) :J lLI t, l'L¡ ft ¡¡nr- cú Er+ @¿E i*r".-ú d¡ore & C.Éi dr?oh rttÉE rü;E-- ú ó=P are 'rir rh*Sc liE:.:r: rc'=r dc¡: úüEá1 C@ rGlrt( Hry úi. ñ: .r¡É r -i@-- ¡ioezi dao tPE@ D=ir }f,ru-t .,€.:á ]¡qri¡:f =r@9; eort SE :úri@ l-- g 'r='t :u ü Ttte Logic of Strategic Defeaion When a judge decides a case in favor of the governmenq is it b-ecruse he ", ,i. ,lípíy "g."es with üe governm€nt's position in the case? Or rloes ii * rr"t á*iti"" instead reflect a fear of reprisal were he or she to stand rr ,o,fr" ".*t"-ent? Conversely, when a judge decides cases against the ;";;;;,, is it because he or she mrly disagrees wiü the government's oosition? Or is it for some other reason? '-;;;;"g on üe tools of positive political theory this chapter and the n.o a*plo."" " na* set of anwers to these questions by recasting fundamen- arll ,h" "orur""alon between the choices judges make and tlte constraints ,ft.y fr.". At t}re core of the argument is the idea that judges rule against Áe rulers not because judges enjoy independencs i¡ ¿ s6¡vs¡tienal sense t". i"Á" .ft"y f"". b"i.r pr,tithta by the govemment's successors' I la- bel this phenoÁenon stra¿gic defection' Strategic defection constitutes a Lgi."i -'U". t"t",ofore under-theorized - judicial response to a particular irri¡to.lond ,"ttirrg, namely one in iudges lack institutional securiry and the main threit to their securiry stems from incoming political actors rather üan incumbents. To develop this argument, üe chapter unfolds as follows Section 2 1 i.rt odo.", th" ,t rrdr-.d üew of judges as strategic decision makers Sec- tion 2.2 shows how strategic defection differs f¡om several famiLiar views .i¡"ái.id f.fr"t;"r. SectiJn 2.3 uses a simple spatial model to.offer a first ."i ,. .*ffo.-g.he conditions leading to strategic defection The next four ,".i."r',ft"" Ixamine informally the 'arious assumpdons on which the iogi. of.urt"gl. defection rests, including iudges' motivations' iudges'in- fo"rmation abÁt the incoming government, and the number of sancrioning players required to punish iudges'
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