Gdn/ICMFlashPollMilibandCameron

Vote In 2010RegionGeneral ElectionPre Poll Voting IntentionAgeGender

LibSouthWalesMidlandsNorthScotlandDemLabConOtherGreenUKIPLib DemLabCon65+35-6425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal

49049169282133262267366685115475321292224732131365445791123Unweighted base

496681952521121482022406460130523502531805362661416165071123Weighted base

496681952521121482022406460130523502531805362661416165071123Yes100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%

---------------------No---------------------

Page 1

Flash Poll Post SurveyONLINE Fieldwork : 24th-26th March 2015

Absolutes/col percents

Table 1

Q1. Can I just confirm, did you watch the live interviews with David Cameron and Ed Miliband which finished minutes ago?Base : All respondents

Prepared on behalf of The Guardian by ICM Unlimited



49049169282133262267366685115475321292224732131365445791123Unweighted base

496681952521121482022406460130523502531805362661416165071123Weighted base

2462910410148523919417788226121311125310560279249529David Cameron50%43%53%40%43%35%19%81%26%12%68%43%17%84%62%47%39%42%45%49%47%

195227412343791413422433724259176220313162254203457Ed Miliband39%32%38%49%39%53%70%14%34%72%28%47%74%7%34%38%49%44%41%40%41%

541717292117221225955302378030208354137Don't know11%25%9%11%18%11%11%5%40%16%4%10%9%9%4%15%11%14%14%11%12%

Page 2



Table 2

Q2. Who do you think won the contest?Base : All respondents




Table 3

Q2. Who do you think won the contest?Base : All respondents (excluding Don't know)




44644156253117232239348574514567293278214653117324835331016Unweighted base

4415117822392132180228395112547320230172456236122533453986Weighted base

2462910410148523919417788226121311125310560279249529David Cameron56%58%58%45%53%40%22%85%44%15%70%48%19%93%64%55%45%49%52%55%54%

195227412343791413422433724259176220313162254203457Ed Miliband44%42%42%55%47%60%78%15%56%85%30%52%81%7%36%45%55%51%48%45%46%

ActuallyWas the moreanswered theappealingWas moreHad the better

questions askedpersonalityconvincingarguments

1123112311231123Unweighted base

1123112311231123Weighted base

496517538516David Cameron44%46%48%46%

417477486490Ed Miliband37%42%43%44%

20912999117Don't know19%12%9%10%

Page 4



Table 4

Q2a. Putting aside your own party preference and only basing your answer on what you saw or heard during the programme,as far as you are concerned which one of the two leaders do you think...?Summary tableBase : All respondents




49049169282133262267366685115475321292224732131365445791123Unweighted base

496681952521121482022406460130523502531805362661416165071123Weighted base

25832909838593719118985263622410025810354261255516David Cameron52%47%46%39%34%40%18%80%28%15%66%51%10%89%56%48%39%38%42%50%46%

203218713049781492919433922287187021313474282208490Ed Miliband41%31%45%51%44%52%74%12%31%71%30%43%82%7%39%40%50%52%46%41%44%

3514172525121620268642711106429147344117Don't know7%21%9%10%22%8%8%8%41%13%4%7%8%4%6%12%11%10%12%9%10%

Page 5



Table 5

Q2a. Putting aside your own party preference and only basing your answer on what you saw or heard during the programme,as far as you are concerned which one of the two leaders do you think...?Had the better argumentsBase : All respondents




49049169282133262267366685115475321292224732131365445791123Unweighted base

496681952521121482022406460130523502531805362661416165071123Weighted base

2613197104465647186181077236622510827610748285253538David Cameron53%46%50%41%41%38%23%77%29%17%59%45%19%89%60%52%40%34%46%50%48%

198198413154811404022394627274206321313575265221486Ed Miliband40%28%43%52%48%54%70%17%34%64%36%52%78%8%35%40%51%53%43%44%43%

371814181212141423117210810462518663399Don't know7%26%7%7%11%8%7%6%37%19%5%3%3%3%5%9%9%13%11%6%9%

Page 6



Table 6

Q2a. Putting aside your own party preference and only basing your answer on what you saw or heard during the programme,as far as you are concerned which one of the two leaders do you think...?Was more convincingBase : All respondents




49049169282133262267366685115475321292224732131365445791123Unweighted base

496681952521121482022406460130523502531805362661416165071123Weighted base

25527958851524618320681196121710324410367262255517David Cameron51%41%49%35%45%35%23%76%31%11%63%36%17%86%57%46%39%47%43%50%46%

