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    Impacts of an Early Education Intervention on Students Learning Achievement:

    Evidence from the Philippines1

    Futoshi Yamauchi2

    Yanyan Liu3

    International Food Policy Research Institute

    Washington, D.C.

    August 2011

    1Acknowledgement next page2 International Food Policy Research Institute, 2033 K Street, NW, Washington D.C.; email:[email protected] International Food Policy Research Institute, 2033 K Street, NW, Washington D.C.; email:[email protected]

    mailto:[email protected]:[email protected]:[email protected]:[email protected]:[email protected]:[email protected]:[email protected]
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    Acknowledgments

    We would like to thank seminar participants at the Philippine Department of Education and the University of

    the Philippines at Los Banos for their useful comments, and the Japan International Cooperation Agency for

    financial support. We are most grateful to Yolanda Quijano for generous support and guidance from the onset

    of this project, and the Bureau of Elementary Education and various divisions within the department for

    collaborations throughout this project, including providing us with various databases for this study. Special

    thanks are offered to Juliet Abunyawan and Felisberta Sanchez, who visited former Third Elementary

    Education Project (TEEP)division offices to collect TEEP investment data in addition to reorganizing the

    Division Education Development Plan database, and Ishidra Abunggol at the Research and Statistics Division,

    who provided technical guidance to the first author. We thank Surajit Baruah for his excellent research

    assistance in managing the Basic Education Information System database. The TEEP student tracking survey

    conducted in eight provinces and the cities Manila, Cebu, and Baguio also offered enormous opportunities for

    the authors to extensively visit TEEP and non-TEEP schools and communities, which helped us correctly do

    our analysis in this paper. Any remaining errors are ours.

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    Abstract

    This paper examines the impact of a large supply-side education intervention in the

    Philippines, the Third Elementary Education Project, on students national achievement

    test scores. We find that the program significantly increased student test scores at grades 4

    to 6. The estimate indicates that the six-year exposure to the program increases test scores

    by about 15 score points. Interestingly, the mathematics score is more responsive to this

    education reform than other subjects. We also find that textbooks, instructional training of

    teachers, and new classroom constructions particularly contributed to these outcomes. The

    empirical results also imply that early-stage investments improve student performance at

    later stages in the elementary school cycle, which suggests that social returns to such an

    investment are greater than what the current study demonstrates.

    Keywords: School quality, Policy intervention, Elementary schools, Human capital

    formation, Philippines

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    1. Introduction

    Early-stage investments are increasingly recognized as a critical input in human capital

    production. These investments in the formation of human capital have dynamic impacts on

    outcomes at subsequent stages. Recent literature demonstrates that prenatal and early

    childhood nutrition status significantly determines a childs readiness for schooling and

    educational and labor market outcomes (Alderman et al. 2001; Alterman, Hoddinott, and

    Kinsey, 2006; Maluccio et al. 2009; Yamauchi 2008). The dynamic path of human capital

    formation depends on early-stage investments essentially due to the cumulative nature of

    its formation (Cunha et al. 2006).

    School education is not an exception. For instance, children cannot perform well at higher

    grades without sufficient acquisition of knowledge at lower grades. The high rates often

    observed of repeating early grades in elementary school show that many children face

    difficulty in successfully starting schooling, indirectly proving the importance of initial-

    stage investments in determining higher grade performance (Behrman and Deolalikar,

    1991). Similarly, successful completion at the elementary school stage is a significant factor

    in student performance at the secondary school stage.

    This paper assesses the impact of a large-scale intervention to elementary schools, the

    Third Elementary Education Project (TEEP), on students learning performance in the

    Philippines. The project was implemented by the Philippine Department of Education from

    2000 to 2006 with financial assistance from the Japan Bank for International Cooperation

    (JBIC) and the World Bank. The unique nature of TEEP was in the combination of physical

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    and soft components and institutional reform. Besides investing in physical buildings and

    textbooks, TEEP provided training to teachers and principals and introduced school-based

    management by partnering school with community. Our study estimates the total impacts

    of these investments and reforms on students learning performance, measured by a

    change in student test scores during the elementary school cycle, though we expect that

    such an intervention has longer term effects beyond this stage, changing their activities in

    labor markets.4

    Methodologically, we combine double differences with propensity score matching. We

    compare the change in test scores before and after the intervention in TEEP-treated

    schools with the change in nontreated schools. Propensity score matching is used to reduce

    the pre-intervention differences between the treated and nontreated schools. We find that

    a two-year exposure to the TEEP intervention significantly increased test scores in grade 4.

    Our estimates show that test scores increased by 4 to 5 score points (out of 100) from

    grades 4 to 6, which amounts to an increase of about 1215 score points if students are

    exposed to the intervention for six years of elementary school education (grades 1 to 6).

    We also examine the effects of individual components of TEEP and find that school building

    constructions and renovations, instructional training of teachers, and additional textbook

    provision significantly increased student test scores. Interestingly, investments in

    textbooks for earlier grades have large positive effects on student performance at higher

    grades.

