8/6/2019 India - The Caged Phoenix
1/29
The Caged PhoenixThe Caged Phoenix
by KK Sharmaby KK Sharma
8/6/2019 India - The Caged Phoenix
2/29
The Paradox
How is that the Indians are sofastidiously clean but India is
so dirty??
Do we belong to cat family?
8/6/2019 India - The Caged Phoenix
3/29
http://images.google.co.in/imgres?imgurl=http://www.pheonix-az.com/pheonix_bird.jpg&imgrefurl=http://www.pheonix-az.com/Pheonix_Bird.htm&usg=__0boLhNTo3oStRPi8a1Zfcinnc6I=&h=445&w=352&sz=26&hl=en&start=2&um=1&itbs=1&tbnid=93s1GniutcoOBM:&tbnh=127&tbnw=100&prev=/images%3Fq%3Dphoenix%2Bbird%26hl%3Den%26rlz%3D1T4GTKR_enIN317IN318%26sa%3DX%26um%3D1http://images.google.co.in/imgres?imgurl=http://api.ning.com/files/3dOMuCZtKjWUpWW-nZ52l3dcMxyzB4fHAR-HU5Fqo6O3JxepmkUx0w6*wV4VBa*EhB4WQ6oRlkGoW7PdKmGLzVXTDnyUIaIP/Phoenix_by_WhiteRaven90.jpg&imgrefurl=http://www.sodahead.com/living/egyptian-astrology/question-181104/&usg=__JNR-nLXPHxk9nmAfn8YSmqDJyGo=&h=1024&w=750&sz=638&hl=en&start=9&um=1&itbs=1&tbnid=eyOafWxBdg76EM:&tbnh=150&tbnw=110&prev=/images%3Fq%3Dphoenix%2Bbird%26hl%3Den%26rlz%3D1T4GTKR_enIN317IN318%26sa%3DX%26um%3D1http://images.google.co.in/imgres?imgurl=http://www.eaudrey.com/myth/images/phoenix.gif&imgrefurl=http://www.eaudrey.com/myth/phoenix.htm&usg=__KCJtuHMN19ZWGAeJ0UA5Kw1hXcc=&h=285&w=275&sz=19&hl=en&start=11&um=1&itbs=1&tbnid=CFYx0vZhOQ336M:&tbnh=115&tbnw=111&prev=/images%3Fq%3Dphoenix%26hl%3Den%26rlz%3D1T4GTKR_enIN317IN318%26sa%3DN%26um%3D1http://images.google.co.in/imgres?imgurl=http://marvel.com/universe3zx/images/thumb/a/a5/Phoenix_force.jpg/440px-Phoenix_force.jpg&imgrefurl=http://marvel.com/universe/Phoenix_Force&usg=__dlOPaD7O8ytVJ_Ujc0E4Mes8CSw=&h=362&w=440&sz=71&hl=en&start=1&um=1&itbs=1&tbnid=e_ZhOrmAvJoe1M:&tbnh=104&tbnw=127&prev=/images%3Fq%3Dphoenix%26hl%3Den%26rlz%3D1T4GTKR_enIN317IN318%26sa%3DN%26um%3D1http://images.google.co.in/imgres?imgurl=http://inobscuro.com/portfolio/digital/phoenix.jpg&imgrefurl=http://inobscuro.com/gallery/phoenix-74/&usg=__5B-uOmb4rfcl4TJoqtjV86TJVrI=&h=900&w=600&sz=157&hl=en&start=4&um=1&itbs=1&tbnid=ljcaNnCAi6d2JM:&tbnh=146&tbnw=97&prev=/images%3Fq%3Dphoenix%26hl%3Den%26rlz%3D1T4GTKR_enIN317IN318%26sa%3DN%26um%3D18/6/2019 India - The Caged Phoenix
4/29
The history of Phoenix Egyptian mythology, a mythical sacred firebird.
Said to live for 500, 1461 or for 12594 years (depending on the source),
A male bird with beautiful gold and red plumage.
End of its life-cycle builds itself a nest of cinnamon twigs and ignites;
both nest and bird burn fiercely and are reduced to ashes, from which a
new, young phoenix arises.
The new phoenix embalms the ashes of the old phoenix in an egg made
of myrrh and deposits it in Heliopolis ("the city of the sun"), Egypt.
The bird was also said to regenerate when hurt or wounded by a foe,
thus being almost immortal and invincible - a symbol of fire and divinity.
8/6/2019 India - The Caged Phoenix
5/29
The caging parameters Rise and fall of phoenix
Connection between rich and the poor
The facts Consensus politics
How to make the phoenix fly again
Challenges The surge effect
India of tomorrow flying again!!!!
PreviewPreview
8/6/2019 India - The Caged Phoenix
6/29
Missing connection between rich and the poor
Gap between Intellectual capital and merchant capital From vibrant village to patronage afflictions
The political class and leadership
Poor state of the State in social sector..
