Future Earth Strategic Research Agenda 2014 Future Earth Finland Townhall Mee2ng May 26th, Helsinki, Finland , Heinz Gutscher, Future Earth Scientific Committee [email protected]
Aug 15, 2015
Future Earth Strategic Research Agenda 2014
Future Earth Finland Townhall Mee2ng May 26th, Helsinki, Finland ,
Heinz Gutscher, Future Earth Scientific Committee [email protected]
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Rockström, J. et al. (2009). A safe operating space for humanity. Nature 461, 472-475.
Johan Rockström, “Bounding the Planetary Future: Why We Need a Great Transition,” Great Transition Initiative (April 2015).
Rockström, J. et al. (2009). A safe operating space for humanity. Nature 461, 472-475.
Impacts à research on boundaries à physical and social boundaries à challenge of navigating within boundaries
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Also in: WORLD SOCIAL SCIENCE REPORT 2013: CHANGING GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTS ˝ ISSC, UNESCO 2013, p. 87
Complex challenges in the Anthropocene: navigating within multidimensional boundaries
Complex challenges in the Anthropocene: navigating within multidimensional boundaries
Also in: WORLD SOCIAL SCIENCE REPORT 2013: CHANGING GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTS ˝ ISSC, UNESCO 2013, p. 86
ENVIRONMENTAL CEILING biodiversity land use change climate change freshwater use nitrogen and phosphorus cycle ocean acidification (chemical pollution) (atmospheric aerosol loading) ozone depletion
SOCIAL FOUNDATION health food water income education resilience voice jobs energy social equity gender equality
Impacts à research on boundaries à physical and social boundaries à challenge of navigating within boundaries à problematic conditions for attaining global sustainable development goals (SDG’s)
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Diversity of Priorities… Sustainable Development Goals (SDG’s)
Goal 1 End poverty in all its forms everywhere Goal 2 End hunger, achieve food security and improved nutri?on and promote sustainable agriculture Goal 3 Ensure healthy lives and promote well-‐being for all at all ages Goal 4 Ensure inclusive and equitable quality educa2on and promote lifelong learning opportuni?es for all Goal 5 Achieve gender equality and empower all women and girls Goal 6 Ensure availability and sustainable management of water and sanita2on for all Goal 7 Ensure access to affordable, reliable, sustainable and modern energy for all Goal 8 Promote sustained, inclusive and sustainable economic growth, full and produc?ve employment and decent work for all Goal 9 Build resilient infrastructure, promote inclusive and sustainable industrializa2on and foster innova2on Goal 10 Reduce inequality within and among countries Goal 11 Make ci2es and human seNlements inclusive, safe, resilient and sustainable Goal 12 Ensure sustainable consump2on and produc2on paNerns Goal 13 Take urgent ac?on to combat climate change and its impacts* Goal 14 Conserve and sustainably use the oceans, seas and marine resources for sustainable development Goal 15 Protect, restore and promote sustainable use of terrestrial ecosystems, sustainably manage forests, combat deser?fica?on, and halt and reverse land degrada?on and halt biodiversity loss Goal 16 Promote peaceful and inclusive socie2es for sustainable development, provide access to jus?ce for all and build effec?ve, accountable and inclusive ins?tu?ons at all levels Goal 17 Strengthen the means of implementa?on and revitalize the global partnership for sustainable development Source: hNps://sustainabledevelopment.un.org/sdgsproposal
http://theenergycollective.com/davidhone/225866/400-ppm-and-counting
...but which all in all had a very limited impact! [at the global emergent scale at which it really counts]
Future Earth, in a nutshell..
