Top Banner

of 56

Granen Cuesta

Jun 03, 2018

Download

Documents

Stiven López
Welcome message from author
This document is posted to help you gain knowledge. Please leave a comment to let me know what you think about it! Share it to your friends and learn new things together.
Transcript
  • 8/12/2019 Granen Cuesta

    1/56

    2014 I. A . C I' C P I.

    G E E

    2014

    E G C

    I 20252:2006 / I 9001:2008

    F: F 27 2014.E . 14013902

    M 3 F

  • 8/12/2019 Granen Cuesta

    2/56

    CEID

    1. F

    2. E E

    3. E E

    4. A E

    5. C

    6. I

    7.

    8. D

    9. E F A

  • 8/12/2019 Granen Cuesta

    3/56

    3

    F

  • 8/12/2019 Granen Cuesta

    4/56

  • 8/12/2019 Granen Cuesta

    5/56

    5

    D D

    E

    E A (5 6) =4%

    E M ( 3 4) = 29%

    E B (1 2)= 67%

    F

    B: 1.201 ;

    51% 49%

    34%

    19%

    11%

    9%

    8%

    5%

    4%

    4%

    3%

    2%

    1%

    0%

    N

    P L

    P C

    P U

    C D

    P PD

    P V

    P C R

    E

    P M

    D

    P PIN (OC)

    18%

    23%

    19%

    17%

    23%

    18 24

    25 34

    35 44

    45 54

    M 54

  • 8/12/2019 Granen Cuesta

    6/56

    6

    D C

    62% 62%

    58% 58%56%

    59% 59% 58%

    38% 38%

    42% 42% 44%

    41% 41% 42%

    A

    br./

    2012

    Jul./2012

    S

    ep./

    2012

    A

    br./

    2013

    Jul./2013

    S

    ep./

    2013

    N

    ov./

    2013

    F

    eb./

    2014

    C

    2010?( )

    Si vot No vot/No recuerda

    B: 1.201 ; .

    ?( )

    (2 )

    69,12%

    27,47%

    3,40%

    73%

    13%

    7%

    7%

    76%

    12%

    7%

    5%

    62%

    20%

    13%

    5%

    65%

    17%

    12%

    6%

    65%

    18%

    10%

    7%

    Por Juan

    Manuel

    Santos

    Por Antanas

    Mockus

    Vot en

    blanco

    No recuerda

    Feb./2014Nov./2013

    Sep./2013

    Jul./2013

    Abr./2013

    B: 693 ; . 507

    J M S, 90 A M, 97 E B R.

  • 8/12/2019 Granen Cuesta

    7/56

    7

    D D

    B

    C

    A

    D

    A B 34

    A B 21

    A S 24

    C L A 19

    B S J N 21

    S S M 22

    S S 29

    M S 29

    L G U 23

    C V 29

    D

    A M 76A E 31

    R D 36

    Q F 34

    Q G 19

    C M 29

    C V 20

    D

    S F 26

    N S B 17

    N S S 20

    S S 27

    S G 26

    C M 13

    C S 26

    B T 26

    D V C C 66

    V C P 20

    V C P 24

    C A 31

    N S 23

    C P 22

    C S 28

    D

    M V 33

    T H 36

    H P 17

    D

    B B 224

  • 8/12/2019 Granen Cuesta

    8/56

  • 8/12/2019 Granen Cuesta

    9/56

    9

    I 2014

    25 2014 ?

    B: 1.201 ; .

    12%

    4%

    18%

    15%

    50%

    15%

    5%

    15%

    14%

    51%

    14%

    5%

    16%

    13%

    52%

    D

    P

    N

    P

    D

    F14 E14 N13

    VotantesFeb 2014= 65%Ene 2014= 65%Nov 2013 = 65%

    No votantesFeb 2014= 35%Ene 2014 = 35%Nov 2013 = 35%

  • 8/12/2019 Granen Cuesta

    10/56

    10

    E C ,

    , , , ?

    3%

    21%

    25%

    1%

    6%

    4%

    12%

    26%

    3%

    25%

    26%

    1%

    4%

    6%

    9%

    26%

    2%

    25%

    25%

    2%

    4%

    5%

    8%

    29%

    N

    V

    A

    A A

    C L

    E P

    I

    J M S

    F14 E14B: 781 ; S

    E 1 E 2

    27%

    23%

    1%

    4%

    6%

    6%

    8%

    25%

    3%

    24%

    23%

    2%

    3%

    4%

    5%

    8%

    28%

    N

    V

    A

    A A

    M L R

    C L

    E P

    I

    J M S

    F14 E14

  • 8/12/2019 Granen Cuesta

    11/56

    11

    E 1

    , , ?

    B(12)

    (3

    4)

    A(56)

