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Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2010www.gsacom.com
Mobile Broadband Status Report
Update from GSA
Global mobile Suppliers Associationwww.gsacom.com
September 2, 2010
GSA Secretariat Tel +44 1279 439 667 [email protected]
www.gsacom.com/rss/gsanews.php4
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Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2010www.gsacom.com
Contents
The mass market mobile broadband reality
Network commitments, deployments, launches, subscriptions
Availability of devices and segmentation
HSPA Evolution (HSPA+) status worldwide
LTE network commitments, deployments, prospects: FDD, TDD
Spectrum for mobile broadband services New: 2.6 GHz, and Digital Dividend
Re-farmed bands: e.g. 900 MHz (UMTS900), 1800 MHz
About the Global mobile Suppliers Association (GSA)
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HSPA network deployments/launches
WCDMA Network Launches
EDGE Operators Worldwide
3G Services and Applications
Mobile broadband success stories
HSPA Devices availability
Evolution to LTE
UMTS 900 Global Status
Mobile Broadband Spectrum
EDGE Evolution
HSPA Evolution (HSPA+)
Evolution of Network Speeds
LTE Operator Commitments
Digital Dividend spectrum
Facts-based research by GSA
Leveraging strong links in the industry
Objective analysis
GSA surveys, reports, regular updates
60+ charts, maps
Mobile Broadband Growth reports
Global mobile Suppliers Association Representing leading GSM/EDGE, WCDMA-HSPA, LTE suppliers globally
Promoting GSM/EDGE/WCDMA and evolved systems for successful delivery of
mobile broadband, enhanced multimedia, voice services
3GPP Market Representation Partner
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HSPA Operator Commitments Survey: GSA – June 30, 2010
ALSO SEE – Global HSPA Update – slide deck – www.gsacom.com
GLOBAL economies of scale today with HSPA-enabled mobile broadband
353 HSPA networks commercially launched in 147 countries
98.8% of commercial WCDMA
networks are HSPA-enabled
HSPA supports all main cellular bands
Mobile broadband is mainstream
550+ million WCDMA subscriptions
(including HSPA)
18 UMTS900 networks commercially
launched
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GSA HSPA Devices Survey: July 12, 2010
Key Findings: www.gsacom.com/gsm_3g/wcdma_databank.php4
Use GAMBoD for further analysis www.gsacom.com/gambod
50 HSPA+ devices
724 HSUPA devices
55% of devices support peak d/link data
speed at least 7.2 Mps
Smartphone (i.e. HSPA with WiFi) is
the main growth device segment
Well-established mobile broadband eco-system 2,579 HSPA devices launched by 235 suppliers
840 HSPA devices launched in past 9 months (48% growth) press release www.gsacom.com/news/gsa_305.php4
401 UMTS900 devices supporting HSPA (111% increase since October 2009)
Excluding notebooks and e-book readers, 19% of
HSPA devices operate in the 900 MHz band
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www.gsacom.com/gsm_3g/info_papers.php4
Reports from operators globally consistently
confirm traffic and revenue growth
GSA report - Mobile Broadband Growth www.gsacom.com
Mobile broadband success stories globally
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Leading the Mobile Broadband Revolution
Ralph de la Vega, Chairman of the Board, CTIA
Worldwide Machine-to-Machine devices rise to 412 million
by 2014*
* Source: Juniper Research, Embedded Mobile and M2M Strategies 2009-2014, Jan. 2010
Mobile broadband growth outpaces every other platform**
Pew estimates that by 2020, mobile devices will be the
primary Internet devices for most people in the world***
The average smartphone user generates 10 times the
amount of traffic generated by the average non-smartphone
user**Source: Cisco, VNI Mobile, 2010 ** Source: CTIA, Written Ex Parte to FCC, Sept. 29, 2009
*** Source: Pew Internet & American Life Project, Dec. 2008
Explosion in mobile data growth predicted
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More industry forecasts
By 2015, there will be 3.5 billion mobile broadband users
around the world, compared to the 500+ million that use it at
present (Ericsson)
The total data traffic volume in 2015 will be more than 30 times
that of 2010. Operators will need to make capital investments to
increase capacity in order to meet this demand (Analysys Mason)
Shipments of mobile broadband-enabled consumer products,
which includes e-book readers, mobile digital cameras,
camcorders, personal media players, personal navigation devices
and mobile gaming devices will increase 55-fold between 2008
and 2014 with total shipments reaching 58 million units per year in
