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INVESTOR PRESENTATION FY14 Performance and Financial Review May 29, 2014
37

Hindalco Industries Ltd Board Meeting E mail [email protected] Corporate Identity No. L27020MH1958PLC011238 Certain statements in this report may be “forward looking statements”

Apr 11, 2018

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Page 1: Hindalco Industries Ltd Board Meeting E mail hindalco@adityabirla.com Corporate Identity No. L27020MH1958PLC011238 Certain statements in this report may be “forward looking statements”

INVESTOR PRESENTATION

FY14

Performance and Financial Review

May 29, 2014

Page 2: Hindalco Industries Ltd Board Meeting E mail hindalco@adityabirla.com Corporate Identity No. L27020MH1958PLC011238 Certain statements in this report may be “forward looking statements”

Contents

2

Projects

Aluminium Business

Highlights

Copper Business

Page 3: Hindalco Industries Ltd Board Meeting E mail hindalco@adityabirla.com Corporate Identity No. L27020MH1958PLC011238 Certain statements in this report may be “forward looking statements”

HIGHLIGHTS

3 3

Page 4: Hindalco Industries Ltd Board Meeting E mail hindalco@adityabirla.com Corporate Identity No. L27020MH1958PLC011238 Certain statements in this report may be “forward looking statements”

Global recovery continues, but so do

the risks …

3.0

5.2

4.4

7.7

1.5

-0.5

1.9

3.6

4.9

5.4

7.5

1.4

1.2

2.8

World

ASEAN

India

China

Japan

Euro Area

US

2013 2014

GDP Growth Projections (%)

Source: IMF World Economic Outlook, Apr’14

Advanced economies are

driving the gradual recovery

in economic conditions

Financial markets, however,

remain vulnerable to risks:

Geopolitical (Ukraine)

Disruptive slowdown in

China?

Stretched valuations in US

equity and / or fast-

tracking of monetary

stimulus withdrawal

Page 5: Hindalco Industries Ltd Board Meeting E mail hindalco@adityabirla.com Corporate Identity No. L27020MH1958PLC011238 Certain statements in this report may be “forward looking statements”

Aluminium: Emergence of deficit after

years of excess supply With ~3 Mtpa capacity closures since 2012 and consumption expected to grow

at 5-6% p.a., World Aluminium market shifting to deficit scenario, especially in

World Ex-China

(0.6)

0.1

2.7

3.3

0.9 0.6

0.4 0.0

(0.1)

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

&

beyond

World Primary Aluminium – Market balance (Mn tonnes)

Projections

(0.4) to

(0.5)

China:

Surplus

0.2-0.3

RoW:

Deficit

(0.7-0.8)

While this is a positive sign for the industry, workout of existing

overhang of inventory (90+ days) continues to be a challenge

Page 6: Hindalco Industries Ltd Board Meeting E mail hindalco@adityabirla.com Corporate Identity No. L27020MH1958PLC011238 Certain statements in this report may be “forward looking statements”

Aluminium Industry: Key developments

Changes to LME warehousing rules

postponed due to Court intervention

Physical shortages and continuation of

stocks locked in financing deals have

helped premium shoot up further

SHFE has crashed significantly in

recent months due to rising surplus

243 249 250 246 305

367

Japanese Ingot Premium

(cif, $/t)

2,177

1,799

1500

1600

1700

1800

1900

2000

2100

2200 LME + Premium

SHFE Ex-VAT

($/t) LME & SHFE – Divergent Paths

Page 7: Hindalco Industries Ltd Board Meeting E mail hindalco@adityabirla.com Corporate Identity No. L27020MH1958PLC011238 Certain statements in this report may be “forward looking statements”

Aluminium Industry: Early signs of

recovery…

LME appears to have bottomed out

Physical premium expected to be strong

Environmental issues, policy interventions to curb unbridled

growth, Lower SHFE and tighter credit… resulting in

curtailments within China

If Indonesia’s bauxite exports dry up beyond 2014, curtailments could

be even higher…

Globally…. Outside China, Over 2.5 Mn tonnes capacity closure

as cost inflation makes them unviable…

Global Demand continues to remain strong…

Indian Demand expected to receive a boost….

