when the control for relationship between families is entered That no zero-order effect was evident suggests that our association of engagement with socially riskier marriages is wrong Rather engageshyment may be considered a component of all marriages its association with later menarche alluded to earlier suggests that elements of the marriage process may be altered in response to unpredictable events

DISCUSSION

Our perspective couched in ethnographic knowledge of Punjabi social organizashytion and the culturally determined roles of women receives strong support from this analysis This is not to argue that the more standard development indicators are unimportant in explanations of marriage timing Rather we have demonstrated that a more complete understanding will be gained by considering the ranges of behavior permitted and forbidden in particular cultural settings

The results further encourage such comparative analyses by cautioning againsttaking pretransition settings to be without individual-level variation in behavior To say that a society is organized patrilineally or that inheritance is partible is not enough Even in Pakistani Punjab where the constraints of ideology on behavior

505 Social Organization and Marriage Timing Strategies in Pakistan

may be thought of as especially powerful we have shown that there is room for flexible responses that have their impact on marriage timing

We have used the rural Punjab case to present a model in which the alliance function of marriage is very important We suggest that the underlying componentsof such a society include its agrarian orientation and its unilineal kinship organizashytion It is possible that the model we have begun to develop here will find useful application in other partrilineal rural settings in the rest of South Asia and elseshywhere

Finally a note on social change We consciously directed our attention to a pretransition setting to highlight the need to consider the cultural and social milieu from which populations move as they undergo transition Interpretations of the transition in marriage behavior and its consequences for fertility begin to go astraywhen they focus unduly on individuals while ignoring issues of social structure and social control Education is not always related to the autonomy of women Caldwells finding that women in South India may be educated by their parents toenhance their marriageability (Caldwell Reddy and Caldwell 1982) finds parallels in our Punjabi analysis Similarly there is strong support here for a perspective that looks at marriage within the whole context of productive relationships

This has implications for the way we conceive of the interaction between valuesand institutions in social change Education of women for example although an innovative institutional feature within the rural setting seems to have unexpectedeffects on marriage timing that can be adequately explained only with reference to an extant value system or cultural milieu The extent to which this system retains its hold on the rural Punjab is evident from the strength of the marriage-processvariables in our analysis All of the hypotheses concerning their effects assume traditional values for the area Similarly the association of wage work with younger ages at marriage makes sense when we consider the risks to a daughtersmarriageability that come from exposure to extra-domestic influences Rather than suggesting some sort of cultural stasis however we argue that change will occur Our point is that the effects of these institutional components of transition will not be uniform across cultural settings Innovations will have their initial effects on behavior in ways that are corsistent with existing cultural values and these effects may be surprising

There is a clear call here for the inclusion of indicators for these effects in social surveys We have been able to explore these issues only because the AMS was designed to evoke culture-specific features of the marriage process Such data are rare however and in any case the social survey alone should not be expected to provide detailed models that allow us to make cultural sense of these processes (cfCaldwell Reddy and Caldwell 1984) We have also been fortunate in being able to use ethnographic sources in developing our interpretation although our sources for ethnographic and survey data are often separated by approximately two decades and none of the ethnographies describes the same villages in which the survey was conducted As a closing comment that cannot be fully elaborated here we suggestthe need to develop methodologies that combine survey and ethnographic data collection in formal and complementary ways

NOTES Sahlins calls this type of economy the domestic mode of production (1972) Among its characterisshy

tics are that it is an economy of production for use---ne penetrated with such noneconomic claims as ritual ceremonial and social diversion and one organized around donestic groups usually the family

2 Important examinations of the alliance theme appear in Dumont (1993) Parry (1979) and Yalman (1971) and its central importance in Muslim areas is documented in Eglar (1960) and Naveed-i-Rahat

506 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 number 4 November 1986 (1981) The nature of status and hierarchy as a cross-cutting feature of social organization and marriagemay be examined in Fruzzetti and Oster (1982) I Ahmad (1978) Korson (1971) and S Ahmad (1977)See Ortner (1981) for another treatment of wonlens stalus in hierarchic il settings Finally iherelationship between wealth flows marriage and hierarchy is treated in Tantbiah ( 1973ab) Caplan(194) and Gough (1956) in addition it) the above sources

Important differences in the definition of biradari sugges that -glar may have overslated the degree towhich patriline and biradari identify the same group For the Raiputs in Kangra biradari refers to group of clans within which marriages may be contracted in equalitI lParr the

19794) and AhIttad ( 19741571suggested that the biradari is a wider group than the ittediate patriline in Pakistan as well In any casethe breadth of the group to tich hiradari can appl seetis to be soitewhat dependent on context I Eglar196076) and we will restrict its meaning in this paper to palriline Also see lrtlzetti 1192115-116) for a parallel Bengali level of social i)rganization I Hypergamy refers to marriages it hich wives marr into higher statu families (otmpare wihhomogamy for marriages bet een faiimilies of equal statiu and lvpogaltv ill thich kotneninar intolower status families

Korson (1979150-151) in contrast reports a pattern for urban Pakistat il Mich these saneexchange marriages are desirable unions SirnilLrlv tlershinim (1981193) ieports that the Sikhs andHindus in the part of Indian lunjab where lie orkeitegarded such niarriage as quintesential] MusliitThe apparent explanation is the etent to lich nton-Ashraf groups those descended trout Hinduconverts relain the ideology of their aincesors ]vidence here suggests that in rural areas the extent is great

These data constitute a rich bodv ofrve rtatet il gatlicied in ile lutntab in 1979 by Sabiha If SvedIWomens Division Cabinet Secretariat (itivernment of Pakistan) (tordination of ilte project usasprovided by Peter C Smith (Iast-Wesl Populatiot Instittlel Similar tres erc conducted atl iboutthe same time in Indonesia thte Philippines and lhailand lhe tespective investigalors were Peter FMcDonald (Ausi-alian National ltiversitv Mercedes II CoitcepcionI tniversit ofthe Philippines) andAphichat Chamratrilhirong (Mahidol I niyersjtvi

See Suit 119571 and Andre s Morgan and Sonuist 119167 t- lie iustiication and method ofconversion from regression to intuliple clissilicatil uanalvsis otellicietlts The standard deviation is 1014ears cottnpaied tth 153 to as gtat as 2ol it the other three AMS

Countries For example the patlentci iiitrgeiterait l shilts i fitnik relatlonhips in llivrln slitius s tantalizing

contextual sintilarities to South Asiln societies Icf lIhor t1i11( hlng nd Still 1984)

A(K NI()VI)(F NTS The Asian Marriage Survey for Pakistat was carried out under US Agency forInternational Developmenl Grant DI)PSE-6-()048 The present research was conductshyed with supporl from the National Science Foundation (SES-8319904) Earlierversions of this paper were presented at tile East-West Population Institute

Wednesday Seminar and to a seminar at the Institute of Pakistan Studies Quaid-i-Azam University Islamahad We wish to thank the facitlt and students of Quaid-i-Azam University for their helpful Colllntls during the setninar In particularProfessor Dar Director of the Institule of Pakistan SIudics oflered especially usefulcriticisms We also acknowledge the comments of Furqan Ahmlad John BauerAndrew Cherlin Deborah Freedman Doris Nayyar and Arland Thornton onvarious earlier drafts while absolving all of them of any errors in our interpretationand analysis

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RECENT AVAILABLE REPRINTS OF THE EAST-WEST POPULATION INSTITUTE No 172 Conclusion by Lee-Jay Cho reprinted from The IndustrialFutureof the fIzcific Basin RogerBenjamin and Robert T Kudrle eds Westview Press Colorado 1984 173 Asian Labor Migration to the Middle East by Fred Arnold and Nasra M Shah reprinted

front InternationalMigration Review Sum mer 1984 174 Repeatability of infant deaths in Korea by Chai Bin Park and Alfred C Hexter reprinted

from nhternationaljournal of Epideniolhgy September 1984 175 Comparative analysis of fertility orientations World Fertility Survey findings by Lee-Jay Cho ind Louise Kantrow reprinted from Predicting Fertility DenographicStudies ofBirth Expectations Gerry E I lendershot and Paul J Placek eds Lexington Books DC

I leath and Company Massachusetts 1981 176 Census-derived estimates of fertility by duration since first marriage in the Republicof Korea by Robert 1) Retherlord ee-JaY Cho ard Narn-Il Kim reprinted from Deinogshy

raphy November 481 The value of daughters and sons A comparative study of the gender preferences of parshyents bv Fred Arnold and Eddie CY Kujo reprint_d from fournal of Comparative Fanih Studes Summer 1984

178 Analysing open birth interval distributions by Griffith FeeneY and John A Ross reprintedfrom Population Studies Novembet 1981

17 Population dynamics arid policy in the eoples Republic of China by Lee-jay Choreprinted from The Annals if TheAneirican Acadenii ufoPliticaland Sociai Science Chinain Transitim vol 476 Marvin F Wolfgang ed Sage lublications Beverly Hills Califorshynia 1984

180 Personal networks and the adoption of family planning in rural Korea by Joung ImKim arid Janmes A lihlmore reprinted from Journalov Population and I halth Studies Dshycember 1984

181 Determinants of birth-interval length in the Philippines Malaysia and Indonesia Ahazard-model analysis by James Trussell Linda G Martin Robert Feldman James APalmore Mercedes Concepcion and Datin Noor Laily lBt Dato Abu Bakar reprinted Denograply May 1985

182 Shadow households and competing auspices Migration behavior in the Philippinesby Fe Caces Fred Arnold Jame T Fawcett and Robert W Gardner reprinted fior lourshynal of Development Econonics lanuarv-February 1985 183 Perceptions of the value of children Satisfaction and costs by James 1 Rawcett reprinted

from Detrniinantsof lertiliti in Devehpin Counitries vol 1 Rodolfo A Bulatao and RonaldD Lee eds Acaderic Press Inc 1983 184 Diffusion processes affecting fertility regulation bv Robert I) Retherford and JamesA Palmore reprinted from Determiintsof lirtlityqin Dcvelopiing Countries vol 2 RodolfoA Bulatao and Ronald D Lee eds Academic Press Inc 1983 185 The impact of age at marriage and proportions marrying on fertility by Peter C Smithreprinted from Determinantsof lirtiilit in Develolmkg Countries vol 2 Rodolfo A gulatao

and Ronald D Lee eds Academic Press Inc 1983 186 Migration of women to cities The Asian situation in comparative perspective by Siew-Ean Khoo Peter C Smith and James T Fawcett reprinted from lnternationalMigration

Rtview Special Issue Noten in AlM ratin Winter 1984

187 Measuring the effect of sex preference on fertility The case of Korea by Fred Arnold ieprinted from Dernography May 1985

18 Exploring the normative basis for age at marriage in Thailand An example from focus group research by Anthony Pramualratana Napaporn Havanon and John Knodel reprinted from Journalof Marriageand the Family February 1985

189 The non-economic consequences of Asian labor migration to the Middle East by Nasra M Shah and Fred Arnold reprinted from International Union for the Scientific Study of Population lnternaitonalPopulation Conference Florence 1985 vol 3 1985

190 Parity progression projection by Griffith Feeney reprinted from International Union for the Scientific Study of Population InternationalPopiulation Conference Florence 1985 vol 4 1985

191 A theory of marita fertility transition by Robert D Retherford reprinted from Popula tion Studies July 1985

192 Cultural variations in the transition to marriage in four Asian societies by Paul Cheung Josefina Cabigon Aphichat Chamratrithirong Peter F McDonald Sabila Syed Andrew Cherlin and Peter C Smith reprinted from International Union for the Scientific Study of Population InternationalPopulation Conference Florence 1985 vol 3 1985

193 Decision making and sex selection with biased technologies by Neil GBennett and Andrew Mason reprinted from Sex Selection of Children Neil G Bennett ed Academic Press Inc 1983

194 US farm migration An application of the Harris-Todaro model by Daniel B Suits reprinted from Economic Development and Cultural Chang vol 33 no 4 1985

195 Health of Hlmong in Thailand Risk factors morbidity and mortality in comparison with other ethnic groups by Peter Kunstadter reprinted from Culture Medicine and Psyshychiairy vol 9 no 4 1985

196 Evaluation of contraceptive history data in the Republic of Korea by Anne R Pebley Noreen Goldman and Minja Kim Choe reprinted from Stldies ii Family PlanningJanushyaryFebruary 1986

197 Circulation between home and other places Some propositions by Murray Chapman and R Mansell Prothem and Me go walkabout you too by Murray Chapman reprinted from Circulationin Population Mozement Substance and Concepts fion tie Melnesian Case Murray Chapman and R Maniell Prothero eds Routledge amp Kegan Paul 1985

198 Fijians and Indo-Fijians in Suva Rural-urban movements and linkages by Shashikant Nair reprinted from Circulationin PopulationMovement Substance and Concepts fron the Melanesian Case Murray Chapman and R Mansell Prothero eds Routledge amp Kegan Paul 1985

199 Linkages between internal and international migration The Ilocos Norte experience by Fred Arnold and Ricardo G Abad reprinted from PhilippinePopulationJournalJune 1985

200 An economic analysis of recent fertility in Japan by Naohiro Ogawa and Andrew Mason reprinted from linko Gaku Kenkyu vol 9 May 1986

201 Averting crisis in Asia by Lee-jay Cho reprinted from Bulletin of the Atonic Scientists vol 42 no 4 1986

202 Sex preference fertility and family planning in China by Fred Arnold and Liu Zhao xiang reprinted from lPpulation am Development Review vol 12 no 2 1986

203 The place of child-spacing as a factor in infant mortality A recursive model by Chai Bin Park reprinted from American Journalof Public Health vol 76 no 8 1986

204 Determinants of Korean birth intervals The confrontation of theory and data by Larry L Bumpass Ronald R Rindfuss and James A Palmore reprinted from Po)pulationStudies vol 40 no 3 1986

Page 13: INSTITUTE timing strategies in Pakistan

499 Social Organization and Marriage Timing Strategies in Pakistan

never attended school alall The extent to which this is a phenomenon restricted to women is revealed by comparison of distributions for husbands and wives In nostratum is there a comparable percentage of men who have atiended school wiihotrtattainir-g a grade Our inclination is to interpret this in terms of the exchange value of women which we will discuss in a later section

Iinally we note the distribution of type of work before manage for womenWomen reporting 1io work at all appear to be from wealthier households with theability to afford ortholoXy We expect those women most restricted by purdah to bein this group Family work is defined as work within the household enterprisewhether farm trade or stnall-commodity production and wage work impliespayment from an enterprise other than the fatnilys It is important to realize thatthese wages are invariably turned over to the household head The distributions for frequenCV of meetings between spouses before marriage andchoice of spouse are given in table I only to show tileextent to which women lackcontrol in their marital decisions No wonman in the rural amtple reported any degreeof choice in her sousC other than the ratification of parental choice in tilenikah ceremony The extent of meetings between spouses beiore marriage on the otherhand most likely reflects meetings between couples before puberty and the need forpurdah A strong correlation between kinship and more frequent meetings suggests

this

Var6h1es

Taking each variable separately we discuss their construction and the rationalefor inclusion here

AK (itneM11rht This variable is coded from a straightforward question askingage at first menses It is possible that the importance of menarche in this settingencouiraged misitatement of actual ages (Paige and Paige 198179-82) Neverthelesswe retain the variable in the analysis because of its centrality in outr discussionRelationrship hetween aimilies heone marriag ()ur earlier discussion of thedegrees of relatedness within which marriaie may occur in Pakistan leads us todistinguish four categories For the rural stratin Three questions on the schedule

(124A-l124) are the isis for the coding Was your spouse related to you beforemarriage Were you r and his families friends or neighbors before marriage [lowwere you related We define as marrying within ile biradarioi tnlythose respondentswho explicitly identified their relationship with their spouse itsbeing throughpatrilineal kin Other degrees of relationship are defined as rishtdari usingassumpons based on the di sinclination to reverse wealth flows from generation togeneration and other Punjabi cultural values tcf Parrv 1979 Eglar 1960 Das 1973)

ltigVdit(fltI We incindC a vatriable for engagemeit before marriaue as anindicator of marriage fOrmality Th is is taken directly from a quest ion concerningwhether tlhc respondent was formally engaged

ivpe ofdorvrv This indicator measure the extent to which dowvrv was intendedto provide for the new household rather than attract a husband Traditional dowriestended to be conlined to household goods f0r the sc of the nc couple Recent years have seen the inflation of dowry to include money and cash goods throughoutSouth Asia othe abscnce of these is soirmething of ati indictlor of sociocconionlicstatus in modern marriages We include it here with the expectation that tile type ofdowry will also be related to tile arebargaining process (ash and luxury dowriesexpected to bea feature of hypergamous marriages

I ahle oflaynent to htushandr flmintv [his indlicator is codCd froni I directquestion to male respondents Though we might dotbt the accuracy of such

500 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 number 4 November 1986

responses in some contexts these payments are reported by ethnographers to be a source of some pride in Muslim marriages indeed a part of the wedding ceremony involves the declaration of gifts to the husbands family and the nature and value of items are recorded in a book as they are called out Thus we expect these responses to be very close to their true values and important indicators of marital transactions between families

tIaniogany We have constructed in indicator designed to roughly measure the relative homegamy of marriages by using land as an indicator of status We expectthis to be a good measure for rural households in which the agrarian economy makes land a critical productive resource Nevertheless we must stress that it is an imperfect measure of homogamy in spite of lands importance since we have no measure of relative amounts owned Hypergamous marriages are defined as those in which a landless womans family has made a marital link with a landed family whereas hypogamous marriages represent the opposite case In our initial analysis tand in table I) we broke marriages dok n into subgroups of landed and landless but these are combined in the analysis presented here since there was no difference between them

Wealth flows tt marriage This indicator is directly constructed from questionsabout the value of marital transactions in both directions In the analysis below we combine thoe categories in which wealth flows were either toward the wonins nata home or balanced since the Punjabi culural ideal is that flows should be tcward the husbands home IBut note evidence from elsewhere in South Asia of change in the direction of wealth flows (IIdcnbaum 1981 Caldwell Reddy and Caldwell 1982 1983 Crplan 1984))

Method o AnalYsis

We employ least squares regression to estimate the coelficients associated with variables taken as predictors of wives ages lt marriage The set of variables just discussed-the marriage-process variables-are distinguisoed from a set of backshyground or control variables All variables are ncasured as catcgories and are entered into the equations as dummy variables although a multiple classification analysisforinat has been used to present the result in tables 2 and 37 We present one unadjusted and two adjusied mean ages at marriage for each category in these tables The unadjusted column represents the effect of each indicator when its et of dummy varitbles is entered into the cquation by itself The first column of adjusted means reflects the effects when age at marriage is rcgrescd on the set of variables specified in the given table by themselves Adjusted means in the second colunn indicate the effec of each set of dunmmy variables entered along with all control and other

R2marriage-process variables The for each set of measures is the variance explained by that group of dummy variables above For the adjusted neans the incremental R-2s presented represent the additional variance explained by each set of dummy variables after all others have been entered into the equation for that column We ha- indicatcd significance levels up to the 010 level because the small sample tends to reduce significance levels even when the coefficients are quite large in absolute terms In fact nearly all variables shown to be significant at the 0 10 level are very close to the 0)0(6 level of significance

RESITl I S

Table 2 presents the results of our regression for those background variables not directly tested here In general we find that those that are significant by themselves retain their significance even after other variables are entered We can see from this

501 Soial Organization and Marriage Timing Strategies in Pakistan

Table 2-Mean age at marriage hy background variables unadjusted and adjusted

Mean age atmarriage Number 0Variable Unadjusteda Adjusted Adjustdc of cases

Cohortd lt30 173 171 171 84 30-34 176 177 173 20 35-39 166 167 165 31 40-45

(Increment in R2 ) 173 (010)

176 (010)

179 (020)

30

Class backgrounde Farmer 172 172 172 88 Agricultural laboLer 164 167 167 3e Blue collarprofessional 180 177 177 39 (Increment in R2) (034) (012) (012)

Womans education No schooling 161 163 164 72 Attended 0 attairment 177 173 175 74 1-12 years completed (Increment in R2)

193 (124)

191 (090-)

185 (045 )

19

Womans occupational status before marriage

Family work or no work 177 176 176 92 Wage work 165 167 165 73

(Increment in R2) (041) (021) (038)

r(ran1 mean 172 Total cases 165

R2 for all background variables 171

R2 controlling for marriage process variables 124

a Zero-order mean b Controlling for other background variables c Controlling for other background variables and all family process

variables d Age at survey date e Fathers occupation at time of womans birth

significant at the 01 level significant at the 05 level significant at the 10 level

tabulation that there are no cohort trends in marriage age in our sample of women and that class background appears to make little difference in marriage timing once controls are included in the equation The moc-t interesting pattern in educational effects on marriage age is with that group of women who have attended school hut never finished a grade These women marry a full year later t ian those who have never attended even after controls are entered We also note iatwomen who work for wages before marriage marry a year younger on ihe averae than those who work for their families The latter two results are not predicted by the standard theories of marriage Nevertheless the overall results presented in table 2 support the imporshy

502 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 number 4 N3vember 1986 tance of education and occupation as components of the complete explanation ofmarriage timing The background vaiables by themselves account for 17 percent ofthe variation in marriage age and continue to account for over 12 percent of thatvariation even after adjustment for marriage-process variables

Turning to table 3 we can more precisely see the contribution of our marriageshyprocess variables to the egt plaration Looking at the zero-order relationships firstwe see that three of these-the relationship between families before marriage valueof dowry and marital homogamy-make large and statistically significant contribushytions to marital timing At this level we find good support for our hypothesesconcerning the effects of each of these variables on marriage age Thus the earlymarriers categorized by relationships are those whose marriages are contractedwith strangers followed by those married within the patriline The latest marriers arethose who marry nonpatrilincally related kin or into vart ri groups We also find thatvalue of payments to hubarids family is positively associated with marriage ageOur hypothesis concerning marital homogamy and marriage agc receives moremixed support Wonen in hypogamous union are the latest marricrs as predictedbut not as expected hypergamously married women not the eariiest marriagesare

Other hypotheses receive no support at this level Age at menarche appears tohave a weak positive relationship wivh age at marriage but the result is notsignificant and the Rshyincrement is quite small Nor does engagement status dowrytype or direction of wealth flows make any significant difference to marriage ageWhen we enter controls for other marriage-process variables (cf first adjustedmean) wealth qows ichieve significance in reiation to marriage age and in thepredicted direction but no other variable shifts toward significance in this way

The absence of a positive relationship between age at nenarche and marriagetiming is notable since a significant relationshIip has been reported ini a wide varietyof social settings (Udry and Cliquet 1982) One possible explanation is attenuationdue to misstatement of actual ages at first menses We have already cited Paige andPaige 11981) in this connection and the age pattern of menses ages in our data suggests some convergence of responses on normative ages Yet other relationishipsin our data arc consistent with accurately reported ages at menarche For examplecross-tabulalions of age at first menses and whether a woman was formally engagedbefore narriage show that lower ages at menarche are associated with the absence ofengagement This is n expected relationship our hypotheses predict a speeding up(f the marriage process lic menarche is relatively early one way to achieve this isthrough the deletion of certain elements in the process Further indication ofaccurately reportedi ages at menarhe appears when we consider the relationshipbetween age at first menses and age at marriage separately for landed and landlesshouseholds Within the landless group there is no relationship Among landedhouseholds on the other hand there is a consistent rise in the age at marriage with age at menarche-from 169 for those who experience mcenarche before age 13 to182 for those who experience menarche after age 13 This is as predicied sincelanded households are the most likely to contract marriages with unrelated familiesin which the element of risk and concern about chastity weigh the heaviest

In general the marriage-process variables retain iheir effects when controls areentered although there is a slight weakening in the levels of significance Given arelatively small sample size our results provide heartening support for a theory ofmarriage that includes social-structural and transactional elements The full regresshysion results (not shown here) show thai all of these variables together account for over 27 percent of the variance in marriage timing in the rural sample Our analysisshows that both the standard background or control variables a-d the more

503 Social Organization and Marriage Timing Strategies in Pakistan

Table 3-Mean age at marriage by marriage process variables unadjusted and adjusted

Mean age at marriage NumberdegVariable Unadjusteda Adjusted Adjusted of cases

Relationship between families before marriageNo relationship 163 162 165 49Biradari 169 171 169 32 HishtadariVartan

2178 178 177 84

(Increment in R ) (046) (049) (026)

Age at menarche lt13 169 171 170 65 13 173 172 174 57

gt13 174 172 172 43 (Increment in R2 ) (004) (000) (003)

Engagement status Not engaged 172 174 172 70Engaged

2172 171 171 95

(Increment in R ) (000) (002) (000)

Type of dowryNoneHousehold goods 170 173 173 56 CashLuxuries 173 171

2 171 109 (Increment in R ) (001) (001) (002)

Value of payments to husbands family

0-499 rupees 161 155 159 26 500-999 rupees 167 165 166 25 1000 or more rupees 175 177 176 1142(Increment in R ) (036) (052) (026)

Marriage typeHypergamoua union 173 171 174 27 Isogamous uniond 169 169 168 121Hypogamous union 189 194 192 172(Increment in R ) (042) (060) (046)

Wealth flows at marriage BalancedTowards wifes

family 171 178 178 76 Toward husbands family 173 167 -67 892(IncremenL in R ) (001) (021) (022)

Grand mean 172 Total cases 165

R2 for all marriage process variables 147

R2 controlling for background variables 101

a Zero-order mean b Controlling for other marriage process variables c Controlling for other marriage process variables and all background

variables d Between two landed or between two landless families

oignificant at 01 significant at the 05 level

s the level

significant at the 10 level

504 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 number 4 November 1986

structural and cultural variables account for their own parts of this variance Thus background variables explain a unique 12 percent of the variance and the marriageshyprocess variables explain an additional 10 percent The remaining 52 percent is explained jointly by the two sets of variables

Our analysis supports most of our hypotheses and on balance reinforces the perspective from which they are derived Regarding I-1-that marriage between unrelated groups will result in the youngest and marriage between rishtadari and vartan groups the latest ages at marriage-we have complete support More than a year separates the oldest and youngest groups even after all controls are entered

Our second hypothesis-that education will be positively associated with marshyriage-is also supported We have included this variable with the other backgroundfactors because superficially this relationship is hardly surprising Nevertheless the significant increase of a year in marriage age that occurs even when a grade of school isnot completed suggests an unconventional interpretation of the importanceof education in this setting Thus education must have its effects because of the symbolic value it has fbr the wife-receivers in the arriage transaction rather than because of it impact on the wonman herself

H3 concerning the positive relationship between dowry vaIC and age at marriage is supported here with more than a year and ihalf separating earliest and latest marrying groups This is true even with controls for class background and the inflation of dowry values that we might expect to be associated with class background

Our fourth hypothesis concerning the relationship between lionioganiv and marriage age receives only mixed support Hypogamously marrying women are the latest marriers by nearly two years That hypergrrmous marricrs are not the yonngest may be because using lnded status results in an imperfect measure

Finally H6-that marriage age will be negatively associated with wealth flows to the husbands family-is supported only after controls for other marriage-processvariables are included The meaning of this pattern is uncleCar and may be a function of an association between dowry value and wealth flow not yet investigated

Our hypothesis concerning engagement and menarche has not Found support in this analysis We have already mentioned possible problems with the menarchevariable Our phrasing of the engagement hypothesis issuch that a zero-order effect should have been evident and disappearet when the control for relationship between families is entered That no zero-order effect was evident suggests that our association of engagement with socially riskier marriages is wrong Rather engageshyment may be considered a component of all marriages its association with later menarche alluded to earlier suggests that elements of the marriage process may be altered in response to unpredictable events

DISCUSSION

Our perspective couched in ethnographic knowledge of Punjabi social organizashytion and the culturally determined roles of women receives strong support from this analysis This is not to argue that the more standard development indicators are unimportant in explanations of marriage timing Rather we have demonstrated that a more complete understanding will be gained by considering the ranges of behavior permitted and forbidden in particular cultural settings

The results further encourage such comparative analyses by cautioning againsttaking pretransition settings to be without individual-level variation in behavior To say that a society is organized patrilineally or that inheritance is partible is not enough Even in Pakistani Punjab where the constraints of ideology on behavior

505 Social Organization and Marriage Timing Strategies in Pakistan

may be thought of as especially powerful we have shown that there is room for flexible responses that have their impact on marriage timing

We have used the rural Punjab case to present a model in which the alliance function of marriage is very important We suggest that the underlying componentsof such a society include its agrarian orientation and its unilineal kinship organizashytion It is possible that the model we have begun to develop here will find useful application in other partrilineal rural settings in the rest of South Asia and elseshywhere

Finally a note on social change We consciously directed our attention to a pretransition setting to highlight the need to consider the cultural and social milieu from which populations move as they undergo transition Interpretations of the transition in marriage behavior and its consequences for fertility begin to go astraywhen they focus unduly on individuals while ignoring issues of social structure and social control Education is not always related to the autonomy of women Caldwells finding that women in South India may be educated by their parents toenhance their marriageability (Caldwell Reddy and Caldwell 1982) finds parallels in our Punjabi analysis Similarly there is strong support here for a perspective that looks at marriage within the whole context of productive relationships

This has implications for the way we conceive of the interaction between valuesand institutions in social change Education of women for example although an innovative institutional feature within the rural setting seems to have unexpectedeffects on marriage timing that can be adequately explained only with reference to an extant value system or cultural milieu The extent to which this system retains its hold on the rural Punjab is evident from the strength of the marriage-processvariables in our analysis All of the hypotheses concerning their effects assume traditional values for the area Similarly the association of wage work with younger ages at marriage makes sense when we consider the risks to a daughtersmarriageability that come from exposure to extra-domestic influences Rather than suggesting some sort of cultural stasis however we argue that change will occur Our point is that the effects of these institutional components of transition will not be uniform across cultural settings Innovations will have their initial effects on behavior in ways that are corsistent with existing cultural values and these effects may be surprising

There is a clear call here for the inclusion of indicators for these effects in social surveys We have been able to explore these issues only because the AMS was designed to evoke culture-specific features of the marriage process Such data are rare however and in any case the social survey alone should not be expected to provide detailed models that allow us to make cultural sense of these processes (cfCaldwell Reddy and Caldwell 1984) We have also been fortunate in being able to use ethnographic sources in developing our interpretation although our sources for ethnographic and survey data are often separated by approximately two decades and none of the ethnographies describes the same villages in which the survey was conducted As a closing comment that cannot be fully elaborated here we suggestthe need to develop methodologies that combine survey and ethnographic data collection in formal and complementary ways

NOTES Sahlins calls this type of economy the domestic mode of production (1972) Among its characterisshy

tics are that it is an economy of production for use---ne penetrated with such noneconomic claims as ritual ceremonial and social diversion and one organized around donestic groups usually the family

2 Important examinations of the alliance theme appear in Dumont (1993) Parry (1979) and Yalman (1971) and its central importance in Muslim areas is documented in Eglar (1960) and Naveed-i-Rahat

506 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 number 4 November 1986 (1981) The nature of status and hierarchy as a cross-cutting feature of social organization and marriagemay be examined in Fruzzetti and Oster (1982) I Ahmad (1978) Korson (1971) and S Ahmad (1977)See Ortner (1981) for another treatment of wonlens stalus in hierarchic il settings Finally iherelationship between wealth flows marriage and hierarchy is treated in Tantbiah ( 1973ab) Caplan(194) and Gough (1956) in addition it) the above sources

Important differences in the definition of biradari sugges that -glar may have overslated the degree towhich patriline and biradari identify the same group For the Raiputs in Kangra biradari refers to group of clans within which marriages may be contracted in equalitI lParr the

19794) and AhIttad ( 19741571suggested that the biradari is a wider group than the ittediate patriline in Pakistan as well In any casethe breadth of the group to tich hiradari can appl seetis to be soitewhat dependent on context I Eglar196076) and we will restrict its meaning in this paper to palriline Also see lrtlzetti 1192115-116) for a parallel Bengali level of social i)rganization I Hypergamy refers to marriages it hich wives marr into higher statu families (otmpare wihhomogamy for marriages bet een faiimilies of equal statiu and lvpogaltv ill thich kotneninar intolower status families

Korson (1979150-151) in contrast reports a pattern for urban Pakistat il Mich these saneexchange marriages are desirable unions SirnilLrlv tlershinim (1981193) ieports that the Sikhs andHindus in the part of Indian lunjab where lie orkeitegarded such niarriage as quintesential] MusliitThe apparent explanation is the etent to lich nton-Ashraf groups those descended trout Hinduconverts relain the ideology of their aincesors ]vidence here suggests that in rural areas the extent is great

These data constitute a rich bodv ofrve rtatet il gatlicied in ile lutntab in 1979 by Sabiha If SvedIWomens Division Cabinet Secretariat (itivernment of Pakistan) (tordination of ilte project usasprovided by Peter C Smith (Iast-Wesl Populatiot Instittlel Similar tres erc conducted atl iboutthe same time in Indonesia thte Philippines and lhailand lhe tespective investigalors were Peter FMcDonald (Ausi-alian National ltiversitv Mercedes II CoitcepcionI tniversit ofthe Philippines) andAphichat Chamratrilhirong (Mahidol I niyersjtvi

See Suit 119571 and Andre s Morgan and Sonuist 119167 t- lie iustiication and method ofconversion from regression to intuliple clissilicatil uanalvsis otellicietlts The standard deviation is 1014ears cottnpaied tth 153 to as gtat as 2ol it the other three AMS

Countries For example the patlentci iiitrgeiterait l shilts i fitnik relatlonhips in llivrln slitius s tantalizing

contextual sintilarities to South Asiln societies Icf lIhor t1i11( hlng nd Still 1984)

A(K NI()VI)(F NTS The Asian Marriage Survey for Pakistat was carried out under US Agency forInternational Developmenl Grant DI)PSE-6-()048 The present research was conductshyed with supporl from the National Science Foundation (SES-8319904) Earlierversions of this paper were presented at tile East-West Population Institute

