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Hayek’s Contributions to Economics Speaker: Roger W. Garrison, Auburn University Introduction: Tony Giddens, Director, LSE The Ludwig von Mises Institute www.mises.o rg
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Hayek’s Contributions to Economics Speaker: Roger W. Garrison, Auburn University Introduction: Tony Giddens, Director, LSE The Ludwig von Mises Institute.

Dec 18, 2015

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Page 1: Hayek’s Contributions to Economics Speaker: Roger W. Garrison, Auburn University Introduction: Tony Giddens, Director, LSE The Ludwig von Mises Institute.

Hayek’s Contributions to Economics

Speaker: Roger W. Garrison, Auburn University

Introduction: Tony Giddens, Director, LSE

The Ludwig von Mises Institute www.mises.o

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Page 2: Hayek’s Contributions to Economics Speaker: Roger W. Garrison, Auburn University Introduction: Tony Giddens, Director, LSE The Ludwig von Mises Institute.

Friedrich A. HayekBorn: May 8, 1899

Studied Economics University of Vienna

London School of Economics (1931-1950)

University of Chicago (1950-1962)

University of Freiburg (1962-1967)

Nobel Prize (1974)

Died: March 23, 1992

Page 3: Hayek’s Contributions to Economics Speaker: Roger W. Garrison, Auburn University Introduction: Tony Giddens, Director, LSE The Ludwig von Mises Institute.

Friedrich A. Hayek

Author of Prices and Production (1931,

1935)

Nobel Prize in Economics

1974

--for pioneering work in the theory of money and economic fluctuations and for penetrating analysis of the interdependence of economic, social, and institutional phenomena.

Page 4: Hayek’s Contributions to Economics Speaker: Roger W. Garrison, Auburn University Introduction: Tony Giddens, Director, LSE The Ludwig von Mises Institute.

Ludwig von Mises1881 - 1973

“The period of production must be of such a length that exactly the whole available subsistence fund is necessary on the one hand and sufficient on the other for paying the wages of the labourers throughout the duration of the productive process.”

The Theory of Money and Credit (1912)

Page 5: Hayek’s Contributions to Economics Speaker: Roger W. Garrison, Auburn University Introduction: Tony Giddens, Director, LSE The Ludwig von Mises Institute.

“Booms have always appeared with a great increase in investment, a large part of which proved to be erroneous, mistaken. That, of course, suggests that a supply of capital was made apparent which wasn’t actually existing. The whole combination of a stimulus to invest on a large scale followed by a period of acute scarcity of capital is consistent with the idea that there has been a misdirection due to monetary influences.

“And that general schema, I still believe, is correct.”

--from an interview conducted by Jack High as part of the UCLA Oral History Program (1978).

Page 6: Hayek’s Contributions to Economics Speaker: Roger W. Garrison, Auburn University Introduction: Tony Giddens, Director, LSE The Ludwig von Mises Institute.

F. A. HAYEK

"That it seems in principle possible to recast a great part of economic theory in terms of the approach which I had found useful in dealing with such different problems as those of industrial fluctuations and the running of a socialist economy [is] gratifying to me.... Professor O'Driscoll has almost persuaded me that I ought to have continued with the work I had been doing in the 1930s and 1940s rather than let myself be drawn away to other problems which I felt to be more important."

--from the Foreword to G. P. O’Driscoll’s Economics as a Coordination Problem: The Contribution of Friedrich A. Hayek (1977)

Page 7: Hayek’s Contributions to Economics Speaker: Roger W. Garrison, Auburn University Introduction: Tony Giddens, Director, LSE The Ludwig von Mises Institute.

Before we can meaningfully ask what might go wrong, we should first understand how things could ever go right.

--paraphrased from “Economics and Knowledge,” 1937.

Production Possibilities Frontier

Page 8: Hayek’s Contributions to Economics Speaker: Roger W. Garrison, Auburn University Introduction: Tony Giddens, Director, LSE The Ludwig von Mises Institute.

Production Possibilities Frontier

Before we can meaningfully ask what might go wrong, we should first understand how things could ever go right.

