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1 Convenience Store Retail Petroleum Market News Trefethen Advisors, LLC is pleased to bring you the April 2010 edition of its market update. This periodical is designed to provide current information on the capital and equity markets, convenience store and retail petroleum industry transaction activity and company valuations, and related news and commentary. Market Summary Over the last month, the capital market pricing across all tenors have increased as a result of the recovering economy, concern over the longterm impact of increasing government deficits and unwinding of the Fed’s economic stimulus efforts. The general equity markets posted strong gains over the last month with the S&P 500 increasing nearly 6% buoyed by growing consensus that the economy is, in fact, in recovery. Retailers fared better with the Spider Retail Index posting a 12% increase for the month. Equity performance of pure play convenience retailers included the Trefethen Advisors Index (ATD, CASY, PTRY, SUSS) was off approximately 1% for the month and 6% for the year to date. Earnings Announcements Alimentation CoucheTard Inc. (ATD) reported on March 9, 2010 the results for its third quarter of fiscal 2010 ending January 31, 2010. The company’s results for the quarter were lower than the same period last year primarily as a result of a decrease in motor fuel gross margins in the US. Lower fuel gross margins were partially offset by the increase in samestore merchandise sales in Canada and the US, and by the contribution from stores acquired, and a lower income tax rate. Highlights include: Income Net income for the quarter was $54.8 million, or $0.29 per diluted share, compared to $71.1 million, or $0.36 per diluted share, for the third quarter of fiscal 2009. EBITDA EBITDA for the third quarter of fiscal 2010 was $141.3 million, versus $168.1 million for the third quarter last year. Merchandise & Service Merchandise and service revenues for the third quarter increased 10.50% overall and 3.0% on a comparable store basis in the US, and 4.9% in Canada over the corresponding period last year. The merchandise and service gross margin in the US was 32.9%, compared with 32.8% a year ago. In Canada, the merchandise and service gross margin was 33.1%, compared with 33.7% a year ago. Total merchandise and service gross profit for the quarter was $565.4, up 10.2% from a year ago. Fuel Fuel gallons sold in the US during third quarter increased 3.9%, but decreased 0.2% on a comparable basis. In Canada, liters sold increased 8.2% during the third quarter, and 1.4% on a comparable store basis. Retail fuel margin in the US for the third quarter was $0.128 cents per gallon, versus $0.182 cents per gallon for the same period last year. (Continued on Page 12) Version 6 Issue 1 | April 2010 INSIDE market update 2 | Money and Commodity Markets 3 | Capital Markets 4 | Equity Markets 6 | Public Company Information 10 | Comparative Graphics 11 | M&A Valuations and Transactions 12 | Industry and Company News (Continued) 14 | Featured Article About Trefethen Advisors, LLC Trefethen Advisors, LLC is a privately-owned investment and merchant banking firm focused on providing sound advice and capital to the multi-unit retail industry. Services Include: - Mergers & Acquisitions (Buy-Side, Sell-Side) - Financial Restructuring and Distressed M&A - Corporate Finance / Recapitalizations - Strategic Transactions (Asset Optimization, Value Creation, Liquidity, Taxation) Private Capital Products Include: - Private Equity - Debt Financing (Bridge, High Leverage, DIP) - Mezzanine Financing (Sub-Debt, Preferred Equity) - Sale-Leaseback Financing For more information, contact us at (480) 922-9966 or visit our website @ www.trefethenadvisors.com. 2010 Trefethen Advisors, LLC. All rights reserved. Market update is published by Trefethen Advisors, LLC. Sources include various market participants deemed to be reliable. We do not guarantee such information, undertake to advise you of changes or make any representations as to its accuracy nor does such information represent the opinion of Trefethen Advisors, LLC or any of its affiliates. Trefethen Advisors market u p p p date
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Page 1:

 

C o n v e n i e n c e   S t o r e   ⎟   R e t a i l   P e t r o l e u m   M a r k e t   N e w s  

 

 

Trefethen Advisors, LLC is pleased to bring you the April 2010 edition of its market update.  This periodical is designed to provide current information on the capital and equity markets, convenience store and retail petroleum industry transaction activity and company valuations, and related news and commentary. 

 

Market Summary 

Over the last month, the capital market pricing across all tenors have increased as a result of the recovering economy, concern over the long‐term impact of increasing government deficits and un‐winding of the Fed’s economic stimulus efforts.   The general equity markets posted strong gains over the last month with the S&P 500 increasing nearly 6%  buoyed by growing consensus that the economy is, in fact, in recovery.   Retailers fared better with the Spider Retail Index posting a 12% increase for the month.   Equity performance of pure play convenience retailers included the Trefethen Advisors Index (ATD, CASY, PTRY, SUSS) was off approximately 1% for the month and 6% for the year to date.  

 

Earnings Announcements 

Alimentation Couche‐Tard Inc. (ATD) reported on March 9, 2010 the results for its third quarter of fiscal 2010 ending January 31, 2010.  The company’s results for the quarter were lower than the same period last year primarily as a result of a decrease in motor fuel gross margins in the US.  Lower fuel gross margins were partially offset by the increase in same‐store merchandise sales in Canada and the US, and by the contribution from stores acquired, and a lower income tax rate.  Highlights include: 

Income  Net income for the quarter was $54.8 million, or $0.29 per diluted share, compared to $71.1 million, or $0.36 per diluted share, for the third quarter of fiscal 2009. 

EBITDA  EBITDA for the third quarter of fiscal 2010 was $141.3 million, versus $168.1 million for the third quarter last year.  

Merchandise & Service  Merchandise and service revenues for the third quarter increased 10.50% overall and 3.0% on a comparable store basis in the US, and 4.9% in Canada over the corresponding period last year.  The merchandise and service gross margin in the US was 32.9%, compared with 32.8% a year ago.  In Canada, the merchandise and service gross margin was 33.1%, compared with 33.7% a year ago.   Total merchandise and service gross profit for the quarter was $565.4, up 10.2% from a year ago.  

Fuel  Fuel gallons sold in the US during third quarter increased 3.9%, but decreased 0.2% on a comparable basis.  In Canada, liters sold increased 8.2% during the third quarter, and 1.4% on a comparable store basis.  Retail fuel margin in the US for the third quarter was $0.128 cents per gallon, versus $0.182 cents per gallon for the same period last year. 

(Continued on Page 12) 

 

 

 

Version 6 Issue 1 | April 2010

INSIDE market update

2 | Money and Commodity Markets

3 | Capital Markets

4 | Equity Markets

6 | Public Company Information

10 | Comparative Graphics

11 | M&A Valuations and Transactions

12 | Industry and Company News (Continued)

14 | Featured Article

About Trefethen Advisors, LLC Trefethen Advisors, LLC is a privately-owned investment and merchant banking firm focused on providing sound advice and capital to the multi-unit retail industry.

Services Include:

- Mergers & Acquisitions (Buy-Side, Sell-Side) - Financial Restructuring and Distressed M&A - Corporate Finance / Recapitalizations - Strategic Transactions (Asset Optimization, Value Creation, Liquidity, Taxation)

Private Capital Products Include:

- Private Equity - Debt Financing (Bridge, High Leverage, DIP) - Mezzanine Financing (Sub-Debt, Preferred Equity) - Sale-Leaseback Financing

For more information, contact us at (480) 922-9966 or visit our website @ www.trefethenadvisors.com.

2010 Trefethen Advisors, LLC. All rights reserved. Market update is published by Trefethen Advisors, LLC. Sources include various market participants deemed to be reliable. We do not guarantee such information, undertake to advise you of changes or make any representations as to its accuracy nor does such information represent the opinion of Trefethen Advisors, LLC or any of its affiliates.

 

 

    Trefethen Advisors  

market upppdate

Page 2:

 

Crude prices rallied nearly 8% over the last month, which resulted in compressed retail margins in many parts of the country.  Refining spreads, after a  period of stability, posted a  recent increase.  This issue, our featured commodity graphic focuses on gasoline demand measured by average deliveries of gasoline by prime suppliers.  Data through January 2010 show a  decrease in demand over the pervious years, reflecting the weak economy and, perhaps, increases in fuel efficiency and driving behavior trends.  

Featured Economic Graphic

Market Commentary

Money & Commodity Markets

Money Markets

Fixed income  yields increased slightly over the last 30 days, reflecting the market's concerns over government deficit spending and constrained optimism regarding the economy and the Fed's exit strategy.  Over the past month, the US Dollar posted a  modest rally against major currencies, and then declined in the past week as sovereign debt issues eased.  This issue , our featured economic statistic is chain store same store sales as reported by ICSC, which cover approximately 80 chains, and confirm  a  consistent, although rather modest, recovery in retail sales vs 2009.