    4We collect individual and household data from 3,500 students in four TEEP and four non-TEEP divisions to

    study long-term impacts of TEEP. This component includes tracking the sample students who migrated out oftheir original communities.

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    The paper is organized as follows: The next section describes the program. Sections 3 and 4

    discuss data used in our analysis and our estimation method, respectively. Section 5

    discloses the average treatment effects. The empirical results are summarized in Section 6.

    Section 7 concludes.

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    2. Program Background

    The Third Elementary Education Project (TEEP) was implemented from 2000 to 2006 by

    the Philippine Department of Education in all public primary and elementary schools5 in

    the 23 provinces6 identified as the most socially depressed in the Social Reform Agenda.7

    The total project cost was US$173.91 million ($91.07 million from JBIC and $82.84 million

    from World Bank). The unique feature of TEEP is a combination of investments in school

    facility and education materials and school governance reform. Not only were school

    facilities and textbook supply improved, but the decisionmaking process was also

    decentralized to the school and community levels. TEEP introduced a package of

    investments to schools in the selected 23 provinces. Specifically, the package of

    investments included (1) school building construction and renovation, (2) textbooks, (3)

    teacher training, (4) school-based management, and (5) other facility and equipment

    support.

    The core of the program is school-based management, through which schools are given an

    incentive to manage proactively and more independently of the government. Schools were

    5Primary schools cover grades 1 to 4, while elementary schools cover grades 1 to 6.

    6The program covered both primary (grades 14) and elementary (grades 16) schools. This paper analyzes the

    impacts on only elementary schools. However, converting primary schools to elementary schools by extending

    enrollment up to grade 6 was also an important part of the TEEP program. Students who complete primary schools

    are likely to attend elementary schools in grades 5 and 6, which changes the student body of those schools betweengrades 14 and grades 5 and 6.7The Ramos administration, along with their medium term development plan, called Philippines 2000,

    identified reforms as the key to bridging social gaps and alleviating poverty. The objective of enhancingdevelopment through social reforms led to the formulation of the blueprint for social development in thePhilippines, the Social Reform Agenda (SRA), marked as the first instance of social reforms in the history ofthe Philippines (Ramos 1995). As a result of the initial success of the SRA, the Congress of the Philippines in1998 passed Republic Act 8425, widely known as the Social Reform and Poverty Alleviation Act (Republic ofthe Philippines, Congress, 1998). The law institutionalized the poverty alleviation program and a host ofgrassroots development strategies.

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    partnered with communities and parents to decide key issues such as improvement plan

    and school finance. Teachers were also trained systematically to improve teaching skills.

    Information management is being improved so that schools are responsible for

    systematically organizing information on enrollment, learning achievements, finance, and

    so forth and reporting it to the division office. Schools are required to set improvement

    plans every year and compare them with actual achievement. This dynamic process is

    monitored by the division-level education department. School finance is also being

    decentralized to some extent to relax the school budget constraints because Philippine

    public schools are not allowed to charge school fees. TEEP schools are free to raise their

    own funds from communities, parents, and others, though resources are admittedly limited

    in many poor communities. These reforms in public schools are expected to improve

    education quality, which would then in turn increase returns to schooling in labor markets

    (see Yamauchi 2005, on returns to schooling).

    The selection of TEEP provinces was purposive because it intended to cover the most depressed

    provinces identified in the Social Reform Agenda. TEEP allocation is rather different in the

    Philippines three macroregions. As shown in Figure 2.1, in the northern macroregion of Luzon,

    TEEP was concentrated in the Cordillera Administrative Region, a mountainous region in the

    center of northern Luzon. In the central macroregion of Visayas, TEEP divisions were relatively

    evenly distributed. In the southern Mindanao macroregion, TEEP divisions were clustered,

    though not as clustered as in northern Luzon.

    Figure 2.1 to be inserted

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    TEEP was initially designed to follow a phase-in plan with three batches at the province

    level. However, the plan was altered in practice due to variations in preparedness across

    divisions. Because understanding the implementation process of TEEP is important in

    choosing the appropriate strategy to identify the TEEP impacts, we collected school-level

    data on program implementation time and investment amounts of different components.

    The data confirm that actual implementation did not follow the batch plan and suggest that

    the first and second batches were implemented almost simultaneously.8 We will describe

    TEEP implementation in more detail in the data section.

    8Khattri, Ling, and Jha (2010) used the lag between the first and second batches to identify the effect of

    school-based management on student test scores. Their analysis also includes TEEP investments such as newconstructions as exogenous controlling variables. Their identification strategy is questionable given that, inreality, the initial phase plan was changed due to variations in preparedness across divisions.

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    3. Data

    This section describes the data used in our analysis. We combine the official test and school

    databases and the investment data that we collected in the (TEEP) divisions. For test scores

    and school conditions at the start of the project, we use the National Achievement Test

    (NAT) score data and the Basic Education Information System (BEIS) data, respectively.