--paraphrased from “Economics and Knowledge,” 1937.

Page 9: Hayek’s Contributions to Economics Speaker: Roger W. Garrison, Auburn University Introduction: Tony Giddens, Director, LSE The Ludwig von Mises Institute.

Production Possibilities Frontier

Before we can meaningfully ask what might go wrong, we should first understand how things could ever go right.

--paraphrased from “Economics and Knowledge,” 1937.

Page 10: Hayek’s Contributions to Economics Speaker: Roger W. Garrison, Auburn University Introduction: Tony Giddens, Director, LSE The Ludwig von Mises Institute.

“Every ... attempt to save more by reducing consumption will so affect incomes that the attempt necessarily defeats itself.”

--from The General Theory, 1936.

Production Possibilities Frontier

J. M. KEYNES

Page 11: Hayek’s Contributions to Economics Speaker: Roger W. Garrison, Auburn University Introduction: Tony Giddens, Director, LSE The Ludwig von Mises Institute.

“One student at LSE in the 1930s recalls the "three-dimensional diagrams with which Hayek presented his ideas and which made them seem like something in the field of engineering."

Intertemporal Capital Structure

Page 12: Hayek’s Contributions to Economics Speaker: Roger W. Garrison, Auburn University Introduction: Tony Giddens, Director, LSE The Ludwig von Mises Institute.

S T A G E S O F P R O D U C T I O N

“One student at LSE in the 1930s recalls the "three-dimensional diagrams with which Hayek presented his ideas and which made them seem like something in the field of engineering.”

Page 13: Hayek’s Contributions to Economics Speaker: Roger W. Garrison, Auburn University Introduction: Tony Giddens, Director, LSE The Ludwig von Mises Institute.

We must begin our analysis with a properly functioning market economy.

Page 14: Hayek’s Contributions to Economics Speaker: Roger W. Garrison, Auburn University Introduction: Tony Giddens, Director, LSE The Ludwig von Mises Institute.

We must begin our analysis with a properly functioning market economy.

Page 15: Hayek’s Contributions to Economics Speaker: Roger W. Garrison, Auburn University Introduction: Tony Giddens, Director, LSE The Ludwig von Mises Institute.

We must begin our analysis with a properly functioning market economy.

Page 16: Hayek’s Contributions to Economics Speaker: Roger W. Garrison, Auburn University Introduction: Tony Giddens, Director, LSE The Ludwig von Mises Institute.

We must begin our analysis with a properly functioning market economy.

Page 17: Hayek’s Contributions to Economics Speaker: Roger W. Garrison, Auburn University Introduction: Tony Giddens, Director, LSE The Ludwig von Mises Institute.

We must begin our analysis with a properly functioning market economy.

Page 18: Hayek’s Contributions to Economics Speaker: Roger W. Garrison, Auburn University Introduction: Tony Giddens, Director, LSE The Ludwig von Mises Institute.

We must begin our analysis with a properly functioning market economy.

Page 19: Hayek’s Contributions to Economics Speaker: Roger W. Garrison, Auburn University Introduction: Tony Giddens, Director, LSE The Ludwig von Mises Institute.
Page 20: Hayek’s Contributions to Economics Speaker: Roger W. Garrison, Auburn University Introduction: Tony Giddens, Director, LSE The Ludwig von Mises Institute.

$600

Watch the economy grow!

Page 21: Hayek’s Contributions to Economics Speaker: Roger W. Garrison, Auburn University Introduction: Tony Giddens, Director, LSE The Ludwig von Mises Institute.

Watch the economy grow!

Page 22: Hayek’s Contributions to Economics Speaker: Roger W. Garrison, Auburn University Introduction: Tony Giddens, Director, LSE The Ludwig von Mises Institute.

Watch the economy grow!

Page 23: Hayek’s Contributions to Economics Speaker: Roger W. Garrison, Auburn University Introduction: Tony Giddens, Director, LSE The Ludwig von Mises Institute.

Watch the economy grow!

Page 24: Hayek’s Contributions to Economics Speaker: Roger W. Garrison, Auburn University Introduction: Tony Giddens, Director, LSE The Ludwig von Mises Institute.

