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How the Financial System Works - A Map of Money Flows in the Global Financial Ecosystem - by Zoltan Pozsar An Appendix to the paper “Shadow Banking: The Money View” (Pozsar, 2014) Senior Adviser Office of Financial Research, U.S. Treasury
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How the Financial System Works

Dec 18, 2015

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  • How the Financial System Works

    1

    - A Map of Money Flows in the Global Financial Ecosystem -

    by Zoltan Pozsar

    An Appendix to the paper Shadow Banking: The Money View (Pozsar, 2014)

    Senior Adviser

    Office of Financial Research, U.S. Treasury

  • 2. The Hierarchy of Access.

    2

    3. The Hierarchy of Uses..

    4. The Dealer Eco-System.

    1. The Hierarchy of Money.

    5. The Macro Perspective.

    6. Policy Implications...

  • Four core institutions:

    Central bank,

    Source: Pozsar (2014)3

    Central Bank

    (Federal Reserve)

  • Source: Pozsar (2014)4

    Four core institutions:

    Central bank, banks (small and

    big),

    Central Bank

    (Federal Reserve)

    Banks

    (retail)

    Banks

    (wholesale)

  • Source: Pozsar (2014)5

    Four core institutions:

    Central bank, banks (small and

    big), dealers,

    Central Bank

    (Federal Reserve)Dealer Banks

    Banks

    (retail)Dealer Banks

    Banks

    (wholesale)

  • Source: Pozsar (2014)6

    Four core institutions:

    Central bank, banks (small and

    big), dealers and money funds.

    Central Bank

    (Federal Reserve)Dealer Banks

    Money Funds

    Banks

    (retail)Dealer Banks

    Money FundsBanks

    (wholesale)

  • Four core money claims:

    Currency,

    Source: Pozsar (2014)7

    Central Bank

    (Federal Reserve)Dealer Banks

    Currency

    Money Funds

    Banks

    (retail)Dealer Banks

    Money Funds

    Liabilities

    Banks

    (wholesale)

  • Source: Pozsar (2014)8

    Four core money claims:

    Currency, deposits,

    Liabilities

    Banks

    (wholesale)

    Deposits

    (o/n)

    Banks

    (retail)Dealer Banks

    Deposits

    Money Funds

    (o/n)

    Central Bank

    (Federal Reserve)Dealer Banks

    Currency

    Money Funds

  • Source: Pozsar (2014)9

    Four core money claims:

    Currency, deposits, repos,

    (o/n)

    Liabilities

    Banks

    (wholesale)

    Deposits

    (o/n)

    Banks

    (retail)Dealer Banks

    Deposits

    Money Funds

    Repos

    (o/n)

    Central Bank

    (Federal Reserve)Dealer Banks

    Currency Repos

    (o/n)

    Money Funds

  • Source: Pozsar (2014)10

    Four core money claims:

    Currency, deposits, repos

    and constant NAV shares.

    (o/n)

    Liabilities

    CNAVs

    (o/n)

    Banks

    (wholesale)

    Deposits

    (o/n)

    CNAVs

    Banks

    (retail)Dealer Banks

    Deposits

    Money Funds

    (o/n)

    Repos

    (o/n)

    Central Bank

    (Federal Reserve)Dealer Banks

    Currency Repos

    (o/n)

    Money Funds

  • Source: Pozsar (2014)11

    Two categories of assets:

    Public assets:

    T-Bills Treasury bills

    T-Notes Treasury notes

    Private assets:

    P-Bills - CD, CP, ECP, etc.

    P-Notes - bonds, RMBS, ABS

    Liabilities

    Deposits CNAVs

    (o/n) (o/n)

    Repos

    (o/n) (o/n)

    Banks

    (wholesale)Money Funds

    (o/n)

    Private Assets

    Banks

    (retail)Dealer Banks

    Deposits

    (o/n)

    Money Funds

    CNAVs

    Assets

    Public Assets

    Central Bank

    (Federal Reserve)Dealer Banks

    Currency Repos

  • Source: Pozsar (2014)12

    Two categories of assets:

    Public assets:

    T-Bills Treasury bills

    T-Notes Treasury notes

    Private assets:

    P-Bills - CD, CP, ECP, etc.

