Information, Knowledge and Wisdom in the 21st Century

Dennis Pamlin

Kommunikation i en sammankopplad värld i förhållande till transformerande förändring

Dennis Pamlin, Director, UN Global Compact, and WWF Consultant, Senior associate at CASS (Chinese Academy of Social Sciences)

Information, Knowledge and Wisdom in the 21st Century:

Transformative Transparency and Mobile Connectivity, Implications when e-Learning Becomes the Main Way of Learning…

All this in 30 min…

Innovation for the planet

Converging trends and emerging opportunities (>16 converging trends)

Geopolitical shifts Accelerated technological development Growing ecological footprint/Need for fertile soil Climate change/Increased-decreased use of fossil fuel Increased Toxic chemicals/Endocrine disrupters Growing population (appx 50% more people in 2050 than now)

Aging population (China will have more older adults than the population of the US in 2050)

Pandemics Antibiotic resistance Gender imbalance Urbanisation (2008 first time in history with more people in cities… 75% by 2050)

Terrorism Shifting ethical boundaries Decentralised production/ Glocalisation Changing income distribution Transformative transparency

16! 20,922,789,888,000

20 trillion, 922 billion, 789 million, 888 thousand


1. Growing need for natural resources => War and trade conflicts & accelerated uptake of new solutions

2. Aging population => Pressure on/collapse of financial systems & more long-term thinking

3. Emerging countries grow stronger => New values and structures

4. Rapid technology development and convergence => Accelerate trends and contribute to thresholds

5. Transformative transparency & connectivityNew ethics and possibility to create networks


The end of many exponential trends (due to physical limits)


…the birth of many new exponential trends


What are we looking at?One planet many worlds



3. The world - What is happening?

3. The world - What is happening?

“The day is not far off when the economic problem will take the back seat where it belongs, and that the arena of the heart and head will be occupied . . . by our real problems - the problems of life and of human relations, of creation and behaviour and religion.”

Keynes, J.M., foreword to Essays in Persuasion, 1931


15 June 2011 1.9 overweight More than 1.9 billion people worldwide were overweight in 2010, a 25 percent increase since 2002

The trend over the last decade toward heavier populations cuts across regions and income levels. In India, 19 percent of adults are overweight, up from 14 percent in 2002. In Mexico, the figure has risen by 8 percentage points since 2002, while Brazil’s is up by 7 points and the rate in the U.K. is up by 5 points. East Asia has seen a 4 point increase over the period. The United States leads all industrialized countries with 78.6 percent of the adult population overweight, although Micronesia and Polynesia top all countries. There, nearly 88 percent of the over-15 population is overweight.

http://www.worldwatch.org/nearly-two-billion-people-worldwide-now-overweight-0


14 September 2010 925 million in chronic hunger worldwidea child dying every six seconds because of undernourishment

• Two thirds of the world's undernourished live in just seven countries — Bangladesh, China, the Democratic Republic of Congo, Ethiopia, India, Indonesia and Pakistan.

• The region with the most undernourished people continues to be Asia and the Pacific with 578 million.

• The proportion of undernourished people remains highest in sub-Saharan Africa at 30 percent in 2010, or 239 million.

http://www.fao.org/news/story/en/item/45210/icode/


1000=> The colapse of the Roman empire (economist)

1700-talet Enlightenment (mechanic science)

1850 Industialism (more and bigger is better)

1944 Bretton Woods (one global and GDP focused economy)

New ideas needed- but how deep are the roots of the current?


THREE THINGS CHANGINGeducation as we know it


1. Few understand why ICT is so important right nowA connected society is emerging and the opportunities revolutionary

1771-The industrial revolution

1829-Steam, coal, iron & railways

1875-Steel & heavy engineering

1908-Automobile, oil, mass production

1971-IT & telecommunication Source: Professor Carlota Perez, Universities of Cambridge,

Tallinn and Sussex

Two different periods of each technological revolution

Time

INSTALLATION DEPLOYMENT

Turningpoint

20-30 years

More efficiently solving old problems - winners among old

players

Applying paradigm to innovate across society

– new winners


2. The 21st century infrastructure: The internet of thingsAn infrastructure connecting not only people, but things (>50 billions 2020)


=> Global citizens and story chains/context

illustration: A global map of scientific collaboration between researchers, published 23rd of February 2011 by Olivier H. Beauchesne http://olihb.com/2011/01/23/map-of-scientific-collaboration-between-researchers/


3. Augmented reality and new tools for “prosumers”Trust/networks and data/presentation the most valuable assets


=> Transformative transparency and more focus on directing development


Ideas that might inspire


1. 9 billion solutions (beyond incremental improvments)What are the solutions that 9 billion people can use?


2. Diversity without “Cyberbalkanization” How do we encourage diversity without generating gaps in society?

The long-tail


3. Creation of creative networksWho sets the framework for “A person who liked this also liked this is…”


4. Smart interfacesEncourage interfaces that everyone can use


Is the mobile app the nextinternal combustion engine?


Human

Investor

Parent

Consumer

Employee

EntrepreneurDesigner

House owner

Voter

Networker

A unique interface


Examples from the 21st Century Office app


Examples from the 21st Century Office app 1. Calculate


Examples from the 21st Century Office app 2. Illustrate


Examples from the 21st Century Office app 3. Invest


Examples from the 21st Century Office app 4. Inform


Examples from the 21st Century Office app 5. Rank


Examples from the 21st Century Office app 6. Collect


Examples from the 21st Century Office app 8. Interact

Comment


Examples from the 21st Century Office app 7. Connect clusters


A new world is emerging

http://transformative-applications.net/


Three final thoughts1. Encourage depth by celebrating deep narratives2. Embrace complexity and uncertainty that delivers3. Support the X-factor (5-10%)


Become agenda settersPlease!


Sustainable development谢谢 !

www.pamlin.net


Long-term GDP trendsGoldman Sachs

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EU-4Dreaming With BRICs: The Path to 2050 (Goldman Sachs)

http://www.gs.com/insight/research/reports/report6.html http://www2.goldmansachs.com/ideas/brics/brics-dream.html, October 2003

http://www.gs.com/insight/research/reports/report6.html



Information, Knowledge and Wisdom in the 21st Century

Education

new exponential trends

adult population overweight

new ideas

percent increase

new tools

new values

percent of adults

aging population china