    The NAT data provide average test scores for grade 4 students in school year (SY) 2002/03,

    grade 5 in SY 2003/04, and grade 6 in SY 2004/05 for each school. We note that grade 4 in

    SY 2002/03, grade 5 in SY 2003/04, and grade 6 in SY 2004/05 constitute panel data that

    tracked the same cohort in each school.

    Table 3.1 to be inserted

    Table 3.1 shows the mean and standard deviation of mathematics and overall scores of the

    cohort in SY 2002/03 and SY 2004/05 for TEEP and non-TEEP areas, separately. TEEP

    schools have higher average scores than non-TEEP schools in both years.

    The BEIS data provide detailed information on student enrollment and achievements and

    teachers since SY 2002/03. The data normally disaggregate the information by grade, age,

    and gender.9

    9 BEIS data needed intensive programming to transform for analysis. The data were originally in MicrosoftExcel. The computer program needed about 10 hours to reorganize school-level data in different divisionsand regions for one school year.

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    We obtain income data on municipalities (or school district) from the 2000 Census. Local

    income level is an important factor that determines school and family environments.

    Controlling local income levels is crucial because competition between public and private

    schools matters in the selection of students in the Philippine context. In high-income

    municipalities (school districts), students from well-off families and with high test scores

    are likely to be accepted into private schools. Therefore, we expect differences in the ability

    distribution in public schools between high- and low-income municipalities. If school

    quality and student ability are complementary, the effect of TEEP on NAT change is

    expected to be different between high- and low-income districts.

    We assigned an income category to each school district based on the 2000 Census. The

    census defined income category (ranking from 1, highest, to 6, lowest) for each

    municipality.10 Note that some municipalities are split into a few school districts. In cities,

    we ranked school districts as 1 based on the income threshold used for municipalities.

    TEEP was implemented not randomly but in the divisions identified as socially most

    depressed in the presidential Social Reform Agenda. Figure 3.1 shows the distribution of

    school districts by income category in TEEP and non-TEEP groups. School districts are

    concentrated in income categories 1, 4, and 5that is, the highest income and the two

    lowest income rankingsfor both TEEP and non-TEEP. Though we observe that more

    10 The income classification of municipalities (municipality income) used in this paper is based on Republic of

    the Philippines, Department of Finance (2001), Department Order No. 32-01 (effective November 20, 2001)

    and Census 2000. The income categories for 1,435 municipalities are defined as follows: 1: Philippine peso

    (PHP) 35 million (M) or more (number of municipalities: 130); 2: PHP 27M or more but less than PHP 35M

    (140); 3: PHP 21M or more but less than PHP 27M (204); 4: PHP 13M or more but less than PHP 21M (543);

    5: PHP 7M or more but less than PHP 13M (401); 6: less than PHP 7M (17).

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    school districts are in income category 4 (and fewer in 1) in the TEEP group than in the

    non-TEEP group, the difference does not look significant. Further, Figure 3.2 shows the

    distribution of schools in the TEEP and non-TEEP groups. Our basic observation remains

    valid here. Therefore, it is likely that we can find (and compare) school districts that share

    similar socioeconomic conditions in both TEEP and non-TEEP divisions.

    Figures 3.1 and 3.2 to be inserted

    For TEEP implementation information, we have the Division Education Development Plan

    data, which was part of the TEEP completion reports. This dataset has aggregated TEEP

    inputs during SY 2000/01 to SY 2004/05. However, it does not identify implementation

    timing and inputs of different components of TEEP. Furthermore, the completeness and

    quality of the data substantially vary across divisions. To overcome this gap in the data, we

    visited 23 TEEP division offices to find the raw data on TEEP investments. The raw data we

    collected reveal details of different TEEP investments: textbooks, training, school-based

    management, school building, school innovation and improvement fund,

    equipment/furniture, and supplementary instructional materials. For training, we

    identified the starting date of teacher training and calculated the total number of man-

    hours spent in training during SY 2000/01 to SY 2004/05 by different categories. For

    textbooks, we identified investment amounts (quantity and cost by grade and subject) in

    each school year. Similarly, we sorted school building projects by completion year and

    identified new construction and renovation cases and their aggregate total values by school.

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    Table 3.2 to be inserted

    Table 3.2 describes the initial implementation timing of different TEEP components: school

    building new construction and renovation, textbooks, and teacher training. The table shows the

    percentage of schools covered under TEEP in Visayas (our analysis is restricted to this area)

    from SY 2000/01 through SY 2005/06. In school buildings, we aggregated new construction and

    renovation projects by their completion timings. In textbooks, we used timing in which textbooks

    (disaggregated by grade and subject) were distributed to schools. In teacher training, we only

    used the initial time when training was introduced. Note that training covers a wide range of

    contents, which principals and teachers studied step by step. In many cases, training was

    conducted at the school district level. This means that instructors visit districts one by one within

    a division, and therefore it took them a few years to cover all the topics (our data show only total

    man-hours and the start date). The table shows that by SY 2002/03, about 80 percent of schools

    had received textbooks and 50 percent had at least one completed school building project. In all

    schools, the training process had just begun.