2014 (ABI Research)
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63 commercial HSPA+ networks
launched in 35 countries• 53 networks support 21 Mbps peak
• 7 networks support 28 Mbps
• 3 networks support 42 Mbps
Updates on network commitments, launches, ecosystem
Global HSPA+ Network Commitments and Deployments – www.gsacom.com
AND
HSPA+ Overview Slide Deck – www.gsacom.com
By end 2010 GSA anticipates up
to 100 HSPA+ networks will be in
commercial in service
HSPA+ is the main trend in 2010 Approaching I in 5 HSPA operators commercially launched
HSPA+
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HSPA has a strong evolution path
HSPA+ entering the mainstream in 2010
HSPA+ eco-system today
50 HSPA+ devices
launched in the market
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HSPA and HSPA+ devices
analysis tool on
www.gsacom.com
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Traffic rising/revenue falling
40x – 100x traffic increase
May need to be supported
across several frequency bands
Mobile broadband is gaining momentum from
widespread 3.5G deployments, flat rate data
tariffs, and availability of internet friendly mobiles
The industry direction is to LTE- LTE is needed to accommodate huge traffic growth
LTE is essential to take mobile
broadband to the mass market
Peak downlink: > 150 Mbps
Typical user speed: 10-30 Mbps
Typical user UL rate: 5-50 Mbps
Year 2010: LTE performance
Spectrum flexibility
Can use new or re-farmed spectrum, FDD and TDD
Variable channel bandwidth
Improved performance
Higher capacity, peak and user data rates
Higher bandwidth
Much lower latency
“always on”; enhanced user experience
Lower cost
IP-based flat network architecture; Low OPEX
High degree of self configuration/optimization
High re-use of assets including sites
Complements 3G/HSPA
Addresses high capacity requirements
Seamless service continuity/multimode devices
Next generation solution for 3GPP and 3GPP2
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Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2010www.gsacom.com
Source of data: GSA Information Paper “Evolution to LTE” – August 26, 2010
Charts and maps are available at www.gsacom.com/news/statistics.php4
3 LTE systems in commercial service:
in Norway, Sweden and Uzbekistan
Up to 22 commercial LTE network launches
anticipated by end 2010 - GSA
Global LTE commitments
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PRESS RELEASE: www.gsacom.com/news/gsa_309.php4
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An operator may introduce LTE in ‘new’ bands where it is easier to deploy 10 MHz or 20 MHz
carriers for maximum benefits of using LTE
2.6 GHz band (IMT Extension band)
Digital Dividend spectrum 700, 800 MHz
or in re-farmed existing mobile bands e.g. 850, 900, 1700, 1800, 1900, 2100 MHz
Eventually LTE may be deployed in all of these bands – and others later
2.6 GHz (for capacity) and DD 700/800 MHz (wider coverage, improved in-building) is a
good combination
LTE offers a choice of carrier bandwidths: 1.4 MHz to 20 MHz; the widest bandwidth will be
needed for the highest speeds
Spectrum for LTE deployments
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LTE FDD will most likely in future be deployed in
existing cellular bands too, including:
850 MHz
900 MHz
AWS (1700/2100 MHz)
1800 MHz
1900 MHz
2100 MHz
LTE TDD
Early TDD Spectrum for LTE (LTE TDD)
IMT Extension Center Gap 2570–2620 MHz
2.3 TDD i.e. 2300–2400 MHz
LTE FDD
Future possibilities:
450 – 470 MHz
3.6 GHz
Future TDD possibility
= 3.6 GHz
Other spectrum candidates for LTE
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2.6 GHz: a key band for LTE in Asia, Europe, MEA
Teliasonera, Elisa and DNA have been granted licences for 2.6 GHz spectrum and are building
LTE networks in Finland. DNA obtained 40 MHz of 2.6 GHz spectrum
Several auctions of 2.6 GHz spectrum are scheduled or planned throughout European
markets during 2010 - 2011
TeliaSonera Sweden is deploying LTE using nationwide 2x20 MHz 2.6 GHz spectrum and
announced commercial service launch in Stockholm on December 15, 2009
In Hong Kong, 2x15 MHz blocks of 2.6 GHz FDD spectrum have been auctioned, and won by
China Mobile, Genius Brand and CSL Limited
Telenor and Netcom have been granted licences and 2.6 GHz spectrum
TeliaSonera announced LTE commercial service launch in Oslo on December 15, 2009
The Malaysian regulator MCMC plans to auction 3 blocks of 2.6 GHz spectrum for LTE in 2011,
and is also consulting on re-farming 850/900/1800 spectrum for 3G services
MVNO and cable operator Telenet is trialing LTE in Mechelen, ahead of the 2.6 GHz auction
expected in September 2010. Mobistar is also testing LTE.