196248012948791273822473626265216021513567273203477Ed Miliband40%36%41%51%43%53%63%16%34%77%28%50%76%8%34%40%51%47%44%40%42%

4516203614182919227137241416772978149129Don't know9%24%10%14%12%12%14%8%35%12%10%14%7%6%9%14%11%5%13%10%12%

Page 7



Table 7

Q2a. Putting aside your own party preference and only basing your answer on what you saw or heard during the programme,as far as you are concerned which one of the two leaders do you think...?Was the more appealing personalityBase : All respondents




49049169282133262267366685115475321292224732131365445791123Unweighted base

496681952521121482022406460130523502531805362661416165071123Weighted base

224309792534345165331975215519510322810857285211496David Cameron45%45%50%36%48%29%22%69%52%31%57%41%16%77%58%43%41%40%46%42%44%

177326810337771343515213420248196120610842218200417Ed Miliband36%48%35%41%33%52%66%15%23%34%26%39%71%8%34%39%41%29%35%39%37%

95530582228244016212111473815101504311396209Don't know19%8%15%23%19%19%12%17%25%34%16%21%14%15%8%19%19%30%18%19%19%

Page 8



Table 8

Q2a. Putting aside your own party preference and only basing your answer on what you saw or heard during the programme,as far as you are concerned which one of the two leaders do you think...?Actually answered the questions askedBase : All respondents




43946146258121250260352654514272299272214657114244785321009Unweighted base

382591301999214119723158491074628620916641918890451412863Weighted base

1098344612911144-----2095697352194115209Conservative28%14%26%23%14%6%5%62%-----100%33%23%19%24%21%28%24%

124144679233414720----286-391258042158128286Labour32%23%35%40%25%24%74%9%----100%-24%30%42%47%35%31%33%

26231233624---46--1020124242246Liberal Democrat/7%4%2%6%3%26%1%2%---100%--6%5%6%5%5%5%5%Liberal

43520309151339--107---34551084562107UK Independence Party11%8%16%15%10%11%6%17%--100%---21%13%5%9%10%15%12%(UKIP)

2348951652-49----1117174272249Green6%7%6%4%6%11%3%1%-100%----6%4%9%5%6%5%6%

----3647136-----7236-191736Scottish National----39%3%3%*62%-----4%5%3%-4%4%4%Party/SNP

-16------16-----1313-13316Plaid Cymru-28%------28%-----1%1%7%-3%1%2%

4-11-2116-----123-336Other1%-1%*-1%**10%-----*1%1%-1%1%1%

49218234251222------8651310564197Don't know13%4%14%11%5%18%6%9%------5%16%7%11%12%10%11%

57-------------12--12-12Refused1%11%-------------3%--3%-1%

Page 9



Table 9

VIQ2. PRE SURVEY DATA - The Conservatives, Labour, the Liberal Democrats, and other parties would fight a new election in your area.If there were a general election tomorrow which party do you think you would vote for?Base : All respondents (Turnout Weighted)




3874312622611320324331765451427229927220356510423416479895Unweighted base

328501121778811518520958491074628620915934217480384371755Weighted base

1098344612911144-----2095697352194115209Conservative33%17%30%26%14%8%6%69%-----100%35%28%20%27%24%31%28%

124144679233414720----286-391258042158128286Labour38%28%41%45%26%30%79%10%----100%-25%37%46%52%41%34%38%

26231233624---46--1020124242246Liberal Democrat/8%5%3%7%3%31%1%2%---100%--6%6%7%6%6%6%6%Liberal


2348951652-49----1117174272249Green7%8%7%5%6%14%3%1%-100%----7%5%10%5%7%6%6%


-16------16-----1313-13316Plaid Cymru-33%------28%-----1%1%7%-3%1%2%

4-11-2116-----123-336Other1%-1%*-1%**10%-----*1%2%-1%1%1%

Page 10



Table 10

VIQ2. PRE SURVEY DATA - The Conservatives, Labour, the Liberal Democrats, and other parties would fight a new election in your area.If there were a general election tomorrow which party do you think you would vote for?Base : All respondents expressing an intention to vote (Turnout Weighted)