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    4. Estimation Method

    Because the original phase-in plan of TEEP was not followed in practice, we cannot explore

    the pipeline design to identify the impact of TEEP on school performance. Therefore, we

    formed a control group based on the schools in the non-TEEP provinces to estimate the

    counterfactual of the treatment group, which are the schools in the TEEP provinces. Double

    differences (DD) based on the cohort panel from grade 4 (SY 2002/03) and grade 6 (SY

    2004/05) is used to eliminate cohort-specific fixed effects.11

    Because the allocation of TEEP was purposive, the initial school conditions are likely to

    have different distributions in the treatment and control groups. If the initial conditions

    affect subsequent changes of the outcome variables, DD would give a biased estimate of the

    TEEP impacts. We use two strategies to deal with the potential bias due to nonrandom

    program placement. First, we use the sample from Visayas only. As shown in Figure 2.1,

    TEEP divisions are relatively evenly distributed throughout Visayas compared with the

    other two macroregions. We therefore expect that the TEEP and non-TEEP provinces are

    more comparable in Visayas, and hence our extra data collection and cleaning efforts were

    focused on Visayas. Second, we use propensity score (PS) matching to balance observable

    cohort characteristics and initial conditions between the treated and the control groups.

    Three caveats exist in our method. First, our baseline is not free of contamination. Table 3.1

    showed that TEEP had been implemented in all treated schools by SY 2002/03. Thus, the

    initial level of test scores in the treatment group reflects earlier investments completed

    11Due to delayed preparations at the early stage of TEEP, most of the program schools received investments during

    or after SY 2002/03.

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    before SY 2002/03. Second, it is possible that students from primary schools, which are not

    part of our sample, came into grades 5 and 6 in our sample elementary schools, which

    alters the student body at grade 5. Since TEEP also contributed to the conversion of

    primary schools to elementary schools by building new classrooms and staffing for grades

    5 and 6, it is possible that attrition is different in the treated and control groups.12 Third, as

    an observational analysis, we cannot eliminate bias due to time-variant unobservables.

    To illustrate our empirical approach, let if a cohort is treated (located in TEEP area)

    and if a cohort is not treated (located in non-TEEP area). Let the outcome of being

    treated by TEEP and the counterfactual outcome at time be denoted by

    . The gain

    from treatment is

    , and we are interested in the average effect of treatment on

    the treated (ATET),

    . With denoting SY 2004/05 and

    denoting SY 2002/03, we can write the standard DD estimator as

    where is the selection bias and

    . If the selection bias is

    constant over time ( ), the DD estimator yields an unbiased estimate of the actual

    program impact.

    The condition or

    will not hold if the cohort

    characteristics or initial conditions affect subsequent changes of the outcome variables and

    have different distributions in the treatment and control groups. To account for this, we use

    12In SY 2002/03, total grade 5 enrollment was 94.1 percent of the total grade 4 enrollment in TEEP schools

    on average, compared with 95.4 percent in non-TEEP schools; and the total grade 6 enrollment was 94.6percent of the total grade 5 enrollment in TEEP schools on average, compared with 95.5 percent in non-TEEPschools.

    1D

    0D

    t

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    PS matching to balance cohort characteristics and initial conditions. The assumption

    underlying PS matching is that, conditional on observables,, the outcome change if not

    treated is independent of the actual treatment; that is, [

    ]. This has been

    shown to imply [

    ], where is the propensity score, defined as

    (Rosenbaum and Rubin 1983).

    We use a PS-matched kernel method and a PS-weighted regression method (Hirano,

    Imbens, and Ridder 2003). The PS-matched method estimates

    ,/)( 101

    NYWY jijD

    i

    D ji

    (1)

    where 1N is the number of treated villages and ijW is the weight corresponding to villages i

    (treated) andj(untreated); and

    ,]/))()([(/]/))()([(0

    nik

    D

    nijij bXPXPGbXPXPGWk

    (2)

    where (.)G is a kernel function andn

    b is a bandwidth parameter. We use bootstrapping

    with 100 replications to estimate the standard errors for the PS-matched kernel method.

    We choose the PS-matched kernel method instead of the more commonly used nearest-

    neighbor matching to obtain valid bootstrapped standard errors (Abadie and Imbens

    2006a, 2006b).

    )(XP

    )|1Pr()( XDXP

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    The PS-weighted method recovers an estimate of the ATET as the parameter in a

    weighted least square regression of the form

    , (3)

    where weights equal 1 for treated and )](1/[)( XPXP for nontreated observations. See

    Chen, Mu, and Ravallion (2009) for empirical applications of these two methods.

