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Global Market Outlook For Solar Power / 2016 - 2020 Michael Schmela, Executive Advisor, SolarPower Europe Webinar, 7 July 2016
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Global Market Outlook - SolarPower · PDF fileGLOBAL MARKET OUTLOOK 2016 - 2020 SolarPower Europe's flagship publication, the annual Global Market Outlook for Solar Power, is considered

Mar 20, 2018

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Page 1: Global Market Outlook - SolarPower · PDF fileGLOBAL MARKET OUTLOOK 2016 - 2020 SolarPower Europe's flagship publication, the annual Global Market Outlook for Solar Power, is considered

Global Market OutlookFor Solar Power / 2016 - 2020

Michael Schmela, Executive Advisor, SolarPower Europe

Webinar, 7 July 2016

Page 2: Global Market Outlook - SolarPower · PDF fileGLOBAL MARKET OUTLOOK 2016 - 2020 SolarPower Europe's flagship publication, the annual Global Market Outlook for Solar Power, is considered

- The new EPIA (European Photovoltaic Industry Association)

- A member led association representing organisations active along the whole value chain

- Shapes the regulatory environment and enhances business opportunities

Over 140 members, including the following leading companies:

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What is SolarPower Europe?

Page 3: Global Market Outlook - SolarPower · PDF fileGLOBAL MARKET OUTLOOK 2016 - 2020 SolarPower Europe's flagship publication, the annual Global Market Outlook for Solar Power, is considered

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European-wide network and outreach

SolarPower Europe has an extensive networking platform, from the major solar players to medium size and start up companies

Exclusive business events: High-level roundtables, workshops, Strategy Committee and Task Force meetings and other networking events

Page 4: Global Market Outlook - SolarPower · PDF fileGLOBAL MARKET OUTLOOK 2016 - 2020 SolarPower Europe's flagship publication, the annual Global Market Outlook for Solar Power, is considered

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European-wide network and outreach

2015: over 50 new members in 1 year2016: over 30 new members already

Page 5: Global Market Outlook - SolarPower · PDF fileGLOBAL MARKET OUTLOOK 2016 - 2020 SolarPower Europe's flagship publication, the annual Global Market Outlook for Solar Power, is considered

Michael Schmela

GLOBAL MARKET OUTLOOK 2016 - 2020

SolarPower Europe's flagship publication, the annual Global Market Outlook for Solar Power, is considered to be the most authoritative market analysis report for

the global solar power sector.

Download the Global Market Outlook 2016www.solarpowereurope.org/insights/new-global-market-outlook-2016/

Page 6: Global Market Outlook - SolarPower · PDF fileGLOBAL MARKET OUTLOOK 2016 - 2020 SolarPower Europe's flagship publication, the annual Global Market Outlook for Solar Power, is considered

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KEY TRENDS 2015/2016

• A new investment cycle has started

• New factories outside China

• Solar is more than module manufacturing

• Researchers have been working successfully on increasing efficiency

• Utilities increasingly going solar

• New players entering

• Prosumers & self-consumption beginning to gain traction

• Most important: The cost of solar is coming down quicker thaneven most experts have anticipated – and this trend will continue

1. Solar Power / Industry & Technology Trends

Page 7: Global Market Outlook - SolarPower · PDF fileGLOBAL MARKET OUTLOOK 2016 - 2020 SolarPower Europe's flagship publication, the annual Global Market Outlook for Solar Power, is considered

SOLAR INCREASINGLY COST-COMPETITIVE – EVEN WITH ONSHORE WIND

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1. Solar Power / Industry & Technology Trends

Page 8: Global Market Outlook - SolarPower · PDF fileGLOBAL MARKET OUTLOOK 2016 - 2020 SolarPower Europe's flagship publication, the annual Global Market Outlook for Solar Power, is considered

GLOBAL MARKET GROWS OVER 25% YOY TO >50 GW IN 2015 - WITH CHINA/JAPAN COVERING >50%

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2. Global Solar Market / Update 2000 – 2015

Page 9: Global Market Outlook - SolarPower · PDF fileGLOBAL MARKET OUTLOOK 2016 - 2020 SolarPower Europe's flagship publication, the annual Global Market Outlook for Solar Power, is considered

CHINA NOW LEADING GLOBAL PV MARKET WITH LARGEST SHARE OF TOTAL INSTALLED CAPACITY

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2. Global Solar Market / Update 2000 – 2015

Page 10: Global Market Outlook - SolarPower · PDF fileGLOBAL MARKET OUTLOOK 2016 - 2020 SolarPower Europe's flagship publication, the annual Global Market Outlook for Solar Power, is considered

MOST PROBABLE GLOBAL SCENARIO (MEDIUM) ASSUMES ANNUAL DEMAND GROWS TO 97 GW IN 2020

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2. Global Solar Market / Prospects 2016 - 2020

