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How the decline of ocean species How the decline of ocean species threatens human well-being threatens human well-being Emmett Duffy Emmett Duffy Virginia Institute of Marine Science Virginia Institute of Marine Science The College of William and Mary The College of William and Mary
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How the decline of ocean species threatens human well-being How the decline of ocean species threatens human well-being Emmett Duffy Virginia Institute.

Dec 31, 2015

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Page 1: How the decline of ocean species threatens human well-being How the decline of ocean species threatens human well-being Emmett Duffy Virginia Institute.

How the decline of ocean species How the decline of ocean species threatens human well-beingthreatens human well-being

How the decline of ocean species How the decline of ocean species threatens human well-beingthreatens human well-being

Emmett DuffyEmmett DuffyVirginia Institute of Marine ScienceVirginia Institute of Marine ScienceThe College of William and MaryThe College of William and Mary

Emmett DuffyEmmett DuffyVirginia Institute of Marine ScienceVirginia Institute of Marine ScienceThe College of William and MaryThe College of William and Mary

Page 2: How the decline of ocean species threatens human well-being How the decline of ocean species threatens human well-being Emmett Duffy Virginia Institute.

But what “good” is biodiversity?

Page 3: How the decline of ocean species threatens human well-being How the decline of ocean species threatens human well-being Emmett Duffy Virginia Institute.

Human society

Marine ecosystem services• Water quality control• Seafood production• Tourism and recreation• Ecosystem resilience

Linkage?

Marine biodiversity• Genetic• Species• Ecosystem

Impacts

Linkage?

Marine ecosystem processes• Carbon & nutrient cycling• Primary and secondary productivity• Food and habitat provision• Processing of wastes

Benefits

Page 4: How the decline of ocean species threatens human well-being How the decline of ocean species threatens human well-being Emmett Duffy Virginia Institute.

Theory: Biodiversity should increase productivity

More species use greater fraction of resources, thus produce more

Source: Tilman D (2000) Causes, consequences and ethics of biodiversity. Nature 405: 208-211.

Page 5: How the decline of ocean species threatens human well-being How the decline of ocean species threatens human well-being Emmett Duffy Virginia Institute.

P1 P6P5P4P3P2

““Horizontal” biodiversity Horizontal” biodiversity

PLANTS PLANTS

Plant species richness

Pla

nt c

over

(%

)

Exp’t: Diversity increases productivity

Page 6: How the decline of ocean species threatens human well-being How the decline of ocean species threatens human well-being Emmett Duffy Virginia Institute.

11

““Vertical”Vertical”biodiversity biodiversity

C1

O1 O2

H2H1

33

22

TOP CARNIVORE

HERBIVORES

OMNIVORES

Source: Duffy JE, et al. (2007) The functional role of biodiversity in ecosystems: incorporating trophic complexity. Ecology Letters 10: 522-538.

P1 P6P5P4P3P2

““Horizontal” biodiversity Horizontal” biodiversity

EDIBLE PLANTS INEDIBLE PLANTS

Page 7: How the decline of ocean species threatens human well-being How the decline of ocean species threatens human well-being Emmett Duffy Virginia Institute.

Predators

Consumers, Omnivores

Herbivores, DetritivoresZooplanktivores, Zooplankton

Algae, Plants, Detritus

Source: Byrnes JE, Reynolds PL, Stachowicz JJ (2007) Invasions and Extinctions Reshape Coastal Marine Food Webs. PLoS ONE 2: e295.

~70% extinctions

at high levels

~70% extinctions

at high levels

~70% Invasions at intermediate

levels

~70% Invasions at intermediate

levels

Trophic skew: Top consumers lost first in sea

SF BAY INVASIONS

GLOBAL & REGIONALEXTINCTIONS

Page 8: How the decline of ocean species threatens human well-being How the decline of ocean species threatens human well-being Emmett Duffy Virginia Institute.

Consumers exert strong top-down control in sea

Source: Cyr H, Pace ML (1993) Magnitude and patterns of herbivory in aquatic and terrestrial ecosystems. Nature 361: 148-150.

Most marine production is grazed

~70%

<20%

Page 9: How the decline of ocean species threatens human well-being How the decline of ocean species threatens human well-being Emmett Duffy Virginia Institute.

