GuardianICMScotlandPollMarch.pdf

RegionSocial gradeWork statusAgeGenderMidHigh-Cen-

NEScot-landstralNotSco-land &Loth-& Is-Glas-Scot-Re-work-6555 to45 to35 to25 to18 to

WestSouthtlandFifeianslandsgowlandC2DEABC1OthertiredingPTFTplus6454443424FemaleMaleTotal

9064146941336621219740060211826385116420227211210187132354965061002Unweighted base

12812513412713883125142540462154228122125373213138165189225725214811002Weighted base

826693931004788903213387719267682551821031161111232430435665910 - Absolutely certain64%53%70%73%73%56%71%63%60%73%50%84%55%54%68%86%74%70%59%55%33%58%74%66%to vote

2121311859125931121214163513122017218444690916%17%2%8%6%7%7%9%11%7%8%5%11%13%9%6%8%12%9%9%11%8%10%9%

35897101115393014811928611119221235357083%4%6%7%5%12%9%11%7%7%9%3%9%7%7%3%8%7%5%10%16%7%7%7%

882-37262413733716332911924123776%6%2%-2%9%2%4%4%3%5%1%2%6%4%1%2%1%5%5%12%5%3%4%

--823-3*9773-253*-742106166--6%2%2%-2%*2%2%4%1%-2%1%1%*-4%2%3%2%1%2%

652-112311912-232-13313-1371955%4%1%-*1%2%2%2%2%8%-2%2%1%-*2%2%6%-2%1%2%

-1-----2211--11-11-1-3-34-1%-----1%**1%--1%*-1%1%-*-1%-*

--1-1---2-1-1----11--1123--1%-1%---*-1%-1%----1%*--***

--*-12-122-3--22*-2--4*53--*-1%3%-1%*1%-1%--1%1%*-1%--1%**

66105585734171845718238171383715521 - Certain not to vote5%5%7%4%3%9%4%5%6%4%12%2%4%6%5%1%2%5%9%6%11%7%3%5%

3136282453673418892331314740343Don't know2%10%4%2%6%3%3%4%7%1%2%2%15%7%3%1%2%2%7%6%10%8%1%4%

---61-1--73-131-1-1337-7Refused---4%*-*--1%2%-1%2%*-*-*1%4%1%-1%

8.938.768.729.289.168.259.128.858.719.147.859.558.978.689.009.629.369.078.418.547.798.579.258.91Mean

2.182.282.621.972.092.902.052.272.482.043.031.542.162.392.191.391.692.192.842.462.912.651.822.29Standard deviation

0.230.290.220.210.180.360.140.160.130.080.280.100.250.230.110.090.120.150.210.220.510.120.080.07Standard error

Page 1

SCOTLAND POLL MARCH 2015Fieldwork : 13th-19th March 2015

Absolutes/col percents

Table 1

Q1. Some people have said they would not vote in a new General Election for the Westminster Parliament while others have said they would vote. I would like to knowhow certain it is that you would actually vote in a general election if it were held tomorrow. On a ten point scale if 10 would mean you would be absolutely certainto vote and 1 would mean you would be certain not to vote how likely is it that you would cast your vote?Base : All respondents

Prepared by ICM Unlimited - Confidential

Page 2



Table 1



VI Holyrood - Single PersonRecall WestminterVI Westmister2010

WillLab,Willnotnownot

DK/RefvoteOtherUKIPSNPLDLabConDK/RefDNVOtherUKIPSNPLDLabConSNPDK/RefvoteOtherUKIPSNPLDLabConTotal

1583844433804319510156158171026111126012968156344151373431951091002Unweighted base

20258314234243190947422413112291002461065620352295433339195981002Weighted base

71526282712515677285910920167197874776-2240265251567565910 - Absolutely certain35%8%86%66%79%57%82%82%39%26%78%85%88%67%80%82%84%38%-78%74%79%64%80%76%66%to vote

27-2127613132321-12151810615-23355161390913%-6%3%8%15%7%14%3%14%6%-5%15%7%9%11%8%-5%6%10%13%8%14%9%

23--101921337211*812172-21--918-15670811%--24%6%4%7%3%9%10%11%3%4%12%7%2%-11%--17%5%-8%6%7%

13-*18951423--1261113-*179613776%-1%3%2%21%2%1%5%10%--1%2%3%1%2%7%-1%2%2%23%3%1%4%

9-115-1-56--1-1316-115-221664%-4%1%1%-1%-7%3%--*-*3%2%3%-4%1%1%-1%2%2%

12--1311-315---11-114---4--11956%--3%1%3%1%-4%6%---1%*-1%7%---1%--1%2%

3-------11----1--3-------342%-------1%*----1%--2%-------*

2--------2-------2-------231%--------1%-------1%-------*

121------5-------1-3-----531%4%4%------2%-------1%-12%-----*

-49--3---2431---51--52------521 - Certain not to vote-84%--1%---3%19%5%---2%*--100%------5%

352--6---1815-152-2-43-------43Don't know17%4%--2%---24%7%-11%2%2%-2%-21%-------4%

7-------43-------7-------7Refused3%-------5%1%-------3%-------1%

8.441.839.459.219.559.019.669.778.306.689.249.929.839.479.489.689.698.461.008.819.499.619.199.639.588.91Mean

1.922.561.751.251.211.380.850.542.383.452.150.410.560.931.481.020.911.990.002.680.930.941.250.830.942.29Standard deviation

0.170.430.260.190.060.210.060.050.360.290.520.140.030.090.090.090.110.180.000.420.130.050.190.060.090.07Standard error

Lab 2010Voters -

Constituency targetIndyRefRecall IndyRefRecall HolyroodVI Holyrood - List Of CandidatesNET:LD >Lab >Lab >SNPSNPSNPSNPtargetunderoverunderWill<25Other252525not

pointsseatspointspointspointsNoYesDK/RefDNVNoYesDK/RefDNVOtherSNPLDLabConDK/RefvoteOtherUKIPSNPLDLabConTotal

357185864602711501052053460469851612734066216107161386547351441891071002Unweighted base

3852109440729115387217048742310423412296562069320358494731445189981002Weighted base

24712164291183131636183243113672925143171777154035248311517965910 - Absolutely certain64%58%68%71%63%86%72%30%25%66%73%35%31%77%85%77%83%82%35%8%81%74%79%69%80%81%66%to vote

34287282789-1484110241244131527-2227414149099%13%7%7%9%5%10%-2%10%10%9%10%6%8%7%6%16%13%-5%3%9%9%8%15%9%

2618826181146737201822-11315123-4914-1647087%9%8%6%6%7%4%30%10%8%5%18%9%-4%5%7%2%11%-8%18%5%-9%4%7%

2177913*6*12412420-246-13-*189513775%4%8%2%5%*7%1%1%5%3%3%9%-1%7%3%-6%-1%1%3%20%3%1%4%

381621-158359-2-1-9-1-5-2-1661%4%1%1%1%1%-4%7%2%1%5%4%-1%-*-4%-2%-1%-1%-2%

421133-123311710--2--13--1311-1951%1%1%3%1%-1%10%4%1%3%7%4%--3%--6%--3%1%2%*-2%

3-1-2-1--1212-----3-------341%-1%-1%-2%--*1%1%1%-----2%-------*

1--11---1-1-2-----2-------23*--**---1%-*-1%-----1%-------*

22*11--112*-5-----121-----53*1%1%**--6%1%**-2%-----1%4%3%-----*

20143171714-2816824513-1--49--3---521 - Certain not to vote5%7%3%4%6%1%4%-40%3%2%2%19%6%1%-1%--84%--1%---5%

22621520---72214182013*--352--6---43Don't know6%3%2%4%7%---10%5%3%17%8%12%1%1%--17%4%--2%---4%

33-13--4-3-43-----7-------7Refused1%1%-*1%--19%-1%-4%1%-----3%-------1%

8.888.659.039.078.839.709.117.855.089.129.318.396.769.369.699.469.649.818.421.839.479.439.559.209.619.768.91Mean

2.332.502.032.142.421.012.052.383.981.941.701.993.512.311.111.181.000.431.922.561.471.111.241.370.880.552.29Standard deviation

0.130.190.220.100.150.080.200.580.580.090.080.240.290.450.060.150.070.040.170.430.180.160.070.210.060.050.07Standard error

Page 3



Table 1






9064146941336621219740060211826385116420227211210187132354965061002Unweighted base

12812513412713883125142540462154228122125373213138165189225725214811002Weighted base

20141410101110828707373104038151710145356298Scottish Conservative16%11%11%8%7%14%8%6%5%15%5%16%3%8%11%18%11%10%5%6%7%7%13%10%

22162029326363410689285725167050353031331695100195Scottish Labour17%13%15%23%23%7%29%24%20%19%18%25%20%13%19%23%25%18%16%15%22%18%21%19%

176371051192081033167641292211839Scottish Liberal1%6%4%2%5%12%4%1%4%4%5%4%2%2%4%3%4%2%6%4%3%4%4%4%Democrat

464049483621415219114243724841129685463548012153180333Scottish National36%32%37%38%26%25%33%36%35%31%28%32%40%32%35%32%39%38%29%35%17%29%37%33%Party/SNP

3215514351742*214134572121022Scottish Green Party2%1%*4%3%2%3%2%1%4%3%1%*2%4%*2%2%3%3%2%2%2%2%

612324988312341457252069577144054UK Independence Party5%10%2%2%3%11%7%6%6%5%3%6%4%5%7%9%4%6%3%3%10%3%8%5%(UKIP)

----11-112----31-1-1--33British National Party----*1%-1%**----1%1%-*-1%--1%*(BNP)

--*--2*-21-3--*2*--*-213Other--*--3%*-**-1%--*1%*--*-***

6610558573417184571823817138371552Will not vote5%5%7%4%3%9%4%5%6%4%12%2%4%6%5%1%2%5%9%6%11%7%3%5%

222629143712142510970342631325721122551531713742179Don't know17%21%22%11%27%14%12%17%20%15%22%11%25%25%15%10%9%15%27%24%24%26%9%18%

22211221213118428134437315923Refused1%2%2%8%1%3%*2%2%2%5%2%2%6%*1%3%3%2%3%4%3%2%2%

Page 4



Table 2

Q2. The Scottish Conservatives, Scottish Labour, the Scottish Liberal Democrats, SNP, UKIP and other parties would fight a new election for the Westminster parliamentin your area. If there were a general election tomorrow which party do you think you would vote for?Base: All respondents





1583844433804319510156158171026111126012968156344151373431951091002Unweighted base

20258314234243190947422413112291002461065620352295433339195981002Weighted base

5-*32*48426--79369--------9898Scottish Conservative2%-1%6%1%1%2%89%3%3%--3%9%1%66%--------100%10%

82-29217022253-561503-------195-195Scottish Labour4%4%-4%3%5%90%2%3%11%22%-2%6%61%3%-------100%-19%

1-*123231-9--22522------39--39Scottish Liberal1%-*2%*76%2%1%-4%--1%24%1%1%------100%--4%Democrat

13*51309-5-558--1852456556----333---333Scottish National7%1%18%2%90%-2%-7%26%--81%24%23%5%100%----100%---33%Party/SNP

*-20-*2*-242-4811---22-----22Scottish Green Party*-64%-*4%*-2%2%15%-2%8%*1%---79%-----2%

4--362443466937712----54----54UK Independence Party2%--86%1%10%2%3%5%3%45%85%1%7%3%11%----100%----5%(UKIP)

--2----1-1--1-1----3-----3British National Party--6%----1%-1%--*-*----11%-----*(BNP)

-21------3--*------3-----3Other-4%3%------1%--*------11%-----*

-49--3---2431---51--52------52Will not vote-84%--1%---3%19%5%---2%*--100%------5%

15022-1524340622220212013-179-------179Don't know74%4%7%-4%5%2%3%54%28%13%15%9%21%8%12%-88%-------18%

212------167-------23-------23Refused10%4%------22%3%-------12%-------2%

Page 5



Table 2



Lab 2010Voters -



357185864602711501052053460469851612734066216107161386547351441891071002Unweighted base

3852109440729115387217048742310423412296562069320358494731445189981002Weighted base

44281526293--18886619*5704-222248298Scottish Conservative11%13%16%6%10%2%--2%18%2%6%3%5%3%1%2%75%2%-3%4%1%4%2%84%10%

7326496691212529153324271138140310223731643195Scottish Labour19%12%4%24%24%79%29%9%12%31%8%4%11%11%4%13%68%3%5%4%4%7%2%7%87%3%19%

17131310321--355-6*428211-*13311239Scottish Liberal4%6%14%2%1%1%1%--7%1%-2%1%1%49%1%1%*-1%3%1%70%1%2%4%Democrat

118643115187749-625302955-232631*12*184284410*333Scottish National31%31%33%37%30%4%57%-8%5%71%8%23%-78%10%15%*6%1%38%8%90%9%5%*33%Party/SNP

741116*1-271425385-1--20-11--22Scottish Green Party2%2%1%3%2%*1%-3%1%3%2%2%23%3%9%-1%--41%-*3%--2%

20156181432-7415914481994--36226354UK Independence Party5%7%7%4%5%2%2%-10%8%1%8%6%32%3%2%4%10%2%--77%1%5%3%3%5%(UKIP)

1-12-1--12--111-----3-----3British National Party*-1%*-*--2%*--1%4%*-----6%-----*(BNP)

*2**-----21-3*----*2*-----3Other*1%1%*-----**-1%4%----*4%1%-----*

20143171714-2816824513-1--49--3---52Will not vote5%7%3%4%6%1%4%-40%3%2%2%19%6%1%-1%--84%--1%---5%

753614686115610111114657652189181014923-12148179Don't know20%17%15%17%21%10%6%48%16%23%11%55%28%14%6%16%9%10%74%4%6%-4%2%2%8%18%

87484--9582167-----212------23Refused2%3%5%2%1%--43%7%2%*15%3%-----10%4%------2%

Page 6



Table 2






69441036890451701532764676822255743241961761571177918325418743Unweighted base

897884878550949733732775184726626617811011810412430285379664Weighted base


221619252853329968124561914644933272928108691177Scottish Labour24%20%22%29%33%10%35%30%28%25%32%30%26%20%24%27%30%23%28%23%35%30%24%27%



3214313241432*21213347191019Scottish Green Party4%2%1%5%4%3%3%2%1%4%4%1%*3%4%1%3%3%4%5%3%3%3%3%


----11-111----21-1-1--22British National Party----1%2%-1%**----1%1%-*-1%--1%*(BNP)

--*--**-*1-*--***--*-*11Other--*--**-**-*--***--*-***

------------------------Will not vote------------------------

------------------------Don't know------------------------

------------------------Refused------------------------

Page 7



Table 3

Data derived from:-Q1. Some people have said they would not vote in a new General Election for the Westminster Parliament while others have said they would vote. I would like to knowhow certain it is that you would actually vote in a general election if it were held tomorrow?Q2. The Scottish Conservatives, Scottish Labour, the Scottish Liberal Democrats, SNP, UKIP and other parties would fight a new election for the Westminster parliamentin your area. If there were a general election tomorrow which party do you think you would vote for?Data excludes those who definitely will not vote (5%), don't know who they would vote for (18%) or refuse to answer (2%)THIS TABLE DOES NOT INCLUDE ADJUSTMENT FOR DON'T KNOW/REFUSERS





