1 MARCH 2021 INCREASING ENERGY ACCESS IN SIERRA LEONE Mini-grid survey analysis on tariffs, subsidies and productive use
1
MARCH 2021
INCREASING ENERGY ACCESS IN
SIERRA LEONEMini-grid survey analysis on tariffs,
subsidies and productive use
TABLE OF CONTENTS
FIGURES 4
TABLES 5
BOXES 5
ABBREVIATIONS 6
ACKNOWLEDGEMENT 8
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 9
1. INTRODUCTION 20
1.1 Background and Context of the Assignment 20
1.1.1Mini-GridElectrificationinSierraLeone 20
1.1.2 Rural Renewable Energy Project 22
1.1.3Mini-GridElectrificationinNigeria 24
PART I – MINI-GRID FRAMEWORKS, TARIFFS AND SUBSIDIES 27
2. MINI-GRID ELECTRIFICATION PLANNING AND DEVELOPMENT IN SIERRA LEONE AND NIGERIA 28
2.1Mini-GridElectrificationPlanningandDevelopment 28
2.1.1Mini-GridElectrificationPlanning 28
2.1.2 Mini-Grid Business Models 30
2.2StatusofMini-GridSectorDevelopmentinSierraLeoneandNigeria 31
2.2.1 SierraLeone 31
2.2.2Nigeria 34
2.2.3 SummaryofFindings 36
3. MINI-GRID REGULATORY FRAMEWORKS, TARIFFS AND SUBSIDIES IN SIERRA LEONE AND NIGERIA 38
3.1AssessmentofMini-GridRegulatoryFrameworksinSierraLeoneandNigeria 38
3.1.1 TariffFramework 38
3.1.1.1 SierraLeone 43
3.1.1.2 Nigeria 48
3.1.2 SummaryofFindings 51
3.1.2.1 ComparativeAnalysisofTariffDeterminationMethodologiesinSierraLeoneandNigeria 51
3.1.2.2 SummaryofMini-GridTariffFrameworksinSierraLeoneandNigeria 53
3.2AssessmentofMini-GridSubsidySchemesinSierraLeoneandNigeria 58
3.2.1 ImpactofSubsidiesonProjectDevelopmentCostsandElectricityTariffs 58
3.2.1.1 SierraLeone 63
3.2.1.2 Nigeria 63
3.2.2 SummaryofFindings 67
3.3RecommendationsforSierraLeone 69
PART II – PRODUCTIVE USE OF ENERGY AND SITE SELECTION 74
4. PRODUCTIVE USE OF ENERGY AND MINI-GRIDS 75
4.1Productive-UseApplicationsandBusinessModelsintheMini-GridSector 75
4.2ExpandingMini-GridsandPromotingElectricityAccessforProductiveUse 77
4.3AssessmentofAgriculturalProductiveUseinSierraLeoneandNigeria 79
4.3.1 SierraLeone 79
4.3.1.1 SmallholderWaterPumpingandIrrigation 85
4.3.1.2 AgriculturalProcessing 86
4.3.1.3 ColdStorageandRefrigeration 89
4.3.2Nigeria 92
4.4SummaryofFindings 94
4.5RecommendationsforSierraLeone 96
5. MINI-GRID SITE SELECTION 99
5.1SiteSelectionCriteria 99
5.1.1 SierraLeone 99
5.1.2Nigeria 100
5.2SummaryofFindings 101
5.3RecommendationsforSierraLeone 103
6. RECOMMENDATIONS FOR FURTHER RESEARCH 104
ANNEX 1: MINI-GRID BUSINESS MODELS 105
ANNEX 2: MINI-GRID POLICY, REGULATORY AND INSTITUTIONAL LANDSCAPE IN SIERRA LEONE AND NIGERIA 107
ANNEX 3: MINI-GRID COMMUNITY ENGAGEMENT 111
ANNEX 4: RESEARCH METHODOLOGY AND ANALYTIC FRAMEWORK 113
ANNEX 5: STAKEHOLDER CONTACT LIST 123
KEY DEFINITIONS 124
REFERENCES 127
COPYRIGHT AND DISCLAIMER 131
4
FIGURES
FigureES-1:Mini-GridCommunityProductiveUseSurveyResults 15
Figure1:SierraLeoneRISEElectricityAccessandFrameworkforMini-GridsScores,2015–2019 21
Figure2:DistributionofSettlementsbyLeast-CostElectrificationOption,2030 22
Figure3:MapofRREPMini-Grids 24
Figure4:NigeriaRISEElectricityAccessandFrameworkforMini-GridsScores,2015–2019 26
Figure5:Nigeria’sInstalledMini-GridsbyProjectandCapacity,2019 26
Figure6:TheMini-GridSpaceinRuralElectrification 29
Figure7:OwnershipStructureofPublicandPrivateAssetsundertheRREP 32
Figure8:KeyGovernmentStakeholders,Policies,LawsandRegulationsinSierraLeone’sMini-GridSector 32
Figure9:UserSatisfactionwithMini-GridQualityofService 34
Figure10:NigeriaElectrificationProject:Performance-BasedGrantProgramme 35
Figure11:KeyGovernmentStakeholders,Policies,LawsandRegulationsinNigeria’sMini-GridSector 36
Figure12:SummaryofMini-GridPoliciesandRegulationsinSierraLeoneandNigeria 37
Figure13:Affordabilityvs.SustainabilityinTariffSetting 39
Figure14:KeyStakeholdersInvolvedinTariffSetting 39
Figure15:UserKnowledgeofAmountChargedperkWhofElectricity 56
Figure16:TransitiontoaSustainableMarketforDeliveringEnergyAccess 61
Figure17:ChangeinDailyLoadProfileandLCOEfromIncreasesintheProductiveUseofElectricity 75
Figure18:Mini-GridDeveloperProductive-UseBusinessModels 77
Figure19:EstimatedOff-GridSolarCashMarketPotentialfortheProductive-UseSectorinSierraLeone 78
Figure20:Mini-GridCommunityProductiveUseSurveyResults(WP-1) 81
Figure21: Mini-GridCommunityProductiveUseSurveyResults(WP-2) 82
Figure22:AreaSuitableforSurfaceIrrigationandIdentifiedSettlementsSuitableforOff-GridSolarPumps 85
Figure23:RiceMillingValueChain 87
Figure24:CassavaValueChain 89
Figure25:Cooling-as-a-ServiceBusinessModel 90
Figure26:ColdStoragefortheFisheriesValueChain 92
Figure27:Mini-GridTarifftoAchieve15%IRRUnderDifferentProductive-UseScenarios 94
Figure28:KeyInterventionstoSupportDevelopmentoftheProductive-UseSector 97
Figure29:RoadmapforPUEEquipmentandApplianceIntegrationintoMini-GridDevelopment 98
Figure30:Mini-GridSiteSelectionundertheNigeriaElectrificationProject 101
5
TABLES
BOXES
TableES-1:Mini-GridSubsidyProgrammesinSierraLeoneandNigeria 13
TableES-2:SummaryofRecommendations 17
Table1:Mini-GridElectrificationPlanningApproaches 30
Table2:Mini-GridTariffComponentsandStructures 41
Table3:Mini-GridTariffDeterminationComparison 52
Table4:Mini-GridTariffFrameworksinSierraLeoneandNigeria 53
Table5:TypesandSourcesofProducerSubsidies 58
Table6:Mini-GridSubsidyDisbursementOptions 59
Table7:OverviewofMini-GridSubsidies 62
Table8:SummaryofPreviousandOngoingMini-GridSubsidyProgrammesinNigeria 64
Table9:NigerianEnergySupportProgrammeI:Mini-GridProjectOverview 67
Table10:Mini-GridSubsidySchemes:SummaryofFindings 68
Table11:EvolutionaryRegulationforMini-GridMarketDevelopment 72
Table12:RecommendedRegulatory,Tariff-SettingandSubsidyMechanismsforSierraLeone 73
Table13:INENSUSKMMFeasibilityAssessmentofAgriculturalPUEApplicationsinSierraLeone,2019 80
Table14:RREPMini-GridCommunityFieldSurveys 84
Table15:Mini-GridSiteSelectionCriteria 102
Box1:MobilePowerBatteryRentalPlatform 79
Box2:SolarIrrigationforUgandanFarmers 86
Box3:Mini-HydroPalmOilProcessingPlantinSierraLeone 88
Box4:ColdChainSolutionsforIndianBananaFarmers 90
Box5:JUMEMEFishingIndustryPilotProjectinTanzania 91
6
ABBREVIATIONS
ABC Anchor-Business-CommunityAfDB AfricanDevelopmentBankAMDA AfricaMini-GridDevelopersAssociationARPU AveragerevenueperuserBOO Build-Own-OperateBOT Build-Operate-TransferCaaS Cooling-as-a-ServiceCapex CapitalexpenditureCAPM CapitalAssetPricingModelCEADIR ClimateEconomicAnalysisforDevelopment,InvestmentandResilienceCHC Community health centreDBO Design-Build-OperateDFI DevelopmentFinanceInstitutionDisCo DistributioncompanyDRE DistributedrenewableenergyEaaS Energy-as-a-ServiceEDSA ElectricityDistributionandSupplyAuthorityEEI EnergizingEconomiesInitiativeEGTC ElectricityGenerationandTransmissionCompanyEIA EnvironmentalimpactassessmentEPA EnvironmentalProtectionAgencyESMP EnvironmentalandSocialManagementPlanEU EuropeanUnionEUCS ElectricityUsersCooperativeSocietyEWRC ElectricityandWaterRegulatoryCommissionFCDO Foreign,CommonwealthandDevelopmentOffice(formerlytheDepartmentforInternational Development,DfID),UKFGN FederalGovernmentofNigeriaFI FinancialinstitutionGBP BritishpoundsterlingGoSL GovernmentofSierraLeoneGPRBA GlobalPartnershipforResults-BasedApproachesGST GoodsandservicestaxIBT Increasing block tariff IEC International Electrotechnical Commission IEP IntegratedelectrificationpathwayIFAD InternationalFundforAgriculturalDevelopmentIMAS InterconnectedMini-GridAccelerationSchemeIRR Internal rate of returnKMM KeyMakermodelkW KilowattkWh KilowatthourkWp Kilowattpeak
7
LCOE LevelizedcostofelectricityLV LowvoltageM&E MonitoringandevaluationMAS Mini-GridAccelerationSchemeMCCU MillenniumChallengeCoordinatingUnitMLGRD MinistryofLocalGovernmentandRuralDevelopmentMoE Ministry of EnergyMoF MinistryofFinanceMoHS MinistryofHealthandSanitationMSME Micro,smallandmediumenterpriseMTF Multi-TierFrameworkMW MegawattMYTO Multi-year tariff orderNEP NigeriaElectrificationProjectNERC NigerianElectricityRegulatoryCommissionNESP NigerianEnergySupportProgrammeNGN NigeriannairaNPSP NigeriaPowerSectorProgrammeO&M OperationandmaintenanceOpex OperatingexpenditurePAYG Pay-as-you-goPBG Performance-based grantPPA PowerpurchaseagreementPPP Public-privatepartnershipPRESSD-SL PromotingRenewableEnergyServicesforSocialDevelopmentinSierraLeonePRPM Performance-relatedprofitmarginPUE Productiveuseofenergy/electricityRAB Regulatory asset baseRBF Results-basedfinancingREA RuralElectrificationAgencyREAN RenewableEnergyAssociationofNigeriaREASL RenewableEnergyAssociationofSierraLeoneREEEP RenewableEnergyandEnergyEfficiencyProjectREF RuralElectrificationFundRESIP RuralElectrificationStrategyandImplementationPlanRISE RegulatoryIndicatorsforSustainableEnergyROGEP RegionalOff-GridElectrificationProjectRR RevenuerequirementRREP Rural Renewable Energy ProjectSHS SolarhomesystemSLEWRC SierraLeoneElectricityandWaterRegulatoryCommissionSLL SierraLeoneanleoneSME Smallandmedium-sizedenterpriseTA Technical assistanceTAR TotalallowedrevenueTOU Time of useUNOPS UnitedNationsOfficeforProjectServicesUSD UnitedStatesdollarVAT Value-addedtaxWACC WeightedaveragecostofcapitalWAPP WestAfricanPowerPoolWh WatthourWP WorkpackageWp WattspeakWTP Willingnesstopay
8
ACKNOWLEDGEMENT
ThisreportwascommissionedbySustainableEnergyforAll(SEforALL),withfundingsupportfromtheUK’sForeign,
Commonwealth&DevelopmentOffice(FCDO)andwithadministrativesupportfromtheUnitedNationsOfficefor
ProjectServices(UNOPS)inSierraLeone.
TheSEforALLteamthatoversawthedevelopmentofthereportconsistedofLucSeveri,EmiMizunoandIngridRohrer.
ThereportwaswrittenbyGreenMaxCapitalAdvisorsInc.,ledbyAlexanderLaBua.Otherteammembersinclude:
SegunAdaju,IfechukwudeUwajeh,KoyeAlaba,SophieJohnson,AleeceCooperandCliffordAron.
Wewouldliketothankthenumerousorganizationsandindividualswhocontributedtothefindingsofthereport,including
theMinistryofEnergyinSierraLeone,theSierraLeoneElectricity&WaterRegulatoryCommission(EWRC),Energicity,
PowerGen,andWinchEnergy.Wewouldalsoliketoexpressourgratitudetothenumerouscommunitymembersand
stakeholderswhoprovidedvaluablefeedbackandfacilitatedsitevisitsanddetailedstakeholderinterviews.
ValuableguidanceandoversightwasprovidedbyDamilolaOgunbiyi(ChiefExecutiveOfficerandSpecialRepresentative
oftheUNSecretary-GeneralforSustainableEnergyforAll),KeithHammond(SeniorInfrastructureAdvisor,FCDO),
JasminRoberts(TeamLeader,TechnicalAssistanceandCapacityBuilding,UNOPS)andNicholasGardner(Country
Manager,UNOPS).
WewouldliketothankSEforALLstafffortheirsupport:SameerAhmad,JuanCerda,AndreaStojanovandMeriamOtarra.
WealsoacknowledgethefundingprovidedbytheAustrianDevelopmentAgency,theMinistryforForeignAffairsof
IcelandandtheIKEAFoundationfortheircoresupporttoourwork.Forafulllistofoursupporters,pleasevisitour
website at www.SEforALL.org.
IN SUPPORT OF
9
ThepurposeofthisstudyistoprovidepracticalguidanceandrecommendationstotheGovernmentofSierraLeone
(GoSL)forthesustainabledevelopmentofthecountry’smini-gridsectorbybuildinguponlessonslearnedfromthe
ongoingRuralRenewableEnergyProject(RREP)aswellasfrommini-gridsectordevelopmentinNigeria.Important
lessonscanbelearnedfromthetwocountrieswithrespecttotheirmini-gridpolicyandregulatoryframeworks,market
developmentapproaches,andpotentialoptionsforagriculturalproductiveuseofelectricity(PUE)tofacilitateboth
mini-gridelectrificationandruraleconomicdevelopment.Thisreport—andthisExecutiveSummary—isbroadly
structuredasfollows:Part Icoversmini-gridregulatoryframeworks,tariffstructuresandsubsidies;Part II focuses on
PUEandmini-gridsiteselection.ThisExecutiveSummaryconcludeswithasummary of the report’s main findings and recommendationsforpolicymakersandkeyenergysectorstakeholders.
MINI-GRID FRAMEWORKS, TARIFFS AND SUBSIDIES
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Mini-Grid Electrification Planning and Market Development in Sierra Leone and Nigeria
Mostmini-gridprojectsinnascentmarketshaveslimor
non-existentprofitmargins,asprojectsrequiresignificant
resourcesforpre-feasibility,developmentandoperation
relativetopotentialrevenue,drivenbytheneedto
engagecommunities,theremotenessofsitesandthe
tailor-madenatureofmini-gridprojects.Asupportive
policyandregulatoryframeworkthatde-risksprojects
fordevelopersisthereforecritical,asnascentmarketsare
particularlysensitivetooverly-burdensomeregulation.1
Aboveall,thegoalofaregulatoryframeworkformini-
gridsshouldbetopromotegoodserviceatthelowest
possiblecost-recoverytariffs,whileremainingpredictable
butflexibleenoughtoevolveasthemarketmatures.2
Mini-Grid Policy and Regulatory Frameworks in Sierra Leone and Nigeria
SierraLeonehasoneofthelowestratesofelectricityaccess
intheworld;thecountryhasanationalelectrificationrate
1 PracticalGuidetotheRegulatoryTreatmentofMini-Grids,NationalAssociationofRegulatoryUtilityCommissioners,2017.2 Mini-GridsforHalfaBillionPeople,WorldBankESMAP,2019.3 TrackingSDG7:TheEnergyProgressReport2020.4 Blimpo,M.,andCosgrove-Davies,M.,“ElectricityAccessinSub-SaharanAfrica:Uptake,Reliability,andComplementaryFactorsforEconomicImpact,”
AFDandWorldBank,AfricaDevelopmentForum,(2019):https://openknowledge.worldbank.org/bitstream/handle/10986/31333/9781464813610.pdf?sequence=6&isAllowed=y
5 TrackingSDG7:TheEnergyProgressReport2020.6 StateoftheGlobalMini-GridsMarketReport2020.
of26percent,althoughthisfiguredeclinesto6percent
inruralareaswherethemajorityofthepopulationlives.3
Wheremaingridconnectionsexist,powersupplyis
oftenunreliable,withfewerthanone-thirdoffirmsand
householdsreportingreliableaccesstoelectricitywhen
surveyed.4Thereareanumberofbarrierstoexpanding
grid-basedelectricityaccessandimprovingservicequality,
including a weak and limited transmission and distribution
system;non-technicaldeficiencieswiththeutility,which
resultinhightechnicalandcommerciallosses;insufficient
generationcapacity;seasonalvariabilityinhydropower
production;andinstitutionalandregulatoryconstraints.
InNigeria,accesstoelectricityremainsanongoing
challengeandisakeybarriertoeconomicdevelopment;
thecountryhasanationalelectrificationrateof57percent,
whiletheruralelectricityaccessrateis31percent.5Where
thegridisavailable,consumersexperiencefrequentpower
cutsrangingfromfourto15hoursperday.6Nigeriahas
asignificantelectricitysupplydeficit,withonlyone-third
ofits12.5GWofinstalledgenerationcapacitytypically
available.Meanwhile,tensofmillionsofon-sitediesel
generatorsareusedtomeetthecountry’sactualdaily
10
peakelectricitydemand,whichisestimatedtoexceed
40GW.Thissituationistheresultofseveralfactors:a
stagnation of on-grid generation due to limited additions
ofnewgenerationcapacity;thepoorstateofthenational
gridandacorrespondinglackof investment ingrid
maintenanceandnewtransmissionnetworks;liquidity
issues faced by electricity utilities and distribution
companies(DisCos);andassociatedissuesofcommercial
and technical losses.
A key difference between the two countries is that
SierraLeonedoesnothaveanagencysuchas the
NigerianRuralElectrificationAgency(REA)dedicated
exclusivelytoruralelectrificationandenergyaccess;all
ruralelectrificationplanninginSierraLeoneiscurrently
managedbytheMinistryofEnergy(MoE).WhileSierra
Leonedoesnothavearuralelectrificationmasterplan,
itsoff-gridelectrificationstrategiesarebroadlydefined
initsvariousenergypolicydocuments,includingthe
ElectricitySectorReformRoadmap2017–2030,which
provides a framework for restructuring thepower
sectortoachievelong-termelectrificationobjectives
overthenextdecade.Despitetheexistenceofthis
roadmap,therehasbeennoformaladoptionof its
recommendations,whichmeansnewenergyprojects
arenotimplementedaspartof,orinsupportofan
integratedsectorplan. In themini-gridsector, the
ElectricityandWaterRegulatoryCommission(EWRC)
hasdevelopedacomprehensiveregulatoryframework—
the2019Mini-GridRegulations—thatprovidesspecific
guidanceonlicensingprocedures,consumerservice,
grid interconnection and commercial arrangements to
supportthedevelopmentofmini-grids.
InNigeria,thegovernmentadoptedthe2017Rural
ElectrificationStrategyandImplementationPlan(RESIP),
underwhichtheREAprovidesdeveloperswithfinancial
incentivesandtechnicalsupporttoexpandruralelectricity
access.TheMini-GridRegulationsenactedbytheNigerian
ElectricityRegulatoryCommission(NERC)in2016provide
thenecessaryregulatoryandpermittingguidelinesforthe
developmentandoperationofmini-gridsinthecountry,
including clear guidance on tariff setting through the REA
Mini-Grid Tariff Tool methodology.
Mini-griddevelopmentinSierraLeonehasnotbeenpart
ofanationalstrategybutratherimplementedundertwo
donor-fundedprojects,7thelargestofwhich–theRREP
–followedapublic-privatepartnership(PPP)modelof
7 (1)TheEU-fundedPromotingRenewableEnergyServicesforSocialDevelopmentinSierraLeone(PRESSD-SL)and(2)theRREP.
publicownershipandprivatemanagementdrivenbya
top-downapproach.InNigeria,mini-griddevelopment
has followedamorebottom-up,private sector-led
approach(seeSection 2.1).
Mini-Grid Tariff Frameworks in Sierra Leone and Nigeria
Mini-Grid Regulations
In June2019, theEWRCapproved the2019Mini-
GridRegulations,whichweresubsequentlyratifiedby
parliamentlaterthatyear.Themini-gridregulationsin
SierraLeonecloselymirrorthoseenactedbytheNERCin
2016;bothregulationsincludeprovisionsformarket-entry,
cost-reflectiveretailtariffs,contractualarrangements,
technicalandservicestandards,andthearrivalofthe
maingrid,withuniqueguidelinesandlicensesformini-
gridprojectsbasedoncapacityandwhethertheyare
isolated and interconnected. Section 3.1.1.1 and Section 3.1.1.2 covereachcomponentoftheregulationindetailinSierraLeoneandNigeria,respectively.
Tariff Affordability and Cost of Service
In2016,priortotherolloutoftheRREPinSierraLeone,
a demand assessment carried out by the project
encompassing68ruralcommunities,2,500interviews,
andfeedbackfrom1,950householdrespondentsfound
thathouseholdswouldbenefitfromsavingsofupto52
percentwiththeadventofmini-gridelectricity,based
onaveragecostsofalternativesourcesofenergy(i.e.,
expendituresonkerosene,batteries,fueletc.).Thesurvey
estimatedtheaverageamountruralcustomerswereable
topaywasapproximatelyUSD6/month(SLL59,400/
month),mainlyforlighting,mobilephonechargingand
other household uses. The study also found that rates
of electricity demand could increase by a factor of 20
withthearrivalofmini-gridelectrification,withaverage
consumptionbetween3.5and6.3kWhpermonthper
household.SubsequentstudiesconductedbytheMoE
followingtheinceptionoftheprojectfoundevidencethat
the cost of electricity from mini-grids remains lower than
alternativesourcesofenergy.
After theWorkPackage1 (WP-1)mini-gridsbegan
operatingin2019(seeSection 1.1.2 foradescriptionoftheRREPWorkPackages),80percentofmini-grid
communityrespondentssurveyedbytheGreenMaxfield
11
research team who did not connect to the mini-grid cited
affordability of the electricity tariff as the main reason for
not connecting.8TheinitialtariffsforWP-1sitesranged
fromUSD0.82/kWhto0.87/kWh,withanaveragetariff
levelofaboutUSD0.85/kWh.Giventhefocusonproviding
accessforWP-1sites(i.e.,targetingsmallersitesinorder
toavoiddeliberateselectionofonlylargerandmore
economicallyattractivelocations),theseinitialsiteshad
alowertargetednumberofcustomers.Thisdynamic—
smallersiteswithrelativelylimiteddemand—combined
withhighprojectdevelopmentandoverheadcostsfor
developers,contributedtoahighertariff,whichwas
necessarytomakeprojectsbankable.Anotherfactorthat
increasedcostswastheinitialrequirementforoperatorsto
maintainareserveaccountforWP-1batteries,9 which has
sincebeenaddressedthroughanFCDOsubsidyunder
WorkPackage7(WP-7)oftheRREP.10
Underthenextphaseoftheproject,WorkPackage2(WP-
2),operatorsareco-investinginthedevelopmentof40+
largermini-gridsundera“split-asset”modelinwhichthe
GoSLiscoveringthecapitalcostsofthedistributionassets.
Astheoperatorsbegintoconnectmorecustomersand
bringlargermini-gridsystemsonline,projectdevelopment
costs are gradually decreasing. The most recent round of
tariffnegotiations,combiningtheWP-1andWP-2sites,
resultedinarangeofUSD0.74/kWhto0.82/kWh,with
anaveragetariffofUSD0.79/kWh.11
Bycomparison,accordingtotheREA,mini-gridtariffsin
NigeriarangefromUSD0.39/kWhto0.79/kWh(NGN
150/kWh–300/kWh),withanaveragetarifflevelofabout
USD0.58/kWh(NGN220/kWh).12Interviewswithmini-grid
operatorsinNigeriafoundthattherehavebeenrelatively
fewcomplaints fromcommunitiessurroundingtariff
affordability,asthemajorityofendusersspendlesson
electricityfromthemini-gridthantheydidonexpensive
andpollutingalternativesourcesofenergypriortothe
mini-grid’sinstallation.Forinstance,thelevelizedcostof
electricity(LCOE)fromasmalldieselgeneratorisatleast
USD0.75/kWh(NGN250/kWh)andisvulnerabletofuel
pricevolatility.13
8 NB:Thesefindingsdonotreflectthefactthatperceptionsonaffordabilitydonottakeintoaccounttheincreaseinconsumerspendingonelectricityfromthemini-gridasaresultoftheuseofappliances,theyalsodonotreflectalike-to-likecomparisonofend-userspendingonelectricityfromthemini-gridincomparisontoexpensiveandpollutingalternativesourcesofenergypriortothemini-grid’sinstallation.
9 Asubstantialdelaybetweenthetimethemini-gridsystemswereinstalledandthesiteswereelectrified(mainlyduetodelaysinthetenderingprocess)ledtothecapacityreductionofbatteries.
10 http://www.energy.gov.sl/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/Fact-sheet_RREP-Updated-September-2020.pdf11 Stakeholderconsultations,2021.12 Figuresarefromsolarhybridmini-gridsranginginsizefrom30-234kWpthathavebeencommissionedundertheAfDB/WorldBankNigeria
ElectrificationProject(NEP)Performance-BasedGrantProgrammeandtheEU/GIZNigerianEnergySupportProgrammeI(NESPI);seeTable8inSection3.2.1.2.
13 “Mini-GridInvestmentReport:ScalingtheNigerianMarket,”RockyMountainInstitute,(2018):https://rmi.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/08/RMI_Nigeria_Minigrid_Investment_Report_2018.pdf
14 WorldBank:Povertyheadcountratioatnationalpovertylines:https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SI.POV.NAHC?locations=NG-SL
Key Drivers of the Disparity in Tariffs between Sierra Leone and Nigeria
Itisimportanttoprovidecontextaroundthesenumbers
inordertounderstandwhatisdrivingthedisparityin
tariffsbetweenthetwocountries.Despitetheabove-
mentioned similarities in theirmini-gridpolicyand
regulatoryframeworks,therearealsoseveralimportant
differencesbetweenthemini-gridmarketsinSierraLeone
andNigeria,includinginter alia:
• The two mini-grid markets are at different stages of
developmentandhavepursueddifferentmini-grid
planningapproaches(seeSection 2.1)andsubsidyschemes(seeSection 3.2).
• ThelargersizeoftheNigerianmarket(andincreased
scaleofelectricitydemand)playsanimportantrolein
drivingcostreductionsvis-à-visSierraLeone,where
therearefewermini-gridcustomersinmoresparsely
populatedruralvillages.
• HouseholdincomelevelsarelowerinSierraLeone(56.8
percentnationalpovertyheadcountratiocomparedto
40.1percentinNigeriain2018),contributingtoalower
householdconsumptionrate.14
Itisimportanttoemphasizethatalthoughthemini-grid
tariffinSierraLeoneisconsideredunaffordablebymany,
alargenumberofmini-gridcustomershadneverused
electricityinthisformpriortothearrivalofthemini-
gridandendedupconsumingmoreelectricitythanthey
couldafford.Publicandprivatesectorresourcesshould
thereforefocusheavilyoncommunitysensitization,
consumer education and training around electricity
usageandexpenditures,energyefficiency,mini-grid
loadcapacity,applianceusage,PUE,andotherbenefits
andcostsavingsofmini-gridelectrification.Asconsumer
awarenessaroundenergyusageandexpenditures
improvesovertime,mini-gridusagecanbeoptimized.
AstheSierraLeoneanmini-gridmarketcontinuestoevolve
andelectricitydemandincreases,tariffsareexpectedto
continuetodecrease.Indeed,asisindicatedabove,the
12
Photo:GreenMaxCapitalAdvisorsInc.
mostrecenttariffsinSierraLeonearealreadycomparableto
thehigherendofthespectrumofmini-gridtariffsinNigeria.
Section 3.1.2.2 providesadetailedsummaryoffindingsvis-à-vismini-gridtariffframeworksinSierraLeoneandNigeria.
Mini-Grid Subsidy Schemes in Sierra Leone and Nigeria
InSierraLeone,theRREPutilizeddonorandgovernment
fundstocoverallofWP-1constructionexpensesandalso
providedan‘in-kind’subsidytooperatorsbycovering
thecapitalcostsofthedistributionassetsunderWP-2,
thereby enabling them to charge a lower connection fee
tocustomers.However,wheninterviewed,operators
indicatedthatthepre-financingmechanismunderthe
RREPwasnotnecessarilytheirpreferredapproach,as
theywouldhavepreferredanalternativestructurethat
mayhaveprovidedthemwithmoreflexibility.15
15 Stakeholderinterviews,2020.16 AfDBGreenMini-GridMarketDevelopmentProgramme-Mini-GridMarketOpportunityAssessment:SierraLeone,2019.
Inaddition, theFinanceActof2017providesduty
exemptionson the importationof solarequipment
(excludingancillarymaterials suchasbatteriesand
invertersetc.)thatmeetsInternationalElectrotechnical
Commission (IEC)globalqualitystandards,andthe
FinanceActof2021providescorporatetaxexemptions
andagoodsandservicestax(GST)waiverformini-grid
projects.Whilethesefiscalincentivesshouldostensibly
result in lower tariffs, theprocess for the2017 tax
exemptionisnotfullyclearandrequirestheadoptionof
streamlinedprocedurestomakeitsimplerforoperators
toapplyforthem.16The2021exemptionshaveyettobe
implemented,soitistooearlytodrawanyconclusions
regardingtheirefficacy.
Acomparativeanalysisofpreviousandongoingmini-
gridsubsidyprogrammesinSierraLeoneandNigeriais
presentedinTable ES-1.
13
TABLE ES-1Mini-Grid Subsidy Programmes in Sierra Leone and Nigeria
17 OdysseyEnergySolutionsisaweb-baseddataplatformtosimplify,streamline,andreducethecostsofdevelopingandfinancingmini-gridsinemerging markets.
Indicator Summary of Lessons Learned
Speed of delivery • Similartomostprogrammesofitssize,scopeandambition,theRREPis
complexinitsdesign,involvinglengthynegotiationandfinancingprocesses
thatrequiresignificantresourcestomanage;programmedelayswerelargely
attributedtoextendedapplicationprocessestoobtainlicensesandother
permits,aswellastoongoinggeneralelectionsinSierraLeoneinearly2018.
Continuouslearningbydoing(byregulators,developersandcommunities)and
thesubsequentrefinementandstreamliningofpermitting/contractnegotiation
processesisakeylessonlearned.
• A key area of consideration for mini-grid contracts is that contract negotiations
forenergyprojectsinSierraLeonetypicallytake18monthsfromthestartof
thenegotiationprocesstoapprovalatthecabinetlevel.Theseprocesseswere
transferredtothenegotiationoftheRREPPPPcontract,whichinvolvedallthe
same stakeholders as energy IPP contracts.
• Thefirstmini-griddeployedundertheNigeriaElectrificationProject(NEP)
thatutilizesresults-basedfinancing(RBF)wascommissionedinDecember
2019–justthreemonthsaftertheproject’sgrantagreementsigningunderthe
performance-basedgrant(PBG)componentoftheprogrammeandninemonths
aftertheprogrammewaslaunched.AccordingtotheREA,thetransparencyand
speedoftheNEPprocessisduetothee-procurementmethodutilizedtogether
withthenationaldatamanagementplatform,Odyssey.17
• RecentexperiencewithvariousauctionprogrammesinNigeria(MST,MAS,
IMAS,REF)suggeststhatthisstructureisgenerallymorepronetodelays.
Nevertheless,itisworthnotingthattheNEPhasalsofacedsomedelaysrelated
toalackofaccesstofinance,developers’limitedcapacityandengagement
withdistributioncompanies(DisCos).
• AkeytakeawayfromtheexperienceinNigeriathusfaristheneedforsome
earlydisbursementofsubsidies,particularlyinthecontextoftheCOVID-19
crisis,as40percentoftheRBFpaymentsundertheNEPPBGhadtobepaid
up-fronttoreducedelaysduetofinancingdifficulties,whilethebalanceispaid
after90daysaccordingtotheoriginalpaymentschedule.Thereisalsoaneed
fortheprovisionofconcessionallocalcurrencydebtfacilities(e.g.,theabove-
mentionedNigeriaInfrastructureDebtFund)aswellastechnicalassistance(TA)
tosupportdeveloperswithaccesstofinanceneededtocovertheportionof
capexnotcoveredbysubsidies.
14
Indicator Summary of Lessons Learned
Tariff Reduction • Averageend-usermini-gridtariffsforsolarhybridmini-gridsinSierraLeone
startedwithanaverageofUSD0.85/kWh(USD0.82/kWh–0.87/kWh)forWP-1
sitesin2019,whichrecentlycamedowntoanaverageofUSD0.79/kWh(USD
0.74/kWh–0.82/kWh)forWP-1andWP-2sitescombined,whiletheaverage
tariffinNigeriaisUSD0.58/kWh,witharangeofUSD0.39–0.79/kWh.
• InSierraLeone,asoperatorsbegintoconnectmorecustomersandbringlarger
mini-gridsystemsonline,projectdevelopmentcostsaregraduallydecreasing.
• InNigeria,thereisadirectcorrelationbetweenthelevelofsubsidyandthe
tariffs.AcomparisonoftheREFandNEPPBGprogrammesshowsthatREF
subsidiescover50-70percentofcapex,whiletheNEPPBGcoversonlyabout
30percent.Consequently,tariffsforNEPsitesaregenerallyhigherby25-108
percentcomparedtotariffsforREFsites.Itisworthnotingthatthereareother
factorsthatinfluencetariffs,includinglocation,presenceofproductiveuses,
costoffinancing,siteaccessibilityetc.
Economies of scale
• OperatorsinSierraLeoneopinedthattheRREPwasstructuredinawaythat
doesnotallowthemtosufficientlytakeadvantageofeconomiesofscale.
• InNigeria,discussionswiththeREArevealedthatitwouldliketoseeprivate
companiesdeveloplargeportfoliosofmini-gridsitestorealizeeconomies
ofscale,whichcouldpotentiallyleadtoareductionintariffs.UndertheNEP
MinimumSubsidyTender,developersareallowedtodevelop40-50sites
together.However,giventhattheprogrammehasyettoprogresstothe
implementationstage,thecostreductionimpactsofthismechanismcannotbe
assessed.
Photo:GreenMaxCapitalAdvisorsInc.
15
PRODUCTIVE USE OF ENERGY AND SITE SELECTION
DOES THE SOLAR MINI-GRID SUPPORT INCREASED PRODUCTIVITY IN ANY OF THESE SECTORS?
FIGURE ES-1Mini-Grid Community Productive Use Survey Results
WHAT TYPE OF PRODUCTIVE-USE ACTIVITIES DO YOU ENGAGE IN?
Source:GreenMaxCapitalAdvisorsfieldsurveys,2020
GRINDING
MILLING
REFRIGERATION
NONE
RICE
PALM OIL
TUBERS/ROOTS
GROUNDNUTS
FISHING
FRUITS
VEGETABLES
8%
46%
38%
8%
27%
14%
9%14%
14%
4%
18%
Productive Use of Electricity and Mini-Grids
InSierraLeone,wheremostofthepopulationlivesin
ruralareasandengagesinsubsistenceagriculture,mini-
gridscanpowerruralagriculturalproductivityandcreate
newbusinessesorexpandexistingoneslinkedtothe
agriculturalvaluechain.
Consultations with rural mini-grid community stakeholders
inSierraLeonefoundthatmillingandrefrigerationare
amongthemostcommonproductive-useapplications,
whilesolarmini-gridelectrificationcansupportincreased
productivityacrossavarietyofagriculturalsectors,led
byrice,palmoil,fish,vegetablesandgroundnutsvia
agriculturalprocessingandcoldstorageapplications
(Figure ES-1).
In Sierra Leone, the ability to pay for mini-grid
electrificationamongruralagrariancommunitiesishighly
dependentupontheseasonalityofincome,cropyield
etc.ThismakestheutilizationofPUEacriticaltoolgoing
forward,asitcanprovideasteadysourceofincomeand
helpincreasethepurchasingpowerofcommunitiesinthe
longterm.Operatorswillalsoneedthesupportofkey
publicandprivatesectorpartnerstoexpandPUE;these
privatesectorpartnershipsandfinancingarrangements
arealreadybeingpursuedunderWP-6oftheRREPwith
fundingfromtheFCDO.
WinchEnergy,operatinginSierraLeone,hasalready
formed several key partnerships to develop local
enterprisesandexpandaccesstoappliancesinitsWP-1
mini-gridcommunities.Thecompanyhaspartnered
withEasySolartoofferconsumerselectricalappliances
16
available on microcredit and is working with the
telecommunicationsoperatorOrangetoexpandaccess
tomobilemoneyservicesinitscommunities.18InNigeria,
undertheNEP,theREAanditsdevelopmentpartners
rolledoutasuccessfulPUEequipment-financingscheme
(inpartnershipwithPowerGen).UndertheEnergizing
EconomiesInitiative(EEI),theREApursuedanend-to-
endapproachforelectrifyingcommercialhubs/economic
clusters.BoththeNEPandEEIinitiativescanserveasa
blueprintforSierraLeonetointegratePUEintomini-grid
development(moreonPUEinSection IV).
Mini-Grid Site Selection in Sierra Leone and Nigeria
InSierraLeone,theRREPbeneficiarycommunitieswere
selectedin2016byasteeringcommitteeledbytheMoE
basedonanationwidelistofvillageswithCommunity
HealthCentres(CHCs)providedbytheMinistryofHealth
andSanitation(MoHS)inthewakeoftheEbolacrisis.The
GoSLselectedthesitesbasedonthefollowingcriteria:
(i)existenceofaCHC;(ii)sizeofthecommunitywith
respecttohouseholds,businessesandpopulationdensity
(aminimumof250structureswasrequiredinorderto
ensureeconomicviability);(iii)distanceofthecommunity
totheCHC(toreducethecostofusingmediumvoltage
lines);and(iv)distanceofthecommunitytoanyexistingor
plannedtransmissionlinesand/ortheexistenceorplanfor
anyotherelectrificationproject.Thecriteriaforselecting
mini-gridsiteswerethesameforbothWP-1andWP-
18 “WinchEnergycelebratesprojectsuccessinSierraLeone,”AfricanReview,(26October2020):https://www.africanreview.com/energy-a-power/renewables/winch-energy-celebrates-project-success-in-sierra-leone
19 Mini-GridInvestmentReport:ScalingtheNigerianMarket,RockyMountainInstitute,2018.
2;however,lessemphasiswasplacedondemand-side
considerationsduringtheinitialWP-1siteselection,which
aboveallprioritizedsupplyingelectricitytotheCHCs.In
contrast,WP-2focusedmoreonPUEopportunities,with
severalstudiescommissionedbyUNOPStosupportthe
operatorsinthisregard(seeSection 4.3.1).
InNigeria,undertheNEP,anRBFmechanismprovides
financialincentivesforprivatesector-leddevelopment
ofidentifiedoff-gridsiteswithhighcustomerdensity
characteristics that are best suited for mini-grid
electrification.AtthecommencementoftheNEPmini-
gridprogrammein2017,theREAsupportedadetailed
surveythatprioritizedover200siteswithdemandof
at least100kWacross five states.Theassessment
utilizedgeoreferenceddatatoassessthefollowingkey
parametersforsiteselection:(i)sufficientload/density;(ii)
productive-use,daytime,andflexibleloads;(iii)supportive
localandstategovernment;(iv)communityengagement;
and(v)accessibility.Detailedsurveyswerecarriedout
ineachselectedcommunityusingacomputer-aided
personalinterviewapponamobiledevice.
TheREAisworkinghardtoengagewithandsensitizethe
identifiedmini-gridcommunities,includingthroughthe
promotionofproductiveactivitiesdesignedtoincrease
employmentandincomeandinturnenablelocalcapacity
andwillingnesstopay.19 Section VprovidesmoredetailssurroundingthesiteselectionapproachesundertheRREP
inSierraLeoneandtheNEPinNigeria.
17
SUMMARY OF RECOMMENDATIONS
A summary of recommendations for mini-grid
policymakers,regulatorsandoperatorsinSierraLeone
ispresentedinTable ES-2.Formoredetails,seealsoSection 3.3,Section 4.5 and Section 5.3.
NOTE:Theanalysis/findingspresentedinthisreportarebasedonamarketassessment(interviews,survey
activitiesetc.)thatwascarriedoutinearlytoclosegap
mid-2020.Themini-gridmarketsinSierraLeoneand
Nigeriaareextremelydynamic,withfrequentchangesand
newdevelopmentsinprogrammestructures,regulatory
frameworks,andotherpublicandprivatesectoractivities
inthesector.Forexample,inlate2020,RREPWP-2sites
inSierraLeonestartedcomingonline;theFCDOprovided
anewtariffsubsidyunderWP-7;andtheEWRCswitched
its tariff regulation methodology to a multi-year tariff order
(MYTO)tool.InNigeria,theNEP’smini-gridcomponents
andprogrammesareonlyjustlaunching,makingitdifficult
todrawanyconclusionsorlessonslearned.TheCOVID-19
pandemichasonlycomplicatedthingsfurther.Wherever
possible,theauthorshavetriedtoaccountforthese
developments,butitissuggestedthatthisdocumentbe
viewedasaworkingdocumenttobeupdatedasthemini-
gridmarketsinbothcountriescontinuetoevolve.
TABLE ES-2Summary of Recommendations
Indicator Summary of Recommendations
GoSL policymakers should…
Policy and Regulatory Framework
• Developandimplementacoherentlong-term strategythatbuildsuponthestrongfoundationoftheRREPandtheexistingregulatoryframeworkandalignstheprioritiesofallmarketactors—government,developers,endusersandfinanciers—tode-riskandmobilizemini-gridfinancingandexpandmini-gridelectrificationinthecountry.Thiscanbeintheformofa‘master plan’butshouldincludeclear national targets for mini-grid expansion in the long term.Thiswillfosterprivatesectorparticipationandprovideclarityandpredictabilitytomini-gridmarketplayers,notablyforinvestorsandcompanieswhoneedtoconsidermulti-yearplansinvolvingsignificantcapitalexpenditureorborrowing.
• Expand the internal capacity of the MoEand/orcreateeitheraseparatedirectorate within the MoE or an entirely new rural electrification agency dedicated to managing therolloutofanationalmini-gridprogramme,withalong-termvisionandtargetsinordertoprovideclarityandpredictabilitytomini-gridmarketplayers.
• Adoptpolicyandplanningapproachesthatcreateopportunitiesfordeveloperstotakeadvantageofeconomies of scale(withfixedcostsspreadoverfarlargervolumesofkWhsold)toreducecostsandexpeditemarketdevelopment(i.e.,allowforabottom-up approachtocoexistinthemarket).
• Streamline import duty exemptionsforsolarequipment,includingtheadoptionofclearguidelinesforallrelevantpublicinstitutions;considerexpandingexistingimportdutyexemptionstocoverancillaryequipmentsuchasdistributionequipment,invertersandbatteriestofurtherreducedevelopmentcosts.
• Implementpolicymeasurestoensure standards/qualityofequipmentintheoff-grid/mini-grid sector.
• SupportlocalmarketgrowththroughcollaborationwiththeRenewableEnergyAssociationofSierraLeone(REASL)(e.g.,tocertifyandtrainlocalentrepreneurs),astheuseoflocalsuppliersandengineerswillreduceprojectdevelopmentcosts.
18
Indicator Summary of Recommendations
Tariff Setting • Utilizeavailabledatatoproposeabenchmark returnonequitybasedonexistingmarketconditionsinSierraLeone(orfinancingopportunitiesformini-gridsinternationally)tosimplifythetariffreviewprocessandprovideaclear market signal to developersontheprofitabilityoftheirpotentialinvestments.
• Makeexplicittherequiredsubsidytoreachacertaintariff(e.g.,viaRBF,perkWhor%capexsubsidies),whichwouldprovideclaritytotheprivatesectorandclearbenchmarksforgovernmentoncostsofdecentralizedelectrificationvs.centralgridexpansion.
Subsidy Mechanisms
• Adoptanup-front cash grant/RBF hybrid scheme(asopposedtoan‘in-kind’subsidy)to reduce project costs and potentially lower tariffs;thehybridstructurewillreducedevelopers’up-frontcapitalconstraintswhilealsoensuringqualityofserviceasdevelopersarefullypaidbasedonthedeploymentandverificationoftheconnections;thevalueofthesubsidyshouldbehighenoughtoachievetariffreduction.
• Adoptasimplified, streamlined and consistent process acrossallrelevantpublicagencies to reduce complexityandtheamountoftime/resourcesrequiredofdevelopersforlicensingandpermitting.
• Adoptaframework contract that can be used on an ongoing basis to streamline projectapprovals,savetimeandreduceprojectdelays/costs.
• Designsubsidyprogrammestoensure quality of constructionbymakingdevelopers/subsidyrecipientsresponsibleforinstallingandtestingallmini-gridassets.
• Incorporatelong-term maintenance of mini-grids in subsidy design.
• Identifyareaswhereprojectdevelopersmayneedsupportandprovidetechnical assistancethroughtheMoEand/ordonor-fundedprogrammes(e.g.,toaccessavailablefinancing,transactionadvisoryservicesetc.).
• Utilizedata analytics and e-procurementtoincreasetransparencyandspeedofprojectdelivery.
• Considerhowsubsidieswilleventuallyberemoved;athree-phase approach can be adoptedtograduallytransitiontowardsasustainablemarket(seeFigure 16 in Section 3.2.1).
Productive Use of Electricity
• Developandimplementprogrammesprovidingtechnicalandfinancialsupporttomini-griddeveloperstostimulatePUE andrevenue-generatingactivitiesinmini-gridcommunities,whichprovideanchorclientsformini-gridpowersupplyandincreasecustomerincomelevelsandpurchasingpower.RollingoutPUEinmini-gridcommunitiesonalargescalewillrequireextensive coordination across various public agencies (e.g.,MoE,MinistryofAgricultureandForestry,MinistryofPlanningandEconomicDevelopment,MinistryofLocalGovernmentandRuralDevelopment),as well as private sector support,includingfromthelocalfinancialsector(e.g.,SierraLeoneAssociationofMicrofinanceInstitutions)toimproveaccesstolocalcurrencyfinancingforthe sector.
• Raise awareness of the benefits and long-term cost savings associated with switching to equipment powered by clean energy;off-gridcommunitiestypicallyuseequipmentthatispoweredbydieselgenerators;thus,thereisaneedforinterventionsinordertoraisecustomerawarenessandprovideassociatedtraining(e.g.,onhowtousenewsolar-poweredequipmentandappliances).
19
Indicator Summary of Recommendations
Productive Use of Electricity
• Incorporateproductive-use appliance and equipment financing for households and small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) into mini-grid business models and planning;providingbusinesssupportservicestoSMEsontheuseofapplianceswillincreaseproductiveactivities,stimulateelectricitydemand,andthusincreasetheiroverallcapacitytopayforelectricityconsumed;grantfundinghasalreadybeenmadeavailablebytheFCDOunderWorkPackage6(WP-6)toincreaseaccesstoPUEamongtheRREPmini-grid communities.
• ProvideTA and financing to help local businesses grow and expand their access to a wider marketfortheirproducts(beyondtheircommunities).
• Apply lessons learned from Nigeria:InNigeria,undertheEEI,theREAidentifiedsuitablecommercialandagriculturalhubsthatcouldbenefitfrommini-gridelectrification,thencarefullyselectedandintegratedappropriatePUEequipmentthroughanappliance-financingmechanismwithongoingbusinessdevelopmentsupport(seeSection 4.5).PolicymakersinSierraLeonecanrefertotheEEIasablueprintforSierraLeonetofollowtointegratePUEintomini-griddevelopment.
Site Selection • Adoptaprivate sector-led model with a dual focus on increasing connections and improving the commercial viability of sites.InNigeria,undertheNEP,theREApursuedacomprehensivesiteselectionapproachthatincludeddetailedsiteassessmentsandcommunitysensitizationinitiatives.
• UtilizeGIS/georeferenced data and other consumer and market intelligence tools20 tosupportthesiteselectionprocess;inNigeria,theREAimplementedanational data management platform(Odyssey)thatprovidesinformationtodevelopers(e.g.,demandforecasting,tariffcalculationetc.)inanefforttostreamlineprojectdevelopmentandimprovecustomerdemandestimationandavoidpowerunderutilization.
• Emphasizeproductive-use activities as the primary method of stimulating electricity demand in the community. Electricity demand assessments currently focus more on personalconsumptionatthehouseholdlevel(e.g.,lightingandphonechargingetc.),whichmayleadtolowerlevelsofelectricityuptakeforprojects.Developersneedbothfinancialandtechnicalassistancefromthegovernmentand/ordevelopmentpartnerstosupportrobustassessmentsofPUEpotentialduringthesiteselectionprocess.
• Pursue a robust community sensitization and consumer education and training campaignaspartofthesiteselectionprocess.Giventhatmini-gridelectrificationremainscheaperthanalternativesourcesofenergycurrentlyutilizedbyruralcommunities(e.g.,purchasingofkeroseneforlighting,dieselforgeneratorsetc.),itcanbededucedthattheinefficientuseofenergyfromthemini-gridisatleastpartiallycontributingtomisperceptionssurroundingaffordabilityinSierraLeone.Enduserswhoarereceivingelectricityaccessforthefirsttimemaylackanunderstandingofhowmuchtheycanaffordtospendonpower.Publicandprivatesectorresourcesshouldthereforefocusheavilyoncommunitysensitization,consumereducationandtrainingaroundelectricityusage(especiallyvis-à-vismonthlyexpenditures),mini-gridloadcapacity,applianceusage,PUE,andotherbenefitsandcost-savingsofmini-gridelectrification.Asconsumerawarenessaroundenergyexpendituresimprovesovertime,mini-gridusagecanbeoptimized.InNigeria,duringtherolloutoftheNEP,theREAledacomprehensiveefforttoraiseawarenessandsensitizeruralcommunitiesbymobilizinglocalstoform/joinElectricityUsersCooperativeSocieties(EUCSs).
20 Off-gridenergyservicescompaniesareincreasinglymakingmoredemand-sidedataavailablethroughcustomerandmarketinsights.Forexample,Nithioprovidesdataoncustomercreditworthiness,expenditurepatterns;Fraymoffersadvancedgeospatialdatasolutions(see:http://www.nithio.comandhttps://fraym.io)
20
INTRODUCTION
1.1 Background and Context of the Assignment
Thepurposeofthisreportistoprovidepracticalguidance
andrecommendationstotheGovernmentofSierraLeone
(GoSL)forthesustainabledevelopmentofthecountry’s
mini-gridsectorbybuildinguponlessonslearnedfrom
theongoingRuralRenewableEnergyProject(RREP)as
wellasfrommini-gridsectordevelopmentinNigeria.The
reportprovidescomparisonsofandlessonslearnedfrom
thetwocountrieswithrespecttotheirmini-gridpolicyand
regulatoryenvironment(includingtariffframeworksand
subsidyschemes),mini-gridproductive-useapplications
(withafocusontheagriculturalsector),andmini-grid
siteselectioncriteria(bothsupply-sideanddemand-side
factors).Thisreportwaspreparedthroughacombination
ofdeskresearchandextensivestakeholderconsultations
withindividualsandorganizationsinSierraLeoneand
Nigeria.Amissionwasalsocarriedouttosurveyrural
mini-grid community end users in Sierra Leone.A
descriptionofthestakeholderengagementactivities,
research methodology and analytic framework can be
found in Annexes 3-5.
1.1.1 Mini-Grid Electrification in Sierra Leone
SierraLeone’spowersectorisrelativelysmall,withslightly
over150MWofinstalledgenerationcapacityoperatedby
thepublicutility,ElectricityGenerationandTransmission
Company(EGTC).Abouthalfofthiscapacitycomesfrom
thermalpower,withhydropowermakingupmostofthe
remainingbalance.SierraLeonehasoneofthelowest
ratesofelectricityaccessintheworld;accordingtothe
2020SDG7TrackingReport,thecountryhasanational
21 TrackingSDG7:TheEnergyProgressReport2020.22 Blimpo,M.,andCosgrove-Davies,M.,“ElectricityAccessinSub-SaharanAfrica:Uptake,Reliability,andComplementaryFactorsforEconomicImpact,”
AFDandWorldBank,AfricaDevelopmentForum,(2019):https://openknowledge.worldbank.org/bitstream/handle/10986/31333/9781464813610.pdf?sequence=6&isAllowed=y
23 “ElectricitySectorReformRoadmap(2017-2030),”MillenniumChallengeCorporation,(2017):http://www.mccu-sl.gov.sl/documents/Sierra%20Leone%20Power%20Sector%20Roadmap.pdf
24 SLEWRCMini-GridRegulations2019:https://ewrc.gov.sl/mini-grid-regulations/
electrificationrateof26percent,althoughthisfigure
declinesto6percentinruralareaswherethemajorityof
thepopulationlives.21Wheremaingridconnectionsexist,
powersupplyisoftenunreliable,withfewerthanone-
thirdoffirmsandhouseholdsreportingreliableaccessto
electricitywhensurveyed.22 There are a number of barriers
toexpandinggrid-basedelectricityaccessandimproving
servicequality,includingaweakandlimitedtransmission
anddistributionsystem;non-technicaldeficiencieswith
theutility,whichresultinhightechnicalandcommercial
losses;insufficientgenerationcapacity;seasonalvariability
inhydropowerproduction;andinstitutionalandregulatory
constraints.