    Since ATET can be estimated consistently only in the common support region of X, the

    choice of trimming method is important. We follow Crumpet al. (2009) to determine the

    common support region by

    )(|10 XPXA , (4)

    where 1 if

    ,1|)(1

    1

    2)(1

    1

    sup

    DXPEXPX (5)

    and otherwise solves

    )(,1|

    )(1

    12

    1

    1XPD

    XPE

    .

    (6)

    This method minimizes the variance of the estimated ATET.

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    5. Average Treatment Effects

    In the estimation, we merged NAT grade 4 in SY 2002/03 and NAT grade 6 in SY 2004/05

    using elementary schools in SY 2002/03.13 Although the selection of TEEP is based on

    province-level poverty indicators summarized in the Social Reform Agenda, we conjecture

    that income distributions overlap between TEEP and non-TEEP school districts (see

    Figures 3.1 and 3.2). In our matching estimation, we control for the interactions of

    municipality income category and regional dummies, as well as school-level initial

    conditions including pupilteacher ratio, grade 4 total enrollment, number of multigrade

    classes, and proportion of locally funded teachers. In the Philippine context, local income

    level not only summarizes broad socioeconomic factors but also proxies the availability of

    private schools, which affects the competition between public and private schools and

    therefore the ability distribution of students in public schools (see, for example, Yamauchi

    2005). It also controls local labor market conditions.

    The first-stage logit regression result is reported in Table 5.1. The dependent variable is 1 if

    the school is located in a TEEP area and zero otherwise. The results show that income

    categories, distinguished by regions, significantly explain TEEP placement. Except for

    income category 5, which is the poorest group, the effect is monotonic. In region 7, central

    Visayas, which is omitted as the benchmark case, the effect of income category 5 is

    negative. In other regions, western and eastern Visayas, the income effect is monotonic

    throughout all income classes.

    13Our analysis pertains only to elementary schools in SY 2002/03, which offered grades 1 to 6. To maintain avalid cohort, we dropped primary schools, where only grades 1 to 4 are taught.

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    Table 5.1 to be inserted

    The pseudo R-squared of the logit regression is 0.22, which suggests plausible explanatory

    power.The PS of each observation is estimated based on the regression. Figure A.1, in the

    Appendix, plots densities of the estimated PS in the treatment and control groups as well as

    the cut-point of the PS values above which observations are trimmed. To illustrate the

    effects of trimming and reweighting, Table A.1 displays simple differences of the

    explanatory variables between the treatment and control groups in the untrimmed sample

    and the PS weighted and trimmed samples. Although simple differences between the

    groups are large and statistically significant in the untrimmed sample, trimming and

    matching based on the propensity score eliminates all significant differences.

    Table 5.2 to be inserted

    In Table 5.2, we report the estimation results on ATET of TEEP. We examine changes in

    overall and mathematics NAT scores from grade 4 in SY 2002/03 to grade 6 in SY

    2004/05.14 Panel 1 shows the simple DD results for the overall test and mathematics test

    scores. The effects on both scores are small in magnitude and insignificant statistically.

    Panels 2 and 3 show the results using DD and PS matching (weighted regression) and DD

    and PS matching (kernel), respectively. The two methods give close results, which suggests

    14Mathematics is the only common subject that was tested by all schools in the two grades. Overall score is

    the summation of scores of all the subjects being tested.

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    that TEEP has significant impacts on both overall and mathematics scores. The magnitude

    is about 4 overall and 5 for mathematics. In other words, TEEP attributes to an increase of

    about 6 percent in the overall test score and 8 percent in the mathematics score on

    average.15 The impact is not trivial over the two-year period. If the impact can continue at

    the same rate, the total effect of TEEP over six years (if students are exposed to TEEP in the

    entire elementary school period) would be a score increase of about 12 to 15 points. This

    magnitude of performance improvement is substantial. We note that the DD and PS

    matching estimates of the TEEP impacts are larger than the simple DD estimates, which

    implies that the endogenous allocation of TEEP creates downward bias in the estimates if

    the program allocation is not taken into account. That is, it is likely that TEEP schools (and

    school districts) would tend to have a lower trend in NAT than non-TEEP schools if TEEP

    were not in place.

    15 This is computed by dividing the estimated ATET of TEEP by the counterfactual average score of thetrimmed treatment group in SY 2004/05.

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    6. Componentwise Analysis

    The previous analysis suggests that TEEP, as a whole, has a significant effect on school

    performance. Because TEEP is a combination of several components, in this section we

    explore how each component contributes to school performance. To do so, we specify the

    empirical model as

    ,

    where is the change in human capital (measured by test scores) from SY 2002/03 to SY

    2004/05 . , , and are TEEP investments in textbooks,

    teacher training, and building, respectively, that are expected to benefit the cohort under

    study.16 Investments in textbooks include those for grades 4, 5, and 6 separately.

    Investments in training include instruction training and subjective training of teacher.