"Mr. Keynes's aggregates conceal the most fundamental mechanisms of change"

Hayek, "Reflections on the Pure Theory of Money of Mr. J. M. Keynes," 1931.

Page 25: Hayek’s Contributions to Economics Speaker: Roger W. Garrison, Auburn University Introduction: Tony Giddens, Director, LSE The Ludwig von Mises Institute.

"Mr. Keynes's aggregates conceal the most fundamental mechanisms of change"

Hayek, "Reflections on the Pure Theory of Money of Mr. J. M. Keynes," 1931.

Page 26: Hayek’s Contributions to Economics Speaker: Roger W. Garrison, Auburn University Introduction: Tony Giddens, Director, LSE The Ludwig von Mises Institute.

"Mr. Keynes's aggregates conceal the most fundamental mechanisms of change"

Hayek, "Reflections on the Pure Theory of Money of Mr. J. M. Keynes," 1931.

Page 27: Hayek’s Contributions to Economics Speaker: Roger W. Garrison, Auburn University Introduction: Tony Giddens, Director, LSE The Ludwig von Mises Institute.

"Mr. Keynes's aggregates conceal the most fundamental mechanisms of change"

Hayek, "Reflections on the Pure Theory of Money of Mr. J. M. Keynes," 1931.

Page 28: Hayek’s Contributions to Economics Speaker: Roger W. Garrison, Auburn University Introduction: Tony Giddens, Director, LSE The Ludwig von Mises Institute.

"Mr. Keynes's aggregates conceal the most fundamental mechanisms of change"

Hayek, "Reflections on the Pure Theory of Money of Mr. J. M. Keynes," 1931.

Page 29: Hayek’s Contributions to Economics Speaker: Roger W. Garrison, Auburn University Introduction: Tony Giddens, Director, LSE The Ludwig von Mises Institute.

"Mr. Keynes's aggregates conceal the most fundamental mechanisms of change"

Hayek, "Reflections on the Pure Theory of Money of Mr. J. M. Keynes," 1931.

Page 30: Hayek’s Contributions to Economics Speaker: Roger W. Garrison, Auburn University Introduction: Tony Giddens, Director, LSE The Ludwig von Mises Institute.
Page 31: Hayek’s Contributions to Economics Speaker: Roger W. Garrison, Auburn University Introduction: Tony Giddens, Director, LSE The Ludwig von Mises Institute.
Page 32: Hayek’s Contributions to Economics Speaker: Roger W. Garrison, Auburn University Introduction: Tony Giddens, Director, LSE The Ludwig von Mises Institute.
Page 33: Hayek’s Contributions to Economics Speaker: Roger W. Garrison, Auburn University Introduction: Tony Giddens, Director, LSE The Ludwig von Mises Institute.
Page 34: Hayek’s Contributions to Economics Speaker: Roger W. Garrison, Auburn University Introduction: Tony Giddens, Director, LSE The Ludwig von Mises Institute.

Now watch the economy grow!

Page 35: Hayek’s Contributions to Economics Speaker: Roger W. Garrison, Auburn University Introduction: Tony Giddens, Director, LSE The Ludwig von Mises Institute.

Now watch the economy grow!

Page 36: Hayek’s Contributions to Economics Speaker: Roger W. Garrison, Auburn University Introduction: Tony Giddens, Director, LSE The Ludwig von Mises Institute.

Now watch the economy grow!

Page 37: Hayek’s Contributions to Economics Speaker: Roger W. Garrison, Auburn University Introduction: Tony Giddens, Director, LSE The Ludwig von Mises Institute.

Now watch the economy grow!

Page 38: Hayek’s Contributions to Economics Speaker: Roger W. Garrison, Auburn University Introduction: Tony Giddens, Director, LSE The Ludwig von Mises Institute.

Saving & Growth

Page 39: Hayek’s Contributions to Economics Speaker: Roger W. Garrison, Auburn University Introduction: Tony Giddens, Director, LSE The Ludwig von Mises Institute.