TheGoSLhasbeenworkingwithdevelopmentpartners
toaddressthesebarriersandimproveratesofelectricity
access.In2017,thegovernmentpublishedtheElectricity
SectorReformRoadmap2017–2030,whichprovidesa
policyframeworkforthedevelopmentofthecountry’s
energysectorthrough2030,includingaseriesofreform
measuresandactionstorestructurethepowersector
andachievelong-termelectrificationobjectivesthrough
acombinationofgridextensions,off-gridrenewable
energy mini-grids and stand-alone systems.23Despite
theexistenceofthisroadmap,therehasbeennoformal
adoptionofitsrecommendations,whichmeansnew
energyprojectsarenotimplementedaspartof,orin
supportofanintegratedsectorplan.
In2019,theGoSLapprovedMini-GridRegulations
that provide specif ic guidance on l icensing
procedures,consumerservice,gridinterconnection
andcommercialarrangements(e.g.,tariffsetting)to
supportthedevelopmentofthecountry’smini-grid
sector.24Overall,thegovernment’seffortstoestablish
21
asupportivepolicyandregulatoryframeworkforthe
off-gridsectorareprogressingrapidly.IntheWorld
Bank’sRegulatoryIndicatorsforSustainableEnergy
(RISE)index,SierraLeone’selectricityaccessscorehas
25 WorldBankRegulatoryIndicatorsforSustainableEnergy:https://rise.worldbank.org/country/sierra-leone26 Janse,S.,“Affordableandreliablemini-gridsinSierraLeone,”TUDelftTechnology,PolicyandManagement,(May2019):https://repository.tudelft.
nl/islandora/object/uuid%3Ab98a7726-bb05-430f-832c-53282130edeb27 “RegionalOff-GridElectrificationProject:Off-GridSolarMarketAssessmentandPrivateSectorSupportFacilityDesign:SierraLeoneReport,”World
Bank,ECOWASCenterforRenewableEnergyandEnergyEfficiency,(July2019):http://www.ecreee.org/sites/default/files/ecreee_rogep_sierra_leone_final_report.pdf
28 Theseestimatesarebasedontheassumptionthatallplannedgridextensions/densificationplanswillbecompletedby2030.TheGISanalysisexaminedthepopulationdensity,proximitytoelectricalinfrastructure,andeconomicgrowthpotentialofoff-gridsettlements.
increasedsubstantiallyinrecentyears,withnotable
improvementinitsframeworkformini-grids,which
isabout30percenthigherthantheregionalaverage
(Figure 1).25
FIGURE 1Sierra Leone RISE Electricity Access and Framework for Mini-Grids Scores, 2015–2019
RIS
E S
CO
RE
(O
UT
OF
10
0)
0
10
20
2015 2017 2019
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
FIGURE 1: Sierra Leone RISE Electricity Access and Framework for Mini-Grids Scores, 2015–2019
ELECTRICITY ACESS SCORE SL
FRAMEWORK FOR MINI-GRIDS SCORE SL
SSA REGIONAL AVG. ELECTRICITY ACESS SCORE
Source: Adapted from World Bank Regulatory Indicators for Sustainable Energy (Rise) index.
1723
3633
53
83
Source:AdaptedfromWorldBankRegulatoryIndicatorsforSustainableEnergy(RISE)index.
Todate,therehavebeenalimitednumberofmini-grid
projectsdeployedinthecountry,largelyconcentrated
undertwodonorprogrammes–theEU-fundedPromoting
RenewableEnergyServicesforSocialDevelopmentinSierra
Leone(PRESSD-SL)project,whichinstalledthreesolarmini-
grids,andtheongoingUK-fundedRREP,whichaimsto
developupto5MWofrenewablemini-gridcapacityin
ruralareaswithprivatesectorinvolvement.Outsideofthese
keyinitiatives,aboutanotherdozenmini-gridshavebeen
developedinagrariancommunitiesthroughoutthecountry,
poweredmainlybydieselandhydropower.26
Given the country’s persistently low rates of rural
electrification,distributedgeneration,andmini-grids
inparticular,areexpectedtoplayasignificantrolein
providingelectricityaccesstoruralcommunitiesover
thenextdecade.Accordingtoaleast-costelectrification
analysisconductedin2019fortheWorldBankRegional
Off-GridElectrificationProject(ROGEP),27by2030,an
estimated4,365settlements(about420,000households)
inSierraLeonerepresentingapproximately25percentof
thepopulation,canbeoptimallyelectrifiedbymini-grids
(Figure 2).28
22
FIGURE 2Distribution of Settlements by Least-Cost Electrification Option, 2030
Source:EnergioVerdaAfricaGISanalysis;WestAfricanPowerPool(WAPP).
WorldBank-ECREEERegionalOff-GridElectrificationProject(ROGEP):SierraLeoneReport,2019.
29 AnyusageabovethisthresholdispaidbytheMinistryofHealth.30 MinistryofEnergy-RuralRenewableEnergyProject:http://www.energy.gov.sl/home/rural-renewable-energy-project/
1.1.2 Rural Renewable Energy Project
In2016,SierraLeone’sMinistryofEnergy(MoE)launched
theRREP,fundedbytheUKForeign,Commonwealthand
DevelopmentOffice(FCDO),formerlytheDepartmentfor
InternationalDevelopment(DfID),andadministeredby
theUnitedNationsOfficeforProjectServices(UNOPS).
TheGBP34millionprojectaimstoestablishanenabling
environmentforaprivatesector-drivenruralmini-grid
marketinthecountry,withtheobjectiveofsupplyingupto
5MWofrenewableelectricityinruralcommunitiesthrough
installationsofatleast94solarmini-gridstobeoperated
andmanagedbyprivatesectorpartners.TheRREPisbeing
implementedinseveralphasesoverafive-yearperiod.
Thefirstphase,WorkPackage1(WP-1),involvedthe
installationof6kWpsolargenerationsystems in54
communityhealthcentres(CHCs)aspilotsites in14
districtsacrossSierraLeone.TheMoEselectedtheWP-1
sites in districts that are not already targeted by grid
extensionsorotherruralelectrificationprogrammesand
initiatives.CHCswereestablishedasbaselinefacilities
forelectrificationundertheRREPfollowingtheonsetof
theEbolacrisis,whichmadeitapriorityfortheGoSLto
provideruralhealthclinicswithareliablesourceofpower.
UndertheRREPbusinessmodel,inreturnforuseofthe
landonwhichtobuildthepowerstations,theCHCs
areprovidedwithupto6kWh/dayofelectricity,29 an
arrangementmanagedthroughatripartiteInter-Ministerial
CooperationAgreementsignedbetweentheMoE,the
MinistryofHealthandSanitation(MoHS)andtheMinistry
ofLocalGovernmentandRuralDevelopment(MLGRD).30
Next,underWorkPackage1+,theCHCsystemsin50
ofthecommunitieswereexpandedintosmallmini-grids
withcapacityof16–36kWp,extendingelectricityaccess
tosurroundinghouseholds,schoolsandbusinesses.
23
Constructionofall50WP-1mini-gridswascompletedin
2018underthesupervisionofUNOPS.
UnderthesecondphaseoftheRREP,WorkPackage2
(WP-2),threeprivatesectorcompaniesbidandnegotiated
public-privatepartnership(PPP)agreementswiththeMoE
tooperatetheexistingmini-gridsystemsinstalledunder
WP-1andWP-1+andtoco-investintheelectrification
ofanadditional44ruralcommunitieswithmini-grids
ranginginsizefrom36kWpto200kWp.Underthe
biddingprocess,theRREPsitesweredividedintofour
lotsacrossdifferentregions–Lot1(Kailahun),Lot2(Bo,
Kenema,BontheandPujehun),Lot3(Falaba,Bombaliand
Koinadugu)andLot4(Kambia,PortLokoandMoyamba).
Thethreeselectedoperators—WinchEnergy,PowerGen
andEnergicity—obtainedmini-gridlicensesfromthe
ElectricityandWaterRegulatoryCommission(EWRC)for
theirrespectivelotsandbegansellingelectricitytoWP-1
customersasofQ42019.31Allthreeoperatorshavealso
completedtheirinitialroundoffinancingfordevelopment
oftheWP-2sites.
In addition to mini-grid electrification of rural health
centresandcommunities,theRREPprovidedinstitutional
31 “Mini-GridMarketOpportunityAssessment:SierraLeone,”GreenMini-GridMarketDevelopmentProgramme,AfricanDevelopmentBankandSustainableEnergyFundforAfrica,(November2019):https://greenminigrid.afdb.org/sites/default/files/sierra_leone_gmg_final_report.pdf
32 http://www.energy.gov.sl/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/Fact-sheet_RREP-Updated-September-2020.pdf
capacitybuildingandtechnicalassistance(TA)tothe
MoE, theEWRCandother relevantagenciesunder
WorkPackage3(WP-3),withtheobjectiveofimproving
theregulatoryenvironmentinordertoencourageprivate
sectorinvestmentandfacilitatelong-term,commercially
sustainablemini-griddevelopment andoperations.
Subsequentworkpackagescoveredemergencyresponse
(WP-4)andmonitoringandevaluation(WP-5)functions,
whileWorkPackage6(WP-6)intendstobolsterprivate
sectordevelopment.TheobjectiveofWP-6istostimulate
demandfortheelectricityprovidedtothebeneficiary
communitiesbypromotingproductiveuseofenergy
(PUE)applicationsandprojects,thussupportingthe
commercialviabilityoftheprivately-operatedmini-grids
andimprovingtheeconomicandsocialwelfareoflocal
communities.Grantfundinghasbeenmadeavailableby
theFCDOunderWP-6toincreaseaccesstoproductive-
useequipmentandappliancesamongthemini-grid
communities.WorkPackage7(WP-7)wasapprovedbythe
FCDOin2020tosupportthereductionofmini-gridtariffs
throughadditionalsubsidyfornon-generation,public
assets(namelyelectricitymeteringandindoorconnection
materials)andthereserveaccountforreplacementof
WP-1generationassets(batteriesandinverters).32
24
FIGURE 3Map of RREP Mini-Grids
Source:EnergioVerdaAfricaGISanalysis;WestAfricanPowerPool(WAPP).WorldBank-ECREEERegionalOff-GridElectrificationProject:SierraLeoneReport,2019.NOTE:Existing=WorkPackage1mini-gridsites;Future=WorkPackage2mini-gridsites.
33 TrackingSDG7:TheEnergyProgressReport2020.34 “StateoftheGlobalMini-GridsMarketReport2020:Trendsofrenewableenergyhybridmini-gridsinSub-SaharanAfrica,Asiaandislandnations,”
BloombergNewEnergyFinance,Mini-GridsPartnershipandSustainableEnergyforAll,(July2020):https://www.seforall.org/system/files/2020-06/MGP-2020-SEforALL.pdf
35 “Mini-GridMarketOpportunityAssessment:Nigeria,”AfricanDevelopmentBankGreenMini-GridMarketDevelopmentProgramme,(June2018):https://greenminigrid.afdb.org/sites/default/files/minigrid_market_opportunity_assessment_nigeria_june_2018.pdf
1.1.3 Mini-Grid Electrification in Nigeria
NigeriaisAfrica’smostpopulousnationandhasitslargest
economy.Morethan80percentofinstalledcapacitycomes
from thermal generation with most of the remaining balance
comingfromhydropower.Accesstoelectricityremains
an ongoing challenge and is a key barrier to economic
development;accordingtothe2020SDG7TrackingReport,
thecountryhasanationalelectrificationrateof57percent,
whiletheruralelectricityaccessrateis31percent.33Where
thegridisavailable,consumersexperiencefrequentpower
cutsrangingfromfourto15hoursperday.34TheFederal
GovernmentofNigeria(FGN)hassetatargettoincrease
thenationalelectrificationrateto90percentby2030and
aimstoachieveuniversalaccessby2040.
Nigeriahasasignificantelectricitysupplydeficit,withonly
one-thirdofits12.5GWofinstalledgenerationcapacity
typicallyavailable.Meanwhile,tensofmillionsofon-site
dieselgeneratorsareusedtomeetthecountry’sactual
dailypeakelectricitydemand,whichisestimatedtoexceed
40GW.35Thissituationistheresultofseveralfactors:a
stagnation of on-grid generation due to limited additions of
newgenerationcapacity;thepoorstateofthenationalgrid
andacorrespondinglackofinvestmentingridmaintenance
andnewtransmissionnetworks;liquidityissuesfacedby
electricityutilitiesanddistributioncompanies(DisCos);and
associated issues of commercial and technical losses.
Inordertoaddressthesechallengesandachieveits
energyaccess targets,Nigeriawillneedtoprovide
25
electricitytomorethan1millionhouseholdsperyear
andaddanestimated25GWtoitspowergeneration
capacity. This will require solutions beyond grid
extensions,namelytheutilizationofoff-gridstand-alone
systems and distributed generation from isolated and
interconnectedmini-gridstoprovideaccessinruralareas
aswellasinurbanandperi-urbanareasthatreceivevery
unreliablecentrally-generatedpower.Theeconomicsfor
off-gridsolarareextremelyadvantageousinNigeria,as
asignificantshareoftheeconomyisalreadypoweredby
small-scalegeneratorsandnearlyhalfofthepopulation
haslimitedornoaccesstothegrid.Thecountry’svastand
underdevelopedmini-gridsectoroffersrevenuepotential
ofanestimatedUSD8billion(NGN2.8trillion)annually.36
Initselectrificationplanning,theRuralElectrification
Agency(REA)ofNigeriaestimatesthatmini-gridswill
represent the least-cost electrificationmethod for
approximately15.3millionpeople.37
The FGN has prioritized off-grid solutions in its
electrificationplanningandiscurrentlyimplementing
severalpolicies,programmesandfinancialinterventionsto
supportthedevelopmentofthecountry’srapidlygrowing
off-gridsector.Under the2017RuralElectrification
StrategyandImplementationPlan(RESIP),theREAwill
administeraRuralElectrificationFund(REF)toprovide
developerswithfinancial incentivestoexpandrural
electricity access.38 The Mini-Grid Regulations enacted
by theNigerianElectricityRegulatoryCommission
(NERC) in 2016 provide the necessary regulatory
36 Mini-GridInvestmentReport:ScalingtheNigerianMarket,RockyMountainInstitute,2018.37 Babamanu,S.,“CreatinganEnablingEnvironmentfora10,000Mini-GridsMarket:WorldBankMini-GridActionLearningEventandSummit,”
RuralElectrificationAgency,(June2019):https://atainsights.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/06/7.-Suleiman-Babamanu-Nigeria-Rural-Electrification-Agency-1.pdf
38 “RuralElectrificationStrategyandImplementationPlan,”FederalMinistryofPower,WorksandHousing,RuralElectrificationAgency,(2016):http://rea.gov.ng/file/2017/09/RESIP.pdf
39 WorldBankRegulatoryIndicatorsforSustainableEnergy:https://rise.worldbank.org/country/nigeria40 StateoftheGlobalMini-GridsMarketReport2020.41 Mini-GridInvestmentReport:ScalingtheNigerianMarket,RockyMountainInstitute,2018.
andpermittingguidelinesforthedevelopmentand
operationofmini-gridsinthecountry,includingclear
guidance on tariff setting through the REA Mini-Grid
TariffToolmethodology.Fundingintheformofsubsidies
providedunderprogrammessuchastheWorldBank
and AfricanDevelopmentBank(AfDB)-fundedNigeria
ElectrificationProject(NEP),theGIZ-fundedMini-Grid
AccelerationScheme(MAS)andInterconnectedMini-Grid
AccelerationScheme(IMAS)amongothers,hassupported
thedevelopmentandinstallationofmini-gridsacrossthe
country,allowingoperatorstochargemoreaffordable
tariffs.MuchlikeSierraLeone,Nigeria’sWorldBankRISE
electricityaccessscorehasimprovedsharplyinrecent
years,drivenbytheimplementationofenablingpolicies
andregulationsintheoff-gridsector–particularlyfor
mini-grids,withNigeriareceivingaperfectscoreinthis
categoryinthe2019RISEindex(Figure 4).39
Thenumberofcommercialmini-griddevelopershas
growntoatleastnineactivemembersoftheNigerian
chapteroftheAfricaMini-GridDevelopersAssociation
(AMDA).Attheendof2019,Nigeriahadanestimated
59mini-grids(2.8MWofinstalledcapacity),ofwhich
52usedsolar(Figure 5).40 The number of commercial
mini-gridsissettoincreaserapidly,withanestimated
200projectscurrentlyinthepipeline,whichwouldyield
approximatelyanadditional10MWofinstalledmini-
gridcapacitythroughoutNigeriaand,atcurrentcosts
fordevelopment,wouldrequireUSD28million(NGN10
billion)ininvestment.41
26
FIGURE 4Nigeria RISE Electricity Access and Framework for Mini-Grids Scores, 2015–2019
RIS
E S
CO
RE
(O
UT
OF
10
0)
0
10
20
2015 2017 2019
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
FIGURE 4: Nigeria RISE Electricity Access and Framework for Mini-Grids Scores, 2015 2019
OVERALL ELECTRICITY ACCESS SCORE
FRAMEWORK FOR MINI-GRIDS SCORE
SSA REGIONAL AVG. ELECTRICITY ACESS SCORE
Source: Adapted from World Bank Regulatory Indicators for Sustainable Energy (Rise) index.
22
3540
70 72
100
Source:AdaptedfromWorldBankRegulatoryIndicatorsforSustainableEnergy(RISE)index.
FIGURE 5Nigeria’s Installed Mini-Grids by Project and Capacity, 2019
NUMBER OF MINI-GRIDS INSTALLED
0,0
5,0
10,0
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
15,0
20,0
25,0
30,0
35,0
40,0
45,0
FIGURE 5: Nigeria’s Installed Mini-Grids by Project and Capacity, 2019
SOLAR
HYDRO
SOLAR HYBRID
Source: SEforAll State of the Global Mini-Grids Market Report, 2020.
OTHER
SOLAR
SOLAR HYBRID
HYDRO
OTHER
CUMULATIVE INSTALLED CAPACITY (MWp)
0,0
0,2
0,4
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
0,6
0,8
1,0
1,2
1,4
1,6
1,8
Source: SEforALLStateoftheGlobalMini-GridsMarketReport,2020.
28
MINI-GRID ELECTRIFICATION PLANNING AND DEVELOPMENT IN SIERRA LEONE AND NIGERIA
2.1 Mini-Grid Electrification Planning and Development
This section presents a brief overview of the key
componentsofmini-gridpolicydevelopment—including
planningmethodsandbusinessmodels—whichhave
implicationsforthespeedofdelivery,thetariffframework,
andtheassociatedfundingrequiredfordevelopment
and/orsubsidies.
Theaimofmini-grid sectorpolicyand regulation
is to direct the industry’s performance towards
improvingthecollectivebenefitgainedbycustomers
andoperators.42 Inunregulatedmarkets,mini-grid
operatorsdeterminethetariffchargedtocustomers.
Government-implementedpoliciesandregulations
formini-gridsthattakeintoconsiderationtheirunique
requirements(size,typicalcustomerclass,etc.)are
capableofsupportingpoliciesthatpromotemini-
griddevelopment.Whentheseframeworksareclear,
consistent,enforceableandtransparent,andreflect
thecommercialandeconomicrealitiesofthemarket,
theyengenderconfidenceinpotentialfinanciers, and
inthelong-termviabilityofmini-gridsasanoff-grid
electrificationmodelforagivenmarket.Wherepolicy
andregulatoryframeworksfallshortofthesestandards,
theycanconstitutebarrierstogrowthoftheprivate
mini-grid sector.43
Mostmini-gridprojectsinnascentmarketshaveslim
ornon-existentprofitmargins,asprojects require
significantresourcesforpre-feasibility,development
andoperationrelativetopotentialrevenue,drivenby
theneedtoengagecommunities,theremotenessof
42 BatlleC.,andOcañaC.,“ElectricityRegulationPrinciplesandInstitutions:RegulationofthePowerSector,”Springer,London,2013.https://link.springer.com/chapter/10.1007%2F978-1-4471-5034-3_3
43 USAID:https://www.usaid.gov/energy/mini-grids/regulation/elements44 PracticalGuidetotheRegulatoryTreatmentofMini-Grids,NationalAssociationofRegulatoryUtilityCommissioners,2017.45 Mini-GridsforHalfaBillionPeople,WorldBankESMAP,2019.46 Kyriakarakos,G.andPapadakis,G.,“MultispeciesSwarmElectrificationforRuralAreasoftheDevelopingWorld,”Applied Sciences,9,(2019):
https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/9/19/3992/htm47 “ThePotentialforAlternativePrivateSupplyofPowerinDevelopingCountries,”EconomicConsultingAssociates(ECA),WorldBank(2014):https://
www.eca-uk.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/10/APS_Report.pdf
sitesandthetailor-madenatureofmini-gridprojects.
Asupportivepolicyandregulatoryframeworkthat
de-risksprojectsfordevelopersisthereforecritical,
asnascentmarketsareparticularlysensitivetooverly-
burdensome regulation.44Aboveall, thegoalofa
regulatory framework for mini-grids should be to
promotegoodserviceatthelowestpossiblecost-
recoverytariffs,whileremainingpredictablebutflexible
enoughtoevolveasthemarketmatures.45
2.1.1 Mini-Grid Electrification Planning
Ruralelectrificationcanbeaccomplishedusingsome
combinationofthreemainapproaches:gridextensions,
mini-grids,andsolarhomesystems(SHSs).Inruralareas
ofSub-SaharanAfrica,theaveragecostofelectrification
(perconnection)isestimatedtobebetweenUSD2,000
and3,000forgridextensions,USD500and1,200for
mini-grids,andUSD150and500forSHSs.46When
comparingthecostbetweendifferentsolutions,itis
importanttoconsiderthetierofenergyaccessprovided
(seeKey Definitions).Inelectrificationplanning(Figure 6),someofthefactorsthatdeterminewhetheramini-gridisoptimalfordeliveringenergyaccessincludeinter alia
thecostofelectricityfromthemaingrid;thecommunity’s
distancefromthemaingrid,incomelevels,economic
activitiesandwillingnesstopay(WTP)forelectricity;
whetherthecommunityisscatteredorconcentrated;the
availabilityandcostofenergysourcesusedtopowerthe
mini-grid(solar,wind,hydropower,bioenergy,dieselfuel,
orsomehybridofthesetechnologies);andthecostof
alternativeenergysources(kerosene,dieselgeneration
etc.).47Throughanintegratedplanningapproachand
supportiveregulation,governmentscandeploymini-grids
29
toserveareasthatcannotbereachedbythenationalgrid,
orthatrequiremoreelectricitythancanbeprovidedby
48 PracticalGuidetotheRegulatoryTreatmentofMini-Grids,NationalAssociationofRegulatoryUtilityCommissioners,2017.49 “Mini-Grid Policy Toolkit: Policy and Business Frameworks for SuccessfulMini-Grid Roll-outs,” EuropeanUnion Energy Initiative
PartnershipDialogueFacility(EUEIPDF),(2014):http://www.euei-pdf.org/sites/default/files/field_publication_file/RECP_MiniGrid_Policy_Toolkit_1pageview_%28pdf%2C_17.6MB%2C_EN_0.pdf
50 Tenenbaum,B.,Greacen,C.,Siyambalapitiya,T.,andKnuckles,J.,“FromtheBottomUp:HowSmallPowerProducersandMini-GridsCanDeliverElectrificationandRenewableEnergy inAfrica,”WorldBank, (2014):https://openknowledge.worldbank.org/bitstream/handle/10986/16571/9781464800931.pdf?sequence=1&isAllowed=y
stand-alonesystems,thusensuringalignmentbetween
ruralelectrificationandeconomicdevelopmentgoals.48
FIGURE 6The Mini-Grid Space in Rural Electrification49
UNSUBSIDIZED ELECTRICITY RETAIL
COST ON SITE[EURO/kWh]
NATIONAL GRID EXTENSION
LARGEHIGH
CLOSEEASY
STRONG
SMALLLOWFAR
COMPLEXWEAK
SIZE OF COMMUNITYDENSITY OF POPULATION
DISTANCE TO NATIONAL GRIDCOMPLEXITY OF TERRAIN
ECONOMIC STRENGTH
“MINI-GRID SPACE”
SOLAR HOME SYSTEMS AND PICO PV
FIGURE 6: The Mini-Grid Space in Rural Electrification49
Source: INENSUS, Mini-Grid Policy Toolkit.Source:INENSUS,Mini-GridPolicyToolkit.
In the context of mini-grid sector development,
governmentregulationfallsalongaspectrumoflight-
handed to comprehensive regulation.Determining
theappropriatelevelofregulationdependsonmarket
conditionsandpoliticalwill,amongotherfactors,and
canbeachievedthroughflexibleregulationthatevolves
as themarketmatures. Likewise,governments can
adoptacentralized/top-downapproachtoplanning,
a decentralized/bottom-up approach, or some
combinationofthetwo.Eachapproachhaskeytrade-
offsthatpolicymakersandregulatorsneedtoconsider
whendeterminingwhatismostappropriatefortheir
nationalcontext.Duringregulatoryframeworkdesign,
policymakersshouldallowbothtop-downandbottom-up
approaches(Table 1)tocoexistinthemarketandshouldnotrestrictthemselvestoaparticularapproach.50
30
TABLE 1Mini-Grid Electrification Planning Approaches
Electrification Planning Approach Advantages Disadvantages
Top-DownUnderacentralized,top-downapproach,thegovernmentidentifiessitesformini-griddevelopmentandleadsprocurementofdevelopersforeachsite;thisapproachoftenincludesagovernmentalroleinthedevelopmentand/orownershipofmini-gridassets.Atop-downapproachisusuallyassociatedwithsomeformofincentivefordevelopers,suchasasubsidyand/orguaranteethattheoperatorcanhaveanexclusiverighttosupplyagivenserviceareawithoutthreatofcompetitionforagivenperiod.
• Allowsgovernmenttocontrolthemini-griddevelopmentprocess,increasing the likelihood that siteswillbedeveloped,whilesimultaneouslyremovingtheearly-stagecostsofdevelopmentthatwouldhavebeenbornebyadeveloper
• Ensuresthatmini-griddevelopersprovideaccesstoall,includingthemostvulnerablehouseholds;mayleadtoamoreequitablepathwaytoachievinguniversalelectricityaccess
• Requiressignificantfinancialandhumanresources,aswellascoordinationonthepartofgovernmentauthorities
• Requiressignificantcapacitytoidentifyandassesssites,developandmanageapprovalprocesses,andmanagecompetitivebiddingprocesses,amongotherresponsibilities
• May constrain the ability of entrepreneursandcommunitiestodevelopprojectsinareasnotincludedincentralizedplans,therebyhinderingexperimentationwithinnovativebusinessmodels
Bottom-UpAdecentralized,bottom-upapproachreliesondeveloperstotaketheinitiativetoidentifyanddevelopsites;underthisapproach,thegovernmentstillmanagestheregulatoryframeworkforsitedevelopment(e.g.,bydevelopingeligibilityrequirementsforprojects)butusuallydoesnotprocuredevelopers.Theremayormaynotbeasubsidyincluded,andthereisusuallynoprotectionfromcompetitionthrough concession contracts or a tariff-setting framework.
• Takesadvantageofthediverseknowledge and skills that developersbringinidentifyinganddevelopingsites
• Canreducedevelopmentcostsandrisks,sincedevelopershavemoreinfluenceoverthedirectionofprojects
• Fosterscompetitionandallowsprogresstomoveatthepaceoftheprivatesector,providedthatthegovernmenthassetupanenablingregulatoryenvironment
• May lead to confusion and lack ofcoordination,particularlyifmultipledevelopersareinterestedinpursuingprojectsinthesamearea,orifadeveloperisinterestedin a site slated for grid extension
• Thegovernmenthaslesscontroloversiteselection;asaresult,projectsmaynotbedevelopedinareasthatwouldprovidethegreatestpublicgood
Source:NARUC,2017andWorldBankESMAP,2014.
51 “Mini-GridsforTimelyandLow-CostElectrificationinGhana:ExploringRegulatoryandBusinessModelsforElectrifyingtheLakeVoltaRegion,”WorldBankESMAP,(November2017):https://openknowledge.worldbank.org/bitstream/handle/10986/29017/121824-ESM-GhanaESMAPGhanaTechnicalReportDECclean-PUBLIC.pdf?sequence=1&isAllowed=y
52 “Mini-GridsforHalfaBillionPeople:MarketOutlookandHandbookforDecisionMakers,”WorldBankESMAP,(June2019):https://openknowledge.worldbank.org/bitstream/handle/10986/31926/Mini-Grids-for-Half-a-Billion-People-Market-Outlook-and-Handbook-for-Decision-Makers-Executive-Summary.pdf?sequence=1&isAllowed=y
53 Givens,R.,“TheAnchor-Business-CommunityModel forRuralEnergyDevelopment: Is itaViableOption?”NicholasSchoolof theEnvironmentofDukeUniversity,(April28,2016):https://dukespace.lib.duke.edu/dspace/bitstream/handle/10161/11940/MP%20Final_Givens.pdf?sequence=1&isAllowed=y
2.1.2 Mini-Grid Business Models
A wide range of business models exist in the mini-grid
sector,withvaryingrisk-sharingarrangementsandroles
forthepublicandprivatesectorintheownershipand
operationofmini-gridassets(seeAnnex 1).51 Public-
privatepartnerships(PPPs)areoftenaneffectiveway
ofdistributingresponsibilitiestooptimizegovernment
andprivatesectorcapacitiesandcanalsoenablemini-
griddevelopersthatdonothavesubstantialfinancial
resources to enter the market.52Whenselectingownership
models,governmentsneedtoconsiderthestrengths
andweaknessesofeachoptionaswellastheimpact
thatagivenapproachwillhaveonthespeedofdelivery,
consumertariffs,economicviabilityandcostsofproject
development.Ingeneral,governmentsshouldseekto
encourageandincentivizeprivatesectorparticipation
to ensure long-term market growth and sustainability.
Policymakersshoulddesignand implement flexible
regulatoryframeworkstoaccommodateanypotential
businessmodelsthatmayemergeasthemarketdevelops.
Inaddition to thevariousapproachesdescribed in
Annex 1(whichalsocategorizesbusinessmodelsinrelationtotheirownershipstructure),severalothermini-
gridelectrificationmodelshavebeendeployedwith
varyingdegreesofsuccess.Onecommonexampleis
theAnchor-Business-Community(ABC)model,which
allowsdeveloperstoserveruralareasbyleveraging
thecontinuousdemandfrom‘anchor’customers(e.g.,
telecommunications towers, institutional facilities,
miningoperationsetc.)toprovideareliablerevenue
stream,therebymitigatingtheriskofprovidingenergyto
businessesandcommunity/householdcustomersinrural
areas.53TheABCmodelcanbedeployedunderdifferent
typesofownershipschemes(public,private,PPPetc.).
31
Mini-gridbusinessmodelscanbebasedondifferenttypes
ofcustomerpayment/tariffstructures.InTanzania,the
solarmini-griddeveloperJUMEMEhascarefullyselected
communities where a mini-grid can be integrated into
existingeconomicactivitiestoboostitsoutput,orwhereit
canbethebaseforessentialpublicservices(seeSection IV).54Devergyisamini-gridcompanythatchargesitscustomersfor“bundlesofenergy”similartohowamobile
networkoperatoroffersinternetpackages.Foreach
bundle,customerscanconsumeamaximumamountof
energyforacertainperiodoftime(e.g.,oneweekorone
month),withlimitsonhowmuchpowercanbeconsumed
instantaneously.55InZambia,alocalmini-griddeveloper,
StandardMicrogrid,utilizesasimilarEnergy-as-a-Service
(EaaS)model(seeKey Definitions)todeliveraffordableandreliablesolarelectricitytoitscustomers,billingfor
energyservicesratherthankWh.56Theseconceptsare
examined in further detail in Section 3.1.1.
Businessmodelscanalso relyon innovative funding
mechanisms.Forexample,in2020,theCongolesesolar
developerNurucommissionedthe1.3MWtownshipmini-
gridprojectinGoma,thecapitalofNorthKivuProvince,
becomingAfrica’slargestoff-gridsolarmini-gridinoperation
to date.57Itisthefirstrenewableenergyprojectfromwhich
Energy Peace Partners will issue Peace Renewable Energy
Credits–aninnovativefundingmechanismdesignedto
acceleratethetransitiontorenewablesinconflict-affected
areas(therevenuefromtheirsalewillfundtheconstruction
ofpublicstreetlightsconnectedtothemini-gridinthe
NdoshoneighborhoodofGoma).58
2.2 Status of Mini-Grid Sector Development in Sierra Leone and Nigeria
2.2.1 Sierra Leone
Mini-Grid Policy, Regulatory and Institutional Landscape
UndertheRuralRenewableEnergyProject(RREP),the
governmenthasutilizedatop-downapproachduring
initialstagesofmarketdevelopmentbypre-defining
54 “JUMEME’sbusinessmodelformini-gridsreapingmultiplebenefitsinTanzania,”SustainableEnergyforAll,(27May2020):https://www.seforall.org/news/jumemes-business-model-for-mini-grids-reaping-multiple-benefits-in-tanzania
55 Devergy:https://devergy.com/about/56 StandardMicrogrid:https://standardmicrogrid.com57 Takouleu,J.,“DRC:Nuruconnects1.3MWsolaroff-gridhybridprojectinGoma,”Afrik21,(7February2020):https://www.afrik21.africa/en/drc-
nuru-connects-1-3-mw-solar-off-grid-hybrid-in-goma/58 “Newsletter:FirstP-RECPilotProjectinOperation,”EnergyPeacePartners,(8April2020):https://www.energypeacepartners.com/blog/newsletter-
first-p-rec-pilot-project-in-operation59 TheWP-1PPParrangementcloselyresemblesaDesign-Build-Operate(DBO)model,wherebythegovernmenthasfullyfinancedtheinitial
constructionofthemini-grids(seeKey Definitions).60 AfDBGreenMini-GridMarketDevelopmentProgramme-Mini-GridMarketOpportunityAssessment:SierraLeone,2019.
projectsites,promotingpilotprojectsthroughthe
healthcaresector,andretaininginternationalfirms
tobringinternationalbestpracticestothemarket.
OutsideoftheRREP,mini-gridsystemsinSierraLeone
arelargelyownedbytheprivatesectororcommunities,
with the Electricity Generation and Transmission
Company (EGTC) operating a few larger thermal
systems.
TheownershipmodeladoptedbytheGovernmentof
SierraLeone(GoSL)undertheRREPisahybridmodel,
wherebypublicandprivateentitiesaredeveloping
mini-gridsjointly(Figure 7).WorkPackage1(WP-1)sitesweredevelopedunderapublicownership/private
managementmodel,whileWorkPackage2 (WP-2)
followedthe“split-asset”ownershipmodel(seeAnnex 1).ThePPPagreementsignedbetweentheMinistryofEnergy(MoE)andthethreeoperatorsisstructuredasa
hybridbetweenaBuild-Own-Operate(BOO)andBuild-
Operate-Transfer(BOT)model(seeKey Definitions)andincludestwokeycomponents:
i. aUsageRightsAgreement,underwhichtheprivate
operatorspaidtheGoSLafeeforusageofWP-1
assetsthathadalreadybeendeveloped;and
ii. aProjectDevelopmentAgreementsignedforthe
projectstobeco-financedanddevelopedunder
WP-2.
TheWP-1scopeofwork for theprivateoperators
includesoperationandmaintenance(O&M)ofthe54
communityhealthcentre (CHC)systemsovera20-
yearperiod,withthecapexforthegenerationand
distributionnetworkequipmenthavingalreadybeen
paidforbytheFCDO.59UnderWP-2,theFCDO(through
UNOPS)fundedthedistributionnetworkequipment,
whiletheprivateoperatorscoveredthecostsofthe
generationequipmentandwererequiredtoobtainall
necessarylicensesandpermitsforthemini-gridprojects.
Attheendofthe20-yearconcessionperiod,thepublic
assets(i.e.,generationanddistributionequipmentfor
WP-1anddistributionassetsforWP-2)willbetransferred
to the MoE.60
32
FIGURE 7Ownership Structure of Public and Private Assets under the RREP
FIGURE 7: Ownership Structure of Public and Private Assets under the RREP
Source: AFDB Green Mini-Grid Market Development Programme.
CONTRACTINGAUTHORITY
Ministry of Energy
OWNS PUBLICASSET
OPERATES PUBLICASSETS
PROCURES PUBLICASSETS
simultaneous close
HANDOVEROF ASSETS
USAGE RIGHTOVER ASSETS
PRIVATE MINI-GRIDOPERATORUNOPS
Source:AfDBGreenMini-GridMarketDevelopmentProgramme.
Thekeygovernmentstakeholders,andthepolicies,laws,
regulationsandroadmapsguidingthedevelopmentof
SierraLeone’sruralelectrificationeffortsaresummarized
in Figure 8.MoreinformationisavailableinAnnex 2.
FIGURE 8Key Government Stakeholders, Policies, Laws and Regulations in Sierra Leone’s Mini-Grid Sector
FIGURE 8: Key Government Stakeholders, Policies, Laws and Regulations in Sierra Leone’s Mini-Grid Sector
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
NATIONAL ENERGYPOLICY
National PublicProcurement
Authority
EnvironmentalProtection
Agency
NATIONAL RENEWABLEENERGY ACTION PLAN
MINI-GRID REGULATION RATIFIED
FINANCEACT 2017 FINANCE
ACT 2021
NATIONALELECTRICITY ACT
RENEWABLEENERGY POLICY
SIERRA LEONE ELECTRICITYAND WATER REGULATORY
COMMISSION ACT
PUBLIC-PRIVATE PARTNERSHIP (PPP) UNIT
[OFFICE OF THE PRESIDENT]
SIERRA LEONE ELECTRICITYAND WATER REGULATORY
COMMISSION (SLEWRC)
ELECTRIC SECTOR REFORM ROADMAP
(2017-30)
EPA GUIDELINES FORRENEWABLE ENERGY
AND MINI-GRIDS
Ministryof
Finance
Ministryof
Energy
33
Cost of Service
In2016,priortotherolloutoftheRREPinSierraLeone,
a demand assessment carried out by the project
encompassing68ruralcommunities,2,500interviews,
andfeedbackfrom1,950householdrespondents,found
thathouseholdswouldbenefitfromsavingsofupto52
percentwiththeadventofmini-gridelectricity,based
onaveragecostsofalternativesourcesofenergy(i.e.,
expendituresonkerosene,batteries,fueletc.).Thesurvey
estimatedtheaverageamountruralcustomerswereable
topaywasapproximatelyUSD6/month(SLL59,400/
month),mainlyforlighting,mobilephonechargingand
other household uses. The study also found that rates
of electricity demand could increase by a factor of 20
withthearrivalofmini-gridelectrification,withaverage
consumptionbetween3.5and6.3kWhpermonthper
household.SubsequentstudiesconductedbytheMoE
followingtheinceptionoftheprojectfoundevidencethat
the cost of electricity from mini-grids remains lower than
alternativesourcesofenergy.
After theWP-1mini-gridsbeganoperating in2019
(seeSection 1.1.2 foradescriptionoftheRREPWorkPackages),80percentofmini-gridcommunityrespondents
surveyedbytheGreenMaxfieldresearchteamwhodid
not connect to the mini-grid cited affordability of the
electricity tariff as the main reason for not connecting.61
TheinitialtariffsforWP-1sitesrangedfromUSD0.82/
kWhto0.87/kWh,withanaveragetarifflevelofabout
USD0.85/kWh.Giventhefocusonprovidingaccessfor
WP-1sites(i.e.,targetingsmallersitesinordertoavoidthe
deliberate selection of only larger and more economically
attractivelocations),theseinitialsiteshadalowertargeted
61 NB:Thesefindingsdonotreflectthefactthatperceptionsonaffordabilitydonottakeintoaccounttheincreaseinconsumerspendingonelectricityfromthemini-gridasaresultoftheuseofappliances,nordotheyreflectalike-to-likecomparisonofend-userspendingonelectricityfromthemini-gridincomparisontoexpensiveandpollutingalternativesourcesofenergypriortothemini-grid’sinstallation.
62 Asubstantialdelaybetweenthetimethemini-gridsystemswereinstalledandthesiteswereelectrified(mainlyduetodelaysinthetenderingprocess)ledtothecapacityreductionofbatteries.
63 http://www.energy.gov.sl/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/Fact-sheet_RREP-Updated-September-2020.pdf64 Stakeholderconsultations,2021.
numberofcustomers.Thisdynamic—smaller sites
withrelativelylimiteddemand—combinedwithhigh
projectdevelopmentandoverheadcostsfordevelopers,
contributedtoahighertariff,whichwasnecessaryto
makeprojectsbankable.Anotherfactorthatincreased
costswastheinitialrequirementforoperatorstomaintain
areserveaccountforWP-1batteries,62 which has since
beenaddressedthroughanFCDOsubsidyunderWork
Package7(WP-7)oftheRREP.63
Underthenextphaseoftheproject,WP-2,operators
areco-investinginthedevelopmentof40+largermini-
gridsundera“split-asset”modelinwhichtheGoSLis
coveringthecapitalcostsofthedistributionassets.As
theoperatorsbegintoconnectmorecustomersandbring
largermini-gridsystemsonline,projectdevelopmentcosts
are gradually decreasing. The most recent round of tariff
negotiations,combiningtheWP-1andWP-2sites,resulted
inarangeofUSD0.74/kWhto0.82/kWh,withanaverage
tariffofUSD0.79/kWh.64
Quality of Service
The regulatory framework in Sierra Leone requires
operatorstofollowminimumservicequalitystandards
thataredefinedinthemini-gridregulations(technical
andservicestandardsforSierraLeonearedescribedin
further detail in Section 3.1.1.1).WhensurveyedbytheGreenMaxfieldresearchteam,aboutthree-quartersof
mini-gridcommunityrespondentsweresatisfiedwiththe
overallqualityofpowersuppliedbythemini-grid(Figure 9).Thesurveycoveredqualityofservicebroadlyinrelationtoservicereliability,voltagestability,andresponsiveness
to outages.
34
FIGURE 9User Satisfaction with Mini-Grid Quality of Service
FIGURE 9: User Satisfaction with Mini-Grid Quality of Service
YES
NO
Source: Mini-Grid Community Survey, 2020.
26%
74%
Source:Mini-GridCommunitySurvey,2020.
65 Warren,C.,“InNigeria,ATemplateforSolarPoweredMini-GridsEmerges,”GreentechMedia,(February20,2018):https://www.greentechmedia.com/articles/read/nigeria-solar-powered-minigrids
Discussionswithoperatorsfoundthataboutone-third
oftheWP-1siteshaveexperiencedtechnicalproblems
relatedtoinstallationqualityandthecapacityreduction
of batteries arising from a substantial delay between the
time the mini-grid systems were installed and the sites
wereelectrified(mainlyduetodelaysinthetendering
process).Otherchallengesthatwereidentifiedinclude
system-sizing issues tomatch the specificdemand
requirementsofthecommunity,whilemanymini-grids
areexperiencinglowlevelsofcapacityutilization.In
somesites,theoperatorsareplanningtoexpandthe
solargenerationcapacityortorundieselgenerators,
whiletheGoSLisprovidingdistributiongridmaterials
tooperatorssothattheadditionaldemandcanbemet.
Downtimeforthemini-gridsystemscanvaryfromafew
hourstoafewdays;operatorsworkcloselywithlocal
staff to address maintenance issues and are generally
responsivetoquality-of-serviceissuesthatarise.
2.2.2 Nigeria
Mini-Grid Policy, Regulatory and Institutional Landscape
IncontrasttoSierraLeone,Nigeriahasadoptedamore
bottom-up,privatesector-drivenapproachtomini-grid
sectordevelopment.AsdescribedinSection 1.1.3,theNigerianoff-gridmarkethasseveraluniquecharacteristics
thatmakeitfavourableforinvestment.Mini-gridscan
providereliableelectricitytounservedandunderserved
areas throughout thecountry,withopportunities for
significantcustomersavingswhilealsoprovidingdeveloper
returns. In addition to these advantageousmarket
conditions,thecountryhasimplementedarobustand
supportivepolicyandregulatoryframeworkformini-grids.
Withassistancefromvariousdevelopmentpartners,the
FederalGovernmentofNigeria(FGN),ledbytheRural
ElectrificationAgency(REA),continuestopursueinnovative
solutionstoscaleupmini-griddevelopment.Forinstance,
withfundingfromtheUSAIDRenewableEnergyandEnergy
EfficiencyProject(REEEP)andtheEU/GIZNigerianEnergy
SupportProgramme(NESP),aninnovative“split-asset”
ownershipmodel(seeAnnex 1)waspilotedwithprivatedeveloperRubitecSolartofinancethedevelopmentof
a mini-grid in GbamuGbamu,avillageinOgunState.65
TheNigeriaElectrificationProject(NEP)combines both
top-downandbottom-upapproachestoacceleratethe
rolloutofmini-grids.Initially,theprojectusesatop-
downapproachwithsolicitedproposalstoelectrify250
prioritizedcommunitiesacrossfourstates(Niger,Sokoto,
OgunandCrossRiver)inthefirstphase,followedbya
bottom-upapproachdrivenbyprivatedevelopersand
supportedbyaresults-basedfinancing(RBF)instrument
inasecondphase.WithUSD220millioninfunding
fromtheWorldBankandtheAfricanDevelopmentBank
(AfDB),theRBFprogrammeutilizesaperformance-based
grant(PBG)andminimumsubsidytendermechanismto
35
helpdevelopersfinanceisolatedsolarhybridmini-grid
projects(Figure 10).66 TheREAaimstoprovideprojectdeveloperswithgeoreferenceddataonthemostviable
sites to let them choose which sites they are interested
66 StateoftheGlobalMini-GridsMarketReport2020.67 Babamanu,2019.
indeveloping(onaspontaneousbasis),with the grant
amountsetatUSD350perconnection. The mini-grids
willbedevelopedonaBuild-Own-Operate(BOO)model
(seeKey Definitions).67
FIGURE 10Nigeria Electrification Project: Performance-Based Grant Programme
FIGURE 10: Nigeria Electrification Project: Performance-Based Grant Programme
Source: Bloomberg New Energy Finance; Rural Electrification Agency.
1 2 3 4 5QUALIFICATION
SITE-SPECIFCTECHNICAL
APPLICATION
GRANTAGREEMENT
SIGNING
MINI-GRIDCONSTRUCTION
PHASE
VERIFICATIONAND
DISBURSEMENT
Developers submit a performance-based grant programme application, including a corporate business plan, to show that they are eligible andqualified.
They must also prove they meet initial selection criteria.
Qualified appicantsare then invited tosubmit site-specificapplications.
Details of site,generation anddistribution design,target number ofconnections permini-grid.
Grants will be dispersedupon verification thatcustomers have beenconnected to the mini-gridand are receiving asatisfactory service.
Odyssey’s online platform can be used forremote verification.
Once grant agreement signed, developer sources for constructionfinancing.
Once in receipt of the capital, developerbuilds proposed mini-grid.
A mini-grid permit from NERC is requiredfor this phase.
Once site-specificapplication approved,developer enters intoa grant agreementwith NEP.
Source:BloombergNewEnergyFinance;RuralElectrificationAgency.
Thekeygovernmentstakeholders,andthepolicies,laws,
regulationsandroadmapsguidingthedevelopmentof
Nigeria’sruralelectrificationeffortsaresummarizedin
Figure 11.MoreinformationisavailableinAnnex 2.
36
FIGURE 11Key Government Stakeholders, Policies, Laws and Regulations in Nigeria’s Mini-Grid Sector
FIGURE 11: Key Government Stakeholders, Policies, Laws and Regulations in Nigeria’s Mini-Grid Sector
2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019
NATIONAL ELECTRICPOWER POLICY (NEPP)
POWER SECTOR REFORM ROADMAP
ELECTRIC POWERSECTOR REFORM
ACT (EPSRA)
NIGERIAN ELECTRICITYREGULATORY
COMMISSION (NERC)
RURAL ELECTRIFICATIONFUND (REF) -
OPERATIONALGUIDELINES
REGULATIONFOR MINI-GRIDS
RURAL ELECTRIFICATIONSTRATEGY &
IMPLEMENTATIONPLAN (RESIP)
REGULATIONS ON NATIONAL CONTENT DEVELOPMENT FOR THE POWER SECTOR
NATIONAL POLICY ONRENEWABLE ENERGY
AND ENERGY EFFICIENCY (NREEEP)
Energy Commission of
Nigeria
FederalMinistry of
Finance
NATIONALENERGY POLICY
RURAL ELECTRIFICATIONAGENCY (REA)
NIGERIAN ELECTRICITYMANAGEMENT SERVICES
AGENCY (NEMSA)
RURAL ELECTRIFICATIONPOLICY
Federal Ministry of
Environment
FederalMinistry of
Power
68 Figuresarefromsolarhybridmini-gridsranginginsizefrom30-234kWpthathavebeencommissionedundertheAfDB/WorldBankNigeriaElectrificationProject(NEP)Performance-BasedGrantProgrammeandtheEU/GIZNigerianEnergySupportProgrammeI(NESPI);seeTable 8 in Section 3.2.1.2.
69 “Mini-GridInvestmentReport:ScalingtheNigerianMarket,”RockyMountainInstitute,(2018):https://rmi.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/08/RMI_Nigeria_Minigrid_Investment_Report_2018.pdf
70 “Mini-GridsinNigeria:ACaseStudyofaPromisingMarket,”WorldBankESMAP,(November2017):http://documents1.worldbank.org/curated/en/352561512394263590/pdf/ESM-dNigeriaMiniGridsCaseStudyConfEd-PUBLIC.pdf
Cost of Service
Bycomparison,accordingtotheREA,mini-gridtariffsin
NigeriarangefromUSD0.39/kWhto0.79/kWh(NGN
150/kWh–300/kWh),withanaveragetarifflevelofabout
USD0.58/kWh(NGN220/kWh).68Interviewswithmini-
gridoperatorsinNigeriafoundthattherehavebeen
relativelyfewcomplaintsfromcommunitiessurrounding
tariffaffordability,asthemajorityofendusersspend
less on electricity from the mini-grid than they did on
expensiveandpollutingalternativesourcesofenergy
priortothemini-grid’sinstallation.Forinstance,the
levelizedcostofelectricity(LCOE)fromasmalldiesel
generatorisatleastUSD0.75/kWh(NGN250/kWh)and
isvulnerabletofuelpricevolatility.69
Quality of Service
Themini-gridregulatoryframeworkinNigeriarequires
mini-grid license holders to meet minimum technical
requirementsandensurequalityofserviceinaccordance
withtheiragreementswithbeneficiarycommunities.70
UndertheNEPRBFscheme,allinstallationsmustbe
quality-verifiedfordeveloperstoreceivethesubsidy.
Mini-gridtechnicalandservicestandardsforNigeriaare
described in Section 3.1.1.2.
2.2.3 Summary of Findings
TheNigerianmini-grid sector is regulatedby the
NERCRegulation forMini-Grids2016,whileSierra
Leone’smini-gridsectorisregulatedbytheElectricity
andWaterRegulatoryCommission(EWRC)Mini-Grid
Regulations2019.AsdescribedinSections 1.1.1-1.1.3, bothcountrieshavedevelopedvariouspoliciesand
guidelinestosupportthedevelopmentofrenewable
energygenerationcapacityandruralelectrification
(Figure 8 and Figure 11).SierraLeonedoesnothaveanagencysuchastheNigerianREAwhichisdedicated
exclusivelytoruralelectrificationandenergyaccess;all
37
ruralelectrificationplanninginSierraLeoneiscurrently
managed by the MoE.
Regulatoryandpolicymeasurestosupportmini-grids
arebroadlysimilarbetweenNigeriaandSierraLeone
(Figure 12).Thesimilaritiesbetweenthemeasuresinboth countries are not unrelated to the fact that the
GoSLdevelopedandapproveditsmini-gridregulatory
framework based on the existing strong regulatory models
inNigeria,Tanzania,andatthestatelevelinIndia.71
Bothcountrieshave regulationsspecifying relevant
standards,licensingprovisions,tariffmechanismsandgrid
interconnectionrules,andbothframeworksencourage
privatesectorparticipationinthemini-gridmarkets,albeit
71 “ARobustMini-gridRegulatoryFramework,”ElectrifyingEconomies,(2019):https://www.rockefellerfoundation.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/EE-Download-Solutions-CaseStudies-Minigrid-regulations.pdf
72 “PoliciesandRegulationsforRenewableEnergyMini-Grids,”InternationalRenewableEnergyAgency,(November2018):https://www.irena.org/-/media/Files/IRENA/Agency/Publication/2018/Oct/IRENA_mini-grid_policies_2018.pdf
73 WorldBankGlobalPovertyWorkingGroup:Povertyheadcountratioatnationalpovertylines(%ofpopulation):https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SI.POV.NAHC?locations=NG-SL
throughcontrastingapproaches–mini-griddevelopment
undertheRREPinSierraLeonehasbroadlyfolloweda
publicownership/privatemanagementmodeldrivenby
atop-downapproach,whereasmini-griddevelopment
inNigeriahasfollowedamorebottom-up,private-sector
drivenapproach.
