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Non-conventional Energy Sources:
Market Survey and Commercial Applications
Professor Saifur RahmanElectrical & Computer Engineering Dept.
Virginia Tech
March 2007
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Outline1. Introduction to non-conventional energy sources
(wind, solar and hydro)
2. Resource assessment for wind, solar and hydro
3. Capacity factor and capacity credit calculations
4. Technology assessment
5. Global developments of wind and solar projects
6. Renewable energy and climate change issues
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World Energy Consumption by Fuel Type(1970-2025)
Source: EIA, International Energy Outlook 2005
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025
Year
Quadr
illionBTU
Oil
NaturalGas
Coal
Nuclear
Others
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Global Oil Production
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Off-shore Wind Generation, North Sea
Wind Energy
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Installed Wind Power in the WorldCumulative Capacity 1997Cumulative Capacity 1997--20062006
Source: BP.com, 2006 and World Wind Energy Association, Germany as of 29 Jan 2007
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
80,000
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
Rest of the World
India
DenmarkUSA
Spain
Germany
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Wind Power Highlights
* World Wind Energy Association, Germany, 29 Jan 2007
* International Electricity Information, EIA, 2006
Global Wind Capacity: 73.9 GW (end of 2006)
German capacity : 20.6 GW (end of 2006)
Global Wind Capacity: 73.9 GW (end of 2006)
German capacity : 20.6 GW (end of 2006)
The current installed wind power capacity generatesmore than 1% of the global electricity consumption.
At the end of 2006, Germany hosted 27.9% of annualworld WTG capacity
This is followed by Spain (15.7%), USA (15.7%), India(8.5%) and Denmark (4.2%)
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Wind Energy in India, 2006
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Offshore Wind Energy is Next Wave ofNew Wind Project Construction in Germany
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Offshore Wind Worldwide
316587Totals
Vestas 2 MW30602004UKScroby Sands
GE 3.6 MW725.22004IrelandArklow Bank
Bonus 2.3MW721582004DenmarkNysted
Vestas 2MW30602003UKNorth Hoyle
Bonus 2.3 MW10232003DenmarkSams
2 Vestas 3MW,1 Bonus 2.3MWand 1 Nordex 2.3MW
410.62003DenmarkFrederikshaven
Vestas 2MW801602002DenmarkHorns Rev
NEG Micon NM725102001SwedenYttre Stengrund
GE Wind 1.5MW710.52001SwedenUttgrunden, Kalmar Sound
Bonus 2MW20402001DenmarkMiddelgrunden,
Copenhagen
Vestas 2MW23.82000UKBlyth Offshore
Wind World 500kW52.51997SwedenGotland (Bockstigen)
Nordtank 600kW1911.41996HollandDronten (Ijsselmeer)
Vestas 500kW105.01995DenmarkTun Knob
NedWind 500kW42.01994HollandLely (Ijsselmeer)Bonus 450kW114.951991DenmarkVindeby
RatingNoMWOnlineCountryLocation
Source: BWEA (http://www.bwea.com/offshore/worldwide.html )
Currentwo
rldslarge
st
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Offshore Wind Turbines
Horns Rev, Denmark
Source: BWEA Elsam A/S
80 x 2 MW = 160 MW
14-20 km off thecoast of Jutland
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Offshore Wind Turbines
Uttgrunden, Sweden
Source: BWEA GE Wind Energy
7 x 1.5 MW = 10.5 MW
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Offshore Wind TurbinesBlyth, UK
Source: BWEA AMEC Wind
2 x 2 MW = 4 MW
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Offshore Wind TurbinesNorth Sea, The Netherlands (3 MW)
Source: Saifur Rahman
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Offshore wind turbine and GeneratorNorth Sea, The Netherlands
Source: Saifur Rahman
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Large Rotor Blades Shipped by Water Offshore Wind Projects Minimize Transfers
GE 3.6 MW rotor (104 m diameter)
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Solar Energy Solar Thermal
Heating
Solar ThermalElectricity
Solar Photovoltaics
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Installed Solar PhotovoltaicsCumulative Capacity 1992-2004
Source: BP.com, 2006
0
500,000
1,000,000
1,500,000
2,000,000
2,500,000
3,000,000
1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
Rest of OECD
Germany
USA
JapanKilo
watts
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Biodiversity Monitoring Projectin Bangladesh
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Photovoltaics for Railway Signaling in Tibet
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Solar Photovoltaics, USA
Rooftop PV Test Facility at Virginia Tech, USA
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Solar Photovoltaics, USA
4 Times Square, New York4 Times Square, New York
Building-integrated PV panels ofup to 15 kW of power
Source: National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL)
Thin-film PV panels are locatedon the top 19th floors of the
building
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Solar Photovoltaics, Germany
Source: http://www.cler.org/predac/article.php3?id_article=511
Number of module: 1,440Total area: 3,311 m2
PV output: 325 kWElectricity generation: 274,000 kWh/yr
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Solar Photovoltaics, Japan
Bridge
Shiga, Japan60 kW
Source: Mitsubishi Electric
PlatformGunma, Japan
200 kW
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Climate ChangeGlobal warming
World sea levels riseLoss of the arctic ice cover
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Trends in Atmospheric Concentrations andAnthropogenic Emissions of CO2
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Global CO2 Emissions by Region(2001-2025)
(MillionM
etricTonsofCarbonEquiv
alent)
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Global warming and CO2 level rise
Earth has warmed by
about 1C since mid-19th
century; can go up by
another 5.8C by 2100
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Global Warming
Top five warmest years worldwide since 1890s:(1) 1998, (2) 2002, (3) 2003, (4) 2004, (5) 2006
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Loss of Arctic Ice
The Arctic ice cap could disappear completely well before the end of the century
under the impact of global warming, according to observations released yesterday.
The Times, London. 29 Sept 2005
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Observed Sea Ice
Source: Impact of a warming arctic, Cambridge University Press
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Polar Bears Stranded on Thin Ice
Studies of ice cores indicate a rapid rise in greenhouse gases in the past 150 years
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Abrupt Climate Change
Rapid changes in ocean circulation are linked to an abrupt climatechange 8,200 years ago that had global effects. Indeed, greenhousewarming is a destabilizing factor that makes abrupt climate changemore probable.
Source: Woods Hole Oceanographic Institute 2005
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Thank You!
Saifur Rahman
Email: [email protected]