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Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2010 www.gsacom.com Mobile Broadband Status Report Update from GSA Global mobile Suppliers Association www.gsacom.com September 2, 2010 GSA Secretariat Tel +44 1279 439 667 [email protected] www.gsacom.com/rss/gsanews.php4 Slide no. 1/30
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GSA Mobile Broadband Status Report August 2010

May 07, 2015

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Mobile Broadband Status Report:

Contents:

* About the Global mobile Suppliers Association (GSA)
* The mass market mobile broadband reality
* Network commitments, deployments, launches, subscriptions
* Availability of devices and segmentation
* HSPA Evolution (HSPA+) status worldwide
* LTE network commitments, deployments, prospects
* Spectrum for mobile broadband services
- New: 2.6 GHz, and Digital Dividend
- Re-farmed bands: e.g. 1800 MHz (LTE1800)

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Page 1: GSA Mobile Broadband Status Report August 2010

Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2010www.gsacom.com

Mobile Broadband Status Report

Update from GSA

Global mobile Suppliers Associationwww.gsacom.com

September 2, 2010

GSA Secretariat Tel +44 1279 439 667 [email protected]

www.gsacom.com/rss/gsanews.php4

Slide no. 1/30

Page 2: GSA Mobile Broadband Status Report August 2010

Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2010www.gsacom.com

Contents

The mass market mobile broadband reality

Network commitments, deployments, launches, subscriptions

Availability of devices and segmentation

HSPA Evolution (HSPA+) status worldwide

LTE network commitments, deployments, prospects: FDD, TDD

Spectrum for mobile broadband services New: 2.6 GHz, and Digital Dividend

Re-farmed bands: e.g. 900 MHz (UMTS900), 1800 MHz

About the Global mobile Suppliers Association (GSA)

Slide no. 2/30

Page 3: GSA Mobile Broadband Status Report August 2010

Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2010www.gsacom.com

HSPA network deployments/launches

WCDMA Network Launches

EDGE Operators Worldwide

3G Services and Applications

Mobile broadband success stories

HSPA Devices availability

Evolution to LTE

UMTS 900 Global Status

Mobile Broadband Spectrum

EDGE Evolution

HSPA Evolution (HSPA+)

Evolution of Network Speeds

LTE Operator Commitments

Digital Dividend spectrum

Facts-based research by GSA

Leveraging strong links in the industry

Objective analysis

GSA surveys, reports, regular updates

60+ charts, maps

Mobile Broadband Growth reports

Global mobile Suppliers Association Representing leading GSM/EDGE, WCDMA-HSPA, LTE suppliers globally

Promoting GSM/EDGE/WCDMA and evolved systems for successful delivery of

mobile broadband, enhanced multimedia, voice services

3GPP Market Representation Partner

Slide no. 3/30

Page 4: GSA Mobile Broadband Status Report August 2010

Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2010www.gsacom.comSlide no. 4/30

Page 5: GSA Mobile Broadband Status Report August 2010

Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2010www.gsacom.com

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Page 6: GSA Mobile Broadband Status Report August 2010

Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2010www.gsacom.com

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Page 7: GSA Mobile Broadband Status Report August 2010

Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2010www.gsacom.com

HSPA Operator Commitments Survey: GSA – June 30, 2010

ALSO SEE – Global HSPA Update – slide deck – www.gsacom.com

GLOBAL economies of scale today with HSPA-enabled mobile broadband

353 HSPA networks commercially launched in 147 countries

98.8% of commercial WCDMA

networks are HSPA-enabled

HSPA supports all main cellular bands

Mobile broadband is mainstream

550+ million WCDMA subscriptions

(including HSPA)

18 UMTS900 networks commercially

launched

Slide no. 7/30

Page 8: GSA Mobile Broadband Status Report August 2010

Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2010www.gsacom.com

GSA HSPA Devices Survey: July 12, 2010

Key Findings: www.gsacom.com/gsm_3g/wcdma_databank.php4

Use GAMBoD for further analysis www.gsacom.com/gambod

50 HSPA+ devices

724 HSUPA devices

55% of devices support peak d/link data

speed at least 7.2 Mps

Smartphone (i.e. HSPA with WiFi) is

the main growth device segment

Well-established mobile broadband eco-system 2,579 HSPA devices launched by 235 suppliers