WhileSierraLeonedoesnothaveanintegratedrural
electrificationmasterplan, itsoff-gridelectrification
strategiesarebroadlydefinedinitsvariouspolicyand
roadmapdocumentsincludingtheElectricitySector
ReformRoadmap2017–2030,theSierraLeoneRenewable
EnergyPolicyandtheNationalRenewableEnergyAction
Plan,amongothers.
FIGURE 12Summary of Mini-Grid Policies and Regulations in Sierra Leone and Nigeria72
FIGURE 12: Summary of Mini-Grid Policies and Regulations in Sierra Leone and Nigeria72
Source: International Renewable Energy Agency.
PRIMARY MEASURES
NATIONALPOLICY
ONRENEWABLE
ENERGY
NIGERIA
SIERRALEONE
FINANCIALSUPPORT
RURAL ELECTRIFICATION
STRATEGYAND
MASTER PLAN
ARRIVALOF
MAIN GRID
LEGAL ANDLICENSINGPROVISION
COSTRECOVERY
AND TARIFFREGULATION
QUALITYSTANDARDS
MINI-GRID POLICIES AND REGULATIONS
PROPOSED MEASURES BUT YET TO BE APPROVED
IMPLEMENTED MEASURES
Source:InternationalRenewableEnergyAgency.
It is importanttoemphasizethatwhiletheNigerian
tariffisconsiderablylowerthanthetariffinSierraLeone,
the two mini-grid markets are at different stages of
developmentandhavepursueddifferentmarketplanning
anddevelopmentapproaches,whichhasanimpactonthe
costofservice.Inaddition,thelargersizeoftheNigerian
market(andincreasedscaleofelectricitydemand)plays
animportantroleindrivingcostreductionsvis-à-visSierra
Leone,wheretherearefewermini-gridcustomersinmore
sparselypopulatedruralvillages.Householdincome
levelsarealsolowerinSierraLeone(56.8percentnational
povertyheadcount ratiocompared to40.1percent
inNigeriain2018),contributingtoalowerhousehold
consumptionrate.73
38
MINI-GRID REGULATORY FRAMEWORKS, TARIFFS AND SUBSIDIES IN SIERRA LEONE AND NIGERIA
3.1 Assessment of Mini-Grid Regulatory Frameworks in Sierra Leone and Nigeria
3.1.1 Tariff Framework
Tariff Setting
The affordability of energy access is a function of the
priceofelectricityandtheenduser’sincomelevel.74 A
household’sexpenditureonelectricityagainstitsincome
isanindicatoroftheaffordabilityofelectricity.Ingeneral,
ahouseholdisconsidered‘energypoor’ifmorethan
10percentofthehouseholdincomeisspentonfuelto
maintainanadequatelevelofcomfort.75Withoutelectricity
access,off-gridhouseholdswillspendahigherproportion
oftheirincomeonalternativeformsofenergy(e.g.,diesel
generators,kerosenelanterns,batteriesetc.),whichhave
highercostscomparedtomini-gridandgridpower.As
aresult,mostcustomersalreadypaymuchhigherrates
foraccessusingthesealternatives,thusdefiningtheir
willingnesstopay(WTP)formini-gridelectricity.
Providingservice to ruralcustomersviaamini-grid
is almost always more costly than electrifying urban
customersconnectedtothenationalgrid,sincelarge
utilitiescanaveragecostsacrossawidercustomerbase
withuniformnationaltariffsthateffectivelycross-subsidize
customerswhoaremoreexpensivetoservewithrevenue
fromthosewhoarecheaper.Nationaltariffscanoften
haveamarket-distortingeffectwherebycustomers—
particularlythoseinremoteregions—donotunderstand
theutility’struecosttoprovideservice,whichcanset
unrealisticexpectationsabouthowmuchtheyshould
74 Bhatia,M.andAngelou,N.,“BeyondConnections:EnergyAccessRedefined,”WorldBankESMAP,(July2015):https://openknowledge.worldbank.org/bitstream/handle/10986/24368/Beyond0connect0d000technical0report.pdf?sequence=1&isAllowed=y
75 “Lights,Power,Action:ElectrifyingAfrica,”AfricaProgressPanel,(2015):https://www.africa50.com/fileadmin/uploads/africa50/Documents/Knowledge_Center/APP_Lights_Power_Action_2016__PDF.pdf
76 Reber,T.,Booth,S.,Cutler,D.,Li,X.,andSalasovich,J.,“TariffConsiderationsforMicro-GridsinSub-SaharanAfrica,”NationalRenewableEnergyLaboratory(NREL),USAIDPowerAfrica,(February2018):https://www.nrel.gov/docs/fy18osti/69044.pdf
77 “OpenSourcingInfrastructureFinanceforMini-Grids,”CrossboundaryEnergyAccess,(December2020):https://www.crossboundary.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/12/Project-Financing-Mini-Grids-Online-Pages.pdf
78 USAID:https://www.usaid.gov/energy/mini-grids/regulation/tariffs/79 Reberetal.,2018.
payforpowerandexacerbatetariff-settingchallenges.76
Consumer education and awareness-raising around
thisissueisthereforecritical.Thiscanbeachallenge,
especiallygiventherelativelylowleveloffinancialliteracy
that istypicalofruralareas.Financial literacydrives
consumerdecision-makingandunderstandingofbenefits
andcost-savings–inthiscase,thesavingsassociatedwith
payingahighertariffformini-gridaccessinruralareas
vis-à-visthenationalgridbaselineand/ormorecostlyand
pollutingalternativeenergysources.
Mini-gridoperators typicallysellelectricity to retail
consumerswhoarereceivingpowerforthefirsttime,
whichmakesitdifficulttofixorevenpredictrevenues.
Fixingothercostsandrisksthroughlong-termcontracts
isalsochallenging,asalotisstillunknownabouthow
mini-griddevelopmentandoperationwillevolveoverthe
longterm.Regulationplaysanessentialrole,notonlyto
ensurecostrecoveryfromprojectdevelopment,butalso
toaddressintegrationwithandcompensationfromthe
maingriduponitsarrival.77
Thereisnostandardtariffstructurethatcanbeapplied
toallcontexts,astechnology,scale,geographyand
customerprofilesvary.78Whendeterminingtariffoptions,
policymakersandregulatorsneedtobalancecomplex
andfrequentlycompetingprioritiesofprovidingprice
controlonelectricityserviceinthenameofsocialgood,
whilealsoprovidingameansforinvestorstoachieve
sufficient returnson their investment toattract the
necessaryfinancingtothemarket.79Generally,when
settinganelectricitytariff,policymakersmustassesstrade-
offs related to whether mini-grids should be allowed to
39
chargecost-reflectivetariffsthatareabovetheaverage
nationaltariff,whichhasimplicationsfortheamountof
subsidyrequiredaswellasforthespeedofelectricity
accessrollout.Whensettingtariffs,an“optimal”solution
80 “GreenMini-GridHelpDesk:Billing,RevenueCollectionandMeteringModelsforMini-Grids,”Energy4ImpactandINENSUS,(April2019):https://energy4impact.org/file/2098/download?token=EcIaPTX_
81 Philipp,D.,“BillingModelsforEnergyServicesinMini-Grids,”GIZWorkshoponHybridMini-Grids,(9March2014).
will ideally account for the interests of all key stakeholders
(e.g.,customers,governments,regulatorsandinvestors).80
The key dynamics surrounding mini-grid tariff setting are
illustrated in Figure 13 and Figure 14.
FIGURE 13Affordability vs. Sustainability in Tariff Setting81
FIGURE 13: Affordability vs. Sustainability in Tariff Setting81
Source: Philipp, 2014.
CONSUMERS’ABILITY TO PAY
TARIFFS’MAIN
CHALLENGE
COVER CAPITALCOSTS
COVERO&M
COSTS
CONSUMERS’WILLINGNESS
TO PAY
Source:Philipp,2014.
FIGURE 14Key Stakeholders Involved in Tariff Setting
FIGURE 14: Key Stakeholders Involved in Tariff Setting
Source: Energy4Impact and INENSUS, 2019.
PARTIES WITH AN INTEREST TO KEEP TARIFFS LOW
Customers have a limited budgetto spend on electricity and wantto maximize this budget
Central and local governmentsneed to justify tariff levels toconsumers
“NEUTRAL” PARTIES
Regulators who are mandatedto balance the interest of allparties and set possible tarifflevels
OTHER LIMITATIONS
Metering and other technology
Competition in the form ofdiesel, kerosene, SHS
PARTIES WITH AN INTEREST TO GENERATE HIGH REVENUES
Investors and financiers who needto see a return on theirinvestments
Mini-grid developers, who requirerevenue for operations, expansionand financing activities
“HIGH”TARIFFS
“LOW”TARIFFS
Source:Energy4ImpactandINENSUS,2019.
40
Cost Components
Thelevelizedcostofelectricity(LCOE)isanimportant
indicatorintariffdesign,asitisequivalenttotheminimum
averagetariffatwhichelectricitymustbesoldtocover
project costs (seeKey Definitions).Mini-grid costcomponentscanbebroadlyclassifiedascapitalcosts
(capex)andoperatingcosts(opex):
• Capital costs arelargelyincurredatthestartofprojectdevelopment,usuallyrelatetofixedassets(anyasset
expectedtolastmorethanoneyear)andinclude
thecostofreplacementofanassetovertheproject’s
lifetime.Examplesincludepowergenerationequipment
(panels,batteries, invertersetc.) anddistribution
equipment(electricitypoles/wiringforconnectionsand
metering).Capexalsoincludesprojectplanningand
developmentcosts,includingcostsforacquiringland
andprojectpermits,aswellascostsforcivil,mechanical
and electrical engineering and installation.
• Operating costs can be fixed(relativelyconstant,irrespective of the level of output) or variable
(proportionaltooutput).Fixedoperatingcostscanbe
presentevenifelectricitygenerationoutputiszero
andaretypicallyincurredonarecurringbasisorfor
thepurchaseofassetsexpectedtolastlessthanone
year(e.g.,staffsalaries,equipmentmaintenance,cost
82 Energy4ImpactandINENSUS,2019;andReberetal.,2018.
offinancing,costofrentingland,meteringplatform
feesetc.).Variableoperatingcostsareincurredonly
when electricity is generated and sold by the mini-grid
operatorandarethusproportionaltooutput(e.g.,fuel
costsforadieselgenerator);whenthereisnooutput,
variablecostsarenegligible.
Tariff Components, Structures and Cross-Subsidization Schemes
Capitalandoperatingcostsforamini-gridarefunded
throughtariffsfromcustomerspurchasingelectricity,cross-
subsidiesfromthemini-gridoperator—derivedfrom
customersbasedontheirclassification—andexternal
subsidiesfromgovernmentand/orinternationalfinancial
institutions.Whetheracost-reflectivetariffisappliedto
individualcustomersisamatterofpolicychoice,with
importantconsiderationsforhowthisprocesswillbe
funded.Inpractice,cross-subsidizationcanbeachieved
through a combination of different tariff structures in
ordertoyieldanaveragetariffthatiscostreflective.
Differenttariffcomponentscanalsobecombined;for
example,bothenergy/consumption-basedcomponents
andcapacity-basedcomponentscanbeusedtogether.
Asummaryofthevarioustariffstructures,billingand
revenuecollectionmethodsthataretypicallydeployed
bymini-griddevelopersispresentedinTable 2.82
41
TABLE 2Mini-Grid Tariff Components and Structures
Tariff Structure Advantages Disadvantages
CUSTOMER OR SITE CLASSIFICATION
Theoperatorcategorizesdifferenttypesofcustomers(e.g.,commercial,residential,community/government)sothatsomepaybelowthelevelofthecost-reflectivetariff,whileotherspayaboveit.Thistypicallyworksinoneofthefollowingways:• Commercial/productiveusersarechargedmoretocross-subsidizelowerratesforresidentialusers,thusstimulatingdemandamonghouseholdswithlowerdisposableincome
• Residentialusersarechargedmoretocross-subsidizelowerratesforcommercial/productiveusers,thusincentivizingmoreproductive-useactivities.
Anotherpossibleformofcross-subsidyariseswhenanoperatorhasmultiplesitesordifferentbusinesses;underthisscenario,themini-gridoperatormaychoosetohaveanaveragetariffforasinglesystemsetbelowthecost-reflectivelevel,withtheintentionofmeetingthefundinggapthroughtheinternaltransferofcashfromtheothersitesorbusinesses.
• Promotes electricity access among low-incomehouseholdsbyprovidingalifelinetariff;or
• StimulatesthePUEamongcommercial/productive-usecustomers
• Mini-gridsaretypicallyservinglow-incomecustomers,mostofwhomarereceivingelectricityaccessforthefirsttime;thecomplexityofthistariffstructuremaythereforebedifficultforcustomerstounderstand,requiringextensivecommunityengagement/sensitizationandcustomereducation and training
• Requiressmartmeters(andthustheavailabilityofmobilenetworkcoverage)
ENERGY/CONSUMPTION-BASED: QUANTITY OF USE
Electricityispurchasedin“blocks”ofkWhusagewherebythemarginaltariffrateincreasesinastepwisemannerasacustomerusesmoreenergy.Whenusedforcross-subsidization,additionalrevenuefromhigher-intensityuserswhoarechargedhighertariffscross-subsidizeslowerratesforabasiclevelofsubsistenceuseacrossallcustomers.
• Incentivizesenergyefficiency• Noloadlimitersrequired• Allowsforflexibilityto“pay-as-you-go”
• Complexityofthistariffstructuremaybedifficultforcustomerstounderstand,requiringextensivecommunityengagement/sensitizationandcustomereducationandtraining(e.g.,aroundproperutilizationofmini-gridelectricity,loadcapacityusage,appliancewattages/whatappliancescanandcannotbeusedetc.)
ENERGY/CONSUMPTION-BASED: TIME OF USE (TOU)
Tariffsvarybasedonthetimeofdayatwhichpowerisused,withhigherrateschargedattimeswhendemandishighest(peak)toallowlowerratesatlow-demandtimes(off-peak).Electricitysupplyisoftenmoreimportant,especiallyforresidentialcustomers,duringtheeveninghoursforlightingneeds;however,thisalsocorrespondstowhenitistypicallymoreexpensiveforsolarmini-gridstoproducepower(relyingondieselpowerorbatterystorage).Inordertoincreaseuptakeduringdaytimehours(i.e.,whenitistypicallycheaperforasolarmini-gridtoproducepower),operatorscandeployTOU-basedtariffstobettermanagemini-gridloadprofilesandincreaseoverallsystemefficiency.ArelatedTOU-basedtariffisaseasonal tariff,inwhichthechargeperunitofenergydependsontheseason(e.g.,solarmini-gridsmaychargehightariffsduringtherainyseason).
• Operatorscanbettermanagemini-gridloadprofilesandincreaseoverallsystemefficiency
• ConvenientforsolarPVhybridsystemsthatcan match generation with demand
• Metersusedcanbeexpensive,whichaddstothe cost of electricity
• Complexityofthistariffstructuremaybedifficultforcustomerstounderstand,requiringin-depthcustomereducationtounderstand charges
• Discouragingusageduringcertaintimesofday(orduringcertainseasons)mayleadtocustomer dissatisfaction
• Seasonaltariffsmaynotcorrespondtoseasonal incomes of rural customers
CAPACITY-BASED
Similartoaconsumption-basedtariff,butratherthanchargingdifferentmarginalratesbasedonuse,customerspayaflattariffratebasedontheirmaximumpeakconsumption(kWp)withahigherrateforhigherpeaks.Tariffdependsonthenumberofdeviceswithalimitonpowerrating.
• Nometerrequired(onlyload-limiter)• Nobillcalculation• Suitableforlow-incomepopulations• Easy to understand for customers who can eitheruseornotusespecificappliances
• Difficulttoforecastdemand• Discouragesproductiveuse• Doesnotencourageenergyefficiency;mayleadtohighconsumptionlevels(andcorrespondingdifficultiesinmeetingdemand)
42
Tariff Structure Advantages Disadvantages
SERVICE-BASED / ENERGY-AS-A-SERVICE (EaaS)
Underaservice-basedelectricitytariffscheme,electricityissoldbasedontheenergyserviceprovided,utilizingacombinationofconsumptionandcapacity-basedtariffstructures(i.e.,chargeperunitofenergyconsumedandpowerutilized).Customerspre-pay/subscribeonaperiodicbasis(daily,weekly,monthlyorpay-as-you-go(PAYG))foranelectricityservicewithamaximumcapacity(kW)andaspecificallocationofenergy(kWh),typicallycontrolledbysmart-meteringtechnology.Service-basedtariffsarecustomizedtoreflecttheactualelectricityconsumptionneedsofconsumersandcanbebasedonthedesiredusageofagivenenergyapplianceand/orTOU.
Service-basedtariffscanbedeployedassomecombinationofthefollowing:• EaaS tariff:tariffdependsonhoursofusage(idealfordevelopersthatwanttoensureelectricityisusedforaspecificpurpose)
• Time-bound tariff: tariffdependsonamountoftimeelectricityisusedbycustomers(combinedwithanenergylimitapplicabletothetimeframe)
• Simplicity:Customersdonotneedtounderstandthecomplexityofelectricitytariffs.
• Improved quality of service:Renewableenergy-basedmini-gridshavestrictlimitationsintermsoftheenergythatcanbesupplieddailydue to the intermittent nature of renewable energysources.Theuseofservice-basedtariffswithcustomer-specificenergyallowancesandcapacityrequirementsfacilitatesthesizingofthesystem(minimizingriskofover/undersizing)andprovidesoperatorswithpredictabilityofdemand,allowingthemtobettermanageelectricityloadprofiles,lowercostsandimproveoverallqualityofserviceandsystemefficiency.Thisexpandsbatterylife-spansandminimizesthe use of diesel in the case of hybrid solar-diesel mini-grid systems.
• Predictable revenues/expenses: This method alsoensuresrevenuestabilityfortheoperatorsincetherevenuecanbeeasilyforecasted,thusfacilitatingfinancialplanning.Ontheotherhand,customersalsobenefitfromknowinginadvancehowmuchtheyaregoingtopay,aswellaswhattheycanafford(andwhen/ifTOUisincorporatedintothebusinessmodel).
• Tiers of Service: Service-basedtariffsaligncloselywithtiersofelectricityservice,wherethepriceofthepowerdependsonthetierofservicerequiredorequipmentusedbythecustomer.Theinclusionofamulti-tierapproach(seeKey Definitions)allowsforadaptingthetarifflevelstocustomerwillingnessandcapacitytopay.
Customers are not fully aware of their electricity consumptionWhereanEaaStariffisdeployedwithoutatime-boundtariff,itcanbedifficulttoenforcecompliance(needaloadlimiter)Doesnotencourageenergyefficiency(ifatime-boundtariffisdeployedwithoutaconsumptionlimit)Needtoensurethatcustomersareawarethattheystillpayforelectricityeveniftheydonotconsumeanyduringtheallocatedtime(mayleadtocustomerdissatisfaction)
Source:AdaptedfromEnergy4ImpactandINENSUS,2019andReberetal.,2018.
NOTES:ThevariouspricingandtariffstructurespresentedinTable 2correspondtodifferentmeteringtechnologiesandbilling/revenuecollectionmethods.A2019surveycarriedoutbyEnergy4ImpactandINENSUSfoundthatamajorityofmini-griddevelopersinAfricautilizesomecombinationofpre-paid,smartmeteringtechnologieswiththesupportoflocalagentswhocollectpaymentsthroughcashormobilemoneytransactions(includingPAYG)tooperatetheirmini-grids.Differenttariffstructurescanbeintegratedwithdifferenttypesofmetersdependingonseveralinterrelatedfactors(targetendusers,loadprofiles,availabilityofamobilenetworkfortheuseofsmartmetersetc.).83
83 Energy4ImpactandINENSUS,2019.
43
3.1.1.1 Sierra Leone
With the assistanceofUNOPS, in June2019, the
ElectricityandWaterRegulatoryCommission(EWRC)
approved a comprehensive mini-grid regulatory
framework forSierraLeone— the2019Mini-Grid
Regulations—whichincludesregulationonmarket
entry,cost-reflectiveretailtariffs,technicalandservice
standards,andthearrivalofthemaingrid,withdifferent
guidelinesapplicabletoisolatedandinterconnected
mini-grids.Inaddition,theEnvironmentalProtection
Agency(EPA)introducednewlicensingguidelinesfor
renewableenergyprojectsandmini-grids,including
minimumrequirementsforholdersofabasiclicenseand
standardizedcriteriaforprojectsrequiringEnvironmental
Impact Assessments (EIAs) to be undertaken and
EnvironmentalandSocialManagementPlans(ESMPs)
tobedeveloped.
Licensing
Mini-gridprojectsareregulatedbasedontheircapacity.
Theregulationsallowfortwolicensecategories:(i)abasic
mini-gridlicenseforprojectsbelow100kW;and(ii)afull
mini-gridlicenseforprojectsbetween100kWand10MW
forthegeneration,distributionandretailsaleofelectricity.
AccordingtotheregulationsstipulatedbytheEWRC:84
• A Basic Mini-Grid License comprisesalicenseforgeneration,whichauthorizesthelicenseetoproduce
electricity,andalicenseforthesaleofelectricity,which
authorizesthelicenseetosellelectricitytoconsumers
inadesignatedunservedareastatedinthelicensevia
amini-gridofuptoandincluding100kWofdistributed
powerinaggregate.
• A Full Mini-Grid Licenseauthorizesthelicenseetoconstruct, installandoperateisolatedmini-grids,
comprisinga licenseforgeneration,a licensefor
distribution,whichauthorizesthelicenseetodistribute
electricity directly or indirectly to consumers within a
designatedunservedorunderservedareastatedin
thelicense,andalicenseforthesaleofelectricity
throughamini-gridofabove100kWanduptoand
including1MWofdistributedpowerpersiteand
notexceeding10MWinaggregate,comprisinga
distributionnetworkthatisbuiltincompliancewith
theapproveddistributioncodeandmeteringdevices.
84 SierraLeoneElectricityandWaterRegulatoryCommission:Mini-GridRegulations2019:https://ewrc.gov.sl/mini-grid-regulations/85 AfDBGreenMini-GridMarketDevelopmentProgramme-Mini-GridMarketOpportunityAssessment:SierraLeone,2019.86 Ibid.87 Stakeholderconsultations,2021.
Amodificationofthelicenseisnecessaryif:(i)anew
mini-gridsiteisbeingaddedbyamini-gridlicensee;
(ii)themini-griddistributionnetworkisextendedinto
anothercommunity;or (iii) themini-grid licensee is
classifiedinahigherlicensefeecategory,duetothe
expansionofexistingmini-gridsites.Accesstoland
linkedwithcommunityengagementsisessential;mini-
griddevelopersareexpectedtoworkwiththelocal
communitycouncilsandtheirtraditionalleaders,the
paramountchiefs,whoaretheheadsoflocalchiefdoms
andspeakonbehalfofthecommunity.
TheMini-GridRegulationsstipulatethatbasicmini-grid
licenseholders(i.e.,below100kW)canchargeanytariff
agreedtobetweenthelicenseeandtheconsumer,as
longasitisalsoapprovedbytheappropriatecommunity
authority(usuallylocalcommunitychiefs).Thesetariffs
may,however,bereviewedbytheEWRCuponreceiptofa
petitionsignedby60percentofacommunity’sconsumers
servedbyabasicmini-gridlicensee.Afullmini-grid
licensee(100kWto10MW)mayproposeretailtariffsfor
specificconsumercategoriesthattakeintoaccountthe
abilityoftherespectiveconsumerstopay;orproposea
retail tariff structure based on the amount of electricity
sold,thenumberofconnectionsorthepowerprovided
orconsumed,whichmaybepaidininstallmentsorfully
chargedupfront,subjecttotheapprovaloftheEWRC.
Whereafullmini-gridlicenseedesirestostartanew
serviceorreviseexistingratescharged,orifthevalidity
periodofthetariffgrantedwillexpirewithin60days,the
holdershallmakeanapplicationtotheCommissionfor
thatpurpose,withsupportingdocumentsdescribingand
justifyingtheinputsintothetariffcalculationtoolprovided
orapprovedbytheCommission.85
TheRuralRenewableEnergyProject(RREP)wasthefirst
timethismini-gridlicensingprocesswasimplementedin
SierraLeone.Allthreeoftheprivateoperators—Winch
Energy,PowerGenandEnergicity—successfullyobtained
fullmini-gridlicensesfromtheEWRCbasedonacost-
reflectivetariffmethodologyforWorkPackage1(WP-1)
sitesandbegansellingelectricitytoWP-1customersatan
averagetarifflevelofUSD0.85/kWh(rangingfromUSD
0.82/kWhto0.87/kWh)asofQ42019.86 The most recent
roundoftariffnegotiations,combiningtheWP-1andWork
Package-2(WP-2)sites,resultedinarangeofUSD0.74/
kWhto0.82/kWh,withanaveragetariffofUSD0.79/kWh.87
44
Thetariffstructureconsistsofaservicechargeanda
capacitycharge.Connectionfeesarepaidpriortothe
installation;however, insomecases,customerscan
reachanagreementwiththeoperatorsandpaythe
connectionfeesoveraperiodofthreemonths.88 The
mini-gridconnectionfeeincludesaone-timepayment
ofUSD15 (SLL150,000),whichpartiallycovers the
externalconnectionfee,in-housewiring,andincludes
threeswitchesandthreeenergy-efficiencylights.There
arestand-alonemetersmountedeitheronpolesor
affixedtohouseholds,butallofthemetersarepre-paid.
Recently,astandingchargeatacomparableleveltothat
oftheElectricityDistributionandSupplyAuthority(EDSA)
wasintroducedthatreducestheperkWhpaymentforthe
energyconsumptionandensuresminimumpaymentfrom
theconsumers.Previously,thechargecoveredthefirst
2kWhofconsumptionpermonth;foranyconsumption
greaterthanthisthreshold,thecustomerwouldpaya
uniformtariffirrespectiveoftheamountofconsumption.89
Somemini-gridoperatorsinSierraLeonecurrentlydeploy
anincreasingblocktariff(IBT)structure–amethodof
apportioningcostsamongandwithindifferentcustomer
classes in which a customer whose electricity usage is
greaterpaysprogressivelyhigherratesforthatusage.A
cross-subsidyfromhigh-tolow-consumptioncustomers,
referredtoasa‘lifeline’tarifforsocialtariff,isoftenpartof
anIBTtariffmechanism,wherebyalowerrateischarged
to customers who consume below a certain amount of
electricityperperiod.90Thisapproachiscurrentlybeing
deployedbyatleastoneoperatorinSierraLeone.
Market Entry
MarketentryundertheRREPentailedacompetitive
biddingprocessfortheselectionofmini-gridoperators
thatwasmanagedbyUNOPSonbehalfoftheMinistry
ofEnergy(MoE).AsoutlinedinSection 2.2.1,thepublic-privatepartnerships(PPP)arrangementsignedwiththe
selectedoperatorshastwokeycomponents:(i)aUsage
RightsAgreement,wheretheoperatorsarerequiredto
payanannualfeetotheGovernmnentofSierraLeone
(GoSL)forusageofWP-1assetsthathadalreadybeen
constructed;and(ii)aProjectDevelopmentAgreement
forthemini-gridprojectsthatweretobeco-financed
anddevelopedunderWP-2.91Thetenderingprocess
88 Duringtheinitialrolloutphase,someoperatorsexperiencedchallengescollectingpaymentsforthisconnectionfeeandhaveimplementedaloanstructuretoallowhouseholdstopaythefeeininstallments.
89 Stakeholderinterviews,2020.90 Tenenbaumetal.,2014.91 PoliciesandRegulationsforRenewableEnergyMini-Grids,IRENA,2018.92 Stakeholderinterviews,2020.93 Stakeholderinterviews,2020.
wastailoredtotheselectionofinternationalfirms,as
certainthresholdrequirementswereput inplaceto
ensure that bidders had the necessary resources and
financialcapabilitiestosecureadequatefinancingforthe
developmentoftheWP-2sites.Giventhenoveltyofthis
initiative,administrationofthesolicitationandsubsequent
negotiationswiththeselectedbiddersrequiredextensive
technicalassistance(TA)dedicatedtoprovidingcapacity
buildingforgovernment/publicofficialsinvolved.92
When interviewed,mini-grid operators expressed
satisfactionwiththeoverallqualityandrigourofthe
selectionprocessandnoted thestrongbuy-inand
supportfromallkeystakeholdersinvolvedonbehalfof
theGoSL(i.e.,MoE,EWRC,PPPUnit,UNOPS).However,
operatorsalsonotedthattheRREP—similartomost
programmesofitssize,scopeandambition—iscomplex
initsdesign,involvinglengthyproceduresthatrequire
significantresourcestomanage.Asimplifiedprocess
wasrecommended,withtheGoSLtakingonmoreof
anoversightroleinthemarkettoensureelectrification
targetsareachievedandprivateoperatorsareproviding
affordable,reliableandquality-verifiedelectricityservice.
In addition, operators indicated that the financing
mechanismadoptedbytheRREP—apre-financing
arrangementwithonlyan‘in-kind’subsidy—wasnot
necessarilytheirpreferredapproach,asitputtheonuson
developerstopayfortheassetsreceivedundereachwork
package(seeSection 2.2.1),asopposedtoanalternativesubsidymechanismthatmayhaveprovidedthemwith
moreflexibility(seeSection 3.2).93
Operatorspointedtotheutilizationofresults-based
financing(RBF)schemesasapossibleapproachtoexpedite
marketentry.Aprivatesector-drivenmodelsuchasthis
issimplerinitsdesignandstructureandcanreducethe
contractualcomplexityofprojects,whichcaninturnallow
forgreaterpossibilityofreducingprojectdevelopment
costsandend-usertariffs.However,itisworthnotingthat
RBFschemesalsofacechallenges,asfeedbackfromthe
NigeriaRuralElectrificationAgency(REA)highlightedissues
withdevelopersreceivingthelasttrancheofgrantsdueto
theirinabilitytoverifythenumberofconnectionsthatthey
indicatedintheirgrantapplication,despitereceivingthe
firstandsecondtranchesofthegrantupfront.
45
Otheraspectsofthebiddingdesignthatoperators
flagged includeadjusting fundingandexperience-
relatedrequirementstoincreasetheparticipationoflocal
companiesintheprocess;andsupportingthedesign
andimplementationofflexibleandinnovativebusiness
andfinancialmodels,includingtheintroductionofgrant
supportschemes,toensurelong-termsustainability.An
exampleofthiswouldbefortheRREP(and/orfuture
mini-gridprogrammes)toallowdeveloperstosuggest
theirownprojectsoutsideoftheexistingPPPframework,
whichwillprovideanopportunityfordeveloperstotest
innovativebusinessmodelsandsolutionsandpossibly
expediteelectrification–essentially toallowspace
fora“bottom-up”approachtocoexistinthemarket
(seeTable 1).Overall,operatorsconcludedthatinthefuture,asimplerprocessshouldbeimplemented,as
themanagement,resourcesandtechnicalcomplexity
associated with the current design may contribute to
projectdelaysandhigherprojectdevelopmentcosts.
Cost-Reflective Tariffs
ThetariffdeterminationmethodstatedintheEWRCMini-
GridRegulations2019appliestoallmini-gridsequally
irrespectiveoftheoperator.Therevenuerequirement
methodology is used to determine the tariff for the
provisionofservicesbytheoperators.Therevenue
requirementisthesumofoperationcosts,depreciation
oncapitalandcapitalizedcost,reservesforrepairand
replacements,taxes,areasonablereturnontheprivately-
financedregulatoryassetbase(RAB)thatadequately
reflectstherisksfacedbythemini-gridoperatorplus
aperformance-relatedprofitmarginonthequantityof
electricitysoldiftheprojectisheavilysubsidized.
Grant-financedactivityorassetsarenot includedin
calculating the revenue requirement.94 The tariff is
calculatedbasedon historic data for theprevious
yearandappliedintheregulatoryyear,exceptforthe
firsttariffapplicationforwhichprojectionsbasedon
reasonableassumptionsareused.Bookedcostsarenot
approvedautomaticallyandstatedconsumerdemand
isnotautomaticallyaccepted;theEWRCensuresthat
theproposedcostsfortheregulatedservicereflect
prudently-incurredcostsatareasonablelevelofefficiency
and that the underlying consumer demand is based on
eitherverifiabledataorprudentandreasonabledemand
projectionsbasedonverifiabledata.
94 ItshouldbenotedthattheseareindirectlyincludedinthereserveaccountrequirementsoftheRREPproject;otherprojectscanalsoincludeareserveaccountbutitisnotarequirementfromtheEWRC.
95 SierraLeoneElectricityandWaterRegulatoryCommission:Mini-GridRegulations2019.
Therevenuerequirementisdeterminedbythefollowing
formula:95
RR = O&M + D + T + (return x RAB) + (PRPM * E)
RR=revenuerequirementfortheregulatoryyear
O&M=operationandmaintenanceexpenses
D=depreciationexpensefortheyear(ofallregulated
capitalandcapitalizedassets)
T=taxes,dutiesandcharges,includingnon-recoverable
GSTpaid
return=rateofreturn
RAB= regulatory asset base (residual value of the
capitalizedassets,includingcapitalizeddevelopmentcost)
PRPM=performance-relatedprofitmargin(SLL/kWh)
reflectinggrantfinancing
E=electricitysold(kWh)
TheRABisdeterminedincludingallprivately-financed
usedandusefulassetsintheprovisionofregulated
activityatfairvalue(basedonthecostapproach,e.g.,
depreciatedreplacementcost).
TheRABisdeterminedbythefollowingformula:
RAB = (RABt–1 + RABt–2)
2
TheRABattheendofyear(t-1)isdeterminedbythe
followingformula:
RABt–1 = RABt–2 + CAPEXt–1 – St–1 – Dt–1
RABt−1=RABattheendofyear(t-1)(previousyear)
RABt−2=RABatthebeginningofyear(t-1)(previousyear)
CAPEXt−1=privatelyfinancedcapitaladditions(tangible
orintangibleassets)duringyear(t-1)
St−1=assetdisposalduringyear(t-1),and
Dt−1=depreciationintheyear(t-1)
TheEWRCoverseestheprocessofdeterminingthe
tariffsforbothmini-gridsandoff-gridprojects,tobe
revisedannuallybasedonhistoricdatafortheprevious
year.WhiletheentireRREPselectionprocess—from
thetenderandprocurementoftheoperatorstothe
negotiations—tookabouttwoyearstofinalize,the
tariffnegotiationitselftookaboutfourmonths,with
thefinalnegotiationhavingconcludedinJune2019.
Overall,wheninterviewed,operatorsindicatedthatthe
46
tariffdeterminationmethodologyprovidesatransparent
methodforoperatorstodeterminethepriceoftheir
services. Italso instills confidence inprivatesector
investorsabout theentire regulatoryprocess, as it
providesguidancebeforehandonhowtheycanrecoup
theirinvestments.Operatorswerealsopleasedwith
thesupportprovidedbyUNOPSasakeyintermediary
throughouttheprocess.
Thereweresomechallengesfacedinternallyasextensive
financialmodellingtrainingofEWRCstaffwasnecessary
toutilizethetoolandapplyittothetariffapplications
withtheoperators.Theprocessofassessingthecapital
andoperatingcostsoftheprojectwasdifficultduetothe
factthatmini-griddevelopmentisnovelinthecountry
andtheregionand,assuch,therearefewbenchmarksfor
comparisonincompletingtheseassessments.Therewere
further challenges in estimating the electricity demands
ofpotentialcustomers.
TheEWRCensuresthatthecostsincurredbyservice
providers inprovidingtheservicesandareasonable
amountofreturnisconsideredandcapturedinthetariff
calculationprocess.Priortotariffnegotiations,surveys
werecarriedouttounderstandcustomers’abilityand
willingnesstopay.Theresultsofthisprocessfoundthat
averageretailtariffsofUSD0.85/kWhwerecheaperthan
96 Stakeholderinterviews,2020.97 Itisimportanttoconsiderthatthedemandassessmentwasconductedin2016,whilethesystemswerenotturnedonuntil2019.
thealternativesenduserswerecurrentlyutilizingforenergy
access(includingforlighting,mobilephonechargingand
purchasingofkeroseneand/orlanterns).Thissuggeststhat
theinefficientuseofenergyfromthemini-gridmayhave
contributedtomisperceptionssurroundingaffordability,
underscoringtheimportanceofcommunity-sensitization
effortsandeffectivemessagingaroundutilizingmini-grid
electricity,appliances,costsetc.,especiallygiventhatmany
mini-gridcustomersarefirst-timeelectricityusers.96
Asregulationsstatethatthetariffsmustbecostreflective,
theprocessinvolvedareviewofthefinancialmodels
togetherwiththeoperatorsandtheEWRCinorder
todeveloptheappropriatetariffcalculationtool.The
toolwastransparent,andtheregulatorwasableto
accountforallthecostsandvariableinputs.However,
stakeholderinterviewssuggestedthattheinitialdemand
assessmentfailedtoproperlyestimate/accountforhow
many hours of electricity would be consumed by end
users;ashigherusageleadstohighercost,thishasan
impactonaffordability.97Arelatedcomplicatingfactor
is that the mini-grid tariff was higher than the national
gridtariff(whichistypicalofmini-gridprojects),which
led tomisperceptions from community end users.
Issuessurroundingfinancialliteracyandthebenefits
ofcost-savingsneedtobecarefullyconsideredduring
community-sensitizationefforts.
47
Tariff Adjustment
ThetariffadjustmentprocessadoptedbytheEWRCfor
SierraLeoneiscontainedintheMini-GridRegulations
forSierraLeone.Itstipulatesthattariffadjustmentsshall
occurwhentheEWRC(throughitsrepresentative)inspects
the mini-grid facilities or conducts an audit of the accounts
ofthemini-gridlicenseeanddeterminesthattherevenues
earnedbytheoperatororcostsincurreddeviatefromthe
costsandrevenuesstatedforthetariffdeterminationat
the time of licensing.
Technical and Service Standards
TheEWRC,with assistance fromUNOPSand the
MillenniumChallengeCoordinatingUnit (MCCU),
set the technical standards and grid codes to guide
the development and operation ofmini-grids in
SierraLeone.Thesestandardscoversiteselection
andhandovertotheoperatorswithvariousoptions
includingabuyoutincaseofgridexpansion.Mini-grids
are also bound to follow standards for health and safety.
Governmentincentivesareaccessibleonthecondition
thatimportedequipmentconformswithInternational
ElectrotechnicalCommission(IEC)certificationsand
standards.
Regulatoryinterventions(e.g.,throughthelicensing
framework)aimtofurthersupportservicequality.This
hashelpedmakeprocessesrunmoresmoothlyandhas
providedclarityinthesectorsurroundingstandards,while
alsoprovidingprotectionformini-grids.Agridcodeis
beingdevelopedbytheEWRC,currentlyinitsinterimdraft
asoflate2020.Otherstandardsandcodesincludethe
establishmentofagridmanagementcommittee,among
otherplansbeingdevelopedbytheEWRC.Operators
arebeingaskedtotakepartinmultiplemonitoringand
evaluation (M&E) frameworks (MoE,EWRC,UNOPS
etc.);wheninterviewed,operatorssuggestedthatone
consolidated/integratedM&Eframeworkbeestablished
for them to adhere to in order to reduce the regulatory
burden(IECprotocolsserveasabasicguideandtheISO
9001onthesideofthesuppliers).
Thepresenceofa large informalmarket for solar
productsinSierraLeoneleadstomisperceptionsabout
equipmentqualitythathamperthedevelopmentof
thecountry’ssolarmarket–includingthemini-grid
sector.This trendmakespublicawareness-raising
98 SierraLeoneElectricityandWaterRegulatoryCommission:Mini-GridRegulations2019.
andconsumereducationonproductqualitycritical.
Moreover,toensuresustainablemarketgrowth,IEC
and/or regionalWestAfrican (ECREEE) standards
mustbeadopted,alongwitharobustenforcement
mechanismtoensurecompliance.
Arrival of the Main Grid
TheEWRCMini-GridRegulationsincludethefollowing
stipulationsforthearrivalofthemaingrid:98
i. Basic Mini-Grid License:Whereamain-gridutilityorafull mini-grid licensee extends its distribution network
toanareaservedbyanisolatedmini-gridundera
basicmini-gridlicense,onrequestofthemain-grid
utilityorthefullmini-gridlicensee,thebasicmini-grid
licenseehastodecommissionandremoveallassets
andequipmentwithinthreemonthsafterthemain-
grid utility or the full mini-grid licensee has started
supplyingelectricitytothearea.Insuchcircumstances,
the basic mini-grid licensee shall not be entitled to any
refundorcompensation.
ii. Full Mini-Grid License: Whereamain-gridutilityextendsitsnetworktoanareaservedbyanisolated
mini-gridunder a fullmini-grid license, the full
mini-gridlicenseehastheoptiontoeitherconvert
to an interconnected mini-grid based on a mini-
grid interconnection contract between the full
mini-gridlicenseeandthemain-gridutility,orto
transfer all assets that the main-grid utility wishes to
retainontherespectivesiteinreturnforfinancial
compensationfromthemaingridutilitybeforethe
arrivalofthedistributiongridnetwork.Thetotal
compensationiscalculatedasthetotaldepreciated
valueofassetsremainingandhandedoverandassets
decommissioned,removedanddisposedofplus
compensationfortherevenuegeneratedwithinthe
last12monthspriortothedateofconnectionofthe
mini-grid to the distribution network.
Forthemini-gridcommunitiesselectedundertheRREP,
operatorshandlingthesesiteshavevariousoptions
includingbuyoutinthecaseofgridexpansiontothose
communities.Someoperatorsarebuildingsystemsthat
canbeintegratedtothegriduponitsfuturearrival.
Interviewedoperatorsaregenerallysatisfiedwiththe
arrival of themaingrid regulatory framework. The
mainconcernforoperatorsinthefutureishowthefull
compensationistobedeterminedandwhatparameters
48
willdetermineit.Aspartofanevolutionaryapproachto
mini-gridregulation(seeTable 11 in Section 3.3), these
issuesneedclarificationinordertoreducedeveloperrisk
anduncertainty,whileatthesametimeensuringasmooth
transitionfrommini-gridstothemaingridforallparties
involved(operators,utilityandcustomers).
3.1.1.2 Nigeria
The2016Mini-GridRegulationsenactedbytheNigerian
Electricity RegulatoryCommission (NERC) provide
comprehensiveregulatoryandpermittingguidelines
forthedevelopmentandoperationofmini-gridsinthe
country.Theregulationsincludetechnicalstandards,
economicregulation(includingtariffmethodologies),
quality of service requirements, environmental
requirements,typeofcontractualagreements,licensing
processes,andotheraspectsoftheframeworksuch
aswhathappenswhen thenationalordistribution
gridarrives.Theregulationshaveallowedmini-grid
operatorstochargeacost-reflectivetarifftocustomers
servedbytheirmini-grids,ensuringrecoveryofcostsand
bankability/financialsustainability.
Licensing
TheNERCRegulationsforMini-Grids2016definemini-
grids as either isolated mini-grids or interconnected mini-
grids.Isolatedmini-gridsitesaresoclassifiedwhenthe
locationisdesignatedasunservedandhasnotbeen
assignedtoanelectricitydistributioncompany(DisCo),
oranyothermini-griddeveloper.TheNERCRegulations
definemini-gridsincategoriesintermsofcapacityand
licensingrequirements.Mini-gridssubjecttoacapacity
limitof1MWareexemptfromthepowergeneration
licensingregimeestablishedbytheElectricPowerSector
ReformAct(2005)andadministeredbytheNERC.The
regulationsidentifythreebroadformsofmini-grids:99
i. Isolatedmini-gridswith100kWorlessofdistributed
powerthatmaysimplyberegisteredwiththeNERC
oratthediscretionofthedeveloper,obtainapermit
fromtheNERC
ii. Isolatedmini-gridslargerthan100kWofdistributed
powerandupto1MWofgenerationcapacitythat
requireapermitfromtheNERC
iii. Interconnectedmini-gridsthatrequireatripartite
contractwiththedeveloper,thecommunityandthe
relevantdistributionlicensee.
99 NigerianElectricityRegulatoryCommissionRegulationforMiniGrids2016:http://rea.gov.ng/wp-content/uploads/2018/07/NERC-Mini-Grid-Regulation.pdf
Isolated Mini-Grids
Thetariffmechanismforisolatedmini-gridsdependson
whetherthedeveloperhasobtainedapermitorissimply
registered.Forpermitholders,tariffsarecomputedusing
theREAMini-GridTariffTool,whichisintendedtobe
costreflectiveandsubjecttoacapof10percentfor
technicalandnon-technicallosseseach.Forregistered
mini-grids,theoperatorisatlibertytoadopttheREA’s
methodologyorsettariffspursuanttoanagreementwith
itscommunity–whichmusthavebeenconsentedtobyat
least60percentofthecustomerswithinthecommunity.
Thecommunityhastherighttointerveneandadjustthe
tariffintheeventthatthereturnaccruingtothemini-
gridoperatorexceedstypicalnon-recourselocalcurrency
commercialdebtinterestratesbyabove6percent.
Interconnected Mini-Grids
Interconnectedmini-gridsaremini-gridsdeployedwithin
thefranchiseareaofaDisCothatisunabletoprovide
electricpowerorprovidespoorquality/unreliablepower
toacommunity.Interconnectedmini-gridsutilizethe
existingelectricitydistributioninfrastructureoftheDisCo
and thus enter into agreements with both the community
tobeserved,andtheDisCothatownsthedistribution
assets.Interconnectedmini-gridtariffscomprisethe
generation tariff determined according to the REA
Mini-Grid Tariff Tool methodology and the distribution
useof service tariff that ispaid to thedistribution
franchise owner for the use of its electricity distribution
infrastructure.Wheninterconnectedmini-gridoperators
distributeelectricpowerfromtheDisCotothemini-grid
customersinadditiontotheelectricpowerfromthemini-
gridinfrastructure,atariffforthepowersuppliedbythe
DisCowillalsobecharged.Tariffsaresubjecttoapproval
bytheNERC.
Market Entry
Fordeveloperstooperateinthesector,theysimply
havetodemonstratetheircapacitythroughevidence
ofpreviousprojectsandtoensurethattheseprojects
havebeenbuiltandareoperational.Theyalsohave
todemonstratethattheyhavethecapacitytoaccess
financing, throughdebtorequity, todevelopmini-
gridsites.Whiletherearealsobasicdocumentation
requirementsaccordingtotheregulation,themajor
requirementsaretheirtechnicalandfinancialcapabilities.
49
Cost-Reflective Tariffs
InNigeria, according to theNERCRegulations for
Mini-Grids2016,tariffsarecomputedusingthecost-
reflectiveNERCMini-GridTariffTool,whichistheNERC’s
methodologyforsettingfairandtransparentretailtariffs
(seeSection 3.1.2.1).TheRABmodelinNigeriaprovidesadetailedExcel-basedtoolthathaspre-setcategoriesfor
assetbaseinputs,enablingmini-griddeveloperstoinput
dataandreceivepricingestimates.Themethodologyis
basedaroundallowancesforthreespecificcosts–allowed
returnoncapital,depreciation,andefficientoperating
costsandoverheads.Thereareentriesavailable for
bothgenerationassets(solarpanel,solarcables,battery
bank,solar inverter,battery inverter,sub-distribution
infrastructure,generationhouseetc.)anddistribution
assets(poles,gridlowvoltage,gridconnections,customer
connectionsandsmartmeters).Nigeriadoesnotcapthe
rateofreturnthatdeveloperscanearnontheirRABata
specificnumberbutpegsittothenon-recoursecommercial
debtinterestrateplussixpercentagepoints.100
TheNERCRegulationsprovideamethodologyfortariff
determinationthathasimplicationsfortheaffordabilityof
energygeneratedandconsumed.Thepolicyandregulatory
frameworkprovidesforflexibilityaroundtariffsettingfor
mini-gridsbelow1MWwherecompaniesareallowedto
determinethetariffsthatwouldallowthemtoachievea
sufficientreturnoninvestment,withtheapprovalofthe
regulator.Mostofthecountry’sexistingcommercialmini-
gridsfallintothiscategoryandutilizeanowner-operator
businessmodelfundedthroughamixofdebt,equityand
grantfunding(themostcommondebttoequityratiois
around70:30,withanadditionalvariablegrantcomponent).
TheFederalGovernmentofNigeria(FGN)hastaken
severalstepstoreduceregulatoryburdensformini-grid
developers.Attheendof2019,theNERCdevelopeda
web-based tool to streamline the mini-grid registration
processfordevelopersandreleasedasimplified,Excel-
basedNERCMini-GridTariffTooltohelpdevelopers
determinewhatcost-reflectivetariffstochargeendusers.
Registered mini-grids are allowed to set their tariffs freely
andareallowed,butnotrequired,tousetheNERCMini-
GridTariffTool,whichispubliclyavailableontheNERC
website.However,stakeholderinterviewsrevealedthatthe
previouslyavailableNERCtarifftoolwasmostlyapplicable
100 “ExploringAfrica’sMini-GridTariffMethodologies,”NationalAssociationofRegulatoryUtilityCommissioners(NARUC),UnitedStatesAgencyforInternationalDevelopment,(March2020):https://pubs.naruc.org/pub.cfm?id=A1E7A0F1-155D-0A36-319F-8CBC8BE8B342
101 Stakeholderinterviews,2020.102 NESPNigeria:https://twitter.com/nesp_nigeria/status/1268098896447733763?s=20103 Stakeholderinterviews,2020.
forthemaingridanddidnotnecessarilyprovideadequate
directionontariffsforanoff-gridproject.101In2020,under
theNigerianEnergySupportProgramme(NESP),GIZ
supportedtheNERCtoaddressthisissuebypreparing
atarifftoolthatisspecifictomini-grids,whichiscurrently
availableontheNERCwebsite.102
Thecomparisonofaffordabilityisnottypicallybasedonthe
priceofgridpower,whichisseenasunavailableandalso
notcostreflective,butonalternativessuchaskerosenefor
lighting and diesel generators for electricity. In determining
tariffs,mini-griddevelopersareobligatedtoengagewith
communities on tariff setting and sign agreements with
communityrepresentativesandkeystakeholders.During
thecommunityengagementprocess,developersconduct
demand assessments and market analysis to determine
thecostofalternativeenergysourcesandtoevaluatethe
purchasingpowerofthecommunity.
StakeholderinterviewswithNigeriandevelopersfound
thatmostcommunitiesarewillingtopayhightariffs
aslongastheyarelowerthanthealternatives.Thisis
indeedthecaseinNigeria,wherecurrentmini-gridtariffs
(averagingaboutUSD0.50/kWh)arecostreflective,with
endusersexperiencingsavingsofabout30percent
throughmini-gridelectrification(seeSection 2.2.2).103
InNigeriatheissueofaffordabilityhasnotinhibited
thedevelopmentofthemini-gridsector.Witharobust
tariffdeterminationframeworkusingtheNERCMini-
GridTariffToolmethodology,thetariffallowsalicensee
thatoperatesefficientlytorecoverthefullcostsofits
operations, includingareasonablereturnoncapital
investedinthebusiness.AsdescribedinSection 2.2.2,with the introduction of the Nigeria Electrification
Project(NEP)RBFandperformance-basedgrant(PBG)
mechanismadministeredbytheREA,mini-gridtariffswill
continuetoimproveandenablemoreaffordableaccess.
Mini-gridaffordabilityinNigeriaisfurtherenhanced
throughincreasedutilizationofproductiveuseofenergy
(PUE)applications(seeSection IV).Insomeinstances,developersofferproductiveusersandcommercialusers
(whogenerallyconsumemorepower)alowertariffthan
residentialcustomers.Thisactsasanincentivetothose
usingpowerforproductiveuse/economicgenerating
activitiesaswellastothoseusingelectricityduringthe
50
day,whenitismoreaffordablefortheoperatortoproduce
anddistributeenergy.Thistariffstructureincentivizes
otherstoenterthePUEmarketsegmentandstimulate
electricitydemandforthemini-grid,asthereiscross-
subsidizationofproductiveusersbyresidentialusers.
Otherintervieweessignaledtheneedformoreconsumer
awareness-raisingtoeducatecustomersonthebenefits
andcost-savingsassociatedwiththemini-gridtariffvis-à-
visthecostsexpendedondieselorpetrolgenerators.104
Oneofthewaysthroughwhichtariffscanbefurther
reducedisbyprovidingaccesstoaffordablefinancingto
developersinlocalcurrency,whichtheFGNisstartingto
dowiththesupportofSEforALL.Anotherwayisthrough
thereductionofimportdutiesonsolarproductsand
components.Fromthedeveloper’sperspective,reduction
ofhardwarecosts(throughvendorfinancing,forexample)
willalsocontributetoreducedtariffs,aswellasdeveloping
sitesinlargerportfoliostotakeadvantageofeconomies
ofscaletofurtherreducedevelopmentcostsandtariffs.