2123639335381779510361482448823011366--354634040180103743Unweighted base

233243728734171871148109206772149054--22482933317791664Weighted base

3-*12*48022--79368--------9191Scottish Conservative15%-2%4%1%1%2%92%21%5%--3%12%1%75%--------100%14%

52-17215622113-561463-------177-177Scottish Labour24%78%-4%3%5%92%3%20%24%26%-3%8%68%4%-------100%-27%

1-*122631-3--22422------33--33Scottish Liberal5%-1%2%1%77%2%1%-7%--1%31%1%2%------100%--5%Democrat

9*51274-4-326--1822354554----293---293Scottish National39%14%21%2%95%-2%-24%54%--89%30%25%5%100%----100%---44%Party/SNP

*-16-*2*-122-4811---19-----19Scottish Green Party1%-70%-*5%*-9%4%19%-2%11%*1%---86%-----3%

4--331433326937712----48----48UK Independence Party16%--88%1%12%2%3%26%5%55%100%2%9%3%13%----100%----7%(UKIP)

--1----1-1--1-1----2-----2British National Party--5%----1%-1%--1%-*----11%-----*(BNP)

-*1------*--*------1-----1Other-8%2%------1%--*------3%-----*

--------------------------Will not vote--------------------------

--------------------------Don't know--------------------------

--------------------------Refused--------------------------

Page 8



Table 3



Lab 2010Voters -



2561325935519713492113337392204724313531909625255423124017196743Unweighted base

2511306128418913474118318327216410264441818123340412643816986664Weighted base

40271324273--18285418*5683-112247891Scottish Conservative16%20%21%9%14%2%--6%26%3%27%6%6%3%1%3%84%14%-3%3%1%5%2%91%14%

672238864119231614128317111713537223531523177Scottish Labour27%17%5%31%34%89%31%100%33%44%9%13%26%13%4%16%75%3%31%78%5%6%2%8%90%4%27%

1410119321--295-2*325211-*13251233Scottish Liberal6%7%18%3%2%1%1%--9%1%-4%1%1%57%1%1%3%-1%2%1%67%1%2%5%Democrat

103532713676648-321269527-224631*8*17325248*293Scottish National41%41%45%48%40%5%65%-19%6%82%24%42%-85%13%17%*34%14%43%6%95%10%5%*44%Party/SNP

74186*1-*71212385-1--17-11--19Scottish Green Party3%3%1%3%3%*1%-2%2%4%5%3%29%3%11%-1%--41%-*4%--3%

18145161332-6375711481994--34124348UK Independence Party7%11%9%6%7%2%2%-35%12%1%32%17%40%3%2%5%11%16%--83%1%6%2%3%7%(UKIP)

1-11-1--12--111-----2-----2British National Party*-2%*-*--4%1%--1%6%*-----6%-----*(BNP)

****-----*1-**----***-----1Other****-----**-*5%----2%8%*-----*

---------------------------Will not vote---------------------------

---------------------------Don't know---------------------------

---------------------------Refused---------------------------

Page 9



Table 3



Total

14%Scottish Conservatives

27%Scottish Labour

6%Scottish LiberalDemocrats

43%SNP

3%Scottish Greens

7%UKIP

1%Other

Page 10


Col percents

Table 4

Published Vote Intention Figures - Westminster General ElectionPercentages derived from the responses of 835 respondents





9064146941336621219740060211826385116420227211210187132354965061002Unweighted base

12812513412713883125142540462154228122125373213138165189225725214811002Weighted base


3723213535543451341112561322710153465645424120126246Scottish Labour29%19%16%27%26%6%34%32%25%24%16%27%26%21%27%25%33%34%24%19%5%23%26%25%



--*-11*112-1-*1*12---213Green Party--*-1%1%****-1%-***1%1%---***

351-1*-*7313141721*--1911UK Independence Party2%4%1%-1%*-*1%1%1%1%1%3%*3%1%1%*--*2%1%(UKIP)

-------11-----1-----1-11British National Party-------1%*-----*-----2%-**(BNP)

3--1-1224513--53-*15-279Other2%--1%-1%2%1%1%1%1%1%--1%1%-**2%-*1%1%

283132242829262614183661929426816162253783914580224Did not vote22%25%24%19%20%36%21%18%26%18%43%9%24%33%18%7%12%13%28%35%55%28%17%22%

4121014129674034177181022589162313611374Don't Know / Refused3%9%8%11%8%11%5%5%7%7%11%3%15%8%6%2%5%5%8%10%19%12%3%7%

Page 11



Table 5

Q3/Q4. Could you tell me the party you actually voted for in the Westminter 2010 election? Was it Scottish Conservative, Scottish Labour, Scottish Liberal Democrats, SNP, UKIP or another party?Base : All respondents





1583844433804319510156158171026111126012968156344151373431951091002Unweighted base

20258314234243190947422413112291002461065620352295433339195981002Weighted base

1112974766-------106-13111252369106Scottish Conservative5%1%7%21%2%9%4%70%-------100%-6%1%3%22%2%4%2%71%11%

262256121453------246-56205275621503246Scottish Labour13%3%8%11%18%5%76%3%------100%-100%10%9%6%13%17%6%77%3%25%

21-1051827811-----100---21-87242569100Scottish Liberal10%-32%12%5%64%4%12%-----100%---10%-29%14%7%62%3%10%10%Democrat

17*52191167----229----20-63185257229Scottish National8%1%15%6%56%2%3%7%----100%----10%-21%6%56%6%3%7%23%Party/SNP

*12-------3------*12-----3Green Party*1%6%-------22%------*1%7%-----*

*1-9-------11-----2--9----11UK Independence Party*2%-21%-------100%-----1%--17%----1%(UKIP)

---1------1---------1----1British National Party---3%------9%---------2%----*(BNP)

2--3--21--9------1--4--3-9Other1%--8%--1%1%--68%------1%--8%--1%-1%

714974599225-224-------694386589256224Did not vote35%84%23%9%17%20%11%5%-100%-------34%84%29%11%17%22%13%6%22%

545346-1174--------562245-2274Don't Know / Refused27%8%9%9%2%-1%1%100%--------28%5%6%7%1%-1%2%7%

Page 12



Table 5



Lab 2010Voters -



357185864602711501052053460469851612734066216107161386547351441891071002Unweighted base

3852109440729115387217048742310423412296562069320358494731445189981002Weighted base

4230113530---58912510*8-4791013972570106Scottish Conservative11%14%12%9%10%---7%18%3%5%4%3%3%-2%85%5%1%5%20%2%4%3%71%11%

8927612983153872415387710137518512621155041443246Scottish Labour23%13%7%32%28%100%100%9%6%31%20%7%4%7%12%8%90%1%13%3%22%11%16%8%76%3%25%

4720173331---16435109216478818-1451428913100Scottish Liberal12%9%18%8%11%---2%13%8%10%4%20%5%83%4%8%9%-28%11%4%62%5%13%10%Democrat

8851248964---13819046*21612-20*103181356229Scottish National23%24%26%22%22%---2%8%45%4%2%4%73%1%1%-10%1%21%7%58%6%2%6%23%Party/SNP

1*111--*-21--3----*12-----3Green Party**1%**--1%-**--24%----*1%4%-----*

27121----911433--*-1-9---*11UK Independence Party1%3%1%**----2%*1%2%21%1%--*-2%-19%---*1%(UKIP)

1---1----1-------1---1----1British National Party*---*----*-------1%---3%----*(BNP)

-3-6---1-7*113*-3-1--3--4-9Other-1%-1%---7%-1%*1%1%22%*-1%-1%--7%--2%-1%

9051248365--547928116184-12354734986558215224Did not vote23%24%26%20%22%--22%68%19%19%16%79%-4%6%2%4%36%84%17%14%17%18%11%5%22%

242192815--131133165910-51--545247*1174Don't Know / Refused6%10%10%7%5%--62%16%7%4%57%4%-2%1%--27%8%4%8%2%1%1%1%7%

Page 13



Table 5






9064146941336621219740060211826385116420227211210187132354965061002Unweighted base

12812513412713883125142540462154228122125373213138165189225725214811002Weighted base

84719195974388903243367318975692541771061131081262930835266010 - Certain to vote66%57%68%75%70%52%71%64%60%73%47%83%62%55%68%83%77%69%57%56%41%59%73%66%

211661274611533171313163513122115149414484917%13%4%10%5%5%5%8%10%7%4%6%11%13%9%6%9%13%8%6%13%8%9%8%

3108721491241232075527491313151031336482%8%6%6%1%17%7%8%8%5%13%3%4%4%7%2%6%8%7%7%14%6%7%6%

6-3-3537196116611131210915102674%-2%-2%6%2%5%4%1%1%1%5%5%3%1%2%*1%4%12%3%2%3%

2-7-8-5311136-575-1171321592461%-5%-6%-4%2%2%3%4%-4%6%1%-1%1%4%6%3%3%2%2%

33321221985222621266-1521753%3%2%2%*2%1%1%2%2%3%1%2%2%2%1%1%1%3%3%-3%1%2%

12--2--2443-112-1322-35841%2%--2%--2%1%1%2%-1%1%1%-1%2%1%1%-1%1%1%

------2121111--1--11-1233------1%1%**1%*1%--*--1%1%-***

--*----1-1-*--1-*-1--1*12--*----1%-*-*--*-*-*--***

669491257372120659185291814104117581 - Certain not to vote5%5%7%3%7%15%4%5%7%5%13%3%4%7%5%2%1%6%9%6%14%8%4%6%

317719247391115867139131622-43750Don't know2%13%6%1%6%2%4%5%7%2%10%4%5%6%3%4%1%2%8%10%-8%2%5%

---61-1--73-131-1-1337-7Refused---4%*-*--1%2%-1%2%*-*-*1%4%1%-1%

9.008.918.779.398.837.939.008.798.699.067.749.528.858.529.009.579.429.028.348.487.768.549.198.86Mean

2.162.282.521.782.563.162.212.372.532.203.241.692.202.612.201.571.512.262.912.603.082.711.972.39Standard deviation

0.230.300.210.190.230.400.150.170.130.090.310.110.250.250.110.110.100.160.220.230.530.130.090.08Standard error

Page 14



Table 6

Q5. Some people have said they would not vote in a new election to the Holyrood Scottish Parliament, while others have said they would vote. I would like toknow how certain it is that you would vote in the election to the Scottish Parliament in Holyrood if it were held tomorrow.On a ten point scale if 10 would mean you would be absolutely certain to vote and 1 would mean you are certain not to vote, how likely is it that you would cast your vote?Base : All respondents





1583844433804319510156158171026111126012968156344151373431951091002Unweighted base

20258314234243190947422413112291002461065620352295433339195981002Weighted base

75-2530276231547734551091966620386497932138268241547366010 - Certain to vote37%-82%71%81%54%81%82%46%25%78%85%86%66%83%81%87%39%5%74%70%80%62%79%75%66%

15-113351513126--14151810615-1*33515148498%-4%2%10%11%8%14%1%12%--6%15%7%9%12%8%-4%1%10%13%8%14%8%

17-*815101137172*911152-18-*111161446488%-1%20%5%22%6%3%10%8%17%3%4%10%6%2%-9%-1%20%3%14%7%5%6%

12-13334-220----31-10-1133612676%-3%6%1%8%2%-2%9%----1%1%-5%-4%2%1%9%3%1%3%

13-1-6-4-910--3-12115-112-322466%-5%-2%-2%-12%5%--1%-*2%1%7%-5%3%1%-1%2%2%

5--1912-410--21---8--17-2-1752%--1%3%3%1%-6%5%--1%1%---4%--1%2%-1%-2%

7----1--15---11--7----1--843%----2%--1%2%---1%1%--3%----2%--1%

2------1-1--11---1---1--1331%------1%-*--*1%---1%---*--1%*

--1------1---------1-----12--4%------1%---------4%-----*

-58------54911*-21-5492-*-2-581 - Certain not to vote-100%------6%22%5%11%*-1%*-2%95%8%-*-1%-6%

50-------827--4524-39--27--250Don't know25%-------11%12%--2%5%1%4%-19%--4%2%--2%5%

7-------43-------7-------7Refused3%-------5%1%-------3%-------1%

8.511.009.329.349.598.959.619.748.046.429.188.909.739.429.659.709.848.281.488.609.369.649.199.489.598.86Mean

1.950.001.831.131.061.430.960.752.713.562.173.010.921.251.110.970.522.302.032.901.151.031.291.330.982.39Standard deviation

0.180.000.280.170.050.220.070.080.400.300.530.950.060.120.070.090.060.210.350.450.170.050.200.100.100.08Standard error

Page 15



Table 6



Lab 2010Voters -



357185864602711501052053460469851612734066216107161386547351441891071002Unweighted base

3852109440729115387217048742310423412296562069320358494731445189981002Weighted base

247121602921861336761332531544619253451717776-3938252261517966010 - Certain to vote64%58%64%72%64%87%77%30%19%67%74%42%26%75%85%81%83%82%37%-79%80%80%58%80%81%66%

37237242998-14538820*214161416-2*333141584910%11%8%6%10%6%10%-2%9%9%8%9%1%7%7%8%15%8%-3%1%11%7%8%16%8%

272681118766537151522113211115-381081636487%12%9%3%6%5%7%30%7%8%3%14%10%6%4%3%5%1%8%-6%18%3%18%8%3%6%

1245108-312167213-335-13-31234-2673%2%5%2%3%-3%5%3%3%2%2%6%-1%6%2%-6%-6%1%1%8%2%-3%

55-145*114137514-4-1-13-1-7-2-2461%2%-3%2%*1%4%6%3%2%5%6%-1%-*-6%-3%-2%-1%-2%

82385--1179412--21-5---931-1752%1%3%2%2%--3%2%1%2%3%5%--3%*-2%---3%7%*-2%

3-152-1122317-----7----1--841%-1%1%1%-2%4%3%*1%1%3%-----3%----2%--1%

2-111----21-2-1---1---1--1331%-1%**----**-1%-*---1%---*--1%*

*-*1----1-*-1-------1-----12*-1%*----1%-*-1%-------3%-----*

24157191711-3218835311-1--58------581 - Certain not to vote6%7%7%5%6%1%1%-46%4%2%3%23%6%*-1%--100%------6%

1711122152-18192220261-*1250-------50Don't know4%5%2%5%5%1%-6%12%4%5%19%11%12%-1%1%2%25%-------5%

33-13--4-3-43-----7-------7Refused1%1%-*1%--19%-1%-4%1%-----3%-------1%

8.798.738.649.008.859.769.478.334.379.059.368.636.309.279.719.559.669.838.561.009.359.609.558.889.629.748.86Mean

2.462.452.602.292.410.941.351.753.862.041.682.113.602.330.921.131.000.401.900.001.590.821.161.640.870.742.39Standard deviation

0.130.180.280.110.150.080.130.440.570.100.080.260.300.460.050.140.070.040.170.000.200.120.060.250.060.070.08Standard error

Page 16



Table 6






9064146941336621219740060211826385116420227211210187132354965061002Unweighted base

12812513412713883125142540462154228122125373213138165189225725214811002Weighted base