49049169282133262267366685115475321292224732131365445791123Unweighted base

496681952521121482022406460130523502531805362661416165071123Weighted base

373143132015182619161979442115493988Changed mind7%4%7%12%3%13%7%7%4%9%15%31%5%3%5%8%8%10%8%8%8%

4205315720810110717221161459733318239162426228123505435939Made no difference85%78%81%82%90%72%85%88%95%75%75%64%91%94%90%80%86%87%82%86%84%

38122314822151119143146966183633396Don't know8%18%12%6%7%15%7%5%2%16%11%5%4%3%5%12%7%2%10%6%9%

Page 11



Table 11

Q3. Based on what you saw or heard during the programme, have you changed your mind about who to vote for, or had you already made up your mind andthe debate makes no difference to how you intend to vote?Base : All respondents


Pre Poll Voting IntentionRefusedDon't knowWould not voteOtherGreenUKIPLib DemLabConTotal

-25-47191321594Unweighted base

-19-26191619788Weighted base

-7---457326Conservative-35%---20%32%40%39%30%

-10-2311910549Labour-53%-83%49%58%57%52%61%56%

-*----2--2Liberal Democrat-2%----10%--2%

----2--1-3Green----39%--4%-3%

-----4---4UKIP-----22%---5%

-------1-1Another party-------5%-1%

-2-*1----3Don't know-10%-17%12%----3%

Page 12



Table 12

Q4. Who are you now likely to vote for in the General Election on May 7th? Will you vote...Base : All who have changed their mind about who to vote for


Pre Poll Voting IntentionRefusedDon't knowWould not voteOtherGreenUKIPLib DemLabConTotal

-23-36191321590Unweighted base

-17-25191619785Weighted base

-7---457326Conservative-39%---20%32%40%39%31%

-10-2311910549Labour-59%-100%56%58%57%52%61%58%

-*----2--2Liberal Democrat-2%----10%--2%

----2--1-3Green----44%--4%-3%

-----4---4UKIP-----22%---5%

-------1-1Another party-------5%-1%

Page 13



Table 13

Q4. Who are you now likely to vote for in the General Election on May 7th? Will you vote...Base : All who have changed their mind about who to vote for and who show an intention to vote




43946146258121250260352654514272299272214657114244785321009Unweighted base

382591301999214119723158491074628620916641918890451412863Weighted base

11583649121212148--335207561053525100121221Conservative30%14%28%25%14%9%6%64%--3%7%2%99%33%25%19%28%22%29%26%

13115508923421522222872792441368742170139309Labour34%26%39%45%25%30%77%9%3%5%7%15%98%1%26%32%46%47%38%34%36%

2123733124---36--101710-181837Liberal Democrat/6%4%2%4%3%22%1%2%---78%--6%4%5%-4%4%4%Liberal


2338851452-46--1-1115164262147Green6%5%6%4%6%10%2%1%-94%--*-7%4%8%5%6%5%5%


-15------15------313-13215Plaid Cymru-26%------27%------1%7%-3%1%2%

4-1112116---1-124-346Other1%-1%*1%1%*1%10%---*-*1%2%-1%1%1%

43315205221117*1----7581110513586Don't know11%5%12%10%5%16%5%7%1%1%----4%14%6%11%11%9%10%

57-------------12--12-12Refused1%11%-------------3%--3%-1%

Page 14



Table 14

VIQ2. UPDATED POST PROGRAMME - The Conservatives, Labour, the Liberal Democrats, and other parties would fight a new election in your area.If there were a general election tomorrow which party do you think you would vote for?Base : All respondents (Turnout Weighted)




3984213023011220724532564441427229927220457910623425487912Unweighted base

334491151808811918621457491074628620916035017780389376766Weighted base

11583649121212148--335207561053525100121221Conservative34%17%31%27%14%10%6%69%--3%7%2%99%35%30%20%32%26%32%29%

13115508923421522222872792441368742170139309Labour39%31%44%50%26%36%81%10%3%5%7%15%98%1%27%39%49%53%44%37%40%

2123733124---36--101710-181837Liberal Democrat/6%5%2%4%3%26%1%2%---78%--6%5%6%-5%5%5%Liberal


2338851452-46--1-1115164262147Green7%6%7%5%6%12%2%1%-95%--*-7%4%9%5%7%6%6%


-15------15------313-13215Plaid Cymru-31%------27%------1%7%-3%1%2%

4-1112116---1-124-346Other1%-1%*1%1%*1%10%---*-*1%2%-1%1%1%

Page 15



Table 15

VIQ2. UPDATED POST PROGRAMME - The Conservatives, Labour, the Liberal Democrats, and other parties would fight a new election in your area.If there were a general election tomorrow which party do you think you would vote for?Base : All respondents expressing an intention to vote (Turnout Weighted)