Commodity Markets

1,017  

Unleaded Retail Gas (US Avg)

Unleaded Rack (US Avg)

Rack to Retail Spread

Other Commodity Markets

Gold 

Silver

478      

356      

84.87  

11.31  

2.83     

2.27     

0.55     

1,126  

18         

471      

347      

487     

363     

78.70  

11.45  

2.71     

2.15     

1.35     

94.40  

‐ 6 Mos

1.07    

70.82  

3.78    

2.46    

1.82    

0.64    

89.53  89.02  

2.81     

17        

2.17     

0.64     

1,110  

17         

3.94%

4.81%

1.89%

2.86%

3.96%

4.62%

USD / CAD

Market Commentary

506      

0.56     

1,135  

17         

1.36     

Foreign Exchange

Dollar Index (USD/Basket)

92.52  

1.03     

Pound / USD

Euro / USD

USD / Yen

0.25%

0.44%

0.92%

3.25%

0.75%

81.01  

1.53     

1.01     

100.99

3.25%

0.50%

84.17  

1.48     

1.34     

1.59    

1.46    

1.49     

1.34     

1.50     

1.81%

2.58%

3.39%

3.91%

0.25%

0.40%

0.58%

1.85%

2.89%

3.69%

1.90%

2.47%

3.13%

3.49%

LIBOR

1 Month

3 Month

1 Year

Other Key Rates

10 Year

30 Year

Swaps

0.50%

1.72%

1.95%

0.23%

0.38%

0.84%

3.68%

4.64%

3.86%

4.77%

1.79%

2.71%

1.66%

2.55%

3.64%

4.39%

Prime

Discount

3.22%

4.02%

0.25%

0.44%

0.91%

3.25%

76.64  

0.62%

1.24%

3.25%

0.50%

3.79%

4.50%

0.75%

81.68  

3.25%

0.75%

80.43  

3 Year

5 Year

10 Year

30 Year

Treasury Rates

4/5/10 ‐ 1 Wk ‐ 1 Mo ‐ 6 Mos ‐ 1 Yr

2.21%

0.13%

0.34%

6 Month

1 Year

5 Year

0.19%

0.33%

2.34%

0.23%

0.38%

2.60%

0.24%

0.41%

2.67%

‐ 1 Yr

1.24     

376      Corn

Featured Commodity Graphic

48.39  

9.52     

2.04     

1.46     

0.58     

893      

13         

646      

454      

Wheat

4/5/10 ‐ 1 Wk ‐ 1 Mo

Energy Markets

Crude (W. TX Cushing Spot)

Crack Spread (NYMEX 3‐2‐1)

80.20  

10.98  

1.03     

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

Dec‐08 Feb‐09 Apr‐09 Jun‐09 Aug‐09 Oct‐09 Dec‐09 Feb‐10

Crack S

pread

Spot Pr

ice

Crude Spot vs Refining Spread

Spot Price 321 Crack M1Source: Bloomberg

(10.00)

(8.00)

(6.00)

(4.00)

(2.00)

2.00 

4.00 

6.00 

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun July Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

Chain Store Monthly Same Store Sales % Change

2008 2009 2010Source: ICSC

1.50%

2.00%

2.50%

3.00%

3.50%

4.00%

4.50%

5.00%

3 Year 5 year 10 year 30 year

Swap Curve

4/5/2010 ‐1 Month ‐6 Month ‐1 Year

1.00

1.20

1.40

1.60

1.80

2.00

2.20

2.40

2.60

2.80

3.00

1.00

1.20

1.40

1.60

1.80

2.00

2.20

2.40

Dec‐08 Mar‐09 Jun‐09 Sep‐09 Dec‐09 Mar‐10

Gross R

etail

 Price

 $ 

Reg. Un

leaded R

ack P

rice  $

Rack vs Retail Price 

Rack Price Retail Price

270,000 

280,000 

290,000 

300,000 

310,000 

320,000 

330,000 

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun July Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

Regular Gasoline Deliveries By Prime Supplier

2008 2009 2010Average gallons/Day: Source:DOE

Page 3:

 

Call Protection

Other Advantages / Disadvantages

Other General Comments

Issuers / Providers

General Structure / Issue 

Size

Cost of Capital

Interest Type

Advance Rate

Senior Term Debt 

Senior Debt Asset Based

Mortgage Financing

High YieldMezzanine / Sub‐

DebtPrivate Equity Sale Lease‐Back

Bank and non-bank lenders (e.g., lif e

companies, capt ive subs of large commercial banks, st and-alone

f inance companies, and f inance arms of large

Inst it ut ional invest ors.

Privat e invest ment f unds / hedge f unds, capt ive subsidiar ies of large

commercial banks and st and-alone f inance

companies.

Privat e equit y / hedge f unds and capt ive

subsidiar ies of large commercial banks.

Individual ret ail invest ors, pr ivat e real

est at e companies, REIT's, developers and privat e

equit y / hedge f unds.

Amort izing t erm loan $5 t o $50 million.

Term loan.

Non-amort izing; bullet mat urit y. Suggest ed minimum t ransact ion

size of $125 t o $150 million. Absolut e

minimum EBITDA of $30 million.

Issue size generally $20 t o $200 million.

From a single asset t o a t ot al issue size up t o $300

million.

Fixed: Swaps + approx. 350-450 bps.

Variable: Libor + approx. 350-450 bps.

Term / Amortization

Collateral / Security

Typical Covenants

Reduced base of t radit ional lenders

including nat ional, super-regional, regional and

local banks.

Bank and non-bank lenders (e.g., capt ive

subs. of large commercial banks, st and-alone

f inance companies, and f inance arms of large

diversif ied

Revolver and/ or f unded t erm loan. Issue size may

det ermine need f or syndicat ion on a best

ef f ort s or underwrit t en basis.

Revolver - generally.

Libor + 375-500 bps.Libor + approx. 350-450

bps.

Capacit y limit ed by leverage. Availabilit y up

4.5x lease adjust ed leverage.

Capacit y limit ed by asset coverage. Typically <70%

of A/ R and invent ory balances.

Term of 5 years. Amort izat ion up t o 20

years.

1 t o 3 years - generally. Int erest only.

Senior lien on all long-t erm asset s. Personal guarant ies most likely

required f or smaller companies.

A/ R, invent ory and ot her available asset s.

Numerous balance sheet and income st at ement

covenant s.

Treasur ies plus 350 t o 650 bps.

Generally pr icing in t he t eens. May include

warrant s.20% - 30%.

7.5% t o 12% depending on t enant credit , remaining

primary lease t erm, escalat ions, unit

economics, asset qualit y and concept (as appropriat e) .

Fixed t o swaps and var iable.

Var iable.Long-t erm f ixed rat e

f inancing (can be var iable).

Fixed.Fixed / Variable. May

include PIK component .May include pref erred dividends - cash or PIK.

Fixed - wit h per iodic escalat ions.

60% t o 70% loan t o real est at e value.

Generally up t o 4X f irm cash f low.

Generally up t o 6X f irm cash f low depending on nat ure of asset s ( f ee RE

vs leased RE).

Invest ors will t ypically desire aggressive levels of leverage in order t o

maximize ret urn on invest ed equit y.

100% of real est at e value.

10 t o 30 years.Generally 7 t o 10 years. Non-amort izing; bullet

mat ur it y.

Term is generally less t han 7 years.

Amort izat ion varies.Generally 3 t o 5 years.

Pr imary t erm 15 t o 20 years plus mult iple

t enant opt ion t erms.

Specif ic real est at e asset s.

Senior, senior-subordinat ed or

subordinat ed lien on specif ic or all long-t erm

asset s.

First or second lien on all asset s. Personal

guarant ies may be required f or smaller

companies.

Warrant s / shares wit h put r ight s and ot her subst ant ial minorit y

prot ect ions. May have out r ight cont rol.

Lessor owns asset s.

N/ A N/ A

Numerous balance sheet and income st at ement

covenant s.

Minimum balance sheet covenant s. Moderat e

income st at ement coverage t ypes of

covenant s.

Numerous balance sheet and income st at ement

covenant s - but generally less rest r ict ive t han bank

covenant s.

Moderat e balance sheet and income st at ement covenant s (subject t o

senior lender requirement s). May

cont ain cont rol provisions.

Cont rol provisions / board represent at ions.

Yield maint enance f or f ixed lit t le or no premium

f or f loat ing rat e.

Pre-payable wit h lit t le or no call premiums.

Yield maint enance f or f ixed lit t le or no premium

f or f loat ing rat e.

Non-callable f or 3/ 4 years; t hereaf t er at set

premiums.

Non-callable / make-whole payment s.

Capital Markets

Negot iable cont rol and governance issues. No

public disclosure of f inancial perf ormance.

Minimal covenant s, higher advance rat es and

abilit y t o cont rol t he propert y f or up t o 50

years t hrough opt ions.

Select lenders are get t ing more act ive in

t he indust ry. Underwrit ing is

conservat ive, but t here is debt available.

The Asset Based Lending market is dr iven by current economic

condit ions, cont ract ion in t he t radit ional bank market and a renewed f ocus on st ruct ure and collat eral by issuers.

May be expensive t o pre-pay.

The high yield market may ent ert ain lower

rat ed issuers as invest ors may be willing t o t ake on great er r isk in t he search

f or yield.

Credit requirement s include a st rong,

sust ainable cash f low, growt h pot ent ial in

revenue and cash f low, st rong asset base and

experienced management t eams wit h

ownership posit ion.

May be usef ul f or growt h capit al / acquisit ions /

large project f inancing. Requirement s would

include current or near t erm prof it abilit y, st rong

management t eam.

Market is gaining some liquidit y result ing in

compressed cap rat es.

No public disclosure of f inancial perf ormance.

No public disclosure of f inancial perf ormance.

No public disclosure of f inancial perf ormance.

Least rest r ict ive covenant package. S&P

and Moody's rat ing required. Public

disclosure requirement s / Sarbanes Oxley.

No public disclosure of f inancial perf ormance.

Premium pricing t o public bond.

Minimal covenant s.

