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info.kdia.org/mail/itdisplay/20140211/chinaDisplay.pdf · 2014-02-11 · Government drives

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Page 1: <4D6963726F736F667420506F776572506F696E74202D20C1DFB1B9C1A6B8F1205BC8A3C8AF20B8F0B5E55D>info.kdia.org/mail/itdisplay/20140211/chinaDisplay.pdf · 2014-02-11 · Government drives
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ihs.com

IHS

© 2013 IHS

Presentation

중국 디스플레이 산업 현황January 2014

박 진 한, Director, [email protected]

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© 2013 IHS

Government drives Display Industry Localization

2007

11th 5-Year Plan

FPD industry

as a first task

2009

Readjustment

& Development

Plan of

Electronic

Information

Industry

2010

12th 5-Year Plan

FPD industry

into 7 Strategic

emerging

industries

2011

Central

Economic

Conference

listed FPD as a

priority of industry structure upgrade

2012

12th 5-Year Plan

80% localization of FPD TV

2013~

New Material

Industry 12th 5

development

plan

material

localization target

of 60%

17

China Government’s Policy and Strategy

Advanced TFT technology (incl. Oxide TFT)Higher Resolution Products(over 400 PPI IT Products & UHD TV)Touch (On-Cell / In-Cell)Transparent displayDID with Narrow bezel

Advanced TFT LCD Development

Simple structureWide Color Gamut, Brightness, Outdoor VisibilityLow Power ConsumptionFlexible Manufacturing Process andFlexible Display Products

Fast Development of AMOLED

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© 2013 IHS

China LCD Makers' Market Share

18

(Source: IHS, LCD Market Tracker)

0%

10%

20%

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

TV

Source: IHS

0%

10%

20%

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

LCD Monitor

Source: IHS

0%

10%

20%

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

Notebook

Source: IHS

0%

10%

20%

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

Tablet

Source: IHS

19%

6%

15%12%

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© 2013 IHS

Chinese Local Brands lead TV Market

17.0% 18.6% 20.8%China, 21.5%

14%15%

15%Asia Pacific,

15%

10% 11% 12%

Latin America, 13%

17%17% 17%

North America, 17%

19% 17% 16%Western

Europe, 15%

0.0%

10.0%

20.0%

30.0%

40.0%

50.0%

60.0%

70.0%

80.0%

90.0%

100.0%

2010

2011

2012

2013(e)

China Asia Pacific

Eastern Europe Japan

Latin America Middle East and Africa

North America Western Europe

Worldwide TV Set Demand by Region

© 2013 IHS Source: IHS

1.4%

5.2%

0.0%

1.0%

2.0%

3.0%

4.0%

5.0%

6.0%

WW Total China Top 6

Graph title

Source: IHS © 2013 IHS

Graph title Graph title UHD TV Portion (in TV panel purchasing, Q3-2013)

21.8%

28.7%

0.0%5.0%

10.0%15.0%20.0%25.0%30.0%35.0%

WW Total China Top 6

Graph title

Source: IHS © 2013 IHS

Graph title Graph title 3D TV Portion (in TV panel purchasing, Q3-2013)

19

67.3% 66.8%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

2012 2013

Graph title

Source: IHS © 2013 IHS

Graph title Graph title China Top 6 Brands’ Share in National Holiday Sales

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© 2013 IHS

Chinese Panel Makers focus on high-end products

100% 99%96% 93%

87% 86%82% 80%

1%4% 7%

13% 14%18% 20%

50%

55%

60%

65%

70%

75%

80%

85%

90%

95%

100%

Q1-12

Q2-12

Q3-12

Q4-12

Q1-13

Q2-13

Q3-13

Q4-13(e)

32-inch & Under Over 32-inch

Graph title

© 2013 IHS Source: IHS

China Panel Makers’ TV Panel Shipment by Size by Area

© 2013 IHS Source: IHS

14% 12% 16% 17% 19% 22%29% 31%

35% 44% 40% 37%43% 33%

29% 28%

51%44% 44% 46%

39% 44% 42% 40%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Q1-12

Q2-12

Q3-12

Q4-12

Q1-13

Q2-13

Q3-13

Q4-13(e)

Global 1st & 2nd Tiers Others China Top 6

Graph title

© 2013 IHS Source: IHS

China Panel Makers’ TV Customer Mix by Unit

© 2013 IHS Source: IHS

20

China Large LCD Fab with Advanced Technology

Technology Company Gen Location Mass Production

Oxide, a-Si BOE Gen8 Hefei 2014

Oxide BOE Gen8 Hefei (2nd) 2015

Oxide, a-Si, Touch BOE Gen8 Chongqing 2015

LTPS CSOT Gen6 Shenzhen 2015

Oxide, AMOLED, a-Si CSOT Gen8 Shenzhen 2015

Oxide, a-Si CEC Panda Gen8+Gen10 Nanjing 2015

Source: IHS © 2013 IHS

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© 2013 IHS

Aggressive LCD Fab Investment in China

21

HefeiMP:2014, Gen:8Capacity: 90K

Hefei(2nd)MP:2015, Gen:8

Capacity: 90K(e)