49049169282133262267366685115475321292224732131365445791123Unweighted base

496681952521121482022406460130523502531805362661416165071123Weighted base

269251021064258292071268728462441062679674284259543David Cameron54%36%52%42%37%39%14%86%19%11%67%54%13%97%59%50%36%52%46%51%48%

18925731214269147212143301928145919413661254197450Ed Miliband38%36%37%48%38%46%73%9%33%72%23%37%80%1%33%36%51%43%41%39%40%

3818202528212612311113523515753467951130Don't know8%27%10%10%25%14%13%5%48%18%10%9%6%2%8%14%13%4%13%10%12%

Page 16



Table 16

Q5. Based on their performance during the programme, which one of the two do you think would make the best PM for Britain?Base : All respondents


Has the courageto say what isWill be moreWill govern in

right ratherrespectedHas changed histhe interestsIs backed byIs good in aUnderstandsthan what isaround theIs more spinparty for theof the many,

his partycrisispeople like mepopularIs decisiveworldthan substancebetterand not the few

112311231123112311231123112311231123Unweighted base

112311231123112311231123112311231123Weighted base

651522276390606652545409309David Cameron58%46%25%35%54%58%49%36%27%

231240535572330217388397622Ed Miliband21%21%48%51%29%19%35%35%55%

241361312161187255190317193Don't know21%32%28%14%17%23%17%28%17%

Page 17



Table 17

Q6. And still putting aside your own party preference, from your own perception do you think Ed Miliband or David Cameron...Summary tableBase : All respondents




49049169282133262267366685115475321292224732131365445791123Unweighted base

496681952521121482022406460130523502531805362661416165071123Weighted base

1741047601824121553151137191731406925157151309David Cameron35%14%24%24%16%16%6%65%5%2%39%25%2%76%41%26%26%18%25%30%27%

2504699158681041774745505532336218329316680349272622Ed Miliband50%68%51%63%61%70%88%19%71%84%43%61%96%8%46%55%62%56%57%54%55%

721249352621133815924784123102313711083193Don't know14%18%25%14%23%14%7%16%24%15%18%13%2%16%13%19%12%26%18%16%17%

Page 18



Table 18

Q6. And still putting aside your own party preference, from your own perception do you think Ed Miliband or David Cameron...Will govern in the interests of the many, and not the fewBase : All respondents




49049169282133262267366685115475321292224732131365445791123Unweighted base

496681952521121482022406460130523502531805362661416165071123Weighted base

2122272752840331529174321571888817810240216193409David Cameron43%32%37%30%25%27%16%63%14%28%33%41%16%74%49%33%38%29%35%38%36%

15719741024564111371525391522529471909565220177397Ed Miliband32%29%38%40%40%43%55%15%23%41%30%29%64%11%26%36%36%46%36%35%35%

12727497539445852401948166836451676936181137317Don't know26%39%25%30%35%30%29%21%63%31%37%31%19%14%25%31%26%26%29%27%28%

Page 19



Table 19

Q6. And still putting aside your own party preference, from your own perception do you think Ed Miliband or David Cameron...Has changed his party for the betterBase : All respondents




49049169282133262267366685115475321292224732131365445791123Unweighted base

496681952521121482022406460130523502531805362661416165071123Weighted base

240329112954881525229425924257467826013275289256545David Cameron48%47%47%51%48%59%75%22%45%70%45%47%73%18%44%48%50%53%47%51%49%

189207972283822153107511964161851768740208179388Ed Miliband38%29%40%29%25%26%11%63%16%12%39%36%18%64%47%33%33%28%34%35%35%

67162551302227352511219294617100472711971190Don't know14%24%13%20%27%15%14%15%38%18%16%17%8%18%9%19%18%19%19%14%17%

Page 20



Table 20

Q6. And still putting aside your own party preference, from your own perception do you think Ed Miliband or David Cameron...Is more spin than substanceBase : All respondents




49049169282133262267366685115475321292224732131365445791123Unweighted base

496681952521121482022406460130523502531805362661416165071123Weighted base

2984511013167856720930241003610523612231615064353299652David Cameron60%67%56%52%60%57%33%87%46%40%77%69%30%94%68%59%56%45%57%59%58%