Generally,operatorsbelievethecurrentregulatoryregime
ontariffsprovidesacomprehensiveframeworkthatsupports
developers,meetsinvestorneeds,andthusencourages
sustainabledevelopmentofthesector.Improvementscan
be made to the framework for interconnection of mini-grids
duetotheneedtocollaboratewithdistributioncompanies
(DisCos).ThewaytheNERCMini-GridTariffToolhasbeen
structuredisthroughcost-reflectivetariffsasawayof
encouragingprivatesectorparticipationinordertoimprove
therateofenergyaccessinthecountry.Fromthetemplate
sharedbytheregulator,tariffswouldhavebeenpre-agreed
withthecommunityandsignedbyvirtueofacommercial
agreement,whichisoneoftherequirementsforapplying
forthepermit.However,ifanoperatorgeneratesbelow
100kWanddoesnotwanttogothroughtheprocessof
NECregistrationandobtainingthepermit,theycanavoid
associatedregulatorycoverageandareatlibertytocharge
anytariffagreeduponwiththecommunity.
Tariff Adjustment
TheNERCRegulations includeguidelines for tariff
determinationbythevariouscategoriesofmini-grids.
ThereisnocustomerclassificationimposedbytheNERC
formini-grids,andatariffiscalculatedusingtheNERC
Mini-GridTariffToolmethodologyforeitheronevillage,
oraclusterofvillageslocatedinthesamearea.Theactual
104 Stakeholderinterviews,2020.105 “Mini-GridsinNigeria:ACaseStudyofaPromisingMarket,”WorldBankESMAP,(November2017):http://documents1.worldbank.org/curated/
en/352561512394263590/pdf/ESM-dNigeriaMiniGridsCaseStudyConfEd-PUBLIC.pdf
tariff and billing model are described in the contract
betweenthemini-griddeveloperandthecommunity,or
thetripartiteagreementthatincludestheDisCointhe
case of an interconnected mini-grid.
Inordertoamend/escalate/adjustmini-gridtariffsin
Nigeria,theNERCMini-GridRegulationsindicatethat
sufficientnoticeshouldbegivenwhenthereisanintention
toadjustthetariff,andanapplicationtotheNERCisto
bemadeinthisrespect.Nointervalisprovidedinthe
regulationsforapplicationfortariffadjustmentsbythe
operator,andtheregulationsstatethattheNERCshallbe
entitledtoinspectandverifytheaccountsofthemini-grid
permitholderforthepurposeofadjustmentoftariffs.
UponverificationbytheNERCthattheactualcostsor
revenuesincurredorreceivedbythemini-gridoperator
deviatefromthosestated(orprojected)duringtariff
determinationwiththeNERCatthepointofapplication
forthepermit(orapprovalofthetripartiteagreement),the
inputparametersforcalculatingthetariffusingtheNERC
Mini-Grid Tariff Tool methodology are to be adjusted to
theactualcurrentvalues.Thetariffsmaythenbeadjusted
bytheNERC,withthenewtariffsappliedwithin30days
followingapproval.Themini-gridoperatororcommunity
mayrequestaninspectionoftheaccountsofthemini-grid
operatorforthepurposeoftariffadjustment;therequest
incursachargeofNGN200percustomer(USD0.50)to
bepaidbythepartyrequestingtheinspection.
Technical and Service Standards
Compliancewithstandardsvariesaccordingtothetypeof
authorization.Registeredmini-gridsmustapplyminimum
technicalrequirementsandensurequalityofservice,in
accordancewiththeiragreementswiththebeneficiary
communities.Theyarerecommended,butnotrequired,
tofollowtechnicalguidelinesintheNERCregulationsand
the distribution code for registered mini-grids.
Mini-grids that hold a permit, whether isolated or
connected, arebound to follow thegrid code, the
distributioncode,andhealthandsafetystandards.Some
ofthestandardsincludemaintainingastipulatedfrequency
range,notifyingusersofoutagesatleast72hoursin
advance,andreportingsignificantincidentstotheNERC
within24hours(definedasmalfunctioningofequipment,or
injurytoapersonorananimalduetoelectricalcauses).105
51
Arrival of the Main Grid
Optionsforhowtodealwithgridexpansiondifferaccording
tothetypeofmini-grid.Interconnectedmini-gridsmust
paytheDisCoachargeforusingitsnetworkinfrastructure.
This charge is determined through negotiations with the
DisCoandmustbeapprovedbytheNERC.However,
theDisComayalsotakeoverinterconnectedmini-grids
andre-integratethemintoitsnetworkoncethetripartite
contractexpires,ontheconditionofprovidingwritten
proofofendorsementbytheconnectedcommunity,and
notificationtotheNERC.106
Isolatedmini-gridsoperatingwithapermithavetwooptions:
i. Convertintoaninterconnectedmini-gridandbecome
a small power producer and/or a small power
distributor;or
ii. Selltheisolatedmini-grid’sassetstotheDisCoin
returnforcompensation.
Iftheextensionofthegridhappenswithinfiveyears
ofthecommissioningofthemini-gridoperator, the
compensationcorrespondstotheremainingdepreciated
valueofassets,includingconstructionanddevelopment
costs.Iftheextensionofthegridhappensafterfiveyears
ofthemini-gridbeingcommissioned,thecompensation
corresponds to the remainingdepreciatedvalueof
assets,excludingconstructionanddevelopmentcosts.
TheDisComustalsopaythemini-gridanadditional
compensation,whetherthegridarrivesbeforeorafterthe
five-yearthreshold.Thisadditionalcompensationequals
therevenuegeneratedduringthe12monthsbeforethe
dateofinterconnectionorbuyout.Thisaimstoprovide
anincentiveformini-griddeveloperstoincreasethe
loadwhilepreventingpredatorybehaviourfromDisCos
(e.g.,whereDisCosletmini-gridsprovetheeconomic
viabilityofalocationbeforeexpandingtheirnetworkand
takingoverthemini-gridsforarelativelylowprice.)The
NERChasthefinalsaywhenpartiescannotagreeon
theamountofcompensation;however,itisworthnoting
thattheNERChasnotplayedsucharoleyet.Duetothe
nascentstageofthemarket,therehavenotbeenany
documentedcasesofsuchconflictstodate,asnoDisCo
has extended its distribution system to an area already
occupiedbymini-grids.
Registeredmini-gridsthatdonothaveapermitarenot
eligibleforanycompensation.Theymustdecommissionand
106 Ibid.107 Mini-GridInvestmentReport:ScalingtheNigerianMarket,RockyMountainInstitute,2018.
removealltheirassetsandequipmentwithintwomonths
aftertheDisCohasstartedsupplyingelectricitytothearea.
Stakeholderinterviewsfoundthatoperatorsarecurrently
seekingoutpartnershipswithDisCostodevelopmini-grids
thatarein“under-grid”areas.Asforthecompensation
offered forgridextension, someoperators feel it is
inadequateandassuch,haveengagedoneof their
partnerstodriveapolicyreviewprocessthatwillinclude
theRenewableEnergyAssociationofNigeria(REAN)for
widerparticipation.Thepurposeofthiscollective-action
approachistoundertakeareviewfromanindustry-wide
perspectiveasopposedtoanindividualone.
Mini-gridsinNigeriaaregraduallytrendingtowardsgrid
parity,especiallyinterconnectedmini-grids,asDisCos
maybesourcingmoreoftheirpowerfromsuchprojects.
AsurveycarriedoutbytheRockyMountainInstitutefound
thatalthoughcapacityutilizationofmini-gridsisstillbelow
average,asprojectsworktowardstheachievementof
energyaccessgoalsbyconnectinghouseholds,revenue
collectionshavebeensolid.WithmorefocusonPUE,
mini-gridsinNigeriawillachievemorecapacityutilization
and further enhance affordability.107
3.1.2 Summary of Findings
3.1.2.1 Comparative Analysis of Tariff Determination Methodologies in Sierra Leone and Nigeria
Tariff Calculation
The tariff calculation methodologies in the mini-grid tariff
calculationtoolsusedbyboththeEWRCandtheNERC
calculatetheaveragetariffasaratioofthetotalallowed
revenue(TAR)tothetotalannualdemand.Thetariff
calculation tools used by both regulatory agencies use
similarmethodstodetermineacost-reflectivetarifffora
prudentlyoperatingdeveloper.TheTAR,whichisthesum
oftheoperationalcosts,depreciation,etc.,isusedtogether
with the total demand in calculating the tariff in both the
EWRCandNERCtarifftools,aspresentedinTable 3.
SomedifferencesinthecomponentsoftheannualTAR
existinthetariffcalculationtoolsusedbytheEWRCand
theNERCassummarizedbelow.
i. TheNERCincludesthecostofpaymentsmadetothe
localelectricitydistributioncompanywhereapplicable.
Thisappliestointerconnectedmini-gridsthatarea
52
mini-gridcategoryundertheNigerianRegulationfor
Mini-Grids2016.
ii. TheEWRC includesgrants for cost (addedas a
negativetopreventthegrantedsumsfrombeing
countedaspartofthetariff),andreserves(covering
repaircosts,etc.)ascomponentsoftheannualTAR.
TheNERCtarifftoolfurtherallowsforthecalculation
108 TheEWRCmini-gridtarifftoolincludesapplicabletaxesinthedeterminationofoperatingcosts,whichitselfisalineiteminthetariffdeterminationcalculation.TheNERCmini-gridtarifftooldoesnotconsidertaxesinthedeterminationofthetariff;Nigerianmini-griddevelopersmaythusapplyapre-taxWACCwhendeterminingatariffinordertoaddressthistaxburdeninitsrevenues.
109 EWRCTariffCalculationToolVersion9.2110 TariffToolVersion4from:https://nerc.gov.ng/index.php/component/remository/Regulations/MYTO-Mini-Grid-Model/?Itemid=591111 IncludesEWRCfees.
ofTOUtariffssplitintodaytimeandnighttimetariffs.
TOUtariffsarecalculatedasa ratioof theTARto
theprojectedtotalenergyconsumed(kWh)during
thedaytimeandnighttime.TheNERCtarifftoolalso
providesforthecalculationofthetariffasanaverage
flat-ratetariff,whichiscalculatedastheratioofthe
TARtothenumberofcustomersservedbythemini-
grid in one month.
TABLE 3Mini-Grid Tariff Determination Comparison108
Tariff Components EWRC Tariff Tool109 NERC Tariff Tool110
TotalAnnualAllowedRevenue(A)inSLLorNGN
(+)OperationalCosts111 (+)OperationalCosts
(+)Depreciation (+)Depreciation
(+)AverageReturn (+)AverageReturn
(+)Performance-RelatedProfitMargin (+)Performance-RelatedProfitMargin
(-)GrantsforCost(Capex) (+)PaymentsmadetoDisCo
(+)ReserveAccountContribution (+)NERCFee(NGN/year)
TotalDemand(B)inkWh/year TotalAnnualDemand TotalAnnualDemand
Tariff (C) = Total Allowed Revenue (A)
Total Demand (B)
Source:EWRCandNERC.
AsthetarifftoolsusedbyboththeEWRCandNERC
use similar tariff determination methodologies based on
thecost-of-serviceapproach(wherebyend-usertariffs
are calculated as the ratio of the TAR to the total annual
demand),anydifferencesinatariffcalculatedusingeither
toolwouldbeduetothedifferencesintheindividual
componentsoftheTAR,orthefactthatsomecomponents
oftheTARareuniquetoeachofthetoolsusedbythe
EWRCorNERC.
Theregulator inSierraLeone,throughitsMini-Grid
Regulationsandtarifftool,allowsthedevelopersome
flexibilityinchoosingtheweightedaveragecostofcapital
(WACC)—orreturnontheRAB—tobeusedinthe
tarifftool(andthustariffdetermination)subjecttothe
approvaloftheEWRC.TheNERCalsoallowssimilar
flexibilityinitstarifftool,andtheWACCiscalculated
basedonthecostofdebtandtheexpectedreturnon
equity.TherequirementfortheNERCtoapprovethe
rateofreturnusedtoderiveatariffusingtheNERCtariff
toolishowevernotmentionedintheNigeriaRegulations
forMini-Grids2016.
TheSierraLeoneElectricityandWaterRegulatory
Commission (SLEWRC) states in its Mini-Grid
Regulationsthat:“the applicant’s proposed rate of
return on its own invested capital shall be supported
by a cost of capital analysis. The applicant shall propose
and justify a capital structure which will include a
discussion on cost of debt and equity for the applicant.
The rate of return proposed needs to be confirmed by
the Commission.”
TheEWRCandNERCtarifftoolsandmethodologiesdo
notusetheCapitalAssetPricingModel(CAPM)thataims
toguideanappropriatereturnonequityinrelationto
53
theriskpremiumontherespectiveequitymarket.This
impliesthatpotentiallywidelyvaryingreturnsonassets
(aproductoftheRABandtheWACC)maybeproposed
bydevelopersinbothNigeriaandSierraLeonebased
ontheprevailingmarketconditionsandcouldcausewide
variationsintariffsdeterminedforeithermarket.
112 NOTE:ThesetariffsonlyreflecttheRREP;othermini-gridprojectsinSierraLeone(e.g.,PRESS-D)maychargedifferenttariffs.
3.1.2.2 Summary of Mini-Grid Tariff Frameworks in Sierra Leone and Nigeria
Asummaryoffindingsbasedonareviewofthemini-grid
tariffframeworksinSierraLeoneandNigeriaispresented
in Table 4.
TABLE 4Mini-Grid Tariff Frameworks in Sierra Leone and Nigeria
Indicator Sierra Leone Nigeria Lessons Learned
Tariff calculation methodology
• RevenueRequirementmethodology
• TheRABmodelisdefinedas“thesumofallassetsusedandusefulinprovidingregulatedservices,”whichgivestheregulatorthediscretion to determine the reasonableness of entries on a case by-case basis
• Publicly-availableNERCMini-Grid Tariff Tool
• Operatorsgeneratingbelow100kWareatlibertytosettheir own tariffs through a “willingbuyer-willingseller”regime(musthaveagreementwithcommunity)
• TheRABmodelprovidesadetailed Excel-based tool thathaspre-setcategoriesforassetbaseinputs(includesgeneration and distribution assets)allowedwithintheRAB.Italsoprovidespricingestimates.
• Themulti-yeartarifforder(MYTO)tool reduces regulatory burden for developersandregulators
• InNigeria,registeredmini-gridshavetheflexibilitytosettheirtariffsfreelyand/ortousethetariffcalculationtool.
Average mini-grid tariffs
RREP:112
• WP-1, Year 1 (2019-20): USD0.82–0.87/kWh;averageofUSD0.85/kWh
• WP-1 and WP-2, Year 2 (2020-2021): USD0.74/kWh–0.82/kWh;averageofUSD0.79/kWh
• NEP and NESP I:USD0.39-0.79/kwh(NGN150–300/kwh);averageofUSD0.58/kWh(NGN220/kWh)
• REF:USD0.32-0.39/kwh(NGN120and150/kwh)
Someofthekeysimilaritiesanddifferences between the tariff frameworksinSierraLeoneandNigeriainclude:
• The annual TAR used in tariff determinationforSierraLeoneandNigeriahascertaincomponentsuniquetoeachthatcoulddrivedifferences in tariffs for similar installations.
• ThedeveloperisallowedtocalculateitsreturnontheRAB(subjecttoapprovalbytheEWRCinSierraLeone)allowingforpotentiallydiffering tariffs as the return on the RAB is based on the local lending rate andthereturnonequityproposedbytheprojectdeveloper.
• InSierraLeone,asoperatorsbeginto connect more customers and bringlargermini-gridsystemsonline,projectdevelopmentcostsaregradually decreasing.
• Inbothcountries,somemini-griddeveloperschargeproductiveusersalower tariff than residential customers toincentivizePUE.
• Accesstofinanceisakeybarrierformini-griddevelopersinbothcountries;inNigeria,developershavebuiltuptheirinternalcapacity/expertise(undertheNEP)intermsofpreparingproperdocumentation,thusimprovingaccesstofinancingprogrammes,andinturnenablingthereduction of tariffs.
54
Indicator Sierra Leone Nigeria Lessons Learned
Market Entry • Top-downplanningapproachunder the RREP
• BiddingprocessundertheRREPislengthyandcomplex,which leads to higher costs fordevelopers,whomustabsorb these costs as overhead
• TheEWRCcanrefusetogranta license based on reasons relatingtothefinancial,technical and managerial capabilityoftheapplicant,or the inability to render the serviceforwhichthelicenseisbeing sought
• Privatesector-drivenmodelthatcombinestop-downandbottom-upplanningapproaches
• Entrantsarerequiredtoshowtechnicalandfinancialcapability
• TheNERCcansimilarlyrefuseto grant a license based onnotfulfillingthesebasicrequirements
• ThecomplexPPPstructureofthe RREP resulted in lengthy and expensivenegotiationandfinancingprocesses,withdelayslargelyattributedtoextendedapplicationprocessestoobtainlicensesandotherpermits,aswellastoongoinggeneralelectionsinSierraLeoneinearly2018.Continuouslearningbydoing(byregulators,developersandcommunities)andthesubsequentrefinementandstreamliningofpermitting/contractnegotiationprocessesisakeylessonlearned.
• DuetohigherexistinglocalcapabilitiesinNigeriawithitsmoredevelopedpowersector,companiescould assess the sites they want todevelopthemselves,carryoutsurveys,providetheirdesignandsubmittotheREA,whichcarriesoutevaluation,checksnecessarydocumentation and ensures that theymeetthefinancialandtechnicalrequirementstodeliversuchprojects.
• Followingasuccessfulgrantapplication,developersaregiventheNEPRBFgrantssubjecttoverificationthatcustomershaveconnectedtothemini-gridandbeenprovidedwithsatisfactoryservicefor90days.
Technical and Service Standards
• SetbytheMoEandtheEWRC
• Grid code currently under development
• Informalmarketcompetitionrequiresimprovedenforcement standards by relevantauthorities
• SetbytheREA,theNERCandtheStandardsOrganizationofNigeria
• Standardsvaryaccordingtotypeofauthorization
• Registered mini-grids are recommended but not requiredtofollowthecodes;mini-gridoperatorswithpermitsareboundtofollowthe codes
• Informalmarketcompetitionrequiresimprovedenforcement standards by relevantauthorities
• Regulatorsshouldimplementmeasurestoensurestandards/quality(e.g.,byadoptingIECand/orregional/ECREEEstandards),mitigatepotentialdifficultiesincustomsclearanceandimportlogistics,aswellastooverseeimplementationoftaxexemptionsbycoordinatingwithall agencies and regulatory bodies involved.
Ability to reduce capex development and/or opex costs
• Accordingtointerviewswithoperators,reductionsofoperationalandassetcoststosignificantlevelsarenotpossible,asopexcostsarerelativelyfixed,andthevariablecostsdirectlytiedtorevenuelevelsarelow
• RemovalofimportdutyonIEC-certifiedapprovedsolarproducts(excludingancillaries such as distribution equipment,batteries,etc.)
• RemovalofGSTfrommini-grid electricity and tax holiday formini-gridoperatorsfor5-yearperiod
• Distributioninfrastructureand storage were the most significantcostdrivers,whichcannot easily be reduced duetounder-grid/energyreliability of the grid
• 5%importdutiesand5%VATonimportedsolarcomponents113
• Developsitesatscale,astheeconomiesofscaleindevelopingmultiplemini-gridsitesatonceshouldreducesomecosts(fixedcostsarespreadoverfarlargervolumesofkWhsold).
• FocusonoptimalcostperkWhandtheappropriatefinancingstructuresforthis,assignificantlyincreasingthecustomers/sitesmanagedandtheconsumptionpercustomerremainsthe best way to reduce tariffs.
113 “PolicyResearchontheimpositionof10%TariffDutiesonSolarComponents:MakingaWayforSolarinNigeria,”https://ng.boell.org/sites/default/files/uploads/2019/07/final_35_page_-_policy_research_on_the_10_duties_on_solar.pdf.pdf
55
Indicator Sierra Leone Nigeria Lessons Learned
Arrival of the Main Grid
• Basic mini-grid licensee has to decommissionandremoveallassetsandequipment
• Fullmini-gridlicenseehastheoptiontoeitherconvertto an interconnected mini-grid based on a contract between the licensee and the main-grid utility or transfer all assetsinreturnforfinancialcompensation
• Interconnected mini-grids paytheDisCoacharge,determined by negotiation andapprovedbytheNERC,forusingtheDisCo’snetwork infrastructure or the DisComaytakeovertheinterconnected mini-grids and re-integrate them into its networkoncethetripartitecontractexpires
• Isolated mini grids with a permiteitherconvertintoaninterconnected mini-grid or selltheirassetstotheDisCoinreturnforcompensation
• Arrivalofthemaingrid/DisConetworkisthesinglemostimportantconstraintfacingmini-griddevelopersinNigeria;somefeelthatthereisunfaircompensationofferedforgridextensionandaretryingtodriveapolicyreviewprocesswiththeREA.
Source:SLEWRCMini-GridRegulations;NERCMini-GridRegulations;stakeholderinterviews,2020.
114 “ElectricityTariffsinECOWASRegion,”AfricanDevelopmentBankGroup,EnergyPolicy,RegulationandStatisticsDivision,(September2018):http://www.ecowrex.org/sites/default/files/pesr1_-_energy_statistics_bulletin_september_2018.pdf
115 Lai,K.,Munro,P.,Kebbay,M.,andThoronko,A.,“PromotingRenewableEnergyServicesforSocialDevelopmentinSierraLeone:BaselineDataandEnergySectorResearch,FinalReport,”EuropeanUnion,(July2015):https://pressd-sl.org
116 ElectricityTariffsinECOWASRegion,AfricanDevelopmentBank,2018.117 ElectricityTariffsinECOWASRegion,AfricanDevelopmentBank,2018.
Affordability is central tomini-grid development,
particularlyincountrieslikeSierraLeoneandNigeria,
whereruralincomelevelsoftenmakeitdifficultforthe
populationtoaffordelectricityaccess.Inthecontext
ofmini-grid electrification, affordability andWTP
aredirectly tied toalternativeenergyand lighting
sourcesthatareusedbyoff-gridcommunities(diesel
generators,kerosenelanterns,batteriesetc.),whichare
moreexpensivebycomparison.Hence,mostcustomers
already pay higher rates for access using these
alternativesthanthetariffsetbymini-gridoperators.
Affordability of tariffs therefore cannot be determined
basedon theabsolutevalueofagiven tariffand
mustbeexaminedwithinabroader,country-specific
economiccontext.Domesticlowvoltageconsumers
(i.e.,households)intheECOWASregionspendabout
17percentof their incomeontariffs,onaverage;
Sierra Leonehasoneof thehighest average low
voltage(LV)domestictariffsintheECOWASregion
withusersspendingupto20percentoftheirincome
on electricity, while domestic LV consumers in
Nigeriaspendabout10percentoftheirincomeon
electricity.114A2015studycarriedoutundertheEU-
fundedPRESSD-SLprogrammefoundthat—using
conventionalenergysources—thecostoflighting,on
average,accountedforbetween10and15percentof
householdincomes,whilehouseholdsusinggenerators
werefoundtospendupwardsof20percentoftheir
income on lighting.115
Electricity is a bit more affordable to lifeline consumers
whospendanaverageofabout2percentof their
income on electricity. Lifeline rates refer to the
subsidizedratesgiventocustomersforthefirstblockof
consumption(i.e.,enoughelectricityaccesstocoverbasic
needs),whosediscountsarebornebythosewithhigher
electricityconsumption.ThelifelinetariffinSierraLeone
isoneoftheleastaffordable,inrelativetermstotheGDP
percapita,asconsumersoftheElectricityDistribution
andSupplyAuthority(EDSA)ofSierraLeonehaveto
spendupto3.2percentoftheirincomeonelectricity
tariff,comparedtolifelineconsumersoftheAbujaDisCo
inNigeria,whohavetospendlessthan1percentoftheir
incomeontariff,makingthisoneofthemostaffordable
lifeline tariffs in the region.116
Onaverage,thenon-domesticlow-voltageconsumers
(whouseelectricity forcommercialactivities) in the
ECOWAS regionpay 15percent higher tariff than
domesticlow-voltageconsumers.Thisfiguregoesupto
77percentinNigeria–i.e.,thenon-domesticconsumer
tariffsare77percenthigherthandomesticconsumer
tariffswhereasinSierraLeone,thenon-domestictariffs
areonlyabout30percenthigherthandomesticconsumer
tariffs. The difference between the two tariff classes is
indicativeofthesubsidizationand/orcross-subsidization
infavourofdomesticconsumersineachcountry.This
trendsuggeststhattariffsineachcountry(andatthe
ECOWASregionallevel)donotpromotecommercialand
industrialactivities.117
56
StakeholderinterviewsinSierraLeoneindicatethatin
settingmini-gridtariffs,theregulatorinvestigatescapital
cost,financingandmore,andmostoperatorsfindthe
currenttariffcostandregulationstoadequatelycover
allkeyfactors.Someoperators,however,viewthetariff
structureasoverly controllingand thuspreventing
experimentationtooptimizestructure.Thetariffsetby
theEWRCistobereviewedafter12months;thishadyet
totakeplaceasoflate2020.
Severalfiscalpolicies(bothdirectandindirect)havebeen
takentosupportthemini-gridsector.Forexample,the
MoEandtheMinistryofHealthandSanitation(MoHS)
providedaccesstolandforthedevelopmentoftheRREP
WP-1mini-gridsites,whiletheMinistryofFinance(MoF)
providedincentivesfortheimportationofmini-grid
equipmentthatmeetsinternationalstandardsofquality.
In2021,theGoSLapprovedcorporatetaxexemptions
andagoodsandservicestax(GST)waiverformini-grid
projects,whiletheFCDO,underWorkPackage7(WP-7)
oftheRREP,providedatariffsubsidy(seeSection 1.1.2).
Itisimportanttoemphasizethat,eventhoughthemini-
gridtariffisconsideredunaffordablebymany,alarge
numberof themini-gridcustomershadneverused
electricityinthisformpriortothearrivalofthemini-grid.
Thus,whentheyfirstconnectedtothesystem,many
customersendedupconsumingmoreelectricitythan
theycouldafford.Inthiscontext,energyexpenditures
inrelationtoincomelevelsmaytakesometimetolevel
off as end users learn more about their energy usage and
expenditures.
Many of these issues can be addressed through
awareness-raisingandcommunity-sensitizationcampaigns
targetingfinancial literacy (sothatendusersbetter
understandthebenefitsofcost-savings),aswellas
energyefficiency/conservation,andappropriateuseof
end-useappliancestooptimizeenergyuse.Collaboration
betweenstakeholdersacrossvaryinglevels,fromthe
privateandpublicsector,isalsoimportanttoensure
understandingandinclusion.Improvingunderstanding
of these dynamics within a mini-grid community is critical
to fostering sustainable growth of the mini-grid sector.
AnotheroptionmaybethroughtheapplicationofEnergy-
as-a-Service(EaaS)businessmodels,wherebymini-grid
operatorsofferend-userservicesratherthansellingkWh
(see Annex 1).Thishasproventobeaneffectiveapproachin other nascent and early-stage mini-grid markets and
wouldhelpovercomemanyoftheabove-mentioned
knowledgebarriers.Indeed,mini-gridcommunitysurveys
found that user knowledge surrounding electricity usage
fromthemini-gridwasrelativelylow(Figure 15).
FIGURE 15User Knowledge of Amount Charged per kWh of Electricity
FIGURE 15: User Knowledge of Amount Charged per kWh of Electricity
YES
NO
Source: WP-1 Mini-Grid Community Surveys, 2020.
46%54%
Source:WP-1Mini-GridCommunitySurveys,2020.
57
Withthemini-gridtariffstillconsideredunaffordablefor
manyruralhouseholds,companiesinSierraLeoneare
workingtoaddressthisbyprovidingmicrofinanceto
enduserstoincreaseuptakethroughPUE(seeSection 4.2).Grantschemesandsubsidiesfromthegovernmentanddevelopmentpartnerscanplayanimportantrole
infacilitatingaccesstofinancing(e.g.,forthepurchase
ofproductive-useequipment),whichiscurrentlyafocus
oftheRREPunderWorkPackage6(WP-6).Allsurveyed
operatorsmentionedtheissueofhighcostoffinancingas
animportantcostdriver,withcommercialbanksinSierra
Leonenothavingmuchexperienceinthemini-gridsector
andthusbeingunderstandablyrisk-averse.Government
guaranteescaneasethisriskaversenesstosupport
lower-costfinancingfromcommercialbankswithout
significantburdentothegovernmentbudget.Operators
are also working with communities to better understand
differentclassesofcustomers,howtheymanage,use,
andconsumeenergyetc.tofurtherimproveaffordability.
OperatorsstatedthatvariousaspectsoftheWP-1and
WP-2sitedevelopmentcontributedtohighertariffs.
Forexample,sourcingalargequantityofinstallation
materials,andassociatedinstallation/connectionlabour,
was identifiedasbeingparticularlycostly forWP-1.
ThesecostswerereducedunderWP-2,however,as
operatorswereabletomakeuseoftheirowntrained
engineersinSierraLeone.Thebiggestcostdriverfor
WP-2developmentwasprocurementof thepower
generationassets,alongwithhavingtorepeatedlyfinance
newprojectcostsforeachsite;financingisextremely
expensive,withlegalcostsuptoUSD400–650perhour
tomanagethepreparationofvariouscontractsand
permits,particularlythoserelatedtolandleasing.The
lengthyandcomplexnatureofthisprocessledtohigher
costsfordevelopers,whomustabsorbthesecostsas
overhead.Operatorssuggestedthatanidealstructure
wouldbearelativelysimpleframeworkcontractthatcan
be used on an ongoing basis.
118 Stakeholderinterviews,2020.
Inaddition,thepossibilityoffurtherstandardization
canbeexplored.Someoperatorsexplainedthatmini-
gridprojectsaredestinedtohavehighercostsbecause
theyarealltailor-madeprojects–unlikegridextension
projects.Consideringthisinherentcharacteristic,theGoSL
cancarefullyanalyzepowerassetsanddevelopment/
permittingprocessesthatcanbefurtherstandardizedin
ordertocreatereplicabilityandlearningfordevelopers,
leadingtofurthercostreductions.Developerscanalso
explorecoordinatedeffortsofbulkpurchaseofsuch
standardizedassetstopursuecostreductionviaincreased
purchasingpower.Forthiskindofaction,however,awell-
plannedmini-griddevelopmentprogrammebytheGoSL
may become essential to create market certainty.
Operatorsmentionedequipment costs, e.g., solar
batteries,asakeycostdriver.Inaddition,thelackof
locallyavailablepartsandinstallersgreatlyaddsupthe
cost,astheyneedtobeprocuredfromoutsideofthe
country.Thereareadditionallogisticaldifficultiesduring
thecountry’srainyseason,whichcanleadtodelaysand
increase costs.
Increasingthenumberofcustomersisalsoimportantfor
operationalcostreductions.Operatorssuggestedthat
operationalandassetcostreductionsarenotpossible
tosignificantlevels,andthatcostsavingsonassetswill
simplypushcostsdownthelineintohighermaintenance
andpoorperformance–inturnresultinginreduced
revenueduetodowntime.Moreover,variablecosts
directlytiedtorevenuelevelsareabout2–4percent;
therefore,significantlyincreasingthecustomers/sites
managedandtheconsumptionpercustomerremains
thebestwaytoreducetariffs,asfixedcostsarespread
overfarlargervolumesofkWhsold.Thisrequiresclearer
processesforfinancinganddeploymentoflargerproject
portfolios.Asalonger-termcostreductionmeasure,the
GoSLshouldinvestinbuildinglocalcapacitytocreatea
sustainablemarketwithlocalexpertise.118
58
3.2 Assessment of Mini-Grid Subsidy Schemes in Sierra Leone and Nigeria
3.2.1 Impact of Subsidies on Project Development Costs and Electricity Tariffs
Theeconomicsofmini-griddevelopmentinSub-Saharan
Africaremainchallenging,asmini-gridsoftenhavehigh
up-frontcapitalandoperationalcostsandtendtoserve
low-incomeruralcustomerswithlimitedabilitytopay.
Demandfromthesecustomerscanbeunpredictable,
asmanyrelyonagricultureforincome.Varyingweather
conditions,seasonalityandcropyieldsalldirectlyimpact
theabilityofcustomerstopaytheirbills.Formini-grid
operators,suchirregularincomestreamsposesignificant
riskstorevenuecollection,andriskreturnsfortheir
financialbackers.119Whiletherearesomeexceptions,
includingsitesthathavetherightmixofloads,income
levels,andproximitytotransportationorurbanareas,
mostmini-gridstypicallyrequiresomeformofgrantor
subsidytobeeconomicallyviable.120
119 StateoftheGlobalMini-GridsMarketReport2020.120 Melnyk,M.andKelly,A.,“SmartIncentivesforMini-GridsthroughRetailTariffandSubsidyDesign:AGuideforPolicymakers,”AfricanMini-Grids
CommunityofPracticeandElectricCapitalManagement,(March2019):https://southsouthnorth.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/04/Smart-Incentives-for-Mini-grids-through-Retail-Tariff-and-Subsidy-Design_-A-Guide-for-Policymakers_LEDS-GP-FWG-1.pdf
121 Ibid.122 Consumptionorusagesubsidiesincludesubsidiesbuiltintothetariffstructure,suchaslifelinetariffs,andsubsidiespaidtocustomersforthe
purchaseofenergy-efficientappliancesandelectromechanicalequipment123 Tenenbaumetal.,2014.124 MelnykandKelly,2019.125 Excludespre-investmentsubsidies,whichessentiallycoverTAtogovernmentsanddeveloperssuchasmarketandresourceassessments,geospatial
planning,prefeasibilityandfeasibilitystudies.
Therearevariousapproachesforprovidingsubsidies.
Subsidiescanbedeliveredbyeithersupplyingcertain
elementstothedeveloperdirectly,orbyafinancial
transfer paid for inputs or outputs, generation or
distributionoutcomes,oronacapitaloroperational
basis.Subsidiesaretypicallyprovidedtoeither: (i)
consumers(i.e.,customersservedbyamini-grid),which
arederivedonthebasisofaprice-gapapproach;or(ii)
producers(i.e.,mini-gridoperators).121 The two most
common consumer subsidies are connection subsidies
andconsumptionsubsidies.122 A connection subsidy
isaone-timegrantthatallowsahousehold,business,
orpublicinstitutiontoconnecttoamini-gridsystem,
whileaconsumptionsubsidy(sometimesdescribedas
aquantity-basedsubsidy)isanongoingsubsidythat
reducesacustomer’scostofconsumingelectricityby
reducingthecustomer’stariff.123 Producer subsidies
areadministrativelyeasierandalsoallowforgreater
flexibilityinstructuringthesubsidy.124 Table 5presentsdifferenttypesandsourcesofproducersubsidies;Table 6 presentseightbasicoptionsforstructuring/disbursingsubsidies for mini-grids.125
TABLE 5Types and Sources of Producer Subsidies
Type Source
Subsidies that increase revenues Feed-intariffswithpremiums Government/donors/buyingutility’scustomersExternaloperatingsubsidies Government/donorsTariffsthatexceedcostsforothercustomersservedbytheSPPorforothernon-SPPelectricityconsumers
Othercustomersfromwithinatariffclass,fromothertariffclasses,orfromcustomerswhosetariffsarenotregulated
Subsidies that lower costsConnection cost grants Government/donors/othercustomersCustomer contributions in aid of construction CustomersDiscountedpurchasepriceonbulksupplytariff Nationalutility/government/sellingutility’sothercustomersWaiversofimporttaxes Government/donorsConcessional/softloans Government/donorsProduction tax credit GovernmentTax holidays GovernmentGuaranteesonSPPloanpayments Government/donorsGuaranteesthatnationalutilitieswillpayforelectricitysuppliedbytheSPP
Government/donors
Loanbuy-downprogrammes Government/donors
Source:Tenenbaumetal.,2014.NOTE:SPD=smallpowerdistribuitor;SPP=smallpowerproducer.
59
TABLE 6Mini-Grid Subsidy Disbursement Options
Capital Generation Distribution (including retail)
Input-based Paid based on the cost of the generation asset,asapercentageofthecostbasis
Paid based on the cost of building out the distribution network,asapercentageofthecostbasis
Output-based Paidbasedontheinstalledcapacityofthegenerationassets,ona/kWbasis
Typicallypaidbasedonthenumberofconnections(i.e.mini-grid connected customers
Otheroutputmetricsmaybepossible(e.g.thedistanceofdistributionortransmissionlinesextended)althoughnotcurrentlyutilizedformini-grids
Directsupply Selectedkeygenerationassetssuppliedfor free
Distributionassetssuppliedbyandbuiltbyanentitythatisnottheprojectproponent,andtransferred/leasedtotheprojectproponentforlong-termoperation
Operational
Output-based Paidbasedontheenergydelivered(/kWh) Paidbasedonthenumberofcurrentcustomers(e.g.paidonamonthlyorannualbasis).Thishasnotbeenutilizedasasubsidy mechanism for mini-grids in Africa
Source:MelnykandKelly,2019.
126 Phillips,J.,Attia,B.,andPlutshack,V.,“BalancingCompetitionandSubsidy:AssessingMini-GridIncentiveProgramsinSub-SaharanAfrica,”DukeUniversityNicholasInstituteforEnvironmentalPolicySolutions,PolicyBrief,(December2020):https://nicholasinstitute.duke.edu/sites/default/files/publications/Lessons-for-Modernizing-Energy-Access-Finance-Part-2.pdf
127 Peterschmidt,N.,Lopez,D.,andFuss,C.,“ARenewableEnergyMini-GridTechnicalAssistanceGuide:Take-awaysfrom15yearsofGIZsupportinmini-gridmarketdevelopment,”DeutscheGesellschaftfurInternationaleZusammenarbeit(GIZ)GmbH,(April2020):https://www.get-transform.eu/wp-content/uploads/2020/06/200602_giz_get_transform_minigrid_rz05_web-min.pdf
Althoughawiderangeofsubsidieshavebeenimplemented
acrossmini-gridmarkets,twomaintypesofgovernment
subsidieshavedrivenmini-gridprojectdevelopmentto
date–up-frontcapexsubsidiesandoutput-basedcapex
subsidiesoftenreferredtoasRBF.Arecentstudyof20mini-
gridprogrammesinSub-SaharanAfricafoundthatup-front
capexsubsidiesprovidedviaauctionprogrammesarethe
mostutilizedmechanism,accountingfor62percentofall
subsidies,whileRBFandauction-RBFhybridprogrammes
accountfor24percentand14percentofprogrammes,
respectively.126
Thevalueofasubsidyshouldbehighenoughtoensurethat
themini-gridissustainableandprofitable,butlowenough
tomaximizetheimpactoflimitedsubsidyresourcesand
motivatetheprocessofcostreductionandlocalcapacity
building.Clearsunsetclausesofsubsidymechanismsand/
orstep-by-stepreductionmechanismsareimportantways
ofincentivizingthecostreductionofsubsidizedassets/
processes.ArecentGIZstudyindicatedmini-gridcapex
subsidyneedstobebetween50percentand80percent.127
Up-front Capital Expenditure Subsidies
Up-frontcapexsubsidiesarefinancialsupportprovided
todeveloperstocoversomeportionofthetotalcapex
oftheirmini-gridprojectspriortoconstruction.This
typicallyinvolvesissuinggrantsorconcessionalloansto
coverup-frontcapitalcosts.Grantscanbedistributed
onanin-kindbasisandtypicallyincludefundingforTA
ordistribution,generationandmeteringequipment.In
termsofdistribution,up-frontsubsidiescanbemade
availableatafixedrateonafirst-come,first-servedbasis.
They may also be disbursed through minimum subsidy
tenders/auctionprogrammes.
Up-front capex subsidy auction programmes tend
tobeadministrativelycomplex,requiringsubstantial
resourcestobedevotedbydeveloperstoengagein
them.Inaddition,mostmini-gridmarketsinSub-Saharan
Africaareintheirpilotphaseandnotmatureenough
tobenefitfromauctionschemes,whicharedesignedto
prioritizecompetitionandlowerprices–anapproach
bettersuitedformorematuremarketswithasufficient
supplyofexperienceddevelopers.Nevertheless,auction
programmesarestillthemostcommontypeofmini-grid
subsidyprogrammesadoptedintheregion,with13
Africancountries(includingNigeriaandSierraLeone)
havinglaunchedtenders/auctionstointroducemini-grids
thatincludeup-frontsubsidycomponents.Thepopularity
of these mechanisms in the region seems not to be based
ontheirabilitytolowerprices;rather,auctionsarepopular
60
largelybecausetheyofferdevelopersup-frontpayment,
largerprojectsizes,andachancetonegotiateterms.Up-
frontpaymentsprovidecriticalfundingthatdevelopers
needtobeginimplementation,giventhatsmalland
medium-sizeddevelopers—especiallylocaldevelopers
—maynothaveaccesstothenecessarycapitaltowait
forback-loadedRBFpayments.128Finally,giventheearly
stagesofnearlyeverymini-gridmarketintheregion,itis
likelythatthesectorwouldbenefitlessfromcompetition
thanfromclearsubsidies,bankable/consistentregulation,
andcapacitybuilding.Thiswouldsupportascale-upphase
inthemarket,whichcouldbringnewmarketentrants,drive
downcosts,andbuildthecapacityofregulatorstoallocate
marketopportunityefficiently.129
Results-Based Financing
Results-based financing (RBF) involvespaymentof
specifiedsumswhenprojectsachievecertainverifiable
criteriaorsurpassmilestones,typicallythenumberof
newconnections,althoughthespecifiedsubsidycriteria
couldincludeawiderangeofvariables.Thelevelof
support,meanwhile, isusuallycappedataspecific
point–acontractmightspecifyanendgoalof1,000
connections,beyondwhichnofurthersubsidyispaidout.
WhileimplementingRBFcanfacechallenges,itisusually
fasterthanup-frontcapexsubsidies.RBFshiftstherisk
ofprojectdeliverytotheprivatesector.
Commonly-citedchallengesofRBFinclude:130
• Developersmightstillrequirefinancingsupportto
achieveearlymilestonesgiventhatRBFpaymentsare
backloaded.RBFmayprecludesmaller/earlier-stage
localcompaniesthatdonothavethemeanstopre-
financethecostsofdelivery.
• RBFcanintroducemarketdistortionsasdevelopersthat
emergetotakeadvantageofthemarketopportunity
maybecomedependentonthecontinuationofthe
subsidy for their sustainability.
• Settingtheincentivesothatittriggersthedesired
levelofactivitywithout(over)subsidizingactivitiesthat
wouldhavehappenedanywaycanbetricky.
• Higherdatacollectionandverificationcosts.
128 Phillipsetal.,2020.129 StateoftheGlobalMini-GridsMarketReport2020.130 “FundingtheSun:NewParadigmsforFinancingOff-GridSolarCompanies,”WorldBankESMAP,(February2020):https://openknowledge.worldbank.
org/bitstream/handle/10986/33331/Funding-the-Sun-New-Paradigms-for-Financing-Off-Grid-Solar-Companies.pdf?sequence=6&isAllowed=y131 Phillipsetal.,2020.132 Mini-GridsforHalfaBillionPeople,WorldBankESMAP,2019.133 TheGPRBARBFdatabasecontainsrawinformationonover300RBFprojectsindevelopingcountriesfrom1993todate,andtheirkeycharacteristics134 “AGuideforEffectiveResults-BasedFinancingStrategies,”GlobalPartnershiponOutput-BasedAid(GPOBA),(2018):https://www.gprba.org/
sites/gpoba.org/files/publication/downloads/2018-11/Guide_for_Effective_RBF_Strategies.pdf
• RBFcanbeveryexpensiveforthefundersincaseof
highdemandforit.Topreventrunawaycosts,countries
cancaptheincentives.
Todate,mini-gridRBFprogrammeshavebeen/arebeing
implementedinKenya,Nigeria,RwandaandTanzania,
whileauction-RBFhybridprogrammesarebeingutilized
inNiger,TogoandZambia.131GiventhatmostoftheRBF
schemescurrentlyinoperationinthemini-gridsectorare
new,itwilltakeafewyearsbeforetheireffectivenessis
properlyunderstood.132
Measurementandverificationof results arecritical
todisbursementsunderRBFprogrammes.However,
determiningtheverificationapproachtypicallyrequires
abalancebetweencertaintythatsubsidiesareonlypaid
foractualoutcomes,andeffectiveness(thatverification
costandcapacitydemandsortimedonotreducethe
impactofthesubsidy).Fundershavetodecideona
measurementmethod,determiningwhocollectsthedata,
when,andhow.Datacollectionbyindependentthird-
partyevaluatorsandlargersamplestypicallyincreasethe
confidenceintheresultsbutaremoreexpensive.Funders
alsoneedtochoosetheverificationmethod,deciding
whethertopayforobservedresults(observational)or
resultsattributabletothesubsidyprogramme(causal).
Verificationmayincludeasitevisit(e.g.,forconnections),
documentreview(e.g.,receiptsforcostsexpended)or
dataprovidedtothegrantingagency(e.g.,electricity
productiondata).AnanalysisoftheGlobalPartnership
forResults-BasedApproaches(GPRBA)RBFdatabase
indicatesthatobservationalmethodsareusedinthe
majority of cases.133 Remote verification viaonline
platformssuchasOdyssey,whichleveragesmartmeters
with remotemonitoring capabilities to verify new
electricityconnectionsandqualityofelectricitysupply,
arealsobeingutilized.Theverificationapproachselected
shouldbeindependentandrigorousenoughtoensure
thegrantingagentbelievesresultswillbeaccurately
assessedandrewarded/penalizedandthereforehasthe
incentivetodeliveronthem.134
Ontheotherhand,privatedevelopersfacetherisk
that the subsidies may not be disbursed according to
61
theagreedpaymentschedulesevenafterresultsare
achievedandindependentlyverified.ForanRBFscheme
tobeeffective,itiscriticaltoensuredevelopershave
confidencethattherewillbenodelaysindisbursements
ornon-payment.Otherwise,lackofconfidencewillresult
indevelopersdiscountingthevalueofthesubsidyand
treatingitasabonus,thusreducingitsimpact.Therefore,
definite steps should be taken to build trust with
developersinordertomaximizetheimpactofthesubsidy.
Onepossibleoptiontobuildtrustistoimplementthe
subsidyprogrammethroughaprivate,third-partyagent
thathasapre-existing,trustedreputationandatrack
recordofeffectiveandefficientprogrammemanagement
andcapitaldisbursement.135
Phase-out Mechanism and Sunset Clause
Overall,regardlessofthepolicyinstrumentsthrough
which subsidies are applied, governments that
135 MelnykandKelly,2019.136 Peterschmidtetal.,2020.137 Nash,S.andKhinmaung-Moore,J.,“DesigningSustainableSubsidiestoAccelerateUniversalEnergyAccess,”Abriefingpaperonkeyprinciples
forthedesignofpro-poorsubsidiestomeetthegoalofsustainableenergyforall,”Tearfund,(2020):https://learn.tearfund.org/~/media/files/tilz/climate_and_energy/2020-tearfund-designing-sustainable-subsidies-en.pdf
considerhowsubsidieswilleventuallyberemovedare
morelikelytoproposesustainablesupportschemes.
Timetablesforphasingoutsubsidiesfollowingtheir
introductioncanvary.Insomecases,governments
communicateaphase-outplan,withsupporttapering
off as the sector achievesgreatermaturity. Such
reductionscanbecalibratedaccordingtovariables
such as the number of registered mini-grids or their
overallcapacity.136Athree-phaseapproachcanbe
used to gradually transition towards a sustainable
market(Figure 16.)Asubsidyschemecanbeinitiallyfundedbydonors, and subsequentlyby thehost
governmentoramixofboth,beforetheschemeis
eventuallyfundedthroughsustainablecross-subsidies
asthecountry’senergyinstitutionsmatureandasits
energysectorbecomesfinanciallyviable.Thiswould
addressconcernsthatdonorsand/orgovernments
couldgetlockedintofundingsubsidiesoverthelong
term.137
FIGURE 16Transition to a Sustainable Market for Delivering Energy Access
PHASE 1Subsidiary primarily funded by donors
PHASE 2Subsidy primarily funded by governments
PHASE 3Cross-subsidy, funded by energy consumers
DONOR FUNDING
GOVERNMENTFUNDING
CUSTOMERCROSS-SUBSIDY
TIME
SOU
RC
E O
F S
UB
SID
Y
Source:NashandKhinmaung-Moore,2020.
62
Table 7 presentsacomparativeanalysisofdifferentmini-gridsubsidyprogrammes.
TABLE 7Overview of Mini-Grid Subsidies
Subsidy Structure Advantages Disadvantages
Producer vs. Consumer Subsidy
Producer Subsidies • Producersubsidiesareadministrativelyeasierandenablegreaterflexibilityinstructuringthesubsidy
• Increasesfunder’scertaintythatthesubsidyisspentonqualityenergyservices
• Mayleadtoperverseincentivesandundesiredeffects
Consumer Subsidies
• Couldincreasecustomerempowermentandbuilds awareness of the real cost of energy
• Morecomplexdisbursement/administrativeburden
Input-based vs. Output-based Capital Subsidy vs Opex Subsidy
Up-front Input-Based Capital Subsidy
• Couldaccelerateimplementation,asdevelopersneedinitialcapital.Inabusinessenvironmentwhereaccesstofinanceisasignificantbarriertomini-griddevelopment,structuringasubsidytoinclude earlier disbursement tranches that are matched(timingwise)tocapitalexpenditurescanreducetheup-frontfinancingneedsofthedeveloper(vs.disbursementuponcompletion)
• Donorcontrolonhowimplementationistotakeplace
• Early disbursement can increase risk of non-deliveryorlatedelivery
• Inflexibilityfordevelopersonhowtoachieveresults
• Notresult-oriented• Hindersdeveloper’sinnovation• Up-frontcapexsubsidiesaremorelikelytoattractmini-griddevelopersthatarelookingattheshortterm
• In conducting due diligence to ascertain the developer’scapabilityandcommitmenttocompletethemini-gridproject,grantingagenciesoftenrequiresignificantdocumentationthattakestimeandiscostly,bothforthemini-griddevelopertoprovideandthegrantingagencytoreview
Output-Based Capital Subsidy
• Developersareencouraged/incentivizedtodeliverrapidresults.Lessriskofnon-orlatedelivery(comparedtoup-frontsubsidy)
• Allowsflexibilityonhowtoachieveresults• Innovationisencouraged• Financialriskassociatedwiththenon-delivery
of results shifts from the granting agency to the recipient
• Increaseseffectiveness• Focusonresultsratherthancostincurred• There is less need for detailed documentation tobuildgrantingagencyconfidenceinthemini-griddeveloper
• Increasingresponsibilityofdevelopersmayleadtoreduceddelivery-quality
• Developermayexperiencedifficultiesinup-frontfinancing/lackofinitialcapital
• Lessdonorcontrolofimplementationprocess• Mini-griddevelopersarewaryofsubsidiesthatmaybesubjecttoeitherdelayinpaymentorhaveaperceivedriskofnon-payment
• RBFisbasedonnumberofconnections,islikelytoencouragedeveloperstofocusonmoredenselypopulatedcommunitiessoastominimizecosts(withsmallerbutmoredenselydevelopedmini-gridsystems)whileretainingthesamesubsidyamount.Dispersedcommunitiesare thus less likely to get connected.
• Ingeneral,thelongerandmoreexpensivetheverificationprocess,thelessconnectedthe subsidy is to the outcomes it is seeking as mini-griddeveloperswilldiscountthevalueofthesubsidyanddeviatelessfromwhattheywouldhavedoneintheabsenceofasubsidy.Also,themoreresourcesspentbythegrantingagencytoperformverification,fewerresourcesareavailabletofundtheactionthatisbeingsubsidized,sothesubsidyprogrammecanachievelessoverall.
Output-Based Operational Subsidy
• Long-termopexsubsidiesaremorelikelytoachievelong-termsustainabilityifthegrantingagency is able to remain committed to such asubsidy.Opexsubsidiesimprovetheuniteconomicsofelectricitysold,sothelikelihoodthemini-gridcancontinuetoatleastbreakevenandcontinuetooperateishigherwithanopexsubsidy.
• May not be feasible without cross-subsidies from grid-connectedcustomersortaxpayers
• Itisriskyforprivateprojectoperatorstoplacetheirtrustinon-goingpublicfinancialsupportgivenpotentialchangesinpolicy,budget,andpoliticalregimes
• Privateinvestorsmaybereluctanttoinvestiftheyhavetorelyonpotentiallyrisky,long-termtariffpaymentsfromdevelopingcountrygovernments
Source:NashandKhinmaung-Moore,2020;Peterschmidtetal,2020;andMelnykandKelly,2019.
63
3.2.1.1 Sierra Leone
There are currently no direct end-user subsidy schemes for
mini-gridsinSierraLeone,astheproposedtariffsunder
theRREParecostreflective.138 The RREP business model
did,however,utilizedonorandgovernmentfundsto
coverallofWP-1constructionexpensesandalsoprovided
an‘in-kind’subsidytooperatorsbycoveringthecapital
costsofthedistributionassetsunderWP-2.Thesubsidy
providedtoRREPoperatorsunderWP-2intheformof
distributionmaterials(powercables,poles,etc.)enabled
them to charge a lower connection fee to customers.139 In
2020,theFCDOapprovedWP-7tosupportthereduction
of mini-grid tariffs through additional subsidy for non-
generation,publicassets(namelyelectricitymeteringand
indoorconnectionmaterials)andthereserveaccountfor
replacementofWP-1generationassets(batteriesand
inverters).140
Inaddition, theFinanceActof2017providesduty
exemptionson the importationof solarequipment
(excludingancillarymaterials suchasbatteriesand
invertersetc.)thatmeetsIECglobalqualitystandards,141
andtheFinanceActof2021providescorporatetax
exemptionsandagoodsandservicestax(GST)waiver
formini-gridprojects.Whilethesefiscalincentivesshould
ostensiblyresultinlowertariffs,theprocessforthe2017
taxexemptionisnotfullyclearandrequirestheadoption
ofstreamlinedprocedurestomakeitsimplerforoperators
toapplyforthem.142The2021exemptionshaveyettobe
implemented,soitistooearlytodrawanyconclusions
regardingtheirefficacy.
