Sources: Eurostat, MSs notifications, DG Agri, Comext, Comtrade, GTA, ITC, AMI, Expert groups, Freshfel, Wapa…. MS PRICES EU AVG PRICES D G A G R I D A S H B O A R D : A P P L E S 23.04.2021 PRICES PROD. TRADE I TRADE II INDEX EXPORT DIV. 112 105 113 122 121 123 126 123 121 124 111 96 94 90 93 95 97 103 110 115 118 104 111 100 91 88 87 87 88 90 94 99 98 99 94 104 95 88 85 84 85 84 86 89 95 90 90 90 97 89 86 82 82 82 80 82 84 91 82 80 85 85 80 78 75 76 76 71 72 72 83 66 66 75 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 120 125 Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul YEAR Apple prices in France (€/100kg=Euro cents/kg) Current 2020/21 (Previous) 2019/20 Monthly 5 year MAX 66% upper line 5 year avg 66% lower line Monthly 5 year MIN €/100 kg Ex-packaging station prices, sorted and packaged Extrapolation 78 79 78 77 73 71 77 74 75 87 73 84 90 91 89 89 95 94 99 104 109 92 60 62 63 64 65 64 63 65 67 70 71 74 65 51 56 56 56 56 55 55 55 58 60 61 62 57 43 50 49 47 48 47 47 46 48 50 50 49 49 32 39 40 38 38 36 39 36 38 38 40 31 37 25 35 45 55 65 75 85 95 105 Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul YEAR Apple prices in Germany (€/100kg=Euro cents/kg) Current 2020/21 (Previous) 2019/20 Monthly 5 year MAX 66% upper line 5 year avg 66% lower line €/100 kg Ex-packaging station prices, sorted and packaged 77 78 79 79 80 80 80 80 80 73 74 86 87 87 88 91 90 93 99 103 105 90 68 69 74 75 76 76 77 77 79 82 84 83 76 66 67 71 72 72 73 73 72 74 76 77 75 72 64 66 67 69 69 69 69 68 69 69 70 68 68 60 65 66 66 66 65 64 63 59 60 56 63 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 100 105 Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul YEAR Apple prices in Italy (€/100kg=Euro cents/kg) Current 2020/21 (Previous) 2019/20 Monthly 5 year MAX 66% upper line 5 year avg 66% lower line Monthly 5 year MIN €/100 kg Ex-packaging station prices, sorted and packaged 87 76 77 79 79 78 80 80 80 79 74 76 78 77 77 79 81 83 89 92 92 81 67 65 65 64 64 64 65 67 69 73 76 76 67 63 62 61 60 60 60 60 61 63 67 67 67 63 59 59 57 55 56 56 56 56 57 60 59 59 58 52 53 52 50 50 50 49 48 48 50 46 44 49 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul YEAR Apple prices in the EU (€/100kg=Euro cents/kg) Simple avg of 4 MSs (the 4 major producers) Current 2020/21 (Previous) 2019/20 Monthly 5 year MAX 66% upper line 5 year avg 66% lower line Monthly 5 year MIN €/100 kg Ex-packaging station prices, sorted and packaged 79 41 38 38 40 40 38 45 46 48 38 40 40 38 40 44 50 57 71 109 118 58 35 34 32 31 31 31 34 36 39 45 57 60 38 30 31 28 26 26 27 29 31 31 36 41 43 32 25 27 23 22 22 23 24 25 23 27 26 27 26 14 19 14 12 10 14 16 19 10 10 10 12 13 5 25 45 65 85 105 Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul YEAR Apple prices in Poland (€/100kg=Euro cents/kg) Current 2020/21 (Previous) 2019/20 Monthly 5 year MAX 66% upper line 5 year avg 66% lower line Monthly 5 year MIN €/100 kg €/100 kg
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INDEX 85 PRICES PROD. TRADE I TRADE II EXPORT DIV ......2021/04/30 · Sources: Eurostat, MSs notifications, DG Agri, Comext, Comtrade, GTA, ITC, AMI, Expert groups, Freshfel, Wapa….
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PRICE ANALYSIS (SHORT TERM), AN EXPLANATION BY EXAMPLE
What is found in the colums of montly price figures? 1. Column A: average monthly prices for August 2020 by Member State and in the EU;
2. Column B: average monthly prices for September 2020 by Member State and in the EU;
3. Column C: index of prices for August 2020 compared to the average prices of the 5 preceding years (base = 100);
4. Column D: index of prices for September 2020 compared to the average prices of the 5 preceding years (base = 100);
5. Column E: percentage change of prices in September compared to August for the average price of the 5 preceding years (<>seasonal
factors);
6. Column F: percentage change of prices in September 2020 compared to August 2020.
Example for German prices (September 2020)
The monthly average price in Germany was 78 Euro cents per kg in August 2020 (column A). The equivalent price for September 2020 was 79 Euro
cents per kg (column B). Therefore, the percentage change of prices (September compared to August) was a 2% increase (column F).
We have 3 additional columns in order to check how the situation and recent price changes compare to the reference period (5 preceding years, 2015
to 2019). Column C indicates a figure of 153 for August; that means that the price of August 2020 was 1,53 times the price for the reference period in
Germany. Column D indicates that the price for September 2020 was 1,42 times the price of the reference period. In column E we have a proxy indicator
for price seasonality factors: for the reference period average German prices were 9% higher in September than in August (this is a sort of seasonal
pattern that we take into account for column F). When results in column F are better than in E, the shape appears in green (in red in the opposite case).
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+3 %
+2 %
-9 %
+20 %
90->92*
118->98*
85->77
83->112
148->146*
403->331*
118->117
96->108
EU
PL-Poland
IT-Italy
FR-France
Jul ->Aug ‘20,
Price, €/100 kg
2020/21, changes
from Jul to Aug %Seasonal factors, 5 year avg price,
changes from Jul to Aug %
Jul -Aug ’20, comparison to
5 year avg, base = 100 %
Apple prices €/100kg (= Euro cents/kg) and % changes – Aug 2020
+1 %*
-16 %*
-8 %
+25 %
-8 %76->78 137->153DE-Germany +3 %
CURRENT PRICES COMPARED TO 5 YEAR AVERAGE CURRENT PRICES COMPARED TO ONE MONTH AGO
BALANCE IN 2019 – 080810 – Source: ITC/COMTRADETOP WORLD IMPORTERS – Thousand Euro – Calendar year data
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51Further detail
TOP WORLD EXPORTERS TO ALL DESTINATIONS – 080810 - 2019
FOB EXPORT PRICE $/ton
Calendar year data
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52Further detail
TOP WORLD APPLE EXPORTERS TO ALL DESTINATIONS 2019 and % Annual growth in value 2015-19
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TOP WORLD APPLE EXPORTERS TO ALL DESTINATIONS - 080810
Further detail
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The end
Thank you
GENERAL REMARKS AND DISCLAMERS
1. Where the EU is listed it should be read as “EU+UK” since 1 February 2020. In a few cases there is a need to check on the content of the slide to distinguish between EU28 and EU27 because upgrade of apps may still be ongoing.
2. Due to different timings of data processing in different slides and some other factors, such as the intermediate data carrier and methodologies, some differences on figures referred to similar or almost identical indicators are possible.ge
3. This a working document intended for reflection and analysis not containing any official position of the European Commission.