Wednesday Seminar and to a seminar at the Institute of Pakistan Studies Quaid-i-Azam University Islamahad We wish to thank the facitlt and students of Quaid-i-Azam University for their helpful Colllntls during the setninar In particularProfessor Dar Director of the Institule of Pakistan SIudics oflered especially usefulcriticisms We also acknowledge the comments of Furqan Ahmlad John BauerAndrew Cherlin Deborah Freedman Doris Nayyar and Arland Thornton onvarious earlier drafts while absolving all of them of any errors in our interpretationand analysis

R F - RFN( ES Ahiad 1 1978 Fndoganiy ird siaUs mohilit antong Siuldiqui lteikhs tl Allahlhad Itar radeslh Pp171-211 in I Ahinad (ct (t t t ui t fl otltili loi ot fiesthti iii In ha 2nd edt New

Delhi Manohar Ahnuad S 1974 A village in Palkistani Ilani ah jalpal 11p131-1 72in C Malones led) South siaSerei (ommunttv Prefii Nes Yuik tloll Rinehart and Winston

1977 (Clo anl en rt in I i uniai Villae Nesy York Monthil Revie s PressAndrews F M J N Morgan and J A Stiquist 197 Mulliph (latilit aion Attalvsi Ann ArborMich Institute for Soicial Researci

Social Organization and Marriage Timing Strategies in Pakistan 507 BIloch NI 1973 The long term and the Nhor tern The economic and politicil signiticance of the morality

of kinship P1p75-87 in J (oody led) Ihe (hvlero Kinihip (anthridge Cambridge Univerit Press

Cain 1198 1 Risk and insurance Perspectives on tertilith and agrarian change in India and Ilangladesh 11opidation ad A 7435-474I)e eloliintReiuit

1982 Perspectives on family aind ferfilil indeveloping countnres )opuhtlion Stuldie 36159-175Cain M S R Khanutin and S N ahar 1979 (lass paiiriarchv and wtomens ork in Iangladesh

PopulhtionOtand Itl-riivt Reti- 5415-438 Caidwell J C 1982 1ttry ot Iertiitv lI line Nesk York Acaderni (iesCaldell 1 C P1II Redd and 1(aldell 1982 The cause of dernographic change in rural South

India A tilcro-approach Iopuhltitonitn I)o velopment Rviit- 8689-727 - 1983 The ctuse of larliage change in South India Iopiliation Stidiv37343-3(1 - 1984 The micro-approach in delographic investligation lovird a methodology Paper presented

at IUSSP Micro-l)emographN Working Group Conference Australian Naiotil UniversityCaplitn I 1984 Itldegloiin price it turhan India (lass CaSte and do rv evil amiong Christians ir

Miatdra Man 19210-233 Carleton R () 1975 Educattion and fertiltis (p 115-166 sit IV V Mtihmi ledIi ldination anid

Iuoptutn Ahloitl IlilI t ielgillill IUSSI (herlin A J P C S1ttln I ricke I I)omiingo Adioetonio A (hliiiittrlhirong atnd S II Sed

I985a tfttll inltience iln the (tilting ti imirriage IFiletcc ll)tt Itlil Atin Nocleties (1Ipcr preeiltedilt lrkshop (htigiig MNIiriiage 1t1 lie Itil iii Asia Sila I hiallild Feb 21-24

- -1985h Etlicition ind age titmarriage |-itdence (ront Itcir Asinll ocleIe Papel presented lt torkslht Chanlging Mlartiage and tihe Fanil in Asia Silta Il tild Feb 21-24Cochrane S 1 19710 Iitttft and I~dtaitiol Mihat A) tii Rctilx A m Ittnloic Ill John IHopkins I rniverit Prcss

l)as 1973 Ifie strictiure oll timtanae preferences kii ilttouli (lit kistit fictilcti l1(1n8311-45 Du ont I 198 Ilierrch and marriage allitnce in Soulh lndimii kinslip tt iginllll published 1957)

Pp 18- ((4 in L I)tinot fetl) Alitv it a Value lrrtAtct- lilh cIllnSoti India With Coiptlirtllt i s1111 oit lrtit (Chicagio inilersit of Chica eol ess)Non I_ and Ntllre 1983 (In kinship Ntrlictlre fcnilile t lmld denographic behavior inthonliihIthaI 1qttaw anid Ikitl lopit~tnt Rtivt 9)1-00l

Lglr Z 19610A Piniali Iill in tAiti Ne )ioik (oltinibit niersit PressF-ores 11958 Introdtuction Ip 1-14 it J (iootl led I IH+ithI lop etal( irhi Plottiesih Groupsl Cambridge UK (Caubridge Liiciy r IcS

louster B 1978 I)(Inlestlc deveopIientiIl ccles is a link letsen ptoplaitilon plioces es and olher social processes Joturnall I ltleult It 14411-44 I0lnlthrol Rckea1tl

|os R 1967 Kiittitip lt(I l littwtt -h alrl UK PenguinAittthrohe11 1 IIttnlondirth

PressFrutietm IL 11982 Iif (|It oit ti t tireint lioic IhlttlQ1 and itu~al tit it Bit+eah S wit Ne

l iti-ick NJ R tgers lI r isti PicrNe lHtietti I_ d A (ster t1982 11dblood Ill CIngA (teglor and illcct Il the tdlI of kinship

caste and unliitig- I1p I-s5 ii A (slet L Friwulett intl S 1litt1te10 ds) (npt11 0 lrtinKtill tlp ( -ivt wild Altnrl~ e ill bidhw (itnlih idge l~t ut i~d tUniiecsil Ilrt

Giotugh K 19 HItlhntin kinship ill a itnlil village At l lilt lthqohwit SS 26-851 Ilerhnmn P 1981 IotitiiotKi(htl andl fIitnitc)elhi Iindilslatn ItibhhingKeeing R 1975 KiN (roup io1 itl ttt+tt- Net York ll1 Riniehrl ind Wilton Korson I If Fid in il1971 ldgilltotis ntirrige ti idtitit Mutslimn olct est (kisaltri ll141r114101Ciparative tivhStudieN 213 I145-15i - --- 179 ModeltliualtI iiJ sicial chang-T ihe latitil n Ilktiliti Pp Iitl)0-20 7 it NI Singh I)a and

1) 1) tardi+ teds) Dii I-aitiAv ill l ti I|ondon Allen miid ittLesthiteghe R 1980 ()rl the social control of hunlmin ieproduclto Poidau~tio-iand A-lophiticniRevielt 6527- 548

ii+lenhitn (1) l r (ichalgiI alilA Ilanlnmt 12(l 109II4-401

9 itpicitiins illlen g Illltge nlItiSt nn111InIIIangJduesthlt dii itt

Mits n K () 1484 Thc sdltlus k+o111cent1 ilorit ofilf fertlmhl atnd A it~ik inlte ktjn hips Universit of Michigaipulation Studies (Centel Resetich Report 84-58

NIeNicoll i 1980 Instltiuional determinants II lertilits chang olation hld iloptlnliit Reviit 6441-462

Naveed-i-Ribal 1981 (he role of wonen in reciprocal relation hlip titi Iinlhab village Ip 47-81 in T SEpstein and R A Walli leds )7 Inhi Iay ot Calt Matlraltit Rtiral Wottnnlmli New York Perganon Prcss

Ortner S B 1981 (lender and semiality in hierarchical societie The cae of Polynesia and some

508 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 number 4 November 1986

comparative implications Pp 359-409 in S 13Ortner and H Whitehead (eds) Sexual Meanings The Cultural Construction of Gender and Sesuality Cambridge UK Cambridge University Press

Paige K E and J M Paige 1981 The Politics of Reproductive Ritual Berkeley University of California Press

Papanek H 1984 False specialization and the purdah of scholarship-A review article Journal ofAsian Studies 44127-148

Parry J P 1979 Caste and Kinship in Kangra London Routledge and Kegan Paul Ryder N 131975 Fertility measurement through cross-sectional surveys Social Forcei 547-35

1983 Fertility and family structure Population Bulletin olfthe United Nations 1515-34 Sahlins M 1972 Stone Age Econoinici New York Aldine Slocum W L J Akhtar and A FSahi 1959 Villaie Libf+ in lahome District Lahore University of the

Punjab Social Science Research Centre Smith P C 1980 Asian marriage patterns in tt insition Journal ufl aind 1Iistory 556-96

1983 The impact of age at marriage and proportions marrying on fertility Pp 473-531 in R Bulatao and R Iee (eds) termniinantv Academicof Ferility in 1) veloping Countries New York Press

Smith P C and M 1 Karim 1980 Urbanization education and marriage patterns Four cases from Asia No 71 in Paprs of Ih a t- PopIda Ihnoulti Hi East-West PopulationPpultion Institute Institute

Suits DB 1957 Use of dttiunlut variables in regression equations Journal tit the Anerican Statitical Asociation 52548-551

Tambiah S J 1973a Dowry aud bridewealth and the property rights of women in South Asia Pp 51)-1(9in JGoody and SJTarnhiah (eds) Bridei cilthand I)m rvCambridge UK Cambridge University Press

1973b From arna to caste through mixed unions lp 191-229 in JGoody edlI 1he Character ofKinhip Cat ibridge UK Cambridge University Press

Tandon P 1968 Punjahi (Centurv1857-1947 Berkeley niversuty of California Press Thadani V 1978 The logic of sentiment The fansily and social change opulation and )evelopment

Review 4457-499 Thornton A M C Chang and T-H Stin 1984 Social and ecootrtuic change intrgeneratlonal

relationships and family formation in laisman 1)cinoyraphv 21475-499 Udry JR and R L Cliquet 1982 A criiss-cultural esamination of the relationship between ages at

menarche marriage and first birth Dmnnographv 1953-63 Vreede-de Stuers C 1968 Parda A Stidv of luslji )loonenlife illNoritiern India New York

Humanities Press Yalman N 1971 Under the Bo Tree Studies inCaie Kinship and Marriage in the Interior ofCeyhi

Berkeley University of California Press

177

RECENT AVAILABLE REPRINTS OF THE EAST-WEST POPULATION INSTITUTE No 172 Conclusion by Lee-Jay Cho reprinted from The IndustrialFutureof the fIzcific Basin RogerBenjamin and Robert T Kudrle eds Westview Press Colorado 1984 173 Asian Labor Migration to the Middle East by Fred Arnold and Nasra M Shah reprinted

front InternationalMigration Review Sum mer 1984 174 Repeatability of infant deaths in Korea by Chai Bin Park and Alfred C Hexter reprinted

from nhternationaljournal of Epideniolhgy September 1984 175 Comparative analysis of fertility orientations World Fertility Survey findings by Lee-Jay Cho ind Louise Kantrow reprinted from Predicting Fertility DenographicStudies ofBirth Expectations Gerry E I lendershot and Paul J Placek eds Lexington Books DC

I leath and Company Massachusetts 1981 176 Census-derived estimates of fertility by duration since first marriage in the Republicof Korea by Robert 1) Retherlord ee-JaY Cho ard Narn-Il Kim reprinted from Deinogshy

raphy November 481 The value of daughters and sons A comparative study of the gender preferences of parshyents bv Fred Arnold and Eddie CY Kujo reprint_d from fournal of Comparative Fanih Studes Summer 1984

178 Analysing open birth interval distributions by Griffith FeeneY and John A Ross reprintedfrom Population Studies Novembet 1981

17 Population dynamics arid policy in the eoples Republic of China by Lee-jay Choreprinted from The Annals if TheAneirican Acadenii ufoPliticaland Sociai Science Chinain Transitim vol 476 Marvin F Wolfgang ed Sage lublications Beverly Hills Califorshynia 1984

180 Personal networks and the adoption of family planning in rural Korea by Joung ImKim arid Janmes A lihlmore reprinted from Journalov Population and I halth Studies Dshycember 1984

181 Determinants of birth-interval length in the Philippines Malaysia and Indonesia Ahazard-model analysis by James Trussell Linda G Martin Robert Feldman James APalmore Mercedes Concepcion and Datin Noor Laily lBt Dato Abu Bakar reprinted Denograply May 1985

182 Shadow households and competing auspices Migration behavior in the Philippinesby Fe Caces Fred Arnold Jame T Fawcett and Robert W Gardner reprinted fior lourshynal of Development Econonics lanuarv-February 1985 183 Perceptions of the value of children Satisfaction and costs by James 1 Rawcett reprinted

from Detrniinantsof lertiliti in Devehpin Counitries vol 1 Rodolfo A Bulatao and RonaldD Lee eds Acaderic Press Inc 1983 184 Diffusion processes affecting fertility regulation bv Robert I) Retherford and JamesA Palmore reprinted from Determiintsof lirtlityqin Dcvelopiing Countries vol 2 RodolfoA Bulatao and Ronald D Lee eds Academic Press Inc 1983 185 The impact of age at marriage and proportions marrying on fertility by Peter C Smithreprinted from Determinantsof lirtiilit in Develolmkg Countries vol 2 Rodolfo A gulatao

and Ronald D Lee eds Academic Press Inc 1983 186 Migration of women to cities The Asian situation in comparative perspective by Siew-Ean Khoo Peter C Smith and James T Fawcett reprinted from lnternationalMigration

Rtview Special Issue Noten in AlM ratin Winter 1984

187 Measuring the effect of sex preference on fertility The case of Korea by Fred Arnold ieprinted from Dernography May 1985

18 Exploring the normative basis for age at marriage in Thailand An example from focus group research by Anthony Pramualratana Napaporn Havanon and John Knodel reprinted from Journalof Marriageand the Family February 1985

189 The non-economic consequences of Asian labor migration to the Middle East by Nasra M Shah and Fred Arnold reprinted from International Union for the Scientific Study of Population lnternaitonalPopulation Conference Florence 1985 vol 3 1985

190 Parity progression projection by Griffith Feeney reprinted from International Union for the Scientific Study of Population InternationalPopiulation Conference Florence 1985 vol 4 1985

191 A theory of marita fertility transition by Robert D Retherford reprinted from Popula tion Studies July 1985

192 Cultural variations in the transition to marriage in four Asian societies by Paul Cheung Josefina Cabigon Aphichat Chamratrithirong Peter F McDonald Sabila Syed Andrew Cherlin and Peter C Smith reprinted from International Union for the Scientific Study of Population InternationalPopulation Conference Florence 1985 vol 3 1985

193 Decision making and sex selection with biased technologies by Neil GBennett and Andrew Mason reprinted from Sex Selection of Children Neil G Bennett ed Academic Press Inc 1983

194 US farm migration An application of the Harris-Todaro model by Daniel B Suits reprinted from Economic Development and Cultural Chang vol 33 no 4 1985

195 Health of Hlmong in Thailand Risk factors morbidity and mortality in comparison with other ethnic groups by Peter Kunstadter reprinted from Culture Medicine and Psyshychiairy vol 9 no 4 1985

196 Evaluation of contraceptive history data in the Republic of Korea by Anne R Pebley Noreen Goldman and Minja Kim Choe reprinted from Stldies ii Family PlanningJanushyaryFebruary 1986

197 Circulation between home and other places Some propositions by Murray Chapman and R Mansell Prothem and Me go walkabout you too by Murray Chapman reprinted from Circulationin Population Mozement Substance and Concepts fion tie Melnesian Case Murray Chapman and R Maniell Prothero eds Routledge amp Kegan Paul 1985

198 Fijians and Indo-Fijians in Suva Rural-urban movements and linkages by Shashikant Nair reprinted from Circulationin PopulationMovement Substance and Concepts fron the Melanesian Case Murray Chapman and R Mansell Prothero eds Routledge amp Kegan Paul 1985

199 Linkages between internal and international migration The Ilocos Norte experience by Fred Arnold and Ricardo G Abad reprinted from PhilippinePopulationJournalJune 1985

200 An economic analysis of recent fertility in Japan by Naohiro Ogawa and Andrew Mason reprinted from linko Gaku Kenkyu vol 9 May 1986

201 Averting crisis in Asia by Lee-jay Cho reprinted from Bulletin of the Atonic Scientists vol 42 no 4 1986

202 Sex preference fertility and family planning in China by Fred Arnold and Liu Zhao xiang reprinted from lPpulation am Development Review vol 12 no 2 1986

203 The place of child-spacing as a factor in infant mortality A recursive model by Chai Bin Park reprinted from American Journalof Public Health vol 76 no 8 1986

204 Determinants of Korean birth intervals The confrontation of theory and data by Larry L Bumpass Ronald R Rindfuss and James A Palmore reprinted from Po)pulationStudies vol 40 no 3 1986

Page 14: INSTITUTE timing strategies in Pakistan

500 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 number 4 November 1986

responses in some contexts these payments are reported by ethnographers to be a source of some pride in Muslim marriages indeed a part of the wedding ceremony involves the declaration of gifts to the husbands family and the nature and value of items are recorded in a book as they are called out Thus we expect these responses to be very close to their true values and important indicators of marital transactions between families

tIaniogany We have constructed in indicator designed to roughly measure the relative homegamy of marriages by using land as an indicator of status We expectthis to be a good measure for rural households in which the agrarian economy makes land a critical productive resource Nevertheless we must stress that it is an imperfect measure of homogamy in spite of lands importance since we have no measure of relative amounts owned Hypergamous marriages are defined as those in which a landless womans family has made a marital link with a landed family whereas hypogamous marriages represent the opposite case In our initial analysis tand in table I) we broke marriages dok n into subgroups of landed and landless but these are combined in the analysis presented here since there was no difference between them

Wealth flows tt marriage This indicator is directly constructed from questionsabout the value of marital transactions in both directions In the analysis below we combine thoe categories in which wealth flows were either toward the wonins nata home or balanced since the Punjabi culural ideal is that flows should be tcward the husbands home IBut note evidence from elsewhere in South Asia of change in the direction of wealth flows (IIdcnbaum 1981 Caldwell Reddy and Caldwell 1982 1983 Crplan 1984))

Method o AnalYsis

We employ least squares regression to estimate the coelficients associated with variables taken as predictors of wives ages lt marriage The set of variables just discussed-the marriage-process variables-are distinguisoed from a set of backshyground or control variables All variables are ncasured as catcgories and are entered into the equations as dummy variables although a multiple classification analysisforinat has been used to present the result in tables 2 and 37 We present one unadjusted and two adjusied mean ages at marriage for each category in these tables The unadjusted column represents the effect of each indicator when its et of dummy varitbles is entered into the cquation by itself The first column of adjusted means reflects the effects when age at marriage is rcgrescd on the set of variables specified in the given table by themselves Adjusted means in the second colunn indicate the effec of each set of dunmmy variables entered along with all control and other

R2marriage-process variables The for each set of measures is the variance explained by that group of dummy variables above For the adjusted neans the incremental R-2s presented represent the additional variance explained by each set of dummy variables after all others have been entered into the equation for that column We ha- indicatcd significance levels up to the 010 level because the small sample tends to reduce significance levels even when the coefficients are quite large in absolute terms In fact nearly all variables shown to be significant at the 0 10 level are very close to the 0)0(6 level of significance

RESITl I S

Table 2 presents the results of our regression for those background variables not directly tested here In general we find that those that are significant by themselves retain their significance even after other variables are entered We can see from this

501 Soial Organization and Marriage Timing Strategies in Pakistan

Table 2-Mean age at marriage hy background variables unadjusted and adjusted

Mean age atmarriage Number 0Variable Unadjusteda Adjusted Adjustdc of cases

Cohortd lt30 173 171 171 84 30-34 176 177 173 20 35-39 166 167 165 31 40-45

(Increment in R2 ) 173 (010)

176 (010)

179 (020)

30

Class backgrounde Farmer 172 172 172 88 Agricultural laboLer 164 167 167 3e Blue collarprofessional 180 177 177 39 (Increment in R2) (034) (012) (012)

Womans education No schooling 161 163 164 72 Attended 0 attairment 177 173 175 74 1-12 years completed (Increment in R2)

193 (124)

191 (090-)

185 (045 )

19

Womans occupational status before marriage

Family work or no work 177 176 176 92 Wage work 165 167 165 73

(Increment in R2) (041) (021) (038)

r(ran1 mean 172 Total cases 165

R2 for all background variables 171

R2 controlling for marriage process variables 124

a Zero-order mean b Controlling for other background variables c Controlling for other background variables and all family process

variables d Age at survey date e Fathers occupation at time of womans birth

significant at the 01 level significant at the 05 level significant at the 10 level

tabulation that there are no cohort trends in marriage age in our sample of women and that class background appears to make little difference in marriage timing once controls are included in the equation The moc-t interesting pattern in educational effects on marriage age is with that group of women who have attended school hut never finished a grade These women marry a full year later t ian those who have never attended even after controls are entered We also note iatwomen who work for wages before marriage marry a year younger on ihe averae than those who work for their families The latter two results are not predicted by the standard theories of marriage Nevertheless the overall results presented in table 2 support the imporshy

502 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 number 4 N3vember 1986 tance of education and occupation as components of the complete explanation ofmarriage timing The background vaiables by themselves account for 17 percent ofthe variation in marriage age and continue to account for over 12 percent of thatvariation even after adjustment for marriage-process variables

Turning to table 3 we can more precisely see the contribution of our marriageshyprocess variables to the egt plaration Looking at the zero-order relationships firstwe see that three of these-the relationship between families before marriage valueof dowry and marital homogamy-make large and statistically significant contribushytions to marital timing At this level we find good support for our hypothesesconcerning the effects of each of these variables on marriage age Thus the earlymarriers categorized by relationships are those whose marriages are contractedwith strangers followed by those married within the patriline The latest marriers arethose who marry nonpatrilincally related kin or into vart ri groups We also find thatvalue of payments to hubarids family is positively associated with marriage ageOur hypothesis concerning marital homogamy and marriage agc receives moremixed support Wonen in hypogamous union are the latest marricrs as predictedbut not as expected hypergamously married women not the eariiest marriagesare

Other hypotheses receive no support at this level Age at menarche appears tohave a weak positive relationship wivh age at marriage but the result is notsignificant and the Rshyincrement is quite small Nor does engagement status dowrytype or direction of wealth flows make any significant difference to marriage ageWhen we enter controls for other marriage-process variables (cf first adjustedmean) wealth qows ichieve significance in reiation to marriage age and in thepredicted direction but no other variable shifts toward significance in this way

The absence of a positive relationship between age at nenarche and marriagetiming is notable since a significant relationshIip has been reported ini a wide varietyof social settings (Udry and Cliquet 1982) One possible explanation is attenuationdue to misstatement of actual ages at first menses We have already cited Paige andPaige 11981) in this connection and the age pattern of menses ages in our data suggests some convergence of responses on normative ages Yet other relationishipsin our data arc consistent with accurately reported ages at menarche For examplecross-tabulalions of age at first menses and whether a woman was formally engagedbefore narriage show that lower ages at menarche are associated with the absence ofengagement This is n expected relationship our hypotheses predict a speeding up(f the marriage process lic menarche is relatively early one way to achieve this isthrough the deletion of certain elements in the process Further indication ofaccurately reportedi ages at menarhe appears when we consider the relationshipbetween age at first menses and age at marriage separately for landed and landlesshouseholds Within the landless group there is no relationship Among landedhouseholds on the other hand there is a consistent rise in the age at marriage with age at menarche-from 169 for those who experience mcenarche before age 13 to182 for those who experience menarche after age 13 This is as predicied sincelanded households are the most likely to contract marriages with unrelated familiesin which the element of risk and concern about chastity weigh the heaviest

In general the marriage-process variables retain iheir effects when controls areentered although there is a slight weakening in the levels of significance Given arelatively small sample size our results provide heartening support for a theory ofmarriage that includes social-structural and transactional elements The full regresshysion results (not shown here) show thai all of these variables together account for over 27 percent of the variance in marriage timing in the rural sample Our analysisshows that both the standard background or control variables a-d the more

503 Social Organization and Marriage Timing Strategies in Pakistan

Table 3-Mean age at marriage by marriage process variables unadjusted and adjusted

Mean age at marriage NumberdegVariable Unadjusteda Adjusted Adjusted of cases

Relationship between families before marriageNo relationship 163 162 165 49Biradari 169 171 169 32 HishtadariVartan

2178 178 177 84

(Increment in R ) (046) (049) (026)

Age at menarche lt13 169 171 170 65 13 173 172 174 57

gt13 174 172 172 43 (Increment in R2 ) (004) (000) (003)

Engagement status Not engaged 172 174 172 70Engaged

2172 171 171 95

(Increment in R ) (000) (002) (000)

Type of dowryNoneHousehold goods 170 173 173 56 CashLuxuries 173 171

2 171 109 (Increment in R ) (001) (001) (002)

Value of payments to husbands family

0-499 rupees 161 155 159 26 500-999 rupees 167 165 166 25 1000 or more rupees 175 177 176 1142(Increment in R ) (036) (052) (026)

Marriage typeHypergamoua union 173 171 174 27 Isogamous uniond 169 169 168 121Hypogamous union 189 194 192 172(Increment in R ) (042) (060) (046)

Wealth flows at marriage BalancedTowards wifes

family 171 178 178 76 Toward husbands family 173 167 -67 892(IncremenL in R ) (001) (021) (022)

Grand mean 172 Total cases 165

R2 for all marriage process variables 147

R2 controlling for background variables 101

a Zero-order mean b Controlling for other marriage process variables c Controlling for other marriage process variables and all background

variables d Between two landed or between two landless families

oignificant at 01 significant at the 05 level

s the level

significant at the 10 level

504 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 number 4 November 1986

structural and cultural variables account for their own parts of this variance Thus background variables explain a unique 12 percent of the variance and the marriageshyprocess variables explain an additional 10 percent The remaining 52 percent is explained jointly by the two sets of variables

Our analysis supports most of our hypotheses and on balance reinforces the perspective from which they are derived Regarding I-1-that marriage between unrelated groups will result in the youngest and marriage between rishtadari and vartan groups the latest ages at marriage-we have complete support More than a year separates the oldest and youngest groups even after all controls are entered

Our second hypothesis-that education will be positively associated with marshyriage-is also supported We have included this variable with the other backgroundfactors because superficially this relationship is hardly surprising Nevertheless the significant increase of a year in marriage age that occurs even when a grade of school isnot completed suggests an unconventional interpretation of the importanceof education in this setting Thus education must have its effects because of the symbolic value it has fbr the wife-receivers in the arriage transaction rather than because of it impact on the wonman herself

H3 concerning the positive relationship between dowry vaIC and age at marriage is supported here with more than a year and ihalf separating earliest and latest marrying groups This is true even with controls for class background and the inflation of dowry values that we might expect to be associated with class background

Our fourth hypothesis concerning the relationship between lionioganiv and marriage age receives only mixed support Hypogamously marrying women are the latest marriers by nearly two years That hypergrrmous marricrs are not the yonngest may be because using lnded status results in an imperfect measure

Finally H6-that marriage age will be negatively associated with wealth flows to the husbands family-is supported only after controls for other marriage-processvariables are included The meaning of this pattern is uncleCar and may be a function of an association between dowry value and wealth flow not yet investigated

Our hypothesis concerning engagement and menarche has not Found support in this analysis We have already mentioned possible problems with the menarchevariable Our phrasing of the engagement hypothesis issuch that a zero-order effect should have been evident and disappearet when the control for relationship between families is entered That no zero-order effect was evident suggests that our association of engagement with socially riskier marriages is wrong Rather engageshyment may be considered a component of all marriages its association with later menarche alluded to earlier suggests that elements of the marriage process may be altered in response to unpredictable events

DISCUSSION

Our perspective couched in ethnographic knowledge of Punjabi social organizashytion and the culturally determined roles of women receives strong support from this analysis This is not to argue that the more standard development indicators are unimportant in explanations of marriage timing Rather we have demonstrated that a more complete understanding will be gained by considering the ranges of behavior permitted and forbidden in particular cultural settings

The results further encourage such comparative analyses by cautioning againsttaking pretransition settings to be without individual-level variation in behavior To say that a society is organized patrilineally or that inheritance is partible is not enough Even in Pakistani Punjab where the constraints of ideology on behavior

505 Social Organization and Marriage Timing Strategies in Pakistan

may be thought of as especially powerful we have shown that there is room for flexible responses that have their impact on marriage timing

We have used the rural Punjab case to present a model in which the alliance function of marriage is very important We suggest that the underlying componentsof such a society include its agrarian orientation and its unilineal kinship organizashytion It is possible that the model we have begun to develop here will find useful application in other partrilineal rural settings in the rest of South Asia and elseshywhere

Finally a note on social change We consciously directed our attention to a pretransition setting to highlight the need to consider the cultural and social milieu from which populations move as they undergo transition Interpretations of the transition in marriage behavior and its consequences for fertility begin to go astraywhen they focus unduly on individuals while ignoring issues of social structure and social control Education is not always related to the autonomy of women Caldwells finding that women in South India may be educated by their parents toenhance their marriageability (Caldwell Reddy and Caldwell 1982) finds parallels in our Punjabi analysis Similarly there is strong support here for a perspective that looks at marriage within the whole context of productive relationships

This has implications for the way we conceive of the interaction between valuesand institutions in social change Education of women for example although an innovative institutional feature within the rural setting seems to have unexpectedeffects on marriage timing that can be adequately explained only with reference to an extant value system or cultural milieu The extent to which this system retains its hold on the rural Punjab is evident from the strength of the marriage-processvariables in our analysis All of the hypotheses concerning their effects assume traditional values for the area Similarly the association of wage work with younger ages at marriage makes sense when we consider the risks to a daughtersmarriageability that come from exposure to extra-domestic influences Rather than suggesting some sort of cultural stasis however we argue that change will occur Our point is that the effects of these institutional components of transition will not be uniform across cultural settings Innovations will have their initial effects on behavior in ways that are corsistent with existing cultural values and these effects may be surprising

There is a clear call here for the inclusion of indicators for these effects in social surveys We have been able to explore these issues only because the AMS was designed to evoke culture-specific features of the marriage process Such data are rare however and in any case the social survey alone should not be expected to provide detailed models that allow us to make cultural sense of these processes (cfCaldwell Reddy and Caldwell 1984) We have also been fortunate in being able to use ethnographic sources in developing our interpretation although our sources for ethnographic and survey data are often separated by approximately two decades and none of the ethnographies describes the same villages in which the survey was conducted As a closing comment that cannot be fully elaborated here we suggestthe need to develop methodologies that combine survey and ethnographic data collection in formal and complementary ways

NOTES Sahlins calls this type of economy the domestic mode of production (1972) Among its characterisshy

tics are that it is an economy of production for use---ne penetrated with such noneconomic claims as ritual ceremonial and social diversion and one organized around donestic groups usually the family

2 Important examinations of the alliance theme appear in Dumont (1993) Parry (1979) and Yalman (1971) and its central importance in Muslim areas is documented in Eglar (1960) and Naveed-i-Rahat

506 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 number 4 November 1986 (1981) The nature of status and hierarchy as a cross-cutting feature of social organization and marriagemay be examined in Fruzzetti and Oster (1982) I Ahmad (1978) Korson (1971) and S Ahmad (1977)See Ortner (1981) for another treatment of wonlens stalus in hierarchic il settings Finally iherelationship between wealth flows marriage and hierarchy is treated in Tantbiah ( 1973ab) Caplan(194) and Gough (1956) in addition it) the above sources

Important differences in the definition of biradari sugges that -glar may have overslated the degree towhich patriline and biradari identify the same group For the Raiputs in Kangra biradari refers to group of clans within which marriages may be contracted in equalitI lParr the

19794) and AhIttad ( 19741571suggested that the biradari is a wider group than the ittediate patriline in Pakistan as well In any casethe breadth of the group to tich hiradari can appl seetis to be soitewhat dependent on context I Eglar196076) and we will restrict its meaning in this paper to palriline Also see lrtlzetti 1192115-116) for a parallel Bengali level of social i)rganization I Hypergamy refers to marriages it hich wives marr into higher statu families (otmpare wihhomogamy for marriages bet een faiimilies of equal statiu and lvpogaltv ill thich kotneninar intolower status families

Korson (1979150-151) in contrast reports a pattern for urban Pakistat il Mich these saneexchange marriages are desirable unions SirnilLrlv tlershinim (1981193) ieports that the Sikhs andHindus in the part of Indian lunjab where lie orkeitegarded such niarriage as quintesential] MusliitThe apparent explanation is the etent to lich nton-Ashraf groups those descended trout Hinduconverts relain the ideology of their aincesors ]vidence here suggests that in rural areas the extent is great

These data constitute a rich bodv ofrve rtatet il gatlicied in ile lutntab in 1979 by Sabiha If SvedIWomens Division Cabinet Secretariat (itivernment of Pakistan) (tordination of ilte project usasprovided by Peter C Smith (Iast-Wesl Populatiot Instittlel Similar tres erc conducted atl iboutthe same time in Indonesia thte Philippines and lhailand lhe tespective investigalors were Peter FMcDonald (Ausi-alian National ltiversitv Mercedes II CoitcepcionI tniversit ofthe Philippines) andAphichat Chamratrilhirong (Mahidol I niyersjtvi

See Suit 119571 and Andre s Morgan and Sonuist 119167 t- lie iustiication and method ofconversion from regression to intuliple clissilicatil uanalvsis otellicietlts The standard deviation is 1014ears cottnpaied tth 153 to as gtat as 2ol it the other three AMS

Countries For example the patlentci iiitrgeiterait l shilts i fitnik relatlonhips in llivrln slitius s tantalizing

contextual sintilarities to South Asiln societies Icf lIhor t1i11( hlng nd Still 1984)

A(K NI()VI)(F NTS The Asian Marriage Survey for Pakistat was carried out under US Agency forInternational Developmenl Grant DI)PSE-6-()048 The present research was conductshyed with supporl from the National Science Foundation (SES-8319904) Earlierversions of this paper were presented at tile East-West Population Institute

Wednesday Seminar and to a seminar at the Institute of Pakistan Studies Quaid-i-Azam University Islamahad We wish to thank the facitlt and students of Quaid-i-Azam University for their helpful Colllntls during the setninar In particularProfessor Dar Director of the Institule of Pakistan SIudics oflered especially usefulcriticisms We also acknowledge the comments of Furqan Ahmlad John BauerAndrew Cherlin Deborah Freedman Doris Nayyar and Arland Thornton onvarious earlier drafts while absolving all of them of any errors in our interpretationand analysis