9814355415267611916811158228926630116101217Ed Miliband20%21%18%21%13%18%38%4%14%27%6%20%45%1%16%17%25%21%19%20%19%

99850673037592125202268715291275148148107255Don't know20%12%25%27%27%25%29%9%40%34%17%11%25%6%16%24%19%34%24%21%23%

Page 21



Table 21

Q6. And still putting aside your own party preference, from your own perception do you think Ed Miliband or David Cameron...Will be more respected around the worldBase : All respondents




49049169282133262267366685115475321292224732131365445791123Unweighted base

496681952521121482022406460130523502531805362661416165071123Weighted base

27938113124527057204322688358122111429113863329277606David Cameron56%56%58%49%46%47%28%85%51%44%67%67%23%88%63%54%52%44%53%55%54%

1462253763245110171210211022714431448954186143330Ed Miliband30%32%27%30%29%30%54%7%18%17%16%19%65%5%24%27%33%38%30%28%29%

7182853283336192024227421823101382510186187Don't know14%11%14%21%25%22%18%8%31%39%17%14%12%7%13%19%14%18%16%17%17%

Page 22



Table 22

Q6. And still putting aside your own party preference, from your own perception do you think Ed Miliband or David Cameron...Is decisiveBase : All respondents




49049169282133262267366685115475321292224732131365445791123Unweighted base

496681952521121482022406460130523502531805362661416165071123Weighted base

190226474403620160142611822188762007242191199390David Cameron38%32%33%29%35%24%10%67%22%4%47%34%6%74%42%37%27%30%31%39%35%

231429714855891614733454528310377926115974338234572Ed Miliband46%62%50%58%49%60%80%19%52%75%35%54%88%15%44%49%60%52%55%46%51%

76433311824213417122461928257536258774161Don't know15%6%17%12%16%16%11%14%26%21%18%12%5%11%14%14%13%18%14%15%14%

Page 23



Table 23

Q6. And still putting aside your own party preference, from your own perception do you think Ed Miliband or David Cameron...Has the courage to say what is right rather than what is popularBase : All respondents




49049169282133262267366685115475321292224732131365445791123Unweighted base

496681952521121482022406460130523502531805362661416165071123Weighted base

139165546201681374-4592168631275828140137276David Cameron28%24%28%18%18%11%4%57%6%-35%17%1%67%35%24%22%20%23%27%25%

216429014146831673233364323318167623316066308227535Ed Miliband44%62%46%56%41%56%83%13%52%60%33%44%91%6%42%43%60%47%50%45%48%

1419506647492771272442203069411764847169143312Don't know28%14%26%26%41%33%13%30%42%40%32%38%8%27%23%33%18%33%27%28%28%

Page 24



Table 24

Q6. And still putting aside your own party preference, from your own perception do you think Ed Miliband or David Cameron...Understands people like meBase : All respondents




49049169282133262267366685115475321292224732131365445791123Unweighted base

496681952521121482022406460130523502531805362661416165071123Weighted base

26125901004670421981598031612279726711345269253522David Cameron53%37%46%40%41%47%21%82%24%16%62%60%17%90%54%50%43%32%44%50%46%

10713395626327915991371796321046539132108240Ed Miliband22%19%20%22%23%21%39%6%15%15%10%14%51%3%18%19%24%27%21%21%21%

128306596414781273942371411019501658858215146361Don't know26%44%34%38%36%32%40%11%62%70%28%26%32%8%28%31%33%41%35%29%32%

Page 25



Table 25

Q6. And still putting aside your own party preference, from your own perception do you think Ed Miliband or David Cameron...Is good in a crisisBase : All respondents




49049169282133262267366685115475321292224732131365445791123Unweighted base

496681952521121482022406460130523502531805362661416165071123Weighted base

305351091406184762052931922811423412630714870366285651David Cameron62%52%56%55%55%57%38%85%46%52%70%53%33%93%70%57%56%50%59%56%58%

871756591332731787137168531976934109122231Ed Miliband17%25%29%23%11%21%36%7%12%11%10%14%48%2%17%18%26%24%18%24%21%

10415295438325318272226176814231325037141100241Don't know21%22%15%21%34%22%26%8%42%37%20%33%19%6%13%25%19%26%23%20%21%