840 HSPA devices launched in past 9 months (48% growth) press release www.gsacom.com/news/gsa_305.php4

401 UMTS900 devices supporting HSPA (111% increase since October 2009)

Excluding notebooks and e-book readers, 19% of

HSPA devices operate in the 900 MHz band

Slide no. 8/30

Page 9: GSA Mobile Broadband Status Report August 2010

Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2010www.gsacom.com

www.gsacom.com/gsm_3g/info_papers.php4

Reports from operators globally consistently

confirm traffic and revenue growth

GSA report - Mobile Broadband Growth www.gsacom.com

Mobile broadband success stories globally

Slide no. 9/30

Page 10: GSA Mobile Broadband Status Report August 2010

Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2010www.gsacom.com

Leading the Mobile Broadband Revolution

Ralph de la Vega, Chairman of the Board, CTIA

Worldwide Machine-to-Machine devices rise to 412 million

by 2014*

* Source: Juniper Research, Embedded Mobile and M2M Strategies 2009-2014, Jan. 2010

Mobile broadband growth outpaces every other platform**

Pew estimates that by 2020, mobile devices will be the

primary Internet devices for most people in the world***

The average smartphone user generates 10 times the

amount of traffic generated by the average non-smartphone

user**Source: Cisco, VNI Mobile, 2010 ** Source: CTIA, Written Ex Parte to FCC, Sept. 29, 2009

*** Source: Pew Internet & American Life Project, Dec. 2008

Explosion in mobile data growth predicted

Slide no. 10/30

Page 11: GSA Mobile Broadband Status Report August 2010

Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2010www.gsacom.com

More industry forecasts

By 2015, there will be 3.5 billion mobile broadband users

around the world, compared to the 500+ million that use it at

present (Ericsson)

The total data traffic volume in 2015 will be more than 30 times

that of 2010. Operators will need to make capital investments to

increase capacity in order to meet this demand (Analysys Mason)

Shipments of mobile broadband-enabled consumer products,

which includes e-book readers, mobile digital cameras,

camcorders, personal media players, personal navigation devices

and mobile gaming devices will increase 55-fold between 2008

and 2014 with total shipments reaching 58 million units per year in

2014 (ABI Research)

Slide no. 11/30

Page 12: GSA Mobile Broadband Status Report August 2010

Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2010www.gsacom.com

63 commercial HSPA+ networks

launched in 35 countries• 53 networks support 21 Mbps peak

• 7 networks support 28 Mbps

• 3 networks support 42 Mbps

Updates on network commitments, launches, ecosystem

Global HSPA+ Network Commitments and Deployments – www.gsacom.com

AND

HSPA+ Overview Slide Deck – www.gsacom.com

By end 2010 GSA anticipates up

to 100 HSPA+ networks will be in

commercial in service

HSPA+ is the main trend in 2010 Approaching I in 5 HSPA operators commercially launched

HSPA+

Slide no. 12/30

Page 13: GSA Mobile Broadband Status Report August 2010

Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2010www.gsacom.com

HSPA has a strong evolution path

HSPA+ entering the mainstream in 2010

HSPA+ eco-system today

50 HSPA+ devices

launched in the market

Slide no. 13/30

HSPA and HSPA+ devices

analysis tool on

www.gsacom.com

Page 14: GSA Mobile Broadband Status Report August 2010

Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2010www.gsacom.com

Traffic rising/revenue falling

40x – 100x traffic increase

May need to be supported

across several frequency bands

Mobile broadband is gaining momentum from

widespread 3.5G deployments, flat rate data

tariffs, and availability of internet friendly mobiles

The industry direction is to LTE- LTE is needed to accommodate huge traffic growth

