Indonesian Energy Overview Beijing, 2007. Outline Indonesia: A Brief Introduction Energy Demand & Supply Current National Energy Policies and Plans.

Indonesian Energy Overview

Beijing, 2007

Outline

Indonesia: A Brief Introduction Energy Demand & Supply Current National Energy Policies and

Plans Issues on Energy and the

Environment Nuclear Development Status

Indonesia: A Brief Introduction

Sumatra

Java

Kalimantan

Sulawesi

Papua

Maluku

Nusa Tenggara

Indonesia Energy Supply (1)

Oil Reserves(As of January 1st, 2006)

Source: DGOG, 2007

Sumatra

Java

Kalimantan

Sulawesi

Papua

Maluku

Nusa Tenggara

114

141

4,692

54

Natuna

875

720

947

61

986

23

69

97

149

Proven : 4,370 MMSTBPotential : 4,558 MMSTBTotal : 8,929 MMSTB

Indonesia Energy Supply (2)

Source: DGOG, 2007

Gas Reserves(As of January 1st, 2006)

Sumatra

Java

Kalimantan

Sulawesi

Papua

Maluku

Nusa Tenggara

4.57

1.38

7.83

53.57

Natuna

24.30

6.04

6.20

6.30

2.37

45.40

0.79

3.92

0.006

24.47

Proven : 93.95 TSCFPotential : 93.14 TSCFTotal : 187.09 TSCF

Indonesia Energy Supply (3)

Coal Reserves(As of January 1st, 2006)

Sumatra

Java

Kalimantan

Sulawesi

Papua

Maluku

Nusa Tenggara

4,809

4,671

Proven : 5,300 Million tonPotential : 4,180 Million tonTotal : 9,480 Million ton

Non-Fossil Resources

Types ResourcesEquivalent

ValueExisting

Utilization

Hydro 845.00 juta BOE 75.67 GW 4.2 GW

Geothermal 219.00 juta BOE 27.00 GW 0.8 GW

Mini/Micro Hydro 0.45 GW 0.45 GW 0.084 GW

Biomass 49.81 GW 49.81 GW 0.3 GW

Solar - 4.80 kWh/m2/day 0.008 GW

Wind 9.29 GW 9.29 GW 0.0005 GW

Uranium24.112 ton* e.q. 3 GW for 11 years

- -

* Resources only exist in Kalan region – West Kalimantan

Source: Presentaion of MEMR, 2007

Uranium Resource Potentials

Oil Supply & Demand

200

250

300

350

400

450

1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

(Mill

ion

BO

E)

Supply Demand

Natural Gas Supply & Demand

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

550

600

1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

(Mil

lio

n B

OE

)

Supply Demand

Coal Supply & Demand

0

50

100

150

200

250

1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

(Mil

lio

n B

OE

)

Supply Demand

Indonesia Energy Demand: Final byTypes

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1,000

1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

(Mill

ion

BO

E)

Coal Oil Fuels Natural Gas Electricity LPG Biomass

Indonesia Energy Demand: Final by Sector

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1,000

1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

(Mill

ion

BO

E)

Industry Households & Commercial Transportation Others

Final Energy Supply & Demand

Electricity Oil Refineries Natural gas transmission &

distribution

Electricity Supply & Demand

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

Ele

ctr

icit

y C

ap

aci

ty (

MW

)

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

Ele

ctr

icit

y C

on

su

mp

tio

n (

TW

h)

Capacity Consumption

Oil Fuels Supply & Demand

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

(Mil

lio

n B

OE

)

Production Import Consumption

Oil Refineries & Transportation

Natural Gas Infrastructure

Sumatra

Java

Kalimantan

Sulawesi

Papua

Maluku

Nusa Tenggara

LNG Plant

LNG Plant (under construction)

Natuna

Trans ASEAN Power Grid

Trans ASEAN Gas Pipeline

National Energy PoliciesTypes Policy Paper Laws Road Map / Blueprints Other References

EnergyNational Energy Policy(Presidential Decree

5/2006)

Law 30/2007 on Energy10 August 2007

Blueprint of National Energy Industry 2005*

CoalNational Coal Policy

(MEMR Decree 1128/2004)

Draft Law on Mineral and Coal

Roadmap for Coal and Mineral

Presidential Instruction 2/2006 on Coal Liquefaction as Alternative Fuel

UpstreamDownstream

Natural Gas

Blueprint of Development and

Utilization of National Natural Gas

Roadmap Green Energy

Blueprint of Biofuel Development for

Alleviation of Poverty & UnemploymentDecember 2006

Presidential Instruction 1/2006 on Biofuel as

Alternative Fuel

Geothermal Geothermal PolicyLaw 27/2003 on

Geothermal22 October 2003

Blueprint of Development and

Utilization of Geothermal Energy

Draft implementing regulations

Nuclear Nuclear PolicyLaw 10/1997 on Nuclear

EnergyRoadmap for Nuclear

Energy

ElectricityPower Sector

Restructuring Policy25 August 1988

Law 15/1985 & Draft Law on Electricity

National General Plan on Electricity (RUKN)

(MEMR Decree 2270/ 2006)

General Plan on Electricity Development by State Electricity Utility

Company(last revision: 2006)

: Under preparation* Includes roadmap for brown coal liquefaction, geothermal, wind, nuclear, biodiesel technology, gasohol, bio oil, solar, fuel cell

Policy on Renewable Energy and Energy

Conservation(MEMR Decree2 January 2004)