2216172933434349891275722147150342933311490100190Scottish Labour17%13%13%23%24%5%27%24%18%20%17%25%18%11%19%23%25%17%17%14%19%17%21%19%



31267432919442514335972151328Scottish Green Party2%1%1%5%5%5%3%1%2%4%3%2%1%4%4%1%2%3%5%3%2%3%3%3%


----1--1-2----2--1-1--22British National Party----*--1%-*----1%--*-1%--**(BNP)

--*---*--1-*--*-*--*--11Other--*---*--*-*--*-*--*--**

66949125737212065918529181410411758Will not vote5%5%7%3%7%15%4%5%7%5%13%3%4%7%5%2%1%6%9%6%14%8%4%6%

203227123013172711266402332305319142244591913543178Don't know16%26%20%10%22%16%14%19%21%14%26%10%26%24%14%9%10%13%23%26%27%26%9%18%

213122-2312128446334528315924Refused1%1%2%10%1%-1%2%2%3%5%2%3%5%1%1%3%3%1%4%4%3%2%2%

Page 17



Table 7

Q6. In elections for the Scottish Parliament you have two votes. One of these is for a single person to represent your constituency in the parliament.If the election for the Scottish Parliament were held tomorrow, which party would you vote for in the constituency election? Would you vote Scottish Conservative,Scottish Labour, Scottish Liberal Democrat, Scottish National Party (SNP) or for another party?Base: All respondents





1583844433804319510156158171026111126012968156344151373431951091002Unweighted base

20258314234243190947422413112291002461065620352295433339195981002Weighted base

-------94151-711366-3-13-128494Scottish Conservative-------100%2%2%11%-3%11%1%62%-2%-4%6%-2%1%86%9%

------190-1222-68145744-*4531704190Scottish Labour------100%-1%10%15%-3%8%59%7%8%2%-1%7%1%8%87%4%19%

-----43---9--12724-2-24-322*43Scottish Liberal-----100%---4%--*27%1%4%-1%-6%8%-82%1%*4%Democrat

----342---659--1911861751153*2309292342Scottish National----100%---8%26%--83%18%25%7%90%7%5%1%4%93%4%5%2%34%Party/SNP

--28-----352-4102212-20-5*-*28Scottish Green Party--91%-----4%2%15%-2%10%1%2%2%1%-69%-2%*-*3%

---42----44492559----36112342UK Independence Party---100%----5%2%35%85%1%5%2%8%----67%*2%1%3%4%(UKIP)

--2------1----1----2-----2British National Party--6%------1%----*----7%-----*(BNP)

--1------*--*------1-----1Other--3%------*--*------3%-----*

-58------54911*-21-5492-*-2-58Will not vote-100%------6%22%5%11%*-1%*-2%95%8%-*-1%-6%

178-------36642*17212611-147-*413185178Don't know88%-------49%29%19%3%7%21%10%10%-73%-1%8%4%3%4%5%18%

24-------187-------24-------24Refused12%-------24%3%-------12%-------2%

Page 18



Table 7



Lab 2010Voters -



357185864602711501052053460469851612734066216107161386547351441891071002Unweighted base

3852109440729115387217048742310423412296562069320358494731445189981002Weighted base

43291522293--285729-835681-112238594Scottish Conservative11%14%16%5%10%2%--3%17%2%2%4%-3%5%2%73%*-3%2%*4%2%87%9%

73224946911825161542922529614055-21251695190Scottish Labour19%11%4%23%24%77%28%3%9%32%7%2%11%17%3%11%68%6%3%-5%1%1%12%89%5%19%

21131695*-2-37428-128*4*-121322343Scottish Liberal5%6%17%2%2%*-9%-8%1%2%3%-*49%*4%*-3%5%*71%1%3%4%Democrat

121653115689853-634302754-24433323-1453061112342Scottish National31%31%33%38%31%5%61%-9%7%71%6%23%-82%5%16%2%2%-29%11%97%3%6%2%34%Party/SNP

952147*1-2818453103121-24-11-128Scottish Green Party2%2%2%3%3%*2%-3%2%4%4%2%26%3%6%1%2%1%-49%-*2%-1%3%

16132131441-53358836386--138*-2*42UK Independence Party4%6%2%3%5%3%1%-7%7%1%7%4%21%2%5%4%7%--3%81%*-1%*4%(UKIP)

---2-1--11--11------2-----2British National Party---*-*--2%*--1%4%------4%-----*(BNP)

*-**------1-**----*-*-----1Other*-1%*------*-*4%----*-1%-----*

24157191711-3218835311-1--58------58Will not vote6%7%7%5%6%1%1%-46%4%2%3%23%6%*-1%--100%------6%

7141156657186101211146606331711186167-2-1413178Don't know19%20%16%16%19%12%7%45%17%23%11%58%27%21%6%19%9%7%82%-4%-*9%1%3%18%

662124--9484187-----24-------24Refused1%3%2%3%1%--43%5%2%1%17%3%-----12%-------2%

Page 19



Table 7






70441027092421621522724626422253733211931751551187716323411734Unweighted base

927284878748879632932568185696626517611111610711925285369654Weighted base


22161525294293188832256171364493227282698091171Scottish Labour24%22%18%29%34%9%33%32%27%25%32%30%24%19%24%28%29%23%26%22%35%28%25%26%





----1--1-1----1--1-1--11British National Party----1%--1%-*----*--*-1%--**(BNP)

--*---*--1-*--*-*--*--11Other--*---1%--*-*--*-*--*--**

Page 20



Table 8

Data derived from:-Q5. Some people have said they would not vote in a new election to the Holyrood Scottish Parliament, while others have said they would vote. I would like toknow how certain it is that you would vote in the election to the Scottish Parliament in Holyrood if it were held tomorrow.Q6. In elections for the Scottish Parliament you have two votes. One of these is for a single person to represent your constituency in the parliament.If the election for the Scottish Parliament were held tomorrow, which party would you vote for in the constituency election?Data excludes those who definitely will not vote (6%), don't know who they would vote for (18%) or refuse to answer (2%)THIS TABLE DOES NOT INCLUDE ADJUSTMENT FOR DON'T KNOW/REFUSERS





--37373473917995942138241852261116616233403354017198734Unweighted base

--2534302341718810539720670209905420321382853316687654Weighted base

-------88131-611363-3-12-127988Scottish Conservative-------100%13%6%8%-3%15%1%70%-16%-5%5%-2%1%91%13%

------171-1102-47139743-*3431544171Scottish Labour------100%-10%19%21%-2%11%67%7%7%15%-1%8%1%9%93%4%26%

-----34---5--12414-2-23-271*34Scottish Liberal-----100%---9%--*34%*4%-8%-8%7%-82%1%*5%Democrat

----302---330--1881559749103*1276182302Scottish National----100%---31%57%--91%22%28%8%91%51%100%2%4%97%4%5%3%46%Party/SNP

--24-----232-4102212-16-5*-*24Scottish Green Party--93%-----15%5%21%-2%14%1%2%2%11%-76%-2%*-*4%

---34----32472358----29112134UK Independence Party---100%----30%3%50%100%1%4%2%9%----76%*2%1%2%5%(UKIP)

--1------1----1----1-----1British National Party--5%------1%----*----6%-----*(BNP)

--1------*--*------1-----1Other--2%------*--*------2%-----*

Page 21



Table 8



Lab 2010Voters -



2551315834819713093111331391143622318531929913-53413213717198734Unweighted base

25212661276191130761133123281447927343182869-39382773216989654Weighted base

40281320273--180724-734671-111237988Scottish Conservative16%22%22%7%14%2%--8%25%2%15%8%-3%6%2%78%8%-4%2%1%6%2%89%13%

68183856511522*41412611129613654-21141545171Scottish Labour27%14%5%31%34%88%29%25%29%45%8%9%23%24%3%14%75%6%38%-6%2%1%11%92%6%26%

18101474*-1-30413-126*4*-121251334Scottish Liberal7%8%22%3%2%*-75%-9%1%5%6%-*59%*4%3%-4%6%*78%1%3%5%Democrat

105572813978752-427270323-23933223-1232721102302Scottish National42%45%46%50%41%5%68%-30%9%82%20%49%-88%7%18%2%32%-29%8%98%3%6%2%46%Party/SNP

952107*1-*716323103121-20-11-124Scottish Green Party4%4%3%4%4%*2%-3%2%5%19%4%36%4%7%1%2%13%-52%-*2%-1%4%

1291131141-32644436386--131*-1*34UK Independence Party5%7%2%5%6%3%1%-25%8%1%31%8%29%2%6%4%7%--2%82%*-**5%(UKIP)

---1-1--11--11------1-----1British National Party---*-*--5%*--1%6%------3%-----*(BNP)

*-**------1-**----*-*-----1Other*-**------*-*5%----5%-*-----*

Page 22



Table 8



Total


26%Scottish Labour


46%SNP

4%Scottish Greens

5%UKIP

1%Other

Page 23


Col percents

Table 9

Published Vote Intention Figures - Holyrood Constituency VotePercentages derived from the responses of 820 respondents





9064146941336621219740060211826385116420227211210187132354965061002Unweighted base

12812513412713883125142540462154228122125373213138165189225725214811002Weighted base


2216182928635341058320582415735235302732129099189Scottish Labour17%13%14%23%20%7%28%24%20%18%13%26%19%12%20%25%26%18%14%14%17%17%21%19%





----11-313----41-1-11-44British National Party----*1%-2%*1%----1%1%-*-1%2%-1%*(BNP)

2-2---1-22-*211-121---44Other1%-1%---1%-**-*1%**-1%1%1%---1%*

66949125737212065918529181410411758Will not vote5%5%7%3%7%15%4%5%7%5%13%3%4%7%5%2%1%6%9%6%14%8%4%6%

193326103214162811068422429295420132344562213444178Don't know15%27%19%8%23%16%13%20%20%15%27%11%24%23%15%10%10%14%23%25%30%26%9%18%

213122-2312128446334528315924Refused1%1%2%10%1%-1%2%2%3%5%2%3%5%1%1%3%3%1%4%4%3%2%2%

Page 24



Table 10

Q7. The other vote you have in a Scottish Parliament election is for a list of one or more candidates to represent your region of Scotland. You can use this to votefor a different party to the one you gave your constituency vote - or for the same party. If the election to the Scottish Parliament were held tomorrow, whichparty's regional list would you you vote for - Scottish Conservative, Scottish Labour, Scottish Liberal Democrat, Scottish National Party (SNP), Scottish Green,or for another party?Base: All respondents





1583844433804319510156158171026111126012968156344151373431951091002Unweighted base

20258314234243190947422413112291002461065620352295433339195981002Weighted base

3-1*2358515-*613370-8--3*238298Scottish Conservative1%-2%1%*7%3%90%2%2%-3%3%13%1%66%-4%--6%*4%2%84%10%

1--211216931214-59144574--61011644189Scottish Labour1%--4%3%6%89%4%1%9%32%-2%9%59%5%13%2%--11%3%4%84%4%19%

4-1-13252*8--32842-1-124313245Scottish Liberal2%-2%-*75%3%2%*4%--1%28%1%2%-1%-5%4%1%79%2%2%4%Democrat

1-1*306122755--181145074212312284372314Scottish National1%-4%1%89%3%1%2%9%24%--79%14%21%7%75%6%5%3%4%85%7%3%2%31%Party/SNP

2-23-1212*252-9148132-20-16*2*40Scottish Green Party1%-73%-4%3%1%*2%2%15%-4%14%3%1%6%1%-70%-5%1%1%*4%

---38521146493559----36413247UK Independence Party---91%1%6%*1%5%3%35%85%1%5%2%9%----68%1%3%2%2%5%(UKIP)

--21---1-1--1-11---3----14British National Party--6%3%---1%-1%--*-*1%---11%----1%*(BNP)

--2-2----2----3-31-*-3---4Other--7%-1%----1%----1%-5%1%-2%-1%---*

-58------54911*-21-5492-*-2-58Will not vote-100%------6%22%5%11%*-1%*-2%95%8%-*-1%-6%

167-2-3*5136662-201826101146-*4121104178Don't know83%-5%-1%1%3%1%49%29%13%-9%18%11%9%1%72%-2%8%4%2%5%4%18%

24-------187-------24-------24Refused12%-------24%3%-------12%-------2%

Page 25



Table 10



Lab 2010Voters -



357185864602711501052053460469851612734066216107161386547351441891071002Unweighted base

3852109440729115387217048742310423412296562069320358494731445189981002Weighted base

45291624293--288837184570-------9898Scottish Conservative12%14%17%6%10%2%--3%18%2%2%3%6%3%7%3%75%-------100%10%

68264946411426231523352331161383------189-189Scottish Labour18%13%4%23%22%75%30%9%4%31%8%4%10%22%4%10%67%3%------100%-19%

2016139631--377110*22822-----45--45Scottish Liberal5%8%14%2%2%2%1%--8%2%1%4%2%1%50%1%2%-----100%--4%Democrat

107582815079545-828278647-2294262----314---314Scottish National28%27%30%37%27%3%52%-11%6%66%6%20%-77%7%12%3%----100%---31%Party/SNP

1865161435-293028315471--40-----40Scottish Green Party5%3%5%4%5%2%6%-3%2%7%2%4%22%5%8%3%1%--83%-----4%

19144141551-3341081138379---47----47UK Independence Party5%7%4%4%5%3%1%-5%7%2%7%5%21%3%5%3%9%---100%----5%(UKIP)

3-1211--32--111-1---4-----4British National Party1%-1%***--4%*--1%4%*-1%---9%-----*(BNP)

3-*13-3--131*-2-1---4-----4Other1%-1%*1%-3%--*1%1%*-1%-*---8%-----*

24157191711-3218835311-1--58------58Will not vote6%7%7%5%6%1%1%-46%4%2%3%23%6%*-1%--100%------6%

734013665918610141104359652198186178-------178Don't know19%19%14%16%20%12%7%49%20%23%10%57%28%18%7%14%9%7%88%-------18%

662124--9484187-----24-------24Refused1%3%2%3%1%--43%5%2%1%17%3%-----12%-------2%

Page 26



Table 10






71431047091421611492714606322153753191921761541177715320411731Unweighted base

937285898648879433032568185716826417511111510712224286368654Weighted base


21161725265293194761856181364513228242688089170Scottish Labour23%22%19%28%30%11%34%33%28%23%27%31%25%19%24%29%28%24%23%21%35%28%24%26%





----11-212----31-1-11-33British National Party----1%2%-2%*1%----1%1%-*-1%4%-1%1%(BNP)

2-1---1-21-*211-121---44Other2%-1%---1%-1%*-*2%1%*-1%2%1%---1%1%

Page 27



Table 11

Data derived from:-Q5. Some people have said they would not vote in a new election to the Holyrood Scottish Parliament, while others have said they would vote. I would like toknow how certain it is that you would vote in the election to the Scottish Parliament in Holyrood if it were held tomorrow.Q7. The other vote you have in a Scottish Parliament election is for a list of one or more candidates to represent your region of Scotland. You can use this to votefor a different party to the one you gave your constituency vote - or for the same party. If the election to the Scottish Parliament were held tomorrow, whichparty's regional list would you you vote for?Data excludes those who definitely will not vote (6%), don't know who they would vote for (18%) or refuse to answer (2%)THIS TABLE DOES NOT INCLUDE ADJUSTMENT FOR DON'T KNOW/REFUSERS





