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1 Nom de l’événement et date How forests can support adaptation of landscapes systems to mitigate climate change? A landscape approach to sustainable forest management Sandra Luque IRSTEA Institut national de recherche en sciences et technologies pour l’environnement et l’agriculture [email protected]
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How forests can support adaptation of landscapes systems to mitigate climate change? A landscape approach to sustainable forest management, Sandra Luque

Apr 14, 2017

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Page 1: How forests can support adaptation of landscapes systems to mitigate climate change? A landscape approach to sustainable forest management, Sandra Luque

1 Nom de l’événement et date

How forests can support adaptation of

landscapes systems to mitigate climate

change?

A landscape approach to sustainable

forest management

Sandra Luque

IRSTEA Institut national de recherche en sciences et technologies

pour l’environnement et l’agriculture

[email protected]

Page 2: How forests can support adaptation of landscapes systems to mitigate climate change? A landscape approach to sustainable forest management, Sandra Luque

Many forested landscapes are changing rapidly in response to

changes in key social and ecological drivers

Warming climate is altering forest productivity (e.g., Boisvenue and

Running 2006; Huang et al. 2010) and the distribution of some tree

species (e.g., Schrag et al. 2008; Lenoir et al. 2009, 2010, Iverson et

al 2011)

Human interventions have increased wood production and this has

resulted in degradation of forest biodiversity and ecosystem services

(MEA, 2005; TEEB 2010)

Page 3: How forests can support adaptation of landscapes systems to mitigate climate change? A landscape approach to sustainable forest management, Sandra Luque

7/10/2015

Facing Climate Change Impacts

Higher risk of

storm and insect

damages

Increased growth

rates in the North

More intense and

frequent forest fires

Shifting species

suitability

Page 4: How forests can support adaptation of landscapes systems to mitigate climate change? A landscape approach to sustainable forest management, Sandra Luque

M. Fuhr, Isrtea

http://nsrcforest.org/project/timber-productivity-natural-

disturbance-based-forest-management

Adaptation will be necessary to

address unavoidable impacts

S. Luque, IRSTEA

Page 5: How forests can support adaptation of landscapes systems to mitigate climate change? A landscape approach to sustainable forest management, Sandra Luque
Page 6: How forests can support adaptation of landscapes systems to mitigate climate change? A landscape approach to sustainable forest management, Sandra Luque
Page 7: How forests can support adaptation of landscapes systems to mitigate climate change? A landscape approach to sustainable forest management, Sandra Luque

Forest Fires

Mediterranean Region

Page 8: How forests can support adaptation of landscapes systems to mitigate climate change? A landscape approach to sustainable forest management, Sandra Luque
Page 9: How forests can support adaptation of landscapes systems to mitigate climate change? A landscape approach to sustainable forest management, Sandra Luque
Page 10: How forests can support adaptation of landscapes systems to mitigate climate change? A landscape approach to sustainable forest management, Sandra Luque

Regulating services Climate regulation

Page 11: How forests can support adaptation of landscapes systems to mitigate climate change? A landscape approach to sustainable forest management, Sandra Luque

Modification Factors12 Disturbance Factors and 9 Biological Factors considered

Iverson et al. 2011 Ecosystems

Page 12: How forests can support adaptation of landscapes systems to mitigate climate change? A landscape approach to sustainable forest management, Sandra Luque

Example: Temperate forest: important modifications

Non managed Managed

Page 13: How forests can support adaptation of landscapes systems to mitigate climate change? A landscape approach to sustainable forest management, Sandra Luque

Forest management effects on spatial heterogeneity in forest landscapes

Forest management actions can dramatically alter the composition and spatial configuration of the forested landscape

Potentially significant effects on biodiversity

Page 14: How forests can support adaptation of landscapes systems to mitigate climate change? A landscape approach to sustainable forest management, Sandra Luque

Forest landscape Include more than trees

holistic vision towards

adaptive management &

trade offs

A landscape should provide a living society

Page 15: How forests can support adaptation of landscapes systems to mitigate climate change? A landscape approach to sustainable forest management, Sandra Luque

Adaptive capacityAbility of a system to adapt to changes

• Adaptive capacity has two components:

1. Inherent adaptive capacity of organisms and ecosystems

2. Socioeconomic factors determining the ability to implement adaptation measures

Page 16: How forests can support adaptation of landscapes systems to mitigate climate change? A landscape approach to sustainable forest management, Sandra Luque