3.2.1.2 Nigeria
InNigeria,allmini-gridrelatedsubsidieshavebeen
producersubsidies.Themini-gridcomponentoftheNEP
138 AfDBGreenMini-GridMarketDevelopmentProgramme-Mini-GridMarketOpportunityAssessment:SierraLeone,2019.139 Stakeholderinterviews,2020.140 http://www.energy.gov.sl/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/Fact-sheet_RREP-Updated-September-2020.pdf141 AfDBGreenMini-GridMarketDevelopmentProgramme-Mini-GridMarketOpportunityAssessment:SierraLeone,2019.142 “SierraLeone:UnlockthePotentialforGrid-ConnectedSolarPowerthroughPrivateSectorInvestment–gapanalysisoflegalandregulatoryframework
forsolarIPPs,”WorldBank,(July2019):http://documents1.worldbank.org/curated/en/794951581398413275/text/Sierra-Leone-Unlock-the-Potential-for-Grid-Connected-Solar-Power-through-Private-Sector-Investment-Gap-Analysis-of-Legal-and-Regulatory-Framework-for-Solar-IPPs.txt
143 NGN200/kWh[1USD=380NGN]144 Mini-GridInvestmentReport:ScalingtheNigerianMarket,RockyMountainInstitute,2018.
aimstoextendelectricityservicesto300,000households
and30,000enterprises inruralareasby2023.This
privatesector–ledcomponentprovidesviabilitygap
subsidiestomini-griddevelopersundertwofunding
windows.Thefirstwindowwilldistributeviabilitygap
subsidiesto250sitesselectedbytheREAthrougha
minimumsubsidytendertohelpkick-starttheindustryat
scale.Underthesecondwindow,developerscanapply
forPBGsofUSD350perconnectionforsitesoftheir
choice on a rolling basis.
Mini-gridend-usertariffsinNigeriarangebetweenUSD
0.39and0.79/kWhfor30–234kWpsolarhybridmini-
grids143(distinctionsmayexistbetweenhouseholdand
productive-usetariffsinsomeareas),whichreflectsthe
smallscaleandriskofatypicalmini-gridproject.144While
thesetariffsarehigherthanthesubsidizednon-cost-
reflectivetariffchargedforon-gridelectricity,theyare
typicallylessthanthecostofself-generationbythemini-
grid customers and are less than they would otherwise
bewithouttheavailabilityofsubsidies.Thesemini-grid
tarifflevelsarepossibleduetotheavailabilityofsubsidies,
whichreducecapitalexpenditureandunlockfinancingfor
mini-gridprojects.
Fundingintheformofsubsidiesprovidedunderongoing
programmessuchastheWorldBankandtheAfrican
DevelopmentBank(AfDB)-fundedNEP,theREA’sRural
ElectrificationFund(REF),theGIZ-fundedNigerianEnergy
SupportProgramme(NESP),theMini-GridAcceleration
Scheme (MAS), and the InterconnectedMini-Grid
AccelerationScheme(IMAS)amongothers,supportsthe
developmentandinstallationofmini-gridsacrossNigeria,
allowingoperatorstochargemoreaffordabletariffs.
Table 8 presentsasummaryofpreviousandongoingmini-gridsubsidyprogrammesinNigeria.
64
TABLE 8Summary of Previous and Ongoing Mini-Grid Subsidy Programmes in Nigeria
Subsidy Programme Description Type of
SubsidyFunding Source Impact & Lessons Learned
Nigeria Electrification Project (NEP) (2018–2023) 145
Minimum Subsidy Tender Programme (first window under NEP): Underthiscomponent,withabudgetofUSD140million,theREAhasinvitedprivatedeveloperstobidforminimumcapitalcostsubsidiestoelectrify250pre-selected(bytheREA)communitiesthathavehigheconomicgrowthpotential,therebyproviding110,000newconnections.Mini-griddeveloperswillcompeteonthebasisofqualityandpricetobuild,own,andoperatesolarhybridminigrids.Thegrantamountwillbedeterminedcompetitivelythroughthetender.ThegrantcanbeaboveorbelowthePBGamountofUSD350pernewconnection.Thegrantisexpectedtobepaidout3monthsaftertheprojectiscommissionedanddeveloperscanprovetotheREAthattheendusersarereceivingreliablepowerfromtheirmini-grids.
RBF WorldBankGroup,AfDBand Africa Growing TogetherFund(AGTF)
AsofOctober2019,theoriginallistof64biddingdevelopershadbeenculledto16.Itiscurrentlyunclearwhatthesubsidy amount resulting from the tender will be and what the resulting tariffs for consumers will be.146However,NigeriandevelopersinformedBNEFthattheyprefertheminimumsubsidytendersincethe250sitesarealreadydefinedforthem,reducingup-frontprojectdevelopmentcosts.AllthedevelopersneedtodoistovalidatetheinformationthattheREAhasgiventhemregardingthepredeterminedmini-gridsites.DiscussionswiththeREAinDecember2020revealedthattherehasbeenadelayinissuinganRFPundertheprogrammebecausetheREAwantedtoincreasethenumberofsitesfromaninitial57toover130.TheRFPisnowscheduledtobeissuedbytheendofJanuary2021.REAalsodisclosedthattheprocurementprocesshastakenaverylongtimeduetodiscussionswiththeDisCosoperatinginthelocationsthathadbeenidentifiedduringtheinitialdatacollectionprocess.Someoftheselocationshaveexistinggridinfrastructure(ownedbytheDisCos),whichhavenotbeenutilizedforthepast10-–20years.Inordertoavoidlitigationinthedevelopmentoftheisolatedmini-grids,theREAhadtoengagetheDisCostoobtaindata(notalwaysreadilyavailable)andensuretheproposedsiteswerenotpartoftheirexpansionplans.Nomini-gridhasbeeninstalledundertheMSTprogrammetodate,soitistooearlytodrawclearlessons.Itremainstobeseenifthisauction-basedapproachwillimprovevalueformoneyandencourageinnovationtodrivedowncosts.
Performance-based Grant (PBG) Programme (second window under NEP):Underthiscomponent,USD80millionofIDAfundsisallocatedtoprovidingPBGstodeveloperstoelectrifycommunitiesoftheirchoice.Theprogramme,administeredbytheREA,aimstodeploy580mini-grids,delivering230,000newconnections.Developersarerequiredtocarryoutgeospatialstudies,energyauditsandcommunitysurveystoselecttheirproposedviablesites.GrantsofUSD350pernewconnectionareavailableonafirst-come,first-servedbasis,withaminimumtotalgrantrequestofUSD10,000permini-grid(withabout29connectionspermini-gridatminimum).Thegrantswillbedisburseduponverificationthatcustomershavebeenconnectedtothenetworkandhavebeenprovidedsatisfactoryservice.
RBF WorldBankGroup,AfDBand Africa Growing TogetherFund(AGTF)
InterviewswiththeREArevealedthatasofDecember2020,ofthe29developersthathavegottentotheevaluationstageoftheprogramme,20havebeenapproved(8ofthesehavesignedgrantagreements,while12areyettosign),while6areunderreviewand3areawaitingclarifications.Inaddition,14outofthe20approveddevelopershavesubmittedatotalof144sitestobevettedbytheREA.Ofthese,71havebeenapproved,12areunderactivereview,34areawaitingclarification,23havebecomeinactivewhile4wererejected.Todate,grantagreementshavebeensignedfor59outofthe71approvedsites.
TheREAalsodisclosedthat,ofthe59sites,6solarhybridmini-gridswithatotalcapacityofabout500kWpproviding3,000connections,havebeencommissionedinNiger,Plateau,BayelsaandOndostatesby4developers.147 Tariffs chargedbythesemini-gridsrangebetweenNGN150/kWhand300/kWh(USD0.39-0.79/kWh),withanaverageofaboutNGN220/kWh(USD0.58/kwh).AccordingtotheREA,therehavebeenminimalcomplaintsfromthecommunitiesregardingtariffaffordability,withoperatorsrecording90–95%collections,anditisbelievedthatasconsumersbecomemoreaware,theywilllearntoadjusttheirusagepatternstominimizetheirenergycosts.
Todate,accesstofinance,exacerbatedbyexchangeratefluctuations,hasbeenakeychallenge.Initially,thegrantsweretobepaidoutafter90daysofsatisfactoryoperationofthemini-grids,however,inordertoprovidesomecushion—especiallyinlightoftheCOVID-19pandemic—thedevelopersnowget40%ofthegrantsupfront,whilethebalanceispaidafter90daysaccordingtotheoriginalpaymentschedule.Thisisalsobeingaddressedbythenewly-introducedSolarConnectionInterventionFacility,whichprovideslongtermlow-interestcreditfacilitiestodevelopers.148 In addition to the access-to-financebarrier,someofthedeveloperslackedthecapacitytoprepareproperdocumentationrequiredtoaccessthegrants.Technicalsupportisbeingprovidedinthisregardtobuildthecapacityofthesecompanies.
Inaddition,theREAhasthedevelopers’meterssyncedwithitssystemonOdyssey,enablingremotemonitoringofthemini-gridinstallations.Thispotentiallyreducesthecostofverification.Asofnow,theprogrammeisfarbehindschedulewithonly3,323connectionsagainstafirst-yeartargetof30,000connections,whichcanbepartlyattributedtoreducedactivityduringthemonthsofCOVID-19lockdown.However,theREAexpectstogetbackontrackin2021with35,000connectionsinthepipeline.Overall,theprogrammeisstillatanearlystageofimplementation,soitisnotyetpossibletodraw clear conclusions and lessons from it.149
145 InresponsetoCOVID-19,athirdmini-gridcomponenthasbeencreatedundertheNEPaimedatelectrifyingprimaryhealthcarecentres.InApril2020,foursolarhybridmini-gridswerehandedovertoauthoritiesatCOVID-19health facilities in the country. See:https://rea.gov.ng/press-release-rea-electrifies-four-covid-19-health-facilities-solar-hybrid-mini-grids/
146 Peterschmidtetal,2020.147 Theseincludea64kWmini-gridinstalledbyPowerGen;two67kWmini-gridsinstalledbyRenewvia;a234kWmini-gridinstalledbyGVE;andtwoothermini-gridsinstalledbyA4&T.148 https://rea.gov.ng/solar-power-naija/149 Stakeholderinterviews,2020.
65
Subsidy Programme Description Type of
SubsidyFunding Source Impact & Lessons Learned
Rural Electrification Fund (REF)
TheREF,administeredbytheREA,providescapitalgrantsandtechnicalsupporttoruralmini-griddevelopersselectedthroughanopencompetitivebiddingprocess.150Forisolatedorinterconnectedmini-gridsupto1MW,selecteddeveloperswillreceivegrantsrangingbetweenUSD10,000and300,000or75%ofthetotalcapitalcosts151oftheproject(whicheverisless)throughtheREF,tosupportdeploymentundercommercialPPP arrangements towards accelerating access to electricity to ruralandunderservedareasacrossNigeria.Thegrantswillbedisbursedin3installmentsprefacedonverifiablemilestonesasfollows:35%mobilizationaftersigningaRBFGrantAgreement;35%afterverificationofdeliveryofequipmentatprojectsite;andfinal30%afterverificationofcustomerconnectionsandqualityofservice.ThegrantsshallbecalculatedbasedonthenumberofplannedconnectionsandthequalityofelectricityservicethatthegrantbeneficiaryplanstoprovidetothebeneficiarycommunityinlinewiththeSE4ALLMulti-TierFrameworkforMeasuringEnergyAccess.Theselecteddeveloperswillowntheprojectsastheywouldberesponsibleforprovidingtheremainingprojectcapitalcostbothintheformofequityanddebt.152TheREFissueditsfirstgrantcallinDecember2017,andatotalofapprox.USD2.5million(NGN956.9million)wasapprovedfor12mini-gridsrangingbetween30kwand100kw,electrifying5,528householdswithatotalinstalledcapacityof1,016kW.153Thesecondgrantcall(requestforEoIs)wasissuedinJuly2020,andtherequestforproposals(RFP)stagewasexpectedtoclosebyJanuary2021.154
Up-frontCapitalSubsidy&RBF
FGN AccordingtotheREA,theREFsupportsonlyprojectsthatwouldhavebeeneconomicallyunviablewithoutthegrantsupport.AsofDecember2020,11ofthe12mini-gridshadbeencompleted,155whilethelastoneisat90%completionandexpectedtobecommissionedinearly2021.Tariffschargedbythe11solarhybridmini-gridsdeployedtodaterangebetweenNGN 120 and 150/kwh(USD0.32–0.39/kwh).AccordingtotheREA,thetariffsarewithinreasonablelimitsandthecommunitiesaregenerallypositiveabouttheserviceprovided.Thecomplaintsontariffssofarhavebeenmainlyfrom3-phaseusers(usingheavierequipment).Currently,thecapacityutilizationrateofthecompletedprojectsrangesmainlybetween30%and60%,withoneprojectbelow30%,showingthatthemini-gridsareunderutilized.Todate,onlyoneoutofallthecompletedprojectshasbeenabletoaccessthefinaltrancheofthegrantpayment,whichisbasedonachievingthenumberofconnectionsstatedinthegrantagreement.Thesuccessfuldevelopercommissionedtheprojectin2019andwenttheextramiletostimulatedemandbybuildingariceprocessingplant,pumpingwaterandprovidingmilling/grindingmachinesonapay-as-you-go(PAYG)basis,therebyenhancingthepurchasingpowerofthecommunity.Ontheotherhand,mostoftheotherdeveloperssimplyinstalledmini-gridswithoutstimulatingdemand,leadingsometoloseconnectionsratherthangainthem.ThisclearlyunderscorestheneedforTAtodevelopersinstimulatingend-userdemand.
Inaddition,whileallselectedbidderssignedgrantagreementsonthesamedayinJanuary2019,theimplementationspeedvariedwithsomemini-gridsdeployedin2019,somein2020andthefinalonewillonlybecompletedin2021.Thedelayscanbeattributedtoseveralfactors.Thedevelopersthathadaccesstofinancefromdevelopmentfinanceinstitutions(DFIs)wereabletomovefasterthanothers.SomeoftheprojectswerealsoaffectedbytheborderclosureandtheCOVID-19crisis,whileothersfacedregulatorychallengesfromlocalauthorities and community delays.
Nigerian Energy Support Programme I (NESP I) (2013–2018)
NESPI,implementedbyGIZ,pilotedthedevelopmentof6off-gridsolarmini-grids(50-100kWp)incollaborationwith5localprivatecompaniesin2017–2018usingaPPPandsplit-assetmodel.Throughthismodel,thedevelopersownthepowergenerationsystems(powerplant)whilethecommunities/statesownthedistributionassets,whicharefundedbycapitalgrantsprovidedbyGIZandaccountforroughlyhalfofthetotalprojectcapitalexpenses.Inaddition,thecapitalcostsoftheinitialend-userconnectionswerealsocoveredbythecapitalsubsidy.156Ontheotherhand,theprivatecompaniescoveredtheremaining50%oftheproject’scapitalcosts(formovableassets)withtheirownequityandprojectfinance.IncollaborationwiththeUSAIDREEEP,theNESPalsoprovidedTAinunlockingaccesstofinancefortheprojects.157
Up-frontCapitalSubsidy
EUandtheGerman Government
The6mini-gridprojectsarecurrentlyoperationalandareprovidingnearly16,000people(3,147households)withreliableaccesstoelectricity.ThetariffstructureoftheseprojectsasofJuly2018isshowninTable 9.158 The end-user tariffsfortheseprojectsrangewidelyfromNGN 150-300/kWh(USD0.39-0.79/kWh).InterviewswithRubitec,oneofthedevelopersundertheprogramme,revealedthatGIZprovidedagrantofEUR200,000thatcovered42%ofthetotalcapitalcostofits85kWmini-grid.Theprogrammealsoexperienceddelaysasaneconomiccollapseinthecountryanddevaluationofthenairain2015practicallyhaltedtheprogrammefor2yearsandtheprojectscouldnotaccessfinancing.Rubitechadinitiallyplannedtocommissionitsmini-gridinSeptember2016;however,theprojectwasnotcommissioneduntilFebruary2018.ItisworthnotingthattheTAprovidedtothedevelopersinaccessingfinancewascriticalinresolvingthisissue.Furthermore,inordertostimulatedemandandimprovethecapacityutilizationofitsmini-grid,RubitechasalsohadtoprovidesomeequipmentfinancingforPUE.159
150 Mini-GridInvestmentReport:ScalingtheNigerianMarket,RockyMountainInstitute,2018.151 Capitalcostsincludehardandsoftcostssuchasprojectdevelopmentandlogisticscosts.152 RuralElectrificationFundOperationalGuidelines2017,REA,October2017.153 Ohiare,S.,“LooktoAfrica,themini-gridmarketiscompetitive,”ESIAfrica,(March5,2020):https://www.esi-africa.com/industry-sectors/renewable-energy/look-to-africa-the-mini-grid-market-is-competitive/154 NigeriaREA:https://rea.gov.ng/addendum-request-expression-interest-ref-grant-2020-ppp-model/155 Tenofthesehavebeencommissionedwhileone(alreadyoperational)wassettobecommissionedbytheendofDecember2020.156 Stakeholderinterviews,2020.157 Mini-GridInvestmentReport:ScalingtheNigerianMarket,RockyMountainInstitute,2018;andWarren,2018.158 GIZNigerianEnergySupportProgrammeII:https://www.giz.de/en/worldwide/26374.html159 Warren,2018;andStakeholderinterviews,2020.
66
Subsidy Programme Description Type of
SubsidyFunding Source Impact & Lessons Learned
Mini-Grid Acceleration Scheme (MAS)
MASisanationwide,non-site-specific,opencompetitivetenderimplementedbytheREAdesignedtoselectmini-gridcompaniestoconstructisolatedmini-gridsupto1MW,providing21,000newconnections.TheMAStenderaimstopromoteproductive-usebusinessmodelsformini-gridstobeoperatedonacommercial,public-privatepartnershipbasis.TheREAannouncedtheresultsoftheMASinOctober2019.The4winnersofthetenderwillbesupportedindeployingtheirproposedmini-gridprojectswithanin-kindpartialcapitalgrant–intheformofdistributionandmeteringequipment–andTAvaluingatotalofEUR6million.Allassets(grantedandprivatelyfinanced)willbeinstalledandtestedbytheselectedbidders.
In-KindUp-frontCapitalSubsidy
EUandtheGerman Governmentthrough the NigerianEnergySupportProgramme II (NESPII)
AccordingtotheREA,themini-gridswillbedeliveredatanaffordabletariffthatwouldhavebeeneconomicallyunviablewithoutthescheme.160TheREAinitiallyaimedtogettheseprojectsonlinebytheendofJuly2020,however,noprojecthasbeeninstalledtodate.TheREAteamdisclosedthattheschemehasbeensignificantlydelayedbecausetheselecteddevelopersrealizedthatthegrantsprovidedwouldbeinadequatesotheydecidedtochangethedeliverymodefromisolatedmini-gridstointerconnectedmini-grids.Consequently,therequiredDisConegotiationshavedelayedtheprocess.Asofnow,theschemeisinthetechno-economicassessmentstageunderwhichthesitesproposedbytheselectedbiddersarebeingvettedbytheREApriortoimplementation.Whileitistooearlytodrawconclusions,akeytakeawaysofarfromthisschemeisthatitisimportanttoensurethevalueofthesubsidyprovidedishighenoughtoachieveprogrammegoals.
Interconnected Mini-Grid Acceleration Scheme (IMAS)
SimilartotheMAS,theIMASisanationwidenon-site-specificopencompetitivetenderimplementedbytheREAtargetedatselectingdeveloperstodesign,construct,commissionandoperateinterconnectedsolar-basedmini-gridsofupto1MWserving15,000customers(ingrid-connectedbutpoorly-servedcommunitiesinNigeria)onacommercialpublic-privatepartnershipbasis,inpartnershipwithinterestedDisCos.InApril2020,theREAannouncedtheresultsofitsIMAStenderand7developerswereselectedtopartnerwith7DisCos.Thewinnerswillbesupportedindeployingtheirproposedinterconnectedmini-gridprojectswithin-kindpartialcapitalgrantstotalingEUR3millioncoveringmetersandupto50%ofgridrefurbishment/extension(cablesandpoles)inadditiontoTA.SelectedbiddersundertheIMASwillinstallallassets(grantedandprivatelyfinanced)andtestthem.161
In-KindUp-frontCapitalSubsidy
EUandtheGerman Governmentthrough the NigerianEnergySupportProgramme II (NESPII)
TheREAinitiallyaimedtogettheseprojectsonlinebytheendofSeptember2020,providingenduserswithaffordableelectricitytariffs.However,noprojecthasbeendeployedundertheschemetodate.Presently,theschemeisintheTAphasewheredevelopersworkcloselywiththeDisCostofinetunetheproject,getapprovals,workontariffs,distributionuseofservicecharge,etc.The7developersarecurrentlyatdifferentstages,withacouplewellaheadoftheothersandalmostreadytoproceedtoimplementation.Itisthustooearlytodrawanyconclusions/lessonslearned.
Source:NashandKhinmaung-Moore,2020;Peterschmidtetal,2020;StateoftheGlobalMini-GridsMarketReport2020;andstakeholderinterviews.
160 StateoftheGlobalMini-GridsMarketReport2020.161 Ohiare,2020.
67
TABLE 9Nigerian Energy Support Programme I: Mini-Grid Project Overview
Developer Location (Community)
Local Government
AreaState kW
capacity162Number of
connectionsTariff Structure (NGN/kWh) 163
O&M (NGN/month)
Capacity Utilization
(%)164
CREDC UmonIsland Biase CrossRiver 50 100 200(USD0.53) 140,000 5
NayoTropicalTechnology Ltd.
TunganJika Magama Niger 100 300165 140(USD0.37)166 50,000 20
RubitecSolarLtd. Gbamu Gbamu Ijebu-East Ogun 85 500 180(USD0.47) 125,000 47
GVEProjectsLtd.
(i)AngwanRina(ii)Demshin Shendam Plateau 100 250 288(USD0.76) 32,500 9
GoSolar Kurdula Gudu Sokoto 80 500200/300(USD
0.53/0.79)16780,000 80
Source:RockyMountainInstitute,2018.
162 Fiveoftheseprojectsuse100%solargenerationwithbatterystorage,whileoneprojectisasolar-diesel-batteryhybrid.163 Basedonanexchangerateof1USD=380NGN.164 BasedonnumberofconnectionsasofJuly2018;severalprojectswereonlyrecentlycommissionedatthetimeandareexpectedtohavesignificantly
increasedtheircapacityutilizationoverthepasttwoyears.165 Subsequentlyexpandedto765connections.166 FixedtariffisNGN140perkWwithoptionofvariabletariffofNGN120daytimeandNGN200nighttime.https://www.esmap.org/sites/default/
files/Presentations/ENGAGING%20THE%20STATE_WORLD%20BANK%20MINIGRID%20ACTION%20LEARNING%20%20EVENT_PPT.pdf167 Tariffstructuredifferentiatedbycommercialandhouseholdusers,respectively.168 Stakeholderinterviews,2020.169 Peterschmidtetal,2020.
InterviewswiththeREArevealedthatthedevelopersprefer
up-frontgrantdisbursements(notin-kind),particularlyinan
environmentwhereaccesstofinanceisamajorbarrier.The
REAopinesthatbothup-frontcapitalsubsidiesandRBFhave
theirmeritsdependingondesiredresults.Itstatedthatin
ordertoachieveaccelerateddeploymentofsystems,which
istheobjectiveoftheMASandtheIMASprogrammes,up-
frontcapitalsubsidiesarethebestoption,asdevelopers
needinitialcapital.Yettheactualexperiencefromthe
implementationoftheMAS,IMASandREFprogrammes
sofarseemstoprovethisisnotalwaysthecaseasthere
havebeensignificantdelaysduetovariousfactors.In
ordertoachievethebeststandardandqualityofservice,
anRBFmechanismispreferred,asdevelopersmustmeet
predeterminedperformancestandardsinordertoaccess
thesubsidy.Asanimplementingagencyseekingsustainable
results and aiming to gradually shift the sector away from
relianceongrants,theREAhasapreferenceforRBF.168
TheNEPisstillatanearlystageofimplementation,soit
isnotyetpossibletodrawclearconclusionsandlessons
learnedfromtheprogramme. Nevertheless,lessonsfrom
otherRBFprogrammesshowthatalackofforesightin
addressinglong-termmaintenancerequirementshas
underminedmanyschemes.ThisisevidentintheUK-
fundedRBFscheme inTanzania,where twoservice
providersbenefittingfromtheprogrammehaveleft
themarket,andinstitutionalsystemsinstalledunder
theprogrammehavesufferedfromtechnicalsystem
failures,withpoormaintenanceprovisionhighlightedas
a challenge.169
3.2.2 Summary of Findings
Table 10 presentsacomparativeanalysisofpreviousandongoingmini-gridsubsidyprogrammesinSierraLeone
andNigeria.
68
TABLE 10Mini-Grid Subsidy Schemes: Summary of Findings
Indicator Sierra Leone (RREP)
Nigeria (Multiple Programmes) Lessons Learned
Speed of delivery
Similartomostprogrammesofitssize,scopeandambition–theRREPiscomplexinitsdesign,involvinglengthyandexpensivenegotiation and financingprocessesthatrequiresignificantresourcestomanage(bothfordevelopersandregulators)
• NEP:Thefirstmini-griddeployedundertheNEPwas commissioned in December2019just3monthsaftertheproject’sgrant agreement signing underthePBGprogrammeand9monthsafteritwaslaunched.However,itisworthnotingthatasofnow,theprogrammeasawholeisway behind schedule.
• REF:ThefirstgrantcallwasissuedinDecember2017and grant signing did not occuruntilJanuary2019,whilemostoftheprojectswere not built until 2020.
• MAS/IMAS:ThetenderresultsfortheMASandIMASwereannouncedinOctober2019andApril2020respectively.However,both are still yet to enter the implementationphase.
• NESP I:Theprogrammereceivedproposalsin2015,however,themini-gridswerenotbuiltuntil2018.
Sierra Leone:
• Programme delays were largely attributed to extendedapplicationprocessestoobtainlicensesandotherpermits,aswellastoongoinggeneralelectionsinSierraLeoneinearly2018.
• Continuouslearningbydoing(byregulators,developersandcommunities)andthesubsequentrefinementandstreamliningofpermitting/contractnegotiationprocessesisakeylessonlearned.
Nigeria:
• AccordingtotheREA,thetransparencyandspeedoftheNEPprocessisduetothee-procurementmethodutilizedincollaborationwithOdyssey.170 Thiscouldnothavebeenachievedthroughtraditional manual methods.171Nevertheless,theNEPhasfaceddelaysduetootherfactorsbesidesCOVID-19suchaslackofaccesstofinance,developers’limitedcapacityandengagementwithDisCos.
• OneofthekeytakeawaysfromtheexperiencesofarinNigeriaistheneedforsomeearlydisbursement of subsidies as was done under theNEPPBGtoreducedelaysduetofinancingdifficulties.Also,thereisaneedforprovisionofconcessional local currency loans as well as TA tosupportdevelopersinaccessingthefinanceneededtocovertheportionofcapexnotcoveredby subsidies.
• Inaddition,theexperiencewiththevariousauctionprogrammesinNigeria(MST,MAS,IMAS,REF)justlike the RREP shows that the auction structure is morepronetodelays.
Tariff Reduction
RREP:172
• WP-1, Year 1 (2019-20): USD0.82–0.87/kWh;averageofUSD0.85/kWh
• WP-1 and WP-2, Year 2 (2020-2021): USD0.74/kWh–0.82/kWh;averageofUSD0.79/kWh
• NEP and NESP I:USD0.39-0.79/kwh(NGN150–300/kwh);averageofUSD0.58/kWh(NGN220/kWh)
• REF:USD0.32-0.39/kwh(NGN120and150/kwh)
• InSierraLeone,WP-7wasapprovedbytheFCDOin2020tosupportthereductionofmini-gridtariffsthroughadditionalsubsidyfornon-generation,publicassets(electricitymeteringandindoorconnectionmaterials),andthereserveaccountforreplacementofWP-1generationassets(batteriesandinverters).
• InthecaseofNigeria,thereisadirectcorrelationbetweenthelevelofsubsidyandtariffs.AcomparisonoftheREFandNEPPBGprogrammesshowsthatREFsubsidiescover50-70%ofcapexwhiletheNEPPBGcoversonlyabout30%.Asaresult,tariffsforNEPsitesarebetween25%and108%higher.Itisworthnotingthatthereareotherfactorsthatinfluencetariffs,includinglocation,presenceofproductiveuses,costoffinancing,siteaccessibility etc.
170 OdysseyEnergySolutionsisaweb-baseddataplatformtosimplify,streamline,andreducethecostsofdevelopingandfinancingmini-gridsinemerging markets.
171 “CaseStudy:NigeriaElectrificationProject,”Odyssey,(18December182019):https://www.odysseyenergysolutions.com/2019/12/18/nigeria-electrification-project/
172 NOTE:ThesetariffsonlyreflecttheRREP;othermini-gridprojectsinSierraLeone(e.g.,PRESS-D)maychargedifferenttariffs.
69
Indicator Sierra Leone (RREP)
Nigeria (Multiple Programmes) Lessons Learned
Economies of Scale
• Projectsplannedandfinancedonaone-off basis
• UndertheNEPMST,each winning bidder will potentiallydevelopandfinance40–50mini-grids
• OperatorsinSierraLeoneopinedthattheRREPdidnotallowthemtotakeadvantageofeconomies of scale.
• InNigeria,discussionswiththeREArevealedthatitwouldliketoseetheprivatecompaniesdevelop20–30mini-gridsitestorealizeeconomiesofscalethatcanpotentiallyleadtoareductionintariffs.This led to the consideration to allow winning biddersundertheNEPMSTtodevelop40–50sitestogether.Thecostreductionimpactsofthismechanism are yet to be assessed.
Construction Quality
• WP-1systemsnot installed by operators;forWP-2developerswillprocureandinstall generation assets
• Underallprogrammes,allassets(grantedandprivatelyfinanced)areinstalled and tested by operatorsinaccordancewith the technical and safety standards and guidelines set forthintheNERCRegulationfor Mini-Grids
• IncontrasttotheRREPprogrammeinSierraLeone,subsidyrecipientsunderthevariousprogrammesinNigeriawereresponsibleforinstalling and testing all assets.173
• InSierraLeone,therewasasubstantialdelaybetween the time the systems were installed and thesiteswereelectrified(mainlyduetodelaysinthetenderingprocess),whichledtothecapacityreductionofbatteries.TheMoEandUNOPShavesinceworkedwiththeoperatorstoaddressthis.
Source:NigeriaREA;StateoftheGlobalMini-GridsMarketReport2020;andstakeholderinterviews.
173 http://rea.gov.ng/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/Overview-of-IMAS-CfP.pdf174 Stakeholderinterviews,2020.175 MinistryofEnergy-RuralRenewableEnergyProject:http://www.energy.gov.sl/home/rural-renewable-energy-project/
3.3 Recommendations for Sierra Leone
RREP Programme Design/Structure
• Introduce Subsidy Schemes and other Supportive Financing Arrangements: Servingrurallow-incomecustomerswho typicallyusevery littleelectricity
requiressomeformofsubsidization;ruralcommunity
surveysindicatedthattariffaffordabilitywasakey
barrier. It is recommendedthat theGoSLand its
developmentpartnersthereforeconsiderimplementing
appropriatesubsidyschemes(seeSection 2.4)toensurethatruralcustomersachieveaccess.
When interviewed, operators indicated that the
pre-financingmechanismundertheRREPwasnot
necessarilytheirpreferredapproach,astheywould
havepreferredanalternativestructurethatmayhave
providedthemwithmoreflexibility.174
› A traditional Design-Build-Operate (DBO)
model(seeKey Definitions)wouldhavebeenpreferredbytheoperatorsvis-à-vistheapproach
takenbytheRREP,whichengagedwithnational
contractors to completeWP-1 construction
works.175Whilethelogicbehindthisapproach
is sound— i.e., thedesire to increase local
participationinmini-gridsectordevelopment
—itledtochallengesfortheoperators.Going
forward, a recommendationwould therefore
betoinsteadfollowamoreconventionalDBO
approach—wherebygovernmentfinancesthe
constructionthroughadirectcapitalsubsidytothe
internationaldeveloper—andtosubsequently
takemeasurestodeveloplocalmini-gridsector
capacityfollowingsuccessfulimplementationof
apilotphasefullyimplementedbyinternational
firms,thusensuringbestinternationalpractices
and associated knowledge transfer.
› Providinggovernmentguaranteestosupportmini-
gridprojectdevelopersisanotherrecommended
approachtoeasethecostofprojectfinancing.The
GoSL,withsupportfromitsdevelopmentpartners,
couldprovideconcessionalloansinlocalcurrencyto
offsetaportionofcosts(perhapsthrougharevolving
fundmechanism).Governmentinvolvementinpre-
financingcanalsoseektolowerriskpremiumsfrom
thecommercialbankingsector,whichcanprovide
accesstoaffordablefinancinginlocalcurrency,and
in turn reduce the need for subsidies and grants and
encourage long-term commercial sustainability of
the sector.
70
• Reduce Programme Complexity:Wheninterviewed,operatorssuggestedthattheRREP—similartomost
programmesof itssize,scopeandambition—is
complexinitsdesign,involvinglengthyprocedures
that require significant resources tomanage. A
simplifiedprocesswasrecommended,withtheGoSL
takingonmoreofanoversightroleinthemarketto
ensureelectrificationtargetsareachievedandprivate
operators areproviding affordable, reliable and
quality-verifiedelectricityservice.Recentandongoing
experiencefromtheNigerianmarketalsohighlights
theimportanceofstreamliningprocessesthroughthe
useofdataanalyticsande-procurementtools.
Tariff Affordability
• TheresultsoftheUNOPScommunitysurveyprocess
foundthataverageretailtariffsofUSD0.85/kWhwere
cheaperthanthealternativesenduserswerecurrently
utilizingforenergyaccess (includingfor lighting,
mobilephonechargingandpurchasingofkerosene
and/orlanterns).Hence,theinefficientuseofenergy
fromthemini-gridlikelycontributedtomisperceptions
surroundingaffordability,whichsuggeststhatmore
resources and efforts need to be made by both the
publicandprivatesectortosensitizecommunities,
raiseawareness,andeducateconsumersaround
energyconsumptionandelectricityusage(especially
vis-à-vismonthlyexpenditures),thebenefitsandcost-
savingsofmini-gridelectrificationetc.
Subsidies
• Up-front Grant/RBF Scheme:While thesubsidydesignapproachutilizedundertheRREPmayhave
beennecessitatedbythenascentstageofthemarket,
theabsenceofestablishedprivatesectorplayers,
andthelackofdataonusagepatterns,operators
suggestedthatup-frontcapital(notin-kind)grants/
subsidies(perkWhorpercentageofcapex)oranRBF
schemeshouldbeadoptedgoingforward.176 These
areconsideredtobesimplerandlesstime-consuming
approaches(asseeninthefastimplementationof
someoftheprojectssupportedbytheNEPPBG
programme),whichwouldinturnallowforgreater
possibilityofreducingprojectdevelopmentcostsand
176 Itisworthnotingthatdeveloperswouldgenerallypreferup-frontcapitalgrantstoanRBFschemeduetodifficultiesinfinancingthefullcostsofdeliveryupfront.However,incaseswheretheup-frontsubsidyschemesaretoocomplexresultinginhighercosts(suchastheRREP)thedevelopersinterviewedwouldpreferasimplermechanismsuchasRBF.
177 Itshouldbenotedthatthereisnosingle,silverbullettoreducingcostsandincreasingtariffaffordabilityinanascentmini-gridsector.Whilesubsidiescanbeanimportantmarketdriver,allofthemeasureslistedhereareimportantandplayaroleinreducingcostsandrisksacrossmini-gridprojectvaluechainactivities–fromplanning,engineering,finance,developmentandinstallation,tooperation.Asmini-gridmarketsdevelop,initialsubsidymeasuresneedtoberevisedorreplacedtomeettheevolvingdemandsofamoreindependentandmaturesector.
loweringend-usertariffs,whilealsoprovidingclarity
toprivatepartnersandclearbenchmarksforGoSLon
costsofdecentralizedvs.centralgridexpansion.A
privatesector-drivenmodelsuchasthisismuchsimpler
initsdesignandstructurethanthetop-downapproach
adoptedby the RREP. Such an approachwould
drasticallyreducethecontractualcomplexityofthe
existing PPP arrangements. Taking into consideration
lessonsfromtheNEPPBGprogramme,wheresome
portionoftheRBFpaymentshavebeenconverted
toup-frontpayments,itisrecommendedthatanup-
frontcapexsubsidy-RBFhybridmodelbeadopted,
ensuringthatthevalueofthesubsidyishighenough
toachievetariffreduction.Thisshouldbestructured
suchthatallconstructionandprocurementiscarried
outbyprivatepartnerswithapprovalfromaTApartner
suchasUNOPS.Itwasalsosuggestedbyoneofthe
operatorsthatinthelongterm,thisbecomesarolling
fundtosupportsustainablemarketdevelopment.
Cost Reductions177
• Accordingtoseveraloperators,thecomplexPPP
contractstructure—particularlypermitsassociated
withlandleasing—resultsinalengthy/expensive
negotiationandfinancingprocessandcreatesmore
likelihoodofprojectdelays,whichleadstohigher
costsaswageshavetobepaidregardless.Adopting
asimplifiedandconsistentframework/processacross
therelevantpublicagencieswillreducecosts.
• Another suggestion was to increase the number of
sitesmanagedperoperatortofurtherreducecosts
andtarifflevels,asfixedcostsarespreadoverfarlarger
volumesofkWhsold.Operationalcostsarefixedwith
onlyapproximatelyone-thirdofcostshavingadegree
ofvariabilitydrivenbythenumberofsites/customers.
• Thereisalsoagreaterneedforpropercustomer
demandestimationasaninadequateassessmentof
powerdemandledtounderutilization,thusdriving
upcosts.
Applicable Lessons/Recommendations from Nigeria
• Oneofthewaysthroughwhichtariffscanbereduced
isbyprovidingaccess toaffordable financing to
71
developersinlocalcurrency,whichtheFGNisstarting
todowiththesupportofSEforALL.
• Mini-griddevelopersinNigeriafocusheavilyonPUE.
Technicalandfinancialassistancecanbeprovidedto
mini-griddeveloperstostimulatePUEandrevenue-
generatingactivitiesinmini-gridcommunities(e.g.,
intheformofequipmentfinancing).178
• InNigeria,theREAiscollaboratingwithdevelopersto
178 ThisisalreadybeingpursuedunderWP-6oftheRREPwithfundingfromtheFCDO.179 Carlin,K.,“GrowingtheMini-GridMarketinSub-SaharanAfrica,”RockyMountainInstitute,(20March2017):https://rmi.org/growing-minigrid-
market-sub-saharan-africa/
findinnovativewaysofreducingcostsandimproving
service.Opportunitiesincludereducedimportduties
on solar products and components, integrated
hardwareandsoftwarepackages,improvementsin
modularcapacity,developmentofspecializedlocal
projectdevelopmentandmanagementexpertise,
aggregatedfinancingsolutions,andafocusonend-
useserviceinsteadofpowerconsumption.179
72
Long-term Vision and Market Certainty
• Goingforward,withsupportfromUNOPS,theFCDO
andotherdevelopmentpartners,itisrecommended
thattheGoSLdevelopsandimplementsacoherent
long-term strategy that builds upon the strong
foundation of the RREP and the existing regulatory
frameworkandalignstheprioritiesofallmarketactors
—government,developers,endusers,andfinanciers
—toexpandmini-gridelectrificationinthecountry.
This can be in the form of a master plan but should
includeclearnationaltargetsformini-gridexpansionin
thelongterm.Thiswillprovideclarityandpredictability
tomini-gridmarketplayers–notablyforinvestorsand
companieswhoneedtoconsidermulti-yearplans
involvingsignificantcapitalexpenditureorborrowing.
• SierraLeonehasalreadyestablishedastrongand
supportivepolicyandregulatory framework,and
developershavepraisedthecountry’srobustenabling
environment.Yeta long-termvisionisneededto
providefurthermarketcertainty,fosterprivatesector
participation,de-riskandmobilizemini-gridfinancing,
andstimulatemarketdevelopment.
• Giventhatalackofaccesstoaffordablefinancing
is a recurring challenge in themarket, it is also
180 USAIDCEADIR:https://www.climatelinks.org/resources/renewable-energy-lending-west-africa181 “EnsuringthatRegulationsEvolveasMini-GridsMature,”WorldBankEnergySectorManagementAssistanceProgram,(2019):https://openknowledge.
worldbank.org/bitstream/handle/10986/31773/Ensuring-That-Regulations-Evolve-as-Mini-Grids-Mature.pdf?sequence=1&%3BisAllowed=y
recommended that futuremini-grid programme
designsincorporateTAfordeveloperstohelpthem
accesscapitalandalsoworkwiththecommercial
bankingsectorinSierraLeonetodevelopmini-grid
lendingcapacityinlocalcurrency.Thiseffortcanbuild
ontheUSAID-fundedClimateEconomicAnalysisfor
Development,Investment,andResilience(CEADIR)
programme,whichengagedwithlocalcommercial
banksfrom2016to2018todeveloptheircleanenergy
lendingcapacity,withafocusonthestand-alonesolar
and mini-grid market segments.180
Evolutionary Regulation
Evolutionaryregulationinvolvesdesigningaregulatory
frameworkthatevolvesasthemarketdevelops.This
includes defining the market growth phases and
spellingout,inadvance,theregulationsthatwillapply
ateachstage.Thisapproachallowsoperatorsgreater
initialfreedomthroughlight-handedregulation,with
regulation gradually becoming more stringent as
the market matures.181SierraLeoneshouldconsider
adoptingaflexibleandevolutionaryapproachtomini-
griddevelopment(Table 11).
TABLE 11Evolutionary Regulation for Mini-Grid Market Development
STAGE 1: START-UP PHASE STAGE 2: GROWTH PHASE STAGE 3: MATURE or LOCALIZED MARKET DOMINANCE PHASE
• Light-handedregulationisapplied• Onlyregistrationisrequired• Operatorstosettheirtarifffreely,undera“willing buyer, willing seller”regime
• Regulation of technical standards is limited to that of safety and grid-compatibility
• Governmentmayconsiderimplicitsubsidiesandviability-gapsubsidiese.g.,theuseofcapitalsubsidy,taxexemptionsetc.
• Regulator notes that existing mini-gridsaregaining‘marketpower’andmoredevelopersarecomingonline;this is when tighter regulation of tariffs andservicestandardswillkickin
• Market entry regulation will still be throughsimpleregistration
• Regulatorcannowsettariffsatalevelestimatedtobethecostofserviceofanefficientnewentrant/operator(similartoincentiveandbenchmarkregulation)
• Regulatormaysetminimumservicelevelsbutleavetheregulationoftechnical standards unchanged
• Governmentmayprovidecapital-costand connection subsidies
• Characterizedbyregulationoftariffsandfurthertighteningofservicestandards
• Regulatorusesindividualandspecific,cost-basedtarifflimits,becauseanefficientnew-entrantpricecouldleadtomonopolypricingand rent
• Regulatormayoptforgrid-levelservicestandardstoensurethatserviceforallcustomersisequal
• Governmentmaycontinuetoprovideconnection subsidies for low-income customers
• Governmentmaydecidetoprovideenergy subsidies to reduce the cost of electricity for all mini-grid customers or align mini-grid tariffs withthenationalgridtariff(e.g.,nationaluniformtariff)
Source:WorldBank,2019.
73
Table 12 providesasummaryofrecommendationsinrelationtomini-gridpolicyandregulatoryframework
development, tariff-settingandsubsidymechanism
design.
TABLE 12Recommended Regulatory, Tariff-Setting and Subsidy Mechanisms for Sierra Leone
Indicator Summary of Recommendations
GoSL policymakers should…
Policy and Regulatory Framework
• Developandimplementacoherentlong-term strategythatbuildsuponthestrongfoundationoftheRREPandtheexistingregulatoryframeworkandalignstheprioritiesofallmarketactors—government,developers,endusers,andfinanciers—tode-riskandmobilizemini-gridfinancingandexpandmini-gridelectrificationinthecountry.Thiscanbeintheformofa‘master plan’butshouldincludeclear national targets for mini-grid expansion in the long term.Thiswillfosterprivatesectorparticipationandprovideclarityandpredictabilitytomini-gridmarketplayers,notablyforinvestorsandcompanieswhoneedtoconsidermulti-yearplansinvolvingsignificantcapitalexpenditureorborrowing.
• Expand internal capacity of the MoEand/orcreateeitheraseparatedirectorate within the MoE or an entirely new rural electrification agency dedicated to managing the rollout of a national mini-grid programme,withalong-termvisionandtargetsinordertoprovideclarityandpredictabilitytomini-gridmarketplayers
• Adoptpolicyandplanningapproachesthatcreateopportunitiesfordeveloperstotakeadvantageofeconomies of scale(withfixedcostsspreadoverfarlargervolumesofkWhsold)toreducecostsandexpeditemarketdevelopment(i.e.,allowforabottom-up approachtocoexistinthemarket)
• Developandimplementprogrammesprovidingtechnicalandfinancialsupporttomini-griddeveloperstostimulate PUEandrevenue-generatingactivitiesinmini-gridcommunities,whichprovidesanchorclientsformini-gridpowersupplyandincreasescustomerincomelevelsandpurchasingpower(seeSection IV)
• Streamline import duty exemptionsforsolarequipment,includingtheadoptionofclearguidelinesforallrelevantpublicinstitutions;considerexpandingtheexistingimportdutyexemptionstocoverancillaryequipmentsuchasdistributionequipment,invertersandbatteriestofurtherreducedevelopmentcosts
• Implementpolicymeasurestoensure standards/qualityofequipmentintheoff-grid/mini-gridsector• SupportlocalmarketgrowththroughcollaborationwiththeRenewableEnergyAssociationofSierraLeone(REASL)(e.g.,tocertifyandtrainlocalentrepreneurs),astheuseoflocalsuppliersandengineerswillreduceprojectdevelopmentcosts
Tariff Setting • Utilizeavailablesupportingdatatoproposeabenchmark returnonequitybasedonexistingmarketconditionsinSierraLeone(orfinancingopportunitiesformini-gridsinternationally)tosimplifythetariffreviewprocessandprovideaclear market signal to developersontheprofitabilityoftheirpotentialinvestments
• Makeexplicittherequiredsubsidytoreachacertaintariff(e.g.,viaRBF,perkWhor%capexsubsidies),thatwouldprovideclaritytotheprivatesectorandclearbenchmarksforgovernmentoncostsofdecentralizedelectrificationvs.centralgridexpansion
Subsidy Mechanisms
• Adoptanup-front cash grant/RBF hybrid scheme(asopposedtoan‘in-kind’subsidy)toreduceprojectdevelopmentcostsandpotentiallylowertariffs;thehybridstructurewillreducedevelopers’up-frontcapitalconstraintswhilealsoensuringqualityofserviceasdevelopersarefullypaidbasedonthedeploymentandverificationoftheconnections;thevalueofthesubsidyshouldbehighenoughtoachievetariffreduction
• Adoptasimplified, streamlined and consistent process acrossallrelevantpublicagenciestoreduce complexityandtheamountoftime/resourcesrequiredofdevelopers
• Adoptaframework contractthatcanbeusedonanongoingbasistostreamlineprojectapprovalsandsavetimeandreduceprojectdelays/costs
• Designsubsidyprogrammestoensure quality of constructionbymakingdevelopers/subsidyrecipientsresponsibleforinstallingandtestingallmini-gridassets(undertheRREP,issuesduringtheconstructionphaseofWP-1sitesledtoanincreaseinO&Mandprojectdevelopmentcosts)
• Incorporatelong-term maintenance of mini-grids in subsidy design• ProvideTAtodeveloperstohelpthemaccessavailablefinancing• Utilizedata analytics and e-procurementtoincreasetransparencyandspeedofprojectdelivery• Considerhowsubsidieswilleventuallyberemoved;a3-phase approachcanbeadoptedtograduallytransitiontowardsasustainablemarket(seeFigure 16)
Long-term Market Sustainability
• Developandlaunchalong-termrollingfundprovidinglocal currency debt financingtothemarket(muchliketheNigeriaInfrastructureDebtFund),whichwillhelpaddressaccess-to-financingchallengesandenablemini-gridbusinessestogrow/reducetariffs.
• ProvideTA and capacity building for the local commercial banking sector in Sierra Leonetodevelopmini-gridlendingcapacityinlocalcurrency.ThiseffortcanbuildontheUSAID-fundedCEADIRprogramme,whichengagedwithlocalcommercialbanksfrom2016to2018todeveloptheircleanenergylendingcapabilities,withafocusonthestand-alonesolarandmini-gridmarketsegments.
• Promote EaaSbusinessmodels,whichhaveproventobeeffectiveinothernascentandearly-stagemini-gridmarkets.UndertheEaaSapproach,mini-gridoperatorsofferend-userenergyservicesratherthanfocusingonpowerconsumption/sellingkWh,withservice-basedtariffscustomizedtoreflecttheactualelectricityconsumptionneedsofconsumersbasedonthedesiredusageofagivenenergyapplianceand/ortimeofuse.Therearewide-rangingbenefitstothisapproach,includingitssimplicity,improvedqualityofserviceandpredictabilityofrevenuesandexpenses,amongothers(seeAnnex 1).
75
PRODUCTIVE USE OF ENERGY AND MINI-GRIDS
4.1 Productive-Use Applications and Business Models in the Mini-Grid Sector
Formini-griddevelopers,generationcapacityutilization
remainsanongoingchallenge.Sustainedeconomic
activitythatreliesongreatercapacityutilizationensures
morestablerevenuesformini-gridoperators;hence,
operatorsoften try toarrange funding tosupport
productiveuseofenergy(PUE)applicationsthatwill
stimulateelectricitydemand (e.g., to finance the
purchaseofnewagriculturalprocessingequipment,
182 Agenbroad,J.etal.,“Mini-GridsintheMoney:SixWaystoReduceMini-GridCostsforRuralElectrification,”RockyMountainInstitute,(2018):https://rmi.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/12/rmi-seeds-minigrid-report.pdf
183 Mini-GridsforHalfaBillionPeople,WorldBankESMAP,2019.
waterpumps,etc.).Duringthesiteselectionprocess
fornewmini-grids,developerstypicallyprioritizesites
with ‘anchor loads’or those thathaveproductive
users of electricity able to meet set minimum demand
thresholds.182 As illustrated in Figure 17,asthePUEincreases,itbecomesmoreeconomicalformini-grid
operatorstoproduceelectricity,thusimprovingthe
long-termfinancialviabilityoftheproject.Moreover,
localbusinessesbenefitfromswitchingfromexpensive
diesel generators to more affordable mini-grid
electricity.183
FIGURE 17Change in Daily Load Profile and LCOE from Increases in the Productive Use of Electricity
100
80
60
40
20
0240 12 1863 9 15 21
22% LOAD FACTOR 40% LOAD FACTOR 80% LOAD FACTOR
PE
RC
EN
TAG
E O
F P
EA
K L
OA
D
LCOE = $0.55/kWh
LCOE = $0.42/kWh
LCOE = $0.35/kWh
Source:WorldBankESMAP.
NOTE:LCOE=LevelizedCostofElectricity
76
Increasingtheaveragerevenueperuser(ARPU)ofa
mini-gridiscrucialinimprovingitseconomicreturnsand
subsequentlyattractingprivateinvestment.However,this
isdifficultinruralareaswherelowgenerationcapacity
utilizationremainsanongoingchallengeduetoresidential
customers’limitedpowerdemandandabilitytopay.
Toaddressthis,developersareincreasinglytargeting
PUEcustomerssuchassmallbusinessesandindustrial
userswithhigherandmorepredictablepowerdemands
than residential customers.184 Revenue from these
productive-useactivitiescanalsogeneratelocaleconomic
development and growth, which in turn improves
communities’abilitytopayforelectricityprovidedby
the mini-grid.185
InSierraLeone,wheremostofthepopulationlivesin
ruralareasandengagesinsubsistenceagriculture,mini-
gridscanpowerruralagriculturalproductivityandcreate
newbusinessesorexpandexistingoneslinkedtothe
agriculturalvaluechain.Todate,themostcommon
ruralproductive-useactivitiespoweredbymini-gridsin
Sub-SaharanAfricaincludelocalindustries(agriculture,
livestockandfishing), lightmanufacturing (welding,
carpentry,etc.),commercialandretailservices(lighting,
entertainment,barberingandtailoring),andmedium-scale
184 StateoftheGlobalMini-GridsMarketReport2020.185 Borgstein,E.,Wade,K.,andMekonnen,D.,“CapturingtheProductiveUseDividend,”RockyMountainInstitute,(April2020):https://rmi.org/
insight/ethiopia-productive-use/186 Avila,E.,“ProductiveUseReport:ProductiveUseReport:EvaluationofSolarPoweredAgriculturalTechnologiesforProductiveUseApplications,”
AccesstoEnergyInstitute(A2EI),2020:https://a2ei.org/resources/uploads/2020/09/A2EI_Productive_Use_Report_Agricultural_Technologies.pdf187 “PoweringProductivity:LessonsinGreenGrowthfromtheEEPAfricaPortfolio,”EEPAfricaandNordicDevelopmentFund,(2020):https://eepafrica.
org/wp-content/uploads/2019/12/EEP_PUE_Digital-new.pdf
productionfromsmallfactoriesorintensiveagricultural
processing(drying,grinding,millingandthreshing).It
isworthnotingthatevenwithinexpensivesolarpower
available,manyoftheseagriculturalprocessingfunctions
maynotbecost-effectivesolutionsinruralareasdueto
supplychainandotherlogisticalconstraints.186Developers
areadoptingvariousbusinessmodelstoincorporateand/
orstimulatesuchproductiveusesofelectricity.