“Money by its very nature constitutes a kind of loose joint in the self-equilibration apparatus of the price mechanism….” —Pure Theory of Capital (1941)

“The task of monetary theory is nothing less than to cover a second time the whole field which is treated by pure theory under the assumption of barter.” —Prices and Production (1935)

Page 40: Hayek’s Contributions to Economics Speaker: Roger W. Garrison, Auburn University Introduction: Tony Giddens, Director, LSE The Ludwig von Mises Institute.

“Money by its very nature constitutes a kind of loose joint in the self-equilibration apparatus of the price mechanism….” —Pure Theory of Capital (1941)

“The task of monetary theory is nothing less than to cover a second time the whole field which is treated by pure theory under the assumption of barter.” —Prices and Production (1935)

Page 41: Hayek’s Contributions to Economics Speaker: Roger W. Garrison, Auburn University Introduction: Tony Giddens, Director, LSE The Ludwig von Mises Institute.

“Money by its very nature constitutes a kind of loose joint in the self-equilibration apparatus of the price mechanism….” —Pure Theory of Capital (1941)

“The task of monetary theory is nothing less than to cover a second time the whole field which is treated by pure theory under the assumption of barter.” —Prices and Production (1935)

Page 42: Hayek’s Contributions to Economics Speaker: Roger W. Garrison, Auburn University Introduction: Tony Giddens, Director, LSE The Ludwig von Mises Institute.

“Money by its very nature constitutes a kind of loose joint in the self-equilibration apparatus of the price mechanism….” —Pure Theory of Capital (1941)

“The task of monetary theory is nothing less than to cover a second time the whole field which is treated by pure theory under the assumption of barter.” —Prices and Production (1935)

Page 43: Hayek’s Contributions to Economics Speaker: Roger W. Garrison, Auburn University Introduction: Tony Giddens, Director, LSE The Ludwig von Mises Institute.

“Money by its very nature constitutes a kind of loose joint in the self-equilibration apparatus of the price mechanism….” —Pure Theory of Capital (1941)

“The task of monetary theory is nothing less than to cover a second time the whole field which is treated by pure theory under the assumption of barter.” —Prices and Production (1935)

Page 44: Hayek’s Contributions to Economics Speaker: Roger W. Garrison, Auburn University Introduction: Tony Giddens, Director, LSE The Ludwig von Mises Institute.

“Money by its very nature constitutes a kind of loose joint in the self-equilibration apparatus of the price mechanism….” —Pure Theory of Capital (1941)

“The task of monetary theory is nothing less than to cover a second time the whole field which is treated by pure theory under the assumption of barter.” —Prices and Production (1935)

Page 45: Hayek’s Contributions to Economics Speaker: Roger W. Garrison, Auburn University Introduction: Tony Giddens, Director, LSE The Ludwig von Mises Institute.

“Money by its very nature constitutes a kind of loose joint in the self-equilibration apparatus of the price mechanism….” —Pure Theory of Capital (1941)

“The task of monetary theory is nothing less than to cover a second time the whole field which is treated by pure theory under the assumption of barter.” —Prices and Production (1935)

Page 46: Hayek’s Contributions to Economics Speaker: Roger W. Garrison, Auburn University Introduction: Tony Giddens, Director, LSE The Ludwig von Mises Institute.

“Money by its very nature constitutes a kind of loose joint in the self-equilibration apparatus of the price mechanism….” —Pure Theory of Capital (1941)

“The task of monetary theory is nothing less than to cover a second time the whole field which is treated by pure theory under the assumption of barter.” —Prices and Production (1935)

Page 47: Hayek’s Contributions to Economics Speaker: Roger W. Garrison, Auburn University Introduction: Tony Giddens, Director, LSE The Ludwig von Mises Institute.

“Money by its very nature constitutes a kind of loose joint in the self-equilibration apparatus of the price mechanism….” —Pure Theory of Capital (1941)

“The task of monetary theory is nothing less than to cover a second time the whole field which is treated by pure theory under the assumption of barter.” —Prices and Production (1935)

Page 48: Hayek’s Contributions to Economics Speaker: Roger W. Garrison, Auburn University Introduction: Tony Giddens, Director, LSE The Ludwig von Mises Institute.

