Greet Janssens-Maenhout, Diego Guizzardi, Monica Crippa ... · Greet Janssens-Maenhout, Diego Guizzardi, Monica Crippa, Marilena Muntean, Frank Dentener, Pouliot, Terry Keating, Qiang

HTAP_v2 global anthropogenic emission gridmaps for air pollution models: Trade-off between regional specificity and global consistency

Greet Janssens-Maenhout, Diego Guizzardi, Monica Crippa, Marilena Muntean, Frank Dentener, George Pouliot, Terry Keating, Qiang Zhang, Jun-ichi Kurokawa, Hugo Denier van der Gon

Conclusions:

o  HTAPv2.2 provides detailed regional estimates of SO2, NOx, CO, NMVOC, NH3, PM10, PM2.5, BC and OC for 2008 and 2010 in monthly 0.1°x0.1° maps ! accounting for the fine spatial resolution and the regional expert information on implemented technologies and end-of-pipe measures

o  EDGARv4.3 provides insight on potentially assumed technologies/ emission factors/ end-of-pipe abatement implementation ! reveals differences with EMEP/EEA default emission factors

o  The EDGARv4.3 activity data provide temporal trends 1970-2010 (PEGASOS) ! policy hindcast scenarios to evaluate the climate impact of European air quality legislation over the past 4 decades.

HTAP_v2.2 rationale & compilation

Online: final version HTAP_v2.2 of 18/12/13 on ftp://[email protected] or http://edgar.jrc.ec.europa.eu/htap_v2/index.php?SECURE=123 or ECCAD Used by the TF HTAP modellers community to estimate air pollution impacts Remarks: o  Only complete countries/ complete speciation from “official” inventories included. o  Sector-specific gapfilling was done occasionally (e.g. EMEP-TNO) o  Special allocation of point-sources at borders needed for deriving country totals

(e.g. Power Plants)

HTAPv2.2= harmonised mosaic of official & semi-official 0.1°x0.1° monthly gridmaps, gapfilled for global coverage

HTAPv2.2 versus EDGARv4.3

EOP reductions

Country-, sector-, technology-specific emission factors with EOP reductions (EMEP/EEA Corinair, AP42, literature)

GHG

SO2, NOx, CO,

NMVOC, NH3,

PM10, PM2.5,

BC, OC

Regional technologies & end-of-pipe abatement (Platts)

International Statistics on Human Activities

coal, gas, oil, bio types of fuel (IEA fuel statistics, BP, NBSC,

Commodity statistics)

animals, crops (FAO)

Intercomparison HTAP_v2.2 A.P.

EDGAR_v4.3 MACCity Klimont et al. (2013)

HTAP_v2.2 aerosols: global per capita analysis

Industrialized countries

(I)

Countries with

Emerging Economy

(E)

Developing Countries

(D)

Hindcast scenarios for PEGASOS

o  Scenario 1 = 2010 reference case; o  Scenario 2 = 2010 without end-of-pipe in the energy and transport sector o  Scenario 3 = 2010 activity with 1970 emission factors & without end-of-pipe in

the energy, transport and industry sector ratio

ratio

ratio

ratio

References

o  Janssens-Maenhout et al (2014), HTAP_v2 report, No. JRC_90465, in review

o  TNO & MACC dataset of TNO, cfr. Kuenen et al (2014), ACPD 14, 5837–5869, 2014

o  MEIC dataset of Zhang and He, cfr. Lu et al (2011), ACP 11, 9839-9864, 2011

o  REAS dataset of Kurokawa et al (2013), ACP 13, 11019-11058, 2013

o  Extension of HTAP_v2 with Hg, which we’ll compare to the EDGARv4.tox1 of Muntean et al (2014), accepted by STOTEN (cfr. Poster session)

Also acknowledged: Katerina Sindelarova, Michael Schulz, Jeroen Kuenen, Aude Mieville, Greg Frost, Ann Kean and the users of HTAP_v2 who sent feedback