10-35373433817394942138239862231126518233403344016798731Unweighted base

10-2434299341688710529720374208915321321382863316487654Weighted base

3-1*2357913-*512367-8--2*237792Scottish Conservative28%-2%1%1%8%3%91%13%6%-4%3%17%1%74%-35%--5%*5%2%88%14%

1--110115431103-59138463--4811494170Scottish Labour10%--2%3%4%92%3%10%19%33%-2%12%66%5%12%14%--10%3%4%91%4%26%

4-1-12542*4--12532-1-114262236Scottish Liberal40%-3%-*73%2%2%1%8%--1%34%2%2%-3%-6%2%1%78%1%2%6%Democrat

*-1*272111328--17912497418311255352278Scottish National4%-3%1%91%4%1%2%35%54%--88%17%23%7%77%35%100%5%4%89%8%3%3%42%Party/SNP

2-19-1012*122-9127132-16-13*2*34Scottish Green Party18%-79%-3%4%1%*10%4%20%-4%16%4%1%6%8%-78%-5%1%1%*5%

---31321133473359----30313138UK Independence Party---93%1%7%*1%30%6%47%96%2%4%3%10%----79%1%4%2%1%6%(UKIP)

--11---1-1--1-11---2----13British National Party--5%3%---1%-1%--1%-*1%---11%----1%1%(BNP)

--2-2----1----3-31-*-3---4Other--7%-1%----2%----1%-5%5%-*-1%---1%

Page 28



Table 11



Lab 2010Voters -



2541315934619512892*113313901435233165419099--554132239173102731Unweighted base

2521276227619012976112312330154692704618286--41382783617092654Weighted base

42271423273--183833174569-------9292Scottish Conservative17%21%23%8%14%2%--8%27%2%17%7%7%3%8%3%81%-------100%14%

64213856111124121372931121151343------170-170Scottish Labour25%16%5%31%32%86%31%100%19%44%9%17%23%27%4%12%74%4%------100%-26%

1611119531--29713*22622-----36--36Scottish Liberal6%9%18%3%3%2%1%--9%2%6%7%3%1%56%1%2%-----100%--6%Democrat

93532413269543-424250320-2244252----278---278Scottish National37%41%39%48%36%4%57%-36%8%76%17%43%-83%8%14%3%----100%---42%Party/SNP

1765121225-*82613315471--34-----34Scottish Green Party7%4%7%4%6%2%6%-3%3%8%7%7%29%6%10%4%1%--83%-----5%

15103141151-22974538378---38----38UK Independence Party6%8%5%5%6%4%1%-19%9%2%29%11%28%3%6%4%10%---100%----6%(UKIP)

2-1111--22--111-1---3-----3British National Party1%-2%*1%*--14%1%--1%6%*-1%---8%-----1%(BNP)

3-*13-3--131*-2-1---4-----4Other1%-**1%-3%--*1%7%*-1%-*---9%-----1%

Page 29



Table 11



Total


26%Scottish Labour


42%SNP

5%Scottish Greens

6%UKIP

1%Other

Page 30


Col percents

Table 12

Published Vote Intention Figures - Holyrood Regional VotePercentages derived from the responses of 820 respondents





9064146941336621219740060211826385116420227211210187132354965061002Unweighted base

12812513412713883125142540462154228122125373213138165189225725214811002Weighted base


31201724345344211097186326207958413639267100106206Scottish Labour24%16%13%19%25%6%27%30%20%21%12%27%22%16%21%27%30%22%20%11%9%19%22%21%

648109135226306176522158411153381856Scottish Liberal5%3%6%8%6%15%4%1%5%7%4%7%5%4%6%7%6%2%6%7%5%7%4%6%Democrats

35285141401936471611353281423011177485944662123174296Scottish National party27%23%38%32%29%22%29%33%30%29%21%35%35%24%30%36%35%36%23%29%3%24%36%30%(SNP)

-31*222266322*513332-5712Other party-2%1%*2%2%2%2%1%1%2%1%1%*1%1%2%2%1%1%-1%1%1%

273436262929282414391672425447424142754754114787234Did not vote21%27%27%21%21%34%22%17%26%20%44%11%20%35%20%11%10%16%28%33%57%28%18%23%

21272--1952443134412-7714Refused1%1%2%5%1%--1%2%1%1%2%3%2%*1%3%3%1%1%-1%1%1%

6211010109121348421851513403515222818652590Don't know5%17%7%8%7%11%10%9%9%9%12%2%12%10%11%2%4%9%12%12%25%12%5%9%

Page 31



Table 13

Q8/Q9. In the May 2011 Scottish Parliament election you had two votes. Your first vote was for a single person to represent your constituency in the Parliament?Can you remember, did you use your first vote to vote...Base : All respondents





1583844433804319510156158171026111126012968156344151373431951091002Unweighted base

20258314234243190947422413112291002461065620352295433339195981002Weighted base

6-2624568-41*-8179-10-19*137093Scottish Conservative3%-6%15%*9%3%73%-2%9%3%-8%*75%-5%-2%17%*2%1%72%9%

1811833*1405-53-28185430181-93121405206Scottish Labour9%2%4%20%10%1%74%5%-2%21%-1%8%75%4%53%9%2%-17%9%4%72%5%21%

11-333286313--1475-19-516288*56Scottish Liberal5%-10%7%1%65%3%3%1%2%--*47%2%-2%4%-17%2%2%70%4%*6%Democrats

171106244198512*32161637822183982324139296Scottish National party8%2%32%15%71%3%5%8%6%5%4%24%94%16%15%7%40%9%6%31%15%70%9%7%9%30%(SNP)

3143--2---53*21*-2144-*1112Other party1%1%13%6%--1%---43%24%*2%**-1%1%13%7%-*1%1%1%

705368548259101841469101027245914556276234Did not vote35%90%21%20%16%18%13%9%13%82%11%37%3%9%4%9%4%36%87%30%26%16%14%14%7%23%

14-------14--------14-------14Refused7%-------19%--------7%-------1%

633487222451611410751592299-4690Don't know31%5%13%18%2%4%1%2%61%7%11%11%2%10%3%5%2%29%3%6%16%3%-2%7%9%

Page 32



Table 13



Lab 2010Voters -



357185864602711501052053460469851612734066216107161386547351441891071002Unweighted base

3852109440729115387217048742310423412296562069320358494731445189981002Weighted base

38281027281---867------936-192237093Scottish Conservative10%13%11%7%10%1%---18%2%------100%3%-1%18%1%4%2%72%9%

782061087213348-614753-----206-181972621385206Scottish Labour20%10%6%27%25%87%55%-8%30%13%-----100%-9%2%18%15%8%5%73%6%21%

271714121432--4314----56--8-434286456Scottish Liberal7%8%15%3%5%2%2%--9%3%----100%--4%-9%6%1%63%3%4%6%Democrats

106592813277532-446247---296---1911882292118296Scottish National party27%28%30%32%27%3%37%-5%9%58%---100%---10%2%38%17%73%3%6%8%30%(SNP)

341531**-93--12----2133-*3112Other party1%2%1%1%1%**1%-2%1%--100%----1%1%6%5%-1%1%1%1%

89602384666555410075-234-----725310114710237234Did not vote23%29%25%21%23%4%5%22%77%21%18%-100%-----36%90%21%23%15%22%12%7%23%

33281--6-5414------14-------14Refused1%1%2%2%*--27%-1%1%14%------7%-------1%

40191031305-117522190------63338615390Don't know10%9%10%7%10%4%-50%10%11%5%86%------31%5%6%16%2%2%2%3%9%

Page 33



Table 13






9064146941336621219740060211826385116420227211210187132354965061002Unweighted base

12812513412713883125142540462154228122125373213138165189225725214811002Weighted base

5759576052265161251172558466551638259777611812206218423Yes44%47%43%47%38%32%40%43%47%37%36%37%54%44%44%39%43%47%40%52%16%39%45%42%

63616957724754642362516513446611811237380848344264224487No49%49%51%45%52%57%43%45%44%54%42%59%38%49%49%58%53%49%44%37%61%51%46%49%

6475109171343272577921744242012383370Did not vote4%3%5%4%7%11%13%9%8%6%16%3%6%7%6%3%3%2%13%9%16%7%7%7%

--111-32453---5--*252549Don't know--1%1%1%-3%2%1%1%2%---1%--*1%2%3%1%1%1%

21*42-1157522-31342-39312Refused2%1%*3%2%-*1%1%1%3%1%2%-1%*2%2%1%-4%2%1%1%

Page 34



Table 14

Q10. And thinking back to the referendum on independence for Scotland on 18th September this year, did you vote Yes for Independence for Scotland, or No toindependence to Scotland?Base : All respondents





1583844433804319510156158171026111126012968156344151373431951091002Unweighted base

20258314234243190947422413112291002461065620352295433339195981002Weighted base

4981953024297168111190358712494881553025328423Yes24%13%63%11%88%10%15%8%22%36%9%11%83%35%35%12%88%24%15%51%10%91%12%16%9%42%

1191883334371548533921093864153897119161141253515388487No59%31%27%78%10%86%81%90%45%41%78%89%16%64%62%84%12%59%31%38%76%8%88%78%90%49%

1532356-621147--1145-1628376-9170Did not vote8%55%10%11%2%-3%2%15%21%--*1%2%4%-8%54%11%14%2%-4%1%7%

6----21-421---2--7-----2-9Don't know3%----4%*-5%1%11%---1%--3%-----1%-1%

12-------93*------12-------12Refused6%-------13%1%2%------6%-------1%

Page 35



Table 14



Lab 2010Voters -



357185864602711501052053460469851612734066216107161386547351441891071002Unweighted base

3852109440729115387217048742310423412296562069320358494731445189981002Weighted base

1647441185123-87---423247532471453747833102787338423Yes43%35%44%45%42%-100%---100%23%32%27%83%24%26%7%23%13%67%21%89%17%17%8%42%

19411645177149153---487-571009464314786118181134283715288487No50%55%48%43%51%100%---100%-54%43%71%15%76%71%93%58%31%23%72%9%83%80%90%49%

181663711---70--754-4-6-1832538-3270Did not vote5%7%7%9%4%---100%--6%23%-1%-3%-9%55%9%7%2%-1%2%7%

33-33--9---72-----7-----2-9Don't know1%1%-1%1%--42%---7%1%-----3%-----1%-1%

52154--12---93*----12-------12Refused1%1%2%1%1%--58%---9%1%2%----6%-------1%

Page 36



Table 14






9064146941336621219740060211826385116420227211210187132354965061002Unweighted base

12812513412713883125142540462154228122125373213138165189225725214811002Weighted base

5849575253255558238170616962551616556777711914202206408Yes to independence for46%39%43%40%39%31%44%41%44%37%40%31%51%44%43%31%41%46%41%53%19%39%43%41%Scotland

62616465684653622352466014043611771327375798835243238481No to independence for48%49%48%51%50%55%43%43%43%53%39%61%35%48%47%62%52%45%42%39%48%47%49%48%Scotland

3454385922181424515212131111241639Will not vote2%3%3%3%3%9%4%6%4%4%9%1%4%4%4%1%1%1%7%5%15%5%3%4%

3118611411103925161410519127917513471763Don't know2%9%6%4%8%5%9%7%7%5%10%6%8%4%5%6%5%6%9%2%18%9%3%6%

2-*12-1474322-212222-5510Refused2%-*1%1%-*3%1%1%2%1%2%-1%*1%1%1%1%-1%1%1%

Page 37



Table 15

QNEW. If there were a fresh referendum on Scottish independence tomorrow, then how would you vote?Base : All respondents





1583844433804319510156158171026111126012968156344151373431951091002Unweighted base

20258314234243190947422413112291002461065620352295433339195981002Weighted base

539196298517118831118130886515091472993241408Yes to independence for26%15%61%14%87%12%9%1%25%37%8%11%79%30%36%5%90%25%17%50%13%90%8%13%2%41%Scotland

98228333237161912594109396314497598201144253515495481No to independence for48%38%26%78%9%86%85%97%34%42%79%89%17%63%59%91%9%48%38%37%83%7%90%79%97%48%Scotland

82623----730---1-1-102222--2139Will not vote4%45%7%8%----9%13%---1%-1%-5%42%7%4%--1%1%4%

3312-12112216161-95133*3512*9115-63Don't know16%2%6%-4%2%6%2%22%7%11%-4%5%5%2%1%17%2%6%1%3%2%8%-6%

10-------72*------10-------10Refused5%-------10%1%2%------5%-------1%

Page 38



Table 15



Lab 2010Voters -



357185864602711501052053460469851612734066216107161386547351441891071002Unweighted base

3852109440729115387217048742310423412296562069320358494731445189981002Weighted base

149724018810910742720380268022361251149933102769211408Yes to independence for39%34%43%46%37%7%85%9%10%4%90%25%34%14%80%22%25%1%24%15%68%22%88%20%11%1%41%Scotland

191114421761481339-134343444106945421459098221134293615695481No to independence for50%55%45%43%51%87%11%-19%89%8%42%46%72%15%75%70%97%48%38%22%72%9%80%83%97%48%Scotland

1585169--434-22351--1-82642----39Will not vote4%4%6%4%3%--19%48%-*2%15%12%--1%-4%45%7%4%----4%

291552024938143482510-15292381119-11263Don't know7%7%5%5%8%6%4%36%20%7%2%24%4%-5%3%4%2%19%2%3%1%3%-6%2%6%

2*181--82--72*----10-------10Refused1%*1%2%*--36%3%--7%1%2%----5%-------1%

Page 39



Table 15






9064146941336621219740060211826385116420227211210187132354965061002Unweighted base

12812513412713883125142540462154228122125373213138165189225725214811002Weighted base

414734394927373715315843793537117753843657119153157311British32%38%25%30%36%33%30%26%28%34%28%35%29%29%31%35%28%26%35%31%26%29%33%31%

86718578745177993442768113882822361299511410612749321299620Scottish67%57%63%61%54%61%61%70%64%60%53%61%68%66%63%61%69%69%56%56%67%62%62%62%

-7128125753322267361464515205362056Other-6%9%6%9%6%6%3%6%5%17%3%2%5%4%3%3%3%8%9%7%7%4%6%

1-433-4197342-731228-10616Don't know1%-3%3%2%-3%1%2%1%2%2%2%-2%1%1%1%1%3%-2%1%2%

Page 40



Table 16

QM1. If you had to choose between the two, would you rather describe yourself as...Base : All respondents





1583844433804319510156158171026111126012968156344151373431951091002Unweighted base

20258314234243190947422413112291002461065620352295433339195981002Weighted base

66129332521845922539925497865267883922198959311British33%21%29%78%7%50%44%63%30%24%71%83%11%49%32%61%3%33%15%29%72%7%49%45%61%31%

1063019830521973439139121984315840521082918132962010037620Scottish52%52%62%20%89%48%51%36%52%62%8%15%87%43%64%38%93%53%56%62%24%89%50%51%38%62%

20163*91715321*556121715321315156Other10%27%9%1%3%1%3%1%7%14%6%2%2%5%3%1%3%9%28%9%3%4%1%2%1%6%