 

Page 4:

 

($M M , Except per Share Data)

Indexes

Dow Jones Industrial Avg

S&P 500

SPDR S&P Retail ETF

Trefethen Advisors C‐Store

Convenience

ALIMENTATION COUCHE‐TARD ‐B

CASEY'S GENERAL STORES INC

PANTRY INC

SUSSER HOLDINGS CORP

Refining

ALON USA ENERGY INC

DELEK US HOLDINGS INC

HESS CORP

HOLLY CORP

MARATHON OIL CORP

MURPHY OIL CORP

SUNOCO INC

TESORO CORP

WESTERN REFINING INC

Major Oil

BP PLC

CHEVRON CORP

CONOCOPHILLIPS

EXXON MOBIL CORP

ROYAL DUTCH SHELL PLC‐A SHS

TOTAL SA

Drug

CVS CAREMARK CORP

WALGREEN CO

Restaurant

BURGER KING HOLDINGS INC

DARDEN RESTAURANTS INC

MCDONALD'S CORP

STARBUCKS CORP

YUM! BRANDS INC

Grocery

KROGER CO

SAFEWAY INC

Home Improvement

HOME DEPOT INC

LOWE'S COS INC

Discount

DOLLAR GENERAL CORP

FAMILY DOLLAR STORES

WAL‐MART STORES INC

Equity Markets

Security Ticker

ATD.B

SUSS

Last   (4/1/10) 52W High 52W Low

Enterprise Value

Selected Financial Data (US$)

LTM EBITDA

$ in Local Currency

Mkt CapNet Debt

TTM    EPS

18.42       

10,927    

1,178       

41.80       

27.33       

8.57           147         

601          

89             

PTRY

Most Recent Qtr End

01/10

12/09

01/10

12/10

CASY

XRT

HOC

WNR

ALJ

DK

XOM

MRO

HES

MUR

SUN

TSO

WAG

CVS

YUM

BKC

MCD

RDSA

BP

CVX

FP

COP

LOW

WMT

FDO

DG

SBUX

DRI

SWY

KR

HD

12/09

12/09

12/09

12/09

12/09

12/09

12/09

12/09

12/09

12/09

01/10

12/09

12/10

12/09

12/10

02/10

12/09

12/09

12/09

02/10

12/09

7.47          

31.65       

12.57       

32.09       

63.70       

57.64       

11/10

01/10

12/09

01/10

01/10

01/10

12/09

12/09 7.40          

67.61       

1,924.50

631.30    

76.69       

30.76       

14.39       

28.47       

5.58          

55.49       

37.00       

21.09       

67.58       

24.24       

44.50       

25.34       

43.64       

52.02       

37.75       

36.23       

39.20       

33.53       

16.30       

15.90       

12.41       

25.52       

10,956    

1,181       

41.98       

27.33       

22.24       

14.86       

33.06       

25.97       

35.71       

69.74       

65.12       

34.49       

18.77       

21.88       

32.38       

24.54       

24.10       

46.74       

54.13       

40.69       

76.54       

1,973.00

640.10    

81.09       

56.27       

37.20       

25.41       

24.80       

32.98       

67.71       

26.00       

39.24       

6.52         

26.51       

7,751      

815           

23.39      

16.80      

12.24      

8.11         

23.58      

12.00      

27.15      

46.33      

43.46      

25.31       

45.29       

38.27       

426.50   

60.88      

34.72      

37.52      

5.65         

63.56      

1,403.00

21.45      

10.62      

16.71      

4.03         

47.35      

25.52      

21.00      

22.27      

18.02      

17.87      

19.45      

28.66      

15.61      

51.76      

10.95      

29.94      

26.34      

27.38      

1,611     

285         

3,379     

1,512     

499         

405         

402         

22,732  

20,845  

11,017  

3,597     

2,023     

102,485

79,429  

36,936  

319,205

179,520

181,021

154,021

208,587

5,120     

9,852     

14,139  

54,830  

72,713  

18,020  

18,396  

8,698     

724        

403        

29           

1,058    

6,475    

3,105    

273        

2,087    

1,428    

582        

1,042    

897        

249        

35,421  

6,256     

50,378  

2,853     

1,786    

14,581 

28,111 

(1,257)  

25,314 

26,039 

35,593 

4,430    

7,632    

719        

8,782    

(807)       

1,433    

2,913    

(119)       

3,181    

4,103        

551            

1,641        

1,343        

29,207      

24,094      

11,290      

6,246        

3,451        

2,682        

1,541        

1,310        

8,255    

4,023    

(746)       

10,084 

207,581   

156,454   

118,053   

108,130   

651            

322,771   

206,538   

14,282      

21,845      

21,398      

3,572        

81,496      

17,226      

7,689        

36,190      

60,499      

2.04 

244,180   

5,001        

11,879      

1.44 

0.12 

2.16 

(0.25)

1.71 

2.28 

3.87 

(3.12)

(1.02)

0.35 

(4.50)

63,085      

39,444      

(2.84)

0.10 

2.29 

1.51 

4.15 

0.75 

2.14 

2.59 

N/A

0.88 

5.26 

3.79 

3.26 

259          

208          

5,507     

4,181     

2,265     

281          

18             

613          

443          

185          

1.56 

1.20 

2.98 

(2.46)

0.03 

3.99 

31,107  

639          

1,210     

3,730     

6,609     

4,846     

1,505     

954          

2,517     

4                

3.73 

2.15 

2,143     

436          

7,996     

17,606  

4,434     

7,827     

38,156  

29,079  

33,392  

26,432  

22,234  

 

Page 5:

 

($M M , Except per Share Data)

Indexes

Dow Jones Industrial Avg

S&P 500

SPDR S&P Retail ETF

Trefethen Advisors C‐Store

Convenience

ALIMENTATION COUCHE‐TARD ‐B

CASEY'S GENERAL STORES INC

PANTRY INC

SUSSER HOLDINGS CORP

Refining

ALON USA ENERGY INC

DELEK US HOLDINGS INC

HESS CORP

HOLLY CORP

MARATHON OIL CORP

MURPHY OIL CORP

SUNOCO INC

TESORO CORP

WESTERN REFINING INC

Major Oil

BP PLC

CHEVRON CORP

CONOCOPHILLIPS

EXXON MOBIL CORP

ROYAL DUTCH SHELL PLC‐A SHS

TOTAL SA

Drug

CVS CAREMARK CORP

WALGREEN CO

Restaurant

BURGER KING HOLDINGS INC

DARDEN RESTAURANTS INC

MCDONALD'S CORP

STARBUCKS CORP

YUM! BRANDS INC

Grocery

KROGER CO

SAFEWAY INC

Home Improvement

HOME DEPOT INC

LOWE'S COS INC

Discount

DOLLAR GENERAL CORP

FAMILY DOLLAR STORES

WAL‐MART STORES INC

PTRY

Price / Earnings

LTMCY      (Est)

+1Y   (Est)

SUSS

CASY

Ticker

ATD.B

XRT

71.4    

14.7    

(50.3)   

Total Debt / LTM EBITDA

LTM Lease Adj Leverage (Est)

Leverage

Equity Markets (Continued)

EV / EBITDA

LTMCY      (Est)

+1Y   (Est)

Total Debt

Security

RDSA

BP

CVX

FP

COP

HOC

WNR

ALJ

DK

XOM

MRO

HES

MUR

SUN

TSO

LOW

WMT

FDO

DG

SBUX

DRI

SWY

KR

HD

WAG

CVS

YUM

BKC

MCD

12.7    

81.3    

(1.2)      

(3.0)      

246.7  

12.4  

21.0  

14.1  

11.0  

9.4     

14.5  

12.6  

28.7  

654.1

16.6  

N/A

18.8    

27.9    

14.9    

(9.9)      

(14.1)   

11.5    

16.0    

713.4  

14.6    

14.9    

17.2    

(8.9)      

