General Election 2015 Voter Registration, Campaigns, and Turnout Alex Jones, NUS
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General Election 2015
Voter Registration, Campaigns, and Turnout Alex Jones, NUS
674
days until general election 2015
Challenges…
Electoral Landscape
Public Opinion
Policy Context
Student Vote
Responses…
Activities
Intermediate outcomes
Long-term aims
Impact
Challenges…
Electoral Landscape
Public Opinion
Policy Context
Student Vote
Electoral Landscape
Electoral
Landscape
Road to General Election 2015
• UK Local Elections (May 2014) • European Elections (22 May 2014) • Scotland Referendum (September 2014) • UK General Election (7 May 2015)
Following the Fixed-term Parliaments Act 2011 the date of the next general election has been set at the 7 May 2015. The Act provides for general elections to be held on the first Thursday in May every five years.
Two exceptions…
• A motion of no confidence is passed in the Government by a simple majority and 14 days elapses without the House passing a confidence motion in any new Government formed
• A motion for a general election is agreed by two thirds of the total number of seats in the Commons including vacant seats (currently 434 out of 650)
Dissolution Parliament is due to dissolve on Monday 13 April 2015. A proclamation will be made announcing when Parliament will meet after the general election and setting the date of the Queen's Speech at State Opening. The election looks set to be contested on existing boundaries following conflict in the Coalition over the boundary review which would have reduced the number of constituencies. Writs will be issued for elections in the UK's 650 constituencies. It is likely to be the first election to be contested under a new system of individual electoral registration.
Voter Registration Deadline Cut-off date for UK citizens aged 18 and over to register to vote in the general election. Also marks the deadline for voters to apply for a postal or a proxy vote.
Individual Electoral Registration . polls close.
Polling Day Polling day will be Thursday 7 May 2015. Polling booths open between 7am and 10pm. Counting of votes will begin when polling stations close. polls close.
Electoral Landscape
Electoral Landscape
Electoral Landscape
Largest Students (Population)
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
Sheffield Central
Manchester Central
Nottingham South
Liverpool, Riverside
Oxford East
Leeds Central
Cambridge
Bristol West
Newcastle upon Tyne East
Cardiff Central
Leicester South
Holborn and St Pancras
Manchester, Gorton
East Ham
Birmingham, Ladywood
West Ham
Portsmouth South
Canterbury
Coventry South
Leeds North West
Largest Students (Percentage)
0.00
5.00
10.00
15.00
20.00
25.00
30.00
35.00
Sheffield Central
Cardiff Central
Nottingham South
Liverpool, Riverside
Newcastle upon Tyne East
Manchester Central
Leeds North West
Cambridge
Oxford East
Bristol West
Manchester, Gorton
Leeds Central
Swansea West
Portsmouth South
Leicester South
Coventry South
Canterbury
Bath
Birmingham, Ladywood
Birmingham, Selly Oak
Highest Qualification – Level 4
0.00 10.00 20.00 30.00 40.00 50.00 60.00
Battersea
Chelsea and Fulham
Wimbledon
Kensington
Hornsey and Wood Green
Vauxhall
Islington North
Bristol West
Twickenham
Westminster North
Streatham
Bermondsey and Old…
Finchley and Golders…
Oxford West and Abingdon
Brentford and Isleworth
0.00 10.00 20.00 30.00 40.00 50.00 60.00
Cambridge
Bristol West
Twickenham
Manchester, Withington
Sheffield, Hallam
Oxford West and Abingdon
St Albans
Brighton, Pavilion
Hitchin and Harpenden
Esher and Walton
Winchester
Guildford
South Cambridgeshire
Leeds North East
South West Surrey
Chesham and Amersham
Altrincham and Sale West
Bath
Wokingham
Ruislip, Northwood and Pinner
Maidenhead
Hove
Kingston and Surbiton
Greenwich and Woolwich
Oxford East
Chipping Barnet
Reading East
Kenilworth and Southam
Henley
Mole Valley
Highest Qualification – Level 4
Electoral Landscape
Public Opinion
Policy Context
Student Vote
Public Opinion
YouGov / The Sun Survey Results
Fieldwork: 19 – 20 June 2013
31
39
14
11
5
Con
Lab
UKIP
Lib Dem
Other
YouGov / The Sun Survey Results
Fieldwork: 19 – 20 June 2013
Foregone conclusion?
1. It’s the economy, stupid…and Labour are struggling
2. It’s the economy, stupid…and Labour are struggling
3. Leader Ratings (Negative)
Cameron
Miliband
Clegg
4. Preferred Outcome
5. History
Electoral Landscape
Public Opinion
Policy Context
Student Vote
Student Vote
Lenar Gilmullin
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Overal Turnout Student Turnout
Electoral Landscape
Public Opinion
Policy Context
Student Vote
Policy Context
Fabian Society/YouGov (July 2012)
Fabian Society/YouGov (July 2012)
Far too little
Too little
The right amount
Too much
Far too much
The UK government considers the interests of future
generations…
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
Too Little Too Much
The UK government considers the interests of future
generations…
New Deal for the Next Generation
Community
Work
Education
Electoral Landscape
Public Opinion
Policy Context
Student Vote
General Election (674 days)
Year 1: Organising
Year 2: Mobilising
Surveying the
Landscape
Building External
Partnerships
Encouraging Student
Participation
Developing Campaign Themes
So, what are we doing?
Surveying the Landscape
Building Partnerships
Developing Campaign Themes
Education
• Education Passport
• Student Support Guarantee
Work
•Good Opportunities, Good Deeds
• Good Jobs, Good Wages
Community
•Active Student Citizens
• Student Power in Communities
Encouraging Student Participation
I am the Change
Community Organising
Activism
We Are the
Change
Surveying the
Landscape
Building External
Partnerships
Encouraging Student
Participation
Developing Campaign Themes
So, what are we doing?
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