Page 26



Table 26

Q6. And still putting aside your own party preference, from your own perception do you think Ed Miliband or David Cameron...Is backed by his partyBase : All respondents




49049169282133262267366685115475321292224732131365445791123Unweighted base

496681952521121482022406460130523502531805362661416165071123Weighted base

173227110149581213621334618220126019410955232185417Agree35%33%37%40%44%39%60%15%33%55%36%34%63%5%33%36%41%39%38%36%37%

2642898122527656187232473338322610527412559292271562Disagree53%41%50%48%46%51%28%78%37%40%56%63%24%89%58%51%47%42%47%53%50%

59172629121424172031124815156932289251144Don't know12%26%13%12%11%9%12%7%31%6%8%3%14%6%8%13%12%20%15%10%13%

Page 27



Table 27

Q7. Do you agree or disagree with the following claim?Now that David Cameron has signalled he will quit as prime minister by 2020, he is a lame duck that will never last that long.Base : All respondents




49049169282133262267366685115475321292224732131365445791123Unweighted base

496681952521121482022406460130523502531805362661416165071123Weighted base

21327101117486894135252275241571399223911858-507507Male43%40%52%46%43%46%47%56%40%37%58%47%45%55%51%45%44%41%-100%45%

28340941356480108106383855281941138829714883616-616Female57%60%48%54%57%54%53%44%60%63%42%53%55%45%49%55%56%59%100%-55%

Page 28



Table 28

GenderBase : All respondents




49049169282133262267366685115475321292224732131365445791123Unweighted base

496681952521121482022406460130523502531805362661416165071123Weighted base

63-332620439-7995928---141835814118 to 2413%-17%10%18%3%1%4%-12%7%17%17%11%---100%14%11%13%

146303243153357372421151311051--266-14811826625 to 3430%44%16%17%13%22%28%15%38%35%11%25%32%20%--100%-24%23%24%

91123955183334431192396044-216--1199721635 to 4418%18%20%22%16%22%17%18%17%15%18%17%17%17%-40%--19%19%19%

6192649272532451362054837-172--898317245 to 5412%14%13%19%24%17%16%19%21%10%15%10%14%15%-32%--14%16%15%

609303513253239662573431-148--895914855 to 6412%13%16%14%12%17%16%16%10%11%19%13%10%12%-28%--14%12%13%

73735451928436891138104062180---889218065 plus15%11%18%18%17%19%21%28%14%18%29%19%11%25%100%---14%18%16%

Page 29



Table 29

AgeBase : All respondents




49049169282133262267366685115475321292224732131365445791123Unweighted base

496681952521121482022406460130523502531805362661416165071123Weighted base

----112920124061332516195815206448112Scotland----100%6%10%5%63%10%10%5%7%6%11%11%6%14%10%10%10%

---55-7115-74120125211217312455North East---22%-5%6%2%-11%3%2%6%5%3%4%5%12%5%5%5%

---118-163525121510433027662056157118North West---47%-11%17%11%1%3%12%19%12%12%15%12%7%4%10%11%11%

---79-152127-313328131252113443579Yorkshire and the---31%-10%10%11%-5%10%7%8%5%7%10%4%2%7%7%7%Humber

--86--121420-1011224171648158493886East Midlands--44%--8%7%8%-16%8%4%7%7%9%9%6%5%8%7%8%

--108--101625151413525194817254563108West Midlands--56%--7%8%11%2%8%11%3%10%10%10%9%6%18%7%12%10%

-68---71561845317973130-402768Wales-100%---5%7%3%28%7%4%5%5%3%4%6%11%-7%5%6%

121----111329-10143362825513967448121East of England24%----7%7%12%-16%11%6%10%11%14%10%15%4%12%9%11%

150----192630-510106240126437367971150London30%----13%13%12%-8%8%19%18%16%7%12%14%26%13%14%13%

142----192038161593945226633208062142South East29%----13%10%16%1%9%11%18%11%18%12%12%13%14%13%12%13%

83----2311233416720191431371503383South West17%----15%5%10%5%7%13%13%6%8%8%6%14%1%8%7%7%

Page 30



Table 30

RegionBase : All respondents


Page Table Title Base Description Base

1 1 Q1. Can I just confirm, did you watch the live interviews with David Cameron and Ed Miliband which finished minutes ago?

