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Innovation, environmental policy and lock-in effects René Kemp Perspectives on the transition towards a greener economy Presentation at conference “Environmental and Energy Innovations in Economic Dynamics”, Rome, 21-22 May 2009
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Innovation, environmental policy and lock-in effects€¦ · 1 9 78 19 79 19 8 0 81 1 9 82 19 8 3 19 8 4 1 9 85 19 86 19 87 88 1 9 89 19 9 0 19 9 1 92 19 93 19 94 95 1 9 96 1 9 97

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Page 1: Innovation, environmental policy and lock-in effects€¦ · 1 9 78 19 79 19 8 0 81 1 9 82 19 8 3 19 8 4 1 9 85 19 86 19 87 88 1 9 89 19 9 0 19 9 1 92 19 93 19 94 95 1 9 96 1 9 97

Innovation, environmental policy and lock-in effects

René Kemp

Perspectives on the transition towards a greener economy

Presentation at conference “Environmental and Energy Innovations in Economic Dynamics”,

Rome, 21-22 May 2009

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Eco-innovation• In Europe the term environmental technology is

superseded by the broader concept of eco-innovationin recognition of the shifting attention to product change and changes in product chains.

• Eco-innovation is also the stated aim of government. It is part of the Sustainable development strategy and the economic growth strategy of the European Commission because of the assumption of offering a ‘double win’.

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What is eco-innovation?• Eco-innovation is a relative concept:

– More environmentally benign than relevant alternatives

– User perspective versus developer perspective– Innovative goods, services and systems are evolving

• It does not have to be environmentally motivated

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3 definitions of eco-innovation• “the production, application or exploitation of a good, service,

production process, organisational structure, or management or business method that is novel to the firm or user and which results, throughout its life cycle, in a reduction of environmental risk, pollution and the negative impacts of resources use (including energy use) compared to relevant alternatives”(MEI project)

• “the creation of novel and competitively priced goods, processes,systems, services, and procedures that can satisfy human needs and bring quality of life to all people with a life-cycle-wide minimal use of natural resources (materials including energy and surface area) per unit of output, and a minimal release of toxic resources”(Technopolis)

• “a change in economic activities that improves both the economic performance and the environmental performance”(ECO-DRIVE project).

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• The concept of eco-innovation has been wrongly restricted in policy debates to (technological) innovation in the environmental goods and services sector;

• Eco-innovation can and does occur in all economic sectors but the current set of indicators and data prevents a full and proper analysis of the phenomenon;(Reid and Miedzinski, 2008)

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Page 7: Innovation, environmental policy and lock-in effects€¦ · 1 9 78 19 79 19 8 0 81 1 9 82 19 8 3 19 8 4 1 9 85 19 86 19 87 88 1 9 89 19 9 0 19 9 1 92 19 93 19 94 95 1 9 96 1 9 97

radical change in processtechnology

incrementalprocesschange

NEW KNOWLEDGE

Obtained for example from public sector research or R&D by external suppliers

TYPES OF KNOWLEDGE DEPLOYED

Available within plant

EXISTING KNOW- LEDGE

Work group Company Suppliers and consumers All players in life cycle

ACTORS LOCAL

IN SUPPLY CHAIN SOCIETAL

improvedtechniques/

working practices

betterhousekeeping

internalrecycling

product chainmanagement

new productconcept

minor product change-

material substitution

external recycling

Source: Clayton , Anthony , Graham Spinardi and Robin Williams (1999), Policies for Cleaner Technology . A New Agenda for Government and Industry . Earthscan Publications Ltd ., London, p.273

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Cradle to cradle (C2C)

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Vehicle to Grid (V2G)

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Source: Market studies, expert interviews, Roland Berger Strategy Consultants, 2006

A market estimate

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The eco-innovation time line

Page 12: Innovation, environmental policy and lock-in effects€¦ · 1 9 78 19 79 19 8 0 81 1 9 82 19 8 3 19 8 4 1 9 85 19 86 19 87 88 1 9 89 19 9 0 19 9 1 92 19 93 19 94 95 1 9 96 1 9 97

Belgium

050

100150200250300350400

1996 1997 2002

Mill

ion

Euro

at 2

000

pric

es

Total PAC Investment

EOP investment

Austria

0

100

200

300

400

500

1997 1998 1999 2000 2001

Mill

ion

Euro

at 2

000

price

s

Total PAC Investment

EOP investment

Spain

0100200300400500600700800

1998 2001 2003 2004

Mill

ion

Euro

at 2

000

price

s

Total PAC Investment

EOP investment

Hungary

0

10000

20000

30000

40000

50000

60000

1997 1998 2001 2002

Mill

ion

Euro

at 2

000

price

s

Total PAC Investment

EOP investment

United Kingdom

0200400600800

100012001400

1994 1997 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003Mill

ion

Poun

ds S

terli

ng a

t 200

0 pr

ic

Total Investment

EOP investment

Poland

02000400060008000

100001200014000

1996 1999 2001 2002 2003 2004Mill

ion

New

Pol

ish Z

loty

s at 2

000

price

s

Total PAC Investment

EOP investment

Investments in pollution abatement expenditure (Total vs. EOP)Source: OECD

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13

Pollution abatement R&D shows a countervailing trend in the US

Pollution abatement and ordinary R&D spending by private businesses, 1972-1998

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

1972

1973

1974

1975

1976

1977

1978

1979

1980

1981

1982

1983

1984

1985

1986

1987

1988

1989

1990

1991

1992

1993

1994

1995

1996

1997

1998

Ord

inar

y R

&D

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

140,000

160,000

Pollu

tion

abat

emen

t R&

D

Private business PARD (all types)Private business PARD (air)Private business ORD

Source: David Grover

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Countries have multiple policies for innovation:

