Dec 18, 2015
I’m a Relationship Person! What Do I Do with Prospect Screening Data?
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I’m a Relationship Person! What Do I Do with Prospect Screening Data?
Presented by:
Brian Chapman, President Grenzebach Glier Philanthropic Analytics
and
David W. Howie, Director Leadership CircleWETA, Inc.
Grenzebach Glier Philanthropic Analytics
• A different paradigm of data analysis in not-for-profit today– Historical view of data analysis tools– Nascent paradigm to deliver more value
• High-value donor pipeline issues– Continued linear growth through more donors– Accelerated exponential growth through bigger donors
(converting a single $100 donor into a $100,000 donor generates the same revenue as finding 999 new $100 donors)
Historical View of Data Analysis
• Prospect screening
– Mostly based on hard asset data
• Predictive models
– Generic, based on averages of non-peer institutions
– Speculative, based on even less
• Subordinate to market/viewership/financial analysis done by the private sector
A New Paradigm Is Emerging That Will Deliver More Value
● Not just hard assets
● Marketing segments
● Demographics
Append constituent information
Analyze historical giving
behavior
● Who gave● How they gave
How frequently
When● Benchmarked
against peers
Create custom predictive
models/resource plans
● Who should we be cultivating, visiting, soliciting, calling, emailing
● With what likelihood of success
This New Approach to Data Analysis is Based On Three Fundamental Assumptions…
• Organizations have ever-increasing amounts of data,
but are extracting decreasing value from it (and from
their investments in it)
• There is a small but fast-growing influence of private
sector practices in the non-profit world
• There are no spare IT resources to devote to the task
of analytics
…And One Key Objective
• Help make resource allocation decisions about how to deploy staff and programs to:
– Raise money effectively in current/upcoming development programs
– Keep the pipeline full for subsequent programs and future priorities
– Expand resources in areas with the greatest yield, and reduce resources elsewhere
The Information Available to Us Is Much Greater Than Hard Assets
• Hard Asset Data• Company affiliation
• Non-profit board affiliation
• Real estate ownership
• Insider stock holdings
• Some retirement accounts
• FEC and some charitable contributions
• Demographic/Marketing Data, e.g.,• Age• Income• Home Market Value• Marital status• Presence of Children• Vehicles• Mail response behavior
• Market Segmentation• Relative wealth• Lifestyle preferences• Consumer behaviors• Philanthropic tendencies
Market Segmentation is Used Widely for Big Decisions in Private and Non-Profit Sectors
To develop its predictive model of store performance and site location
For market and sales performance analysis; drove higher U.S. sales among target audiences
Marketing segmentation to drive communication messaging
Key Findings from Screening 29 PBS Stations
• Effective segmentation means people with more capacity are asked to give more, and are in fact responding– Increasing the ask amounts in direct mail and
telephone programs for higher-income people has resulted in larger gifts
– Selection of the most promising prospects (longer-term, loyal donors with high incomes, high home values, and a highly philanthropic market segment) for personal visits prioritizes resources and identifies actionable steps
Key Findings from Screening 29 PBS Stations
Even on a station-by-station level, donors to Public Broadcasting have a similar wealth distribution to donors to other leading organizations
Income Range% of Enhanced Records
(PBS Sample)
% of RecordsAcross all GG&A
Clients
Under $15,000 5.6% 3.4%
$15,000 to $19,999 2.7% 3.0%
$20,000 to $29,999 5.9% 5.7%
$30,000 to $39,999 9.2% 8.3%
$40,000 to $49,999 7.8% 8.5%
$50,000 to $74,999 17.6% 20.8%
$75,000 to $99,999 13.5% 14.9%
$100,000 to $124,999 9.3% 7.2%
$125,000 or more 28.3% 28.2%
However, Fundraising Performance Lags Across All Income Ranges
Household IncomePercent of All GG&A Records
Average Largest Gift (All GG&A)
Percent of PBS
Sample
Average Largest Gift
(PBS Sample)
Under $15,000 3.4% $272.95 5.6% $128.23
$15,000 to $19,999 3.0% $251.66 2.7% $123.55
$20,000 to $29,999 5.7% $134.60 5.9% $125.47
$30,000 to $39,999 8.3% $248.48 9.2% $127.31