Base : All respondents 1123

2 2 Q2. Who do you think won the contest? Base : All respondents 1123

3 3 Q2. Who do you think won the contest? Base : All respondents (excluding Don't know) 1016

4 4 Q2a. Putting aside your own party preference and only basing your answer on what you saw or heard during the programme, as far as you are concerned which one of the two leaders do you think...? Summary table


5 5 Q2a. Putting aside your own party preference and only basing your answer on what you saw or heard during the programme, as far as you are concerned which one of the two leaders do you think...? Had the better arguments


6 6 Q2a. Putting aside your own party preference and only basing your answer on what you saw or heard during the programme, as far as you are concerned which one of the two leaders do you think...? Was more convincing


7 7 Q2a. Putting aside your own party preference and only basing your answer on what you saw or heard during the programme, as far as you are concerned which one of the two leaders do you think...? Was the more appealing personality


8 8 Q2a. Putting aside your own party preference and only basing your answer on what you saw or heard during the programme, as far as you are concerned which one of the two leaders do you think...? Actually answered the questions asked


9 9 VIQ2. PRE SURVEY DATA - The Conservatives, Labour, the Liberal Democrats, and other parties would fight a new election in your area. If there were a general election tomorrow which party do you think you would vote for?

Base : All respondents (Turnout Weighted) 1009

10 10 VIQ2. PRE SURVEY DATA - The Conservatives, Labour, the Liberal Democrats, and other parties would fight a new election in your area. If there were a general election tomorrow which party do you think you would vote for?

Base : All respondents expressing an intention to vote (Turnout Weighted)

895

11 11 Q3. Based on what you saw or heard during the programme, have you changed your mind about who to vote for, or had you already made up your mind and the debate makes no difference to how you intend to vote?



12 12 Q4. Who are you now likely to vote for in the General Election on May 7th? Will you vote... Base : All who have changed their mind about who to vote for

94

13 13 Q4. Who are you now likely to vote for in the General Election on May 7th? Will you vote... Base : All who have changed their mind about who to vote for and who show an intention to vote

90

14 14 VIQ2. UPDATED POST PROGRAMME - The Conservatives, Labour, the Liberal Democrats, and other parties would fight a new election in your area. If there were a general election tomorrow which party do you think you would vote for?

Base : All respondents (Turnout Weighted) 1009

15 15 VIQ2. UPDATED POST PROGRAMME - The Conservatives, Labour, the Liberal Democrats, and other parties would fight a new election in your area. If there were a general election tomorrow which party do you think you would vote for?

Base : All respondents expressing an intention to vote (Turnout Weighted)

912

16 16 Q5. Based on their performance during the programme, which one of the two do you think would make the best PM for Britain?


17 17 Q6. And still putting aside your own party preference, from your own perception do you think Ed Milibandor David Cameron... Summary table


18 18 Q6. And still putting aside your own party preference, from your own perception do you think Ed Milibandor David Cameron... Will govern in the interests of the many, and not the few


19 19 Q6. And still putting aside your own party preference, from your own perception do you think Ed Milibandor David Cameron... Has changed his party for the better


20 20 Q6. And still putting aside your own party preference, from your own perception do you think Ed Milibandor David Cameron... Is more spin than substance


21 21 Q6. And still putting aside your own party preference, from your own perception do you think Ed Milibandor David Cameron... Will be more respected around the world


22 22 Q6. And still putting aside your own party preference, from your own perception do you think Ed Milibandor David Cameron... Is decisive


23 23 Q6. And still putting aside your own party preference, from your own perception do you think Ed Milibandor David Cameron... Has the courage to say what is right rather than what is popular



24 24 Q6. And still putting aside your own party preference, from your own perception do you think Ed Milibandor David Cameron... Understands people like me


25 25 Q6. And still putting aside your own party preference, from your own perception do you think Ed Milibandor David Cameron... Is good in a crisis


26 26 Q6. And still putting aside your own party preference, from your own perception do you think Ed Milibandor David Cameron... Is backed by his party


27 27 Q7. Do you agree or disagree with the following claim? Now that David Cameron has signalled he will quit as prime minister by 2020, he is a lame duck that will never last that long.


28 28 Gender Base : All respondents 1123

29 29 Age Base : All respondents 1123

30 30 Region Base : All respondents 1123

Gdn/ICMFlashPollMilibandCameron

Documents

icm unlimitedvote

absolutescol percentstable

absolutescol percentstable

absolutescol percentstable

icm unlimitedpage

dont know19

dont knowprepared

live interviews