- Support of R&D- Knowledge transfer- Investment support- Green taxes- Science and technology

programmes- Skills and educational

policies- Competition policy- Regulations to diffuse

environmental technologies- ..

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Government policy and sustainable innovation in the Netherlands

Energypolicy

Environment policy

Innovation policy

1980 1990 20001970 2006

WVO Wet Milieubeheer

MVT

StiMT ProMT

PBTS Env Tech

WBSO InStir

M&T

BTS TSISEET

Science policy IOP

STW

Twinning

BioPartnerDreamstart

Techno-Partner

LTI-programme

Transition policy

BSE EOSVarious specificEnergy programmes

Integrated InnovationPolicy

Knowledge in ActionEconomy and environment

Environmental technology policy note

NOH/EWAB

Innovation policy note

Green Investment FundsVAMIL

EIA/MIA

DTO

Courtesy of Geert van der Veen

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Source: Reid and Miedzinski (2008)

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Long term programming

Energypolicy

Environment policy

Innovation policy

1980 1990 20001970 2006

WVO Wet Milieubeheer

MVT

StiMT ProMT

PBTS Env Tech

WBSO InStir

M&T

BTS TSISEET

Science policy IOP

STW

Twinning

BioPartnerDreamstart

Techno-Partner

LTI-programme

Transition policy

BSE EOSVarious specificEnergy programmes

Integrated InnovationPolicy

Knowledge in ActionEconomy and environment

Environmental technology policy note

NOH/EWAB

Innovation policy note

Green Investment FundsVAMIL

EIA/MIA

DTO

Courtesy of Geert van der Veen

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The Dutch transition approach for energy

• Goals– -50% CO2 in 2050 in a growing economy– An increase in the rate of energy saving to 1.5- 2% a year– The energy system getting progressively more sustainable– The creation of new business

• Means– Government process manager; interdepartmental directorate– 7 transition platforms– 35 transition paths– (Specific subsidy scheme to support) Experiments– Challengers helpdesk

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Official transition platforms

Green resources

Sustainable mobility

Sustainable electricity supply

New gas

Built environment

Chain efficiency

Energy producinggreenhouse

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Selected transition paths

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Platform new gas• One of 7 platforms• Goal: to become the most sustainable gas country in the

world• 4 transition paths:

– Decentralized electricity production (micro cogeneration)

– Energy efficient greenhouse– Green gas hydrogen– Clean fossil fuels

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Bottom-up elements• Business alliances (sometimes with NGO’s)• Transition-experiments• Identification of barriers / opportunities informing

private action and policy

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Energy producing greenhouse

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Carbon capture and storage

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The philosophy behind TM: Perspektivischer Inkrementalismus

(a guided form of evolutionary change)

• The use of multiple visions (because visions create better world together rather than apart)

• The use of experimental learning• Adaptive portfolios• Policy oriented towards transitions• Government as a facilitator of change and partner

of business

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The role for science and research

• Creating technological innovations• Sustainability assessment of

innovations and alternative systems• Foresight analysis• Evaluating the science and research

system: is it contributing to system improvement or system innovation?

• Study the politics of sustainable innovation

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Evaluating the science and research system(suggestion of Andy Stirling)

How much money is spend is for technical research of which the sustainability is– Highly contested (biofuels, nuclear, CCS,

pesticides, etc.)– Weakly contested (automotive batteries, fuel

cells, ..)– Not contested (solar PV, CSP, ..)

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3 types of lock-in• Sectors are locked into particular technologies,

which lead companies to focus their attention to (non-disruptive) incremental innovation

• Policy is locked into fragmented approaches which somehow have to be aligned to SD goals

• Societies are locked into energy sources and combustion technologies, patterns of consumption that are material intensive and produce large amounts greenhouse gasses (Carbon lock-in)

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A re-evaluation of pickingwinners policies

Picking winners processes are useful for discussing pros and cons of technology optionsWhich should not be used to make technology choices in a centralised manner but should help to guide research into directions where improvement is needed for reasons of sustainability ( like safer forms of nuclear energy)With clear rules for deciding on portfolios and support which is provisional and adaptive

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• System innovation presents a difficult issue for policy as it involves substantive risky investments, conflicts between emergent and incumbent actors and reconfiguring the traditional sectoral and policy boundaries (Steward, 2008)

• At present neither innovation policy nor sustainability policy are configured to allow a serious pursuit of transformative innovation

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• President Obama has called for support for transformation technologies

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