Housing forecast 2014 local stats presentation

The Local Market 2013 January – November Statistics

Number

of Sales

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

ANNUAL SALES TRENDS (JANUARY – NOVEMBER)

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Source:

MLS

10000

10500

11000

11500

12000

12500

13000

13500

NUMBER OF SALES BY PRICE

RANGE ($0-$199,999 – JANUARY - NOVEMBER)

# of

Sales

Source:

MLS

2011

2012

2013

11,172

11,993

13,317


RANGE ($200,000 - $499,999 - JANUARY - NOVEMBER)

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000

8000# of

Sales

Source:

MLS

2011

2012

2013

4,491

5,649

7,388


RANGE ($500,000 AND ABOVE

JANUARY thru NOVEMBER)

# of

Sales

Source:

MLS

2011

2012

2013

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

556 621

881

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

MONTHS OF INVENTORY BY YEAR (Includes Single-Family & Condos/Townhomes)

Months

of

Inventory

Source: Texas A&M Real

Estate Research Center Month

2010

2011

2012

2013

Nov. 2013 –

Months of

Inventory:

4.2 months

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

Jan Feb Mar April May June Jul Aug Sept Oct Nov

2010

2011

2012

2013

NUMBER OF MONTHLY ACTIVE

LISTINGS BY YEAR

Month

# of

Active

Listings

Source:

MLS

Nov. 2013 –

Number of

Active

Listings is

8,036

Days on Market (November)

Source:

MLS

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

Nov '10 Nov '11 Nov '12 Nov '13

98 98

83

75

YTD MEDIAN SALES PRICE PER YEAR (JAN - NOV)

Source:

MLS

$135,000

$140,000

$145,000

$150,000

$155,000

$160,000

$165,000

$170,000

$175,000

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Top 5 Areas for Growth – Sales & Median

Prices by Year (January – November)