TheEnergyandEnvironmentPartnershipTrustFund(EEP
Africa),acleanenergyfinancingfacilitymanagedbythe
NordicDevelopmentFund(NDF),hascategorizedthree
maintypesofPUEbusinessmodels(Figure 18):187
• Energy Supply Model:Thisisthesimplestmodelinwhichmini-griddevelopersonlysupplyelectricityto
productive-usecustomers.Operatorsoftendesign
mini-gridstoaccommodateaprimaryofftakerorto
convertexistingusersfromdieseltoelectricity.
• Business Acceleration Model:Underthismodel,themini-griddevelopercombineselectricitysupplywiththe
provisionofappliancesandequipmentthroughdirect
salesorfinancingtocustomers.Insomecases,thiscan
alsoincludebusinessdevelopmentsupportassociated
withtheproductive-useapplication.Thisapproach
77
hasproventoboostrevenuegenerationforboththe
developerandtheenduser.Forexample,inNigeria,
GreenVillageElectricity(GVE)hasexperimentedwith
financingproductive-useequipmentsuchasgrinder
motorsandhasbeenabletoincreaseutilizationto74
percentofpeakcapacityforitsmini-gridbyproviding
loansforsoft-startelectricmotors,andthecompany
expectsfurtheradoptionwillraisethatto90percent.188
188 Agenbroad,J.etal.,“Mini-GridsintheMoney:SixWaystoReduceMini-GridCostsforRuralElectrification,”RockyMountainInstitute,(2018):https://rmi.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/12/rmi-seeds-minigrid-report.pdf
189 “Off-GridElectricityinAfrica:MarketReviewandOpportunities,”ITPEnergised,(August2019):https://www.sun-connect-news.org/fileadmin/DATEIEN/Dateien/New/Off-Grid-Electricity-Access-in-SSA-Japan-and-UK-Opportunities.pdf
• Supplier-Offtaker Model:Underthismodel,mini-griddevelopersfillthedemandgapbyestablishing
andoperatingcommercialand/orindustrialactivities,
servingastheprimaryofftaker.Initiatingaproductive
activitybasedonalocalcommodity(suchasproducing
iceforfisherman)thatsupportsrevenuegeneration
canbemoreprofitablefortheenergysupplierthan
providingenergytoconsumers.
FIGURE 18Mini-Grid Developer Productive-Use Business Models
Financing
Technology
Human resources
User inputs to design &
management
Installed generation plant
Mini-grid distribution
network
Light manufacturing
Grinding, milling, husking, threshing
Expelling
Drying, smoking, preserving
Irrigation
Refrigeration
Illumination & services
Waste products
Products Marketing & Sales
Sales
User financing
Appliances
MINI-GRIDS
Building human capital
ENERGY SUPPLY MODEL
BUSINESS ACCELERATION MODEL
SUPPLIER-OFFTAKER MODEL
INPUTS GENERATION/MANUFACTURING DISTRIBUTION PRODUCTIVE
USE OUTPUTS MARKETDISTRIBUTION
HIGHER INTENSITY(over 2.5kW)
LOW INTENSITY(up 2.5kW)
Source:EnergyandEnvironmentPartnershipTrustFund(EEPAfrica).
4.2 Expanding Mini-Grids and Promoting Electricity Access for Productive Use
The successof thepay-as-you-go (PAYG)business
model in the off-grid market for stand-alone systems
hasextendedbeyondhouseholdownershipand is
beingadaptedforuseinmini-gridswithbusinesses
nowadaptingthemodeltoserveotherruralandoff-
grid sectors. This includes commercial and industrial
sectors,suchasagriculture,wherepaymentsforsolar
irrigationpumps(poweredbysolarmini-grids)canbe
tailoredtoagriculturaloutput,makingtheimproved
technology more affordable without the need for large
capitalinvestments.Thebusinessmodelalsoprovidesa
securecustomerformini-griddevelopers,creatingregular
incomeandleavingopentheopportunityforadditional
servicesandaccesstobeprovidedtothelocalcommunity
fromexcessenergysupplies.189
AsSierraLeone’smini-gridsectorcontinuestoevolve,
PUEwillbeincreasinglyimportanttoitsgrowthand
long-term commercial sustainability. Once fully
operational,mini-gridscanprovideawiderangeof
income-generatingopportunities.Tradeisfacilitated
78
greatlybytheavailabilityofelectricity,asretailshops
canbeopenlongerhoursandsellmoreproducts.Local
entrepreneurscanutilizepowertodevelopandgrow
ruralenterprisesinareassuchasagriculturalproductive
use,ruralcoldchainsinfoodandhealthsystems,and
InformationandCommunicationsTechnology(ICT)such
asmobilephonechargingandinternetaccessservices,
among others.
UnderWorkPackage6(WP-6),theRuralRenewableEnergy
Project(RREP)focusesonprivatesectordevelopmentand
PUEasakeydriverofelectricitydemandinruralmini-grid
communities,withgrantfundingmadeavailablebythe
FCDOforthispurpose.Followingsubstantialoutreach
tocommunities,arequestforproposalsthatclosedin
March2020receivednearly50applicationsacrossfive
190 Hunt,S.,“5yearsonfromthelaunchofGreenMini-GridsAfrica–what’sbeenachieved,andwhathavewelearned?”Mini-GridsPartnershipNewsletter,(May12,2020):https://minigrids.org/5-years-on-from-the-launch-of-green-mini-grids-africa-whats-been-achieved-and-what-have-we-learned/
191 “WinchEnergycelebratesprojectsuccessinSierraLeone,”AfricanReview,(26October2020):https://www.africanreview.com/energy-a-power/renewables/winch-energy-celebrates-project-success-in-sierra-leone
categories–InclusiveBusiness(largecompanies),Rural
BasedBusinesses,CommunityGroupEnterprises,Youth
Groups,andTraining/BusinessDevelopmentService
Providers.190
WinchEnergyhasformedseveralkeypartnershipsto
developlocalenterprisesandexpandproductive-use
applications in itsWorkPackage1 (WP-1)mini-grid
communities.Forexample,thecompanyhaspartneredwith
EasySolartoofferconsumerselectricalappliancesavailable
on microcredit and is working with the telecommunications
operatorOrangetoexpandaccesstomobilemoney
servicesinitscommunities.Inaddition,WinchEnergyhas
installedMobilePower(MOPO)batterysystems(Box 1)tobenefitpeopleinthecommunitywhohaveyettobe
connectedtothemini-gridsandplanstopilotanelectric
vehicleprogrammeusingthistechnologyinQ12021.191
FIGURE 19Estimated Off-Grid Solar Cash Market Potential for the Productive-Use Sector in Sierra Leone
$80M
$70M
$60M
$50M
$40M
$30M
$20M
$10M
$5M
$400K
$300K
$200K
$100k
0
CA
SH V
ALU
E (
USD
)
112,343
3,336
581
VALUE ADDED APPLICATIONS
CONNECTIVITY/ICT APPLICATIONS
SME APPLICATIONS
TOTAL UNITS
Source:GreenMaxCapitalAdvisors;WorldBank-ECREEERegionalOff-GridElectrificationProject:SierraLeoneReport,2019.NOTE:Theestimatedcashvalueandnumberofunitsareannualizedtoreflecttypicallifespanofoff-gridsolarsystems.Valueaddedapplications:smallholdersolarpumping/agriculturalirrigation,solarmillingandsolar-poweredrefrigerationConnectivity/ICTapplications:mobilephonechargingenterprisesSMEapplications:barberingandtailoringruralmicroenterprises
79
BOX 1Mobile Power Battery Rental Platform
MobilePower(MOPO)isaUK-basedcompanythatdevelopsandoperatesportableenergydistributionsystems
fortheoff-gridmarketinSub-SaharanAfrica.Ithasdevelopedapay-per-chargerentalmodeltosupplybattery
poweratapriceaffordabletolow-incomehouseholdsandbusinesses.Therentalplatformrequiresnodeposit,has
nocreditchecks,requiresnofixedpaymentstructure,andbatteriescanberentedonadailybasis.Theapproach
consistsofsellinganddeployingMOPOhubs(typicallypoweredbysolarpanels)wherebatteriesarechargedand
thenfieldagentstakecareofdistributingthemtocustomers.Thefieldagentspre-purchaseactivationcreditsfrom
MOPOusingmobilemoney,whilecustomerspaytheagentusingcash,mobilemoneyetc.Theagentusesthe
creditstoactivatethebattery,andoncetherentalperiodiscomplete,theagentcollectsthebatteryandreturnsit
tothehubforanewcycle.InSierraLeone,MOPOhubsarealreadybeingusedtosupplyelectricitytoschoolsin
off-gridareas,whileWinchEnergyplanstopilotanelectricvehicleprogrammeusingthetechnologyinQ12021.192
Source:MobilePower.
192 https://www.mobile-power.co.uk/#home;and“Off-GridElectricityinAfrica:MarketReviewandOpportunities,”ITPEnergised,(August2019):https://www.sun-connect-news.org/fileadmin/DATEIEN/Dateien/New/Off-Grid-Electricity-Access-in-SSA-Japan-and-UK-Opportunities.pdf
193 Kyriakarakos,G.,Balafoutis,A.,andBochtis,D.,“ProposingaParadigmShiftinRuralElectrificationInvestmentsinSub-SaharanAfricaThroughAgriculture,”Sustainability,12,(2020):https://www.mdpi.com/journal/sustainability
194 Cabanero,A.,Nolting,L.,andPraktiknjo,A.,“Mini-GridsfortheSustainableElectrificationofRuralAreasinSub-SaharanAfrica:AssessingthePotentialofKeyMakerModels,”Energies,13,(2020):https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/13/23/6350
4.3 Assessment of Agricultural Productive Use in Sierra Leone and Nigeria
Theagriculture-energynexusiscriticaltosupportingrural
economicdevelopment.Off-gridsolarapplicationscan
supportawiderangeofproductiveapplications(e.g.,solar
waterpumping,agriculturalprocessing,millingequipment,
refrigerationetc.)togenerateeconomicactivity,increase
productivity and transform rural livelihoods. This is
particularlytrue inSierraLeone,whereamajorityof
thepopulationlivesinruralareasandtwo-thirdsofthe
country’slabourforceengagesinsubsistenceagriculture.
Agricultural practices, especially for smallholder
farmers,canbenefitfromawiderangeofoff-gridsolar
technologies,includinginwaterpumpingandirrigation,
agriculturalprocessingandcoldstorage. Improved
irrigation increases yields and smallholder farmer income.
Solar-poweredrefrigerationandcoolingequipmentcan
servemultiplepurposes,includingiceproductionfora
wide range of industries and cold storage of agricultural
produce,whichcanreducelossesandincreaseoutput.
Cerealcropslikemaize,sorghum,milletandriceprovide
anopportunityforvalueadditionthroughhullingor
milling,whilesolardryingofcoffeeandcocoaandpalm
oilprocessingareproductive-useapplicationsthatcan
greatlybenefitruralfarmers.193 Off-gridcommunities
typically use equipment that is poweredbydiesel
generators;thus,thereisaneedforpolicyandfinancial
interventionsinordertoraiseawarenessofthebenefits
andlong-termcostsavingsassociatedwithswitchingto
equipmentpoweredbycleanenergy,aswellastofinance
theup-frontcostofpurchasingequipment.
4.3.1 Sierra Leone
In2019,UNOPScommissionedafeasibilitystudyled
byINENSUSGmbH(usingitsKeyMakerModel(KMM))
to identifyproductive-usehotspots (30kWsystems
andabove), suchas foodprocessing, cold storage
applicationsandfisheries,withtheobjectiveofhelping
RREPoperatorsidentifyanchortenantstosupportthe
long-termsustainabilityoftheiroperations.TheKMMis
aconceptdevelopedbyINENSUSaimingtoimprovethe
economicsofamini-gridprojectbyunlockinglocalmarket
potential.UndertheKMM,operatorstypicallyprocure
rawmaterialsfromthelocalcommunity,processthemto
producefinalgoodsusingtheelectricityfromtheirmini-
grids,andsellthemtoagivenmarket,usuallyinurban
areas where demand is high.194Thevirtueoftheconcept
reliesonleveragingthestablesupplyofelectricityfroma
mini-gridandestablishingmini-gridprojectmanagement
structuresinordertoenteranagriculture/farmproduct’s
valuechain,usuallyattheprocessingandtradingstages
(see Figure 18).
Astablesupplyofelectricitycandirectlyincreasethe
qualityofprocessedagriculturalproductswhilereducing
80
theirtransportcosts.Mini-gridoperatorsarealsoable
tosecuredemandformini-gridenergyconsumptionif
farmersestablishlocalagricultural-processingprojects.
Suchprojectsnotonlycreateanendmarketforthelocal
farmerstoselltheirproduce,butalsocreateanadditional
incomestreamforthemini-gridoperators,whiledriving
themtooperatemorecost-efficientlyandsustainably.
195 “JUMEME’sbusinessmodelformini-gridsreapingmultiplebenefitsinTanzania”,SustainableEnergyforAll,(27May2020):https://www.seforall.org/news/jumemes-business-model-for-mini-grids-reaping-multiple-benefits-in-tanzania
196 “RuralRenewableEnergyProject-ProductiveUseFacilitation:ValueChainAssessmentforOperator1–PowerGenLimited,”InensusGmbH,(2December2019).“RuralRenewableEnergyProject-ProductiveUseFacilitation:AssessmentofpotentialproductiveuseapplicationsforOperator2–WinchEnergyLimited,”InensusGmbH,(27December2019);and“RuralRenewableEnergyProject-ProductiveUseFacilitation:AssessmentofpotentialproductiveuseapplicationsforOperator3–PowerLeone(SL)Ltd.,”InensusGmbH,(27December2019).
197 NOTE:ThedistinctionbetweenWP-1andWP-2sitesisnoteworthy,asonlyWP-1mini-gridswereinoperationduringthetimeofthissurveyactivity(WP-2siteswerestillunderconstruction);seeAnnex 2 for more details.
TheKMMhasbeentestedbyasubsidiaryinTanzania,
themini-gridoperatorJUMEMERuralPowerSupply
Ltd.195In2019,INENSUSsupportedtheRREPthrough
anassessmentofpotentialPUErevenuestreamsforrural
mini-gridsacrossseveralkeyagriculturalsectorsofSierra
Leone.196Someofthekeyfindingsfromthesestudiesare
summarizedinTable 13.
TABLE 13INENSUS KMM Feasibility Assessment of Agricultural PUE Applications in Sierra Leone, 2019
PUE Activity Location Work Package Business Scenario Expected Results
Rice milling and processing
Mathoir WP-2Purchasing a small-scale mill atthecapacityof25.33MWh/year.Themillwouldoperate8hours/day,7days/week,9months/year.
• 1.3 tons of milled rice daily with a small-scaleprocessingcapacityof300kg/hour.
• IncreasethemarketvalueofricefromUSD0.29/kg(farmgaterice)tothepriceofUSD0.76/kg(processedriceforwholesale).
Palm oil Production Masiaka WP-2
Implementingaplantof5tonsofFFB/dayprocessingcapacity,supplying173tonsofMasankeycrudepalmoilperyear.
• 20-yearprojectIRRof16.5%withapay-backperiodof10years.
• AnnualnetprofitsofUSD13,600oncetheplantisrunningatfullcapacityinyear6.
CassavaProcessing
ForeduguWP-2
Re-start of an already installed 10ton/dayofrawcassavaprocessingplant.
• 20-yearprojectIRRof39.4%andapay-backperiodof3years.
• AnnualnetprofitsofUSD33,300oncetheplantisoperatingatfullcapacityinyear4.
Refrigeration forcoldfishstorage
Conakry Dee,Shenge,Foreduguand Moyamba
WP-2Theproductiveuseofmini-gridelectricitytosupporttheestablishmentofafishcoldstorage chain. The cold storage chainisdesignedtohave6airblastfreezercoldstoragerooms(-30°C)of20ft.
• 20-yearprojectIRRof18.9%,pay-backperiodof10years.
• NetprofitsofUSD6,500fromthefifthyearofoperation.
Source:InensusGmbH.
NOTE:KMM=KeyMakerModel
RREP Mini-Grid Community Field Surveys
In October and November 2020, the GreenMax
consultantteamcarriedoutasurveyactivityofnineRREP
mini-gridcommunitiesacrossbothWP-1andWP-2sites,
involvinginterviewsandconsultationswithcommunity
representatives(chiefs),residentialhouseholds,productive
users(farmers,fishermen,traders,technicians),health
workers,andrepresentativesofreligiousinstitutions,
youthgroups,andothercommunityorganizations.The
surveysfoundthatthemini-gridprojectsarecapable
ofsupportingincreasedproductivity,particularlyinthe
agriculturalsector,namelyriceprocessing,palmoil
production,andrefrigerationforfoodprocessingand
storage.Fieldsurveyswithfarmerscollectedinformation
onpotentialproductive-useapplicationsofmini-grid
electricitytosupporttheiractivities.
Atotalof11farmerswereinterviewedacrossthevarious
communities,includingfiveintervieweesservedbyWP-1
andsixintervieweesservedbyWP-2.197Intervieweeswere
askedavarietyofquestionsrelatedtotheproductive-
useactivitiestheyengagedinandhowtheyfeltmini-
gridelectrificationcouldsupporttheiragriculturalvalue
chainactivities.Theywerealsoaskedaboutbarriers
relatedtoexpandingPUEthroughthemini-grids(e.g.,
81
vis-à-vistheuseofalternativesourcesofpowersuch
asdieselgenerators).Theresultsofthissurveyactivity
arepresentedinFigure 20 and Figure 21.Duetothe
198 NOTE:1USD=SLL10,000
smallsamplesize,surveyresultsarenotrepresentative
and should only be considered as a baseline for future
research.
FIGURE 20Mini-Grid Community Productive Use Survey Results (WP-1)198
DOES THE SOLAR MINI-GRID SUPPORT INCREASED PRODUCTIVITY IN ANY
OF THESE SECTORS?
WHAT TYPE OF PRODUCTIVE-USE ACTIVITIES DO YOU ENGAGE IN?
GRINDING
MILLING
REFRIGERATION
NONE
RICE
PALM OIL
TUBERS/ROOTS
GROUNDNUTS
FISHING
FRUITS
VEGETABLES
HOW MUCH CAN YOU AFFORD TO PAY FOR ELECTRICITY ON A MONTHLY BASIS FOR
YOUR BUSINESS?
HOW MUCH CAN YOU AFFORD TO PAY FOR ELECTRICITY ON A MONTHLY BASIS FOR
YOUR HOUSEHOLD?
SLL 10,000-20,000
SLL 20,000-30,000
SLL 30,000-40,000
SLL 40,000-50,000
SLL 50,000-100,000
SLL 100,000-200,000
SLL 100,000-200,000
SLL 200,000-400,000
SLL 400,000-600,000
ABOVE SLL 600,000
40%
40%
20%
40%
20%20%
20%
50%50%50%
25%
25%
82
FIGURE 21 Mini-Grid Community Productive Use Survey Results (WP-2)199
WOULD SOLAR PV MINI-GRIDS SUPPORT INCREASED PRODUCTIVITY IN ANY
OF THESE SECTORS?
WHAT TYPE OF PRODUCTIVE-USE ACTIVITIES DO YOU ENGAGE IN?
GRINDING
MILLING
REFRIGERATION
NONE
RICE
PALM OIL
TUBERS/ROOTS
GROUNDNUTS
FISHING
FRUITS
VEGETABLES
HOW MUCH CAN YOU AFFORD TO PAY FOR ELECTRICITY ON A MONTHLY BASIS FOR
YOUR BUSINESS?
HOW MUCH CAN YOU AFFORD TO PAY FOR ELECTRICITY ON A MONTHLY BASIS FOR
YOUR HOUSEHOLD?
SLL 10,000-20,000
SLL 20,000-30,000
SLL 30,000-40,000
SLL 40,000-50,000
SLL 100,000-200,000
SLL 200,000-400,000
SLL 400,000-600,000
ABOVE SLL 600,000
50%50%
23%
17%
12%18%
18%
6%
6%
50%
25% 25%
60%
20%
20%
199 NOTE:1USD=SLL10,000
Consultations with rural mini-grid community stakeholders
inSierraLeonefoundthatmillingandrefrigerationare
amongthemostcommonproductive-useapplications,
whilesolarmini-gridelectrificationcansupportincreased
productivityacrossavarietyofagriculturalsectors,led
byrice,palmoil,fish,vegetablesandgroundnutsvia
agriculturalprocessingandcoldstorageapplications.
UnderWP-1,nosubsidieswereprovidedtoencourage
productive use. Productive use is, however, being
83
consideredforWP-2sitesunderWP-6oftheRREP(see
Section 1.1.2).TheFCDOiscurrentlyworkingwithUNOPStoprovidefundingandresourcestoreduceconnection
fees forpotentialproductive-use customers and to
subsidizethepurchaseofproductive-useequipmentfor
localcommunities.Inthiscontext,responsesfrommini-
gridcommunityintervieweesservedbyWP-1differed
fromWP-2communityrespondents,giventheincreased
emphasisonPUEforWP-2sitedevelopment.
When asked about what factors discouraged new
productive-usecustomersfromconnectingtoasubsidized
mini-grid,WP-1communityendusersindicatedthat
high tariffswere themainbarrier.Someproductive
usersalsostatedthatthemini-gridconnectionpoint
wasfarfromwheretheyperformagriculturalactivities,
whichposedlogisticalchallenges.Incontrast,WP-2
communityendusersviewedtariffsaslargelyappropriate
andweregenerallymorepositiveabouttheprospect
ofusingmini-gridpowertosupplytheirproductive
activities.Instead,theirmainconcernsweresurrounding
equipmentfinancingandtrainingneededtoexpandPUE
applications.
HOURS OF ELECTRICITY REQUIRED FOR PRODUCTIVE USE AT NIGHT
HOURS OF ELECTRICITY REQUIRED FOR PRODUCTIVE USE IN THE DAY
1-3 HRS
3-6 HRS
6-9 HRS
9-12 HRS
33%
22%22%
78%
45%
BothWP-1andWP-2endusersexpressedadesirefor
anincreaseinthehoursofelectricitysupply,suggesting
thatperhapsmorehoursofelectricitysupplywouldbe
necessarytosupportproductive-useapplications.This
wasparticularlytrueforeveninghours,whereelectricity
notonlyprovideslightingbutalsorefrigeration.The
challenge,ofcourse,isthatsolarmini-gridsmustrelyon
batterystorageand/ordieselfueltoprovideserviceat
night(whichismoreexpensive).
AsummaryofthekeyfindingsfromtheWP-1andWP-2
mini-gridcommunitysurveysispresentedinTable 14.
84
TABLE 14RREP Mini-Grid Community Field Surveys
IndicatorFeedback from Stakeholder Interviews
Lessons Learned RecommendationsWork Package 1 Work Package 2
PUE activities
• Rice milling and processing: Interviewees engaged in rice milling indicated that while mini-gridsand/oroff-gridelectrificationcouldsupportincreasedproductivityinricemilling,theywerenotcurrently using the electricitysuppliedbymini-gridtosupportproductiveuseduetothe high tariff
• Fish processing: Respondentsindicatedthattheyanticipatedcommencingfishprocessingandstorageonce the mini-grids expandedtosupportthefisheriesvaluechain
• Refrigeration for food storage:Respondentsindicated that once the mini-grid was developed,solar-poweredcoldroomscouldsupportvariousagriculturalsectors,suchasfisheries,cassavaandpotatoharvesting,fruitandvegetablestorage,etc.
• Palm Oil: WP-2respondentsanticipatedthatpalmoilprocessingcouldpotentiallyutilizemini-grid electricity
• Rice milling and processing: TheINENSUSGmbHstudyindicatesthatregions with large-scale rice productionwouldachievereasonablefinancialreturnsfrominvestinginmini-grid-poweredricemill.
• Fish processing: In Tanzania,JUMEMELtd.pilotedaKMMprojectinthefishingsector.Theprojectinvolvedbuildingthe mini-grid to offer powertolocalresidents,but also running a business thatboughtfishfromlocalfishermen,processingandfreezingthemon-siteusingitsownelectricity,andthensellingthefrozenfishtodistributors for sale across Tanzania.200 Mini-grid operatorsinSierraLeoneare considering a similar programme.
• Food storage: The Cooling-as-a-Service(CaaS)model201 currently implementedinNigeriashowsthatsolar-poweredrefrigeration and cold rooms can cut food waste by50%andsave460tonsofCO2 emissionsperyear.CaaScanalsobedeployedinSierraLeone’sruralenergy market.
• Rice Processing and milling: ProvidePUEequipmentfinancingtoruralfarmerstosupportelectricityuptakeandinvestinmini-grid-poweredmillsforfarmers.Thecommunityexpressedinterestbutlackstheup-frontcapitaltoaccessthemachinery. A lease-to-own modelcouldovercomethis barrier.
• Fish processing: ProvidefinancingtosupportdesignandimplementationofKMMpilotprojecttodemonstrateviabilityofPUEapplicationsinthefishingsector(e.g.,fishdrying;coldstorageetc.)
• Refrigeration: Ensure that the mini-grid can provideenoughhoursofelectricitysupplyforrefrigeration;providefinancingforcommunity-ownedfreezerthatcanbeutilizedbyfarmingandfishingcommunitiesforcold storage
• Palm Oil: Make the investmentintheprocessingbusinessandrefocuseffortstoimprovethe yields of existing farms
Electricity tariff
• Tariff is seen as too high and a barrier to PUE
• Nosubsidiesavailableto reduce tariff
• Customers are expectingtocommencenewproductive-useactivitiesoncemini-gridelectricityisavailable
• WP-2customersseeno barriers to switching theirPUEapplicationsfrom diesel fuel to mini-gridpower(potentialbarrierfromoperatorperspective;e.g.,startingcurrentfordiesel-poweredmillingmachines might be problematicforthemini-gridtohandle)
• WP-2customersareinterestedinequipment-financingsupporttohelptransitiontheircurrentPUEapplicationstomini-gridsupply
• WP-2intervieweeshad more community sensitizationaroundPUEvis-à-visWP-1.
• WP-2productive-usecustomers needed financingsupportforequipmentandnecessarytraining in order to mechanizeprevioussmall-scaleproductive-useactivitiesintobusinessactivitiesthatcouldgenerate additional revenue.
• Ensure that future mini-griddevelopmentincludesextensivecommunityengagement and sensitizationaroundissueofPUE
• Provideequipmentfinancingandtrainingforproductive-usecustomers
200 “JUMEME’sbusinessmodelformini-gridsreapingmultiplebenefitsinTanzania”,SustainableEnergyforAll,(27May2020):https://www.seforall.org/news/jumemes-business-model-for-mini-grids-reaping-multiple-benefits-in-tanzania
201 “Whatisservitization,andhowcanithelpsavetheplanet?”WorldEconomicForum,(20November2020):https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2020/11/what-is-servitization-and-how-can-it-help-save-the-planet/
85
4.3.1.1 Smallholder Water Pumping and Irrigation
Solar-poweredirrigationtechnologyallowssmallholder
farmerstoswitchfromexpensiveandpollutingdiesel-
poweredpumpstosustainable,renewablepower.Sierra
Leonesuffersfrompoorwateraccess,particularlyinthe
dryseasonfromDecembertoApril.Irrigatedagriculture
islimitedbylowawarenessandknowledgeofimproved
agronomicpractices,whichhasinturnlimitedtheuptake
ofmechanizedtoolsandequipmentsuchassolarwater
pumps.Whiletherehasbeenarecentshifttowardssolar
waterpumpingtechnologyattheinstitutionallevel,the
domesticmarketisstilllargelydominatedbylow-quality
waterpumps.202Therelativelyhighcostofmini-grid-
202 “Off-andWeak-GridSolarApplianceMarket:SierraLeoneCountryProfile,”EfficiencyforAccess,(September2020):https://storage.googleapis.com/e4a-website-assets/EForA_CountryProfile_SierraLeone.pdf
203 WorldBankRegionalOff-GridElectrificationProject(ROGEP):SierraLeoneReport,ECREEE,2019.
poweredsolarpumpingsystemsisakeybarrierthat
inhibitsuptakeofthistechnologyamongsmallholder
farmers.Moreover,awareness-raisingcampaignsand
associated training is badly needed at the rural farm
level,whichishardtosustainwithoutsupport,e.g.,
fromorganizationssuchastheInternationalFundfor
AgriculturalDevelopment(IFAD).
AGISstudyundertakenin2019fortheWorldBank
RegionalOff-GridElectrificationProject (ROGEP)203
foundthatthere iswidespreadaccesstothewater
tableforsurfaceirrigationinSierraLeone(Figure 22).Todate,thisvastirrigationpotentialremainsalmost
entirelyuntapped.
FIGURE 22Area Suitable for Surface Irrigation and Identified Settlements Suitable for Off-Grid Solar Pumps
Source:EnergioVerdaAfricaGISanalysis;SierraLeoneWashDataPortal;BritishGeologicalSurveyBureauofStatistics;WorldDatabaseonProtected Areas.WorldBank-ECREEERegionalOff-GridElectrificationProject:SierraLeoneReport,2019.
86
AcasestudyinUganda(Box 2) found that there was a
strong economic case for small- to large-scale farmers to
adoptsolarirrigationinordertogrowhighvaluecrops.
Regular,consistentwateringwithanirrigationsystemcan
improveyields,andallowsfarmerstocapitalizeonhigher
marketpricesthatoccurduringdryseasons.Pilotprojects
demonstratedthatsolarwaterpumpingforirrigationenables
higheryieldsforhorticulturalcropsthathaveshorter-term
204 “ProductiveUseofEnergyinUganda:LearningfromtheUgandaOff-GridEnergyMarketAccelerator(UOMA),”UgandaOff-GridEnergyMarketAccelerator;USAID,(October2020):https://uoma.ug/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/UOMA-PUE-white-paper.pdf
205 PowerforAllFactsheet:Mini-gridsproductiveuseofenergy(PUE)inagriculture:https://www.powerforall.org/application/files/9615/9302/4971/FS_Mini-grids_productive_use_of_energy_PUE_in_agriculture3.pdf
206 “RuralRenewableEnergyProject-ProductiveUseFacilitation:AssessmentofpotentialproductiveuseapplicationsforOperator2–WinchEnergyLimited,”InensusGmbH,(27December2019).
growingcycles,suchastomatoes,kale,cabbage,beans
andonions.Solarirrigationenablessuchcropstoutilizethe
hightemperatureofdryseasons,allowingfarmerstohave
threeharvestcyclesinayearwhenusingsolarirrigation.
Asaresult,operatorstodatehavemainlysoldtomedium-
tolarge-scalefarmers,ortosmallholderfarmerswhogrow
high-valuehorticulturalcropsasopposedtosmallholder
farmerswhogrowstaplecropssuchasmaize.
BOX 2Solar Irrigation for Ugandan Farmers
Increasedinstancesoferraticandunpredictableweatherpatternsduetoclimatechange(e.g.,drought,heavy
rainfall,changinggrowingseasonsetc.)reducefarmerproductivity,particularlyatthesmallholderlevel.InUganda,
thistrendhaspromptedthegovernmenttofocusdevelopmentinitiativesonprovidingsustainableandaffordable
irrigationforoff-gridruralsmallholderfarmers,whomakeup80percentoffarmersinthecountry.Withdecreasing
capitalcosts,solarwaterpumpsaregraduallybecomingacost-effectiveandsustainablesolutionforruralfarmers
toreducetheirrelianceonrain-fedagricultureanddieselalternatives.Althoughmostsolarwaterpumpingsystems
todatehavefunctionedasstand-alonesystems,solarwaterpumpingandirrigationtechnologiesthataresuited
forcommercialandindustrialapplicationscanbenefitfrommini-gridpower.204
Source:UgandaOff-GridEnergyMarketAcceleratorandUSAIDPowerAfrica.
4.3.1.2 Agricultural Processing
Usingmini-gridsinagriculturalvaluechainsprovides
anopportunity for ruralcommunities toboost local
economies.Someagriculturalactivitieshaveshowngreat
potentialtoeffectivelybenefitfrommini-gridsinSierra
Leone,suchasmilling,palmoilprocessing,cassavaroot
productionandcoldstorage.205
Rice Milling
WhileSierraLeonehasacomparativeadvantageinrice
productionrelativetootherneighbouringcountries,
itlackstheinfrastructuretoensurehigh-qualityrice
processing.Asa result, thecountry is traditionally
animporterofriceduetothelowquantityoflocally
processedrice(whichismanuallyprocessedbysmall-
scalefarmers).TheINENSUSGmbHstudyindicatesthat
regionswithlarge-scalericeproductionwouldachieve
reasonablefinancialreturnsfrominvestinginmini-grid
poweredricemills,whenreasonableassumptionsare
considered.TheKMMbusinesscaseidentifiedMathoir
as a strategic location to consider future establishment
ofariceprocessingenterprise.Themini-gridsystem
tobedevelopedwouldallowaccesstoelectricityto
powertheloadimpliedbyaKMMoperatingeighthours/
day,sevendays/week,ninemonths/year,producingan
estimated 1.3 tons of milled rice daily with a small-
scaleprocessingcapacityof300kg/hour.Ontopof
theadditionalrevenuestreamfromthericevaluechain
enabledbythePUE,therearetheaddedbenefitsof
reducedtransportcostsandsavingsintime.Thiswould
helpSierraLeoneachieveeconomiesofscaleinproduct
trade,aswellasfacilitatelinkagesbetweenruraland
urbancentresandhelpittooutperformmetropolitan
orinternationalcompetitors.206AsummaryoftheKMM
feasibility assessment of this rice milling business case
studyispresentedinFigure 23.
87
FIGURE 23Rice Milling Value Chain
RICE PRODUCERS
Small-scale farmers Large-scale producers
FBO/ABCCollectors/assemblers
Hand parboiling
Machine millingHand pound
Wholesalers
Retailers
Export market School FeedingUrban consumersRural consumers
Source: INENSUSGmbH.
207 “RuralRenewableEnergyProject-ProductiveUseFacilitation:AssessmentofpotentialproductiveuseapplicationsforOperator3–PowerLeone(SL)Ltd.,”InensusGmbH,(27December2019).
Palm Oil Processing
PalmoilprocessingisacommercialindustryinSierra
Leonethatisalreadybenefittingfrommini-gridpower
(Box 3). The INENSUS study identifiedMasiakaasacommunitywiththehighestpotentialforapalmoil
KMMproject.Fieldinterviewsconductedwithruralfarm
ownersinMasiakawhoown150acresofpalmfruitfarms
revealedsignificantinterestinthedevelopmentofapalm
oilpressingbusinessthatcouldbeelectrifiedbyamini-
grid.Atpresent,annualyieldsinSierraLeoneof7.6tons/
hectarewouldallowforthe150-acrefarmlandtoproduce
approximately50.5tonsoffreshfruitbunch(FFB)/year,
whichwouldnotproduceenoughofareturntocoverthe
largeup-frontcapitalinvestment(givenoperationalcosts,
itisestimatedthatapproximately9,600tonsofFFBwould
needtobesourcedonanannualbasistopresentaviable
businesscase).Thepalmoilbusinessisoneofrelatively
lowmargins,andthusrequireslarge-scalecapacitiesto
leadtoprofitableoutcomes.207AsummaryoftheKMM
feasibilityassessmentonthepalmoilbusinesscasestudy
ispresentedinTable 13.
88
BOX 3Mini-Hydro Palm Oil Processing Plant in Sierra Leone
InthetownofYeleintheTonkoliniDistrict,SierraLeone,a250kWpmini-hydropowersystempowersapalmoil
processingplantalongwithacommunityof300households.Thepalmoilplanthasimprovedthefinancialcase
forthepowerplantasananchorclient,buyingone-thirdoftheelectricitygenerated.Thepowerplanthascreated
severalpermanentlocaljobsandsuppliesaffordablepowertothelocalcommunity.208
Source:TUDelftTechnology,PolicyandManagement.
208 Janse,2019.209 “RuralRenewableEnergyProject-ProductiveUseFacilitation:AssessmentofpotentialproductiveuseapplicationsforOperator3–PowerLeone
(SL)Ltd.,”InensusGmbH,(27December2019).
Cassava Value Chain
Cassavaanditsderivedproductshavebeenidentified
by theGovernmentofSierraLeone (GoSL)asakey
croptoincreaseexport-basedrevenuesforthecountry.
Increasingcassavarootproductioninrecentyearshas
ledtoSierraLeonebecominganetexporterofcassava
anditsderivativesacrosstheWestAfricanregion.The
produceisexportedeitherasfood,starchoranimalfeed.
Cassavaproduction(intons/year)isgenerallyhighestinthe
districtsofMoyamba,BoandBonthe,whileyieldspeakin
Bontheatmorethan800kg/year,followedbyMoyamba,
Bo,TonkoliliandPujehun(between400and800kg/year).
Thecorrespondingvaluesaregenerallybetween200and
400kg/yearinPortLokoandKambia,andthelowestin
thedistrictsofBombaliandKonoatbelow200kg/year.
Processingandtransportingcassavaproducts(Figure 24)inSierraLeoneremainanexpensivebusinessduetoa
widespreadlackofsuitableprocessingmachinery,small-
processingcapacitiesandpoorroadconditions.Sincethe
rawcassavarootcannotbestoredformorethantwoor
threedays,alackoflarge-scaleorautomaticprocessing
equipmentmeansthatfarmersmustgenerallyrelyon
small-scalediesel-poweredmachinestoprocesspartof
the root and gari in order to be able to store it.
INENSUSidentifiedthepossibilityofsupportingalarge-
scalecassavaprocessingprojectatastrategiclocation
selected to trail the route used by traders of gari and
othercassavaderivativesfromtheepicentresofgariin
thecountry.Withaprocessingcapacityof10tonsof
cassavarootprocessingperday,itisdesignedtooperate
eighthours/day,sixdays/weekandtwelvemonths/year.
Whileapromisingbusinessopportunity,theprojectis
likelytorequiretheparticipationofanexternalinvestor
withaccesstofinancing.Althoughmini-gridelectricity
willnotdirectlyfeedtheprocessingplant,thelocal
presenceofPowerLeoneinForeduguwouldallowfor
theoverheadandmanagementcost-sharingstructures
betweentheelectricityandagro-processingprojects
thatcharacterizetheKMMapproach.Alternatively,the
projectcanbeconsideredasastand-alonecommercial
andindustrialsolarproject.209AsummaryoftheKMM
feasibilityassessmentofthecassavaprocessingbusiness
casestudyispresentedinTable 13.
89
FIGURE 24Cassava Value Chain
DIR
EC
T C
HA
IN A
CTO
RS
SUP
PO
RTS
MFI
SLARI
Extension Sierra Leone Grassroots Agency
BAFCO SARD-SC IITA USAID
Cassava project UPoCA
Processors and traders
Planting material
Fertilizer
Fabricators
Individual producersIntermediaries
Wholesalers
Consumers
Processors
Farmers’ organizations
Retailers
Final distributors and consumers
Input suppliers and services
Production
Reg
ional m
arkets (Lib
eria & G
uinea
NATIONAL LEVELREGIONAL LEVEL
Source: INENSUSGmbH.
210 CaaSFactsheet:http://countoncooling.eu/wp-content/uploads/2020/01/CaaS_Factsheet.pdf211 GlobalInnovationLabforClimateFinance–CoolingasaService:https://www.climatefinancelab.org/project/cooling-service/
4.3.1.3 Cold Storage and Refrigeration
Theprovisionofruralcoldchainshasveryhigheconomic
developmentco-benefits.Ruralcoldchainprojectscan
improvetheincomeofsmallholderfarmers(orfishermen)
byreducingwasteandcanimproveaccesstohealth
servicesbysecuringeconomicdeliveryofmedicinesand
vaccines.Casestudieshavefoundthatsolar-powered
refrigerationandcoldroomshavethepotentialtocut
foodwasteby50percentandsave460tonsofCO2
emissionsperyear.Coolingsystemsintegratedwith
community mini-grids can also be used where larger cold
chainapplicationsexist,suchasforicemanufacture.
Cooling-as-a-Service
Cooling-as-a-Service(CaaS)isapay-per-servicemodel
forcleancoolingsystemsthateliminatestheup-frontcost
ofcleancoolingequipmentforcustomers,whoinstead
payperunitofcoolingtheyconsume.Thetechnology
provider installs, maintains and operates cooling
equipment,recoveringcoststhroughperiodicpayments
made by the customer.210Endusersarethusincentivized
toconsumeenergyefficiently,whiletechnologyproviders
areincentivizedtoinstallandmaintainthemostefficient
equipmentpossible.Moreover,financialserviceproviders
havethesecurityofowninganoperatingassetunder
aCaaScontractwithacustomer.TheCaaSbusiness
model(Figure 25)ischeapforcustomers,profitablefortechnologyprovidersandreducesharmfulrefrigerant
emissions.211
90
FIGURE 25Cooling-as-a-Service Business Model
COOLING EQUIPMENT
BANK
TECHPROVIDER
Sale of operating cooling
equipment
Payment from sale
Leaseback of equipment
Lease payments
CUSTOMER
CaaSservice
CaaS payment($ per ton of refrigeration)
Source:GlobalInnovationLabforClimateFinance.
212 Ibid.213 “Whatisservitisation,andhowcanithelpsavetheplanet?”WorldEconomicForum,(20November2020):https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2020/11/
what-is-servitization-and-how-can-it-help-save-the-planet/ 214 “TheWorld’sBananaGiantisAwake,”Danfoss,(26February2019):https://www.danfoss.com/en/about-danfoss/news/cf/the-world-s-banana-
giant-is-awake/
ItisestimatedthattheCaaSmodelcansavecustomers
morethan20percentofcoolingcosts,whilereducing
emissions from electricity use and coolant leakage by
upto49percent.Themodelalsoopensupvastmarket
opportunitiesfortechnologyandfinanceproviders.To
date,theKigaliCoolingEfficiencyProgramme(K-CEP)
andBaselAgencyforSustainableEnergy(BASE)have
madesignificantprogresstowardsinitialimplementation
oftheCaaSbusinessmodelintheDominicanRepublic
andJamaicaandarepursuingthreetofourlargerflagship
implementationprojectsinIndia,MexicoandSouth
Africa.212NigeriaisalsopilotingaCaaSbusinessmodel
wherebyfarmerscanusecoolingequipmentprovidedby
themini-gridserviceprovider.213
Rural Cold Chains in Agriculture and Fishing
Solarrefrigeration,coolingandprocessingequipment
alsoenablestradersandlivestockfarmerstoselldairy
products,whilecoldstorageofagriculturalproducecan
reducelossesandincreaseoutput(Box 4).Cold rooms
andiceproductionarealsovaluableinvestmentsforthe
fishingindustry(Box 5);inSierraLeone,RREPmini-grid
operatorsarecurrentlyexploringoptionstolauncha
freezer-leasingprogrammetohelpmini-gridcustomers
storefishinordertoenterthesector.
BOX 4Cold Chain Solutions for Indian Banana Farmers
Indiaisthegloballeaderinbananacultivation.In2013,Danfoss,aDanishmultinationalmanufacturingfirmthat
offersenergysystemmanagementservices,partneredwiththeIndiangovernmentandtheConfederationof
IndianIndustrytoformataskforcethataimedtodelivercoldchainsolutionstobananafarmersinordertoreduce
postharvestlosses.Withsupportfromlocalindustryassociations,thetaskforceconductedafeasibilitystudyof
thebananasectortoassesshowcoldchainscouldbeutilizedtoreducelossesandboostexportrevenue.The
study’sfindingshelpededucatefarmersoncoldchaininfrastructureandtechnologies,resultingina300percent
increaseinfarmerincomeanda20percentreductioninpostharvestlosses.By2018,Indiabeganexporting
bananastoEurope.India’sgovernmentisnowexploringhowcoldchainsolutionscanbeappliedtosupport
otheragriculturalcrops/sectors.214
Source:Danfoss.
91
BOX 5JUMEME Fishing Industry Pilot Project in Tanzania
InTanzania,JUMEMELtd.pilotedaKeyMakerModel(KMM)projectinthefishingsector.Theprojectinvolved
buildingthemini-gridtoofferpowertolocalresidents,butalsorunningabusinessthatboughtfishfromlocal
fishermen,processingandfreezingthefishon-siteusingthebusiness’sownelectricity,andthensellingthefrozen
fishtodistributorsforsaleacrossTanzania.Usinglessonsfromthepilot,JUMEMEhasexpandedandnowhas12
mini-gridsinoperationonLakeVictoriaislands,connectingroughly5,000customersandsupplyinganareaof
roughly80,000peoplewithelectricity.Afurther11mini-gridsarecurrentlybeingcompleted,providingafurther
5,300connections,andthecompanyisplanningathirdscalingphasethatithopeswillstartconstructionbythe
end of 2020.215
Source:SustainableEnergyforAll.
215 “JUMEME’sbusinessmodelformini-gridsreapingmultiplebenefitsinTanzania”,SustainableEnergyforAll,(27May2020):https://www.seforall.org/news/jumemes-business-model-for-mini-grids-reaping-multiple-benefits-in-tanzania
216 “RuralRenewableEnergyProject-ProductiveUseFacilitation:AssessmentofpotentialproductiveuseapplicationsforOperator3–PowerLeone(SL)Ltd.,”InensusGmbH,(27December2019).
Theprevailingchallengesacross the fisheriesvalue
chain (Figure 26) inSierraLeoneareasa resultofpoormanagementoffisheriesandinputsupplies,high
postharvestlossesduetoinefficientprocessingmethods
andlackofcoldstorage(withestimatesstatingthatup
to50percentofcaughtfishislost),transportchallenges,
unevenmarketinformationbetweenfishermen,cold
storageownersandtraders,andlimitedaccesstocredit.
Theartisanalfishvaluechainiswherelossesarethe
highest.About80percentofthefishissoldrawand
traderssmokeiton-siteorkeepitfreshdependingon
thedistancetotheirnextsellingpoint.216
92
FIGURE 26Cold Storage for the Fisheries Value Chain
Input suppliers for artisanal production
(limited)
Input suppliers(e.g. mangrove
wood)
Artisanal and semi-industrial fishesIndustrial fleet
Iced/frozen fish companies &
agentsFisherwomen
Smoked fish processors
Agents Wholesalers
Cold store operators
Wholesalers & semi-wholesalers
Retailers/traders
Global export markets
Domestic consumers
Regional export markets (Guinea & Liberia)
VC SUPPORTERS & INFLUENCERS
MFMR (regulation,
policy, research extension, food
safety and standards
NGOs, development
projects
Transporters
CBOs (e.g. traders
associations)
Financial service
providers
Fresh fish flow Iced fish flows Smoked fish flows
Source: INENSUSGmbH.
217 “RuralRenewableEnergyProject-ProductiveUseFacilitation:AssessmentofpotentialproductiveuseapplicationsforOperator2–WinchEnergyLimited,”InensusGmbH,(27December2019).
StudiescarriedoutbyINENSUSanalyzedthefeasibility
ofacoldstoragebusinessplaninSierraLeone’sfisheries
sector. The business case study estimates that a cold
storageroomof20ft.(providingapproximately30m3
ofcoldstoragecapacity)capableofmaintainingindoor
temperaturesat-30°CwouldcostapproximatelyUSD
5,846.WithashipmentcostofUSD2,500,therequired
up-frontcapitalwouldbeUSD8,346.Byapplyingthe
annuitymethodwithsomeassumptions,anannualleasing
feeofUSD1,505wouldhavetobepaidbythecommunity
tothemini-gridoperatorandtheownershipofthecold
room would be transferred to the community by year
six.Assuming1tonofmeat/fishcanbestoredperm3 of
spaceandassumingarotationofoneweek,1,440tons
ofmeat/fishcouldbestoredthroughouttheyear.Such
acoldstorageroomhasadailyelectricalconsumption
of59kWh.Provideditruns24/7,thisleadsto21.6MWh
ofmini-gridelectricityconsumptionperyear.Atatariff
ofUSD0.51/kWh,coldstoragewouldgenerateayearly
additionalrevenuestreamofaboutUSD30,000.217 A
summaryoftheKMMfeasibilityassessmentofthiscold
storagebusinesscasestudyispresentedinTable 13.
4.3.2 Nigeria
Thereareseveralongoingprogrammesandinitiatives
targetingPUEinNigeria:
• The Energizing Economies Initiative (EEI),launchedin2017,isaFederalGovernmentofNIgeria(FGN)
93
initiativeimplementedbytheRuralElectrification
Agency(REA)thataimstosupportthedeployment
ofoff-gridelectricitysolutionstomicro,smalland
mediumenterprises(MSMEs)ineconomicclusters
(markets,shoppingcentresandagricultural/industrial
complexes)throughprivatesectordevelopers. In
thenowcompletedpilotphaseof this initiative,
usingspecificindustryindicatorssuchaspopulation
density,trade,employmentsustainabilityetc.,the
REAidentifiedandselectedthreecatchmentareas
throughoutNigeriaforimmediateintervention.Major
activitiestakingplaceintheselectedclustersinclude
clothingandshoesproduction,printingandfabrication
oftoolsandmechanicalparts,mid-scalemanufacturing
anddistributioncompanies(DisCos).TheREAdetails
end-to-endbestpracticeforelectrifyingeconomic
clustersthatcanbesummarizedinfivekeysteps:(i)
identifytheopportunity;(ii)assessfeasibility;(iii)set
upstructure;(iv)build;and(v)operate.218
• The Nigeria Electrification Project (NEP) has a mini-
gridcomponentthataimstosupportthedevelopment
ofprivatesectormini-gridsinunservedareaswith
targetstoelectrify300,000householdsand30,000
localenterprises.219InDecember2019,thefirstmini-
gridwascommissionedundertheNEP(byPowerGen
RenewableEnergy)inRokota,afarmingcommunity
inNigerstatewhoseeconomicactivitiesincludeshea
butterfarming,palmfruitfarmingandsmalltrade.220
The NEPmini-gridprogrammecanbedescribedasasupply-sideinitiative,becauseitdirectlyassists
suppliersofelectricityandassumesthatbenefits(in
theformofincreasedaffordability)willtrickledownto
consumers.InasurveyconductedinGbamuGbamu,a
villageinOgunStatewhereamini-gridwentonlinein
February2018,membersofthepopulationindicated
thatequipmentfinancingwastheonethingthatwould
enablethemtotakefurtheradvantageoftheclean,
reliableelectricity.TheAfricanDevelopmentBank
(AfDB)-fundedsideoftheprogrammerecognizesthe
importanceofhelpingruralcommunitiesincreasetheir
electricityconsumption,andinthesecondcomponent
oftheBank’scollaborationwiththeREA,allocated
218 EnergizingEconomies:http://rea.gov.ng/wp-content/uploads/2019/02/EEI-Executive-Summary.pdf219 NigeriaElectrificationProject(NEP)SolarHybridMini-GridsComponent:https://rea.gov.ng/minigrids/220 “NigeriaElectrificationProject:RokotaCommunityShinesBrightwithRuralElectrificationSolarHybridMini-GridProject,”RuralElectrification
Agency,(December7,2019):https://rea.gov.ng/press-release-rokota-community-shines-bright-rural-electrification-solar-hybrid-mini-grid-project/221 Dhingra,R.,“HowCanNigeriaUseitsMini-GridPowerSupplytoEmpowerRuralResidents?”CleanEnergyFinanceForum,(July22,2020):https://
cleanenergyfinanceforum.com/2020/07/22/how-can-nigeria-use-its-mini-grid-power-supply-to-empower-rural-residents-second-of-two222 RuralElectrificationAgency:https://rea.gov.ng/interview-look-africa-mini-grid-market-competitive/223 https://rea.gov.ng/ref-energy-agric-nexus/Bolade-Soremekun-RUBITEC-AGROSOLAR.pdf224 https://rea.gov.ng/energy-agric-nexus-workshop/;https://rea.gov.ng/energy-agric-nexus-workshop-27th-november-2019/225 https://www.nsenergybusiness.com/features/electricity-in-nigeria-pyrogenesys/
USD20milliontoperformance-basedgrants(PBGs)
thatwillencourageenergyaccesscompanies to
distributeappliances.Afewexamplesoftheapproved
appliancesincludemaizeshellers,eggincubators,
sewing machines and salon haircutting kits.221
TheREAalsoplanstointroduceanEnergizingAgriculture
Programmefocusedontheproductiveuseofrenewable
energyintheagriculturalsector.Theinitiativeisstillinits
planningstages.222
Severaloff-gridsolarcompaniesarealreadyproviding
PUEproductsinNigeria;forexample,RubitecSolar
Ltd. is currentlyproviding solar-powered irrigation
solutions to its customers.223Localbanksincludingthe
FirstCommunityMonumentBank(FCMB)arealsotaking
aninterestinthismarketsegment.InNovember2019,
theREA,incollaborationwithFCMB,GIZandPower
ForAll,organizedatwo-dayEnergy-AgricultureNexus
Workshop,withtheaimofengagingwithstakeholders
onbestpractices/approachestostimulateeconomic
growth in the rural agricultural sector through off-grid
solarinfrastructuredevelopment.224Inadditiontosolar,
waste-to-energyopportunitiesarealsobeingexploredby
renewableenergydevelopersinfoodprocessingplants
suchascassavaandpalmoil.225
Stakeholderconsultationswithmini-griddevelopersin
Nigeriarevealedthatpriortotheprojectdevelopment
stage, the number of commercial users in a given
community was first determined as they were the
potentialanchorcustomersabletoprovidethenecessary
incomeforthemini-gridtooperate. Incaseswhere
therewasaninsufficientnumberofcommercialusers,
morepeoplewereencouragedtotakeupproductive-
useactivitiesthroughincentivessuchasequipment
financingtoexpeditethepurchaseofproductive-use
appliancesandofferingthelowesttariffplanstothe
highestusersofenergy.Appliancefinancing-programmes
havebeenaneffectivemechanismtobalanceloadby
increasingdaytimeenergydemandandenergyefficiency.
