Impact Assessment of Learnerships and Apprenticeships Perspectives on Impact Evaluation

Impact Assessment of Learnerships and Apprenticeships

Perspectives on Impact Evaluation Cairo Conference

Date: 31st March – 2nd April 2009Presenter: Dr Jeffy MukoraSouth African Qualifications Authority(SAQA)

• The study was commissioned by the MERSETA.

• Ascertaining the efficiency and effectiveness of the learnership and apprenticeship systems.

• Assess their impact on the demand and supply of skills of the industry.

• Limited understanding of the potential impact of learnerships and apprenticeships on the labour market outcomes of beneficiaries.

INTRODUCTION AND AIMS

INTRODUCTION & AIMS CONT

• Critical lack of data on the scale, number and career progression of qualified apprentices and learners.

• Employability of newly qualified learners exiting at different NQF levels.

• Status and motives of many participants not known.

• Such information is needed as reliably and accurately as possible in order to enhance the Merseta’s ability to strategically intervene in training initiatives geared towards addressing the supply of and demand of skilled labour within the sector.

SCOPE OF THE STUDY

Specifically the objectives of the study were specified in the research brief as follows:

(a) To ascertain the effectiveness of the learnership and apprenticeship systems in terms of:

• career progression of qualified apprentices and learners who were employed before undertaking apprenticeship and learnership programmes

• employability of newly qualified learners exiting at various NQF levels

• number of qualified apprentices and learners produced against intake and specify their trades or qualifications

• administration of learnership and apprenticeships(b) To ascertain whether industry demands are being met

effectively through either the learnership or apprenticeship systems.

Research design

In-depth interviews

Total population database

Large scale telephonic

survey

For both Learnerships and Apprenticeships: Since inception until 14 March 2008

Sampling frame Learnerships: NSDS II Apprenticeships: NSDS I and II Conducted: Apr - Jun 2008

Deepen analysis of the pathways identified in the survey

LEARNERSHIP POPULATION RESULTS

KEY FINDINGSANALYSIS OF THE LEARNERSHIP

POPULATION DATABASE

43652

1 290

7 762

5 958

4 126

1 636

0

2 000

4 000

6 000

8 000

10 000

20

01

/04

/01

to2

00

2/0

3/3

1

20

02

/04

/01

to2

00

3/0

3/3

1

20

03

/04

/01

to2

00

4/0

3/3

1

20

04

/04

/01

to2

00

5/0

3/3

1

20

05

/04

/01

to2

00

6/0

3/3

1

20

06

/04

/01

to2

00

7/0

3/3

1

20

07

/04

/01

to2

00

8/0

3/3

1

Year period

Lea

rner

ship

en

rolm

ent

Total population of learnerships: 21 497

EQUITY TARGETS: Learnerships

African68%

Indian4%

White9%

Coloured

19%

Male75%

Female25%

1% of learnership participants are living with a disability.

AGE PROFILE: Learnerships

2 992

7 669

3 779

1 9261 108 780 490 179 69 14

0

2 000

4 000

6 000

8 000

10 000

20 a

nd

you

ng

er

21 t

o 2

5

26 t

o 3

0

31 t

o 3

5

36 t

o 4

0

41 t

o 4

5

46 t

o 5

0

51 t

o 5

5

56 t

o 6

0

Old

er t

han

60

Age group

Lea

rner

ship

reg

istr

atio

ns

LEARNERSHIP REGISTRATION BY NQF LEVEL

• 11 002 (51%) registered on NQF L2• 7154 (33%) registered on NQF L1• 2126 (10%) registered on NQF L3• 1086 (5%) registered on NQF L4• 125 (1%) registered on NQF L5• 3 learners registered on NQF L6• 1 learner registered on NQF L7

APPRENTICESHIP POPULATION RESULTS

APPRENTICESHIP ENROLMENTS BY YEAR OF REGISTRATION

• Total population of apprenticeships: 23 530• The database contains data that goes beyond

the start of NSDS I• 21% of all registrations were made before the

first NSDS Phase• 34% were made during NSDS I• 30% were made during NSDS II

NSDS Phase II

30%

NSDS Phase I

34%

Before NSDS

Phase I21%

Not indicated

15%

APPRENTICESHIP ENROLMENT BY GENDER, RACE AND DISABILITY

• The overall participation in the apprenticeship system fall short of all three national targets with 54% Black, 4% female and 1% disabled participants.

