Green Beat 09 Visions of the Smart Grid Panel

8/14/2019 Green Beat 09 Visions of the Smart Grid Panel

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VISIONS FOR THE SMART GRID PANELVISIONS FOR THE SMART GRID PANELAndrew Tang, Senior Director,Andrew Tang, Senior Director,

Smart Energy Web, PG&ESmart Energy Web, PG&E

PhilipPhilip MezeyMezey, SVP & COO,, SVP & COO,

ItronItron North AmericaNorth America

DavidDavid PacynaPacyna, SVP & GM, NAFTA, SVP & GM, NAFTA

Transmission & Distribution,Transmission & Distribution,

Siemens EnergySiemens Energy

Sharon Allan, Senior Executive, NorthSharon Allan, Senior Executive, NorthAmerican Smart Grid Practice, AccentureAmerican Smart Grid Practice, Accenture

HOST: Matt MarshallHOST: Matt Marshall


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GreenGreenBeatBeat 20092009

SmartGridSmartGrid Vision for 2015Vision for 2015

Andrew TangSenior Director

Smart Energy Web

November 19, 2009


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Challenge: Peakiness of Demand

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

40,000

45,000

50,000

0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000 4,500 5,000 5,500 6,000 6,500 7,000 7,500 8,000 8,500

MW

Last 25% of capacityneeded less than10% of the time

Last 5% (2,500 MW)needed less than 50

hours per year

Annual Generation Utilization


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Challenge: Integrating Projected Generation Mix

Nuclear

LargeHydro

Coal

Renewable

NaturalGas

Other

2009 2020

Nuclear

LargeHydro

Renewable*

NaturalGas

Other*With 33% RPS


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Challenge: Distributed Generation

40% of US solar PV interconnections are in PG&Es service territory


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PV Solar Is Concentrated

596 citiesAverage = 57

Median = 12

Mode (86 cities) = 1

Top 20 cities = 38% of total


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Challenge: Electric Vehicle Growth

Average (532)

Low (219)

HEV Historical

Cumulative PG&E Service Territory PEVMarket Adoption Scenarios

High (845)

ThousandsofE

Vs

* Shifted 10 years forward


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Fresno CA:

New registrations: 83K

HEV registrations: 2K

2.4% new registrationsHEVs

HEV zip code median: 11

HEV density: A Tale of Two Cities

= 25 HEVs

Source: Polk & Company, DMV new carregistrations.


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Berkeley CA:

New registrations: 14K

HEV registrations: 2.5K

18% new registrationsHEVs

HEV zip code median: 212

= 25 HEVs

Source: Polk & Company, DMV new car

registrations.

HEV density: A Tale of Two Cities


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PEV Charging Creates A Significant Increase In Load

0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0

BEV @ 240V/30A

San Ramon

Rocklin

Fresno

Vacaville

Berkeley

San Francisco

kW

Customers will prefer a240V charge to shorten

recharge times

PEV charging is a large load for PG&Ecustomers, comparable to average peak

summer load of a single home

Source: http://www.nissanusa.com/leaf-electric-car/#/charging, August 14, 2009

240V/30A

4 hours

240V/15A

8 hours

120V/12A

Rate of charge

BEVRechargetime 16 hours


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Four ChallengesPeakiness in the absence of Time Shifting Aggressive additions to Intermittent Renewables

Local Concentrations of EVsLocal Concentrations of DG


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Smart Grid Vision 2015

Power

Plants

Transmission

Networks

Substations Distribution

Networks

Consumers

Overlay with intelligence and automation

Sense Communicate Compute Control


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Challenges On The Horizon

Policy

Technology

Consumer Adoption


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2009, Itron Inc.


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2009, Itron Inc.

The smart grid is about more

than just communications,

technology and energy

systems allowing us to secure

our future. Its about acultural transformation for

the utility industry and all

consumers of energy.


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2009, Itron Inc.

Building the smart grid may

take a lifetime. But aspects of

it are here today and it is

developing rapidly. To be

successful, we need aninfrastructure designed to

evolve and interoperate.


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2009, Itron Inc.