This financingschemehelps themini-gridoperator
optimizedaytimeload,electricitydemandandcapacity
94
utilization.226GVEinparticularusescompanyfundsand
donorfundstoprovideequipmentfinancingasapilot
scheme to build a business case that will encourage local
microfinanceinstitutionstoparticipate.
A2020studyconductedundertheNigeriaPowerSector
Programme(NPSP)assessed12agriculturalvaluechains
acrossKadunaandCrossRiverstatesthroughmorethan
250fieldinterviewswithfarmers,processors,andtradersin
over40ruralcommunitiestoidentifypriorityelectrification
opportunitieswithinkeyagriculturalvaluechains.Thestudy
showedthatexpectedloadsfromTier1productive-use
activitiesincludingcassavagrating,ricemillingandflour
millingcanimprovemini-grideconomicsandenablelower
cost-reflectivetariffsforcustomers.Additionalproductive-
226 Mini-GridInvestmentReport:ScalingtheNigerianMarket,RockyMountainInstitute,2018.
useloads(Tier2and3)improvethemini-grid’seconomics
byincreasingthesystemutilizationrateandincreasing
sales.Theanalysisalsofoundthatthereisapositive
andcompellingeconomiccaseforeachTier1activity
analyzed,andwithreasonableassumptionsallcasescan
demonstratepositivenetpresentvalue(NPV).Whileresults
areconsistentlypositive,thedegreeofeconomicviability
ismostcontingentonthevolumeofcropsprocessed.
Figure 27showsthat,relativetoabaselinescenariowitha77kWpsolarPV-dieselhybridmini-gridwithoutadded
productiveuse,mini-gridelectricitytariffsincommunities
withelectrifiedcassavagrating,ricemillingandmaizeflour
millingcanbe8–14percentlower,whilestillearninga15
percentinternalrateofreturn(IRR)formini-gridinvestors.
FIGURE 27Mini-Grid Tariff to Achieve 15% IRR Under Different Productive-Use Scenarios
$0.60
$0.40
$0.20
$0.00
0.60/kWh
0.56/kWh 0.56/kWh0.52/kWh
0.49/kWh
BASE BASE +Cassava
BASE +Maize
BASE +Rice
BASE +PU
MIN
I-G
RID
TA
RIF
F $
/kW
h
PRODUCTIVE-USE SCENARIO
6% 6% 12% 19%
Source:USAIDNigeriaPowerSectorProgramme.
4.4 Summary of Findings
Consultations with rural mini-grid farmers and community
stakeholders inSierraLeonefoundthatmillingand
refrigerationareamongthemostcommonproductive-
useapplications,whilesolarmini-gridelectrification
cansupportincreasedproductivityacrossavarietyof
agriculturalsectors, includingrice,palmoil,fishing,
vegetablesandgroundnuts.Mini-gridelectricitywould
mainlybeappliedtoagriculturalprocessingandcold
storageapplicationsinthesemarketsegments.
InSierraLeone,theabilitytopayformini-gridelectrification
amongruralagrariancommunitiesishighlydependent
upontheseasonalityofincome,cropyieldetc.Thismakes
theutilizationofPUEacriticaltoolgoingforward,asitcan
provideasteadysourceofincomeandhelpincreasethe
purchasingpowerofcommunitiesinthelongterm.
95
DOES THE SOLAR MINI-GRID SUPPORT INCREASEDPRODUCTIVITY IN ANY OF THESE SECTORS?
WHAT TYPE OF PRODUCTIVE-USE ACTIVITIES DO YOU ENGAGE IN?
GRINDING
MILLING
REFRIGERATION
NONE
FISHING
FRUITS
VEGETABLES
RICE
PALM OIL
TUBERS/ROOTS
GROUNDNUTS
8%
46%
38%
8%
27%
14%
9%14%
14%
4%
18%
227 McCall,M.andSantana,S.,“ClosingtheCircuit:StimulatingEnd-UseDemandforRuralElectrification,”RockyMountainInstitute,(October2018),https://rmi.org/insight/closing-the-circuit/
228 PowerforAllFactsheet:Mini-gridsproductiveuseofenergy(PUE)inagriculture:https://www.powerforall.org/application/files/9615/9302/4971/FS_Mini-grids_productive_use_of_energy_PUE_in_agriculture3.pdf
229 “NigeriaPowerSectorProgramme(NPSP)ProductiveUseStimulationInNigeria:ValueChain&Mini-GridFeasibilityStudy,”UnitedStatesAgencyforInternationalDevelopment,(July2020):http://rean.org.ng/media/img/PA-NPSP_Agriculture_Productive_Use_Stimulation_20200728.pdf
Operatorswillalsoneedthesupportofkeypublicand
privatesectorpartnerstoexpandPUE.Severalinterviewed
operators stated that theirpreferencewouldbe to
focusontheircorecompetenceaselectricityproviders,
whileotherpartnersintheagriculturesectorshouldbe
engagedtosupportthesaleofproductive-usemachinery/
equipmentanddevelopmentofassociatedvaluechains
atthelocallevel.Theseprivatesectorpartnershipsand
financingarrangementsarealreadybeingpursuedunder
WorkPackage6(WP-6)oftheRREPwithfundingfrom
theFCDO.
Barriers to Market Growth
• Affordability/high up-front equipment costs:Generally, the biggest barrier to widespread
deploymentofproductive-useapplicationsinSub-
SaharanAfricaisthehighup-frontcapitalcostofthe
equipment/machineryandthelowpurchasingpower
ofruralendconsumersandentrepreneurs.Thisis
particularlytrueinSierraLeoneduetolow-income
levelsamongtheruralpopulation.227
• Access to finance for equipment purchase: A
vastmajority of Sierra Leoneans lack access to
financialservices,asthecountry’sfinancialsystem
isunderdevelopedandcharacterizedbyextremely
lowlevelsofcreditpenetration.Lendingislargely
concentratedoncorporateentitiesandtrade,asbanks
arelesswillingtolendtosmallandmedium-sized
enterprises(SMEs)andtheagriculturalsectordueto
theirhighperceivedrisk.Furthermore,mostpotential
endusersdonothaveverifiablecredithistory.
• High tariffs/electricity costs:Evenincaseswhereconsumers/micro-enterprises are able to afford
productive-useequipment,theymaynotbeableto
affordtheelectricitytouseit.Highmini-gridtariffsmay
makeinvestmentsinequipmentfinanciallyunviable,
discouraginginvestment.Aninadequateassessmentof
powerdemandcanleadtounderuseofthemini-grid,
whichdrivesupcosts.
• Access to equipment/unavailability of equipment in remote areas:Endusersinremotelocationsareoftenunabletoaccesstherightequipment–energy-efficient
andhigh-qualityequipmentthatmeetstheirneedsin
cost,performance,durabilityandpowerrequirements.
Moreover,equipmentsuppliersoftenprefernotto
servelow-incomeruralmarketsduetothehighercosts
ofservingcustomersinremotelocationscombined
withuncertaintyaboutdemandsizeandabilitytopay.
• Limited Technical Capacity: Local technicalknowledgeandskillsarecriticaltotakeadvantageof
electricequipmentforproductive-useapplicationsand
projects.However,localentrepreneursinruralareas
oftenlacktheskillstorunabusiness,whilemini-grid
developerslackadequateknowledgeoflocalrural
agriculturevaluechains.228Asarelativelynewmarket
segmentfortheoff-gridsector,themarketdynamics
ofthePUEmarketarenotyetwellunderstood.There
isalsolimitedavailabilityofqualifiedtechniciansto
maintainsystemsacrossvariouslocations.229
96
• Access to Markets:Productive-usebusinessescannotgrowbeyondacertainsizeiftheydonothaveaccess
toawidermarketfortheirproductsbeyondtheir
communities.Thiswillrequireextensivecoordination
and technicaland financial support fromvarious
publicagencies(e.g.,agricultureministries,energy,
infrastructure,planningetc.)aswellasprivatesector
partners.
Drivers of Market Growth
• Cost Reduction/Fuel Switching: Stakeholderinterviews foundthatproductive-use/commercial
customerswillopttoconnecttomini-gridsifthemini-
gridtariffperkWhislowerthanthecostofelectricity
generated by diesel generators. The resultant
reductioninthecustomers’aggregatecostofenergy
willincreaseprofitabilityandenabletheproductive-use
customers to focus on their core businesses with less
focusonpowergenerationmanagement.
• Reliability/Quality of Service:Reliablepowersupplyiskeyforcommercialcustomers,otherwise,theywill
continuetousedieselgenerators.Therefore,mini-
gridsystemsmustbedesignedtoserveproductive-
useloadswhilemaintainingpowerquality,reliability
andavailability.Athree-phasedistributionsystemis
necessaryforPUEcomparedtosinglephasenetworks
that have lower capital costs, but higherpower
losses.230
• Community Engagement and Incentives Schemes:Theprovisionofwell-designedincentivesiscrucial
tostimulatingPUEduringoff-peakhours,thereby
increasing theefficiencyof themini-grids.Some
recommendedincentivesforSierraLeoneinclude:231
› On-Bill Equipment Financing: To stimulateproductiveusesofelectricity(grainmills,welders,
etc.),low-costloansshouldbeprovidedbythe
mini-gridoperator to supportendusers/local
entrepreneursinacquiringelectricalproductive-
useequipmentandmachineryandstart-upofnew
businesses.Theloansarepaidoffovertimethrough
asurchargeonthecustomers’electricitybills.
› Time of Use/Flexible Tariffs:PUEduringdaytime/off-peakhoursshouldbeincentivizedbyflexible
230 Janse,S.,“Affordableandreliablemini-gridsinSierraLeone,”TUDelftTechnology,PolicyandManagement,(May2019):https://repository.tudelft.nl/islandora/object/uuid%3Ab98a7726-bb05-430f-832c-53282130edeb;andPowerforAllFactsheet:Mini-gridsproductiveuseofenergy(PUE)inagriculture:https://www.powerforall.org/application/files/9615/9302/4971/FS_Mini-grids_productive_use_of_energy_PUE_in_agriculture3.pdf
231 Janse,2019;McCallandSantana,2018;StateoftheGlobalMini-GridsMarketReport2020;and“NigeriaPowerSectorProgramme(NPSP)ProductiveUseStimulationInNigeria:ValueChain&Mini-GridFeasibilityStudy,”UnitedStatesAgencyforInternationalDevelopment,(July2020):http://rean.org.ng/media/img/PA-NPSP_Agriculture_Productive_Use_Stimulation_20200728.pdf
232 “TheMarketOpportunityforProductiveUseLeveragingSolarEnergy(PULSE)inSub-SaharanAfrica,”DalbergAdvisors,LightingGlobalandWorldBank,(2019):https://www.lightingglobal.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/09/PULSE-Report.pdf
233 “WinchEnergycelebratesprojectsuccessinSierraLeone,”AfricanReview,(26October2020):https://www.africanreview.com/energy-a-power/renewables/winch-energy-celebrates-project-success-in-sierra-leone
time-of-use(TOU)-basedtariffstomanageload
profilesandensuretheefficiencyofthemini-grid.
› Awareness Campaigns and Education:Creatingawarenessandeducationforwould-beequipment
purchasers/localentrepreneursandaccessible
market information formini-grid providers is
crucial. Potential end users should be educated to
optforenergy-efficientandsoft-startappliances
(applianceswithmotorsthatrequirelesselectricity
tostartupandtorun)thatreducepeakloadsand
operationalcostsofthesystem.
4.5 Recommendations for Sierra Leone
A2019studycarriedoutbyDalbergAdvisorsandthe
WorldBankofthemarketopportunityforProductive
UseLeveragingSolarEnergy(PULSE)inSub-Saharan
Africa identifiedeightareas inwhichgovernments,
developmentpartnersandtheprivatesectorcanwork
together tobuild theoff-gridsolarproductive-use
market(Figure 28).232TheGoSL,withassistancefrom
itsdevelopmentpartnersandtogetherwiththeprivate
sector,shoulddevelopandimplementpoliciesand
programmestopursuetheseinterventionsandspurt
growthoftheproductive-usesector.RollingoutPUE
inmini-gridcommunitiesonalargescalewillrequire
extensivecoordinationacrossvariouspublicagencies
(Ministry of Energy (MoE),Ministry of Agriculture
and Forestry,Ministry of Planning and Economic
Development,Ministry of Local Government and
RuralDevelopment(MLGRD))aswellasprivatesector
partners,includinginthelocalfinancialsector(e.g.,
SierraLeoneAssociationofMicrofinanceInstitutions)
toimproveaccesstolocalcurrencyfinancingforthe
PUEsector.
LocaloperatorWinchEnergyhas already formed
severalkeypartnershipstodeveloplocalenterprises
andexpandPUEinitsWP-1mini-gridcommunities.
ThecompanyhaspartneredwithEasySolartooffer
consumerselectricalappliancesavailableonmicrocredit
andisworkingwiththetelecommunicationsoperator
Orangetoexpandaccesstomobilemoneyservicesin
its communities.233
97
FIGURE 28Key Interventions to Support Development of the Productive-Use Sector
Support to selected value chain aggregators through technical assistance
(TA) and finance to extend PULSE products to farmer groups
Technical assistance and investment to support technology upgrading and
skills transfer
Patient capital, working capital and grants to support set-up, growth and scaling
Work alongside PULSE innovators to provide business management, market entry and
growth strategy advice
Develop minimum product standards, especially for emerging DC appliances and
service levels for post-sales support
Develop detailed use cases across a range of products, provide annual PULSE surveys
and market analysis
Work with existing value chain actors and donors to expand the awareness of solar products, focused on emergent products
Policy papers, research and lobbying to enhance regulatory environment at interface
between off-grid and agriculture
Demand generation/aggregation Technology and innovation
Access to finance Business development support
Quality assurance Market intelligence
Consumer education Policy development
Source:DalbergAdvisors,LightingGlobalandWorldBank.
234 AsimilarapproachhasbeenconsideredforWP-2sitesinSierraLeone.
Applicable Lessons/Recommendations from Nigeria
• Nigeria EEI and NEP: UndertheEnergizingEconomiesInitiative(EEI),Nigeria’sREApursuedanend-to-end
approachforelectrifyingcommercialhubs/economic
clusters;undertheNEP,theREAanditsdevelopment
partners rolledouta successfulPUEequipment-
financingscheme(inpartnershipwithPowerGen).
Together,theEEIandtheNEPofferablueprintthe
GoSLcanfollowtoidentifysuitablecommercialand/
oragriculturalhubsthatcouldbenefitfrommini-grid
electrification,followedbytheselectionandcareful
integrationofappropriatePUEequipmentthroughan
appliance-financingmechanismwithongoingbusiness
developmentsupport(Figure 29).• Community Sensitization and Engagement:
Community engagement is a key feature of the
NEP.Futuremini-griddevelopmentinSierraLeone
willrequireextensivecommunityengagementand
sensitizationaroundproductive-useapplications,
includingconsumereducationonwhat/howappliances
interfacewiththemini-grid,aswellasfinancingfor
equipmentandassociatedtrainingonPUEproducts
andservices.
• Tariff Structure:InNigeria,somedevelopersofferproductiveusersandcommercialusers(whogenerally
consumemorepower)alowertariffthanresidential
customersasanincentivetoincreaseelectricityuptake
andPUEactivities,particularlyduringthedaywhen
itismoreaffordableforsolarmini-gridoperatorsto
produceanddistributeenergy.234
• Need for Financing and Technical Assistance (TA):There is generally a much greater need for targeted
financingandTA interventions to scale-upPUE,
particularlytohelplocalbusinessesgrowandexpand
theiraccess toawidermarket for theirproducts
beyond their communities.
98
FIGURE 29Roadmap for PUE Equipment and Appliance Integration into Mini-Grid Development235
Identify the right agricultural/business activity
Determine what value-added process is needed
Appliance/equipment selection
Identify and sell appliance/equipment to users
Consumer finance
Delivery, installation and training
After sales service
Ongoing business support
Source:KenyaGreenMini-GridFacility.
235 “ProductiveUse,AccesstoFinanceandPartnerships,”KenyaGreenMini-GridFacility,(10December2020):https://www.gmgfacilitykenya.org/index.php/news-media/item/85-invitation-to-productive-use-access-to-finance-and-partnerships-webinar
99
MINI-GRID SITE SELECTION
5.1 Site Selection Criteria
Theselectionofsitesfordevelopingmini-gridprojects
variesbycountryandissubjecttotheobjectivesand
focusofelectrificationpolicyandregulation.Several
approachesexist, includingpublic/government-led,
privatesector-led,orpublic-privatepartnership(PPP)
schemes(seeSection 2.1),withthecollectiveaimofincreasingenergyaccessconnections,stimulatingthe
productiveuseofenergy(PUE)andpromotingrural
economicdevelopment.
Mostpublicsector-ledmini-gridprogrammesfocuson
meetingelectrificationtargetsandaretypicallyfunded
eitherthroughgovernmentbudgetsand/orwithsupport
fromdevelopmentagenciesandpartners.Assuch,the
primaryenergyaccessindicatorsfromthepublicsector
perspectiveincludethenumberofbeneficiariesofa
givenprogramme,thenumberofhouseholdconnections
achieved,andtheextenttowhichelectrificationhas
improveddevelopmentoutcomes(e.g.,economic,health,
sustainable/low-carbongrowthetc.)
Privatesector-ledinitiativesarecommerciallydriven,
withmoreattentiononcostrecoveryinordertoservice
projectdebtobligationswhilealsoseekingareturnon
investments.Hence,privatedevelopers focusmore
onselectingsitesthatwillensuresufficientelectricity
demand through potentialanchorcustomers, household
connections,andPUEtoprovidethenecessaryincome
forthemini-gridtooperate sustainably.
5.1.1 Sierra Leone
InSierraLeone,theRuralRenewableEnergyProject
(RREP)beneficiarycommunitieswereselectedin2016by
asteeringcommitteeledbytheMinistryofEnergy(MoE)
basedonanationwidelistofvillageswithcommunity
236 MinistryofEnergy-RuralRenewableEnergyProject:http://www.energy.gov.sl/home/rural-renewable-energy-project/237 Stakeholderinterviews,2020.
healthcentres(CHCs)providedbytheMinistryofHealth
andSanitation(MoHS)inthewakeoftheEbolacrisis
(seeSection 1.1.2).236Thesteeringcommitteeapprovedthefinalsitesaccordingtoaseriesofpredefinedtechnical
criteriatoensureanequitabledistributionperdistrict
nationwide. The criteria considered for the selection of
sitesincluded:237
• ExistenceofaCHC
• Sizeofthecommunitywithrespecttohouseholds,
businessesandpopulationdensity(aminimumof250
structureswasrequiredinordertoensureeconomic
viability)
• ThedistanceofthecommunitytotheCHC(toreduce
thecostofusingmediumvoltagelines)
• The distance of the community to any existing or
plannedtransmissionlinesand/ortheexistenceor
planforanyotherelectrificationproject.
The criteria for selecting mini-grid sites were the same for
bothWorkPackage1(WP-1)andWorkPackage2(WP-
2);however,theWP-2siteswereplannedtobeserved
bylargermini-gridsystems(between36and200kW)as
anincentivetotheoperatorsfinancingthispartofthe
project.Solarirradianceismostlyuniformthroughout
SierraLeonesothemostcriticaldeterminantsforsite
selectionwerepopulationdensityandplannedfuturegrid
electrification.
Recognizingtheneedforaconsultativeapproachtothe
implementationoftheRREP,aformalInter-Ministerial
CooperationAgreementwassignedbetweentheMoE,
MoHS,andtheMinistryofLocalGovernmentandRural
Development(MLGRD).ThisAgreementprovidesfor
collaborationonoversightactivities,includingmonitoring
andevaluationofprogrammeoutputsandresultsandthe
establishment of local by-laws and regulations to ensure
localsupportforruralelectrification.
100
Animportanttakeawayfromthemini-gridsiteselection
processinSierraLeoneisthatlessemphasiswasplaced
ondemand-sideconsiderationsduringinitial (WP-1)
siteselection,whichprioritizedsupplyingelectricity
totheCHCs.Incontrast,WP-2focusedmoreonPUE
opportunities,withseveralstudiescommissionedby
UNOPStosupportthethreeoperatorsinthisregard.
Wheninterviewed,mini-gridoperatorshighlightedthe
importanceofidentifyingproductiveuserswhenassessing
electricitydemandinagivencommunity,withparticular
focusontheenergyend-useactivitiesofthebusinesses
inthecommunity.Generally,operatorsalsofocuson
communityaccessibility,incomelevelsandpurchasing
powerofresidents,populationsizeanddensity,relative
security,andlevelofsupportfromlocalauthoritiesand
stakeholders.Aboveall,operatorsseektoidentifyanchor
clientsorcustomerswhorelyonpowertocarryoutdaily
activitiesandarealreadyusingalternativesourcesof
energy(e.g.,dieselgenerators),asthisrepresentsan
opportunityforfuelswitchingandcostsavings.
5.1.2 Nigeria
TheFederalGovernmentofNigeria(FGN)hasadopted
adecentralized,privatesector-ledapproachtoelectrify
thecountry’s ruralandunservedpopulation.Under
theNigeria Electrification Project (NEP)mini-grid
component,aresults-basedfinancing(RBF)mechanism
(seeSection 2.2.2)provides financial incentives forthedevelopmentofidentifiedoff-gridsiteswithhigh
customer density characteristics that are best suited
for mini-grid electrification. The Rural Electrification
Authority(REA)siteselectionprocesspromotesprivate
sectordevelopmentofthesesitesbyprovidingclarity
andreducingriskforoperators.Atthecommencement
oftheminigridprogrammein2017,theREAsupporteda
detailedsurveythatprioritizedover200siteswithdemand
ofatleast100kWacrossfivestates.Theassessment
238 Babamanu,2019.239 Ibid.
utilizedgeoreferenceddatatoassessthefollowingkey
parametersforsiteselection:238
• Sufficientload/density
• Productive-use,daytime,andflexibleloads
• Supportivelocalandstategovernment
• Community engagement
• Accessibility
Among10,000sitesidentifiedforpotentialmini-grid
electrification,aninitial500siteswereshortlisted,and
then200sites(withatleast100kWofdemand)were
prioritized for subsequentanalysisbasedon these
criteria.Detailedsurveyswerethencarriedoutinthese
communitiesusingacomputer-aidedpersonalinterview
apponamobiledevice.TheREAsurveysassessed
community/institutional,householdandcommercial
endusersandcoveredawiderangeofdata/indicators
(Figure 30).
Followingthesupply-sideanalysis,theREAledarobust
community-engagementprocesstoanalyzedemand
factors,aswellastosecurethebuy-inofcommunity
stakeholdergroups.Theseincludedcommunityleaders,
women’sgroups,youthgroups,schools,healthcare
facilities,religiousorganizations,communityservice
organizationsandelectricityusersassociations.The
communitysurveyexaminedproductive-usepotential
andassociatedloadprofiles,existingenergysources/type
ofself-generation(e.g.,dieselgeneration)andlevelsof
communityincomeandwillingnesstopay(WTP).The
REA also embarked on community awareness-raising
campaignstomobilizeandsensitizeruralcommunities
acrossthecountrytoformElectricityUsersCooperative
Societies(EUCSs).Communitiesareexpectedtoown,
operate andmaintain their electricity networks in
collaborationwithprivatecompaniesproviding the
know-howrequiredtooperatesuchsystemseffectively
andefficiently.239
101
FIGURE 30Mini-Grid Site Selection under the Nigeria Electrification Project
10,000Potential sites identified
500Sites visited on
the ground
100+Sites prioritized for initial development
REA survey data includes:• Number of households, shops, productive
loads, and other institutions• Appliances, productive loads, time of use• Estimated load profile• Existing self generation (size and number
of units)• Fuel price and availability• Cellular service (providers and reliability)• Current income and willingness to pay• GIS data for villages and potential
customers
Source:NigeriaRuralElectrificationAgency.
240 Stakeholderinterviews.
Wheninterviewed,privatedevelopersindicatedthat
theNEPprovided sufficient consideration for the
commercialviabilityofsites,andthatwiththeREA’s
support,theyhavebeenabletosuccessfullystreamline
sites fordevelopment.Akeyconsideration insite
selectionfordevelopersinNigeriaisproximitytothe
nationalgrid.Developerswanttoensurethepotential
mini-grid site is reasonably far away from the main grid
(averageofminimum10–15km)andalsonotpartof
thecurrentexpansionplansofdistributioncompanies
(DisCos),whichhavecontroloftheterritories.Thiswill
ensurethatareasonableamountoftimewillpassfor
developerstorecouptheirinvestmentsandavoida
quickevacuationofsitesduetogridextensionstothe
potentialcommunity.
Following the first rollout ofmini-grids inNigeria
supportedbyGIZincollaborationwiththeREA,most
developersnowtake intocarefulconsideration the
potentialcommercialactivitiesthatacommunitycan
undertake to increase electricity demand and generate
income.Developersnowcarryoutdetailedsurveysof
potentialmini-gridcommunitiestoassesswhatproductive
activitiesexist,particularlyintheagriculturalsector.
Surveysconsideredagriculturalpractices,includingwhat
kindofcropsareplanted;whetherananchorbusiness
orclientcanbeservedinthecommunity;whetherany
relevantcooperativesexistinthecommunity(e.g.,for
farmers,electricityuserassociationsetc.);willingnessand
capacityofuserstopayforpowergenerated;andhow
readily accessible and secure a site is for logistics and
movementofassets.240
5.2 Summary of Findings
Asummaryoffindings,coveringbothdemand-sideand
supply-sidefactorsinmini-gridsiteselectionispresented
in Table 15.
102
TABLE 15Mini-Grid Site Selection Criteria
Mini-Grid Site Selection Approach Lessons Learned Recommendations
Sierra Leone (RREP)• TheGoSLProjectSteeringCommitteewas
established to select RREP sites based on the followingcriteria:
› ExistenceofCHCs › Sizeofthecommunitywithrespecttohouseholds,businessesandpopulationdensity(min.250structures)
› ThedistanceofthecommunitytotheCHC(toreducecostofusingmediumvoltagelines)
› The distance of the community to any existing or plannedtransmissionlinesand/ortheexistenceorplanforanyotherelectrificationproject
• DemandassessmentcarriedoutbyMoE/UNOPSin2016across68communitiesyielded1,950respondents,providingsufficientdatatoindicateaffordability
• RREPprojectdevelopersidentifiedthefollowingkey indicators when assessing the commercial viabilityofpotentialmini-gridsites(underWP-2):
› Populationdensity › Community accessibility › Incomelevelsandpurchasingpowerof
residents › OpportunitiesforPUEbasedonenergyend
use of businesses in community › Levelofsupportfromlocalauthoritiesand
community stakeholders
Sierra Leone (RREP)• Animportantlessonfromthisprocessisthatlessemphasiswasplacedondemand-sideconsiderations during initial (WP-1)siteselection,whichprioritizedsupplyingelectricitytoruralCHCsinthewakeoftheEbolacrisis.Whiletheprovisionof electricity to critical social servicesisimportant,strategiesto mitigate high tariffs may be neededifthesesiteshavelowdemand.
• Incontrast,WP-2focusedmoreonPUEopportunities,withseveralstudiescommissionedbyUNOPStosupportthe3operatorsinthisregard
• Governmentsshouldseektoselectoptimalsitestomaximizefinancialviabilitybypursuingthefollowingmeasures:
• AdoptanIEPapproach241 to designandimplementrobustand methodical mini-grid site selectioncriteria(andmakethisavailabletodevelopers)
• UtilizeGIS/georeferenceddataand other consumer and market intelligence tools to identify denselypopulatedareaswithhighestpotentialforelectricitydemand
• Conductextensivecommunity-levelengagementtoproperlyassesslocaleconomicactivity,raiseawarenessandsensitizecommunities
• Analyzeexistingexpenditureonenergysources/alternativestodetermineabilityandWTPformini-grid access
• Engage with local community to focusonpotentialopportunitiesforPUE
• Adoptgeo-tagsurveymethods as well as other data managementtools(e.g.,toprovidedemandforecastinginformationtodevelopers)
• Considersupportoflocal/districtandstategovernmentauthoritiestoidentifypossibleareaswheresitescanbeclusteredtobenefitfrom economies of scale in constructionandoperations
• Solicitinputfromwiderangeofcommunitystakeholders,includingwomen’sgroups,youthgroups,andotherassociationsoflocalentrepreneurs
Nigeria (NEP)• TheREAidentified10,000potentialsitesusingGISdatatoassessthefollowing:
› Sufficientload/density › Productive-use,daytime,andflexibleloads › Supportivelocalandstategovernment › Community engagement › Accessibility
• Next,theREAcarriedoutdetailedsurveysof200communitieswithatleast100kWofdemand,usingamobileapptoassessthefollowing:
› Numberofhouseholds,shops,productiveloads,andotherinstitutions
› Appliances,productiveloads,TOU › Estimatedloadprofile › Existingself-generation(sizeandnumberofunits)
› Fuelpriceandavailability › Cellularservice(providersandreliability) › CurrentincomeandWTP › GISdataforvillagesandpotentialcustomers › Geo-tagsurvey
• Finally,theREAledacomprehensiveefforttoraiseawarenessamongidentifiedcommunitiesandtomobilizeandsensitizeruralcommunitiesacrossthecountrytoformtheEUCS
• TheREAutilizedtheOdysseydatamanagementplatformasatoolfortrackinghundredsoffeasibilitystudies,connectionsandprojectperformance,andprovidingdemand-forecastinginformationtodevelopers
Nigeria (NEP) • Projectdevelopersidentifiedthe
following key indicators when assessingthecommercialviabilityofpotentialmini-gridsites:
› Distancefromthemaingrid(atleast10–15km)
› ExclusionfromtheexpansionplansofDisCosforatleast5years
› LevelofPUE/income-generatingactivitiesinthecommunity
› Existing energy sources and typeofself-generation(dieselgenerator)
› AffordabilityandWTPtariffs
Source:SierraLeoneMinistryofEnergy;NigeriaRuralElectrificationAgency;stakeholderinterviews.
241 See:https://www.seforall.org/interventions/electricity-for-all-in-africa/integrated-electrification-pathways
103
5.3 Recommendations for Sierra Leone
TheNigerianmini-gridsectoroffersapromisingcase
study formini-grid development, as it is currently
witnessingrapidgrowth,drivenbytheprivatesector.
TheREA’sfocusoncommercialviabilityofmini-grids
andtheflexibilityforprojectdeveloperstocollaborate
withitandprovideinputsintosite-selectioncriteriais
drivingexpansionandinvestmentintothesector.The
NEPisalsoworkinghardtoengagewithandsensitize
communities,includingtopromoteproductiveactivities,
increasingemploymentandincomeandinturnenabling
localcapacityandWTP.242
SierraLeonecanadoptasimilarmodeltosupportprivate
sector-ledgrowthandexpansionofthemini-gridsector,
with a focus on both connections and the commercial
viabilityofsites.TheMoEandtheElectricityandWater
RegulatoryCommission(EWRC)canseektoexpandtheir
internalcapacityand/orcreateaseparateREAtomanage
therolloutofanationalmini-gridprogramme,including
detailedsiteassessmentsandcommunity-sensitization
initiativesastheywereconductedundertheNEP.Some
ofthekeyinnovationsfrommini-gridselectioninNigeria
thatSierraLeonecanadoptincludetheutilizationofGIS/
georeferenced data and other consumer and market-
intelligencetools,243andtheimplementationofanational
datamanagementplatform(e.g.,Odyssey)toprovide
informationtodevelopers(e.g.,demandforecasting,tariff
calculationetc.).
Onthedemandside,moreemphasisshouldbeplaced
onproductiveactivitiestosupporttheenduseofmini-
grid electricity. Electricity demand assessments currently
focusmoreonpersonalconsumptionatthehousehold
level(e.g.,lightingandphonechargingetc.),whichmay
leadtolowerlevelsofelectricityuptakeforprojects.
Developersneedbothfinancialandtechnicalassistance
242 Mini-GridInvestmentReport:ScalingtheNigerianMarket,RockyMountainInstitute,2018.243 Off-gridenergyservicescompaniesareincreasinglymakingmoredemand-sidedataavailablethroughcustomerandmarketinsights.Forexample,
Nithioprovidesdataoncustomercreditworthiness,expenditurepatterns;Fraymoffersadvancedgeospatialdatasolutions(see:http://www.nithio.comandhttps://fraym.io)
244 TheNEPachievedthisbyestablishinganElectricityUserCooperativeSocietyineachmini-gridcommunity.245 IntegratedElectrificationPathways:https://www.seforall.org/interventions/electricity-for-all-in-africa/integrated-electrification-pathways
fromthegovernmentand/ordevelopmentpartnersto
supportrobustassessmentsofproductive-usepotential
duringthesiteselectionprocess.
Thereisalsotheneedtoconsiderincorporatingappliance
financingforhouseholdsandsmallandmedium-sized
enterprises(SMEs)intomini-gridbusinessmodelsto
ensureproperuseoftheelectricityprovided.Furthermore,
providingbusinesssupportservicestoSMEsontheuse
ofapplianceswillincreaseproductiveactivities,stimulate
electricitydemand,andthusincreasetheiroverallcapacity
topayforelectricityconsumed.Ratherthanonlyselling
kWh,theEnergy-as-a-Service(EaaS)businessmodel(see
Annex 1)canenhancethecommercialviabilityofmini-gridprojects,butalsorequiresanincreasedfocuson
communityawarenessandsensitization.244
In2019,SEforALLlaunchedtheIntegratedElectrification
Pathways(IEP)initiative–asetofintegratedplanning
approachesandpolicymeasuresthatsupportusinggrid,
mini-gridandoff-gridtechnologiestoprovideelectricity
access.ThefourIEPprinciplesinclude:245
• Place access to electricity in the context of sustainable
developmentandhumanneeds
• Consideralltechnologicalapproachesanddelivery
models
• Relyonhigh-levelcommitmentandsupportforan
inclusive,coordinatedplanningprocess
• Includesupportivepolicymeasuresthatfacilitate
investmentandaremarketenabling
ByadoptinganIEP,SierraLeonecansupportmini-grid
developmentbyaddingtransparencyonwherethegrid
islikelytoextend,andbypursuingarigorous,data-
drivenanalysisofwheremini-gridsaremostappropriate
comparedtoalternatives.
104
RECOMMENDATIONS FOR FURTHER RESEARCH
In addition to the recommendations and lessons learned
sharedinthisreport,afewareas/topicsrecommendedfor
furtherresearchtosupportmini-gridmarketdevelopment
inSierraLeoneareincludedbelow.
• Database of mini-grid market information:Mini-gridelectrificationrequiresdetailedquantifyingof
energysupplyanddemand.Currentlyavailabledata
donotincludeanexhaustivelistofprojectsorproject
detailssufficienttoestablishanaccuratebaseline
forthispurpose.Toscaleupmini-griddevelopment,
theGovernmentofSierraLeone(GoSL)cansupport
thedevelopmentofadatabaseofexistingoff-grid
electricityprojectsthatincludesdetailsrelatedto
electricitysupply(e.g.,peakavailablecapacityand
servicepotential;informationonfixedandvariable
project costs, execution details, and operating
constraintssuchasintermittentpowergenerationfrom
renewableenergysources),correspondingelectricity
demand(end-userdemandprofiles,willingness/ability
topayetc.),andtechnologyoptions.Thedatabase
canbepartofabroaderMinistryofEnergy(MoE)
initiativetopromotethepublicationofopen,easily
accessible,andup-to-datemarketinformation.This
canalsoserve tohelp theElectricityandWater
RegulatoryCommission(EWRC)monitorandtrack
tarifflevelsbyconductingbenchmarkingexercisesof
servicepricesindifferentserviceareastoanalyzehow
tariffsevolveovertimeandinturntopreventservice
providersfromoverchargingmini-gridcommunities.
TheGoSL can seek out support from regional
partners,suchasECREEE,whichhasdevelopeda
similardatabase(ECOWREX).Oncethedatabaseis
246 https://www.crossboundary.com/category/energy-access-news/open-source/
established,itwouldneedtoberoutinelyupdated
(e.g.,by theMoE)asnewmarketdatabecome
available.
• Support pre-feasibility studies and community-engagement campaigns to further expedite market development: TheGoSLanditsdevelopmentpartnerscanprovidefundingfordetailedpre-feasibility
studiesonmini-gridsitestosupporttheirprioritization
(includingdatasheetsandinteractivedatabasesthat
canbemadeavailabletotheprivatesector).Studies
should focus on increasing outreach and engagement
withruralcommunitiesinordertoanalyzeaverage
abilityandwillingnesstopay(WTP)basedonend-
usergroups(e.g.,households,smallandmedium-
sizedenterprises(SMEs)andproductiveusers)across
differentserviceareas.Theobjectiveofthisresearch
willbetoprovidebetterinformationtoprospective
developers on the electricity demandprofile of
communities(andtoidentifypotentialanchorclients
and/orproductive-useenergy(PUE)opportunities),
whatkindoffinancialsupportisneededbywhich
endusers,andwhatcorrespondingfundingmaybe
availableeitherdirectlyprovidedbytheGoSLandits
developmentpartnersorthroughpartnershipswiththe
localfinancialsector(e.g.,concessionalloans,credit
lines,guaranteesetc.).
• Crossboundary Energy Access recently launched
anopen-sourceapproachtoincreaseinvestmentin
infrastructurecapitalformini-gridsinAfricathrougha
newprojectfinancingmodel.246Thisisaninnovative
areaofknowledge-sharingthatcanbeexploredfurther.
105
MINI-GRID BUSINESS MODELS
Overview of Mini-Grid Ownership and Business Models
Ownership/BusinessModel ImpactonGovernment/Utility ImpactonPrivateSector ImpactonRetailCustomers Advantages Disadvantages
PUBLIC OWNERSHIP MODEL
Government/nationalutilityisdesignatedastheownerandoperatorofallmini-gridassets,responsibleforgeneration,distribution and retail sales
• Governmenttypicallyrelieson cross-subsidies from national grid customers tofinancemini-griddevelopment
• Nosignificantrolefortheprivatesector(unlessaBuild-Operate-Transfer(BOT)modelisutilized)
• Lowercostofelectricitythanalternatives(e.g.,kerosene,dieselgenerator)formini-grid customers
• Highertarifffornationalgridcustomers due to cross-subsidies
• Lowertariffsformini-gridcustomers due to cross-subsidies
• Publicutilityhasproventechnicalexpertisefromoperatingthenationalgrid
• Public utility has access to governmentfundingformini-griddevelopmentinremote areas
• Public utility is already known to customers
• Requireslargersubsidiesand/orhighertariffsfornational grid customers
• Cancreateafinancialburdenfor utility due to high cost ofoperatingmini-gridsinremote areas
• Canslowthepaceofmini-gridelectrification(speedofdeliverydependsoncapacityofpublicutility)
PRIVATE AND COMMUNITY OWNERSHIP MODELS
Mini-gridsareownedandoperatedsolelybyprivatesectororcommunity actors
• Businessmodelrequireslight-handedgovernmentregulation(inlinewithregulatory regimes that promoteprivatization)
• Governmentcanprovidepublicgrants,subsidies,andloanguaranteestosupportprivatesectordevelopment
• Iftariffiscost-reflective,easesburdenonpublicfundsorcross-subsidies,buttariff affordability is an issue
• Firstmoversneededasprivatesectorinteresttoserviceremoteareasmaybelimited without some form of governmentsupport
• Bankability is a concern due to high transaction costs(permits,licensing,procurementetc.)
• Highrevenueriskexposure(tariffnegotiation,non-payment)
• Moreexpensiveelectricity• PrivatesectortoencouragegreaterPUE
• If mini-grid is community-owned,requiresextensiveongoinginvolvementofcommunity
• Privatesectorismoreefficient;canacceleratethepaceofmini-gridelectrification
• Lowersubsidyrequired• If mini-grid is community-owned,cangeneratejobsforlocalentrepreneursandcommunity members
• Highertariffsforcustomers• Rarelycommerciallyviablein
rural areas without funding supportfromgovernment
• Requiressignificantregulatorycapacitytomanage/oversee
• If mini-grid is community-owned,challengesrelatedto lack of local technical andmanagerialcapacitynecessarytooperateandmaintain mini-grid system
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Ownership/BusinessModel ImpactonGovernment/Utility ImpactonPrivateSector ImpactonRetailCustomers Advantages Disadvantages
HYBRID OR MIXED OWNERSHIP MODELS
Publicandprivatesectoractorsownandoperatemini-gridsthroughpublic-privatepartnership(PPP)arrangements
Hybrid Model 1:Public Ownership/Private Management Model
Government/utilityplans,financesandimplementsamini-gridprojectuptothecommissioningstage;operationisthenoutsourcedtotheprivatesectorthrougha concession or management contract,inwhichtheprivatedeveloperisresponsiblefor the management and operationofthemini-gridsystem,includinggeneration,distribution and retail sales of electricity to mini-grid customers
• IfthereisO&Mbyconcession,thenthereisopportunityforcost-reflectivetariffs,whichwould ease burden on publicfundsorcross-subsidies
• Doesnotneedtorecovercapitalinvestment
• Maybeexposedtorevenuerisk from collection of tariffs
• Tariffspotentiallylower(vs.fullyprivatemodel)becausegovernmentwilldevelopand own the infrastructure assets
• Encourages the participationofprivatesector actors that may notnecessarilyhavethecapacitytodevelopmini-gridprojectsindependently
• Effectivemethodofdistributingresponsibilitiestooptimizegovernmentandprivatesectorcapacities(andthusovercomelimitationsassociated with other models)
• Lowercostofcapitalandhence slightly lower tariffs
• Possibleconflictsoverlargecapitalmaintenanceworks,reinvestmentsandupgrades
Hybrid Model 2: Private Generation/Public Distribution Model (PPA Model)
Privatesectorbuilds,ownsandoperatesmini-gridgeneration assets and sells powertothepublicutilityunder a Power Purchase Agreement(PPA);publicutilityownsandoperatesthedistribution assets and retail sales of electricity to mini-grid customers
• If utility charges below cost-reflectivetarifftocustomers,willrequiresubsidies from the governmentorcross-subsidies from national grid customerstofinancemini-griddevelopment
• PrivategenerationisexpectedtobemoreefficientandhencecheaperduetoincentiveoffixedPPA tariff
• PPAreducesrevenuerisk• Loweroperatingcostsandpotentiallyeasierpermittingandlicensingproceduresmakeprojectsbankable
• Potentially lengthy contractualprocessesassociated with PPA can be mitigatedbystandardizedPPAdevelopedbyregulator
• Lowercostofelectricitythanalternatives(e.g.,kerosene,dieselgenerator)for mini-grid customers
• Highertarifffornationalgrid customers due to cross-subsidies
• Retail customers must relyfullyonpublicutility(limitedinteractionbetweentheprivatesectorandendusers/demandside)
• Encourages the participationofprivatesector actors that may notnecessarilyhavethecapacitytodevelopmini-gridprojectsindependently
• Effectivemethodofdistributingresponsibilitiestooptimizegovernmentandprivatesectorcapacities(andthusovercomelimitationsassociated with other models)
• Easiestandquickestwaytoinvolveprivatesector
• NoprecedentofPPAsforsupplierstomini-grids
• Requiressignificantregulatorycapacitytodevelopinterconnectionrules,astandardizedPPAfor mini-grid sector etc.
Hybrid Model 3: Split-Asset Model
Governmentprocuresandowns the distribution assets ofthemini-grid,whiletheprivatedeveloperownsthe generation assets andisresponsibleforthemanagementandoperationofthemini-gridsystem,includinggeneration,distributionandretail sales of electricity to mini-grid customers
• Functionallythesameasafullyprivatemodel,withthepotentialforlowercost-recoveryduetogovernmentfunding the distribution networkcapex
• Splitofdistributionandgeneration assets reduces theinvestmentcostsforthedeveloper
• Tariffspotentiallylower(vs.fullyprivatemodel)becausegovernmentwillfundthedistributionnetworkcapex
• PrivatesectortoencouragegreaterPUE
• Privatesectorismoreefficient;canacceleratethepaceofmini-gridelectrification
• Lowersubsidyrequired• Lowercostofcapital(vs.fullyprivatemodel)shouldleadto lower tariffs
• Requiressignificantregulatorycapacitytomanage/oversee
• Possibleconflictsoverlargecapitalmaintenanceworks,reinvestmentsandupgrades
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MINI-GRID POLICY, REGULATORY AND INSTITUTIONAL LANDSCAPE IN SIERRA LEONE AND NIGERIA
Government of Sierra Leone Institutional Landscape of the Mini-Grid Sector
KeyRole(s):PolicyFormulation,PolicyImplementation,Regulation,and Administration
InstitutionName Description
PolicyFormulation MinistryofEnergy(MoE) • TheMoEdevelopsandimplementsenergysectorpolicies,projectsandprogrammesandoverseesfunctionsacrosstheentireenergysupplychain
MinistryofFinance(MoF) • TheMoFoverseesmanagementoftherevenueandfinancesoftheGoSL
EnvironmentalProtectionAgency(EPA)
• TheEPAwasestablishedtoprotecttheenvironmentofSierraLeoneandeffectivelymanageitsnaturalresources.In2019,theagencyreleasedtheGuidelinesforEnvironmentalandSocialImpactAssessmentsofRenewableEnergyTechnologiesandMini-Grids
NationalPublicProcurementAuthority(NPPA)
• TheNPPAperformsoversightfunctionsandadvisestheGoSLonPublicProcurementmanagement
Regulation SierraLeoneElectricityandWaterRegulatoryCommission(SLEWRC)
• EstablishedbytheSierraLeoneElectricityandWaterRegulatoryCommissionAct,theSLEWRCregulatestheutilityserviceprovidersintheelectricityandwatersectors;developedthemini-grid regulations247
Implementation Public-PrivatePartnership(PPP)Unit • ThePPPUnit’smandateistopromote,facilitateandstreamlinetheinception,negotiationsandimplementationofallpublic-privatepartnershipagreementsbetweenpublicauthoritiesandprivatepartners
247 Inparticular,theEWRCisresponsibilityforgrantinglicensestoanyentityengagedinthefollowingactivitiesintheelectricitysector:thesale,provision,arrangementorotherwisesupplyofaccesstoelectricity;construction,installationoroperationofanyfacilityforthesale,provisionorsupplyofelectricity;transmission,wholesalesupply,distributionorsaleofelectricity.
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Summary of Mini-Grid Policies, Laws and Regulations in Sierra Leone
Name Type Description OriginatingAgency
NationalEnergyPolicy,2009 Policy • ThisoutlinesthepoliciesrequiredtoachievetheGoSL’sgoaltoprovidemodernenergyservicesforitscitizens. Ministry of Energy and WaterResources
NationalElectricityAct,2011 Act • RevokedthepreviousNationalPowerAuthority(NPA)Actof1982andunbundledtheNationalPowerAuthorityinto2newentities–theElectricityGenerationandTransmissionCompany(EGTC)responsibleforgenerationandtransmissionathighvoltagelevels(161kV),andtheElectricityDistributionandSupplyAuthority(EDSA)responsibleforelectricitydistributionandtransmissionatlowervoltagelevelsof33kVandbelow.EDSAalsoactsasthesoleofftakerforelectricityfromIPPsandentersintoPPAs(backedbytheMoF).
GoSL
SierraLeoneElectricityandWaterRegulatoryCommissionAct,2011
Act • EWRC’smandateastheindustryregulatorincludesgenerationlicensing,tariffdetermination,andthedevelopmentofregulationsfortheelectricityandwatersectorsinSierraLeone.Itdevelopedandachievedtheratificationofthemini-gridregulations.248
GoSL
NationalRenewableEnergyActionPlan(NREAP),2015
Plan • NREAPsetsoutstepstoachievetherenewableenergytargetsoftheGovernmentofSierraLeone. MoE(withsupportfromECREEE)
RenewableEnergyPolicy,2016 Policy • TheRenewableEnergyPolicydefinesamongothers,targetsforrenewableenergycontributiontothegenerationmix.Italsorecommendsoff-gridgenerationasthepreferredelectrificationsolutionsforruralareaswith low demand density.249
MoE
EnergyRevolution,2016 NA • Governmentinitiative(supportedbytheFCDOandUNOPStopromotethesolarhomesystem(SHS)market. GoSL
FinanceAct2017 Act • Providesfor(amongothers)eliminationofimportdutiesforqualifyingsolarequipment,andtaxwaiversforsolarandenergy-savingequipmentthatmeettherelevantInternationalElectrotechnicalCommission(IEC)globalqualitystandards.250
GoSL
ElectricSectorReformRoadmap(2017–30),2017
Roadmap • SetsoutaroadmaptoachievethevariousenergypoliciesalreadydevelopedbytheMinistry.Itaimstoidentifythemostimportantactionsrequiredintheshort,mediumandlongtermthatwillsuccessfullydeveloptheelectricitysectorandexpandelectricitygenerationandaccessinordertosupportGoSLpolicygoals.251
MoE
Mini-GridRegulationsratified,2019 Regulations • DraftregulationswereissuedbytheEWRCin2017andratifiedin2019.Theregulationsprovideguidanceforparticipantsandintendingparticipantsinthelocalmini-gridsector.
EWRC
EPA Guidelines for Renewable Energy Technologies and Mini-Grids,2019
Guidelines • GuidelinesissuedbytheEPAin2019thatestablishsimplifiedlicensingproceduresforrenewableenergyprojectsandmini-grids,includingreducedcostsforEPAlicensesformini-gridprojects(dependingonthesizeoftheproject).252
EPA
248 AfDBGreenMini-GridMarketDevelopmentProgramme-Mini-GridMarketOpportunityAssessment:SierraLeone,2019.249 RenewableEnergyPolicyofSierraLeone,2016.250 TheFinanceAct2017,GovernmentofSierraLeone,2017.251 SierraLeoneElectricitySectorReformRoadmap,2017-2030.252 “GuidelinesforEnvironmentalandSocialImpactAssessmentsofRenewableEnergyTechnologiesandMini-Grids,”EnvironmentalProtectionAgencySierraLeone,(May2019):http://epa.gov.sl/wp-content/uploads/2019/09/
EPA-RE-and-mini-grid-guidelines_DRAFT.pdf
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Federal Government of Nigeria Institutional Landscape of the Mini-Grid Sector
KeyRole(s):PolicyFormulation,PolicyImplementation,Regulation,and Administration
InstitutionName Description
PolicyFormulation FederalMinistryofPower • PolicymakingarmoftheFederalGovernmentwiththeresponsibilityfortheprovisionofpowerin the country
FederalMinistryofEnvironment • Developsenvironmentalregulations,actsandpolicies
EnergyCommissionofNigeria • Carriesoutoverallenergysectorplanningandpolicyimplementation
FederalMinistryofFinance • GovernmentbodyresponsibleformanagingthefinancesoftheFGN;asthisMinistryhassupervisoryoversightoftheNigerianCustomsService,italsoultimatelydeterminestheimportdutypoliciesthatimpacttheoff-grid/mini-gridsector
Regulation NigerianElectricityRegulatoryCommission(NERC)
• IndependentregulatorybodyauthorizedtoregulatetheelectricpowerindustryinNigeria;developedthemini-gridregulations
Implementation NigerianElectricityManagementServicesAgency(NEMSA)
• Carriesoutthefunctionsofenforcementoftechnicalstandardsandregulations,technicalinspection,testingandcertificationofallcategoriesofelectricalinstallations,electricitymetersand instruments.
RuralElectrificationAgency(REA) • ImplementingagencyoftheFGNtaskedwithelectrificationofruralandunservedcommunities;administerstheRuralElectrificationFund(REF)withitsmandatetofundruralelectrification,anddevelopsprogrammesandsupportingframeworkssuchastheEnvironmentalandSocialManagementFramework(ESMF)fortheWorldBankNEPProgram
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Summary of Mini-Grid Policies, Laws and Regulations in Nigeria
Name Type Description OriginatingAgency
NationalElectricPowerPolicy(NEPP),2001
Policy • ThegoaloftheNEPPwastheestablishmentofanefficientelectricitymarketinNigeriathroughthetransferoftheownershipandmanagementoftheinfrastructureandassetsoftheelectricityindustrytotheprivatesector.253 It also identifiedtheprimaryobjectiveoftheNigeriaRuralElectrificationProgrammeastheexpansionofaccesstoelectricityasrapidlyascanbeaffordedinacost-effectivemanner.254TheNEPPsettheagendaforthe2005EPSRA.
FGN
NationalEnergyPolicy,2003 Policy • Definedastheblueprintforthesustainabledevelopment,supplyanduseofenergyresourceswithintheeconomy.255
• Identifiedsolarandsmallhydroashavingpotentialtopowerruralcommunitiesaswellasencouragedtheuseofoff-gridgenerationsolutionstosupplypowerinremoteorisolatedareas.ItrecommendedthecreationofanREFtofacilitateelectrificationinruralareas.