    P-Notes - bonds, RMBS, ABS

    Liabilities

    CNAVs

    (o/n)

    Deposits

    (o/n)

    (o/n)

    Private Assets

    Banks

    (retail)Dealer Banks

    Deposits

    Money Funds

    (o/n)

    CNAVs

    Dealer Banks

    T-Notes Currency Repos

    (o/n)

    Assets

    Public Assets

    Central Bank

    (Federal Reserve)

    Banks

    (wholesale)

    Money Funds

    (o/n)

    Repos

  • Source: Pozsar (2014)13

    Two categories of assets:

    Public assets:

    T-Bills Treasury bills

    T-Notes Treasury notes

    T-Repos Treasury repos

    Private assets:

    P-Bills - CD, CP, ECP, etc.

    P-Notes - bonds, RMBS, ABS

    Liabilities

    Deposits CNAVs

    (o/n) (o/n)

    Repos

    (o/n) (o/n)

    Banks

    (wholesale)Money Funds

    (o/n)

    Private Assets

    Banks

    (retail)Dealer Banks

    Deposits

    (o/n)

    T-Notes

    Money Funds

    CNAVs

    Assets

    Public Assets

    Central Bank

    (Federal Reserve)

    Dealer Banks

    (government desk)

    T-Notes Currency T-Bills T-Repos

  • Source: Pozsar (2014)14

    Two categories of assets:

    Public assets:

    T-Bills Treasury bills

    T-Notes Treasury notes

    T-Repos Treasury repos

    T-CNAVs Treasury CNAVs

    Private assets:

    P-Bills - CD, CP, ECP, etc.

    P-Notes - bonds, RMBS, ABS

    Liabilities

    Deposits CNAVs

    (o/n) (o/n)

    Repos

    (o/n) (o/n)

    Banks

    (wholesale)Money Funds

    (o/n)

    Private Assets

    Banks

    (retail)Dealer Banks

    Deposits

    (o/n)

    T-Notes

    Money Funds

    (government-only)

    T-Bills T-CNAVs

    Assets

    Public Assets

    Central Bank

    (Federal Reserve)

    Dealer Banks

    (government desk)

    T-Notes Currency T-Bills T-Repos

  • Source: Pozsar (2014)15

    Two categories of assets:

    Public assets:

    T-Bills Treasury bills

    T-Notes Treasury notes

    T-Repos Treasury repos

    T-CNAVs Treasury CNAVs

    Private assets:

    P-Bills - CD, CP, ECP, etc.

    P-Notes - bonds, RMBS, ABS

    T-Notes

    Assets

    Public Assets

    Central Bank

    (Federal Reserve)

    Dealer Banks

    (government desk)

    T-Notes Currency T-Bills T-Repos

    (o/n)

    Money Funds

    (government-only)

    T-Bills T-CNAVs

    Private Assets

    Banks

    (retail)Dealer Banks

    P-Loans Deposits

    Money Funds

    (o/n) (o/n)

    Banks

    (wholesale)

    Deposits

    (o/n)

    (o/n)

    Repos

    Liabilities

    CNAVs

    (o/n)

  • Source: Pozsar (2014)16

    Two categories of assets:

    Public assets:

    T-Bills Treasury bills

    T-Notes Treasury notes

    T-Repos Treasury repos

    T-CNAVs Treasury CNAVs

    Private assets:

    P-Bills - CD, CP, ECP, etc.

