Jakarta, 09 th October 2019 Supangkat Iwan Santoso Direktur Bisnis Regional Jawa Bagian Timur, Bali dan Nusa Tenggara PT PLN (Persero) Indonesia Electricity Outlook
Jakarta, 09th October 2019
Supangkat Iwan SantosoDirektur Bisnis Regional JawaBagian Timur, Bali dan Nusa TenggaraPT PLN (Persero)
IndonesiaElectricity Outlook
The Future Power
System
for Global Energy
Transition
01
www.pln.co.id
|
Key Benefit of The Energy Transformation
Key Benefit of The Energy
Transformation
Lower renewable power costs
Technology invention will speed up
renewable energy development and
reduce the cost compare to the
conventional.
Increase welfare and growth
Increasing energy access means
increasing economy opportunity.
Increase energy access
Implementation smart grid
and decentralization will
provide electricity through
remote area.
Reduce emissions and air pollution
Climate damage significantly reduce the
macroeconomic performance
1
IRENA report, 2019, A Road Map to 2050
www.pln.co.id
|
The Future of Power System Trend
1. Electrification with Renewable Power.
To get cheaper than fossil fuel-based alternatives and increases health benefits, to build a connected and digitalized
economy and society. It also goes hand-in-hand with energy efficiency, resulting in lower overall energy demand.
2. By 2050, electricity could become the central energy carrier.
Gross electricity consumption would more than double and 86% will come from renewable power. The primary drivers for
this increased electricity demand would be over 1 billion electric vehicles, increased use of electricity for heat and the
emergence of renewable hydrogen.
3. Additional investment for more on climate friendly.
Total investment in the energy system would need to reach USD 110 trillion by 2050
4. Technology is progressing rapidly, deployable at large scale and are increasingly cost competitive.
Governments are lagging and should implement more aggressive climate, renewable energy and energy efficiency
policies and targets.
5. Systemic innovation is crucial as a key enabler for the energy transition
To devote more attention to enabling smarter energy systems through digitalization, through the coupling of sectors via
greater electrification, and by embracing decentralization trends
IRENA report, 2019, A Road Map to 2050
2
Future Power
System
in Indonesia02
www.pln.co.id |
The Future of Power System Trend
3
1. Electrification with Renewable Power.
RUPTL 2019-2028
56,4
GW
RUPTL 2018-2027
56,0
GW
1. Decreasing on Gas Turbine
/Gas Engine/Combine Cycle
capacity because some power
plants has been reached COD
in 2018 and some plants will be
replaced by coal fired/biomass.
2. Coal fired capacity will increase
due to additional coal fired to
replace gas engine in eastern
Indonesia.
3. Additional hydro, geothermal,
and other renewable energy
capacity to support target to
achieve 23% RE in 2025.
RE additional capacity : 30%
www.pln.co.id |
The Future of Power System Trend …
4
1. Electrification with Renewable Power.
No RE power plant Capacity 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 Total
1 Geothermal MW 190 151 147 455 245 415 2,759 45 145 55
2 Hydro MW 154 326 755 - 182 1,484 3,047 129 466 1,467 8,009
3 Mini Hydro MW 140 238 479 200 168 232 27 20 20 10 1,534
4 Solar MWp 63 78 219 129 160 4 250 - 2 2 908
5 Wind MW - - 30 360 260 50 150 - - 5 855
6 Biomass/waste MW 12 139 60 357 50 103 19 5 15 35 794
7 Ocean MW - - 7 - - - - - - - 7
8 Bio-Fuel million liter 520 487 291 167 151 146 154 159 166 175 2,415
Total MW 560 933 1,697 1,501 1,065 2,287 6,251 199 648 1,574 16,714
www.pln.co.id |
The Future of Power System Trend …
5
1. Electrification with Renewable Power.
1. Consumer can install
rooftop panel until 100 %
installed capacity.