10--*2*2-812--23-110--*2-2-16Don't know5%--1%1%1%1%-11%*15%--2%1%-1%5%--1%1%-1%-2%

Page 41



Table 16



Lab 2010Voters -



357185864602711501052053460469851612734066216107161386547351441891071002Unweighted base

3852109440729115387217048742310423412296562069320358494731445189981002Weighted base

10973231298565111252305437647362877617112123623217759311British28%35%25%32%29%42%12%4%36%47%13%36%28%55%12%50%37%66%35%21%25%76%7%47%41%60%31%

253109622581928174112623434850136425326120311013031112832210438620Scottish66%52%66%63%66%53%85%52%38%48%82%48%58%35%85%46%58%33%50%52%63%22%90%50%55%39%62%

1822815105251617177311726120164*716*56Other5%10%8%4%4%3%2%22%24%3%4%7%13%10%2%3%3%1%10%27%9%1%2%3%3%*6%

46164215263102-*-3-11-2*1-2-16Don't know1%3%1%1%1%1%1%21%2%1%1%10%1%-*-1%-5%-4%1%*-1%-2%

Page 42



Table 16






9064146941336621219740060211826385116420227211210187132354965061002Unweighted base

12812513412713883125142540462154228122125373213138165189225725214811002Weighted base

75565668713177742292795615951471951518188908116204304508Yes58%45%42%53%52%37%62%52%42%60%36%70%42%38%52%71%58%53%48%36%23%39%63%51%

5469776067524868310184986971781786158779914456316178494No42%55%58%47%48%63%38%48%58%40%64%30%58%62%48%29%42%47%52%64%77%61%37%49%

Page 43



Table 17

QM2a. Do you know who this person is? Jim MurphyBase : All respondents





1583844433804319510156158171026111126012968156344151373431951091002Unweighted base

20258314234243190947422413112291002461065620352295433339195981002Weighted base

641121201951810970136566132611467943671117271951610570508Yes31%19%67%49%57%43%57%75%17%29%47%56%58%61%59%75%76%33%21%59%51%59%40%54%72%51%

139471022147258124611607596391002613136411226138249128494No69%81%33%51%43%57%43%25%83%71%53%44%42%39%41%25%24%67%79%41%49%41%60%46%28%49%

Page 44



Table 17



Lab 2010Voters -



357185864602711501052053460469851612734066216107161386547351441891071002Unweighted base

3852109440729115387217048742310423412296562069320358494731445189981002Weighted base

18783412381469351619248235268381732711972621134231742510574508Yes49%39%44%58%50%61%59%27%27%51%55%25%36%64%58%48%58%77%31%19%69%49%55%55%56%76%51%

1971275217014560361551239188781504123298721140471524141208324494No51%61%56%42%50%39%41%73%73%49%45%75%64%36%42%52%42%23%69%81%31%51%45%45%44%24%49%

Page 45



Table 17






9064146941336621219740060211826385116420227211210187132354965061002Unweighted base

12812513412713883125142540462154228122125373213138165189225725214811002Weighted base

1231191281121237610812248342812622310411434320813416416717761462449911Yes96%95%95%88%90%92%86%86%89%92%82%98%86%91%92%98%97%100%88%78%84%89%93%91%

6661514717195735284181130451224911593391No4%5%5%12%10%8%14%14%11%8%18%2%14%9%8%2%3%*12%22%16%11%7%9%

Page 46



Table 18

QM2b. Do you know who this person is? Alex SalmondBase : All respondents





1583844433804319510156158171026111126012968156344151373431951091002Unweighted base

20258314234243190947422413112291002461065620352295433339195981002Weighted base

163502739326361789057186111021797232101551604426513193418492911Yes81%87%89%92%95%85%94%96%77%83%89%98%95%97%94%95%98%79%85%91%95%96%87%94%94%91%

3983316611417391*12314514282314511591No19%13%11%8%5%15%6%4%23%17%11%2%5%3%6%5%2%21%15%9%5%4%13%6%6%9%

Page 47



Table 18



Lab 2010Voters -



357185864602711501052053460469851612734066216107161386547351441891071002Unweighted base

3852109440729115387217048742310423412296562069320358494731445189981002Weighted base

3501998436226514881950459393772041028350196901635044442984017695911Yes91%95%90%89%91%97%94%43%71%94%93%74%87%86%95%89%95%97%80%87%90%94%95%90%93%97%91%

3511946265512202930273021361034085316413391No9%5%10%11%9%3%6%57%29%6%7%26%13%14%5%11%5%3%20%13%10%6%5%10%7%3%9%

Page 48



Table 18






9064146941336621219740060211826385116420227211210187132354965061002Unweighted base

12812513412713883125142540462154228122125373213138165189225725214811002Weighted base

12010311110511864100107428400111208969831419512415015315451423405828Yes94%83%83%82%86%77%80%75%79%87%72%91%79%78%84%92%90%91%81%68%71%81%84%83%

8222222201925351126243192528591814153571219777174No6%17%17%18%14%23%20%25%21%13%28%9%21%22%16%8%10%9%19%32%29%19%16%17%

Page 49



Table 19

QM2c. Do you know who this person is? Nicola SturgeonBase : All respondents





1583844433804319510156158171026111126012968156344151373431951091002Unweighted base

20258314234243190947422413112291002461065620352295433339195981002Weighted base

1493927353012915889521591091999221097501413626452982716590828Yes74%68%87%84%88%69%83%95%71%71%75%86%87%92%86%92%89%70%70%90%84%89%68%85%92%83%

531947401332522663130835966115393513308174No26%32%13%16%12%31%17%5%29%29%25%14%13%8%14%8%11%30%30%10%16%11%32%15%8%17%

Page 50



Table 19



Lab 2010Voters -



357185864602711501052053460469851612734066216107161386547351441891071002Unweighted base

3852109440729115387217048742310423412296562069320358494731445189981002Weighted base

3201677534124513673940417362721731126546174871483943412723415793828Yes83%80%80%84%84%89%84%44%57%86%86%69%74%94%89%82%84%93%73%68%89%87%87%77%83%95%83%

65431866461714123071613360131103275419564210325174No17%20%20%16%16%11%16%56%43%14%14%31%26%6%11%18%16%7%27%32%11%13%13%23%17%5%17%

Page 51



Table 19






9064146941336621219740060211826385116420227211210187132354965061002Unweighted base

12812513412713883125142540462154228122125373213138165189225725214811002Weighted base

27122637331122247211924751915586633252438465125191Yes21%10%19%29%24%14%17%17%13%26%16%33%16%12%15%31%24%15%13%17%6%13%26%19%

101113108911057110411846834313015310211031614710614016418768456356811No79%90%81%71%76%86%83%83%87%74%84%67%84%88%85%69%76%85%87%83%94%87%74%81%

Page 52



Table 20

QM2d. Do you know who this person is? Willie RennieBase : All respondents





1583844433804319510156158171026111126012968156344151373431951091002Unweighted base

20258314234243190947422413112291002461065620352295433339195981002Weighted base

26210274103927415**6326542812222837794128191Yes13%4%32%5%22%24%21%29%6%7%3%3%28%26%22%27%22%11%4%29%6%23%22%21%29%19%

17656214026833150677021012101667419278441815020502563115470811No87%96%68%95%78%76%79%71%94%93%97%97%72%74%78%73%78%89%96%71%94%77%78%79%71%81%

Page 53



Table 20



Lab 2010Voters -



357185864602711501052053460469851612734066216107161386547351441891071002Unweighted base

3852109440729115387217048742310423412296562069320358494731445189981002Weighted base

67362188464014-2959481327717482620217365143831191Yes17%17%23%21%16%26%16%-3%19%22%8%6%14%26%30%23%28%10%4%34%6%21%31%20%32%19%

31717472320245113722168393329962211021939158671825632442493115167811No83%83%77%79%84%74%84%100%97%81%78%92%94%86%74%70%77%72%90%96%66%94%79%69%80%68%81%

Page 54



Table 20






9064146941336621219740060211826385116420227211210187132354965061002Unweighted base

12812513412713883125142540462154228122125373213138165189225725214811002Weighted base

57213539542549481331964411335251121015367385118131197329Yes45%17%26%31%39%30%40%34%25%42%29%49%29%20%30%48%39%41%20%23%24%25%41%33%

7110499888358769440726711011587100261111859815017555389284673No55%83%74%69%61%70%60%66%75%58%71%51%71%80%70%52%61%59%80%77%76%75%59%67%

Page 55



Table 21

QM2e. Do you know who this person is? Ruth DavidsonBase : All respondents





1583844433804319510156158171026111126012968156344151373431951091002Unweighted base

20258314234243190947422413112291002461065620352295433339195981002Weighted base

476161111516704812403285409255184761520109137247329Yes23%11%53%26%34%37%37%51%16%18%20%18%37%40%38%52%32%23%11%53%37%33%32%37%49%33%

1555215312272711946621851091436115351381564613342242712350673No77%89%47%74%66%63%63%49%84%82%80%82%63%60%62%48%68%77%89%47%63%67%68%63%51%67%

Page 56



Table 21



Lab 2010Voters -



357185864602711501052053460469851612734066216107161386547351441891071002Unweighted base

3852109440729115387217048742310423412296562069320358494731445189981002Weighted base

1185334158846725513173138154651181977484462813101166852329Yes31%25%36%39%29%44%29%22%19%36%32%14%20%40%40%35%38%52%22%11%57%29%32%36%36%53%33%

267157602492078562175731428690188717837129451595221342132912146673No69%75%64%61%71%56%71%78%81%64%68%86%80%60%60%65%62%48%78%89%43%71%68%64%64%47%67%

Page 57



Table 21






9064146941336621219740060211826385116420227211210187132354965061002Unweighted base

12812513412713883125142540462154228122125373213138165189225725214811002Weighted base

223232384019454312914230922623100904043355013127144271Good17%25%24%30%29%23%36%30%24%31%19%41%21%19%27%42%29%26%19%22%18%24%30%27%

45452939352134421491413776392311573415056638111179290Bad35%36%21%30%26%25%27%30%28%31%24%33%32%18%31%34%30%30%30%28%11%21%37%29%

6148735062434657261179875957791585058729811351283158441Don't know48%38%55%39%45%52%37%40%48%39%56%26%47%63%42%23%42%44%52%50%71%54%33%44%

Page 58



Table 22

QM3a. This person is Jim Murphy, the newly elected leader of Scottish Labour. Do you think he will make a good or bad contribution to Scottish politics in the future?Base : All respondents





1583844433804319510156158171026111126012968156344151373431951091002Unweighted base

20258314234243190947422413112291002461065620352295433339195981002Weighted base

2686154219124326371528361213516226816441911837271Good13%14%20%36%12%44%65%33%9%17%6%52%12%36%49%33%28%11%12%27%30%13%49%61%38%27%

31314819179288542112026473231256121019281226290Bad15%6%45%18%56%16%5%30%11%24%19%6%52%26%19%31%55%12%12%41%18%58%20%6%27%29%

14646112010917573559133958138773891553992896126535441Don't know72%80%36%46%32%40%30%37%80%59%75%43%35%38%32%36%17%77%76%32%52%29%31%34%35%44%

Page 59



Table 22



Lab 2010Voters -



357185864602711501052053460469851612734066216107161386547351441891071002Unweighted base

3852109440729115387217048742310423412296562069320358494731445189981002Weighted base

106502111585903031618567114024427113332881115332411933271Good28%24%22%28%29%59%35%12%23%38%16%11%17%19%15%48%55%36%14%14%23%32%10%53%63%34%27%

1025731131711136386021914544156825293232381799929290Bad26%27%33%32%24%7%41%13%12%12%52%14%23%32%53%14%12%31%16%6%47%16%57%19%5%29%29%

176103421611345221164624213779140696216831143461524103136136441Don't know46%49%45%40%46%34%24%74%66%50%32%75%60%50%32%38%33%33%71%80%30%52%33%28%32%37%44%

Page 60



Table 22






9064146941336621219740060211826385116420227211210187132354965061002Unweighted base

12812513412713883125142540462154228122125373213138165189225725214811002Weighted base

6455666064256274268202699068601839066899111224223248470Good50%44%49%47%47%31%50%52%50%44%45%40%56%48%49%42%47%54%48%49%33%43%51%47%

3939435255393841157190441013037135925360495833167180347Bad30%32%32%41%40%48%30%29%29%41%28%44%25%30%36%43%39%37%26%26%46%32%37%35%

263125161818252711470413724285530191649561513154184Don't know20%25%19%12%13%22%20%19%21%15%27%16%19%22%15%14%14%10%26%25%20%25%11%18%

Page 61



Table 23

QM3b. This person is Alex Salmond, ex-leader of the SNP and now prospective Westminster parliamentary candidate for the SNP in the Aberdeenshire constituency of Gordon.Do you think he will make a good or bad contribution to Scottish politics in the future?Base : All respondents





1583844433804319510156158171026111126012968156344151373431951091002Unweighted base

20258314234243190947422413112291002461065620352295433339195981002Weighted base

559191631413367201011418441102165451111414308174611470Good27%16%61%37%92%31%19%8%28%45%9%41%81%40%42%15%97%25%21%49%25%92%43%23%11%47%

6722522142412073215766284710578171141030141911475347Bad33%38%16%53%4%56%63%78%28%25%44%59%12%47%43%73%2%35%28%34%56%4%49%58%77%35%

812774136341433666-16133912*80265101233612184Don't know40%46%22%10%4%13%18%14%44%30%48%-7%13%16%11%1%40%51%17%19%4%8%18%13%18%

Page 62



Table 23



Lab 2010Voters -



357185864602711501052053460469851612734066216107161386547351441891071002Unweighted base

3852109440729115387217048742310423412296562069320358494731445189981002Weighted base

1689141211127277452386356251042249206110549332029116407470Good44%43%44%52%44%18%86%26%32%18%84%24%44%19%84%36%29%11%27%16%68%42%93%36%21%7%47%

138783913199100411630130356982932108666722922132211676347Bad36%37%42%32%34%65%5%6%22%62%7%33%30%65%10%57%52%71%33%38%18%47%4%49%62%77%35%

78411366652681532101384561218438178227751073315184Don't know20%19%14%16%22%17%10%68%45%21%9%43%26%16%6%8%18%18%40%46%14%10%3%15%17%15%18%

Page 63



Table 23






9064146941336621219740060211826385116420227211210187132354965061002Unweighted base

12812513412713883125142540462154228122125373213138165189225725214811002Weighted base

765868656333708030121271116876417511670928711236265249513Good59%46%51%51%46%40%56%56%56%46%46%51%71%51%47%55%51%56%46%50%50%51%52%51%

354038394529324014315549832025121794453425722131167298Bad27%32%28%31%33%35%25%28%26%34%32%37%16%20%32%37%32%32%22%25%31%25%35%30%

17272823292024229595342815367817242060571312566191Don't know14%21%21%18%21%25%19%15%18%21%22%12%12%28%21%8%17%12%32%25%19%24%14%19%

Page 64



Table 24

QM3c. This person is Nicola Sturgeon, the new First Minister of Scotland and the Leader of the Scottish National Party.Do you think she will make a good or bad contribution to Scottish politics in the future?Base : All respondents





1583844433804319510156158171026111126012968156344151373431951091002Unweighted base

