Top Banner
NATO BurdenSharing in Libya: Understanding the Contributions of Norway, Spain and Poland to the War Effort «NATO BurdenSharing in Libya: Understanding the Contributions of Norway, Spain and Poland to the War Effort» by Ryan C. Hendrickson; Rachel A. Dicke; Phillip A. Roughton; Nicholas Anson Source: The Polish Quarterly of International Affairs (The Polish Quarterly of International Affairs), issue: 4 / 2013, pages: 2954, on www.ceeol.com .
26
Welcome message from author
This document is posted to help you gain knowledge. Please leave a comment to let me know what you think about it! Share it to your friends and learn new things together.
Transcript
Page 1: HendricksonPQIA 2014

NATO Burden­Sharing in Libya: Understanding the Contributions ofNorway, Spain and Poland to the War Effort

«NATO Burden­Sharing in Libya: Understanding the Contributions of Norway, Spainand Poland to the War Effort»

by Ryan C. Hendrickson; Rachel A. Dicke; Phillip A. Roughton; Nicholas Anson

Source:The Polish Quarterly of International Affairs (The Polish Quarterly of International Affairs), issue: 4 /2013, pages: 29­54, on www.ceeol.com.

Page 2: HendricksonPQIA 2014

RACHEL A. DICKE, NICHOLAS ANSON, PHILLIP A. ROUGHTON, RYAN C. HENDRICKSON

NATO Burden-Sharing in Libya:

Understanding the Contributions of Norway,

Spain and Poland to the War Effort1

NATO’s intervention in Libya witnessed an alliance military operation that

previously had been difficult to predict or imagine. Over the course of eight

months in 2011, NATO’s European allies carried out the majority of all military

strikes on Libya. Such numbers stand in stark contrast to the United States’

leading and dominant role in NATO’s previous air operations in Bosnia and

Kosovo, after which Pentagon military planners argued that “never again” would

America use force in joint NATO operations.2 Moreover, NATO’s Operation

Unified Protector in Libya likely averted a humanitarian disaster in Benghazi,

and after months of missile strikes, helped remove the Qaddafi regime from

power. Certainly, by these standards, the operation was a success and a victory

for the principle of alliance burden-sharing.

Yet by other measures, Operation Unified Protector raised major concerns

regarding alliance military capabilities, and more broadly on the different

national conceptualisations of what is in NATO’s security interest. Only a handful

of the 28 NATO allies willingly used force. In addition, the United States played

a critical enabling role through its air refuelling and force protection missions, as

well as in precision targeting strikes, all of which allowed the European allies to

contribute militarily in ways that would have otherwise been impossible. While

it is clear that a coalition of allies worked together to achieve NATO’s

objectives, it is equally evident that the military burden was not shared across

the alliance, and in a number of cases was openly resisted by some members.

NATO’s military performance in Libya raises important questions over

which allies are willing to use force in NATO operations, and more broadly, over

the principle of military burden-sharing, which has received extensive treatment

The Polish Quarterly of International Affairs, 2013, no. 4 29

1 The research presented here does not represent the views of the U.S. Army or the U.SDepartment of Defense.

2 S. Kay, “What Went Wrong with NATO?,” Cambridge Review of International Affairs, vol. 18,no. 1, 2005, p. 72.

Page 3: HendricksonPQIA 2014

from scholars. Using a structured and focused case study approach, this paper

examines three of Europe’s NATO allies—Norway, Spain and Poland—all of

whom played widely different roles in Operation Unified Protector. Using

previous research on burden-sharing as well as literature more specific to NATO

military operations, we examine three variables across these three NATO allies

—public and governmental support for the strikes, national strategic culture, and

perceived member benefits for the use of force—all in an effort to evaluate the

conditions when a European ally may be willing to act militarily. These research

findings speak to NATO’s ability to meet future security challenges, the role of

European militaries in American foreign policy and, hopefully, will provide

broader insights on the conditions that foster burden-sharing in alliance military

operations.

Literature Review and Methodology

Among the scholarly study of international relations is the theory of

collective action. Mancur Olson maintains that states will cooperate because

they can achieve results they are unable to acquire individually. These desired

results often take the form of public goods, which in the case of a military

alliance, implies security for all of its members.3 One means of promoting

security through cooperation is to form alliances. Typically alliances between

states are formed in response to the shared perception of an external threat.

Analysts have provided a number of explanations for the cohesion of an alliance,

which may depend upon how alliance members evaluate the intensity of this

threat, how effective the leadership of the largest state in the alliance is, or how

flexible the alliance is in adapting to new challenges.4

In the case of NATO, which was formed largely in response to a perceived

threat from the Soviet Union, this military alliance has evolved considerably

Rachel A. Dicke, Nicholas Anson, Phillip A. Roughton, Ryan C. Hendrickson

30 The Polish Quarterly of International Affairs, 2013, no. 4

3 M. Olson, The Logic of Collective Action: Public Goods and the Theory of Groups, HarvardUniversity Press, Cambridge, MA, 1965; see also, T. Sandler, Global Collective Action,Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, 2004.

4 P.A. Weitsman, Dangerous Alliances: Proponents of Peace, Weapons of War, StanfordUniversity Press, Stanford, 2004; A. Bennett, J. Lepgold, D. Ungar, “Burden-sharing in thePersian Gulf War,” International Organization, vol. 48, no. 1, 1994, pp. 39–75. See also,N. Bensahel, “A Coalition of Coalitions: International Cooperation against Terrorism,” Studies

in Conflict & Terrorism, vol. 29, no. 1, 2006, pp. 35–49; C.A. Wallander, “Institutional Assetsand Adaptability: NATO after the Cold War,” Institutional Organization, vol. 54, no. 4, 2000,pp. 705–735; M. Chalmers, “The Atlantic Burden-sharing Debate—Widening or Fragmenting?,”International Affairs, vol. 77, no. 3, 2001, pp. 569–585.

Access via CEEOL NL Germany

Page 4: HendricksonPQIA 2014

since its inception. The organisation originally focused almost exclusively on

the protection of members’ borders from an external threat, yet has now become

an organisation with a much wider range of security interests and operations.

This transition has produced considerable political differences amongst its members,

which include broader debates over the purpose of the alliance, NATO’s

relationship with the European Union, its affiliation with new “partner states,”

appropriate defence-spending levels for its members, as well as the appropriate

role of the United States within the organisation.5 Such differences in views raise

questions over how members perceive their benefits from membership, as well

as why members decide to join NATO military operations.6

Though NATO succeeded in its military operations in the Balkans in the

1990s, many analysts pointed to the operations’ role in generating intra-alliance

debates over “out of area” uses of force, and more generally, on the widely

varying military capabilities of the contributing allies.7 Similar debates became

far more pronounced during NATO’s operation in Afghanistan, where alliance

members contributed to the mission in markedly different manners; members

imposed a range of national “caveats,” or restrictions, for how their troops could

participate in the mission. These varying contributions evoked passionate

intra-alliance debates over members’ conflicting perspectives on whether and

how to use force, and became considerable sources of domestic political tension

NATO Burden-Sharing in Libya

The Polish Quarterly of International Affairs, 2013, no. 4 31

5 A. Holmberg, “The Changing Role of NATO: Exploring the Implications for SecurityGovernance and Legitimacy,” European Security, vol. 20, no. 4, 2011, pp. 529–546; A. Futter,“NATO, Ballistic Missile Defence and the Future of U.S. Tactical Nuclear Weapons in Europe,”European Security, vol. 20, no. 4, 2011, pp. 547–562; C. Wagnsson, “A Security Community inthe Making? Sweden and NATO Post-Libya,” European Security, vol. 20, no. 4, 2011, pp.585–603; M.J. Mazarr, “Rivalry’s New Face,” Survival: Global Politics and Strategy, vol. 54,no. 4, 2012, pp. 83–106; H. Edstrom, J.H. Matlary, M. Petersson (eds.), “Utility for NATO—Utility of NATO?,” in: NATO: The Power of Partnerships, Palgrave Macmillan, New York,2011.

6 T. Sandler, H. Shimizu, “NATO Burden Sharing 1999–2010: An Altered Alliance,” Foreign

Policy Analysis, vol. 8, no. 3, 2012, pp. 1–18; T. Noetzel, B. Schreer, “Does a Multi-tier NATOMatter? The Atlantic Alliance and the Process of Strategic Change,” International Affairs, vol.85, no. 2, 2009, pp. 211–226; T. Sandler, K. Hartley, Political Economy of NATO: Past, Present,

and into the 21st Century, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, 1999.7 J. Sperling, M. Webber, “NATO: From Kosovo to Kabul,” International Affairs, vol. 85, no. 3,

2009, pp. 491–511; J. Huysmans, “Shape-Shifting NATO: Humanitarian Action and the KosovoRefugee Crisis,” International Studies, vol. 28, no. 3, 2002, pp. 599–618; J.E. Peters,S. Johnson, N. Behsahel, T. Liston, T. Williams, European Contributions to Operation Allied

Force, RAND, Santa Monica, 2001.