    C

    L

    C

    D

    I

    /

    J

    F./14 29% 33% 20% 23% 26% 47% 53% 10% 24% 20%

    E./14 26% 29% 22% 22% 28% 40% 35% 15% 14% 20%

    D/13 26% 27% 23% 27% 27% 38% 33% ND 15% 19%

    I

    F./14 8% 5% 11% 26% 5% 3% 4% 47% 3% 4%

    E./14 9% 8% 10% 21% 14% 5% 10% 36% 6% 3%

    D/13 12% 11% 9% 23% 17% 8% 12% ND 17% 6%

    E

    F./14 5% 4% 7% 9% 7% 5% 9% 8% 7% 1%

    E./14 6% 4% 8% 9% 5% 6% 3% 9% 7% 5%D/13 4% 3% 7% 4% 5% 3% 2% ND 3% 5%

    C L

    F./14 4% 5% 3% 8% 2% 7% 4% 4% 9% 2%

    E./14 4% 3% 4% 9% 7% 4% 1% 1% 8% 1%

    D/13 6% 4% 12% 4% 2% 5% 4% ND 13% 7%

    A A

    F./14 2% 1% 3% 2% 1% 1% 0% 1% 4% 2%

    E./14 1% 1% 1% 5% 2% 0% 0% 1% 4% 2%

    D/13 1% 2% 1% 2% 0% 2% 0% ND 3% 2%

    F./14 25% 22% 31% 25% 26% 16% 10% 14% 30% 35%

    E./14 25% 21% 34% 21% 10% 17% 18% 20% 42% 34%D/13 21% 20% 23% 15% 14% 16% 18% ND 24% 29%

    A

    F./14 25% 27% 24% 7% 30% 21% 19% 13% 20% 33%

    E./14 26% 31% 20% 7% 27% 26% 31% 18% 14% 34%D/13 25% 29% 19% 11% 29% 24% 25% ND 18% 29%

    F./14 2% 3% 1% 0% 3% 0% 1% 2% 3% 3%

    E./14 3% 3% 1% 6% 7% 2% 2% 0% 5% 1%D/13 3% 2% 5% 5% 1% 4% 5% ND 4% 2%

    B F./14 781 520 219 42 100 156 76 77 128 243

    E./14 800 535 221 44 119 178 100 64 127 213D/13 801 515 239 46 133 165 149 ND 156 198

    Grupos de Estratos Filiacin Partidista

  • 8/12/2019 Granen Cuesta

    12/56

    12

    E 1

    B: 800 ; S

    H

    D1824

    D2534

    D3544

    D4554

    54

    J

    F./14 29% 33% 26% 18% 28% 25% 35% 38%

    E./14 26% 28% 24% 22% 22% 30% 23% 36%

    D/13 26% 27% 26% 14% 20% 32% 26% 37%

    I F./14 8% 10% 6% 5% 5% 12% 6% 10%E./14 9% 11% 7% 5% 8% 11% 10% 12%

    D/13 12% 14% 8% 10% 8% 11% 14% 14%

    E

    F./14 5% 5% 5% 5% 4% 4% 6% 6%

    E./14 6% 6% 5% 1% 5% 4% 10% 8%

    D/13 4% 5% 3% 3% 3% 4% 8% 2%

    C L

    F./14 4% 5% 4% 5% 5% 6% 3% 5%

    E./14 4% 3% 5% 5% 1% 5% 6% 3%D/13 6% 5% 7% 8% 4% 3% 9% 7%

    A A

    F./14 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2%

    E./14 1% 2% 1% 0% 0% 2% 2% 3%D/13 1% 1% 2% 2% 1% 1% 3% 2%

    F./14 25% 26% 23% 36% 30% 21% 19% 19%

    E./14 25% 26% 23% 31% 31% 25% 22% 13%

    D/13 21% 21% 20% 29% 25% 19% 19% 12%

    A

    F./14 25% 17% 33% 30% 24% 29% 24% 19%E./14 26% 22% 31% 34% 27% 23% 24% 23%

    D/13 25% 21% 30% 31% 31% 23% 19% 21%

    F./14 2% 2% 2% 0% 3% 1% 5% 1%

    E./14 3% 2% 4% 2% 6% 0% 3% 2%

    D/13 3% 4% 2% 1% 6% 3% 2% 3%

    B F./14 781 394 387 121 197 153 148 162

    E./14 800 401 399 148 186 149 148 170

    D/13 801 429 372 139 186 151 147 176

    Sexo Rangos de Edad

    ,

    , ?

  • 8/12/2019 Granen Cuesta

    13/56

    13

    E 1

    B: 800 ; S

    B

    A

    C

    J

    F./14 29% 23% 44% 20% 27% 31% 25%

    E./14 26% 23% 45% 15% 25% 26% 16%

    D/13 26% 25% 35% 21% 21% 32% 18%

    I

    F./14 8% 12% 8% 11% 3% 6% 5%

    E./14 9% 6% 9% 14% 11% 6% 6%D/13 12% 11% 8% 15% 10% 13% 12%

    E

    F./14 5% 8% 1% 5% 6% 7% 3%

    E./14 6% 12% 7% 3% 4% 4% 0%

    D/13 4% 7% 2% 1% 4% 0% 16%

    C L

    F./14 4% 10% 4% 5% 1% 3% 4%

    E./14 4% 4% 4% 2% 5% 3% 2%

    D/13 6% 6% 7% 4% 8% 7% 8%

    A A

    F./14 2% 2% 2% 0% 0% 3% 5%

    E./14 1% 1% 1% 1% 3% 1% 1%

    D/13 1% 3% 1% 1% 2% 2% 0%

    F./14 25% 27% 11% 32% 30% 20% 42%

    E./14 25% 34% 5% 33% 34% 25% 17%

    D/13 21% 21% 9% 22% 29% 25% 23%

    A

    F./14 25% 17% 30% 25% 28% 27% 15%

    E./14 26% 16% 28% 29% 18% 29% 57%

    D/13 25% 22% 34% 29% 23% 15% 20%

    F./14 2% 1% 0% 2% 5% 3% 1%

    E./14 3% 4% 1% 3% 0% 6% 1%

    D/13 3% 4% 4% 2% 1% 4% 1%

    B

    F./14 781 138 179 155 133 124 53

    E./14 800 145 178 160 131 135 52

    D/13 801 165 173 166 132 114 52

    Regin

    , ,

    ?