20258314234243190947422413112291002461065620352295433339195981002Weighted base

738191331911531832103141884911620546810159311156422513Good36%13%61%31%93%25%28%19%44%46%8%37%82%49%47%19%96%33%19%51%17%93%38%33%22%51%

54153259191027012519519339177-54137357179570298Bad27%25%11%60%3%45%54%74%17%23%71%48%8%33%37%73%-27%24%26%66%2%44%49%71%30%

763694131334729703222183992812979167366191Don't know37%62%28%9%4%30%18%7%40%31%21%15%10%18%16%8%4%40%56%23%17%5%17%19%6%19%

Page 65



Table 24



Lab 2010Voters -



357185864602711501052053460469851612734066216107161386547351441891071002Unweighted base

3852109440729115387217048742310423412296562069320358494731445189981002Weighted base

197914722515046696211323543710122532280197483516294125717513Good51%43%50%55%52%30%79%29%30%27%84%35%43%17%85%39%39%20%37%13%71%34%93%28%30%18%51%

110712611784811011025928235982520966753156279199771298Bad29%34%28%29%29%53%11%6%14%53%7%22%25%66%9%36%46%71%26%25%13%58%3%43%51%73%30%

7748216556268143996424474218143187536841213359191Don't know20%23%22%16%19%17%9%65%56%20%10%42%32%17%6%25%15%9%37%62%16%8%4%30%18%9%19%

Page 66



Table 24






9064146941336621219740060211826385116420227211210187132354965061002Unweighted base

12812513412713883125142540462154228122125373213138165189225725214811002Weighted base

152124222817151772882156161353532421243167188159Good12%17%18%18%21%20%12%12%13%19%14%25%13%11%14%25%18%12%13%14%8%14%18%16%

3228313422263940146106305539211065536524260794158252Bad25%22%23%27%16%32%31%28%27%23%19%24%32%17%28%26%26%32%22%27%10%18%33%25%

81767971884070853222691031166791214104789212213459355235591Don't know63%61%59%56%64%48%56%60%60%58%67%51%55%72%57%49%57%56%65%60%82%68%49%59%

Page 67



Table 25

QM3d. This person is Willie Rennie, current leader of the Scottish Liberal Democrats.Do you think he will make a good or bad contribution to Scottish politics in the future?Base : All respondents





1583844433804319510156158171026111126012968156344151373431951091002Unweighted base

20258314234243190947422413112291002461065620352295433339195981002Weighted base

1842341283923528--3230412242244535263528159Good9%8%8%6%12%66%21%25%7%13%--14%30%17%21%8%11%8%13%9%11%66%18%29%16%

254818141342127427297156814221659181491459252Bad13%7%26%42%41%6%22%12%9%19%54%23%42%15%28%14%39%8%9%31%33%45%2%23%9%25%

159502022160121095962154681005513669301644316311491311560591Don't know78%85%66%52%47%28%57%63%83%69%46%77%44%55%56%66%53%81%83%56%58%45%32%59%62%59%

Page 68



Table 25



Lab 2010Voters -



357185864602711501052053460469851612734066216107161386547351441891071002Unweighted base

3852109440729115387217048742310423412296562069320358494731445189981002Weighted base

61381960432911279852628*372640221849135273826159Good16%18%20%15%15%19%13%9%10%20%12%6%12%3%13%47%19%23%9%8%19%2%11%60%20%27%16%

895021113683732312731651139312295515244152413044010252Bad23%24%23%28%23%24%37%13%17%15%39%10%17%23%41%16%26%16%12%7%31%51%41%9%21%11%25%

234123542341808744175131720688167913721112571615024221491411161591Don't know61%58%57%58%62%57%50%78%73%65%49%84%72%74%46%38%54%61%79%85%50%47%47%31%59%63%59%

Page 69



Table 25






9064146941336621219740060211826385116420227211210187132354965061002Unweighted base

12812513412713883125142540462154228122125373213138165189225725214811002Weighted base

4117242246213627861493380152087753336294814106129235Good32%14%18%17%33%26%29%19%16%32%21%35%13%16%23%35%24%22%15%21%20%20%27%23%

475250663928475623914750846743143796078787417169218386Bad37%42%37%52%28%34%38%39%44%32%32%37%55%34%38%37%43%47%41%33%24%32%45%39%

4055603953334159214167716439621445945518210341246135380Don't know31%44%45%31%38%40%33%41%40%36%46%28%32%50%39%28%33%31%43%46%56%47%28%38%

Page 70



Table 26

QM3e. This person is Ruth Davidson, current leader of the Scottish Conservatives.Do you think she will make a good or bad contribution to Scottish politics in the future?Base : All respondents





1583844433804319510156158171026111126012968156344151373431951091002Unweighted base

20258314234243190947422413112291002461065620352295433339195981002Weighted base

32467371961695241*29366376333451434195670235Good16%7%21%18%11%44%32%73%7%11%11%2%13%36%26%72%6%16%8%18%26%10%48%29%71%23%

461014122181076*1189411403210454040815132229782386Bad23%17%44%29%64%23%40%*15%40%36%6%61%32%42%5%72%20%16%53%24%67%22%40%2%39%

124441122871453255811171060337824121303982678126126380Don't know62%76%35%53%25%33%28%27%78%49%54%92%26%33%32%23%22%64%76%29%49%23%30%31%27%38%

Page 71



Table 26



Lab 2010Voters -



357185864602711501052053460469851612734066216107161386547351441891071002Unweighted base

3852109440729115387217048742310423412296562069320358494731445189981002Weighted base

984429936947162111685483534621536933491033205670235Good26%21%31%23%24%31%18%9%16%34%13%8%15%22%15%37%26%74%16%7%18%20%11%46%29%72%23%

1328127174104535032011425020805176168814610271420014741386Bad34%39%29%43%36%34%58%14%28%23%59%19%34%39%59%29%43%1%23%17%55%31%64%32%39%1%39%

1558437141118532116392061197611857519662312344132381105926380Don't know40%40%39%35%41%35%24%77%56%42%28%73%50%39%25%34%32%24%61%76%27%49%26%22%32%27%38%

Page 72



Table 26






9064146941336621219740060211826385116420227211210187132354965061002Unweighted base

12812513412713883125142540462154228122125373213138165189225725214811002Weighted base

96859107632286214327211067142312960Frightened7%5%6%4%7%12%5%4%6%6%4%9%3%2%7%10%8%4%4%6%2%6%6%6%

383043354521374815514137594537118614259436525147149296Amused29%24%32%27%33%26%30%34%29%30%24%26%37%30%32%29%30%36%23%29%35%28%31%30%

10181411167101048481336973234151011234455196Resentful8%15%11%8%12%8%8%7%9%10%8%16%8%5%9%16%11%6%6%10%5%9%11%10%

29303429271628331241034544263082403043515212108119227Indifferent23%24%25%23%20%19%22%24%23%22%29%19%21%24%22%19%21%26%27%23%17%21%25%23%

18191527167191885541339182148401826302056474139Enthusiastic about14%15%11%21%12%8%15%13%16%12%8%17%15%17%13%19%13%16%16%9%7%12%15%14%Scotland gaining more

clout

9468117911323331514725914716162273864Other7%3%5%6%8%8%7%8%6%7%2%7%12%5%7%4%10%4%9%7%2%5%8%6%

1618141313151516645638136214289133136239822120Don't know13%14%11%10%10%18%12%11%12%12%25%6%5%17%11%4%7%8%16%16%31%19%5%12%

Page 73



Table 27

QM4. This month, the Conservative party released the following poster (Ed Miliband in Alex Salmon's pocket).Which one of the following best describes how this makes you feel?Base : All respondents





1583844433804319510156158171026111126012968156344151373431951091002Unweighted base

20258314234243190947422413112291002461065620352295433339195981002Weighted base

12212571317311-14131316-14-4346121560Frightened6%4%2%5%2%17%7%18%4%5%-8%2%13%5%15%-7%-14%6%1%16%6%16%6%

4875131031258501851236727715716508513101115552296Amused24%12%17%31%30%27%30%53%24%23%14%30%29%27%29%54%29%25%15%19%23%30%28%28%53%30%

19-14233424773*2012435514-1824244396Resentful9%-4%9%7%8%22%4%9%3%22%3%9%12%18%5%9%7%-4%15%7%4%23%3%10%

5121101655135011137161412458139451871859155312227Indifferent25%36%31%37%16%31%26%11%18%32%44%7%18%24%24%13%16%22%34%24%33%18%39%27%12%23%

3165117251419*4717304218235110273139Enthusiastic about2%1%18%11%34%5%3%1%5%8%1%40%31%7%12%3%37%4%4%10%9%33%5%4%3%14%Scotland gaining more

clout

9971203124315111491754956520*14464Other5%15%22%3%6%6%7%4%4%7%8%11%6%9%7%4%8%5%10%22%9%6%1%7%5%6%

6019221839827521-128147162192215398120Don't know29%33%6%5%5%6%5%8%37%23%11%-5%8%6%6%1%31%37%6%4%5%7%5%8%12%

Page 74



Table 27



Lab 2010Voters -



357185864602711501052053460469851612734066216107161386547351441891071002Unweighted base

3852109440729115387217048742310423412296562069320358494731445189981002Weighted base

2915101619111-450567-61214151222256131860Frightened8%7%11%4%7%7%1%-6%10%1%6%3%-2%21%7%16%6%4%4%5%2%14%7%18%6%

12253371218546232171541232560389165448487131491125556296Amused32%25%39%30%29%30%26%10%24%32%29%24%26%28%30%29%26%51%24%12%26%29%29%28%29%57%30%

461463639339216034911223544318-4422640496Resentful12%7%7%9%14%22%11%8%1%12%8%9%5%16%8%9%21%3%9%-8%9%7%13%21%4%10%

65588105573918225123781869361125114522110155415509227Indifferent17%27%8%26%20%26%20%10%35%25%18%17%30%23%20%22%25%15%26%36%21%31%17%34%26%9%23%

4829106237229-11512252118731933111511018-139Enthusiastic about12%14%11%15%13%1%33%-2%3%29%4%9%6%29%5%9%3%1%1%22%10%35%3%4%-14%Scotland gaining more

clout

241292815105-9292651232041371098315115464Other6%6%10%7%5%6%6%-13%6%6%5%5%23%7%7%7%7%5%15%16%6%5%3%8%4%6%

5129133939122151357353752*11411460192516298120Don't know13%14%14%10%13%8%2%71%19%12%8%35%22%4%4%7%6%4%30%33%4%10%5%5%5%8%12%

Page 75



Table 27






9064146941336621219740060211826385116420227211210187132354965061002Unweighted base

12812513412713883125142540462154228122125373213138165189225725214811002Weighted base

30263628412532359715532671722115703038495015116137252Good23%21%27%22%30%30%25%25%18%34%20%29%14%18%31%33%22%23%26%22%21%22%28%25%

67708080814270873452328513382692091199410910313022277300577Bad52%56%60%63%59%50%56%61%64%50%55%58%68%55%56%56%68%66%55%58%31%53%62%58%

31291820151623209775382823345024141737463512844172Don't know24%23%13%16%11%20%18%14%18%16%25%12%19%27%13%11%10%10%20%20%48%25%9%17%

Page 76



Table 28

QM5. Thinking about the prime minister, David Cameron, would you say he is doing a good or a bad job?Base : All respondents





1583844433804319510156158171026111126012968156344151373431951091002Unweighted base

20258314234243190947422413112291002461065620352295433339195981002Weighted base

45113185213357518321642214389551922044143082252Good22%19%10%42%15%30%19%80%25%14%6%60%18%21%17%84%8%25%17%9%38%13%34%16%84%25%

94222520252241356281301021616217684685212325257211424577Bad47%37%80%47%74%57%71%7%38%58%78%21%70%62%72%8%82%42%40%81%46%77%52%73%5%58%

6326343852013286322261727866622393252311172Don't know31%44%10%11%11%13%10%14%37%28%15%19%11%17%11%8%10%33%43%11%16%10%14%12%12%17%

Page 77



Table 28



Lab 2010Voters -



357185864602711501052053460469851612734066216107161386547351441891071002Unweighted base

3852109440729115387217048742310423412296562069320358494731445189981002Weighted base

102613789652913418175552246353143479461152050123078252Good27%29%39%22%22%19%15%20%26%36%13%22%20%26%18%25%17%85%23%19%11%42%16%28%16%80%25%

212115462501661096473022631445124921132151595224021229291365577Bad55%55%49%61%57%71%74%32%43%46%74%43%53%74%71%57%73%6%47%37%82%45%73%65%72%5%58%

71341168591510102186543763-33102196126363532315172Don't know18%16%12%17%20%10%11%48%31%18%13%35%27%-11%18%10%10%30%44%7%13%11%7%12%15%17%

Page 78



Table 28






9064146941336621219740060211826385116420227211210187132354965061002Unweighted base

12812513412713883125142540462154228122125373213138165189225725214811002Weighted base

171229342513273311079414526136539292530402610881190Good13%10%22%27%18%16%22%23%20%17%26%20%21%10%17%18%21%15%16%18%37%21%17%19%

80916469815271753112726013975722371368610410812029257326583Bad62%72%48%55%59%62%57%53%58%59%39%61%61%58%63%64%62%63%57%53%40%49%68%58%

3122412432182733119111534321407238243651651715574230Don't know25%18%31%19%23%22%22%23%22%24%34%19%17%32%19%18%17%22%27%29%24%30%15%23%

Page 79



Table 29

QM6. Thinking about the leader of the UK Labour party, Ed Miliband, would you say he is doing a good or a bad job?Base : All respondents





1583844433804319510156158171026111126012968156344151373431951091002Unweighted base

20258314234243190947422413112291002461065620352295433339195981002Weighted base

13755533977826-*341797917116455221018190Good6%12%15%12%15%8%51%7%11%11%-2%15%16%39%8%31%5%12%14%10%16%5%51%8%19%

9724153322932728028124101015562102913296221540227317181583Bad48%42%50%79%67%75%38%85%39%55%78%94%68%62%42%86%57%47%42%53%75%68%78%36%83%58%

932711460720737743*40224767962498537249230Don't know46%46%35%9%18%17%11%8%51%33%22%3%18%22%19%5%12%47%46%33%15%16%17%12%9%23%

Page 80



Table 29



Lab 2010Voters -



357185864602711501052053460469851612734066216107161386547351441891071002Unweighted base

3852109440729115387217048742310423412296562069320358494731445189981002Weighted base

792713846661324129974731*43994514785486958190Good20%13%14%21%23%40%37%21%17%20%17%7%13%2%14%16%46%6%7%12%16%10%15%14%51%8%19%

217127652381526042334284262481251020135828197242936213326982583Bad56%61%70%59%52%39%48%14%49%58%62%46%54%82%68%63%40%87%48%42%59%77%68%72%37%84%58%

895515857432121424104884978252123079227126547248230Don't know23%26%17%21%25%21%14%65%34%21%21%47%33%16%18%21%15%7%45%46%25%13%17%15%13%8%23%

Page 81



Table 29






9064146941336621219740060211826385116420227211210187132354965061002Unweighted base

12812513412713883125142540462154228122125373213138165189225725214811002Weighted base