State of education Taxila/Patliputra to AICTE/PTU Weakening institutions Legislature, judiciary and
executive
Thriving parallel economy
Hemmed in nation unable to break out of S Asia. Caste parameters
Suspicious and frustrated citizens
Raging wars within
The caging parameters
8/6/2019 India - The Caged Phoenix
7/29
Rise and Fall of PhoenixRise and Fall of Phoenixcitizens confidence in nation-state
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
1947 1955 1964 1972 1975 1985 1990 1995 2007 2010 2015
The total outlay of the 1st five year plan was worth Rs.2,069 croresFOUNDATIONS
Post1962war
Post1971war I
nternalConflicts
Ecocrisis
Indiashining
Restrainin
gfor
c
es
8/6/2019 India - The Caged Phoenix
8/29
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
1947 1955 1964 1972 1975 1985 1990 1995 2007 2010 2015
The total outlay of the 11th five year plan was worth Rs. 36,44,718 crore (1761.6 times)
En
ablin
gfor
ces
FOUNDATIONS
Post1962war
Post1971war I
nternalConflicts
Ecocrisis
Indiashining
Rise and Fall of PhoenixRise and Fall of Phoenixcitizens confidence in nation-state
8/6/2019 India - The Caged Phoenix
9/29
The restraining forcesThe restraining forces
Social disparities Neglected social sector and poor implementation
Lack of inclusive growth
Corruption
Regional and intra state developmental imbalances
Lack of discipline and civic sense
Political rot and absence of leadership
Patronage and crony politics Mobocracy vs meritocracy.
8/6/2019 India - The Caged Phoenix
10/29
Connecting the rich to the poorConnecting the rich to the poor
Interlinked contraries slums and skyscrapers
Vote and forget public
5 lakh villages, Mandal surveyed only 810only 810.
Patornising western ethnocentrism
For a sociology and not culturology of India.
Caste polity in villages rule of high priests Agriculture and farmer
8/6/2019 India - The Caged Phoenix
11/29
Agricultural Subsidy (US $)
India 66
Japan 26,000
USA 21,000 OECD countries 11,000
8/6/2019 India - The Caged Phoenix
12/29
Some facts
30% urban population; 70% semi rural and rural. 500,000 villages in 628 districts, 28 states plus 7 UTs.
72,000 slums
15% population in slums
160,000 students go abroad to study US $10 b to 12 b.
Tax payers 3 cr; population 112 cr.
83 cr (77%) earn less than Rs 100 per day
Intolerant mobs ever increasing public property damage
8 Lakhs under trials; 2 lakhs convicts in jails.
With spending capacity of Rs150 pd - you are in the middle class.With spending capacity of Rs150 pd - you are in the middle class.
8/6/2019 India - The Caged Phoenix
13/29
Some facts Vocational training of work force India 5%, Germany 70%, Japan 80%,
S Korea 95%.
Engineers 112,000 per annum against US 137,000.
Cellphones 220 millions, China - 470 million.
6 million households (total 177 m 3.7%) own cars and jeeps. 4.5 million
US citizens below poverty line own cars, 290,000 more than two. In US
237.4 million registered cars.
Thailand 27 cars per 1000, Malaysia - 147; India - 7.
Car productions:
GM 5.7 million in 2006. Toyota 6.8 m Ford 3.4 m Tata 0.19 million Maruti 0.744 m
M&M 0.14 m.
8/6/2019 India - The Caged Phoenix
14/29
Consensus of politics Acceptance of Mandal Commission.
Parliamentary privileges, retirement benefits, travel and upkeepallowances
Hostility towards judiciary.
Against the eradication of undemocratic laws that curtail civilliberties.
Supporting establishment of SEZ. Allowing NPAs.
No initiative on judicial or police reforms.
Lip service on higher education and collapsing public educationsystem.
No reforms in election funding and defection. Allowing bicameral assemblies in some states.
Allowing criminals into politics.
Lack of willingness to prosecute political or communal murderers.
8/6/2019 India - The Caged Phoenix
15/29
The Hindu Concept of Dirt
How is that the Indians are so fastidiously clean but India is so dirty?? Forbes study ranks India as a dirt capital of the world.
Mumbai and Delhi among 25 dirtiest capital cities.
No correlation of poverty with filth.
Washington, London or Paris were same in 1800s
Concept of anything that touches the ground is dirty.
Historical mystery of god-men
Indian Holy Cow.
Goddess to sati to female feticide
8/6/2019 India - The Caged Phoenix
16/29
Making the Phoenix Fly
Fundamental rethink of fundamentals.
Multi-tiered approach, rejection of cultural otherness.
Task of intellectual to expose and criticise and not rejoice or gloat.
Un-organised sector 92% of the employees.
Infrastructure and development.
Work ethics, discipline, eradication of corruption..
Look at China and Chinese products in every corner of the world.