  • 8/12/2019 Granen Cuesta

    14/56

    14

    E 2 C , , , , ? ( )

    B: 646 ; S

    B

    (12)

    (34)

    A(56)

    C

    L

    C

    D

    I

    /

    J F./14 28% 32% 21% 21% 26% 45% 51% 9% 25% 20%

    E./14 25% 28% 22% 22% 18% 46% 39% 16% 15% 15%

    I F./14 8% 6% 9% 21% 5% 4% 4% 42% 2% 4%

    E./14 8% 6% 8% 17% 16% 1% 7% 47% 3% 2%

    E F./14 5% 4% 6% 11% 7% 4% 12% 6% 5% 2%

    E./14 6% 1% 8% 15% 1% 6% 6% 7% 10% 5%

    C L F./14 4% 4% 4% 8% 2% 5% 3% 5% 10% 2%E./14 6% 7% 5% 4% 3% 7% 0% 0% 16% 1%

    L F./14 3% 3% 2% 7% 3% 2% 2% 7% 4% 1%

    E./14 4% 3% 4% 8% 10% 2% 3% 9% 1% 5%

    A A F./14 2% 2% 3% 2% 1% 3% 0% 1% 4% 2%

    E./14 1% 1% 1% 2% 0% 1% 0% 0% 1% 2%

    F./14 24% 20% 31% 23% 24% 15% 11% 15% 26% 34%

    E./14 27% 26% 29% 17% 11% 20% 21% 12% 37% 36%

    A F./14 23% 27% 19% 5% 25% 21% 15% 13% 20% 33%

    E./14 23% 28% 20% 15% 37% 17% 24% 9% 14% 33%

    F./14 3% 2% 5% 2% 7% 1% 2% 2% 4% 2%

    E./14 1% 0% 3% 0% 4% 0% 0% 0% 3% 1%

    B F./14 781 520 219 42 100 156 76 77 128 243

    E./14 646 273 302 71 71 138 78 49 150 160

    Grupos de Estratos Filiacin Partidista

  • 8/12/2019 Granen Cuesta

    15/56

    15

    E 2 C , , , , ? ( )

    B: 800 ; S

    H

    D

    1824

    D

    2534

    D

    3544

    D

    4554

    54

    J F./14 28% 32% 25% 25% 26% 23% 31% 37%

    E./1425% 25% 25% 20% 17% 25% 25% 36%

    I F./14 8% 10% 6% 5% 5% 12% 6% 11%

    E./14 8% 9% 6% 4% 6% 4% 8% 15%

    E F./14 5% 4% 6% 2% 4% 4% 6% 7%

    E./14 6% 7% 5% 2% 5% 8% 11% 4%

    C L F./14 4% 5% 3% 2% 5% 6% 4% 5%

    E./14 6% 6% 6% 0% 6% 6% 12% 4%

    L F./14 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 3% 4% 3%

    E./14 4% 3% 5% 1% 4% 6% 2% 6%

    A A F./14 2% 2% 2% 1% 2% 2% 2% 2%

    E./14 1% 1% 1% 0% 0% 1% 0% 3%

    F./14 24% 25% 22% 35% 32% 20% 16% 15%

    E./14 27% 31% 22% 30% 32% 30% 24% 18%

    A F./14 23% 15% 32% 27% 23% 29% 26% 15%

    E./14 23% 17% 28% 43% 30% 17% 14% 14%

    F./14 3% 4% 2% 1% 2% 1% 5% 5%

    E./14 1% 1% 2% 0% 0% 3% 4% 0%

    B F./14 781 394 387 121 197 153 148 162

    E./14 646 333 313 92 158 124 124 148

    Sexo Rangos de Edad

  • 8/12/2019 Granen Cuesta

    16/56

    16

    E 2 C , , , , ? ( )

    B: 800 ; S

    B

    A

    C

    J F./14 28% 25% 47% 17% 26% 29% 16%

    E./1425% 20% 42% 14% 43% 35% 15%

    I F./14 8% 10% 9% 10% 3% 6% 5%

    E./14 8% 5% 8% 15% 12% 4% 5%

    E F./14 5% 7% 3% 4% 6% 7% 3%

    E./14 6% 10% 3% 3% 0% 2% 0%

    C L F./14 4% 8% 3% 4% 2% 4% 3%

    E./14 6% 5% 6% 10% 2% 2% 0%

    L F./14 3% 4% 0% 4% 4% 2% 3%

    E./14 4% 4% 4% 5% 6% 2% 0%

    A A F./14 2% 2% 2% 1% 0% 4% 4%

    E./14 1% 1% 2% 1% 0% 0% 5%

    F./14 24% 27% 10% 32% 27% 20% 37%

    E./14 27% 31% 9% 25% 9% 36% 40%

    A F./14 23% 15% 26% 27% 25% 23% 26%

    E./14 23% 21% 26% 27% 25% 18% 35%

    F./14 3% 2% 0% 1% 7% 5% 3%

    E./14 1% 3% 0% 0% 3% 1% 0%

    B F./14 781 138 179 155 133 124 53

    E./14 646 287 96 136 18 93 16

    Regin

  • 8/12/2019 Granen Cuesta

    17/56

    17

    J

    E G G , .

    J ?

    8%

    13%

    19%

    25%

    35%

    R

    N,

    N

    E G O N

    E E GV L

    A ,

    .

    F;49%

    D; 20%

    N

    /N; 31%

    F;

    45%

    D; 20%

    N /N; 35%

    B: 1.201 ; .

    F.2014 A.2013

    F;56%D

    ; 27%

    N /N; 17%

    F;49%

    D; 30%

    N /N; 21%

  • 8/12/2019 Granen Cuesta

    18/56

    18

    I

    B: 1.201 ; .

