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39

Guideto Asset Allocation

Jan 22, 2015

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Page 1: Guideto Asset Allocation

Page 1CC0000.085.0205

Welcome“The Markets and Asset Allocation”

Presented by: Troy C. Patton, CPA and Fund Manager

Page 2: Guideto Asset Allocation

Take the puzzle out of the markets.

Take the puzzle out of the markets.

The Archer FundsThe Archer Funds

Page 2CC0000.085.0205 February 15, 2005

The markets can be puzzling if we don’t understand the basics.

The markets can be puzzling if we don’t understand the basics.

Shares of The Archer Funds are not deposits or obligations of any bank, are not guaranteed by any bank are not insured by the FDIC or any other agency, and involve investment risks, including the possible loss of the principal amount invested.

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What drives the Market?What drives the Market?

1968 1978 2007

Inflation and What It’s Done to Our Money

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Inflation by Decade

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What does Inflation mean for the Markets?

What does Inflation mean for the Markets?

0.0

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

25.0

30.0

35.0

1970

1971

1972

1973

1974

1975

1976

1977

1978

1979

1980

1981

1982

1983

1984

1985

1986

1987

1988

1989

1990

1991

1992

1993

1994

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

P/E

Rat

io o

f th

e S&

P 5

00

0.00%

2.00%

4.00%

6.00%

8.00%

10.00%

12.00%

14.00%

16.00%

18.00%

Yie

lds

of 10

-Yea

r Tre

asuries

PE Ratio of the S&P 500

Yield on 10-Year Treasuries

Source: Standard and Poor’s

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A Guide to AssetAllocation

A Guide to AssetAllocation

The Archer Balanced FundThe Archer Balanced Fund

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The Art of Balancing Risk and Reward To Meet Objectives

The Art of Balancing Risk and Reward To Meet Objectives

Shares of The Archer Funds are not deposits or obligations of any bank, are not guaranteed by any bank are not insured by the FDIC or any other agency, and involve investment risks, including the possible loss of the principal amount invested.

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Putting the Puzzle togetherPutting the Puzzle together

• Reasons to use asset allocationReasons to use asset allocation

• How it works and whyHow it works and why

• Reasons to use asset allocationReasons to use asset allocation

• How it works and whyHow it works and why

Asset allocation = Combining different asset classes to help reduce risk but without

necessarily reducing your potential for reward

Asset allocation = Combining different asset classes to help reduce risk but without

necessarily reducing your potential for reward

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The Risks Are Real, Let’s Understand them(Total Returns)

The Risks Are Real, Let’s Understand them(Total Returns)

Source of chart data: Standard & Poor’s Micropal Inc. Stocks are represented by the S&P 500 Index, a widely used measure of U.S. stock market performance. Bonds are represented by the Lehman 30-Year Treasury Bellwether Index. Indices include reinvestment of income, but not transaction costs or taxes, are unmanaged and cannot be purchased directly by investors. This chart is for illustrative purposes only and does not predict or depict the performance of any investment or fund. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Stocks and bonds are subject to different risks. Stocks are different from fixed income securities in that bonds, if held to maturity, may offer both a fixed rate of return and fixed principal value. Fixed income investing entails credit risk and interest rate risk. When interest rates rise, bond prices generally fall.

-14.9%

-37.6%

-50%

-40%

-30%

-20%

-10%

0%

Bonds 1999 Stocks 2000-2002

-14.9%

-37.6%

-50%

-40%

-30%

-20%

-10%

0%

Bonds 1999 Stocks 2000-2002

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Volatility Can Be CostlyVolatility Can Be Costly

Source of chart data: Ned Davis Research, Inc. Performance represented by hypothetical data.This chart is for illustrative purposes only and does not predict or depict the performance of any investment or index.

10.0% 10.0% 10.0%

-10.0%

34.4%

Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5

10.0% 10.0% 10.0%

-10.0%

34.4%

Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5

Steady Steady 10%10%

$110 $110 $121$121 $133$133 $146$146 $161 $161

VolatileVolatile $110 $110 $121$121 $133$133 $120$120 $161 $161

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Asset Allocation Determines Variance in ReturnsAsset Allocation Determines Variance in Returns

Source of chart data: Based on the study by Gary P. Brinson, Randolph L. Hood, and Gilbert L. Beebower, “Determinants of Portfolio Performance,” Financial Analysts Journal, January/February 1995. The study analyzed data from 91 large corporate pension plans with assets of at least $100 million. Source: Terrance Odean, “Do Investors Trade Too Much?,” July 1997.

