Governor’s Energy Summit Craig Wagstaff Executive Vice President & COO, Questar Gas
Dec 24, 2015
Governor’s Energy SummitCraig WagstaffExecutive Vice President & COO, Questar Gas
NGVs have a long history
2
Worldwide NGV growth
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 20120
2,000,000
4,000,000
6,000,000
8,000,000
10,000,000
12,000,000
14,000,000
16,000,000
18,000,000
Source: NGV Global (2014); Current Natural Gas Vehicle Statistics http://www.iangv.org
3
2013 Worldwide NGVs
4
There are more than 16 million natural gas vehicles on the road worldwide – but only about 140,000 are in the United States.
North America140,000 NGVs
South America4,800,000 NGVs
Europe1,700,000 NGVs
Africa186,000 NGVs
Asia and Middle East9,700,000 NGVs
Source: NGV Global (2014); Current Natural Gas Vehicle Statistics http://www.iangv.org
World CNG Markets are Maturing
Dec. 2012 NGVs StationsIran 3,000,000 1,960
Pakistan 2,900,000 3,330
Argentina 2,140,000 1,902
Brazil 1,739,676 1,701
China 1,577,000 2,784
India 1,250,000 724
Italy 746,470 959
Ukraine 390,000 324
Colombia 380,000 690
Thailand 378,000 470
North America 140,000 1,167
Source: NGV Global (2014); Current Natural Gas Vehicle Statistics http://www.iangv.org
Who Offers NGVs?
USA Natural Gas Refueling Infrastructure
2013 – 1,472 CNG/LNG stations
- 1,379 CNG stations
- 93 LNG stations
CNG Stations – 1,379 Total
- 710 Public access stations
- 669 Private access stations
LNG Stations – 93 Total
- 54 Public access stations
- 39 Private access stations
1,000
CNG
900
800
700
600
500
400
300
200
100
0
LNG
Public Access
Private Access1,400
1,300
1,200
1,100
Source: Alternative Fuels Data Center (2014); http://www.afdc.energy.gov
2008
ANGA looks to
transportation market
Increase NGV Fueling
Capacity 50%
AutomakerMeetings
State of Utah opens it’s
CNG stations to public
Gasoline hits
$4/gallon Shale Gas
AGA/ANGA “collaborative”
2008
ANGA looks to
transportation market
2009
2009 Guv Huntsman announces 1-15 NGV corridor
Increase NGV Fueling
Capacity 50%
AutomakerMeetings
GM announces: Chevrolet
Express Van
State of Utah opens its CNG
stations to public
Gasoline hits
$4/gallonShale Gas
AGA/ANGA “collaborative”
DOE Clean Cities Award $15 million
2008
ANGA looks to
transportation market
2009 2010
2009 Guv Huntsman announces 1-15 NGV corridor
Medium-Duty Truck
Private investment into new NGV-fueling stations
Increase NGV Fueling
Capacity 50%
AutomakerMeetings
GM announces: Chevrolet
Express Van
State of Utah opens its CNG
stations to public
Gasoline hits
$4/gallonShale Gas
AGA/ANGA “collaborative”
DOE Clean Cities Award $15 million
2008
ANGA looks to
transportation market
2009 2010 2011
2009 Guv Huntsman announces 1-15 NGV corridor
Medium-Duty Truck
Over-the-Road Truck Testing
Private investment into new NGV-fueling stations
Increase NGV Fueling
Capacity 50%
AutomakerMeetings
GM announces: Chevrolet
Express Van
Dodge and Ford
State of Utah opens its CNG
stations to public
Gasoline hits
$4/gallonShale Gas
AGA/ANGA “collaborative”
DOE Clean Cities Award $15 million
Low NGV pump price
Honda announces increased production
of Civic
Industry Experience 30 Questar Gas Stations
5 State/Municipal Stations
8 Private/Public Stations
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Questar Gas NGV Infrastructure
Questar Gas CNG demand
1/1/
2007
3/1/
2007
5/1/
2007
7/1/
2007
9/1/
2007
11/1
/200
7
1/1/
2008
3/1/
2008
5/1/
2008
7/1/
2008
9/1/
2008
11/1
/200
8
1/1/
2009
3/1/
2009
5/1/
2009
7/1/
2009
9/1/
2009
11/1
/200
9
1/1/
2010
3/1/
2010
5/1/
2010
7/1/
2010
9/1/
2010
11/1
/201
0
1/1/
2011
3/1/
2011
5/1/
2011
7/1/
2011
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
350,000
400,000
450,000
$0.00
$0.50
$1.00
$1.50
$2.00
$2.50
$3.00
$3.50
$4.00
NG gal. sold Unleaded price CNG Rate
Gallons Cost/Gal.
Continuing Price Gap Between CNG/Diesel
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Source: Annual Energy Outlook (2012); EIA www.EIA.gov
• EIA Forecasts• Forward looking price differential remains favorable between diesel and natural gas
*Forecast is in 2010 dollars
Heavy Duty Natural Gas Engines Availability
8.9 Liter Available Cummins ISL G
OEM Cummins ISX12G 12.0 Liter Available limited volumes first half of 2013, full production
second half of 2013
Volvo 13.0 Liter Engine
November 2012
15 Liter, 2010 Cummins Engine Conversion Kit Available for Market
EPA Certified – DNG Power
June 2007
January 2014
March 2013
15.0 Liter 2010 Detroit Conversion Kit Available EPA
Certified – DNG Power
July 2013
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Accelerated Market Adoption
Adoption rate in leading markets moving faster than the gasoline to diesel transformation
100%
75%
1950
25%
0%
Shar
e
1970 1990 2010 2030
50%
New sales of Class 8 diesel trucks, USA1,2
New sales of natural gas refuse trucks, USA2
Source: MacKay & Co., and Wards Auto Group, a division of Penton Media, Inc.; 2) Westport
Projected Number of NGVs
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Source: American Clean Skies Foundation’s (2013); Driving On Natural Gas
~ Approx. 1.6 Billion Gallons/ Year*
*Assumes on average each heavy truck would fuel 65 gallons of natural gas 21 days per month and each medium truck would fuel 35 gallons of natural gas 21 days per month.
~ Approx. 930 Million Gallons/Year*
Projected Transportation Consumption of Natural Gas
18
Source: Annual Energy Outlook (2013); EIA www.EIA.gov
Assumptions: Fleet Passenger Vehicle
Residential Passenger Vehicle Fleet Light Truck
Residential Light Truck Medium Trucks Heavy Trucks
Assumed Volume 8 8 18 18 35 65
Assumed Days/Month 10 10 10 10 21 21
Heavy Duty Results
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Projected Demand of Natural Gas
20
*Source: American Clean Skies Foundation’s (2013); Driving On Natural Gas, Figure 15
Vehicle Fuel Component
CNG Not as Sensitive To Commodity Swings
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* Assumes that 1 GGE of CNG contains 125,000 Btu; ** Numbers reflect average Questar Fueling Station
$4/ MMBtu $5/ MMBtu $6/ MMBtu $7/ MMBtu $8/ MMBtu $-
$0.50
$1.00
$1.50
$2.00
$2.50
$3.00
Commodity Cost
Taxes
Compression, Land, G&A, Operating Expenses, Return
CN
G P
rice
per
GG
E
Gas Commodity Cost per GGE
QUESTIONS?