Gre

at

sh

ark

sE

las

mo

bra

nc

hm

es

op

red

ato

rsS

ca

llo

ps

Consumer loss ripples through food web

Source: Myers RA, Baum JK, Shepherd TD, Powers SP, Peterson CH (2007) Cascading effects of the loss of apex predatory sharks from a coastal ocean. Science 315: 1846-1850.

Healthy scallop fisheries depend on top predators

Page 10: How the decline of ocean species threatens human well-being How the decline of ocean species threatens human well-being Emmett Duffy Virginia Institute.

How does 2-D Biodiversity affect ecosystems?

1. Diversity increases production and resource use

2. Diversity increases stability: resistance to top-down control

3. Diversity enhances trophic transfer

1. Diversity increases production and resource use

2. Diversity increases stability: resistance to top-down control

3. Diversity enhances trophic transfer

Page 11: How the decline of ocean species threatens human well-being How the decline of ocean species threatens human well-being Emmett Duffy Virginia Institute.

1. Diversity increases production and resource use

2. Diversity increases stability: resistance to top-down control

3. Diversity enhances trophic transfer

1. Diversity increases production and resource use

2. Diversity increases stability: resistance to top-down control

3. Diversity enhances trophic transfer

How does 2-D Biodiversity affect ecosystems?

Page 12: How the decline of ocean species threatens human well-being How the decline of ocean species threatens human well-being Emmett Duffy Virginia Institute.

Diversity increases resource use and production

BIOMASSPRODUCTION

RESOURCEDEPLETION

(1) Diversity increases biomass production and resource use

(2) Patterns are similar across trophic levels (and habitats)

PH

DC

Mean MeanMax Max

Source: Cardinale BJ, Srivastava DS, Duffy JE, Wright JP, Downing AL, et al. (2006) Effects of biodiversity on the functioning of trophic groups and ecosystems. Nature 443: 989-992.

N = 111 experiments

Ln

(m

ixtu

re/a

vera

ge

mo

no

cult

ure

)

Page 13: How the decline of ocean species threatens human well-being How the decline of ocean species threatens human well-being Emmett Duffy Virginia Institute.

How does 2-D Biodiversity affect ecosystems?

1. Diversity increases production and resource use

2. Diversity increases stability: resistance to top-down control

3. Diversity enhances trophic transfer

1. Diversity increases production and resource use

2. Diversity increases stability: resistance to top-down control

3. Diversity enhances trophic transfer

Page 14: How the decline of ocean species threatens human well-being How the decline of ocean species threatens human well-being Emmett Duffy Virginia Institute.

Diversity & top-down control: the general pattern

Source: Hillebrand H, Cardinale BJ (2004) Consumer effects decline with prey diversity. Ecology Letters 7: 192-201.

Lo

g (

gra

zed

/co

ntr

ol)

Diversity confers resistance to grazing in aquatic algae

N = 172 experiments

Page 15: How the decline of ocean species threatens human well-being How the decline of ocean species threatens human well-being Emmett Duffy Virginia Institute.

How does 2-D Biodiversity affect ecosystems?

1. Diversity increases production and resource use

2. Diversity increases stability: resistance to top-down control

3. Diversity enhances trophic transfer

1. Diversity increases production and resource use

2. Diversity increases stability: resistance to top-down control

3. Diversity enhances trophic transfer

Page 16: How the decline of ocean species threatens human well-being How the decline of ocean species threatens human well-being Emmett Duffy Virginia Institute.

• All types of habitats

• singly sp. vs mixture

Source: Worm B, Barbier EB, Beaumont N, Duffy JE, Folke C, et al. (2006) Impacts of biodiversity loss on ocean ecosystem services. Science 314: 787-790.

Diversity & trophic transfer: the general pattern

N = 32 experiments

Prey (algal) & consumer diversity both increase consumer performance

Ln

(m

ixtu

re/a

vera

ge

mo

no

cult

ure

)

CONSUMER RICHNESS

PRODUCER RICHNESS

Page 17: How the decline of ocean species threatens human well-being How the decline of ocean species threatens human well-being Emmett Duffy Virginia Institute.

But do experiments “scale up” to the real world?But do experiments “scale up” to the real world?

Page 18: How the decline of ocean species threatens human well-being How the decline of ocean species threatens human well-being Emmett Duffy Virginia Institute.
Page 19: How the decline of ocean species threatens human well-being How the decline of ocean species threatens human well-being Emmett Duffy Virginia Institute.