Renewable Energy

Included in Law 30/2007 on Energy

Implementing regulations of Law 22/2001

National Oil and Gas Policy

(Draft RUPPN 23 August 2006)

Law 22/2001on Oil and Gas

23 November 2001

Oil

National Energy Plan

Source: National Energy Policy, 2006

Hydro3%

Geothermal1%

Oils52%

Natural Gas29%

Coal15%

Hydro2%

Geothermal1%

Oils41%

Natural Gas21%

Coal35%

Oils20%

Natural Gas30%

Coal33%

Bio-fuels5%

Geothermal5%

Biomass, Nuclear, Hydro, Solar, Wind5%

Coal liquifaction2%

RE17%

OPTIMIZATION

Energy Mix 2025(BAU Scenario)

Energy Mix 2025(National Energy Policy 2006)

Energy Mix 2005

Issues on Energy and the Environment

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000

0.0%

2.0%

4.0%

6.0%

8.0%

10.0%

12.0%

-1,000

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

AS Cina I ndonesia Brazil Rusia I ndia

(MtC

O2

e)

Energy Agriculture Forestry Waste

Ratio between CO2 emission from energy utilization and total CO2 emission (incl. LULUCF)

Total CO2 emission from energy utilization

Million

Metr

ic T

on

nes

of

CO

2

Nuclear Development Status

§ Updates on the road map:§ The plan on nuclear development option is part of PEN 2005§ Socialization is still in progress until now§ The rest of the plan is consequently delayed, but GOI still tries to push the decision by the end of 2007§

§ Resistency from the public:§ Local community protests§ Decree of the NU moslem leaders: disadvantages of nuclear power overshadowed its benefits.

Remarks on Nuclear Development IIEE’s estimates up to 2016 around 7,000 MW of

coal steam (6 Electricity demand growth: 6 - 7 % p.a Supply capacity:

PLN : coal power plants acceleration program IPP : Geothermal (470 MW addition) Existing system capacity (incld. Gas PPs)

Reserve margin will be 36% in 2015 Supply from nuclear power isn’t necessary system

perfomance will be deteriorated due to execessive reserve margin and decrease of the overall capacity factor.

Batubara (Briket)0.1%

Biofuel (Biooil)0.0%

Listrik36.1%

BBM53.1%

LPG10.6%BBG (Pipa)

0.1%

BBG (Tabung)0.0%

BBM (Premium)54.0%

BBM (Minyak Solar)45.9%

Biofuel (Bio-Diesel)0.0%

BBG (Pipa)0.0%

Listrik0.0%

Biofuel (Bio-Oil)0.0% Biofuel (Bio-

Etanol)0.0%

BBM (Premium)46.5%

BBM (Minyak Solar)42.3%

Biofuel (Bio-Etanol)7.6% Biofuel (Bio-Oil)

1.9%

Biofuel (Bio-Diesel)0.4%

BBG (Pipa)1.4%

Listrik0.0%

Batubara (Briket)1.2%

Biofuel (Biooil)3.7%

Listrik40.1%

LPG19.0%

BBG (Pipa)6.4%

BBG (Tabung)1.5%

BBM28.1%

ENERGI (FINAL) INDONESIA 2006 dan 2010

Sektor Transportasi 2006 Sektor Transportasi 2010

Sektor Rumah Tangga dan Komersial 2010Sektor Rumah Tangga dan Komersial 2006

ENERGI (FINAL) INDONESIA 2006 dan 2010 (Lanjutan)

Listrik13.1%

BBM43.8%

LPG1.1%

Batubara22.5%

Gas19.6%

Batubara46.2%

Gas14.3%

BBM23.7%

Batubara-Hybrid0.0%

Biofuel0.9%

Panas Bumi5.3%

Hydro9.6%

Batubara71.4%

BBM2.7%

Gas8.3%

Batubara-Hybrid2.2%

Biofuel0.8%

Panas Bumi6.8%Hydro

7.8%

Sektor Pembangkit Listrik 2006 Sektor Pembangkit Listrik 2010

Sektor Industri 2010Sektor Industri 2006

Listrik12,4%

BBM27,8%

Biofuel3,1%

LPG1,4%

Batubara34,9%

Gas20,4%

THANKS YOU

Development of New & Renewable Energy Source

• Biofuel

––√–Bio-Etanol

––√–Bio-Diesel

√–√√Bio-Oil

Batubara Cair

Gas Batubara √√√√

√√√–

√––√Biogenic Gas

√√√–Oil Shale

√–√–Hidrogen / Fuel Cell

√√√√CBM

√–––Angin

√–√√Surya

√–––Air

√–––Nuklir

√––√Biomassa

• EBT Lain

√√–√• Panas Bumi

–√–√Briket

√√–√Batubara

• Batubara

–√√√LPG

√√√√BBG

• Gas

Pembangkit ListrikIndustriTransportasiRumah Tanggadan komersialJenis Bahan Bakar

• Biofuel

––√–Bio-Etanol

––√–Bio-Diesel

√–√√Bio-Oil

Batubara Cair

Gas Batubara √√√√

√√√–

√––√Biogenic Gas

√√√–Oil Shale

√–√–Hidrogen / Fuel Cell

√√√√CBM

√–––Angin

√–√√Surya

√–––Air

√–––Nuklir

√––√Biomassa

• EBT Lain

√√–√• Panas Bumi

–√–√Briket

√√–√Batubara

• Batubara

–√√√LPG

√√√√BBG

• Gas

Pembangkit ListrikIndustriTransportasiRumah Tanggadan komersialJenis Bahan Bakar