Source of data: GSA report “Evolution to LTE” – August 26, 2010
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New UHF Digital Dividend spectrum is becoming available in all regions
Region 1 (Europe, Middle East and Africa) identified 790-862 MHz for mobile services
Region 2 (Americas) identified 698-806 MHz
Region 3 (Asia) some countries (China, India, Japan) identified 698-862 MHz; others identified 790-862 MHz
Digital Dividend bands
Digital Dividend Update Published by GSA – July 2010
www.gsacom.com
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After 224 Rounds the auction
closed on May 20, 2010 and
generated €4.384 billion
www2.bundesnetzagentur.de/frequenzversteigerung2010
Europe’s first Digital Dividend spectrum auctioned German auction covered 360 MHz across four bands: 800 MHz (DD), 1800 MHz, 2100 MHz and 2600 MHz
Bidders were Deutsche Telecom, KPN/E-Plus, Telefonica O2 and Vodafone. Auction commenced April 12, 2010
800 MHz (DD) allocations were the most expensive; 6 x 5 MHz paired blocks (791-821 MHz and 832-862 MHz)
Coverage obligations and restrictions including spectrum caps apply
The 800 MHz spectrum auction
raised €3.576 billion i.e. over
81.5% of the auction’s value
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LTE1800 – promising option
LTE1800 operator trials
activity e.g.:
Elisa (FI)
Bouygues Telecom (FR)
Cosmote (GR)
+ several others
Used with permission from Elisa
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“While the majority of LTE deployments today are using the FDD mode, the report
confirms significant operator interest in the TDD mode. LTE FDD and LTE TDD
are complementary technologies and standardized by 3GPP. A number of key
technology milestones have been demonstrated in recent weeks which confirm
how the LTE TDD system is maturing towards commercialization. The recently
concluded BWA spectrum auction in India has paved the way for early and large
scale introduction of TDD LTE into the world’s fastest developing market”
GSA press release: www.gsacom.com/news/gsa_309.php4
The LTE market includes TDD
as well as FDD
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LTE TDD is positioned as the next evolution of theTD-SCDMA family and a natural progression
From 3GPP standards perspective: commonality with FDD
From vendor perspective: increasing use of software defined radio techniques
From operator perspective: spectrum availability, flexible base stations
LTE TDD trials now
Timescales established for prototype, dual-mode and multimode devices
In-service estimated as 2010-2011
LTE TDD Is being showcased by many leading players at the
World Expo, Shanghai from May 2010
Clearwire (USA) has requested 3GPP to standardize LTE TDD for operation in 2496 – 2690 MHz
and on August 4, 2010 announced plans for technology trials to test both LTE TDD and LTE FDD
Softbank Mobile (Japan) is reported to be considering LTE TDD in 2.5 GHz spectrum it owns
LTE TDD opportunities identified
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LTE TDD is being showcased by China Mobile and leading industry partners at the World Expo 2010, Shanghai. The
large-scale trial network covers the whole 5.28 square-km site, outdoors and in 9 pavilions and 2 demonstration
centers. Several products supporting the trial network are launched or planned including WWAN cards, routers and
dongles. Key milestones achieved in the trial include:
Demonstration of LTE TDD HD video telephone in single 20 MHz spectrum with peak DL speeds of up to 80 Mbps
Demonstration of VOD, video communication, and other high-speed mobile broadband apps
Demonstration of 24-channel video streaming
Mobile HD video conferencing between the trial network and another location
Inter-Operability Test of multiple LTE TDD USB dongles in a single mobile network cell
China Mobile will establish 3 further trial LTE TDD networks in Qingdao, Xiamen and Zhuhai - beginning Q3 2010.
