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Brazil Honduras Uruguay ECONOMIC OUTLOOK Group 1 Rafael Cynthia Julia Catherine Sophie
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Group 1 Rafael Cynthia Julia Catherine Sophie. Trade Facts with Taiwan Brazil Uruguay Honduras.

Dec 23, 2015

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Page 1: Group 1 Rafael Cynthia Julia Catherine Sophie. Trade Facts with Taiwan  Brazil  Uruguay  Honduras.

BrazilHondurasUruguay

ECONOMIC OUTLOOK Group 1Rafael

CynthiaJulia

Catherine Sophie

Page 2: Group 1 Rafael Cynthia Julia Catherine Sophie. Trade Facts with Taiwan  Brazil  Uruguay  Honduras.

Trade Facts with Taiwan

Brazil

Uruguay

 Honduras

Page 3: Group 1 Rafael Cynthia Julia Catherine Sophie. Trade Facts with Taiwan  Brazil  Uruguay  Honduras.

2012 2013 2012 2013 2012 2013Total Trade Exports Imports

0

1,000,000,000

2,000,000,000

3,000,000,000

4,000,000,000

5,000,000,000

6,000,000,000

5,032,227,480

4,589,979,964

1,989,249,775

1,835,079,553

3,042,977,705

2,754,900,411

Brazil

增減比 (%) 增減比 (%) 增減比 (%)

-10-50

-8.78

8

-7.75 -9.46

7

(22nd )

Page 4: Group 1 Rafael Cynthia Julia Catherine Sophie. Trade Facts with Taiwan  Brazil  Uruguay  Honduras.

2012 2013 2012 2013 2012 2013Total Trade Exports Imports

0

20,000,000

40,000,000

60,000,000

80,000,000

100,000,000

120,000,000

79,526,967

107,166,961

44,819,316

68,876,934

34,707,65138,290,027

Honduras (97th )

增減比 (%) 增減比 (%) 增減比 (%)

0102030405060

34.755

53.677

10.322

Page 5: Group 1 Rafael Cynthia Julia Catherine Sophie. Trade Facts with Taiwan  Brazil  Uruguay  Honduras.

2012 2013 2012 2013 2012 2013Total Trade Exports Imports

0

20,000,000

40,000,000

60,000,000

80,000,000

100,000,000

120,000,000

140,000,000

160,000,000

180,000,000 171,188,572167,897,941

156,263,334

147,756,711

14,925,23820,141,230

Uruguay

增減比 (%) 增減比 (%) 增減比 (%)

-10

0

10

20

30

40

-1.922 -5.444

34.947

(83rd)

Page 6: Group 1 Rafael Cynthia Julia Catherine Sophie. Trade Facts with Taiwan  Brazil  Uruguay  Honduras.

BRAZIL’S ECONOMIC, SOCIAL and CULTURAL OUTLOOK.

MAIN TOPICS:

BRIEF HISTORICAL CONTENTS;

MULTI-CULTURAL and RACIAL DIVERSIFIED NATION;

SOCIAL ASPECTS;

ECONOMIC OUTLOOK.

Page 7: Group 1 Rafael Cynthia Julia Catherine Sophie. Trade Facts with Taiwan  Brazil  Uruguay  Honduras.

Facts

Location: South AmericaPopulation: 201 millionArea: 8,5 mi km2 (5th)GDP: U$ 2,4 tri (7th)GDP per capita: US$12,500IDH: 0,744 (79th)

Page 8: Group 1 Rafael Cynthia Julia Catherine Sophie. Trade Facts with Taiwan  Brazil  Uruguay  Honduras.

Brazilian History Timeline

Page 9: Group 1 Rafael Cynthia Julia Catherine Sophie. Trade Facts with Taiwan  Brazil  Uruguay  Honduras.

CULTURAL INFLUENCES Native Indians; Portugal; Africa; Germany; Italy; Japan; Arabic.

Page 10: Group 1 Rafael Cynthia Julia Catherine Sophie. Trade Facts with Taiwan  Brazil  Uruguay  Honduras.
Page 11: Group 1 Rafael Cynthia Julia Catherine Sophie. Trade Facts with Taiwan  Brazil  Uruguay  Honduras.

MULTIRACIAL NATION

Page 12: Group 1 Rafael Cynthia Julia Catherine Sophie. Trade Facts with Taiwan  Brazil  Uruguay  Honduras.

SOCIAL ASPECTS Concentration of income and

wealth. Racial inequality (slavery heritage).

Page 13: Group 1 Rafael Cynthia Julia Catherine Sophie. Trade Facts with Taiwan  Brazil  Uruguay  Honduras.

BUT THE FIGURES ARE GETTING BETTER.