$40,000 to $49,999 8.5% $353.11 7.8% $134.76
$50,000 to $74,999 20.8% $363.95 17.6% $139.18
$75,000 to $99,999 14.9% $316.67 13.5% $144.29
$100,000 to $124,999 7.2% $594.40 9.3% $152.20
$125,000 or more 28.2% $1,216.06 28.3% $166.22
Effective Segmentation is Critically Important
• Across PBS Stations, the largest gifts from high income donors were very similar to the largest gifts from lower-income donors
• Through Pledge Drives and other vehicles, all donors are receiving the same messages—and same solicitations
• Simply asking higher-value donors for larger gifts will have an immediate benefit
Example: They were going to ask her for $10,000
Ms. Cecilia Q. Prospect MQR:ENPS 09/ 12/ 2007
Submitted Prospect I nformation
Name Cecilia Prospect Address 520 El Dorado Rd Palm Desert CA Employer Cyberdyne Technologies Business Address 700 W Main Ave
Downey, CA
GG&A Rating Summary Gift Capacity Estimate More than $10 Million Gift Capacity Rating 1 Major Gift Rating A Annual Gift Rating 1 Planned Gift Rating P PCR Code Special Focus Indicator
Client Supplied Data
Assigned Solicitor Unassigned Relationship Constituent Type Individual Number of Gifts 16 Member Since 03/09/1989 * Total Cumulative Giving $7,550.00
Household Information & Demographics Prospect Age 64 Martial Status M Spouse Name Bob Children Present No * Est Household Income GREATER THAN $124,999 * Home Market Value $1,000,000 PLUS
Lexis-Nexis Real Estate
Number of Properties 2 * Total Property Value $21,771,958.00
Larkspur Pension Number of Matches 0 * Total Net Assets $0.00
FEC Contributions
REP Contributions $5,000.00 DEM Contributions $2,000.00 UNK Contributions $0.00 * Total Contributions $7,000.00
Thomsons Financial SEC Stock Disclosures Mkt Value Direct Holdings $89,312,862.30 Mkt Value Indirect Holdings $0.00 * Total Holdings $89,312,862.30 * Total Sales $64,165,679.18
Market Guide
Number of Matches 2 match(es) * Total Compensation $724,555
Dun & Bradstreet Number of Matches 1 match(es) * Total Sales $1,433,894,900
Biographical Sources
Guidestar Non Profits 2 match(es) Guidestar Pvt Foundation 1 match(es) Marquis Who's Who 0 match(es) Corp Tech 0 match(es)
* The values in these fields are used in the GG&A Gift Capacity Rating calculation.
$21 million
in real estate $89 million
in stock
Salary $724,000
Serves on at least 3 not-for- profit
boards
16 gifts to the station totaling
over $7,500
Using Screening To Qualify Prospects
• This prospect:– Is worth tens of millions of dollars– Has made 16 gifts over an 18 year period– Has made $1 million+ gifts to other organizations
• Next steps were:– Scratch the $10,000 ask plan– Personal invitation to meet the CEO– Preparation of a proposal for a $100,000 capital gift with
naming opportunities, and a $10,000 annual commitment
Case Study: WETA
• Key Priority– To increase support form donors by targeting qualified donor
populations for specialized moves management• Screening Applications
– Identify current Leadership Circle ($1,000 +) donors financially capable for upgrades
– Identify Membership (<$1,000) prospects financially capable for upgrade to Leadership Circle
– Additional Research (e.g. ability to discern philanthropic interest(s) through charitable donation history and/or philanthropic involvement)
Case Study: WETA
• Submittal Strategy– Selection Criteria (handout)– Proposed and Revised Timeline of
Submittals (handout)– Client Defined Fields– Segment donors into discrete groups for
selective events, solicitations, etc.– Example submittals
• Results– Targeted Integration into Portfolios– All donors rated 1 & 2 are assigned to staff – Targeted Cultivation for Specific Groups– Event Mailings
Case Study: WETA
Top Tips: A Provider and Practitioner’s Perspective
• Identify program objectives before screening
• Begin with the end in mind
• Analyze internal infrastructure necessary to implement screening results
• Use segmentation to prioritize resources
Top Tips: A Provider and Practitioner’s Perspective
• Identify actionable steps
• Consider all data to establish appropriate strategies to achieve program objectives
Contact Information
Brian Chapman
President, Grenzebach Glier Philanthropic Analytics
Grenzebach Glier & Associates, Inc.
401 N Michigan Avenue, Suite 2800
Chicago, IL 60610
(312) 372-4040
David W. Howie
Director, Leadership Circle
WETA, Inc.
2775 South Quincy Street
Arlington, VA 22206
(703) 998-2443