Timing the Market and Other

4%

Timing the Market and Other

4%

Asset Allocation93%

Asset Allocation93%

Security Selection3%

Security Selection3%

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$96,000

$99,000

90,000

95,000

100,000

10% Up and Down 20% Up and Down

$96,000

$99,000

90,000

95,000

100,000

10% Up and Down 20% Up and Down

Page 11CC0000.085.0205

If You Start With $100,000...If You Start With $100,000...

Conclusion: Limiting volatility may increase returns

Conclusion: Limiting volatility may increase returns

Source of chart data: Ned Davis Research. Portfolio performance based on hypothetical data. This chart is for illustrative purposes only and does not predict or depict the performance of any investment or index. Asset Allocation and diversification does not protect against losses in declining markets.

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Why Asset Allocation?Why Asset Allocation?

• Manage portfolio volatility.Manage portfolio volatility.

• Increase potential returns.Increase potential returns.

• Mitigate common decision-making errors.

• Manage portfolio volatility.Manage portfolio volatility.

• Increase potential returns.Increase potential returns.

• Mitigate common decision-making errors.

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Investments Did Well, Investors Not So Well (Average Annual Returns 1984-2003)(Average Annual Returns 1984-2003)

Investments Did Well, Investors Not So Well (Average Annual Returns 1984-2003)(Average Annual Returns 1984-2003)

Sources of chart data: Dalbar, Inc., Quantitative Analysis of Investor Behavior, July 2004 update.

3.51% 3.06%

-3.29%

12.98%

-10%

-5%

0%

5%

10%

15%

Stocks HypotheticalEquity Fund

Investor

Inflation

3.51% 3.06%

-3.29%

12.98%

-10%

-5%

0%

5%

10%

15%

Stocks HypotheticalEquity Fund

Investor

Inflation

Hypothetical Equity Fund

Market Timer

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How We Make Investment DecisionsHow We Make Investment Decisions

The disposition effect refers to people’s The disposition effect refers to people’s tendency to:tendency to:

• Hang on to losersHang on to losers• Sell the winnersSell the winners

• Allows us to enjoy the feeling Allows us to enjoy the feeling of winning and defer the pain of lossof winning and defer the pain of loss

The disposition effect refers to people’s The disposition effect refers to people’s tendency to:tendency to:

• Hang on to losersHang on to losers• Sell the winnersSell the winners

• Allows us to enjoy the feeling Allows us to enjoy the feeling of winning and defer the pain of lossof winning and defer the pain of loss

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Which Would You Choose?Which Would You Choose?

• 80% chance to win $5000, and80% chance to win $5000, and20% chance to lose $100020% chance to lose $1000

or

• 10% chance to win $5000, and 10% chance to win $5000, and 90% chance to lose nothing90% chance to lose nothing

This is known as “narrow framing”, the tendency to make This is known as “narrow framing”, the tendency to make decisions using relatively narrow frames of reference.decisions using relatively narrow frames of reference.

• 80% chance to win $5000, and80% chance to win $5000, and20% chance to lose $100020% chance to lose $1000

or

• 10% chance to win $5000, and 10% chance to win $5000, and 90% chance to lose nothing90% chance to lose nothing

This is known as “narrow framing”, the tendency to make This is known as “narrow framing”, the tendency to make decisions using relatively narrow frames of reference.decisions using relatively narrow frames of reference.

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How We Make Investment DecisionsHow We Make Investment Decisions

To avoid losses, we may engage in:To avoid losses, we may engage in:• Narrow framingNarrow framing• Disposition effectDisposition effect

Other behaviors that may undermineOther behaviors that may undermineinvestment success: investment success:

• Mental accountingMental accounting• HerdingHerding

To avoid losses, we may engage in:To avoid losses, we may engage in:• Narrow framingNarrow framing• Disposition effectDisposition effect

Other behaviors that may undermineOther behaviors that may undermineinvestment success: investment success:

• Mental accountingMental accounting• HerdingHerding

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Asset Allocation: The Anti-Timing ToolAsset Allocation: The Anti-Timing Tool

• Seeks to limit short-term portfolio lossesSeeks to limit short-term portfolio losses

• Bases sales decision on need to stay Bases sales decision on need to stay on target on target

