Key Findings of the Global Innovation Index (GII) 2018 xxix KEY FINDINGS OF THE GLOBAL INNOVATION INDEX (GII) 2018 The main messages of the Global Innovation Index 2018 can be summarized in seven key findings. 1: Becoming optimistic about global innovation and growth is possible After almost a decade of uneven progress, a broad-based global economic growth momentum is now in place. The current challenge is for the global economy to reach a comfortable cruising speed that can be sustained for the next several years. In this context, there is a renewed need to prioritize policies that foster new sources of innovation-driven growth. Investments in innovation are central in this goal. Certainly, according to the GII estimates, year-on-year growth of corporate and public R&D spending is still mostly lower than it was before the crisis (see Figure B). There are also downward risks to economic projections and innovation in the months to come. Yet many considerations also allow for considerable optimism. The global landscape of investment in science and technology as well as in education and human capital has undergone important positive shifts over the last three decades. Today innovation and research and development (R&D) are a serious policy ambition in most developed and developing economies and in all world regions. Global R&D expenditures have continued to rise, more than doubling over the 20-year period between 1996 and 2016; businesses increasingly account for most R&D investments. In 2016, worldwide total R&D expenditure (GERD) grew at 3% (Figure B). Global R&D intensity too has been stable or it even has intensified over recent years. Intellectual property (IP) filings too have reached record levels in 2016; that growth is mainly driven by China. Another positive message can be found on the business front. Global business R&D spending increased at faster pace in 2016 (4.2%) than in 2015. The top 1,000 R&D companies raised their R&D expenditures between 2015 and the first half of 2017.
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Key Findings of the Global Innovation Index (GII) 2018 xxix
KEY FINDINGS OF THE GLOBAL INNOVATION INDEX (GII) 2018
The main messages of the Global Innovation Index 2018 can
be summarized in seven key findings.
1: Becoming optimistic about global
innovation and growth is possible
After almost a decade of uneven progress, a broad-based
global economic growth momentum is now in place. The
current challenge is for the global economy to reach a
comfortable cruising speed that can be sustained for the
next several years.
In this context, there is a renewed need to prioritize policies
that foster new sources of innovation-driven growth.
Investments in innovation are central in this goal.
Certainly, according to the GII estimates, year-on-year
growth of corporate and public R&D spending is still mostly
lower than it was before the crisis (see Figure B). There are
also downward risks to economic projections and innovation
in the months to come.
Yet many considerations also allow for considerable
optimism. The global landscape of investment in science
and technology as well as in education and human capital
has undergone important positive shifts over the last three
decades. Today innovation and research and development
(R&D) are a serious policy ambition in most developed and
developing economies and in all world regions. Global R&D
expenditures have continued to rise, more than doubling
over the 20-year period between 1996 and 2016; businesses
increasingly account for most R&D investments.
In 2016, worldwide total R&D expenditure (GERD) grew at
3% (Figure B). Global R&D intensity too has been stable or it
even has intensified over recent years. Intellectual property
(IP) filings too have reached record levels in 2016; that
growth is mainly driven by China.
Another positive message can be found on the business
front. Global business R&D spending increased at faster
pace in 2016 (4.2%) than in 2015. The top 1,000 R&D
companies raised their R&D expenditures between 2015 and
the first half of 2017.
xxx The Global Innovation Index 2018
To start with, significant progress has been
achieved recently in energy innovation. For
example, lower costs of renewable energy
technologies have combined with increasing
energy efficiencies. Today offshore wind and
concentrated solar power technologies are
relevant energy supply options. Ultra-high
voltage lines and smart grids are opening the
possibility that power and electricity can be
transported across long distances.
Furthermore, innovation in the energy sector
is not the privilege of high-income economies
alone. India and China are delving deeper into
the downstream applications of photovoltaic
technologies. Energy innovation is happening
at the grassroots level too. For example, small-
scale systems to provide electricity for people
living far from the grid are on the rise.
Yet to realize their full potential, new energy
innovation systems, coupled with intense
innovation efforts, are needed at all stages of
the energy system value chain.
Higher levels of technological and non-
technological innovation are required on
diverse fronts:
• on the supply side of the energy equation,
including cleaner energy sources;
• on the demand side, including smart cities,
homes and buildings, energy efficient
industries, and transport and future
mobility; and
• in enabling technologies for the
optimization of energy systems, including
smart grids and advanced storage
technologies.
In this context, however, Chapter 1 of the GII
2018 notes that green investment growth
has slowed on the basis of available figures;
energy-related patenting has also stagnated
and even declined in recent years following a
period of accelerated growth. Moreover, at the
moment, innovation has been uneven across
the different stages of the energy system value
chain, with more attention needed to be paid
to energy storage technologies and energy
transmission technologies.
According to an analysis done by the World
Intellectual Property Organization (WIPO) for
the GII 2018, the total number of patent families
and PCT international patent applications in
energy technologies almost doubled between
2005 and 2013 (see Figure D). Yet this period of
accelerated growth in the number of patented
green energy inventions has been followed
Building on this movement, and overcoming
the global innovation divide, there is potential
to ramp up innovation in most middle-income
economies as well as to progressively increase
innovation in low-income economies.
Looking forward, what if innovation
expenditures are aligned with economic
growth over the next few years? What if India
and other emerging countries in Asia, and
hopefully also in other world regions such as
Latin America, Central Asia, and Africa—the
regions that currently lag in comparison—follow
the dynamic innovation trajectory of China
in the next several years? What if increased
protectionism—in particular protectionism that
impacts technology-intensive sectors, IP, and
knowledge flows across the board—could be
contained in the months ahead?
Such dynamics could create the basis
for productive knowledge spillovers and
opportunities for collaboration and the
generation of new knowledge and innovation.
2: Continued investments in
breakthrough energy innovations
are essential for global growth
and to avert an environmental
crisis
Projections indicate that by 2040 the world will
require up to 30% more energy than it needs
today. Conventional approaches to energy
supply are unsustainable in the face of climate
change. The chapters of the 11th edition of
the GII explore how innovation contributes to
addressing and solving the energy equation in
specific geographies and contexts.
Five messages emerge from this year’s GII
thematic focus, namely:
1. Innovation has a key role in meeting
increasing global energy demand.
2. Energy innovations are happening
globally, while objectives differ across
countries.
3. New energy innovation systems need
to emerge, with efforts along all stages,
including energy distribution and storage.
4. Obstacles to the adoption and diffusion
of energy innovations remain numerous.
5. Public policy plays a central role in
driving the energy transition.
Key Findings of the Global Innovation Index (GII) 2018 xxxi