„Future Earth is the response to calls for international, integrated, collaborative and solutions-oriented research to respond to the urgent challenges of global environmental change and sustainable development.” Future Earth – Research for Global Sustainability, Draft initial design report, 17th April 2013, Executive Summary, p.17
Our objective
To build and connect global knowledge to intensify the impact of research and find new ways to accelerate sustainable development
Deliver water, energy, and food for all, and manage the synergies and trade-‐offs among them. Decarbonise socio-‐economic systems to stabilise the climate. Safeguard the terrestrial, freshwater and marine natural assets underpinning human well-‐being. Build healthy, resilient and produc?ve ci2es. Promote sustainable rural futures to feed rising and more affluent popula?ons. Improve human health in rela?on to GEC. Encourage sustainable consump2on and produc?on paNerns that are equitable. Increase social resilience to future threats by building adap?ve governance systems.
Future Earth 2025 Vision: Key focal challenges
Strategic Research Agenda 2014
Launched December 2014
A. Dynamic Planet 1. Observing and attributing change 2. Understanding processes, risks and thresholds 3. Projecting and predicting futures
B. Global Development 1. Meeting basic needs and overcoming inequalities 2. Governing sustainable development 3. Managing growth, synergies and trade-offs
C. Transformations to sustainability 1. Understanding and evaluating transformations 2. Identifying and promoting sustainable behaviours 3. Transforming development pathways
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Strategic Research Agenda 2014: Co-producing knowledge with society • The Strategic Research Agenda 2014 advocates not just a set of research priorities,
but also a novel way of doing science.
• Emphasis is on full integration among scientific disciplines, • on engagement with societal partners in co-designing and co-producing
knowledge, • on international collaboration, • on producing knowledge that is valuable to decision-makers, • and on generating and offering the solutions that society needs.
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Strategic Research Agenda 2014 Dynamic Planet / A1 Observing and attributing change
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7. What new methods and technologies are needed to access, organise, integrate and summarise, in an open and transparent way, the large, interdisciplinary datasets covering different forms of knowledge and data, including natural and engineering science, social science, indigenous and practice-based knowledge? How can these be used to support and facilitate scientific assessments, such as IPCC and IPBES?
Strategic Research Agenda 2014 Dynamic Planet / A2 Understanding processes, interactions, risks and thresholds
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7. What are the main drivers of human vulnerability to hazards and environmental degradation in coastal areas, and what factors foster resilient approaches to development in coastal cities and other critical zones, particularly deltas, estuaries, coastal wetlands, islands, the Arctic, and coral reefs?
Strategic Research Agenda 2014 Global Sustainable Development / B1 Meeting basic needs and overcoming inequalities
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2. What are the lifecycle implications of different energy sources, including biofuels, and energy technologies in terms of greenhouse gas emissions, water use and pollution, ecosystem services, and human health, equity and well-being?
Strategic Research Agenda 2014 Global Sustainable Development / B2 Governing sustainable development
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6. How do local communities and organisations participate in global environmental change activities? How can participation be made more effective and legitimate in reducing impacts, and increasing resilience to global environmental change?
Strategic Research Agenda 2014 Global Sustainable Development / B3 Managing growth, synergies and trade-offs
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2. How can potential conflicts over resource use be identified, mapped, predicted, and avoided or resolved (…)? 5. (…) What tools can be developed to assess these trade-offs (…) and how should preferred solutions be chosen when trade-offs exist?
Strategic Research Agenda 2014 Transformations towards sustainability / C1 Understanding and evaluating transformations
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3. How are transformations initiated in social systems? What is the role of human agency and collective action in influencing transitions in socio-ecological and socio-technological systems? 4. What are possible ‘withdrawal strategies’ (e. g. for coastal communities, cities, low-lying islands, mountain refugia) when limits to adaptation are reached?
Strategic Research Agenda 2014 Transformations towards sustainability / C2 Identifying and promoting sustainable behaviours
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5. How do communication and networking technologies facilitate information exchange, collaboration and collective action for promoting systemic change towards sustainability?
Strategic Research Agenda 2014 Transformations towards sustainability / C3 Transforming development pathways
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4. What is the nature and role of narratives (particularly around development, futures, justice, risk and disasters, conflicts) in driving human behaviour and social change, including decision-making? In what ways might these narratives influence risk mitigation and inspire transformative action towards sustainability?