• The data shows clearly that apprenticeship participants are dominated by men with only 4% of the population being women.

• The trend manifests across all the year periods.

• Year period 2002/04/01 to 2003/03/31 shows the highest female enrolments with 109 females (6%).

ANALYSIS OF THE APPRENTICESHIP POPULATION

DATABASE

0

500

1 000

1 500

2 000

2 500

3 000

3 50019

89/0

4/01

to

1998

/03/

31

1998

/04/

01 t

o19

99/0

3/31

1999

/04/

01 t

o20

00/0

3/31

2000

/04/

01 t

o20

01/0

3/31

2001

/04/

01 t

o20

02/0

3/31

2002

/04/

01 t

o20

03/0

3/31

2003

/04/

01 t

o20

04/0

3/31

2004

/04/

01 t

o20

05/0

3/31

2005

/04/

01 t

o20

06/0

3/31

2006

/04/

01 t

o20

07/0

3/31

2007

/04/

01 t

o20

08/0

3/31

White

Indian

Coloured

African

1136 1128

13791289

1389

1848 1975

2942 2872

2672

1479

Black apprenticeship participation in the majority from the year 2003/04

49

67 67 63 64 6352

2415

3 0

0

0 00 0 0 23

55 74 92 99

51

33 33 37 36 3725 21

11 5 0

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%19

89/0

4/01

to19

98/0

3/31

1998

/04/

01 to

1999

/03/

31

1999

/04/

01 to

2000

/03/

31

2000

/04/

01 to

2001

/03/

31

2001

/04/

01 to

2002

/03/

31

2002

/04/

01 to

2003

/03/

31

2003

/04/

01 to

2004

/03/

31

2004

/04/

01 to

2005

/03/

31

2005

/04/

01 to

2006

/03/

31

2006

/04/

01 to

2007

/03/

31

2007

/04/

01 to

2008

/03/

31TerminatedRegisteredCompleted

POPULATION OF APPRENTICES BY YEAR AND COMPLETION

STATUS

APPRENTICESHIP REGISTRATIONS BY CHAMBER• The highest proportion (40%) falls

within the Metal Chamber• The second highest (35%) is with the

Motor Chamber• 3% falls within the Automotive

Chamber

Auto3%

Metal40%

Motor35%

New Tyre0%

Not Applicable

0%

Plastics2%

Unknow n20%

LEARNERSHIP SURVEY FINDINGS

A SURVEY OF EMPLOYMENT AND LEARNING PATHWAYS

• The contact database described earlier, provided the basis for the sampling frame. The sampling frame included all learnership participants with contact details who enrolled within the first year period of NSDS II (1 April 2005 to 31 March 2006).

• The number of learners that registered for a learnership with NSDS Phase II was 10665.

• The 10665 learnership registration account for a head count of 10112 learners.

• The aim was to use this sample frame to obtain 2000 responses.

• A total number of 2336 valid surveys were returned.• This represents a total return rate of 23.1%.

LEARNERSHIP PARTICIPANTS• 83% of the learners who were employed after

graduation or termination of their learnership indicated that the employment was related to the learnership they completed.

• In terms of the nature of their employment, 66% were permanently employed, 29% in positions that are temporary and contract and 4% were casual workers.

• About 32% earn a salary between R2001 to R5000 per month and 12% earn between R1001 and R2000. Only 3% earn less than R1001 per month and another 3% earn more than R10000 per month.

• Almost all (92%) of those who completed their studies are working in the private sector with only 5% employed in government and 2% self employed.

LABOUR MARKET OUTCOME: LEARNERSHIPS

42%

58%

Unemployed

Employed

Employment status of learners at enrolment

67%

33%

Unemployed

Employed

Employment status of learners after completion or termination

Note: Figures exclude learners who were registered at the time of the survey

SURVEY RESULTS CONT..

• Most of the completed learners were employed between one and six month of completion of the learnership programme.