Page 8: Hindalco Industries Ltd Board Meeting E mail hindalco@adityabirla.com Corporate Identity No. L27020MH1958PLC011238 Certain statements in this report may be “forward looking statements”

Highlights: FY14

Aluminium Metal Volume (Upstream)

FY14 vs. FY13

Consolidated Revenue

13%

Standalone Revenue

Standalone EBITDA

7%

13%

9%

Strong All-round Performance Q4 FY14 vs.

Q3 FY 14

11%

16%

34%

Consolidated PBIDTA 5%

Page 9: Hindalco Industries Ltd Board Meeting E mail hindalco@adityabirla.com Corporate Identity No. L27020MH1958PLC011238 Certain statements in this report may be “forward looking statements”

Strong Operational Result…

FY14 EBITDA up 13%, driven by better

operational results in both Al and Cu

Sequential improvement in EBITDA has

continued; Q4 EBITDA up 34%

Significant jump in Depreciation & Interest

– Higher by `395 crore in FY14

Trend will continue in coming quarters

Exceptional charges of `396 crore in Q4

pertaining to UP entry tax and MP GATSVA

tax have pulled down the Net profit

478 540

629

844

EBITDA (` Crore)

Page 10: Hindalco Industries Ltd Board Meeting E mail hindalco@adityabirla.com Corporate Identity No. L27020MH1958PLC011238 Certain statements in this report may be “forward looking statements”

FY14: Snapshot of the year

Aluminium

(India)

Novelis

Copper

(India)

World class projects with tight supply chain logistics.. set to

deliver ….

Ramping up … Not only primary metal but also ready to

produce…. world class VAP

Strong Exit quarter EBIT margin..

Strategic initiatives playing out well; firmly leading & driving

the light-weighting story in Auto…

Building on Global Product Portfolio…set to take advantage

of Soccer World cup & Summer Olympics

$1-bn EBITDA run-rate regained in exit quarter

Record EBIT … at ` 938 crore …..Highest ever

Strong Operational performance

De-Risked Business Portfolio… to further enhance returns through both volume and

value maximization…

Page 11: Hindalco Industries Ltd Board Meeting E mail hindalco@adityabirla.com Corporate Identity No. L27020MH1958PLC011238 Certain statements in this report may be “forward looking statements”

` Cr Q4

FY14 Q4

FY13

Change

YoY

Q3

FY 14

Change

%QOQ FY14 FY13

Change

%, YoY

Net Sales 8,435 6,994 21% 7,273 16% 27,851 26,057 7%

EBITDA 844 643 31% 629 34% 2,492 2,204 13%

Other

Income 212 231 (10)% 204 4% 1,124 983 14%

PBITDA 1,057 874 21% 834 27% 3,616 3,187 13%

Depreciation (244) (173) 41% (200) 22% (823) (704) 17%

Interest (215) (158) 36% (165) 30% (712) (436) 63%

PBT before

exceptional 598 544 10% 469 27% 2,081 2,047 2%

Exceptional

items (396) … … … (396) … …

PBT 202 544 (63)% 469 (57)% 1,685 2,047 (18)%

PAT 248 482 (49)% 334 (26)% 1,413 1,699 (17)%

EPS (`) 1.20 2.52 1.62 (26)% 7.09 8.88 (20)%

Financial Performance: Standalone

11

Page 12: Hindalco Industries Ltd Board Meeting E mail hindalco@adityabirla.com Corporate Identity No. L27020MH1958PLC011238 Certain statements in this report may be “forward looking statements”

24%

50%

36%

13%

50%

64%

C.E

EBIT

SALES

Aluminium Greenfield Copper

62%

Segmental Performance – FY 14

12 *Standalone

Page 13: Hindalco Industries Ltd Board Meeting E mail hindalco@adityabirla.com Corporate Identity No. L27020MH1958PLC011238 Certain statements in this report may be “forward looking statements”

13

ALUMINIUM BUSINESS

Aditya Aluminium,

Lapanga, Odisha

Page 14: Hindalco Industries Ltd Board Meeting E mail hindalco@adityabirla.com Corporate Identity No. L27020MH1958PLC011238 Certain statements in this report may be “forward looking statements”

FY14 was a historic year for us

Six new facilities, all new-edge ‘Last-Man Standing’

assets, are on stream!

Mahan Utkal Aditya Mouda

Foils

H’kud

Exp.

H’kud

FRP

Expansion programme pursued since FY09 has is ready to

deliver….