China Mobile is also partnering with foreign operators to establish trial LTE TDD networks overseas, including Taiwan.
India is a key market for LTE TDD following the BWA spectrum auction. Qualcomm through its JV with local partners is
committed to LTE TDD and anticipates commercial service from 2011. Some other BWA spectrum winners are finalizing
their technology choice, so more winners may also choose LTE TDD.
LTE TDD is maturing towards commercialization
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Mobile phones, computer and consumer electronic
devices including notebooks, netbooks, ultra-mobile
PC’s, gaming devices, cameras, and PMPs will
incorporate embedded LTE connectivity.
Source of data: GSA report “Evolution to LTE” – August 26, 2010
LTE eco-system is developing
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Excellent Mobile Broadband TodayVoice and full Range of IP Services
Enhanced User ExperienceImproved voice and data capability
Rel-7 Rel-8
HSPA+
Rel-9 & beyond
(HSPA Evolved)
Rel-8
LTE
Rel-9 Rel-10
LTE - A
LTE leverages new, wider
and TDD spectrum
Rel-99
WCDMA
Rel-5 Rel-6
HSPA
2009 - 2010 2011+ - - - - - - - - - >
The roadmap for LTE
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LTE is on track, attracting global industry support. The first LTE systems launched in 2009
LTE is the natural migration choice for GSM/HSPA operators. LTE is also the next generation mobile broadband system of choice of leading CDMA operators, who will be in the forefront of service introduction
As a result of collaboration between 3GPP, 3GPP2 and IEEE there is a roadmap for CDMA operators to evolve to LTE
The key spectrum bands for new LTE spectrum are 2.6 GHz and digital dividend bands (700, 800 MHz)
Re-farmed 1800 MHz spectrum enables LTE1800 to provide 2 times coverage compared to LTE2600
The LTE TDD mode is a real complement to LTE FDD and the perfect choice for providing high speed mobile broadband access through unpaired radio spectrum.
LTE TDD provides a future-proof evolutionary path for TD-SCDMA
With LTE we have one single global standard, securing and driving even higher economies of scale and importantly, simplifying roaming
LTE: the single global standard
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Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2010www.gsacom.com
Hong Kong - September 6, 2010Co-organized by
GSA, HKSTPC and HKWDC
Free to attend
Registration required:www.hkstp.org/HKSTPC/onlineRegistration.jsp?lan=en&formId=OF_0000117
Mobile broadband seminar: Hong Kong
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GSA Mobile Broadband Forum: September 27, 2010 (afternoon)
More information, objectives, program, registration details
www.gsacom.com/programs/mobilebroadband.php4
Organized by GSA in association with IIR Mobile Broadband World as part of the Mobile Broadband Strategy Day
Top industry speakers
Delegates need to register (a fee is payable to IIR)
using the "Register Now" link on page www.iir-telecoms.com/I2GS2GSA
GSA members attending Mobile Broadband World conference (Sept 28-29) also qualify for discount
www.iir-telecoms.com/event/mobilebroadband
Mobile broadband seminar: London
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GSA Website www.gsacom.com
33,700 registered site users
downloading 15,000 + reports, papers each month
RSS newsfeed for immediate update alerts
GSA is also on Twitter and Facebook
GSA LinkedIN Group
Visit the website to download key GSA reports –free of charge
including EDGE, HSPA, HSPA+, LTE: Networks and devices60+ maps, charts at www.gsacom.com/news/statistics.php4
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