Page 11: Global Market Outlook - SolarPower · PDF fileGLOBAL MARKET OUTLOOK 2016 - 2020 SolarPower Europe's flagship publication, the annual Global Market Outlook for Solar Power, is considered

COMPARED TO GMO 2015, THIS REPORT FORESEESA MUCH MORE POSITIVE SOLAR DEVELOPMENT

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2. Global Solar Market / Prospects 2016 - 2020

Page 12: Global Market Outlook - SolarPower · PDF fileGLOBAL MARKET OUTLOOK 2016 - 2020 SolarPower Europe's flagship publication, the annual Global Market Outlook for Solar Power, is considered

SUNNY 5-YEAR FORECAST FOR MOST GLOBAL MARKETS

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2. Global Solar Market / Prospects 2016 - 2020

Page 13: Global Market Outlook - SolarPower · PDF fileGLOBAL MARKET OUTLOOK 2016 - 2020 SolarPower Europe's flagship publication, the annual Global Market Outlook for Solar Power, is considered

UTILITY-SCALE SOLAR TO DOMINATE AS GROWTH COMES MAINLY FROM EMERGING MARKETS

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2. Global Solar Market / Prospects 2020 / Segments

Page 14: Global Market Outlook - SolarPower · PDF fileGLOBAL MARKET OUTLOOK 2016 - 2020 SolarPower Europe's flagship publication, the annual Global Market Outlook for Solar Power, is considered

EUROPE STILL IN TRANSITION PHASE. 15% YOY GROWTH IN 2015, FIRST TIME UP AFTER 3 YEARS OF DECLINE

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3. European Solar Market / Update 2000 – 2015

Page 15: Global Market Outlook - SolarPower · PDF fileGLOBAL MARKET OUTLOOK 2016 - 2020 SolarPower Europe's flagship publication, the annual Global Market Outlook for Solar Power, is considered

AFTER ANOTHER DIP IN 2016, EUROPE ANTICIPATED TO RETURN BACK TO GROWTH FOR NEXT YEARS

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3. European Solar Market / Prospects 2016 - 2020

Page 16: Global Market Outlook - SolarPower · PDF fileGLOBAL MARKET OUTLOOK 2016 - 2020 SolarPower Europe's flagship publication, the annual Global Market Outlook for Solar Power, is considered

EUROPE FIRST REGION SURPASSING IMPRESSIVE 100 GW MARK. OVER 170 GW POSSIBLE BY 2020

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3. European Solar Market / Prospects 2016 - 2020

Page 17: Global Market Outlook - SolarPower · PDF fileGLOBAL MARKET OUTLOOK 2016 - 2020 SolarPower Europe's flagship publication, the annual Global Market Outlook for Solar Power, is considered

GERMANY AND TURKEY EXPECTED TO BE THE LARGEST EUROPEAN SOLAR MARKETS IN 2020

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3. European Solar Market / Prospects 2020

Page 18: Global Market Outlook - SolarPower · PDF fileGLOBAL MARKET OUTLOOK 2016 - 2020 SolarPower Europe's flagship publication, the annual Global Market Outlook for Solar Power, is considered

SOLAR PV AMONG TOP 3 ELECTRICITY SOURCES IN EUROPE

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4. Solar In European Electricity System / 2020 - 2030

Page 19: Global Market Outlook - SolarPower · PDF fileGLOBAL MARKET OUTLOOK 2016 - 2020 SolarPower Europe's flagship publication, the annual Global Market Outlook for Solar Power, is considered

IF MARKET DESIGN SET CORRECTLY, SOLAR AS LOWESTCOST RES COULD REACH 15% SHARE IN EU BY 2030

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4. Solar In European Electricity System / 2020 - 2030

Page 20: Global Market Outlook - SolarPower · PDF fileGLOBAL MARKET OUTLOOK 2016 - 2020 SolarPower Europe's flagship publication, the annual Global Market Outlook for Solar Power, is considered

Michael Schmela

GLOBAL MARKET OUTLOOK FOR SOLAR POWER 2016 - 2020

Q&A

Download the Global Market Outlook 2016www.solarpowereurope.org/insights/new-global-market-outlook-2016/

Page 21: Global Market Outlook - SolarPower · PDF fileGLOBAL MARKET OUTLOOK 2016 - 2020 SolarPower Europe's flagship publication, the annual Global Market Outlook for Solar Power, is considered

Save the date

SolarPower Webinar

PV In MENA - The Mirage Is Getting Real

by Apricum - The Cleantech Advisory

Wednesday, 20 July at 15:00

Page 22: Global Market Outlook - SolarPower · PDF fileGLOBAL MARKET OUTLOOK 2016 - 2020 SolarPower Europe's flagship publication, the annual Global Market Outlook for Solar Power, is considered

SolarPower Europe (European Photovoltaic Industry Association)Rue d’Arlon 69-71, 1040 Brussels, BelgiumT +32 2 709 55 20 / F +32 2 725 32 [email protected] /www.solarpowereurope.org

Thank you for attending

SolarPower Webinar