• Focuses on “big picture,” the goal of Focuses on “big picture,” the goal of achieving overall wealthachieving overall wealth

• Uses sophisticated quantitative Uses sophisticated quantitative diversification techniquesdiversification techniques

• Seeks to limit short-term portfolio lossesSeeks to limit short-term portfolio losses

• Bases sales decision on need to stay Bases sales decision on need to stay on target on target

• Focuses on “big picture,” the goal of Focuses on “big picture,” the goal of achieving overall wealthachieving overall wealth

• Uses sophisticated quantitative Uses sophisticated quantitative diversification techniquesdiversification techniques

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Every Asset Class Is Positive Over Time…Average Annual Total Return, 1928-2004Average Annual Total Return, 1928-2004

Every Asset Class Is Positive Over Time…Average Annual Total Return, 1928-2004Average Annual Total Return, 1928-2004

Source of chart data: Ned Davis Research, as of 12/31/04. Stocks are represented by the S&P 500 Index, a widely used measure of U.S. stock market performance, bonds by the Ibbotson Long-Term Government Bond Index and cash by the 91-day Treasury Bill Index. Indices include reinvestment of income, but not transaction costs or taxes, are unmanaged and cannot be purchased directly by investors. This chart is for illustrative purposes only and does not predict or depict the performance of any investment or fund. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Stocks and bonds are subject to different risks. Stocks are different from fixed income securities in that bonds, if held to maturity, may offer both a fixed rate of return and fixed principal value. Fixed income investing entails credit risk and interest rate risk. When interest rates rise, bond prices generally fall.

10.1%

5.4%

3.9%

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

Stocks Bonds Cash

10.1%

5.4%

3.9%

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

Stocks Bonds Cash

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Source of chart data: Ned Davis Research, as of 12/31/04. Stocks are represented by the S&P 500 Index, a widely used measure of U.S. stock market performance. Bonds are represented by the Ibbotson Long-Term Government Bond Index. Indices include reinvestment of income, but not transaction costs or taxes, are unmanaged and cannot be purchased directly by investors. This chart is for illustrative purposes only and does not predict or depict the performance of any investment or fund. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Stocks and bonds are subject to different risks. Stocks are different from fixed income securities in that bonds, if held to maturity, may offer both a fixed rate of return and fixed principal value. Fixed income investing entails credit risk and interest rate risk. When interest rates rise, bond prices generally fall.

…But Has Volatility……But Has Volatility…

1928 - 20041928 - 2004 StocksStocks BondsBonds

Average annual Average annual total returntotal return 10.1%10.1% 5.4%5.4%

No. of 10%+ downturnsNo. of 10%+ downturns 8787 1111

Average durationAverage duration 104 days104 days 396 396 daysdays

Average declineAverage decline -19.4%-19.4% -13.5%-13.5%

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Source of chart data: Standard & Poor’s Micropal Inc., as of 12/31/04. Stocks are represented by the S&P 500 Index, a widely used measure of U.S. stock market performance. Bonds are represented by the Lehman Aggregate Bond Index. Indices include reinvestment of income, but not transaction costs or taxes, are unmanaged and cannot be purchased directly by investors. This chart is for illustrative purposes only and does not predict or depict the performance of any investment or fund. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Stocks and bonds are subject to different risks. Stocks are different from fixed income securities in that bonds, if held to maturity, may offer both a fixed rate of return and fixed principal value. Fixed income investing entails credit risk and interest rate risk. When interest rates rise, bond prices generally fall.

And Its Own TimingAnd Its Own Timing

WhenWhen stocksstocks fell fell

BondsBonds had had positive positive resultsresults

When When bondsbonds fellfell

Stocks Stocks had had positive positive resultsresults

19971997 3.0%3.0% 19941994 1.3%1.3%

19811981 6.3%6.3% 19991999 21.0%21.0%

19901990 9.0%9.0%

20002000 11.6%11.6%

20012001 8.4%8.4%

20022002 10.3%10.3%

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Source of chart data: Standard & Poor’s Micropal Inc. For 10 years ended 12/31/04. Stocks are represented by the S&P 500 Index, a widely used measure of U.S. stock market performance, bonds by the Lehman 10-Year Treasury Bellwether Index and cash by a 91-day Treasury Bill Index. Treasury indices are total return indices held at constant maturities. Indices include reinvestment of income, but not transaction costs or taxes, are unmanaged and cannot be purchased directly by investors. This chart is for illustrative purposes only and does not predict or depict the performance of any investment or fund. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Stocks and bonds are subject to different risks. Stocks are different from fixed income securities in that (i) Government bonds and Treasury notes and bills are backed by the full faith and credit of the U.S. Government and (ii) bonds, if held to maturity, may offer both a fixed rate of return and fixed principal value. Fixed income investing entails credit risk and interest rate risk. When interest rates rise, bond prices generally fall.