218.8  

20.8    

16.3    

32.3    

17.1    

N/A

20.5    

11.8  

10.1  

9.3     

17.6    

16.9    

941.6  

14.9    

14.0    

14.0    

9.8     

9.7     

8.9     

16.7  

13.0  

13.9  

14.0  

12.5  

15.5  

15.3  

21.9  

15.2  

16.3  

14.9  

15.8  

17.7  

17.4  

N/A

11.3  

9.5     

14.1  

8.3     

6.3     

10.3  

N/A

8.0     

7.8     

8.6     

7.0     

9.4     

8.1     

14.6  

13.8  

14.0  

19.2  

13.7  

14.2  

11.7  

12.4  

11.2  

6.8     

6.2     

6.3     

6.5     

5.3     

5.8     

5.0     

14.5  

12.6  

8.9     

9.0     

22.5  

45.5  

19.3  

8.9     

8.2     

7.7     

7.1     

12.6  

13.5  

13.5  

5.7     

5.9     

7.8     

7.8     

15.0  

14.5  

4.6     

4.8     

3.6     

4.3     

6.5     

3.9     

6.6     

5.6     

6.2     

5.7     

3.8     

4.0     

3.9     

11.9  

6.7     

8.4     

10.0  

8.2     

10.2  

11.4  

9.8     

9.5     

8.1     

8.1     

6.2     

5.9     

5.3     

6.1     

72.8  

166.9

8.5     

10.2  

7.8     

5.5     

7.8     

6.0     

3.0     

3.3     

3.3     

6.3     

3.1     

3.9     

3.4     

4.2     

4.0     

3.8     

5.8     

4.6     

5.5     

8.7     

5.9     

7.5     

4.9     

7.3     

7.1     

9.2     

8.1     

9.5     

9.6     

8.1     

5.5     

8.1     

5.7     

8.8     

7.6     

6.8     

5.4     

5.4     

4.2     

7.5     

9.0     

8.8     

7.5     

6.8     

6.9     

8.4     

6.7     

7.3     

8.1     

6.9     

2,355       

11,175    

862           

421           

182           

1,238       

8,532       

4,467       

1,353       

1,117       

937           

8,056       

3,266       

859           

10,578    

550           

1,693       

6.1     

4.8     

6.1     

5.4     

34,627    

10,608    

26,554    

28,653    

317           

9,605       

35,033    

2,464       

1,841       

707           

41,320    

250           

3,403       

1.4                 

4.7                 

0.7                 

6.0                 

1.5                 

1.1                 

0.6                 

4.0                 

4.2                 

3.8                 

4.0                 

9,682       

5,080       

4.2                          

22.7                       

24.0                       

1.9                          

4,902       

4.7                          

5.5                          

4.2                          

1.8                 

1.9                 

2.2                 

1.5                 

2.0                 

1.3                 

0.4                 

0.5                 

1.4                 

3.2                          

5.8                          

0.7                          

6.5                          

1.7                          

1.8                          

1.0                          

1.3                 

0.4                 

2.8                 

1.0                 

0.4                 

1.2                 

1.6                 

52.1              

81.3              

0.3                 

1.2                 

1.5                 

1.0                 

2.9                          

2.8                          

0.7                          

2.1                          

1.7                          

0.6                          

1.4                          

2.8                          

2.5                          

2.9                          

2.8                          

3.6                          

2.1                          

1.6                          

3.0                          

N/A

3.2                          

2.2                          

1.6                          

Page 6:

 

($USD M M , Except per Share Data and Where Otherwise Noted) Exchange Rate USD/CADValuation Analytics

Latest Fiscal YearLTM as of52‐Week High (CAD) 11/30/200952‐Week Low (CAD) 4/7/2009Daily Volume (30 Day Avg)Current Price (CAD & USD) 4/1/201052‐Week High (% Chg) Market Data52‐Week Low (% Chg) Dividend Yield% 52‐Week Price Range High/Low BetaShares Outstanding Equity FloatMarket Capitalization (CAD & USD) Short Interest (Short Ratio to Daily Trading Volume, # Shares)Total Debt 1 Yr Total ReturnPreferred Stock YTD ReturnMinority Interests Adjusted BetaCash & Equivalents Analysts RecommendationsEnterprise Value Consensus  Ratings (1‐5)

Relative Stock Price Performance ValuationYTD Change ($) Enterprise Value / RevenueYTD Change (%) Enterprise Value / EBITDASpider Retail Index YTD Change (%) Price / Earnings  (P/E)

SalesGross  ProfitOperating ExpenseOperating IncomeEBITDANet IncomeNet Income (Cont'd Ops)Diluted EPS (Cont'd Ops)Margins

Gross  Profit (%)

Operating Income (%)

EBITDA (%)

Net Income (%)Fuel OperationsFuel VolumeFuel Margin ($)Fuel Margin (CPG)Same Store Fuel in USA (%)MerchandiseMerchandise SalesMerchandise Margin ($)Merchandise Margin (%)Same Store Merch in USA (%)Other InformationStore Count (Co‐Op)Capital Expenditures

GraphicsAssetsTotal Current AssetsLong‐Term Assets

Fixed, NetOtherLong Term Investments

Total Long‐Term AssetsTotal AssetsLiabilitiesShort‐Term Liabilities (Excl Debt & Cap Leases)Long‐Term LiabilitiesLong‐Term Debt (Incl Cap Leases)Other Long‐Term LiabilitiesTotal LiabilitiesShareholders' EquityPaid in CapitalPreferred Equity & MinorityRetained EarningsTotal Shareholders' EquityTotal Liabilities & Shareholders' EquityCredit RatingsLong‐Term RatingLong‐Term OutlookCredit MetricsFunded Debt / EBITDA

Lease Adjusted Leverage 1

Total Debt / CapitalCurrent RatioProfitability MetricsReturn on Capital (LTM)Return on Common Equity (5 Yr, LTM)Notes

1     Lease adjusted leverage is calculated as follows: (FY+1 Rent * 8) + LT Debt)) / EBITDAR

18.3%

Alimentation Couche‐Tard, Inc.

04/20091/31/1022.24       12.24       

804,181 

129.9        128           3,379        0.67          

Alimentation Couche‐Tard Inc. operates  a  network of 24‐hour convenience stores. in the United States and Canada.  The Company offers a variety of food and other products, fast‐food services, lottery and gasoline sales, and automated banking machines.

1.01 

18.42         

0.7%862            42.5%

18.28       ‐17.2%50.5% 0.7%61.8% 0.33          

4,103        4.1             

Last Fiscal LTM FY+1 FY+2

‐              ‐11.3%‐              0.55          138            9                 

17.4% 14.2                     12.7            12.4           11.3          Summary Income Statement

(2.40)         0.3                        0.3               0.3              0.2             ‐11.5% 7.0                        6.8               6.6              6.1             

FQ+24/24/05 4/30/06 4/29/07 4/27/08 4/26/09 2/1/09 1/31/10 04/10 Y 04/11 Y

FY Ended Prev LTM Cur LTM FY+1 FY+2 FQ+104/10 Q4 07/10 Q1

3,788        4,230       1,558          1,792        2,005        2,224        2,437        2,398        2,482         8,037          10,157     12,087     15,370     15,781     16,493     15,430       16,190       17,604    

259             332            358            312            405           

N/A N/A N/A N/A1,299          1,460        1,646        1,911        2,032        2,032       

366            403              N/A N/A N/A N/A2,079          N/A N/A N/A N/A

155             196            196            189            254           343             439            492            485            588           

231            272              286              309            50               97              601              619              667            126            173           547           

0.47          272              N/A N/A N/A N/A231           

0.75            0.94           0.94           0.92           1.29          155             196            196            189            254           

17.6% 16.6% 14.5% 15.4%

1.17           1.44             1.47             1.62           0.26          

2.2% 2.6%

16.1%14.5%

1.9% 1.9% 1.6% 1.2% 1.6%

4.3% 4.3% 4.1% 3.2% 3.7%

1.4% 1.8%

3.9%3.3%

3.2% 3.3% 3.0% 2.0% 2.6%

19.4%

4,009         307             376            431            476            636            565            610             

2,232          2,515        3,020        3,457        3,215        3,505       

0.152         6.3% 6.0% 2.9% ‐0.2% ‐6.4% N/A N/A

0.138          0.150        0.143        0.138        0.198        0.161       

5,577         1,251          1,415        1,574        1,748        1,801        1,779        1,855         3,804          4,239        4,617        5,201        5,416        5,324       

33.3%10.4% 5.2% 3.3% 2.5% 0.6% N/A N/A32.9% 33.4% 34.1% 33.6% 33.3% 33.4%

1,949       655           ‐             

4,396         183             245            373            280            238            248            273             

3,605          3,632        4,072        4,068        4,395        4,370       

12.2%18.9%

1,534       

BB+STABLE

1.4             

3,568       

3,405         

Share Price & Volume

Quarterly Margins  ($)

Annual Same Store Sales  / Volume in US (% Chg)

Earnings vs  Valuation

3.2             36.0%1.3             

453           2,034       

338           ‐             

1,196       

2,604       3,568       

719           

862           

Balance Sheet

964           

.0 M

.5 M

1.0 M

1.5 M

2.0 M

2.5 M

3.0 M

3.5 M

0

5

10

15

20

25

A-09 M-09 J-09 J-09 A-09 S-09 O-09 N-09 D-09 J-10 F-10 M-10

VolumeShare Price $ CAD

-

100.0

200.0

300.0

400.0

500.0

600.0

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3

Fiscal 2007 Fiscal 2008 Fiscal 2009 Fiscal 2010

Fuel Margin Merch Margin

(12.0)(10.0)(8.0)(6.0)(4.0)(2.0)

-2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0

10.0

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3

Fiscal 2007 Fiscal 2008 Fiscal 2009 Fiscal 2010

% Change

Same Store Gallons USA Same Store Merch/Service USA

-5.0 10.0 15.0 20.0 25.0 30.0

-0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00 1.20 1.40 1.60 1.80

1/29

/200

6

4/30

/200

6

7/23

/200

6

10/1

5/20

06

2/4/

2007

4/29

/200

7

7/22

/200

7

10/1

4/20

07

2/3/

2008

4/27

/200

8

7/20

/200

8

10/1

2/20

08

2/1/

2009

4/26

/200

9

7/19

/200

9

10/1

1/20

09

1/31

/201

0

Cur

Yr E

st

Nex

t Yr.

