GCCA+ COP21 SIDE EVENT AN ALLIANCE TO ADDRESS CLIMATE CHANGE IN MYANMAR: THE EXPERIENCE OF A CLIMATE VULNERABLE COUNTRY IN BUILDING POLICIES AND CAPACITIES MYANMAR U HLA MAUNG THEIN, DEPUTY-DIRECTOR GENERAL ENVIRONMENTAL CONSERVATION DEPARTMENT MINISTRY FOR ENVIRONMENTAL CONSERVATION AND FORESTRY (MOECAF) PARIS, 2 DECEMBER 2015, 16H30 – 18H 1
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Global Climate Change Alliance+ - GCCA+ COP21 SIDE EVENT · 2018. 4. 6. · • National Development Plan 2030 > includes CC • National Climate Change Strategy, Action Plan & Policy
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GCCA+ COP21 SIDE EVENT
AN ALLIANCE TO ADDRESS CLIMATE CHANGE IN MYANMAR: THE EXPERIENCE OF A CLIMATE
VULNERABLE COUNTRY IN BUILDING POLICIES AND CAPACITIES
MYANMAR
U HLA MAUNG THEIN, DEPUTY-DIRECTOR GENERAL ENVIRONMENTAL CONSERVATION DEPARTMENT MINISTRY FOR ENVIRONMENTAL CONSERVATION AND FORESTRY (MOECAF)
PARIS, 2 DECEMBER 2015, 16H30 – 18H
1
CHANGES IN CLIMATE ARE EVIDENT IN MYANMAR… AND WILL CONTINUE
1. Observed evidence in last 6 decades...• Increased temperatures (~o.8° per decade)• Changing rainfall patterns/volumes in different areas• Monsoon season late on-set and early withdraw• Recurrence/severity of extreme weather events
2. …further changes by 2050*, i.e. • Continued increase in temperatures (up to 1.4 °); change in
rainfall (up to 661mm); changing Monsoon season• More cyclones/storms, floods, sea-level rise (5-21 cm),
droughts
*NAPA 2012,PRECIS model w.A2emissions scenario
Sea-level risesource: WWF incollaboration withtheNatural CapitalProject and Center for Climate SystemsResearch (CSCR) atColumbia University
MYANMAR IS THE 2ND MOST VULNERABLE COUNTRY IN THE WORLD TO THE EFFECTS OF CC*
1. Large impact of rapid on-set disasters…
• Cyclones e.g. Nargis (2008) = 138,000 deaths, 4Bl US$ lost; cyclone Giri etc.
• Floods and Landslide in Rakhine/Chin/Magwe/Sagaing (2015) = 1 million acre crops destroyed, forecasted reduction of 2017 GDP from 8.2% to 6.5%
2. …and silent effects of changes • Climate driven migrations (e.g. Central Dry Zone: unpredict.
rainfall; Coastal: erosion, salinization)• Loss of agriculture productivity (still 37% GDP);• Loss of biodiversity (aggravated by deforestation)• Livestock diseases and decreased outputs (fishery)
3. Socio-economic effects• Employment depends on climate sensitive activities (Agriculture
50% of jobs)• Loss of GDP for disasters e.g. forecasted reduction of 2017 GDP
from 8.2% to 6.5% due to floodsTop:AwomanreceivesawaterrationforherfamilyduringaseveredroughtinThoneGwa townshipintheYangonregioninJuly2012.Image:KaungHtet/ICIMOD/UNBottom:coastalerosionasaresultofNargis inLaputta Township*GlobalClimateRiskIndex2015,WhoSuffersMostfromExtremeWeatherEvents?Weather-RelatedLossEventsin1994to2013andin2013,Germanwatch andV.
STRIKING THE BALANCE BETWEEN RAPID DEVELOPMENT AND SUSTAINABILITY
1. Economy grows at ~6.5% since democratic reform in 2011
• From agriculture to services & production e.gGas, Manufacturing (agriculture still 37% of GDP)
2. Increased demand in energy & use of natural resources
• Mitigate environmental costs (deforestation) • Manage the ecosystem services
3. …still LDC & high vulnerabilities• Most of Myanmar’s 51.2 million people (2014
Census) live in vulnerable areas to CC• Poverty: 85% of rural population living below
poverty line(c)Sukun 2015
MCCA: A PLATFORM TO ADDRESS CC1. Myanmar Climate Change Alliance
• Platform to strengthen human and institutional capacities
2. Action pillars: a. Raising national to local awareness,
ADVANCING CLIMATE CHANGE ACTION1. Increasing awareness via Media, CSO, Policy
Makers, Towns• National awareness campaign to start 2016• Climate data to be disseminated/translated• Awareness workshops national, region, local
2. Developing policy, institution, capacities• CC Ministerial Committee + Technical Working Group:
20 ministries, 3 main cities, 2 Academia, CSO, Private• National Development Plan 2030 > includes CC • National Climate Change Strategy, Action Plan & Policy
and other policies in progress
3. Strengthening town capacities for adaptation• Downscaling CC models (e.g. Labutta, Pakokku)• Planning adaptation on impact scenarios• MCCA grant facility for adaptive measures (e.g. Water
Top: example of articles inthe press promoted byMCCA todiscuss climate changeCentre: national and localmulti-stakeholders consultations for theNational CC StrategyBottom: Left: Township authorities inDryZone Areasdiscuss withMCCA options toaddress vulnerabilities toclimate change intheirarea (2015,MCCA). Right: example of scenarios fromUN-Habitat CCCI, Maputo
OutcomesBy 2030, Myanmar is achieving climate resilience and is engaged in low-carbon, resource efficient development as a contribution to sustainable development
Policyframeworkestablished
Enabled sustainable and resilient human settlements, services
and infrastructure
Improved access to science, knowledge
and technology
Improved preparedness and
early warning system
Accesstotechnologyenhanced
Financialframeworkestablished
Sectoralactivities
Actionplanswithspecificactivities
…
Actionplanswithspecificactivities
Actionplanswithspecificactivities
Actionplanswithspecificactivities
Increased adaptive capacity
and resilience of vulnerable
communities and
sectors
THE ROADMAP TO 2030
1. Improved institutional coordination and a functional climate change platform (MCCA)