Improved efficiency and productiveness to reach that level.
8/6/2019 India - The Caged Phoenix
17/29
Challenges Education meaningful and universal
Health and sanitation
Corruption
Democracy at grass root level
Development as agenda for the nation
Infrastructure as agenda for the government
Good governance
HDI
GDP
World power
8/6/2019 India - The Caged Phoenix
18/29
Sensex Movement one year
8/6/2019 India - The Caged Phoenix
19/29
Sensex Movement 5 years
8/6/2019 India - The Caged Phoenix
20/29
60 years to $1 tn; 10 to $3 tn
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
1947 2000 2009 2020
Business Today 27 Dec 2009Business Today 27 Dec 2009
8/6/2019 India - The Caged Phoenix
21/29
Doubling of per capita income
GDP Growth Per-capitaGDP Growth
Years to doubleper capita GDP
1972-82 3.5 1.2 571982-92 5.2 3.0 23
1992-02 6.0 3.9 18
2002-09 8.4 5.9 12
2010-20 8.5+(?) 6.5 (?) 6 (?)
8/6/2019 India - The Caged Phoenix
22/29
Percentage share in GDP
Services Industry Agro andalliedactivities
2000-01 57 20 23
2008-09 63 20 17
2019-20 71 17 12
8/6/2019 India - The Caged Phoenix
23/29
Savings and consumption
Savingsas %ge ofincome
Privateconsu-mption
Invest-ment
GovtConsu-mption
Netexports
1959-60 10.81969-70 14
1979-80 19.8
1989-90 21.893-98
55 34 12 -81999-2000 24.8 98-03 58 27 12 14
2007-08 37.9 03-08 46 57 6 -15
8/6/2019 India - The Caged Phoenix
24/29
Demographic Dividends
Share of working population
50
52
54
56
58
60
62
64
66
68
2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050
India
China
G6
8/6/2019 India - The Caged Phoenix
25/29
The enabling forces
Demography from a burden to strength
1991 IMF advised us and arm-twisted
2009 RBI and GOI advised IMF.
World economy Jul-Sep negative growth, India 7.9%.
From being market driven companies to driving the markets (KM Birla).
Trade as %ge of GDP by 2009 40%.
Share in new jobs in the world economy during 2005-20 30%, (China
14% and US 3%).
Social spending 1992 (8,500cr to 1,00,000 cr in 2010)
8/6/2019 India - The Caged Phoenix
26/29
Signs that the Phoenix will fly
Social orientation through inclusive growth plans. No terrorist strike after 26/11.
Global Inc. recognises the potential.
Seat on all high tables G8, G77, COP15, ASEAN, ARF, IORC, P5,Eco Summits.
BASIC or BRIC lead.
Indian multi-nationals.
Ring of fire getting roasted in own fire.
Extremely high confidence level
Twitter and young politicians change.. Initiative by civil society.
Blaring medianasty but useful.
Increasing transparency
8/6/2019 India - The Caged Phoenix
27/29
Flat WorldFlat World The business world has been flattened by globalization, changing
demographics, ubiquity of technology, and regulatory compliance.
Conducting business in this level playing field requires a change in
mindset, strategies and operations.
To harness the opportunities of the Flat World, companies must
address four shifts
Optimize Cost to Fuel Growth
Think Faster Innovation
Think Money from Information
Think Winning in the Turns.
8/6/2019 India - The Caged Phoenix
28/29
Infosys Tomorrows Global Company
The survival and success of tomorrows global
company is bound integrally to the health of a
complex global system composed of three
interdependent sub-systems the natural
environment, the social and political system,
and the global economy. Global companies
play a role in all three and they require all threeto flourish.
http://images.google.co.in/imgres?imgurl=http://inobscuro.com/portfolio/digital/phoenix.jpg&imgrefurl=http://inobscuro.com/gallery/phoenix-74/&usg=__5B-uOmb4rfcl4TJoqtjV86TJVrI=&h=900&w=600&sz=157&hl=en&start=4&um=1&itbs=1&tbnid=ljcaNnCAi6d2JM:&tbnh=146&tbnw=97&prev=/images%3Fq%3Dphoenix%26hl%3Den%26rlz%3D1T4GTKR_enIN317IN318%26sa%3DN%26um%3D18/6/2019 India - The Caged Phoenix
29/29
http://images.google.co.in/imgres?imgurl=http://inobscuro.com/portfolio/digital/phoenix.jpg&imgrefurl=http://inobscuro.com/gallery/phoenix-74/&usg=__5B-uOmb4rfcl4TJoqtjV86TJVrI=&h=900&w=600&sz=157&hl=en&start=4&um=1&itbs=1&tbnid=ljcaNnCAi6d2JM:&tbnh=146&tbnw=97&prev=/images%3Fq%3Dphoenix%26hl%3Den%26rlz%3D1T4GTKR_enIN317IN318%26sa%3DN%26um%3D1