Information Technology and Information Technology and Infrastructure: Infrastructure: Benefits, Costs, and Dependencies Benefits, Costs, and Dependencies MIRIAM HELLER, Ph.D. NATO SCIENCE PROGRAMME in conjunction with the Carnegie Bosch Institute ADVANCED RESEARCH WORKSHOP Life Cycle Analysis for Assessing Energy and Environmental Implications of Information Technology Budapest, Hungary September 2, 2003
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Information Technology and Infrastructure: Benefits, Costs, and Dependencies
MIRIAM HELLER, Ph.D. NATO SCIENCE PROGRAMME in conjunction with the Carnegie Bosch Institute ADVANCED RESEARCH WORKSHOP Life Cycle Analysis for Assessing Energy and Environmental Implications of Information Technology Budapest, Hungary September 2, 2003. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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Information Technology and Infrastructure:Information Technology and Infrastructure: Benefits, Costs, and Dependencies Benefits, Costs, and Dependencies
MIRIAM HELLER, Ph.D.
NATO SCIENCE PROGRAMMEin conjunction with the
Carnegie Bosch Institute
ADVANCED RESEARCH WORKSHOP Life Cycle Analysis for Assessing Energy and
Environmental Implications of Information TechnologyBudapest, HungarySeptember 2, 2003
ICT Confers Benefits To Infrastructure Systems; (Avoided) Costs May Be Easier to Quantify
Infrastructure Systems Differ from Other Manufacturing and Service Systems
Infrastructure Dependencies May Give Way to Indirect Environmental and Energy Consequences, Which Could Figure Into Life Cycle Cost/Benefit Analysis of ICT and Infrastructure System Planning and Management
Infrastructure Systems: Some ReflectionsInfrastructure Systems: Some Reflections
Differ from Manufacturing Systems– Provide critical services / lifelines– Geographically distributed– One-offs with many degrees of freedom– Highly interconnected – Subject to uncertain and uncontrollable ambient
conditions Life-Cycle Modeling Differences
– Uncertainty• High consequence / low probability events vs. slow
consequence / high probability events• Life-span definition (whole-life)
Random networks, generated by randomly connecting a new node with an existing node, have on average, the same number of connections per node, e.g., National Highway System (Barabási, 2002). Distribution of nodes connections is normal.
Scale-free networks (WWW, air traffic
routes, social networks) arise when new nodes connect preferentially to already well-connected nodes. Most nodes have few connections: a few nodes are heavily connected hubs. Distribution of nodes connections follows a power law.
Science of Engineered Networks:Science of Engineered Networks:DependenciesDependencies
ICT Impacts Infrastructure SystemsICT Impacts Infrastructure SystemsExample: 2001 California Power CrisisExample: 2001 California Power Crisis
Disrupted fuel production, refining, and distribution, sometimes cut off fuel supplies to the very plants that should have been generating their electricity
Interrupted water distribution affected the state's agribusiness
Soaring wholesale power prices impacts rippled through the region, leading to relaxation of salmon-protection and air-quality regulations and shutdown of aluminum mills in Washington state. Idaho farmers curtailed potato production to exploit Idaho Power Company's electricity buy-back program
ICT Benefits for Water/Wastewater SystemsICT Benefits for Water/Wastewater Systems
Time
Performanceand
Efficiency
Baseline from Core UtilityProcesses
(Adapted from Heller et al.,1999)
SharedObjectives
Utility Business Architecture
UtilityUtilityIntegration/ Optimization
Shared Data
Utility Communications Architecture
PlantPlantIntegration/Interoperability
Automated Monitoring, Sensing, Data Acquisition
ProcessProcessControl /Supervision
Process Level IT (SCADA, GIS, EMS, CIS, MMS, LIMS, hydraulic, water quality, and distribution network models Reduced Chemical and Energy Consumption, Lower Operating Costs, Improved Regulatory Compliance, Higher Reliability, and Improved Customer Service, Inventory Control, and Maintenance Management
Harnassing Complexity through Shared ResourcesHarnassing Complexity through Shared ResourcesEnergy and Water Quality Management Systems (Jentgen, 2001)Energy and Water Quality Management Systems (Jentgen, 2001)
System Scheduler:System Scheduler:Surface Water Treatment PlantSurface Water Treatment PlantPump StationsPump StationsDistributionDistributionCustomerCustomerCollectionCollectionWastewater TreatmentWastewater Treatment
System Scheduler:System Scheduler:Surface Water Treatment PlantSurface Water Treatment PlantPump StationsPump StationsDistributionDistributionCustomerCustomerCollectionCollectionWastewater TreatmentWastewater Treatment
State of Oil and Gas Infrastructure SystemsState of Oil and Gas Infrastructure Systems
Size– Ports, Refineries, Transportation– 2,000 Petroleum Terminals– Almost 1 Million Wells– 2,000,000 Miles of Oil Pipelines– 1,300,000 Miles of Gas Pipelines and Increasing
Operations– Pipeline and Distribution System
• Leak Detection• Monitoring and Control Systems• More Efficient Use of Existing Pipe• Aging
Coupled Economic Models on Natural Gas and Electric Power
State of the Electric Power GridState of the Electric Power Grid
Operations– 8/15/03 blackout affected > 20
millions of people, water supply, wastewater conveyance, transportation, communications, hospitals, banking, and retail sales• ICT safety equipment tripped to protect power plants and contain the outage causing
cascading failures• 9 nuclear power plants automatically powered down safely
– EPRI : $1.5 billion for July-Aug 1996 power blackouts
– CEIDS : $119 billion / year in power quality disruptions
Potential ICT Benefits for Electric PowerPotential ICT Benefits for Electric Power EPRI/DoD Complex Interactive Networks Initiative
Goal: Develop tools that enable secure, robust and reliable operation of interdependent infrastructures with distributed intelligence and self-healing abilities
Systems’ approach to complex networks: advancing mathematical and system-theoretic foundations
– Target theoretical and applied results for increased dynamic network reliability and efficiency
– Identify, characterize, and quantify failure mechanisms
– Understand interdependencies, coupling and cascading
– Develop predictive models
– Develop prescriptive procedures and control strategies for mitigation or/and elimination of failures
““The best minds in electricity R&D The best minds in electricity R&D have a plan: have a plan: Every node in the Every node in the power network of the future will be power network of the future will be awake, responsive, adaptive, price-awake, responsive, adaptive, price-smart, eco-sensitive, real-time, smart, eco-sensitive, real-time, flexible, humming - and flexible, humming - and interconnected with everything interconnected with everything elseelse.”.” —Wired Magazine, July 2001http://www.wired.com/wired/archive/9.07/juice.html
The Energy Web: The Energy Web: “…a network of technologies and services that provide illumination…”
Allocation problem over various investment options, over various stages of development (R&D, development, implementation) over time with risk/uncertainty
What CyberInfrastructure MeansWhat CyberInfrastructure Means Infrastructure that enables distributed, reliable, real-
time collaboration and analysis requiring large-scale, dynamic information storage and access
Examples of components to be integrated:– Major computational processing capabilities– Unique experimental facilities– High-speed networks– Tele-participation and tele-operation tools– Networks of data collection devices– Data/metadata storage and curation– Data analysis and information extraction tools– Universal access