303532385132334414215335903827105894946444225124171295Wth fewer Labour MPs,24%28%24%30%37%39%27%31%26%33%23%39%32%21%28%42%35%28%24%19%35%24%35%29%David Cameron would be

more likely to remainas prime minister

61475959512762532251935110251491659260767210019201217418David Cameron would be47%37%44%46%37%32%49%37%42%42%33%45%42%39%44%43%43%46%38%44%26%39%45%42%no more likely to

remain as primeminister, because thenew ScottishNationalist memberswould never co-operatewith him

37434330362430451721166836325010331304372842819593289Don't know29%35%32%24%26%29%24%32%32%25%44%16%26%40%28%15%22%26%38%37%39%38%19%29%

Page 82



Table 30

QM7. Many other recent surveys and polls, such as this one, have suggested that the Scottish National party may make extensive gains fromScottish Labour in the coming election, Which of the following do you agree with more?Base : All respondents





1583844433804319510156158171026111126012968156344151373431951091002Unweighted base

20258314234243190947422413112291002461065620352295433339195981002Weighted base

35135225215102501242364936915663510925451410255295Wth fewer Labour MPs,18%23%16%53%15%35%54%54%17%19%26%59%21%36%37%53%11%17%19%31%47%14%35%52%56%29%David Cameron would be


47619102312057282270711433710633425251315227205928418David Cameron would be23%10%60%23%68%47%30%30%30%31%52%11%62%37%43%31%74%26%10%47%27%68%50%30%28%42%no more likely to


1203971059731153911233372749188116366146163415289Don't know59%67%24%24%17%18%16%16%53%50%22%30%16%27%20%17%15%57%71%22%26%18%16%17%16%29%

Page 83



Table 30



Lab 2010Voters -



357185864602711501052053460469851612734066216107161386547351441891071002Unweighted base

3852109440729115387217048742310423412296562069320358494731445189981002Weighted base

1136833114797414120214612046362218755381392448149951295Wth fewer Labour MPs,29%32%36%28%27%49%16%3%28%44%14%19%20%29%21%38%42%59%19%23%18%52%15%31%52%52%29%David Cameron would be


15179391891124660218137261188141892282224263012214265732418David Cameron would be39%37%41%46%38%30%69%9%26%28%62%18%35%35%64%39%39%23%21%10%61%26%68%58%30%33%42%no more likely to


122632110410032131932137101661064451338161223910115353315289Don't know32%30%23%26%34%21%15%88%46%28%24%63%46%37%15%23%18%17%60%67%21%22%17%12%18%15%29%

Page 84



Table 30






9064146941336621219740060211826385116420227211210187132354965061002Unweighted base

12812513412713883125142540462154228122125373213138165189225725214811002Weighted base

52494335574436401601964511020361451134770516213152204356Unhappy: that would be40%39%32%27%42%53%29%29%30%42%29%49%17%29%39%53%34%42%27%27%18%29%42%36%a bad government

106715101172555357182183616101717263424991Happy: that's the8%5%5%11%7%1%14%18%10%8%5%8%17%7%10%8%8%11%9%11%5%8%10%9%government I want

413055604520514420713945755645125666154657526174172346Content, if this were32%24%41%47%33%24%41%31%38%30%29%33%46%36%34%31%44%33%35%33%36%33%36%35%the only realistic

alternative to aConservative-ledgovernment

8621543417164721196347210141933Other6%5%2%1%4%5%2%3%3%3%2%3%2%9%2%3%2%3%4%1%14%3%4%3%

183327172014182810076541623245811171947612013837176Don't know14%27%20%13%15%17%14%20%18%16%35%7%19%19%16%5%12%12%25%27%28%27%8%18%

Page 85



Table 31

QM8. Thinking about possible governments at Westminster which might emerge from the coming election, can I ask how you would feel about anadministration involving a coalition or pact of some sort between Labour and the SNP?Base : All respondents





1583844433804319510156158171026111126012968156344151373431951091002Unweighted base

20258314234243190947422413112291002461065620352295433339195981002Weighted base

5513728592582861459810534575923585113659178389356Unhappy: that would be27%23%24%67%17%58%43%92%19%26%62%97%23%45%31%87%5%29%11%38%66%18%42%42%91%36%a bad government

4-32631181313--293403208-3256119191Happy: that's the2%-10%4%18%2%10%1%4%6%--13%3%16%3%36%4%-10%4%17%4%10%1%9%government I want

4881581771377110673-11739106529451010917218784346Content, if this were24%14%47%19%52%31%41%1%13%30%20%-51%39%43%5%51%22%20%36%17%52%45%40%4%35%the only realistic


1121211141311*-11332-112141114-33Other6%3%2%5%3%2%2%1%4%5%2%-5%3%1%2%-5%3%3%8%3%2%2%-3%

8535523239444742*19102245813443363114176Don't know42%60%16%5%9%7%5%5%59%33%17%3%8%10%9%4%8%40%66%14%5%11%7%6%4%18%

Page 86



Table 31



Lab 2010Voters -



357185864602711501052053460469851612734066216107161386547351441891071002Unweighted base

3852109440729115387217048742310423412296562069320358494731445189981002Weighted base

1468345127102684313268722466674257586561393156228090356Unhappy: that would be38%40%48%31%35%44%5%14%19%55%17%23%28%48%25%45%36%92%28%23%18%66%18%48%42%92%36%a bad government

2611553211029-51868111*5042224-9354120*91Happy: that's the7%5%6%13%7%7%34%-8%4%16%1%5%2%17%8%11%2%2%-19%6%17%3%10%1%9%government I want

1216930156916045113125208177331372093343825816319781346Content, if this were32%33%32%38%31%39%52%4%18%26%49%16%31%27%46%36%45%3%21%14%51%18%52%43%42%1%35%the only realistic


20529171-18916314*101311421211-1233Other5%2%3%2%6%1%-3%11%2%4%3%6%2%3%2%1%1%7%3%2%4%4%-1%2%3%

7142116360148173168606068325514186355331294176Don't know18%20%12%15%21%9%9%78%44%14%14%57%29%21%9%9%7%1%43%60%10%6%10%5%5%4%18%

Page 87



Table 31






9064146941336621219740060211826385116420227211210187132354965061002Unweighted base

12812513412713883125142540462154228122125373213138165189225725214811002Weighted base

4140503656366055136237----3731042909511521143230373Working full time -32%32%37%29%41%44%48%39%25%51%----100%5%30%54%51%51%29%27%48%37%working 30 hours per

week or more

2816171313109218243---125-111826382489630125Working part time -22%13%13%10%9%12%7%15%15%9%---100%-5%13%16%20%11%12%18%6%13%working between 8 and

29 hours per week

71261262613548--63---13915169323163Not working but seeking5%10%4%9%5%2%4%9%10%2%--52%---9%5%8%7%13%6%6%6%work or temporarily

unemployed or sick

3481473911562--59---19158115332559Not working and not2%3%6%11%5%3%7%8%10%*--48%---14%9%4%5%8%6%5%6%seeking work

13134191115810858-93---8310----454993Retired on a state10%10%3%15%8%19%7%7%16%2%-41%---39%7%----9%10%9%pension only

25191218247171225109-134---108251---5183134Retired with a private19%15%9%14%18%9%13%9%5%24%-59%---51%18%1%---10%17%13%pension

555513265172845-------61921232345Student4%4%4%4%10%2%5%4%3%6%29%-------3%8%29%4%5%5%

81632108911158325109----11124264079910109House person,6%13%24%8%6%10%9%11%15%5%71%----*8%15%14%18%9%19%2%11%housewife,

househusband, etc.

Page 88



Table 32

Work statusBase : All respondents





1583844433804319510156158171026111126012968156344151373431951091002Unweighted base

20258314234243190947422413112291002461065620352295433339195981002Weighted base

561816231311971392268718140101522858181725129167040373Working full time -28%32%52%55%38%44%37%42%29%30%58%9%36%40%41%49%51%29%36%61%46%39%41%36%41%37%working 30 hours per

week or more

369554341491042*425122764407274131610125Working part time -18%16%17%12%13%9%7%10%14%19%1%37%11%11%11%5%8%20%14%9%12%12%7%8%10%13%working between 8 and

29 hours per week

211*134-411412--17217110211*229-7263Not working but seeking11%2%1%3%10%-2%1%19%5%--8%2%7%1%17%10%2%1%4%9%-4%2%6%work or temporarily

unemployed or sick

14313161181417-11381511124-319317159Not working and not7%6%5%7%5%3%9%1%5%8%-11%6%8%6%1%2%6%7%-5%6%7%9%1%6%seeking work

145*32943082104-2213321141632728230693Retired on a state7%8%1%7%8%9%16%9%3%5%29%-9%13%13%10%7%8%5%8%12%8%4%15%6%9%pension only

13145479272959*3441828273141274482731134Retired with a private6%2%12%12%14%20%14%30%7%4%2%30%19%17%12%25%5%7%2%8%13%13%20%14%32%13%pension

1244-85102325--557--1024-8614245Student6%8%13%-2%11%5%2%4%11%--2%5%3%--5%4%14%-2%15%7%2%5%

3516-233216514411121418853216-4352146109House person,17%27%-5%10%4%9%5%19%18%10%12%9%4%7%8%9%16%30%-8%11%6%7%6%11%housewife,

househusband, etc.

Page 89



Table 32



Lab 2010Voters -



357185864602711501052053460469851612734066216107161386547351441891071002Unweighted base

3852109440729115387217048742310423412296562069320358494731445189981002Weighted base

147743715211053468211811634174511122794257182426118167339373Working full time -38%35%40%37%38%35%53%38%30%37%38%39%32%43%37%39%38%45%28%32%50%56%38%37%39%40%37%working 30 hours per

week or more

6821113657207-961551644*305201034976405159125Working part time -18%10%12%9%20%13%8%-13%13%13%15%19%3%10%10%10%11%17%16%15%13%13%10%8%9%13%working between 8 and

29 hours per week

19513918511-32139128*27-1512113230-4163Not working but seeking5%2%1%10%6%3%12%-5%4%9%12%3%2%9%-7%1%11%2%7%4%10%-2%1%6%work or temporarily

unemployed or sick

2015524148624252761711661211232216320159Not working and not5%7%6%6%5%5%7%11%6%5%6%6%7%12%5%10%6%1%6%6%5%4%5%6%10%1%6%seeking work

3613114425248-4543551612553381452324432993Retired on a state9%6%12%11%9%15%9%-6%11%8%5%7%8%9%10%16%8%7%8%4%6%8%10%17%9%9%pension only

433312583124423804958155112924141564472631134Retired with a private11%16%13%14%11%16%5%11%5%16%12%5%3%11%19%20%14%26%7%2%10%13%14%16%14%31%13%pension

207618147-492210229-546-1444-868245Student5%3%6%4%5%4%-17%13%5%2%2%12%-2%6%3%-7%8%8%-3%13%4%2%5%

3141103721135516434518383283137361612344126109House person,8%19%11%9%7%8%6%23%23%9%11%17%16%21%9%5%6%8%18%27%1%4%11%8%6%6%11%housewife,

househusband, etc.

Page 90



Table 32






9064146941336621219740060211826385116420227211210187132354965061002Unweighted base

12812513412713883125142540462154228122125373213138165189225725214811002Weighted base

52655458724465702472343313256302301337189798624-481481Male41%52%41%46%52%53%52%49%46%51%21%58%46%24%62%62%51%54%42%38%34%-100%48%

766079696639607229322812196659614380677611014048521-521Female59%48%59%54%48%47%48%51%54%49%79%42%54%76%38%38%49%46%58%62%66%100%-52%

Page 91



Table 33

GenderBase : All respondents





1583844433804319510156158171026111126012968156344151373431951091002Unweighted base

20258314234243190947422413112291002461065620352295433339195981002Weighted base

531716321832310058138089129461267032511514401801810062481Male26%30%52%76%53%53%53%62%18%35%66%88%56%46%51%66%57%25%29%50%75%54%47%51%64%48%

1504115101592090366114541100541203624152371414153219535521Female74%70%48%24%47%47%47%38%82%65%34%12%44%54%49%34%43%75%71%50%25%46%53%49%36%52%

Page 92



Table 33



Lab 2010Voters -



357185864602711501052053460469851612734066216107161386547351441891071002Unweighted base

3852109440729115387217048742310423412296562069320358494731445189981002Weighted base

16510247214118705183322421832877174181065753172737167209961481Male43%49%50%53%41%46%58%36%46%46%51%31%37%56%59%33%52%61%26%30%55%79%53%44%52%63%48%

22010847193173833614382642067214751233810036149412210147259036521Female57%51%50%47%59%54%42%64%54%54%49%69%63%44%41%67%48%39%74%70%45%21%47%56%48%37%52%

Page 93



Table 33






9064146941336621219740060211826385116420227211210187132354965061002Unweighted base

12812513412713883125142540462154228122125373213138165189225725214811002Weighted base

-------14287552022242155242027263687270142Central Scotland-------100%16%12%13%10%20%17%15%11%15%16%14%16%11%14%15%14%

------125-5174172514960221618253596065125Glasgow------100%-10%16%11%11%12%7%16%10%12%11%13%15%13%12%14%12%

-----83--533010234103622817111312394483Highlands & Islands-----100%--10%6%7%10%4%8%10%10%6%10%6%6%16%7%9%8%

----138---55832135131356301919303196672138Lothians----100%---10%18%14%15%11%10%15%14%14%12%16%14%13%13%15%14%

---127----626516372613362728142720106958127Mid Scotland & Fife---100%----11%14%10%16%21%10%10%13%20%9%15%9%14%13%12%13%

--134-----81533716141750191826263867954134North East Scotland--100%-----15%11%24%7%11%14%13%9%13%16%14%17%9%15%11%13%

-125------804521321716403419152323116065125South of Scotland-100%------15%10%13%14%14%13%11%16%14%9%12%10%15%12%13%12%

128-------71571337102841341028202977652128West of Scotland100%-------13%12%8%16%8%22%11%16%7%17%11%13%10%15%11%13%

Page 94



Table 34

RegionBase : All respondents





1583844433804319510156158171026111126012968156344151373431951091002Unweighted base

20258314234243190947422413112291002461065620352295433339195981002Weighted base

307375013497263*36845161127748521348142Central Scotland15%12%11%17%15%3%18%9%9%11%28%2%16%8%18%15%20%13%13%14%16%15%3%18%9%14%

195464443496262-2412431210155484153610125Glasgow9%9%13%13%13%10%18%10%9%12%17%-10%12%18%11%17%7%10%14%16%12%12%19%10%12%

13124520144109291*151459214859211061183Highlands & Islands7%21%13%11%6%32%2%11%12%13%10%3%7%14%2%8%3%7%15%16%17%6%24%3%12%8%

31972397338122811321635124395543673210138Lothians16%16%24%6%11%17%17%9%16%12%11%11%14%16%14%12%7%19%9%18%8%11%18%16%10%14%

2546252229714241-301235117255524832910127Mid Scotland & Fife12%7%19%6%15%5%15%8%19%11%11%-13%12%14%11%13%12%11%16%4%15%8%15%10%13%

2992456417121032*14610211353110134962014134North East Scotland14%15%7%9%16%10%9%13%14%14%2%10%20%10%9%12%9%15%19%4%6%15%15%10%15%13%

