Helmuth Fischer CBI 6 June 2006
Dec 30, 2015
Helmuth FischerCBI
6 June 2006
Johannesburg
Thaboqwa
Assembly Plants
Hyqwa
Lesotho 1
Hylesedi
Lesotho 2
Market Segments and Products
Market Segment
Min
iatu
re
Circu
it Bre
akers
Mou
lded
Case
Circu
it B
reakers
Earth
Leakag
e P
rote
ction
Ele
ctricityM
ete
ring
Wirin
g A
ccesso
ries
Su
rge P
rote
ction
Device
s
Ready B
oard
s
Auto
matio
nEq
uip
ment
Moto
r Contro
lG
ear
Residential x x x x x x
Commercial x x x x x x
Mining x x x x x
Utilities x x x x
Industrial x x x x x x x
OEM x x
Ratio Export/Total Sales
0%
10%
20%
30%
90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06FC
Ratio
Export Sales by Region
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
2004 2005 2006 FC
%Australia
Far East
North America
Europe, ME
Africa
Total Revenue Mix 2001 and 2006
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
2001 2006 FC
Industrial
Residential
Circuit Breakers for Equipment
Regional Markets First World, in the main around industrial hubs. Developing countries do contract manufacturing. In these cases First World determines standards, designs,
specifications.
Products Technology of our products provides benefits to
customers. Due to this some standard products are used in CBE
applications. Typical CBE products allow a multitude of variations.
Circuit Breaker for EquipmentSales per Region
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006FC
Index (2000=100)
EuropeFar EastNorth America
CBE – Typical Market Segments
Application Region Market Share Demand
Low Voltage and decorative lighting
USA Dominant Steady
DC power supply for mobile telephone base stations, incl. G3
Germany
ScandinaviaSignificant
Remains high
(incl. China)
EL protection rolling stock UK Substantial Growing
Railway signalingChina
Eastern Europe
Dominant
new market
Steady
growing
Mobile generators Europe Small Steady
GDFI Forecast: Growth Building Industry (%)(Source: Bureau for Economic Research)
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
Residential 9.9 10.6 19.3 10.5 6.9
Non-residential
4.4 10.5 7.1 10.4 8.8
Total 7.1 10.5 13.2 10.4 7.8
06.06.2006
Business Confidence Building Industry(Source: Bureau for Economic Research)
0
20
40
60
80
100
91q1 93q1 95q1 97q1 99q1 01q1 03q1 05q1
Residential Non-residential
Market Trends - Residential
2005 vs 2004: Increase in completed building plans of 50% in Flats and Town
Houses Decrease in dwellings <80m²
Real growth 11,8% p.a. in 2000-2005 Forecast 8% p.a. in 2006-2011
ESKOM rate of electrification has slowed down Capital spend
Electricity spend ESKOM and Municipalities R50bn to 2010 Housing National and Provincial R32bn to 2010 Example
N2 Gateway project (W/Cape): 22 000 houses, so far only 770 complete, all with CBI products
W/Cape MEC stated by Dec 2006 16000 houses and 22000 serviced sites will be complete
Market Trends – Mining
Local Commodity prices up Rand exchange rate positive Inflation remaining low Capital spend
Anglo American R36bn by 2009 Anglo Platinum R20bn by 2007 Impala Platinum R5bn by 2007
Export More mining activities accessible in Africa
Ghana, Namibia, Angola, Zambia
Market Trends – Commercial/Utilities
Local Real growth 2000-2005 3,9% p.a.
forecast 2006-2011 8,2% p.a. Capital spend until 2010
Examples Gautrain R20bn Sasol R12bn Midrand expansion R11bn Mittal R8bn ACSA R5bn
Export Congo Basin Hydro Electric Scheme 800MWatt 2012
Typical Electrification Project
KioskSwitchgear
Service Entry
Switchgear
WiringAccessories
PowerTransformer
DistributionTransformer
MiniSub-stationSwitchgear
KioskSwitchgear
KioskSwitchgear
ElectricityMeter
Prepayment/Conventional
DistributionBoardResidentialProducts
Residential Dwelling
Power Cable Power Cable Power Cable
Pow
er C
able
HouseWire
Service Entry
Switchgear
Service Entry
SwitchgearLighting
Production since 2000
0
50
100
150
200
99/00 00/01 01/02 02/03 03/04 04/05 05/06 YtD
Index (2000 = 100)
Production
Maximum Output
Current Capacity
Extra-ordinary Capex
2005/2006 2006/2007
Additional Capacity
R30 mio R40 mio
Mechanisation, Automation
R5 mio R20 mio
Yearly Imports Comparison%
China Germany France Italy Japan
(MAR - FEB)
0369
121518212427303336
2004/2005 2005/2006
Q&A