Est

PE RatioEPS USD

T12 Diluted EPS PE

 

Page 7:

 

($M M , Except per Share Data)

Valuation Analytics

Latest Fiscal YearLTM as of52‐Week High 10/22/200952‐Week Low 5/13/2009Daily Volume (30 Day Average)Current Price 4/1/201052‐Week High (% Chg) Market Data52‐Week Low (% Chg) Dividend Yield% 52‐Week Price Range High/Low BetaShares Outstanding Equity FloatMarket Capitalization Short Interest (Short Ratio to Daily Trading Volume, # Shares)Total Debt 1 Yr Total ReturnPreferred Stock YTD ReturnMinority Interests Adjusted BetaCash & Equivalents Analysts RecommendationsEnterprise Value Consensus  Ratings (1‐5)

Relative Stock Price Performance ValuationYTD Change ($) Enterprise Value / RevenueYTD Change (%) Enterprise Value / EBITDASpider Retail Index YTD Change (%) Price / Earnings  (P/E)

SalesGross  ProfitOperating ExpenseOperating IncomeEBITDANet IncomeNet Income (Cont'd Ops)Diluted EPS (Cont'd Ops)MarginsGross  Profit (%)Operating Income (%)EBITDA (%)

Net Income (%)Fuel OperationsFuel VolumeFuel Margin ($)Fuel Margin (CPG)Same Store Fuel (%)MerchandiseMerchandise SalesMerchandise Margin ($)Merchandise Margin (%)Same Store Grocery & Other Merch (%)Other InformationStore Count (Co‐Op)Capital Expenditures

GraphicsAssetsTotal Current AssetsLong‐Term Assets

Fixed, NetOtherLong Term Investments

Total Long‐Term AssetsTotal AssetsLiabilitiesShort‐Term Liabilities (Excl Debt & Cap Leases)Long‐Term LiabilitiesLong‐Term Debt (Incl Cap Leases)Other Long‐Term LiabilitiesTotal LiabilitiesShareholders' EquityPaid in CapitalPreferred Equity & MinorityRetained EarningsTotal Shareholders' EquityTotal Liabilities & Shareholders' EquityCredit RatingsLong‐Term RatingLong‐Term OutlookCredit MetricsFunded Debt / EBITDA

Lease Adjusted Leverage 1

Total Debt / CapitalCurrent RatioProfitability MetricsReturn on Capital (LTM)Return on Common Equity (5 Yr, LTM)Notes

1     Lease adjusted leverage is calculated as follows: (FY+1 Rent * 8) + LT Debt)) / EBITDAR

11.2%

Casey's General Stores, Inc.

04/20091/31/1033.06       23.58       

395,522 

50.9           50.05       1,611        3.24          

Casey's  General Stores, Inc. operates  convenience stores in the Midwest.  The Company's  stores, operating under the name Casey's  General Store, carry a  selection of food, beverages, tobacco products, health and beauty aids, automotive products, and other non‐food items, as well as sells gasoline.

6.1%182            17.2%

31.65       ‐4.3%34.2% 0.24%85.1% 0.78          

1,641        3.9             

Last Fiscal LTM FY+1 FY+2

‐              ‐0.5%‐              0.85          153            9                 

17.4% 18.8                     14.1          Summary Income Statement

(0.26)         0.3                        0.3             ‐0.8% 7.5                        6.1             

FQ+24/30/05 4/30/06 4/30/07 4/30/08 4/30/09 1/31/09 1/31/10 04/10 Y 04/11 Y

FY Ended Prev LTM Cur LTM FY+1 FY+2 FQ+104/10 Q4 07/10 Q1

1,140        1,361       457             526            583            686            723            710            775             

2,789          3,494        4,025        4,829        4,688        5,012        4,338          4,596          5,191       

78                107            109            144            150           

N/A N/A N/A N/A379             419            475            542            574            565           

145            187              N/A N/A N/A N/A589              N/A N/A N/A N/A

37                60               62               85               86              130             164            173            211            219           

85               111              115              114            20               38              259              264              268            52               83              214           

0.84            1.24           1.25           1.67           1.68          42                63               63               85               86              

1.66           2.16             2.24             2.25           0.38           0.76          111              N/A N/A N/A N/A85              

14.2%2.8% 3.1% 2.7% 3.0% 3.2%

16.4% 15.1% 14.5% 14.2% 15.4% 17.9%

1.3% 1.7% 1.5% 1.8% 1.8%

4.7% 4.7% 4.3% 4.4% 4.7%

109             125            124            169            160            170            166             1,010          1,098        1,194        1,215        1,242        1,223       

1.9% 4.4% 1.4% ‐2.0% 1.0% N/A N/A0.108          0.114        0.104        0.139        0.129        0.139       

347             401            459            517            564            539            594             928             1,014        1,143        1,270        1,366        1,317       

4.8% 5.7% 4.6% 7.3% 5.9% N/A N/A37.4% 39.5% 40.1% 40.7% 41.3% 40.9%

Balance Sheet

299           ‐             988           65              ‐             

1,507         95                100            91               91               147            120            142             

1,339          1,394        1,448        1,454        1,478        1,469       

167           546           

64              ‐             742           

1,053       1,352       

196           ‐             182           

0.7             18.4%1.3             

12.0%14.4%

806           

‐‐

0.7             

1,352       

Share Price & Volume

Quarterly Margins  ($)

Annual Same Store Sales  / Volume (% Chg)

Earnings vs  Valuation

0.4              6.3              

14.7           

0.4             6.2             

14.1          

42.0%

1,415         

0.131         

1,266         

1.7% 2.5%

6.0%4.3%2.9% 4.3%

.0 M

.2 M

.4 M

.6 M

.8 M1.0 M1.2 M1.4 M1.6 M1.8 M2.0 M

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

A-09 M-09 J-09 J-09 A-09 S-09 O-09 N-09 D-09 J-10 F-10 M-10

VolumeShare Price $

-

20.0

40.0

60.0

80.0

100.0

120.0

140.0

160.0

180.0

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3

Fiscal 2007 Fiscal 2008 Fiscal 2009 Fiscal 2010

Fuel Margin Merch Margin

(6.0)(4.0)(2.0)

-2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0

10.0 12.0

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3

Fiscal 2007 Fiscal 2008 Fiscal 2009 Fiscal 2010

% Change

Same Store Gallons ChangeAverage Grocery & Other Merch. Same-Store

-

5.00

10.00

15.00

20.00

25.00

-

0.50

1.00

1.50

2.00

2.50

1/31

/200

6

4/30

/200

6

7/31

/200

6

10/3

1/20

06

1/31

/200

7

4/30

/200

7

7/31

/200

7

10/3

1/20

07

1/31

/200

8

4/30

/200

8

7/31

/200

8

10/3

1/20

08

1/31

/200

9

4/30

/200

9

7/31

/200

9

10/3

1/20

09

1/31

/201

0

Cur

Yr E

st

Nex

t Yr.

Est

PE RatioEPS

T12 Diluted EPS PE

 

Page 8:

 

($M M , Except per Share Data)

Valuation Analytics

Latest Fiscal YearLTM as of52‐Week High 5/5/200952‐Week Low 3/29/2010Daily Volume (30 Day Average)Current Price  4/1/201052‐Week High (% Chg) Market Data52‐Week Low (% Chg) Dividend Yield% 52‐Week Price Range High/Low BetaShares Outstanding Equity FloatMarket Capitalization Short Interest (Short Ratio to Daily Trading Volume, # Shares)Total Debt 1 Yr Total ReturnPreferred Stock YTD ReturnMinority Interests Adjusted BetaCash & Equivalents Analysts RecommendationsEnterprise Value Consensus Ratings  (1‐5)

Relative Stock Price Performance ValuationYTD Change ($) Enterprise Value / RevenueYTD Change (%) Enterprise Value / EBITDASpider Retail Index YTD Change (%) Price / Earnings  (P/E)

SalesGross  ProfitOperating ExpenseOperating IncomeEBITDANet IncomeNet Income (Cont'd Ops)Diluted EPS (Cont'd Ops)MarginsGross  Profit (%)Operating Income (%)EBITDA (%)

Net Income (%)Fuel OperationsFuel VolumeFuel Margin ($)Fuel Margin, Net of CC (CPG)Same Store Fuel (%)MerchandiseMerchandise SalesMerchandise Margin ($)Merchandise Margin (%)Same Store Merch (%)Other InformationStore Count (Co‐Op)Capital Expenditures

GraphicsAssetsTotal Current AssetsLong‐Term Assets

Fixed, NetOtherLong Term Investments

Total Long‐Term AssetsTotal AssetsLiabilitiesShort‐Term Liabilities (Excl Debt & Cap Leases)Long‐Term LiabilitiesLong‐Term Debt (Incl Cap Leases)Other Long‐Term LiabilitiesTotal LiabilitiesShareholders' EquityPaid in CapitalPreferred Equity & MinorityRetained EarningsTotal Shareholders' EquityTotal Liabilities & Shareholders' EquityCredit RatingsLong‐Term RatingLong‐Term OutlookCredit MetricsFunded Debt / EBITDA

Lease Adjusted Leverage 1

Total Debt / CapitalCurrent RatioProfitability MetricsReturn on Capital (LTM)Return on Common Equity (5 Yr, LTM)Notes

1    Lease adjusted leverage is calculated as follows: (FY+1 Rent * 8) + LT Debt)) / EBITDAR

4.7%

14.8%

The Pantry, Inc.

09/200912/24/09

25.97       12.00       

191,477 

22.7           22.30       285            0.89          

The Pantry, Inc. operates convenience stores  in the southeastern United States.  The Company's stores offer a variety of merchandise and gasoline, as well as ancillary services  designed to appeal to the convenience needs of the customers.  The Pantry's stores are located in FL, NC, SC, KY, IN, TN, VA, and GA.