Area # Sales

2011

# Sales

2012

# Sales

2013

Median

Price 2011

Median

Price 2012

Median

Price 2013

0200 878 925 1,124 $120,250 $122,000 $132,000

0300 738 866 1,092 $121,750 $123,000 $130,000

1700 863 837 980 $95,000 $105,000 $112,200

0400 705 855 941 $142,000 $143,200 $150,000

2705 839 830 995 $167,900 $175,366 $185,000

PRICE/SQ. FT. PER AREA

January - November

Subdivision # Sales

2011

# Sales

2012

# Sales

2013

Price/Sq

Ft 2011

Price/Sq

Ft 2012

Price/Sq

Ft 2013

Alamo

Heights

119 125 141 $191.08 $194.56 $205.59

Alamo

Ranch

206 277 320 $93.29 $91.22 $97.29

Anaqua

Springs

34 31 45 $126.36 $106.07 $158.68

Apple

Creek

36 26 29 $79.13 $79.33 $85.36

Bentley

Manor

14 11 15 $201.62 $197.33 $193.95

Burning

Tree

14 8 12 $83.06 $77.85 $81.08

Camino

Real

18 21 24 $105.80 $110.62 $107.33

Canyon

Springs

159 155 187 $102.99 $107.73 $110.53


January - November

Subdivision # Sales

2011

# Sales

2012

# Sales

2013

Price/Sq

Ft 2011

Price/Sq

Ft 2012

Price/Sq

Ft 2013

Carolina

Crossing

28 20 27 $71.85 $70.15 $79.39

Castle Hills 73 74 100 $85.66 $96.88 $95.99

Cedar

Springs

17 22 23 $77.55 $82.27 $85.27

Cibolo

Canyons

37 38 50 $99.70 $105.10 $109.55

Colonies

North

24 17 29 $77.92 $83.21 $83.63

Crownridge 16 27 35 $107.32 $104.81 $105.42

Deer Creek 25 29 45 $87.16 $89.63 $88.29

Deerfield 53 63 66 $114.32 $114.23 $112.62

Dellview 42 51 59 $67.93 $64.72 $67.63

Dover 53 53 63 $49.52 $49.79 $53.76


January - November

Subdivision # Sales

2011

# Sales

2012

# Sales

2013

Price/Sq

Ft 2011

Price/Sq

Ft 2012

Price/Sq

Ft 2013

Elm Creek 22 25 23 $115.20 $125.46 $126.13

Fair Oaks 100 134 161 $122.04 $120.50 $131.64

Garden

Ridge

22 29 15 $117.15 $119.62 $119.56

Government

Hill 9 9 13 $36.23 $46.88 $87.77

Harlandale 110 128 115 $44.10 $45.57 $49.64

Harmony

Hills

29 34 29 $79.62 $75.23 $82.00

Heritage

Park

73 82 106 $60.49 $59.72 $69.05

Highland

Hills

62 53 52 $49.22 $50.43 $53.35

Hollywood

Park

53 58 55 $105.11 $113.73 $113.79


January - November

Subdivision # Sales

2011

# Sales

2012

# Sales

2013

Price/Sq

Ft 2011

Price/Sq

Ft 2012

Price/Sq

Ft 2013

Hunters

Creek

36 44 51 $97.66 $104.27 $103.90

Inwood 55 66 58 $112.83 $113.15 $112.32

Lackland

Heights

14 8 11 $61.77 $50.18 $51.07

Legacy

Trails

9 19 20 $80.69 $75.88 $86.14

Longs

Creek

51 72 82 $63.27 $65.97 $70.76

Los

Angeles

Heights

61 68 67 $46.27 $45.55 $50.25

Mesa

Grande

17 20 19 $99.09 $98.23 $102.97

Monticello

Park

24 24 32 $84.16 $90.01 $90.82


January - November

Subdivision # Sales

2011

# Sales

2012

# Sales

2013

Price/Sq

Ft 2011

Price/Sq

Ft 2012

Price/Sq

Ft 2013

Northern

Hills

42 51 61 $67.04 $69.77 $73.62

Northwest

Crossing

123 110 145 $62.75 $63.77 $68.41

Oak Hills 7 16 18 $84.22 $89.80 $90.22

Oak

Meadows

2 2 2 $118.35 $91.29 $114.52

Oakmont

Downs

9 9 18 $82.64 $80.23 $75.48

Olmos

Park

37 38 46 $194.49 $190.51 $186.36

Olympia 34 46 59 $82.03 $83.62 $86.38

Redbird

Ranch

57 39 59 $79.71 $76.95 $83.51

Retama

Ridge

10 10 13 $68.50 $68.76 $73.91


January - November

Subdivision # Sales

2011

# Sales

2012

# Sales

2013

Price/Sq

Ft 2011

Price/Sq

Ft 2012

Price/Sq

Ft 2013

River Rock

Ranch

44 40 65 $103.54 $106.13 $117.46

Rogers

Ranch

82 110 113 $108.49 $115.15 $116.89

San Pedro

Hills

38 37 51 $80.77 $83.55 $89.03

Santa Fe 10 9 16 $91.56 $86.11 $103.47

Shavano

Park

35 33 46 $154.38 $152.38 $158.72

Sonoma

Ranch

96 108 119 $92.11 $96.47 $98.83

Sonterra 60 78 106 $104.55 $104.34 $108.43

Spring

Creek

47 54 62 $82.50 $78.42 $87.44

Spring

Vista

67 64 98 $69.02 $71.94 $72.53


January - November

Subdivision # Sales

2011

# Sales

2012

# Sales

2013

Price/Sq

Ft 2011

Price/Sq

Ft 2012

Price/Sq

Ft 2013

Steubing

Ranch

51 52 71 $79.29 $78.85 $83.64

Summerfield 20 27 18 $102.54 $102.25 $107.19

Terrell Hills 116 139 163 $145.32 $156.54 $169.14

Triana 17 32 33 $111.75 $111.30 $124.60

Two

Creeks

34 47 61 $94.09 $98.98 $99.25

Vineyards 2 1 0 $87.86 $94.59 $0.00

Windcrest 59 64 76 $65.32 $67.53 $72.90

Woodlake 119 109 112 $56.68 $58.87 $70.75

Woodlawn

Hills

5 6 3 $45.27 $67.65 $85.92

Woodstone 30 34 42 $60.77 $64.35 $65.80

Areas by Quadrant

NUMBER OF SALES BY PRICE RANGE ($50,000 - $199,999 - JANUARY - NOVEMBER)