    J

    I

    E

    CL

    L

    A

    A

    A

    E G 30% 21% 28% 27% 57% 22% 19% 27% 25%

    E E G L

    46% 43% 38% 39% 26% 28% 31% 37% 21%

    ,

    6% 16% 12% 17% 10% 22% 16% 17% 10%

    15% 8% 22% 16% 5% 0% 28% 16% 30%

    3% 12% 0% 1% 2% 28% 6% 3% 14%

    B 222 60 38 34 22 15 185 185 21

  • 8/12/2019 Granen Cuesta

    19/56

    19

    EscenariosElectoralessegunda vuelta

  • 8/12/2019 Granen Cuesta

    20/56

    20

    I 2014 50% , C

    .E , . ?( )

    B: 1.201 ; .

    15%

    5%

    18%

    17%

    45%

    19%

    5%

    16%

    18%

    42%

    19%

    4%

    16%

    16%

    45%

    D

    P

    N

    P

    D

    F14 E14 N13

    VotantesFeb 2014 = 61%Ene 2014= 60%Nov 2013 = 62%

    No votantesFeb 2014 = 39%Ene 2014 = 40%

    Nov 2013 = 38%

  • 8/12/2019 Granen Cuesta

    21/56

    21

    0Votara

    en blanco

    No

    Votara

    An no sabepor quienvotara

    24%

    22%

    5%

    7%

    15%

    18%

    27%

    22%

    6%

    8%

    16%

    17%

    26%

    25%

    5%

    8%

    16%

    17%

    27%

    26%

    8%

    7%

    20%

    20%

    30%

    24%

    16%

    7%

    3%

    19%

    2 C

    , , , , ? ( )

    B: 733 ; 2

    11%

    8%

    11%

    14%

    15%

    15%

    8%

    16%

    13%

    18%

    13%

    9%

    13%

    13%

    13%

    M L R

    A A

    E P

    C L

    O I

    V

    Ene-14

    Nov-13

    Ene-14

    Nov-13

    Ene-14

    Nov-13

    Ene-14

    Nov-13

    Ene-14

    Nov-1339%

    39%

    39%

    39%

    38%

    36%

    37%

    37%

    37%

    38%

    43%

    42%

    43%

    42%

    43%

    F14 E14 N13

    Feb-14

    Feb-14

    Feb-14

    Feb-14

    23% 6% 15%

    24% 6% 14%

    26% 5% 14%

    25% 5% 14%

    28% 6% 15%

    Feb-14

  • 8/12/2019 Granen Cuesta

    22/56

    22

    Anlisis Electoral yPoltico

  • 8/12/2019 Granen Cuesta

    23/56

    23

    B: 1.201 ; .

    H ? ( )

    12%

    16%

    16%

    15%

    18%

    35%

    33%

    13%

    18%

    17%

    20%

    22%

    33%

    34%

    12%

    15%

    17%

    18%

    21%

    34%

    38%

    M L R

    C L

    A A

    I

    E P

    J M S

    N,

    F14 E14 N13

  • 8/12/2019 Granen Cuesta

    24/56

    24

    B(12)

    (34)

    A(5

    6)

    C

    L

    C

    D

    I

    /

    J

    F./14 34% 30% 39% 53% 29% 28% 31% 61% 35% 32%

    E./1433% 30% 37% 29% 37% 21% 30% 57% 36% 33%

    E F./14 21% 20% 21% 28% 24% 19% 20% 18% 21% 21%

    E./14 22% 20% 23% 22% 29% 21% 24% 15% 27% 17%

    I F./14 18% 14% 24% 35% 16% 16% 16% 11% 25% 18%

    E./14 20% 13% 26% 34% 26% 15% 18% 17% 34% 15%

    C L F./14 15% 12% 20% 33% 15% 11% 10% 23% 15% 17%

    E./14 18% 11% 23% 29% 27% 14% 21% 26% 14% 16%

    A A F./14 17% 14% 23% 42% 15% 14% 21% 25% 18% 17%

    E./14 17% 11% 21% 37% 26% 18% 20% 18% 17% 14%

    L F./14 12% 10% 16% 19% 10% 11% 11% 8% 13% 15%

    E./14 13% 9% 15% 28% 17% 15% 13% 2% 15% 12%

    ,

    F./14 38% 43% 32% 7% 44% 41% 36% 17% 25% 45%

    E./14 34% 44% 27% 17% 28% 40% 30% 20% 18% 47%

    B F./14 1.201 806 344 52 136 222 112 100 184 446

    E./14 1.008 486 432 90 107 200 125 65 192 319

    Grupos de Estratos Filiacin Partidista

    H ? A ? A

    ? ( )

  • 8/12/2019 Granen Cuesta

    25/56

    25

    H

    D1824

    D2534

    D3544

    D4554

    54

    J F./14 34% 34% 33% 41% 33% 34% 32% 30%

    E./1433% 34% 32% 32% 41% 33% 36% 23%

    E F./14 21% 22% 20% 18% 17% 23% 20% 25%

    E./14 22% 25% 19% 19% 30% 14% 25% 20%

    I F./14 18% 20% 16% 13% 15% 20% 22% 20%

    E./14 20% 27% 14% 14% 17% 21% 26% 23%

    C L F./14 15% 16% 15% 16% 8% 16% 21% 17%

    E./14 18% 20% 16% 11% 20% 15% 21% 20%

    A A F./14 17% 18% 17% 16% 10% 18% 24% 21%

    E./14 17% 19% 16% 6% 19% 15% 23% 22%

    L F./14 12% 13% 11% 12% 7% 14% 16% 14%

    E./14 13% 15% 11% 6% 13% 10% 18% 16%

    ,

    F./14 38% 37% 39% 37% 37% 38% 37% 41%

    E./14 34% 28% 39% 39% 27% 34% 32% 40%

    B F./14 1.201 587 614 221 276 226 208 270

    E./14 1.008 473 535 171 233 192 183 230

    Sexo Rangos de Edad

    H ? A ? A

    ? ( )

