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HOW DANGEROUS ARE WIND TURBINES IN COLD CLIMATE AND CAN WE DO SOMETHING ABOUT IT? Winterwind, Skellefteå 8 February 2012 Bengt Göransson, Pöyry SwedPower
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How dangerous are wind turbines in cold climate regions? Can we do something about it?

May 26, 2015

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Presentation by Bengt Göransson, Pöyry at Winterwind 2012. "How dangerous are wind turbines in cold climate regions? Can we do something about it?"
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Page 1: How dangerous are wind turbines in cold climate regions? Can we do something about it?

HOW DANGEROUS ARE WIND TURBINES IN COLD CLIMATE AND CAN WE DO SOMETHING ABOUT IT? Winterwind, Skellefteå 8 February 2012 Bengt Göransson, Pöyry SwedPower

Page 2: How dangerous are wind turbines in cold climate regions? Can we do something about it?

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ARE WIND TURBINES DANGEROUS?

17 JANUARY 2012 PÖYRY POWERPOINT 2010 TEMPLATE 2

Page 3: How dangerous are wind turbines in cold climate regions? Can we do something about it?

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HAZARDS IN COLD CLIMATE

•  Ice throw • Noise increase • Slipping • Trapping • Freezing

17 JANUARY 2012 PÖYRY POWERPOINT 2010 TEMPLATE 3

Page 4: How dangerous are wind turbines in cold climate regions? Can we do something about it?

COPYRIGHT©PÖYRY 17 JANUARY 2012

PÖYRY POWERPOINT 2010 TEMPLATE 4 4 | WINTERWIND 2011 | 2011-02-09

THE MACHINERY DIRECTIVE SAYS…

”Machinery must be designed and constructed so that it….can be operated, adjusted and maintained without putting persons at risk”

Page 5: How dangerous are wind turbines in cold climate regions? Can we do something about it?

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RISK

17 JANUARY 2012 PÖYRY POWERPOINT 2010 TEMPLATE 5

Risk = probability of a hazard x consequence of failure

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EN 50308 REVISION BY CENELEC

17 JANUARY 2012 PÖYRY POWERPOINT 2010 TEMPLATE 6

Page 7: How dangerous are wind turbines in cold climate regions? Can we do something about it?

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PROCEDURE FOR RISK ASSESSMENT ACCORDING TO MACHINERY DIRECTIVE

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1 Determine the limits of the machinery

2 Identify the hazards

3 Estimate the risks

4 Evaluate possible design solutions

5 Eliminate the hazard or reduce the risks

6 Inform about residual hazards

Page 8: How dangerous are wind turbines in cold climate regions? Can we do something about it?

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PROBABILITY OF ICE SHEDDING

17 JANUARY 2012 PÖYRY POWERPOINT 2010 TEMPLATE 8

Ice throw probability/m2/year with 5 icing days Turbine in operation

Dis

tanc

e fro

m to

wer

Page 9: How dangerous are wind turbines in cold climate regions? Can we do something about it?

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PROBABILITY OF ICE SHEDDING

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Ice throw probability/m2/year with 5 icing days Turbine at standstill

Page 10: How dangerous are wind turbines in cold climate regions? Can we do something about it?

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CASES

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Service staff Public

Icing occurrence

Winter season

Rotating turbine

Parked turbine

Page 11: How dangerous are wind turbines in cold climate regions? Can we do something about it?

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RISK LEVELS AT 5 ”ICE DAYS” ANNUALLY WITH ICE

Case Service staff Recurrence time Parked car 1 hr / 20 m

27 years

Driving by row of turbines for 7 min

5800 years

Person staying 1 hr/10 m 530 years

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In operation

17 JANUARY 2012 PÖYRY POWERPOINT 2010 TEMPLATE 11

Page 12: How dangerous are wind turbines in cold climate regions? Can we do something about it?

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WINTER SEASON (6 MONTHS)

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Case Public Recurrence time Person 1hr/10 m 1,3 million years Person 1hr/50 m 53 million years Person 1 hr/100 m 143 million years

In operation

Parked

Case Public Recurrence time Person 1hr/10 m 19000 years Person 1 hr/50 m 230000 years Person 1 hr/100 m -

Page 13: How dangerous are wind turbines in cold climate regions? Can we do something about it?

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ARE THESE FIGURES HIGH RISK OR LOW RISK?

•  For public: Risk of being hit by lightning in the US during one year is 7 times staying 50 m from turbine for 1 hour during winter season

Risk of being hit by ice cone in Stockholm city street equals staying 10 m for 1 hour during winter season

•  Risk for service staff:

Risk for personal injury in traffic 4 times staying 1 hour 10 m from turbine at icing condition

17 JANUARY 2012 PÖYRY POWERPOINT 2010 TEMPLATE 13

Page 14: How dangerous are wind turbines in cold climate regions? Can we do something about it?

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WHAT TO DO?

•  Don´t build turbines in cold climate (No option)

•  Do not operate from October to May (No option)

•  Include ice detection/closing down

•  Include active heating equipment

•  Include passive deicing equipment

•  Put up warning signs

17 JANUARY 2012 PÖYRY POWERPOINT 2010 TEMPLATE 14

Page 15: How dangerous are wind turbines in cold climate regions? Can we do something about it?

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CONCLUSION

•  For service staff recurrence period of 530 years – Not neglectible

•  Active heating system solves the problem

•  If adding passive de-icing system additional information is needed

•  For the public warning signs are sufficient

17 JANUARY 2012 PÖYRY POWERPOINT 2010 TEMPLATE 15

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THANK YOU!

17 JANUARY 2012 PÖYRY POWERPOINT 2010 TEMPLATE 16

CONTACT: NAME: Bengt Göransson MAIL: [email protected] PHONE: 010-4047