Southwest Quadrant

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

Source:

MLS

2011

2012

2013

# of

Sales


Southeast Quadrant

Source:

MLS

2011

2012

2013

# of

Sales

0

100

200

300

400

500

600


Northeast Quadrant

Source:

MLS

2011

2012

2013

# of

Sales

3400

3600

3800

4000

4200

4400

4600

4800


Northwest Quadrant

Source:

MLS

2011

2012

2013

# of

Sales

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16


Southwest Quadrant

Source:

MLS

2011

2012

2013

# of

Sales

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50


Southeast Quadrant

Source:

MLS

2011

2012

2013

# of

Sales

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000


Northeast Quadrant

Source:

MLS

2011

2012

2013

# of

Sales

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000


Northwest Quadrant

Source:

MLS

2011

2012

2013

# of

Sales

0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

0.6

0.7

0.8

0.9

1

NUMBER OF SALES BY PRICE RANGE ($500,000 and Up - JANUARY - NOVEMBER)

Southwest Quadrant

Source:

MLS

2011

2012

2013

# of

Sales

0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

0.6

0.7

0.8

0.9

1


Southeast Quadrant

Source:

MLS

2011

2012

2013

# of

Sales

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350


Northeast Quadrant

Source:

MLS

2011

2012

2013

# of

Sales

0

50

100

150

200

250

300


Northwest Quadrant

Source:

MLS

2011

2012

2013

# of

Sales

Area by Finance Type (2012)

MLS Area Cash Conventional FHA VA

1001 11% 53% 18% 17%

1002 11% 62% 12% 16%

1003 31% 63% 2% 4%

1004 5% 58% 12% 25%

1005 11% 62% 10% 17%

1006 15% 60% 12% 13%

1100 41% 30% 19% 10%

1200 88% 5% 6% 1%

1300 29% 49% 14% 7%

1400 15% 33% 35% 17%

1500 26% 22% 37% 15%

1600 24% 20% 32% 25%

Area by Finance Type (2012) - Continued


1700 28% 19% 28% 24%

1801 13% 56% 17% 14%

1802 11% 44% 25% 19%

1803 12% 54% 17% 16%

1804 11% 41% 21% 26%

1900 44% 10% 36% 9%

2001 14% 14% 47% 25%

2002 17% 33% 39% 11%

2003 17% 28% 44% 11%

2004 27% 13% 53% 7%

2100 54% 9% 34% 3%

2200 62% 10% 24% 4%

2301 9% 17% 47% 28%



2302 19% 44% 31% 6%

2303 50% 30% 20% 0%

2304 38% 17% 30% 16%

2400 28% 36% 17% 18%

2501 41% 59% 0% 0%

2502 15% 73% 5% 8%

2503 23% 54% 8% 15%

2504 29% 49% 18% 4%

2505 33% 60% 0% 7%

2506 23% 53% 9% 15%

2507 8% 75% 8% 8%

2508 21% 48% 24% 7%

2509 25% 50% 0% 25%



2510 100% 0% 0% 0%

2600 20% 50% 16% 13%

2701 47% 12% 29% 12%

2702 44% 31% 25% 0%

2703 42% 25% 25% 8%

2704 14% 71% 7% 7%

2705 10% 27% 26% 36%

2706 10% 38% 33% 19%

2707 24% 34% 28% 14%

2708 20% 40% 20% 20%

2709 32% 47% 16% 5%

2800 12% 44% 26% 18%

2900 26% 33% 31% 10%



3000 25% 38% 17% 21%

3100 39% 38% 18% 5%

0101 5% 14% 25% 56%

0102 8% 31% 18% 42%

0103 12% 29% 30% 29%

0104 5% 29% 16% 50%

0105 6% 36% 25% 33%

0200 17% 22% 36% 25%

0300 17% 21% 45% 17%

0400 20% 32% 36% 12%

0500 19% 45% 24% 13%

0600 14% 55% 20% 11%

0700 54% 10% 32% 5%

0800 39% 19% 35% 8%

0900 38% 27% 30% 5%

Area by Finance Type (2013)