Page 5: HendricksonPQIA 2014

among the NATO allies.8 NATO’s 2011 military operation in Libya, Operation

Unified Protector, produced a similar range of perspectives on the alliance’s

performance, with its critics noting that only a handful of members contributed

militarily to the mission. A number of allies stated from the onset their

unwillingness to contribute militarily to the mission.9 These different perspectives

raise questions over the future of the military alliance and its ability to project

and use force to face future security challenges. Thus, the willingness to “share

the burden” in alliance military operations remains an ongoing challenge for

NATO, and given the very recent differences and widely varying contributions

witnessed in Unified Protector, additional research on this issue is merited.

In this research, we will assess how three NATO allies—Norway, Spain and

Poland—contributed to Operation Unified Protector. These states were chosen

due to the very different ways each viewed and contributed to the operation,

from a willingness to conduct bombing operations in Libya to outright

opposition to any military contribution at all. In addition, these states also have

quite different strategic cultures, which ostensibly presents additional challenges

for burden-sharing and the possibility of joint operations within the alliance. In

this respect, Norway, Spain and Poland represent, arguably, the widest range of

European perspectives within NATO, and thus provide good and different

perspectives on who was willing to share the burden. Such a focus also allows

for an examination of European defence capabilities and contributions, and thus

an assessment of how some European states can contribute to a major NATO

military operation.

Rachel A. Dicke, Nicholas Anson, Phillip A. Roughton, Ryan C. Hendrickson

32 The Polish Quarterly of International Affairs, 2013, no. 4

8 S. Rynning, NATO in Afghanistan: The Liberal Disconnect, Stanford University Press, PaloAlto, 2012; S. Saideman, D. Auerswald, “Comparing Caveats: Understanding the Sources ofNational Restrictions upon NATO’s Mission in Afghanistan,” International Studies Quarterly,vol. 56, no. 1, 2012, pp. 67–84; R. Rupp, NATO after 9/11: An Alliance in Continuing Decline,Palgrave Macmillan, New York, 2006.

9 E. Hallams, B. Schreer, “Towards a ‘Post-American’ Alliance? NATO Burden-Sharing afterLibya,” International Affairs, vol. 88, no. 2, 2012, pp. 313–327; C.A. Buckley, “Learning fromLibya, Acting in Syria,” Journal of Strategic Security, vol. 5, no. 2, 2012, pp. 81–104; J.P. Bell,R.C. Hendrickson, “NATO’s Visegrad Allies and the Bombing of Qaddafi: The Consequence ofAlliance Free-Riders,” Journal of Slavic Military Studies, vol. 25, no. 2, 2012, pp. 149–161;A. Menon, “European Defence Policy from Lisbon to Libya,” Survival, vol. 53, no. 3, 2011,pp. 75–90; T. Valasek, “What Libya Says about the Future of the Transatlantic Alliance,” Centre

for European Reform, July 2011; G. Chapell, “Operation Unified Protector: No ‘Swan Song’ forNATO,” Polish Quarterly of International Affairs, vol. 20, no. 2, 2011, pp. 63–78. For a moreoptimistic perspective, see I.H. Daalder, J.G. Stravridis, “NATO’s Victory in Libya: The RightWar to Run and Intervention,” Foreign Affairs, vol. 91, no. 2, 2012, pp. 2–7.

Page 6: HendricksonPQIA 2014

During the Cold War, burden-sharing within the alliance traditionally was

determined by how much a member state was devoting to defence spending,

which often produced complaints from American legislators as well as nearly all

of NATO’s secretaries general that most of Europe was not devoting enough to

defence.10 In the Cold War’s aftermath, and especially in light of NATO’s

membership expansion rounds, the alliance has broadened the definition of how

a member state can contribute to the alliance, which may mean troop

contributions to a NATO operation, the sharing of niche military capabilities that

a member state may have, intelligence-sharing with allies, or even simply the

use of a member state’s airspace. In the most lenient sense of burden-sharing, all

NATO member states benefit from having stable democracies in Europe, and in

this sense, healthy democratic civil-military relations across Europe is good for

all of NATO’s allies and contributes to members’ security.11

For each state examined in this analysis, three variables stand out as factors

that may determine if a NATO ally is willing to participate in a military

operation. For this study, first, it seems important to evaluate the significance in

an alliance member’s public approval for the use of force. Some research suggests

that public approval ratings are instrumental in determining if a government is

willing to use military force.12 Thus, in order to examine this variable, we

examine national public opinion during NATO’s use of force in Libya, as well as

the overall popular sentiments expressed by the national parliaments—including

minor political parties—to determine the national mood for the use of force. The

inclusion of national parliamentary action in our analysis has similarly been

identified as an important aspect of NATO members’ willingness to use force,

especially in Afghanistan.13 Second, a state’s national strategic culture has been

viewed by many as central in determining foreign policy directions, especially

NATO Burden-Sharing in Libya

The Polish Quarterly of International Affairs, 2013, no. 4 33

10 For a Cold War example of such transatlantic tensions, see D.M. Abshire, Preventing World War

III, Harper and Row, New York, 1988. On NATO secretaries generals’ concerns over Europeandefence expenditures, see R.C. Hendrickson, Diplomacy and War at NATO: The Secretary

General and Military Action after the Cold War, University of Missouri Press, Columbia, 2006.11 T.S. Szayna, NATO’s Further Enlargement: Determinants and Implications for Defence

Planning and Shaping, RAND, Santa Monica, 2001.12 J. Ringsmose, B.K. Børgesen, “Shaping Public Attitudes towards the Deployment of Military

Power: NATO, Afghanistan and the Use of Strategic Narratives,” European Security, vol. 20,no. 4, 2011, pp. 505–528.

13 S. Saideman, D. Auerswald, op. cit.

Page 7: HendricksonPQIA 2014

on the decision to use force.14 With 28 different members in the alliance, it

seems useful to determine a member’s political culture with regard to NATO in

order to determine the alliance’s place in the overall context of a member’s

foreign policy. As NATO’s importance and relevance in a member state

increases, we anticipate that an ally will be more willing to engage in military

operations. Finally, the literature on collective action within alliances suggests

that member states must perceive national benefits in order to contribute to the

broader strategic goals of a military operation. Using statements made by senior

foreign policy leaders, as well as the member’s previous history with Libya and

in North Africa, we seek to examine how each state determined the “national

benefits” for using force in this case. We pay special attention to the willingness

to contribute militarily to Operation Unified Protector given the strong diplomatic

pressure applied by the United States on the European allies, especially as the

operation progressed and financial and logistical pressures increased for those

members who agreed at the mission’s onset to help militarily.15 In sum, this

research approach seeks to examine these allies from multiple perspectives in

order to evaluate a range of variables that may shape burden-sharing actions

within NATO. We begin our analysis with Norway.

Norway

Among the European allies, the Norwegian contribution to Operation

Unified Protector came immediately and entailed significant military support.

Norway contributed six F-16 fighter planes before NATO’s official endorsement

to use force, assisting the U.S.-led Operation Odyssey Dawn and then the NATO

operation.16 The initial decision to send assistance came on 18 March, the day

after UNSC Resolution 1973, which permitted the enforcement of a no-fly zone

Rachel A. Dicke, Nicholas Anson, Phillip A. Roughton, Ryan C. Hendrickson

34 The Polish Quarterly of International Affairs, 2013, no. 4

14 J. Angstrom, J.W. Honig, “Regaining Strategy: Small Powers, Strategic Culture and Escalationin Afghanistan,” Journal of Strategic Studies, vol. 35, no. 5, 2012, pp. 663–687; J. Glenn,“Realism versus Strategic Culture: Competition and Collaboration?,” International Studies

Review, vol. 11, no. 3, 2009, pp. 523–551; T. Noetzel, B. Schreer, “All the Way? The Evolutionof German Military Power,” International Affairs, vol. 84, no. 2, 2008, pp. 211–221;I.B. Neumann, H. Heikka, “Grand Strategy, Strategic Culture, Practice: The Social Roots ofNordic Defence,” Cooperation and Conflict, vol. 40, no. 1, 2005, pp. 5–23.

15 B. Klapper, R. Burns, “Gates Presses Allies to Do More against Iraq,” Army Times, 8 June 2011,www.armytimes.com/article/20110608/NEWS/106080307/Gates-presses-allies-do-more-against-Libya.