    Investments in building refer to the number of new school constructions and new

    renovations.zis a vector of the initial district- and school-level conditions including the

    interactions of municipality-level income categories and regional dummies, pupilteacher

    ratio, grade 4 enrollment, number of multigrade classes, and proportion of local funded

    teachers. We note that the initial human capital and TEEP investments are potentially

    complementary (and thus not separable), but we assume that the initial school conditions

    are sufficient to control such heterogeneities in the intervention effect.

    Table 6.1 to be inserted

    16For example,grade 4 textbookrefers to the textbooks distributed to grade 4 in SY 2002/03. The grade 4

    textbook distributed to grade 4 in SY 2003/04 is not counted because it did not benefit our cohort.

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    The results are presented in Table 6.1, both for the entire sample and for the TEEP-only

    sample. The findings are summarized as follows: First, in the textbook effect, earlier stage

    investments seem very important in determining later stage outcomes. Grade 4 textbook

    affects student outcomes from grade 4 to grade 6 onward. This finding is consistent with

    the recently well established view on the cumulative process of human capital

    accumulation. Second, new classroom construction significantly helps improve their

    performance. The effect of renovations is also significant, although it has a much lower

    magnitude. Third, instructional training seems to have a greater positive effect on student

    performance than subjectwise training (mathematics, English, and so forth). The latter has

    a negative effect on student performance, at least in the short run, probably because

    teachers have to use their teaching time to receive training.

    This analysis has some reservations. First, since our sample students (cohorts) are at grade

    4 in SY 2002/03, we focus on textbooks for grades 4 to 6 distributed at TEEP. These

    students (cohorts) could have used TEEP textbooks at lower grades, but the impacts of the

    textbooks are already reflected in their NAT scores at SY 2002/03 (grade 4). Second,

    though we have information on school building project contract values, we use the number

    of new constructions and renovations because the contract value aggregates both types

    and we also conjecture that the impacts are different between new constructions and

    renovations. These conjectures were supported in preliminary analyses.

    Finally, in this study, we did not explicitly assess school-based management, mainly

    because we did not find appropriate input measures and variations. The batch plan was not

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    strictly implemented especially in the first and second batch groups (that is, they were

    mixed in reality, depending on the updated preparedness at the division level). This soft

    component is thought to improve the overall effectiveness of physical investments and

    teacher training.

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    7. Conclusion

    This paper provided evidence from the Philippines that both physical and soft components

    of public school education investments significantly increased student test scores, by about

    1215 score points in the National Achievement Test (NAT) with the six-year exposure.

    Our study also showed that the performance in mathematics is more positively responsive

    to education reform and investments than other subjects.

    Second, we also found evidence that early-stage investments improve student performance

    at later stages in the elementary school cycle. The distribution of grade 4 textbooks is

    shown to increase subsequent student test scores more than grade 5 or grade 6 textbooks

    do. This is not surprising due to the cumulative nature of knowledge acquisition (not just in

    education), but this dynamic production cannot be identified without exogenous variations

    in the inputs. Our results imply that improved educational quality at the elementary school

    stage has positive impacts on educational progress at later stages.

    The above findings, when combined with evidence in the literature, imply that public

    investments in elementary education likely have positive longer term impacts on education

    performance at the subsequent stages: for example, progression to high schools and

    colleges and academic performance. If so, social returns to an early-stage investment can

    be greater than what the current study seems to show. This argument justifies large public

    investments to improve school quality at the early stage of public education, because the

    cumulative benefits are gradually realized at later stages in the education system and labor

    markets.

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    The competition between public and private schools is a unique feature of the Philippine

    education system due to the historical dominance of private institutions. In this context,

    some studies support an ability-screening hypothesis that private schools screen high-

    ability students but their actual schooling investments are not contributing to productivity

    increase (see, for example, Yamauchi 2005). The ability screening with the privatepublic

    competition, given high costs of private schools, is socially inefficient. If publicly subsidized

    and high-quality education is available, we also expect the inflow of good students into the

    public school system in the long run.

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    Table 3.1Summary of NAT test scores for TEEP and non-TEEP schools, SY 2002/03 and SY 2004/05

    TEEP Non-TEEP

    SY 2002/03 SY 2004/05 SY 2002/03 SY 2004/05

    Mean s.d. Mean s.d. Mean s.d. Mean s.d.

    Overall score 46.975 14.674 63.712 13.431 44.447 13.515 59.795 12.875Math score 48.390 17.961 66.035 16.624 45.823 16.753 62.208 16.698

    Number of

    observations 1,774 1,774 2,434 2,434

    Source: National Achievement Test database, various years.

    Note: s.d. = standard deviation.