R F - RFN( ES Ahiad 1 1978 Fndoganiy ird siaUs mohilit antong Siuldiqui lteikhs tl Allahlhad Itar radeslh Pp171-211 in I Ahinad (ct (t t t ui t fl otltili loi ot fiesthti iii In ha 2nd edt New

Delhi Manohar Ahnuad S 1974 A village in Palkistani Ilani ah jalpal 11p131-1 72in C Malones led) South siaSerei (ommunttv Prefii Nes Yuik tloll Rinehart and Winston

1977 (Clo anl en rt in I i uniai Villae Nesy York Monthil Revie s PressAndrews F M J N Morgan and J A Stiquist 197 Mulliph (latilit aion Attalvsi Ann ArborMich Institute for Soicial Researci

Social Organization and Marriage Timing Strategies in Pakistan 507 BIloch NI 1973 The long term and the Nhor tern The economic and politicil signiticance of the morality

of kinship P1p75-87 in J (oody led) Ihe (hvlero Kinihip (anthridge Cambridge Univerit Press

Cain 1198 1 Risk and insurance Perspectives on tertilith and agrarian change in India and Ilangladesh 11opidation ad A 7435-474I)e eloliintReiuit

1982 Perspectives on family aind ferfilil indeveloping countnres )opuhtlion Stuldie 36159-175Cain M S R Khanutin and S N ahar 1979 (lass paiiriarchv and wtomens ork in Iangladesh

PopulhtionOtand Itl-riivt Reti- 5415-438 Caidwell J C 1982 1ttry ot Iertiitv lI line Nesk York Acaderni (iesCaldell 1 C P1II Redd and 1(aldell 1982 The cause of dernographic change in rural South

India A tilcro-approach Iopuhltitonitn I)o velopment Rviit- 8689-727 - 1983 The ctuse of larliage change in South India Iopiliation Stidiv37343-3(1 - 1984 The micro-approach in delographic investligation lovird a methodology Paper presented

at IUSSP Micro-l)emographN Working Group Conference Australian Naiotil UniversityCaplitn I 1984 Itldegloiin price it turhan India (lass CaSte and do rv evil amiong Christians ir

Miatdra Man 19210-233 Carleton R () 1975 Educattion and fertiltis (p 115-166 sit IV V Mtihmi ledIi ldination anid

Iuoptutn Ahloitl IlilI t ielgillill IUSSI (herlin A J P C S1ttln I ricke I I)omiingo Adioetonio A (hliiiittrlhirong atnd S II Sed

I985a tfttll inltience iln the (tilting ti imirriage IFiletcc ll)tt Itlil Atin Nocleties (1Ipcr preeiltedilt lrkshop (htigiig MNIiriiage 1t1 lie Itil iii Asia Sila I hiallild Feb 21-24

- -1985h Etlicition ind age titmarriage |-itdence (ront Itcir Asinll ocleIe Papel presented lt torkslht Chanlging Mlartiage and tihe Fanil in Asia Silta Il tild Feb 21-24Cochrane S 1 19710 Iitttft and I~dtaitiol Mihat A) tii Rctilx A m Ittnloic Ill John IHopkins I rniverit Prcss

l)as 1973 Ifie strictiure oll timtanae preferences kii ilttouli (lit kistit fictilcti l1(1n8311-45 Du ont I 198 Ilierrch and marriage allitnce in Soulh lndimii kinslip tt iginllll published 1957)

Pp 18- ((4 in L I)tinot fetl) Alitv it a Value lrrtAtct- lilh cIllnSoti India With Coiptlirtllt i s1111 oit lrtit (Chicagio inilersit of Chica eol ess)Non I_ and Ntllre 1983 (In kinship Ntrlictlre fcnilile t lmld denographic behavior inthonliihIthaI 1qttaw anid Ikitl lopit~tnt Rtivt 9)1-00l

Lglr Z 19610A Piniali Iill in tAiti Ne )ioik (oltinibit niersit PressF-ores 11958 Introdtuction Ip 1-14 it J (iootl led I IH+ithI lop etal( irhi Plottiesih Groupsl Cambridge UK (Caubridge Liiciy r IcS

louster B 1978 I)(Inlestlc deveopIientiIl ccles is a link letsen ptoplaitilon plioces es and olher social processes Joturnall I ltleult It 14411-44 I0lnlthrol Rckea1tl

|os R 1967 Kiittitip lt(I l littwtt -h alrl UK PenguinAittthrohe11 1 IIttnlondirth

PressFrutietm IL 11982 Iif (|It oit ti t tireint lioic IhlttlQ1 and itu~al tit it Bit+eah S wit Ne

l iti-ick NJ R tgers lI r isti PicrNe lHtietti I_ d A (ster t1982 11dblood Ill CIngA (teglor and illcct Il the tdlI of kinship

caste and unliitig- I1p I-s5 ii A (slet L Friwulett intl S 1litt1te10 ds) (npt11 0 lrtinKtill tlp ( -ivt wild Altnrl~ e ill bidhw (itnlih idge l~t ut i~d tUniiecsil Ilrt

Giotugh K 19 HItlhntin kinship ill a itnlil village At l lilt lthqohwit SS 26-851 Ilerhnmn P 1981 IotitiiotKi(htl andl fIitnitc)elhi Iindilslatn ItibhhingKeeing R 1975 KiN (roup io1 itl ttt+tt- Net York ll1 Riniehrl ind Wilton Korson I If Fid in il1971 ldgilltotis ntirrige ti idtitit Mutslimn olct est (kisaltri ll141r114101Ciparative tivhStudieN 213 I145-15i - --- 179 ModeltliualtI iiJ sicial chang-T ihe latitil n Ilktiliti Pp Iitl)0-20 7 it NI Singh I)a and

1) 1) tardi+ teds) Dii I-aitiAv ill l ti I|ondon Allen miid ittLesthiteghe R 1980 ()rl the social control of hunlmin ieproduclto Poidau~tio-iand A-lophiticniRevielt 6527- 548

ii+lenhitn (1) l r (ichalgiI alilA Ilanlnmt 12(l 109II4-401

9 itpicitiins illlen g Illltge nlItiSt nn111InIIIangJduesthlt dii itt

Mits n K () 1484 Thc sdltlus k+o111cent1 ilorit ofilf fertlmhl atnd A it~ik inlte ktjn hips Universit of Michigaipulation Studies (Centel Resetich Report 84-58

NIeNicoll i 1980 Instltiuional determinants II lertilits chang olation hld iloptlnliit Reviit 6441-462

Naveed-i-Ribal 1981 (he role of wonen in reciprocal relation hlip titi Iinlhab village Ip 47-81 in T SEpstein and R A Walli leds )7 Inhi Iay ot Calt Matlraltit Rtiral Wottnnlmli New York Perganon Prcss

Ortner S B 1981 (lender and semiality in hierarchical societie The cae of Polynesia and some

508 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 number 4 November 1986

comparative implications Pp 359-409 in S 13Ortner and H Whitehead (eds) Sexual Meanings The Cultural Construction of Gender and Sesuality Cambridge UK Cambridge University Press

Paige K E and J M Paige 1981 The Politics of Reproductive Ritual Berkeley University of California Press

Papanek H 1984 False specialization and the purdah of scholarship-A review article Journal ofAsian Studies 44127-148

Parry J P 1979 Caste and Kinship in Kangra London Routledge and Kegan Paul Ryder N 131975 Fertility measurement through cross-sectional surveys Social Forcei 547-35

1983 Fertility and family structure Population Bulletin olfthe United Nations 1515-34 Sahlins M 1972 Stone Age Econoinici New York Aldine Slocum W L J Akhtar and A FSahi 1959 Villaie Libf+ in lahome District Lahore University of the

Punjab Social Science Research Centre Smith P C 1980 Asian marriage patterns in tt insition Journal ufl aind 1Iistory 556-96

1983 The impact of age at marriage and proportions marrying on fertility Pp 473-531 in R Bulatao and R Iee (eds) termniinantv Academicof Ferility in 1) veloping Countries New York Press

Smith P C and M 1 Karim 1980 Urbanization education and marriage patterns Four cases from Asia No 71 in Paprs of Ih a t- PopIda Ihnoulti Hi East-West PopulationPpultion Institute Institute

Suits DB 1957 Use of dttiunlut variables in regression equations Journal tit the Anerican Statitical Asociation 52548-551

Tambiah S J 1973a Dowry aud bridewealth and the property rights of women in South Asia Pp 51)-1(9in JGoody and SJTarnhiah (eds) Bridei cilthand I)m rvCambridge UK Cambridge University Press

1973b From arna to caste through mixed unions lp 191-229 in JGoody edlI 1he Character ofKinhip Cat ibridge UK Cambridge University Press

Tandon P 1968 Punjahi (Centurv1857-1947 Berkeley niversuty of California Press Thadani V 1978 The logic of sentiment The fansily and social change opulation and )evelopment

Review 4457-499 Thornton A M C Chang and T-H Stin 1984 Social and ecootrtuic change intrgeneratlonal

relationships and family formation in laisman 1)cinoyraphv 21475-499 Udry JR and R L Cliquet 1982 A criiss-cultural esamination of the relationship between ages at

menarche marriage and first birth Dmnnographv 1953-63 Vreede-de Stuers C 1968 Parda A Stidv of luslji )loonenlife illNoritiern India New York

Humanities Press Yalman N 1971 Under the Bo Tree Studies inCaie Kinship and Marriage in the Interior ofCeyhi

Berkeley University of California Press

177

RECENT AVAILABLE REPRINTS OF THE EAST-WEST POPULATION INSTITUTE No 172 Conclusion by Lee-Jay Cho reprinted from The IndustrialFutureof the fIzcific Basin RogerBenjamin and Robert T Kudrle eds Westview Press Colorado 1984 173 Asian Labor Migration to the Middle East by Fred Arnold and Nasra M Shah reprinted

front InternationalMigration Review Sum mer 1984 174 Repeatability of infant deaths in Korea by Chai Bin Park and Alfred C Hexter reprinted

from nhternationaljournal of Epideniolhgy September 1984 175 Comparative analysis of fertility orientations World Fertility Survey findings by Lee-Jay Cho ind Louise Kantrow reprinted from Predicting Fertility DenographicStudies ofBirth Expectations Gerry E I lendershot and Paul J Placek eds Lexington Books DC

I leath and Company Massachusetts 1981 176 Census-derived estimates of fertility by duration since first marriage in the Republicof Korea by Robert 1) Retherlord ee-JaY Cho ard Narn-Il Kim reprinted from Deinogshy

raphy November 481 The value of daughters and sons A comparative study of the gender preferences of parshyents bv Fred Arnold and Eddie CY Kujo reprint_d from fournal of Comparative Fanih Studes Summer 1984

178 Analysing open birth interval distributions by Griffith FeeneY and John A Ross reprintedfrom Population Studies Novembet 1981

17 Population dynamics arid policy in the eoples Republic of China by Lee-jay Choreprinted from The Annals if TheAneirican Acadenii ufoPliticaland Sociai Science Chinain Transitim vol 476 Marvin F Wolfgang ed Sage lublications Beverly Hills Califorshynia 1984

180 Personal networks and the adoption of family planning in rural Korea by Joung ImKim arid Janmes A lihlmore reprinted from Journalov Population and I halth Studies Dshycember 1984

181 Determinants of birth-interval length in the Philippines Malaysia and Indonesia Ahazard-model analysis by James Trussell Linda G Martin Robert Feldman James APalmore Mercedes Concepcion and Datin Noor Laily lBt Dato Abu Bakar reprinted Denograply May 1985

182 Shadow households and competing auspices Migration behavior in the Philippinesby Fe Caces Fred Arnold Jame T Fawcett and Robert W Gardner reprinted fior lourshynal of Development Econonics lanuarv-February 1985 183 Perceptions of the value of children Satisfaction and costs by James 1 Rawcett reprinted

from Detrniinantsof lertiliti in Devehpin Counitries vol 1 Rodolfo A Bulatao and RonaldD Lee eds Acaderic Press Inc 1983 184 Diffusion processes affecting fertility regulation bv Robert I) Retherford and JamesA Palmore reprinted from Determiintsof lirtlityqin Dcvelopiing Countries vol 2 RodolfoA Bulatao and Ronald D Lee eds Academic Press Inc 1983 185 The impact of age at marriage and proportions marrying on fertility by Peter C Smithreprinted from Determinantsof lirtiilit in Develolmkg Countries vol 2 Rodolfo A gulatao

and Ronald D Lee eds Academic Press Inc 1983 186 Migration of women to cities The Asian situation in comparative perspective by Siew-Ean Khoo Peter C Smith and James T Fawcett reprinted from lnternationalMigration

Rtview Special Issue Noten in AlM ratin Winter 1984

187 Measuring the effect of sex preference on fertility The case of Korea by Fred Arnold ieprinted from Dernography May 1985

18 Exploring the normative basis for age at marriage in Thailand An example from focus group research by Anthony Pramualratana Napaporn Havanon and John Knodel reprinted from Journalof Marriageand the Family February 1985

189 The non-economic consequences of Asian labor migration to the Middle East by Nasra M Shah and Fred Arnold reprinted from International Union for the Scientific Study of Population lnternaitonalPopulation Conference Florence 1985 vol 3 1985

190 Parity progression projection by Griffith Feeney reprinted from International Union for the Scientific Study of Population InternationalPopiulation Conference Florence 1985 vol 4 1985

191 A theory of marita fertility transition by Robert D Retherford reprinted from Popula tion Studies July 1985

192 Cultural variations in the transition to marriage in four Asian societies by Paul Cheung Josefina Cabigon Aphichat Chamratrithirong Peter F McDonald Sabila Syed Andrew Cherlin and Peter C Smith reprinted from International Union for the Scientific Study of Population InternationalPopulation Conference Florence 1985 vol 3 1985

193 Decision making and sex selection with biased technologies by Neil GBennett and Andrew Mason reprinted from Sex Selection of Children Neil G Bennett ed Academic Press Inc 1983

194 US farm migration An application of the Harris-Todaro model by Daniel B Suits reprinted from Economic Development and Cultural Chang vol 33 no 4 1985

195 Health of Hlmong in Thailand Risk factors morbidity and mortality in comparison with other ethnic groups by Peter Kunstadter reprinted from Culture Medicine and Psyshychiairy vol 9 no 4 1985

196 Evaluation of contraceptive history data in the Republic of Korea by Anne R Pebley Noreen Goldman and Minja Kim Choe reprinted from Stldies ii Family PlanningJanushyaryFebruary 1986

197 Circulation between home and other places Some propositions by Murray Chapman and R Mansell Prothem and Me go walkabout you too by Murray Chapman reprinted from Circulationin Population Mozement Substance and Concepts fion tie Melnesian Case Murray Chapman and R Maniell Prothero eds Routledge amp Kegan Paul 1985

198 Fijians and Indo-Fijians in Suva Rural-urban movements and linkages by Shashikant Nair reprinted from Circulationin PopulationMovement Substance and Concepts fron the Melanesian Case Murray Chapman and R Mansell Prothero eds Routledge amp Kegan Paul 1985

199 Linkages between internal and international migration The Ilocos Norte experience by Fred Arnold and Ricardo G Abad reprinted from PhilippinePopulationJournalJune 1985

200 An economic analysis of recent fertility in Japan by Naohiro Ogawa and Andrew Mason reprinted from linko Gaku Kenkyu vol 9 May 1986

201 Averting crisis in Asia by Lee-jay Cho reprinted from Bulletin of the Atonic Scientists vol 42 no 4 1986

202 Sex preference fertility and family planning in China by Fred Arnold and Liu Zhao xiang reprinted from lPpulation am Development Review vol 12 no 2 1986

203 The place of child-spacing as a factor in infant mortality A recursive model by Chai Bin Park reprinted from American Journalof Public Health vol 76 no 8 1986

204 Determinants of Korean birth intervals The confrontation of theory and data by Larry L Bumpass Ronald R Rindfuss and James A Palmore reprinted from Po)pulationStudies vol 40 no 3 1986

Page 15: INSTITUTE timing strategies in Pakistan

501 Soial Organization and Marriage Timing Strategies in Pakistan

Table 2-Mean age at marriage hy background variables unadjusted and adjusted

Mean age atmarriage Number 0Variable Unadjusteda Adjusted Adjustdc of cases

Cohortd lt30 173 171 171 84 30-34 176 177 173 20 35-39 166 167 165 31 40-45

(Increment in R2 ) 173 (010)

176 (010)

179 (020)

30

Class backgrounde Farmer 172 172 172 88 Agricultural laboLer 164 167 167 3e Blue collarprofessional 180 177 177 39 (Increment in R2) (034) (012) (012)

Womans education No schooling 161 163 164 72 Attended 0 attairment 177 173 175 74 1-12 years completed (Increment in R2)

193 (124)

191 (090-)

185 (045 )

19

Womans occupational status before marriage

Family work or no work 177 176 176 92 Wage work 165 167 165 73

(Increment in R2) (041) (021) (038)

r(ran1 mean 172 Total cases 165

R2 for all background variables 171

R2 controlling for marriage process variables 124

a Zero-order mean b Controlling for other background variables c Controlling for other background variables and all family process

variables d Age at survey date e Fathers occupation at time of womans birth

significant at the 01 level significant at the 05 level significant at the 10 level

tabulation that there are no cohort trends in marriage age in our sample of women and that class background appears to make little difference in marriage timing once controls are included in the equation The moc-t interesting pattern in educational effects on marriage age is with that group of women who have attended school hut never finished a grade These women marry a full year later t ian those who have never attended even after controls are entered We also note iatwomen who work for wages before marriage marry a year younger on ihe averae than those who work for their families The latter two results are not predicted by the standard theories of marriage Nevertheless the overall results presented in table 2 support the imporshy

502 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 number 4 N3vember 1986 tance of education and occupation as components of the complete explanation ofmarriage timing The background vaiables by themselves account for 17 percent ofthe variation in marriage age and continue to account for over 12 percent of thatvariation even after adjustment for marriage-process variables

Turning to table 3 we can more precisely see the contribution of our marriageshyprocess variables to the egt plaration Looking at the zero-order relationships firstwe see that three of these-the relationship between families before marriage valueof dowry and marital homogamy-make large and statistically significant contribushytions to marital timing At this level we find good support for our hypothesesconcerning the effects of each of these variables on marriage age Thus the earlymarriers categorized by relationships are those whose marriages are contractedwith strangers followed by those married within the patriline The latest marriers arethose who marry nonpatrilincally related kin or into vart ri groups We also find thatvalue of payments to hubarids family is positively associated with marriage ageOur hypothesis concerning marital homogamy and marriage agc receives moremixed support Wonen in hypogamous union are the latest marricrs as predictedbut not as expected hypergamously married women not the eariiest marriagesare

Other hypotheses receive no support at this level Age at menarche appears tohave a weak positive relationship wivh age at marriage but the result is notsignificant and the Rshyincrement is quite small Nor does engagement status dowrytype or direction of wealth flows make any significant difference to marriage ageWhen we enter controls for other marriage-process variables (cf first adjustedmean) wealth qows ichieve significance in reiation to marriage age and in thepredicted direction but no other variable shifts toward significance in this way

The absence of a positive relationship between age at nenarche and marriagetiming is notable since a significant relationshIip has been reported ini a wide varietyof social settings (Udry and Cliquet 1982) One possible explanation is attenuationdue to misstatement of actual ages at first menses We have already cited Paige andPaige 11981) in this connection and the age pattern of menses ages in our data suggests some convergence of responses on normative ages Yet other relationishipsin our data arc consistent with accurately reported ages at menarche For examplecross-tabulalions of age at first menses and whether a woman was formally engagedbefore narriage show that lower ages at menarche are associated with the absence ofengagement This is n expected relationship our hypotheses predict a speeding up(f the marriage process lic menarche is relatively early one way to achieve this isthrough the deletion of certain elements in the process Further indication ofaccurately reportedi ages at menarhe appears when we consider the relationshipbetween age at first menses and age at marriage separately for landed and landlesshouseholds Within the landless group there is no relationship Among landedhouseholds on the other hand there is a consistent rise in the age at marriage with age at menarche-from 169 for those who experience mcenarche before age 13 to182 for those who experience menarche after age 13 This is as predicied sincelanded households are the most likely to contract marriages with unrelated familiesin which the element of risk and concern about chastity weigh the heaviest

In general the marriage-process variables retain iheir effects when controls areentered although there is a slight weakening in the levels of significance Given arelatively small sample size our results provide heartening support for a theory ofmarriage that includes social-structural and transactional elements The full regresshysion results (not shown here) show thai all of these variables together account for over 27 percent of the variance in marriage timing in the rural sample Our analysisshows that both the standard background or control variables a-d the more

503 Social Organization and Marriage Timing Strategies in Pakistan

Table 3-Mean age at marriage by marriage process variables unadjusted and adjusted

Mean age at marriage NumberdegVariable Unadjusteda Adjusted Adjusted of cases

Relationship between families before marriageNo relationship 163 162 165 49Biradari 169 171 169 32 HishtadariVartan

2178 178 177 84

(Increment in R ) (046) (049) (026)

Age at menarche lt13 169 171 170 65 13 173 172 174 57

gt13 174 172 172 43 (Increment in R2 ) (004) (000) (003)

Engagement status Not engaged 172 174 172 70Engaged

2172 171 171 95

(Increment in R ) (000) (002) (000)

Type of dowryNoneHousehold goods 170 173 173 56 CashLuxuries 173 171

2 171 109 (Increment in R ) (001) (001) (002)

Value of payments to husbands family

0-499 rupees 161 155 159 26 500-999 rupees 167 165 166 25 1000 or more rupees 175 177 176 1142(Increment in R ) (036) (052) (026)

Marriage typeHypergamoua union 173 171 174 27 Isogamous uniond 169 169 168 121Hypogamous union 189 194 192 172(Increment in R ) (042) (060) (046)

Wealth flows at marriage BalancedTowards wifes

family 171 178 178 76 Toward husbands family 173 167 -67 892(IncremenL in R ) (001) (021) (022)

Grand mean 172 Total cases 165

R2 for all marriage process variables 147

R2 controlling for background variables 101

a Zero-order mean b Controlling for other marriage process variables c Controlling for other marriage process variables and all background

variables d Between two landed or between two landless families

oignificant at 01 significant at the 05 level

s the level

significant at the 10 level

504 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 number 4 November 1986

structural and cultural variables account for their own parts of this variance Thus background variables explain a unique 12 percent of the variance and the marriageshyprocess variables explain an additional 10 percent The remaining 52 percent is explained jointly by the two sets of variables

Our analysis supports most of our hypotheses and on balance reinforces the perspective from which they are derived Regarding I-1-that marriage between unrelated groups will result in the youngest and marriage between rishtadari and vartan groups the latest ages at marriage-we have complete support More than a year separates the oldest and youngest groups even after all controls are entered

Our second hypothesis-that education will be positively associated with marshyriage-is also supported We have included this variable with the other backgroundfactors because superficially this relationship is hardly surprising Nevertheless the significant increase of a year in marriage age that occurs even when a grade of school isnot completed suggests an unconventional interpretation of the importanceof education in this setting Thus education must have its effects because of the symbolic value it has fbr the wife-receivers in the arriage transaction rather than because of it impact on the wonman herself

H3 concerning the positive relationship between dowry vaIC and age at marriage is supported here with more than a year and ihalf separating earliest and latest marrying groups This is true even with controls for class background and the inflation of dowry values that we might expect to be associated with class background

Our fourth hypothesis concerning the relationship between lionioganiv and marriage age receives only mixed support Hypogamously marrying women are the latest marriers by nearly two years That hypergrrmous marricrs are not the yonngest may be because using lnded status results in an imperfect measure

Finally H6-that marriage age will be negatively associated with wealth flows to the husbands family-is supported only after controls for other marriage-processvariables are included The meaning of this pattern is uncleCar and may be a function of an association between dowry value and wealth flow not yet investigated

Our hypothesis concerning engagement and menarche has not Found support in this analysis We have already mentioned possible problems with the menarchevariable Our phrasing of the engagement hypothesis issuch that a zero-order effect should have been evident and disappearet when the control for relationship between families is entered That no zero-order effect was evident suggests that our association of engagement with socially riskier marriages is wrong Rather engageshyment may be considered a component of all marriages its association with later menarche alluded to earlier suggests that elements of the marriage process may be altered in response to unpredictable events

DISCUSSION

Our perspective couched in ethnographic knowledge of Punjabi social organizashytion and the culturally determined roles of women receives strong support from this analysis This is not to argue that the more standard development indicators are unimportant in explanations of marriage timing Rather we have demonstrated that a more complete understanding will be gained by considering the ranges of behavior permitted and forbidden in particular cultural settings

The results further encourage such comparative analyses by cautioning againsttaking pretransition settings to be without individual-level variation in behavior To say that a society is organized patrilineally or that inheritance is partible is not enough Even in Pakistani Punjab where the constraints of ideology on behavior

505 Social Organization and Marriage Timing Strategies in Pakistan

may be thought of as especially powerful we have shown that there is room for flexible responses that have their impact on marriage timing

We have used the rural Punjab case to present a model in which the alliance function of marriage is very important We suggest that the underlying componentsof such a society include its agrarian orientation and its unilineal kinship organizashytion It is possible that the model we have begun to develop here will find useful application in other partrilineal rural settings in the rest of South Asia and elseshywhere

Finally a note on social change We consciously directed our attention to a pretransition setting to highlight the need to consider the cultural and social milieu from which populations move as they undergo transition Interpretations of the transition in marriage behavior and its consequences for fertility begin to go astraywhen they focus unduly on individuals while ignoring issues of social structure and social control Education is not always related to the autonomy of women Caldwells finding that women in South India may be educated by their parents toenhance their marriageability (Caldwell Reddy and Caldwell 1982) finds parallels in our Punjabi analysis Similarly there is strong support here for a perspective that looks at marriage within the whole context of productive relationships

This has implications for the way we conceive of the interaction between valuesand institutions in social change Education of women for example although an innovative institutional feature within the rural setting seems to have unexpectedeffects on marriage timing that can be adequately explained only with reference to an extant value system or cultural milieu The extent to which this system retains its hold on the rural Punjab is evident from the strength of the marriage-processvariables in our analysis All of the hypotheses concerning their effects assume traditional values for the area Similarly the association of wage work with younger ages at marriage makes sense when we consider the risks to a daughtersmarriageability that come from exposure to extra-domestic influences Rather than suggesting some sort of cultural stasis however we argue that change will occur Our point is that the effects of these institutional components of transition will not be uniform across cultural settings Innovations will have their initial effects on behavior in ways that are corsistent with existing cultural values and these effects may be surprising

There is a clear call here for the inclusion of indicators for these effects in social surveys We have been able to explore these issues only because the AMS was designed to evoke culture-specific features of the marriage process Such data are rare however and in any case the social survey alone should not be expected to provide detailed models that allow us to make cultural sense of these processes (cfCaldwell Reddy and Caldwell 1984) We have also been fortunate in being able to use ethnographic sources in developing our interpretation although our sources for ethnographic and survey data are often separated by approximately two decades and none of the ethnographies describes the same villages in which the survey was conducted As a closing comment that cannot be fully elaborated here we suggestthe need to develop methodologies that combine survey and ethnographic data collection in formal and complementary ways

NOTES Sahlins calls this type of economy the domestic mode of production (1972) Among its characterisshy

tics are that it is an economy of production for use---ne penetrated with such noneconomic claims as ritual ceremonial and social diversion and one organized around donestic groups usually the family

2 Important examinations of the alliance theme appear in Dumont (1993) Parry (1979) and Yalman (1971) and its central importance in Muslim areas is documented in Eglar (1960) and Naveed-i-Rahat

506 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 number 4 November 1986 (1981) The nature of status and hierarchy as a cross-cutting feature of social organization and marriagemay be examined in Fruzzetti and Oster (1982) I Ahmad (1978) Korson (1971) and S Ahmad (1977)See Ortner (1981) for another treatment of wonlens stalus in hierarchic il settings Finally iherelationship between wealth flows marriage and hierarchy is treated in Tantbiah ( 1973ab) Caplan(194) and Gough (1956) in addition it) the above sources

Important differences in the definition of biradari sugges that -glar may have overslated the degree towhich patriline and biradari identify the same group For the Raiputs in Kangra biradari refers to group of clans within which marriages may be contracted in equalitI lParr the

19794) and AhIttad ( 19741571suggested that the biradari is a wider group than the ittediate patriline in Pakistan as well In any casethe breadth of the group to tich hiradari can appl seetis to be soitewhat dependent on context I Eglar196076) and we will restrict its meaning in this paper to palriline Also see lrtlzetti 1192115-116) for a parallel Bengali level of social i)rganization I Hypergamy refers to marriages it hich wives marr into higher statu families (otmpare wihhomogamy for marriages bet een faiimilies of equal statiu and lvpogaltv ill thich kotneninar intolower status families

Korson (1979150-151) in contrast reports a pattern for urban Pakistat il Mich these saneexchange marriages are desirable unions SirnilLrlv tlershinim (1981193) ieports that the Sikhs andHindus in the part of Indian lunjab where lie orkeitegarded such niarriage as quintesential] MusliitThe apparent explanation is the etent to lich nton-Ashraf groups those descended trout Hinduconverts relain the ideology of their aincesors ]vidence here suggests that in rural areas the extent is great

These data constitute a rich bodv ofrve rtatet il gatlicied in ile lutntab in 1979 by Sabiha If SvedIWomens Division Cabinet Secretariat (itivernment of Pakistan) (tordination of ilte project usasprovided by Peter C Smith (Iast-Wesl Populatiot Instittlel Similar tres erc conducted atl iboutthe same time in Indonesia thte Philippines and lhailand lhe tespective investigalors were Peter FMcDonald (Ausi-alian National ltiversitv Mercedes II CoitcepcionI tniversit ofthe Philippines) andAphichat Chamratrilhirong (Mahidol I niyersjtvi

See Suit 119571 and Andre s Morgan and Sonuist 119167 t- lie iustiication and method ofconversion from regression to intuliple clissilicatil uanalvsis otellicietlts The standard deviation is 1014ears cottnpaied tth 153 to as gtat as 2ol it the other three AMS

Countries For example the patlentci iiitrgeiterait l shilts i fitnik relatlonhips in llivrln slitius s tantalizing

contextual sintilarities to South Asiln societies Icf lIhor t1i11( hlng nd Still 1984)

A(K NI()VI)(F NTS The Asian Marriage Survey for Pakistat was carried out under US Agency forInternational Developmenl Grant DI)PSE-6-()048 The present research was conductshyed with supporl from the National Science Foundation (SES-8319904) Earlierversions of this paper were presented at tile East-West Population Institute

Wednesday Seminar and to a seminar at the Institute of Pakistan Studies Quaid-i-Azam University Islamahad We wish to thank the facitlt and students of Quaid-i-Azam University for their helpful Colllntls during the setninar In particularProfessor Dar Director of the Institule of Pakistan SIudics oflered especially usefulcriticisms We also acknowledge the comments of Furqan Ahmlad John BauerAndrew Cherlin Deborah Freedman Doris Nayyar and Arland Thornton onvarious earlier drafts while absolving all of them of any errors in our interpretationand analysis

R F - RFN( ES Ahiad 1 1978 Fndoganiy ird siaUs mohilit antong Siuldiqui lteikhs tl Allahlhad Itar radeslh Pp171-211 in I Ahinad (ct (t t t ui t fl otltili loi ot fiesthti iii In ha 2nd edt New

Delhi Manohar Ahnuad S 1974 A village in Palkistani Ilani ah jalpal 11p131-1 72in C Malones led) South siaSerei (ommunttv Prefii Nes Yuik tloll Rinehart and Winston

1977 (Clo anl en rt in I i uniai Villae Nesy York Monthil Revie s PressAndrews F M J N Morgan and J A Stiquist 197 Mulliph (latilit aion Attalvsi Ann ArborMich Institute for Soicial Researci

Social Organization and Marriage Timing Strategies in Pakistan 507 BIloch NI 1973 The long term and the Nhor tern The economic and politicil signiticance of the morality

of kinship P1p75-87 in J (oody led) Ihe (hvlero Kinihip (anthridge Cambridge Univerit Press

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1982 Perspectives on family aind ferfilil indeveloping countnres )opuhtlion Stuldie 36159-175Cain M S R Khanutin and S N ahar 1979 (lass paiiriarchv and wtomens ork in Iangladesh

PopulhtionOtand Itl-riivt Reti- 5415-438 Caidwell J C 1982 1ttry ot Iertiitv lI line Nesk York Acaderni (iesCaldell 1 C P1II Redd and 1(aldell 1982 The cause of dernographic change in rural South

India A tilcro-approach Iopuhltitonitn I)o velopment Rviit- 8689-727 - 1983 The ctuse of larliage change in South India Iopiliation Stidiv37343-3(1 - 1984 The micro-approach in delographic investligation lovird a methodology Paper presented

at IUSSP Micro-l)emographN Working Group Conference Australian Naiotil UniversityCaplitn I 1984 Itldegloiin price it turhan India (lass CaSte and do rv evil amiong Christians ir

Miatdra Man 19210-233 Carleton R () 1975 Educattion and fertiltis (p 115-166 sit IV V Mtihmi ledIi ldination anid

Iuoptutn Ahloitl IlilI t ielgillill IUSSI (herlin A J P C S1ttln I ricke I I)omiingo Adioetonio A (hliiiittrlhirong atnd S II Sed

I985a tfttll inltience iln the (tilting ti imirriage IFiletcc ll)tt Itlil Atin Nocleties (1Ipcr preeiltedilt lrkshop (htigiig MNIiriiage 1t1 lie Itil iii Asia Sila I hiallild Feb 21-24