Adaptation is emerging topic

Double strategy:

Accelerating mitigation measures

Adaptation of landscapes

Understand Processes

Find SOLUTIONS

Page 17: How forests can support adaptation of landscapes systems to mitigate climate change? A landscape approach to sustainable forest management, Sandra Luque

Forest Adaptive capacityEvaluation criteria

Forest status:

recreation and tourism

soil & water protection

Production

(wood & carbon)

Biodiversity

Multifunctionality

Page 18: How forests can support adaptation of landscapes systems to mitigate climate change? A landscape approach to sustainable forest management, Sandra Luque

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Scénario 2 : « Forest Mixification municipalities Autrans & Méaudre

Evolution of the level of production potential

based on scenarios

Evolution of the spatial heterogeneity of

Tree mixture in the municipalities of Autrans

& Meaudre 2009 -2050

Clement Parmentier, 2013

Page 19: How forests can support adaptation of landscapes systems to mitigate climate change? A landscape approach to sustainable forest management, Sandra Luque

Spatial Bayesian Belief Network

Including Expert evaluation

Gonzalez, Luque et al 2015

Reconciling biodiversity conservation with

the increased demands of natural resources

Page 20: How forests can support adaptation of landscapes systems to mitigate climate change? A landscape approach to sustainable forest management, Sandra Luque

DOMINANT LAND COVER: FOREST

Mu

litple

us

e m

ap

pin

g

1ST TIMBER PRODUCTION = A EURO/YEAR

2ND CARBON SEQ. = B EURO/YEAR

3RD OUTDOOR RECREATION = C EURO/YEAR

MULTIPLE USE ESS-LAYER: Σ = A+B+C EURO/YEAR

MAPPING VALUES OF MULTIPLEFOREST ECOSYSTEM SERVICES

Page 21: How forests can support adaptation of landscapes systems to mitigate climate change? A landscape approach to sustainable forest management, Sandra Luque

MAPPING ECOSYSTEMS

MAPPING NATURAL CAPITAL & POTENTIAL SERVICES

Page 22: How forests can support adaptation of landscapes systems to mitigate climate change? A landscape approach to sustainable forest management, Sandra Luque

From concepts to real-world applicationswww.openness-project.eu22

Page 23: How forests can support adaptation of landscapes systems to mitigate climate change? A landscape approach to sustainable forest management, Sandra Luque

From Opdam, P., Luque, S., Jones, K. (2009)

An integrative landscape driven research should be

envisioned to relate ecosystem processes, global changes

including climate changes and socio-economic processes

across different governance levels

Page 24: How forests can support adaptation of landscapes systems to mitigate climate change? A landscape approach to sustainable forest management, Sandra Luque

24 Nom de l’événement et date

Provide options to adapt landscapes to prevent or diminish impacts

Page 25: How forests can support adaptation of landscapes systems to mitigate climate change? A landscape approach to sustainable forest management, Sandra Luque

Selecting future adaptive management options implies the consideration of trade-offs between forest resource use &

environmental objectives

to maintain the provisioning of forest goods and services (FGS)

under future climate change

the understanding of synergies between FGS that occur during

forest conversion.

“… the large impact of past management practices on the spatial

heterogeneity of forest dynamics underpins the need to assess FGS

provisioning at the landscape scale” (Temperli et al 2012)

Page 26: How forests can support adaptation of landscapes systems to mitigate climate change? A landscape approach to sustainable forest management, Sandra Luque

Some Key issues

Climate change affects forest related ecosystem services

Ecosystem services of the forests will change as the composition and

dominants change over time

Risk assessments are useful to prioritize strategies

species management assessments

Where to protect (e.g., refuges)

Where to assist (e.g., corridors, assisted relocation)

Where to apply silvicultural management

Adaptation – suitable species, changing weather patterns, emerging

pests and diseases

What land use change issues arise from forest expansion/intensification ?

Changes in perceptions/cultural values

Page 27: How forests can support adaptation of landscapes systems to mitigate climate change? A landscape approach to sustainable forest management, Sandra Luque

Information & communication is key …

//ipbes.net

The Ecosystem Services PartnershipWorldwide Network to enhance the science and practical

application of ecosystem services assessmentwww.es-partnership.org

International Union of Forest Research Organizations

Page 28: How forests can support adaptation of landscapes systems to mitigate climate change? A landscape approach to sustainable forest management, Sandra Luque

Thank you