2. Energy export for
transaction will be
calculated 65% from total
energy export.
3. It is needed to develop
3.200 MW rooftop power
plant (equivalent to the
1,6 million customer) to
fulfill Renewable Energy
target 23% energy mixed
in 2025.
MEMR
regulation
number 49/2018
for Rooftop
Power Plant
Implementation
www.pln.co.id |
The Future of Power System Trend
6
2. By 2050, electricity could become the central energy carrier.The primary drivers for this increased electricity demand would be over 1 billion
electric vehicles.
Presidential
Decree number
55/2019 for
Electric Vehicle
www.pln.co.id |
The Future of Power System Trend …
7
2. By 2050, electricity could become the central energy carrier.The primary drivers for this increased electricity demand would be over 1 billion
electric vehicles.
PLN has
installed
many EVCS
for APEC
Forum 2013
in Bali
www.pln.co.id |
The Future of Power System Trend …
8
2. By 2050, electricity could become the central energy carrier.The primary drivers for this increased electricity demand would be over 1 billion
electric vehicles.
PLN has developed three
“Indonesia” EVs for EV
behavioral testing
EV Charger at PLN Research InstituteEV Charger at Electricity Museum - Taman Mini Indonesia Indah
www.pln.co.id |
The Future of Power System Trend …
9
2. By 2050, electricity could become the central energy carrier.The primary drivers for this increased electricity demand would be over 1 billion
electric vehicles.
Instead of EVCS
for EV, PLN has
installed more
than 3300
Chargers units
for Light Duty
Vehicles
(Electric Motor
Cycles) around
Indonesia
PLN Charger Units for Light Duty Vehicles (e-motor cycles)
www.pln.co.id |
The Future of Power System Trend
10
3. Additional investment for more on climate friendly.
Cirata Floating PVThe Development Of Cirata Floating Photovoltaic Solar Power Plant 145 MWACAnd Power Evacuation Substation.
West Java Floating PVThe Development Of West Java Floating Photovoltaic Solar Power Plant 60 MWACAnd Power Evacuation Substation.
www.pln.co.id |
The Future of Power System Trend …
11
3. Additional investment for more on climate friendly.
Kayan Hydro Power PlantThe Development Of Kayan Hydro Power Plant 2.4 GW And Power Evacuation Substation.
South Sulawesi Wind PowerThe Development Of Wind Power Plant 75MW in South Sulawesi And Power Evacuation Substation.
www.pln.co.id |
The Future of Power System Trend
12
4. Technology is progressing rapidly, deployable at large scale
and are increasingly cost competitive
Ultra Super Critical coal fired power plant 1.000 MW class
Jawa 7 coal fired 2 x 1.000 MW Cilacap 4 coal fired 1.000 MW Batang coal fired 2 x 1.000 MW
www.pln.co.id |
The Future of Power System Trend …
13
4. Technology is progressing rapidly, deployable at large scale
and are increasingly cost competitive
Combine Cycles power plant 800 MW class
Jawa 1 combine cycles 2 x 800 MW Tambak Lorok combine cycles 800 MW
www.pln.co.id |
The Future of Power System Trend …
14
4. Technology is progressing rapidly, deployable at large scale
and are increasingly cost competitive
Large Hydro Power Plant and Pump Storage
Batang Toru
Hydro Power Plant 510 MW
Sumatera Pump Storage
Power Plant 500 MW
Upper Cisokan Pump Storage
Power Plant 1.040 MW
Girindulu Pump Storage
Power Plant 1.000 MWMatenggeng Pump Storage
Power Plant 943 MW
www.pln.co.id |
The Future of Power System Trend …
15
5. Systemic innovation is crucial as a key enabler for the
energy transitionTo enabling smarter energy systems through digitalization
iCORE(Intelligent Center of Optimization for Reliability & Efficiency)
Power Plant Digitalization
REOC(Reliability Efficiency Optimization Center)
Thank you