LTE is essential to take mobile

broadband to the mass market

Peak downlink: > 150 Mbps

Typical user speed: 10-30 Mbps

Typical user UL rate: 5-50 Mbps

Year 2010: LTE performance

Spectrum flexibility

Can use new or re-farmed spectrum, FDD and TDD

Variable channel bandwidth

Improved performance

Higher capacity, peak and user data rates

Higher bandwidth

Much lower latency

“always on”; enhanced user experience

Lower cost

IP-based flat network architecture; Low OPEX

High degree of self configuration/optimization

High re-use of assets including sites

Complements 3G/HSPA

Addresses high capacity requirements

Seamless service continuity/multimode devices

Next generation solution for 3GPP and 3GPP2

Slide no. 14/30

Page 15: GSA Mobile Broadband Status Report August 2010

Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2010www.gsacom.com

Source of data: GSA Information Paper “Evolution to LTE” – August 26, 2010

Charts and maps are available at www.gsacom.com/news/statistics.php4

3 LTE systems in commercial service:

in Norway, Sweden and Uzbekistan

Up to 22 commercial LTE network launches

anticipated by end 2010 - GSA

Global LTE commitments

Slide no. 15/30

PRESS RELEASE: www.gsacom.com/news/gsa_309.php4

Page 16: GSA Mobile Broadband Status Report August 2010

Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2010www.gsacom.com

An operator may introduce LTE in ‘new’ bands where it is easier to deploy 10 MHz or 20 MHz

carriers for maximum benefits of using LTE

2.6 GHz band (IMT Extension band)

Digital Dividend spectrum 700, 800 MHz

or in re-farmed existing mobile bands e.g. 850, 900, 1700, 1800, 1900, 2100 MHz

Eventually LTE may be deployed in all of these bands – and others later

2.6 GHz (for capacity) and DD 700/800 MHz (wider coverage, improved in-building) is a

good combination

LTE offers a choice of carrier bandwidths: 1.4 MHz to 20 MHz; the widest bandwidth will be

needed for the highest speeds

Spectrum for LTE deployments

Slide no. 16/30

Page 17: GSA Mobile Broadband Status Report August 2010

Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2010www.gsacom.com

LTE FDD will most likely in future be deployed in

existing cellular bands too, including:

850 MHz

900 MHz

AWS (1700/2100 MHz)

1800 MHz

1900 MHz

2100 MHz

LTE TDD

Early TDD Spectrum for LTE (LTE TDD)

IMT Extension Center Gap 2570–2620 MHz

2.3 TDD i.e. 2300–2400 MHz

LTE FDD

Future possibilities:

450 – 470 MHz

3.6 GHz

Future TDD possibility

= 3.6 GHz

Other spectrum candidates for LTE

Slide no. 17/30

Page 18: GSA Mobile Broadband Status Report August 2010

Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2010www.gsacom.com

2.6 GHz: a key band for LTE in Asia, Europe, MEA

Teliasonera, Elisa and DNA have been granted licences for 2.6 GHz spectrum and are building

LTE networks in Finland. DNA obtained 40 MHz of 2.6 GHz spectrum

Several auctions of 2.6 GHz spectrum are scheduled or planned throughout European

markets during 2010 - 2011

TeliaSonera Sweden is deploying LTE using nationwide 2x20 MHz 2.6 GHz spectrum and

announced commercial service launch in Stockholm on December 15, 2009

In Hong Kong, 2x15 MHz blocks of 2.6 GHz FDD spectrum have been auctioned, and won by

China Mobile, Genius Brand and CSL Limited

Telenor and Netcom have been granted licences and 2.6 GHz spectrum

TeliaSonera announced LTE commercial service launch in Oslo on December 15, 2009

The Malaysian regulator MCMC plans to auction 3 blocks of 2.6 GHz spectrum for LTE in 2011,

and is also consulting on re-farming 850/900/1800 spectrum for 3G services

MVNO and cable operator Telenet is trialing LTE in Mechelen, ahead of the 2.6 GHz auction

expected in September 2010. Mobistar is also testing LTE.