  • 8/12/2019 Granen Cuesta

    26/56

    26

    B

    A

    C

    J F./14 34% 45% 24% 32% 41% 27% 39%

    E./1433% 28% 25% 48% 23% 34% 25%

    E F./14 21% 39% 16% 13% 20% 16% 23%

    E./14 22% 29% 21% 15% 28% 14% 6%

    I F./14 18% 32% 9% 13% 19% 13% 29%

    E./14 20% 26% 23% 12% 17% 17% 8%

    C L F./14 15% 30% 7% 10% 18% 11% 18%

    E./14 18% 22% 21% 11% 22% 14% 7%

    A A F./14 17% 35% 7% 12% 15% 19% 19%

    E./14 17% 21% 20% 13% 20% 12% 11%

    L F./14 12% 28% 6% 5% 15% 8% 19%

    E./14 13% 17% 13% 9% 6% 10% 9%

    ,

    F./14 38% 16% 47% 45% 33% 44% 43%

    E./14 34% 32% 36% 30% 30% 39% 59%

    F./14 1.201 215 249 240 193 213 91

    B E./14 1.008 426 145 219 30 162 26

    Regin

    H ? A ? A

    ? ( )

  • 8/12/2019 Granen Cuesta

    27/56

    27

    I , ,

    C 2014 2018? ( )

    B: 1.201 ; .

    7%

    1%

    1%

    5%

    6%

    11%

    29%

    40%

    1%

    7%

    4%

    7%

    7%

    24%

    50%

    2%

    3%

    4%

    7%

    8%

    29%

    47%

    O

    A A

    M L R

    C L

    E P

    I

    N

    J M S

    F14 E14 N13

  • 8/12/2019 Granen Cuesta

    28/56

    28

    B

    (12)

    (34)

    A(56)

    C

    L

    C

    D

    I

    /

    J F./14 47% 47% 47% 49% 43% 57% 55% 23% 54% 44%

    E./14 50% 46% 53% 54% 39% 61% 50% 27% 60% 46%

    E F./14 7% 7% 9% 8% 7% 8% 14% 10% 5% 5%

    E./14 7% 5% 8% 10% 4% 6% 16% 9% 8% 5%

    I F./14 8% 6% 9% 27% 6% 5% 4% 40% 5% 5%E./14 7% 6% 7% 14% 9% 2% 7% 43% 4% 4%

    L F./14 3% 3% 2% 5% 9% 1% 2% 4% 1% 2%

    E./14 7% 7% 6% 7% 14% 3% 7% 11% 3% 8%

    C L F./14 4% 5% 2% 2% 4% 3% 5% 3% 9% 2%

    E./14 4% 6% 2% 1% 7% 4% 2% 1% 7% 1%

    A A F./14 2% 1% 2% 2% 0% 0% 3% 1% 3% 2%

    E./14 1% 1% 1% 0% 1% 0% 1% 0% 1% 0%

    F./14 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 1%

    E./14 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 1% 1% 0% 1% 0%

    / F./14 29% 31% 29% 7% 31% 25% 16% 18% 23% 39%

    E./14 24% 29% 22% 14% 26% 23% 16% 9% 16% 36%

    B F./14 1201 806 344 52 136 222 112 100 184 446

    E./14 1008 486 432 90 107 200 125 65 192 319

    Grupos de Estratos Filiacin Partidista

    I , ,

    C 2014 2018?( )

  • 8/12/2019 Granen Cuesta

    29/56

    29

    H

    D1824

    D2534

    D3544

    D4554

    54

    J F./14 47% 49% 45% 44% 48% 43% 51% 50%

    E./14 50% 54% 46% 48% 49% 54% 53% 47%

    E F./14 7% 7% 7% 10% 7% 6% 7% 7%

    E./14 7% 4% 10% 7% 8% 7% 8% 6%

    I F./14 8% 9% 7% 7% 9% 11% 6% 7%

    E./14 7% 8% 6% 5% 7% 7% 5% 10%

    L F./14 3% 3% 3% 1% 2% 2% 5% 4%

    E./14 7% 6% 7% 8% 5% 8% 5% 7%

    C L F./14 4% 3% 5% 5% 3% 6% 4% 2%

    E./14 4% 3% 4% 2% 4% 9% 3% 1%

    A A F./14 2% 2% 1% 4% 2% 1% 0% 1%

    E./14 1% 1% 1% 0% 0% 1% 1% 0%

    F./14 0% 1% 0% 1% 0% 1% 1%

    E./14 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 2%

    / F./14 29% 27% 31% 29% 30% 32% 26% 29%

    E./14 24% 23% 26% 30% 27% 14% 25% 27%

    B F./14 1201 587 614 221 276 226 208 270

    E./14 1008 473 535 171 233 192 183 230

    Sexo Rangos de Edad

    I , ,

    C 2014 2018?( )