• Of these, 24% were employed within one month or less,

• 31% between one and three months and • another 24% between three and six months. • This shows a commitment employers are putting

into the learnership programme by making employment opportunities available to the learnership participants. It shows that employers have a positive perception about learnerships and their applicability to industry demands.

CONCLUSION: Learnerships

• Almost all learners who completed or terminated their learnership reported positive about how participation in the learnership impacted on their lives. 97% indicated that the learnerships have made an improvement of their technical skills, their career opportunities and enhancement of their self confidence.

• Overall, both employers and learners were satisfied with the organization and objectives of the learnership system, reflecting well on the MERSETA and other stakeholders

APPRENTICESHIP SURVEY FINDINGS

SAMPLING FRAME

• Sampling frame included 18 529 apprenticeship participants. (Since 1 February 2001.)

• A total number of 2034 valid surveys were secured. This represents a total return rate of 11%.

CBMT, 4525, 24%

206, 1%

10436, 57%

3362, 18%

Section 28

Time-based

Not indicated

PROPORTIONAL DISTRIBUTION BY APPRENTICESHIP TYPE AND RACE

2939 43

12

1011

77

5

5244 41

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

CBMT Section 28 Time-based

White

Indian

Coloured

African

Only 4% female participants and less than 1% of all participants living with a disability.

39

1930

46

33

45

10

26

18

3

11

51

113

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

CBMT Section 28 Time-based

Older than 35

31 to 35

26 to 30

21 to 25

20 and younger

PROPORTIONAL DISTRIBUTION BY APPRENTICESHIP TYPE AND AGE

GROUP

Competency Based Modular Training (CBMT)

CBMT - Employed at enrolmentN=881

68

1

28

3

0

20

40

60

80

Employed Unemployed

Pe

rce

nta

ge

Completed

Terminated

CBMT - Unemployed at enrolmentN=582

64

2

2013

0

20

40

60

80

Employed Unemployed

Pe

rce

nta

ge

Completed

Terminated

LABOUR MARKET OUTCOME:

Findings: Time-basedTime-based - Employed at enrolment

N=2579

89

27 10

20

40

60

80

100

Employed Unemployed

Pe

rce

nta

ge

Completed

Terminated

Time-based - Unemployed at enrolmentN=1728

92

33 20

20

40

60

80

100

Employed Unemployed

Per

cen

tag

e Completed

Terminated

LABOUR MARKET OUTCOME:

Findings: Section 28Section 28 - Employed at enrolment

N=2626

97

11 00

20

40

60

80

100

120

Employed Unemployed

Pe

rce

nta

ge

Completed

Terminated

Section 28 - Unemployed at enrolmentN=379

97

30

20

40

60

80

100

120

Employed

Per

cen

tag

e

Completed

Terminated

LABOUR MARKET OUTCOME:

CHALLENGESSome of the challenges still facing the learnership system

The main challenges that are still facing the programme are as follows

• The current skills shortage has been exacerbated by the fact that a large number of the learnerships that are being undertaken are at the lower (NQF Level 1 and 2) rather than intermediary skills levels. This might partly be a result of a drive by government to meet specific targets to employ unemployed youths and for redress. The NQF level 1 learnerships were bridging learnerships, which is critical if workers, previously denied access to training, could have the opportunioty of moving up the skills ladder. This did not however, address scarce and critical skills needs. A balance needs to be achieved between redress learnerships and skills interventions at the intermediary and higher end of the skills spectrum. It should however, be noted, that according to this research, the introduction of learnerships, for example, at the higher end of the skills spectrum has proved to be problematic because of the costs involved and other related problems.

CHALLENGES

• The pipeline for the development of skilled personnel is partly a responsibility of education and labour. Hence, it is not with the sole domain of Setas to deliver skills into the economy. The effectiveness of the educational system is critical in achieving this objective. This not only raises the question of the linkage between education and labour and the lack of co-ordination between the two ministries but also highlights the fact that a number of blockages have occurred, some of which are systemic and have nothing to do with the functioning of merseta. For example, the disconnection between industry (and Setas) and FET colleges is highly problematic.