1001 10% 61% 14% 15%

1002 10% 68% 10% 12%

1003 18% 77% 0% 5%

1004 13% 62% 10% 15%

1005 14% 60% 12% 14%

1006 13% 63% 11% 13%

1100 36% 50% 11% 3%

1200 86% 4% 8% 2%

1300 26% 56% 10% 8%

1400 18% 36% 29% 17%

1500 27% 26% 35% 13%

1600 23% 23% 32% 22%



1700 28% 17% 26% 28%

1801 13% 60% 12% 16%

1802 9% 47% 25% 19%

1803 12% 55% 14% 19%

1804 10% 48% 18% 23%

1900 41% 12% 39% 8%

2001 11% 20% 45% 24%

2002 14% 51% 19% 16%

2003 25% 25% 44% 6%

2004 26% 15% 44% 15%

2100 42% 11% 39% 8%

2200 61% 8% 29% 3%

2301 13% 17% 35% 35%



2302 33% 13% 40% 13%

2303 50% 40% 10% 0%

2304 20% 21% 37% 22%

2400 31% 45% 13% 12%

2501 31% 59% 8% 3%

2502 22% 60% 2% 16%

2503 19% 52% 13% 16%

2504 31% 49% 16% 4%

2505 21% 58% 8% 13%

2506 10% 70% 5% 14%

2507 17% 67% 4% 13%

2508 28% 54% 10% 7%

2509 67% 0% 33% 0%



2510 20% 80% 0% 0%

2600 19% 55% 12% 14%

2701 50% 20% 30% 0%

2702 52% 24% 20% 4%

2703 23% 33% 33% 10%

2704 27% 27% 22% 22%

2705 13% 31% 17% 39%

2706 22% 50% 22% 6%

2707 18% 43% 23% 17%

2708 19% 50% 23% 8%

2709 17% 50% 10% 23%

2800 13% 38% 23% 26%

2900 29% 32% 26% 12%



3000 13% 39% 24% 24%

3100 36% 41% 17% 6%

0101 5% 14% 20% 60%

0102 12% 31% 17% 39%

0103 12% 34% 31% 23%

0104 10% 27% 15% 47%

0105 12% 38% 20% 29%

0200 18% 21% 36% 25%

0300 20% 27% 37% 16%

0400 18% 40% 30% 12%

0500 20% 49% 18% 13%

0600 17% 56% 16% 11%

0700 57% 13% 26% 4%

0800 38% 23% 35% 5%

0900 35% 36% 24% 6%

Eagle Ford Shale - Housing Growth

http://www.google.com/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&frm=1&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&docid=pTUVYwZU--xM7M&tbnid=4LDQjZwVLViAcM:&ved=0CAUQjRw&url=http://eagleford.org/&ei=M-HCUrvcA4izyAH81YHgCw&bvm=bv.58187178,d.aWc&psig=AFQjCNHOctFRSS_fuCxnq8s9kN9oJbfAOw&ust=1388589718384696

Eagle Ford Shale Growth – Area 2800

Number of Sales (Jan-Nov)

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

Source:

MLS

# of

Sales

2011

2012

2013

$200,000

$205,000

$210,000

$215,000

$220,000

$225,000

$230,000

$235,000

$240,000

$245,000


Median Price (Jan-Nov)

Source:

MLS

Price

2011

2012

2013

152

154

156

158

160

162

164


Number of Sales (Jan-Nov)

Source:

MLS

# of

Sales

2011

2012

2013

$0

$20,000

$40,000

$60,000

$80,000

$100,000

$120,000

$140,000

$160,000

$180,000


Median Price (Jan-Nov)

Source:

MLS

Price

2011

2012

2013

2013 January – November Statistics

The Local Market

Housing forecast 2014 local stats presentation

Real Estate

pricesq ft

ytd median sales price

annual sales trends

growth sales median

price range

number of active listings

number of sales15

active listings10