Page 14: Group 1 Rafael Cynthia Julia Catherine Sophie. Trade Facts with Taiwan  Brazil  Uruguay  Honduras.

RacialInequality

Page 15: Group 1 Rafael Cynthia Julia Catherine Sophie. Trade Facts with Taiwan  Brazil  Uruguay  Honduras.
Page 16: Group 1 Rafael Cynthia Julia Catherine Sophie. Trade Facts with Taiwan  Brazil  Uruguay  Honduras.

Economic Outlook Composition of the GDP: agriculture 5,5%; industry

28,7%; services: 65,8%. Main Industries: automobiles, steel, oil, chemical,

computers, aircraft (3rd). Agricultural Production (3rd): Coffee, soybeans,

wheat, rice, corn, cane, cocoa, citrus fruits, meat.

Page 17: Group 1 Rafael Cynthia Julia Catherine Sophie. Trade Facts with Taiwan  Brazil  Uruguay  Honduras.

GDP Annual Growth

Page 18: Group 1 Rafael Cynthia Julia Catherine Sophie. Trade Facts with Taiwan  Brazil  Uruguay  Honduras.

Unemployment Rate

Page 19: Group 1 Rafael Cynthia Julia Catherine Sophie. Trade Facts with Taiwan  Brazil  Uruguay  Honduras.

Inflation Rate

Page 20: Group 1 Rafael Cynthia Julia Catherine Sophie. Trade Facts with Taiwan  Brazil  Uruguay  Honduras.

Inflation rate x interest rate

Page 21: Group 1 Rafael Cynthia Julia Catherine Sophie. Trade Facts with Taiwan  Brazil  Uruguay  Honduras.

Current questions about Brazil What are the root cause of Brazilian form of

racism, Corruption, Poor public service, crumbling infrastructure and inequality?

Did the World Cup help Brazil? And how about 2016 Olympics?

Will the election in October be the timing for changing Brazil?

Page 22: Group 1 Rafael Cynthia Julia Catherine Sophie. Trade Facts with Taiwan  Brazil  Uruguay  Honduras.

REPUBLIC OF HONDURAS

Page 23: Group 1 Rafael Cynthia Julia Catherine Sophie. Trade Facts with Taiwan  Brazil  Uruguay  Honduras.

FACTS

Known for its production of minerals, coffee, tropical fruit, sugar cane, beans, corn and bananas, as well as for its growing textiles industry, which serves the international market.

Located at Central America.

Bordered to the west: Guatemala; southwest: El Salvador; southeast: Nicaragua; south: Pacific Ocean; north: Caribbean Sea.

Area of about 112,492 km².

Page 24: Group 1 Rafael Cynthia Julia Catherine Sophie. Trade Facts with Taiwan  Brazil  Uruguay  Honduras.

FACTS Population of more than 8 millions

people. Multiethnic, 4 major ethnic families:

majority white or mestizos, indigenous peoples (Lenca, Miskito, Tolupanes, Chortis, Pech, Tawahkas), Garifuna and Creole English speakers.

Rugged territory, with rows of high mountains, high plateaus, deep valleys with extensive and fertile plains crossed by rivers (99.8% land, 0.2% water).

Page 25: Group 1 Rafael Cynthia Julia Catherine Sophie. Trade Facts with Taiwan  Brazil  Uruguay  Honduras.

STATISTICS Life expectancy at birth: 73.4

years Children average schooling: 11.4

years GDP per capita: USD$3,426 9.5% of the population is elderly,

of which less tan 1.6% receives a pension.

Birth rate: 26.14% Fertility Rate: 3.05 children per

woman More tan 50% lives under the

poverty line.

Page 26: Group 1 Rafael Cynthia Julia Catherine Sophie. Trade Facts with Taiwan  Brazil  Uruguay  Honduras.

ECONOMY

Grows on agriculture and remittances. Less than 40% of Hondurans are

economically active. 40% agriculture sector 30% in services 16% in industry

Many work at the informal economy, which makes difficult to identify (selling fruits, vegetables, clothes, and various other items in the streets).

Page 27: Group 1 Rafael Cynthia Julia Catherine Sophie. Trade Facts with Taiwan  Brazil  Uruguay  Honduras.

GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCTION (GDP)

Drop in 2009-2010

For 2014, the expectancy is for GDP to have a slightly grow between 3.0% and 3.1%.

Page 28: Group 1 Rafael Cynthia Julia Catherine Sophie. Trade Facts with Taiwan  Brazil  Uruguay  Honduras.

EXPORTS VRS IMPORTS Honduras

imports are higher tan its exports.

Page 29: Group 1 Rafael Cynthia Julia Catherine Sophie. Trade Facts with Taiwan  Brazil  Uruguay  Honduras.

INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION GROWTH (%)

Page 30: Group 1 Rafael Cynthia Julia Catherine Sophie. Trade Facts with Taiwan  Brazil  Uruguay  Honduras.

INFLATION RATE

Source: Central Bank of Honduras

Inflation rate has been decreasing for the last years.

Page 31: Group 1 Rafael Cynthia Julia Catherine Sophie. Trade Facts with Taiwan  Brazil  Uruguay  Honduras.

INFLATION RATE

Source: http://es.tradingeconomics.com/

By august 2014, inflation is 6.59%.

Experts consider that the country will close with an inflation rate between 8% and 9%.

Page 32: Group 1 Rafael Cynthia Julia Catherine Sophie. Trade Facts with Taiwan  Brazil  Uruguay  Honduras.

UNEMPLOYMENT RATE

Source: Central Bank of Honduras

The new government launched the program “Better Life”, that pretends to create 25,000 jobs per year during the next 4 years.

In the first 3 months, more tan 8,400 people were inserted to the labor force.

Page 33: Group 1 Rafael Cynthia Julia Catherine Sophie. Trade Facts with Taiwan  Brazil  Uruguay  Honduras.

WHY VISIT HONDURAS

World´s second largest Coral Reef.

Mayan Ruins Archaeological Park

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1eGER22vdVM

https://www.youtube.com/watch=tr2DB-nMaLQ&index=2&list=PL36D5C75319DE930B

Page 34: Group 1 Rafael Cynthia Julia Catherine Sophie. Trade Facts with Taiwan  Brazil  Uruguay  Honduras.

Uruguay Academy of International Economic Affairs, MOEA Taiwan 2014

Page 35: Group 1 Rafael Cynthia Julia Catherine Sophie. Trade Facts with Taiwan  Brazil  Uruguay  Honduras.

Uruguaycountry overview

• Full name: Oriental Republic of Uruguay

• Capital: Montevideo

• Area: 176,215 sq km • Population: 3.3 million

Page 36: Group 1 Rafael Cynthia Julia Catherine Sophie. Trade Facts with Taiwan  Brazil  Uruguay  Honduras.

UruguayCultural background

• Mostly Spanish and Italian origin• Ethnic Groups: 89% White, other: Mestizo or Mulatto• Major religion: Christianity but Secular State• Language: Spanish• Traditions: Tango, Gaucho, Mate, Asado

Page 37: Group 1 Rafael Cynthia Julia Catherine Sophie. Trade Facts with Taiwan  Brazil  Uruguay  Honduras.

UruguaySocial background

• Political and Social stability

Page 38: Group 1 Rafael Cynthia Julia Catherine Sophie. Trade Facts with Taiwan  Brazil  Uruguay  Honduras.

UruguaySocial background

Population Aging• Life expectancy: 74 years (men),

81 years (women)• Population over 60 age: 19%• Fertility rate: 1,9 less of replacement

Other isssues• Unemployment: 6,1%• Tax reform and health system

reform• Recently immigration

Page 39: Group 1 Rafael Cynthia Julia Catherine Sophie. Trade Facts with Taiwan  Brazil  Uruguay  Honduras.

Trade openness

UruguayEconomic aspects

• Free ports and airport • Free Zones • Increasingly expanding market as member of the MERCOSUR.

Page 40: Group 1 Rafael Cynthia Julia Catherine Sophie. Trade Facts with Taiwan  Brazil  Uruguay  Honduras.

UruguayEconomic aspects

Investment Grade Status

Page 41: Group 1 Rafael Cynthia Julia Catherine Sophie. Trade Facts with Taiwan  Brazil  Uruguay  Honduras.

UruguayEconomic aspects Growth

Page 42: Group 1 Rafael Cynthia Julia Catherine Sophie. Trade Facts with Taiwan  Brazil  Uruguay  Honduras.

UruguayEconomic aspects

Page 43: Group 1 Rafael Cynthia Julia Catherine Sophie. Trade Facts with Taiwan  Brazil  Uruguay  Honduras.

UruguayRisks

• Inflation

• Attempt wage growth with productivity

• Possible effects of a change in the Global Economy

Page 44: Group 1 Rafael Cynthia Julia Catherine Sophie. Trade Facts with Taiwan  Brazil  Uruguay  Honduras.

UruguayChallenges

Limitations to development:• Lack of innovation capacity• Technological dependence

More information (english)http://www.uruguayxxi.gub.uy/en/welcome-to-uruguay/

Documentary “El lejano sur” (“The far south” in chinese)http://www.zaichina.net/2011/05/06/documental-de-ana-tipa-la-comunidad-china-en-uruguay/

Page 45: Group 1 Rafael Cynthia Julia Catherine Sophie. Trade Facts with Taiwan  Brazil  Uruguay  Honduras.

Uruguay

GRACIAS !!!