16 “The Norwegian Government is working for a broad coalition in the Libya operation,”23 March 2011, www.regjeringen.no/en/dep/fd/whats-new/News/2011/the-norwegian-government-is-working-for-.html?id=636373.

Page 8: HendricksonPQIA 2014

in Libyan airspace. Norwegian aircraft were deployed only three days later.17

Overall, Norway contributed six F-16 fighters, flew 2,832 hours on 674

missions, and dropped 586 bombs, almost half of which were flown and dropped

within the first three weeks of the mission.18 Although Norwegian forces

withdrew in August 2011 after they had exhausted their supply of armaments,

they were responsible for almost 10% of all allied sorties.19

From the onset of Norway’s military actions, most measures of public

opinion utilised in this analysis suggest strong support for the strikes on Libya.

Norway has a multi-party political system that often results in coalition

governments, and was in the midst of a coalition government during the Libya

operation. In March 2011, seven political parties had representation in

parliament, the Storting, with the Labour, Centre, and the Socialist Left parties

leading the government in the so called Red-Green coalition. The Progress party

is the largest opposition party, with the Conservative party close behind, and the

Christian People’s party and the Liberal party have the fewest members.20 In all,

the majority coalition includes 86 of the 169 seats in the Storting. Yet, despite

the presence of this coalition with significant minority factions, the government

quickly mobilised to contribute militarily, with little to no objection raised by the

opposition parties. Although the issue was not debated in the Storting, Prime

Minister Jens Stoltenberg called and met with government ministers and the

military chief prior to the use of force, while Foreign Minister Jonas Støre

personally called each of the parliamentary party leaders.21 The outcome was

broad support for a Norwegian contribution.22 The only significant opposition

came months later and was related to the perceived lack of consultation with

NATO Burden-Sharing in Libya

The Polish Quarterly of International Affairs, 2013, no. 4 35

17 J.G. Støre, “Government and Libya,” Aftenposten, 27 April 2011.18 T. Heier, Forsvaret til Libya 2011. Klar til strid?, The Norwegian Institute for Defence Studies,

September 2012.19 G. O’Dwyer, “Norway Withdraws F-16s from Libya Ops,” Defensenews.com, 11 August 2011,

www.defensenews.com/article/20110811/DEFSECT01/108110302/Norway-Withdraws-F-16s-from-Libya-Ops; T. Harding, M. Day, “NATO Goes Cap in Hand to Germany after LibyaDepletes Bomb Stocks,” The Daily Telegraph, 29 June 2011.

20 “Members of the Storting,” 2012, Stortinget.no; I. Karacs, “Norwegian Leader Who Grew Up inGovernment,” The Times, 27 July 2011.

21 J.G. Støre, op. cit.

22 S. Barstade, L.I. Stake Land, “Increasing Libya Scepticism in SV,” Aftenposten, 18 April 2011.

Page 9: HendricksonPQIA 2014

parliament as a whole. Yet even with these concerns, it is important to note that

at the time, parliament still remained supportive of the mission.23

Like parliament, Norwegian public opinion was mostly in favour of the

intervention. In a poll conducted in April 2011, 70% of Norwegians expressed

support for their military contribution to the mission, while only 17% thought it

was wrong.24 In sum, there was clearly strong support for Norway’s military

contribution to the enforcement of a no-fly zone over Libya, both in the public at

large and among the majority and minority party coalitions.

As for Norway’s strategic culture vis-à-vis NATO, the organisation has been

called “the essential source of security and stability in an unpredictable world.”25

Immediately after UNSCR 1973 authorised the use of force, Norway supported

the resolution and promptly began assessing what NATO would need and how

Norway could contribute, according to Defence Minister Grete Faremo.26 The

importance of fulfilling the commitments requested by the alliance was also

expressed by State Secretary of Defence Roger Ingebrigtsen as a means of

strengthening Norway’s security. In his view, Norway “will honour [its]

commitments and responsibilities. [It] will see these missions successfully through.”

He further stated: “The need for a more equitable Alliance burden-sharing is of

great importance. Norway is spending its fair share on defence ….”27 This

support is in keeping with the traditional relationship between Norway and

NATO. Norway’s dedication to the organisation was particularly strong during

the Cold War, when despite a lingering tendency towards neutrality, Norway

quickly gained a reputation as a committed and loyal ally. After the Cold War,

some scholars contend that Norway adapted admirably to the new direction of

the alliance, continuing to actively participate in NATO peacekeeping operations,

Rachel A. Dicke, Nicholas Anson, Phillip A. Roughton, Ryan C. Hendrickson

36 The Polish Quarterly of International Affairs, 2013, no. 4

23 S. Gedde-Dahl, “War Must Be Adopted in Parliament,” Aftenposten, 13 June 2012.24 “Norway will contribute six F-16 aircraft in Libya to enforce UN Security Council resolution on

a no-fly zone over Libya. Do you think it is right or wrong for Norway to participate in thisaction?,” Norwegian Social Science Data Services, April 2011, http://mma.nsd.uib.no//webview/index.jsp?study=http://mma.nsd.uib.no:80/obj/fStudy/MMA1007&mode=documentation&v=2&submode=variable&variable=http://mma.nsd.uib.no:80/obj/fVariable/MMA1007_V11&top=yes.

25 R. Ingebrigtsen, “Nordic Defence Cooperation—A Mini-NATO to the North?,” NorwegianMinistry of Defence, 24 June 2011, www.regjeringen.no/en/dep/fd/whats-new/Speeches-and-articles/Speeches-and-articles-by-other-apolitica/speeches-and-articles-by-state-secretary-2/speeches-and-articles/nordic-defence-cooperation—a-mini-nato-.html?id=648561.

26 “Norway supports UN resolution on Libya,” Norwegian Ministry of Foreign Affairs, 18 March2011, www.regjeringen.no/en/dep/ud/press/news/2011/un_libya.html?id=636202.

27 R. Ingebrigtsen, “Nordic Defence Cooperation …,” op. cit.

Page 10: HendricksonPQIA 2014

implementing defence reforms to increase future contributions despite its

smaller size, and supporting newer members so they could also participate.28 In

addition, Norway recently increased its defence budget, specifically citing the

need to bolster NATO capabilities in the face of European defence spending

cuts.29 Others believe that Norway’s continuing preoccupation with NATO–

Russian relations and “High North” policies have resulted in a slight lag in

adapting to the newer, modern strategic culture of NATO.30 Although the state

initially had some reservations when it joined the Alliance, e.g., no nuclear

weapons were allowed to be deployed on Norwegian territory, it seems clear that

NATO has been and remains a “cornerstone of Norwegian security policy.”31

The state’s defence forces have been specifically structured for compatibility

with NATO forces, and special emphasis has been placed in the national budget

on NATO participation. Though not a member of the European Union, Norway

has attempted to reconcile NATO and EU force capabilities, and has assisted

other Nordic states with integration into the NATO force structure.32

Though its numbers have often been small, Norway’s rhetorical support for

NATO has been witnessed in the field. To NATO’s strikes in Kosovo in 1999,

Norway contributed intelligence officers, four F-16s, and the personnel required

to maintain the aircraft. Norway also participated with a single battalion of

peacekeepers in the Kosovo Protection Force (KFOR).33 To Afghanistan,

NATO Burden-Sharing in Libya

The Polish Quarterly of International Affairs, 2013, no. 4 37

28 R.C. Hendrickson, “NATO’s Northern Allies: Contributions in the Post-Cold War Era,” European

Security, vol. 8, no. 1, 1999, pp. 64–78; Sir I. Forbes, “Minding the Gap,” Foreign Policy, 141,March/April 2004, pp. 76–77; Mark Kramer, “NATO, the Baltic States, and Russia: A Frameworkfor Sustainable Enlargement,” International Affairs, vol. 78, no. 4, 2002, pp. 731–756; S. Lodgaard,“Norway and NATO at 50,” Journal of International Affairs, vol. 4, no. 1, 1999, pp. 1–6.

29 D. Majumdar, “Norway: NATO Losing Self-Defence Ability,” Defensenews.com, 12 January2012, www.defensenews.com/article/20120112/DEFREG01/301120003/Norway-NATO-Losing-Self-Defense-Ability.

30 M. Petersson, H.L. Saxi, “Shifted Roles: Explaining Danish and Norwegian Alliance Strategy1949–2009,” Journal of Strategic Studies, iFirst article, 2012, pp. 1–28; J. Angstrom,J.W. Honig, op. cit.

31 H. Blakkisrud, “Norwegian Foreign Policy in the 20th Century,” 5 January 2000,www.regjeringen.no/en/dep/ud/documents/tidsskrift_og_nyhetsbrev/2000/norwegian-foreign-policy-in-the-20th-cen.html?id=425725.

