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GDP Q2 2017 Embargoed until: 11:30am @StatsSA #GDP GDP Q2 2017 GDP 2 nd quarter 2017 Emargoed until: 5 September 2017 11:30am
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GDP Q2 2017 GDP - Statistics South Africa · GDP Q2 2017. Embargoed until: 11:30am. The largest contributors to growth in Q2 2017 were activities in the agriculture and finance, real

Oct 28, 2019

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Page 1: GDP Q2 2017 GDP - Statistics South Africa · GDP Q2 2017. Embargoed until: 11:30am. The largest contributors to growth in Q2 2017 were activities in the agriculture and finance, real

GDPQ2 2017

Embargoed until: 11:30am

@StatsSA#GDP

GDPQ2 2017

GDP2nd quarter 2017

Emargoed until:5 September 2017

11:30am

Page 2: GDP Q2 2017 GDP - Statistics South Africa · GDP Q2 2017. Embargoed until: 11:30am. The largest contributors to growth in Q2 2017 were activities in the agriculture and finance, real

GDPQ2 2017

Embargoed until: 11:30am

GDPQ2 2017

GDP(production)

Page 3: GDP Q2 2017 GDP - Statistics South Africa · GDP Q2 2017. Embargoed until: 11:30am. The largest contributors to growth in Q2 2017 were activities in the agriculture and finance, real

GDPQ2 2017

Embargoed until: 11:30am

Quarter-on-quarter

2,5%in Q2 2017

Seasonally adjusted and annualised

Year-on-year

1,1%in Q2 2017

Unadjusted

6 month-6 month

1,1%in Q2 2017

Unadjusted (year-on-year)

Page 4: GDP Q2 2017 GDP - Statistics South Africa · GDP Q2 2017. Embargoed until: 11:30am. The largest contributors to growth in Q2 2017 were activities in the agriculture and finance, real

GDPQ2 2017

Embargoed until: 11:30am

The largest contributors to growth in Q2 2017 were activities in the agriculture and finance, real estate and business services sectorsQuarter-on-quarter, seasonally adjusted and annualised

GDP growth rates

Page 5: GDP Q2 2017 GDP - Statistics South Africa · GDP Q2 2017. Embargoed until: 11:30am. The largest contributors to growth in Q2 2017 were activities in the agriculture and finance, real

GDPQ2 2017

Embargoed until: 11:30am

In the Q2 2017, the primary sector recorded the highest growth. The secondary and tertiary sectors also experienced some growthQuarter-on-quarter, seasonally adjusted and annualised

10,3%

1,9%1,2%

Growth rates in various sectors

Page 6: GDP Q2 2017 GDP - Statistics South Africa · GDP Q2 2017. Embargoed until: 11:30am. The largest contributors to growth in Q2 2017 were activities in the agriculture and finance, real

GDPQ2 2017

Embargoed until: 11:30am

0,7

0,2

0,3

0,5

0,2

0,2

0,1

0,1

0,0

-0,1

GDP2,5%

LHS: growth rates RHS: contributions

Quarter-on-quarter, seasonally adjusted and annualised

Page 7: GDP Q2 2017 GDP - Statistics South Africa · GDP Q2 2017. Embargoed until: 11:30am. The largest contributors to growth in Q2 2017 were activities in the agriculture and finance, real

GDPQ2 2017

Embargoed until: 11:30am

Growth rates by sectorQuarter-on-quarter, seasonally adjusted and annualised, Q2 2017

Agriculture: Increased production of field crops and horticultural products contributed to the rise in agriculture

Mining: Increased production was reported for coal, gold and ‘other’ metal ores (manganese ore and iron ore)

Agriculture

33,6%10,3% 3,9%

PRIMARY SECTOR

Mining

Page 8: GDP Q2 2017 GDP - Statistics South Africa · GDP Q2 2017. Embargoed until: 11:30am. The largest contributors to growth in Q2 2017 were activities in the agriculture and finance, real

GDPQ2 2017

Embargoed until: 11:30am

Growth rates by sectorQuarter-on-quarter, seasonally adjusted and annualised, Q2 2017

Manufacturing: Increase was spearheaded by rise in food and beverages, as well as motor vehicle production