    P-Notes - bonds, RMBS, ABS

    P-Notes Deposits CNAVs

    Liabilities

    (o/n) (o/n)

    P-Loans

    (o/n) (o/n)

    Banks

    (wholesale)Money Funds

    T-Notes

    Money Funds

    (government-only)

    Private Assets

    Banks

    (retail)Dealer Banks

    P-Loans Deposits

    (o/n)

    Repos

    T-Bills T-CNAVs

    Assets

    Public Assets

    Central Bank

    (Federal Reserve)

    Dealer Banks

    (government desk)

    T-Notes Currency T-Bills T-Repos

    (o/n)

  • Source: Pozsar (2014)17

    Two categories of assets:

    Public assets:

    T-Bills Treasury bills

    T-Notes Treasury notes

    T-Repos Treasury repos

    T-CNAVs Treasury CNAVs

    Private assets:

    P-Bills - CD, CP, ECP, etc.

    P-Notes - bonds, RMBS, ABS

    P-Repos private repos

    P-Notes Deposits CNAVs

    Liabilities

    (o/n) (o/n)

    P-Loans

    (o/n)

    (o/n)

    Banks

    (wholesale)Money Funds

    T-Notes

    Money Funds

    (government-only)

    Private Assets

    Banks

    (retail)

    Dealer Banks

    (credit desk)

    P-Loans Deposits P-Bills

    P-Notes

    (o/n)

    P-Repos

    T-Bills T-CNAVs

    Assets

    Public Assets

    Central Bank

    (Federal Reserve)

    Dealer Banks

    (government desk)

    T-Notes Currency T-Bills T-Repos

    (o/n)

  • Source: Pozsar (2014)18

    Two categories of assets:

    Public assets:

    T-Bills Treasury bills

    T-Notes Treasury notes

    T-Repos Treasury repos

    T-CNAVs Treasury CNAVs

    Private assets:

    P-Bills - CD, CP, ECP, etc.

    P-Notes - bonds, RMBS, ABS

    P-Repos private repos

    P-CNAVs private CNAVs

    P-Notes Deposits P-Bills P-CNAVs

    Liabilities

    (o/n) (o/n)

    P-Loans

    (o/n)

    (o/n)

    Banks

    (wholesale)

    Money Funds

    (prime)

    T-Notes

    Money Funds

    (government-only)

    Private Assets

    Banks

    (retail)

    Dealer Banks

    (credit desk)

    P-Loans Deposits P-Bills

    P-Notes

    (o/n)

    P-Repos

    T-Bills T-CNAVs

    Assets

    Public Assets

    Central Bank

    (Federal Reserve)

    Dealer Banks

    (government desk)

    T-Notes Currency T-Bills T-Repos

    (o/n)

  • Source: Pozsar (2014)19

    Deposits special function:

    Banks form the backbone of

    the payments system and fa-

    cilitate the net payments

    (via deposits) of all enti-

    ties that are lower in the

    system-hierarchy, including

    dealers and money funds. T-Bills T-CNAVs

    Assets

    Public Assets

    Central Bank

    (Federal Reserve)

    Dealer Banks

    (government desk)

    T-Notes Currency T-Bills T-Repos

    (o/n)

    T-Notes

    Money Funds

    (government-only)

    Private Assets

    Banks

    (retail)

    Dealer Banks

    (credit desk)

    P-Loans Deposits P-Bills

    P-Notes

    (o/n)

    P-Repos

    (o/n)

    (o/n)

    Banks

    (wholesale)

    Money Funds

    (prime)

    P-Notes Deposits P-Bills P-CNAVs

    Liabilities

    (o/n) (o/n)

    P-Loans

  • Source: Pozsar (2014)20

    Storing payment surpluses:

    What happens with net pay-

    ment surpluses at the end of

    the day? Through what ins-

    truments are money balances

    stored within the system?

    For every institution, money

    is something different.