  • 8/12/2019 Granen Cuesta

    30/56

    30

    B

    A

    C

    J F./14 47% 50% 53% 42% 43% 54% 34%

    E./14 50% 56% 55% 30% 53% 56% 44%

    E F./14 7% 9% 5% 6% 6% 10% 7%

    E./14 7% 8% 5% 6% 9% 7% 10%

    I

    F./14 8% 7% 9% 12% 5% 7% 5%

    E./14 7% 6% 5% 13% 1% 5% 6%

    L F./14 3% 2% 1% 5% 5% 2% 0%

    E./14 7% 6% 10% 7% 13% 4% 9%

    C L F./14 4% 6% 2% 2% 4% 6% 2%

    E./14 4% 5% 1% 5% 4% 0% 0%

    A A F./14 2% 4% 0% 2% 2% 1% 2%

    E./14 1% 1% 0% 1% 2% 1% 0%

    F./14 1% 0% 0% 1% 2% 0%

    E./14 0% 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0%

    / F./14 29% 21% 30% 31% 35% 19% 50%

    E./14 24% 17% 23% 38% 18% 27% 31%

    B F./14 1201 215 249 250 193 213 91

    E./14 1008 426 145 219 30 162 26

    Regin

    I , ,

    C 2014 2018?( )

  • 8/12/2019 Granen Cuesta

    31/56

    31

    Consulta PartidoVerde

  • 8/12/2019 Granen Cuesta

    32/56

    32

    I

    E 9 ,

    C , .

    9 ?

    B: 1.201 ; .

    43%

    7%

    17%

    13%

    20%

    D

    P

    N

    P

    D

    VotantesFeb 2014= 33%

    No votantesFeb 2014= 67%

    , C ?

    8%

    25%

    36%

    3%

    3%

    25%

    N

    V

    A

    C R

    J S

    E P

  • 8/12/2019 Granen Cuesta

    33/56

    33

    F C C ?

    ( )

    B: 1.201 ; .

    E

    J

    C

    37%

    31%

    29%

    5%

    4%

    4%

    5%

    30%

    32%

    49%

    7%

    12%

    9%

    13%

    33%

    37%

    23%

    88%

    83%

    87%

    82%

    Feb./2014

    Ene./2014

    Abr./2013

    Feb./2014

    Ene./2014

    Feb./2014

    Ene./2014

    Favorable Desfavorable No conoce/ sin opinin

  • 8/12/2019 Granen Cuesta

    34/56

    34

    Imagen dePersonajes

  • 8/12/2019 Granen Cuesta

    35/56

    35

    F J ?

    ( )

    Por Grupos de EstratosPor Grupos de Estratos Por VotoPor Voto

    Feb-14:58%

    Ene -14:44%

    Feb-14:41%

    Ene -14:54%

    Feb-14:46%

    Ene -14:38%

    Feb-14:45%

    Ene -14:33%

    Feb-14:48%

    Ene -14:41%

    Feb 14:65%

    Ene -14:

    65%F;52%D

    ; 41%

    N /N; 7%

    57%42% 35%

    61%46% 42%

    35%51% 61%

    33%50% 48%

    B (1 2) M (3 4)

    A (5 6) E 2

    S

    E 2

    M

    E 2 ,,

    AtlnticaBogot

    Central

    Pacifico

    Oriental

    Suroriental

    B: 1.201 ; .

    F

  • 8/12/2019 Granen Cuesta

    36/56

  • 8/12/2019 Granen Cuesta

    37/56

    37

    F C

    B: 1.201 ; .

    ?( )

    E J

    E

    C L

    L

    I

    A A

    52%

    46%

    44%

    37%

    34%

    31%

    29%

    30%

    25%

    34%

    29%

    20%

    26%

    19%

    27%

    18%

    20%

    21%

    18%

    9%

    7%

    9%

    41%

    47%

    56%

    30%

    31%

    32%

    49%

    22%

    26%

    23%

    38%

    18%

    13%

    20%

    32%

    21%

    24%

    21%

    32%

    12%

    14%

    10%

    7%

    7%

    33%

    35%

    37%

    23%

    48%

    49%

    43%

    33%

    62%

    61%

    61%

    41%

    61%

    56%

    58%

    50%

    79%

    79%

    80%

    Feb./2014

    Ene./2014

    Nov./2013

    Feb./2014

    Ene./2014

    Nov./2013

    Abr./2013

    Feb./2014

    Ene./2014

    Nov./2013

    Abr./2013

    Feb./2014

    Ene./2014

    Nov./2013

    Abr./2013

    Feb./2014

    Ene./2014

    Nov./2013

    Abr./2013

    Feb./2014

    Ene./2014

    Nov./2013

    Favorable Desfavorable No conoce/ sin opinin

  • 8/12/2019 Granen Cuesta

    38/56

    38

    F C ?

    ( )

    B: 1.201 ; .

    C D

    H L

    A A

    C F G C

    J D

    G C

    J C

    G D IA

    A C

    56%

    61%

    35%

    38%

    29%

    35%

    29%

    28%

    13%

    14%

    7%

    6%

    7%

    6%

    6%

    6%

    3%

    4%

    34%

    33%

    35%

    40%

    23%

    24%

    14%

    16%

    12%

    16%

    18%

    20%

    16%

    19%

    17%

    21%

    11%

    13%

    10%

    6%

    30%

    22%

    48%

    41%

    57%

    56%

    75%

    70%

    75%

    74%

    77%

    75%

    77%

    73%

    86%

    83%

    Feb./2014

    Ene./2014

    Feb./2014

    Ene./2014

    Feb./2014

    Ene./2014

    Feb./2014

    Ene./2014

    Feb./2014

    Ene./2014

    Feb./2014

    Ene./2014

    Feb./2014

    Ene./2014

    Feb./2014

    Ene./2014

    Feb./2014

    Ene./2014

    Favorable Desfavorable No conoce/ sin opinin

  • 8/12/2019 Granen Cuesta

    39/56

  • 8/12/2019 Granen Cuesta

    40/56

    40

    Situacin Nacional

  • 8/12/2019 Granen Cuesta

    41/56

    41

    C C ? ( )

    Por Grupos de EstratosPor Grupos de Estratos Por VotoPor Voto Feb-14:41%

    Ene-14:28%

    Feb-14:32%

    Ene-14:40%

    Feb-14:31%

    Ene-14:42%

    Feb-14:33%

    Ene-14:25%

    Feb-14:35%

    Ene-14:32%

    Feb-14:47%

    Ene -14:

    56%

    BC;

    37%

    MC;

    63%

    38% 36% 32% 40% 42% 32%

    62% 64% 68% 60% 58% 68%

    B (1 2) M (3 4)

    A (5 6) E 2

    S

    E 2

    M

    E 2 ,,

    AtlnticaBogot

    Central

    Pacifico

    Oriental

    Suroriental

    B: 1.201 ; .