32 R. Ingebrigtsen, “Nordic Defence Cooperation …,” op. cit.; “The Defence Budget 2001 ShortVersion,” 10 November 2001, www.regjeringen.no/en/dep/fd/documents/Handbooks-and- brochures/2000/The-Defence-Budget-2001—-Short-version.html?id=419249; H. Blakkisrud, op. cit.

33 “Trond Bolle spying for NATO in Yugoslavia,” Aftenposten, 19 September 2012; “Norwegianspy group operated on three continents,” Aftenposten, 4 February 2011; M. Petersson, H.L. Saxi,op. cit.

Page 11: HendricksonPQIA 2014

Norway contributed six F-16s, four helicopters, and one jet designed for electronic

warfare.34 Norwegian personnel led a Provincial Reconstruction Team in the

north of Afghanistan, supplied a rapid reaction force, and trained Afghan

defence and police personnel. There were no limitations on where Norwegian

personnel could operate in the north, but Norway refused to send additional

troops to the south.35

Alongside Norway’s long-standing support for NATO, its strategic culture

and foreign policy also emphasise strong and robust support for the United

Nations and humanitarianism. Notably, it was a Norwegian, Trygvie Lie, who

served as the United Nations’ first secretary general. Moreover, like its

Scandinavian neighbours Norway prides itself on its extensive financial support

of foreign aid and humanitarian contributions. The country has a long history of

such support. Norway also funnels significant amounts of aid through the United

Nations, supporting such organisations as UNICEF, UN Habitat, and the United

Nations Development Programme.36 In sum, Norway’s strategic culture places

a high value on NATO and United Nations relevance in its foreign policy. Thus,

in an operation that had UN Security Council approval, and eventually NATO’s

authorisation as well, we would expect meaningful participation in the Libyan

operation, which is exactly what occurred.

As the crisis in Libya unfolded and the eventual military operation

commenced, strong evidence exists that Unified Protector fit closely with

Norway’s strategic culture. After decades of repressing the Libyan people, the

Qaddafi government arrested critics and spurred the February uprising. Once the

Rachel A. Dicke, Nicholas Anson, Phillip A. Roughton, Ryan C. Hendrickson

38 The Polish Quarterly of International Affairs, 2013, no. 4

34 K. Barøy, “Norwegian Air Forces in Afghanistan Require Considerable Support,” Aftenposten,1 December 2001; T. Hertzberg, “Does the U.S. Help in Terror War?,” Aftenposten,30 November 2001.

35 “Norwegian Force Contributions to ISAF in Afghanistan,” 6 November 2007,www.regjeringen.no/en/dep/fd/press-centre/Press-releases/2007/Norwegian-force-contributions-to-ISAF-in.html?id=488551; A.-G. Strøm Erichson, “United for a Modern Defence,”28 February 2006, www.regjeringen.no/en/dep/fd/whats-new/Speeches-and-articles/minister/forsvarsminister-stroem-erichsen/2006/united-for-a-modern-defence.html?id=420743.

36 Ø.H. Skånland, “‘Norway Is a Peace Nation’: A Discourse Analytic Reading of the NorwegianPeace Engagement,” Cooperation and Conflict, vol. 45, no. 1, 2010, pp. 34–54; K.V. Laati-kainen, “Norden’s Eclipse: The Impact of the European Union’s Common Foreign and SecurityPolicy on the Nordic Group in the United Nations,” Cooperation and Conflict, vol. 38, no. 4,2003, pp. 409–441; O. Kjørven, “Norwegian Support for Education for All,” Forum for

Development Studies, vol. 31, no. 2, 2004, pp. 355–370; T.L. Haaland, “Participation in PeaceSupport Operations for Small Countries: The Case of Norway,” International Peacekeeping,vol. 14, no. 4, 2007, pp. 493–509.

Page 12: HendricksonPQIA 2014

civil conflict began, Qaddafi referred to the rebels as “rats” and called on his

supporters to “purify” Tripoli, causing outrage in the international community.37

The humanitarian aspect of the conflict was emphasised by Foreign Minister

Jonas Støre in a number of public addresses highlighting Norway’s $60 million

Kroner contribution to emergency relief efforts and close cooperation with

international aid organisations such as the Red Cross. The Norwegian Red Cross

in particular was sent to Libya in February 2011, almost a full month before

official international action. Norway also raised its accepted refugee quota in

order to admit more Libyan refugees.38 Duty to the UN and the relevance of

international rule of law also played a large role in speeches by government

officials. Defence Minister Grete Faremo stated that “all UN member states are

responsible for implementing the Security Council’s resolution. Norway will

now, together with our allies, consider whether, and if so how, NATO could help

to implement the UN resolution.”39 In addition, Norway imposed economic

sanctions against Libya on 11 March, citing a previous UN Security Council

Resolution, UNSCR 1970, which addressed the widespread human rights

violations in Libya a little over a week prior to the state’s contribution of

military forces.40 Multiple declarations of support for the Libyan people by

NATO Burden-Sharing in Libya

The Polish Quarterly of International Affairs, 2013, no. 4 39

37 “World Report 2012: Libya,” Human Rights Watch, 22 January 2012, www.hrw.org/world-report-2012/world-report-2012-libya; “Gaddafi address: ‘Do not leave Tripoli to therats’,” BBC News, 25 August 2011, www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-africa-14670827; “Gaddaficalls rebels ‘rats, crusaders, and unbelievers’,” Reuters, 25 August 2011, www.reuters.com/video/2011/08/25/gaddafi-calls-rebels-rats-crusaders-and?videoId=218684820.

38 “Unacceptable Use of Violence against the Libyan People,” 22 February 2011,www.regjeringen.no/en/dep/ud/press/news/2011/unacceptable_violence_libya.html?id=634501;“Norway provides support for emergency medical assistance in Libya,” 23 February 2011,www.regjeringen.no/en/dep/ud/press/news/2011/assistance_libya.html?id=634600; “Norwaysupports UN resolution on Libya,” op. cit.; J. Stoltenberg, “Statement on Libya in Paris,”19 March 2011, www.regjeringen.no/en/dep/smk/Whats-new/Speeches-and-articles/statsministeren/statsminister_jens_stoltenberg/2011/statement-on-libya-in-paris.html?id=636260;J.G. Støre, “A Political Solution Must Be Found in Libya,” 29 March 2011, www.regjeringen.no/en/dep/ud/press/news/2011/libya_solution.html?id=637001; J.G. Støre, “Statement at Conferenceon Libya,” 29 March 2011, www.regjeringen.no/en/dep/ud/Whats-new/Speeches-and-articles/speeches_foreign/2011/libya_london.html?id=637002; J.G. Støre, “Address to the Storting onthe Situation in Libya and Norway’s Participation in the International Response,” 9 May 2011,www.regjeringen.no/en/dep/ud/Whats-new/Speeches-and-articles/speeches_foreign/2011/address_libya.html?id=642453; J.G. Støre, “Historic Turning Point for Libya,” 20 October 2011,www.regjeringen.no/en/dep/ud/press/news/2011/turning_point.html?id=661258.

39 “Norway supports UN resolution on Libya,” op. cit.

40 “Sanctions against Libya adopted,” Ministry of Foreign Affairs, 11 March 2011,www.regjeringen.no/en/dep/ud/press/news/2011/sanctions_libya.html?id=635667.

Page 13: HendricksonPQIA 2014

government officials who emphasised the protection of human rights, support

for refugees, and the importance of multilateral action were borne out by

Norwegian foreign policy action.41 Thus, Norway’s behaviour comported

closely with its strategic culture, which emphasises NATO, the United Nations,

and its longstanding support for humanitarian action.

An examination of benefits Norway might receive from participating in

Operation Unified Protector must take into account both economic and

normative factors. Economically, Norway has some significant ties to Libya.

The Norwegian fertilizers and chemicals group Yara International brokered

a deal with the National Oil Corporation (NOC) of Libya and the Libyan

Investment Authority in 2009 that created the Libyan Norwegian Fertilizer

Company, Lifeco, with half ownership belonging to Yara International. The

agreement also involved the transfer of natural gas from NOC to Lifeco over the

long-term.42 This cooperation indicates that Norway had a stake in stabilising

Libya quickly to maintain the partnership and maintain the transfer of natural

gas from a purely Libyan company to one in which Norway had a 50% share.