Electricity: The rise was due to increase of electricity produced and available for distribution

Construction: Fell in line with declining residential and non-residential activities

Electricity

8,8% 0,5%Construction

1,9%

SECONDARY SECTOR

Manufacturing

1,5%

Page 9: GDP Q2 2017 GDP - Statistics South Africa · GDP Q2 2017. Embargoed until: 11:30am. The largest contributors to growth in Q2 2017 were activities in the agriculture and finance, real

GDPQ2 2017

Embargoed until: 11:30am

Growth rates by sectorQuarter-on-quarter, seasonally adjusted and annualised, Q2 2017

Trade

0,6%Transport

2,2%1,2%

TERTIARY SECTOR

Finance

2,5%Government

0,6%

Personal services

1,1%

Trade: Retail trade sales rebounded and wholesale trade recorded a small positive growth

Transport: Increased activity was reported for land freight transportation and communication services

Finance: Financial intermediation and auxiliary activities contributed to the recovery of the services sector

Government: Declining employment numbers were largely responsible for the fall in general government services

Page 10: GDP Q2 2017 GDP - Statistics South Africa · GDP Q2 2017. Embargoed until: 11:30am. The largest contributors to growth in Q2 2017 were activities in the agriculture and finance, real

GDPQ2 2017

Embargoed until: 11:30am

Nominal GDP values for Q2 2017

Page 11: GDP Q2 2017 GDP - Statistics South Africa · GDP Q2 2017. Embargoed until: 11:30am. The largest contributors to growth in Q2 2017 were activities in the agriculture and finance, real

GDPQ2 2017

Embargoed until: 11:30am

Agriculture was up by R15 billion to R40 billion

Electricity was up by R10 billion to R46 billion

Government was up by R7 billion to R181 billion

Trade was up by R5 billion to R153 billion

Nominal GDP estimated at R1 145 billion for Q2 2017, R37 billion more than in Q1 2017

Page 12: GDP Q2 2017 GDP - Statistics South Africa · GDP Q2 2017. Embargoed until: 11:30am. The largest contributors to growth in Q2 2017 were activities in the agriculture and finance, real

GDPQ2 2017

Embargoed until: 11:30am

Shares of nominal GDP

Q2 2017

Page 13: GDP Q2 2017 GDP - Statistics South Africa · GDP Q2 2017. Embargoed until: 11:30am. The largest contributors to growth in Q2 2017 were activities in the agriculture and finance, real

GDPQ2 2017

Embargoed until: 11:30am

GDPQ3 2016

GDPQ2 2017

Expenditure on GDP

Page 14: GDP Q2 2017 GDP - Statistics South Africa · GDP Q2 2017. Embargoed until: 11:30am. The largest contributors to growth in Q2 2017 were activities in the agriculture and finance, real

GDPQ2 2017

Embargoed until: 11:30am

Expenditure on GDP

2,4%in Q2 2017

(quarter-on-quarter)Seasonally adjusted and annualised

Expenditure on GDP

0,8%in Q2 2017(year-on-year)

Unadjusted

Expenditure on GDP

0,5%in Q2 2017

(6 month-6 month)Unadjusted (year-on-year)

Page 15: GDP Q2 2017 GDP - Statistics South Africa · GDP Q2 2017. Embargoed until: 11:30am. The largest contributors to growth in Q2 2017 were activities in the agriculture and finance, real

GDPQ2 2017

Embargoed until: 11:30am

Growth in Q2 2017 was largely drive by a rise in household consumption expenditure. Government expenditure and exports of goods and services also contributed positivelyQuarter-on-quarter, seasonally adjusted and annualised

Expenditure on GDP growth rates

Page 16: GDP Q2 2017 GDP - Statistics South Africa · GDP Q2 2017. Embargoed until: 11:30am. The largest contributors to growth in Q2 2017 were activities in the agriculture and finance, real

GDPQ2 2017

Embargoed until: 11:30am

4,1

-3,9

2,8

0,2

-0,5

LHS: growth rates RHS: contributions

Change in inventories: R5 340 million (contribution of -0,2 percentage points)Quarter-on-quarter, seasonally adjusted, annualised