- -1985h Etlicition ind age titmarriage |-itdence (ront Itcir Asinll ocleIe Papel presented lt torkslht Chanlging Mlartiage and tihe Fanil in Asia Silta Il tild Feb 21-24Cochrane S 1 19710 Iitttft and I~dtaitiol Mihat A) tii Rctilx A m Ittnloic Ill John IHopkins I rniverit Prcss

l)as 1973 Ifie strictiure oll timtanae preferences kii ilttouli (lit kistit fictilcti l1(1n8311-45 Du ont I 198 Ilierrch and marriage allitnce in Soulh lndimii kinslip tt iginllll published 1957)

Pp 18- ((4 in L I)tinot fetl) Alitv it a Value lrrtAtct- lilh cIllnSoti India With Coiptlirtllt i s1111 oit lrtit (Chicagio inilersit of Chica eol ess)Non I_ and Ntllre 1983 (In kinship Ntrlictlre fcnilile t lmld denographic behavior inthonliihIthaI 1qttaw anid Ikitl lopit~tnt Rtivt 9)1-00l

Lglr Z 19610A Piniali Iill in tAiti Ne )ioik (oltinibit niersit PressF-ores 11958 Introdtuction Ip 1-14 it J (iootl led I IH+ithI lop etal( irhi Plottiesih Groupsl Cambridge UK (Caubridge Liiciy r IcS

louster B 1978 I)(Inlestlc deveopIientiIl ccles is a link letsen ptoplaitilon plioces es and olher social processes Joturnall I ltleult It 14411-44 I0lnlthrol Rckea1tl

|os R 1967 Kiittitip lt(I l littwtt -h alrl UK PenguinAittthrohe11 1 IIttnlondirth

PressFrutietm IL 11982 Iif (|It oit ti t tireint lioic IhlttlQ1 and itu~al tit it Bit+eah S wit Ne

l iti-ick NJ R tgers lI r isti PicrNe lHtietti I_ d A (ster t1982 11dblood Ill CIngA (teglor and illcct Il the tdlI of kinship

caste and unliitig- I1p I-s5 ii A (slet L Friwulett intl S 1litt1te10 ds) (npt11 0 lrtinKtill tlp ( -ivt wild Altnrl~ e ill bidhw (itnlih idge l~t ut i~d tUniiecsil Ilrt

Giotugh K 19 HItlhntin kinship ill a itnlil village At l lilt lthqohwit SS 26-851 Ilerhnmn P 1981 IotitiiotKi(htl andl fIitnitc)elhi Iindilslatn ItibhhingKeeing R 1975 KiN (roup io1 itl ttt+tt- Net York ll1 Riniehrl ind Wilton Korson I If Fid in il1971 ldgilltotis ntirrige ti idtitit Mutslimn olct est (kisaltri ll141r114101Ciparative tivhStudieN 213 I145-15i - --- 179 ModeltliualtI iiJ sicial chang-T ihe latitil n Ilktiliti Pp Iitl)0-20 7 it NI Singh I)a and

1) 1) tardi+ teds) Dii I-aitiAv ill l ti I|ondon Allen miid ittLesthiteghe R 1980 ()rl the social control of hunlmin ieproduclto Poidau~tio-iand A-lophiticniRevielt 6527- 548

ii+lenhitn (1) l r (ichalgiI alilA Ilanlnmt 12(l 109II4-401

9 itpicitiins illlen g Illltge nlItiSt nn111InIIIangJduesthlt dii itt

Mits n K () 1484 Thc sdltlus k+o111cent1 ilorit ofilf fertlmhl atnd A it~ik inlte ktjn hips Universit of Michigaipulation Studies (Centel Resetich Report 84-58

NIeNicoll i 1980 Instltiuional determinants II lertilits chang olation hld iloptlnliit Reviit 6441-462

Naveed-i-Ribal 1981 (he role of wonen in reciprocal relation hlip titi Iinlhab village Ip 47-81 in T SEpstein and R A Walli leds )7 Inhi Iay ot Calt Matlraltit Rtiral Wottnnlmli New York Perganon Prcss

Ortner S B 1981 (lender and semiality in hierarchical societie The cae of Polynesia and some

508 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 number 4 November 1986

comparative implications Pp 359-409 in S 13Ortner and H Whitehead (eds) Sexual Meanings The Cultural Construction of Gender and Sesuality Cambridge UK Cambridge University Press

Paige K E and J M Paige 1981 The Politics of Reproductive Ritual Berkeley University of California Press

Papanek H 1984 False specialization and the purdah of scholarship-A review article Journal ofAsian Studies 44127-148

Parry J P 1979 Caste and Kinship in Kangra London Routledge and Kegan Paul Ryder N 131975 Fertility measurement through cross-sectional surveys Social Forcei 547-35

1983 Fertility and family structure Population Bulletin olfthe United Nations 1515-34 Sahlins M 1972 Stone Age Econoinici New York Aldine Slocum W L J Akhtar and A FSahi 1959 Villaie Libf+ in lahome District Lahore University of the

Punjab Social Science Research Centre Smith P C 1980 Asian marriage patterns in tt insition Journal ufl aind 1Iistory 556-96

1983 The impact of age at marriage and proportions marrying on fertility Pp 473-531 in R Bulatao and R Iee (eds) termniinantv Academicof Ferility in 1) veloping Countries New York Press

Smith P C and M 1 Karim 1980 Urbanization education and marriage patterns Four cases from Asia No 71 in Paprs of Ih a t- PopIda Ihnoulti Hi East-West PopulationPpultion Institute Institute

Suits DB 1957 Use of dttiunlut variables in regression equations Journal tit the Anerican Statitical Asociation 52548-551

Tambiah S J 1973a Dowry aud bridewealth and the property rights of women in South Asia Pp 51)-1(9in JGoody and SJTarnhiah (eds) Bridei cilthand I)m rvCambridge UK Cambridge University Press

1973b From arna to caste through mixed unions lp 191-229 in JGoody edlI 1he Character ofKinhip Cat ibridge UK Cambridge University Press

Tandon P 1968 Punjahi (Centurv1857-1947 Berkeley niversuty of California Press Thadani V 1978 The logic of sentiment The fansily and social change opulation and )evelopment

Review 4457-499 Thornton A M C Chang and T-H Stin 1984 Social and ecootrtuic change intrgeneratlonal

relationships and family formation in laisman 1)cinoyraphv 21475-499 Udry JR and R L Cliquet 1982 A criiss-cultural esamination of the relationship between ages at

menarche marriage and first birth Dmnnographv 1953-63 Vreede-de Stuers C 1968 Parda A Stidv of luslji )loonenlife illNoritiern India New York

Humanities Press Yalman N 1971 Under the Bo Tree Studies inCaie Kinship and Marriage in the Interior ofCeyhi

Berkeley University of California Press

177

RECENT AVAILABLE REPRINTS OF THE EAST-WEST POPULATION INSTITUTE No 172 Conclusion by Lee-Jay Cho reprinted from The IndustrialFutureof the fIzcific Basin RogerBenjamin and Robert T Kudrle eds Westview Press Colorado 1984 173 Asian Labor Migration to the Middle East by Fred Arnold and Nasra M Shah reprinted

front InternationalMigration Review Sum mer 1984 174 Repeatability of infant deaths in Korea by Chai Bin Park and Alfred C Hexter reprinted

from nhternationaljournal of Epideniolhgy September 1984 175 Comparative analysis of fertility orientations World Fertility Survey findings by Lee-Jay Cho ind Louise Kantrow reprinted from Predicting Fertility DenographicStudies ofBirth Expectations Gerry E I lendershot and Paul J Placek eds Lexington Books DC

I leath and Company Massachusetts 1981 176 Census-derived estimates of fertility by duration since first marriage in the Republicof Korea by Robert 1) Retherlord ee-JaY Cho ard Narn-Il Kim reprinted from Deinogshy

raphy November 481 The value of daughters and sons A comparative study of the gender preferences of parshyents bv Fred Arnold and Eddie CY Kujo reprint_d from fournal of Comparative Fanih Studes Summer 1984

178 Analysing open birth interval distributions by Griffith FeeneY and John A Ross reprintedfrom Population Studies Novembet 1981

17 Population dynamics arid policy in the eoples Republic of China by Lee-jay Choreprinted from The Annals if TheAneirican Acadenii ufoPliticaland Sociai Science Chinain Transitim vol 476 Marvin F Wolfgang ed Sage lublications Beverly Hills Califorshynia 1984

180 Personal networks and the adoption of family planning in rural Korea by Joung ImKim arid Janmes A lihlmore reprinted from Journalov Population and I halth Studies Dshycember 1984

181 Determinants of birth-interval length in the Philippines Malaysia and Indonesia Ahazard-model analysis by James Trussell Linda G Martin Robert Feldman James APalmore Mercedes Concepcion and Datin Noor Laily lBt Dato Abu Bakar reprinted Denograply May 1985

182 Shadow households and competing auspices Migration behavior in the Philippinesby Fe Caces Fred Arnold Jame T Fawcett and Robert W Gardner reprinted fior lourshynal of Development Econonics lanuarv-February 1985 183 Perceptions of the value of children Satisfaction and costs by James 1 Rawcett reprinted

from Detrniinantsof lertiliti in Devehpin Counitries vol 1 Rodolfo A Bulatao and RonaldD Lee eds Acaderic Press Inc 1983 184 Diffusion processes affecting fertility regulation bv Robert I) Retherford and JamesA Palmore reprinted from Determiintsof lirtlityqin Dcvelopiing Countries vol 2 RodolfoA Bulatao and Ronald D Lee eds Academic Press Inc 1983 185 The impact of age at marriage and proportions marrying on fertility by Peter C Smithreprinted from Determinantsof lirtiilit in Develolmkg Countries vol 2 Rodolfo A gulatao

and Ronald D Lee eds Academic Press Inc 1983 186 Migration of women to cities The Asian situation in comparative perspective by Siew-Ean Khoo Peter C Smith and James T Fawcett reprinted from lnternationalMigration

Rtview Special Issue Noten in AlM ratin Winter 1984

187 Measuring the effect of sex preference on fertility The case of Korea by Fred Arnold ieprinted from Dernography May 1985

18 Exploring the normative basis for age at marriage in Thailand An example from focus group research by Anthony Pramualratana Napaporn Havanon and John Knodel reprinted from Journalof Marriageand the Family February 1985

189 The non-economic consequences of Asian labor migration to the Middle East by Nasra M Shah and Fred Arnold reprinted from International Union for the Scientific Study of Population lnternaitonalPopulation Conference Florence 1985 vol 3 1985

190 Parity progression projection by Griffith Feeney reprinted from International Union for the Scientific Study of Population InternationalPopiulation Conference Florence 1985 vol 4 1985

191 A theory of marita fertility transition by Robert D Retherford reprinted from Popula tion Studies July 1985

192 Cultural variations in the transition to marriage in four Asian societies by Paul Cheung Josefina Cabigon Aphichat Chamratrithirong Peter F McDonald Sabila Syed Andrew Cherlin and Peter C Smith reprinted from International Union for the Scientific Study of Population InternationalPopulation Conference Florence 1985 vol 3 1985

193 Decision making and sex selection with biased technologies by Neil GBennett and Andrew Mason reprinted from Sex Selection of Children Neil G Bennett ed Academic Press Inc 1983

194 US farm migration An application of the Harris-Todaro model by Daniel B Suits reprinted from Economic Development and Cultural Chang vol 33 no 4 1985

195 Health of Hlmong in Thailand Risk factors morbidity and mortality in comparison with other ethnic groups by Peter Kunstadter reprinted from Culture Medicine and Psyshychiairy vol 9 no 4 1985

196 Evaluation of contraceptive history data in the Republic of Korea by Anne R Pebley Noreen Goldman and Minja Kim Choe reprinted from Stldies ii Family PlanningJanushyaryFebruary 1986

197 Circulation between home and other places Some propositions by Murray Chapman and R Mansell Prothem and Me go walkabout you too by Murray Chapman reprinted from Circulationin Population Mozement Substance and Concepts fion tie Melnesian Case Murray Chapman and R Maniell Prothero eds Routledge amp Kegan Paul 1985

198 Fijians and Indo-Fijians in Suva Rural-urban movements and linkages by Shashikant Nair reprinted from Circulationin PopulationMovement Substance and Concepts fron the Melanesian Case Murray Chapman and R Mansell Prothero eds Routledge amp Kegan Paul 1985

199 Linkages between internal and international migration The Ilocos Norte experience by Fred Arnold and Ricardo G Abad reprinted from PhilippinePopulationJournalJune 1985

200 An economic analysis of recent fertility in Japan by Naohiro Ogawa and Andrew Mason reprinted from linko Gaku Kenkyu vol 9 May 1986

201 Averting crisis in Asia by Lee-jay Cho reprinted from Bulletin of the Atonic Scientists vol 42 no 4 1986

202 Sex preference fertility and family planning in China by Fred Arnold and Liu Zhao xiang reprinted from lPpulation am Development Review vol 12 no 2 1986

203 The place of child-spacing as a factor in infant mortality A recursive model by Chai Bin Park reprinted from American Journalof Public Health vol 76 no 8 1986

204 Determinants of Korean birth intervals The confrontation of theory and data by Larry L Bumpass Ronald R Rindfuss and James A Palmore reprinted from Po)pulationStudies vol 40 no 3 1986

Page 16: INSTITUTE timing strategies in Pakistan

502 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 number 4 N3vember 1986 tance of education and occupation as components of the complete explanation ofmarriage timing The background vaiables by themselves account for 17 percent ofthe variation in marriage age and continue to account for over 12 percent of thatvariation even after adjustment for marriage-process variables

Turning to table 3 we can more precisely see the contribution of our marriageshyprocess variables to the egt plaration Looking at the zero-order relationships firstwe see that three of these-the relationship between families before marriage valueof dowry and marital homogamy-make large and statistically significant contribushytions to marital timing At this level we find good support for our hypothesesconcerning the effects of each of these variables on marriage age Thus the earlymarriers categorized by relationships are those whose marriages are contractedwith strangers followed by those married within the patriline The latest marriers arethose who marry nonpatrilincally related kin or into vart ri groups We also find thatvalue of payments to hubarids family is positively associated with marriage ageOur hypothesis concerning marital homogamy and marriage agc receives moremixed support Wonen in hypogamous union are the latest marricrs as predictedbut not as expected hypergamously married women not the eariiest marriagesare

Other hypotheses receive no support at this level Age at menarche appears tohave a weak positive relationship wivh age at marriage but the result is notsignificant and the Rshyincrement is quite small Nor does engagement status dowrytype or direction of wealth flows make any significant difference to marriage ageWhen we enter controls for other marriage-process variables (cf first adjustedmean) wealth qows ichieve significance in reiation to marriage age and in thepredicted direction but no other variable shifts toward significance in this way

The absence of a positive relationship between age at nenarche and marriagetiming is notable since a significant relationshIip has been reported ini a wide varietyof social settings (Udry and Cliquet 1982) One possible explanation is attenuationdue to misstatement of actual ages at first menses We have already cited Paige andPaige 11981) in this connection and the age pattern of menses ages in our data suggests some convergence of responses on normative ages Yet other relationishipsin our data arc consistent with accurately reported ages at menarche For examplecross-tabulalions of age at first menses and whether a woman was formally engagedbefore narriage show that lower ages at menarche are associated with the absence ofengagement This is n expected relationship our hypotheses predict a speeding up(f the marriage process lic menarche is relatively early one way to achieve this isthrough the deletion of certain elements in the process Further indication ofaccurately reportedi ages at menarhe appears when we consider the relationshipbetween age at first menses and age at marriage separately for landed and landlesshouseholds Within the landless group there is no relationship Among landedhouseholds on the other hand there is a consistent rise in the age at marriage with age at menarche-from 169 for those who experience mcenarche before age 13 to182 for those who experience menarche after age 13 This is as predicied sincelanded households are the most likely to contract marriages with unrelated familiesin which the element of risk and concern about chastity weigh the heaviest

In general the marriage-process variables retain iheir effects when controls areentered although there is a slight weakening in the levels of significance Given arelatively small sample size our results provide heartening support for a theory ofmarriage that includes social-structural and transactional elements The full regresshysion results (not shown here) show thai all of these variables together account for over 27 percent of the variance in marriage timing in the rural sample Our analysisshows that both the standard background or control variables a-d the more

503 Social Organization and Marriage Timing Strategies in Pakistan

Table 3-Mean age at marriage by marriage process variables unadjusted and adjusted

Mean age at marriage NumberdegVariable Unadjusteda Adjusted Adjusted of cases

Relationship between families before marriageNo relationship 163 162 165 49Biradari 169 171 169 32 HishtadariVartan

2178 178 177 84

(Increment in R ) (046) (049) (026)

Age at menarche lt13 169 171 170 65 13 173 172 174 57

gt13 174 172 172 43 (Increment in R2 ) (004) (000) (003)

Engagement status Not engaged 172 174 172 70Engaged

2172 171 171 95

(Increment in R ) (000) (002) (000)

Type of dowryNoneHousehold goods 170 173 173 56 CashLuxuries 173 171

2 171 109 (Increment in R ) (001) (001) (002)

Value of payments to husbands family

0-499 rupees 161 155 159 26 500-999 rupees 167 165 166 25 1000 or more rupees 175 177 176 1142(Increment in R ) (036) (052) (026)

Marriage typeHypergamoua union 173 171 174 27 Isogamous uniond 169 169 168 121Hypogamous union 189 194 192 172(Increment in R ) (042) (060) (046)

Wealth flows at marriage BalancedTowards wifes

family 171 178 178 76 Toward husbands family 173 167 -67 892(IncremenL in R ) (001) (021) (022)

Grand mean 172 Total cases 165

R2 for all marriage process variables 147

R2 controlling for background variables 101

a Zero-order mean b Controlling for other marriage process variables c Controlling for other marriage process variables and all background

variables d Between two landed or between two landless families

oignificant at 01 significant at the 05 level

s the level

significant at the 10 level

504 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 number 4 November 1986

structural and cultural variables account for their own parts of this variance Thus background variables explain a unique 12 percent of the variance and the marriageshyprocess variables explain an additional 10 percent The remaining 52 percent is explained jointly by the two sets of variables

Our analysis supports most of our hypotheses and on balance reinforces the perspective from which they are derived Regarding I-1-that marriage between unrelated groups will result in the youngest and marriage between rishtadari and vartan groups the latest ages at marriage-we have complete support More than a year separates the oldest and youngest groups even after all controls are entered

Our second hypothesis-that education will be positively associated with marshyriage-is also supported We have included this variable with the other backgroundfactors because superficially this relationship is hardly surprising Nevertheless the significant increase of a year in marriage age that occurs even when a grade of school isnot completed suggests an unconventional interpretation of the importanceof education in this setting Thus education must have its effects because of the symbolic value it has fbr the wife-receivers in the arriage transaction rather than because of it impact on the wonman herself

H3 concerning the positive relationship between dowry vaIC and age at marriage is supported here with more than a year and ihalf separating earliest and latest marrying groups This is true even with controls for class background and the inflation of dowry values that we might expect to be associated with class background

Our fourth hypothesis concerning the relationship between lionioganiv and marriage age receives only mixed support Hypogamously marrying women are the latest marriers by nearly two years That hypergrrmous marricrs are not the yonngest may be because using lnded status results in an imperfect measure

Finally H6-that marriage age will be negatively associated with wealth flows to the husbands family-is supported only after controls for other marriage-processvariables are included The meaning of this pattern is uncleCar and may be a function of an association between dowry value and wealth flow not yet investigated

Our hypothesis concerning engagement and menarche has not Found support in this analysis We have already mentioned possible problems with the menarchevariable Our phrasing of the engagement hypothesis issuch that a zero-order effect should have been evident and disappearet when the control for relationship between families is entered That no zero-order effect was evident suggests that our association of engagement with socially riskier marriages is wrong Rather engageshyment may be considered a component of all marriages its association with later menarche alluded to earlier suggests that elements of the marriage process may be altered in response to unpredictable events

DISCUSSION

Our perspective couched in ethnographic knowledge of Punjabi social organizashytion and the culturally determined roles of women receives strong support from this analysis This is not to argue that the more standard development indicators are unimportant in explanations of marriage timing Rather we have demonstrated that a more complete understanding will be gained by considering the ranges of behavior permitted and forbidden in particular cultural settings

The results further encourage such comparative analyses by cautioning againsttaking pretransition settings to be without individual-level variation in behavior To say that a society is organized patrilineally or that inheritance is partible is not enough Even in Pakistani Punjab where the constraints of ideology on behavior

505 Social Organization and Marriage Timing Strategies in Pakistan

may be thought of as especially powerful we have shown that there is room for flexible responses that have their impact on marriage timing

We have used the rural Punjab case to present a model in which the alliance function of marriage is very important We suggest that the underlying componentsof such a society include its agrarian orientation and its unilineal kinship organizashytion It is possible that the model we have begun to develop here will find useful application in other partrilineal rural settings in the rest of South Asia and elseshywhere

Finally a note on social change We consciously directed our attention to a pretransition setting to highlight the need to consider the cultural and social milieu from which populations move as they undergo transition Interpretations of the transition in marriage behavior and its consequences for fertility begin to go astraywhen they focus unduly on individuals while ignoring issues of social structure and social control Education is not always related to the autonomy of women Caldwells finding that women in South India may be educated by their parents toenhance their marriageability (Caldwell Reddy and Caldwell 1982) finds parallels in our Punjabi analysis Similarly there is strong support here for a perspective that looks at marriage within the whole context of productive relationships

This has implications for the way we conceive of the interaction between valuesand institutions in social change Education of women for example although an innovative institutional feature within the rural setting seems to have unexpectedeffects on marriage timing that can be adequately explained only with reference to an extant value system or cultural milieu The extent to which this system retains its hold on the rural Punjab is evident from the strength of the marriage-processvariables in our analysis All of the hypotheses concerning their effects assume traditional values for the area Similarly the association of wage work with younger ages at marriage makes sense when we consider the risks to a daughtersmarriageability that come from exposure to extra-domestic influences Rather than suggesting some sort of cultural stasis however we argue that change will occur Our point is that the effects of these institutional components of transition will not be uniform across cultural settings Innovations will have their initial effects on behavior in ways that are corsistent with existing cultural values and these effects may be surprising

There is a clear call here for the inclusion of indicators for these effects in social surveys We have been able to explore these issues only because the AMS was designed to evoke culture-specific features of the marriage process Such data are rare however and in any case the social survey alone should not be expected to provide detailed models that allow us to make cultural sense of these processes (cfCaldwell Reddy and Caldwell 1984) We have also been fortunate in being able to use ethnographic sources in developing our interpretation although our sources for ethnographic and survey data are often separated by approximately two decades and none of the ethnographies describes the same villages in which the survey was conducted As a closing comment that cannot be fully elaborated here we suggestthe need to develop methodologies that combine survey and ethnographic data collection in formal and complementary ways

NOTES Sahlins calls this type of economy the domestic mode of production (1972) Among its characterisshy

tics are that it is an economy of production for use---ne penetrated with such noneconomic claims as ritual ceremonial and social diversion and one organized around donestic groups usually the family

2 Important examinations of the alliance theme appear in Dumont (1993) Parry (1979) and Yalman (1971) and its central importance in Muslim areas is documented in Eglar (1960) and Naveed-i-Rahat

506 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 number 4 November 1986 (1981) The nature of status and hierarchy as a cross-cutting feature of social organization and marriagemay be examined in Fruzzetti and Oster (1982) I Ahmad (1978) Korson (1971) and S Ahmad (1977)See Ortner (1981) for another treatment of wonlens stalus in hierarchic il settings Finally iherelationship between wealth flows marriage and hierarchy is treated in Tantbiah ( 1973ab) Caplan(194) and Gough (1956) in addition it) the above sources

Important differences in the definition of biradari sugges that -glar may have overslated the degree towhich patriline and biradari identify the same group For the Raiputs in Kangra biradari refers to group of clans within which marriages may be contracted in equalitI lParr the

19794) and AhIttad ( 19741571suggested that the biradari is a wider group than the ittediate patriline in Pakistan as well In any casethe breadth of the group to tich hiradari can appl seetis to be soitewhat dependent on context I Eglar196076) and we will restrict its meaning in this paper to palriline Also see lrtlzetti 1192115-116) for a parallel Bengali level of social i)rganization I Hypergamy refers to marriages it hich wives marr into higher statu families (otmpare wihhomogamy for marriages bet een faiimilies of equal statiu and lvpogaltv ill thich kotneninar intolower status families

Korson (1979150-151) in contrast reports a pattern for urban Pakistat il Mich these saneexchange marriages are desirable unions SirnilLrlv tlershinim (1981193) ieports that the Sikhs andHindus in the part of Indian lunjab where lie orkeitegarded such niarriage as quintesential] MusliitThe apparent explanation is the etent to lich nton-Ashraf groups those descended trout Hinduconverts relain the ideology of their aincesors ]vidence here suggests that in rural areas the extent is great

These data constitute a rich bodv ofrve rtatet il gatlicied in ile lutntab in 1979 by Sabiha If SvedIWomens Division Cabinet Secretariat (itivernment of Pakistan) (tordination of ilte project usasprovided by Peter C Smith (Iast-Wesl Populatiot Instittlel Similar tres erc conducted atl iboutthe same time in Indonesia thte Philippines and lhailand lhe tespective investigalors were Peter FMcDonald (Ausi-alian National ltiversitv Mercedes II CoitcepcionI tniversit ofthe Philippines) andAphichat Chamratrilhirong (Mahidol I niyersjtvi

See Suit 119571 and Andre s Morgan and Sonuist 119167 t- lie iustiication and method ofconversion from regression to intuliple clissilicatil uanalvsis otellicietlts The standard deviation is 1014ears cottnpaied tth 153 to as gtat as 2ol it the other three AMS

Countries For example the patlentci iiitrgeiterait l shilts i fitnik relatlonhips in llivrln slitius s tantalizing

contextual sintilarities to South Asiln societies Icf lIhor t1i11( hlng nd Still 1984)

A(K NI()VI)(F NTS The Asian Marriage Survey for Pakistat was carried out under US Agency forInternational Developmenl Grant DI)PSE-6-()048 The present research was conductshyed with supporl from the National Science Foundation (SES-8319904) Earlierversions of this paper were presented at tile East-West Population Institute

Wednesday Seminar and to a seminar at the Institute of Pakistan Studies Quaid-i-Azam University Islamahad We wish to thank the facitlt and students of Quaid-i-Azam University for their helpful Colllntls during the setninar In particularProfessor Dar Director of the Institule of Pakistan SIudics oflered especially usefulcriticisms We also acknowledge the comments of Furqan Ahmlad John BauerAndrew Cherlin Deborah Freedman Doris Nayyar and Arland Thornton onvarious earlier drafts while absolving all of them of any errors in our interpretationand analysis

R F - RFN( ES Ahiad 1 1978 Fndoganiy ird siaUs mohilit antong Siuldiqui lteikhs tl Allahlhad Itar radeslh Pp171-211 in I Ahinad (ct (t t t ui t fl otltili loi ot fiesthti iii In ha 2nd edt New

Delhi Manohar Ahnuad S 1974 A village in Palkistani Ilani ah jalpal 11p131-1 72in C Malones led) South siaSerei (ommunttv Prefii Nes Yuik tloll Rinehart and Winston

1977 (Clo anl en rt in I i uniai Villae Nesy York Monthil Revie s PressAndrews F M J N Morgan and J A Stiquist 197 Mulliph (latilit aion Attalvsi Ann ArborMich Institute for Soicial Researci

Social Organization and Marriage Timing Strategies in Pakistan 507 BIloch NI 1973 The long term and the Nhor tern The economic and politicil signiticance of the morality

of kinship P1p75-87 in J (oody led) Ihe (hvlero Kinihip (anthridge Cambridge Univerit Press

Cain 1198 1 Risk and insurance Perspectives on tertilith and agrarian change in India and Ilangladesh 11opidation ad A 7435-474I)e eloliintReiuit

1982 Perspectives on family aind ferfilil indeveloping countnres )opuhtlion Stuldie 36159-175Cain M S R Khanutin and S N ahar 1979 (lass paiiriarchv and wtomens ork in Iangladesh

PopulhtionOtand Itl-riivt Reti- 5415-438 Caidwell J C 1982 1ttry ot Iertiitv lI line Nesk York Acaderni (iesCaldell 1 C P1II Redd and 1(aldell 1982 The cause of dernographic change in rural South

India A tilcro-approach Iopuhltitonitn I)o velopment Rviit- 8689-727 - 1983 The ctuse of larliage change in South India Iopiliation Stidiv37343-3(1 - 1984 The micro-approach in delographic investligation lovird a methodology Paper presented

at IUSSP Micro-l)emographN Working Group Conference Australian Naiotil UniversityCaplitn I 1984 Itldegloiin price it turhan India (lass CaSte and do rv evil amiong Christians ir

Miatdra Man 19210-233 Carleton R () 1975 Educattion and fertiltis (p 115-166 sit IV V Mtihmi ledIi ldination anid

Iuoptutn Ahloitl IlilI t ielgillill IUSSI (herlin A J P C S1ttln I ricke I I)omiingo Adioetonio A (hliiiittrlhirong atnd S II Sed

I985a tfttll inltience iln the (tilting ti imirriage IFiletcc ll)tt Itlil Atin Nocleties (1Ipcr preeiltedilt lrkshop (htigiig MNIiriiage 1t1 lie Itil iii Asia Sila I hiallild Feb 21-24

- -1985h Etlicition ind age titmarriage |-itdence (ront Itcir Asinll ocleIe Papel presented lt torkslht Chanlging Mlartiage and tihe Fanil in Asia Silta Il tild Feb 21-24Cochrane S 1 19710 Iitttft and I~dtaitiol Mihat A) tii Rctilx A m Ittnloic Ill John IHopkins I rniverit Prcss

l)as 1973 Ifie strictiure oll timtanae preferences kii ilttouli (lit kistit fictilcti l1(1n8311-45 Du ont I 198 Ilierrch and marriage allitnce in Soulh lndimii kinslip tt iginllll published 1957)

Pp 18- ((4 in L I)tinot fetl) Alitv it a Value lrrtAtct- lilh cIllnSoti India With Coiptlirtllt i s1111 oit lrtit (Chicagio inilersit of Chica eol ess)Non I_ and Ntllre 1983 (In kinship Ntrlictlre fcnilile t lmld denographic behavior inthonliihIthaI 1qttaw anid Ikitl lopit~tnt Rtivt 9)1-00l

Lglr Z 19610A Piniali Iill in tAiti Ne )ioik (oltinibit niersit PressF-ores 11958 Introdtuction Ip 1-14 it J (iootl led I IH+ithI lop etal( irhi Plottiesih Groupsl Cambridge UK (Caubridge Liiciy r IcS

louster B 1978 I)(Inlestlc deveopIientiIl ccles is a link letsen ptoplaitilon plioces es and olher social processes Joturnall I ltleult It 14411-44 I0lnlthrol Rckea1tl

|os R 1967 Kiittitip lt(I l littwtt -h alrl UK PenguinAittthrohe11 1 IIttnlondirth

PressFrutietm IL 11982 Iif (|It oit ti t tireint lioic IhlttlQ1 and itu~al tit it Bit+eah S wit Ne

l iti-ick NJ R tgers lI r isti PicrNe lHtietti I_ d A (ster t1982 11dblood Ill CIngA (teglor and illcct Il the tdlI of kinship

caste and unliitig- I1p I-s5 ii A (slet L Friwulett intl S 1litt1te10 ds) (npt11 0 lrtinKtill tlp ( -ivt wild Altnrl~ e ill bidhw (itnlih idge l~t ut i~d tUniiecsil Ilrt

Giotugh K 19 HItlhntin kinship ill a itnlil village At l lilt lthqohwit SS 26-851 Ilerhnmn P 1981 IotitiiotKi(htl andl fIitnitc)elhi Iindilslatn ItibhhingKeeing R 1975 KiN (roup io1 itl ttt+tt- Net York ll1 Riniehrl ind Wilton Korson I If Fid in il1971 ldgilltotis ntirrige ti idtitit Mutslimn olct est (kisaltri ll141r114101Ciparative tivhStudieN 213 I145-15i - --- 179 ModeltliualtI iiJ sicial chang-T ihe latitil n Ilktiliti Pp Iitl)0-20 7 it NI Singh I)a and

1) 1) tardi+ teds) Dii I-aitiAv ill l ti I|ondon Allen miid ittLesthiteghe R 1980 ()rl the social control of hunlmin ieproduclto Poidau~tio-iand A-lophiticniRevielt 6527- 548

ii+lenhitn (1) l r (ichalgiI alilA Ilanlnmt 12(l 109II4-401

9 itpicitiins illlen g Illltge nlItiSt nn111InIIIangJduesthlt dii itt

Mits n K () 1484 Thc sdltlus k+o111cent1 ilorit ofilf fertlmhl atnd A it~ik inlte ktjn hips Universit of Michigaipulation Studies (Centel Resetich Report 84-58

NIeNicoll i 1980 Instltiuional determinants II lertilits chang olation hld iloptlnliit Reviit 6441-462

Naveed-i-Ribal 1981 (he role of wonen in reciprocal relation hlip titi Iinlhab village Ip 47-81 in T SEpstein and R A Walli leds )7 Inhi Iay ot Calt Matlraltit Rtiral Wottnnlmli New York Perganon Prcss

Ortner S B 1981 (lender and semiality in hierarchical societie The cae of Polynesia and some

508 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 number 4 November 1986

comparative implications Pp 359-409 in S 13Ortner and H Whitehead (eds) Sexual Meanings The Cultural Construction of Gender and Sesuality Cambridge UK Cambridge University Press

Paige K E and J M Paige 1981 The Politics of Reproductive Ritual Berkeley University of California Press

Papanek H 1984 False specialization and the purdah of scholarship-A review article Journal ofAsian Studies 44127-148

Parry J P 1979 Caste and Kinship in Kangra London Routledge and Kegan Paul Ryder N 131975 Fertility measurement through cross-sectional surveys Social Forcei 547-35