Norway’s oil industry is another potential variable to consider. The

fifth-largest oil exporter globally in 2007 and the seventh-largest in 2010,

Norway receives a quarter of its government revenues from oil. Norway’s oil

industry is the largest in the state when measured by export value and

government revenues and employs more than 200,000 people.43 The industry

was made even more profitable by the turmoil in Libya in February 2011, with

North Sea oil shooting up in price.44 By this standard, a case could be made that

internal turmoil in Libya provided a financial boost to Norway’s oil exports, and

thus Norway may have had material incentives to see oil prices continue to

increase as the crisis progressed. However, this potential benefit is offset by the

Rachel A. Dicke, Nicholas Anson, Phillip A. Roughton, Ryan C. Hendrickson

40 The Polish Quarterly of International Affairs, 2013, no. 4

41 “Unacceptable Use of Violence against the Libyan people,” op. cit.; “Norway provides supportfor emergency medical assistance in Libya,” op. cit.; “Norway supports UN resolution onLibya,” op. cit.

42 “Norwegian fertilisers group Yara International ASA, National Oil Corporation of Libya andLibyan Investment Authority sign final JV agreement,” Nordic Business Report, 9 February2009.

43 “Norway’s oil and gas resources,” Ministry of Petroleum and Energy, www.regjeringen.no/en/dep/oed/Subject/Oil-and-Gas/norways-oil-and-gas-resources.html?id=443528; “Resource Report2011: Status and Challenges on the NCS,” Norwegian Petroleum Directorate, 9 November 2011,www.npd.no/en/Publications/Resource-Reports/2011/Chapter-1.

44 “Norway seen to bag NOK 50bn on higher oil prices in 2011,” Nordic Business Report,25 February 2011.

Page 14: HendricksonPQIA 2014

cost to Norway of participating in the air strikes, which was substantial enough

to scale back operations in June and add a supplementary defence budget. Thus,

Norway’s military intervention does not seem to necessarily square with its

narrow oil interests and therefore does not provide for a compelling reason for

intervention.

One potential regional security benefit gained from Norway’s military

actions may have been its willingness to project force, especially in light of its

ongoing security concerns with the High North and Russia. Though Norway did

not expressly vocalise such views, by using military force it demonstrated that it

had meaningful military capabilities and the ability to defend itself in some

capacity. In addition, Norway demonstrated its dedication to an alliance that still

guarantees security, which remains paramount in Norway’s security priorities.45

Further, Norway has put considerable effort into crafting a humanitarian persona

on the international stage and was very clear that the human rights violations

perpetrated by the Qaddafi regime were one of the main reasons for its

participation in the Libyan mission. The reputational losses suffered through

inaction were likely to have been high for a country that prides itself on the

issue. Through these lenses, Norway arguably received security benefits by

demonstrating its role as a security provider—rather than consumer?—to the

alliance, and potentially as a deterrent to any possible Russian threat that may

develop in the future. In this regard, the “benefits” analysis provides additional

insights on Norway’s willingness to contribute military forces to Unified

Protector.

Spain

The Spanish government contributed six aircraft, 600 service members, and

one submarine to NATO’s mission in Libya. Four of the Spanish aircraft were

F-18s and two more were used for refuelling and surveillance missions.46 Spain

later added another aircraft to the operation and extended its participation in the

NATO Burden-Sharing in Libya

The Polish Quarterly of International Affairs, 2013, no. 4 41

45 G. O’Dwyer, “Libya Operations Threaten Nordic Budgets,” Defensenews.com, 19 June 2011,www.defensenews.com/article/20110619/DEFFEAT04/106190303/Libya-Operations-Threaten-Nordic-Budgets.

46 “Spanish maritime surveillance plane carries out its first mission in Libya without incident,” La

Moncloa, 26 March 2011, www.lamoncloa.gob.es/IDIOMAS/9/Gobierno/News/2011/26032011SpanishMaritime.htm.

Page 15: HendricksonPQIA 2014

NATO-led operation, but was clear that it would not contribute ground troops.47

Spanish aircraft flew 62 missions consisting of airstrikes, reconnaissance

missions, and refuelling operations.48 In addition, on 3 April 2011, Spain sent

15 tons of humanitarian aid to Libya. The Spanish frigate Mendez Nunez

intercepted 37 suspicious vessels and conducted seven inspections off Libya’s

coast.49 In short, Spain clearly contributed to Operation Unified Protector, but in

a limited capacity, and significantly less than Norway.

Spanish public opinion on its engagement in Libya indicated strong backing

for the operation.50 Despite this support, Spain’s military contribution to

Operation Unified Protector was quite limited during the entirety of the conflict.

Defence Minister Carme Chacon reiterated the need for NATO to protect the

Libyan people from Col. Muammar Qaddafi.51 On 22 March 2011, the president

of the Spanish government, Mariano Rajoy, requested authorisation from the

lower house of parliament for the participation of Spanish forces in the

enforcement of the United Nations Security Council Resolutions on the Libyan

crisis.52 Overall, the Spanish parliament authorised the use of Spanish forces in

Libya with a vote of 333 votes in favour to three opposed and one abstention.53 It

is notable, however, that when parliament voted it did not provide carte blanche

endorsement of UNSC Resolution 1973, which allowed members to take all

necessary measures to protect civilians. This section of the resolution was left

out of parliament’s vote, as it permitted a wider range of possible military

operations. In addition, parliament initially provided only a one-month

Rachel A. Dicke, Nicholas Anson, Phillip A. Roughton, Ryan C. Hendrickson

42 The Polish Quarterly of International Affairs, 2013, no. 4

47 “Spain extends the military mission in Libya for a further two months,” Spain Review.Net,10 October 2011, www.spainreview.net/index.php/2011/04/20/spain-extends-the-military-mission-in-libya-for-a-further-two-months.

48 “Spanish maritime surveillance plane…,” op. cit.

49 “Spanish participation in multi-national force in Libya,” La Moncloa, 25 March 2011,www.lamoncloa.gob.es/IDIOMAS/9/Gobierno/News/2011/25032011SpanishParticipation.htm.

50 “Barometer of the Elcano Royal Institute—Results May–June 2011,” Real Instituto Elcano,May–June 2011, www.realinstitutoelcano.org/wps/wcm/connect/2f3ab4004782c0609ccadc1391bdd296/27Oleada_Informe_Completo.pdf?MOD=AJPERES&CACHEID=2f3ab4004782c0609ccadc1391bdd296.

51 “As long as threat of Gaddafi still hangs over the people of Libya, the NATO mission mustremain in place,” La Moncloa, 29 September 2011, www.lamoncloa.gob.es/IDIOMAS/9/Gobierno/News/2011/29092011_Libya.htm.

52 “Press Conference by the President of the Government and the Secretary-General of NATO,”La Moncloa, 26 April 2012, www.lamoncloa.gob.es/idiomas/9/presidente/intervenciones/conferenciasdeprensa/20120426_pgandnatopressconference.htm.

53 Ibidem.

Page 16: HendricksonPQIA 2014

timeframe for Spain’s aerial contributions, and a three-month limit for naval

assistance. Though analysts have found it difficult to explain the imposition of

these limits, it does suggest that the government was concerned about the

possibility of parliamentary opposition.54

Trinidad Jimenez, Spain’s minister of Foreign Affairs, similarly stressed

support for the humanitarian mission in Libya and began focusing on what

a post-Qaddafi Libya would look like.55 Rajoy and the Peoples’ Party

consistently expressed their desire to participate in NATO-led missions in Libya

and Afghanistan.56 Research done by Mestres and the Spanish think tank FRIDE

has shown that while Spanish voters and parliamentary coalitions do not support

what they deem offensive (non-defensive) operations such as the conflict

involving the United States in Iraq, Spaniards are willing to intervene militarily

in order to protect citizens from humanitarian crises.57

Spanish public opinion polls conducted by Barómetro del Real Instituto

Elcano show that in May 2011, 59% of Spaniards thought that the rebels would

defeat Qaddafi and 46% supported Spanish troops being involved in Libya with

only 40% opposed. Only 33% of Spaniards supported a complete withdrawal of

Spanish forces from Libya and Afghanistan.58 Thus, these findings suggest that

a majority of the public favoured military engagement, though a considerable

minority opposed the mission. The parliament, however, was generally unified

in Spain’s limited engagement.

Unlike Norway, Spain has a much different history and strategic culture

vis-à-vis NATO. Upon Spain’s entry into NATO in 1982, a significant

proportion of the Spanish population was opposed to membership.59 Despite

NATO Burden-Sharing in Libya

The Polish Quarterly of International Affairs, 2013, no. 4 43

54 M. Gonzales, “Spain Sets Own Rules of Engagement for Libya Mission,” El Pais, 24 March2011, http://elpais.com/elpais/2011/03/24/inenglish/1300947641_850210.html.