“The task of monetary theory is nothing less than to cover a second time the whole field which is treated by pure theory under the assumption of barter.” —Prices and Production (1935)

Page 49: Hayek’s Contributions to Economics Speaker: Roger W. Garrison, Auburn University Introduction: Tony Giddens, Director, LSE The Ludwig von Mises Institute.

“The task of monetary theory is nothing less than to cover a second time the whole field which is treated by pure theory under the assumption of barter.” —Prices and Production (1935)

Page 50: Hayek’s Contributions to Economics Speaker: Roger W. Garrison, Auburn University Introduction: Tony Giddens, Director, LSE The Ludwig von Mises Institute.
Page 51: Hayek’s Contributions to Economics Speaker: Roger W. Garrison, Auburn University Introduction: Tony Giddens, Director, LSE The Ludwig von Mises Institute.
Page 52: Hayek’s Contributions to Economics Speaker: Roger W. Garrison, Auburn University Introduction: Tony Giddens, Director, LSE The Ludwig von Mises Institute.
Page 53: Hayek’s Contributions to Economics Speaker: Roger W. Garrison, Auburn University Introduction: Tony Giddens, Director, LSE The Ludwig von Mises Institute.
Page 54: Hayek’s Contributions to Economics Speaker: Roger W. Garrison, Auburn University Introduction: Tony Giddens, Director, LSE The Ludwig von Mises Institute.
Page 55: Hayek’s Contributions to Economics Speaker: Roger W. Garrison, Auburn University Introduction: Tony Giddens, Director, LSE The Ludwig von Mises Institute.
Page 56: Hayek’s Contributions to Economics Speaker: Roger W. Garrison, Auburn University Introduction: Tony Giddens, Director, LSE The Ludwig von Mises Institute.
Page 57: Hayek’s Contributions to Economics Speaker: Roger W. Garrison, Auburn University Introduction: Tony Giddens, Director, LSE The Ludwig von Mises Institute.
Page 58: Hayek’s Contributions to Economics Speaker: Roger W. Garrison, Auburn University Introduction: Tony Giddens, Director, LSE The Ludwig von Mises Institute.
Page 59: Hayek’s Contributions to Economics Speaker: Roger W. Garrison, Auburn University Introduction: Tony Giddens, Director, LSE The Ludwig von Mises Institute.
Page 60: Hayek’s Contributions to Economics Speaker: Roger W. Garrison, Auburn University Introduction: Tony Giddens, Director, LSE The Ludwig von Mises Institute.

Don’t grow the economy.

Just let the economy grow.

Page 61: Hayek’s Contributions to Economics Speaker: Roger W. Garrison, Auburn University Introduction: Tony Giddens, Director, LSE The Ludwig von Mises Institute.

Don’t grow the economy.

Just let the economy grow.

Page 62: Hayek’s Contributions to Economics Speaker: Roger W. Garrison, Auburn University Introduction: Tony Giddens, Director, LSE The Ludwig von Mises Institute.

Don’t grow the economy.

Just let the economy grow.

Page 63: Hayek’s Contributions to Economics Speaker: Roger W. Garrison, Auburn University Introduction: Tony Giddens, Director, LSE The Ludwig von Mises Institute.

Don’t grow the economy.

Just let the economy grow.

Page 64: Hayek’s Contributions to Economics Speaker: Roger W. Garrison, Auburn University Introduction: Tony Giddens, Director, LSE The Ludwig von Mises Institute.

Don’t grow the economy.

Just let the economy grow.

Page 65: Hayek’s Contributions to Economics Speaker: Roger W. Garrison, Auburn University Introduction: Tony Giddens, Director, LSE The Ludwig von Mises Institute.

Don’t grow the economy.

Just let the economy grow.

Page 66: Hayek’s Contributions to Economics Speaker: Roger W. Garrison, Auburn University Introduction: Tony Giddens, Director, LSE The Ludwig von Mises Institute.

F. A. Hayek 1899-1992For more on F. A. Hayek see: www.auburn.edu/~garriro

Society for the Development of Austrian Economics

http://it.stlawu.edu/sdae