1,238        ‐34.3%

12.57       ‐51.6%4.7% 0.00%4.1% 1.37          

1,343        3.2             

Last Fiscal

‐              ‐7.5%‐              1.25          180            9                 

17.4% 4.7                        8.3             Summary Income Statement

(1.02)         0.2                        0.2             ‐7.5% 4.8                        5.4             

FY+1 FY+2LTM

FQ+29/29/05 9/28/06 9/27/07 9/25/08 9/24/09 12/25/08 12/24/09 09/10 Y 09/11 Y

FY Ended Prev LTM Cur LTM FY+1 FY+2 FQ+103/10 Q2 06/10 Q3

1,733        1,922       663             799            811            858            901            924            825             

4,429          5,962        6,911        8,996        6,390        8,650        6,494          7,482          7,954       

149             202            118            138            170           

N/A N/A N/A N/A515             597            693            720            731            728           

196            64                 N/A N/A N/A N/A762              N/A N/A N/A N/A

58                89               27               32               59              213             278            213            246            280           

67               (6)                   21                 24               2                  13              208              235              248            49               67              305           

2.64            3.88           1.17           1.43           2.65          58                89               27               32               59              

3.01           (0.25)           1.14             1.52           0.04           0.57          (6)                   N/A N/A N/A N/A67              

10.7%3.4% 3.4% 1.7% 1.5% 2.7%

15.0% 13.4% 11.7% 9.5% 14.1% 12.7%

1.3% 1.5% 0.4% 0.4% 0.9%

4.8% 4.7% 3.1% 2.7% 4.4%

214             281            225            263            314            337            241             1,497          1,758        2,033        2,103        2,078        2,077       

4.7% 3.1% 1.0% ‐4.4% ‐3.3% N/A N/A0.143          0.160        0.111        0.125        0.151        0.162       

449             518            586            595            587            587            585             1,229          1,386        1,576        1,637        1,659        1,631       

5.3% 4.9% 2.3% ‐1.7% 0.0% N/A N/A36.6% 37.4% 37.2% 36.4% 35.4% 36.0%

Balance Sheet

427           ‐             

1,014       672           ‐             

1,658         73                97               146            110            123            99               106             

1,400          1,493        1,644        1,653        1,673        1,648       

189           1,671       

206           ‐             237           

1,686       2,113       

244           ‐             

1,238       

6.5             73.7%1.7             

‐‐1.2%

443           

B+STABLE

6.0             

2,113       

Share Price & Volume

Quarterly Margins  ($)

Annual Same Store Sales  / Volume (% Chg)

Earnings vs  Valuation

0.2               0.2             6.5               5.7             N/M 11.0          

34.7%

1,686         

0.115         

2,096         

0.8% ‐0.1%

3.2%3.5%2.3% 1.0%

.0 M

.2 M

.4 M

.6 M

.8 M

1.0 M

1.2 M

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

A-09 M-09 J-09 J-09 A-09 S-09 O-09 N-09 D-09 J-10 F-10 M-10

VolumeShare Price $

0.0

20.0

40.0

60.0

80.0

100.0

120.0

140.0

160.0

180.0

Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1

F2007 F2008 F2009 F2010

Fuel Margin Merch Margin

(8.0)(6.0)(4.0)(2.0)

-2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0

Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1

F2007 F2008 F2009 F2010

% Change

Fuel Same Store Gallons Merch Same Store Sales

-5.00 10.00 15.00 20.00 25.00 30.00 35.00

-1.0-0.50.00.51.01.52.02.53.03.54.04.5

12/2

9/20

05

3/30

/200

6

6/29

/200

6

9/28

/200

6

12/2

8/20

06

3/29

/200

7

6/28

/200

7

9/27

/200

7

12/2

7/20

07

3/27

/200

8

6/26

/200

8

9/25

/200

8

12/2

5/20

08

3/26

/200

9

6/25

/200

9

9/24

/200

9

12/2

4/20

09

Cur

Yr E

st

Nex

t Yr.

Est

PE RatioEPS

T12 Diluted EPS PE

 

Page 9:

 

($M M , Except per Share Data)

Valuation Analytics

Latest Fiscal YearLTM as of52‐Week High 4/29/200952‐Week Low 12/18/2009Daily VolumeCurrent Price 4/1/201052‐Week High (% Chg) Market Data52‐Week Low (% Chg) Dividend Yield% 52‐Week Price Range High/Low BetaShares Outstanding Equity FloatMarket Capitalization Short Interest (Short Ratio to Daily Trading Volume, # Shares)Total Debt 1 Yr Total ReturnPreferred Stock YTD ReturnMinority Interests Adjusted BetaCash & Equivalents Analysts RecommendationsEnterprise Value Consensus  Ratings (1‐5)

Relative Stock Price Performance ValuationYTD Change ($) Enterprise Value / RevenueYTD Change (%) Enterprise Value / EBITDASpider Retail Index YTD Change (%) Price / Earnings  (P/E)

SalesGross  ProfitOperating ExpenseOperating IncomeEBITDANet IncomeNet Income (Cont'd Ops)Diluted EPS (Cont'd Ops)MarginsGross  Profit (%)Operating Income (%)EBITDA (%)

Net Income (%)Fuel Operations (Incl Wholesale)Fuel VolumeFuel Margin ($)Fuel Margin (CPG)Average Retail Fuel Volume per Store (% Chg)MerchandiseMerchandise SalesMerchandise Margin ($)Merchandise Margin (%)Same Store Merch (%)Other InformationStore Count (Co‐Op)Capital Expenditures

GraphicsAssetsTotal Current AssetsLong‐Term Assets

Fixed, NetOtherLong Term Investments

Total Long‐Term AssetsTotal AssetsLiabilitiesShort‐Term Liabilities (Excl Debt & Cap Leases)Long‐Term LiabilitiesLong‐Term Debt (Incl Cap Leases)Other Long‐Term LiabilitiesTotal LiabilitiesShareholders' EquityPaid in CapitalPreferred Equity & MinorityRetained EarningsTotal Shareholders' EquityTotal Liabilities & Shareholders' EquityCredit RatingsLong‐Term RatingLong‐Term OutlookCredit MetricsFunded Debt / EBITDA

Lease Adjusted Leverage 1

Total Debt / CapitalCurrent RatioProfitability MetricsReturn on Capital (LTM)Return on Common Equity (5 Yr, LTM)Notes

1     Lease adjusted leverage is calculated as follows: (FY+1 Rent * 8) + LT Debt)) / EBITDAR

6.1%

1.3%

Susser Holdings Corporation

12/20091/3/1014.86       8.11          

38,043    

17.1           7.50          147            0.23          

Susser Holdings Corporation owns  and operates convenience stores  and distributes motor fuels. The Company, through its various locations, offers  merchandise, foodservice, motor fuel, and other services.

421            ‐37.5%

8.57          ‐42.3%5.7% 0.00%6.8% 1.18          

551            3.6             

Last Fiscal

‐              ‐0.2%1                  1.12          

18               10              

17.4% 71.4                     9.5             Summary Income Statement

(0.02)         0.2                        0.1             ‐0.2% 6.2                        4.8             

FY+1 FY+2LTM

FQ+212/31/05 12/31/06 12/30/07 12/28/08 1/3/10 12/28/08 1/3/10 12/10 Y 12/11 Y

FY Ended Prev LTM Cur LTM FY+1 FY+2 FQ+103/10 Q1 06/10 Q2

908            954           N/A 221            263            437            427            437            427             N/A 2,265        2,718        4,241        3,307        4,241        3,307          3,843          4,029       

N/A 21               26               66               42              

N/A N/A N/A N/AN/A 200            237            372            385            372           

66               42                 N/A N/A N/A N/A385              N/A N/A N/A N/A

N/A (4)                 16               16               2                 N/A 44               56               107            89              

16               2                    8                    15               (3)                 3                 89                 99                 116            18               27              107           

N/A (0.35)         0.97           0.97           0.12          N/A (4)                 16               16               2                 

0.97           0.12             0.41             0.90           (0.19)         0.20          2                    N/A N/A N/A N/A16              

10.3%N/A 0.9% 1.0% 1.6% 1.3%N/A 9.8% 9.7% 10.3% 12.9% 12.9%

N/A ‐0.2% 0.6% 0.4% 0.1%

N/A 1.9% 2.1% 2.5% 2.7%

N/A 80               93               151            125            151            125             N/A 846            922            1,164        1,214        1,164       

N/A 4.8% 6.3% 2.6% 2.4% N/A N/AN/A 0.094        0.101        0.130        0.103        0.130       

N/A 119            145            251            261            251            261             N/A 365            444            730            784            730           

N/A 6.1% 7.7% 6.6% 3.3% N/A N/AN/A 32.6% 32.5% 34.3% 33.3% 34.3%

Balance Sheet

172           ‐             409           292           ‐             

525             N/A 70               90               69               75               69               75                N/A 325            504            512            525            512           

78              663           

184           1                 

26              

701           873           

163           ‐             421           

5.8             66.7%1.0             

0.3%1.0%

210           

‐‐

4.7             

873           

Share Price & Volume

Quarterly Margins  ($)

Annual Same Store Sales  / Volume (% Chg)

Earnings vs  Valuation

0.2               0.1             6.2               5.6             

71.4            21.0          

33.3%

784             

0.103         

1,214         

0.4% 0.1%

2.7%2.5%1.6% 1.3%

.0 M

.1 M

.1 M

.2 M

.2 M

.3 M

.3 M

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

A-09 M-09 J-09 J-09 A-09 S-09 O-09 N-09 D-09 J-10 F-10 M-10

VolumeShare Price $

0.0

10.0

20.0

30.0

40.0

50.0

60.0

70.0

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

Fiscal 2006 Fiscal 2007 Fiscal 2008 Fiscal 2009

Fuel Margin Merch Margin

(8.0)(6.0)(4.0)(2.0)

-2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0

10.0 12.0 14.0

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

Fiscal 2006 Fiscal 2007 Fiscal 2008 Fiscal 2009

% Change

Average Gallons /Store Retail Merch Same Store Sales

-10.0 20.0 30.0 40.0 50.0 60.0 70.0

-

0.20

0.40

0.60

0.80

1.00

1.20

12/3

0/20

07

3/30

/200

8

6/29

/200

8

9/28

/200

8

12/2

8/20

08

3/29

/200

9

6/28

/200

9

9/27

/200

9

1/3/

2010

Cur Y

r Est

Next

Yr.