Creating a ‘New Hindalco’,

Higher volumes, Improved efficiencies, Better product mix

Page 15: Hindalco Industries Ltd Board Meeting E mail hindalco@adityabirla.com Corporate Identity No. L27020MH1958PLC011238 Certain statements in this report may be “forward looking statements”

Al: Rising Volumes ….

Production (Kt)

FY13 FY14 %

Alumina 1,320 1,619 23

Metal 542 613 13

FRP 220 238 8

Extrusions 34.5 38.2 11

Alumina output includes 277 kt at Utkal

Metal output includes 57 kt at Mahan &

Aditya

Q1

FY14

Q2

FY14

Q3

FY14

Q4

FY14

349 376 429 465

Alumina (Kt)

Q1

FY14

Q2

FY14

Q3

FY14

Q4

FY14

139 140 158

175

Metal (Kt)

Volumes to grow as projects ramp up to their

capacities

Page 16: Hindalco Industries Ltd Board Meeting E mail hindalco@adityabirla.com Corporate Identity No. L27020MH1958PLC011238 Certain statements in this report may be “forward looking statements”

Al: Key Performance Drivers

LME dipped sharply, but depreciation of rupee cushioned the impact

Higher volumes

Higher VAP sales

Energy cost pressures have continued

Existing operations’ performance improved; but the result was

impacted by higher depreciation and start-up expenses from the new

sites

FY13 FY14

LME ($/t) 1,976 1,773

INRUSD 54.32 60.50

LME (`/Kg) 107.3 107.3

Page 17: Hindalco Industries Ltd Board Meeting E mail hindalco@adityabirla.com Corporate Identity No. L27020MH1958PLC011238 Certain statements in this report may be “forward looking statements”

Al: Financial Performance (Standalone, w/o Utkal)

Quarterly Trend

Q1

FY14

Q2

FY14

Q3

FY14

Q4

FY14

2,211 2,343 2,471 3,025

Net Sales (` Cr)

Q1

FY14

Q2

FY14

Q3

FY14

Q4

FY14

249

166 170

350

EBIT (` Cr)

FY14 Performance

FY14

FY13 8779

Net Sales (` Cr)

FY14

FY13

934

930

EBIT (` Cr)

10,050

14%

Page 18: Hindalco Industries Ltd Board Meeting E mail hindalco@adityabirla.com Corporate Identity No. L27020MH1958PLC011238 Certain statements in this report may be “forward looking statements”

NOVELIS : HIGHLIGHTS

Undisputed leader in Auto & Can FRP

18

Page 19: Hindalco Industries Ltd Board Meeting E mail hindalco@adityabirla.com Corporate Identity No. L27020MH1958PLC011238 Certain statements in this report may be “forward looking statements”

Auto and Recycling: Key Strategies…

North America FRP Auto Demand

Auto Share of Novelis Portfolio

6%

> 25%

FY13 FY20

100

1425

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

North America Aluminum Auto FRP Demand Estimates (Kt)

Approaching

1.5M Tons

33% 39%

43% 50%

80%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

FY10 FY12 FY13 FY15 FY20

Average Recycled Content in Novelis Products

Targets

Industry’s First

Independently

Certified 90%

Recycled Content

Can Body Sheet

Page 20: Hindalco Industries Ltd Board Meeting E mail hindalco@adityabirla.com Corporate Identity No. L27020MH1958PLC011238 Certain statements in this report may be “forward looking statements”

Novelis: Shipments at a 3-yr high

Shipments up 4% yoy

990 958

861 911

562 640

395 447

FY13 FY14

South America

9%

Asia

13%

Europe

4%

North America

3%

2,786 kt 2,895 kt

Record production and

shipments in Asia and South

America on the back of

successful ramp-up of strategic

projects

Declining beverage can activity

and increased competitive

intensity affected shipments in

North America

Shipments up 8% in Q4 to reach

an 11-quarter high with

shipments growing in each

region

Page 21: Hindalco Industries Ltd Board Meeting E mail hindalco@adityabirla.com Corporate Identity No. L27020MH1958PLC011238 Certain statements in this report may be “forward looking statements”

Novelis: Strong Cash Management in a

tough environment

FY14

FY13

885

961

Adj. EBITDA ($Mn)

