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• Body Level One
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• Body Level FiveDrPatrickDixon
ChairmanGlobalChangeLtdFounderGlobalInnovatorsLtd
TakeHoldoftheFutureHowglobaltrendswillimpactourworldandchangeexecuAveeducaAon/MBAs
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ALLBIGTRENDSARERELATED
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InsAtuAonalBlindness
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to waste on things you do not believe in
LifeistooShort
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Whocaresaboutthenewstrategy?
teamsandcustomersneedtofeelitmaMers
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Whyshouldtheygrow?
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AllleadershipcomesfromourVISIONofabeMerfuture
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Complexity and scale
create risks
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LawsuitswillbefarlargerthanFines
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Strategies and Business School case studies often
overtaken by events
World can change faster than you can hold a board meeting
or redesign a programme
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Agility means more than
one strategy or career
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Yet many trends changing more
slowly than people think
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Cash growing - bank branches continue -
music - fashion - food, homes - classrooms -books - where are all 3D TVs and robots?
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3D scans - 3D printing
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WGP2005-2014(%,constantprices)
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VietnamGDP1985-2011
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>>$2.4trillion
Reserves
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One word will dominate all
FUTURE
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The future is about
EMOTION
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85% of world population will
be living in emerging markets
in 10 years
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1 billion will migrate over next 30 years
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Science,technologyengineering,
maths
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MostSTEMgraduatesinemergingmarkets
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ChinaandIndiadominate
STEMdegreesincludingpost-graduate/PhDs
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EuropeDying4couplestoproducesinglegreatgrandchild
1millionover90yearoldsinItalyin12yearsAme
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Can we stop ageing ?
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•Pigsteethgrowninsiderats•Micegrownewteethfromnervecells/gum
Grow New Teeth
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Repair Heart / Brain with stem cells
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Slowornoageinginanimals->pensions Japanwomengain15minutesoflifeexpectancyeveryhour
• Rockfish, Turtles, some Whales
• No signs of getting old
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Demandforunusualvenuesisgrowing
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Little Data often matters
most
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Big Data = PatternLittle Data = Person
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Night Flight or Day Flight Going out or coming home? – work, food, drink,
chat, party, unwind, dark, quiet, sleep, leave
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Predict failure - detect error repair automatically
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AcrossEU,10grocerscapture50%ofsales
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World too small for more than:
2 airline manufacturers3 mobile operating systems
10 large pharma5 large auto companies
Consolidation means fewer, larger, business school clients
and more in-house exec ed
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8%wageinflaAoninChinapartoffsetbycurrencyfall
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Shorter global supply chains
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Since 1980, global trade has grown at twice the rate of production but now growing
LESS than production
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LocaAonMarkeAng
REALLYMATTERS
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FromMARKETINGcampaigntoALWAYS-ON
CONVERSATION
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1.5m components tracked perfectly in Airbus supply chain
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250millionwearabledevicesby2023
$20bnto$70bnby2025
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Payments to home by migrants
are driving Innovation
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Free mobile devicescalls / web / TV / games / payHigher income model
201020132015
TelcoBanks
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• 90%MicrosohR&D• SalesForceR&D>$3bnpa
CLOUD
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WebofThings-BigData-Cloud180bnspamemailsaday
600mnewviruses,malware,trojansayear>220mpeople’sdetailslostinsingleaMack70%largecorporaAonshavebeenhacked
100,000aMacksanhouronUSNavyParalysisofEstoniagovernmentin2007
WorriesaboutUS,Russia,ChinapenetraAonofweb/cloudfollowingPrism
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All true innovation is radical and divergent
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Benchmarking is toxic to risk management
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$40 Trillion Green Tech Boom driven by oil price, cost cuts, green activism
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Shale gas oversupply US petrochem boom
$135bn will be invested soon in 215
new plants
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120,000 terawatts of sunlight /day 7,000 times total global power use Power Moscow from Libyan Desert
Output up 10% in 2014
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75% global growth in green energy is in China
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• InJune2013electricitypricesin
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Meeting full capacity of Tesla new factory will require entire global
output of lithium batteries
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CO2 emissions stable for 24
months of global economic growth
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to waste on things you do not believe in
LifeistooShort
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Compliance alone is dead: keeps execs out of prison but
cannot protect brand or careers, and is no guide to future ethics
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Fastwaytodestroyshareholdervalueis
tofocusonit
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LessonfromNon-Profitsforeverybusinessschool
Connectwithallthepassionspeoplehaveandtheywillfollowyoutotheendsoftheearth,
promotewhatyoudowithpride,andmayevenbewillingtoworkfor
youfornexttonothing
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AllleadershipcomesfromVISIONofabeMerfuture
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BuildingaBeMerWorldpurposeofeverybusinessschool
andofallgreatbusiness
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• Body Level One
• Body Level Two
• Body Level Three
• Body Level Four
• Body Level Five Dr Patrick Dixon
Chairman Global Change Ltd
globalchange.com@patrickdixon