Company Report Feb 26, 2015 Semicon/equipment BUY (I) TP: W16,000 (I) Share price (won, Feb 17) 10,550 Paid-in capital (Wbn) 11 Market cap (Wbn) 236 BPS (won) 6,008 Net debt to equity (%) 133.9 Shares outstanding 22,370,446 Avg daily T/O (2M, Wbn) 4 Avg daily vol (2M, shrs) 350,880 52-week high (won) 11,250 52-week low (won) 5,120 Foreign ownership (%) 5.2 Major shareholders (%) Chang-Ho Choi & others 25.8 Stock performance (%) 1M 3M 12M Absolute (0.9) 15.2 77.3 Relative (6.1) 0.4 52.0 Abs (US$) (3.1) 14.3 70.7 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 Feb-13 Feb-14 Feb-15 Hana Micron Inc.(LHS) Rel. to KOSDAQ(RHS) (won) (%) HANA Micron (067310 KS) For 2016 forecast, look back to 2010 Forecasts and valuations (K-IFRS, consolidated) (Wbn) FY ends Dec 2012A 2013A 2014E 2015E Sales 259 278 294 355 Operating profit -7 -5 24 37 Net profit, CI -10 -20 12 27 % YoY -214.0 102.3 -159.5 124.9 P/E (x) -18.7 -7.3 19.7 8.7 P/B (x) 1.4 1.2 1.8 1.5 EV/EBITDA (x) 12.6 11.1 8.0 6.1 ROE (%) -6.9 -15.8 9.8 19.2 Note: Operating profit = gross profit – SG&A expense, CI = controlling interest Source: Yuanta Securities Quarterly earnings (Wbn) 4Q14E % YoY % QoQ Consens vs consens (%) Sales 77 -6.2 -5.6 81 -5.4 Operating profit 5 TTB -49.0 7 -37.7 Pre-tax profit 2 TTB -64.8 6 -62.3 Net profit 2 TTB -60.2 5 -60.8 Op margin (%) 6.0 TTB -5.1 %pt 9.1 -3.1 %pt Net margin (%) 2.5 TTB -3.5 %pt 6.1 -3.6 %pt Note: TTB = turn to black, TTR = turn to red, RR = remain in red Source: Yuanta Securities For back-end semicon players in Korea, 2016 should be better than 2015 Earnings momentum for Korea’s back-end semicon players is expected to strengthen in 2016. In 2014, they successfully turned around, with average sales growing 7%. This is projected to rise further to 15% this year, as higher System LSI utilization at Samsung Electronics should lead to increasing orders for companies handling the back-end process. Of special note, 2016 sales are likely to jump 30% YoY, reaching $1.8bn, as the impact of DDR4 drives earnings. A look back to the introduction of DDR3 in 2010 We need to look back to when DDR3 penetration expanded to 58%. ▶ Back in 2010, when DDR3 was starting to become mainstream, sales at back-end players in Korea jumped 90% YoY. Although we also need to account for the fact that the global PC market grew 14% YoY, it is clear that the shift to DDR contributed significantly to back-end sales growth. ▶ This time, with DDR4, the flip-chip (FC) method is another positive for back-end processing product prices. Initiate coverage at BUY and target price of W16,000 We initiate coverage on HANA Micron at BUY and a target price of W16,000, which translates to a 2015E BPS based P/B of 2.3x. A P/B of 2.3x is 5% lower than the 2010 peak of P/B 2.4x. We focus on: 1) its highest market share in the mobile DRAM back-end process market for its key clients, which should allow it to benefit from the widespread adoption of DDR4 LPDDR, expected in 2015; 2) the revenue contribution from 50%-owned HT Micron in Brazil, which should expand as the company turns around in earnest in 2015; and 3) its new businesses, including flexible packages and beacon terminals, which should be positive for EV.
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HANA Micron (067310 KS) For 2016 forecast, look back to 2010
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Company Report Feb 26, 2015
Semicon/equipment
BUY (I)
TP: W16,000 (I)
Share price (won, Feb 17) 10,550
Paid-in capital (Wbn) 11
Market cap (Wbn) 236
BPS (won) 6,008
Net debt to equity (%) 133.9
Shares outstanding 22,370,446
Avg daily T/O (2M, Wbn) 4
Avg daily vol (2M, shrs) 350,880
52-week high (won) 11,250
52-week low (won) 5,120
Foreign ownership (%) 5.2
Major shareholders (%)
Chang-Ho Choi & others 25.8
Stock performance (%)
1M 3M 12M
Absolute (0.9) 15.2 77.3
Relative (6.1) 0.4 52.0
Abs (US$) (3.1) 14.3 70.7
020406080100120140160180
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Feb-13 Feb-14 Feb-15
Hana Micron Inc.(LHS)
Rel. to KOSDAQ(RHS)
(won) (%)
HANA Micron (067310 KS)
For 2016 forecast, look back to 2010
Forecasts and valuations (K-IFRS, consolidated) (Wbn)
Note: EPS, BPS, P/E and P/B are based on controlling interest
For valuation metrics such as P/E, historical figures are based on annual averages, estimates on current price
For ROA or ROE, assets and equity are averages of end-of-year figures for given year and year prior
Data to 2010 based on K-GAAP and from 2011, K-IFRS
Source: Yuanta Securities
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Company Report
P/E band chart P/B band chart
HANA Micron (067310 KS) ratings and target price history
Date Rating TP (won)
2015-02-23 BUY 16,000
Source: Yuanta Securities
Disclosures & disclaimers This research report has been prepared for informational purposes only; it does not constitute an offer or a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments. The information and data contained in this report have been obtained from sources we consider reliable; however, we make no representation that the information provided in this report is accurate or complete, and it should not be relied on as such. The recipient of this report should use his/her independent judgment regarding the sale or purchase of any securities or financial instruments mentioned herein. We disclaim any liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss arising from any use of this report or its contents. This report is for our clients only. It is copyrighted material and may not be reproduced, transmitted, quoted, or distributed in any manner without the prior written consent of Yuanta Securities Korea Co., Ltd.
As of the publication date of this report, Yuanta Securities Korea Co., Ltd. does not own a stake in excess of 1%, nor does it have any interest whatsoever, in the subject company (ies). The material contained herein was not disclosed by Yuanta Securities Korea Co., Ltd. to any institutional investors or third parties prior to its publication. The analyst (s) of this report or the analyst (s)’ spouse does not have any financial interest in the securities of the subject company (ies) mentioned herein, nor financial interest of any nature related to the subject company (ies) (including without limitation, whether it consists of any option, right, warrant, future, long or short position), as of the publication date of this report.
Analyst certification I/We, as the research analyst/analysts who prepared this research report, do hereby certify that the views expressed in this report accurately reflect my/our personal views about the subject securities discussed in this report.
Stock and sector ratings Stock ratings include an Investment Rating (Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Sell) based on the expected absolute return of a stock over
the next 6 -12 months. - Strong Buy: Expected to return 30% or more - Buy: Expected to return between 10% and 30% - Hold: Expected to return between -10 and +10%
- Sell: Expected to return -10% or less
Sector ratings suggest 6 to 12 - month forward investment weighting of a given sector compared to its market capitalization weighting.
- Overweight: Investment weighting is higher than the market capitalization weighting - Neutral: Investment weighting is equal to the market capitalization weighting - Underweight: Investment weighting is lower than the market capitalization weighting
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HANA Micron (067310 KS)
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