8%

Oversupply induced pricing

pressures in North America and

Asia

However, registered a strong finish

to the year with Q4 FY14 EBITDA of

$250 Mn

Excellent cash management FY13 FY14

FCF before Capex ($Mn) 203 702

Yr-end Liquidity ($Mn) 760 1,020

Medium-term Outlook remains bright on the

back of strategic initiatives in recent years

Page 22: Hindalco Industries Ltd Board Meeting E mail hindalco@adityabirla.com Corporate Identity No. L27020MH1958PLC011238 Certain statements in this report may be “forward looking statements”

Novelis: Strategic Goals on track …

Invested $2 Bn in last

3 years to solidify

Global Leadership

Auto Share in Product

Portfolio to lead the

Light-weighting trend

Sustainability : Goal of

80% recycling content

by 2020

Project SIG

– First Cast,

May 2014

570 kt of high quality

rolling capacity

600 kt of auto finishing

capability

~1mtpa of recycling

capacity

Europe auto shipments up

35% yoy on the back of

very strong partnership

with JLR

FY15 outlook bullish with

launch of new Ford supply

programme

4%

9%

20%

FY10

FY14

FY17 (P)

Auto Share in Portfolio (%)

Recycling content at 46%

in FY14 vs. 33% in FY10

Novelis EvercanTM now

commercially available

Page 23: Hindalco Industries Ltd Board Meeting E mail hindalco@adityabirla.com Corporate Identity No. L27020MH1958PLC011238 Certain statements in this report may be “forward looking statements”

23

COPPER BUSINESS

Page 24: Hindalco Industries Ltd Board Meeting E mail hindalco@adityabirla.com Corporate Identity No. L27020MH1958PLC011238 Certain statements in this report may be “forward looking statements”

Cu: Mixed Industry Trends…

FY14 vs.

FY13

Impact (YoY)

TCRC Higher

LME ($/t) Lower

Exch. Rate

(`/$) Favourable

Acid Price Significantly

lower

DAP

Realization Weaker

Page 25: Hindalco Industries Ltd Board Meeting E mail hindalco@adityabirla.com Corporate Identity No. L27020MH1958PLC011238 Certain statements in this report may be “forward looking statements”

Cu: Robust Operational Performance

Higher production

Improved Cu-III performance post shutdown sustained

315 329

FY13 FY14

Cathode (kt)

209 229

FY13 FY14

DAP (kt)

Steadily improving performance from virtually same

asset base

Page 26: Hindalco Industries Ltd Board Meeting E mail hindalco@adityabirla.com Corporate Identity No. L27020MH1958PLC011238 Certain statements in this report may be “forward looking statements”

Cu: Financial Performance

Quarterly Trend

Q1

FY14

Q2

FY14

Q3

FY14

Q4

FY14

3,636 3,974 4,817

5,422

Net Sales (` Cr)

Q1

FY14

Q2

FY14

Q3

FY14

Q4

FY14

81

239 300 318

EBIT (` Cr)

Planned

s/d

FY14 Performance

FY14

FY13

17848

17305

Net Sales (` Cr)

FY14

FY13

938

768

EBIT (` Cr) 22%

3%

Page 27: Hindalco Industries Ltd Board Meeting E mail hindalco@adityabirla.com Corporate Identity No. L27020MH1958PLC011238 Certain statements in this report may be “forward looking statements”

Performance Review

ABML

Page 28: Hindalco Industries Ltd Board Meeting E mail hindalco@adityabirla.com Corporate Identity No. L27020MH1958PLC011238 Certain statements in this report may be “forward looking statements”

ABML: Performance Update

Nifty copper production down 10% to 44kt in FY14

Impact of lower grade (2.08% in FY14 vs. 2.33% in the previous year)

Performance was supported by –

8% reduction in Nifty site costs

Slight improvement in LME in A$ terms

EBITDA for FY14 maintained at A$52 Mn – same as in FY13

Available options for divestment of Mt Gordon are under exploration

Nifty mine operations are currently suspended after an unfortunate

sinkhole incident on 21st March

Investigation drilling activities are in progress

Page 29: Hindalco Industries Ltd Board Meeting E mail hindalco@adityabirla.com Corporate Identity No. L27020MH1958PLC011238 Certain statements in this report may be “forward looking statements”

Highlights: Consolidated Results, FY14

Revenues up 9% at `87,695 crore on the back of higher volumes in

Aluminium (India) and Novelis

PBITDA increased 5%; Aluminium margins came under pressure

Impact was cushioned by higher profitability in Copper segment

Despite better operational results, higher depreciation

(up ~` 700 cr) affected Aluminium EBIT

FY13 FY14 Ch.