Source of data: GSA report “Evolution to LTE” – August 26, 2010

Slide no. 18/30

Page 19: GSA Mobile Broadband Status Report August 2010

Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2010www.gsacom.com

New UHF Digital Dividend spectrum is becoming available in all regions

Region 1 (Europe, Middle East and Africa) identified 790-862 MHz for mobile services

Region 2 (Americas) identified 698-806 MHz

Region 3 (Asia) some countries (China, India, Japan) identified 698-862 MHz; others identified 790-862 MHz

Digital Dividend bands

Digital Dividend Update Published by GSA – July 2010

www.gsacom.com

Slide no. 19/30

Page 20: GSA Mobile Broadband Status Report August 2010

Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2010www.gsacom.com

After 224 Rounds the auction

closed on May 20, 2010 and

generated €4.384 billion

www2.bundesnetzagentur.de/frequenzversteigerung2010

Europe’s first Digital Dividend spectrum auctioned German auction covered 360 MHz across four bands: 800 MHz (DD), 1800 MHz, 2100 MHz and 2600 MHz

Bidders were Deutsche Telecom, KPN/E-Plus, Telefonica O2 and Vodafone. Auction commenced April 12, 2010

800 MHz (DD) allocations were the most expensive; 6 x 5 MHz paired blocks (791-821 MHz and 832-862 MHz)

Coverage obligations and restrictions including spectrum caps apply

The 800 MHz spectrum auction

raised €3.576 billion i.e. over

81.5% of the auction’s value

Slide no. 20/30

Page 21: GSA Mobile Broadband Status Report August 2010

Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2010www.gsacom.com

LTE1800 – promising option

LTE1800 operator trials

activity e.g.:

Elisa (FI)

Bouygues Telecom (FR)

Cosmote (GR)

+ several others

Used with permission from Elisa

Slide no. 21/30

Page 22: GSA Mobile Broadband Status Report August 2010

Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2010www.gsacom.com

“While the majority of LTE deployments today are using the FDD mode, the report

confirms significant operator interest in the TDD mode. LTE FDD and LTE TDD

are complementary technologies and standardized by 3GPP. A number of key

technology milestones have been demonstrated in recent weeks which confirm

how the LTE TDD system is maturing towards commercialization. The recently

concluded BWA spectrum auction in India has paved the way for early and large

scale introduction of TDD LTE into the world’s fastest developing market”

GSA press release: www.gsacom.com/news/gsa_309.php4

The LTE market includes TDD

as well as FDD

Slide no. 22/30

Page 23: GSA Mobile Broadband Status Report August 2010

Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2010www.gsacom.com

LTE TDD is positioned as the next evolution of theTD-SCDMA family and a natural progression

From 3GPP standards perspective: commonality with FDD

From vendor perspective: increasing use of software defined radio techniques

From operator perspective: spectrum availability, flexible base stations

LTE TDD trials now

Timescales established for prototype, dual-mode and multimode devices

In-service estimated as 2010-2011

LTE TDD Is being showcased by many leading players at the

World Expo, Shanghai from May 2010

Clearwire (USA) has requested 3GPP to standardize LTE TDD for operation in 2496 – 2690 MHz

and on August 4, 2010 announced plans for technology trials to test both LTE TDD and LTE FDD

Softbank Mobile (Japan) is reported to be considering LTE TDD in 2.5 GHz spectrum it owns

LTE TDD opportunities identified

Slide no. 23/30

Page 24: GSA Mobile Broadband Status Report August 2010

Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2010www.gsacom.com

LTE TDD is being showcased by China Mobile and leading industry partners at the World Expo 2010, Shanghai. The

large-scale trial network covers the whole 5.28 square-km site, outdoors and in 9 pavilions and 2 demonstration

centers. Several products supporting the trial network are launched or planned including WWAN cards, routers and

dongles. Key milestones achieved in the trial include:

Demonstration of LTE TDD HD video telephone in single 20 MHz spectrum with peak DL speeds of up to 80 Mbps

Demonstration of VOD, video communication, and other high-speed mobile broadband apps

Demonstration of 24-channel video streaming

Mobile HD video conferencing between the trial network and another location

Inter-Operability Test of multiple LTE TDD USB dongles in a single mobile network cell

China Mobile will establish 3 further trial LTE TDD networks in Qingdao, Xiamen and Zhuhai - beginning Q3 2010.