ChongqingMP:2015, Gen:8Capacity: 90K(e)

ShenzhenMP:2015, Gen:6Capacity: 30K(e)

ShenzhenMP:2015, Gen:8

Capacity: 100K(e)

NanjingMP:2015,Gen:8/10

Capacity: 60K(e)

SuzhouMP:2013, Gen:8Capacity: 90K

GuangzhouMP:2014, Gen:8Capacity: 90K

14.1

19.2

27.4

38.2

50.6 55.2

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

Mil. sqm

Net Supply Capacity in China

Source: IHS © 2013 IHS

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© 2013 IHS

Next Target: Materials and Components Localization

22

Set Brands

Panel Makers

Materials & Components

<Localization Status*>

- BLU: 47%

- Glass: 1%

- Liquid Crystal: 2%

- Color Filter: 0%

- Polarizer: 0%

Established Developing Next Target

*Source:China Overseas Development Association

(2013, May)

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© 2013 IHS

Long-term Supply and Demand Forecast

0.0%

5.0%

10.0%

15.0%

20.0%

25.0%

30.0%

35.0%

40.0%

Q1-12

Q2-12

Q3-12

Q4-12

Q1-13

Q2-13

Q3-13

Q4-13

Q1-14

Q2-14

Q3-14

Q4-14

Q1-15

Q2-15

Q3-15

Q4-15

Q1-16

Q2-16

Q3-16

Q4-16

Q1-17

Q2-17

Q3-17

Q4-17

Glut(%)/Capa Linear (Glut(%)/Capa)

Glut Ratio (Large LCD Panel)

© 2013 IHS Source: IHS

23

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© 2013 IHS

Korea Panel Makers’ Shipment Forecast by Fab Location

22,698 22,487

2,906

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000 2013

2014

Ksqm

TV Panel from Korea Fab TV Panel from China Fab

Samsung Display’s TV Panel Production by Fab Location

Source: IHS © 2013 IHS

Condition- Utilization Rate of China Fabs : 100%- Volume of Production = Shipment- YoY of TV Panel Shipment Area : Samsung Display +11.9%, LG Display +4.9%

24

Total : 25,393 ksqm

24,026 23,867

1,340

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

2013

2014

Ksqm

TV Panel from Korea Fab TV Panel from China Fab

LG Display’s TV Panel Production by Fab Location

Source: IHS © 2013 IHS

Total : 25,207 ksqm

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© 2013 IHS

Korean Panel Makers’ Customer Mix

15%12%

9%

55% 62% 66%

8%

9% 6%

22%16% 18%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

2011

2012

2013(e)

China Top 6 Global 1st Tiers Global 2nd Tiers Others

Samsung Display’s TV Panel Shipment by Customer Group

Source: IHS © 2013 IHS

25

*Global 1st Tiers: Samsung, LGE, Sony *Global 2nd Tiers: Panasonic, Philips, Sanyo, Sharp, Toshiba, Vizio *China Top 6: Changhong, Haier, Hisense, Konka, Skyworth, TCL

18% 19% 16%

34%

43% 51%

29%

22% 14%

18% 16%20%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

2011

2012

2013(e)

China Top 6 Global 1st Tiers Global 2nd Tiers Others

LG Display’s TV Panel Shipment by Customer Group

Source: IHS © 2013 IHS

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IHS Customer Care, +1 800 447 2273, +44 (0) 1344 328 300, [email protected]

For further information, please contact

© 2013 IHS. No portion of this presentation may be reproduced, reused, or otherwise distributed in any form without prior written consent, with the exception of any internal client distribution as may be permitted in the license agreement between client andIHS. Content reproduced or redistributed with IHS permission must display IHS legal notices and attributions of authorship. The information contained herein is from sources considered reliable but its accuracy and completeness are not warranted, nor arethe opinions and analyses which are based upon it, and to the extent permitted by law, IHS shall not be liable for any errors or omissions or any loss, damage or expense incurred by reliance on information or any statement contained herein. For moreinformation, please contact IHS at [email protected], +1 800 IHS CARE (from North American locations), or +44 (0) 1344 328 300 (from outside North America). All products, company names or other marks appearing in this publication are thetrademarks and property of IHS or their respective owners.

IHS Customer Care, +1 800 447 2273, +44 (0) 1344 328 300, [email protected]

For further information, please contact

© 2013 IHS. No portion of this presentation may be reproduced, reused, or otherwise distributed in any form without prior written consent, with the exception of any internal client distribution as may be permitted in the license agreement between client andIHS. Content reproduced or redistributed with IHS permission must display IHS legal notices and attributions of authorship. The information contained herein is from sources considered reliable but its accuracy and completeness are not warranted, nor arethe opinions and analyses which are based upon it, and to the extent permitted by law, IHS shall not be liable for any errors or omissions or any loss, damage or expense incurred by reliance on information or any statement contained herein. For moreinformation, please contact IHS at [email protected], +1 800 IHS CARE (from North American locations), or +44 (0) 1344 328 300 (from outside North America). All products, company names or other marks appearing in this publication are thetrademarks and property of IHS or their respective owners.

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