55 “Trinidad Jimenez attends the International Contact Group on Libya in Istanbul,” La Moncloa,15 July 2011, www.lamoncloa.gob.es/IDIOMAS/9/Gobierno/News/2011/15072011IstanbulTrinidadJimenez.htm.

56 “Spain’s War in Afghanistan,” FRIDE, January 2010, www.fride.org/publication/705/spain’s-war-in-afghanistan.

57 L. Mestres, “Why Libya Isn’t Iraq for Spain: The Responsibility to Protect,” 31 March 2011,www.cidob.org/en/publications/opinion/seguridad_y_politica_mundial/why_libya_isn_t_iraq_for_spain_the_responsibility_to_protect.

58 “Barometer of the Elcano Royal Institute…,” op. cit.

59 J. Walker, “Spanish Poll Shows a Majority Oppose NATO Ties,” The Guardian, 29 October1984.

Page 17: HendricksonPQIA 2014

considerable protests, the Spanish government pushed for its entry into NATO

and the eurozone.60

After Spain’s integration into NATO, relations normalised and Spain began

to increasingly participate in NATO-led operations in the post-Cold War era. For

example, Spain contributed 8,000 peacekeeping personnel in Bosnia and

Kosovo, and over the course of 10 years, more than 22,000 Spanish personnel

were deployed to the Balkans.61 Spain contributed to the NATO humanitarian

operation in Pakistan in 2005 and has also contributed to the war in Afghanistan,

although with significant caveats regarding the safety of Spanish soldiers. In

2009, Spain increased its presence in Afghanistan to 1,500 soldiers and accepted

assignments in Badghis province, which is considered to be more dangerous

than other areas where Spanish troops had previously operated, signalling some

willingness on Spain’s part to remove caveats and potentially allow their soldiers

to participate in more dangerous areas. Spain has stuck with its commitment to

NATO despite some casualties and setbacks.62 Thus, by these measures, Spain’s

past foreign policy behaviour suggests a strategic culture that is favourable to

NATO and its evolving security role.

At the same time, Spain has been called upon by NATO and the U.S. to

contribute more to NATO-led operations.63 Spain was also painfully slow in

deploying its military forces to Pakistan in the aftermath of the earthquake there

in 2005. With regard to defence spending levels, Spain is ranked third from the

bottom in NATO, and by percentage of Gross Domestic Product (GDP), only

Lithuania and Luxembourg contribute less.64 Moreover, prior to the Libyan

conflict, some argued that Spain’s role in the Mediterranean was shrinking

despite calls from within Spain for an increased role in North Africa, particularly

in states like Libya that were swept up in violence during the Arab Spring.65

Rachel A. Dicke, Nicholas Anson, Phillip A. Roughton, Ryan C. Hendrickson

44 The Polish Quarterly of International Affairs, 2013, no. 4

60 “Spanish Defence Minister’s ‘Trick Argument’ about Joining NATO,” BBC Summary of World

Broadcasts, 16 March 1981, www.lexisnexis.com/hottopics/lnacademic.61 “Spanish Foreign Policy in the Balkans: Wasted Potential,” FRIDE, January 2010,

www.fride.org/publication/710/spanish-foreign-policy-in-the-balkans:-wasted-potential.62 “Spain’s War in Afghanistan,” op. cit.

63 M. Bennett, “Is Spain Pulling Its Weight in NATO?,” Center for Defence Studies, 21 June 2011,www.defensestudies.org/cds/2011/06.

64 “Spain ranked third from bottom on defence spending within NATO,” BBC Europe, 18 April2012.

65 “Spain’s Diminished Policy in the Mediterranean,” FRIDE, January 2010, www.fride.org/publication/709/spanish-development-policies:-the-obstacles-to-progress.

Page 18: HendricksonPQIA 2014

One additional variable to consider in Spain is its diminished economy.66

Spain at the time the Libya decision surfaced had been suffering from an

unemployment rate of 21% and was engaged in extended talks with the European

Union over its failing economy.67 Thus, an extended military engagement would

very likely be opposed in Spain, and in this respect may limit the influence of

Spain’s strategic culture and its ability to contribute militarily.68 In sum, Spain’s

strategic culture is definitely favourable to the alliance, but with important

limitations that constrain how much Spain is willing to contribute, and given its

financial duress, future major contributions to alliance missions seem unlikely

unless Spain’s direct national interests appear threatened.

With the case of Spain’s actions in Libya, the evidence shows that much like

their strategic culture suggests, this NATO ally provided military support, but

with considerable limitations on the extent to which Spain was willing to

contribute. As noted above, Spain contributed air and naval power, but only in

a very limited manner. Spain clearly did more than the vast majority of the allies

through its willingness to assist militarily, but did so with its own set of special

caveats and contributions. In this respect, its willingness to assist militarily

generally fits quite closely with the recent history of Spain’s strategic culture

toward NATO.

In terms of measuring the benefits evident from Spain’s military

contributions, Spanish political leaders consistently expressed their concern for

the Libyan people under the Qaddafi regime. Chacon, Rajoy, and Jimenez

consistently reiterated the Spanish government’s desire to protect the Libyan

people from violence, and in this respect, the presence of humanitarian interests

again appears relevant in shaping this ally’s interests.69 Thus, the primary

benefits for Spain’s participation in the Libyan crisis revolve around protecting

NATO Burden-Sharing in Libya

The Polish Quarterly of International Affairs, 2013, no. 4 45

66 “Crisis in Libya Weighing on Spanish Economy: EWP, UGA, BBVA, STD,” Seeking Alpha,28 February 2011, http://seekingalpha.com/article/255388-crisis-in-libya-weighing-on-spanish-economy.

67 “As Spain’s economy sinks again, many in Catalonia want out; calls for independence latestconsequence of European debt crisis,” USA Today, 28 September 2011, http://usatoday30.usatoday.com/news/world/story/2012/09/28/as-spain-sinks-many-in-catalonia-want-out/57848100/12.

68 J. Lipow, “Can NATO Survive an Accident-Prone Euro?,” Defence and Security Analysis,vol. 28, no. 3, 2012, pp. 226–233.

69 “We have demonstrated our firm commitment to protecting citizens when their leaders turnagainst them,” La Moncloa, 16 September 2011, www.lamoncloa.gob.es/idiomas/9/gobierno/news/2011/16092011carmechacon.htm.

Page 19: HendricksonPQIA 2014

innocent civilians as well as Spain’s commitment to stopping human rights

violations. Perhaps the country’s interest in Libya is shaped by its track record in

North Africa, where Spain actually has a less impressive record of advocating

for human rights and has worked closely with authoritarian governments.70 At

one point, Spain’s relations were so close with Qaddafi that he received

a symbolic key to the city of Madrid.71 Thus, Spain may have viewed its actions

in Libya as “righting a wrong” that had been evident through its previous

willingness to cooperate with non-democratic North African leaders. Moreover,

Spain’s proximity to Libya and North Africa may also pose a potential benefit to

participating in the ousting of the Qaddafi regime, in that the conflict had close

regional relevance.72

Another potential benefit for Spain’s participation in NATO’s Libyan

operation is simply to show its support for the alliance. Spain’s commitment to

NATO has been called into question at times by the United States and by some

of the European allies.73 Spain does not want to be seen as a non-contributor in

the NATO alliance and this may explain the limited yet formidable contribution

to the NATO operation in Libya. Of Spanish citizens polled, 58% supported

Spanish military intervention following a U.N. mandate,74 while Spanish voters

turned former President Jose Aznar out of office for participating in the

non-U.N. sponsored intervention in Iraq.

Apart from its interests in humanitarian affairs and as a participating member

of NATO, Spain also had an economic relationship with the Qaddafi regime

prior to March of 2011. Perhaps most notable is Spanish oil company Respol,

which held the capacity to produce 360,000 barrels of oil per day from Libya

prior to the civil war, and thus had a strong interest in ending the violence,

removing Qaddafi, and restoring economic stability to Libya.75 In 2009, Spanish

Foreign Minister Morantinos attended Col. Qaddafi’s celebration of his 40th

anniversary as dictator of Libya. Thus, Spain had a strong economic relationship

Rachel A. Dicke, Nicholas Anson, Phillip A. Roughton, Ryan C. Hendrickson

46 The Polish Quarterly of International Affairs, 2013, no. 4

70 “Spain’s Diminished Policy…,” op. cit.

71 “Spaniards Question Why They Should Pay for Libya Bombs,” RT, 11 July 2011, http://rt.com/news/libya-spain-economic-nato.

72 “Spain’s Diminished Policy…,” op. cit.

73 M. Bennett, op. cit.

74 “Barometer of the Elcano Royal Institute…,” op. cit.

