IGBC2014 - Stephen Selkowitz, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory

Stephen Selkowitz Group Leader, Windows and Building Envelope

A Green Building Vision:

Progress and Challenges

Senior Advisor, Building Science

Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory

[email protected]

1. Framing the Energy/Carbon Challenge

2. Framing the Building Performance Challenge

3. Delivering what we promise

4. Data, Tools, Transparency

5. The California Experiment

6. Do We Need New Research, Technology?

7. The Case for Integrated Systems

8. Evaluating Real-World Systems Performance

Presentation Outline


Energy Use Carbon Emissions

Climate Change Sea level rise

????

Greenland Glaciers

Disney World

Antarctic Ice Shelf

+

Rising Sea Level

1. Optimize “Lifestyle” to Minimize Energy

Services and Needs

• Buildings…

• Make cities walkable, food,…

2. Maximize Efficient Use of Energy

• LED light bulbs,…..

3. Decarbonize energy sources

• Solar energy,…..

But more difficult to plan, execute and scale

50-80% Reduction in Carbon?

Solution is Simple in Concept


~1960 – Early R&D on Low Carbon Energy Supply


What Do Global Industry Leaders Think About This? World Business Council for

Sustainable Development (WBCSD) VISION 2050 Incorporating the costs of externalities, starting with carbon, ecosystem services and water, into the structure of the marketplace; Halving carbon emissions worldwide (based on 2005 levels) by 2050 through a shift to low-carbon energy systems; Improved demand-side energy efficiency, and providing universal access to low-carbon mobility.


Why Focus on Buildings?? Total Building Energy Use; End Use Consumption

Buildings consume 40% of

total U.S. energy • 71% of electricity

•54% of natural gas

No Single End Use Dominates

Building sector has:

Largest Energy Use!

Fastest growth rate!


2007 Annual

Energy

Outlook

Forecast

~+30%

2008

1990

-50%

-80% Carbon

U.S. Energy Use: History and Aggressive Future Goals

2030 1973 2005 2050 2020 1950

Goals


U.S. Refrigerator Energy Use vs. Time

United States Refrigerator Use v. Time

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

1,800

2,000

19471949

19511953

19551957

19591961

19631965

19671969

19711973

19751977

19791981

19831985

19871989

19911993

19951997

19992001

Ave

rag

e E

ern

gy

Use

per

Un

it S

old

(kW

h p

er y

ear)

0

5

10

15

20

25

Ref

rig

erat

or

volu

me

(cu

bic

fee

t)

Energy Use per Unit

Refrigerator Size

(cubic feet)

Refrigerator Price in 1983 Dollars

$ 1,270

$ 462

Conclusion: Policy + technology + standards works


U.S. Building Energy Projections Declining

EIA:

Energy

Information

Agency

AEO:

Annual

Energy

Outlook

Business

As Usual

Best Available

Technology


Economic Savings from AEO Data


Addressing the Building “Grand Challenge” • Focus on Life Cycle of the Building

– Design Construction Operations Renovation Decommissioning

• Focus on Measurable, Documented Energy Impacts

– Make performance visible, understandable, actionable

• Focus on Integrated Smart Building Systems

– Materials Devices Integrated Systems Buildings

• Focus on Buildings and the Grid

– Renewables, Storage, Microgrids, Neighborhoods, “Smart Grid”

• Focus on People and Behavior

– Policy makers, Designers, Investors, Contractors, Occupants,..

– Occupant behavior, life style, satisfaction, comfort,….

• Focus on “Intersection” of Technology and Policy

– Incremental + Innovative, Disruptive technologies

– Investment and Decision making


Significant Impact Comes Only from Comprehensive Balanced Program

To routinely deliver high performance, low-energy buildings

we must find a balance between:

Technology

Process

Solutions fail without this balance

Markets

Economics

Policy People

Innovation


• Increase Rate of Adoption of Existing/Emerging Technologies – Operational improvements – Better Design and Selection Guidance – New Market channels – New Voluntary and Mandatory Programs – Education: best use for a particular application (climate, etc.)

• Create Pipeline of New Technology Options and Business Models: – Incremental improvements to technology available today

- Performance enhancements but Cost reductions - New features

– Breakthrough R&D - Innovation- new products, new applications

– Components Integrated Systems – “Net Zero Buildings” – Efficiency + Energy Generation

“Do It Now” vs “Wait and Do It Better Tomorrow” Why Not Do Both!