China Mobile is also partnering with foreign operators to establish trial LTE TDD networks overseas, including Taiwan.

India is a key market for LTE TDD following the BWA spectrum auction. Qualcomm through its JV with local partners is

committed to LTE TDD and anticipates commercial service from 2011. Some other BWA spectrum winners are finalizing

their technology choice, so more winners may also choose LTE TDD.

LTE TDD is maturing towards commercialization

Slide no. 24/30

Page 25: GSA Mobile Broadband Status Report August 2010

Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2010www.gsacom.com

Mobile phones, computer and consumer electronic

devices including notebooks, netbooks, ultra-mobile

PC’s, gaming devices, cameras, and PMPs will

incorporate embedded LTE connectivity.

Source of data: GSA report “Evolution to LTE” – August 26, 2010

LTE eco-system is developing

Slide no. 25/30

Page 26: GSA Mobile Broadband Status Report August 2010

Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2010www.gsacom.com

Excellent Mobile Broadband TodayVoice and full Range of IP Services

Enhanced User ExperienceImproved voice and data capability

Rel-7 Rel-8

HSPA+

Rel-9 & beyond

(HSPA Evolved)

Rel-8

LTE

Rel-9 Rel-10

LTE - A

LTE leverages new, wider

and TDD spectrum

Rel-99

WCDMA

Rel-5 Rel-6

HSPA

2009 - 2010 2011+ - - - - - - - - - >

The roadmap for LTE

Slide no. 26/30

Page 27: GSA Mobile Broadband Status Report August 2010

Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2010www.gsacom.com

LTE is on track, attracting global industry support. The first LTE systems launched in 2009

LTE is the natural migration choice for GSM/HSPA operators. LTE is also the next generation mobile broadband system of choice of leading CDMA operators, who will be in the forefront of service introduction

As a result of collaboration between 3GPP, 3GPP2 and IEEE there is a roadmap for CDMA operators to evolve to LTE

The key spectrum bands for new LTE spectrum are 2.6 GHz and digital dividend bands (700, 800 MHz)

Re-farmed 1800 MHz spectrum enables LTE1800 to provide 2 times coverage compared to LTE2600

The LTE TDD mode is a real complement to LTE FDD and the perfect choice for providing high speed mobile broadband access through unpaired radio spectrum.

LTE TDD provides a future-proof evolutionary path for TD-SCDMA

With LTE we have one single global standard, securing and driving even higher economies of scale and importantly, simplifying roaming

LTE: the single global standard

Slide no. 27/30

Page 28: GSA Mobile Broadband Status Report August 2010

Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2010www.gsacom.com

Hong Kong - September 6, 2010Co-organized by

GSA, HKSTPC and HKWDC

Free to attend

Registration required:www.hkstp.org/HKSTPC/onlineRegistration.jsp?lan=en&formId=OF_0000117

Mobile broadband seminar: Hong Kong

Slide no. 28/30

Page 29: GSA Mobile Broadband Status Report August 2010

Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2010www.gsacom.com

GSA Mobile Broadband Forum: September 27, 2010 (afternoon)

More information, objectives, program, registration details

www.gsacom.com/programs/mobilebroadband.php4

Organized by GSA in association with IIR Mobile Broadband World as part of the Mobile Broadband Strategy Day

Top industry speakers

Delegates need to register (a fee is payable to IIR)

using the "Register Now" link on page www.iir-telecoms.com/I2GS2GSA

GSA members attending Mobile Broadband World conference (Sept 28-29) also qualify for discount

www.iir-telecoms.com/event/mobilebroadband

Mobile broadband seminar: London

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Page 30: GSA Mobile Broadband Status Report August 2010

Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2010www.gsacom.com

GSA Website www.gsacom.com

33,700 registered site users

downloading 15,000 + reports, papers each month

RSS newsfeed for immediate update alerts

GSA is also on Twitter and Facebook

GSA LinkedIN Group

Visit the website to download key GSA reports –free of charge

including EDGE, HSPA, HSPA+, LTE: Networks and devices60+ maps, charts at www.gsacom.com/news/statistics.php4

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