Est

PE RatioEPS

T12 Diluted EPS PE

 

Page 10:

10 

 

Indexed to 4/6/09

Comparative Graphics: Convenience Retailing

EV / Corp EBITDA Ratio Price / Earnings  Ratio

LTM Operating Margin (%) Return on Avg Common Equity

52 Week Relative Performance

(60.00)

(40.00)

(20.00)

20.00 

40.00 

60.00 

80.00 

Trailing 12 Months Est.Current Fiscal Year Est. Next Fiscal Year 

ATD  CASY   PTRY    SUSS  

1.00 

2.00 

3.00 

4.00 

5.00 

6.00 

7.00 

8.00 

Trailing 12 Months Est.Current Fiscal Year Est. Next Fiscal Year 

ATD  CASY   PTRY    SUSS  

‐5%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

ATD  CASY   PTRY    SUSS  

LTM ROE 5 year Average ROE 

0.0%

0.5%

1.0%

1.5%

2.0%

2.5%

3.0%

3.5%

4.0%

4.5%

5.0%

ATD  CASY   PTRY    SUSS  

 

0.50 0.70 0.90 1.10 1.30 1.50 1.70

4/6/

2009

4/20

/200

9

5/4/

2009

5/18

/200

9

6/1/

2009

6/15

/200

9

6/29

/200

9

7/13

/200

9

7/27

/200

9

8/10

/200

9

8/24

/200

9

9/7/

2009

9/21

/200

9

10/5

/200

9

10/1

9/20

09

11/2

/200

9

11/1

6/20

09

11/3

0/20

09

12/1

4/20

09

12/2

8/20

09

1/11

/201

0

1/25

/201

0

2/8/

2010

2/22

/201

0

3/8/

2010

3/22

/201

0

ptry US Equity casy US equity suss us equity atd/b cn equity SP 500

Page 11:

11 

 

Store‐Level EBITDA Multiple 1

Corporate EBITDA Multiple 2

BP Products North America, Inc. Atlas Oil Co.Exploitation Quali‐T, Inc. Alimentation Couche‐Tard, Inc.Cody's Convenience Stores Kum & GoExxonMobil Alimentation Couche‐Tard, Inc.Jack In The Box, Inc. Various  Crescent Oil Co. Florida  Sunshine InvestmentsAppalachain Oil Company, Inc. Florida  Sunshine InvestmentsExxonMobil White Oak Petroleum, LLCPilot Travel Centers Flying JGetty Petroleum Marketing, Inc. LUKOIL North America, LLCPICS Marketing/Riggerunner Prop Casey's General Stores, Inc.Green Lantern Stores Casey's General Stores, Inc.New England Pantry 7‐Eleven, Inc.Shell Oil PacWest Energy, LLCUni‐Marts, Inc. Various   Alimentation Couche‐Tard, Inc. Accel Mareting, Inc.Thorntons, Inc. Cumberland Farms, Inc.

C‐Store M&A Valuation & Transactions

C‐Store M&A Valuation MetricsFee Owned Real EstateLow High Low High

Leasehold

Announced C‐Store M&A Transactions

5.0x

4.0x

7.0x

6.0x 2.0x 3.0x

2.5x 3.5x

Apr‐09Jun‐09Aug‐09Sep‐09Sep‐09

1   The above capital market multiples were derived by Trefethen Advisors, LLC based on an analysis of private transactions, involving the sale of petroleum retailing/convenience store companies and/or specific assets, from interviews with active buyers and sellers, and from analysis of publicly available information relating to the industry.  All transactions were analyzed using a consistent methodology.  The multiples above reflect a composite of transactions, interviews and other publicly available information, and do not reflect the multiple for any individual transaction.  The above multiples do not reflect transactions involving individual assets, which may be significantly higher (or lower) for certain types.

2  Trefethen Advisors, LLC  has not independently verified any of the information supplied to it by third parties or otherwise made available through publicly available information. Accordingly, Trefethen Advisors, LLC does not make any representation or warranty, express or implied, as to the accuracy or completeness of such information or the effect thereof in deriving the overall capital market multiples listed above.

Jan‐09Feb‐09Mar‐09

57               13               37               

Purchase Price

Not Disclosed

Comments

Not DisclosedNot Disclosed

Date Target Stores Location Acquirer

IL

Dec‐09Jan‐10Jan‐10Jan‐10

Oct‐09Nov‐09Nov‐09Nov‐09Dec‐09

‐             164            

9                  3                  

58               

43               55               30               47               36               

CanadaMO

NationalWest Coast

MidwestKY, TN, VAD.C./MDNational

MA

North EastMOKS

WANY, OH, PA

NCCT

66               204            

8                  4                  

 branded gas stations; 339 supply contracts‐                                                                                            ‐                                                                                            ‐                                                                                            

JV between Shell and Jacksons Food Stores144 assets to Kwik Pik, LLC

‐                                                                                            ‐                                                                                            

Not DisclosedNot DisclosedNot DisclosedNot Disclosed

Not Disclosed$195.5MM

Not DisclosedNot DisclosedNot Disclosed

Not DisclosedNot DisclosedNot DisclosedNot DisclosedNot Disclosed

‐                                                                                            ‐                                                                                            ‐                                                                                            

On‐The Run  Franchise System; 43 stores Quick Stuff

‐                                                                                            APPCO

‐                                                                                            ‐                                                                                            

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Page 12:

12 

 

Earnings Announcements (Continued from Page 1) 

Casey’s General Stores, Inc. (CASY) reported on March 8, 2010 the results for its third quarter of fiscal 2010 ending January 31, 2010.  Earnings were up slightly with a positive impact from fuel margins and a higher prepared food margin.   Highlights include:    Income   Net income for the quarter was $17.2 million, or $0.34 per diluted share, compared to net income of $14.0 million, or $0.28 per diluted share, for the third quarter of fiscal 2009.    EBITDA  EBITDA for the third quarter of fiscal 2010 was $48.7 million, versus $42.2 for the third quarter last year.  Merchandise  Revenues for the third quarter increased 5.3% overall.  On a same store basis, grocery and other sales were up 1.7%, and prepared food & fountain sales were up 1.4%.   The merchandise and other gross margin was 32.7%, compared to 32.9% a year ago.  Prepared food & fountain gross margin was 62.8%.  Total merchandise gross profit was $138 million, up 5.9% from a year ago.         Fuel  Retail fuel gallons sold in the third quarter were up .75% overall, but down 2.9% on a comparable store basis.  Retail fuel margin for the first quarter was $0.124 cents per gallon, versus $0.099 cents per gallon for the same period last year.    

Susser Holdings Corporation (SUSS) reported on February 26, 2010 the results for the fourth quarter and the full year ended January 3, 2010.  Susser reported lower earnings for the year, and a loss for the quarter due to cigarette tax increases, increased sales of lower margin items, and compressed fuel margins due to higher fuel costs.   

Income   The Company reported a net loss of $5.7 million, or $0.33 per diluted share, versus net income of $6.3 million, or $0.37 per diluted share, for the fourth quarter of last year.  

EBITDA   EBITDA for the fourth quarter totaled $14.0 million, compared with $29.5 million a year ago.   

Merchandise  Merchandise revenues for the fourth quarter increased 9.5% overall, but declined 1.2% on a comparable store basis from the corresponding period last year.  The merchandise gross margin was 32.7%, compared with 34.6% a year ago.  Total merchandise gross profit for the quarter was $65.9, up 3.6% from a year ago.   Fuel    Retail fuel gallons sold in the fourth quarter increased 4.2% overall, but average gallons sold declined 5.9% from the same period last year.  Total retail fuel gross profit for the quarter was $22.2 million, down 30.0% from the previous year.   Retail fuel margin before credit card for the first quarter was $0.119 cents per gallon, versus $0.177 cents per gallon for the same period last year.   

 

The Pantry Inc. (PTRY) reported on February 2, 2010 the results for its first fiscal quarter of fiscal 2010 ending December 24, 2009.  The company’s results for the quarter were dramatically worse than the same period last year as a result of lower fuel margins and, to a lesser extent, merchandise gross profit as a result of cigarette tax increases. Highlights include:    

Income  Net loss for the quarter was $26.1 million, or $1.17 per share, compared to net income of $38.5 million, or $1.73 per diluted share, for the first quarter of fiscal 2009.   

EBITDA EBITDA for the first quarter of fiscal 2010 was $40.3 million, versus $112.2 million for the first quarter last year.  Adjusted EBITDA, which includes the lease payments under lease finance obligations as a deduction to EBITDA, was $28.4 million, versus $100.5 million for the first quarter last year.     Merchandise Merchandise revenues for the first quarter increased 7.0% overall, and 5.2% on a comparable store basis from the corresponding period last year.  The merchandise gross margin was 32.6%, compared with 35.5% a year ago.  Total merchandise gross profit for the quarter was $136.3, down 2.0% from a year ago.   Fuel  Retail fuel gallons sold in the first quarter increased 3.7% overall, and 0.8% on a comparable store basis.  Total fuel gross profit for the quarter was $57.3 million, down 56.0% from the previous year.   Retail fuel margin for the first quarter was $0.11 cents per gallon, versus $0.26 cents per gallon for the same period last year.  The Pantry, Inc. reports fuel gross profit per gallon inclusive of credit card processing fees, and cost of repairs and maintenance on fuel equipment.  