A Framework for Building Performance

1. Predict Performance: Use fully validated simulation models and processes to reliably simulate and optimize a wide range of systems and their interactions.

2. Ensure Actual Performance: Validate/integrate simulation with measurements in testbeds and real buildings.

3. Deploy at Scale: Implement performance prediction tools and smart operations in routine practice

Vision: To design and operate buildings with “guaranteed” energy performance.

Goal: To accurately predict and verify energy performance across the building life cycle, from design to operations


Information-Technology based Building Life-Cycle Integration View

Commissioning

Tools & Active Tests

Design

Operations

Design Tools Energy Tools

Retrofit Tools

Automated

Diagnostic

Tools

Commissioning

Construction

Information Monitoring

& Diagnostic System

Local / web-based

Metrics, Program

Requirements

Building

Information

Model

Maintenance &

Operations

Occupancy

Renovation

and

Decommissioning

buildingSMART

Data model


The Challenge:

Design Goals vs Measured Performance

Observations:

1. Various building types, ages,

locations

2. Average over all projects is not bad

3. Max over-predict by 120%

4. Max under-predict by 65%

5. Almost all under-predicted

for low energy designs

(red triangle: EUI <= 40)

6. Uncalibrated simulated results

Source: Energy performance of LEED-NC buildings, NBI, 2008

Design EUI (kBtu/ft2)

Measure

d E

UI

(kB

tu/f

t2)

Measured=Design


Can We Guarantee Performance??? Measured Performance vs Design Goals

Measured Performance =

– Design Goals x

– Simulation Tool Accuracy x

– Simulator Skill x

– Value Eng’ing “Aftermath” x

– Construction “Artifacts” x

– Schedule “Adjustments” x

– Facility Operations x

– Occupant “Adjustments x

– Weather “Adjustments”

De

sig

n/C

on

str

uc

t

A/E

Te

am

O

pe

rate

Fa

cili

tie

s T

ea

m

What is the Sensitivity/Uncertainty Associated with Each Factor?


“guaranteed” Energy Performance

• Can a Design Team Guarantee Energy Use target?

• Design – Bid – Build – Operate….??

• Need new metrics and new business practices

• New Market Drivers:

• Outcome-based codes:

– “Build anything you want but prove that the building energy use is lower than target level after occupancy…”

• More Transparency: Energy Disclosure laws

– “Publicly” disclose your annual energy use!

– European Union implementation

– US: 29 Cities and States now have disclosure laws


“All Simulation Models are Wrong,

But Some are Useful”

How do we ensure our tools are useful?

Data, Models and Tools


Retro-commissioning

Codes and standards development

Interoperability

Benchmarking

Ratings, Labels

New R&D: Tools and Data

EnergyPlus engine development:

New features to model low energy designs

Speed-up, Technical support and maintenance

EnergyPlus Graphical User Interface

EnergyPlus derivatives: special purpose tools

e.g. COMFEN- façade early design tool

Building Controls Virtual Test Bed – co-simulation, real controls

New Simulation/Data apps:

Design assistance

Real-time performance assessment

Operation/Behavior modeling

Fault Detection and Diagnostics


Making Data and Performance Visible Innovation at the State and City Level


Quantifying and Exposing Performance:

Disclosure Legislation


Meters-> “Big Data” Comes to the Buildings World: Energy Analytics for Buildings

EnergyIQ Benchmarking Tool • Seminal work on building commissioning cost-

benefit analysis of >600 buildings

• Energy Information & Benchmarking Systems for commercial, residential

24

DOE/EERE Building Energy Data Initiatives Actionable information to support investors, owners, operators, designers.

Advanced statistical methods to analyze emerging “big data” from data-rich buildings

and large portfolio datasets

Standard Energy

Efficiency Data (SEED)

platform


~ 147 buildings

in 37 states! Zero Net Energy

Buildings Status: 2014

But there are 5 M buildings in US

Can we Scale This? How?


Scale and Impact: We Need Both to Achieve Sector-wide Efficiency Goals

Narrow Wide

Shallow

Deep

Dep

th

Breadth

• Incremental change on existing

technology

• Tighten standards; tune up &

retrofit programs

e.g. ESCOs 5-20% Savings

• Major advances in components

• Demonstration projects

• Limited deployment in systems

e.g. Research, Demonstrations

50% to Zero Net Energy

• Systems approach: integrate

advanced components, optimize

energy, comfort, cost

• Capture social equity, health,

comfort, productivity issues

• Private/public partnership - Business

case, risk reduction and credible

third party data

NZEB

Solutions


NZEB: Net (Nearly) Zero Energy Buildings

• “Net Zero Energy Buildings” is the right goal

• NZEB = 60-80% savings + renewables

The Reality

The Vision

The Dream

• Just Do It – Set a goal - march toward it

– Its easy, if we commit and apply ourselves

– We have the technology and know-how

• Major National Challenge – Technically attainable - Difficult to achieve in scale

– Shortcomings: Owners? Users? Tools? Construction? Operations?