Expenditure on GDP: 2,4%

Page 17: GDP Q2 2017 GDP - Statistics South Africa · GDP Q2 2017. Embargoed until: 11:30am. The largest contributors to growth in Q2 2017 were activities in the agriculture and finance, real

GDPQ2 2017

Embargoed until: 11:30am

Household final consumption

expenditure (HFCE)

Page 18: GDP Q2 2017 GDP - Statistics South Africa · GDP Q2 2017. Embargoed until: 11:30am. The largest contributors to growth in Q2 2017 were activities in the agriculture and finance, real

GDPQ2 2017

Embargoed until: 11:30am

Household final consumption expenditure

4,7%in Q2 2017

(quarter-on-quarter)Seasonally adjusted and annualised

Page 19: GDP Q2 2017 GDP - Statistics South Africa · GDP Q2 2017. Embargoed until: 11:30am. The largest contributors to growth in Q2 2017 were activities in the agriculture and finance, real

GDPQ2 2017

Embargoed until: 11:30am

Quarter-on-quarter, seasonally adjusted and annualisedHousehold consumption expenditure rebound in Q2 2017 was in line with the recovery in retail trade sales

HFCE growth rates

Page 20: GDP Q2 2017 GDP - Statistics South Africa · GDP Q2 2017. Embargoed until: 11:30am. The largest contributors to growth in Q2 2017 were activities in the agriculture and finance, real

GDPQ2 2017

Embargoed until: 11:30am

1,4

0,8

1,9

0,5

1,0

0,3

0,2

-0,2

-1,5

0,3

0,1

0,0

LHS: growth rates RHS: contributions

4,7%

HFCE by purpose

Quarter-on-quarter, seasonally adjusted and annualised

Page 21: GDP Q2 2017 GDP - Statistics South Africa · GDP Q2 2017. Embargoed until: 11:30am. The largest contributors to growth in Q2 2017 were activities in the agriculture and finance, real

GDPQ2 2017

Embargoed until: 11:30am

1,9

2,9

-0,8

LHS: growth rates RHS: contributions

4,7%

HFCE by durability

Quarter-on-quarter, seasonally adjusted and annualised

0,6

Page 22: GDP Q2 2017 GDP - Statistics South Africa · GDP Q2 2017. Embargoed until: 11:30am. The largest contributors to growth in Q2 2017 were activities in the agriculture and finance, real

GDPQ2 2017

Embargoed until: 11:30am

Government final consumption

expenditure (GFCE)

Page 23: GDP Q2 2017 GDP - Statistics South Africa · GDP Q2 2017. Embargoed until: 11:30am. The largest contributors to growth in Q2 2017 were activities in the agriculture and finance, real

GDPQ2 2017

Embargoed until: 11:30am

Government final consumption expenditure

0,8%in Q2 2017

(quarter-on-quarter)Seasonally adjusted and annualised

Page 24: GDP Q2 2017 GDP - Statistics South Africa · GDP Q2 2017. Embargoed until: 11:30am. The largest contributors to growth in Q2 2017 were activities in the agriculture and finance, real

GDPQ2 2017

Embargoed until: 11:30am

Spending on goods and services contributed to the positive growth in Q2 2017Quarter-on-quarter, seasonally adjusted and annualised

GFCE growth rates

Page 25: GDP Q2 2017 GDP - Statistics South Africa · GDP Q2 2017. Embargoed until: 11:30am. The largest contributors to growth in Q2 2017 were activities in the agriculture and finance, real

GDPQ2 2017

Embargoed until: 11:30am

Gross fixed capital formation (GFCF)

Page 26: GDP Q2 2017 GDP - Statistics South Africa · GDP Q2 2017. Embargoed until: 11:30am. The largest contributors to growth in Q2 2017 were activities in the agriculture and finance, real

GDPQ2 2017

Embargoed until: 11:30am

Gross fixed capital formation

-2,6%in Q2 2017

(quarter-on-quarter)Seasonally adjusted and annualised

Page 27: GDP Q2 2017 GDP - Statistics South Africa · GDP Q2 2017. Embargoed until: 11:30am. The largest contributors to growth in Q2 2017 were activities in the agriculture and finance, real