    This is the intra-system

    hierarchy of money

    P-Notes Deposits P-Bills P-CNAVs

    Liabilities

    (o/n) (o/n)

    P-Loans

    (o/n)

    (o/n)

    Banks

    (wholesale)

    Money Funds

    (prime)

    T-Notes

    Money Funds

    (government-only)

    Private Assets

    Banks

    (retail)

    Dealer Banks

    (credit desk)

    P-Loans Deposits P-Bills

    P-Notes

    (o/n)

    P-Repos

    T-Bills T-CNAVs

    Assets

    Public Assets

    Central Bank

    (Federal Reserve)

    Dealer Banks

    (government desk)

    T-Notes Currency T-Bills T-Repos

    (o/n)

  • Source: Pozsar (2014)21

    Intra-system money hierarchy:

    Reserves at the Fed

    are money for banks.(o/n)

    P-Loans

    Assets

    Public Assets

    Central Bank

    (Federal Reserve)

    Reserves

    P-Loans

    Dealer Banks

    (government desk)

    T-Notes Currency T-Bills T-Repos

    (o/n)

    T-Notes

    Money Funds

    (prime)

    Reserves

    (o/n)

    T-Bills T-CNAVs

    Money Funds

    (government-only)

    Private Assets

    Banks

    (retail)

    Dealer Banks

    (credit desk)

    Reserves Deposits P-Bills P-Repos

    (o/n) (o/n) (o/n)

    P-Notes

    Liabilities

    (o/n) (o/n) (o/n)

    Banks

    (wholesale)

    Deposits P-Bills P-CNAVs

  • Source: Pozsar (2014)22

    Intra-system money hierarchy:

    o/n T-Repos with wholesale

    banks are money for dealers.(o/n)

    Assets

    Public Assets

    Central Bank

    (Federal Reserve)

    Reserves

    Banks

    (wholesale)

    P-Loans

    Dealer Banks

    (government desk)

    T-Notes Currency T-Repos T-Repos

    (o/n) (o/n)

    T-Notes

    (o/n)

    Money Funds

    (government-only)

    T-Bills T-CNAVs

    Private Assets

    Banks

    (retail)

    Dealer Banks

    (credit desk)

    Reserves Deposits P-Bills P-Repos

    (o/n) (o/n) (o/n)

    P-Loans

    P-Notes

    Money Funds

    (prime)

    Liabilities

    Reserves T-Repos P-Bills P-CNAVs

    (o/n) (o/n) (o/n)

    Deposits

    (o/n)

  • Source: Pozsar (2014)23

    Intra-system money hierarchy:

    o/n T-Repos w/ dealers are

    money for government MFs.

    P-Loans

    P-Loans

    (o/n)

    Assets

    Public Assets

    Central Bank

    (Federal Reserve)

    Reserves

    Private Assets

    Banks

    (retail)

    (o/n) (o/n)

    Dealer Banks

    (government desk)

    T-Notes Currency T-Repos T-Repos

    (o/n) (o/n)

    T-Notes

    Money Funds

    (government-only)

    Reserves Deposits P-Bills P-Repos

    T-Repos T-CNAVs

    (o/n) (o/n)

    (o/n)

    Dealer Banks

    (credit desk)

    (o/n)

    P-Notes

    Banks

    (wholesale)

    Money Funds

    (prime)

    Liabilities

    T-Bills

    Deposits

    (o/n)

    Reserves T-Repos P-Bills P-CNAVs

    (o/n) (o/n)

  • Source: Pozsar (2014)24

    Intra-system money hierarchy:

    o/n P-Repos with dealers

    are money for prime MFs.

    Assets

    Public Assets

    Central Bank

    (Federal Reserve)

    Dealer Banks

    (government desk)

    T-Notes Currency T-Repos T-Repos

    Reserves (o/n) (o/n)

    (o/n)

    T-Notes

    (o/n) (o/n)

    Money Funds

    (government-only)

    T-Repos T-CNAVs

    T-Bills

    Private Assets

    Banks

    (retail)

    Dealer Banks

    (credit desk)

    Reserves Deposits P-Repos P-Repos

    (o/n) (o/n) (o/n)

    P-Loans P-Notes

    Banks

    (wholesale)

    Money Funds

    (prime)

    Reserves T-Repos P-Repos P-CNAVs

    Liabilities

    (o/n)

    P-Loans Deposits P-Bills

    (o/n)

    (o/n) (o/n) (o/n) (o/n)

  • Source: Pozsar (2014)25

    Liabilities

    ?