Is it too obvious a thought

that we need to protect the

worlds energy and water

supply? Evidently not. Its

time to get real about thelevel of security needed to

secure our energy

infrastructure.


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2009, Itron Inc.

Too many discussions about

the smart grid are framed

with only the worlds largest

utilities in mind. The key

players of course have a bigstake in the grids future, but

all utilities need to be able to

access the grid and use it in

ways that meet their unique

objectives.


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2009, Itron Inc.

Advanced metering is the

technology around which the

smart grid is built. Why?

Because it acts as the smart

grids nervous system,flowing with information and

commands. Because it

provides the necessary

ongoing measurement for

the grids networks,

technologies and other

applications. Because it

becomes the framework for a

multi-application network.

And most importantly,

because it is here today.


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2009, Itron Inc.

Utilities, regulators,

consumers and others are

tired of excessive hype

around the smart grid. We

are too.


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2009, Itron Inc.

For some time, the

definitions of open and

standards have been

debated, misunderstood and

often misrepresented.


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2009, Itron Inc.

The smart grid is creating

new ways to understand

energy use and behaviors.

With this comes the

development of new rolesfrom the utility executive to

the end use customer. But

what does this all mean?


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2009, Itron Inc.

Sometimes patches can be a

good thing: A mended hole in

a garment. A bandage that

helps a wound heal. A piece

of tape on an exposed wire inyour kitchen until the

electrician shows up. By

definition, a patch is a

temporary fix, a short-term

solution. But imagine an

energy grid where functions

along the network are

patched together and

incompatible. That wont

work.


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2009, Itron Inc.

If theres one thing that 30

years of experience driving

innovation for utilities has

taught us, its that our

complex industry is biggerthan any one company. We

have to work together.


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November 2009 2009 Siemens Energy, Inc. All rights reserved

Smart Grid in 2015..

Becoming Grid As Usual

Demand Response and RPS Targets Part of Every Utilitys Strategy

Decoupling, TOU Rates, and other Innovative Measures Create NewParadigm for Economic Structure of the Industry

Nationwide Transmission Superhighway.Under Construction!

eMobilityGaining Speed

Storage, Fast Charging for eCars, Self Healing NetworksSettingthe Technology Pace


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SHARON ALLENSHARON ALLEN


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Copyright 2009 Accenture All Rights Reserved. 33

Smart Grid 2015: Transformation Connections

More Renewable and DistributedResources Wind: From a fraction of a percent 5

years ago to 3% by 2015 Solar Photovoltaics: From a fraction

of a percent 5 years ago to 1.5% by2015

MicroGrids

Integrated Visualization, Analytics,& Control

Smart Meters utilized for more thangenerating a monthly bill From less than 1 million 5 years ago

to over 57M in 2015 (NA)


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Copyright 2009 Accenture All Rights Reserved. 34

Smart Grid 2015: Digitizing and Connecting

Electrification (EV/PHEV and Boats)

From virtually none 5 years ago to

projections of 1.7M Worldwide President Obama wants 1.5M by

2015

V2G limited will likely occur

beyond 2015

More Consumer/Businessofferings

Value to Customer

More accessible information

Smart Grid 2015 Not just Technology but part of


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Smart Grid 2015: Not just Technology but part ofSocial Norms

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Sharon Allan

Partner, Accenture

NA Smart Grid Services

[email protected]

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Sources:1.Pike Research Forecast2.Montreal PHEV World 2009

3.IEA report, Transport, Energy&CO2: Moving Toward Sustainability (2009)4. "EPRI Joins Ford-SCE Analysis of Plug-In Hybrids on Grid," Targeted News Service, 27 March 2008, viaFactiva, Copyright 2008, Targeted News Service.

5. "PSA Peugeot Citron's EV Strategy Shifts into High Gear," Business Wire Regulatory Disclosure, 5 March2009, via Factiva, 2009, Business Wire.

6. Masia, Seth, comment on "EV Batteries: An Investor's Take," Solor Today Blog, comment posted March 29,2009, http://ases.org/index.php?option=com_myblog&show=EV-batteries-An-investors-take.html&Itemid=27 .

7. International Energy Agencys World Energy Outlook 2009

Green Beat 09 Visions of the Smart Grid Panel

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