GDPQ2 2017

Embargoed until: 11:30am

Investment spending on residential buildings, non-residential buildings and transport equipment was down in Q2 2017Quarter-on-quarter, seasonally adjusted and annualised

GFCF growth rates

Page 28: GDP Q2 2017 GDP - Statistics South Africa · GDP Q2 2017. Embargoed until: 11:30am. The largest contributors to growth in Q2 2017 were activities in the agriculture and finance, real

GDPQ2 2017

Embargoed until: 11:30am

0,9

-0,3

-0,6

-0,4

-0,6

-1,3

-0,3

LHS: growth rates RHS: contributions

-2,6%

GFCF by asset type

Quarter-on-quarter, seasonally adjusted and annualised

Page 29: GDP Q2 2017 GDP - Statistics South Africa · GDP Q2 2017. Embargoed until: 11:30am. The largest contributors to growth in Q2 2017 were activities in the agriculture and finance, real

GDPQ2 2017

Embargoed until: 11:30am

Change in inventories

Page 30: GDP Q2 2017 GDP - Statistics South Africa · GDP Q2 2017. Embargoed until: 11:30am. The largest contributors to growth in Q2 2017 were activities in the agriculture and finance, real

GDPQ2 2017

Embargoed until: 11:30am

Large build-ups were reported for manufacturing industry and the trade sector in Q2 2017Quarter-on-quarter, seasonally adjusted and annualised

Change in inventories(R million)

Page 31: GDP Q2 2017 GDP - Statistics South Africa · GDP Q2 2017. Embargoed until: 11:30am. The largest contributors to growth in Q2 2017 were activities in the agriculture and finance, real

GDPQ2 2017

Embargoed until: 11:30am

Exports and Imports

Page 32: GDP Q2 2017 GDP - Statistics South Africa · GDP Q2 2017. Embargoed until: 11:30am. The largest contributors to growth in Q2 2017 were activities in the agriculture and finance, real

GDPQ2 2017

Embargoed until: 11:30am

Exports of goods and services

14,4%in Q2 2017

(quarter-on-quarter)

Imports of goods and services

13,3%in Q2 2017

(quarter-on-quarter)Seasonally adjusted and annualised Seasonally adjusted and annualised

Page 33: GDP Q2 2017 GDP - Statistics South Africa · GDP Q2 2017. Embargoed until: 11:30am. The largest contributors to growth in Q2 2017 were activities in the agriculture and finance, real

GDPQ2 2017

Embargoed until: 11:30am

Increased exports were reported for transport equipment, base metals and precious metals in Q2 2017Quarter-on-quarter, seasonally adjusted and annualised

Exports growth rates

Page 34: GDP Q2 2017 GDP - Statistics South Africa · GDP Q2 2017. Embargoed until: 11:30am. The largest contributors to growth in Q2 2017 were activities in the agriculture and finance, real

GDPQ2 2017

Embargoed until: 11:30am

Imports of machinery and equipment increased in Q2 2017 Quarter-on-quarter, seasonally adjusted and annualised

Imports growth rates

Page 35: GDP Q2 2017 GDP - Statistics South Africa · GDP Q2 2017. Embargoed until: 11:30am. The largest contributors to growth in Q2 2017 were activities in the agriculture and finance, real

GDPQ2 2017

Embargoed until: 11:30am

Recap

Page 36: GDP Q2 2017 GDP - Statistics South Africa · GDP Q2 2017. Embargoed until: 11:30am. The largest contributors to growth in Q2 2017 were activities in the agriculture and finance, real

GDPQ2 2017

Embargoed until: 11:30am

Quarter-on-quarter, seasonally adjusted and annualised

GDP and expenditure on GDP growth rates

Page 37: GDP Q2 2017 GDP - Statistics South Africa · GDP Q2 2017. Embargoed until: 11:30am. The largest contributors to growth in Q2 2017 were activities in the agriculture and finance, real

GDPQ2 2017

Embargoed until: 11:30am

Quarter-on-quarter

2,5%in Q2 2017

Seasonally adjusted and annualised

Year-on-year

1,1%in Q2 2017

Unadjusted

6 month-6 month

1,1%in Q2 2017

Unadjusted (year-on-year)