    P-Loans Deposits P-Bills

    (o/n)

    (o/n) (o/n) (o/n) (o/n)

    Banks

    (wholesale)

    Money Funds

    (prime)

    Reserves T-Repos P-Repos P-CNAVs

    P-Loans P-Notes

    P-Repos

    (o/n) (o/n) (o/n) (o/n)

    T-Bills

    Private Assets

    Banks

    (retail)

    Dealer Banks

    (credit desk)

    Reserves Deposits P-Repos

    (o/n) (o/n)

    Money Funds

    (government-only)

    T-Repos T-CNAVs

    (o/n) (o/n)

    (o/n)

    T-Notes

    Assets

    Public Assets

    Central Bank

    (Federal Reserve)

    Dealer Banks

    (government desk)

    T-Notes Currency T-Repos T-Repos

    Reserves

  • Source: Pozsar (2014)26

    The sovereign as a bank:

    Without the sovereign the

    money matrix is incomplete.

    We do not typically think

    of her as a bank, but the

    sovereign is also capable

    of absorbing money demand.

    Assets

    Public Assets

    Central Bank

    (Federal Reserve)

    Dealer Banks

    (government desk)

    T-Notes Currency T-Repos T-Repos

    Reserves (o/n) (o/n)

    (o/n)

    T-Notes

    (o/n) (o/n) (o/n) (o/n)

    Sovereign

    (U.S. Treasury)

    Money Funds

    (government-only)

    Reserves T-Bills T-Repos T-CNAVs

    Private Assets

    Banks

    (retail)

    Dealer Banks

    (credit desk)

    Reserves Deposits P-Repos

    (o/n) (o/n) (o/n) (o/n)

    P-Loans

    T-Bills

    P-Repos

    P-Notes

    Banks

    (wholesale)

    Money Funds

    (prime)

    Reserves T-Repos P-Repos P-CNAVs

    (o/n) (o/n) (o/n) (o/n)

    Liabilities

    P-Loans Deposits P-Bills

    (o/n)

  • Source: Pozsar (2014)27

    What are money-like claims?

    Par at maturity versus

    par on demand claims.

    Par at maturity in the

    near term (o/n < 1 yr).

    Breakable and negotiable

    claims that do not trade

    at par in real time (puts

    prior to maturity subject

    to penalty, market risks).

    Liabilities

    P-Loans Deposits P-Bills

    (term) (term)

    (o/n) (o/n) (o/n) (o/n)

    Banks

    (wholesale)

    Money Funds

    (prime)

    Reserves T-Repos P-Repos P-CNAVs

    P-Repos

    P-Notes P-Repos

    (term) (term)

    P-Loans Deposits

    T-Bills T-Bills

    (term) (term)

    Private Assets

    Banks

    (retail)

    Dealer Banks

    (credit desk)

    Reserves Deposits P-Repos

    (o/n) (o/n) (o/n) (o/n)

    T-Notes T-Repos

    (o/n) (o/n) (o/n) (o/n)

    Sovereign

    (U.S. Treasury)

    Money Funds

    (government-only)

    Reserves T-Bills T-Repos T-CNAVs

    Assets

    Public Assets

    Central Bank

    (Federal Reserve)

    Dealer Banks

    (government desk)

    T-Notes Currency T-Repos T-Repos

    Reserves (o/n) (o/n)

    (o/n)

    (term)

  • The alchemy of banking:

    Take more [o/n liquidity],

    give less [o/n liquidity]

    and put the rest in term

    Source: Pozsar (2014)28

    (term)

    T-Notes Currency T-Repos T-Repos

    T-Notes T-Repos

    (term)