F G D H B C E I A Group A: 1,7 Group B: 9,15 Group C: 13,8 Group D: 6,2 Group E: 18,11 Group F: 12,4 Group G: 5,16 Group H: 10,3 Group I: 14,17
FG
D
HBC
EI A Group A: 1,7Group B: 9,15Group C: 13,8Group D: 6,2Group E: 18,11Group F: 12,4Group G: 5,16Group H: 10,3Group I: 14,17
“Suos Cultores Scientia Coronat”
- Syracuse University motto
PAF 101Module 5, Lecture 2
Class Agenda•Announcements•More on the Prince System
VOTE FOR SA President, Vice President, and Comptroller
It is on MySlice
Monday 4/9 – Thursday 4/12
Community Service Reminder
•The due date for the community service form is April 23
•Use the online form on 101 website.
•If you don’t turn in a community service form ever, you will lose 35 points. If you turn it in late, the late paper policy will be in effect.
DALE CARNEGIE
Competition Points
Winners
LosersAs of 4/9/18
GROUP POINTS
I 5E 4A 3C 3F 3D 2H 2B 0G 0
Prince Analysis Steps1. Identify Necessary Actions
2. Identify Key Players
3. Estimate Position (-5 to +5)
4. Estimate Power (1 to 5)
5. Estimate Priority (1 to 5)
6. Calculate Probabilities
7. Formulate Prince Strategies
Ex. 9.1
Ex. 9.2
Ex. 9.3
Ex. 9.4
Chapter 10
Step 1: Describing the Policy to be Implemented
•Be sure it is a policy and not a goal• Is it a federal, state or local policy?•Determine if it is a legislative, administrative or money
•Cannot be a judicial decision
Step 2: Identify Players• Government Units in the United States:
3,000 Counties19,000 municipalities
+ 43,000 special districts65,000 total government units
How To Select Players • Ask players, experts, and stakeholders.• Legislatures: They affect how a bill becomes a law at your geographic area
• Aggregation problems with legislative bodies • If not legislative, must be administrative • Interest groups can be important especially for new policies
• Watch out for dogs
New York State •Divided into three branches: Executive, Legislative, Judicial
•Governor Cuomo is the head of the Executive Branch.
•State Agencies like the New York Department of Education are under the Executive Branch
Onondaga County •County government is responsible for implementing and funding legislation enacted by the state and federal government
•Different departments help to administrate the different duties of the county
•Examples: Medicaid, Van Duyn Home and Hospital
Legislative Branch•New York has a bi-cameral or two house legislature.
•Which state is not bi-cameral?•Assembly is a 150 member body •Senate is a 62 member body
Executive Branch•Governor Cuomo appoints the heads of the different state agencies
•State agencies help put legislation into effect
•Don’t use the President or a Governor except for RARE cases
•Do research to figure it out!
Helpful Websites•http://www.assembly.state.ny.us/•http://www.senate.state.ny.us/senatehomepage.nsf/home?openform
•http://www.ny.gov/•http://www.ongov.net/•http://www.ongov.net/legislature/
Step 3:Estimating Issue Position•Empirical - quotes•Deductive Principles
• Special Interest Players (3-5)• Politicians, Legislative Bodies, Government Officials (0-2)
• Budget cost predispose toward opposition
Step 4: Estimating Power• Specific to Issues• Players with Veto Power: 4 or 5
• Legislatures• President, Governors, Mayors, etc.
• Non-veto-players: 3, 2, or 1• Sources of Power
• Official Position• Money• Numbers (voters)• Expertise
Step 5: Estimating Priority•Single issue player: high on relevant issue
•Multiple issue player: low to moderate on most issues
•Changes quickly in either direction•Frequency of statements are key
Step 6: Calculating 1. Calculation 1: Issue position X Power X
Priority=Prince Score• When Issue Position is 0, Power X Priority=(Prince Score)• Prince Scores in parenthesis are neutral scores
2. Calculation 2: Sum of all positive scores plus ½ of neutral scores
3. Calculation 3: Sum of all possible scores ignoring signs and parenthesis
4. Calculation 2/Calculation 3=Probability of Support
Don’t Be Hopelessly Naïve •No matter how much you love your policy proposal, your forecast from the Prince System should be under 50%
•WHY?
Bob Watson•President of NantHealth Inc.•Syracuse University Alumnus•MBA from the Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania
Extra Credit Opportunity
•Come in next class with a typed question to ask the speaker
•If all of your group members bring in questions, you get one extra credit point!
•If any group member forgets, no extra credit, but no points are lost
•You have nothing to lose and everything to gain so DO IT
For Next Class•Work on Module Five•Bring in a typed question for 1 point (everyone in your new group must bring a question for 1 point)