Road users’ receptivity to fear appeal Herman Katteler ITS, Radboud University Nijmegen - NL
Jun 03, 2015
Road users’ receptivity to fear appeal
Herman Katteler
ITS, Radboud University
Nijmegen - NL
ICTCT Workshop Valencia, October 2007
Focus Fully unexpected finding Context:
Pupils’ bad attitudes and behaviour Road safety education Fear appeal campaign
Interpretation, implications
ICTCT Workshop Valencia, October 2007
Accident risk
Empirical evidence: A: Ulleberg & Rundmo (2002); B: Parker et al. (1995); Iversen (2004) C: Katteler (2004)
Bad attitudes
Riskybehaviour
AccidentInvolvement
A B
c
ICTCT Workshop Valencia, October 2007
Road safety education
Bad attitudes
Riskybehaviour
(Near-)accidentinvolvement
Road safetyeducation
ICTCT Workshop Valencia, October 2007
What type of program?Positively oriented Stimulating Rational Soft Informative/education
Examples: Bob-campaign I love ….. Carpool TV spots
Negatively oriented Fear-appeal Emotional Hard Persuasive
Examples: Home violence Fireworks Road victims
ICTCT Workshop Valencia, October 2007
Fear appeal programmes
Verkeersgetuigen (Belgium) Traffic Informers (Limburg-NL) Guest lecture by road victims
(Zeeland-NL)
ICTCT Workshop Valencia, October 2007
Aim of the study Study the impact of fear-appeal
hoping for better attitudes
Find answer: most effective type of program across multiple initiatives
ICTCT Workshop Valencia, October 2007
Research process
Test group:
secondary schools in province of
Zeeland
Pre-testGuest lecture
in school class
Post-test
Control group:secondary schools
in province of Zeeland
Pre-testPost-test
ICTCT Workshop Valencia, October 2007
Technical result
t0 t1
Test group n=307 n=258
Controls n=353 n=338
ICTCT Workshop Valencia, October 2007
Guest lecture To 14-17 years old pupils In 15 classes, 3 schools
Mother of killed road user Husband of killed wife
Pattern: statistics – the story – photographs -
discussion
ICTCT Workshop Valencia, October 2007
ICTCT Workshop Valencia, October 2007
Pupils impressed by this fear arousal?
24
36
32
8
very impressed impresseda bit impressedhardly/not
ICTCT Workshop Valencia, October 2007
Self-experienced change Self-declared change in behaviour:
14% (more polite, precautious, less risks)
But: 6% more anxious, uncertain
ICTCT Workshop Valencia, October 2007
Main results: attitudes As far as pupils held bad attitudes:
Tendency to obey traffic rules Risk acceptance Acceptance to ride with alcohol/drugs Self-protection / responsible towards
others
evidence for change is missing
ICTCT Workshop Valencia, October 2007
Main results: behaviour As far as pupils showed bad
behaviour: Mistakes Violations Riding after use of alcohol/drugs Riding style (careless, uncertain)
evidence for change is missing
ICTCT Workshop Valencia, October 2007
By-product: alternative variable
If anything works: road victim in own social circle (peer groups) much closer more emotional permanent rather than incidental
ICTCT Workshop Valencia, October 2007
Road victim in peer group
Peer groups: own family circle of friends acquaintances,
neighbours classmates,
schoolmates
Type of victim: no victims at most lightly
injured severely injured killed
ICTCT Workshop Valencia, October 2007
Steps
A) Measurement of experience with road victims in peer groups
B) Most serious experience of each person
C) Crossing with attitudes and behaviour
ICTCT Workshop Valencia, October 2007
A: Road victim peer experience
7
12
6
9
34 4
2
0
4
8
12
16
20
in ow n family friend acquaintance schoolmate
severely injured
fatal case
ICTCT Workshop Valencia, October 2007
B: Most serious experience
3927
2228
29
3437
34
2329
2426
9 1017 12
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
14 y 15 y 16, 17 y total
killed peer victim
seriously injured
slightly injured
no peer victims
ICTCT Workshop Valencia, October 2007
C: Crossings Expected result:
the more severe the peer accident experience, the better the current attitudes and behaviour
(= parallel to the intended impact of fear arousal programmes)
A set of strong correlations between road victim (peers) and attitudes/behaviour
However, in fully unexpected direction!
ICTCT Workshop Valencia, October 2007
Striking tendency Observed result:
the more severe the peer accident experience, the worse the specific attitudes and behaviour
particularly:• Low self-responsibility• Actually riding with alcohol• Making (intended) mistakes• Intentionally violate traffic rules
ICTCT Workshop Valencia, October 2007
Riding with alcohol by peer victims (a)
1932 32
12
23 28
69
45 40
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
no victims lightly injured severely/fatal
no, never
once last 3 weeks
more frequent
ICTCT Workshop Valencia, October 2007
Riding with alcohol by peer victims (b)
31
58
69
42
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
no peer victims having peer victims
riding without alcohol
riding with alcohol
ICTCT Workshop Valencia, October 2007
Intentionally violate rules
34
4853
63
0
20
40
60
80
no peer victims slightly injured seriously injured killed peer
% intentionally violaterules
ICTCT Workshop Valencia, October 2007
Interpretation (a) Socio-cultural environment in which tough
behaviour is appreciated Being faced with road victims part of
culture ‘Bad’ attitudes and risky behaviour reflect
essence of their way of life Being part of ‘tough’ sub-culture implies
also higher chance of own accidents
ICTCT Workshop Valencia, October 2007
Validation Somebody’s own involvement in
(near-)accidents Injured Material damage Near-misses
ICTCT Workshop Valencia, October 2007
Accident involvement and road victim peer experience
55
7376
0
20
40
60
80
100
peers: not peers: slightly seriously/killed
self involved
ICTCT Workshop Valencia, October 2007
Interpretation (b) Accident risk is part of set of general
norms and values rather than a consequence of bad attitudes
Peer/own accident experience not a drive to change attitudes/behaviour
ICTCT Workshop Valencia, October 2007
Prevention programmesBad road safetyattitudes
Riskybehaviour
Acceptance of accidentinvolvement
Road safetyeducation
Tough way of life with set of other exponentsof sub-culture
ICTCT Workshop Valencia, October 2007
Interpretation (b) Accident risk is part of set of general
norms and values rather than a consequence of bad attitudes
Peer/own accident experience not a drive to change attitudes/behaviour
Any road safety programme for this group too limited: will not meet consideration
ICTCT Workshop Valencia, October 2007
Conclusion The major part of people with tough
attitudes will not be receptive to road safety campaigns that aim reducing their ‘bad’ attitudes See also: youth juvenile delinquency They even derive authority from being deviant
Neither fear arousal nor soft campaigns Broad strategy required rather than to
focus on road safety
ICTCT Workshop Valencia, October 2007
ICTCT Workshop Valencia, October 2007
Colofon
Herman Katteler ITS - Radbout University [email protected]