– Integrated Standards -Deployment-Demonstration-Research

– Issues- Policy, Finance, Design Process, Technology


California – Test Case


California Path to Net Zero by 2030


Develop Path to ZNE Non-Res. Buildings in Title 24- Start with the (technically) “Easiest” Buildings

Source: “The Road to ZNE” (2012, PG&E/HMG), p. 161.


Zero Net Energy Buildings in California: Commercial Buildings

60 ZNE commercial buildings since 2007*

• Analysis performed by New Buildings Institute. Includes ZNE Ready and Near ZNE buildings. Not all verified.

SMUD East Campus Operations Center, Doug Norwood

Bacon St. Offices,

SDG&E & Hanna

Gabriel Wells

Architects

DPR Construction San Diego

Corporate Office , Chip Fox

• Building Size

• Building Type

• Design Team Skill

• COST


0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

Control Green Platinum NZE/LB

What is the Incremental Cost of NZEB?

Construction Cost of Low Rise Office Buildings

statistical analysis

BUILDINGS MEASURED $ / SF Lisa Matthiessen, Peter Morris and Laura Lesniewski


NZEB Programs in Context: California Efficiency Plans and Programs



Current Dialogue re: CA ZNE Building Goals – Are the current ZNE goals the right goals?

– If not, how should they be changed?

- Building type, timing,….

– What should be the various role of the state agencies and teams to address / advance ZNE Comm goals?

- In utility programs? (~$1B/yr)

- In CPUC Updated Strategic Plan?

– Role of Mandatory Standards?

– Role of Utility Incentive and Rebate programs?

– Role of Training and Education: Designers, Contractors,…?

– Role of Innovation and R&D…

- Efficiency but also Risk, Cost


Building Innovation “Game Changers”

MATERIALS AND SYSTEMS

• Smart Glass/Dynamic solar control

• High R Windows, Insulation

• Thermal Storage- Envelope, structural

• >200 lumen/watt lighting

• Daylight integration

• Dimmable, Addressable Lighting Controls

• Task Conditioning HVAC

• Climate Integrated HVAC

• HVAC vs comfort and IEQ

• Miscellaneous Electrical Loads

• Demand Response

• Controls infrastructure- sensors, networks

• Building- and Grid- Smart electronics

• Electrical Storage

SYSTEMS: IT, LIFE-CYCLE OPERATIONS

• Building Life Cycle Perspective

• Benchmarks and Metrics

• Building Information Models (BIM)

• Integrated Design Process and Tools

• Building Operating Controls/Platform

• Building Performance Dashboards

• Understanding Occupants/Behavior

• Facility Operations


Singapore Likes Glass !


1976 Perspective: Code Official’s View of Ideal Window

2014 Perspective: Architect’s View of Ideal Window

Glazing, Windows and Facades: Two Contrasting Views of Energy Efficiency


Vision: Windows for Zero-Energy Buildings “Zero Energy Windows”

Energy Losers --> Neutral --> Suppliers

• Heating climates

– Reduce heat losses so that ambient solar energy balances and exceeds loss

– Need lower heat loss technologies

• Cooling climates

– Reduce cooling loads

– Natural Ventilation

– Static control -> dynamic control

• All climates

– Replace electric lighting with daylight

• Electricity supply options?

– Photovoltaics-building skin as power source


Optimizing Energy in Integrated Facades

Increased solar

heat gains

Increased lighting

energy use and gains

Minimum energy use

Slopes vary depending on

efficiency of lighting and

HVAC systems Energy Use

Balance Performance issues • Energy

• Demand

• Carbon

• Peak Cooling

• Comfort: visual/thermal

• View

• Appearance

• ……

• Ideal: Integrated approach to

façade-lighting-HVAC building

systems to achieve optimum energy-

efficiency and comfort.

… Its Complicated!!