Energy Commission of Nigeria
ElectricPowerSectorReformAct2005
Act • TheActprovidesfortheformationofcompaniestotakeovertheobligationsofthedefunctNationalElectricPowerAuthoritywiththeaimofdevelopingacompetitivepowermarket.256ItestablishedtheNERC,andtheREAwithitsRuralElectrificationFund(REF).
FGN
RuralElectrificationPolicy,2005 Policy • DefinestheNigeriangovernment’spolicies,goalsandobjectivesregardingruralelectrification.ThePolicysetsenergy access targets and timelines.
FGN
PowerSectorReformRoadmap,2010
Roadmap • TheRoadmapoutlinedthegovernment’splantoacceleratethereformsmandatedundertheEPSRA2005.Itwasprimarilyon-gridfocusedandtargetedpowergenerationfromcoal,hydroandnaturalgas.
ThePresidency–FederalRepublicofNigeria:PresidentialAction Committee onPower(PACP)andPresidential Taskforce on Power
NationalPolicyonRenewableEnergyandEnergyEfficiency(NREEEP),2015
Policy • TheaimsoftheNREEEPincludethecreationofaframeworktoaddressthechallengesofinclusiveaccesstomodernandcleanenergyresources,improvedenergysecurityandclimateobjectives,andsettingtimelinesandgoalsforrenewableenergycontributiontothecountry’senergymixandtargetsforenergyefficiency.
FederalMinistryofPower
RegulationforMini-Grids,2016 Regulation • RegulationsguidinganddefiningtheminigridmarketinNigeriaanditsvariouscategories. NERC
RuralElectrificationStrategy&ImplementationPlan(RESIP),2016
Plan • Setsouttheplanforaruralelectrificationmarketthatiscentrallycoordinated[bytheREA],demanddrivenandmarket oriented.257
• TheRESIPproposesaframeworktobeimplementedbytheREAfordevelopingandfinancingruralelectrificationincludingmini-grids.Itencouragesprivateparticipationandpublic-privatepartnerships.
FederalMinistryofPower,WorksandHousing
RuralElectrificationFund(REF)–OperationalGuidelines,2017.
Guidelines • DefinestheoperationalguidelinesfortheREFpursuanttotheEPSRA2005.ItsetsoutaframeworktoawardgrantsforrenewableenergyprojectsbytheFundanddefinesthelistoftechnologieseligibleforfundingbytheREF.
REA
253 NigeriaEnergyRegulatoryCommission:https://nerc.gov.ng/index.php/home/nesi/401-history254 RuralElectrificationStrategyandImplementationPlan(RESIP),2016.255 NationalEnergyPolicy,2003.256 ElectricPowerSectorReformAct2005.257 RuralElectrificationStrategy&ImplementationPlan(RESIP),2016.
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MINI-GRID COMMUNITY ENGAGEMENT
Theobjectiveofthemini-gridcommunitysurveywas
tobetterunderstandtheperspectivesandexperience
ofeachRREPcommunity,tolearnabouttheirviews
regardingthebenefitsofmini-gridelectrificationwithin
thecontextofproductiveuseanddevelopment,andto
identify barriers that currently exist so that strategies can
bedevelopedtoovercomechallengesandapplylessons
learned going forward.
Community survey activities included focus group
258 https://twitter.com/InfracoAfrica/status/1318870360910139397
meetingswithvillagechiefsandvariousmembersof
thecommunity,combinedwithdirectobservationsof
themini-gridsiteandsurroundinghomes,businesses
and productive-use applications. The sites were
split intofourgeographical lots.OffGridPower(SL
Limited)—nowapartnershipbetweenWorldHope
InternationalandPowerGen—wasawardedtwolots,
andWinchEnergyandEnergicitywereawardedonelot
each.Atotalofninecommunitiesweresurveyedacross
sixdistrictsduringOctober2020.
No. Region District Chiefdom Community Operator RREPWorkPackage
No.ofcustomers
Productive-useactivities
1 SOUTH PUJEHUN SOWA BANDAJUMASOWA PowerGen 1 138 1
2 SOUTH PUJEHUN PEJEWA FUTAPEJEH PowerGen 1 64 0
3 SOUTH BO BUMPENAGWA BUMPEH PowerGen 1 194 4
4 SOUTH BO TIKONKO TIKONKO PowerGen 2 172 Nodata
5 EAST KONO SANDOR KAYIMA PowerGen 1 161 7
6 NORTH PORTLOKO KAFFUBULLOM CONAKRYDEE Energicity 1 201 3
7 NORTH KAMBIA MAGBEMA ROKUPR Energicity 2 Nodata Nodata
8 NORTH TONKOLILI MALALMARA MARA WinchEnergy 1 108 Nodata
9 NORTH TONKOLILI YONI MATHOIR WinchEnergy 2 Nodata Nodata
Summary of Findings:
TheWorkPackage1(WP-1)installationsofthemini-
gridswereviewedasgenerallysuccessful.Theirrole
wasclearlydefinedbyUNOPSandoverall,community
enduserswishtocontinuehavingaccesstothepower.
Localoperatorshavedevelopedstrongrelationshipswith
theircommunitiesandcustomers,whichenablethem
tooperate,repairandmaintainthesystems.Payment
collectionismanagedonpre-paidmetersandprocessed
viaamobileapp.Themainbarriersoperatorsfacerelate
tothesizingofthemini-gridthattheyinheritedandtariff
structuring,whichisregulated.
TheWorkPackage2(WP-2)installationsofthemini-grids
arebettersuitedforhigher-consumingcustomers,astheir
largersizewillprovideamorefeasibleelectrification
option.Thetariffcostremainsthemainconcernfor
theseendusers,althoughitisworthnotingthatwiththe
exceptionofthemini-gridatTikonkoinBoDistrict,which
wascommissionedbyPowerGeninOctober2020,258 all
WP-2siteswerestillunderconstructionduringthesurvey
activity(onlyWP-1siteswereinoperation).
Someof themainbenefits identifiedby surveyedcommunitiesinclude:
• Development benefits such as improvement in
healthcare (e.g., emergencyoperations that can
happenthroughthenight)andeducation(lightingfor
schoolsallowsclassestotakeplacelaterintheday).
• Jobcreationandbusinessopportunities.
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• Economicbenefitssuchassmalltraderscannowsell
colddrinks;foodpreservationnowexists.
• Costsavings,improvedhealthoutcomesandpollution
mitigation from replacementof kerosene,diesel
generatorsandbatteries,aswellas reduction in
deforestation(bioenergy).
• Socialbenefitssuchasprovidingentertainmentnights,
socialgatheringscannowhappenlater,religious
gatheringscanhappenearlier,e.g.,earlymorning
prayers.
Someof thekeychallenges identifiedbysurveyedcommunitiesinclude:
• Economicconstraintsasthemini-gridsareservingvery
low-incomecustomers,mostofwhomarereceiving
electricityaccessforthefirsttime;affordabilityoftariff
wasthemostcommonchallengeidentified.
• It was noted that the cost is considerably higher than
forgrid-connectedcustomers(e.g.,somebusinesses
indicatedthattheycouldnotaffordtousethepower
fromthemini-gridtoruntheirfreezersasitwastoo
expensive).
• Socio-cultural and financial literacy constraints
highlightedtheneedforcontinuedsensitization,
communityengagementandeffectivemessaging
onhow to utilize electricity from themini-grid
system,anunderstandingofloadcapacityusage,
what appliances can and should not be used
andappliancewattageloadsetc.(e.g.,noirons,
microwaves).
• Technical constraints such as varying weather
conditions,batteryreplacementsetc.can impact
qualityofservice(i.e.,downtimeofthesystem),which
canvaryfromafewhourstoafewdays.
• Seasonalityandcropyieldsalldirectlyimpactthe
abilityofcustomerstopaytheirbills.
• MorecapacitybuildingisneededonthetopicofPUE;
anchor loads that use daytime energy can be catalysts
forexpandingthesizeandeconomicimpactofmini
grid-systems(specificallywithWP-1)sites.
Communitydiversitysuchasdifferenthomesizesand
businessesresultsinvaryingrequirements,whichinturn
affectstheavailabilityofpowerthemini-gridcanprovide
withinitsstoragecapacity(whichcanleadtodowntime
forthemini-gridtorecharge).
KEY
No. Community
1 BANDAJUMASOWA
2 FUTAPEJEH
3 BUMPEH
4 TIKONKO
5 KAYIMA
6 CONAKRYDEE
7 ROKUPR
8 MARA
9 MATHOIR
Source:AdaptedfromMapofSierraLeone(Political),Worldometer.
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RESEARCH METHODOLOGY AND ANALYTIC FRAMEWORK
SIERRA LEONE
Activity Deliverable Researchquestions Analysis Researchmethods/sourcesofdata Preliminarylistoftopicstoaddressinquestionnaires Keyinformants/interviewees
Existing mini-grid programmes(includingtariff- forming methodologies and structures,tarifflevels,productive-useperformance,anddriversandbarriersforexpansion)
Questionnaireandintervieweelist;evaluationcriteriaoftheresults to assess existing mini-gridprogrammesinSierraLeone
Doesthecurrentenergypolicyandinstitutionalframeworksupportfurthermini-gridandoff-gridprojectexpansion?
• Aremini-gridandoff-griddevelopmentsupportedbyanationalpolicyframework?
Analysis: Analyzeoff-gridregulatoryframework.Investigatethenationalframeworkofmini-gridandoff-gridelectrification
• WorldBankRISEdatabase259• ECREEE-ROGEPSierraLeonereport260• Surveysandinterviewsofmini-gridstakeholders(developers/operators,industryexperts,donors/financiers,policymakersandregulators)tobeadministeredviateleconferenceinterviews
• Surveyofruralmini-gridcommunityendusers in the districts where mini-grids are currentlyinoperation(RREP)261 in order toassesswhetherthequalityofservicemeetsenergyneedsofthecommunities,includingforproductive-useapplications
• Consumerprotection• Duediligence• Regulatorycapacity• Regulatoryoversight• Availability/lackofappropriatedatafor
decision-making etc.• National-leveltariffsetting• Regulation/oversightofdeveloper-proposedtariffs
• Regulate rates only in the case of customerdisputes
• Otherpolicyandregulatoryissues
Public sector stakeholders:• MinistryofEnergy(MoE)• NationalPowerAuthority(NPA)• SierraLeoneElectricityandWaterRegulatoryCommission(SLEWRC)
• Electricity Generation and Transmission Company(EGTC)
• ElectricityDistributionandSupplyAuthority(EDSA)
• PublicPrivatePartnership(PPP)Unit(OfficeofthePresident)
• RenewableEnergyAssociationofSierraLeone(REASL)
• MinistryofAgriculture,ForestryandFoodSecurity
Private sector/other stakeholders:RREPmini-gridoperators(WinchEnergy,PowerGenandEnergicity)Otherinternationalmini-griddevelopersactiveinthemarketLocaloff-grid/mini-gridindustryexperts
Are the current mini-grid tariffs considered too high or at an appropriatelevel?Why?Whatkindofmeasuresaretakentoalleviatethecostissue?Whatarethebarrierstoachievinglowertariffs?Whatarethesuccessfulaspectsofthecurrentmini-gridprogrammeanditspolicymakingprocess?Whataspectscanbeimprovedfurther?
Analysis: Investigatelessonslearnedfromthecurrentprogrammeandthepastpolicymakingprocessandwhataredriversandbarriersforimprovementingeneral
• Doesthecurrentregulatoryoversightmechanismcontributetohightariffsordoesitalleviatethecostissue/lowerthecosts?
• Analysis:Investigatethecurrentregulatoryoversightmethod,itsprosandcons,andcomparetoalternatives
• Dothecurrenttariffformulaandmethodologiescontributetohightariffsordotheyalleviatethecostissue/lowerthecosts?
• Analysis:Investigatethecurrenttariff-settingmethod,itsprosandconsandcomparetoalternatives
• Interviewsof publicofficials,policymakers,and regulators
• Surveysandinterviewsofmini-gridstakeholders
• Surveyofruralmini-gridendusersinRREP communities
• Consumerprotection• Duediligence• Regulatorycapacity• Regulatoryoversight• Availability/lackofappropriatedatafordecision-making;etc.
• National-leveltariffsetting• Regulation/oversightofdeveloper-proposedtariffs
• Regulate rates only in the case of customerdisputes
• Restrictionsontarifflevels• Nationaltariffsettingmethodology(uniformnationaltariffmethod;avoided-costtariffmethod;cost-reflectivetariffmethodbyprojectcategory/class;cost-reflectivetariffmethodbyproject(cost-plusmethod)
• Capex-productcosts;capex-process/developmentcosts;capex–EPC/supplierselection;capex-installationcosts;opex;riskpremium;permittedreturn;lackofrealcostdata/information
259 https://rise.worldbank.org/country/sierra-leone260 http://www.ecreee.org/sites/default/files/ecreee_rogep_sierra_leone_final_report.pdf261 https://www.unops.org/news-and-stories/stories/access-to-energy-giving-sierra-leone-the-power-to-change
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SIERRA LEONE
Activity Deliverable Researchquestions Analysis Researchmethods/sourcesofdata Preliminarylistoftopicstoaddressinquestionnaires Keyinformants/interviewees
• Dohighcostsofmini-griddevelopmentcontributetohightariffs?Whichcomponentsofthecostsneedtobereducedandwhatarethebarriers?
• Analysis:Investigateandcomparecoststructureandcomponentcostsoftheexistingmini-gridprojectsinSierraLeoneandNigeria,andexaminepossiblecausesandcomponentsofhighcosts
• Doespaymentstructureoftariffscontributetohightariffsordoesitalleviatethecostissue/lowerthecosts?
• Analysis: Investigateifanypartsofpaymentsareexcessiveintariffs,andwhetherpaymentstructuresarealignedwithrealconsumptionpatterns
• Energy-basedpayments(kWh);demand-basedpayments(kW);flat/fixedpaymentsregardlessofconsumption;pay-as-you-go(PAYG)payments(pre-charge)
Isthemini-gridperformingwell?
• Doesthemini-griddeliversatisfactoryquantityofpower?
• Analysis: Investigatewhethertheexistingmini-gridprovidesservicestosatisfyTier2(min4hours/day,min50W,min200Wh/day)andabove
• Doesthemini-griddeliversatisfactoryqualityofpower?
• Analysis:Investigatewhethertheexistingmini-gridprovidesservicestosatisfyTier2andabove(numberofguaranteedhoursperday;durationoftheelectricity;frequencyofoutages;SAIDI;SAIFI)
• Dothemini-gridusagesfitcommunityneeds/demandsandhowproductivearethey?Whataretheirproductive-useimpacts?
• Analysis: Investigatewhetherthecurrentmini-gridprojectsfitrealneeds/demandsofusers
• Isthecurrentbiddingprocesscontributingtolowercostandbetter-qualityservicesofmini-grid?Didyouencounteranydifficultiesand/orbarriersinthebiddingprocess?Ifso,whatkinds?
• Analysis: Investigatethebenefitsandissuesofthecurrentbidding/selection(EPC/OEM/developers)process
• Arethereanyqualityassuranceschemes,policyorregulationsforthemini-griddevelopmentprocessaswellasoperationprocess(technicalstandardssuchasgridcodes,safetystandardsandmonitoringandevaluationframework)?
• Analysis: Investigateanyqualityassuranceschemes(technicalstandardssuchasgridcodes,safetystandardsandM&Eframework)thatexisttomaketheprojectstobedevelopedandoperatedtoofferTier2andaboveservicesandproductive-useimpacts
• Whatkindofcriteria/metricsareusedtochoosemini-gridprojectsites?Dotheyconsiderproductive-useandotherdemand-sidefactors?
• Analysis: Investigatebothsupply-sideanddemand-sidefactors used to choose mini-grid sites
• Surveysandinterviewsofpublicofficials(policymakersandregulators)andothermini-gridstakeholders(developers/suppliers,operators,endusersandindustryexperts)
• Technicalissues,includingqualityofequipment,projectdesignandplanning,engineering,installationandoperation
• Standardsandoversightonproductsandservices(lackof)
• Misfitbetweensupplyanddemandsintermsofbothquantityandrequiredusages
• Biddingdesignandimplementationoftheproviderselectionarelessthanoptimaldueto:lackofparticipants;lackoftechnicalstandardsandlicensing;mismatchbetweenlocalproduct/serviceproviderswithrequiredlevelsofqualifications;lackoflocalindustrycapacity,etc.
• Lackofduediligenceoverthebiddingprocess
• Riskallocationafterprojectcommissions• Lackofauditingschemes
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SIERRA LEONE
Activity Deliverable Researchquestions Analysis Researchmethods/sourcesofdata Preliminarylistoftopicstoaddressinquestionnaires Keyinformants/interviewees
Doesthecurrentpolicy/regulatoryframeworkconsiderlong-termgridintegration?
• Arethereanypolicyandregulatoryconsiderationstoaccountforwhenthegridnetworkarrives?Howaremini-gridandoff-gridprojectsintegrated?
• Analysis:Investigatewhethereconomic,technicalandsafety regulations such as tariffs and grid codes etc. consider smooth integration of mini-grid and off-grid projectsintonetworkinthefuture
• Surveysandinterviewsofmini-gridstakeholders(developers,operators,andpolicymakersandregulators)
• Regulatoryprovisionsinplacetoaddressarrivalofgrid
Whatarethedriversandbarriersofmini-griddevelopmentandutilizationtoachieveTier2andaboveaccessandcreateproductive-useimpacts?
Analysis: Investigatewhatfactorsareperceivedasdriversandbarriersfrombothsupplyanddemandsides
• Surveysandinterviewsofpublicofficials(policymakersandregulators)andothermini-gridstakeholders(developers/suppliers,operators,endusersandindustryexperts)
• Lackofquantityofpowerservices• Lowqualityofservices• Lowusability• Complexprocessofdevelopment• Complexprocessofconnection
Surveytoassesstheexisting subsidies offered tomini-gridplayersfortheirrespectiveprojectsinSierraLeone
Questionnaireandintervieweelist;evaluationcriteriaofthe results to assess the existing subsidies offered tomini-gridoperatorsfortheirrespectiveprojectsinSierraLeone
Dotheirsubsidiesalleviatehighcostsandhightariffsofmini-gridenough?
• Doanyproducersubsidiesinplacehelpreducehighcostsandhightariffimpacts?
• Analysis: Investigatewhetheranykindofproducersubsidies,andifso,whethertheyareeffectivetoalleviatehigh costs and high tariffs
• Doanyconsumersubsidiesinplacehelpreducehightariffimpacts?
• Analysis: Investigatewhetheranykindofconsumersubsidies,andifso,whethertheyareeffectivetoalleviatehigh tariffs
• Surveysandinterviewsofpublicofficials(policymakersandregulators)andothermini-gridstakeholders(developers/suppliers,operators,endusersandindustryexperts)
• Directgrantstoreducecosts(assets;technology-specific;location-specific;capacitybuilding)
• Non-grantsubsidies(taxbreaks;importdutyexemption;accelerateddepreciationofassets,softloan;andloanguarantees)
• RBF• Connection subsidy• Consumptionsubsidy• Cross-subsidies between mini-grid
customers and national grid customers• Cross-subsidies between different
segments of mini-grid customers• Tariff subsidies
Whatdotheexistingsubsidiestarget?
• Dothesubsidiestargetgenerationassets/costsordistributionassets/costsorboth?
• Analysis:Investigatewhichpartofthecostreductionthatthesubsidiestargetandevaluatewhetherthetargetsalignwithhighcostsparts
• Surveysandinterviewsofpolicymakers,regulators,mini-griddevelopers/operatorsandindustryexperts)
Aretheexistingsubsidiessustainable?
• Whatarethefundingsourcesofanyexistingsubsidies?
• Analysis: Investigatewhethertheexistingsubsidyprogrammeshavelong-termsustainability
• Arethereanysunsetclausesfortheexistingsubsidies?Ifso,whatkindofclausesareattached?
• Analysis: Investigatewhethertheexistingsubsidyprogrammeshavelong-termsustainability
• Dotheexistingsubsidiesaffect/distortthemarketandpricesignals?
• Analysis: Investigatewhethertheexistingsubsidiescanaffectmarketformation/transformationnegativelyorpositivelythroughpricingsignalmodification
• Surveysandinterviewsofpublicofficials(policymakersandregulators)andothermini-gridstakeholders(developers/suppliers,operators,endusersandindustryexperts)
116
SIERRA LEONE
Activity Deliverable Researchquestions Analysis Researchmethods/sourcesofdata Preliminarylistoftopicstoaddressinquestionnaires Keyinformants/interviewees
HavetheexistingproducerandconsumersubsidiessupportedtocreateaccesstoTier2oraboveandproductive-useimpacts?
• Whatarethedriversandbarrierstoachievethese2elements?
• Analysis: Investigatetheimpactsoftheexistingsubsidiesonproductiveusages
• Surveysandinterviewsofpublicofficials(policymakersandregulators)andothermini-gridstakeholders(developers/suppliers,operators,endusersandindustryexperts)
Concisedeskresearch,surveyandinterviewsofpractitionersregardingmini-grids with solar PVusedforagriculturalusages
Whattypesofagriculturalusagescanbepromotedbymini-gridandoff-gridwithsolarPV?
• Whichagriculturalsectorscanincreaseproductivitybymini-gridoroff-gridPVelectrification?
• Analysis: InvestigategeneralagriculturalusageexamplesinAfrica and their user context
• Cananyofthefollowingsectorsincreaseproductivitybymini-gridoroff-gridPVelectrification?Ifso,whichvaluechainactivities(cultivationandharvest,production(postharvest),processing,andmarketing)canbenefit?
• Rice• Palm oil• Cocoa• Coffee• Cassava• Groundnuts• Peppers• Vegetables• Fruits• Livestock
• Analysis: InvestigateSierraLeone’sagriculturalsectorstructureandcharacteristicsandtheirfitstomini-gridandoff-gridelectrification;investigaterealneedsanddemandsforelectrificationinSierraLeone’sagriculturalsector
• Analysis: Investigatetheexistingmini-gridcommunityforsuccessfulagriculturalproductiveusagesandissues
• Arethereanyothersectorsthatmaybenefitfrommini-gridandoff-gridelectrification?Ifso,whichvaluechainactivitiescanbesupported(cultivationandharvest,production,postharvest,processing,andmarketing)?
• Desktopresearchandliteraturereview• Surveysandinterviewsofagriculturalsectorstakeholders(mini-gridcommunityagriculturalproducers,generalcropproducers,publicofficials,industryassociationsetc.)
• PublicationssuchasWB,UN,SEforALLandotherorganizations,developmentagencies,andNGOsetc.
• Whichagriculturalusageshavebeenenhancedbymini-gridandoff-gridsolarPVprojects?
• Whichvaluechainactivitiesinwhichagriculturalsectorhavebenefittedandhow?
• Analysis: Investigatetheexistingproductiveusagesenhancedbymini-gridprojectsandtheirimpacts
• Surveysandinterviewsofagriculturalsectorstakeholders(mini-gridcommunityagriculturalproducers,generalcropproducers,SierraLeoneofficials,industryassociations)
• RREPprojectdashboards
WhatisrequiredtoadvanceagriculturalPUE?Whatarethecurrentbarriers?
• Whatarethe(minimum)technical,financialandknowledgerequirementstointroduceelectrificationintothosevaluechainsidentifiedabove?Whatarethebarriers?
• Analysis:Investigatekeyspecsneededtoadvancemini-gridandoff-gridelectrification,whatiscurrentlymissingtoimplementthemandhowtoovercomethebarriers?
• Surveysandinterviewsofagriculturalsectorstakeholders(mini-gridcommunityagriculturalproducers,generalcropproducers,SierraLeoneofficials,industryassociations)
• Desktopresearchandliteraturereview
• Lackofpowerspecs• Lackoffundingandfinancingmechanisms• Lackofpolicysupportandincentives• Lackoflocalcapacity• Lackofmeanstoaccesspotentialdemand• Lackofmarket/demand/industrysizes;lackofsupplychain,needtoenhancetheentirevaluechainnotoneorafewactivities,etc.
117
SIERRA LEONE
Activity Deliverable Researchquestions Analysis Researchmethods/sourcesofdata Preliminarylistoftopicstoaddressinquestionnaires Keyinformants/interviewees
WhatarethedriverstoadvancetheirPUEinthosepotentialsectors?
• Whataretheimportantfactorstodrivefasterintroductionofelectrificationintothosesectors/valuechainsidentifiedabove?
• Analysis: Investigatekeydriversandbarriersforelectrificationandproductiveusages
• Surveysandinterviewsofagriculturalsectorstakeholders(mini-gridcommunityagriculturalproducers,generalcropproducers,publicofficials,industryassociations)
• Desktopresearchandliteraturereview
118
NIGERIA
Activity Deliverable Researchquestions Analysis Researchmethods/sourcesofdata Preliminarylistoftopicstoaddressinquestionnaires
Keyinformants/interviewees(seeSectionIIIforcontactinformation)
Existing mini-grid programmes(includingtariff-forming methodologies and structures,tarifflevels,productive-useperformance,anddriversandbarriersforexpansion)
Questionnaireandintervieweelist;evaluationcriteriaofthe results to assess existing mini-grid programmesinNigeria
Doesthecurrentenergypolicyandinstitutionalframeworksupportfurthermini-gridandoff-gridprojectexpansion?
• Aremini-gridandoff-griddevelopmentsupportedbyanationalpolicyframework?
• Analysis: Analyzeoff-gridregulatoryframework.Investigatethenationalframeworkofmini-gridandoff-gridelectrification
• WorldBankRISEdatabase262• ECREEE-ROGEPNigeriareport263• Surveysandinterviewsofmini-gridstakeholders(developers/operators,industryexperts,donors/financiers,policymakersandregulators)tobeadministeredviateleconferenceinterviews
• Consumerprotection• Duediligence• Regulatorycapacity• Regulatoryoversight• Availability/lackofappropriatedatafordecision-making;etc.
• National-leveltariffsetting• Regulation/oversightofdeveloper-proposedtariffs
• Regulate rates only in the case of customer disputes
• Otherpolicyandregulatoryissues
Public sector stakeholders:• RuralElectrificationAgency(REA)• NigeriaElectricityRegulatoryCommission(NERC)
• EnergyCommissionofNigeria(ECN)• FederalMinistryofPower(FMP)• AdvisoryPowerTeam(APT)• FederalMinistryofEnvironment(FME)• TransmissionCompanyofNigeria(TCN)• NigeriaBulkElectricityTrader(NBET)• NationalPowerTrainingInstituteofNigeria(NAPTIN)
• StandardsOrganizationofNigeria(SON)• NigerianElectricityManagementServicesAgency(NEMSA)
• NationalEnvironmentalStandardsandRegulationsEnforcementAgency(NESREA)
Private sector/other stakeholders:• Mini-griddevelopersinNigeria(includingmembersoftheMini-GridDevelopersAssociation):• A4&TPowerSolutions• ACOBLighting• Arnergy• AjimaFarms• CREDC• DarwayCoast• GVEProjectsLtd.• GOSolarAfrica• HavenhillSynergyLtd.• NayoTropicalTechnologyLtd.• RubitecSolarLtd.• WavelengthIPS• CESEL• TrustSynergyInfrastructures
• Otherinternationalmini-griddevelopersactiveinthemarket
• Localoff-grid/mini-gridindustryexperts• NGOs/Foundationse.g.,HeinrichBoell• RenewableEnergyAssociationofNigeria(REAN)
• DistributionCompanies(DisCos)• GenerationCompanies(GenCos)
Are the current mini-grid tariffs considered too high or at an appropriatelevel?Why?Whatkindofmeasuresaretakentoalleviatethecostissue?Whatarethebarrierstoachievinglowertariffs?Whatarethesuccessfulaspectsofthecurrentmini-gridprogrammeanditspolicymakingprocess?Whataspectscanbeimprovedfurther?
Analysis: Investigatethelearningfromthecurrentprogrammeandthepastpolicymakingprocessandwhataredriversandbarriersforimprovementingeneral
• Doesthecurrentregulatoryoversightmechanismcontributetohightariffsordoesitalleviatethecostissue/lowerthecosts?
• Analysis:Investigatethecurrentregulatoryoversightmethod,itsprosandcons,andcomparetoalternatives
• Dothecurrenttariffformulaandmethodologiescontributetohightariffsordotheyalleviatethecostissue/lowerthecosts?
• Analysis:Investigatethecurrenttariffsettingmethoditspros,andconsandcomparetoalternatives
• Dohighcostsofmini-griddevelopmentcontributetohightariffs?Whichcomponentsofthecostsneedtobereducedandwhatarethebarriers?
• Analysis:Investigateandcomparecoststructureandcomponentcostsoftheexistingmini-gridprojectsinSierraLeoneandNigeria,andexaminepossiblecausesandcomponentsofhighcosts
• Doespaymentstructureoftariffscontributetohightariffsordoesitalleviatethecostissue/lowerthecosts?
• Analysis:Investigateifanypartsofpaymentsareexcessiveintariffs,andwhetherpaymentstructuresarealignedwithrealconsumptionpatterns
• Interviewsofpublicofficials,policymakersand regulators
• Surveysandinterviewsofmini-gridstakeholders
• Consumerprotection• Duediligence• Regulatorycapacity• Regulatoryoversight• Availability/lackofappropriatedatafordecision-making;etc.
• National-leveltariffsetting• Regulation/oversightofdeveloper-proposedtariffs
• Regulate rates only in the case of customer disputes
• Restrictionsontarifflevels• Nationaltariffsettingmethodology(uniformnationaltariffmethod;avoided-costtariffmethod;cost-reflectivetariffmethodbyprojectcategory/class;cost-reflectivetariffmethodbyproject(cost-plusmethod)
• Capex-productcosts;capex-process/developmentcosts;capex–EPC/supplierselection;capex-installationcosts;opex;riskpremium;permittedreturn;lackofrealcostdata/information
• Energy-basedpayments(kWh);demand-basedpayments(kW);flat/fixedpaymentsregardlessconsumption;pay-as-you-go(PAYG)payments(pre-charge)
262 https://rise.worldbank.org/country/nigeria263 http://www.ecreee.org/sites/default/files/ecreee_rogep_nigeria_final_report_.pdf
119
NIGERIA
Activity Deliverable Researchquestions Analysis Researchmethods/sourcesofdata Preliminarylistoftopicstoaddressinquestionnaires
Keyinformants/interviewees(seeSectionIIIforcontactinformation)
Isthemini-gridperformingwell?
• Doesthemini-griddeliversatisfactoryquantityofpower?
• Analysis:Investigatewhethertheexistingmini-gridprovidesservicestosatisfyTier2(min4hours/day,min50W,min200Wh/day)andabove
• Doesthemini-griddeliversatisfactoryqualityofpower?
• Analysis:Investigatewhethertheexistingmini-gridprovidesservicestosatisfyTier2andabove(numberofguaranteedhoursperday;durationoftheelectricity;frequencyofoutages;SAIDI;SAIFI)
• Dothemini-gridusagesfitcommunityneeds/demandsandhowproductivearethey?Whataretheirproductive-useimpacts?
• Analysis:Investigatewhetherthecurrentmini-gridprojectsfitrealneeds/demandsofusers
• Isthecurrentbiddingprocesscontributingtolowercostandbetter-qualityservicesofthemini-grid?Didyouencounteranydifficultiesandbarriersinthebiddingprocess?Ifso,whatkinds?
• Analysis: Investigatethebenefitsandissuesofthecurrentbidding/selection(EPC/OEM/developers)process
• Arethereanyqualityassuranceschemes,policyandregulationsformini-griddevelopmentprocessaswellasoperationprocess(technicalstandardssuchasgridcodes,safetystandardsandmonitoringandevaluationframework)?
• Analysis:Investigateanyqualityassuranceschemes(technicalstandardssuchasgridcodes,safetystandardsandmonitoringandevaluationframework)thatexisttomaketheprojectstobedevelopedandoperatedtoofferTier2andaboveservicesandproductive-useimpacts
• Whatkindofcriteria/metricsareusedtochoosemini-gridprojectsites?Dotheyconsiderproductive-useandotherdemand-sidefactors?
• Analysis:Investigatebothsupply-sideanddemand-sidefactors used to choose mini-grid sites
• Surveysandinterviewsofpublicofficials(policymakersandregulators)andothermini-gridstakeholders(developers/suppliers,operators,endusersandindustryexperts)
• Technicalissues,includingqualityofequipment,projectdesignandplanning,engineering,installation,andoperation
• Standardsandoversightonproductsandservices(lackof)
• Misfitbetweensupplyanddemandsintermsofbothquantityandrequiredusages
• Biddingdesignandimplementationoftheproviderselectionarelessthanoptimaldueto:lackofparticipants;lackoftechnicalstandardsandlicensing;mismatchbetweenlocalproduct/serviceproviderswithrequiredlevelsofqualifications;lackoflocalindustrycapacity,etc.
• Lackofduediligenceoverbiddingprocess• Riskallocationafterprojectcommissions• Lackofauditingschemes
Doesthecurrentpolicy/regulatoryframeworkconsiderlong-termgrid-integration?
• Arethereanypolicyandregulatoryconsiderationstoaccountforwhenthegridnetworkarrives?Howaremini-gridandoff-gridprojectsintegrated?
• Analysis:Investigatewhethereconomic,technicalandsafety regulations such as tariffs and grid codes etc. consider smoothintegrationofmini-gridandoff-gridprojectsintonetwork in the future
• Surveysandinterviewsofmini-gridstakeholders(developers,operators,andpolicymakersandregulators)
• Regulatoryprovisionsinplacetoaddressarrivalofgrid
Whatarethedriversandbarriersofmini-griddevelopmentandutilizationtoachieveTier2andaboveaccessandcreateproductive-useimpacts?
Analysis:Investigatewhatfactorsareperceivedasdriversandbarriersfrombothsupplyanddemandsides
• Surveysandinterviewsofpublicofficials(policymakersandregulators)andothermini-gridstakeholders(developers/suppliers,operatorsandendusers)
• Lackofquantityofpowerservices• Lowqualityofservices• Lowusability• Complexprocessofdevelopment• Complexprocessofconnection
120
Indicator/EvaluationCriteria Description ScoringMethodology Scoring
Affordability Arecurrentpolicyandregulationsaffordablefor• Policymakersandregulators(i.e.,cantheysustainahealthygovernmentbudget)?
StronglyAgreeAgreeDisagree
Samplesize(respondents)=nAssignedScores:StronglyAgree(a1)=10=MaxScoreAgree(a2)=5Disagree(a3)=0Numberofrespondentswithassignedscorea1=na1
Numberofrespondentswithassignedscorea2=na2
Numberofrespondentswithassignedscorea3=na3
Score (relative to Max Score) = ∑3
i = 1(ai × nai) (n × Max Score)
Arecurrentpolicyandregulationsaffordablefor• Suppliers(cantheysustainaprofitablebusiness)?
StronglyAgreeAgreeDisagree
Arecurrentpolicyandregulationsaffordablefor• Endusers(aretheyaffordableforenergyusers)?
StronglyAgreeAgreeDisagree
Cost Effectiveness and Efficiency Docurrentpolicyandregulationsdoenoughtoincentivize:• Policymakersandregulatorstobeconsciousaboutprojectdevelopmentcosts?
StronglyAgreeAgreeDisagree
Docurrentpolicyandregulationsdoenoughtoincentivize:• Supplierstolowertheirproject/product?
StronglyAgreeAgreeDisagree
Docurrentpolicyandregulationsdoenoughtoincentivize:• Enduserstouselessenergy?
StronglyAgreeAgreeDisagree
Equity and Fairness Docurrentpoliciesandregulationsaddressequityconcernsacross:• Spatial/geographicalareassuchasruralvs.urban?
StronglyAgreeAgreeDisagree
Docurrentpoliciesandregulationsaddressequityconcernsacross:• Socialclass(incomeclass)?
StronglyAgreeAgreeDisagree
Docurrentpoliciesandregulationsaddressequityconcernsacross:• Gender?
StronglyAgreeAgreeDisagree
Drive/Incentivize Market Development Docurrentpoliciesandregulationsdoenoughtoincentivize:• Supplierstoenterthesectorandprovidequalityprojects/products/services?
StronglyAgreeAgreeDisagree
Docurrentpoliciesandregulationsdoenoughtoincentivize:• Energyuserstoconnectorswitchtoamini-grid/off-gridproject
StronglyAgreeAgreeDisagree
121
Indicator/EvaluationCriteria Description ScoringMethodology Scoring
Level and Quality of Services • Dothecurrentpolicyandregulationsencouragehigherquantityofservice? StronglyAgreeAgreeDisagree
• Dothecurrentpolicyandregulationsencouragehigherqualityofservice? StronglyAgreeAgreeDisagree
Productive-Use Applications • Dotheseservicesalsoprovideelectricitytosupportproductive-useapplications? StronglyAgreeAgreeDisagree
• Doestheadventofsolarelectricityfromthemini-gridsystemimprovevaluechainactivities(cultivationandharvest,production,processing,storageandmarketing)oftheagriculturalsector?
StronglyAgreeAgreeDisagree
Simplicity (easiness or burden to design in terms of amount of additional workload ofstaff;amountofinformationrequired;thenumberofseparateprocessesanddecisions;standardizationetc.)
Arecurrentpolicyandregulationseasyfor• Policymakersandregulatorstodesign?
StronglyAgreeAgreeDisagree
Arecurrentpolicyandregulationseasyfor• Supplierstodesigntariffproposal(ifitisrequiredbyregulators)?
StronglyAgreeAgreeDisagree
Simplicity (easiness or burden to implement,in terms of the amount of additional workload ofstaff;amountofinformationrequired;thenumberofseparateprocessesanddecisions;standardizationetc.)
Arecurrentpolicyandregulationseasyfor• Policymakersandregulatorstoimplement,manageandsupervise?
StronglyAgreeAgreeDisagree
Arecurrentpolicyandregulationseasyfor• Supplierstoimplementandmonitorprojects/products/services?
StronglyAgreeAgreeDisagree
Technological Neutrality/Business Flexibility Docurrentpolicyandregulations:• Encouragediversebusinessmodels?
StronglyAgreeAgreeDisagree
Docurrentpolicyandregulations:• Encouragediversetechnologiesordiscouragecertaintypesoftechnologiessuchashighcapexrenewableprojects?
StronglyAgreeAgreeDisagree
Long-term Predictability Docurrentpolicyandregulationsprovidelong-termcertaintyandpredictabilityof:• Policyandregulatoryenvironmenttosupply-sideplayersandenergyusers?
StronglyAgreeAgreeDisagree
Docurrentpolicyandregulationsprovidelong-termcertaintyandpredictabilityof:• Businesstousers?
StronglyAgreeAgreeDisagree
122
Indicator/EvaluationCriteria Description ScoringMethodology Scoring
Transparency and Clarity Docurrentpolicyandregulationsprovidetransparencyandclarityof:• Policyandregulatoryenvironmenttosupply-sideplayersandenergyusers?
StronglyAgreeAgreeDisagree
Docurrentpolicyandregulationsprovidetransparencyandclarityof:• Businesstousers?
StronglyAgreeAgreeDisagree
Integration with National Grid Network Docurrentpolicyandregulationsposedifficultytointegratethemini-gridprojectswiththearrivalofthenationalelectricitynetwork,for:• Policymakersandregulatorstoneedtochangeregulations?
StronglyAgreeAgreeDisagree
Docurrentpolicyandregulationsposedifficultytointegratethemini-gridprojectswiththearrivalofthenationalelectricitynetwork,for:• Supplierstoneedtochangetariffcharges,billingandmeteringmechanism(s)?
StronglyAgreeAgreeDisagree
Docurrentpolicyandregulationsposedifficultytointegratethemini-gridprojectswiththearrivalofthenationalelectricitynetwork,for:• End-users’needtoacceptchanges/increaseoftariffs?
StronglyAgreeAgreeDisagree
Gender Considerations Genderinclusiveness:• Docurrentpoliciesandregulationsspecificallyaddressgendermainstreaming?
StronglyAgreeAgreeDisagree
Genderinclusiveness:• Docurrentpoliciesandregulationsspecificallyaddressgenderinclusion?
StronglyAgreeAgreeDisagree
Standards and Quality Standardsandsafety:• Docurrentpoliciesandregulationsspecificallyaddressdisposalofsolarsystemcomponents?
StronglyAgreeAgreeDisagree
Standardsandsafety:• Docurrentpoliciesandregulationsspecificallyaddresssafetystandardsformini-grids(e.g.,overcurrentprotection,systemcontroletc.)?
StronglyAgreeAgreeDisagree
123
STAKEHOLDER CONTACT LIST
Belowisalistofallofthekeystakeholdersthatthereport’steamconsultedwithduringthecourseoftheassignmentinSierraLeoneandNigeria.
SIERRA LEONEOrganization NameofContact Position/Title
Ministry of EnergyRobin Mansaray Head,RenewableEnergyandEnergyEfficiency
NgoziBeckley-Lines Project Manager
ElectricityandWaterRegulatoryCommission(EWRC)
Brima Bah Head,EconomicRegulation
KelciseSesay Head,ElectricityRegulation
UnitedNationsOfficeforProjectServices(UNOPS)
JasminRoberts TeamLeader,TechnicalAssistanceandCapacityBuilding
EuniceDahn Programme Analyst
EzekielKamangulu TechnicalTeamLeader
LeslieMhara SeniorProjectManager,RREP
Ariful Islam MonitoringandEvaluationSpecialist
NicholasM.Gardner SierraLeoneCountryManager
WinchEnergy PierreJohnson CountryManager,SierraLeone
PowerGenRenewableEnergy/Off-GridPower(OGP)
Michael Corbishley NewMarketImplementation,SierraLeone
FemiCoker CountryManager,SierraLeone
EnergicityJoePhilip VPofEngineeringandOperations
SamuelKamanda ProjectManager,EnergicitySL
WesternAfricaOff-Grid-REASL SamuelZoker CEO
FLSGroup-REASL LeahFatmattaSuma DirectorofOperations
PujehunDistrictChief PCLahaiAKSowa2 ParamountChief,BandajumaSowa
PujehumDistrictChief PCSulimanBKoroma ParamountChief,FutaPejuh
BoDistrictChief AugustineL.Moiwo Chief,Tikonko
BoDistrictChief PCJosephTommyKposawa ParamountChief,Bumpeh
KambiaDistrictChief Pa.AlimamyKamara ChiefdomSpeaker,Rokupr
PortLokoDistrictChief PaAdikalieSorieSuma TownChief,ConakryDee
TonkoliliDistrictChief PaAlmamyJamesFulah SectionChief,Mara
TonkoliliDistrictChief AlimamiKoroma TownChief,Mathoir
KonoDistrictChief AmaduSokoyama SectionChief,SandorKayima
NIGERIAOrganization NameofContact Position/Title
RuralElectrificationAgency(REA)AhmadSalihijo ManagingDirector
SuleimanBabamanu NEPProjectLeader
NigeriaElectricityRegulatoryCommission(NERC) Dr.AbdusallamYusuf Assistant General Manager
GVEProjects IfeanyiB.Orajaka ManagingDirector
RubitecSolar BoladeSoremekun CEO
A4&TIntegrated Ayodeji Ademilua CEO
124
KEY DEFINITIONS
BUILD-OWN-OPERATE (BOO): Apublic-privatepartnership(PPP)agreementinwhichthegovernmentgrantstheright
toaprivatecompanytodesign,build,operateandmaintain
aproject.Theprivatecompanyretainsownershipofthe
projectandisnotrequiredtotransfertheprojectbackto
thegovernment.Althoughthegovernmenttypicallydoes
notprovidedirectfundingfortheprojectunderthismodel,
itmayofferotherfinancialincentivestotheprivatecompany
(e.g.,taxexemptions,subsidiesetc.).
BUILD-OPERATE-TRANSFER (BOT): A PPP agreement
inwhichthegovernmentgrantstherighttoaprivate
companytodesign,build,operateandmaintainaproject
foragivennumberofyears,afterwhichtheprojectis
transferredbacktothegovernment.Inthecontextof
mini-gridprojectdevelopment,undertheBOTmodel,
themini-gridoperatorobtainsrevenueseitherthrougha
feechargedtothegovernment/utilityorthroughtariffs
chargedtocustomersdependingonwhichbusiness/
ownershipmodelisapplied(seeAnnex 1).
CONCESSION: A concession agreement is a contract
thatistypicallyawardedtoaprivatecompanythrough
acompetitivebiddingprocessthatgrantsthecompany
rightstofinance,design,build,operateandmaintain
aprojectwithinagovernment’s jurisdiction, subject
toparticularterms.Concessioncontractsareusually
focusedonoutputs (i.e., thedeliveryofaservice in
accordancewithperformancestandards)andcoveran
entireinfrastructuresystem,inwhichtheconcessionaire
maytakeoverexistingassetsaswellasbuildandoperate
newassets.Theconcessionairewillpayaconcessionfeeto
thegovernment,whichwillusuallybering-fencedandput
towardsassetreplacementandexpansion.Inthecontextof
mini-gridprojectdevelopment,thegovernment(regulator)
delineatestheserviceareatobecoveredbyamini-grid
264 WorldBankPublicPrivatePartnershipLegalResourceCenter:https://ppp.worldbank.org/public-private-partnership/agreements/concessions-bots-dbos#BOT_Projects;and“PracticalGuidetotheRegulatoryTreatmentofMini-Grids,”NationalAssociationofRegulatoryUtilityCommissioners(NARUC),UnitedStatesAgencyforInternationalDevelopment(USAID),2017:https://pubs.naruc.org/pub/E1A6363A-A51D-0046-C341-DADE9EBAA6E3
license—theconcession—andgrantsthelicensee
exclusiverightstodevelop,operateandmaintainassets
forthegeneration,distributionandretailsaleofelectricity
toendusersinthedesignatedserviceareaforagiven
numberofyears(usuallyabout20years,orlongenough
tofullyamortizeallassetsunderthespecifiedtariffregime).
Theconcessionusuallycomeswithfavourableterms,such
asfinancialincentives,preferentialtariffarrangements,
or a guarantee that no other entities will be allowed to
operatemini-gridsinthesamearea.Regulatorscanalso
issuecompetitivebidsforconcessionschemes,whichallow
developerstobidforlargerand/ormultipleserviceareas
andtoaggregatemini-gridprojects.Suchflexibilitycan
helpdevelopersreducecostsandimproveprofitability
byincreasingefficiencyinanumberofareas,including
planning,financing,administration,equipmentsupply,
andoperationandmaintenance(O&M).Assetownership
typicallyrestswiththegovernment,althoughthisvaries
dependingonwhichbusiness/ownershipmodelisapplied
(seeAnnex 1).Attheendoftheconcessionperiod,allrightsinrespecttoprojectassetstypicallyreverttothe
government;alternatively,developersmayhavetheoption
forrenewaloftheconcessionattheregulator’sdiscretion.264
COST-REFLECTIVE TARIFF: Atariffthatreflectsthefullcostofprovidingelectricitytocustomers,includingthe
installation,maintenanceandoperationofamini-grid.
Cost-reflectivetariffsenableoperatorstorecovertheirfull
costsandearnareasonablereturnontheirinvestments.
Cost-reflectivetariffscanalsobesupportedwithsubsidies
(e.g.,intheformofaconnectionsubsidyforendusers,a
capitalsubsidyformini-gridoperators,oracross-subsidy
scheme).ThistopicisexaminedinSection IIIofthisreport.
DESIGN-BUILD-OPERATE (DBO): A PPP agreement in
whichthegovernmentgrantstherighttoaprivatecompany
125
todesign,build,operateandmaintainaproject–withthe
governmentretaininglegalownershipoftheassets.DBO
projectsdifferfromconcessionagreementsinthattheydo
notrequiretheprivatecompanytofinancetheprojectorto
bearitscommercialrisk.Inthecontextofmini-gridproject
development,theDBOmodelissimilartotheBOTmodel,
withthekeydifferencebeingthatthegovernmentfinances
theinitialconstructionofthemini-grid,thussignificantly
reducingriskfortheprivatedeveloper.Thedocumentation
foraDBOisalsosimplerthanaBOToraconcession
agreement,essentiallycomprisingaturnkeyconstruction
contractplusanoperatingcontract,withoutanyfinancing
documentsrequired.265
265 WorldBankPublicPrivatePartnershipLegalResourceCenter.266 “Multi-TierFrameworkforMeasuringEnergyAccess,”WorldBankESMAP:https://www.esmap.org/node/55526267 Cleary,K.andPalmer,K.,“Energy-as-a-Service:ABusinessModelforExpandingDeploymentofLow-CarbonTechnologies,”
ResourcesfortheFuture,(December18,2019):https://www.rff.org/publications/issue-briefs/energy-service-business-model-expanding-deployment-low-carbon-technologies/
ELECTRICITY ACCESS: Thereisnouniversaldefinitionofelectricityaccess.TheMulti-TierFramework(MTF)
developedby theWorldBank is used tomeasure
electricityaccessalongacontinuumofservicelevels
(tiers), rather thanasahouseholdconnectiontoan
electricitygrid.Asillustratedinthefigurebelow,theMTF
categorizesaccessaccordingtoaseriesofindicators,
including capacity, availability/duration of supply,
reliability,quality,affordability,legalityandhealth/safety.266
ThefocusofthisstudyisonTier2access(andabove)–
definedasaminimumoffourhoursofelectricity/day,
50Wand200Wh/day.
Source:WorldBankEnergySectorManagementAssistanceProgram(ESMAP).
ENERGY-AS-A-SERVICE (EaaS):EaaSisabusinessmodelwherebycustomerspayforanenergyservicewithout
havingtomakeanyup-frontcapitalinvestment.EaaS
modelsusuallytaketheformofasubscriptionforelectrical
devicesownedbyaservicecompanyormanagementof
energyusagetodeliverthedesiredenergyservice.267
LEVELIZED COST OF ELECTRICITY (LCOE): TheLCOEcombinesamini-grid’scapitalandoperatingcostsinto
asinglecostperunitofenergy(typicallyexpressedin
USD/kWh).LCOEprovidesavaluableandappropriate
benchmarkforassessingthecostofmini-gridelectricity,as
itconsidersinitialcosts(suchasequipmentandinstallation
126
costs),operationscosts(suchasstaffandfuelcosts),and
equipmentreplacementoverthelifetimeofthemini-grid.
TheLCOEisequivalenttotheminimumaveragetariffat
whichelectricitymustbesoldtocoverprojectcosts.268
MINI-GRID: Amini-grid (ormicro-grid) is a powergenerationsystemthatisabletosupplyasmallcommunity
with electricity through a distribution network and
typicallyincludesanenergystoragedevice(battery),
powerconversionequipment(inverter)andcanoperate
in conjunction with a diesel generator. Mini-grids can
bepoweredbyrenewableenergysources(solar,wind,
hydropower,bioenergyetc.),dieselfuel,orsomehybrid
ofthesetechnologies.Bymaximizingtheuseofrenewable
energysources,mini-gridscanreduceenergycostsand
improvethereliabilityofenergyaccess inremoteor
isolatedareas.Mini-gridsofferanalternativetocostlygrid
extensionsandareoftenthecheapestelectrificationoption
fordenselypopulatedareasnotnearthegrid.Mini-grids
canbedesignedtodeliverdifferentlevelsofserviceand
can be isolated/stand-alonesystemsorinterconnected
with the main grid. The International Energy Agency
estimatesthatmini-gridscanprovideelectricityaccessto
approximatelyone-thirdofthepopulationinSub-Saharan
Africa currently without electricity through 2030.269
268 “Mini-GridsforHalfaBillionPeople:MarketOutlookandHandbookforDecisionMakers,”WorldBankESMAP,(June2019):https://openknowledge.worldbank.org/bitstream/handle/10986/31926/Mini-Grids-for-Half-a-Billion-People-Market-Outlook-and-Handbook-for-Decision-Makers-Executive-Summary.pdf?sequence=1&isAllowed=y
269 TrackingSDG7:TheEnergyProgressReport2020:https://www.irena.org/publications/2020/May/Tracking-SDG7-The-Energy-Progress-Report-2020
270 Mayer-Tasch,L.,“PromotingProductiveUseofEnergyintheFrameworkofEnergyAccessProgrammes,”GIZ,(4December2013):https://sustainabledevelopment.un.org/content/documents/4738mayer.pdf
271 “ProductiveUseofEnergyApplicationsinOff-GridEnergySystems:Workshop,”GreenMini-GridFacilityKenya,InnovationEnergieDéveloppement,AFDandUKAID,(2July2019):https://www.gmgfacilitykenya.org/index.php/gmgreources
PRODUCTIVE USE: Productive-use energy (PUE)canbroadlybedefinedastheutilizationofenergyin
agricultural, commercial and industrial applications
toproducegoodsorprovideservices.Inanoff-grid
community,energycanbeusedeitherforconsumption
(by households or for community purposes) or for
productiveuses.PUEhasthepotentialtoincreasethe
impactofelectrificationbyenhancingproductivityand
improvingincomegenerationforruralcommunities.In
thecontextofmini-gridelectrification,PUEstimulates
electricity demand and leads to higher electricity
consumption,whichincreasestheviabilityofmini-grids
byhelpingthemoperatemoreefficiently,costeffectively
andsustainably–especiallywherehigherconsumption
hasnomajoreffectoninvestmentcosts.270PUEalso
increases local income generation by allowing mini-grid
communitiestoproducevalue-addedproducts,preserve
goodsfromspoilageandincreasecropyields,among
otherbenefits.271Theprimaryfocusofthisreportison
agricultural PUE,giventhatamajorityofthepopulationinSierraLeoneisengagedintheagriculturalsector.Mini-
gridscanpowerruralagriculturalproductivityandcreate
newbusinessesorexpandexistingoneslinkedtothe
agriculturalvaluechain.Thistopicisexaminedindetail
in Section IV ofthisreport.
127
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131
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