The real world: global fisheries

FISHBASE.ORG

Page 20: How the decline of ocean species threatens human well-being How the decline of ocean species threatens human well-being Emmett Duffy Virginia Institute.

The real world: Resilience in global fisheries

Production & stability of fisheries increase with diversity

Source: Worm B, Barbier EB, Beaumont N, Duffy JE, Folke C, et al. (2006) Impacts of biodiversity loss on ocean ecosystem services. Science 314: 787-790.

Page 21: How the decline of ocean species threatens human well-being How the decline of ocean species threatens human well-being Emmett Duffy Virginia Institute.

Mechanism? Redundancy and stability inn fisheries

Source: Myers RA, Worm B (2003) Nature 423: 280-283.

Source: Chavez et al. (2003) Science 299: 217-221.

Diversity provides functional redundancy, i.e., “insurance”

Page 22: How the decline of ocean species threatens human well-being How the decline of ocean species threatens human well-being Emmett Duffy Virginia Institute.

One (of several) solutions: Marine Protected Areas

Source: Worm B, Barbier EB, Beaumont N, Duffy JE, Folke C, et al. (2006) Impacts of biodiversity loss on ocean ecosystem services. Science 314: 787-790.

Page 23: How the decline of ocean species threatens human well-being How the decline of ocean species threatens human well-being Emmett Duffy Virginia Institute.

Marine biodiversity has horizontal and vertical dimensionsMarine biodiversity has horizontal and vertical dimensionsTop-down control is strong in seaTop-down control is strong in seapredator loss ripples through food webpredator loss ripples through food web

Real world evidence is generally concordant with experimentsReal world evidence is generally concordant with experiments

Large fishes often maintain desirable ecosystem statesLarge fishes often maintain desirable ecosystem states

Restoration of marine biodiversity recovers ecosystem servicesRestoration of marine biodiversity recovers ecosystem services

Marine biodiversity has horizontal and vertical dimensionsMarine biodiversity has horizontal and vertical dimensionsTop-down control is strong in seaTop-down control is strong in seapredator loss ripples through food webpredator loss ripples through food web

Real world evidence is generally concordant with experimentsReal world evidence is generally concordant with experiments

Large fishes often maintain desirable ecosystem statesLarge fishes often maintain desirable ecosystem states

Restoration of marine biodiversity recovers ecosystem servicesRestoration of marine biodiversity recovers ecosystem services

Concluding thoughts

Page 24: How the decline of ocean species threatens human well-being How the decline of ocean species threatens human well-being Emmett Duffy Virginia Institute.
Page 25: How the decline of ocean species threatens human well-being How the decline of ocean species threatens human well-being Emmett Duffy Virginia Institute.

The three R’s

Reservation

Restoration

Reconciliation

Page 26: How the decline of ocean species threatens human well-being How the decline of ocean species threatens human well-being Emmett Duffy Virginia Institute.

Restoration: ocean health care

mangrovesmangroves

Coral reefsCoral reefs

seagrassesseagrasses

Oyster reefsOyster reefs

Page 27: How the decline of ocean species threatens human well-being How the decline of ocean species threatens human well-being Emmett Duffy Virginia Institute.

Reconciliation

Page 28: How the decline of ocean species threatens human well-being How the decline of ocean species threatens human well-being Emmett Duffy Virginia Institute.

Loss of diversity

Source: Worm B, Barbier EB, Beaumont N, Duffy JE, Folke C, et al. (2006) Impacts of biodiversity loss on ocean ecosystem services. Science 314: 787-790.

Page 29: How the decline of ocean species threatens human well-being How the decline of ocean species threatens human well-being Emmett Duffy Virginia Institute.

Loss of services

Source: Worm B, Barbier EB, Beaumont N, Duffy JE, Folke C, et al. (2006) Impacts of biodiversity loss on ocean ecosystem services. Science 314: 787-790.

Page 30: How the decline of ocean species threatens human well-being How the decline of ocean species threatens human well-being Emmett Duffy Virginia Institute.

Increased risks

Source: Worm B, Barbier EB, Beaumont N, Duffy JE, Folke C, et al. (2006) Impacts of biodiversity loss on ocean ecosystem services. Science 314: 787-790.