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GEOVISUALIZING SPATIO-TEMPORAL PATTERNS IN TENNIS: An Alternative Approach to Post-match Analysis @damiendemaj : Geospatial Product Engineer
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GEOVISUALIZING SPATIO-TEMPORAL PATTERNS IN TENNIS

Aug 19, 2015

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Page 1: GEOVISUALIZING SPATIO-TEMPORAL PATTERNS IN TENNIS

GEOVISUALIZING SPATIO-TEMPORAL PATTERNS IN TENNIS: An Alternative Approach to Post-match Analysis

@damiendemaj : Geospatial Product Engineer

Page 2: GEOVISUALIZING SPATIO-TEMPORAL PATTERNS IN TENNIS

THE PROBLEM A typical summary of tennis fails to answer important questions about a match.

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WHERE? WHEN? MAPS?

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Geospatial and visual analysis. A real opportunity in tennis.

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Within sport but outside of tennis, some spatio-temporal research has been completed.

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In tennis however, spatio-temporal analytics is a relatively new area of study.

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THE SERVE The most important shot in tennis?

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Unpredictable differences in serve location makes your opponents life a lot more difficult.

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The results of tennis matches are often determined by a small number of important points.

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QUESTION Which player served with more

spatio-temporal variation at important points?

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WHO? Roger Federer v Andy Murray

© Getty Images   © Getty Images  

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WHERE? Olympic Gold Medal Match, London, UK Sunday Aug 5, 2012

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DATA 1706 attributed spatial points Source: 3D GIS & streaming video

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METHOD Plot x,y serve bounces in GIS 78 pts for Federer 86 pts for Murray

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PART 1 of 4 Identify the visual structure of each serve pattern using K. Means algorithm tool in ArcGIS.

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K. MEANS Algorithm

Looks for natural clusters in the data.

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K. MEANS Algorithm Allows user to define similarity of serves by attribute (direction of serve) and number of groups. Federer = 11 Murray = 10

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W B T

T B W

RESULT 1 of 4 Expected clusters in data. Classify data: Wide – Body – T

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PART 2 of 4 Arrange the data into a temporal sequence to see who served with more spatial variation. Temporal sequence = service box, point #, shot #, game #, set #

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Q: How do we measure spatial variation between serve locations?

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Create

EUCLIDEAN LINES p1 (x1,y1) and p2 (x2,y2), p2 (x2,y2) and p3 (x3,y3), p3 (x3,y3) and p4 (x4,y4) etc

in each service court location

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LARGE MEAN EUCLIDEAN distance = more spatial serve variation Small mean Euclidean distance = less spatial serve variation

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RESULT 2 of 4 Federer served with greater spatial variation than Murray

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PART 3 of 4 Tag the most ‘important’ serves Most important points in tennis: 30-40 and 40-Ad

Source: Morris 1977, [21]  

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SELECT Important points only Recalculate euclidean distance

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RESULT 3 of 4 Murray served with more spatial variation at the most important points than Federer.

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PART 4 of 4 Overlay successful serves onto important points to determine visual relationship.

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RESULT 4 of 4 Murray had more success on his serve at important points than Federer.

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METHOD SUMMARY

1. Visual analytics

2. Introduced K Means Algorithm

3. Euclidean distances

4. Feature overlay

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WRAP UP GIS provided an effective means to geovisualize spatio-temporal sports data. Reveal potential new patterns within sport.

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NEXT STEP… Real-time authoritative data More data variables Integrate sports professionals

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OTHER TECH OPPORTUNITIES…

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GOOGLE GLASS in sport

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REFERENCES

[1] M.J. Smith et el, “Geospatial Analysis, a comprehensive guide to principles, techniques and software tools”, Matador, 2007. [2] A. Mitchell, “The Esri guide to GIS Analysis”, Esri Press, 1999.

[3] J. Bertin, “Semiology of Graphics: Diagrams, Networks, Maps”, Esri Press, 2nd Edition, 2010. [4] Franc J.G.M. Klaassen and Jan R. Magnus, “Forecasting the winner of a tennis match”, European Journal of Operational Research, no. 148, pp.

257-267, Sept. 2003. [5] J.K Vis et el, “Tennis Patterns: Player, Match and Beyond”, In 22nd Benelux Conference on Artificial Intelligence (BNAIC 2010), Luxembourg,

25-26 October 2010. [6] T. Barnett and S.R. Clarke, “Combining player statistics to predict outcomes of tennis matches”, IMA Journal of Management and Mathematics,

vol. 16, pp. 113-120, 2005. [7] F. Radicchi, “Who is the best player ever? A complex network analysis of the history of professional tennis”, PLoS ONE 6(2): e17249. doi:

10.1371/journal.pone.0017249. [8] T. Barnett and S.R. Clarke, “Using Microsoft Excel to model a tennis match”, In Proceedings 6th Australian Conference on Mathematics and

Computers in Sport, Bond University, pp. 63-68, 2002. [9] B. Schroeder, “A methodology for pattern discovery in tennis rallys using the adaptive framework ANIMA”, In Second International Workshop

on Knowledge Discovery from Data Streams (IWKDDS), 2005. [10] A. Terroba et el, “Tactical analysis modeling through data mining, Pattern discovery in racket sports”, In International Conference on

Knowledge Discovery and Information Retreival (KDIR 2010), 2010. [11] A. Moore et el, “Sport and Time Geography: a good match?”, Presented at the 15th Annual Colloquium of the Spatial Information Research

Centre (SIRC 2003: Land, Place and Space), 2003. [12] A. Gatrell and P. Gould, “A micro-geography of team games: graphical explorations of structural relations”, Area, 11, 275-278.

[13] K. Goldsberry, “CourtVision: New Visual and Spatial Analytics for the NBA”, In Proceedings MIT Sloan Sports Analytics Conference, 2012. [14] United States Tennis Association, “Tennis tactics, winning patterns of play”, Human Kinetics, 1st Edition, 1996.

[15] G. E. Parker, “Percentage Play in Tennis”, In Mathematics and Sports Theme Articles, http://www.mathaware.org/mam/2010/essays/ [16] Hawk-Eye Innovations, http://www.hawkeyeinnovations.co.uk/

[17] J Ren, “Tracking the soccer ball using multiple fixed cameras”, Computer Vision and Image Understanding, vol. 113, pp. 633-642, 2009. [18] J.R. Wang and N. Parameswaran, “Survey of Sports Video Analysis: Research Issues and Applications”, In Proceedings of the Pan-Sydney area

workshop on Visualization, pp.87-90, 2005. [19] J. A. Hartigan and M. A. Wong, “Algorithm AS 136: A K-Means Clustering Algorithm”, Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series C (Applied

Statistics), vol. 28, No. 1, pp. 100-108, 1979. [20] ArcGIS Resources Help 10.1, http://resources.arcgis.com/en/help/main/10.1/index.html – /Grouping_Analysis/005p00000051000000/

[21] C. Morris, “The most important points in tennis”, In Optimal Strategies in Sports, vol 5 in Studies and Management Science and Systems, , North-Holland Publishing, Amsterdam, pp. 131-140, 1977.

[22] C.D. Lloyd, “Spatial data analysis, an introduction to for GIS users”, Oxford University Press, 1st edition, New York, 2010 [23] M. Lames, “Modeling the interaction in games sports – relative phase and moving correlations”, Journal of Sports Science and Medicine, vol

5, pp. 556-560, 2006

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