34611034916161231-52315231552862124071614125South of Scotland17%10%3%24%10%22%8%17%16%14%-49%10%15%10%14%8%14%11%7%22%12%18%8%14%12%

226364612222428332314371713246364612220128West of Scotland11%10%10%15%13%2%12%23%6%13%21%24%10%14%15%16%23%12%12%11%12%14%2%11%20%13%

Page 95



Table 34



Lab 2010Voters -



357185864602711501052053460469851612734066216107161386547351441891071002Unweighted base

3852109440729115387217048742310423412296562069320358494731445189981002Weighted base

637472592817413646114242472421131786462347142Central Scotland16%3%4%18%20%19%20%17%18%13%14%13%10%19%16%3%20%12%16%12%16%13%15%4%18%7%14%

2211211231441754511228236534918557424359125Glasgow1%1%1%30%*15%17%17%24%11%12%12%12%16%12%8%16%9%9%9%10%14%13%10%18%9%12%

453845--23-947269292191358141247171261083Highlands & Islands12%18%48%--1%4%-13%10%6%8%12%13%6%23%2%8%7%21%9%15%5%26%3%11%8%

56114814326103107252112924093412339933872810138Lothians15%*15%20%15%17%11%16%14%15%12%11%13%18%13%16%16%13%16%16%18%6%12%16%15%10%14%

11471691122136557601626*411024922492474299127Mid Scotland & Fife3%22%1%17%4%15%14%26%7%12%14%16%11%3%14%18%12%10%11%7%17%5%15%9%15%10%13%

72611615515717695712361518179289735171811134North East Scotland19%29%17%*19%10%8%6%10%14%14%12%15%8%17%15%8%10%14%15%13%7%16%16%10%12%13%

5852-15581591461592334328420133462103371617125South of Scotland15%25%-4%20%10%10%6%6%12%14%22%15%23%10%6%10%14%17%10%4%21%10%16%8%18%12%

7731348652214266357827-3563122216694012223128West of Scotland20%1%14%12%22%15%16%12%8%13%13%7%12%-12%11%15%23%10%10%12%19%13%3%12%24%13%

Page 96



Table 34






9064146941336621219740060211826385116420227211210187132354965061002Unweighted base

12812513412713883125142540462154228122125373213138165189225725214811002Weighted base

363345304025444415913886-4333136----2257218811029818 to 3428%27%33%24%29%30%35%31%30%30%56%-35%26%36%----100%100%36%23%30%

20232627301125261058432-233895---189--1107918935 to 4416%18%20%22%22%13%20%19%19%18%21%-19%31%26%---100%--21%16%19%

28152614191718278580241242690--165---768916545 to 5422%12%19%11%14%21%15%19%16%17%16%1%20%21%24%--100%---15%19%16%

10191828198162081571136321842-138----677113855 to 648%15%14%22%14%9%13%14%15%12%7%16%26%14%11%-100%----13%15%14%

34341927302222241101031191-1110213-----8013321365 plus27%27%14%22%22%27%17%17%20%22%1%84%-9%3%100%-----15%28%21%

Page 97



Table 35

AgeBase : All respondents





1583844433804319510156158171026111126012968156344151373431951091002Unweighted base

20258314234243190947422413112291002461065620352295433339195981002Weighted base

8925101192104416371186-4931461110802111149211491929818 to 3444%42%32%27%27%24%23%17%50%52%47%-22%31%19%10%18%40%41%37%26%28%28%25%19%30%

4618955810331116531*38174520125417555412311018935 to 4423%30%29%11%17%24%17%11%22%24%6%4%16%17%18%18%21%27%32%18%10%16%30%16%10%19%

27968656291592221411356211729859634301716545 to 5413%16%18%18%19%15%15%16%12%10%16%14%18%13%23%20%29%14%15%16%17%19%10%15%17%16%

18235557341481612371246171116346546351513855 to 649%3%11%11%16%16%18%15%10%7%8%18%16%12%19%16%19%8%6%13%10%16%14%18%15%14%

225314729503951637642853377232420687503821365 plus11%9%8%33%21%21%26%41%6%7%23%64%28%28%22%35%12%11%5%15%37%21%18%25%38%21%

Page 98



Table 35



Lab 2010Voters -



357185864602711501052053460469851612734066216107161386547351441891071002Unweighted base

3852109440729115387217048742310423412296562069320358494731445189981002Weighted base

123592811695241893212712948116268193213892512138614441529818 to 3432%28%30%28%33%16%20%43%45%26%31%46%50%19%23%33%16%14%44%42%24%29%27%31%24%15%30%

673815845226185248476235434411391646181155813271218935 to 4417%18%16%21%18%17%21%21%34%17%18%22%23%21%15%19%19%17%23%30%22%10%19%29%14%12%19%

673718605032244480771927359436172891311544301516545 to 5418%18%19%15%17%21%28%18%6%16%18%18%11%21%20%7%18%19%14%16%27%23%17%9%16%16%16%

523010574231143473599143488411517274525351613855 to 6413%14%11%14%14%20%16%13%5%15%14%8%6%26%16%15%20%17%8%3%14%9%16%11%19%17%14%

754622915340121712382624177155832235714649524021365 plus20%22%24%22%18%26%14%4%10%25%19%6%10%11%26%26%28%34%11%9%14%29%20%20%28%40%21%

Page 99



Table 35






9064146941336621219740060211826385116420227211210187132354965061002Unweighted base

12812513412713883125142540462154228122125373213138165189225725214811002Weighted base

2322272638102921-1961764319945629293241910294196AB18%18%21%21%27%12%23%15%-42%11%28%2%15%25%26%21%18%17%18%12%20%20%20%

3423263946204534-2663753825144472951526622126140266C127%18%19%31%33%24%36%24%-58%24%23%6%20%38%22%21%31%27%29%31%24%29%27%

232816719151721147-2718326731917233637156978147C218%23%12%6%14%18%14%15%27%-17%8%2%21%19%9%12%14%19%16%20%13%16%15%

4852655535383466393-74921085663916462688126224169393DE37%41%49%43%26%46%27%47%73%-48%40%89%45%17%43%46%38%36%36%37%43%35%39%

Page 100



Table 36

Social gradeBase : All respondents





1583844433804319510156158171026111126012968156344151373431951091002Unweighted base

20258314234243190947422413112291002461065620352295433339195981002Weighted base

278895711492792822442552341030781056114531196AB13%14%27%21%17%25%26%29%12%13%15%15%19%25%21%32%18%15%13%27%18%17%27%23%32%20%

52131412927423525555259225941145110121387104539266C125%22%44%29%27%17%22%37%34%24%36%15%26%22%24%38%25%25%20%43%25%26%24%23%40%27%

2735854527185342126243816102436105552718147C213%4%17%19%16%12%14%20%7%15%13%9%12%24%16%15%17%12%5%21%18%16%13%14%18%15%

9735413139207214351075699299615229832221136147910393DE48%60%12%31%41%46%38%14%47%48%37%61%43%29%39%15%39%48%62%8%39%41%36%40%11%39%

Page 101



Table 36



Lab 2010Voters -



357185864602711501052053460469851612734066216107161386547351441891071002Unweighted base

3852109440729115387217048742310423412296562069320358494731445189981002Weighted base

7943187462371548120641531257164629318111052104331196AB21%21%19%18%21%24%17%20%11%25%15%14%13%14%19%29%22%31%15%14%22%21%16%23%23%32%20%

91502512566401981913110831604781450294913201285114036266C124%24%26%31%23%26%22%37%27%27%25%30%26%34%26%25%24%31%24%22%42%25%27%24%21%36%27%

643412495224151975621332142929222837115142717147C217%16%13%12%18%15%17%6%12%15%15%12%14%11%14%16%14%23%14%4%14%22%16%9%14%18%15%

1518239160111523883416119045111512017811494351115126207814393DE39%39%42%39%38%34%44%38%49%33%45%44%48%41%40%30%39%15%47%60%23%32%40%44%41%14%39%

Page 102



Table 36



Page 1

Page Table Title Base Description Base

1 1 Q1. Some people have said they would not vote in a new General Election for the Westminster Parliament while others have said they would vote. I would like to know how certain it is that you would actually vote in a general election if it were held tomorrow. On a ten point scale if 10 would mean you would be absolutely certain to vote and 1 would mean you would be certain not to vote how likely is it that you would cast your vote?

Base : All respondents 1002





4 2 Q2. The Scottish Conservatives, Scottish Labour, the Scottish Liberal Democrats, SNP, UKIP and other parties would fight a new election for the Westminster parliament in your area. If there were a general election tomorrow which party do you think you would vote for?

Base: All respondents 1002





7 3 Data derived from:- Q1. Some people have said they would not vote in a new General Election for the Westminster Parliament while others have said they would vote. I would like to know how certain it is that you would actually vote in a general election if it were held tomorrow? Q2. The Scottish Conservatives, Scottish Labour, the Scottish Liberal Democrats, SNP, UKIP and other parties would fight a new election for the Westminster parliament in your area. If there were a general election tomorrow which party do you think you would vote for? Data excludes those who definitely will not vote (5%), don't know who they would vote for (18%) or refuse to answer (2%) THIS TABLE DOES NOT INCLUDE ADJUSTMENT FOR DON'T KNOW/REFUSERS

Page 2




10 4 Published Vote Intention Figures - Westminster General Election Percentages derived from the responses of 835 respondents

11 5 Q3/Q4. Could you tell me the party you actually voted for in the Westminter 2010 election? Was it Scottish Conservative, Scottish Labour, Scottish Liberal Democrats, SNP, UKIP or another party?






14 6 Q5. Some people have said they would not vote in a new election to the Holyrood Scottish Parliament, while others have said they would vote. I would like to know how certain it is that you would vote in the election to the Scottish Parliament in Holyrood if it were held tomorrow. On a ten point scale if 10 would mean you would be absolutely certain to vote and 1 would mean you arecertain not to vote, how likely is it that you would cast your vote?


Page 3






17 7 Q6. In elections for the Scottish Parliament you have two votes. One of these is for a single person to represent your constituency in the parliament. If the election for the Scottish Parliament were held tomorrow, which party would you vote for in the constituency election? Would you vote Scottish Conservative, Scottish Labour, Scottish Liberal Democrat, Scottish National Party (SNP) or for another party?






20 8 Data derived from:- Q5. Some people have said they would not vote in a new election to the Holyrood Scottish Parliament, while others have said they would vote. I would like to know how certain it is that you would vote in the election to the Scottish Parliament in Holyrood if it were held tomorrow. Q6. In elections for the Scottish Parliament you have two votes. One of these is for a single person to represent your constituency in the parliament. If the election for the Scottish Parliament were held tomorrow, which party would you vote for in the constituency election? Data excludes those who definitely will not vote (6%), don't know who they would vote for (18%) or refuse to answer (2%) THIS TABLE DOES NOT INCLUDE ADJUSTMENT FOR DON'T KNOW/REFUSERS

Page 4




23 9 Published Vote Intention Figures - Holyrood Constituency Vote Percentages derived from the responses of 820 respondents

24 10 Q7. The other vote you have in a Scottish Parliament election is for a list of one or more candidates to represent your region of Scotland. You can use this to vote for a different party to the one you gave your constituency vote - or for the same party. If the election to the Scottish Parliament were held tomorrow, which party's regional list would you you vote for - Scottish Conservative, Scottish Labour, Scottish Liberal Democrat, Scottish National Party (SNP), Scottish Green, or for another party?




Page 5




27 11 Data derived from:- Q5. Some people have said they would not vote in a new election to the Holyrood Scottish Parliament, while others have said they would vote. I would like to know how certain it is that you would vote in the election to the Scottish Parliament in Holyrood if it were held tomorrow. Q7. The other vote you have in a Scottish Parliament election is for a list of one or more candidates to represent your region of Scotland. You can use this to vote for a different party to the one you gave your constituency vote - or for the same party. If the election to the Scottish Parliament were held tomorrow, which party's regional list would you you vote for? Data excludes those who definitely will not vote (6%), don't know who they would vote for (18%) or refuse to answer (2%) THIS TABLE DOES NOT INCLUDE ADJUSTMENT FOR DON'T KNOW/REFUSERS


Page 6



30 12 Published Vote Intention Figures - Holyrood Regional Vote Percentages derived from the responses of 820 respondents

31 13 Q8/Q9. In the May 2011 Scottish Parliament election you had two votes. Your first vote was for a single person to represent your constituency in the Parliament? Can you remember, did you use your first vote to vote...






34 14 Q10. And thinking back to the referendum on independence for Scotland on 18th September this year, did you vote Yes for Independence for Scotland, or No to independence to Scotland?






37 15 QNEW. If there were a fresh referendum on Scottish independence tomorrow, then how would you vote? Base : All respondents 1002


Page 7



40 16 QM1. If you had to choose between the two, would you rather describe yourself as... Base : All respondents 1002



43 17 QM2a. Do you know who this person is? Jim Murphy Base : All respondents 1002



46 18 QM2b. Do you know who this person is? Alex Salmond Base : All respondents 1002



49 19 QM2c. Do you know who this person is? Nicola Sturgeon Base : All respondents 1002



52 20 QM2d. Do you know who this person is? Willie Rennie Base : All respondents 1002



55 21 QM2e. Do you know who this person is? Ruth Davidson Base : All respondents 1002



58 22 QM3a. This person is Jim Murphy, the newly elected leader of Scottish Labour. Do you think he will makea good or bad contribution to Scottish politics in the future?




Page 8




61 23 QM3b. This person is Alex Salmond, ex-leader of the SNP and now prospective Westminster parliamentary candidate for the SNP in the Aberdeenshire constituency of Gordon. Do you think he will make a good or bad contribution to Scottish politics in the future?






64 24 QM3c. This person is Nicola Sturgeon, the new First Minister of Scotland and the Leader of the Scottish National Party. Do you think she will make a good or bad contribution to Scottish politics in the future?






67 25 QM3d. This person is Willie Rennie, current leader of the Scottish Liberal Democrats. Do you think he will make a good or bad contribution to Scottish politics in the future?






70 26 QM3e. This person is Ruth Davidson, current leader of the Scottish Conservatives. Do you think she will make a good or bad contribution to Scottish politics in the future?






Page 9


73 27 QM4. This month, the Conservative party released the following poster (Ed Miliband in Alex Salmon's pocket). Which one of the following best describes how this makes you feel?






76 28 QM5. Thinking about the prime minister, David Cameron, would you say he is doing a good or a bad job? Base : All respondents 1002



79 29 QM6. Thinking about the leader of the UK Labour party, Ed Miliband, would you say he is doing a good or a bad job?






82 30 QM7. Many other recent surveys and polls, such as this one, have suggested that the Scottish National party may make extensive gains from Scottish Labour in the coming election, Which of the following do you agree with more?






85 31 QM8. Thinking about possible governments at Westminster which might emerge from the coming election, can I ask how you would feel about an administration involving a coalition or pact of some sort between Labour and the SNP?


Page 10






88 32 Work status Base : All respondents 1002



91 33 Gender Base : All respondents 1002



94 34 Region Base : All respondents 1002



97 35 Age Base : All respondents 1002



100 36 Social grade Base : All respondents 1002



GuardianICMScotlandPollMarch.pdf

Documents

certainto vote

knowhow certain

new general election

scotland poll

westminster parliament

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point scale

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