1983 Fertility and family structure Population Bulletin olfthe United Nations 1515-34 Sahlins M 1972 Stone Age Econoinici New York Aldine Slocum W L J Akhtar and A FSahi 1959 Villaie Libf+ in lahome District Lahore University of the

Punjab Social Science Research Centre Smith P C 1980 Asian marriage patterns in tt insition Journal ufl aind 1Iistory 556-96

1983 The impact of age at marriage and proportions marrying on fertility Pp 473-531 in R Bulatao and R Iee (eds) termniinantv Academicof Ferility in 1) veloping Countries New York Press

Smith P C and M 1 Karim 1980 Urbanization education and marriage patterns Four cases from Asia No 71 in Paprs of Ih a t- PopIda Ihnoulti Hi East-West PopulationPpultion Institute Institute

Suits DB 1957 Use of dttiunlut variables in regression equations Journal tit the Anerican Statitical Asociation 52548-551

Tambiah S J 1973a Dowry aud bridewealth and the property rights of women in South Asia Pp 51)-1(9in JGoody and SJTarnhiah (eds) Bridei cilthand I)m rvCambridge UK Cambridge University Press

1973b From arna to caste through mixed unions lp 191-229 in JGoody edlI 1he Character ofKinhip Cat ibridge UK Cambridge University Press

Tandon P 1968 Punjahi (Centurv1857-1947 Berkeley niversuty of California Press Thadani V 1978 The logic of sentiment The fansily and social change opulation and )evelopment

Review 4457-499 Thornton A M C Chang and T-H Stin 1984 Social and ecootrtuic change intrgeneratlonal

relationships and family formation in laisman 1)cinoyraphv 21475-499 Udry JR and R L Cliquet 1982 A criiss-cultural esamination of the relationship between ages at

menarche marriage and first birth Dmnnographv 1953-63 Vreede-de Stuers C 1968 Parda A Stidv of luslji )loonenlife illNoritiern India New York

Humanities Press Yalman N 1971 Under the Bo Tree Studies inCaie Kinship and Marriage in the Interior ofCeyhi

Berkeley University of California Press

177

RECENT AVAILABLE REPRINTS OF THE EAST-WEST POPULATION INSTITUTE No 172 Conclusion by Lee-Jay Cho reprinted from The IndustrialFutureof the fIzcific Basin RogerBenjamin and Robert T Kudrle eds Westview Press Colorado 1984 173 Asian Labor Migration to the Middle East by Fred Arnold and Nasra M Shah reprinted

front InternationalMigration Review Sum mer 1984 174 Repeatability of infant deaths in Korea by Chai Bin Park and Alfred C Hexter reprinted

from nhternationaljournal of Epideniolhgy September 1984 175 Comparative analysis of fertility orientations World Fertility Survey findings by Lee-Jay Cho ind Louise Kantrow reprinted from Predicting Fertility DenographicStudies ofBirth Expectations Gerry E I lendershot and Paul J Placek eds Lexington Books DC

I leath and Company Massachusetts 1981 176 Census-derived estimates of fertility by duration since first marriage in the Republicof Korea by Robert 1) Retherlord ee-JaY Cho ard Narn-Il Kim reprinted from Deinogshy

raphy November 481 The value of daughters and sons A comparative study of the gender preferences of parshyents bv Fred Arnold and Eddie CY Kujo reprint_d from fournal of Comparative Fanih Studes Summer 1984

178 Analysing open birth interval distributions by Griffith FeeneY and John A Ross reprintedfrom Population Studies Novembet 1981

17 Population dynamics arid policy in the eoples Republic of China by Lee-jay Choreprinted from The Annals if TheAneirican Acadenii ufoPliticaland Sociai Science Chinain Transitim vol 476 Marvin F Wolfgang ed Sage lublications Beverly Hills Califorshynia 1984

180 Personal networks and the adoption of family planning in rural Korea by Joung ImKim arid Janmes A lihlmore reprinted from Journalov Population and I halth Studies Dshycember 1984

181 Determinants of birth-interval length in the Philippines Malaysia and Indonesia Ahazard-model analysis by James Trussell Linda G Martin Robert Feldman James APalmore Mercedes Concepcion and Datin Noor Laily lBt Dato Abu Bakar reprinted Denograply May 1985

182 Shadow households and competing auspices Migration behavior in the Philippinesby Fe Caces Fred Arnold Jame T Fawcett and Robert W Gardner reprinted fior lourshynal of Development Econonics lanuarv-February 1985 183 Perceptions of the value of children Satisfaction and costs by James 1 Rawcett reprinted

from Detrniinantsof lertiliti in Devehpin Counitries vol 1 Rodolfo A Bulatao and RonaldD Lee eds Acaderic Press Inc 1983 184 Diffusion processes affecting fertility regulation bv Robert I) Retherford and JamesA Palmore reprinted from Determiintsof lirtlityqin Dcvelopiing Countries vol 2 RodolfoA Bulatao and Ronald D Lee eds Academic Press Inc 1983 185 The impact of age at marriage and proportions marrying on fertility by Peter C Smithreprinted from Determinantsof lirtiilit in Develolmkg Countries vol 2 Rodolfo A gulatao

and Ronald D Lee eds Academic Press Inc 1983 186 Migration of women to cities The Asian situation in comparative perspective by Siew-Ean Khoo Peter C Smith and James T Fawcett reprinted from lnternationalMigration

Rtview Special Issue Noten in AlM ratin Winter 1984

187 Measuring the effect of sex preference on fertility The case of Korea by Fred Arnold ieprinted from Dernography May 1985

18 Exploring the normative basis for age at marriage in Thailand An example from focus group research by Anthony Pramualratana Napaporn Havanon and John Knodel reprinted from Journalof Marriageand the Family February 1985

189 The non-economic consequences of Asian labor migration to the Middle East by Nasra M Shah and Fred Arnold reprinted from International Union for the Scientific Study of Population lnternaitonalPopulation Conference Florence 1985 vol 3 1985

190 Parity progression projection by Griffith Feeney reprinted from International Union for the Scientific Study of Population InternationalPopiulation Conference Florence 1985 vol 4 1985

191 A theory of marita fertility transition by Robert D Retherford reprinted from Popula tion Studies July 1985

192 Cultural variations in the transition to marriage in four Asian societies by Paul Cheung Josefina Cabigon Aphichat Chamratrithirong Peter F McDonald Sabila Syed Andrew Cherlin and Peter C Smith reprinted from International Union for the Scientific Study of Population InternationalPopulation Conference Florence 1985 vol 3 1985

193 Decision making and sex selection with biased technologies by Neil GBennett and Andrew Mason reprinted from Sex Selection of Children Neil G Bennett ed Academic Press Inc 1983

194 US farm migration An application of the Harris-Todaro model by Daniel B Suits reprinted from Economic Development and Cultural Chang vol 33 no 4 1985

195 Health of Hlmong in Thailand Risk factors morbidity and mortality in comparison with other ethnic groups by Peter Kunstadter reprinted from Culture Medicine and Psyshychiairy vol 9 no 4 1985

196 Evaluation of contraceptive history data in the Republic of Korea by Anne R Pebley Noreen Goldman and Minja Kim Choe reprinted from Stldies ii Family PlanningJanushyaryFebruary 1986

197 Circulation between home and other places Some propositions by Murray Chapman and R Mansell Prothem and Me go walkabout you too by Murray Chapman reprinted from Circulationin Population Mozement Substance and Concepts fion tie Melnesian Case Murray Chapman and R Maniell Prothero eds Routledge amp Kegan Paul 1985

198 Fijians and Indo-Fijians in Suva Rural-urban movements and linkages by Shashikant Nair reprinted from Circulationin PopulationMovement Substance and Concepts fron the Melanesian Case Murray Chapman and R Mansell Prothero eds Routledge amp Kegan Paul 1985

199 Linkages between internal and international migration The Ilocos Norte experience by Fred Arnold and Ricardo G Abad reprinted from PhilippinePopulationJournalJune 1985

200 An economic analysis of recent fertility in Japan by Naohiro Ogawa and Andrew Mason reprinted from linko Gaku Kenkyu vol 9 May 1986

201 Averting crisis in Asia by Lee-jay Cho reprinted from Bulletin of the Atonic Scientists vol 42 no 4 1986

202 Sex preference fertility and family planning in China by Fred Arnold and Liu Zhao xiang reprinted from lPpulation am Development Review vol 12 no 2 1986

203 The place of child-spacing as a factor in infant mortality A recursive model by Chai Bin Park reprinted from American Journalof Public Health vol 76 no 8 1986

204 Determinants of Korean birth intervals The confrontation of theory and data by Larry L Bumpass Ronald R Rindfuss and James A Palmore reprinted from Po)pulationStudies vol 40 no 3 1986

Page 17: INSTITUTE timing strategies in Pakistan

503 Social Organization and Marriage Timing Strategies in Pakistan

Table 3-Mean age at marriage by marriage process variables unadjusted and adjusted

Mean age at marriage NumberdegVariable Unadjusteda Adjusted Adjusted of cases

Relationship between families before marriageNo relationship 163 162 165 49Biradari 169 171 169 32 HishtadariVartan

2178 178 177 84

(Increment in R ) (046) (049) (026)

Age at menarche lt13 169 171 170 65 13 173 172 174 57

gt13 174 172 172 43 (Increment in R2 ) (004) (000) (003)

Engagement status Not engaged 172 174 172 70Engaged

2172 171 171 95

(Increment in R ) (000) (002) (000)

Type of dowryNoneHousehold goods 170 173 173 56 CashLuxuries 173 171

2 171 109 (Increment in R ) (001) (001) (002)

Value of payments to husbands family

0-499 rupees 161 155 159 26 500-999 rupees 167 165 166 25 1000 or more rupees 175 177 176 1142(Increment in R ) (036) (052) (026)

Marriage typeHypergamoua union 173 171 174 27 Isogamous uniond 169 169 168 121Hypogamous union 189 194 192 172(Increment in R ) (042) (060) (046)

Wealth flows at marriage BalancedTowards wifes

family 171 178 178 76 Toward husbands family 173 167 -67 892(IncremenL in R ) (001) (021) (022)

Grand mean 172 Total cases 165

R2 for all marriage process variables 147

R2 controlling for background variables 101

a Zero-order mean b Controlling for other marriage process variables c Controlling for other marriage process variables and all background

variables d Between two landed or between two landless families

oignificant at 01 significant at the 05 level

s the level

significant at the 10 level

504 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 number 4 November 1986

structural and cultural variables account for their own parts of this variance Thus background variables explain a unique 12 percent of the variance and the marriageshyprocess variables explain an additional 10 percent The remaining 52 percent is explained jointly by the two sets of variables

Our analysis supports most of our hypotheses and on balance reinforces the perspective from which they are derived Regarding I-1-that marriage between unrelated groups will result in the youngest and marriage between rishtadari and vartan groups the latest ages at marriage-we have complete support More than a year separates the oldest and youngest groups even after all controls are entered

Our second hypothesis-that education will be positively associated with marshyriage-is also supported We have included this variable with the other backgroundfactors because superficially this relationship is hardly surprising Nevertheless the significant increase of a year in marriage age that occurs even when a grade of school isnot completed suggests an unconventional interpretation of the importanceof education in this setting Thus education must have its effects because of the symbolic value it has fbr the wife-receivers in the arriage transaction rather than because of it impact on the wonman herself

H3 concerning the positive relationship between dowry vaIC and age at marriage is supported here with more than a year and ihalf separating earliest and latest marrying groups This is true even with controls for class background and the inflation of dowry values that we might expect to be associated with class background

Our fourth hypothesis concerning the relationship between lionioganiv and marriage age receives only mixed support Hypogamously marrying women are the latest marriers by nearly two years That hypergrrmous marricrs are not the yonngest may be because using lnded status results in an imperfect measure

Finally H6-that marriage age will be negatively associated with wealth flows to the husbands family-is supported only after controls for other marriage-processvariables are included The meaning of this pattern is uncleCar and may be a function of an association between dowry value and wealth flow not yet investigated

Our hypothesis concerning engagement and menarche has not Found support in this analysis We have already mentioned possible problems with the menarchevariable Our phrasing of the engagement hypothesis issuch that a zero-order effect should have been evident and disappearet when the control for relationship between families is entered That no zero-order effect was evident suggests that our association of engagement with socially riskier marriages is wrong Rather engageshyment may be considered a component of all marriages its association with later menarche alluded to earlier suggests that elements of the marriage process may be altered in response to unpredictable events

DISCUSSION

Our perspective couched in ethnographic knowledge of Punjabi social organizashytion and the culturally determined roles of women receives strong support from this analysis This is not to argue that the more standard development indicators are unimportant in explanations of marriage timing Rather we have demonstrated that a more complete understanding will be gained by considering the ranges of behavior permitted and forbidden in particular cultural settings

The results further encourage such comparative analyses by cautioning againsttaking pretransition settings to be without individual-level variation in behavior To say that a society is organized patrilineally or that inheritance is partible is not enough Even in Pakistani Punjab where the constraints of ideology on behavior

505 Social Organization and Marriage Timing Strategies in Pakistan

may be thought of as especially powerful we have shown that there is room for flexible responses that have their impact on marriage timing

We have used the rural Punjab case to present a model in which the alliance function of marriage is very important We suggest that the underlying componentsof such a society include its agrarian orientation and its unilineal kinship organizashytion It is possible that the model we have begun to develop here will find useful application in other partrilineal rural settings in the rest of South Asia and elseshywhere

Finally a note on social change We consciously directed our attention to a pretransition setting to highlight the need to consider the cultural and social milieu from which populations move as they undergo transition Interpretations of the transition in marriage behavior and its consequences for fertility begin to go astraywhen they focus unduly on individuals while ignoring issues of social structure and social control Education is not always related to the autonomy of women Caldwells finding that women in South India may be educated by their parents toenhance their marriageability (Caldwell Reddy and Caldwell 1982) finds parallels in our Punjabi analysis Similarly there is strong support here for a perspective that looks at marriage within the whole context of productive relationships

This has implications for the way we conceive of the interaction between valuesand institutions in social change Education of women for example although an innovative institutional feature within the rural setting seems to have unexpectedeffects on marriage timing that can be adequately explained only with reference to an extant value system or cultural milieu The extent to which this system retains its hold on the rural Punjab is evident from the strength of the marriage-processvariables in our analysis All of the hypotheses concerning their effects assume traditional values for the area Similarly the association of wage work with younger ages at marriage makes sense when we consider the risks to a daughtersmarriageability that come from exposure to extra-domestic influences Rather than suggesting some sort of cultural stasis however we argue that change will occur Our point is that the effects of these institutional components of transition will not be uniform across cultural settings Innovations will have their initial effects on behavior in ways that are corsistent with existing cultural values and these effects may be surprising

There is a clear call here for the inclusion of indicators for these effects in social surveys We have been able to explore these issues only because the AMS was designed to evoke culture-specific features of the marriage process Such data are rare however and in any case the social survey alone should not be expected to provide detailed models that allow us to make cultural sense of these processes (cfCaldwell Reddy and Caldwell 1984) We have also been fortunate in being able to use ethnographic sources in developing our interpretation although our sources for ethnographic and survey data are often separated by approximately two decades and none of the ethnographies describes the same villages in which the survey was conducted As a closing comment that cannot be fully elaborated here we suggestthe need to develop methodologies that combine survey and ethnographic data collection in formal and complementary ways

NOTES Sahlins calls this type of economy the domestic mode of production (1972) Among its characterisshy

tics are that it is an economy of production for use---ne penetrated with such noneconomic claims as ritual ceremonial and social diversion and one organized around donestic groups usually the family

2 Important examinations of the alliance theme appear in Dumont (1993) Parry (1979) and Yalman (1971) and its central importance in Muslim areas is documented in Eglar (1960) and Naveed-i-Rahat

506 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 number 4 November 1986 (1981) The nature of status and hierarchy as a cross-cutting feature of social organization and marriagemay be examined in Fruzzetti and Oster (1982) I Ahmad (1978) Korson (1971) and S Ahmad (1977)See Ortner (1981) for another treatment of wonlens stalus in hierarchic il settings Finally iherelationship between wealth flows marriage and hierarchy is treated in Tantbiah ( 1973ab) Caplan(194) and Gough (1956) in addition it) the above sources

Important differences in the definition of biradari sugges that -glar may have overslated the degree towhich patriline and biradari identify the same group For the Raiputs in Kangra biradari refers to group of clans within which marriages may be contracted in equalitI lParr the

19794) and AhIttad ( 19741571suggested that the biradari is a wider group than the ittediate patriline in Pakistan as well In any casethe breadth of the group to tich hiradari can appl seetis to be soitewhat dependent on context I Eglar196076) and we will restrict its meaning in this paper to palriline Also see lrtlzetti 1192115-116) for a parallel Bengali level of social i)rganization I Hypergamy refers to marriages it hich wives marr into higher statu families (otmpare wihhomogamy for marriages bet een faiimilies of equal statiu and lvpogaltv ill thich kotneninar intolower status families

Korson (1979150-151) in contrast reports a pattern for urban Pakistat il Mich these saneexchange marriages are desirable unions SirnilLrlv tlershinim (1981193) ieports that the Sikhs andHindus in the part of Indian lunjab where lie orkeitegarded such niarriage as quintesential] MusliitThe apparent explanation is the etent to lich nton-Ashraf groups those descended trout Hinduconverts relain the ideology of their aincesors ]vidence here suggests that in rural areas the extent is great

These data constitute a rich bodv ofrve rtatet il gatlicied in ile lutntab in 1979 by Sabiha If SvedIWomens Division Cabinet Secretariat (itivernment of Pakistan) (tordination of ilte project usasprovided by Peter C Smith (Iast-Wesl Populatiot Instittlel Similar tres erc conducted atl iboutthe same time in Indonesia thte Philippines and lhailand lhe tespective investigalors were Peter FMcDonald (Ausi-alian National ltiversitv Mercedes II CoitcepcionI tniversit ofthe Philippines) andAphichat Chamratrilhirong (Mahidol I niyersjtvi

See Suit 119571 and Andre s Morgan and Sonuist 119167 t- lie iustiication and method ofconversion from regression to intuliple clissilicatil uanalvsis otellicietlts The standard deviation is 1014ears cottnpaied tth 153 to as gtat as 2ol it the other three AMS

Countries For example the patlentci iiitrgeiterait l shilts i fitnik relatlonhips in llivrln slitius s tantalizing

contextual sintilarities to South Asiln societies Icf lIhor t1i11( hlng nd Still 1984)

A(K NI()VI)(F NTS The Asian Marriage Survey for Pakistat was carried out under US Agency forInternational Developmenl Grant DI)PSE-6-()048 The present research was conductshyed with supporl from the National Science Foundation (SES-8319904) Earlierversions of this paper were presented at tile East-West Population Institute

Wednesday Seminar and to a seminar at the Institute of Pakistan Studies Quaid-i-Azam University Islamahad We wish to thank the facitlt and students of Quaid-i-Azam University for their helpful Colllntls during the setninar In particularProfessor Dar Director of the Institule of Pakistan SIudics oflered especially usefulcriticisms We also acknowledge the comments of Furqan Ahmlad John BauerAndrew Cherlin Deborah Freedman Doris Nayyar and Arland Thornton onvarious earlier drafts while absolving all of them of any errors in our interpretationand analysis

R F - RFN( ES Ahiad 1 1978 Fndoganiy ird siaUs mohilit antong Siuldiqui lteikhs tl Allahlhad Itar radeslh Pp171-211 in I Ahinad (ct (t t t ui t fl otltili loi ot fiesthti iii In ha 2nd edt New

Delhi Manohar Ahnuad S 1974 A village in Palkistani Ilani ah jalpal 11p131-1 72in C Malones led) South siaSerei (ommunttv Prefii Nes Yuik tloll Rinehart and Winston

1977 (Clo anl en rt in I i uniai Villae Nesy York Monthil Revie s PressAndrews F M J N Morgan and J A Stiquist 197 Mulliph (latilit aion Attalvsi Ann ArborMich Institute for Soicial Researci

Social Organization and Marriage Timing Strategies in Pakistan 507 BIloch NI 1973 The long term and the Nhor tern The economic and politicil signiticance of the morality

of kinship P1p75-87 in J (oody led) Ihe (hvlero Kinihip (anthridge Cambridge Univerit Press

Cain 1198 1 Risk and insurance Perspectives on tertilith and agrarian change in India and Ilangladesh 11opidation ad A 7435-474I)e eloliintReiuit

1982 Perspectives on family aind ferfilil indeveloping countnres )opuhtlion Stuldie 36159-175Cain M S R Khanutin and S N ahar 1979 (lass paiiriarchv and wtomens ork in Iangladesh

PopulhtionOtand Itl-riivt Reti- 5415-438 Caidwell J C 1982 1ttry ot Iertiitv lI line Nesk York Acaderni (iesCaldell 1 C P1II Redd and 1(aldell 1982 The cause of dernographic change in rural South

India A tilcro-approach Iopuhltitonitn I)o velopment Rviit- 8689-727 - 1983 The ctuse of larliage change in South India Iopiliation Stidiv37343-3(1 - 1984 The micro-approach in delographic investligation lovird a methodology Paper presented

at IUSSP Micro-l)emographN Working Group Conference Australian Naiotil UniversityCaplitn I 1984 Itldegloiin price it turhan India (lass CaSte and do rv evil amiong Christians ir

Miatdra Man 19210-233 Carleton R () 1975 Educattion and fertiltis (p 115-166 sit IV V Mtihmi ledIi ldination anid

Iuoptutn Ahloitl IlilI t ielgillill IUSSI (herlin A J P C S1ttln I ricke I I)omiingo Adioetonio A (hliiiittrlhirong atnd S II Sed

I985a tfttll inltience iln the (tilting ti imirriage IFiletcc ll)tt Itlil Atin Nocleties (1Ipcr preeiltedilt lrkshop (htigiig MNIiriiage 1t1 lie Itil iii Asia Sila I hiallild Feb 21-24

- -1985h Etlicition ind age titmarriage |-itdence (ront Itcir Asinll ocleIe Papel presented lt torkslht Chanlging Mlartiage and tihe Fanil in Asia Silta Il tild Feb 21-24Cochrane S 1 19710 Iitttft and I~dtaitiol Mihat A) tii Rctilx A m Ittnloic Ill John IHopkins I rniverit Prcss

l)as 1973 Ifie strictiure oll timtanae preferences kii ilttouli (lit kistit fictilcti l1(1n8311-45 Du ont I 198 Ilierrch and marriage allitnce in Soulh lndimii kinslip tt iginllll published 1957)

Pp 18- ((4 in L I)tinot fetl) Alitv it a Value lrrtAtct- lilh cIllnSoti India With Coiptlirtllt i s1111 oit lrtit (Chicagio inilersit of Chica eol ess)Non I_ and Ntllre 1983 (In kinship Ntrlictlre fcnilile t lmld denographic behavior inthonliihIthaI 1qttaw anid Ikitl lopit~tnt Rtivt 9)1-00l

Lglr Z 19610A Piniali Iill in tAiti Ne )ioik (oltinibit niersit PressF-ores 11958 Introdtuction Ip 1-14 it J (iootl led I IH+ithI lop etal( irhi Plottiesih Groupsl Cambridge UK (Caubridge Liiciy r IcS

louster B 1978 I)(Inlestlc deveopIientiIl ccles is a link letsen ptoplaitilon plioces es and olher social processes Joturnall I ltleult It 14411-44 I0lnlthrol Rckea1tl

|os R 1967 Kiittitip lt(I l littwtt -h alrl UK PenguinAittthrohe11 1 IIttnlondirth

PressFrutietm IL 11982 Iif (|It oit ti t tireint lioic IhlttlQ1 and itu~al tit it Bit+eah S wit Ne

l iti-ick NJ R tgers lI r isti PicrNe lHtietti I_ d A (ster t1982 11dblood Ill CIngA (teglor and illcct Il the tdlI of kinship

caste and unliitig- I1p I-s5 ii A (slet L Friwulett intl S 1litt1te10 ds) (npt11 0 lrtinKtill tlp ( -ivt wild Altnrl~ e ill bidhw (itnlih idge l~t ut i~d tUniiecsil Ilrt

Giotugh K 19 HItlhntin kinship ill a itnlil village At l lilt lthqohwit SS 26-851 Ilerhnmn P 1981 IotitiiotKi(htl andl fIitnitc)elhi Iindilslatn ItibhhingKeeing R 1975 KiN (roup io1 itl ttt+tt- Net York ll1 Riniehrl ind Wilton Korson I If Fid in il1971 ldgilltotis ntirrige ti idtitit Mutslimn olct est (kisaltri ll141r114101Ciparative tivhStudieN 213 I145-15i - --- 179 ModeltliualtI iiJ sicial chang-T ihe latitil n Ilktiliti Pp Iitl)0-20 7 it NI Singh I)a and

1) 1) tardi+ teds) Dii I-aitiAv ill l ti I|ondon Allen miid ittLesthiteghe R 1980 ()rl the social control of hunlmin ieproduclto Poidau~tio-iand A-lophiticniRevielt 6527- 548

ii+lenhitn (1) l r (ichalgiI alilA Ilanlnmt 12(l 109II4-401

9 itpicitiins illlen g Illltge nlItiSt nn111InIIIangJduesthlt dii itt

Mits n K () 1484 Thc sdltlus k+o111cent1 ilorit ofilf fertlmhl atnd A it~ik inlte ktjn hips Universit of Michigaipulation Studies (Centel Resetich Report 84-58

NIeNicoll i 1980 Instltiuional determinants II lertilits chang olation hld iloptlnliit Reviit 6441-462

Naveed-i-Ribal 1981 (he role of wonen in reciprocal relation hlip titi Iinlhab village Ip 47-81 in T SEpstein and R A Walli leds )7 Inhi Iay ot Calt Matlraltit Rtiral Wottnnlmli New York Perganon Prcss

Ortner S B 1981 (lender and semiality in hierarchical societie The cae of Polynesia and some

508 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 number 4 November 1986

comparative implications Pp 359-409 in S 13Ortner and H Whitehead (eds) Sexual Meanings The Cultural Construction of Gender and Sesuality Cambridge UK Cambridge University Press

Paige K E and J M Paige 1981 The Politics of Reproductive Ritual Berkeley University of California Press

Papanek H 1984 False specialization and the purdah of scholarship-A review article Journal ofAsian Studies 44127-148

Parry J P 1979 Caste and Kinship in Kangra London Routledge and Kegan Paul Ryder N 131975 Fertility measurement through cross-sectional surveys Social Forcei 547-35

1983 Fertility and family structure Population Bulletin olfthe United Nations 1515-34 Sahlins M 1972 Stone Age Econoinici New York Aldine Slocum W L J Akhtar and A FSahi 1959 Villaie Libf+ in lahome District Lahore University of the

Punjab Social Science Research Centre Smith P C 1980 Asian marriage patterns in tt insition Journal ufl aind 1Iistory 556-96

1983 The impact of age at marriage and proportions marrying on fertility Pp 473-531 in R Bulatao and R Iee (eds) termniinantv Academicof Ferility in 1) veloping Countries New York Press

Smith P C and M 1 Karim 1980 Urbanization education and marriage patterns Four cases from Asia No 71 in Paprs of Ih a t- PopIda Ihnoulti Hi East-West PopulationPpultion Institute Institute

Suits DB 1957 Use of dttiunlut variables in regression equations Journal tit the Anerican Statitical Asociation 52548-551

Tambiah S J 1973a Dowry aud bridewealth and the property rights of women in South Asia Pp 51)-1(9in JGoody and SJTarnhiah (eds) Bridei cilthand I)m rvCambridge UK Cambridge University Press

1973b From arna to caste through mixed unions lp 191-229 in JGoody edlI 1he Character ofKinhip Cat ibridge UK Cambridge University Press

Tandon P 1968 Punjahi (Centurv1857-1947 Berkeley niversuty of California Press Thadani V 1978 The logic of sentiment The fansily and social change opulation and )evelopment

Review 4457-499 Thornton A M C Chang and T-H Stin 1984 Social and ecootrtuic change intrgeneratlonal

relationships and family formation in laisman 1)cinoyraphv 21475-499 Udry JR and R L Cliquet 1982 A criiss-cultural esamination of the relationship between ages at

menarche marriage and first birth Dmnnographv 1953-63 Vreede-de Stuers C 1968 Parda A Stidv of luslji )loonenlife illNoritiern India New York

Humanities Press Yalman N 1971 Under the Bo Tree Studies inCaie Kinship and Marriage in the Interior ofCeyhi

Berkeley University of California Press

177

RECENT AVAILABLE REPRINTS OF THE EAST-WEST POPULATION INSTITUTE No 172 Conclusion by Lee-Jay Cho reprinted from The IndustrialFutureof the fIzcific Basin RogerBenjamin and Robert T Kudrle eds Westview Press Colorado 1984 173 Asian Labor Migration to the Middle East by Fred Arnold and Nasra M Shah reprinted

front InternationalMigration Review Sum mer 1984 174 Repeatability of infant deaths in Korea by Chai Bin Park and Alfred C Hexter reprinted

from nhternationaljournal of Epideniolhgy September 1984 175 Comparative analysis of fertility orientations World Fertility Survey findings by Lee-Jay Cho ind Louise Kantrow reprinted from Predicting Fertility DenographicStudies ofBirth Expectations Gerry E I lendershot and Paul J Placek eds Lexington Books DC

I leath and Company Massachusetts 1981 176 Census-derived estimates of fertility by duration since first marriage in the Republicof Korea by Robert 1) Retherlord ee-JaY Cho ard Narn-Il Kim reprinted from Deinogshy

raphy November 481 The value of daughters and sons A comparative study of the gender preferences of parshyents bv Fred Arnold and Eddie CY Kujo reprint_d from fournal of Comparative Fanih Studes Summer 1984

178 Analysing open birth interval distributions by Griffith FeeneY and John A Ross reprintedfrom Population Studies Novembet 1981

17 Population dynamics arid policy in the eoples Republic of China by Lee-jay Choreprinted from The Annals if TheAneirican Acadenii ufoPliticaland Sociai Science Chinain Transitim vol 476 Marvin F Wolfgang ed Sage lublications Beverly Hills Califorshynia 1984

180 Personal networks and the adoption of family planning in rural Korea by Joung ImKim arid Janmes A lihlmore reprinted from Journalov Population and I halth Studies Dshycember 1984

181 Determinants of birth-interval length in the Philippines Malaysia and Indonesia Ahazard-model analysis by James Trussell Linda G Martin Robert Feldman James APalmore Mercedes Concepcion and Datin Noor Laily lBt Dato Abu Bakar reprinted Denograply May 1985

182 Shadow households and competing auspices Migration behavior in the Philippinesby Fe Caces Fred Arnold Jame T Fawcett and Robert W Gardner reprinted fior lourshynal of Development Econonics lanuarv-February 1985 183 Perceptions of the value of children Satisfaction and costs by James 1 Rawcett reprinted

from Detrniinantsof lertiliti in Devehpin Counitries vol 1 Rodolfo A Bulatao and RonaldD Lee eds Acaderic Press Inc 1983 184 Diffusion processes affecting fertility regulation bv Robert I) Retherford and JamesA Palmore reprinted from Determiintsof lirtlityqin Dcvelopiing Countries vol 2 RodolfoA Bulatao and Ronald D Lee eds Academic Press Inc 1983 185 The impact of age at marriage and proportions marrying on fertility by Peter C Smithreprinted from Determinantsof lirtiilit in Develolmkg Countries vol 2 Rodolfo A gulatao

and Ronald D Lee eds Academic Press Inc 1983 186 Migration of women to cities The Asian situation in comparative perspective by Siew-Ean Khoo Peter C Smith and James T Fawcett reprinted from lnternationalMigration

Rtview Special Issue Noten in AlM ratin Winter 1984

187 Measuring the effect of sex preference on fertility The case of Korea by Fred Arnold ieprinted from Dernography May 1985

18 Exploring the normative basis for age at marriage in Thailand An example from focus group research by Anthony Pramualratana Napaporn Havanon and John Knodel reprinted from Journalof Marriageand the Family February 1985

189 The non-economic consequences of Asian labor migration to the Middle East by Nasra M Shah and Fred Arnold reprinted from International Union for the Scientific Study of Population lnternaitonalPopulation Conference Florence 1985 vol 3 1985

190 Parity progression projection by Griffith Feeney reprinted from International Union for the Scientific Study of Population InternationalPopiulation Conference Florence 1985 vol 4 1985

191 A theory of marita fertility transition by Robert D Retherford reprinted from Popula tion Studies July 1985

192 Cultural variations in the transition to marriage in four Asian societies by Paul Cheung Josefina Cabigon Aphichat Chamratrithirong Peter F McDonald Sabila Syed Andrew Cherlin and Peter C Smith reprinted from International Union for the Scientific Study of Population InternationalPopulation Conference Florence 1985 vol 3 1985

193 Decision making and sex selection with biased technologies by Neil GBennett and Andrew Mason reprinted from Sex Selection of Children Neil G Bennett ed Academic Press Inc 1983

194 US farm migration An application of the Harris-Todaro model by Daniel B Suits reprinted from Economic Development and Cultural Chang vol 33 no 4 1985

195 Health of Hlmong in Thailand Risk factors morbidity and mortality in comparison with other ethnic groups by Peter Kunstadter reprinted from Culture Medicine and Psyshychiairy vol 9 no 4 1985

196 Evaluation of contraceptive history data in the Republic of Korea by Anne R Pebley Noreen Goldman and Minja Kim Choe reprinted from Stldies ii Family PlanningJanushyaryFebruary 1986

197 Circulation between home and other places Some propositions by Murray Chapman and R Mansell Prothem and Me go walkabout you too by Murray Chapman reprinted from Circulationin Population Mozement Substance and Concepts fion tie Melnesian Case Murray Chapman and R Maniell Prothero eds Routledge amp Kegan Paul 1985

198 Fijians and Indo-Fijians in Suva Rural-urban movements and linkages by Shashikant Nair reprinted from Circulationin PopulationMovement Substance and Concepts fron the Melanesian Case Murray Chapman and R Mansell Prothero eds Routledge amp Kegan Paul 1985