Fact: Asset Classes Move IndependentlyMajor Asset Class Correlations (1995-2004)Major Asset Class Correlations (1995-2004)

Fact: Asset Classes Move IndependentlyMajor Asset Class Correlations (1995-2004)Major Asset Class Correlations (1995-2004)

StocksStocks BondsBonds CashCash

StocksStocks 1.001.00

BondsBonds -0.03-0.03 1.001.00

CashCash 0.300.30 0.240.24 1.001.00

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Combine Asset Classesfor Smoother ResultsCombine Asset Classesfor Smoother Results

Source of chart data: Standard & Poor’s Micropal Inc., as of 12/31/04. Stocks are represented by the S&P 500 Index, a widely used measure of U.S. stock market performance. Bonds are represented by the Lehman Aggregate Bond Index. Indices include reinvestment of income, but not transaction costs or taxes, are unmanaged and cannot be purchased directly by investors. This chart is for illustrative purposes only and does not predict or depict the performance of any investment or fund. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Stocks and bonds are subject to different risks. Stocks are different from fixed income securities in that bonds, if held to maturity, may offer both a fixed rate of return and fixed principal value. Fixed income investing entails credit risk and interest rate risk. When interest rates rise, bond prices generally fall.

-30

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006

Stocks

Bonds

50% Stocks/50% Bonds

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Different Times, Different StylesGrowth vs. Value Growth vs. Value (Annual Returns 1995–2006)(Annual Returns 1995–2006)

Different Times, Different StylesGrowth vs. Value Growth vs. Value (Annual Returns 1995–2006)(Annual Returns 1995–2006)

Source of chart data: Standard and Poor’s Micropal Inc., 12/31/04. Growth performance is represented by the S&P BARRA Growth Index. Value performance is represented by the S&P BARRA Value Index. There are special risks in both styles: with growth investments, there is the possibility of increased volatility; with value investing, there is the possibility that the market may not recognize a stock as undervalued and might not appreciate as expected. The indices are unmanaged, includes reinvested income and cannot be purchased directly by investors. This chart is for illustrative purposes only and does not predict or depict the performance of any investment or fund. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006

GrowthValue

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006

GrowthValue

50%

0

–30

–20

–10

10

20

30

40

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Different Times, Different Market SegmentsSmall Cap vs. Mid Cap vs. Large Cap Small Cap vs. Mid Cap vs. Large Cap (Annual Returns 1995–2006)(Annual Returns 1995–2006)

Different Times, Different Market SegmentsSmall Cap vs. Mid Cap vs. Large Cap Small Cap vs. Mid Cap vs. Large Cap (Annual Returns 1995–2006)(Annual Returns 1995–2006)

Source of chart data: Standard and Poor’s Micropal Inc., 12/31/04. Large-cap stocks are represented by the S&P 500 Index, a broad-based index of domestic stocks; mid-cap stocks are represented by the S&P MidCap 400 Index; small-cap stocks are represented by the Russell 2000 Index. Small-cap stocks may be subject to greater volatility than mid-cap or large-cap stocks. The indices are unmanaged, include reinvested income and cannot be purchased directly by investors. This chart is for illustrative purposes only and does not predict or depict the performance of any investment or fund. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006

Large CapMid CapSmall Cap

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006

Large CapMid CapSmall Cap

50%

0

–30

–20

–10

10

20

30

40

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Adding Asset Classes May Enhance Your ReturnsAdding Asset Classes May Enhance Your Returns

Source of chart data: Standard & Poor’s Micropal Inc. Large-cap stocks are represented by the S&P 500 Index; mid-cap stocks by the S&P MidCap 400 Index; small-cap stocks by the Russell 2000 Index; foreign stocks by the MSCI EAFE Index; short-, intermediate- and long-term bonds by the Lehman 1-3 year Government, 5-year Treasury and 10-year Treasury Indices, respectively; cash by the 91-day Treasury Bill Index. Treasury indices are total return indices held at constant maturities. Indices include reinvestment of income, but not transaction costs or taxes, are unmanaged and cannot be purchased directly by investors. This chart is for illustrative purposes only and does not predict or depict the performance of any investment or fund. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Stocks and bonds are subject to different risks. Stocks are different from fixed income securities in that (i) Government bonds and Treasury notes and bills are backed by the full faith and credit of the U.S. Government and (ii) bonds, If held to maturity, may offer both a fixed rate of return and fixed principal value. Fixed income investing entails credit risk and Interest rate risk. When interest rates rise, bond prices generally fall.

