Informatik Formalising the interpretation view of social interactions Frontiers of Complexity Science and Social Science Klaus G. Troitzsch Universität Koblenz-Landau, Germany 1 17/06/22 World Social Science Forum, Bergen, Norway, May 12, 2009
Mar 31, 2015
Informatik
Formalising the interpretation view of social interactionsFrontiers of Complexity Science and Social Science
Klaus G. TroitzschUniversität Koblenz-Landau, Germany
111/04/23 World Social Science Forum, Bergen, Norway, May 12, 2009
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Informatik
Complex systemsPhysical systems consist of
Living systems consist of
Human social systems consist of
particles which• obey natural laws• interact only in a
few different modes
• have no roles
• are not conscious of their interactions
• do not communicate
living things which• are partly
autonomous• interact in several
different modes• can play different
roles
• are only partly conscious of their roles and interactions (but not all are at all)
• communicate only in a very restricted manner (and never about counterfactuals)
human actors which• are autonomous• interact in
numerous different modes
• take on different roles even at the same time
• are conscious of their interactions and roles
• communicate in symbolic languages even about the counterfactual
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Informatik
Fields and forces
Physical particles interact with
Living things interact with
Human actors interact with
• the help of (a small number of different) forces
• fields which can change due to the movements of particles
• chemical substances and their concentration gradients
• by sounds (halfway symbolic, very restricted lexicon)
• by observing each other and predicting next moves
• by sounds and graphical symbols (symbolic, unrestricted lexicon, also referring to absent or non-existing things, e.g. unicorns and angels)
• by observing each other, predicting next moves and deriving regularities from what they observed (but they can also learn about regularities from others)
11/04/23 World Social Science Forum, Bergen, Norway, May 12, 2009
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Informatik
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Systems of systems
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b
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11/04/23 Klaus G. Troitzsch: Complex Systems Simulation in Sociology
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Informatik
Micro and macro level• “sociological phenomena penetrate into us by
force or at the very least by bearing down more or less heavily upon us” [Durckheim 1895]
macro cause
micro cause micro effect
macro effect
“downwardcausation”
“upwardcausation”
[Coleman 1990]
• both interpretations can be applied to physical systems
o macro cause = field, o “downward causation” = force, o micro effect = movement, o “upward causation” = field change
social systemso macro cause = “social field”, social norms, o “downward causation” = immergence, o micro effect = norm adoption, o “upward causation” = norm innovation
11/04/23 World Social Science Forum, Bergen, Norway, May 12, 2009
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Informatik
Micro and macro level• “sociological phenomena penetrate into us by
force or at the very least by bearing down more or less heavily upon us” [Durckheim 1895]
macro cause
micro cause micro effect
macro effect
“downwardcausation”
“upwardcausation”
[Coleman 1990]
• but the difference is
in physical systemso the effect of the “downward causation” is transitory, as is
the effect of the “upward causation” as there is usually no memory on either level
in social systemso the effect of the “downward causation” lasts for a long
time, it changes the state of the micro entity forever (extreme path dependence of the behaviour of humans and human systems!), as it is stored symbolically in his or her memory, and the effect of the “upward causation” also lasts for a long time, as there is a long-term memory in society (folklore, libraries, codes of law …) – and this is why we sometimse observe that “the force of law is superior to the law of force” [Pierre Saré in the opening ceremony]
11/04/23 World Social Science Forum, Bergen, Norway, May 12, 2009
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Informatik
Interactions
• the pheromone metaphor (chemical substances whose concentration gradient is observed and reacted to)
• the telepathy metaphor (agents read other agents’ memories directly)
• the message metaphor (messages do not necessarily express the “objective” internal state of the sender agent)
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Informatik
Message metaphor
• Software agents in simulations of economic or social processes should be able to exchange messages that hide or counterfeit their internal states.
• Agents need a language or symbol system for communicating.
• Symbol systems have to refer to the components of agents’ environments and to the actions agents can perform.
11/04/23 World Social Science Forum, Bergen, Norway, May 12, 2009
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Informatik
(not only B, but others, too, abstain from smoking, not only in the presence of A, but also on other occasions.)
(not only B, but others, too, abstain from crossing streets,not only in the presence of A’s car, but in most other cases.)
Immergence and second-order emergence• norm-invocation messages • motivate individual agents to change the
rules controlling their actions• if this happens often enough, “sociological phenomena
penetrate into us by force or at the very least by bearing down more or less heavily upon us” [Durckheim 1895]
• and as a consequence, these norm invocations – and the resulting behaviour – occur more and more often and become a “sociological phenomenon”
11/04/23 World Social Science Forum, Bergen, Norway, May 12, 2009
A: “I don’t like your smoking here,
B!”(B abstains from smoking in the presence of A.)
… and we have programmed something much like this in an agent-based simulation system!
A: You must not cross the streetwhen I am approaching in my car, B!
(B abstains from crossingthe street when A is approachingwith her car.)
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Informatik
CSS and policy modelling
• Agent-based modelling can also be applied to less simple scenarios:– emergence of loyalties within criminal
organisations and collusion between criminals and their victims: the example of extortion rackets
– emergence of practices in microfinance– spontaneous formation of teams according
to the skills of individual members– emergence of trust in online transactions
between sellers, intermediaries and buyers11/04/23 World Social Science Forum, Bergen, Norway, May 12, 2009
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Informatik
Can computational social science contribute to a better understanding of complex social systems?• CSS will first teach us to be modest in
our promises: the complexity of our current models is still humble as compared with the complexity of real-world social systems.
• Compared to equation-based and particle-based modelling, agent-based modelling as a tool for CSS has a better chance to progress beyond the limits of our current scientific understanding.
11/04/23 World Social Science Forum, Bergen, Norway, May 12, 2009
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Informatik
Thanks for your attention!
11/04/23 World Social Science Forum, Bergen, Norway, May 12, 2009