199 Linkages between internal and international migration The Ilocos Norte experience by Fred Arnold and Ricardo G Abad reprinted from PhilippinePopulationJournalJune 1985

200 An economic analysis of recent fertility in Japan by Naohiro Ogawa and Andrew Mason reprinted from linko Gaku Kenkyu vol 9 May 1986

201 Averting crisis in Asia by Lee-jay Cho reprinted from Bulletin of the Atonic Scientists vol 42 no 4 1986

202 Sex preference fertility and family planning in China by Fred Arnold and Liu Zhao xiang reprinted from lPpulation am Development Review vol 12 no 2 1986

203 The place of child-spacing as a factor in infant mortality A recursive model by Chai Bin Park reprinted from American Journalof Public Health vol 76 no 8 1986

204 Determinants of Korean birth intervals The confrontation of theory and data by Larry L Bumpass Ronald R Rindfuss and James A Palmore reprinted from Po)pulationStudies vol 40 no 3 1986

Page 18: INSTITUTE timing strategies in Pakistan

504 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 number 4 November 1986

structural and cultural variables account for their own parts of this variance Thus background variables explain a unique 12 percent of the variance and the marriageshyprocess variables explain an additional 10 percent The remaining 52 percent is explained jointly by the two sets of variables

Our analysis supports most of our hypotheses and on balance reinforces the perspective from which they are derived Regarding I-1-that marriage between unrelated groups will result in the youngest and marriage between rishtadari and vartan groups the latest ages at marriage-we have complete support More than a year separates the oldest and youngest groups even after all controls are entered

Our second hypothesis-that education will be positively associated with marshyriage-is also supported We have included this variable with the other backgroundfactors because superficially this relationship is hardly surprising Nevertheless the significant increase of a year in marriage age that occurs even when a grade of school isnot completed suggests an unconventional interpretation of the importanceof education in this setting Thus education must have its effects because of the symbolic value it has fbr the wife-receivers in the arriage transaction rather than because of it impact on the wonman herself

H3 concerning the positive relationship between dowry vaIC and age at marriage is supported here with more than a year and ihalf separating earliest and latest marrying groups This is true even with controls for class background and the inflation of dowry values that we might expect to be associated with class background

Our fourth hypothesis concerning the relationship between lionioganiv and marriage age receives only mixed support Hypogamously marrying women are the latest marriers by nearly two years That hypergrrmous marricrs are not the yonngest may be because using lnded status results in an imperfect measure

Finally H6-that marriage age will be negatively associated with wealth flows to the husbands family-is supported only after controls for other marriage-processvariables are included The meaning of this pattern is uncleCar and may be a function of an association between dowry value and wealth flow not yet investigated

Our hypothesis concerning engagement and menarche has not Found support in this analysis We have already mentioned possible problems with the menarchevariable Our phrasing of the engagement hypothesis issuch that a zero-order effect should have been evident and disappearet when the control for relationship between families is entered That no zero-order effect was evident suggests that our association of engagement with socially riskier marriages is wrong Rather engageshyment may be considered a component of all marriages its association with later menarche alluded to earlier suggests that elements of the marriage process may be altered in response to unpredictable events

DISCUSSION

Our perspective couched in ethnographic knowledge of Punjabi social organizashytion and the culturally determined roles of women receives strong support from this analysis This is not to argue that the more standard development indicators are unimportant in explanations of marriage timing Rather we have demonstrated that a more complete understanding will be gained by considering the ranges of behavior permitted and forbidden in particular cultural settings

The results further encourage such comparative analyses by cautioning againsttaking pretransition settings to be without individual-level variation in behavior To say that a society is organized patrilineally or that inheritance is partible is not enough Even in Pakistani Punjab where the constraints of ideology on behavior

505 Social Organization and Marriage Timing Strategies in Pakistan

may be thought of as especially powerful we have shown that there is room for flexible responses that have their impact on marriage timing

We have used the rural Punjab case to present a model in which the alliance function of marriage is very important We suggest that the underlying componentsof such a society include its agrarian orientation and its unilineal kinship organizashytion It is possible that the model we have begun to develop here will find useful application in other partrilineal rural settings in the rest of South Asia and elseshywhere

Finally a note on social change We consciously directed our attention to a pretransition setting to highlight the need to consider the cultural and social milieu from which populations move as they undergo transition Interpretations of the transition in marriage behavior and its consequences for fertility begin to go astraywhen they focus unduly on individuals while ignoring issues of social structure and social control Education is not always related to the autonomy of women Caldwells finding that women in South India may be educated by their parents toenhance their marriageability (Caldwell Reddy and Caldwell 1982) finds parallels in our Punjabi analysis Similarly there is strong support here for a perspective that looks at marriage within the whole context of productive relationships

This has implications for the way we conceive of the interaction between valuesand institutions in social change Education of women for example although an innovative institutional feature within the rural setting seems to have unexpectedeffects on marriage timing that can be adequately explained only with reference to an extant value system or cultural milieu The extent to which this system retains its hold on the rural Punjab is evident from the strength of the marriage-processvariables in our analysis All of the hypotheses concerning their effects assume traditional values for the area Similarly the association of wage work with younger ages at marriage makes sense when we consider the risks to a daughtersmarriageability that come from exposure to extra-domestic influences Rather than suggesting some sort of cultural stasis however we argue that change will occur Our point is that the effects of these institutional components of transition will not be uniform across cultural settings Innovations will have their initial effects on behavior in ways that are corsistent with existing cultural values and these effects may be surprising

There is a clear call here for the inclusion of indicators for these effects in social surveys We have been able to explore these issues only because the AMS was designed to evoke culture-specific features of the marriage process Such data are rare however and in any case the social survey alone should not be expected to provide detailed models that allow us to make cultural sense of these processes (cfCaldwell Reddy and Caldwell 1984) We have also been fortunate in being able to use ethnographic sources in developing our interpretation although our sources for ethnographic and survey data are often separated by approximately two decades and none of the ethnographies describes the same villages in which the survey was conducted As a closing comment that cannot be fully elaborated here we suggestthe need to develop methodologies that combine survey and ethnographic data collection in formal and complementary ways

NOTES Sahlins calls this type of economy the domestic mode of production (1972) Among its characterisshy

tics are that it is an economy of production for use---ne penetrated with such noneconomic claims as ritual ceremonial and social diversion and one organized around donestic groups usually the family

2 Important examinations of the alliance theme appear in Dumont (1993) Parry (1979) and Yalman (1971) and its central importance in Muslim areas is documented in Eglar (1960) and Naveed-i-Rahat

506 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 number 4 November 1986 (1981) The nature of status and hierarchy as a cross-cutting feature of social organization and marriagemay be examined in Fruzzetti and Oster (1982) I Ahmad (1978) Korson (1971) and S Ahmad (1977)See Ortner (1981) for another treatment of wonlens stalus in hierarchic il settings Finally iherelationship between wealth flows marriage and hierarchy is treated in Tantbiah ( 1973ab) Caplan(194) and Gough (1956) in addition it) the above sources

Important differences in the definition of biradari sugges that -glar may have overslated the degree towhich patriline and biradari identify the same group For the Raiputs in Kangra biradari refers to group of clans within which marriages may be contracted in equalitI lParr the

19794) and AhIttad ( 19741571suggested that the biradari is a wider group than the ittediate patriline in Pakistan as well In any casethe breadth of the group to tich hiradari can appl seetis to be soitewhat dependent on context I Eglar196076) and we will restrict its meaning in this paper to palriline Also see lrtlzetti 1192115-116) for a parallel Bengali level of social i)rganization I Hypergamy refers to marriages it hich wives marr into higher statu families (otmpare wihhomogamy for marriages bet een faiimilies of equal statiu and lvpogaltv ill thich kotneninar intolower status families

Korson (1979150-151) in contrast reports a pattern for urban Pakistat il Mich these saneexchange marriages are desirable unions SirnilLrlv tlershinim (1981193) ieports that the Sikhs andHindus in the part of Indian lunjab where lie orkeitegarded such niarriage as quintesential] MusliitThe apparent explanation is the etent to lich nton-Ashraf groups those descended trout Hinduconverts relain the ideology of their aincesors ]vidence here suggests that in rural areas the extent is great

These data constitute a rich bodv ofrve rtatet il gatlicied in ile lutntab in 1979 by Sabiha If SvedIWomens Division Cabinet Secretariat (itivernment of Pakistan) (tordination of ilte project usasprovided by Peter C Smith (Iast-Wesl Populatiot Instittlel Similar tres erc conducted atl iboutthe same time in Indonesia thte Philippines and lhailand lhe tespective investigalors were Peter FMcDonald (Ausi-alian National ltiversitv Mercedes II CoitcepcionI tniversit ofthe Philippines) andAphichat Chamratrilhirong (Mahidol I niyersjtvi

See Suit 119571 and Andre s Morgan and Sonuist 119167 t- lie iustiication and method ofconversion from regression to intuliple clissilicatil uanalvsis otellicietlts The standard deviation is 1014ears cottnpaied tth 153 to as gtat as 2ol it the other three AMS

Countries For example the patlentci iiitrgeiterait l shilts i fitnik relatlonhips in llivrln slitius s tantalizing

contextual sintilarities to South Asiln societies Icf lIhor t1i11( hlng nd Still 1984)

A(K NI()VI)(F NTS The Asian Marriage Survey for Pakistat was carried out under US Agency forInternational Developmenl Grant DI)PSE-6-()048 The present research was conductshyed with supporl from the National Science Foundation (SES-8319904) Earlierversions of this paper were presented at tile East-West Population Institute

Wednesday Seminar and to a seminar at the Institute of Pakistan Studies Quaid-i-Azam University Islamahad We wish to thank the facitlt and students of Quaid-i-Azam University for their helpful Colllntls during the setninar In particularProfessor Dar Director of the Institule of Pakistan SIudics oflered especially usefulcriticisms We also acknowledge the comments of Furqan Ahmlad John BauerAndrew Cherlin Deborah Freedman Doris Nayyar and Arland Thornton onvarious earlier drafts while absolving all of them of any errors in our interpretationand analysis

R F - RFN( ES Ahiad 1 1978 Fndoganiy ird siaUs mohilit antong Siuldiqui lteikhs tl Allahlhad Itar radeslh Pp171-211 in I Ahinad (ct (t t t ui t fl otltili loi ot fiesthti iii In ha 2nd edt New

Delhi Manohar Ahnuad S 1974 A village in Palkistani Ilani ah jalpal 11p131-1 72in C Malones led) South siaSerei (ommunttv Prefii Nes Yuik tloll Rinehart and Winston

1977 (Clo anl en rt in I i uniai Villae Nesy York Monthil Revie s PressAndrews F M J N Morgan and J A Stiquist 197 Mulliph (latilit aion Attalvsi Ann ArborMich Institute for Soicial Researci

Social Organization and Marriage Timing Strategies in Pakistan 507 BIloch NI 1973 The long term and the Nhor tern The economic and politicil signiticance of the morality

of kinship P1p75-87 in J (oody led) Ihe (hvlero Kinihip (anthridge Cambridge Univerit Press

Cain 1198 1 Risk and insurance Perspectives on tertilith and agrarian change in India and Ilangladesh 11opidation ad A 7435-474I)e eloliintReiuit

1982 Perspectives on family aind ferfilil indeveloping countnres )opuhtlion Stuldie 36159-175Cain M S R Khanutin and S N ahar 1979 (lass paiiriarchv and wtomens ork in Iangladesh

PopulhtionOtand Itl-riivt Reti- 5415-438 Caidwell J C 1982 1ttry ot Iertiitv lI line Nesk York Acaderni (iesCaldell 1 C P1II Redd and 1(aldell 1982 The cause of dernographic change in rural South

India A tilcro-approach Iopuhltitonitn I)o velopment Rviit- 8689-727 - 1983 The ctuse of larliage change in South India Iopiliation Stidiv37343-3(1 - 1984 The micro-approach in delographic investligation lovird a methodology Paper presented

at IUSSP Micro-l)emographN Working Group Conference Australian Naiotil UniversityCaplitn I 1984 Itldegloiin price it turhan India (lass CaSte and do rv evil amiong Christians ir

Miatdra Man 19210-233 Carleton R () 1975 Educattion and fertiltis (p 115-166 sit IV V Mtihmi ledIi ldination anid

Iuoptutn Ahloitl IlilI t ielgillill IUSSI (herlin A J P C S1ttln I ricke I I)omiingo Adioetonio A (hliiiittrlhirong atnd S II Sed

I985a tfttll inltience iln the (tilting ti imirriage IFiletcc ll)tt Itlil Atin Nocleties (1Ipcr preeiltedilt lrkshop (htigiig MNIiriiage 1t1 lie Itil iii Asia Sila I hiallild Feb 21-24

- -1985h Etlicition ind age titmarriage |-itdence (ront Itcir Asinll ocleIe Papel presented lt torkslht Chanlging Mlartiage and tihe Fanil in Asia Silta Il tild Feb 21-24Cochrane S 1 19710 Iitttft and I~dtaitiol Mihat A) tii Rctilx A m Ittnloic Ill John IHopkins I rniverit Prcss

l)as 1973 Ifie strictiure oll timtanae preferences kii ilttouli (lit kistit fictilcti l1(1n8311-45 Du ont I 198 Ilierrch and marriage allitnce in Soulh lndimii kinslip tt iginllll published 1957)

Pp 18- ((4 in L I)tinot fetl) Alitv it a Value lrrtAtct- lilh cIllnSoti India With Coiptlirtllt i s1111 oit lrtit (Chicagio inilersit of Chica eol ess)Non I_ and Ntllre 1983 (In kinship Ntrlictlre fcnilile t lmld denographic behavior inthonliihIthaI 1qttaw anid Ikitl lopit~tnt Rtivt 9)1-00l

Lglr Z 19610A Piniali Iill in tAiti Ne )ioik (oltinibit niersit PressF-ores 11958 Introdtuction Ip 1-14 it J (iootl led I IH+ithI lop etal( irhi Plottiesih Groupsl Cambridge UK (Caubridge Liiciy r IcS

louster B 1978 I)(Inlestlc deveopIientiIl ccles is a link letsen ptoplaitilon plioces es and olher social processes Joturnall I ltleult It 14411-44 I0lnlthrol Rckea1tl

|os R 1967 Kiittitip lt(I l littwtt -h alrl UK PenguinAittthrohe11 1 IIttnlondirth

PressFrutietm IL 11982 Iif (|It oit ti t tireint lioic IhlttlQ1 and itu~al tit it Bit+eah S wit Ne

l iti-ick NJ R tgers lI r isti PicrNe lHtietti I_ d A (ster t1982 11dblood Ill CIngA (teglor and illcct Il the tdlI of kinship

caste and unliitig- I1p I-s5 ii A (slet L Friwulett intl S 1litt1te10 ds) (npt11 0 lrtinKtill tlp ( -ivt wild Altnrl~ e ill bidhw (itnlih idge l~t ut i~d tUniiecsil Ilrt

Giotugh K 19 HItlhntin kinship ill a itnlil village At l lilt lthqohwit SS 26-851 Ilerhnmn P 1981 IotitiiotKi(htl andl fIitnitc)elhi Iindilslatn ItibhhingKeeing R 1975 KiN (roup io1 itl ttt+tt- Net York ll1 Riniehrl ind Wilton Korson I If Fid in il1971 ldgilltotis ntirrige ti idtitit Mutslimn olct est (kisaltri ll141r114101Ciparative tivhStudieN 213 I145-15i - --- 179 ModeltliualtI iiJ sicial chang-T ihe latitil n Ilktiliti Pp Iitl)0-20 7 it NI Singh I)a and

1) 1) tardi+ teds) Dii I-aitiAv ill l ti I|ondon Allen miid ittLesthiteghe R 1980 ()rl the social control of hunlmin ieproduclto Poidau~tio-iand A-lophiticniRevielt 6527- 548

ii+lenhitn (1) l r (ichalgiI alilA Ilanlnmt 12(l 109II4-401

9 itpicitiins illlen g Illltge nlItiSt nn111InIIIangJduesthlt dii itt

Mits n K () 1484 Thc sdltlus k+o111cent1 ilorit ofilf fertlmhl atnd A it~ik inlte ktjn hips Universit of Michigaipulation Studies (Centel Resetich Report 84-58

NIeNicoll i 1980 Instltiuional determinants II lertilits chang olation hld iloptlnliit Reviit 6441-462

Naveed-i-Ribal 1981 (he role of wonen in reciprocal relation hlip titi Iinlhab village Ip 47-81 in T SEpstein and R A Walli leds )7 Inhi Iay ot Calt Matlraltit Rtiral Wottnnlmli New York Perganon Prcss

Ortner S B 1981 (lender and semiality in hierarchical societie The cae of Polynesia and some

508 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 number 4 November 1986

comparative implications Pp 359-409 in S 13Ortner and H Whitehead (eds) Sexual Meanings The Cultural Construction of Gender and Sesuality Cambridge UK Cambridge University Press

Paige K E and J M Paige 1981 The Politics of Reproductive Ritual Berkeley University of California Press

Papanek H 1984 False specialization and the purdah of scholarship-A review article Journal ofAsian Studies 44127-148

Parry J P 1979 Caste and Kinship in Kangra London Routledge and Kegan Paul Ryder N 131975 Fertility measurement through cross-sectional surveys Social Forcei 547-35

1983 Fertility and family structure Population Bulletin olfthe United Nations 1515-34 Sahlins M 1972 Stone Age Econoinici New York Aldine Slocum W L J Akhtar and A FSahi 1959 Villaie Libf+ in lahome District Lahore University of the

Punjab Social Science Research Centre Smith P C 1980 Asian marriage patterns in tt insition Journal ufl aind 1Iistory 556-96

1983 The impact of age at marriage and proportions marrying on fertility Pp 473-531 in R Bulatao and R Iee (eds) termniinantv Academicof Ferility in 1) veloping Countries New York Press

Smith P C and M 1 Karim 1980 Urbanization education and marriage patterns Four cases from Asia No 71 in Paprs of Ih a t- PopIda Ihnoulti Hi East-West PopulationPpultion Institute Institute

Suits DB 1957 Use of dttiunlut variables in regression equations Journal tit the Anerican Statitical Asociation 52548-551

Tambiah S J 1973a Dowry aud bridewealth and the property rights of women in South Asia Pp 51)-1(9in JGoody and SJTarnhiah (eds) Bridei cilthand I)m rvCambridge UK Cambridge University Press

1973b From arna to caste through mixed unions lp 191-229 in JGoody edlI 1he Character ofKinhip Cat ibridge UK Cambridge University Press

Tandon P 1968 Punjahi (Centurv1857-1947 Berkeley niversuty of California Press Thadani V 1978 The logic of sentiment The fansily and social change opulation and )evelopment

Review 4457-499 Thornton A M C Chang and T-H Stin 1984 Social and ecootrtuic change intrgeneratlonal

relationships and family formation in laisman 1)cinoyraphv 21475-499 Udry JR and R L Cliquet 1982 A criiss-cultural esamination of the relationship between ages at

menarche marriage and first birth Dmnnographv 1953-63 Vreede-de Stuers C 1968 Parda A Stidv of luslji )loonenlife illNoritiern India New York

Humanities Press Yalman N 1971 Under the Bo Tree Studies inCaie Kinship and Marriage in the Interior ofCeyhi

Berkeley University of California Press

177

RECENT AVAILABLE REPRINTS OF THE EAST-WEST POPULATION INSTITUTE No 172 Conclusion by Lee-Jay Cho reprinted from The IndustrialFutureof the fIzcific Basin RogerBenjamin and Robert T Kudrle eds Westview Press Colorado 1984 173 Asian Labor Migration to the Middle East by Fred Arnold and Nasra M Shah reprinted

front InternationalMigration Review Sum mer 1984 174 Repeatability of infant deaths in Korea by Chai Bin Park and Alfred C Hexter reprinted

from nhternationaljournal of Epideniolhgy September 1984 175 Comparative analysis of fertility orientations World Fertility Survey findings by Lee-Jay Cho ind Louise Kantrow reprinted from Predicting Fertility DenographicStudies ofBirth Expectations Gerry E I lendershot and Paul J Placek eds Lexington Books DC

I leath and Company Massachusetts 1981 176 Census-derived estimates of fertility by duration since first marriage in the Republicof Korea by Robert 1) Retherlord ee-JaY Cho ard Narn-Il Kim reprinted from Deinogshy

raphy November 481 The value of daughters and sons A comparative study of the gender preferences of parshyents bv Fred Arnold and Eddie CY Kujo reprint_d from fournal of Comparative Fanih Studes Summer 1984

178 Analysing open birth interval distributions by Griffith FeeneY and John A Ross reprintedfrom Population Studies Novembet 1981

17 Population dynamics arid policy in the eoples Republic of China by Lee-jay Choreprinted from The Annals if TheAneirican Acadenii ufoPliticaland Sociai Science Chinain Transitim vol 476 Marvin F Wolfgang ed Sage lublications Beverly Hills Califorshynia 1984

180 Personal networks and the adoption of family planning in rural Korea by Joung ImKim arid Janmes A lihlmore reprinted from Journalov Population and I halth Studies Dshycember 1984

181 Determinants of birth-interval length in the Philippines Malaysia and Indonesia Ahazard-model analysis by James Trussell Linda G Martin Robert Feldman James APalmore Mercedes Concepcion and Datin Noor Laily lBt Dato Abu Bakar reprinted Denograply May 1985

182 Shadow households and competing auspices Migration behavior in the Philippinesby Fe Caces Fred Arnold Jame T Fawcett and Robert W Gardner reprinted fior lourshynal of Development Econonics lanuarv-February 1985 183 Perceptions of the value of children Satisfaction and costs by James 1 Rawcett reprinted

from Detrniinantsof lertiliti in Devehpin Counitries vol 1 Rodolfo A Bulatao and RonaldD Lee eds Acaderic Press Inc 1983 184 Diffusion processes affecting fertility regulation bv Robert I) Retherford and JamesA Palmore reprinted from Determiintsof lirtlityqin Dcvelopiing Countries vol 2 RodolfoA Bulatao and Ronald D Lee eds Academic Press Inc 1983 185 The impact of age at marriage and proportions marrying on fertility by Peter C Smithreprinted from Determinantsof lirtiilit in Develolmkg Countries vol 2 Rodolfo A gulatao

and Ronald D Lee eds Academic Press Inc 1983 186 Migration of women to cities The Asian situation in comparative perspective by Siew-Ean Khoo Peter C Smith and James T Fawcett reprinted from lnternationalMigration

Rtview Special Issue Noten in AlM ratin Winter 1984

187 Measuring the effect of sex preference on fertility The case of Korea by Fred Arnold ieprinted from Dernography May 1985

18 Exploring the normative basis for age at marriage in Thailand An example from focus group research by Anthony Pramualratana Napaporn Havanon and John Knodel reprinted from Journalof Marriageand the Family February 1985

189 The non-economic consequences of Asian labor migration to the Middle East by Nasra M Shah and Fred Arnold reprinted from International Union for the Scientific Study of Population lnternaitonalPopulation Conference Florence 1985 vol 3 1985

190 Parity progression projection by Griffith Feeney reprinted from International Union for the Scientific Study of Population InternationalPopiulation Conference Florence 1985 vol 4 1985

191 A theory of marita fertility transition by Robert D Retherford reprinted from Popula tion Studies July 1985

192 Cultural variations in the transition to marriage in four Asian societies by Paul Cheung Josefina Cabigon Aphichat Chamratrithirong Peter F McDonald Sabila Syed Andrew Cherlin and Peter C Smith reprinted from International Union for the Scientific Study of Population InternationalPopulation Conference Florence 1985 vol 3 1985

193 Decision making and sex selection with biased technologies by Neil GBennett and Andrew Mason reprinted from Sex Selection of Children Neil G Bennett ed Academic Press Inc 1983

194 US farm migration An application of the Harris-Todaro model by Daniel B Suits reprinted from Economic Development and Cultural Chang vol 33 no 4 1985

195 Health of Hlmong in Thailand Risk factors morbidity and mortality in comparison with other ethnic groups by Peter Kunstadter reprinted from Culture Medicine and Psyshychiairy vol 9 no 4 1985

196 Evaluation of contraceptive history data in the Republic of Korea by Anne R Pebley Noreen Goldman and Minja Kim Choe reprinted from Stldies ii Family PlanningJanushyaryFebruary 1986

197 Circulation between home and other places Some propositions by Murray Chapman and R Mansell Prothem and Me go walkabout you too by Murray Chapman reprinted from Circulationin Population Mozement Substance and Concepts fion tie Melnesian Case Murray Chapman and R Maniell Prothero eds Routledge amp Kegan Paul 1985

198 Fijians and Indo-Fijians in Suva Rural-urban movements and linkages by Shashikant Nair reprinted from Circulationin PopulationMovement Substance and Concepts fron the Melanesian Case Murray Chapman and R Mansell Prothero eds Routledge amp Kegan Paul 1985

199 Linkages between internal and international migration The Ilocos Norte experience by Fred Arnold and Ricardo G Abad reprinted from PhilippinePopulationJournalJune 1985

200 An economic analysis of recent fertility in Japan by Naohiro Ogawa and Andrew Mason reprinted from linko Gaku Kenkyu vol 9 May 1986

201 Averting crisis in Asia by Lee-jay Cho reprinted from Bulletin of the Atonic Scientists vol 42 no 4 1986

202 Sex preference fertility and family planning in China by Fred Arnold and Liu Zhao xiang reprinted from lPpulation am Development Review vol 12 no 2 1986

203 The place of child-spacing as a factor in infant mortality A recursive model by Chai Bin Park reprinted from American Journalof Public Health vol 76 no 8 1986

204 Determinants of Korean birth intervals The confrontation of theory and data by Larry L Bumpass Ronald R Rindfuss and James A Palmore reprinted from Po)pulationStudies vol 40 no 3 1986

Page 19: INSTITUTE timing strategies in Pakistan

505 Social Organization and Marriage Timing Strategies in Pakistan

may be thought of as especially powerful we have shown that there is room for flexible responses that have their impact on marriage timing

We have used the rural Punjab case to present a model in which the alliance function of marriage is very important We suggest that the underlying componentsof such a society include its agrarian orientation and its unilineal kinship organizashytion It is possible that the model we have begun to develop here will find useful application in other partrilineal rural settings in the rest of South Asia and elseshywhere

Finally a note on social change We consciously directed our attention to a pretransition setting to highlight the need to consider the cultural and social milieu from which populations move as they undergo transition Interpretations of the transition in marriage behavior and its consequences for fertility begin to go astraywhen they focus unduly on individuals while ignoring issues of social structure and social control Education is not always related to the autonomy of women Caldwells finding that women in South India may be educated by their parents toenhance their marriageability (Caldwell Reddy and Caldwell 1982) finds parallels in our Punjabi analysis Similarly there is strong support here for a perspective that looks at marriage within the whole context of productive relationships

This has implications for the way we conceive of the interaction between valuesand institutions in social change Education of women for example although an innovative institutional feature within the rural setting seems to have unexpectedeffects on marriage timing that can be adequately explained only with reference to an extant value system or cultural milieu The extent to which this system retains its hold on the rural Punjab is evident from the strength of the marriage-processvariables in our analysis All of the hypotheses concerning their effects assume traditional values for the area Similarly the association of wage work with younger ages at marriage makes sense when we consider the risks to a daughtersmarriageability that come from exposure to extra-domestic influences Rather than suggesting some sort of cultural stasis however we argue that change will occur Our point is that the effects of these institutional components of transition will not be uniform across cultural settings Innovations will have their initial effects on behavior in ways that are corsistent with existing cultural values and these effects may be surprising

There is a clear call here for the inclusion of indicators for these effects in social surveys We have been able to explore these issues only because the AMS was designed to evoke culture-specific features of the marriage process Such data are rare however and in any case the social survey alone should not be expected to provide detailed models that allow us to make cultural sense of these processes (cfCaldwell Reddy and Caldwell 1984) We have also been fortunate in being able to use ethnographic sources in developing our interpretation although our sources for ethnographic and survey data are often separated by approximately two decades and none of the ethnographies describes the same villages in which the survey was conducted As a closing comment that cannot be fully elaborated here we suggestthe need to develop methodologies that combine survey and ethnographic data collection in formal and complementary ways

NOTES Sahlins calls this type of economy the domestic mode of production (1972) Among its characterisshy

tics are that it is an economy of production for use---ne penetrated with such noneconomic claims as ritual ceremonial and social diversion and one organized around donestic groups usually the family

2 Important examinations of the alliance theme appear in Dumont (1993) Parry (1979) and Yalman (1971) and its central importance in Muslim areas is documented in Eglar (1960) and Naveed-i-Rahat

506 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 number 4 November 1986 (1981) The nature of status and hierarchy as a cross-cutting feature of social organization and marriagemay be examined in Fruzzetti and Oster (1982) I Ahmad (1978) Korson (1971) and S Ahmad (1977)See Ortner (1981) for another treatment of wonlens stalus in hierarchic il settings Finally iherelationship between wealth flows marriage and hierarchy is treated in Tantbiah ( 1973ab) Caplan(194) and Gough (1956) in addition it) the above sources

Important differences in the definition of biradari sugges that -glar may have overslated the degree towhich patriline and biradari identify the same group For the Raiputs in Kangra biradari refers to group of clans within which marriages may be contracted in equalitI lParr the

19794) and AhIttad ( 19741571suggested that the biradari is a wider group than the ittediate patriline in Pakistan as well In any casethe breadth of the group to tich hiradari can appl seetis to be soitewhat dependent on context I Eglar196076) and we will restrict its meaning in this paper to palriline Also see lrtlzetti 1192115-116) for a parallel Bengali level of social i)rganization I Hypergamy refers to marriages it hich wives marr into higher statu families (otmpare wihhomogamy for marriages bet een faiimilies of equal statiu and lvpogaltv ill thich kotneninar intolower status families

Korson (1979150-151) in contrast reports a pattern for urban Pakistat il Mich these saneexchange marriages are desirable unions SirnilLrlv tlershinim (1981193) ieports that the Sikhs andHindus in the part of Indian lunjab where lie orkeitegarded such niarriage as quintesential] MusliitThe apparent explanation is the etent to lich nton-Ashraf groups those descended trout Hinduconverts relain the ideology of their aincesors ]vidence here suggests that in rural areas the extent is great

These data constitute a rich bodv ofrve rtatet il gatlicied in ile lutntab in 1979 by Sabiha If SvedIWomens Division Cabinet Secretariat (itivernment of Pakistan) (tordination of ilte project usasprovided by Peter C Smith (Iast-Wesl Populatiot Instittlel Similar tres erc conducted atl iboutthe same time in Indonesia thte Philippines and lhailand lhe tespective investigalors were Peter FMcDonald (Ausi-alian National ltiversitv Mercedes II CoitcepcionI tniversit ofthe Philippines) andAphichat Chamratrilhirong (Mahidol I niyersjtvi

See Suit 119571 and Andre s Morgan and Sonuist 119167 t- lie iustiication and method ofconversion from regression to intuliple clissilicatil uanalvsis otellicietlts The standard deviation is 1014ears cottnpaied tth 153 to as gtat as 2ol it the other three AMS

Countries For example the patlentci iiitrgeiterait l shilts i fitnik relatlonhips in llivrln slitius s tantalizing

contextual sintilarities to South Asiln societies Icf lIhor t1i11( hlng nd Still 1984)

A(K NI()VI)(F NTS The Asian Marriage Survey for Pakistat was carried out under US Agency forInternational Developmenl Grant DI)PSE-6-()048 The present research was conductshyed with supporl from the National Science Foundation (SES-8319904) Earlierversions of this paper were presented at tile East-West Population Institute

Wednesday Seminar and to a seminar at the Institute of Pakistan Studies Quaid-i-Azam University Islamahad We wish to thank the facitlt and students of Quaid-i-Azam University for their helpful Colllntls during the setninar In particularProfessor Dar Director of the Institule of Pakistan SIudics oflered especially usefulcriticisms We also acknowledge the comments of Furqan Ahmlad John BauerAndrew Cherlin Deborah Freedman Doris Nayyar and Arland Thornton onvarious earlier drafts while absolving all of them of any errors in our interpretationand analysis

R F - RFN( ES Ahiad 1 1978 Fndoganiy ird siaUs mohilit antong Siuldiqui lteikhs tl Allahlhad Itar radeslh Pp171-211 in I Ahinad (ct (t t t ui t fl otltili loi ot fiesthti iii In ha 2nd edt New

Delhi Manohar Ahnuad S 1974 A village in Palkistani Ilani ah jalpal 11p131-1 72in C Malones led) South siaSerei (ommunttv Prefii Nes Yuik tloll Rinehart and Winston

1977 (Clo anl en rt in I i uniai Villae Nesy York Monthil Revie s PressAndrews F M J N Morgan and J A Stiquist 197 Mulliph (latilit aion Attalvsi Ann ArborMich Institute for Soicial Researci

Social Organization and Marriage Timing Strategies in Pakistan 507 BIloch NI 1973 The long term and the Nhor tern The economic and politicil signiticance of the morality

of kinship P1p75-87 in J (oody led) Ihe (hvlero Kinihip (anthridge Cambridge Univerit Press

Cain 1198 1 Risk and insurance Perspectives on tertilith and agrarian change in India and Ilangladesh 11opidation ad A 7435-474I)e eloliintReiuit

1982 Perspectives on family aind ferfilil indeveloping countnres )opuhtlion Stuldie 36159-175Cain M S R Khanutin and S N ahar 1979 (lass paiiriarchv and wtomens ork in Iangladesh

PopulhtionOtand Itl-riivt Reti- 5415-438 Caidwell J C 1982 1ttry ot Iertiitv lI line Nesk York Acaderni (iesCaldell 1 C P1II Redd and 1(aldell 1982 The cause of dernographic change in rural South