    Table 3.2Percentage of TEEP schools in the Visayas region by the initial implementation

    timing

    SY

    2000/01

    SY

    2001/02

    SY

    2002/03

    SY

    2003/04

    SY

    2004/05

    SY

    2005/06

    New construction and renovation projects 6% 22% 49% 63% 84% 86%

    Grade 1 textbook distribution 76% 76% 81% 100% 100% 100%

    Grade 2 textbook distribution 76% 76% 81% 100% 100% 100%

    Grade 3 textbook distribution 76% 76% 81% 81% 81% 100%

    Grade 4 textbook distribution 76% 76% 81% 100% 100% 100%

    Grade 5 textbook distribution 76% 76% 81% 100% 100% 100%

    Grade 6 textbook distribution 69% 69% 74% 100% 100% 100%

    Training program of teachers 31% 99% 100% 100% 100% 100%

    Source: TEEP investment database (the authors survey ), and Division Education Development Plan

    database

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    Table 5.1Logit estimation of TEEP placement

    TEEP Coefficient

    Standard

    Error Significance

    Region 6 2.161 0.211 ***

    Region 8 2.518 0.226 ***Income 2 1.341 0.308 ***

    Income 3 1.702 0.370 ***

    Income 4 0.306 0.190

    Income 5 0.141 0.186

    Region 6 Income 2 1.337 0.419 ***

    Region 6 Income 3 1.097 0.425 ***

    Region 6 Income 4 0.330 0.259

    Region 6 Income 5 1.980 0.388 ***

    Region 8 Income 2 0.784 0.397 **

    Region 8 Income 3 0.911 0.426 **

    Region 8 Income 4 1.325 0.264 ***

    Region 8 Income 5 0.954 0.312 ***

    Pupilteacher ratio (both local and

    national) 0.008 0.004 *

    Grade 4 total enrollment (in ages 6 to 11) 0.008 0.001 ***

    Number of multigrade classes 0.042 0.040

    Proportion of local funded teachers 0.203 0.596

    Constant 1.304 0.212 ***

    Number of observations 4208

    Pseudo R2 0.22

    Source: National Achievement Test database, TEEP investment database (the authors survey ),

    Division Education Development Plan databse, Basic Education Information System database, Census

    2000 Municipality Income Classifications

    Note: *** significant at the 1% level, ** significant at the 5% level, * significant at the 10% level.

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    Table 5.2Impacts of TEEP on school performance

    Untrimmed sample, simple DD

    Treated diff Control diff DD se sig.

    Overall score 16.737 15.348 1.389 0.874

    Math score 17.645 16.385 1.260 1.090Number of

    observations 1,774 2,434

    Trimmed sample, DD+PS weighted regression

    Treated diff Control diff DD se sig.

    Overall score 16.074 12.139 3.934 1.129 ***

    Math score 16.961 11.719 5.242 1.473 ***

    Number of

    observations 1,541 2,408

    Trimmed sample, DD+PS weighted kernel

    Treated diff Control diff DD se sig.

    Overall score 16.074 12.260 3.813 1.172 ***

    Math score 16.961 11.961 5.000 1.442 ***

    Number of

    observations 1,541 2,408

    Source: National Achievement Test database, TEEP investment database (the authors survey ), Division

    Education Development Plan databse, Basic Education Information System database, Census 2000

    Municipality Income Classifications

    Note: *** significant at the 1% level, ** significant at the 5% level, * significant at the 10% level.

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    Table 6.1Estimation results of component analysis, dependent variables being change in

    mathematics score and overall score

    Mathematics Score Overall Score

    All sample TEEP only All sample TEEP only

    Grade 4 textbooks(peso/pupil) 0.042*** (0.007) 0.015** (0.006) 0.034*** (0.005) 0.014*** (0

    Grade 5 textbooks

    (peso/pupil) 0.007 (0.005) 0.000 (0.005) 0.005 (0.004) 0.001 (0

    Grade 6 textbooks

    (peso/pupil) 0.003 (0.005) 0.002 (0.005) 0.004 (0.004) 0.003 (0

    Instructional training (man-

    hours/pupil) 0.475** (0.227) 0.323* (0.188) 0.417** (0.176) 0.262* (0

    Subject training (man-

    hours/pupil) 0.845** (0.325) 0.583* (0.301) 0.614** (0.258) 0.401 (0

    New constructions (number

    in SY 2003/04) 5.785*** (1.917) 5.359*** (1.968) 5.418*** (1.104) 5.042*** (1

    New renovations (number in

    SY 2003/04) 1.513*** (0.473) 1.214** (0.489) 1.139*** (0.331) 0.895** (0

    Region 6 7.179** (3.264) 3.530 (3.989) 3.206 (2.722) 3.095 (3

    Region 8 0.548 (3.398) 19.31 (3.341)) 0.200 (2.786)

    14.11*** (2

    Income 2 4.607 (3.662) 2.908 (3.976) 4.394 (3.132) 2.587 (3

    Income 3 2.813 (3.383) 3.687 (3.410) 1.825 (2.766) 2.330 (2

    Income 4 0.665 (3.297) 0.951 (3.510) 1.036 (2.677) 1.512 (2

    Income 5 2.156 (2.967) 1.157 (3.154) 1.433 (2.449) 0.764 (2

    Region 6 Income 2 1.959 (4.332) 2.931 (5.158) 1.040 (3.775) 4.883 (5

    Region 6 Income 3 0.244 (4.558) 0.999 (4.862) 0.074 (3.715) 0.842 (4Region 6 Income 4 0.399 (4.019) 4.303 (5.442) 0.711 (3.246) 3.668 (4

