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    Non-conventional Energy Sources:

    Market Survey and Commercial Applications

    Professor Saifur RahmanElectrical & Computer Engineering Dept.

    Virginia Tech

    March 2007

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    Outline1. Introduction to non-conventional energy sources

    (wind, solar and hydro)

    2. Resource assessment for wind, solar and hydro

    3. Capacity factor and capacity credit calculations

    4. Technology assessment

    5. Global developments of wind and solar projects

    6. Renewable energy and climate change issues

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    World Energy Consumption by Fuel Type(1970-2025)

    Source: EIA, International Energy Outlook 2005

    0

    100

    200

    300

    400

    500

    600

    700

    1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025

    Year

    Quadr

    illionBTU

    Oil

    NaturalGas

    Coal

    Nuclear

    Others

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    Global Oil Production

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    Off-shore Wind Generation, North Sea

    Wind Energy

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    Installed Wind Power in the WorldCumulative Capacity 1997Cumulative Capacity 1997--20062006

    Source: BP.com, 2006 and World Wind Energy Association, Germany as of 29 Jan 2007

    0

    10,000

    20,000

    30,000

    40,000

    50,000

    60,000

    70,000

    80,000

    1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006

    Rest of the World

    India

    DenmarkUSA

    Spain

    Germany

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    Wind Power Highlights

    * World Wind Energy Association, Germany, 29 Jan 2007

    * International Electricity Information, EIA, 2006

    Global Wind Capacity: 73.9 GW (end of 2006)

    German capacity : 20.6 GW (end of 2006)

    Global Wind Capacity: 73.9 GW (end of 2006)

    German capacity : 20.6 GW (end of 2006)

    The current installed wind power capacity generatesmore than 1% of the global electricity consumption.

    At the end of 2006, Germany hosted 27.9% of annualworld WTG capacity

    This is followed by Spain (15.7%), USA (15.7%), India(8.5%) and Denmark (4.2%)

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    Wind Energy in India, 2006

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    Offshore Wind Energy is Next Wave ofNew Wind Project Construction in Germany

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    Offshore Wind Worldwide

    316587Totals

    Vestas 2 MW30602004UKScroby Sands

    GE 3.6 MW725.22004IrelandArklow Bank

    Bonus 2.3MW721582004DenmarkNysted

    Vestas 2MW30602003UKNorth Hoyle

    Bonus 2.3 MW10232003DenmarkSams

    2 Vestas 3MW,1 Bonus 2.3MWand 1 Nordex 2.3MW

    410.62003DenmarkFrederikshaven

    Vestas 2MW801602002DenmarkHorns Rev

    NEG Micon NM725102001SwedenYttre Stengrund

    GE Wind 1.5MW710.52001SwedenUttgrunden, Kalmar Sound

    Bonus 2MW20402001DenmarkMiddelgrunden,

    Copenhagen

    Vestas 2MW23.82000UKBlyth Offshore

    Wind World 500kW52.51997SwedenGotland (Bockstigen)

    Nordtank 600kW1911.41996HollandDronten (Ijsselmeer)

    Vestas 500kW105.01995DenmarkTun Knob

    NedWind 500kW42.01994HollandLely (Ijsselmeer)Bonus 450kW114.951991DenmarkVindeby

    RatingNoMWOnlineCountryLocation

    Source: BWEA (http://www.bwea.com/offshore/worldwide.html )

    Currentwo

    rldslarge

    st

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    Offshore Wind Turbines

    Horns Rev, Denmark

    Source: BWEA Elsam A/S

    80 x 2 MW = 160 MW

    14-20 km off thecoast of Jutland

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    Offshore Wind Turbines

    Uttgrunden, Sweden

    Source: BWEA GE Wind Energy

    7 x 1.5 MW = 10.5 MW

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    Offshore Wind TurbinesBlyth, UK

    Source: BWEA AMEC Wind

    2 x 2 MW = 4 MW

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    Offshore Wind TurbinesNorth Sea, The Netherlands (3 MW)

    Source: Saifur Rahman

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    Offshore wind turbine and GeneratorNorth Sea, The Netherlands

    Source: Saifur Rahman

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    Large Rotor Blades Shipped by Water Offshore Wind Projects Minimize Transfers

    GE 3.6 MW rotor (104 m diameter)

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    Solar Energy Solar Thermal

    Heating

    Solar ThermalElectricity

    Solar Photovoltaics

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    Installed Solar PhotovoltaicsCumulative Capacity 1992-2004

    Source: BP.com, 2006

    0

    500,000

    1,000,000

    1,500,000

    2,000,000

    2,500,000

    3,000,000

    1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004

    Rest of OECD

    Germany

    USA

    JapanKilo

    watts

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    Biodiversity Monitoring Projectin Bangladesh

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    Photovoltaics for Railway Signaling in Tibet

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    Solar Photovoltaics, USA

    Rooftop PV Test Facility at Virginia Tech, USA

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    Solar Photovoltaics, USA

    4 Times Square, New York4 Times Square, New York

    Building-integrated PV panels ofup to 15 kW of power

    Source: National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL)

    Thin-film PV panels are locatedon the top 19th floors of the

    building

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    Solar Photovoltaics, Germany

    Source: http://www.cler.org/predac/article.php3?id_article=511

    Number of module: 1,440Total area: 3,311 m2

    PV output: 325 kWElectricity generation: 274,000 kWh/yr

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    Solar Photovoltaics, Japan

    Bridge

    Shiga, Japan60 kW

    Source: Mitsubishi Electric

    PlatformGunma, Japan

    200 kW

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    Climate ChangeGlobal warming

    World sea levels riseLoss of the arctic ice cover

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    Trends in Atmospheric Concentrations andAnthropogenic Emissions of CO2

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    Global CO2 Emissions by Region(2001-2025)

    (MillionM

    etricTonsofCarbonEquiv

    alent)

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    Global warming and CO2 level rise

    Earth has warmed by

    about 1C since mid-19th

    century; can go up by

    another 5.8C by 2100

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    Global Warming

    Top five warmest years worldwide since 1890s:(1) 1998, (2) 2002, (3) 2003, (4) 2004, (5) 2006

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    Loss of Arctic Ice

    The Arctic ice cap could disappear completely well before the end of the century

    under the impact of global warming, according to observations released yesterday.

    The Times, London. 29 Sept 2005

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    Observed Sea Ice

    Source: Impact of a warming arctic, Cambridge University Press

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    Polar Bears Stranded on Thin Ice

    Studies of ice cores indicate a rapid rise in greenhouse gases in the past 150 years

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    Abrupt Climate Change

    Rapid changes in ocean circulation are linked to an abrupt climatechange 8,200 years ago that had global effects. Indeed, greenhousewarming is a destabilizing factor that makes abrupt climate changemore probable.

    Source: Woods Hole Oceanographic Institute 2005

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    Thank You!

    Saifur Rahman

    Email: [email protected]