India A tilcro-approach Iopuhltitonitn I)o velopment Rviit- 8689-727 - 1983 The ctuse of larliage change in South India Iopiliation Stidiv37343-3(1 - 1984 The micro-approach in delographic investligation lovird a methodology Paper presented

at IUSSP Micro-l)emographN Working Group Conference Australian Naiotil UniversityCaplitn I 1984 Itldegloiin price it turhan India (lass CaSte and do rv evil amiong Christians ir

Miatdra Man 19210-233 Carleton R () 1975 Educattion and fertiltis (p 115-166 sit IV V Mtihmi ledIi ldination anid

Iuoptutn Ahloitl IlilI t ielgillill IUSSI (herlin A J P C S1ttln I ricke I I)omiingo Adioetonio A (hliiiittrlhirong atnd S II Sed

I985a tfttll inltience iln the (tilting ti imirriage IFiletcc ll)tt Itlil Atin Nocleties (1Ipcr preeiltedilt lrkshop (htigiig MNIiriiage 1t1 lie Itil iii Asia Sila I hiallild Feb 21-24

- -1985h Etlicition ind age titmarriage |-itdence (ront Itcir Asinll ocleIe Papel presented lt torkslht Chanlging Mlartiage and tihe Fanil in Asia Silta Il tild Feb 21-24Cochrane S 1 19710 Iitttft and I~dtaitiol Mihat A) tii Rctilx A m Ittnloic Ill John IHopkins I rniverit Prcss

l)as 1973 Ifie strictiure oll timtanae preferences kii ilttouli (lit kistit fictilcti l1(1n8311-45 Du ont I 198 Ilierrch and marriage allitnce in Soulh lndimii kinslip tt iginllll published 1957)

Pp 18- ((4 in L I)tinot fetl) Alitv it a Value lrrtAtct- lilh cIllnSoti India With Coiptlirtllt i s1111 oit lrtit (Chicagio inilersit of Chica eol ess)Non I_ and Ntllre 1983 (In kinship Ntrlictlre fcnilile t lmld denographic behavior inthonliihIthaI 1qttaw anid Ikitl lopit~tnt Rtivt 9)1-00l

Lglr Z 19610A Piniali Iill in tAiti Ne )ioik (oltinibit niersit PressF-ores 11958 Introdtuction Ip 1-14 it J (iootl led I IH+ithI lop etal( irhi Plottiesih Groupsl Cambridge UK (Caubridge Liiciy r IcS

louster B 1978 I)(Inlestlc deveopIientiIl ccles is a link letsen ptoplaitilon plioces es and olher social processes Joturnall I ltleult It 14411-44 I0lnlthrol Rckea1tl

|os R 1967 Kiittitip lt(I l littwtt -h alrl UK PenguinAittthrohe11 1 IIttnlondirth

PressFrutietm IL 11982 Iif (|It oit ti t tireint lioic IhlttlQ1 and itu~al tit it Bit+eah S wit Ne

l iti-ick NJ R tgers lI r isti PicrNe lHtietti I_ d A (ster t1982 11dblood Ill CIngA (teglor and illcct Il the tdlI of kinship

caste and unliitig- I1p I-s5 ii A (slet L Friwulett intl S 1litt1te10 ds) (npt11 0 lrtinKtill tlp ( -ivt wild Altnrl~ e ill bidhw (itnlih idge l~t ut i~d tUniiecsil Ilrt

Giotugh K 19 HItlhntin kinship ill a itnlil village At l lilt lthqohwit SS 26-851 Ilerhnmn P 1981 IotitiiotKi(htl andl fIitnitc)elhi Iindilslatn ItibhhingKeeing R 1975 KiN (roup io1 itl ttt+tt- Net York ll1 Riniehrl ind Wilton Korson I If Fid in il1971 ldgilltotis ntirrige ti idtitit Mutslimn olct est (kisaltri ll141r114101Ciparative tivhStudieN 213 I145-15i - --- 179 ModeltliualtI iiJ sicial chang-T ihe latitil n Ilktiliti Pp Iitl)0-20 7 it NI Singh I)a and

1) 1) tardi+ teds) Dii I-aitiAv ill l ti I|ondon Allen miid ittLesthiteghe R 1980 ()rl the social control of hunlmin ieproduclto Poidau~tio-iand A-lophiticniRevielt 6527- 548

ii+lenhitn (1) l r (ichalgiI alilA Ilanlnmt 12(l 109II4-401

9 itpicitiins illlen g Illltge nlItiSt nn111InIIIangJduesthlt dii itt

Mits n K () 1484 Thc sdltlus k+o111cent1 ilorit ofilf fertlmhl atnd A it~ik inlte ktjn hips Universit of Michigaipulation Studies (Centel Resetich Report 84-58

NIeNicoll i 1980 Instltiuional determinants II lertilits chang olation hld iloptlnliit Reviit 6441-462

Naveed-i-Ribal 1981 (he role of wonen in reciprocal relation hlip titi Iinlhab village Ip 47-81 in T SEpstein and R A Walli leds )7 Inhi Iay ot Calt Matlraltit Rtiral Wottnnlmli New York Perganon Prcss

Ortner S B 1981 (lender and semiality in hierarchical societie The cae of Polynesia and some

508 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 number 4 November 1986

comparative implications Pp 359-409 in S 13Ortner and H Whitehead (eds) Sexual Meanings The Cultural Construction of Gender and Sesuality Cambridge UK Cambridge University Press

Paige K E and J M Paige 1981 The Politics of Reproductive Ritual Berkeley University of California Press

Papanek H 1984 False specialization and the purdah of scholarship-A review article Journal ofAsian Studies 44127-148

Parry J P 1979 Caste and Kinship in Kangra London Routledge and Kegan Paul Ryder N 131975 Fertility measurement through cross-sectional surveys Social Forcei 547-35

1983 Fertility and family structure Population Bulletin olfthe United Nations 1515-34 Sahlins M 1972 Stone Age Econoinici New York Aldine Slocum W L J Akhtar and A FSahi 1959 Villaie Libf+ in lahome District Lahore University of the

Punjab Social Science Research Centre Smith P C 1980 Asian marriage patterns in tt insition Journal ufl aind 1Iistory 556-96

1983 The impact of age at marriage and proportions marrying on fertility Pp 473-531 in R Bulatao and R Iee (eds) termniinantv Academicof Ferility in 1) veloping Countries New York Press

Smith P C and M 1 Karim 1980 Urbanization education and marriage patterns Four cases from Asia No 71 in Paprs of Ih a t- PopIda Ihnoulti Hi East-West PopulationPpultion Institute Institute

Suits DB 1957 Use of dttiunlut variables in regression equations Journal tit the Anerican Statitical Asociation 52548-551

Tambiah S J 1973a Dowry aud bridewealth and the property rights of women in South Asia Pp 51)-1(9in JGoody and SJTarnhiah (eds) Bridei cilthand I)m rvCambridge UK Cambridge University Press

1973b From arna to caste through mixed unions lp 191-229 in JGoody edlI 1he Character ofKinhip Cat ibridge UK Cambridge University Press

Tandon P 1968 Punjahi (Centurv1857-1947 Berkeley niversuty of California Press Thadani V 1978 The logic of sentiment The fansily and social change opulation and )evelopment

Review 4457-499 Thornton A M C Chang and T-H Stin 1984 Social and ecootrtuic change intrgeneratlonal

relationships and family formation in laisman 1)cinoyraphv 21475-499 Udry JR and R L Cliquet 1982 A criiss-cultural esamination of the relationship between ages at

menarche marriage and first birth Dmnnographv 1953-63 Vreede-de Stuers C 1968 Parda A Stidv of luslji )loonenlife illNoritiern India New York

Humanities Press Yalman N 1971 Under the Bo Tree Studies inCaie Kinship and Marriage in the Interior ofCeyhi

Berkeley University of California Press

177

RECENT AVAILABLE REPRINTS OF THE EAST-WEST POPULATION INSTITUTE No 172 Conclusion by Lee-Jay Cho reprinted from The IndustrialFutureof the fIzcific Basin RogerBenjamin and Robert T Kudrle eds Westview Press Colorado 1984 173 Asian Labor Migration to the Middle East by Fred Arnold and Nasra M Shah reprinted

front InternationalMigration Review Sum mer 1984 174 Repeatability of infant deaths in Korea by Chai Bin Park and Alfred C Hexter reprinted

from nhternationaljournal of Epideniolhgy September 1984 175 Comparative analysis of fertility orientations World Fertility Survey findings by Lee-Jay Cho ind Louise Kantrow reprinted from Predicting Fertility DenographicStudies ofBirth Expectations Gerry E I lendershot and Paul J Placek eds Lexington Books DC

I leath and Company Massachusetts 1981 176 Census-derived estimates of fertility by duration since first marriage in the Republicof Korea by Robert 1) Retherlord ee-JaY Cho ard Narn-Il Kim reprinted from Deinogshy

raphy November 481 The value of daughters and sons A comparative study of the gender preferences of parshyents bv Fred Arnold and Eddie CY Kujo reprint_d from fournal of Comparative Fanih Studes Summer 1984

178 Analysing open birth interval distributions by Griffith FeeneY and John A Ross reprintedfrom Population Studies Novembet 1981

17 Population dynamics arid policy in the eoples Republic of China by Lee-jay Choreprinted from The Annals if TheAneirican Acadenii ufoPliticaland Sociai Science Chinain Transitim vol 476 Marvin F Wolfgang ed Sage lublications Beverly Hills Califorshynia 1984

180 Personal networks and the adoption of family planning in rural Korea by Joung ImKim arid Janmes A lihlmore reprinted from Journalov Population and I halth Studies Dshycember 1984

181 Determinants of birth-interval length in the Philippines Malaysia and Indonesia Ahazard-model analysis by James Trussell Linda G Martin Robert Feldman James APalmore Mercedes Concepcion and Datin Noor Laily lBt Dato Abu Bakar reprinted Denograply May 1985

182 Shadow households and competing auspices Migration behavior in the Philippinesby Fe Caces Fred Arnold Jame T Fawcett and Robert W Gardner reprinted fior lourshynal of Development Econonics lanuarv-February 1985 183 Perceptions of the value of children Satisfaction and costs by James 1 Rawcett reprinted

from Detrniinantsof lertiliti in Devehpin Counitries vol 1 Rodolfo A Bulatao and RonaldD Lee eds Acaderic Press Inc 1983 184 Diffusion processes affecting fertility regulation bv Robert I) Retherford and JamesA Palmore reprinted from Determiintsof lirtlityqin Dcvelopiing Countries vol 2 RodolfoA Bulatao and Ronald D Lee eds Academic Press Inc 1983 185 The impact of age at marriage and proportions marrying on fertility by Peter C Smithreprinted from Determinantsof lirtiilit in Develolmkg Countries vol 2 Rodolfo A gulatao

and Ronald D Lee eds Academic Press Inc 1983 186 Migration of women to cities The Asian situation in comparative perspective by Siew-Ean Khoo Peter C Smith and James T Fawcett reprinted from lnternationalMigration

Rtview Special Issue Noten in AlM ratin Winter 1984

187 Measuring the effect of sex preference on fertility The case of Korea by Fred Arnold ieprinted from Dernography May 1985

18 Exploring the normative basis for age at marriage in Thailand An example from focus group research by Anthony Pramualratana Napaporn Havanon and John Knodel reprinted from Journalof Marriageand the Family February 1985

189 The non-economic consequences of Asian labor migration to the Middle East by Nasra M Shah and Fred Arnold reprinted from International Union for the Scientific Study of Population lnternaitonalPopulation Conference Florence 1985 vol 3 1985

190 Parity progression projection by Griffith Feeney reprinted from International Union for the Scientific Study of Population InternationalPopiulation Conference Florence 1985 vol 4 1985

191 A theory of marita fertility transition by Robert D Retherford reprinted from Popula tion Studies July 1985

192 Cultural variations in the transition to marriage in four Asian societies by Paul Cheung Josefina Cabigon Aphichat Chamratrithirong Peter F McDonald Sabila Syed Andrew Cherlin and Peter C Smith reprinted from International Union for the Scientific Study of Population InternationalPopulation Conference Florence 1985 vol 3 1985

193 Decision making and sex selection with biased technologies by Neil GBennett and Andrew Mason reprinted from Sex Selection of Children Neil G Bennett ed Academic Press Inc 1983

194 US farm migration An application of the Harris-Todaro model by Daniel B Suits reprinted from Economic Development and Cultural Chang vol 33 no 4 1985

195 Health of Hlmong in Thailand Risk factors morbidity and mortality in comparison with other ethnic groups by Peter Kunstadter reprinted from Culture Medicine and Psyshychiairy vol 9 no 4 1985

196 Evaluation of contraceptive history data in the Republic of Korea by Anne R Pebley Noreen Goldman and Minja Kim Choe reprinted from Stldies ii Family PlanningJanushyaryFebruary 1986

197 Circulation between home and other places Some propositions by Murray Chapman and R Mansell Prothem and Me go walkabout you too by Murray Chapman reprinted from Circulationin Population Mozement Substance and Concepts fion tie Melnesian Case Murray Chapman and R Maniell Prothero eds Routledge amp Kegan Paul 1985

198 Fijians and Indo-Fijians in Suva Rural-urban movements and linkages by Shashikant Nair reprinted from Circulationin PopulationMovement Substance and Concepts fron the Melanesian Case Murray Chapman and R Mansell Prothero eds Routledge amp Kegan Paul 1985

199 Linkages between internal and international migration The Ilocos Norte experience by Fred Arnold and Ricardo G Abad reprinted from PhilippinePopulationJournalJune 1985

200 An economic analysis of recent fertility in Japan by Naohiro Ogawa and Andrew Mason reprinted from linko Gaku Kenkyu vol 9 May 1986

201 Averting crisis in Asia by Lee-jay Cho reprinted from Bulletin of the Atonic Scientists vol 42 no 4 1986

202 Sex preference fertility and family planning in China by Fred Arnold and Liu Zhao xiang reprinted from lPpulation am Development Review vol 12 no 2 1986

203 The place of child-spacing as a factor in infant mortality A recursive model by Chai Bin Park reprinted from American Journalof Public Health vol 76 no 8 1986

204 Determinants of Korean birth intervals The confrontation of theory and data by Larry L Bumpass Ronald R Rindfuss and James A Palmore reprinted from Po)pulationStudies vol 40 no 3 1986

Page 20: INSTITUTE timing strategies in Pakistan

506 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 number 4 November 1986 (1981) The nature of status and hierarchy as a cross-cutting feature of social organization and marriagemay be examined in Fruzzetti and Oster (1982) I Ahmad (1978) Korson (1971) and S Ahmad (1977)See Ortner (1981) for another treatment of wonlens stalus in hierarchic il settings Finally iherelationship between wealth flows marriage and hierarchy is treated in Tantbiah ( 1973ab) Caplan(194) and Gough (1956) in addition it) the above sources

Important differences in the definition of biradari sugges that -glar may have overslated the degree towhich patriline and biradari identify the same group For the Raiputs in Kangra biradari refers to group of clans within which marriages may be contracted in equalitI lParr the

19794) and AhIttad ( 19741571suggested that the biradari is a wider group than the ittediate patriline in Pakistan as well In any casethe breadth of the group to tich hiradari can appl seetis to be soitewhat dependent on context I Eglar196076) and we will restrict its meaning in this paper to palriline Also see lrtlzetti 1192115-116) for a parallel Bengali level of social i)rganization I Hypergamy refers to marriages it hich wives marr into higher statu families (otmpare wihhomogamy for marriages bet een faiimilies of equal statiu and lvpogaltv ill thich kotneninar intolower status families

Korson (1979150-151) in contrast reports a pattern for urban Pakistat il Mich these saneexchange marriages are desirable unions SirnilLrlv tlershinim (1981193) ieports that the Sikhs andHindus in the part of Indian lunjab where lie orkeitegarded such niarriage as quintesential] MusliitThe apparent explanation is the etent to lich nton-Ashraf groups those descended trout Hinduconverts relain the ideology of their aincesors ]vidence here suggests that in rural areas the extent is great

These data constitute a rich bodv ofrve rtatet il gatlicied in ile lutntab in 1979 by Sabiha If SvedIWomens Division Cabinet Secretariat (itivernment of Pakistan) (tordination of ilte project usasprovided by Peter C Smith (Iast-Wesl Populatiot Instittlel Similar tres erc conducted atl iboutthe same time in Indonesia thte Philippines and lhailand lhe tespective investigalors were Peter FMcDonald (Ausi-alian National ltiversitv Mercedes II CoitcepcionI tniversit ofthe Philippines) andAphichat Chamratrilhirong (Mahidol I niyersjtvi

See Suit 119571 and Andre s Morgan and Sonuist 119167 t- lie iustiication and method ofconversion from regression to intuliple clissilicatil uanalvsis otellicietlts The standard deviation is 1014ears cottnpaied tth 153 to as gtat as 2ol it the other three AMS

Countries For example the patlentci iiitrgeiterait l shilts i fitnik relatlonhips in llivrln slitius s tantalizing

contextual sintilarities to South Asiln societies Icf lIhor t1i11( hlng nd Still 1984)

A(K NI()VI)(F NTS The Asian Marriage Survey for Pakistat was carried out under US Agency forInternational Developmenl Grant DI)PSE-6-()048 The present research was conductshyed with supporl from the National Science Foundation (SES-8319904) Earlierversions of this paper were presented at tile East-West Population Institute

Wednesday Seminar and to a seminar at the Institute of Pakistan Studies Quaid-i-Azam University Islamahad We wish to thank the facitlt and students of Quaid-i-Azam University for their helpful Colllntls during the setninar In particularProfessor Dar Director of the Institule of Pakistan SIudics oflered especially usefulcriticisms We also acknowledge the comments of Furqan Ahmlad John BauerAndrew Cherlin Deborah Freedman Doris Nayyar and Arland Thornton onvarious earlier drafts while absolving all of them of any errors in our interpretationand analysis

R F - RFN( ES Ahiad 1 1978 Fndoganiy ird siaUs mohilit antong Siuldiqui lteikhs tl Allahlhad Itar radeslh Pp171-211 in I Ahinad (ct (t t t ui t fl otltili loi ot fiesthti iii In ha 2nd edt New

Delhi Manohar Ahnuad S 1974 A village in Palkistani Ilani ah jalpal 11p131-1 72in C Malones led) South siaSerei (ommunttv Prefii Nes Yuik tloll Rinehart and Winston

1977 (Clo anl en rt in I i uniai Villae Nesy York Monthil Revie s PressAndrews F M J N Morgan and J A Stiquist 197 Mulliph (latilit aion Attalvsi Ann ArborMich Institute for Soicial Researci

Social Organization and Marriage Timing Strategies in Pakistan 507 BIloch NI 1973 The long term and the Nhor tern The economic and politicil signiticance of the morality

of kinship P1p75-87 in J (oody led) Ihe (hvlero Kinihip (anthridge Cambridge Univerit Press

Cain 1198 1 Risk and insurance Perspectives on tertilith and agrarian change in India and Ilangladesh 11opidation ad A 7435-474I)e eloliintReiuit

1982 Perspectives on family aind ferfilil indeveloping countnres )opuhtlion Stuldie 36159-175Cain M S R Khanutin and S N ahar 1979 (lass paiiriarchv and wtomens ork in Iangladesh

PopulhtionOtand Itl-riivt Reti- 5415-438 Caidwell J C 1982 1ttry ot Iertiitv lI line Nesk York Acaderni (iesCaldell 1 C P1II Redd and 1(aldell 1982 The cause of dernographic change in rural South

India A tilcro-approach Iopuhltitonitn I)o velopment Rviit- 8689-727 - 1983 The ctuse of larliage change in South India Iopiliation Stidiv37343-3(1 - 1984 The micro-approach in delographic investligation lovird a methodology Paper presented

at IUSSP Micro-l)emographN Working Group Conference Australian Naiotil UniversityCaplitn I 1984 Itldegloiin price it turhan India (lass CaSte and do rv evil amiong Christians ir

Miatdra Man 19210-233 Carleton R () 1975 Educattion and fertiltis (p 115-166 sit IV V Mtihmi ledIi ldination anid

Iuoptutn Ahloitl IlilI t ielgillill IUSSI (herlin A J P C S1ttln I ricke I I)omiingo Adioetonio A (hliiiittrlhirong atnd S II Sed

I985a tfttll inltience iln the (tilting ti imirriage IFiletcc ll)tt Itlil Atin Nocleties (1Ipcr preeiltedilt lrkshop (htigiig MNIiriiage 1t1 lie Itil iii Asia Sila I hiallild Feb 21-24

- -1985h Etlicition ind age titmarriage |-itdence (ront Itcir Asinll ocleIe Papel presented lt torkslht Chanlging Mlartiage and tihe Fanil in Asia Silta Il tild Feb 21-24Cochrane S 1 19710 Iitttft and I~dtaitiol Mihat A) tii Rctilx A m Ittnloic Ill John IHopkins I rniverit Prcss

l)as 1973 Ifie strictiure oll timtanae preferences kii ilttouli (lit kistit fictilcti l1(1n8311-45 Du ont I 198 Ilierrch and marriage allitnce in Soulh lndimii kinslip tt iginllll published 1957)

Pp 18- ((4 in L I)tinot fetl) Alitv it a Value lrrtAtct- lilh cIllnSoti India With Coiptlirtllt i s1111 oit lrtit (Chicagio inilersit of Chica eol ess)Non I_ and Ntllre 1983 (In kinship Ntrlictlre fcnilile t lmld denographic behavior inthonliihIthaI 1qttaw anid Ikitl lopit~tnt Rtivt 9)1-00l

Lglr Z 19610A Piniali Iill in tAiti Ne )ioik (oltinibit niersit PressF-ores 11958 Introdtuction Ip 1-14 it J (iootl led I IH+ithI lop etal( irhi Plottiesih Groupsl Cambridge UK (Caubridge Liiciy r IcS

louster B 1978 I)(Inlestlc deveopIientiIl ccles is a link letsen ptoplaitilon plioces es and olher social processes Joturnall I ltleult It 14411-44 I0lnlthrol Rckea1tl

|os R 1967 Kiittitip lt(I l littwtt -h alrl UK PenguinAittthrohe11 1 IIttnlondirth

PressFrutietm IL 11982 Iif (|It oit ti t tireint lioic IhlttlQ1 and itu~al tit it Bit+eah S wit Ne

l iti-ick NJ R tgers lI r isti PicrNe lHtietti I_ d A (ster t1982 11dblood Ill CIngA (teglor and illcct Il the tdlI of kinship

caste and unliitig- I1p I-s5 ii A (slet L Friwulett intl S 1litt1te10 ds) (npt11 0 lrtinKtill tlp ( -ivt wild Altnrl~ e ill bidhw (itnlih idge l~t ut i~d tUniiecsil Ilrt

Giotugh K 19 HItlhntin kinship ill a itnlil village At l lilt lthqohwit SS 26-851 Ilerhnmn P 1981 IotitiiotKi(htl andl fIitnitc)elhi Iindilslatn ItibhhingKeeing R 1975 KiN (roup io1 itl ttt+tt- Net York ll1 Riniehrl ind Wilton Korson I If Fid in il1971 ldgilltotis ntirrige ti idtitit Mutslimn olct est (kisaltri ll141r114101Ciparative tivhStudieN 213 I145-15i - --- 179 ModeltliualtI iiJ sicial chang-T ihe latitil n Ilktiliti Pp Iitl)0-20 7 it NI Singh I)a and

1) 1) tardi+ teds) Dii I-aitiAv ill l ti I|ondon Allen miid ittLesthiteghe R 1980 ()rl the social control of hunlmin ieproduclto Poidau~tio-iand A-lophiticniRevielt 6527- 548

ii+lenhitn (1) l r (ichalgiI alilA Ilanlnmt 12(l 109II4-401

9 itpicitiins illlen g Illltge nlItiSt nn111InIIIangJduesthlt dii itt

Mits n K () 1484 Thc sdltlus k+o111cent1 ilorit ofilf fertlmhl atnd A it~ik inlte ktjn hips Universit of Michigaipulation Studies (Centel Resetich Report 84-58

NIeNicoll i 1980 Instltiuional determinants II lertilits chang olation hld iloptlnliit Reviit 6441-462

Naveed-i-Ribal 1981 (he role of wonen in reciprocal relation hlip titi Iinlhab village Ip 47-81 in T SEpstein and R A Walli leds )7 Inhi Iay ot Calt Matlraltit Rtiral Wottnnlmli New York Perganon Prcss

Ortner S B 1981 (lender and semiality in hierarchical societie The cae of Polynesia and some

508 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 number 4 November 1986

comparative implications Pp 359-409 in S 13Ortner and H Whitehead (eds) Sexual Meanings The Cultural Construction of Gender and Sesuality Cambridge UK Cambridge University Press

Paige K E and J M Paige 1981 The Politics of Reproductive Ritual Berkeley University of California Press

Papanek H 1984 False specialization and the purdah of scholarship-A review article Journal ofAsian Studies 44127-148

Parry J P 1979 Caste and Kinship in Kangra London Routledge and Kegan Paul Ryder N 131975 Fertility measurement through cross-sectional surveys Social Forcei 547-35

1983 Fertility and family structure Population Bulletin olfthe United Nations 1515-34 Sahlins M 1972 Stone Age Econoinici New York Aldine Slocum W L J Akhtar and A FSahi 1959 Villaie Libf+ in lahome District Lahore University of the

Punjab Social Science Research Centre Smith P C 1980 Asian marriage patterns in tt insition Journal ufl aind 1Iistory 556-96

1983 The impact of age at marriage and proportions marrying on fertility Pp 473-531 in R Bulatao and R Iee (eds) termniinantv Academicof Ferility in 1) veloping Countries New York Press

Smith P C and M 1 Karim 1980 Urbanization education and marriage patterns Four cases from Asia No 71 in Paprs of Ih a t- PopIda Ihnoulti Hi East-West PopulationPpultion Institute Institute

Suits DB 1957 Use of dttiunlut variables in regression equations Journal tit the Anerican Statitical Asociation 52548-551

Tambiah S J 1973a Dowry aud bridewealth and the property rights of women in South Asia Pp 51)-1(9in JGoody and SJTarnhiah (eds) Bridei cilthand I)m rvCambridge UK Cambridge University Press

1973b From arna to caste through mixed unions lp 191-229 in JGoody edlI 1he Character ofKinhip Cat ibridge UK Cambridge University Press

Tandon P 1968 Punjahi (Centurv1857-1947 Berkeley niversuty of California Press Thadani V 1978 The logic of sentiment The fansily and social change opulation and )evelopment

Review 4457-499 Thornton A M C Chang and T-H Stin 1984 Social and ecootrtuic change intrgeneratlonal

relationships and family formation in laisman 1)cinoyraphv 21475-499 Udry JR and R L Cliquet 1982 A criiss-cultural esamination of the relationship between ages at

menarche marriage and first birth Dmnnographv 1953-63 Vreede-de Stuers C 1968 Parda A Stidv of luslji )loonenlife illNoritiern India New York

Humanities Press Yalman N 1971 Under the Bo Tree Studies inCaie Kinship and Marriage in the Interior ofCeyhi

Berkeley University of California Press

177

RECENT AVAILABLE REPRINTS OF THE EAST-WEST POPULATION INSTITUTE No 172 Conclusion by Lee-Jay Cho reprinted from The IndustrialFutureof the fIzcific Basin RogerBenjamin and Robert T Kudrle eds Westview Press Colorado 1984 173 Asian Labor Migration to the Middle East by Fred Arnold and Nasra M Shah reprinted

front InternationalMigration Review Sum mer 1984 174 Repeatability of infant deaths in Korea by Chai Bin Park and Alfred C Hexter reprinted

from nhternationaljournal of Epideniolhgy September 1984 175 Comparative analysis of fertility orientations World Fertility Survey findings by Lee-Jay Cho ind Louise Kantrow reprinted from Predicting Fertility DenographicStudies ofBirth Expectations Gerry E I lendershot and Paul J Placek eds Lexington Books DC

I leath and Company Massachusetts 1981 176 Census-derived estimates of fertility by duration since first marriage in the Republicof Korea by Robert 1) Retherlord ee-JaY Cho ard Narn-Il Kim reprinted from Deinogshy

raphy November 481 The value of daughters and sons A comparative study of the gender preferences of parshyents bv Fred Arnold and Eddie CY Kujo reprint_d from fournal of Comparative Fanih Studes Summer 1984

178 Analysing open birth interval distributions by Griffith FeeneY and John A Ross reprintedfrom Population Studies Novembet 1981

17 Population dynamics arid policy in the eoples Republic of China by Lee-jay Choreprinted from The Annals if TheAneirican Acadenii ufoPliticaland Sociai Science Chinain Transitim vol 476 Marvin F Wolfgang ed Sage lublications Beverly Hills Califorshynia 1984

180 Personal networks and the adoption of family planning in rural Korea by Joung ImKim arid Janmes A lihlmore reprinted from Journalov Population and I halth Studies Dshycember 1984

181 Determinants of birth-interval length in the Philippines Malaysia and Indonesia Ahazard-model analysis by James Trussell Linda G Martin Robert Feldman James APalmore Mercedes Concepcion and Datin Noor Laily lBt Dato Abu Bakar reprinted Denograply May 1985

182 Shadow households and competing auspices Migration behavior in the Philippinesby Fe Caces Fred Arnold Jame T Fawcett and Robert W Gardner reprinted fior lourshynal of Development Econonics lanuarv-February 1985 183 Perceptions of the value of children Satisfaction and costs by James 1 Rawcett reprinted

from Detrniinantsof lertiliti in Devehpin Counitries vol 1 Rodolfo A Bulatao and RonaldD Lee eds Acaderic Press Inc 1983 184 Diffusion processes affecting fertility regulation bv Robert I) Retherford and JamesA Palmore reprinted from Determiintsof lirtlityqin Dcvelopiing Countries vol 2 RodolfoA Bulatao and Ronald D Lee eds Academic Press Inc 1983 185 The impact of age at marriage and proportions marrying on fertility by Peter C Smithreprinted from Determinantsof lirtiilit in Develolmkg Countries vol 2 Rodolfo A gulatao

and Ronald D Lee eds Academic Press Inc 1983 186 Migration of women to cities The Asian situation in comparative perspective by Siew-Ean Khoo Peter C Smith and James T Fawcett reprinted from lnternationalMigration

Rtview Special Issue Noten in AlM ratin Winter 1984

187 Measuring the effect of sex preference on fertility The case of Korea by Fred Arnold ieprinted from Dernography May 1985

18 Exploring the normative basis for age at marriage in Thailand An example from focus group research by Anthony Pramualratana Napaporn Havanon and John Knodel reprinted from Journalof Marriageand the Family February 1985

189 The non-economic consequences of Asian labor migration to the Middle East by Nasra M Shah and Fred Arnold reprinted from International Union for the Scientific Study of Population lnternaitonalPopulation Conference Florence 1985 vol 3 1985

190 Parity progression projection by Griffith Feeney reprinted from International Union for the Scientific Study of Population InternationalPopiulation Conference Florence 1985 vol 4 1985

191 A theory of marita fertility transition by Robert D Retherford reprinted from Popula tion Studies July 1985

192 Cultural variations in the transition to marriage in four Asian societies by Paul Cheung Josefina Cabigon Aphichat Chamratrithirong Peter F McDonald Sabila Syed Andrew Cherlin and Peter C Smith reprinted from International Union for the Scientific Study of Population InternationalPopulation Conference Florence 1985 vol 3 1985

193 Decision making and sex selection with biased technologies by Neil GBennett and Andrew Mason reprinted from Sex Selection of Children Neil G Bennett ed Academic Press Inc 1983

194 US farm migration An application of the Harris-Todaro model by Daniel B Suits reprinted from Economic Development and Cultural Chang vol 33 no 4 1985

195 Health of Hlmong in Thailand Risk factors morbidity and mortality in comparison with other ethnic groups by Peter Kunstadter reprinted from Culture Medicine and Psyshychiairy vol 9 no 4 1985

196 Evaluation of contraceptive history data in the Republic of Korea by Anne R Pebley Noreen Goldman and Minja Kim Choe reprinted from Stldies ii Family PlanningJanushyaryFebruary 1986

197 Circulation between home and other places Some propositions by Murray Chapman and R Mansell Prothem and Me go walkabout you too by Murray Chapman reprinted from Circulationin Population Mozement Substance and Concepts fion tie Melnesian Case Murray Chapman and R Maniell Prothero eds Routledge amp Kegan Paul 1985

198 Fijians and Indo-Fijians in Suva Rural-urban movements and linkages by Shashikant Nair reprinted from Circulationin PopulationMovement Substance and Concepts fron the Melanesian Case Murray Chapman and R Mansell Prothero eds Routledge amp Kegan Paul 1985

199 Linkages between internal and international migration The Ilocos Norte experience by Fred Arnold and Ricardo G Abad reprinted from PhilippinePopulationJournalJune 1985

200 An economic analysis of recent fertility in Japan by Naohiro Ogawa and Andrew Mason reprinted from linko Gaku Kenkyu vol 9 May 1986

201 Averting crisis in Asia by Lee-jay Cho reprinted from Bulletin of the Atonic Scientists vol 42 no 4 1986

202 Sex preference fertility and family planning in China by Fred Arnold and Liu Zhao xiang reprinted from lPpulation am Development Review vol 12 no 2 1986

203 The place of child-spacing as a factor in infant mortality A recursive model by Chai Bin Park reprinted from American Journalof Public Health vol 76 no 8 1986

204 Determinants of Korean birth intervals The confrontation of theory and data by Larry L Bumpass Ronald R Rindfuss and James A Palmore reprinted from Po)pulationStudies vol 40 no 3 1986

Page 21: INSTITUTE timing strategies in Pakistan

Social Organization and Marriage Timing Strategies in Pakistan 507 BIloch NI 1973 The long term and the Nhor tern The economic and politicil signiticance of the morality

of kinship P1p75-87 in J (oody led) Ihe (hvlero Kinihip (anthridge Cambridge Univerit Press

Cain 1198 1 Risk and insurance Perspectives on tertilith and agrarian change in India and Ilangladesh 11opidation ad A 7435-474I)e eloliintReiuit

