Improving cattle profitability in mixed crop-livestock systems in south central coastal Vietnam using an integrated modelling approach Parsons D, McDonald C, NX Ba, DT Tuan, Lisson S, Corfield J, LD Phung, NH Quan, NH Van, LD Ngoan, Lane P
May 24, 2015
Improving cattle profitability in mixed crop-livestock systems in south central coastal Vietnam using an integrated modelling approach
Parsons D, McDonald C, NX Ba, DT Tuan, Lisson S, Corfield J, LD Phung, NH Quan, NH Van, LD Ngoan,
Lane P
TIAR – research • development • extension • education • training
Q. Can we use modelling tools to design improved farming systems for smallholder beef producers in Vietnam?
TIAR – research • development • extension • education • training
“Better Integration of Beef Cattle Production with Crop Production Systems in South-Central Coastal Vietnam”
•4-year ACIAR funded project•Commenced in 2009
UTAS/TIARCSIROHue UniversityResearch and Development Centre for Animal Husbandry
TIAR – research • development • extension • education • training
Background•Farming systems are based on livestock, subsistence rice crops, and cash crops (e.g. cassava, peanuts, and cashews) •Increasing demand for beef in the major urban centres and consequent high beef prices
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Constraintslow fertility sandy soilshigh temperatures, long dry season, flooding limited quantity and quality of feedspoor livestock production
long calving intervals high calf mortality rateslow growth rateslow cattle productivity and efficiency
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Objective
Use a farming systems research approach to explore the opportunities and constraints to increasing the profitability of smallholders in south central coastal Vietnam.
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Defining the Farming System
•Detailed household surveys (~60 households/commune)•On-farm biophysical monitoring (~10 households/commune)
cattle were weighed regularlyinventories of local feedstuffsTrialled potential suitable forage varieties
•Workshops with farmers and other stakeholders (~20 people/ commune)•Interviews with leaders, officials•Focus group discussions (~5 people/commune).
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Seasonal farming calendar for Cat Trinh Commune, Binh Dinh Province, Vietnam
J F M A M J J A S O N D
Rainfall Drizzling rain Dry Season Very high rainfall Rain
Main crops
Rice Winter – Spring rice
crop Summer-Autumn rice
crop Third rice crop
Cassava Growing season
Peanut Winter - Spring crop Summer - Autumn crop
Cashew Harvesting Planting Harvesting
Cattle activities
Breeding Calving Mating
Grazing Grazing Less grazing More grazing
Rice Straw use More in ration Less in ration
Cultivated grass use
Cut and carry grass
Peanut vine use
Body condition Low High Low
Prices High
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The Integrated Analysis Tool (IAT)
•IAT was used to simulate crop, forages and livestock activities within local farming systems and assess their economic and social feasibility. •‘Best-bet’ options were chosen based on analysing the system and experience with application of practices that have been successful in other similar situations.
Livestock yield
Forage yield Crop, forage yield
OutputsCattle, crop,
forage, profit, labour
InputsClimate
SoilManagement
PriceCosts
LabourMachinery
Feasible / most profitable strategy
Herd structure & management
Integrated Analysis Tool
Livestock model Economic
model
APSIM(Crop/forage model)
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Baseline
•Farmers were making sufficient income to cover their living costs•Forage deficit of around 1600kg •3 years to get animals to a marketable size.
Scenario Cut & carry kg/day
Animals sold over 10 years
Cattle sale weight (kg)
Fodder surplus (kg/month)
Gross Margin (M VND/year)
Final cash balance (M VND)
Baseline: 0.2 ha rice (3 crops); 0.1 ha cassava on upland; 0.2 ha peanut on upland; 1 cow; fed cut & carry of 20 kg/day plus supplements; 90 % retention of rice and peanut straw.
Baseline 20 5-6 200 -1600 10 48
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Scenario 1 - Elephant grass
•Improved the feed supply to animals, increased the animal sale weight, and eliminated the forage deficit.
Scenario Cut & carry kg/day
Animals sold over 10 years
Cattle sale weight (kg)
Fodder surplus (kg/month)
Gross Margin (M VND/year)
Final cash balance (M VND)
Baseline 20 5-6 200 -1600 10 48
Scenario 1 Grow 0.1ha grass on upland, plus 0.1ha in backyard; increase cut & carry to 25kg/day
25 5-6 225 0 10 51
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Scenario 2 – tree legumes
•Improved forage quality and increased calving rate and liveweight gain, as well as providing a forage surplus.
Scenario Cut & carry kg/day
Animals sold over 10 years
Cattle sale weight (kg)
Fodder surplus (kg/month)
Gross Margin (M VND/year)
Final cash balance (M VND)
Baseline 20 5-6 200 -1600 10 48
Scenario 2 As above, and grow 100m of tree legume
25 7-8 300 4000 10-15 79
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Scenario 3 – improved husbandry
•Introduction of controlled mating (annual calving) and early weaning of calves increased cattle sales to 9 over the 10-year period (Scenario 4).
Scenario Cut & carry kg/day
Animals sold over 10 years
Cattle sale weight (kg)
Fodder surplus (kg/month)
Gross Margin (M VND/year)
Final cash balance (M VND)
Baseline 20 5-6 200 -1600 10 48
Scenario 3 As above with seasonal mating and early weaning
25 8-9 350 3500 10-20 95
•increased animals sales, sale weight
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Scenario 4 - extra cow
•increased animals sales and cash balance
Scenario Cut & carry kg/day
Animals sold over 10 years
Cattle sale weight (kg)
Fodder surplus (kg/month)
Gross Margin (M VND/year)
Final cash balance (M VND)
Baseline 20 5-6 200 -1600 10 48
Scenario 4 As above, increase number of cows to 2, cut & carry to 35kg
35 14-15 300 -1500 15-20 154
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Implementing ‘Best-bet’ options
•Using a farming systems approach we identified numerous possible options to improve livestock production and household welfare. •The simulation results suggest that the following management practices can greatly improve the profitability of a household: • improved forages• introduction of tree legumes• improved cattle management• herd size
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Results so far
These options are currently being tested in collaboration with 15 farmers in each study commune.
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Thanks!
Particularly to the farmers