Best Best PerformingPerforming

Worst Worst PerformingPerforming

20002000 20012001 20022002 20032003 20042004

Mid-capMid-capStocksStocks

Short-termShort-termBondsBonds

Long-termLong-termBondsBonds

Small-capSmall-capStocksStocks

ForeignForeignStocksStocks

Long-termLong-termBondsBonds

IntermediateIntermediateBondsBonds

IntermediateIntermediateBondsBonds

ForeignForeignStocksStocks

Small-capSmall-capStocksStocks

IntermediateIntermediateBondsBonds

Long-termLong-termBondsBonds

Short-termShort-termBondsBonds

Mid-capMid-capStocksStocks

Mid-capMid-capStocksStocks

Short-termShort-termBondsBonds

CashCash CashCash Large-capLarge-capStocksStocks

Large-capLarge-capStocksStocks

CashCash Small-capSmall-capStocksStocks

Mid-capMid-capStocksStocks

IntermediateIntermediateBondsBonds

Long-termLong-termBondsBonds

Small-capSmall-capStocksStocks

Mid-capMid-capStocksStocks

ForeignForeignStocksStocks

Short-termShort-termBondsBonds

IntermediateIntermediateBondsBonds

Large-capLarge-capStocksStocks

Large-capLarge-capStocksStocks

Small-capSmall-capStocksStocks

Long-termLong-termBondsBonds

CashCash

ForeignForeign Stocks Stocks

ForeignForeignStocks Stocks

Large-capLarge-capStocksStocks

CashCash

Short-termShort-termBondsBonds

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Asset Allocation: Picking Your MixWhich is the correct asset allocation? Which is the correct asset allocation? Asset Allocation: Picking Your MixWhich is the correct asset allocation? Which is the correct asset allocation?

Stocks60%

Stocks60%Bonds

30%Bonds30%

Cash10%Cash10%

Stocks20%

Stocks20%

Bonds60%

Bonds60%

Cash20%Cash20%

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Is there Risk in All Portfolios? Is there Risk in All Portfolios?

• Two Portfolios with the same Stock/Bond Two Portfolios with the same Stock/Bond Allocation could have completely different Allocation could have completely different risks.risks.

• One may have higher growth stocks while One may have higher growth stocks while the other focuses on Value or a certain the other focuses on Value or a certain sector.sector.

• Bond classes have different risk levels as Bond classes have different risk levels as well.well.

• Two Portfolios with the same Stock/Bond Two Portfolios with the same Stock/Bond Allocation could have completely different Allocation could have completely different risks.risks.

• One may have higher growth stocks while One may have higher growth stocks while the other focuses on Value or a certain the other focuses on Value or a certain sector.sector.

• Bond classes have different risk levels as Bond classes have different risk levels as well.well.

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Combinations for Different Risk/Reward ProfilesThe Efficient Frontier, Stocks and Bonds (1980-2004)The Efficient Frontier, Stocks and Bonds (1980-2004)

Combinations for Different Risk/Reward ProfilesThe Efficient Frontier, Stocks and Bonds (1980-2004)The Efficient Frontier, Stocks and Bonds (1980-2004)

Source of chart data: Standard & Poor’s Micropal Inc., for 25 years ended 12/31/04. Stocks are represented by the S&P 500 Index, a widely used measure of U.S. stock market performance. Bonds are represented by the Lehman Aggregate Bond Index. Indices include reinvestment of income, but not transaction costs or taxes, are unmanaged and cannot be purchased directly by investors. This chart is for illustrative purposes only and does not predict or depict the performance of any investment or fund. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Stocks and bonds are subject to different risks. Stocks are different from fixed income securities in that bonds, If held to maturity, may offer both a fixed rate of return and fixed principal value. Fixed income investing entails credit risk and Interest rate risk. When interest rates rise, bond prices generally fall.