1982 Perspectives on family aind ferfilil indeveloping countnres )opuhtlion Stuldie 36159-175Cain M S R Khanutin and S N ahar 1979 (lass paiiriarchv and wtomens ork in Iangladesh

PopulhtionOtand Itl-riivt Reti- 5415-438 Caidwell J C 1982 1ttry ot Iertiitv lI line Nesk York Acaderni (iesCaldell 1 C P1II Redd and 1(aldell 1982 The cause of dernographic change in rural South

India A tilcro-approach Iopuhltitonitn I)o velopment Rviit- 8689-727 - 1983 The ctuse of larliage change in South India Iopiliation Stidiv37343-3(1 - 1984 The micro-approach in delographic investligation lovird a methodology Paper presented

at IUSSP Micro-l)emographN Working Group Conference Australian Naiotil UniversityCaplitn I 1984 Itldegloiin price it turhan India (lass CaSte and do rv evil amiong Christians ir

Miatdra Man 19210-233 Carleton R () 1975 Educattion and fertiltis (p 115-166 sit IV V Mtihmi ledIi ldination anid

Iuoptutn Ahloitl IlilI t ielgillill IUSSI (herlin A J P C S1ttln I ricke I I)omiingo Adioetonio A (hliiiittrlhirong atnd S II Sed

I985a tfttll inltience iln the (tilting ti imirriage IFiletcc ll)tt Itlil Atin Nocleties (1Ipcr preeiltedilt lrkshop (htigiig MNIiriiage 1t1 lie Itil iii Asia Sila I hiallild Feb 21-24

- -1985h Etlicition ind age titmarriage |-itdence (ront Itcir Asinll ocleIe Papel presented lt torkslht Chanlging Mlartiage and tihe Fanil in Asia Silta Il tild Feb 21-24Cochrane S 1 19710 Iitttft and I~dtaitiol Mihat A) tii Rctilx A m Ittnloic Ill John IHopkins I rniverit Prcss

l)as 1973 Ifie strictiure oll timtanae preferences kii ilttouli (lit kistit fictilcti l1(1n8311-45 Du ont I 198 Ilierrch and marriage allitnce in Soulh lndimii kinslip tt iginllll published 1957)

Pp 18- ((4 in L I)tinot fetl) Alitv it a Value lrrtAtct- lilh cIllnSoti India With Coiptlirtllt i s1111 oit lrtit (Chicagio inilersit of Chica eol ess)Non I_ and Ntllre 1983 (In kinship Ntrlictlre fcnilile t lmld denographic behavior inthonliihIthaI 1qttaw anid Ikitl lopit~tnt Rtivt 9)1-00l

Lglr Z 19610A Piniali Iill in tAiti Ne )ioik (oltinibit niersit PressF-ores 11958 Introdtuction Ip 1-14 it J (iootl led I IH+ithI lop etal( irhi Plottiesih Groupsl Cambridge UK (Caubridge Liiciy r IcS

louster B 1978 I)(Inlestlc deveopIientiIl ccles is a link letsen ptoplaitilon plioces es and olher social processes Joturnall I ltleult It 14411-44 I0lnlthrol Rckea1tl

|os R 1967 Kiittitip lt(I l littwtt -h alrl UK PenguinAittthrohe11 1 IIttnlondirth

PressFrutietm IL 11982 Iif (|It oit ti t tireint lioic IhlttlQ1 and itu~al tit it Bit+eah S wit Ne

l iti-ick NJ R tgers lI r isti PicrNe lHtietti I_ d A (ster t1982 11dblood Ill CIngA (teglor and illcct Il the tdlI of kinship

caste and unliitig- I1p I-s5 ii A (slet L Friwulett intl S 1litt1te10 ds) (npt11 0 lrtinKtill tlp ( -ivt wild Altnrl~ e ill bidhw (itnlih idge l~t ut i~d tUniiecsil Ilrt

Giotugh K 19 HItlhntin kinship ill a itnlil village At l lilt lthqohwit SS 26-851 Ilerhnmn P 1981 IotitiiotKi(htl andl fIitnitc)elhi Iindilslatn ItibhhingKeeing R 1975 KiN (roup io1 itl ttt+tt- Net York ll1 Riniehrl ind Wilton Korson I If Fid in il1971 ldgilltotis ntirrige ti idtitit Mutslimn olct est (kisaltri ll141r114101Ciparative tivhStudieN 213 I145-15i - --- 179 ModeltliualtI iiJ sicial chang-T ihe latitil n Ilktiliti Pp Iitl)0-20 7 it NI Singh I)a and

1) 1) tardi+ teds) Dii I-aitiAv ill l ti I|ondon Allen miid ittLesthiteghe R 1980 ()rl the social control of hunlmin ieproduclto Poidau~tio-iand A-lophiticniRevielt 6527- 548

ii+lenhitn (1) l r (ichalgiI alilA Ilanlnmt 12(l 109II4-401

9 itpicitiins illlen g Illltge nlItiSt nn111InIIIangJduesthlt dii itt

Mits n K () 1484 Thc sdltlus k+o111cent1 ilorit ofilf fertlmhl atnd A it~ik inlte ktjn hips Universit of Michigaipulation Studies (Centel Resetich Report 84-58

NIeNicoll i 1980 Instltiuional determinants II lertilits chang olation hld iloptlnliit Reviit 6441-462

Naveed-i-Ribal 1981 (he role of wonen in reciprocal relation hlip titi Iinlhab village Ip 47-81 in T SEpstein and R A Walli leds )7 Inhi Iay ot Calt Matlraltit Rtiral Wottnnlmli New York Perganon Prcss

Ortner S B 1981 (lender and semiality in hierarchical societie The cae of Polynesia and some

508 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 number 4 November 1986

comparative implications Pp 359-409 in S 13Ortner and H Whitehead (eds) Sexual Meanings The Cultural Construction of Gender and Sesuality Cambridge UK Cambridge University Press

Paige K E and J M Paige 1981 The Politics of Reproductive Ritual Berkeley University of California Press

Papanek H 1984 False specialization and the purdah of scholarship-A review article Journal ofAsian Studies 44127-148

Parry J P 1979 Caste and Kinship in Kangra London Routledge and Kegan Paul Ryder N 131975 Fertility measurement through cross-sectional surveys Social Forcei 547-35

1983 Fertility and family structure Population Bulletin olfthe United Nations 1515-34 Sahlins M 1972 Stone Age Econoinici New York Aldine Slocum W L J Akhtar and A FSahi 1959 Villaie Libf+ in lahome District Lahore University of the

Punjab Social Science Research Centre Smith P C 1980 Asian marriage patterns in tt insition Journal ufl aind 1Iistory 556-96

1983 The impact of age at marriage and proportions marrying on fertility Pp 473-531 in R Bulatao and R Iee (eds) termniinantv Academicof Ferility in 1) veloping Countries New York Press

Smith P C and M 1 Karim 1980 Urbanization education and marriage patterns Four cases from Asia No 71 in Paprs of Ih a t- PopIda Ihnoulti Hi East-West PopulationPpultion Institute Institute

Suits DB 1957 Use of dttiunlut variables in regression equations Journal tit the Anerican Statitical Asociation 52548-551

Tambiah S J 1973a Dowry aud bridewealth and the property rights of women in South Asia Pp 51)-1(9in JGoody and SJTarnhiah (eds) Bridei cilthand I)m rvCambridge UK Cambridge University Press

1973b From arna to caste through mixed unions lp 191-229 in JGoody edlI 1he Character ofKinhip Cat ibridge UK Cambridge University Press

Tandon P 1968 Punjahi (Centurv1857-1947 Berkeley niversuty of California Press Thadani V 1978 The logic of sentiment The fansily and social change opulation and )evelopment

Review 4457-499 Thornton A M C Chang and T-H Stin 1984 Social and ecootrtuic change intrgeneratlonal

relationships and family formation in laisman 1)cinoyraphv 21475-499 Udry JR and R L Cliquet 1982 A criiss-cultural esamination of the relationship between ages at

menarche marriage and first birth Dmnnographv 1953-63 Vreede-de Stuers C 1968 Parda A Stidv of luslji )loonenlife illNoritiern India New York

Humanities Press Yalman N 1971 Under the Bo Tree Studies inCaie Kinship and Marriage in the Interior ofCeyhi

Berkeley University of California Press

177

RECENT AVAILABLE REPRINTS OF THE EAST-WEST POPULATION INSTITUTE No 172 Conclusion by Lee-Jay Cho reprinted from The IndustrialFutureof the fIzcific Basin RogerBenjamin and Robert T Kudrle eds Westview Press Colorado 1984 173 Asian Labor Migration to the Middle East by Fred Arnold and Nasra M Shah reprinted

front InternationalMigration Review Sum mer 1984 174 Repeatability of infant deaths in Korea by Chai Bin Park and Alfred C Hexter reprinted

from nhternationaljournal of Epideniolhgy September 1984 175 Comparative analysis of fertility orientations World Fertility Survey findings by Lee-Jay Cho ind Louise Kantrow reprinted from Predicting Fertility DenographicStudies ofBirth Expectations Gerry E I lendershot and Paul J Placek eds Lexington Books DC

I leath and Company Massachusetts 1981 176 Census-derived estimates of fertility by duration since first marriage in the Republicof Korea by Robert 1) Retherlord ee-JaY Cho ard Narn-Il Kim reprinted from Deinogshy

raphy November 481 The value of daughters and sons A comparative study of the gender preferences of parshyents bv Fred Arnold and Eddie CY Kujo reprint_d from fournal of Comparative Fanih Studes Summer 1984

178 Analysing open birth interval distributions by Griffith FeeneY and John A Ross reprintedfrom Population Studies Novembet 1981

17 Population dynamics arid policy in the eoples Republic of China by Lee-jay Choreprinted from The Annals if TheAneirican Acadenii ufoPliticaland Sociai Science Chinain Transitim vol 476 Marvin F Wolfgang ed Sage lublications Beverly Hills Califorshynia 1984

180 Personal networks and the adoption of family planning in rural Korea by Joung ImKim arid Janmes A lihlmore reprinted from Journalov Population and I halth Studies Dshycember 1984

181 Determinants of birth-interval length in the Philippines Malaysia and Indonesia Ahazard-model analysis by James Trussell Linda G Martin Robert Feldman James APalmore Mercedes Concepcion and Datin Noor Laily lBt Dato Abu Bakar reprinted Denograply May 1985

182 Shadow households and competing auspices Migration behavior in the Philippinesby Fe Caces Fred Arnold Jame T Fawcett and Robert W Gardner reprinted fior lourshynal of Development Econonics lanuarv-February 1985 183 Perceptions of the value of children Satisfaction and costs by James 1 Rawcett reprinted

from Detrniinantsof lertiliti in Devehpin Counitries vol 1 Rodolfo A Bulatao and RonaldD Lee eds Acaderic Press Inc 1983 184 Diffusion processes affecting fertility regulation bv Robert I) Retherford and JamesA Palmore reprinted from Determiintsof lirtlityqin Dcvelopiing Countries vol 2 RodolfoA Bulatao and Ronald D Lee eds Academic Press Inc 1983 185 The impact of age at marriage and proportions marrying on fertility by Peter C Smithreprinted from Determinantsof lirtiilit in Develolmkg Countries vol 2 Rodolfo A gulatao

and Ronald D Lee eds Academic Press Inc 1983 186 Migration of women to cities The Asian situation in comparative perspective by Siew-Ean Khoo Peter C Smith and James T Fawcett reprinted from lnternationalMigration

Rtview Special Issue Noten in AlM ratin Winter 1984

187 Measuring the effect of sex preference on fertility The case of Korea by Fred Arnold ieprinted from Dernography May 1985

18 Exploring the normative basis for age at marriage in Thailand An example from focus group research by Anthony Pramualratana Napaporn Havanon and John Knodel reprinted from Journalof Marriageand the Family February 1985

189 The non-economic consequences of Asian labor migration to the Middle East by Nasra M Shah and Fred Arnold reprinted from International Union for the Scientific Study of Population lnternaitonalPopulation Conference Florence 1985 vol 3 1985

190 Parity progression projection by Griffith Feeney reprinted from International Union for the Scientific Study of Population InternationalPopiulation Conference Florence 1985 vol 4 1985

191 A theory of marita fertility transition by Robert D Retherford reprinted from Popula tion Studies July 1985

192 Cultural variations in the transition to marriage in four Asian societies by Paul Cheung Josefina Cabigon Aphichat Chamratrithirong Peter F McDonald Sabila Syed Andrew Cherlin and Peter C Smith reprinted from International Union for the Scientific Study of Population InternationalPopulation Conference Florence 1985 vol 3 1985

193 Decision making and sex selection with biased technologies by Neil GBennett and Andrew Mason reprinted from Sex Selection of Children Neil G Bennett ed Academic Press Inc 1983

194 US farm migration An application of the Harris-Todaro model by Daniel B Suits reprinted from Economic Development and Cultural Chang vol 33 no 4 1985

195 Health of Hlmong in Thailand Risk factors morbidity and mortality in comparison with other ethnic groups by Peter Kunstadter reprinted from Culture Medicine and Psyshychiairy vol 9 no 4 1985

196 Evaluation of contraceptive history data in the Republic of Korea by Anne R Pebley Noreen Goldman and Minja Kim Choe reprinted from Stldies ii Family PlanningJanushyaryFebruary 1986

197 Circulation between home and other places Some propositions by Murray Chapman and R Mansell Prothem and Me go walkabout you too by Murray Chapman reprinted from Circulationin Population Mozement Substance and Concepts fion tie Melnesian Case Murray Chapman and R Maniell Prothero eds Routledge amp Kegan Paul 1985

198 Fijians and Indo-Fijians in Suva Rural-urban movements and linkages by Shashikant Nair reprinted from Circulationin PopulationMovement Substance and Concepts fron the Melanesian Case Murray Chapman and R Mansell Prothero eds Routledge amp Kegan Paul 1985

199 Linkages between internal and international migration The Ilocos Norte experience by Fred Arnold and Ricardo G Abad reprinted from PhilippinePopulationJournalJune 1985

200 An economic analysis of recent fertility in Japan by Naohiro Ogawa and Andrew Mason reprinted from linko Gaku Kenkyu vol 9 May 1986

201 Averting crisis in Asia by Lee-jay Cho reprinted from Bulletin of the Atonic Scientists vol 42 no 4 1986

202 Sex preference fertility and family planning in China by Fred Arnold and Liu Zhao xiang reprinted from lPpulation am Development Review vol 12 no 2 1986

203 The place of child-spacing as a factor in infant mortality A recursive model by Chai Bin Park reprinted from American Journalof Public Health vol 76 no 8 1986

204 Determinants of Korean birth intervals The confrontation of theory and data by Larry L Bumpass Ronald R Rindfuss and James A Palmore reprinted from Po)pulationStudies vol 40 no 3 1986

Page 22: INSTITUTE timing strategies in Pakistan

508 DEMOGRAPHY volume 23 number 4 November 1986

comparative implications Pp 359-409 in S 13Ortner and H Whitehead (eds) Sexual Meanings The Cultural Construction of Gender and Sesuality Cambridge UK Cambridge University Press

Paige K E and J M Paige 1981 The Politics of Reproductive Ritual Berkeley University of California Press

Papanek H 1984 False specialization and the purdah of scholarship-A review article Journal ofAsian Studies 44127-148

Parry J P 1979 Caste and Kinship in Kangra London Routledge and Kegan Paul Ryder N 131975 Fertility measurement through cross-sectional surveys Social Forcei 547-35

1983 Fertility and family structure Population Bulletin olfthe United Nations 1515-34 Sahlins M 1972 Stone Age Econoinici New York Aldine Slocum W L J Akhtar and A FSahi 1959 Villaie Libf+ in lahome District Lahore University of the

Punjab Social Science Research Centre Smith P C 1980 Asian marriage patterns in tt insition Journal ufl aind 1Iistory 556-96

1983 The impact of age at marriage and proportions marrying on fertility Pp 473-531 in R Bulatao and R Iee (eds) termniinantv Academicof Ferility in 1) veloping Countries New York Press

Smith P C and M 1 Karim 1980 Urbanization education and marriage patterns Four cases from Asia No 71 in Paprs of Ih a t- PopIda Ihnoulti Hi East-West PopulationPpultion Institute Institute

Suits DB 1957 Use of dttiunlut variables in regression equations Journal tit the Anerican Statitical Asociation 52548-551

Tambiah S J 1973a Dowry aud bridewealth and the property rights of women in South Asia Pp 51)-1(9in JGoody and SJTarnhiah (eds) Bridei cilthand I)m rvCambridge UK Cambridge University Press

1973b From arna to caste through mixed unions lp 191-229 in JGoody edlI 1he Character ofKinhip Cat ibridge UK Cambridge University Press

Tandon P 1968 Punjahi (Centurv1857-1947 Berkeley niversuty of California Press Thadani V 1978 The logic of sentiment The fansily and social change opulation and )evelopment

Review 4457-499 Thornton A M C Chang and T-H Stin 1984 Social and ecootrtuic change intrgeneratlonal

relationships and family formation in laisman 1)cinoyraphv 21475-499 Udry JR and R L Cliquet 1982 A criiss-cultural esamination of the relationship between ages at

menarche marriage and first birth Dmnnographv 1953-63 Vreede-de Stuers C 1968 Parda A Stidv of luslji )loonenlife illNoritiern India New York

Humanities Press Yalman N 1971 Under the Bo Tree Studies inCaie Kinship and Marriage in the Interior ofCeyhi

Berkeley University of California Press

177

RECENT AVAILABLE REPRINTS OF THE EAST-WEST POPULATION INSTITUTE No 172 Conclusion by Lee-Jay Cho reprinted from The IndustrialFutureof the fIzcific Basin RogerBenjamin and Robert T Kudrle eds Westview Press Colorado 1984 173 Asian Labor Migration to the Middle East by Fred Arnold and Nasra M Shah reprinted

front InternationalMigration Review Sum mer 1984 174 Repeatability of infant deaths in Korea by Chai Bin Park and Alfred C Hexter reprinted

from nhternationaljournal of Epideniolhgy September 1984 175 Comparative analysis of fertility orientations World Fertility Survey findings by Lee-Jay Cho ind Louise Kantrow reprinted from Predicting Fertility DenographicStudies ofBirth Expectations Gerry E I lendershot and Paul J Placek eds Lexington Books DC

I leath and Company Massachusetts 1981 176 Census-derived estimates of fertility by duration since first marriage in the Republicof Korea by Robert 1) Retherlord ee-JaY Cho ard Narn-Il Kim reprinted from Deinogshy

raphy November 481 The value of daughters and sons A comparative study of the gender preferences of parshyents bv Fred Arnold and Eddie CY Kujo reprint_d from fournal of Comparative Fanih Studes Summer 1984

178 Analysing open birth interval distributions by Griffith FeeneY and John A Ross reprintedfrom Population Studies Novembet 1981

17 Population dynamics arid policy in the eoples Republic of China by Lee-jay Choreprinted from The Annals if TheAneirican Acadenii ufoPliticaland Sociai Science Chinain Transitim vol 476 Marvin F Wolfgang ed Sage lublications Beverly Hills Califorshynia 1984

180 Personal networks and the adoption of family planning in rural Korea by Joung ImKim arid Janmes A lihlmore reprinted from Journalov Population and I halth Studies Dshycember 1984

181 Determinants of birth-interval length in the Philippines Malaysia and Indonesia Ahazard-model analysis by James Trussell Linda G Martin Robert Feldman James APalmore Mercedes Concepcion and Datin Noor Laily lBt Dato Abu Bakar reprinted Denograply May 1985

182 Shadow households and competing auspices Migration behavior in the Philippinesby Fe Caces Fred Arnold Jame T Fawcett and Robert W Gardner reprinted fior lourshynal of Development Econonics lanuarv-February 1985 183 Perceptions of the value of children Satisfaction and costs by James 1 Rawcett reprinted

from Detrniinantsof lertiliti in Devehpin Counitries vol 1 Rodolfo A Bulatao and RonaldD Lee eds Acaderic Press Inc 1983 184 Diffusion processes affecting fertility regulation bv Robert I) Retherford and JamesA Palmore reprinted from Determiintsof lirtlityqin Dcvelopiing Countries vol 2 RodolfoA Bulatao and Ronald D Lee eds Academic Press Inc 1983 185 The impact of age at marriage and proportions marrying on fertility by Peter C Smithreprinted from Determinantsof lirtiilit in Develolmkg Countries vol 2 Rodolfo A gulatao

and Ronald D Lee eds Academic Press Inc 1983 186 Migration of women to cities The Asian situation in comparative perspective by Siew-Ean Khoo Peter C Smith and James T Fawcett reprinted from lnternationalMigration

Rtview Special Issue Noten in AlM ratin Winter 1984

187 Measuring the effect of sex preference on fertility The case of Korea by Fred Arnold ieprinted from Dernography May 1985

18 Exploring the normative basis for age at marriage in Thailand An example from focus group research by Anthony Pramualratana Napaporn Havanon and John Knodel reprinted from Journalof Marriageand the Family February 1985

189 The non-economic consequences of Asian labor migration to the Middle East by Nasra M Shah and Fred Arnold reprinted from International Union for the Scientific Study of Population lnternaitonalPopulation Conference Florence 1985 vol 3 1985

190 Parity progression projection by Griffith Feeney reprinted from International Union for the Scientific Study of Population InternationalPopiulation Conference Florence 1985 vol 4 1985

191 A theory of marita fertility transition by Robert D Retherford reprinted from Popula tion Studies July 1985

192 Cultural variations in the transition to marriage in four Asian societies by Paul Cheung Josefina Cabigon Aphichat Chamratrithirong Peter F McDonald Sabila Syed Andrew Cherlin and Peter C Smith reprinted from International Union for the Scientific Study of Population InternationalPopulation Conference Florence 1985 vol 3 1985

193 Decision making and sex selection with biased technologies by Neil GBennett and Andrew Mason reprinted from Sex Selection of Children Neil G Bennett ed Academic Press Inc 1983

194 US farm migration An application of the Harris-Todaro model by Daniel B Suits reprinted from Economic Development and Cultural Chang vol 33 no 4 1985

195 Health of Hlmong in Thailand Risk factors morbidity and mortality in comparison with other ethnic groups by Peter Kunstadter reprinted from Culture Medicine and Psyshychiairy vol 9 no 4 1985

196 Evaluation of contraceptive history data in the Republic of Korea by Anne R Pebley Noreen Goldman and Minja Kim Choe reprinted from Stldies ii Family PlanningJanushyaryFebruary 1986

197 Circulation between home and other places Some propositions by Murray Chapman and R Mansell Prothem and Me go walkabout you too by Murray Chapman reprinted from Circulationin Population Mozement Substance and Concepts fion tie Melnesian Case Murray Chapman and R Maniell Prothero eds Routledge amp Kegan Paul 1985

198 Fijians and Indo-Fijians in Suva Rural-urban movements and linkages by Shashikant Nair reprinted from Circulationin PopulationMovement Substance and Concepts fron the Melanesian Case Murray Chapman and R Mansell Prothero eds Routledge amp Kegan Paul 1985

199 Linkages between internal and international migration The Ilocos Norte experience by Fred Arnold and Ricardo G Abad reprinted from PhilippinePopulationJournalJune 1985

200 An economic analysis of recent fertility in Japan by Naohiro Ogawa and Andrew Mason reprinted from linko Gaku Kenkyu vol 9 May 1986

201 Averting crisis in Asia by Lee-jay Cho reprinted from Bulletin of the Atonic Scientists vol 42 no 4 1986

202 Sex preference fertility and family planning in China by Fred Arnold and Liu Zhao xiang reprinted from lPpulation am Development Review vol 12 no 2 1986

203 The place of child-spacing as a factor in infant mortality A recursive model by Chai Bin Park reprinted from American Journalof Public Health vol 76 no 8 1986

204 Determinants of Korean birth intervals The confrontation of theory and data by Larry L Bumpass Ronald R Rindfuss and James A Palmore reprinted from Po)pulationStudies vol 40 no 3 1986

Page 23: INSTITUTE timing strategies in Pakistan

177

RECENT AVAILABLE REPRINTS OF THE EAST-WEST POPULATION INSTITUTE No 172 Conclusion by Lee-Jay Cho reprinted from The IndustrialFutureof the fIzcific Basin RogerBenjamin and Robert T Kudrle eds Westview Press Colorado 1984 173 Asian Labor Migration to the Middle East by Fred Arnold and Nasra M Shah reprinted

front InternationalMigration Review Sum mer 1984 174 Repeatability of infant deaths in Korea by Chai Bin Park and Alfred C Hexter reprinted

from nhternationaljournal of Epideniolhgy September 1984 175 Comparative analysis of fertility orientations World Fertility Survey findings by Lee-Jay Cho ind Louise Kantrow reprinted from Predicting Fertility DenographicStudies ofBirth Expectations Gerry E I lendershot and Paul J Placek eds Lexington Books DC

I leath and Company Massachusetts 1981 176 Census-derived estimates of fertility by duration since first marriage in the Republicof Korea by Robert 1) Retherlord ee-JaY Cho ard Narn-Il Kim reprinted from Deinogshy

raphy November 481 The value of daughters and sons A comparative study of the gender preferences of parshyents bv Fred Arnold and Eddie CY Kujo reprint_d from fournal of Comparative Fanih Studes Summer 1984

178 Analysing open birth interval distributions by Griffith FeeneY and John A Ross reprintedfrom Population Studies Novembet 1981

17 Population dynamics arid policy in the eoples Republic of China by Lee-jay Choreprinted from The Annals if TheAneirican Acadenii ufoPliticaland Sociai Science Chinain Transitim vol 476 Marvin F Wolfgang ed Sage lublications Beverly Hills Califorshynia 1984

180 Personal networks and the adoption of family planning in rural Korea by Joung ImKim arid Janmes A lihlmore reprinted from Journalov Population and I halth Studies Dshycember 1984

181 Determinants of birth-interval length in the Philippines Malaysia and Indonesia Ahazard-model analysis by James Trussell Linda G Martin Robert Feldman James APalmore Mercedes Concepcion and Datin Noor Laily lBt Dato Abu Bakar reprinted Denograply May 1985

182 Shadow households and competing auspices Migration behavior in the Philippinesby Fe Caces Fred Arnold Jame T Fawcett and Robert W Gardner reprinted fior lourshynal of Development Econonics lanuarv-February 1985 183 Perceptions of the value of children Satisfaction and costs by James 1 Rawcett reprinted

from Detrniinantsof lertiliti in Devehpin Counitries vol 1 Rodolfo A Bulatao and RonaldD Lee eds Acaderic Press Inc 1983 184 Diffusion processes affecting fertility regulation bv Robert I) Retherford and JamesA Palmore reprinted from Determiintsof lirtlityqin Dcvelopiing Countries vol 2 RodolfoA Bulatao and Ronald D Lee eds Academic Press Inc 1983 185 The impact of age at marriage and proportions marrying on fertility by Peter C Smithreprinted from Determinantsof lirtiilit in Develolmkg Countries vol 2 Rodolfo A gulatao

and Ronald D Lee eds Academic Press Inc 1983 186 Migration of women to cities The Asian situation in comparative perspective by Siew-Ean Khoo Peter C Smith and James T Fawcett reprinted from lnternationalMigration

Rtview Special Issue Noten in AlM ratin Winter 1984

187 Measuring the effect of sex preference on fertility The case of Korea by Fred Arnold ieprinted from Dernography May 1985

18 Exploring the normative basis for age at marriage in Thailand An example from focus group research by Anthony Pramualratana Napaporn Havanon and John Knodel reprinted from Journalof Marriageand the Family February 1985

189 The non-economic consequences of Asian labor migration to the Middle East by Nasra M Shah and Fred Arnold reprinted from International Union for the Scientific Study of Population lnternaitonalPopulation Conference Florence 1985 vol 3 1985

190 Parity progression projection by Griffith Feeney reprinted from International Union for the Scientific Study of Population InternationalPopiulation Conference Florence 1985 vol 4 1985

191 A theory of marita fertility transition by Robert D Retherford reprinted from Popula tion Studies July 1985

192 Cultural variations in the transition to marriage in four Asian societies by Paul Cheung Josefina Cabigon Aphichat Chamratrithirong Peter F McDonald Sabila Syed Andrew Cherlin and Peter C Smith reprinted from International Union for the Scientific Study of Population InternationalPopulation Conference Florence 1985 vol 3 1985

193 Decision making and sex selection with biased technologies by Neil GBennett and Andrew Mason reprinted from Sex Selection of Children Neil G Bennett ed Academic Press Inc 1983

194 US farm migration An application of the Harris-Todaro model by Daniel B Suits reprinted from Economic Development and Cultural Chang vol 33 no 4 1985

195 Health of Hlmong in Thailand Risk factors morbidity and mortality in comparison with other ethnic groups by Peter Kunstadter reprinted from Culture Medicine and Psyshychiairy vol 9 no 4 1985

196 Evaluation of contraceptive history data in the Republic of Korea by Anne R Pebley Noreen Goldman and Minja Kim Choe reprinted from Stldies ii Family PlanningJanushyaryFebruary 1986

197 Circulation between home and other places Some propositions by Murray Chapman and R Mansell Prothem and Me go walkabout you too by Murray Chapman reprinted from Circulationin Population Mozement Substance and Concepts fion tie Melnesian Case Murray Chapman and R Maniell Prothero eds Routledge amp Kegan Paul 1985

198 Fijians and Indo-Fijians in Suva Rural-urban movements and linkages by Shashikant Nair reprinted from Circulationin PopulationMovement Substance and Concepts fron the Melanesian Case Murray Chapman and R Mansell Prothero eds Routledge amp Kegan Paul 1985

199 Linkages between internal and international migration The Ilocos Norte experience by Fred Arnold and Ricardo G Abad reprinted from PhilippinePopulationJournalJune 1985

200 An economic analysis of recent fertility in Japan by Naohiro Ogawa and Andrew Mason reprinted from linko Gaku Kenkyu vol 9 May 1986

201 Averting crisis in Asia by Lee-jay Cho reprinted from Bulletin of the Atonic Scientists vol 42 no 4 1986

202 Sex preference fertility and family planning in China by Fred Arnold and Liu Zhao xiang reprinted from lPpulation am Development Review vol 12 no 2 1986

203 The place of child-spacing as a factor in infant mortality A recursive model by Chai Bin Park reprinted from American Journalof Public Health vol 76 no 8 1986

204 Determinants of Korean birth intervals The confrontation of theory and data by Larry L Bumpass Ronald R Rindfuss and James A Palmore reprinted from Po)pulationStudies vol 40 no 3 1986

Page 24: INSTITUTE timing strategies in Pakistan

187 Measuring the effect of sex preference on fertility The case of Korea by Fred Arnold ieprinted from Dernography May 1985

18 Exploring the normative basis for age at marriage in Thailand An example from focus group research by Anthony Pramualratana Napaporn Havanon and John Knodel reprinted from Journalof Marriageand the Family February 1985

189 The non-economic consequences of Asian labor migration to the Middle East by Nasra M Shah and Fred Arnold reprinted from International Union for the Scientific Study of Population lnternaitonalPopulation Conference Florence 1985 vol 3 1985

190 Parity progression projection by Griffith Feeney reprinted from International Union for the Scientific Study of Population InternationalPopiulation Conference Florence 1985 vol 4 1985

191 A theory of marita fertility transition by Robert D Retherford reprinted from Popula tion Studies July 1985

192 Cultural variations in the transition to marriage in four Asian societies by Paul Cheung Josefina Cabigon Aphichat Chamratrithirong Peter F McDonald Sabila Syed Andrew Cherlin and Peter C Smith reprinted from International Union for the Scientific Study of Population InternationalPopulation Conference Florence 1985 vol 3 1985

193 Decision making and sex selection with biased technologies by Neil GBennett and Andrew Mason reprinted from Sex Selection of Children Neil G Bennett ed Academic Press Inc 1983

194 US farm migration An application of the Harris-Todaro model by Daniel B Suits reprinted from Economic Development and Cultural Chang vol 33 no 4 1985

195 Health of Hlmong in Thailand Risk factors morbidity and mortality in comparison with other ethnic groups by Peter Kunstadter reprinted from Culture Medicine and Psyshychiairy vol 9 no 4 1985

196 Evaluation of contraceptive history data in the Republic of Korea by Anne R Pebley Noreen Goldman and Minja Kim Choe reprinted from Stldies ii Family PlanningJanushyaryFebruary 1986

197 Circulation between home and other places Some propositions by Murray Chapman and R Mansell Prothem and Me go walkabout you too by Murray Chapman reprinted from Circulationin Population Mozement Substance and Concepts fion tie Melnesian Case Murray Chapman and R Maniell Prothero eds Routledge amp Kegan Paul 1985

198 Fijians and Indo-Fijians in Suva Rural-urban movements and linkages by Shashikant Nair reprinted from Circulationin PopulationMovement Substance and Concepts fron the Melanesian Case Murray Chapman and R Mansell Prothero eds Routledge amp Kegan Paul 1985

199 Linkages between internal and international migration The Ilocos Norte experience by Fred Arnold and Ricardo G Abad reprinted from PhilippinePopulationJournalJune 1985

200 An economic analysis of recent fertility in Japan by Naohiro Ogawa and Andrew Mason reprinted from linko Gaku Kenkyu vol 9 May 1986

201 Averting crisis in Asia by Lee-jay Cho reprinted from Bulletin of the Atonic Scientists vol 42 no 4 1986

202 Sex preference fertility and family planning in China by Fred Arnold and Liu Zhao xiang reprinted from lPpulation am Development Review vol 12 no 2 1986

203 The place of child-spacing as a factor in infant mortality A recursive model by Chai Bin Park reprinted from American Journalof Public Health vol 76 no 8 1986

204 Determinants of Korean birth intervals The confrontation of theory and data by Larry L Bumpass Ronald R Rindfuss and James A Palmore reprinted from Po)pulationStudies vol 40 no 3 1986