Key parameters • Climate

• Orientation

• Building Type

• Fenestration area

• Glass type

• Operations

• Daylight

• Shading

• ……


An “Intelligent” Façade might….. • Manage thermal loss and gain

• Provide dynamic solar control:

• Provide glare-free daylight

• Provide fresh air to interior, minimize noise

• Enhance occupant health, comfort

• Reduce demand on utility

• Generate power (photovoltaics)


Light to Solar Gain Ratio = Tvis / SHGC LSG = 1.0 LSG = 2.0

Tvis

SHGC

6 x cooling load!

2.5 x cooling load! 60%

20%


Light to Solar Gain Ratio = Tvis / SHGC LSG = 1.0 LSG = 2.0

Tvis

SHGC

Tvis: .02 .60

SHGC: .09 .5

SMART

GLASS:

Change

properties

based on

needs


Smart Coatings for Dynamic Control of Windows Balancing Cooling and Daylighting, View and Glare

• Flexible, optimized control of solar gain and daylight

• Passive control

– Photochromic - light sensitive

– Thermochromic - heat sensitive

• Active control

– Liquid Crystal

– Suspended particle display (SPD)

– Electrochromic

• Active control preferred; but requires wiring windows for power and control

• + Automated blinds, shades, etc…

“OFF”

“ON”


Electrochromic “Smart” Windows: Progress Towards the Marketplace

Technology, Design, Integration Challenges

45


Exploring Performance of Integrated Shading/Lighting Control Systems

in LBNL Facade Testbed Facility

External Dynamic Shading

Daylight Redirecting Glass

Electrochromic Glass


Automated Shading Controls Glare Throughout the Day Time Lapse from Tests in LBNL Façade Test Facility:

Interior Daylight Luminance Patterns with Dynamic Shading

LBNL Façade Test Facility

1 2 3

6 5 4

3 2 1


(Day)Lighting: 3 challenges 1. A Daylighted Building Doesn’t Save Energy if the Lights are On

2. Why Do We Only Daylight Outer 3-4 M of space

3. Glare vs Light- Occupant Control of Shades, blinds


Good Lighting Controls (Daylight Dimming) Work

Data from

advanced

lighting controls

demonstration

in Emeryville, CA

(1990) !!!

Energy Use

before retrofit:

After retrofit:

South zone:

North zone:

40-60%

Savings 40-80%

Savings

But Dimming is only

3% of lighting sales!


Holy Grail: Daylight Redirecting Optics “Triple floor space impact w/o Glare”

10'

30'

Equinox

Winter

Diffuse light

Summer

10'

lower window

10m

3m

clerestory Daylight Glazing

provides good, glare-

free daylight 10m from

window wall

Optics, Geometry

optimized for all

seasons, without

moving parts?


New Daylighting Technologies and Systems Venetian blind

Prismatic Coating

• Dimmable lighting

–Addressable

–Tunable

Getting Integrated Systems Solution That Works at Scale

NY Times: Intelligent Lighting, Shade Control, UFAD Design: 2003; Field Energy Measurement 2013

New York Times office with dimmable

lights and automated shading Occupied 2007

• Automated Shaded


Façade Layers Inside to Outside:

External layer: Fixed

-- Shading, light diffusion

Glazing layer: Fixed

-- Low-E, spectrally selective

- thermal control

- solar gain control

-- Frit - solar, glare control

Internal layer: Dynamic

-- Motorized Shade system

-- Solar control

-- Glare control

Floor to Floor:

Façade Layers

floor to desk

desk to head

head to ceiling

plenum

“All Glass Building” but…


54

NY Times Testbed: Optimize: Physical & Virtual

2

18 17

Simulated Views

from 3 of 22 view

positions

Phase 1: Physical Testbed, 18 month field study

• Evaluate Shading, daylighting, employee feedback and constructability in a ~5000 sf testbed

• Fully instrumented; 1 year testing

Phase 2: Virtual Model, extend measured data

• Extend Test Data: more Orientations and Floor Levels

• Shade Control Algorithms for Motorized Shades Developed using Simulation

• Built a virtual model of the building in its urban context using hourly weather data to simulate performance

2

17

18

A

B

N


55 New York Times Building

Energy Monitoring and Post Occupancy Evaluation

Lighting Control Systems: On/off: Scheduling

Lights On 5am – 10 PM +

Night Cleaning Crew

Off

Off

Time

Power


56 New York Times Building

Energy Monitoring and Post Occupancy Evaluation

Lighting Control Systems: On/off: Scheduling, Occupancy

Dimming: Setpoint Tuning, Daylight, Demand Response

56% savings vs previous slide


57 The “Headlines” from

The New York Times Building

• 2003: Building designed to save energy, satisfy occupants

• Shading systems and lighting control systems were rigorously developed and evaluated in a full scale test bed