75 L. Baratti, “Respol’s Doubled Q4 Profit Is Overshadowed by Libya,” Oilgram News,25 February 2011.

Page 20: HendricksonPQIA 2014

with the Libyan government prior to NATO intervention. In this context, perhaps

Spain felt a domestic moral obligation to prevent additional atrocities from

Qaddafi after its long support for him and his regime, as well as substantial

economic interests in fostering Qaddafi’s exit. In sum, though it limited its

engagement, Spain likely saw important domestic political interest in helping

Libya resolve its humanitarian crisis, and thus could not afford to remain

unengaged.

Poland

Unlike Norway and Spain, Poland chose not to participate in the Libya

operation militarily. While Poland offered diplomatic support and humanitarian

aid to Libyan civilians, Poland did not aid in flying sorties, the enforcement of

the no-fly zone, or any of the other military facets of Operation Unified

Protector. The Polish president stressed that humanitarian aid would be the

extent of Poland’s contribution due to Poland’s large military deployment in

Afghanistan.76 Several variables provide insight on Poland’s reluctance to

participate in this alliance operation.

By a number of measures, Polish public opinion was clearly opposed to its

own military involvement in Libya. Poland’s major political parties are Civic

Platform (PO), Law and Justice (PiS), Your Movement (TR),77 Polish People’s

Party (PSL), and the Democratic Left Alliance (SLD).78 At the time of the Libya

operation, the Polish parliament was led by a coalition of Civic Platform and the

Polish People’s Party, a coalition that controlled 235 of the 460 seats in

parliament.79 On 19 March 2011, Civic Platform, the Polish People’s Party, and

another smaller party, Poland Comes First, all endorsed UN Security Council

Resolution 1973, which placed a flight ban over Libya.80 Also on 19 March,

Prime Minister Donald Tusk announced at an emergency EU–African

Union–Arab League Summit that Poland would not contribute militarily to any

NATO Burden-Sharing in Libya

The Polish Quarterly of International Affairs, 2013, no. 4 47

76 “Polish President says humanitarian aid to Libya priority,” BBC Worldwide Monitoring,28 March 2011, www.accessmylibrary.com/article-1G1-252625489/polish-president-says-humanitarian.html.

77 Formerly Palikot’s Movement (RP), but before that it was Movement of Support during the timethe Libyan crisis began.

78 “Parties and Elections in Europe—Poland,” 2011, www.parties-and-elections.eu/poland.html.79 “Parties and Elections in Europe—Poland,” op. cit.80 “Polish Parties Back UN Resolution on Libya,” BBC Worldwide Monitoring, 19 March 2011,

www.accessmylibrary.com/article-1G1-251950338/polish-parties-back-un.html.

Page 21: HendricksonPQIA 2014

action in Libya, though Tusk noted that he supported the UN resolution and

offered humanitarian aid.81 Tusk elaborated by saying “there are no military or

geographical reasons to send Polish soldiers there,” a point supported by almost

all of the opposition parties as well.82 Joining with the prime minister and the

other parties that had declared Poland would not participate, the Law and Justice

party also expressed its view that Poland was not able to assist. Karol Karski,

deputy chairman of the Sejm Foreign Affairs Committee, noted “simply put, our

army would not make it. No other decision could be made.”83

According to Polish public polling, 55% of Poles believed that Western air

forces were justified in their use of force in Libya. Poles, however, were less

favourable to the idea of providing Libyan rebels with supplies, with only 43%

in favour, while 39% objected. Most importantly, though, was the response to

the question, “Do you think that Poland should send its soldiers to fight in the

conflict in Libya?” Echoing the sentiment of Poland’s political parties, a strong

majority of 88% opposed the deployment of forces to Libya.84 In addition to

public opinion polling, lawmakers had to contend with the then-upcoming

parliamentary election in October 2011. The possibility of upsetting a large

portion of the electorate may have contributed to the decisions of the Polish

lawmakers. With only 43% in favour of NATO military action, and strong

opposition to the use of Polish ground troops in any capacity, the Tusk

government had strong political incentives to distance itself from any military

aspect of Operation Unified Protector. Overall, the polling data squared closely

with the actions of Polish political parties and government officials; all were

unified in their opposition to participation in the Libya operation, though they

were willing to let NATO use force.

Poland’s strategic culture vis-à-vis NATO, however, provides less insight on

its unwillingness to assist militarily. Poland joined NATO in 1999 after its 1997

invitation at NATO’s Madrid Summit. Poland had historically been an oppressed

state living under communist rule since the end of the second World War until

the Cold War’s end. With the understanding that Poles had been economically

Rachel A. Dicke, Nicholas Anson, Phillip A. Roughton, Ryan C. Hendrickson

48 The Polish Quarterly of International Affairs, 2013, no. 4

81 “Tusk: Poland Will Refrain from Military Operation in Libya,” The Warsaw Voice, 21 March2011, www.warsawvoice.pl/WVpage/pages/article.php/16086/news.

82 Quoted in “Polish Politicians, Experts React to Premier’s Refusal to Send Troops to Libya,”BBC Worldwide Monitoring, 22 March 2011.

83 “Polish Politicians, Experts React…,” op. cit.

84 “Polish Public Opinion,” CBOS, April 2011, www.cbos.pl/PL/publikacje/public_opinion/2011/04_2011.pdf.

Page 22: HendricksonPQIA 2014

marginalised for decades, and had only been a democracy for less than 10 years

at the time of their membership invitation to NATO, questions were raised about

their potential to contribute to the alliance in a meaningful way.85 Poland

proceeded to demonstrate that NATO’s commitment to the country was wise.

From the onset of its full membership, Poland contributed to NATO operations

and its role in the security of Europe and, among the newest members from the

Madrid expansion round, most actively supported NATO’s military operation in

Kosovo through diplomatic backing.86

Laura Chappell maintains that Poland is an “Atlanticist” that prefers to focus

on its attachment to NATO to the detriment of other European Security

arrangements, such as the EU’s European Security and Defence Policy (ESDP).87

She makes a compelling case that Poland has a strong commitment to NATO as

a buffer against Russia due to NATO’s Article 5 agreement and the American

military protection that comes with it. While Poland initially viewed ESDP in

a sceptical light, the Poles eventually warmed up to the concept and started

“participating in missions outside of its immediate defence interests.”88 Still,

despite its full inclusion into ESDP, Poland still focuses on its security through

a Russian lens, and as a result places more emphasis on its NATO and American

relationships.

In addition to being in favour of NATO’s expanding role in European and

global security, the Poles continue to cultivate a very close relationship with the

United States. Crediting the Americans with freeing them from communism,

post-Soviet Polish governments have traditionally supported American foreign

policy goals, even when their direct interests were not in jeopardy.89 Following

the 9/11 terrorist attacks, Poland “rushed to declare unqualified assistance to the

U.S.” and also “supported recourse by the North Atlantic Council to Article 5 of

NATO Burden-Sharing in Libya

The Polish Quarterly of International Affairs, 2013, no. 4 49

85 D.M. Glantz, “Problems of NATO Enlargement: The Accomplishments, Strengths, andWeaknesses of the U.S. Military (Security) Assistance Program,” Journal of Slavic Military

Studies, vol. 11, no. 4, 1998, pp. 1–71.86 R.C. Hendrickson, “NATO’s Visegrad Allies: The First Test in Kosovo,” Journal of Slavic

Military Studies, vol. 13, no. 2, 2000, pp. 25–38.87 L. Chappell, “Poland in Transition: Implications for a European Security and Defence Policy,”

Contemporary Security Policy, vol. 31, no. 2, 2010, pp. 225–248; see also, O. Osica, “Poland:A New European Atlanticist at a Crossroads?,” European Security, vol. 13, no. 4, 2004,pp. 301–322; J. Lubecki, “Poland in Iraq: The Politics of the Decision,” The Polish Review,vol. 50, no. 1, 2005, pp. 69–92.