Other  Non‐cash impairment charge $.90 per share, primarily attributable to a reduction in the carrying value of the Petro Express® trade name and certain land parcels, was incurred. 

 

 

 

 

 

Page 13:

13 

 

Other M&A News 

Alimentation Couche‐Tard Inc. announced on April 9, 2010 that it had submitted a proposal to the Board of Directors of Casey’s General Stores, Inc. to acquire all of the outstanding shares of common stock of Casey’s for $36.00 per share.  The offer represents a 14% premium over Casey’s closing price of $31.59 per share on April 8, 2010.  On a fully diluted basis, the offer implies a total enterprise value of $1.9 billion, including net debt of approximately $29 million. 

Shortly after Couche‐Tard issued its press release, Casey’s announced that its Board of Directors had received and reviewed Couche‐Tard’s unsolicited offer, and unanimously rejected the proposal as it was not in the best interests of the corporation. 

Gulf Oil, L.P., a wholly owned subsidiary of Cumberland Farms, Inc., on January 13 announced its intentions to execute a significant geographic brand expansion.  

The “Gulf” brand, one of the petroleum industry’s most venerable, has been in existence for almost 110 years.  However, for the last 20 years, Gulf branded gasoline in the continental U.S. has only been available in an eleven‐state region in the Northeast through a licensing agreement between Gulf Oil L.P.’s parent company and Chevron U.S. A. Inc. 

Effective January 12, 2010, Gulf Oil L.P. acquired all rights, title and interest to the “Gulf” brand in the U.S. Gulf Oil now controls the right to market the brand throughout the United States and its territories.  This acquisition enables Gulf Oil to expand its use of the Gulf brand throughout the U.S for the first time since it first acquired certain right to the brand in 1986.   

Alimentation Couche‐Tard  Inc., on January 12, 2010 announced that it had signed an agreement, through its subsidiary Circle K Stores Inc.,  to acquire eight stores in central North Carolina from Accel Marketing LLC, which operates under the Accel banner.  The transaction is anticipated to close in April 2010. 

Uni‐Marts, Inc., announced on January 8, 2010 the final closings on the sale of its 204 convenience stores.  As reported in CSP Daily News in October, Kwik Pik LLC, an affiliate of Lehigh Gas Corp., purchased 144 of the stores, and the remaining 60 sites were divided among 25 other purchasers. 

Thorntons Inc., an operator of 161 convenience stores across five states in the Midwest and Southern U.S., sold its four Connecticut convenience store locations to Framingham, Massachusetts‐based Cumberland Farms.  Thorntons sold these locations to focus on its core operations in the Midwest and South, regions in which it continues to build and expand.  As a result of this sale, Thorntons now only operates stores in Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky, Ohio and Tennessee. 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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14 

 

Featured Article: What a Difference a Year may Make 

 

C‐Store operators, interested in selling any businesses assets in the near‐term, should consider the financial impact of the expected increases at the end of this year in both the federal ordinary income (“Ordinary Income”) tax rate and the federal long‐term capital gains (“LTCG”) tax rate.  These tax rate changes would materially impact the sale of individual assets, such as sale lease‐back transactions, individual stores and entire businesses. 

By way of background, in 2001, then‐President George W. Bush signed into law legislation that temporarily decreased the highest Ordinary Income tax rate to 35.0% from 39.6%.  In 2003, he signed The Jobs and Growth Tax Relief Reconciliation Act (“JGTRRA”) which, among other things, reduced the LTCG tax rate to 15.0% from 20.0% for most taxpayers.  Originally set to expire after five years at the end of 2008, the tax breaks granted under JGTRRA were extended for an additional two years in 2006 under the Tax Increase Prevention and Reconciliation Act (“TIPRA”), which was enacted by  then‐President George W. Bush.    If Congress doesn’t pass new  legislation  further extending  the current Ordinary  Income tax rate and LTCG tax rate, for many taxpayers they will automatically  increase by 13.1% and 33.3 %  (i.e., revert back to 39.6% and 20.0%, respectively) at the end of this year.  Given the need to raise revenue in order to bring down the U.S. budget deficit, which at $1.4 trillion currently stands at its highest level relative to the economy since WWII, Congress is not only contemplating allowing these tax breaks to sunset, but also discussing increasing the LTCG tax rate to a level above the previous one of 20.0%. 

To illustrate the potential financial impact of selling prior to an increase in both the current Ordinary Income and LTCG tax rates, as opposed to afterwards at the “old” rates of 35.0% and 20.0%, respectively, we’ve prepared the following simplified example using a fictitious C‐Store operator called Shop & Gas (“SAG”).  Assume the 100% shareholder of SAG (“Seller” or “Owner”) is exploring an asset sale of the company, which has no indebtedness and, over the last twelve months, has revenue of $200.0 million and earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA) at the corporate level of $10.0 million.  SAG’s adjusted basis in the assets, after accumulated depreciation of $7.5 million, is $22.5 million. 

At a purchase price equal to 6.0x forward corporate EBITDA, Seller would receive pre‐tax proceeds of $60.0 million.  Owner would realize a gain of $37.5 million which, under the current federal tax rates, would be taxed $7.2 million (e.g., $7.5 million of depreciation recapture at the current Ordinary Income tax rate of 35.0%, which would equal $2.6 million; and the remaining gain of $30.0 million at the present LTCG tax rate of 15.0%, which would equal $4.5 million), resulting in net proceeds before any state taxes of $52.9 million.  However, should Owner decide to wait and sell SAG’s assets until after the expiration of the current tax breaks, Seller would pay an additional $1.8 million in taxes, due to the 13.1% increase in the Ordinary Income tax rate to 39.6%, and the 33.3% increase in the LTCG tax rate to 20.0%.  The tax bite would be  larger  if one, or both, of  the  tax  rates  increased even  further, which  is possible given  the  revenue  issues presently  facing  the  federal government. 

As the average sell‐side transaction takes approximately three to six months from start to finish to successfully complete, we encourage all C‐Store operators, who may have an  interest  in selling their businesses  in the near‐term, to consider the potential  impact of these changes.  Trefethen Advisors, LLC can assist owners  in evaluating various sale strategies, and understanding the potential  impact of these  impending changes to the federal tax rates. 

 The information contained herein is general in nature and based on authorities that are subject to change.  Nothing contained in this communication is intended to constitute tax advice.  Applicability to specific situations can only be determined through consultation with your financial adviser. 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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15 

 

C o n v e n i e n c e   S t o r e   ⎟   R e t a i l   P e t r o l e u m   M a r k e t   N e w s  

 

 

  About Trefethen Advisors, LLC  Trefethen Advisors, LLC is a privately‐owned investment and merchant banking firm focused on providing strategy‐led advice and capital to the multi‐unit retail industry.  Since its inception in 2002, the firm has completed more than 45 transactions with a combined value in excess of $4.0 billion.  Trefethen Advisors has delivered a range of services on a national basis to leading operating companies, financial institutions and investors in the multi‐unit retail industry, including: identifying and negotiating value‐enhancing acquisitions; executing exclusive sales and divestitures; arranging  debt  and  equity  financings  for  acquisitions,  growth  capital  and  recapitalizations;  negotiating  complex  financial  restructurings; advising and executing on various asset optimization strategies; and  investing as a principal where Trefethen Advisors’  industry expertise, transaction experience and capital can be a catalyst for value creation.       

Trefethen Advisors, LLC 6710 East Camelback Road, Suite 200 

Scottsdale, Arizona  85251  

Tel: (480) 922‐9966     Fax: (480) 922‐1666 www.trefethenadvisors.com 

       Trefethen Advisors, LLC Disclaimer  The  information contained herein  is not a complete analysis of every material  fact  respecting any company,  industry or security. Although opinions and estimates expressed herein  reflect  the  current  judgment  of  Trefethen  Advisors,  LLC  and  are  given  in  good  faith,  neither  Trefethen  Advisors,  LLC,  its  associates  nor  any  person  involved  in  the preparation of this publication is under any obligation to update these opinions or estimates if any of them become aware of change or inaccuracy in the information upon which such opinions and estimates are based.  The information upon which such opinions and estimates are based is not necessarily updated on a regular basis.  In addition, opinions and estimates are subject to change without notice.  This Report contains forward‐looking statements, which involve risks and uncertainties.  Actual results may differ materially from the results described in the forward‐ looking statements.  This material is for your information only and is not a solicitation, or an offer, to buy or sell securities mentioned.  Neither Trefethen Advisors, LLC, its associates nor any person involved in the preparation of this publication accepts any liability or responsibility whatsoever for the accuracy or completeness of this publication and none of them makes any representation or warranty in relation thereto. Trefethen Advisors, LLC, each of its associates and every person involved in the preparation of this publication expressly disclaim all liability  for  any  loss  or  damage  of whatsoever  kind  (whether  foreseeable  or  not) which may  arise  from  any  person  acting  on  any  statements  contained  in  this  publication notwithstanding any negligence, default or lack of care.    This publication has been prepared without consideration of the particular investment objectives, financial situation and needs of recipients.  In all cases recipients should conduct their own  investigation and analysis of the  information contained  in this publication.   No recipient should act on the basis of any matter contained  in this publication without considering and, if necessary, taking appropriate legal, financial and other professional advice upon the recipient’s own particular circumstances. 

 

    Trefethen Advisors  

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