    Region 6 Income 5 0.050 (3.697) 0.525 (5.500) 0.361 (3.132) 1.261 (4

    Region 8 Income 2 1.071 (4.713) 8.097 (3.929) 0.273 (3.988) 6.017 (3

    Region 8 Income 3 2.603 (4.172) 17.914 (4.981) 1.831 (3.351) 12.65*** (4

    Region 8 Income 4 0.785 (3.990) 13.628 (4.421) 2.081 (3.238) 11.89*** (3

    Region 8 Income 5 2.174 (4.486) 10.673 (4.080) 2.523 (3.533) 9.84*** (3

    Pupil teacher ratio 0.117** (0.049) 0.126 (0.076) 0.098** (0.040) 0.155** (0

    Grade 4 total enrollment 0.048 (0.010) 0.058 (0.018) 0.047*** (0.008) 0.061*** (0

    Number of multi-grade

    classes 0.441 (0.373) 0.116 (0.604) 0.487* (0.283) 0.161 (0

    Proportion of local funded

    teachers 11.855* (6.805) 6.273 (14.301) 8.36 (5.56) 9.54 (1

    Constant 15.40*** (3.292) 21.38*** (3.694) 15.11*** (2.66) 20.76*** (3

    Number of observations 3891 1471 3891 1471

    R-squared 0.061 0.089 0.062 0.114

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    Source: National Achievement Test database, TEEP investment database (the authors survey ), Division

    Education Development Plan database, Basic Education Information System database, Census 2000

    Municipality Income Classifications

    Note: Pesos are in Philippine pesos, PHP. Standard errors are in parentheses. *** significant at the 1%

    level, ** significant at the 5% level, * significant at the 10% level

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    Figure 2.1Map of TEEP and non-TEEP divisions in Philippines (TEEP areas are in red)

    Source: The authors calculation

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    Figure 3.1Histogram of school districts by income category for TEEP and non-TEEP

    groups

    Source: Census 2000 Municipality Income Classifications

    Figure 3.2Histogram of sampled schools by income category for TEEP and non-TEEPgroups

    Non TEEP

    1 5

    .396739

    TEEP

    1 5

    Non TEEP

    1 5

    .402526

    TEEP

    1 5

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    Source: Census 2000 Municipality Income Classifications

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    Appendix

    Table A.1Balance check

    Untrimmed sample Trimmed sample Trimmed sample

    Simple DD DD+PS weightedregression DD+PS weighted kernel

    Diff. s.e. Sig. diff. s.e. sig. diff3 se3 sig3

    Region 6 0.287 0.047 *** 0.004 0.046 0.010 0.046

    Region 8 0.144 0.050 *** 0.000 0.055 0.003 0.057

    Income 2 0.012 0.032 0.002 0.017 0.004 0.022

    Income 3 0.012 0.040 0.000 0.035 0.004 0.034

    Income 4 0.108 0.050 ** 0.004 0.062 0.022 0.060

    Income 5 0.021 0.039 0.001 0.054 0.000 0.041

    Region 6 Income 2 0.024 0.015 0.000 0.010 0.002 0.011

    Region 6 Income 3 0.026 0.026 0.001 0.025 0.002 0.028

    Region 6 Income 4 0.048 0.033 0.002 0.032 0.001 0.038

    Region 6 Income 5 0.101 0.020 *** 0.000 0.005 0.002 0.005

    Region 8 Income 2 0.032 0.019 * 0.000 0.014 0.004 0.014

    Region 8 Income 3 0.041 0.027 0.000 0.025 0.003 0.027

    Region 8 Income 4 0.026 0.038 0.001 0.047 0.003 0.044

    Region 8 Income 5 0.008 0.014 0.001 0.014 0.004 0.014

    Pupilteacher ratio 2.254 0.758 *** 1.101 0.847 1.306 0.930

    Grade 4 total enrollment 7.475 1.325 *** 0.687 1.198 0.511 1.257

    Number of multi-grade

    classes 0.134 0.050 *** 0.037 0.077 0.038 0.090

    Proportion of local fundedteachers 0.005 0.003 0.001 0.004 0.000 0.004

    Number of observations 4208 3949 3949

    Source: National Achievement Test database, TEEP investment database (the authors survey ), Division

    Education Development Plan datase, Basic Education Information System database, Census 2000

    Municipality Income Classifications

    Note: DD: Double difference, PS: Propensity score, se: Standard errors, diff: mean-difference, ***

    significant at the 1% level, ** significant at the 5% level, * significant at the 10% level.

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    Figure A.1Plot of estimated propensity scores for schools in non-TEEP and TEEP areas

    Source: National Achievement Test database, TEEP investment database (the authors survey ),

    Division Education Development Plan database, Basic Education Information System database, Census

    2000 Municipality Income Classifications