8%

9%

10%

11%

12%

13%

14%

4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16% 18%

Risk

Re

turn

100%Stocks

50%Stocks

50%Stocks

50%Bonds50%

Bonds

100%Bonds

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Asset Allocation Mix Choices: Asset Allocation Mix Choices:

Source of chart data: Standard & Poor’s Micropal Inc. Stocks are represented by the S&P 500 Index, a widely used measure of U.S. stock market performance. Bonds are represented by the Lehman Aggregate Bond Index. Indices include reinvestment of income, but not transaction costs or taxes, are unmanaged and cannot be purchased directly by investors. This chart is for illustrative purposes only and does not predict or depict the performance of any investment or fund. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Stocks and bonds are subject to different risks. Stocks are different from fixed income securities in that bonds, If held to maturity, may offer both a fixed rate of return and fixed principal value. Fixed income investing entails credit risk and Interest rate risk. When interest rates rise, bond prices generally fall.

PORTFOLIO MIXPORTFOLIO MIX(%)(%)

If the total return on stocks is:If the total return on stocks is:

20%20% 10%10% 0%0% ––10%10% ––20%20%

Stocks Stocks BondsBonds The weighted average return on the portfolio is:The weighted average return on the portfolio is:

100% 0% 20.0% 10.0%10.0% 0.0% –10.0% –20.0%

90 10 18.7 9.79.7 0.7 –8.3 –17.3

80 20 17.4 9.49.4 1.4 –6.6 –14.6

70 30 16.1 9.19.1 2.1 –4.9 –11.9

60 40 14.8 8.88.8 2.8 –3.2 –9.2

50 50 13.5 8.58.5 3.5 –1.5 –6.5

40 60 12.2 8.28.2 4.2 0.2 –3.8

30 70 10.9 7.97.9 4.9 1.9 –1.1

20 80 9.6 7.67.6 5.6 3.6 1.6

10 90 8.3 7.37.3 6.3 5.3 4.3

0 100 7.0 7.07.0 7.0 7.0 7.0Notes/Bonds Notes/Bonds

Return 7%Return 7%

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Keep your Investments in Shape

Keep your Investments in Shape

Your portfolio can become overly risky with timeRebalancing may help shed some risk

Keep your Investments in Shape

Keep your Investments in Shape

CC0000.024.0304 March 15, 2004

0.0%

2.0%

4.0%

6.0%

8.0%

10.0%

12.0%

14.0%

1 2 3

0.0%

2.0%

4.0%

6.0%

8.0%

10.0%

12.0%

14.0%

1 2 3

1. Jan. 1970 to Dec. 2004

2. Jan. 1980 to Dec. 2004

3. Jan. 1990 to Dec. 2004

12.8%

10.4% 10.1%

12.7%

9.4%

11.1%

11.0%

11.3%

11.7%

12.1%

8.8%

9.4%

Your portfolio can become overly risky with timeRebalancing may help shed some risk

  Rebalanced portfolio

  Not rebalanced portfolio

Risk Return

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Know who is Managing Your Money…Know who is Managing Your Money…

You should ask:You should ask:

• Does the manager have his/her own Does the manager have his/her own money invested in the fund?money invested in the fund?

• Does the manager have at least five Does the manager have at least five years experience?years experience?

• Do those years include a bear market?Do those years include a bear market?

• I can answer, “yes” to each question!I can answer, “yes” to each question!

• 95% of my long-term assets are 95% of my long-term assets are invested right with yours!invested right with yours!

You should ask:You should ask:

• Does the manager have his/her own Does the manager have his/her own money invested in the fund?money invested in the fund?

• Does the manager have at least five Does the manager have at least five years experience?years experience?

• Do those years include a bear market?Do those years include a bear market?

• I can answer, “yes” to each question!I can answer, “yes” to each question!

• 95% of my long-term assets are 95% of my long-term assets are invested right with yours!invested right with yours!

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Implement Your Plan Implement Your Plan

You will need access to:You will need access to:

• Someone who understands your plan Someone who understands your plan and is going to give you first class and is going to give you first class advice. You do not have to pay advice. You do not have to pay commissions to get this! commissions to get this!

• A First-class money manager.A First-class money manager.

• Investments that are true to their Investments that are true to their designated rolesdesignated roles

You will need access to:You will need access to:

• Someone who understands your plan Someone who understands your plan and is going to give you first class and is going to give you first class advice. You do not have to pay advice. You do not have to pay commissions to get this! commissions to get this!