    B

    /

  • 8/12/2019 Granen Cuesta

    42/56

    42

    19%

    13%

    14%

    14%

    8%9

    % 12%

    23%

    11%

    12%

    17%

    47%

    49% 5

    3%

    44%

    52%

    48% 5

    2%

    60%

    87%

    66%

    63%

    53%

    51%5

    4%

    50%

    60%

    50%

    45% 5

    0%

    32%

    52%

    31%

    37%3

    8%

    25%

    40%

    38%

    37%

    Mar./98

    Abr./98

    May./

    98

    Jun./

    98

    Jul./99

    Sept.01

    Ene.

    02

    Feb.0

    2

    Abril.02

    Mayo.0

    2

    Ago./

    02

    Ago./

    03

    Sep.

    05

    Oct.05

    Ene.

    06

    Mar.06

    Abr.06

    May.0

    6

    Jun./

    2008

    Jul./2008

    May./

    09

    Sept./09

    Dic./

    09

    Febr.2010

    Mar.2010

    May./

    2010

    Nov./

    2010

    Jul./2011

    Nov./

    2011

    Abr./2012

    Jul./2012

    Sep./

    2012

    Nov./

    2012

    Abr./2013

    Jul./2013

    Sep./

    2013

    Nov./

    2013

    Ene./

    2014

    Feb./

    2014

    C /

    : O .

    1 2

    00 ( )

    00

    00

    00

    0

    00

    00

    C B C:

    /

    00

  • 8/12/2019 Granen Cuesta

    43/56

  • 8/12/2019 Granen Cuesta

    44/56

    44

    Por Grupos de EstratosPor Grupos de Estratos Por VotoPor Voto

    Feb-14:35%

    Ene-14:31%

    Feb-14:41%

    Ene-14:38%

    Feb-14:34%

    Ene-14:

    31%

    Feb-14:27%

    Ene-14:30%

    Feb-14:30%

    Ene-14:30%

    Feb-14:48%

    Ene-14:

    62%

    Optimista Pesimista

    E G G

    FAC , ?( )

    54%

    41% 45%43% 39% 37%

    36%41%

    54%52% 54%

    55%58%

    57%

    5% 5% 3% 3% 6% 5%7%

    Sep./2012 Nov./2012 Abr./2013 Jul./2013 Nov./2013 Ene./2014 Feb./2014

    AtlnticaBogot

    Central

    Pacifico

    Oriental

    Suroriental

    B: 1.201 ; .

    37% 32% 35% 34% 46%

    34%

    55% 61% 63% 59%54%

    57%

    B (1 2) M (3 4)

    A (5 6) E 2

    S

    E 2

    M

    E 2 ,,

    No sabe/No responde

    C

  • 8/12/2019 Granen Cuesta

    45/56

    45

    C

    Por Grupos de EstratosPor Grupos de Estratos Por VotoPor Voto

    FAC, .

    ?( )

    25%

    27%

    69%

    65%

    61%

    6%

    8%

    12%

    27%

    Abr./2013

    Ene./2014

    Feb./2014

    De acuerdo En desacuerdo No sabe

    Feb-14:28%

    Ene-14:26%

    Feb-14:26%

    Ene-14:40%

    Feb-14:30%

    Ene-14:

    33%

    Feb-14:28%

    Ene-14:22%

    Feb-14:27%

    Ene-14:20%

    Feb-14:25%

    Ene-14:25%

    AtlnticaBogot

    Central

    Pacifico

    Oriental

    Suroriental

    B: 1.201 ; .

    D

    25% 33% 23% 26% 34% 27%

    61% 57% 75% 64% 57% 59%

    B (1 2) M (3 4)

    A (5 6) E 2

    S

    E 2

    M

    E 2 ,,

    C

  • 8/12/2019 Granen Cuesta

    46/56

    46

    C

    Por Grupos de EstratosPor Grupos de Estratos Por VotoPor Voto

    FAC, .

    ?( )

    28%

    23%

    67%

    67%

    66%

    5%

    7%

    11%

    26%

    Abr./2013

    Ene./2014

    Feb./2014

    De acuerdo En desacuerdo No sabe

    B: 1.201 ; .

    Feb-14:25%

    Ene-14:23%

    Feb-14:24%

    Ene-14:45%

    Feb-14:27%

    Ene-14:

    29%

    Feb-14:25%

    Ene-14:19%

    Feb-14:15%

    Ene-14:25%

    Feb-14:22%

    Ene-14:28%

    AtlnticaBogot

    Central

    Pacifico

    Oriental

    Suroriental

    D

    21% 23%43%

    23%44%

    20%

    66% 67%

    55%

    67%46%

    67%

    B (1 2) M (3 4)

    A (5 6) E 2

    S

    E 2

    M

    E 2 ,,

  • 8/12/2019 Granen Cuesta

    47/56

    47

    Escndalos FuerzasArmadas

    I F

  • 8/12/2019 Granen Cuesta

    48/56

    48

    I F

    Por Grupos de EstratosPor Grupos de Estratos Por VotoPor Voto

    F C, . ,

    C?( )

    B: 1.201 ; .