• Owners engaged key systems suppliers via performance specs

• 2013: Systems (dimming, shading, UFAD) worked well; Compared to a similar Code-compliant building:

– 56% lighting energy savings

– 24% total energy savings

– 21-25% reduction in summer peak demand

– Economic Paybacks appear very reasonable

– Overall Occupant Satisfaction is high

• Outcome: “All-glass” building w/ Integrated Building Systems performs better than a prescriptive “code-compliant” building


Single component or

isolated system EEM

Current Design and Research Paradigm – Silo Approach

Integrated Building Systems Approach

Multi-system integrated

EEMs


Exploring Intelligent Building Control Systems: The “Internet of Things” Collides with the Building Industry…

Task Requirements

User Preferences

Interior Conditions

Weather Conditions

Load Shedding/ Demand Limiting

Signal

Smart Controllers

Lighting Systems

(with dimming ballasts, sensors)

Building Performance (cost, comfort, operations)

Dynamic Window

(active control of daylight,

glare, solar gain)

Energy Information

System

H

V

A

C

Sensors, meters,…


System integration Cost/Risk tradeoffs People Buildings “Smart Grid”

Heating

Cooling

Lighting

Peak

Cooling

Load Chiller

Size

Lighting

Design

Strategy

Energy, Peak

Electric

Demand,

Load

Shape

Central Power

Generation

$

$ $

$

$

$

Initial Cost Annual Cost

Office Eq.

Onsite Power

Generation

$


FLEXLAB: Facility for Low Energy EXperiments in Buildings

61

4 Outdoor Testbeds:

3 1-story

1 2-story

3 Indoor Testbeds

Lighting/Plug Load

Sensors/Controls

Design Lab

Data Acquisition,

Monitoring, Control

System

“World’s most advanced building

energy efficiency test bed”

http://bozon2.lbl.gov:8000/index.html


Data acquisition

and controls

Interchangeable

HVAC systems:

air- and water-

based

Interchangeable

lighting and

controls

Interchangeable

skylights

Interchangeable

façade elements:

shading, glazing

Granular sensor,

instrumentation and

metering system

Reconfigurable, “Kit-of-Parts”


Coming Soon to BCA/Singapore!


Build Mutual Interest for Challenge and Opportunities w/ Net Zero Energy/Green Buildings

• NZE/Green Buildings: a necessary and attainable target

• Make high performance and energy efficiency a market advantage, not an extra cost or a risk

• Must Deliver Measurable Savings!

• New Technology, Smarter Design offers:

– New Business Opportunities

– Design freedom and flexibility

– Value-added benefits, e.g. better acoustics

– New performance benefits: e.g. comfort

– Modest/no extra first costs and large annual savings

– Lower impact on global environment

Manufacturer

Architect

Occupant

Owner

Society


We must aggressively accelerate and sustain….

1. The learning curve

2. The adoption curve

3. Creation of new partnerships, business models

4. Establishment of new expectations

5. Delivery on performance promises

Defining an Innovation Pathway to the Future


“If I had asked people what they wanted, they would have said faster horses.”

Henry Ford

How Do We Move Forward?

“Think Big, Start Small, Act Now” “Lead, Engage, Sustain”

Ask the Right Questions;

Listen Carefully to the Answers

Make Data-Informed Decisions and Act with the Future in Mind

Benefits of High Performance, Green Buildings

Improve

Occupant Comfort,

Satisfaction and

Performance

Add Value,

Reduce Operating

Costs

Reduce Energy,

Greenhouse Gas

Emissions

Occupant Building Owner

Planet

More Information

Stephen Selkowitz E-mail: [email protected] Current information and downloads at: http://btus.lbl.gov/home http://facades.lbl.gov http://flexlab.lbl.gov http://windows.lbl.gov/resources/LBNLresources.pdf http://wem.lbl.gov http://cbs.lbl.gov

mailto:[email protected]

http://btus.lbl.gov/home

http://btus.lbl.gov/home

http://facades.lbl.gov

http://flexlab.lbl.gov

http://windows.lbl.gov/resources/LBNLresources.pdf

http://windows.lbl.gov

http://windows.lbl.gov

http://cbs.lbl.gov

IGBC2014 - Stephen Selkowitz, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory

Engineering

refrigerator energy

largest energy use

energy services

building energy projections

energy efficiency

energy sources solar

documented energy impacts

annual energy outlook