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@tomfrazier Startup Research Don’t build shoe umbrellas
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How to do startup research

Dec 18, 2014

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Technology

Tom Frazier

A primer on the necessary concepts you should apply before you start the most amazing idea ever.
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Page 1: How to do startup research

@tomfrazier

Startup ResearchDon’t build shoe umbrellas

Page 2: How to do startup research

@tomfrazier

Page 3: How to do startup research

‣ Market Size

‣ Market Adoption

‣ Market Evolution

‣ A Few Tools

In A Nutshell

@tomfrazier

Page 4: How to do startup research

1.34B * 1% * 99 cents = $13.4M! @tomfrazier

You won’t get 1% of China.

Top Down Research Is Limiting

Page 5: How to do startup research

‣ Signup 100 people

‣ Each tells 10 friends

‣ 12% of referrals signup

‣ .12 * 1000 = 120 new

‣ 120 / 100 = 1.2 :/

‣ Now do some bottom up math to validate the 100.

Viral Coefficient

@tomfrazier

Page 6: How to do startup research

I’ll signup 100 in month one.

Each tells 10 friends resulting in 1000 invitations.

12% of referrals signed up

12% * 1000 = 120 new users

120 / 100 = 1.2 :/

VIRAL  COEFFICIENT@tomfrazier

An example...

Page 7: How to do startup research

Market AdoptionWhere does your company sit?

@tomfrazier

Page 8: How to do startup research

Market AdoptionGood starting point is the Gartner Hype Cycle

@tomfrazier

Page 9: How to do startup research

Market AdoptionGood starting point is the Gartner Hype Cycle

@tomfrazier

Page 10: How to do startup research

Hype Curve & AdoptionPutting the two together to understand the startup challenge

@tomfrazier

Page 11: How to do startup research

Hype Curve & AdoptionPutting the two together to understand the startup challenge

@tomfrazier

You will most likely die here

Page 12: How to do startup research

@tomfrazier

Markets EvolveGo with the grain not against it.

Page 13: How to do startup research

Bigger Ice(Months)

@tomfrazier

Markets EvolveGo with the grain not against it.

Page 14: How to do startup research

Bigger Ice(Months)

Be!er Saws(Days)

@tomfrazier

Markets EvolveGo with the grain not against it.

Page 15: How to do startup research

Bigger Ice(Months)

Be!er Saws(Days)

Printer?(Seconds)

@tomfrazier

Markets EvolveGo with the grain not against it.

Page 16: How to do startup research

‣ Photofinishing

‣ Money Markets

‣ Newspapers

‣ Hardware

‣ Footwear

‣ Apparel

Don’t start in a dying market

@tomfrazier

Maybe reinvent it...

Page 17: How to do startup research

v

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...

...

...

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Divergence of Technology@tomfrazier

Page 18: How to do startup research

Convergence of Media@tomfrazier

Page 19: How to do startup research

Some Tools

@tomfrazier

Page 20: How to do startup research

@tomfrazier

Google Trends

Page 21: How to do startup research

@tomfrazier

Ask Your Target Market

Page 22: How to do startup research

@tomfrazier

Quora

Page 23: How to do startup research

@tomfrazier

Quantcast for demographics

Page 24: How to do startup research

@tomfrazier

Builtwith for tech stack

Page 25: How to do startup research

BUSINESS  MODEL  CANVAS@tomfrazier

Business Model Canvas

Page 26: How to do startup research

@tomfrazier

The most important tool!

Page 27: How to do startup research

‣ Market Size

‣ Market Adoption

‣ Market Evolution

‣ A Few Tools

In A Nutshell

@tomfrazier

Page 28: How to do startup research

@tomfrazier

& keep learningThanks!

Awesome images from dunechaser on flickr!