• A First-class money manager.A First-class money manager.

• Investments that are true to their Investments that are true to their designated rolesdesignated roles

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Maintain Your Plan’s IntegrityMaintain Your Plan’s Integrity

• Set up your plan and live by it, just like Set up your plan and live by it, just like brushing your teeth every morning. If you brushing your teeth every morning. If you don’t brush, you know the outcome! don’t brush, you know the outcome!

• Maintain tactical rebalancing or invest in a Maintain tactical rebalancing or invest in a vehicle that does it for you.vehicle that does it for you.

• Update/revise to reflect changing goals Update/revise to reflect changing goals and personal circumstances as needed.and personal circumstances as needed.

• CollegeCollege

• Second HomeSecond Home

• Set up your plan and live by it, just like Set up your plan and live by it, just like brushing your teeth every morning. If you brushing your teeth every morning. If you don’t brush, you know the outcome! don’t brush, you know the outcome!

• Maintain tactical rebalancing or invest in a Maintain tactical rebalancing or invest in a vehicle that does it for you.vehicle that does it for you.

• Update/revise to reflect changing goals Update/revise to reflect changing goals and personal circumstances as needed.and personal circumstances as needed.

• CollegeCollege

• Second HomeSecond Home

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Implementing a Successful Plan with The Archer Funds.Implementing a Successful Plan with The Archer Funds.

• Experienced, professional investment Experienced, professional investment managermanager

• Historically competitive total returnsHistorically competitive total returns

• Reduced Risk (beta)Reduced Risk (beta)

• Experienced, professional investment Experienced, professional investment managermanager

• Historically competitive total returnsHistorically competitive total returns

• Reduced Risk (beta)Reduced Risk (beta)

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By working with The Archer Funds, I will assist you to: By working with The Archer Funds, I will assist you to:

Develop your plan

Define your goals

Manageyour money

Monitoryour progress

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Asset Allocation: One Way to aSuccessful Investment PlanAsset Allocation: One Way to aSuccessful Investment Plan

• Maintain a long-term horizonMaintain a long-term horizon• Understand your tolerance for riskUnderstand your tolerance for risk• Save on a regular basisSave on a regular basis• Plan well and review your decisionsPlan well and review your decisions

• Maintain a long-term horizonMaintain a long-term horizon• Understand your tolerance for riskUnderstand your tolerance for risk• Save on a regular basisSave on a regular basis• Plan well and review your decisionsPlan well and review your decisions

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Are you managing your asset allocation?

The Archer Balanced Fund, a no-load fund, will at all times maintain an asset allocation model by investing in stocks and bonds at various percentages. Within the stock and bond portfolio, the Fund will be further allocated among asset classes such as pharmaceuticals, financials, utilities, short- and long-term notes and bonds. These allocations will be managed with the goal of enhancing the Fund’s total return while keeping the risk, or volatility of the Fund, below that of the broader market.

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Thank YouThank YouPast performance does not guarantee future results. Due to ongoing market volatility, current performance may be more or less than the results shown in this presentation. For performance data of The Archer Funds current to the most recent month end, visit us at www.archerbalancedfund.com or call us at 1.800.671.5872. The performance information shown in this presentation does not show the effects of income taxes on an individual’s investment. Taxes may reduce your actual investment returns or any gains you may realize if you sell your investment. An investor’s shares, when redeemed, may be worth more or less than the original cost.

Shares of The Archer Funds are not deposits or obligations of any bank, are not guaranteed by any bank, are not insured by the FDIC or any other agency, and involve investment risks, including the possible loss of the principal amount invested.

You should carefully consider the investment objectives, potential risks, management fees, and charges and expenses of the Fund before investing. The Fund’s prospectus contains this and other information about the Fund, and should be read carefully before investing. You may obtain a current copy of the Fund’s prospectus by calling 1-800-238-7701 or by visiting www.thearcherfunds.com. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Your fund shares, when redeemed, may be worth more or less than their original cost.

Distributed byUnified Financial Services, Inc. Member NASD431 North Pennsylvania Street P.O. Box 6110Indianapolis, IN 46204 Indianapolis, IN 46206-6110(800) 238-7701

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A Guide to AssetAllocation

A Guide to AssetAllocation

The Archer FundsThe Archer Funds

Page 39CC0000.085.0205 February 15, 2005

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