88 L. Chappell, op. cit., p. 225.89 J. Lubecki, op. cit., pp. 69–92.

Page 23: HendricksonPQIA 2014

the Washington Treaty.”90 In addition to these initial diplomatic efforts, Poland

affirmed itself as a staunch supporter of the United States through a meaningful

and sustained response to the U.S. request for assistance in the war in

Afghanistan.91 The Poles continue to be strong supporters of the NATO mission

in Afghanistan with 1,800 Polish troops in the country at the end of 2012.92 In

addition to taking a significant role in Afghanistan, the Poles showed their

strong relationship with the United States by contributing a significant military

garrison to the 2003 invasion of Iraq. This military contribution consisted of

2,400 troops for the Multinational Division, a decontamination platoon of 74

soldiers with equipment, and an Operational and Mobile Reconnaissance Group

(GROM) of 56 commandos.93 When major combat operations ended in 2003,

Bush awarded one of the four stabilisation zones in Iraq to Poland.94 It was

reasoned that this stabilisation zone was a gift from Washington for Warsaw’s

unwavering support of their mission, both logistically and diplomatically. While

other NATO members such as France and Germany were antagonistic towards

Washington’s decision to invade Iraq and several domestic Polish entities opposed

their government’s decision, the Polish government supported the American

effort in immediate and significant ways.95 This support for the United States

seems to be one of the most consistent themes in Polish strategic culture. Thus,

Poland’s foreign policy is often driven by the desire “to preserve the status of

being one of the staunchest allies of the U.S. in Europe.”96

As is evident by their past actions, Poland has been historically in favour of

NATO as an entity of European security and has been willing to contribute

significantly to the alliance, despite the country’s limited military capabilities.

Poland has also been very close to the United States and would often assist

American ambitions, even when not obligated by the alliance. It is for these

reasons that the Polish decision to not participate in the Libya operation runs

Rachel A. Dicke, Nicholas Anson, Phillip A. Roughton, Ryan C. Hendrickson

50 The Polish Quarterly of International Affairs, 2013, no. 4

90 O. Osica, op. cit., p. 314.91 M. Zaborowski, “Poland and Transatlantic Relations in the Twenty-First Century,” Defence

Studies, vol. 2, no. 2, 2002, pp. 123–134.92 “ISAF: Key Facts and Figures,” NATO, 2012, www.nato.int/isaf/docu/epub/pdf/placemat.pdf.93 “Forces: US&Coalition/Poland,” Central News Network, 2003, http://edition.cnn.com/

SPECIALS/2003/iraq/forces/coalition/poland.94 R. Taras, “Poland’s Diplomatic Misadventure in Iraq,” Problems of Post-Communism, vol. 51,

no. 1, 2004, pp. 3–17.95 J. Lubecki, op. cit.

96 O. Osica, op. cit., p. 322.

Page 24: HendricksonPQIA 2014

counter to recent trends in Polish foreign policy and strategic culture, especially

in light of the intense diplomatic pressure brought to bear by the United States in

June 2011 by then U.S. Secretary of Defence Robert Gates, who directly called

upon Poland for military assistance to the mission, which the Poles continued to

oppose.97 For such a staunch ally of the United States and NATO to resist

alliance pressures runs counter to the broader trends in Polish strategic culture.

In this respect, Poland’s strategic culture is less helpful in explaining its

unwillingness to assist militarily.

Shortly after the Polish parliament endorsed UNSC Resolution 1973, Prime

Minister Tusk articulated the government’s official stance on 20 March 2011.

Tusk explained that Poland would not help with the no-fly zone nor would it

deploy the warship Xawery Czernicki to the Mediterranean, but would consider

humanitarian and refugee assistance if needed.98 On 28 March 2011, President

Bronis³aw Komorowski told the world that simply because NATO was involved

“that does not mean Poland’s involvement.” Continuing, the president explained

that “Poland’s armed forces involvement in a huge operation in Afghanistan

induces Poland to focus on humanitarian assistance for Libya.”99 Echoing the

sentiments of Komorowski, Prime Minister Tusk declared that Poland would not

participate in the NATO operation in Libya.100 In April 2011, President

Komorowski repeated to the press what he and Tusk had already had told the

world: The Poles would not be joining NATO in Libya, but would “be prepared

to take some political responsibility for the decision to enforce the no-fly

zone.”101 Explaining this position in perhaps the most forthright expression of

Polish views on Libya, Prime Minister Tusk noted, “The situation in Libya poses

no threat to Poland’s interests and Poland’s security or to NATO’s security in

general.”102 By using this standard, Tusk demonstrated a more conservative

element of his thinking, and by implication, the very limited strategic and

security benefits Poland saw for NATO’s military conduct in Libya. Poland

NATO Burden-Sharing in Libya

The Polish Quarterly of International Affairs, 2013, no. 4 51

97 J.F. Burns, T. Shanker, “Nations Bombing Libya Ask for Help Amid Strain,” New York Times,8 June 2011, www.nytimes.com/2011/06/09/world/africa/09gates.html?_r=0.

98 “Poland Not to Take Part in Military Action in Libya—Premier,” BBC Worldwide Monitoring,20 March 2011.

99 Quoted in “Polish President says humanitarian aid…, op. cit.

100 “Tusk: Poland Will Refrain…,” op. cit.

101 “Polish Politicians Shy Away from Libya Intervention,” Warsaw Business Journal, 4 April2011, www.wbj.pl/article-53959-polish-politicians-shy-away-from-libya-intervention.html.

102 Quoted in “Polish Politicians, Experts React… ,” op. cit.

Page 25: HendricksonPQIA 2014

clearly did not feel constrained by NATO’s diplomatic calls for more military

help, and did not feel threatened by American political pressure.

Poland did have some economic interests in Libya prior to the conflict. The

two countries shared a tumultuous relationship for nearly two decades before

normalising relations in 2005 after Qaddafi abandoned his hunt for nuclear

weapons.103 The foundation for Polish–Libyan cooperation was driven by oil

exports from Libya to Poland and Libyan natural resources. In 2007, the Polish

company PGNiG was awarded a gas exploration contract in the Murzuq Basin

worth over $108 million.104 PK Orlen, a Polish oil company, also has had

interest in Libyan oil fields since 2009.105 While it is clear that the Poles did

indeed have some economic interests in the region, this does not appear to have

influenced the government to use force to protect its economic interests. Poland

clearly did not see clear benefits from military engagement, and was also able to

resist diplomatic pressure from NATO and the United States, which also

suggests that it felt that its own reputation in NATO had already been established

as a “security provider” rather than as a free-rider, and thus could abstain from

Unified Protector. When these considerations are coupled with strong public

opposition and placed alongside the presence of a forthcoming national election,

its abstention from the operation makes strong domestic political sense.

Conclusion

The analysis presented here provides strong support for the relevance

of public opinion in shaping member states’ decisions to help NATO militarily.

In short, burden-sharing was largely contingent upon domestic political support.

Where public support was strong, these member states responded with

corresponding military support. We found less support for the idea that the

presence of political coalitions’ impact member states’ foreign policies, though

in the case of Spain, some evidence suggests a concern for potential opposition

from parliament, which resulted in the implementation of some limitations on

Spain’s military contributions and engagement. We found mixed support for

the relevance of strategic culture. In the cases of Norway and Spain, their

Rachel A. Dicke, Nicholas Anson, Phillip A. Roughton, Ryan C. Hendrickson

52 The Polish Quarterly of International Affairs, 2013, no. 4

103 “Poland–Libya: Thawed Relations,” Warsaw Voice, 12 January 2005, www.warsawvoice.pl/WVpage/pages/article.php/7410/article.

104 “PGNiG Summary Q4-2012,” Business Monitor Worldwide, 1 October 2012.105 “PKN Orlen Eyes Libyan Oil Fields,” Warsaw Business Journal, 13 February 2009,

http://wbj.pl/article-44406-pkn-orlen-eyes-libyan-oil-fields.html.

Page 26: HendricksonPQIA 2014

previous relationships with NATO provided good indicators for these states’

eventual military contributions to Operation Unified Protector. However,

Poland’s unwillingness to support the NATO mission in Libya ran counter to its

strategic culture vis-à-vis NATO. Though there would certainly be military

resource limitations on what Poland could provide to the air operation, Poland

still resisted strong American and other allied calls for assistance throughout the

operation.

Given the different ways in which a state’s benefits for military engagement

could be assessed, this measure of our analysis is more easily open to varying

interpretations. Yet despite these analytical limitations, our assessment does

indicate that this measure can provide different insights on why a state may

engage in the operation. Across all three countries examined, unique domestic

considerations appeared relevant, which helped explain why a NATO member

would agree or not agree to participate militarily. This measure, however, when

combined with the significance of public opinion especially, indicates the

ongoing challenges for NATO. An alliance that is shaped largely by domestic

public opinion and narrow domestic political interests and benefits does not

portend well for an alliance that seeks strategic consensus; the security

conditions in Libya failed to meet this test. In this respect, those who call for

NATO to more aggressively engage in political debate and strategic discussions

are correct in their recommendation. NATO needs consensus and shared values

in order to perform most effectively. While NATO may be able to function

through coalitions within the organisation, such a practice invites political animosity

between its members, free-rider behaviour, unilateral tendencies among NATO’s

largest members, and over time likely erodes the core of a collective defence

organisation.

NATO Burden-Sharing in Libya

The Polish Quarterly of International Affairs, 2013, no. 4 53