    PacificaFeb-14:

    63%Sur-

    OrientalFeb-14:

    47%

    BogotFeb-14:

    42%

    CentralFeb-14:

    56%

    OrientalFeb-14:

    63%

    AtlnticoFeb-14:

    51%

    AtlnticaBogot

    Central

    Pacifico

    Oriental

    Suroriental

    F

    F;54%D

    ; 35%

    N /N; 11%

    56% 50% 55% 60% 46% 48%

    32% 43% 43% 30% 45% 40%

    B (1 2) M (3 4)

    A (5 6) E 2

    S

    E 2

    M

    E 2 ,,

    F/F H

  • 8/12/2019 Granen Cuesta

    49/56

    49

    F/F H

    F C, . ,

    C?( )

    65%

    73%70%

    56%

    65% 64%

    54%

    21% 22% 23%

    36%

    30%

    35%

    8% 6% 6%11%

    68%

    26%26%

    14%

    5% 7% 9%

    Abr./2012 Jul./2012 Sep./2012 Nov./2012 Abr./2013 Jul./2013 Sep./2013 Feb./2013

    C F

  • 8/12/2019 Granen Cuesta

    50/56

    50

    C F

    Por Grupos de EstratosPor Grupos de Estratos Por VotoPor Voto

    . ,

    ? ( )

    B: 1.201 ; .

    PacificaFeb-14:

    61%Sur-

    OrientalFeb-14:

    63%

    BogotFeb-14:

    42%

    CentralFeb-14:

    49%

    OrientalFeb-14:

    58%

    AtlnticoFeb-14:

    54%

    AtlnticaBogot

    Central

    Pacifico

    Oriental

    Suroriental

    S ;53%N ;

    37%

    N ;10%

    55% 49% 56% 61% 52% 46%

    34% 43% 42% 31% 41%

    42%

    B (1 2) M (3 4)

    A (5 6) E 2

    S

    E 2

    M

    E 2 ,,

    C/F H

  • 8/12/2019 Granen Cuesta

    51/56

    51

    C/F H

    60%57%

    62%60%

    56%

    49%

    53%

    36%34% 34%

    36% 37%

    4%

    9%

    4% 4% 5%

    4% 5% 5%

    10%

    53%50%

    46%42%45%

    40%

    Nov./2011 Abr./2012 Jul./2012 Sep./2012 Nov./2012 Abr./2013 Jul./2013 Sep./2013 Feb./2014

    . , ? ( )

    C

  • 8/12/2019 Granen Cuesta

    52/56

    52

    Por Grupos de EstratosPor Grupos de Estratos Por VotoPor Voto

    E / . .

    ? ( )

    B: 1.201 ; .

    PacificaFeb-14:

    74%Sur-

    OrientalFeb-14:

    83%

    BogotFeb-14:

    86%

    CentralFeb-14:

    83%

    OrientalFeb-14:

    81%

    AtlnticoFeb-14:

    71%

    AtlnticaBogot

    Central

    Pacifico

    Oriental

    Suroriental

    S ; 79%

    N ; 21%

    74% 88%

    98%

    85% 91%

    75%

    26% 12% 2% 15% 9% 25%

    B (1 2) M (3 4)

    A (5 6) E 2

    S

    E 2

    M

    E 2 ,,

  • 8/12/2019 Granen Cuesta

    53/56

    53

    Por Grupos de EstratosPor Grupos de Estratos Por VotoPor Voto

    E , ?

    ( )

    PacificaFeb-14:

    39%Sur-

    OrientalFeb-14:

    27%

    BogotFeb-14:

    29%

    CentralFeb-14:

    31%

    OrientalFeb-14:

    45%

    AtlnticoFeb-14:

    48%

    AtlnticaBogot

    Central

    Pacifico

    Oriental

    Suroriental

    A

    A;37%

    I; 52%

    N ;11%

    39% 34% 33% 48%

    24% 29%

    49% 55% 66% 44%

    69% 55%

    B (1 2) M (3 4)

    A (5 6) E 2

    S

    E 2

    M

    E 2 ,, B: 951 ;

  • 8/12/2019 Granen Cuesta

    54/56

    54

    Por Grupos de EstratosPor Grupos de Estratos Por VotoPor Voto

    ?

    ( )

    PacificaFeb-14:

    61%Sur-

    OrientalFeb-14:

    57%

    BogotFeb-14:

    41%

    CentralFeb-14:

    48%

    OrientalFeb-14:

    54%

    AtlnticoFeb-14:

    64%

    AtlnticaBogot

    Central

    Pacifico

    Oriental

    Suroriental

    A

    A;53%

    I; 39%

    N ;8%

    55% 51% 53% 61% 50% 45%

    36% 42% 44% 34%

    43%42%

    B (1 2) M (3 4)

    A (5 6) E 2

    S

    E 2

    M

    E 2 ,, B: 951 ;

  • 8/12/2019 Granen Cuesta

    55/56

    2012 I. A . C I' C P I.

    G !

    55

    J D I P A

    +(571) 376 94 00 . 406.@.

    F AI N F

    +(571) 376 94 00.@.

  • 8/12/2019 Granen Cuesta

    56/56

    2014 I. A . C I' C P I.

    G E E 2014

    E G C I 20252:2006 / I 9001:2008

    F: F 27 2014.E . 14013902

    M 3 F