Aluminium 62,259 69,218 11%

Copper 17,543 17,906 2%

Revenue (` crore)

FY13 FY14 Change

Aluminium 4,388 3,764 (14)%

Copper 740 1,025 38%

EBIT (` crore)

Page 30: Hindalco Industries Ltd Board Meeting E mail hindalco@adityabirla.com Corporate Identity No. L27020MH1958PLC011238 Certain statements in this report may be “forward looking statements”

` Cr FY14 FY13 Change FY14 ($ mn)

Net Sales 87,695 80,193 9% 14,514

PBITDA 9,303 8,849 5% 1,540

Depreciation (3,553) (2,861) 24% (588)

Financing charge (2,702) (2,079) 30% (447)

PBT before exceptional items 3,049 3,909 (22)% 505

Exceptional items (396) … … (66)

PBT 2,653 3,909 (32)% 439

PAT 2,175 3,027 (28)% 360

EPS (`) 10.91 15.81 (31)% US c 18.1

Financial Performance: FY14 (Consolidated)

Page 31: Hindalco Industries Ltd Board Meeting E mail hindalco@adityabirla.com Corporate Identity No. L27020MH1958PLC011238 Certain statements in this report may be “forward looking statements”

PROJECTS : ON STREAM

Aditya Smelter

31

Utkal Refinery

Mahan CPP Hirakud FRP

Page 32: Hindalco Industries Ltd Board Meeting E mail hindalco@adityabirla.com Corporate Identity No. L27020MH1958PLC011238 Certain statements in this report may be “forward looking statements”

Mahan: Scaling up

Metal Production (kt)

32 Q2

FY14

Q3

FY14

Q4 FY

14

7

18

29

Page 33: Hindalco Industries Ltd Board Meeting E mail hindalco@adityabirla.com Corporate Identity No. L27020MH1958PLC011238 Certain statements in this report may be “forward looking statements”

Utkal: Gaining momentum

33

Alumina Production (kt)

Q2

FY14

Q3

FY14

Q4

FY14

41

87

147

Page 34: Hindalco Industries Ltd Board Meeting E mail hindalco@adityabirla.com Corporate Identity No. L27020MH1958PLC011238 Certain statements in this report may be “forward looking statements”

Aditya: Ramping up….

34

Page 35: Hindalco Industries Ltd Board Meeting E mail hindalco@adityabirla.com Corporate Identity No. L27020MH1958PLC011238 Certain statements in this report may be “forward looking statements”

Summing up- FY 15.. Year of Consolidation

Uncertainty over access to captive coal when

Mahan and Aditya are ramping up

Appreciating rupee…

Depreciation & Interest burden from capitalization

of large investments

Challenges – from business

environment and some

growth pangs …

Ramp-up and stabilization of new factories, to achieve desired technical and

quality parameters

Re-balancing Novelis’ portfolio…. Thrust on Auto… Strengthening emerging

market presence…

Well poised for the discontinuous & sustainable

growth ….

Transition from Investment phase to Consolidation phase…..

Page 36: Hindalco Industries Ltd Board Meeting E mail hindalco@adityabirla.com Corporate Identity No. L27020MH1958PLC011238 Certain statements in this report may be “forward looking statements”

Thank you

36

REGISTERED OFFICE

Century Bhavan, 3rd Floor, Dr. Annie

Besant Road, Worli, Mumbai 400 030

Telephone- +91 22 6662 6666

Website www.hindalco.com

E mail [email protected]

Corporate Identity No. L27020MH1958PLC011238

Page 37: Hindalco Industries Ltd Board Meeting E mail hindalco@adityabirla.com Corporate Identity No. L27020MH1958PLC011238 Certain statements in this report may be “forward looking statements”

Certain statements in this report may be “forward looking statements” within the meaning of applicable securities laws and regulations. Actual results could differ materially from those expressed or implied. Important factors that could make a difference to the company’s operations include global and Indian demand supply conditions, finished goods prices, feed stock availability and prices, cyclical demand and pricing in the company’s principal markets, changes in Government regulations, tax regimes, economic developments within India and the countries within which the company conducts business and other factors such as litigation and labour negotiations. The company assume no responsibility to publicly amend, modify or revise any forward looking statement, on the basis of any subsequent development, information or events, or otherwise.

Forward Looking & Cautionary Statement

37